Episode 1776 Scott Adams - The Highlight Of Civilization Is About To Begin

good morning everybody are you ready for the best show in the history of human civilization and possibly one or two alien civilizations who tried and failed before we evolved and who knows how many after that all i know is this is the highlight of the entire i know big bang until now and if you'd like to take it up another notch i know i know it seems impossible but it can be done and we're going to do it today and you will start your day with a success and that will probably you know snowball into all kinds of good things happening to you today and by the way again i don't think i say this often enough i don't know are you working out or something because you look sexier than normal and uh if you'd like to take that up a notch too all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank or shelves to design a canteen joke or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure it's a dopamine here of the day it's the thing that makes you tinkle it's called the simultaneous sip but it happens now go those on the locals platform note that i was just modeling a technique that i've been describing to them they learn so much there so much more than you learn on youtube but yet i love you all so in the news uh the world health organization who i just told you the world health organization who i just told you is says they want to rename a monkey box why why would they want to rename monkey box the first thing we have to acknowledge and i think you'd all agree there has never been a better name for a serious disease than monkey pox i don't care who you are you hear monkey pox and you think monkey box am i right but you hear you're going to get a bad case of kovan 19 that might have come out of some kind of weapons laboratory we don't know but we worry that it might have now that's scary stuff although as bad as saying you have coven 19 sounds ironically saying you have long covet sounds a little bit self-complementary if you know what i mean i don't like to brag but you got a i got a pretty big case a long covered long cubit my coverage is so long so monkey box um tragically it looks like they're going to change the name so we won't have the fun of calling it monkey pox anymore with all the jokes that you can make about that and of course the reason is obvious it's obvious is racist now here's a question i ask provocatively if you and i heard monkey pox and thought of monkeys and thought it was funny and it was a good name and that's all we thought because we're good people but if some other people maybe the people in the world health organization and a bunch of people who uh wrote to ask for this there was some kind of a some kind of a sign up where people signed the letter and said you got to change that name from monkey box because it sounded racist to them to which i say to myself huh who is the racist in this story if i put the variables together the people who just think monkeys are cute uh or is it the people who made some other association with cute little monkeys to which i say i think we found we found the racists or they found us or something but uh if you'd like to contribute to the renaming of monkeybox i think it's a fertile fertile grounds for humor so can somebody uh maybe start a tweet thread i should have done it myself of a cracker box on the locals platform somebody suggested renaming it to cracker pox i think we can close the competition i think cracker pox just won oh my god that is funny you know and it's funny because of the actual sound of the letters one of the reasons that monkey is funny is because of the k sound right we put a k sound in anything that just sounds funnier uh but cracker has that same thing going for it cracker pox and even pox even pox is a funny word a pox on your house all right um does it seem to you that uh that maybe losing is winning these days or something there's there's something going on with the democrats it's almost as if they're trying to play for a better draft pick next season and somebody needs to explain to him it doesn't work that way because you know how if a sports team is looks like they can't make the playoffs well maybe they don't try so hard after that point because it would be better to end the season in a low rank because then you go to the top of the heap for picking the new talent out of the draft next time so you could actually leapfrog you know and turn into a dynasty pretty quickly if you get the right players so but it almost feels as if the democrats are like playing for a draft pick and somebody needs to tell them you know it doesn't really work that way um and listen to what the democrats are up against in terms of a headwind for the coming elections all right rasmussen says rasmussen poll 89 of voters are at least somewhat concerned about the economy 89 how does any incumbent win reelection what 89 are worried about the economy it doesn't even matter if it's the fault of the president because remember the rules are the president gets credit even if they didn't do anything and the credit and the president gets you know criticized even if there wasn't anything they could do or even if they didn't do anything wrong so if you've got 89 percent of the voters at least somewhat concerned about the economy including 69 percent who are very concerned that's not looking good for the incumbent and then secondly crime is the only issue that rivals economic concerns with voters this is also from rasmussen 88 are concerned about violent crime including 64 who are very concerned now the economy and crime what are the what are the two things that are most associated with the republicans that they even democrats would say well you know we we hate these republicans but you know in a quiet moment if nobody is overhearing me and i'm talking to my best friend who won't tell anybody i might admit that they might do better on economics and crimes at least some people would have that view so you know it's hard to imagine how democrats could win and so this predicts that the only strategy that they could have they democrats election strategy would be coming up with bigger and bigger hoaxes and unfortunately that's like real isn't it because it doesn't seem that the actual facts even the facts the cnn is willing to report because remember even cnn uh has decided to become more even-handed and apparently to their credit and i will say this publicly because i criticized them mercilessly but to their credit they had a fairly prominent prime time question about biden's competency you know don lemon grilled him hard on that and i think the public would appreciate that that that was a that was a pretty meaningful way to approach an important question so give them credit for that but how in the world do the democrats win unless they come up with the world's biggest hoax and i think that the january sixth thing is is there at least how they're going to frame things and i think the idea is that if they can so this is sort of democrat math but maybe it's just political math i don't blame democrats if you can say that there's one person in a group of 10 who did something despicable you can say that that group is bad am i right if one person in a larger group of 10 does something terrible it's our normal thing to say well that's a bad group because at the very least they allowed somebody in that group who would do that terrible thing so even if you say well it was only one person who did the terrible thing it's a reasonable argument to say but you know the other nine maybe you should have seen that come in or should have stayed away from them whatever but now let's say you successfully make the argument and now you've demonized the ten but what if the ten are a small group of another larger group does it work again and the answer is yes it does once you've said that the group of 10 are all bad by extension then if they're part of a yet another larger group you could say well that larger group is letting these guys in so logically by association at least they should have policed themselves better and so i look at the january 6th thing so the january 6th thing is a small number of people probably in the proud boys and others probably did some really bad things not probably there was actual violence and injury so people did some bad violent things but probably not most of them but you still say but wait okay if the proud boys had you know this many people in them who were willing to fight and cause trouble that does say something about the larger group even if the larger group 90 percent of them had nothing to do with anything illegal right so you start with the the small trouble keep troublemakers and you extend that to the proud boys but then you say the proud boys were a few hundred or at least people like them you know if you include like-minded people and of a number of several thousand so now you can say wait a minute if there are a few people in the proud boys who were bad you know unambiguously bad now you've demonized the proud boys so you've got that whole group but now you say but the proud boys were a significant chunk of the entire protest whatever you want to call significant kind of subjective and now you can demonize the entire protest so now you've now you've uh you've done two leaps right one is the few protesters to the proud boys and i'll just use the proud boys as a proxy for the the people who came there with the worst intentions you know they they were thinking fighting when they went there and then you say you extend that to the people who were let's just say enthusiastic trump supporters but they were nothing like the proud boys right they didn't many of them might not even know they existed so now you've demonized all the people at the protest and then you can extend that now to trump because you could say well you know maybe it's hard to prove in any legal sense that trump directly told anybody to do anything illegal or even unwise but we can certainly show that he didn't do enough to stop it as soon as he could so now you've extended the larger crowd to trump and now that you've got it to trump you can extend it to maga the ultra magus so now you've got it all the way to trump and mega and then mega of course makes up much of the republicans and and the right and conservatives so now you've you've done how many leaps was that four four leaps so you started with a small group of you know violent people then that demonized the proud boys and like-minded people and then that got all the protesters no matter what reasons they were there or no matter what they did or no matter what their intentions were and then that got trump's orbit and then that got all omega and then that gets all of republicans and then that's all of conservatives right in front of our eyes you know it's not like it's not like it's a magic trick they're doing it right in front of us and yeah we'll talk about the fbi in a minute so um now do blm and antifa same same political math yeah so earlier when i said um when i was saying that it's not just a democrat math it's political math that would be a good example so you could do the same thing with there there were some number of people who are violent in the black lives matter protests they're all democrats blah blah blah so it scales up the same way but the january 6th thing that has i think has more jumps we're used to two jumps right but the january 16 is like a four jump play all right um speaking of hoaxes so now the biden administration is going to look into some kind of administrative punishment for the border patrol who allegedly were whipping haitians crossing the border of the mexican border and of course it turns out that the photographic evidence completely clears them it was just a misleading video and they were just using the reins on their own horse but instead of just saying well we're sorry didn't i i guess we were fooled by those misleading videos go back to work and you know with our blessings they're actually going to pretend like they were right all along because demonizing the border patrol is good for their politics this is like one of the worst things i've ever seen and at what point do you do you stop ignoring it you know as a public because every time i see a story like this it makes my blood boil i'm like oh are they really gonna punish these guys the border patrol