Episode 1824 Scott Adams - Trump Remains The Most Relevant Political Figure, J6 Hearings Backfired

good morning everybody and welcome to the golden age the highlight of civilization it begins here we're going to recognize it here and will it into existence yes are you tired of all the negativity all the fighting on other on other outlets well today it's going to be all unicorns and rainbows and whatever else you like because the golden age is coming and it doesn't come by itself we've gotta pull it a little bit give a little yank that's what's gonna happen today and if you'd like to enjoy the feeling of going to another level of awareness and realizing the golden age all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass of tank your cells to stand a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind boom did it right that time join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine here of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go oh my god oh my god wait wait i don't think i can resist a double sip oh god did i need that well let's talk about paul pelosi's dui you know nancy pelosi's husband got stopped for a dui recently and today we learned that he allegedly and i guess we should highlight allegedly because this does sound a little bit too on the nose i have to admit it doesn't sound true but i'm going to tell you what is allegedly reported that he handed officers his driver's license and an 1199 foundation card which is a group that supports highway patrol and provides scholarships for their children now here's the thing here's the thing if if one of you you know some unfamous less rich person had tried this this approach i would have said ah worth a try worth a try right if it's a normal person i'd say yeah whatever everybody's got an angle yeah it's worth a try but when somebody of nancy pelosi's husband's prominence if this is true it just makes you want to slap him doesn't it now regardless of whether this trick works and i assume it doesn't because he got arrested right so it looks like it doesn't work but if it's true you just want to slap him am i right there's just something about the combination of who it was plus the technique see that that technique should be the thing that's used by people who are not powerful i i guess here's the thing that bothers me people who are not powerful have a set of strategies and then people who are powerful have a different set of strategies and if he had to use a strategy that typically you'd associate with the less powerful people i don't know it just feels feels like you he's taken something away i i don't know what it is about it there's just something about the story that goes now apparently there's some kind of drug that was discovered in him as well who knows who knows what that is maybe we'll find out maybe we won't but remember everything you hear about this situation is a legend a legend he has not been proven guilty in a court of law and that has to mean something in our united states has to mean something all right how would you like to see critical race theory and things related to it destroyed in the classroom well i'm pretty close yeah you don't see it coming yet because there's there's no signs of it yet pretty close it goes like this what would be the opposite of critical race theory because that's kind of missing isn't it have you noticed what's missing if you say hey i don't like this critical race theory the alternative is just to be silent that doesn't feel like enough does it so if you're noticing hey why do we keep you know it feels like we should be fighting against this thing if you're against critical race theory you're fighting against him it feels like you're not winning it's because you don't have any tools you don't have anything to fight with you're basically saying basically somebody's shooting you in the head and you're saying i wish that weren't happening i sure i sure wish you weren't shooting me in the head how often does that work it doesn't you have to have something to fight back with now some people are threatening lawsuits and you know that's that's all good if it works but uh maybe you didn't see this coming but there actually is a solution there is a solution it's strategy the solution to crt which uh conservatives would characterize it now this is of course a right leaving characterization everybody's got a narrative right so it doesn't mean it's true but the way it's the way it's portrayed is that it's a victim mentality if you don't like the victim mentality you better have something better just saying i don't like the victim the victimhood that crt sort of implies that doesn't buy you anything you got to tell you got to tell us what's better what would be better strategy strategy would be better it's a high ground all right victimhood is low ground strategy is the high ground and the strategy is how do you use your victimhood in the best possible way all right now the worst possible way is just complain and say give us stuff because we're victims that's the worst way it might work i'm not saying it doesn't work it works a lot but it's still the worst way the the best way is to have a strategy for success and just make your strategies for success work because if you're succeeding you're basically fixing the current generation and the ones after that as well so how could you possibly fix it well what if what if there were a book that taught you how to succeed no matter how much of a victim you might be wouldn't that be useful and suppose that book had been written for somebody 14 years and up so that they get could get it at about the time that they're developing a little bit of critical thinking if only such a book existed it's called had failed almost everything and still win big and i wrote it in part for exactly this now more specifically i was sort of thinking of my own step kids as i wrote it but it was written for the purpose of battling this exact thing before it had a name you know we always thought about people expressing their victimhood as their primary let's say philosophy or or operating system of life and before i had a any kind of a name there was that book that said how about a strategy instead of a complaint and the problem is that that book sort of exists outside the you know the educational system but as of yesterday i did offer and i think it's been accepted i haven't checked yet for somebody who's a professional who makes curriculums and lesson plans out of books so my book can now be turned into i'm working into it into a lesson plan and i'm not telling you that my book needs to be the one i can think of maybe there might be five to ten books that just jump out as something that even a teenager should be exposed to maybe in summary form perhaps in summary form but definitely the material right should be made available to kids and if you could make homeschoolers learn strategies for success while the rest of the world is learning to just read and write and complain you fixed everything because the market competition will take care of the rest so right now you've got a situation where you've got public schools not doing so great and then you've got homeschoolers that we don't understand if if you're involved in homeschool you probably do understand it but do you understand that people not directly involved in home school don't exactly know what it is because it feels like mom has to stay home and be the teacher and she doesn't know how to do that i mean that's that would be like the you know the sexist way to look at it but but don't you think that home school needs like more of a marketing kick suppose i said to you public school is where you learn to read write and complain and home school is where you learn to read write and strategize or have a strategy for success am i done that's it that's the end of critical race theory you just need to offer an alternative and it hasn't been offered but the alternative exists in the sense that all the pieces are there you just have to package it up and put it in a narrative which i'm doing for you right now all right let me say it again public school is where you you learn to read write and complain about your victimhood about anything you know your gender who knows whatever complain home school is where you learn to read write and have a strategy for life success it's over it's over you you can't that contrast is first of all something that everybody would get right away but not until you can prove it right right now home school is not that home school is not that homeschool is just another place to learn to read and write with less complaining but there's a real big difference between less complaining and an active strategy for success that has been tried and works for countless people all over the place right there's you can't compare those two things so the title of the book is called it had to fail at almost everything and still went big you see the cover of it over my shoulder there it's been out for a number of years and and the reason that it's getting more attention now than it did when it first came out it was very successful when it first came out but it continues to grow in i would say importance because so far nobody has reproduced something that is so directly so directly gives you advice from teenager up on how to organize a life based on just plain obvious statistical truths you know nothing that's nothing that's out there so anyway in the in a few weeks i will probably have a curriculum and class plan i'll make that available to homeschools and i don't think that necessarily my book needs to be the thing that solves everything but it's the narrative if the one thing i can do is consolidate the narrative around home school is reading and writing and strategy you you tell me that you give that choice to a black single parent you say i'll give you a choice you can go read write and complain or you can go read write and have a strategy for success that's so well proven it's almost guaranteed if you don't become an addict right every parent is going to say yes to that if they have the option right now they don't have the option yeah yeah i'll put the math in there don't worry about it you get the point all right um i'm going to tell you over and over again until it becomes true that we're seeing advanced signals of the golden age approaching and they're a little bit invisible until i call them out now one is a little bit more visible so that's what reminded me but i'd like to congratulate jon stewart and all the people who worked on this burn pit packed bill that the major health care legislation for veterans now i don't know the details of the bill but i know that republicans and democrats voted for it so i'm guessing they did something right i still don't understand what took so long i'm a little i'm a little confused maybe it was lack you know maybe it was incorrect information something maybe it was a strategy i don't know i'm a little bit confused about why it did work didn't work and now it works i i missed a little bit in in between but it doesn't matter so here's the thing i'd like to call out can we can we the the audience that's watching this mostly um you know mostly right-leaning people i suspect can you give jon stewart and uh a completely butt-free you know bots congratulations and thank you can you do that can we without any reservations just say that was good yeah right and that's what the golden age looks like now how many of these examples are there how many examples are there some some people say no really so here's what i think i think the democrat the democrats or the republicans who voted for the bill must have been satisfied that it was clean enough right i believe that your information about it being a dirty bill with pork in it turned out to be not as true as you think i i think maybe that wasn't quite accurate information i think that there was some stuff that wasn't maybe on point but still good for veterans and health care i feel like that's what was happening something like that but that's speculation the fact is it doesn't matter it doesn't matter if both the democrats and republicans voted for it that's good enough for me for now have i read it would it make a difference if i read it would it make a difference no keep in mind the scott doesn't do read or do research you're correct you know one of the things that i try to do for you is to take your point of view in some situations and this is one of them in other words as a consumer of the news i'm i'm also criticizing the news sources because i haven't seen the news source that told me what's happening have you have you seen a right-leaning or left-leaning news source that accurately told you what was in the bill i haven't even seen one try i i've read all the headlines every day left and right i i make sure i look left and right i'm i've not seen anybody even say what was in the bill so you know i feel like that's the most important