people who apparently did nothing wrong are they really going to punish them just for consistency and political gain and do it right in front of us right in front of us is that really happening and so so here's the thought process i go through i think well i've got to do something about this but then the very very next story i read i think well i've got to do something about that too there are too many things to do stuff about they they've basically overwhelmed me with outrage so i have so many outrages i'm like you know i should like weigh in and make sure that these border patrol people because they're they're employees of the united states right so in a way public employees are sort of my responsibility aren't they you know in an extended way i pay taxes the taxes go to their you know they're working for the public i'm the public i mean i feel like it's a two-way obligation right they're keeping us safe don't i have the same obligation to them to keep them safe so i read this story i'm like oh it's their job to keep me safe they're not safe themselves i should run down there and like keep them safe it's just you know a reciprocal instinct kind of thing but then who has the time and i think well other people got problems too and maybe i could solve a problem that's closer to home and you know you talk yourself out of it but and it could be it could be that if you looked into it you'd find out there's more to it than you know and then you spend all your time trying to fix this outrage only to find out that a few of the border patrol that they're talking about actually did something wrong and then you you've wasted all your outrage on something you just didn't have the full context to so it's easy to talk yourself out of work you know working against any of these outrages because maybe they're not even true um so what is the worst thing about having a job with coworkers it's the co-workers it's the meetings because then there are more co-workers there at the same time you know there's the only thing worse the worst thing at work is interacting with other people right all of the unpleasantness at work is interacting with your boss or interacting with your co-workers generally the customers are fine you know you can usually have a good day with customers you help them they're happy about it you know it's all good but all the all the unpleasant stuff has to do with meetings and just running into people so now we found a way to make meetings even worse apparently the hybrid the so-called hybrid meetings where some people are on video and some people are in the room it turns into a whole second class citizen thing if you're on video you know and it's it's a terrible look and you have to look at these little postage stamp people in the crowd and but there are a few technologies apparently that are going to fix that one of them is you know automatic camera focusing on whoever's talking so that whoever's talking could be bigger on the screen that would be good that would that already exists it's a little expensive um and then apparently the meta model where you put on the goggles and you go talk according to one article i read who i wish i could remember the author um said that the you know the goggles were annoying so it's not quite ready for prime time but that the sensation of it was being in person even though it was avatars at a table the sensation was as personal as being a person now i think that's real i think that meetings among avatars are going to be important and what's really interesting is if you're meeting as an avatar that doesn't look exactly like you you get to change how influential you are here's something that nobody has i don't i haven't heard anybody talk about this let me give you two scenarios in the real real world in the real world you go into a meeting and somebody let's say is applying for a job well use that example applying for a job you walk in how long does it take you to know that you're going to hire that person from the moment you meet them how long before you know if you're going to hire them well i hate to say it's like 10 seconds it is because you just look at them you think that you interview them but you don't that's just an illusion you walk in you look at them and you decide if you could hire them i'm sorry did you think it was because of all their qualifications and the things they said nope no it's just you looked at him and now i'm i'm exaggerating a little bit for hyperbole right so here's an assumption i'm making that by the time they got in the room you've already checked that they met the basic qualifications am i right generally they don't even get in the room unless you've seen something on paper that says oh they have at least the background so now has anybody interviewed enough people or hired enough people to realize that we're not good at it has anybody had that sensation yet you hired somebody and you thought well these are this is obviously a good hire and turned out to be a disaster and did you learn from experience that nobody's good at it nobody's good at it this this is why the the naval ravicon theory is so important i think he's the first person i heard it from that hiring people is not the skill firing people is the skill because they all look alike when you hire them they all look like well you know i talked to 10 people and any one of those 10 might have been the superstar i don't know can't tell but you can tell after they start you can tell if they're killing it after six months so if you don't execute you know the the kill switch then you don't have the skill to be a good manager so it's the firing that is the skill and um all right so everybody's buying that the firing is skillful you haven't worked in engineering land before so what i'm saying is that if you see somebody looking differently because the only contact you have with them is in a virtual world in which they're an avatar not a person your decision-making uh system will be interrupted and you'll have to use a different one so the avatar that you choose to represent you will have a gigantic effect on your success in the real world you just don't realize it so if your avatar is a giant let's say weasel and you think it just looks cute but people who see it think weasel or skunk or something that is going to affect you your actual life will be much affected if you choose to look like a skunk because it's cool and it's edgy or you just like the color colors white and black whatever and so here's just putting it all together you don't realize that people pretty much make their decisions on looks because you're sure that you don't do it i'm sure that you do what you do is you make your decision on looks and then you talk yourself into it by saying you know perfect qualifications i liked how he or she answered that question and but it's not really that it just looks it's basically how much you want to mate with them that's pretty much it all right and sometimes it works the other way sometimes there's a jealousy factor where good-looking people could be discriminated against i've actually seen that happen in hiring because the people who worked there were not good looking and they didn't want anybody there who was that's actually a thing but the point is in both cases looks are are the real reason you're doing something school choice one big in iowa in the election so i guess eight out of nine candidates who are super pro-choice beat out their challengers including incumbents so we now know that there's an issue a single issue which moves the dial and it's school choice at least at the state level so i feel as if it's time for a presidential candidate to make a stand on that you know they always have opinions on it but it's never been a central point of anything and somebody could make that work so watch for uh school choice to be the big thing there was a article that says that uh weed lowers your iq over time so if you use it every day your iq will decline by 5.5 points on average from childhood do you believe that if you use weed every day your iq will decrease 5.5 points not 5.5 percent by 5.5 points so here's why this is a problem for some people more than others suppose your iq is 100 supposedly average society is built for people with roughly an iq of 100 because if they didn't build it that way people wouldn't be able to open doors and use cars just operate society they wouldn't be able to you know buy a bus ticket so you have to make everything in society work for people who are around an iq of a hundred well what take what happens if you take 5.5 points off of somebody who's just barely smart enough to operate the machinery of of civilization it's dangerous i would say if you take somebody who's marginally smart enough to navigate life and you take five points off their iq you've turned them into kind of a high functioning and maybe that's not such a good thing so if you have an iq of 100 i do not recommend smoking pot every day i mean i don't disrecommend it i'm not a doctor so don't take my advice either way that would be my my overall advice but i suppose you had an iq of 145 and you smoked weed and took five five points off it you'd still be the smartest person in the room would it make any difference so let's say the side effect is the same as five points off your iq no matter who you are i'm going to make an argument that for some people might not make a difference you know if they're i suppose if they're physicists maybe maybe lay off the weed that would be a good idea but suppose they were just you know over qualified for their job well in that case maybe they got a little little despair now here's the first question i asked about this study did they study sativa users or indica because it's really different sativa makes you more creative and smarter i'm just gonna i'm gonna just assert that now that's not based on science it's based on a lot of experience for the first 15 minutes that you experience sativa you're smarter i'm not going to tell you which of my ideas that people like and have spread around came up were concocted in the fifth first 15 minutes after smoking punk but it's a lot it's a lot and if you were to if you were to smoke uh sativa you get that effect more creative and you know you're actually more energetic for a little while but if you smoke indica and these both have a a dominant hybrid so they're not pure in either case usually they're usually not pure so they're mixes but they're dominant one way or the other if you do an indica dominant it just makes you sleepy and stupid that's why people do it to relax and go to sleep so do you think that the do you think that the long-term iq effect of taking a drug that makes you sleepy and stupid would be the same as the long-term effect of somebody who took only the the sativa version which makes you literally smarter but for a little while and then you you know you plunge after that what if the iq effect is due to a lack of motivation exactly because sativa can make you feel more motivated you to do things you weren't even motivated to do before whereas indica may indicate makes you less motivated because that's why you take it to slow yourself down so here's the first question i'd ask is if they didn't break that out i think i i tweeted it so if you want to see the sources for any of these things look in my twitter feed for the same day as i talk about it it's usually there all right so i saw a video that apparently has been out in a while i don't know how many weeks but it's a video in which ted cruz was talking to the fbi representative and asked whether the fbi had been involved in instigating any part of the january 6 event and here's what i found interesting now somebody said this is a real old video like from january did does anybody have a confirmation when this was because i think some of you saw it in my twitter feed but it's not brand new but it's relevant more now than when it was new because now we're in the middle of these january 6 hearings so we have a lot more context so now when you look at it it really reads different because we have more context and here's what happened so ted cruz in his prosecutorial brilliance because he's really good at this stuff was grilling the fbi representative if the fbi he has to he asked the question in a number of ways to say yes or no was the fba involved in any part of instigating january 6.

and specifically ray epps and the fbi representative refused to answer any of the questions and at one point mentioned you know sources and methods as something that they don't want to give away accidentally so they can't answer questions because it's questions about the secret stuff now i interpret that as a confirmation that the fbi instigated january 6 or was involved in some way that was important how do you interpret it because the ways and means uh explanation isn't real it isn't real because it would be very easy to carve out an answer that didn't give anything away and it goes like this uh mr cruz uh we don't give away you know all the details of our undercover work or operational stuff but i can tell you with complete certainty that the fbi did not instigate anything or talk anybody into anything or try to get anybody to break the law we don't do that and that definitely did not happen in this case beyond that i think you'll understand i don't want to answer any detailed questions because that would get to sources and methods but for the benefit of the public let me just say certainly the fbi is not out there breaking laws they did not break any laws or or try to incentivize anybody to break any laws for any purpose at all we don't do that that's not the business we're in now did i just give away any sources and methods i don't think i did did i i don't believe there were any sources and methods that i just gave away but i told you a very direct answer didn't i no what the thing you're worrying about no we didn't do that but beyond that don't ask any detailed questions because i would be giving away sources and methods now here's why i consider this a confirmation from the fbi that they were involved because it's too easy to say you weren't it's too easy i just did it but i'm not like the spokesperson for the government i would think that they would be trained well enough to answer a question like that it's not even hard i mean what was the degree of difficulty in saying we can't give away secret stuff but i'll tell you we didn't have anything to do with what you're a legend i mean if you're not willing to say that directly it's because you're confirming it's real i don't have another way to interpret it do you because if your interpretation is that they genuinely were trying to protect sources and methods i just gave you the answer that proves that wasn't real it was too easy so this is another one of those outrage things where i have outrage exhaustion do i go work on this border patrol you know unfairly accused whipper gate problem or do i do something about the fact that the fbi just effectively for all practical purposes confirmed that they were behind ins instigating a series of violent uh actions they're now being blamed on republicans people went to jail and the entire politics of the country will change probably because of this and the fbi is clearly hiding something that they shouldn't be hiding from the public now are you not outraged because to me they just admitted one of the biggest crimes of the century i mean this is a really big crime if i'm interpreting it correctly and if i'm not interpreting it correctly the fbi could always clarify and say oh let's follow up with the clarification we can't give you sources and method stuff but we can say for sure that we were not uh instigators of that event too easy it's just too easy and they can't do that they can't do that so i i'm just out of our age i just don't have enough um the uh individual whose name i can never uh successfully pronounce jenk jenk uh iger is that close c e n k jenk i think that's jen craig and whenever i mispronounce anybody's name i always like to tell you like i feel bad about it and i'm not doing it disrespectfully i uh i just sometimes don't know the name euger so it's a chanceuger okay let's go with that he says uh what do we do when this is in a tweet what do we do when 40 of our fellow americans just don't believe in facts anymore what do you think of that what do we do when 40 of americans just don't believe in facts anymore to which i say that's not what's happening that's not what's happening at all everybody believes in facts what we don't believe in is who's telling us the facts we don't believe you it's not the facts that are lying to us it's you it's you you're the liar no you you facts facts are excellent i haven't met a fact i didn't like in fact i've never even had a fight with a fact no fact has ever tried to blind me no fact has ever insulted me in fact i have a good relationship with facts when i know what they are what i don't have a good relationship with big old liars who are telling me that they know the facts and i don't i got a got a big old problem with them and um i saw two on the same theme jim cramer you know investment guru jim cramer he tweeted why can't we accept uh the most fed chiefs have not faced a heinous war against a democracy interesting way to put it a heinous war against a democracy and a large country that doesn't believe in the science really do we have a country that doesn't believe in the science is is that the problem do you wake up ever and say you know i don't believe in science nope so i sent a clear a correction on his tweet i i retweeted it with a correction i said the the public doesn't believe scientists for good reasons but we still believe science is our best system for figuring out the truth so let me be clear science we all like am i right we all like science as the best system to get as close as you can to the truth over time every one of us 100 we don't necessarily like the scientists how about the facts is there anybody here who hates the facts any fact haters here or or disbelievers do you believe facts don't exist no no but i bet there are people who think that they're liars do liars exist yes they do yes they do so let's get it straight we love we love facts we love science we don't trust scientists and we don't trust people who tell us we got our facts wrong even if we did i'm just saying that we don't trust them you know maybe you shouldn't trust yourself because i'm pretty sure you get the facts wrong sometimes i'm pretty sure you've seen me get facts wrong fairly frequently am i right i mean i do this in front of people every day i mean i'm doing this in front of witnesses so you know i'm trying to get it right you know it's like i'm i'm immersed in trying to get the the story right but you've seen me get basic facts wrong a bunch of times right if you've been watching for a while because and i get called out in the comments all the time you've seen it on twitter people will call me out on a fax i'll talk about one in a moment so i don't know we like facts we don't like liars all right um have you noticed that everything is broken i i feel like i woke up in a third world country i'm going to give you the smallest example just for my life if i could just be you know self-indulgent for a moment but i keep hearing stories from other people that they can't get the most basic damn things done that seemed to work fine just a while ago and part of it is because there aren't enough employees some of it is shortages of goods some of it is incompetent some of it is red tape but some of it is complexity too and some combination of all those things so there are all these weird forces that have sort of you know come together but here was a little experience i had all right so yeah so uh was it yesterday uh i was trying to get some um healthcare for somebody in my circle not me so there's a minor injury everything's fine don't worry about the injury all right so the injury is not the story minor injury doesn't matter the details and i i was trying to figure out should i go to my kaiser permanente northern california minor care so that's one thing they have urgent care that's a different thing to have or emergency care all of them are in different towns so it's not like you could go to one place and then they tell you which one they're different towns so you'd have to drive pretty far and find out you went to the wrong one now here's the thing so i so i try to find out like there should be a website where i can quickly see if you have this kind of problem go here i couldn't find it but of course it's also when you don't have all of your senses about you because you're working fast you know you're trying to get something done quickly for somebody who needs it right away and so you're driving and you're like you're googling on your phone and trying to read their website to figure out where to go is it minor urgent or emergency and call the hospital somebody says do you know how much that doesn't work so yes i tried calling and i said that and when you call the health care they start asking you questions all right what's up what's your number of your card your membership number phone numbers and stuff and so as soon as they they they answered and started asking questions i said let me shortcut this i only need to know where to go here's here's the situation tell me which facility to go to that's all i need what do you think happened do you think that the employee said oh okay hearing what your problem is here's the address you want to go to nope couldn't do that do you know why because i didn't have the health care number for the person so couldn't tell me which facility to go to because one requires an appointment and one doesn't and so can't make an appointment without a membership number and couldn't even tell me where to go to like work it out in person i had to tell them where the facility was that was closest to me because they couldn't figure it out because the first thing they told me was the wrong city and i said i kind of vaguely remember that the city right next to me has one of these oh let me check that oh well you're right they do have one right next to you this isn't an emergency in an emergency i the customer had to figure out based on my vast metal medical experience what does minor care urgent care or emergency room mean and which is the right one what requires what waiting time and and let me tell you that if you've got you know a minor injury that you're not a medical expert you think well it looks minor to me but what if it only looks minor to me and i go to the wrong place i couldn't get any help i ended up basically guessing and i think by the time we got actual help i think it was eight hours later so this is somebody bleeding and got help eight hours later i pay for that health care now i don't think that things were this bad a year ago or two years ago i feel like everything broke can show me in the in the comments are you having the same experience because that was just one anecdote you know you don't need to care about my little problem but i feel like nothing's working like all the things are too hard all the things yeah i don't know i i don't know if it's a bunch of different reasons or there's like some larger effect going on here but yeah i just woke up in not even the same country anymore i mean the headlines i'm looking at are that my electricity is not is no longer reliable in california and that there's a very high likelihood that i'll have neither water nor electricity sometime this summer think about that i could have no water and no electricity this summer and i don't think anybody's doing anything about it seriously i don't think anybody's doing anything about it that i know of so that's weird let's talk about republicans getting hunted um how many situations have we seen where that's happening so we've seen the russia collusion hoax could have put people in jail actually did because of you know some unrelated reasons but um so that's a democrat hoax that would have put republicans in jail for a hoax january 6th thing now that the fbi has indirectly confirmed it now that's my subjective opinion that in listening to their answer the right way to process it is as a confirmation that they were behind it in a substantial way we don't know how substantial but it's there and that looks like well that's already put people in jail now they're in jail for doing things they shouldn't have done in most cases but it still was it looks like uh the larger context is it's being it's being treated in a hoax way basically because they're treating the small number of bad people as representative of the whole event then there's this border patrol whipping thing and then these border patrol people will probably be punished in some way and and then there's also a story about there's some terrorist group that's attacking the pro-life centers so that's again republicans being haunted now as have been pointed out in the past this went the other way that it was the abortion provider centers that were being targeted but i think that hasn't happened lately so in terms of a a trend it looks like republicans are being hunted i have a fascinating update on gun safety and murder want me to blow your mind all right so uh panda tribune a twitter account you should be following made a claim yesterday that i questioned on twitter and the claim was that from 1993 to 2013 the cdc found that gun murders per capita declined by 40 percent yet gun ownership per capita increased by 56 percent and i said that doesn't sound right so panda tribune provided a long thread with full sources and sure enough pew research i think was the one that during that time gun murders dropped a lot 40 percent but gun ownership zoomed up 56 so would that suggest to you that either guns are unrelated to murder rates or does it suggest to you that owning more guns reduced the number of people getting murdered what would you say the correct answer is you can't tell anything from this that's the correct answer the correct answer is that there was something that had nothing to do with guns there was changing crime of all kinds so i'm pretty sure from 1993 to 2013 that all kinds of crimes violent crimes were all way less and i think there's some argument about what that was i mean freakonomics thought it was something about abortion i don't know if that's checked out or not but there were some number of factors that substantially made everything safer at the same time the number of guns was going up so what could you say about gun ownership either making more or less gun murder based on this data well i would say you can't tell because there's something bigger than gun ownership much bigger that's changing how people are acting and that whatever the guns are doing is being masked by some larger social change so you could not tell you cannot answer this question from this data if i added guns or subtracted guns from this society would there be more or fewer murders there's no this data doesn't tell you anything on that so you can't answer the question do more guns cause more murder even if more guns happened during a time when there was less murder because remember the larger outside thing whatever is making less violent crime in general is overwhelming whatever the guns are doing or not doing so you just can't tell it's hidden uh you can at least say guns aren't a huge factor can you can you it depends how you define huge you could certainly say it's more of a gray area where some people would say it's huge and something wouldn't maybe i think it's a little more of a gray area all right so we don't know what the trend would have been if the larger outside trends had not been what they were but here's another thing did you know that gun deaths correlate with income you probably do that right the higher your income the less likely you're going to get murdered with a gun right and so when i look at the united states having you know sort of extreme extremes of poverty and and rich people so we've got income inequality extremes and then we we blend it all together to see how the united states does compared to other countries but the united states is sort of like two countries you know one one is poor america where things are