thing to call out is that we're not told what's in the bill and i believe there should be a law that says you should have uh those bills labeled so the public can understand them but anyway i'm going to congratulate jon stewart because i think he was on the side of good and he got what he wanted and the veterans got what they wanted and maybe it's the golden age maybe it is well uh so yesterday i think it was i asked this provocative question what is wrong with stephen king how is it that he can write all these best-selling books and yet when he tweets he looks like a now it could be the problems on my end i can't rule that out so one of the possibilities is it's just me but i know a lot of you see it too and if you have the same cognitive dissonance or confirmation bias i do well maybe you see it the same way but to me it looked like there's there was a huge disconnect between the way he tweets and the quality of the commercial products he's creating now i don't have this feeling about everybody who disagrees with me right just taking the prior point if jon stewart disagreed with me on something i don't know if he does but if he just if he did i would say well there's a smart person with a smart background saying things that i disagree with but it's not because he's dumb or drunk or something right like you never say to yourself huh jon stewart must be drunk today at least it always sounds smart even if you disagree with it but stephen king's different he doesn't sound smart when he disagrees with me it sounds like there's something wrong and so i i asked joshua lysek for an opinion and i retweeted his thread in which he goes into some detail and i would recommend it to you on the following basis you could make an entire college class around joshua lysex tweet thread there's so much in there there's so much technique uh put into the thread that you should you should read it for the technique um even well even more than i think the the topic the topic is really interesting but the technique he he puts into it is is uh that's just a lesson and what what you're seeing in particular from joshua i like to call this out whenever i see it is somebody who has intentionally built a talent stack which is a set of talents that work well together so he's a ghost writer for a number of people so the first thing he gets for free is the ghost writes for people who are on opposite sides of things so he actually has the experience of writing arguments that are opposite of each other do you know what that does for your brain good stuff right if all you did is say i'm going to be a ghost writer for people on the political left or the political right you would talk yourself into their point of view by writing it over and over that that's scientifically demonstrated in studies by the way if if somebody is asked to just write down an opinion physically write it that is not their own opinion they can actually talk themselves into the opposite of their opinion just by the process of writing down the other opinion it's a thing now you could argue that like most studies they're not reproducible but i choose to believe that's probably true because it agrees with everything i know about brains but joshua takes business on both sides and so he gets to see both sides of a pretty big topics that's a talent he's also demonstrates probably the best marketing i've ever seen on twitter i've never seen anybody market better on twitter case in point the very thread i'm talking about gets you all hooked on the you know the topic but then he embeds a little advertisement later down in the thread when you can easily accept it because he's created enough value for you that when you get to something that's clearly a little promotional bit you're like ah okay i actually am interested in that because everything else was so good oh good to know that he's got a product too and then of course he's learned persuasion hypnosis i think you can see reciprocity built in that's a persuasion technique so for example he mentioned something good about me in the thread what's that going to do well first of all it's going to make me retweet it if i hadn't already liked the content yeah i was going to retweet it anyway but that would have been a little extra kicker so you can see all the techniques of persuasion in it you can see all the writing technique which is you know just the top level commercial quality you could ever see marketing 100 uh and it's just a strong package so you should read it for that that reason i'll give you uh just a preview he starts with three theories about why stephen king could be tweeting so differently than the quality of work suggests one would be substance abuse that's in the public domain we know that he was a long-term substance abuser stephen king was we know he had a serious accident that presumably caused some head trauma does that make you the same when you're done we don't know but it's certainly an open question and but the more interesting part which he develops is the fiction writers have overactive imaginations and if you write fiction and the in the first chapter i think this is the example that joshua uses if there's a if there's a rifle hanging over the fireplace in the first chapter it's going to be important later on because that's how fiction is written but in the real world you see all of these things that don't mean anything and they never will mean anything they're just coincidences and all the coincidences could be interpreted by a fiction writer who has wired their brain to think everything matters it's just an automatic thing if you're if you're in that mode everything matters every every piece of evidence you know will will will have a role later on in the book and then you look at the real world and you see all this stuff that really doesn't mean anything and suddenly your confirmation bias just kicks in so yeah this means something oh yeah i'm picking up the hints oh a lot of people don't see this but i'm seeing that gun over the fireplace of the first chapter it's an interesting theory and it's based on the fact that whatever you're doing often is however you is the way you wire your brain if you have a brain that's looking at uh is is looking for your victimhood what do you do to your brain hey today i think i'll go out and look for some victimhood of myself and then tomorrow i'm going to go out and look for some victimhood and hey there's some other people talking what's their victimhood you can talk yourself into that being your operating system meaning your your go-to reflexive way of thinking even without trying it's completely accidental so we've got an entire education system that doesn't understand some of the most basic things about how the human mind works and how to program not even the basics i wonder if there are anybody else who doesn't understand the basics of how brains work huh i wonder if i might mention something later on in my presentation foreshadowing foreshadowing well arizona had some uh elections uh with the primaries i guess yesterday blake masters looks like he's the gonna be the candidate on the republican side for senate he is a trump endorsed guy uh the last i checked carrie lake was ahead but it's getting close right isn't isn't the is it pretty close now uh oh the spelling for joshua's last name is l l-i-s-e-c pretty sure if you google that you'll get his twitter account so joshua lysek i hope i'm pronouncing it right he never told me i wasn't so i'll just go with that all right so it does look like trump is still the king maker um am i correctly reading the the news from last night uh am i correctly reading that trump endorsed candidates had a good day are we all agreeing with that or is that something that the right the left is not agreeing with yet i think i think that looks to be the narrative that everybody's sort of settling on right now that's interesting isn't it this uh disgraced politician trump he's uh somehow the most the most important character um and yet and yet uh he's been out of office and should be disgraced by now shouldn't he i hear people saying kerry lake won but le i checked the fox page just before i got on and it looked like it was narrowing so i don't know um so let's talk about the january 6 hearings backfiring i tweeted this and i'm going to give you a lesson on how to make a viral tweet so i'm going to talk about my tweet and then i'm going to tell you that as i created it i said oh here's a viral tweet let me let me check on it let me let me check to see if it actually went viral um i'll bet it did are you checking out so you're checking on it yourself all right let's see how many this is only about there a little bit and it's already got over 300 retweets generally 300 retweets this quickly would suggest is heading to over a thousand which would be viral in in my world a thousand retweets would be i would consider that a viral tweet uh viral you know not within the world so much as within maybe my universe all right um here's first of all we'll talk about the content of the tweet but then secondly i'll talk about what made it viral okay so here's five things no democrat wanted yet the january six hearings delivered so it's what they didn't want but they got number one it kept trump the most relevant figure in politics is that what they wanted don't feed the energy monster if there's one thing one thing you have to get right here let me give you a visual for this imagine there's a there's a monster from space that's behind it it's behind a cage and there's a big sign on it that says energy monster and then below that it says do not feed energy to the energy monster it's the only thing you can't do no matter why you do don't give it energy and so they gave it energy how'd that work out exactly the way you'd imagine it worked out exactly the way you think it would he became the most important person in politics when he should have been heading in the other direction if they had completely shut him out and ignored the entire january sixth thing completely he might have been less important but instead they made us think this is number two in my tweet number two made us think about election rigging until it seemed true if there's one thing i can teach you about persuasion it's this don't think about an elephant stop it no stop thinking about the elephant because there's no elephants there's no elephants no there's no elephants stop it stop thinking about elephants the most basic mistake in persuasion is to tell you to stop thinking about something because it's making you think about it right that's what they did they made you think about election uh election rigging until more people were convinced it was true they actually talked people into trump's point of view by just talking about election ringing over and over and over again even saying it wasn't true didn't help basic rule of persuasion number three by showing people who looked like republicans being hunted and jailed and demonized for things that other republicans we now know republicans generally believed as did the people were protesting that they were trying to save the republic and so the january 6 hearings made the people who believed they were trying to save the republic looked like they were being rounded up and jailed they made all republicans feel hunted possibly possibly the biggest mistake in politics of all time you know history might record this as just the biggest gaff you i don't know if you could ever top this one but uh fourth because nothing is really coming of it and it looks like congress looks more useless than usual how would you like to be in charge of congress and the thing that's getting the most attention for congress is the thing that is the least useful the hearings it's the least useful thing they could be doing and also getting the most attention now lately some of the other bills have gotten attention that's much better for them all right number five they debunked their own narrative basically they cleared the way for trump to return to power and i don't know if that could have happened without them in my opinion in my opinion the zeitgeist will soon change on both the left and the right to realizing that the hearings guaranteed trump's return to power because they didn't find anything that would damn him and put him in jail and so it cleared him how many republicans thought to themselves you know i supported trump but once they dig into this they're going to find some bad stuff and i'm going to hold back and then they dug in and they didn't find any bad stuff in fact only the only thing they found is a harvard study that says that the protesters believed they were there to help the to fix a problem not create one they thought they were saving the republic and now that's in evidence this could not have been better for trump every part of this worked for trump every part of it um all right so it's already up to 350 retweets re retweets you know as i'm reading it