terrible and one is rich america where things are better and they don't have the same gun violence rates not at all so again there's something much larger than having a gun or not having a gun that's causing people to die or not die also interesting that gun deaths were correlated with more suicides which is largely a white person problem versus murder which is largely in a per capita basis is more of a black person problem um but then i always think it's weird to lump together how many of you have the same feeling i think this is common that when we statistically lump together suicide and murder that's just an apple and an orange isn't it because because here's the here's the problem philosophically if you get murdered you got something you didn't want if you commit suicide successfully you got something you want and we add together the thing you want now i get it i'm not i'm not promoting any suicide so see a professional if you have those thoughts trying to be responsible here but it is nonetheless by definition something you want versus something you don't want now maybe you shouldn't want it that's a good conversation to have maybe you could be talked out of it maybe it's never a good idea until you've you know seen your every health professional you could possibly consult but the fact is if we just lump them together we're just blinding ourselves to whatever the hell is going on we're just we're using data to shield ourselves from knowledge if you add those two things together so we should forever separate them and we should probably separate rich and poor because suppose we find out that it's terrible for poor people to own guns but it's actually a pretty good idea for rich people to own guns what if we find out that's true what if the data says that well then we have something to work with you could say if you're in a poor zip code maybe you know maybe you don't get a gun but if you do well or maybe it's by income maybe it's literally by income if you're above a certain income you could have a gun now that would be the least constitutional thing anybody could ever do but the data would lead you there but however the democrats could not be led there by the data because they can't say rich people can have guns and poor people can't but the data might say so do you think i'd be wrong do you think if you studied rich people gun ownership versus poor people gun ownership do you think that they would look similar i don't think so i don't think so so if you're following the data just make gun ownership based on on your income again it's the most unconstitutional idea so you know you can't really do that but you know the data takes you in strange places so there's new hunter biden audio where he's bragging to somebody that he can get his dad to agree to anything as long as it's sort of compatible with what joe biden might want to do so it's more about changing his priorities than changing his mind to do something you wouldn't want to do important distinction but i don't know that this is new news is it because joe biden has said publicly a number of times that hunter is the smartest person he knows in person so it does kind of follow that he would listen to his advice so it's sort of a story non-story because it you know does of course suggest that he's selling his influence and everything else but the way he's selling it the way he describes it in the audio does say that he can influence the priority not necessarily something that biden wouldn't want to do but the is of how he spends his time that's pretty frightening but we also kind of knew that didn't we did you not think that hunter could influence his father's priorities i feel like i knew that but hearing it directly is something um so so ela so there's a congressman uh jamal bauman from new york he's a democrat and he tweeted that elon musk is a supporter of white supremacy due to his announcement that he last night voted for myra flores now if you know this story it's immediately funny because they're calling elon musk a white supremacist for voting for a mexican-born congressional candidate and uh glenn greenwald you know called him out on that as he should and yeah i've told you that the world is really small like every time every time i'm listening to a story or watching a story it's shocking how often i have some connection to it that i didn't know and so i went to look at the twitter account for for myra flores and um she was she was already following me so i followed her back and congratulated her for her for a good victory and she thanked me so the world is so lit is so tiny you can't you can't appreciate how completely mind-bending it is to read stories and then say oh she follows me on twitter i congratulate her and she actually had the time to thank me it's like it made this whole world just shrink down to you know two people sending a message to each other it's just the damnedest thing all right if i were a republican running and i saw stuff like this like that tweet every everything turning racial here is how i would high ground the hell out of it and destroy whoever came after me with this attack i would say you know i'm running against somebody who has a one variable filter for them everything runs through the the race filter and i too think that the race filter is an important one you don't want to lose sight of that you know it's been a big factor in the united states forever but i would suggest that you want somebody who works for you who can handle more than one filter on the world that's what i'm going to bring i'm not going to lose the filter that race is a big factor and we need to keep an eye on that we need to make things as fair as we can for everybody but if you're voting for somebody who's only filters that yeah you know if if everything looks like a nail to them they're only going to bring you a hammer and i'm going to bring you the whole toolbox so if you want to fix more than one thing i'm your person if you feel there's only one thing that needs to be fixed and a lot of people do to be honest then a a one one hammer candidate might be your candidate but i'm going to offer you more than that for the same price who doesn't like a bargain i'll handle the fairness issue as best i can and as transparently as i can and i'll listen to everybody's complaints and i'll be serious about it but also try to solve all their problems and i won't see everything through the lens of of race because i don't think it's good for you so that's my proposition for the same price because i would get the same salary as a congress person as anybody else for the same price i'll bring you more tools and i'll work on more problems and i won't see it through that one frame and you'll get a complete candidate am i done imagine listening to me you know as a hypothetical candidate just giving you that proposition it would be over it would be over like that's it you wouldn't even need to run campaign ads just explain what your proposition is i'm giving you more tools for the same price why would you take a single-minded approach when you can have more accept more don't settle for less you should have everything you want and a few things you didn't know you wanted that's what i'm going to give you i'm going to try to give you everything you want and a few things you didn't even know you could ask for for the same price why would you vote for the other one you know i feel like running for office is easy and we just have people who are not good at it doing it that's why it looks like it's not easy all right so president biden tweeted this morning i spoke with president zielinski discuss russia's brutal and ongoing war with ukraine i reaffirmed our commitment to stand by ukraine and shared that the united states is providing over 1.2 billion in additional security and humanitarian assistance and i ask you the following question are we going to see that same tweet every two weeks for 20 years it will be a different president but is it just going to be groundhog day over and over uh we gave ukraine another 1.4 billion because it's a brutal war putin sucks you know they need it for all these reasons i don't feel like this could ever end like when is what is ukraine going to like be self-sufficient no time soon now i'm not saying i have a better idea but i think you can see the future here can we we're just going to be bleeding money into ukraine forever again i don't know what the alternative is i don't have a better idea but and the ukraine defense minister says that the new u.s weapons will help them get back crimea so in other words there's no end in sight because as long as our you know military industrial complex wants us to be at permanent war with somebody we will be and i guess this is a pretty profitable war because you got to sell them the new stuff you know the the modern equipment to have a chance so i don't know i'd say follow the money it looks like we're in another permanent war because it's good for the military industrial complex and when ukraine says they're going to get so many great weapons that they might take crimea back which to the rest of us seems like uh oh no don't try to get crimea back let it go because you know it's not it's not my crimea you see it's easy for me to say cry me a river i can't be the first person who thought of that right crimea river okay so let me back up and be less um dismissive of crimea so i have great empathy for the people who live there because they're just being used as a political football i mean it must be just the hell on earth to be in crimea and just be everybody's everybody's you know pull toy so uh so for all empathy to the people of crimea do you really want ukraine to try to take it back is is that good for you is it good for anybody is it good for the crimeans i don't know who knows so anyway looks like that'll be permanent i call it uh the dumbass region not the donbass but the dumbass because i don't think they're ever going to stop fighting there crimea is a beautiful piece of land i'll bet it is it looks like its location is kind of awesome uh somebody says hunter biden's making a profit off the war how many of you think the ukrainian war has something to do with the bidens hiding their crimes is it a coincidence that zelensky got the president of the united states who was at least alleged to be somehow in the blackmail pockets of ukraine and that he's acting exactly like somebody who is who is being blackmailed now i'm not alleging that that's the case because usually these conspiracy theories don't turn out to be true but you could say i think it would be fair to say that the way president biden is biden is acting if you were just looking at all of his list of actions for ukraine he acts as though he is being blackmailed meaning that if he doesn't give zolensky everything zelensky wants zelensky might know too much now it's also possible that joe biden uh is very pro-nato anti-russian and every single thing he's doing is exactly what he would have done under any situation because it's just what he believes and it's compatible with you know everything but those two hypotheses both are supported by observation he looks and acts exactly like somebody who's just a democrat and a president and he looks and acts exactly like somebody who's being blackmailed when we have a strong suspicion that there's a good reason he might be i i mean i don't know how to put the odds on it if i let's let's look at this way if you were to put the odds on it with only what we know which is almost nothing what are the odds that president biden fuels a little blackmail pressure from ukraine what are the odds 25 i don't know there's no way to put a per percentage on that so i think if you're certain one way or the other you're wrong i mean you're you're thinking wrong because certainty is the wrong thing to have in this case but i would give it 25 and so we're involved in a war that could turn into a nuclear war and i as i consider myself a fairly unbiased observer on this question i think i mean i don't know i think i am and i will put it at 25 chance that our president is not even acting in the best interest of the united states that's pretty terrible now remember that the democrats do a lot of projection so that's exactly what they wanted republicans to think about trump that you don't know if he's in russia's pocket but look at all this you know there was that time he said something good about putin and there was that thing with a german bank that might have had something to do with a russian thing but no evidence and there's the allegation and the steel dossier which wasn't real and then it gives you this sense that even though like your logic says you know i don't think there's any trump problem with russia but they can create enough doubt that you can walk around saying but maybe but maybe they did produce a lot of smoke as we know it was hoax based smoke you know now we know that but at the time if you said you know there is a solid 10 to 20 chance that there's something wrong there you wouldn't have been crazy you just probably would have been wrong you just wouldn't have been crazy yeah it's hoaxy smoke um you just did the same thing i think you're right but what did i just do oh i just did the same thing in terms of saying there's a 25 chance that biden blah blah blah yes i was trying to do the same thing so you were you're correct just keep avoiding the huge elephant in the room what's the huge elephant in the room the huge elephant in the room is um and elephants all right uh natural gas shortage in europe this winter yeah so on social media there are all these stories about refineries blowing up mysteriously and there was another recently but i don't see any of that in the real news none of that's real is it do do you think the so the food food processing plants and also you know energy facilities are having some kinds of you know weird number of accidents that don't look like accidents but does that look real i uh there's nobody in any professional news organization who's saying it's real are they i haven't seen it yeah i i think these are just industries that are um prone to excellence aren't they because i feel like all my life i've heard of refinery um accidents so i live fairly near a refinery fairly near meaning short drive so the refineries in the bay area and they have periodic alerts and accidents so they have a sophisticated system for warning the nearby town of any you know leaks or fires or anything and it's been used i think twice maybe twice in my uh in my time here there have been accidents which i think fire was involved at the refinery and we know that those were not any kind of terrorist acts so if i know one refinery that's had more than one accident since i've lived next to it it seems like maybe that's just an industry that has lots of excellence because of the nature of the business and maybe food processing plants have lots of accidents is there any reason they would i don't know and maybe maybe they don't maybe maybe they're just lots of them and if you hear that one has an accident that's what sticks in your mind so i guess i guess i'm a skeptic on the refineries and the food processing plants but i'm definitely interested right like my my interest is peaked but i think we're well short of anything that looks like proof that something's happening all right that is all i have for now and i believe i've delivered one of the best entertainment values of your entire life for the price of basically nothing um well depending on what platform uh you you have been entertained for over an hour i believe what time is it over an hour and i think it's the best thing that's ever happened to you or at least today let's agree on that and we'll be back tomorrow and it will be amazing somebody says this is my closing closing uh uh troll scott's career and credibility has really gone downhill and let's end on that bye for now

good morning everybody

are you ready

for the best show in the history of

human civilization

and possibly one or two alien

civilizations who tried and failed

before we evolved

and who knows how many after that all i

know is this is the highlight of the

entire

i know big bang until now

and if you'd like to take it up another

notch i know i know it seems impossible

but it can be done and we're going to do

it today

and you will start your day

with a success

and that will probably you know snowball

into all kinds of good things happening

to you today and by the way

again i don't think i say this often

enough

i don't know are you working out or

something

because you look sexier than normal

and uh

if you'd like to take that up a notch

too all you need is a cup or a mug or a

glass of tank or shelves to design a

canteen joke or flask a vessel of any

kind

fill it with your favorite liquid

i like coffee

and join me now

for the unparalleled pleasure

it's a dopamine here of the day

it's the thing that makes you tinkle

it's called the simultaneous sip but it

happens now go

those on the locals platform note that i

was just modeling a technique that i've

been describing to them

they learn so much there so much more

than you learn on youtube but yet i love

you all

so in the news uh the world health

organization

who

i just told you

the world health organization

who

i just told you

is says they want to rename a monkey box

why

why would they want to rename monkey box

the first thing we have to acknowledge

and i think you'd all agree

there has never been a better name for a

serious disease than monkey pox

i don't care

who you are

you hear monkey pox and you think

monkey box am i right

but you hear

you're going to get a bad case of kovan

19 that might have come out of some kind

of weapons laboratory

we don't know but we worry that it might

have

now that's scary stuff

although

as bad as saying you have coven 19

sounds

ironically

saying you have long covet

sounds a little bit

self-complementary if you know what i

mean

i don't like to brag but

you got a i got a pretty big case a long

covered

long cubit

my coverage is so long

so

monkey box

um tragically it looks like they're

going to change the name so we won't

have the fun of calling it monkey pox

anymore with all the jokes that you can

make about that and of course the reason

is obvious it's obvious

is racist

now here's a question i ask

provocatively

if you and i heard monkey pox and

thought of monkeys and thought it was

funny and it was a good name

and that's all we thought

because we're good people but if some

other people maybe the people in the

world health organization and a bunch of

people who

uh wrote to ask for this there was some

kind of a

some kind of a sign up where people

signed the letter and said you got to

change that name from monkey box because

it sounded racist to them

to which i say to myself

huh

who is the racist in this story

if i put the variables together

the people who

just think monkeys are cute

uh

or is it the people who made some other

association

with cute little monkeys

to which i say i think we found

we found the racists

or they found us

or something

but uh if you'd like to contribute to

the renaming of monkeybox

i think it's a fertile

fertile grounds for humor

so can somebody uh maybe start a tweet

thread

i should have done it myself

of a

cracker box

on the locals platform

somebody suggested renaming it to

cracker pox

i think we can close the competition i

think cracker pox just won

oh my god

that is funny

you know and it's funny because of the

actual sound of the letters

one of the reasons that monkey is funny

is because of the k sound

right we put a k sound in anything that

just sounds funnier

uh but cracker has that same thing going

for it

cracker pox

and even pox even pox is a funny word a

pox on your house

all right um

does it seem to you

that

uh

that maybe losing is winning these days

or something

there's there's something going on with

the democrats it's almost as if

they're trying to play for

a better draft pick next season

and somebody needs to explain to him it

doesn't work that way

because you know how if a sports team is

looks like they can't make the playoffs

well maybe they don't try so hard after

that point because it would be better to

end the season in a low rank

because then you go to the top of the

heap

for picking the new talent out of the

draft next time so you could actually

leapfrog

you know and turn into a dynasty pretty

quickly if you get the right players

so but it almost feels as if the

democrats are like playing for a draft

pick and somebody needs to tell them

you know

it doesn't really work that way

um

and

listen to what the democrats are up

against in terms of a headwind

for the coming elections

all right rasmussen says

rasmussen poll 89 of voters are at least

somewhat concerned about the economy

89

how does any incumbent

win reelection what 89

are worried about the economy it doesn't

even matter if it's the fault of the

president

because remember the rules are

the president gets credit even if they

didn't do anything

and the credit and the president gets

you know criticized even if there wasn't

anything they could do or even if they

didn't do anything wrong

so

if you've got 89 percent of the voters

at least somewhat concerned about the

economy including 69 percent who are

very concerned that's not looking good

for the incumbent

and then

secondly

crime is the only issue that rivals

economic concerns with voters this is

also from rasmussen

88

are concerned about violent crime

including 64 who are very concerned

now

the economy and crime

what are the

what are the two things that are most

associated with the republicans

that they even democrats would say well

you know we we hate these republicans

but

you know in a quiet moment if nobody is

overhearing me and i'm talking to my

best friend who won't tell anybody i

might admit

that they might do better on economics

and crimes

at least some people would have that

view

so you know it's hard to imagine how

democrats could win and so this predicts

that the only strategy that they could

have they democrats

election strategy would be coming up

with bigger and bigger hoaxes

and unfortunately

that's like real

isn't it

because it doesn't seem that the actual

facts even the facts the cnn is willing

to report because remember even cnn

uh has decided to become more

even-handed

and apparently to their credit and i

will say this publicly because i

criticized them

mercilessly

but to their credit

they had a fairly

prominent prime time

question about biden's competency you

know don lemon grilled him hard on that

and

i think the public would appreciate that

that that was a that was a pretty

meaningful way to approach

an important question so give them

credit for that but how in the world do

the

democrats win unless they come up with

the world's biggest hoax

and i think that the january sixth thing

is is there at least how they're going

to frame things

and i think the idea is that if they can

so this is sort of democrat math but

maybe it's just political math i don't

blame democrats

if you can say that there's one person

in a group of 10

who did something

despicable

you can say that that group is bad

am i right

if one person in a larger group of 10

does something terrible

it's our normal thing to say well that's

a bad group

because at the very least they allowed

somebody in that group who would do that

terrible thing so even if you say well

it was only one person who did the

terrible thing

it's a reasonable argument to say but

you know the other nine maybe you should

have seen that come in or should have

stayed away from them whatever

but now let's say you successfully make

the argument and now you've demonized

the ten

but what if the ten

are a small group

of another larger group

does it work again

and the answer is yes it does once

you've said that the group of 10 are all

bad

by extension

then if they're part of a yet another

larger group you could say well

that larger group is letting these guys

in

so

logically by association at least they

should have policed themselves better

and so i look at the january 6th thing

so the january 6th thing is

a small number of people

probably in the

proud boys and others

probably did some really bad things not

probably there was actual violence and

injury so people did some bad violent

things

but probably not most of them

but you still say but wait okay

if the proud boys had you know this many

people in them who were willing to fight

and cause trouble

that does say something about the larger

group even if the larger group

90 percent of them had nothing to do

with anything illegal

right

so you start with the the small trouble

keep troublemakers and you extend that

to the proud boys

but then you say

the proud boys were

a few hundred

or at least people like them you know if

you include like-minded people

and of a

number of several thousand so now you

can say wait a minute

if there are a few people in the proud

boys who were bad

you know unambiguously bad

now you've demonized the proud boys so

you've got that whole group but now you

say but the proud boys

were a significant chunk

of the entire protest

whatever you want to call significant

kind of subjective

and now you can demonize the entire

protest

so now you've now you've uh you've done

two leaps right

one is the few protesters to the proud

boys and i'll just use the proud boys as

a proxy for the the people who came

there with the worst intentions you know

they they were thinking fighting when

they went there and then you say you

extend that to the people who were

let's just say

enthusiastic trump supporters but they

were nothing like the proud boys

right they didn't

many of them might not even know they

existed

so now you've demonized all the people

at the protest

and then you can extend that now to

trump

because you could say well

you know maybe it's hard to prove in any

legal sense

that trump directly told anybody to do

anything illegal

or even

unwise

but we can certainly show that he didn't

do enough to stop it as soon as he could

so now you've extended

the larger crowd

to trump

and now that you've got it to trump

you can extend it to maga

the ultra magus

so now you've got it all the way to

trump and mega

and then mega of course makes up much of

the republicans and and the right and

conservatives

so now you've you've done

how many leaps was that four

four leaps so you started with a small

group of you know violent people

then that demonized the proud boys and

like-minded people

and then that got all the protesters

no matter what reasons they were there

or no matter what they did or no matter

what their intentions were

and then that got

trump's orbit and then that got all

omega and then that gets all of

republicans and then that's all of

conservatives

right in front of our eyes

you know it's not like it's not like

it's a magic trick

they're doing it right in front of us

and yeah we'll talk about the fbi in a

minute

so

um

now do blm and antifa

same same political math yeah so earlier

when i said

um

when i was saying that it's not just a

democrat math it's political math that

would be a good example so you could do

the same thing with there there were

some number of people who are violent in

the black lives matter protests

they're all democrats blah blah blah so

it scales up the same way but the

january 6th thing that has i think has

more jumps

we're used to two jumps right

but the january 16 is like a four jump

play

all right um speaking of hoaxes

so now the biden administration is going

to look into some kind of administrative

punishment for the

border patrol who allegedly were

whipping

haitians

crossing the border of the

mexican border

and

of course it turns out that

the photographic evidence completely

clears them it was just a misleading

video and they were just using the reins

on their own horse

but instead of just saying well we're

sorry

didn't i i guess we were fooled by those

misleading videos go back to work and

you know with our blessings they're

actually going to pretend like they were

right all along

because demonizing the border patrol is

good for their politics

this is like one of the worst things

i've ever seen

and

at what point do you do you stop

ignoring it

you know as a public

because every time i see a story like

this it makes my blood boil i'm like oh

are they really gonna

punish these guys

the border patrol people