the retreats are climbing 1300 hearts all right so what made this viral yesterday i was asked on the live stream uh i think yesterday how to write a viral tweet here's how to do it now there's not it's not like there's a formula that if you follow the formula it's always viral but if you don't use these elements you probably couldn't get there and uh the elements are number one is it something everybody's thinking about and already has energy so your viral tweet should start with energy that already exists that's rule number one it's very hard to make something that nobody's thinking about turned viral unless they were all sort of thinking about it but nobody said it yet that's your best situation if everybody's thinking about it and everybody has emotion about it but nobody's really put in words yet that's the perfect situation if everybody's thinking about it but also everybody is already putting in words then you're just one more tweet the same the same thing as everybody else so you need to be you need to stand out so you need to be different that's important but you need to be different in a way that agrees with what people's energy and enthusiasm is already you know prepared for so certainly people are looking at january 6 this is on people's minds so it had a high level of energy so i got that right all right so so number one i i caught the energy and the relevance correctly next i did a list uh lists tend to be a little bit more viral because they're they're really easy to consume people don't like paragraphs and then they can also pick out uh one of the elements and say oh i like that one and i'll use this if you can give people something they can use themselves it becomes a little tool they can use themselves for their own arguments then it's viral because they want to they want to spread their own arguments so here i've given five different i think compelling reasons uh so people could pick any one of the five and say i like that one so i'm going to retweet this next i did not i did not put any curse words in this do you see how often i put curse words in tweets a curse word even a little bit of naughtiness will remove 75 percent of the energy from a tweet about 75 in other words it's really hard to make a viral tweet with a curse word in it unless the public is also so mad that they will tweet a curse word it's very unusual so you have you have to look for like really special cases now it might sound like i'm contradicting myself because i'm teaching you how to be viral and also saying that i often tweet things that are not couldn't be viral right if i put the f word in a tweet it's not going anywhere unless it's a real special case why do i do it why do i put the f word in tweets and when i know it will suppress their their tweet and the reason is because it's how i really feel sometimes i tweet for a fact and sometimes i tweet because that's just what i feel and twitter is also a place you can say how you feel so if i say how i feel i don't necessarily need you to retweet it like that's not the game sometimes i just need to get it off my chest so i'll put enough word there because that's how i feel i'd rather be genuine and you know give up a few retweets in those cases all right what else makes this um um so viral uh it's it's gonna be probably 400 retweets before i'm done talking about it um one is that each of the points is easy you know it's just a simple declarative sentence and that's all basically i took away any reason not to retweet it i gave you lots of reasons to retweet it i connected it to something that's in the headlines and i have a provocative point being provocative is important and it's also useful if it looks like it puts you in danger the best thing you can do to make something viral and i'm not sure i can recommend it i'm telling you what works i'm not recommending it because i would never recommend you get yourself in trouble but if your tweet looks like somebody is going to have a bad day because of it or somebody might get in trouble or somebody's in danger danger really makes things viral and the danger in this case is to me you can feel my danger in this tweet can you not because look look what happened to my career just saying good things about trump and here i'm not even really i mean trump is barely the subject of this because it's really more about january 6 making gigantic persuasion mistakes he just happens to be the topic but every time i associate myself with trump i put myself in danger do you feel that by the way does that you probably feel it for yourself but if you're a public figure and you say anything that's pro-trump even indirectly this is pretty indirect right you feel my danger when when people project danger and it's real you know they have to believe it's real i guess but if it's real that makes you it's a little higher energy situation and energy is what makes you retweet stuff all right um i think you have most of the points and and i think that putting these five things together creates a full narrative which i think makes us strong as well if i had made only one of these five points in a tweet you might have said to yourself oh that's one good point there's one good point i agree with might not retweet it but if i put five points in the same tweet you say to yourself that's a whole narrative that's like a whole zeitgeist explains in five points so that ladies and gentlemen is what makes a tweet viral you're welcome all right how many people do you think believe that the u.s economy is in a recession and what percentage of the country would you think uh thinks we're not in a recession just take a guess you don't have to be a professional pollster just take a guess how many people what percentage how did you do that what how are you all guessing correctly how are you doing this you're not professional pollsters how how how are you doing it yes according to rasmussen 62 percent of likely u.s voters believe the u.s economy is in the recession but 23 percent think it's not and you're guessing 25 that rounds rounds up how did you do that i think rasmussen may be replaced by your tweets because do we need rasmussen to do this anymore you already knew the answer before they even did the poll how how how did you do that oh we know how 25 of the public will get every question wrong now that's not every time you know i i say it as an absolute because it's more provocative that way it's not absolute but the number of times you see it try to unsee it right try to unsee the 25 for the rest of your life sorry i just changed your brain for the rest of your life you will never not be able to see that here's another theme i keep telling you is predictive is it's a sub theme of fall of the money remember follow the money is your best guide to what is true even when it doesn't make sense why it would be it works and the corollary to that is that the insurance industry is the only one who's going to tell you the truth which is weird because there are not many entities that i trust less than insurance companies but there's one thing i do trust they like to make money they do they like to make money and so they are really really serious about getting the risks and data correct and they have something that you don't have their internal data so they can look at their internal data and match it to whatever the cdc or the government is saying and they can say huh something wrong with that cdc data and then they can make a wiser decision because they're going to have two choices you might have only one so if you see the insurance insurance industry start to move in one direction as a whole i wouldn't i wouldn't necessarily listen to one insurance company but if you see the entire industry say uh-huh we're going this way because that's where the risk was sorry i'm sorry popular narrative but we're here to make money we're not here to support the narrative and unfortunately our data is moving the narrative over here sorry about that and we're seeing the beginning of what that might look like i'm going to call on herd mentality for insurance companies herd mentality is very much a thing right so herd mentality very much affects things in my opinion in my opinion insurance companies are as close to immune to that as you could be because if you're the actuarial you need to get it right you need to get it right your money depends on it and i think that you would become very unwoke the moment your bonus directly depends on getting it right now if one insurance company gets it wrong i might say there's somebody who's too woke but if the entire group of them if all of the insurance companies as a group start moving in the same direction i'm going to listen to that because let's follow the money business and the question that they're working on is the excess deaths and uh whether it's you know i suppose one part of the country thinks it's because people are unvaccinated another country another part of the country thinks the excess deaths are being because they're vaccinated i will not get into that debate today i'll just say that the insurance company is going to settle that question for you they have not done that they have not yet done it but i guarantee you the insurance industry is going to settle this question maybe in a year maybe in two years but they will settle this question i'm pretty sure i'm confident they can do that as a whole all right now i'd like to totally screw up a narrative that you've been enjoying for a long time has to do with george soros and i finally figured out a narrative that explains all the observations my problem with the soros criticisms is that it didn't match all the the data that i could see that was you know right available to everybody did not match the narrative and i was looking for some kind of explanation that would make sense for why uh soros is in fact so this is part that i'm i'm now on board with it it is in fact true that soros is giving money to groups that let's say are uh getting your liberal prosecutors in office and creating more crime and all kinds of problems and when soros was asked about that he didn't have a coherent answer and that was my first flag that said wait a minute he doesn't even have a coherent answer because the worst person in the world has a reason am i wrong if you talk to adolf hitler he had a reason he could at least explain it it was a terrible reason but he can explain it soros can't even explain it what does that tell you i'm going to eliminate evil genius from the options that i'm considering i don't think evil genius is what's going on the other explanations of he wants power here's here's my um personal take on that people who are that rich that rich and that old are not looking for power that's a dumb narrative i i would uh i would uh let's say imagine yourself i'll do i'll do this in terms of allowing you to imagine it imagine you have so many billions that you'll never lose them and you can do anything you want money is no longer any object to you you have all the money you want so much money that you're trying to give it away as fast as you can you have only a few years to live few years to live and you know it do you think that george soros with a few years to live is looking for personal power i would call that a really low low likelihood i think what he cares about is the world he leaves to his children i think the most real realistic assumption remember we can't read his mind so everything i say about what he's thinking is speculation just like you right if you think you know what he's thinking or what his motives are that's speculation everything i say is also equal to that so so would you agree with me first of all that anything i say about what his motives might be i can't know i'm speculating so i'm saying that all of our speculation should be treated as equal would you would you give me that would you give me that we can't know what he's thinking so that all of our speculations start out being equally sketchy the only thing i'm going to offer you is that the explanation i'm going to fill out here when i'm done will fill will fit all of the data and that all of the other narratives don't fit the data that's all i'm going to say i'm not saying that's what he's really thinking and this is an important point if i told you i knew what he's thinking that would be crazy and that would be bad form but if i tell you there's one explanation that fits what we observe and all the rest do not i think that that moves the ball so that's what i'm doing here's my uh hypothesis you ready for this the only thing that fits all the data is that whoever it is who makes the the the detailed uh recommendations of where his money goes it's not thesaurus himself soros is not investigating organizations and looking at grants he's just sort of you know blessing him when they happen the only explanation that makes sense is that whoever is doing the grants is getting a kickback from the organizations that are they're