who apparently did nothing

wrong

are they really going to punish them

just for consistency and political gain

and do it right in front of us

right in front of us

is that really happening

and so so here's the thought process i

go through

i think well i've got to do something

about this

but then the very very next story i read

i think well i've got to do something

about that too

there are too many things to do stuff

about

they they've basically overwhelmed me

with outrage

so i have so many outrages i'm like you

know i should like weigh in and

make sure that these border patrol

people because they're they're employees

of the united states right

so in a way public employees are

sort of my responsibility aren't they

you know in an extended way

i pay taxes the taxes go to their you

know they're working for the public i'm

the public i mean i feel like it's a

two-way obligation right they're keeping

us safe

don't i have the same obligation to them

to keep them safe so i read this story

i'm like oh

it's their job to keep me safe they're

not safe themselves

i should run down there and like keep

them safe

it's just

you know a reciprocal instinct kind of

thing

but then who has the time and i think

well

other people got problems too and maybe

i could solve a problem that's closer to

home and

you know you talk yourself out of it

but

and it could be it could be that if you

looked into it you'd find out there's

more to it than you know

and then you spend all your time trying

to

fix this outrage

only to find out that a few of the

border patrol that they're talking about

actually did something wrong

and then you you've wasted all your

outrage on something you just didn't

have the full context to so it's easy to

talk yourself out of work you know

working against any of these outrages

because maybe they're not even true

um

so what is the worst thing about having

a job with coworkers

it's the co-workers it's the meetings

because then there are more co-workers

there at the same time

you know there's the only thing worse

the worst thing at work is interacting

with other people right

all of the unpleasantness at work is

interacting with your boss

or interacting with your co-workers

generally the customers are fine

you know you can usually have a good day

with customers you help them they're

happy about it you know it's all good

but all the all the unpleasant stuff has

to do with meetings and just running

into people

so now we found a way to make meetings

even worse

apparently the hybrid the so-called

hybrid meetings where some people are on

video and some people are in the room

it turns into a whole second class

citizen thing if you're on video

you know and it's it's a terrible look

and you have to look at these little

postage stamp people in the crowd and

but there are a few technologies

apparently that are going to fix that

one of them is you know automatic

camera focusing on whoever's talking

so that whoever's talking could be

bigger on the screen

that would be good that would that

already exists

it's a little expensive um and then

apparently the

meta model where you put on the goggles

and you go talk according to one article

i read who i wish i could remember the

author

um said that

the you know the goggles were annoying

so it's not quite ready for prime time

but that

the sensation of it was being in person

even though it was avatars at a table

the sensation was as personal as being a

person

now i think that's real

i think that meetings among avatars

are going to be important and what's

really interesting is if you're meeting

as an avatar that doesn't look exactly

like you

you get to change how influential you

are

here's something that nobody has i don't

i haven't heard anybody talk about this

let me give you two scenarios in the

real real world

in the real world you go into a meeting

and somebody let's say is applying for a

job

well use that example applying for a job

you walk in how long does it take you to

know

that you're going to hire that person

from the moment you meet them

how long before you know if you're going

to hire them

well i hate to say it's like 10 seconds

it is

because you just look at them

you think that you interview them

but you

don't

that's just an illusion you walk in you

look at them

and you decide if you could hire them

i'm sorry

did you think it was because of all

their qualifications and the things they

said

nope no it's just you looked at him

and now i'm i'm exaggerating a little

bit for hyperbole right

so here's an assumption i'm making that

by the time they got in the room

you've already checked that they met the

basic qualifications am i right

generally they don't even get in the

room

unless you've seen something on paper

that says oh they have at least the

background

so

now

has anybody interviewed enough people or

hired enough people to realize

that we're not good at it

has anybody had that sensation yet

you hired somebody and you thought well

these are this is obviously a good hire

and turned out to be a disaster

and did you learn from experience that

nobody's good at it

nobody's good at it

this this is why the the naval

ravicon theory

is so important

i think he's the first person i heard it

from

that hiring people is not the skill

firing people is the skill

because they all look alike when you

hire them

they all look like well you know i

talked to 10 people and

any one of those 10 might have been the

superstar i don't know can't tell but

you can tell after they start

you can tell if they're killing it after

six months

so if you don't execute you know the the

kill switch

then you don't have the skill to be a

good manager so it's the firing that is

the skill

and

um

all right so everybody's buying that

the firing is skillful

you haven't worked in engineering land

before so what i'm saying is that if you

see somebody looking differently because

the only contact you have with them is

in a virtual world

in which they're an avatar not a person

your decision-making uh system will be

interrupted

and you'll have to use a different one

so

the avatar that you choose to represent

you

will have a gigantic effect

on your success in the real world

you just don't realize it

so if your avatar is a giant let's say

weasel

and you think it just looks cute but

people who see it think weasel or skunk

or something

that is going to affect you your actual

life

will be much affected if you choose to

look like a skunk

because it's cool and it's edgy or you

just like the color colors white and

black whatever

and so here's just putting it all

together you don't realize that people

pretty much make their decisions on

looks

because you're sure that you don't do it

i'm sure that you do

what you do is you make your decision on

looks

and then you talk yourself into it by

saying you know perfect qualifications i

liked how he or she answered that

question and but it's not really that it

just looks

it's basically how much you want to mate

with them

that's pretty much it

all right

and sometimes it works the other way

sometimes there's a jealousy factor

where good-looking people could be

discriminated against i've actually seen

that happen in hiring

because the people who worked there were

not good looking and they didn't want

anybody there who was

that's actually a thing

but the point is in both cases looks are

are the real reason you're doing

something

school choice one big in iowa in the

election so i guess eight out of nine

candidates

who are super pro-choice beat out

their challengers

including incumbents

so we now know that there's an issue a

single issue

which moves the dial

and it's school choice at least at the

state level

so

i feel as if it's time for a

presidential candidate

to make a stand on that

you know they always have opinions on it

but it's never been a central point of

anything

and

somebody could make that work

so watch for uh school choice to be the

big thing

there was a article that says that uh

weed lowers your iq over time

so if you use it every day your iq will

decline by 5.5 points on average from

childhood

do you believe that

if you use weed every day your iq will

decrease

5.5

points

not 5.5 percent

by 5.5 points

so here's why this is a problem for some

people more than others

suppose your iq is 100

supposedly average

society is built for people with roughly

an iq of 100

because if they didn't build it that way

people wouldn't be able to open doors

and

use cars

just operate society they wouldn't be

able to you know buy a bus ticket so you

have to make everything in society work

for people who are around an iq of a

hundred

well what take what happens if you take

5.5 points off of somebody who's just

barely smart enough to operate the

machinery of

of civilization

it's dangerous

i would say if you take somebody who's

marginally smart enough to

navigate life

and you take five points off their iq

you've turned them into

kind of a high functioning

and maybe that's not such a good thing

so

if you have an iq of 100 i do not

recommend

smoking pot every day

i mean i don't disrecommend it i'm not a

doctor

so don't take my advice either way that

would be my my overall advice

but i suppose you had an iq of 145

and you smoked weed and took five five

points off it

you'd still be the smartest person in

the room

would it make any difference

so

let's say the side effect is the same as

five points off your iq no matter who

you are

i'm going to make an argument that for

some people

might not make a difference

you know if they're i suppose if they're

physicists

maybe maybe lay off the weed that would

be a good idea

but

suppose they were just

you know over qualified for their job

well in that case

maybe they got a little little despair

now

here's the first question i asked about

this study

did they study

sativa users or indica

because it's really different

sativa makes you more creative and

smarter

i'm just gonna i'm gonna just assert

that

now that's not based on science

it's based on a lot of experience

for the first 15 minutes that you

experience sativa

you're smarter

i'm not going to tell you which of my

ideas that people like and have spread

around

came up

were concocted in the fifth first 15

minutes after smoking punk

but it's a lot

it's a lot

and

if you were to if you were to smoke uh

sativa you get that effect

more creative and you know you're

actually more energetic for a little

while

but if you smoke indica

and these both have a a dominant hybrid

so they're not pure in either case

usually they're usually not pure so

they're mixes but they're dominant one

way or the other if you do an indica

dominant it just makes you sleepy and

stupid

that's why people do it

to relax and go to sleep

so

do you think that the

do you think that the long-term

iq effect

of taking a drug that makes you sleepy

and stupid

would be the same as the long-term

effect of somebody who took only the

the sativa version

which makes you literally smarter but

for a little while and then you

you know you plunge after that

what if the iq effect is due to a lack

of motivation exactly

because sativa

can make you feel more motivated

you to do things you weren't even

motivated to do before

whereas indica may indicate makes you

less motivated because that's why you

take it to slow yourself down

so here's the first question i'd ask is

if they didn't break that out

i think i i tweeted it so if you want to

see the sources for any of these things

look in my twitter feed for the same day

as i talk about it it's usually there

all right

so i saw a video that apparently has

been out in a while i don't know how

many weeks but it's a video in which ted

cruz

was talking to

the fbi representative

and asked whether the fbi had been

involved in instigating any part of the

january 6

event

and

here's what i found interesting now

somebody said this is a real old video

like from january

did does anybody have a confirmation

when this was because i think some of

you saw it in my twitter feed

but it's not brand new

but it's relevant more now

than when it was new

because now we're in the middle of these

january 6 hearings so we have a lot more

context

so now when you look at it it really

reads different

because we have more context

and here's what happened

so ted cruz in his

prosecutorial

brilliance because he's really good at

this stuff

was grilling the fbi representative

if the fbi he has to he asked the

question in a number of ways

to say yes or no

was the fba involved in any part of

instigating january 6.