funding do you know what do you know why that fits all the data because it would give you a reason why soros is funding so many disreputable groups because what kind of a group could give you a kickback now what i mean by kickback is this if you imagine the soros owns the money but he's he's authorized some group to decide how to distribute it the group that decides how to distribute it could either do it honestly and just get their paycheck or they could look for groups that will give them money back personally like a bribe and they'll say if you give us 10 million dollars of soros's money we'll make sure that an entity that you're involved with will somehow coincidentally get a million dollar contract that they wouldn't have gotten otherwise you see how easy this is if you're the if you're the group in charge of who gets the money you would go for the ones that are the lead the most sketchy the most corrupt you would intentionally seek out the most corrupt people to give the money to not all of it not all of it because you want to cover your tracks by giving money to some groups that are unambiguously good so you'd have you know let's say 30 groups or whatever you know 28 of them are unambiguously good but you find a few sketchy ones that'll give you a million dollars back in ways that can't be traced right would soros himself be aware of that no he would not because he's not on the ball the one thing i can tell you for sure is he's not quite all there yet in the way he used to be i don't know how smart he used to be i imagine he was quite brilliant i think that's what we all understand but he doesn't look at at the moment and to me it looks like anybody could tell him anything and he'd probably believe it because he's that old so if the people giving out the money would say to him hey people are saying that that uh you know we're just creating more crime by getting all these prosecutors their jobs what do you think what do you think those people tell soros i think those people tell soros it isn't so bad or it's temporary or mostly it works but yeah in this one case it didn't don't you think he's getting a completely different story about how bad it is and if he looked at the headlines the headlines on the people he doesn't trust if you're george soros most of the news about you is fake in my opinion in my opinion most of the news about soros is fake so he probably doesn't even look at the news to get any information because it's all fake who is he going to trust well the people he hired the people he hired are gonna say everything's fine don't believe the news you know we're giving it to really good organizations we checked them really carefully we audit them every day don't worry about it we got this under control that's just it's just the fake news it's just fox news it's just rumors on the internet so here is my proposition my explanation which i can't confirm in any way is just an allegation my explanation fits all the data because the part i did not understand is why soros could not explain why he's doing something clearly bad let's say the prosecutors who are letting people out of jail and making crime spike there's no way he's in favor of that no way he's in favor of that he either doesn't understand it doesn't know what's happening somebody's you know gaslighting him locally something like that the if you tell me he's in it for the power you have to explain to me why there are zero uh 90 plus year old billionaires fighting for power while giving away most of their fortune at the same time that's the bill gates problem if you think bill gates is fighting for power while giving away most of his fortune i just don't see it it just doesn't look even logical to me and part of that is because my perspective is as someone who used to have not have money and then was lucky enough to get relatively rich not as rich as those guys you know nowhere near it but but i know what it's like to get rich and i and i know that it doesn't make you it doesn't make you evil you know if you're evil when you started maybe but it does make you want to do things for the rest of the world i actually think that bolsoros and bill gates are completely interested in what's best for the world but also would be good for them wouldn't it but i don't think they're they're in it for the money and i don't think if they're in it for the power i think they're in it for the the credit that you get when you make the world a better place has anybody figured out what i'm in it for what do you think i'm in it for like i spend all this time preparing and doing work in public it costs me a great deal of money what do you think i'm in it for yeah i would love for people to say you didn't you did a good job scott good job you helped the public yeah now somebody's saying is for ego maybe here's how i here's how i internally understand it i believe that once you've taken care of your own needs you naturally take care of your family the people closest once you've taken care of yourself and your family and you still have stuff left over i believe there's an instinct to help the larger group the tribe so what you say is ego i say is instinct and i think that gates and soros are also working on instinct but it looks exactly like ego to you here's why i say that because i've experienced it and if there's anybody here who's experienced getting rich when they didn't start that way ask ask yourself uh did you help other people if he did because of ego or because of instinct it feels like instinct because i could tell you i had a very like profound experience when i had more money than i needed like because it happened kind of instantly it was like winning a lottery because for me it was a very big check from a publisher early in my career where i said this check is so big i might not have to work again if i don't want to and in that moment i lost all of my incentive that i had always had all my life because everything i'd done up to the point was to make myself successful and then i i succeeded and then what the hell do you do what do you do if your life your life mission to become successful what happens if it works if it works suddenly i i had this like transformation my brain just went from oh you took care of yourself and now you can take care of your family easily how about the tribe how about other people so so you can see the arc of my career followed that pattern and i'm way less rich than these those other guys like way less not even close so i i think it's instinct you say it's gratitude i don't think so i think it's instinct so that's my take so i'm gonna so here's the full model and you compare it to yours there's either these people who got super rich and still want power even though they have practically unlimited power for anything they want right bill gates can make pretty much anything happen right does he need more power i don't know i think it's people working on instinct and in the soros case i think he's poorly maybe poorly served by somebody down the line i now let me let me test you let me test you does my assumption and this is just an assumption it's not an allegation just an assumption it was speculation i'll weaken it from assumption assumption is even higher than speculation i'm going to take it all the way down to speculation so all of our speculations are evil because or not evil equal maybe maybe they're evil all of our speculations about what soros is thinking are equal because we can't read his mind only we can only see what he does and i would i would put my uh my fortunes i would bet them on their because there's corruption below him and that explains everything what do you think did i sell it disagree wholeheartedly i see people say i see no way off i saw some people say yes now i would argue that those of you who have been so deeply in the soros is evil camp are unable to hear what i'm saying those of you who didn't really have a strong opinion one way or the other probably heard my explanation and some of them said oh that looks better than the other explanation i think if you can't make the leap on this one you have to check your thinking just step back i'm not even going to say you're wrong because that part we don't know right so hear me carefully i'm not saying you're wrong do you get that do you get really clearly that i'm not saying you're wrong whatever your interpretation is you could be totally right totally right it just doesn't fit the facts as well as mine that's all um all right uh here's uh an interesting thing um you know i told you that uh ai especially with the help of machiavelli's underbelly on twitter i've been testing whether ai can write a dilbert comic strip and so far it's uh it's shockingly close but not there i made the mistake somebody's telling me that i have a strong opinion and that therefore i am biased that is correct that is correct that's why i tell you to check check my work the same as you should check your own but here's what you should look for what what would be the source of my bias if i had had a strong opinion one way or the other before this started then that would be that would be a good speculation but i think you can say that my bias from the start is i just didn't understand would you agree would you agree with my characterization of my own public statements of soros that from the beginning i've said i'm just puzzled i just don't understand if you approach a topic from i'm confused and then you form a point of view it's less likely to be confirmation bias do you get that confirmation bias is when you're just agreeing with what you already said oh all the evidence supports what i already said that's not what i did it was literally yesterday when i realized that corruption could explain all the elements so i didn't have anything like a firm opinion and still don't that's why i'm so so adamant about saying that this is speculation but so is yours we're all on the same level of credibility which is none basically so back to humor so ai did a good job of coming up with things that uh sounded funny and i cleverly but incorrectly suggested that if ai were fed the six dimensions of humor a formula that i came up with years ago for what makes something funny the formula is that if any of two of six dimensions are used in a joke it's it could be funny but not necessarily but it's a minimum requirement the minimum requirement is two of six dimensions if you haven't heard it the six dimensions are is it recognizable you know something that happens in your life is it naughty cute clever bizarre um and there's uh another one i forget but if you use two of the six you get it so i said hey if you were to feed this formula into a.i could then it beat me because i believed it had not been done but it turns out that machiavelli's underbelly had done exactly that and fed my entire explanation of the six dimensions of humor into it it still did not create a joke that i think was great it was missing one thing but this is going to really this is really going to blow your mind down there's only one thing that it couldn't do you knew how to write you knew what a joke was you knew the formula for writing a joke it had the right topic but it didn't quite hit there's one thing i say all the time that it needs to have to write jokes that's missing a b testing do you know how i know if something is funny i'm a b testing it in my own brain because there's still one thing i can do that ai can't do well that's a lie it's one thing that ai hasn't done yet but could really easily do that's the problem the problem is it can't a b test on its own because it doesn't have a sense of humor but a human has a sense of humor this developed in whatever weird way we develop so when i'm going through all the options i'm saying if he says this is a funny if he says this is a bit funny he says this i actually laugh i a b test instantly if it makes me laugh that's the requirement it has to make me laugh the computer doesn't have that it'll put on its best shot it'll try one thing it's best shot and then it's done if i did that i couldn't write humor either if all i did is put put down my my first draft you would never read my comic it doesn't do the second drafts it doesn't edit and it doesn't test it with the audience now here's what's going to put me out of business all you need is a twitter account that the ai has access to that it can tweet and then you say ai write me a joke about um george soros or critical race theory and then the ai gives a first draft here's my first draft and then it tweets it and says what do you think about this and then humans some way instantly because jokes are are easy to read might be three sentences within five minutes the ai has hundreds of responses it only needs ten 10 responses would be perfectly adequate to say if something is funny or not because people are similar enough that if three out of 10 thought it was hilarious that would be a hit right you know you can't get 10 out of 10.

but if you got 3 out of 10 people say that is just really funny you would have a best-selling book number one comic 3 out of 10 is huge for humor so the only thing ai doesn't do to write jokes it could do tomorrow it just had to know what i just told you all it needs to do is add the one thing that i have that it doesn't have and it could do it better than i could do it because if i could test all of my jokes instantly on twitter with other people i wouldn't use my own brain to do it because the limitation of my own brain is that i'm only getting the things i think are funny and cartoonists become a little weird over time we need edgier stuff to laugh because we deal with humor all the time so you just need more and so sometimes there are things i don't think are funny that the audience would and some of the actually some of the most popular dilbert comics of all time i thought were some of my weaker efforts but the public thought it was my best work so i can't tell but hey i could tell ai would know what the best one is because it would have data it tested it so you you add the first draft a b testing second draft a b testing you add that to the humor formula and a i already can do my job did you see the pictures the a.i drew of my comic strip and you noticed that the the heads of the characters were like mishapen how hard would it be to teach the ai hey hey we we see your first draft of these comics but we should remind you that on humans as well as comics the ears on both sides are symmetrical the eyes are symmetrical so you want symmetry the let whatever's on the left should look like the right believe it or not ai doesn't seem to know that yet in the context of creating you know dilbert comics but how hard would it be for ai to learn that the ear on the left needs to look like the ear on the right or it's not right pretty easy pretty easy all right that should scare you you know a lot of us thought that art would be last the art would be the last thing that the ai could do and for probably 20 years i've been saying you are so wrong art is going to be the first thing art isn't going to be the last thing it's going to be the first thing and the reason that i can say that is because of my talent stack i do creative stuff for a living in a lot of different realms you know visual art and writing etc tweeting speaking so i have the you know the creative experience down but my background is more economics and rational business and you know even engineering type of thinking so i bring sort of an engineering approach into the creative world and what i can see what i can see is my own method i can see my own system i'm not sure other artists see it as clearly if they don't have sort of an engineering mindset going into it and so what i can see is that all art is just a formula art is just a formula and then you add the first draft and the a b testing part of it and you're done i knew that from this from the jump i knew that art would be first and in my opinion the art that the ai is doing right now is better than human art so let me call let me call it and by the way it doesn't matter what you say it matters what artists say this is one of those situations where it takes an artist to tell you when the ai is better and i'm telling you that right now i've seen a lot of ai art in the last month it's better i if you told me what do you want to put on your wall i would put the air on my wall right now it's not even close in my opinion the ai art has already lapped human art and it will never return it's over you know people might buy human art because it came from humans and you know they're always going to see things they like but the ai art is just better it's just better calling it better is silly no it's not no it's not better better in this context means that it lights up the parts of the brain the art is supposed to light up and it does does it more uh thoroughly than other art that that's pretty objective you know i know art is you know it when you see it blah blah but that's just not true it's just not true what's true is good art is done well is very objectively done well and you could find the formula to it you know how many of you know that if you were to do a portrait there's a let's say a design element or several they pretty much have to use if you go outside that you know those design expectations you don't have art so art is always been formula it's just that the artist didn't necessarily know they were following one and you thought it was maybe magic and art because you didn't know the formula either but if you do create art and you have some background and you know rational thinking you can see instantly that it's just craft art is mostly craft plus luck there's some people who make things and it's just magic on the first draft and that's just luck you know if you tried to make artistic things all day long and you had some skill at it you're going to nail it once in a while it's just luck you're not talking about the same art that you're talking about i think i am but i don't know there's a priceless plexiglas box called art well i think that's more about marketing than anything else is luck really genius well let me give you one of the reframes that's in my how to fail book well that's weird uh about luck the old frame is that you can't control luck the reframe the one that i offer is that you can totally control luck you just have to go where luck exists so go where there's more energy more things happening more connections more networking more jobs faster growing industry a growing industry not a shrinking industry you just go where the action is and then you know put yourself into it and you're going to have all kinds of opportunities but if you sit on your couch at home luck isn't going to find you a home so you would say that's not luck no it is luck because you still need the accidental you know opportunity you still need to notice when somebody said something somebody named their couch lucky yeah okay that's one way to play it um jeff says you do realize the engineer artist thing works both ways excellent point the the engineer science thing works both ways too yeah there is a hypothesis that i found stronger than i thought it would be that artists anticipate science and therefore engineering right do you believe that do you believe that art anticipates science i'm going to go further you can't make anything you can't imagine there's your reframe you can't do anything you can't imagine i've often been asked you know uh have i ever been tempted to do this or that illegal thing to which i say well i can't imagine it working out for me so no there's nothing that would cause me to do something where i can't even imagine it could work out at the very least you have to imagine it before it activates you you don't even stand up you don't even get off the couch unless you can imagine that that pays off if you can't even imagine it's good to get off the couch you're not going to do it so your imagination is the only thing that activates you plus um dopamine it's basically imagination plus dopamine plus a functioning body you know health that's it imagination plus preference i guess imagination plus preferences you know personal preferences plus dopamine there you go all right well some of you need to go start your day and that means it must be close to eight o'clock uh my time not your time and may i say that i had the most excellent writing trip i felt i was uh totally totally inspired a apparently my muse did a good job and i'll see you tomorrow and youtube bye for now