and specifically ray epps

and the fbi representative refused to

answer any of the questions

and at one point mentioned

you know sources and methods

as something that they don't want to

give away accidentally so they can't

answer questions because

it's questions about the secret stuff

now i interpret that as a confirmation

that the fbi instigated january 6 or was

involved in some way

that was important

how do you interpret it

because the ways and means uh

explanation isn't real

it isn't real

because it would be very easy to carve

out an answer that didn't give anything

away

and it goes like this

uh mr cruz

uh we don't give away you know all the

details of our undercover work or

operational stuff but i can tell you

with complete certainty

that the fbi did not instigate anything

or talk anybody into anything or try to

get anybody to

break the law

we don't do that and that definitely did

not happen in this case beyond that

i think you'll understand i don't want

to answer any detailed questions because

that would get to sources and methods

but for the benefit of the public let me

just say certainly

the fbi is not out there breaking laws

they did not break any laws or or try to

incentivize anybody to break any laws

for any purpose at all we don't do that

that's not the business we're in

now

did i just give away any sources and

methods

i don't think i did did i

i don't believe there were any sources

and methods that i just gave away

but i told you a very direct answer

didn't i

no

what the thing you're worrying about no

we didn't do that

but beyond that don't ask any detailed

questions because i would be giving away

sources and methods

now here's why i consider this a

confirmation from the fbi that they were

involved

because it's too easy to say you weren't

it's too easy

i just did it

but i'm not like

the spokesperson for the government i

would think that they would be trained

well enough to answer a question like

that

it's not even hard i mean what was the

degree of difficulty

in saying we can't give away secret

stuff but i'll tell you we didn't have

anything to do with

what you're a legend

i mean

if you're not willing to say that

directly

it's because you're confirming it's real

i don't have another way to interpret it

do you

because if your interpretation is that

they genuinely were trying to

protect sources and methods

i just gave you the answer that proves

that wasn't real

it was too easy

so

this is another one of those outrage

things where i have outrage exhaustion

do i go work on this border patrol you

know unfairly accused whipper gate

problem

or do i do something about the fact that

the fbi just

effectively

for all practical purposes confirmed

that they were behind

ins instigating a

series of violent uh actions they're now

being blamed on republicans people went

to jail and the entire politics of the

country will change

probably because of this

and the fbi is clearly hiding something

that they shouldn't be hiding from the

public

now

are you not outraged

because to

me they just admitted one of the biggest

crimes of the century

i mean this is a really big crime

if i'm interpreting it correctly and if

i'm not interpreting it correctly

the fbi could always clarify

and say oh let's follow up with the

clarification

we can't give you sources and method

stuff but we can say for sure

that we were not uh instigators of that

event

too easy it's just too easy

and they can't do that they can't do

that

so

i i'm just

out of our age i just don't have enough

um

the uh individual whose name i can never

uh successfully pronounce

jenk jenk uh iger

is that close

c e n k jenk i think that's jen craig

and

whenever i mispronounce anybody's name i

always like to tell you

like i feel bad about it and i'm not

doing it disrespectfully

i uh

i just sometimes don't know the name

euger

so it's a

chanceuger okay let's go with that

he says

uh what do we do when this is in a tweet

what do we do when 40 of our fellow

americans just don't believe in facts

anymore

what do you think of that what do we do

when 40 of americans just don't believe

in facts anymore to which i say

that's not what's happening

that's not what's happening at all

everybody believes in facts

what we don't believe in

is who's telling us the facts

we don't believe you

it's not the facts that are lying to us

it's you

it's you you're the liar

no you you

facts

facts are excellent

i haven't met a fact i didn't like

in fact i've never even had a fight with

a fact

no fact has ever tried to blind me

no fact has ever insulted me

in fact

i have a good relationship with facts

when i know what they are

what i don't have a good relationship

with

big old liars who are telling me that

they know the facts and i don't

i got a got a big old problem with them

and

um

i saw two on the same theme jim cramer

you know investment guru jim cramer

he tweeted why can't we accept

uh the most fed chiefs have not faced a

heinous war against a democracy

interesting way to put it a heinous war

against a democracy and a large country

that doesn't believe in the science

really

do we have a country that doesn't

believe in the science

is is that the problem

do you wake up ever and say you know

i don't believe in science

nope

so i sent a clear a correction on his

tweet i i retweeted it with a correction

i said

the the public doesn't believe

scientists

for good reasons

but we still believe science is our best

system for figuring out the truth

so let me be clear

science

we all like

am i right

we all like science

as the best system to get as close as

you can to the truth over time

every one of us 100

we don't necessarily like the scientists

how about the facts is there anybody

here who hates the facts

any fact haters here or or disbelievers

do you believe facts don't exist

no no

but i bet there are people who think

that they're liars

do liars exist

yes they do

yes they do

so

let's get it straight

we love we love facts we love science we

don't trust scientists

and we don't trust people who tell us we

got our facts wrong even if we did i'm

just saying that we don't trust them

you know maybe you shouldn't trust

yourself

because

i'm pretty sure you get the facts wrong

sometimes

i'm pretty sure you've seen me get facts

wrong

fairly frequently

am i right

i mean i do this

in front of people every day i mean i'm

doing this in front of witnesses

so you know i'm trying to get it right

you know it's like i'm i'm immersed in

trying to get the the story right but

you've seen me get basic facts wrong

a bunch of times right if you've been

watching for a while

because and i get called out in the

comments all the time you've seen it on

twitter

people will call me out on a fax i'll

talk about one in a moment

so

i don't know we like facts we don't like

liars

all right um have you noticed that

everything is broken

i i feel like i woke up in a third world

country i'm going to give you the

smallest example just for my life if i

could just be

you know self-indulgent for a moment but

i keep hearing stories from other people

that they can't get the most basic damn

things done

that seemed to work fine

just a while ago

and part of it is because there aren't

enough employees

some of it is shortages of goods some of

it is incompetent some of it is red tape

but some of it is complexity too

and some combination of all those things

so there are all these weird forces that

have sort of

you know come together

but here was a little experience i had

all right so yeah so uh was it yesterday

uh i was trying to get some

um

healthcare

for somebody in my circle not me so

there's a minor injury

everything's fine don't worry about the

injury all right so the injury is not

the story minor injury doesn't matter

the details

and

i i was trying to figure out

should i go to my kaiser permanente

northern california

minor care so that's one thing they have

urgent care that's a different thing to

have

or emergency care

all of them are in different towns

so it's not like you could go to one

place and then they tell you which one

they're different towns

so you'd have to drive pretty far

and find out you went to the wrong one

now here's the thing so i so i try to

find out like there should be a website

where i can quickly see

if you have this kind of problem go here

i couldn't find it

but of course it's also

when you don't have all of your senses

about you because you're working fast

you know you're trying to get something

done quickly for somebody who needs it

right away

and so you're driving and you're like

you're googling on your phone and trying

to read their website to figure out

where to go

is it

minor urgent

or

emergency and

call the hospital somebody says

do you know how much that doesn't work

so yes i tried calling

and i said

that and when you call the health care

they start asking you questions all

right what's up what's your number of

your card your membership number

phone numbers and stuff

and so as soon as they they they

answered and started asking questions i

said let me shortcut this i only need to

know where to go

here's here's the situation tell me

which facility to go to that's all i

need

what do you think happened

do you think that the employee said oh

okay hearing what your problem is

here's the address you want to go to

nope couldn't do that

do you know why

because i didn't have the health care

number for the person

so couldn't tell me which facility to go

to

because one requires an appointment and

one doesn't

and so can't make an appointment without

a membership number

and couldn't even tell me where to go to

like work it out in person

i had to tell them

where the facility was that was closest

to me because they couldn't figure it

out

because the first thing they told me was

the wrong city and i said

i kind of vaguely remember that the city

right next to me has one of these oh let

me check that oh well you're right they

do have one right next to you

this isn't an emergency

in an emergency

i the customer had to figure out based

on my vast metal medical experience what

does minor care urgent care or emergency

room

mean and which is the right one what

requires what waiting time

and and let me tell you that

if you've got you know a minor injury

that

you're not a medical expert you think

well it looks minor to me

but what if it only looks minor to me

and i go to the wrong place

i couldn't get any help i ended up

basically guessing and

i think by the time we got actual help

i think it was eight hours later

so this is somebody bleeding

and got help eight hours later

i pay for that health care now i don't

think that things were this bad a year

ago

or two years ago i feel like everything

broke

can show me in the

in the comments

are you having the same experience

because that was just one anecdote you

know you don't need to care about my

little problem

but i feel like nothing's working

like all the things

are too hard all the things

yeah i don't know i i don't know if it's

a bunch of different reasons or there's

like some

larger effect going on here but

yeah i just woke up in not even the same

country anymore

i mean the headlines i'm looking at are

that my electricity is not is no longer

reliable in california

and that there's a very high likelihood

that i'll have neither water nor

electricity sometime this summer

think about that

i could have no water and no electricity

this summer

and i don't think anybody's doing

anything about it

seriously i don't think anybody's doing

anything about it that i know of

so

that's weird

let's talk about

republicans getting hunted

um how many situations have we seen

where that's happening

so we've seen the russia collusion hoax

could have put people in jail actually

did because of you know some unrelated

reasons but

um

so that's a democrat hoax that would

have put

republicans in jail

for a hoax

january 6th thing now that the fbi has

indirectly confirmed it now that's my

subjective opinion

that in listening to their answer

the right way to process it is as a

confirmation that they were behind it in

a substantial way we don't know

how substantial

but it's there

and that looks like well that's already

put people in jail now they're in jail

for doing things they shouldn't have

done in most cases

but it still was it looks like

uh the larger context is

it's being it's being treated in a hoax

way basically because

they're treating the

small number of bad people

as representative of the whole event

then there's this border patrol whipping

thing and then these border patrol

people will probably be punished in some

way

and

and then there's also a story about

there's some

terrorist group that's attacking the

pro-life centers

so that's again republicans being

haunted now as have been pointed out in

the past this went the other way

that it was the abortion provider

centers that were being

targeted but i think that hasn't

happened lately so in terms of a a trend

it looks like

republicans are being hunted

i have a fascinating

update on gun safety and murder

want me to blow your mind all right

so uh panda tribune

a twitter account you should be

following

made a claim yesterday that i questioned

on twitter and the claim was that from

1993 to

2013

the cdc found that gun murders per

capita

declined by 40 percent

yet gun ownership per capita increased

by 56 percent

and i said that doesn't sound right

so

panda tribune

provided a long thread with full sources

and sure enough

pew research i think was the one that

during that time gun murders dropped a

lot 40 percent

but gun ownership zoomed up 56

so would that suggest to you

that either guns are unrelated to murder

rates

or does it suggest to you

that owning more guns reduced the number

of people getting murdered

what would you

say

the correct answer is

you can't tell anything from this

that's the correct answer the correct

answer is that there was something that

had nothing to do with guns

there was changing crime

of all kinds

so i'm pretty sure from 1993 to 2013

that all kinds of crimes

violent crimes were all way less

and i think there's some argument about

what that was i mean freakonomics

thought it was something about abortion

i don't know if that's checked out or

not

but

there were some number of factors

that substantially made everything safer

at the same time the number of guns was

going up so what could you say about gun

ownership

either making more or less gun murder

based on this data

well i would say you can't tell

because there's something bigger than

gun ownership much bigger

that's changing how people are acting

and that whatever the guns are doing is

being masked by some larger social

change

so you could not tell

you cannot answer this question from

this data

if i added guns or subtracted guns from

this society

would there be more or fewer murders

there's no this data doesn't tell you

anything

on that so you can't answer the question

do more guns cause more murder

even if

more guns happened during a time when

there was less murder

because remember the larger outside

thing whatever is making less violent

crime in general is overwhelming

whatever the guns are doing or not doing

so you just can't tell it's hidden

uh you can at least say guns aren't a

huge factor

can you

can you

it depends how you define huge

you could certainly say it's more of a

gray area where some people would say

it's huge and something wouldn't

maybe

i think it's a little more of a gray

area

all right

so we don't know what the trend would

have been if the larger outside trends

had not been what they were

but here's another thing did you know

that gun deaths correlate with

income

you probably do that right

the higher your income the less likely

you're going to get murdered with a gun

right

and so when i look at the united states

having you know sort of extreme

extremes of poverty and

and rich people so we've got income

inequality extremes

and then we we blend it all together to

see how the united states does compared

to other countries

but the united states is sort of like

two countries

you know one one is poor america

where things are terrible and one is

rich america where things are better and

they don't have the same gun violence

rates not at all

so

again there's something much larger than

having a gun or not having a gun that's

causing people to die or not die

also interesting that gun deaths were

correlated with more suicides

which is largely a white person problem

versus murder which is largely in a per

capita basis is more of a black person

problem

um but then i always think it's weird to

lump together how many of you have the

same feeling i think this is common

that when we statistically lump together

suicide and murder

that's just an apple and an orange isn't

it

because because here's the here's the

problem

philosophically

if you get murdered you got something

you didn't want

if you commit suicide successfully you

got something you want

and we add together the thing you want

now i get it i'm not i'm not promoting

any suicide so see a professional if you

have those thoughts

trying to be responsible here but it is

nonetheless by definition

something you want versus something you

don't want

now maybe you shouldn't want it

that's a good conversation to have maybe

you could be talked out of it maybe it's

never a good idea until you've you know

seen your every health professional you

could possibly consult

but the fact is if we just lump them

together we're just blinding ourselves

to whatever the hell is going on

we're just we're using data to shield

ourselves from knowledge

if you add those two things together so

we should forever separate them

and we should probably separate

rich and poor

because

suppose we find out that it's terrible

for poor people to own guns

but it's actually a pretty good idea for

rich people to own guns

what if we find out that's true what if

the data says that

well then we have something to work with

you could say if you're in a poor zip

code maybe

you know maybe you don't get a gun but

if you do well

or maybe it's by income

maybe it's literally by income if you're

above a certain income you could have a

gun now that would be the least

constitutional thing anybody could ever

do

but the data would lead you there

but however the democrats could not be

led there by the data because they can't

say rich people can have guns and poor

people can't

but the data might say so

do you think i'd be wrong

do you think if you studied rich people

gun ownership versus poor people gun

ownership

do you think that they would look

similar i don't think so

i don't think so

so if you're following the data

just make gun ownership based on

on your income

again it's the most unconstitutional

idea

so you know you can't really do that

but you know the data takes you in

strange places

so there's new hunter biden audio where

he's bragging to somebody that he can

get his dad to

agree to anything as long as it's sort

of compatible with what joe biden might

want to do

so it's more about changing his

priorities than changing his mind to do

something you wouldn't want to do

important distinction

but i don't know that this is new news

is it

because

joe biden has said publicly a number of

times that hunter is the smartest person

he knows in person

so it does kind of follow that he would

listen to his advice so it's sort of a

story non-story

because

it you know does of course

suggest that he's selling his influence

and everything else

but the way he's selling it the way he

describes it in the audio

does say that he can influence the

priority

not necessarily

something that biden wouldn't want to do

but the is of how he spends his time

that's pretty frightening

but we also kind of knew that didn't we

did you not think that hunter could

influence his father's priorities

i feel like i knew that

but hearing it directly is something

um

so

so ela so there's a

congressman uh jamal bauman from new

york

he's a democrat and he tweeted that elon

musk is a supporter of white supremacy

due to his announcement that he last

night voted for myra flores

now

[Laughter]