good morning everybody

and welcome

to the golden age

the highlight of civilization it begins

here we're going to recognize it here

and

will it into existence

yes are you tired of all the negativity

all the fighting on other

on other outlets well today

it's going to be all unicorns and

rainbows and

whatever else you like

because the golden age is coming

and it doesn't come by itself we've

gotta pull it a little bit give a little

yank that's what's gonna happen today

and if you'd like to

enjoy

the feeling of going to another level of

awareness and realizing the golden age

all you need is a cup or a mug or a

glass of tank your cells to stand a

canteen jug or flask a vessel of any

kind boom did it right that time

join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure the dopamine here of the day

the thing that makes everything better

it's called the simultaneous sip and it

happens now

go

oh my god

oh my god

wait wait

i don't think i can resist a double sip

oh

god did i need that

well

let's talk about paul pelosi's

dui

you know

nancy pelosi's husband got stopped for a

dui recently and today we learned that

he allegedly

and i guess we should highlight

allegedly

because this does sound a little bit

too on the nose

i have to admit it doesn't sound true

but i'm going to tell you what is

allegedly reported

that he handed officers his driver's

license and

an 1199 foundation card

which is a group that supports highway

patrol

and provides scholarships for their

children

now

here's the thing

here's the thing

if if one of you

you know some unfamous

less rich person

had tried this

this approach

i would have said ah worth a try

worth a try right if it's a normal

person i'd say yeah whatever

everybody's got an angle yeah it's worth

a try

but when somebody of

nancy pelosi's husband's prominence

if this is true

it just makes you want to slap him

doesn't it

now regardless of whether this trick

works and i assume it doesn't because he

got arrested right so it looks like it

doesn't work

but

if it's true you just want to slap him

am i right there's just something about

the combination of who it was

plus the technique

see that that technique should be the

thing that's used by people who are not

powerful

i i guess here's the thing that bothers

me

people who are not powerful have a set

of strategies

and then people who are powerful have a

different set of strategies

and if he had to use a strategy that

typically you'd associate with the less

powerful people

i don't know

it just feels feels like you he's taken

something away

i i don't know what it is about it

there's just something about the story

that goes

now apparently there's some kind of drug

that was discovered in him as well who

knows who knows what that is

maybe we'll find out maybe we won't but

remember everything you hear about this

situation is a legend

a legend he has not been proven guilty

in a court of law

and

that has to mean something in our united

states

has to mean something

all right

how would you like to see critical race

theory

and things related to it destroyed

in the classroom

well i'm pretty close

yeah you don't see it coming yet

because there's there's no signs of it

yet

pretty close

it goes like this

what would be the opposite of critical

race theory because that's kind of

missing isn't it

have you noticed what's missing

if you say hey i don't like this

critical race theory

the alternative is just to be silent

that doesn't feel like enough does it

so if you're noticing hey why do we keep

you know it feels like we should be

fighting against this thing if you're

against critical race theory

you're fighting against him it feels

like

you're not winning

it's because you don't have any tools

you don't have anything to fight with

you're basically saying

basically somebody's shooting you in the

head and you're saying i wish that

weren't happening i sure i sure wish you

weren't shooting me in the head

how often does that work

it doesn't you have to have something to

fight back with now some people are

threatening lawsuits and you know that's

that's all good if it works

but

uh maybe you didn't see this coming

but there actually is a

solution there is a solution

it's strategy

the solution to crt

which

uh conservatives would

characterize it now this is of course a

right leaving characterization

everybody's got a narrative right so it

doesn't mean it's true

but the way it's the way it's portrayed

is that it's a victim mentality

if you don't like the victim mentality

you better have something better

just saying i don't like the victim the

victimhood that crt sort of implies

that doesn't buy you anything

you got to tell you got to tell us

what's better

what would be better

strategy

strategy would be better it's a high

ground

all right victimhood is low ground

strategy is the high ground and the

strategy is how do you use your

victimhood in the best possible way

all right now the worst possible way is

just complain and say give us stuff

because we're victims that's the worst

way it might work i'm not saying it

doesn't work it works a lot but it's

still the worst way

the the best way is to have a strategy

for success and just make your

strategies for success work

because if you're succeeding

you're basically fixing the current

generation and the ones after that as

well

so how could you possibly fix it well

what if what if there were a book

that taught you how to succeed

no matter how much of a victim you might

be

wouldn't that be useful

and suppose that book had been written

for somebody 14 years and up

so that they get could get it at about

the time that they're developing a

little bit of critical thinking

if only such a book existed

it's called had failed almost everything

and still win big and i wrote it

in part for exactly this

now more specifically i was sort of

thinking of my own

step kids as i wrote it

but it was written for the purpose

of battling this exact thing before it

had a name you know we always thought

about people

expressing their victimhood as their

primary

let's say philosophy or or operating

system of life

and

before i had a any kind of a name there

was that book

that said

how about a strategy instead of a

complaint

and the problem is that that book sort

of exists outside the

you know the educational system

but as of yesterday i did

offer

and i think it's been accepted i haven't

checked yet

for somebody who's a professional who

makes curriculums and lesson plans out

of books

so my book can now be turned into i'm

working into it into a lesson plan

and i'm not telling you that my book

needs to be the one

i can think of maybe

there might be five to ten books that

just jump out as something that

even a teenager should be exposed to

maybe in summary form

perhaps in summary form but definitely

the material right should be made

available to kids

and if you could make homeschoolers

learn strategies for success

while

the rest of the world is learning to

just read and write and complain

you fixed everything

because the market competition will take

care of the rest

so right now you've got a situation

where you've got public schools not

doing so great

and then you've got homeschoolers that

we don't understand

if if you're involved in homeschool you

probably do understand it but do you

understand

that people not directly involved in

home school don't exactly know what it

is

because it feels like mom has to stay

home and be the teacher and she doesn't

know how to do that

i mean that's that would be like the you

know the sexist way to look at it

but

but don't you think that home school

needs like more of a marketing kick

suppose i said to you public school is

where you learn to read write and

complain

and home school is where you learn to

read write and strategize or have a

strategy for success

am i done

that's it

that's the end of critical race theory

you just need to offer an alternative

and it hasn't been offered but the

alternative exists in the sense that all

the pieces are there you just have to

package it up and put it in a narrative

which i'm doing for you right now

all right let me say it again public

school is where you you learn to read

write and complain

about your victimhood about anything

you know your gender who knows whatever

complain

home school is where you learn to read

write and have a strategy for life

success

it's over

it's over

you you can't

that contrast

is first of all something that everybody

would get right away

but not until you can prove it

right right now home school is not that

home school is not that homeschool is

just another place to learn to read and

write with less complaining

but there's a real big difference

between less complaining and an active

strategy for success

that has been tried and works for

countless people all over the place

right there's you can't compare those

two things

so the title of the book is called it

had to fail at almost everything and

still went big you see the cover of it

over my shoulder there it's been out for

a number of years and and the reason

that

it's getting more attention now

than it did when it first came out it

was very successful when it first came

out

but it continues to grow in

i would say importance

because so far nobody has reproduced

something that is so directly

so directly gives you advice from

teenager up on how to organize a life

based on just plain obvious statistical

truths you know nothing that's nothing

that's out there

so anyway in the in a few weeks i will

probably have a curriculum and class

plan i'll make that available to

homeschools and i don't think that

necessarily my book needs to be the

thing that solves everything

but it's the narrative

if the one thing i can do is consolidate

the narrative around home school is

reading and writing

and strategy

you you tell me that you give that

choice to a black single parent

you say i'll give you a choice

you can go read write and complain or

you can go read write and have a

strategy for success that's so well

proven

it's almost guaranteed if you don't

become an addict

right

every parent is going to say yes to that

if they have the option right now they

don't have the option

yeah yeah i'll put the math in there

don't worry about it

you get the point

all right um

i'm going to tell you over and over

again until it becomes true

that we're seeing advanced signals of

the golden age approaching

and they're a little bit invisible

until i call them out

now one is a little bit more visible so

that's what reminded me

but i'd like to congratulate jon stewart

and all the people who worked on this

burn pit

packed bill that the major health care

legislation for

veterans now i don't know the details of

the bill

but i know that republicans and

democrats voted for it so i'm guessing

they did something right i still don't

understand what took so long i'm a

little i'm a little confused maybe it

was lack you know maybe it was incorrect

information

something maybe it was a strategy i

don't know

i'm a little bit confused about why it

did work didn't work and now it works

i i missed a little bit in in between

but it doesn't matter

so here's the thing i'd like to call out

can we

can we

the the audience that's watching this

mostly

um

you know mostly right-leaning people i

suspect

can you give jon stewart and

uh a completely

butt-free you know bots

congratulations and thank you

can you do that

can we without any reservations just say

that was good

yeah right

and that's what the golden age looks

like

now

how many of these examples are there

how many examples are there some some

people say no

really

so here's what i think i think the

democrat the democrats or the

republicans who voted for the bill

must have been satisfied that it was

clean enough

right

i believe that your information about it

being a dirty bill with pork in it

turned out to be not as true as you

think

i i think maybe that wasn't quite

accurate information

i think that there was some stuff that

wasn't maybe on point

but still good for veterans and health

care

i feel like that's what was happening

something like that but that's

speculation

the fact is it doesn't matter

it doesn't matter if both the democrats

and republicans voted for it

that's good enough for me

for now

have i read it would it make a

difference

if i read it would it make a difference

no

keep in mind the scott doesn't do read

or do research you're correct you know

one of the things that i try to do for

you

is to take your point of view

in some situations and this is one of

them

in other words as a consumer of the news

i'm i'm also criticizing the news

sources because i haven't seen the news

source that told me what's happening

have you

have you seen a right-leaning or

left-leaning news source that accurately

told you what was in the bill

i haven't even seen one try

i i've read all the headlines

every day left and right i i make sure i

look left and right

i'm i've not seen anybody even say what

was in the bill

so

you know i feel like that's the most

important thing to call out is that

we're not told what's in the bill and i

believe there should be a law that says

you should have uh those bills labeled

so the public can understand them but

anyway i'm going to congratulate

jon stewart because i think he was on

the side of good and he got what he

wanted and the veterans got what they

wanted and

maybe it's the golden age

maybe it is

well

uh so yesterday i think it was i asked

this provocative question

what is wrong with stephen king

how is it that he can write all these

best-selling books

and yet when he tweets he looks like a

now it could be

the problems on my end

i can't rule that out so one of the

possibilities is it's just me but i know

a lot of you see it too

and

if you have the same cognitive

dissonance or confirmation bias i do

well maybe you see it the same way but

to me it looked like there's there was a

huge disconnect

between the way he tweets

and the quality of the commercial

products he's creating

now i don't have this feeling about

everybody who disagrees with me

right

just taking the prior point if jon

stewart disagreed with me on something i

don't know if he does but if he just if

he did

i would say well there's a smart person

with a smart background

saying things that i disagree with but

it's not because he's dumb or drunk or

something right

like you never say to yourself huh

jon stewart must be drunk today

at least it always sounds smart even if

you disagree with it but stephen king's

different he doesn't sound smart when he

disagrees with me it sounds like there's

something wrong

and so i

i asked

joshua lysek for an opinion and i

retweeted his thread in which he goes

into some detail and i would recommend

it to you

on the following basis

you could make an entire college class

around

joshua lysex tweet thread

there's so much in there

there's so much technique

uh put into the thread

that you should you should read it for

the technique

um even

well even more than i think the the

topic the topic is really interesting

but the technique he

he puts into it is

is uh that's just a lesson

and what what you're seeing in

particular from joshua i like to call

this out whenever i see it is somebody

who has intentionally built a talent

stack

which is a set of talents that work well

together

so he's a

ghost writer for a number of people

so the first thing he gets for free

is the ghost writes for people who are

on opposite sides of things

so he actually has the experience of

writing

arguments that are opposite of each

other do you know what that does for

your brain

good stuff

right if all you did is say i'm going to

be a ghost writer for people on the

political left or the political right

you would talk yourself into their point

of view by writing it over and over that

that's scientifically

demonstrated in studies by the way if if

somebody is asked to just write down an

opinion

physically write it that is not their

own opinion they can actually talk

themselves into the opposite of their

opinion

just by the process of writing down the

other opinion

it's a thing

now you could argue that like most

studies they're not reproducible

but i choose to believe that's probably

true because it agrees with

everything i know about brains

but joshua takes business on both sides

and so he gets to see both sides of

a pretty big topics

that's a talent

he's also demonstrates probably the best

marketing i've ever seen on twitter i've

never seen anybody market better on

twitter

case in point the very thread i'm

talking about

gets you all hooked on the you know the

topic but then he embeds a little

advertisement

later down in the thread

when you can easily accept it

because he's created enough value for

you that when you get to something

that's clearly a little promotional bit

you're like ah okay i actually am

interested in that because everything

else was so good oh good to know that

he's got a product too

and then of course he's learned

persuasion hypnosis i think you can see

reciprocity built in that's a persuasion

technique so for example he mentioned

something good about me

in the thread

what's that going to do

well first of all it's going to make me

retweet it

if i hadn't already liked the content

yeah i was going to retweet it anyway

but that would have been a little extra

kicker so you can see all the techniques

of persuasion in it you can see all the

writing technique which is you know

just the top level commercial quality

you could ever see marketing 100

uh and it's just a strong package so you

should read it for that that reason

i'll give you uh just a preview

he starts with three theories about why

stephen king could be tweeting so

differently than the quality of work

suggests

one would be substance abuse that's in

the public domain we know that he was a

long-term

substance abuser stephen king was we

know he had

a serious accident that presumably

caused some head trauma

does that make you the same when you're

done

we don't know

but it's certainly an open question

and but the more interesting part which

he develops is the fiction writers have

overactive imaginations

and if you write fiction

and the in the first chapter i think

this is the example that joshua uses if

there's a if there's a rifle hanging

over the fireplace in the first chapter

it's going to be important later on

because that's how fiction is written

but in the real world

you see all of these things that don't

mean anything

and they never will mean anything

they're just coincidences and all the

coincidences could be interpreted by a

fiction writer

who has wired their brain to think

everything matters

it's just an automatic thing if you're

if you're in that mode everything

matters every every piece of evidence

you know will will will have a role

later on in the book and then you look

at the real world

and you see all this stuff that really

doesn't mean anything and suddenly your

confirmation bias just kicks in so yeah

this means something oh yeah i'm picking

up the hints oh a lot of people don't

see this but i'm seeing that gun over

the fireplace of the first chapter

it's an interesting theory

and it's based on the fact that whatever

you're doing often is however you is the

way you wire your brain

if you have a brain that's looking at uh

is is looking for your victimhood

what do you do to your brain

hey today i think i'll go out and look

for some victimhood of myself

and then tomorrow i'm going to go out

and look for some victimhood and hey

there's some other people talking what's

their victimhood

you can talk yourself into that being

your operating system

meaning your your go-to reflexive way of

thinking even without trying it's

completely accidental

so we've got an entire education system

that doesn't understand

some of the most

basic things about how the human mind

works and how to program

not even the basics

i wonder if there are anybody else who

doesn't understand the basics of how

brains work

huh

i wonder if i might mention something

later on in my presentation

foreshadowing

foreshadowing

well arizona had some uh elections

uh with the primaries i guess yesterday

blake masters looks like he's the gonna

be the candidate on the republican side

for senate

he is a trump endorsed guy uh the last i

checked carrie lake was ahead but it's

getting close right isn't isn't the

is it pretty close now

uh oh the spelling for joshua's last

name is l l-i-s-e-c

pretty sure if you google that you'll

get his twitter account

so joshua lysek

i hope i'm pronouncing it right he never

told me i wasn't so i'll just go with

that all right so it does look like

trump is still the king maker

um

am i correctly reading the the news from

last night

uh am i correctly reading that trump

endorsed candidates had a good day

are we all agreeing with that

or is that something that the right the

left is not agreeing with yet

i think i think that looks to be the

narrative that everybody's sort of

settling on right

now

that's interesting isn't it

this uh disgraced politician trump

he's uh

somehow the most the most important

character

um and yet and yet

uh he's been out of office and should be

disgraced by now shouldn't he

i hear people saying kerry lake won but

le i checked the fox page just before i

got on

and it looked like it was narrowing

so i don't know

um

so let's talk about the january 6

hearings backfiring i tweeted this and

i'm going to give you a lesson on how to

make a viral tweet

so i'm going to talk about my tweet

and then i'm going to tell you that as i

created it i said oh here's a viral

tweet

let me

let me check on it let me let me check

to see if it actually

went viral

um

i'll bet it did are you checking out

so you're checking on it yourself

all right let's see how many this is

only about there a little bit and it's

already got over 300 retweets generally

300 retweets this quickly would suggest

is heading to over a thousand

which would be viral in in my world a

thousand retweets would be i would

consider that a viral tweet

uh viral you know not within the world

so much as within maybe my universe

all right

um

here's first of all we'll talk about the

content of the tweet but then secondly

i'll talk about what made it viral okay

so here's five things no democrat wanted

yet the january six hearings delivered

so it's what they didn't want but they

got number one it kept trump the most

relevant figure in politics

is that what they wanted

don't feed the energy monster

if there's one thing

one thing you have to get right

here let me give you a visual for this

imagine there's a

there's a monster from space that's

behind it

it's behind a cage

and there's a big sign on it that says

energy monster

and then below that it says do not feed

energy to the energy monster

it's the only thing you can't do

no matter why you do

don't give it energy

and so they gave it energy

how'd that work out

exactly the way you'd imagine

it worked out exactly the way you think

it would he became the most important

person in politics

when he should have been heading in the

other direction

if they had completely shut him out

and ignored the entire january sixth

thing completely

he might have been less important

but instead

they made us think this is number two in

my tweet number two made us think about

election rigging until it seemed true

if there's one thing i can teach you

about persuasion it's this

don't think about an elephant

stop it no stop thinking about the

elephant because there's no elephants

there's no elephants no there's no

elephants stop it stop thinking about

elephants

the most basic mistake in persuasion

is to tell you to stop thinking about

something because it's making you think

about it right

that's what they did

they made you think about election uh

election rigging until more people were

convinced it was true

they actually talked people into trump's

point of view by just talking about

election ringing over and over and over

again even saying it wasn't true

didn't help basic rule of persuasion

number three

by showing people who looked like

republicans being hunted and jailed and

demonized

for things that other republicans we now

know republicans generally believed as

did the people were protesting that they

were trying to save the republic and so

the january 6 hearings made the people

who believed they were trying to save

the republic looked like they were being

rounded up and jailed they made all

republicans feel hunted

possibly

possibly

the biggest mistake in politics of all

time

you know history might record this as

just the biggest gaff

you i don't know if you could ever top

this one

but uh

fourth

because nothing is really coming of it

and

it looks like congress looks more

useless than usual how would you like to

be in charge of congress

and the thing that's getting the most

attention for congress is the thing that

is the least useful

the hearings

it's the least useful thing they could

be doing and also getting the most

attention now lately some of the other

bills have gotten attention that's much

better for them

all right number five

they debunked their own narrative

basically they cleared the way for trump

to return to power and i don't know if

that could have happened without them

in my opinion

in my opinion the zeitgeist will soon

change on both the left and the right to

realizing that the hearings guaranteed

trump's return to power because they

didn't find anything that would damn him

and put him in jail

and so it cleared him

how many republicans thought to

themselves you know

i supported trump but once they dig into

this they're going to find some bad

stuff and i'm going to hold back

and then they dug in

and they didn't find any bad stuff in

fact only the only thing they found

is a harvard study that says that the

protesters believed they were there to

help the to

fix a problem not create one they

thought they were saving the republic

and now that's in evidence

this could not have been better for

trump

every part of this worked for trump

every part of it

um

all right

so it's already up to 350

retweets

re retweets

you know as i'm reading it the retreats

are climbing

1300 hearts all right so what made this

viral yesterday i was asked on the live

stream

uh i think yesterday how to write a

viral tweet

here's how to do it

now there's not it's not like there's a

formula

that if you follow the formula it's

always viral

but if you don't use these elements you

probably couldn't get there

and

uh

the elements

are number one

is it something everybody's thinking

about and already has energy

so your viral tweet should start with

energy that already exists that's rule

number one

it's very hard to make something that

nobody's thinking about

turned viral

unless

they were all sort of thinking about it

but nobody said it yet that's your best

situation

if everybody's thinking about it and

everybody has emotion about it but

nobody's really

put in words yet that's the perfect

situation

if everybody's thinking about it but

also everybody is already putting in

words

then you're just one more tweet the same

the same thing as everybody else so you

need to be you need to stand out so you

need to be different that's important

but you need to be different in a way

that agrees with what people's energy

and enthusiasm is already you know

prepared for

so certainly

people are looking at january 6 this is

on people's minds so it had a high level

of energy so i got that right all right

so so number one i i caught the energy

and the relevance correctly

next i did a list

uh lists tend to be a little bit more

viral

because they're they're really easy to

consume

people don't like paragraphs and then

they can also pick out uh one of the

elements and say oh i like that one

and i'll use this if you can give people

something they can use themselves

it becomes a little tool they can use

themselves for their own arguments then

it's viral because they want to they

want to spread their own arguments so

here i've given five different

i think compelling reasons

uh so people could pick any one of the

five and say i like that one so i'm

going to retweet this

next i did not i did not put any curse

words in this

do you see how often i put curse words

in tweets

a curse word

even a little bit of naughtiness

will remove 75 percent of the energy

from a tweet

about 75

in other words it's really hard to make

a viral tweet with a curse word in it

unless

the public is also so mad

that they will tweet a curse word

it's very unusual so you have you have

to look for like really special cases

now

it might sound like i'm contradicting

myself because i'm teaching you how to

be viral and also saying that i often

tweet things that are not couldn't be

viral

right if i put the f word in a tweet

it's not going anywhere

unless it's a real special case

why do i do it

why do i put the f word in tweets and

when i know it will suppress their their

tweet

and the reason is

because it's how i really feel

sometimes i tweet for a fact

and sometimes i tweet because that's

just what i feel and twitter is also a

place you can say how you feel

so if i say how i feel i don't

necessarily need you to retweet it

like that's not the game

sometimes i just need to get it off my

chest

so i'll put enough word there because

that's how i feel

i'd rather be genuine and you know give

up a few retweets in those cases all

right what else makes this um

um so viral

uh it's it's gonna be probably 400

retweets before i'm done talking about

it

um one is that each of the points is

easy you know it's just a simple

declarative sentence

and that's all basically i took away any

reason not to retweet it i gave you lots

of reasons to retweet it i connected it

to something that's in the headlines and

i have a provocative point

being provocative is important

and it's also useful

if it looks like it puts you in danger

the best thing you can do to make

something viral and i'm not sure i can

recommend it

i'm telling you what works i'm not

recommending it because i would never

recommend you get yourself in trouble

but

if your tweet looks like somebody

is going to have a bad day because of it

or somebody might get in trouble

or somebody's in danger

danger really makes things viral

and the danger in this case is to

me

you can feel my danger in this tweet can

you not

because look look what happened to my

career just saying good things about

trump and here i'm not even really i

mean trump is barely the subject of this

because it's really more about january 6

making gigantic persuasion mistakes

he just happens to be the topic

but every time i associate myself with

trump

i put myself in danger

do you feel that by the way

does that you probably feel it for

yourself but if you're a public figure

and you say anything that's pro-trump

even indirectly this is pretty indirect

right you feel my danger

when when people project danger and it's

real

you know they have to believe it's real

i guess

but if it's real

that makes you

it's a little higher energy situation

and energy is what makes you retweet

stuff

all right um i think you have most of

the

points and and i think that putting

these five things together creates a

full narrative which i think makes us

strong as well if i had made only one of

these five points in a tweet you might

have said to yourself oh that's one good

point

there's one good point i agree with

might not retweet it but if i put five

points

in the same tweet

you say to yourself that's a whole

narrative

that's like a whole zeitgeist explains

in five points so that ladies and

gentlemen is

what makes a tweet viral

you're welcome

all right

how many people do you think

believe that the u.s economy is in a

recession

and what percentage of the country would

you think

uh thinks we're not in a recession just

take a guess

you don't have to be a professional

pollster just take a guess how many

people what percentage

how did you do that

what

how are you all guessing correctly how

are you doing this

you're not professional pollsters

how how

how are you doing it

yes according to rasmussen

62 percent of likely u.s voters believe

the u.s economy is in the recession but

23 percent think it's not

and you're guessing 25 that rounds

rounds up

how did you do that

i think rasmussen may be replaced by

your tweets

because do we need rasmussen to do this

anymore you already knew the answer

before they even did the poll how

how how did you do that

oh we know how

25 of the public will get

every question wrong

[Laughter]