if you know this story it's immediately

funny

because they're calling elon musk a

white supremacist

for voting for a mexican-born

congressional candidate

and uh glenn greenwald you know called

him out on that as he should

and yeah i've told you that the world is

really small

like every time

every time i'm listening to a story or

watching a story it's shocking how often

i have some connection to it

that i didn't know

and so i went to look at

the twitter account for

for myra flores

and um

she was she was already following me

so i followed her back and congratulated

her for her for a good victory and she

thanked me

so

the world is so lit is so tiny

you can't

you can't appreciate how completely

mind-bending it is to read stories and

then say oh she follows me on twitter

i congratulate her and she actually had

the time to thank me

it's like it made this whole world just

shrink down to

you know two people sending a message to

each other it's just the damnedest thing

all right if i were a republican running

and i saw stuff like this like that

tweet every everything turning racial

here is how i would high ground the hell

out of it and destroy whoever came after

me with this attack

i would say

you know i'm running against somebody

who has a one variable filter

for them everything runs through the the

race filter

and i too think that the race filter is

an important one you don't want to lose

sight of that you know it's been a big

factor in the united states forever

but i would suggest that you want

somebody who works for you who can

handle more than one filter on the world

that's what i'm going to bring

i'm not going to lose the filter that

race is a big factor and we need to keep

an eye on that we need to make things as

fair as we can for everybody

but if you're voting for somebody who's

only filters that

yeah you know if if everything looks

like a nail to them they're only going

to bring you a hammer

and i'm going to bring you the whole

toolbox

so if you want to fix more than one

thing

i'm your person

if you feel there's only one thing that

needs to be fixed and a lot of people do

to be honest

then a a one one hammer candidate might

be your candidate

but

i'm going to offer you more than that

for the same price

who doesn't like a bargain

i'll handle the fairness issue as best i

can and as transparently as i can and

i'll listen to everybody's complaints

and i'll be serious about it

but also try to solve all their problems

and i won't see everything through the

lens of of race because i don't think

it's good for you

so that's my proposition

for the same price

because i would get the same salary as a

congress person as anybody else

for the same price i'll bring you more

tools

and i'll work on more problems and i

won't see it through that one frame

and you'll get a complete candidate

am i done

imagine listening to me you know as a

hypothetical candidate just giving you

that proposition

it would be over

it would be over

like that's it you wouldn't even need to

run campaign ads

just explain what your proposition is

i'm giving you more tools for the same

price

why would you take a single-minded

approach when you can have more

accept more

don't settle for less

you should have everything you want and

a few things you didn't know you wanted

that's what i'm going to give you i'm

going to try to give you everything you

want

and a few things you didn't even know

you could ask for

for the same price why would you vote

for the other one

you know i feel like running for office

is easy

and we just have people who are not good

at it doing it that's why it looks like

it's not easy

all right

so president biden tweeted this morning

i spoke with president zielinski

discuss russia's brutal and ongoing war

with ukraine i reaffirmed our commitment

to stand by ukraine and shared that the

united states is providing over 1.2

billion in additional security and

humanitarian assistance and i ask you

the following question

are we going to see that same tweet

every two weeks for 20 years

it will be a different president

but is it just going to be groundhog day

over and over

uh we gave ukraine another 1.4 billion

because it's a brutal war

putin sucks

you know they need it for all these

reasons

i don't feel like this could ever end

like when is what is ukraine going to

like be self-sufficient

no time soon

now i'm not saying i have a better idea

but i think you can see the future here

can we we're just going to be bleeding

money into ukraine forever

again i don't know what the alternative

is i don't have a better idea but

and the ukraine defense minister says

that the new u.s weapons will help them

get back crimea so in other words

there's no end in sight

because as long as our you know military

industrial complex

wants us to be at permanent war with

somebody

we will be

and i guess this is a pretty profitable

war because you got to sell them the new

stuff you know the the modern equipment

to have a chance

so

i don't know i'd say follow the money it

looks like we're in another permanent

war because it's good for the military

industrial

complex and

when ukraine says they're going to get

so many great weapons that they might

take crimea back

which to the rest of us seems like uh oh

no

don't try to get crimea back

let it go because you know it's not it's

not my crimea you see

it's easy for me to say

cry me a river

i can't be the first person who thought

of that

right

crimea river

okay

so let me back up and be less um

dismissive of crimea so i have great

empathy for the people who live there

because they're just being used as a

political football i mean it must be

just the hell on earth

to be in crimea and just be everybody's

everybody's you know pull toy

so

uh so for all empathy to the people of

crimea

do you really want ukraine to try to

take it back

is is that good for you

is it good for anybody is it good for

the crimeans

i don't know

who knows

so

anyway looks like that'll be permanent

i call it uh the dumbass region

not the donbass but the dumbass

because i don't think they're ever going

to stop fighting there

crimea is a beautiful piece of land i'll

bet it is it looks like its location is

kind of awesome

uh somebody says hunter biden's making a

profit off the war

how many of you think the ukrainian war

has something to do with the bidens

hiding their crimes

is it a coincidence

that

zelensky got the president of the united

states who was at least alleged

to be somehow in the blackmail pockets

of ukraine

and that he's acting exactly like

somebody who is

who is being blackmailed

now i'm not alleging that that's the

case because usually these conspiracy

theories don't turn out to be true

but you could say i think it would be

fair to say that the way president biden

is biden is acting if you were just

looking at all of his list of actions

for ukraine

he acts as though

he is being blackmailed

meaning that if he doesn't give zolensky

everything zelensky wants

zelensky might know too much

now it's also possible

that joe biden uh is very pro-nato

anti-russian and every single thing he's

doing is exactly what he would have done

under any situation because it's just

what he believes and it's compatible

with you know everything

but those two hypotheses both are

supported by observation

he looks and acts exactly like somebody

who's just a democrat and a president

and he looks and acts exactly like

somebody who's being blackmailed

when we have a strong suspicion that

there's a good reason he might be

i i mean i don't know how to put the

odds on it if i let's let's look at this

way if you were to put the odds on it

with only what we know which is almost

nothing

what are the odds

that president biden fuels a little

blackmail pressure from ukraine what are

the odds

25

i don't know there's no way to put a per

percentage on that so i think if you're

certain one way or the other you're

wrong

i mean you're you're thinking wrong

because certainty is the wrong thing to

have in this case

but i would give it 25

and

so we're involved in a war that could

turn into a nuclear war

and i as i consider myself a fairly

unbiased observer on this question

i think

i mean i don't know i think i am

and i will put it at 25 chance that our

president is not even acting in the best

interest of the united states

that's pretty terrible

now remember that the democrats do a lot

of projection

so that's exactly what they wanted

republicans to think about trump

that you don't know if he's in russia's

pocket

but look at all this

you know there was that time he said

something good about putin

and there was that thing with a german

bank that might have had something to do

with a russian thing but no evidence and

there's the allegation and the steel

dossier which wasn't real

and then it gives you this

sense

that even though like your logic says

you know i don't think there's any trump

problem with russia

but they can create enough doubt that

you can walk around saying

but maybe

but maybe

they did produce a lot of smoke

as we know it was hoax based smoke

you know now we know that

but at the time

if you said you know

there is a

solid

10 to 20 chance that there's something

wrong there

you wouldn't have been crazy

you just probably would have been wrong

you just wouldn't have been crazy

yeah it's hoaxy smoke

um

you just did the same thing

i think you're right but what did i just

do

oh i just did the same thing in terms of

saying there's a 25 chance that biden

blah blah blah yes i was trying to do

the same thing

so you were you're correct

just keep avoiding the huge elephant in

the room what's the huge elephant in the

room

the huge elephant in the room is

um

and elephants

all right

uh

natural gas shortage in europe this

winter yeah

so on social media there are all these

stories about refineries blowing up

mysteriously and there was another

recently

but i don't see any of that in the real

news

none of that's real

is it

do do you think the so the

food food processing plants

and also

you know energy facilities are having

some kinds of you know weird

number of accidents that don't look like

accidents

but

does that look real

i uh there's nobody in any

professional news organization who's

saying it's real are they

i haven't seen it

yeah

i i think these are just industries that

are um prone to excellence aren't they

because i feel like all my life i've

heard of refinery

um accidents

so i live fairly near a refinery

fairly near meaning short drive

so the refineries in the bay area and

they have

periodic alerts and accidents

so they have a sophisticated system for

warning the nearby town

of any you know leaks or fires or

anything

and it's been used i think twice

maybe twice in my uh

in my time here

there have been accidents which i think

fire was involved

at the refinery

and we know that those were not any kind

of terrorist acts

so if i know one refinery that's had

more than one accident

since i've lived next to it

it seems like maybe that's just an

industry that has lots of excellence

because of the nature of the business

and maybe food processing plants

have lots of accidents

is there any reason they would i don't

know and maybe maybe they don't maybe

maybe they're just lots of them and if

you hear that one has an accident that's

what sticks in your mind

so i guess i guess i'm a skeptic on the

refineries and the food processing

plants

but i'm definitely interested

right like my my interest is peaked

but i think we're well short of anything

that looks like proof that something's

happening

all right that is all i have for now

and i believe i've delivered

one of the best entertainment values of

your entire life

for the price of basically nothing

um well depending on what platform

uh you

you have been entertained for over an

hour i believe

what time is it over an hour

and i think it's the best thing that's

ever happened to you

or at least today

let's agree on that and we'll be back

tomorrow and it will be amazing

somebody says this is my closing closing

uh

uh troll

scott's career and credibility has

really gone downhill

and let's end on that

bye for now