now that's not every time you know i i

say it as an absolute because it's more

provocative that way it's not absolute

but the number of times you see it

try to unsee it

right try to unsee the 25 for the rest

of your life

sorry

i just changed your brain for the rest

of your life

you will never not be able to see that

here's another theme i keep telling you

is predictive

is it's a sub theme of fall of the money

remember follow the money is your best

guide to what is true even when it

doesn't make sense why it would be

it works

and the corollary to that is that the

insurance industry is the only one who's

going to tell you the truth

which is weird because there are not

many entities that i trust less than

insurance companies but there's one

thing i do trust

they like to make money

they do they like to make money and so

they are really really serious about

getting the risks and data correct

and they have something that you don't

have

their internal data

so they can look at their internal data

and match it to whatever the cdc or the

government is saying and they can say

huh

something wrong with that cdc data and

then they can make a wiser decision

because they're going to have two

choices you might have only one

so if you see the insurance

insurance industry

start to move in one direction as a

whole i wouldn't i wouldn't necessarily

listen to one insurance company but if

you see the entire industry say uh-huh

we're going this way because that's

where the risk was sorry i'm sorry

popular narrative but we're here to make

money we're not here to

support the narrative and unfortunately

our data is moving the narrative over

here sorry about that

and we're seeing the beginning of what

that might look like

i'm going to call on herd

mentality for insurance companies

herd mentality is very much a thing

right so herd mentality very much

affects things

in my opinion

in my opinion

insurance companies are as close to

immune to that as you could be

because if you're the actuarial you need

to get it right

you need to get it right your money

depends on it and i think that you would

become very unwoke the moment your bonus

directly depends on getting it right

now if one insurance company gets it

wrong

i might say

there's somebody who's too woke

but if the entire group of them if all

of the insurance companies as a group

start moving in the same direction

i'm going to listen to that

because let's follow the money business

and the question that they're working on

is the excess deaths

and uh whether it's you know i suppose

one part of the country thinks it's

because

people are unvaccinated another country

another part of the country thinks the

excess deaths are being because they're

vaccinated

i will not get into that debate today

i'll just say that the insurance company

is going to settle that question for you

they have not done that

they have not yet done it

but i guarantee you

the insurance industry is going to

settle this question

maybe in a year maybe in two years but

they will settle this question i'm

pretty sure

i'm confident they can do that as a

whole

all right now i'd like to totally screw

up a narrative that you've been enjoying

for a long time

has to do with george soros and i

finally figured out a narrative that

explains all the observations

my problem with the soros

criticisms is that it didn't match

all the the data that i could see that

was you know right available to

everybody did not match the narrative

and i was looking for some kind of

explanation

that would make sense for why uh soros

is in fact so this is part that i'm i'm

now on board with

it it is in fact true

that soros is giving money to groups

that let's say are

uh getting your liberal prosecutors in

office and creating more crime and all

kinds of problems

and when soros was asked about that he

didn't have a coherent answer

and that was my first flag that said

wait a minute

he doesn't even have a coherent answer

because the worst person in the world

has a reason

am i wrong

if you talk to adolf hitler

he had a reason

he could at least explain it it was a

terrible reason

but he can explain it

soros can't even explain it

what does that tell you

i'm going to eliminate evil genius from

the options that i'm considering

i don't think evil genius is what's

going on

the other explanations of he wants power

here's here's my um personal take on

that

people who are that rich

that rich

and that old

are not looking for power

that's a dumb narrative

i i would uh i would uh

let's say

imagine yourself i'll do i'll do this in

terms of allowing you to imagine it

imagine you have so many billions that

you'll never lose them and you can do

anything you want

money is no longer any object to you you

have all the money you want so much

money that you're trying to give it away

as fast as you can

you have only a few years to live

few years to live and you know it

do you think that george soros with a

few years to live is looking for

personal power

i would call that

a really low low likelihood

i think what he cares about is the

world he leaves to his children

i think the most real realistic

assumption remember we can't read his

mind

so everything i say about what he's

thinking is speculation just like you

right if you think you know what he's

thinking or what his motives are that's

speculation

everything i say is also equal to that

so so would you agree with me first of

all that anything i say about what his

motives might be i can't know

i'm speculating so i'm saying that all

of our speculation should be treated as

equal would you would you give me that

would you give me that we can't know

what he's thinking

so that all of our speculations start

out being equally

sketchy

the only thing i'm going to offer you is

that the explanation i'm going to fill

out here when i'm done

will fill will fit all of the data

and that all of the other narratives

don't fit the data that's all i'm going

to say i'm not saying that's what he's

really thinking

and this is an important point if i told

you i knew what he's thinking that would

be crazy and that would be bad

form

but if i tell you there's one

explanation that fits what we observe

and all the rest do not i think that

that moves the ball so that's what i'm

doing

here's my

uh hypothesis you ready for this

the only thing that fits all the data

is that whoever it is who makes the the

the detailed uh recommendations of where

his money goes

it's not thesaurus himself

soros is not investigating organizations

and looking at grants

he's just sort of you know blessing him

when they happen the only explanation

that makes sense

is that whoever is doing the grants is

getting a kickback

from the organizations that are they're

funding

do you know what do you know why that

fits all the data because it would give

you a reason

why soros is funding so many

disreputable groups

because what kind of a group could give

you a kickback

now what i mean by kickback is this if

you imagine the soros owns the money

but he's he's authorized some group to

decide how to distribute it

the group that decides how to distribute

it could either do it honestly and just

get their paycheck

or they could look for groups that will

give them money back personally like a

bribe

and they'll say if you give us 10

million dollars of soros's money

we'll make sure that an entity that

you're involved with

will somehow coincidentally get a

million dollar contract that they

wouldn't have gotten otherwise

you see how easy this is

if you're the if you're the group in

charge of who gets the money

you would go for the ones that are the

lead the most sketchy the most corrupt

you would intentionally seek out the

most corrupt people to give the money to

not all of it

not all of it because you want to cover

your tracks by giving money to some

groups that are unambiguously good

so you'd have you know let's say 30

groups or whatever you know 28 of them

are unambiguously good

but you find a few sketchy ones that'll

give you a million dollars back in ways

that can't be traced

right

would soros himself be aware of that

no he would not because he's not on the

ball

the one thing i can tell you for sure is

he's not quite all there yet in the way

he used to be i don't know how smart he

used to be

i imagine he was quite brilliant i think

that's what we all understand but he

doesn't look at at the moment

and to me it looks like anybody could

tell him anything and he'd probably

believe it

because he's that old

so if the people giving out the money

would say to him hey

people are saying that that uh

you know we're just creating more crime

by getting all these prosecutors

their jobs

what do you think what do you think

those people tell soros

i think those people tell soros it isn't

so bad

or it's temporary or mostly it works but

yeah in this one case it didn't

don't you think he's getting a

completely different story

about how bad it is and if he looked at

the headlines the headlines

on the people he doesn't trust

if you're george soros most of the news

about you is fake

in my opinion

in my opinion most of the news about

soros is fake so he probably doesn't

even look at the news to get any

information because it's all fake

who is he going to trust well the people

he hired

the people he hired are gonna say

everything's fine don't believe the news

you know we're giving it to really good

organizations we checked them really

carefully we audit them every day don't

worry about it we got this under control

that's just it's just the fake news it's

just fox news it's just rumors on the

internet

so

here is my proposition

my explanation which i can't confirm in

any way is just an allegation

my explanation fits all the data

because the part i did not understand is

why soros could not explain why he's

doing something clearly bad let's say

the prosecutors who are letting people

out of jail and making crime spike

there's no way he's in favor of that no

way he's in favor of that

he either doesn't understand it doesn't

know what's happening

somebody's you know gaslighting him

locally something like that

the

if you tell me he's in it for the power

you have to explain to me why there are

zero

uh 90 plus year old billionaires

fighting for power while giving away

most of their fortune at the same time

that's the bill gates problem if you

think bill gates is fighting for power

while giving away most of his fortune

i just don't see it it just doesn't look

even logical to me

and part of that is because my

perspective is as someone who used to

have not have money

and then was lucky enough to get

relatively rich not as rich as those

guys you know nowhere near it but but i

know what it's like to get rich

and i and i know that it doesn't make

you

it doesn't make you evil

you know if you're evil when you started

maybe

but

it does make you want to do things for

the rest of the world

i actually think that bolsoros and bill

gates

are completely interested in what's best

for the world

but also would be good for them wouldn't

it

but i don't think they're they're in it

for the money

and i don't think if they're in it for

the power i think they're in it for the

the credit

that you get when you make the world a

better place

has anybody figured out what i'm in it

for

what do you think i'm in it for

like i spend all this time preparing and

doing work in public it costs me a great

deal of money what do you think i'm in

it for

yeah i would love for people to say you

didn't you did a good job scott

good job you helped the public

yeah

now somebody's saying is for ego

maybe

here's how i here's how i internally

understand it

i believe that once you've taken care of

your own needs

you naturally take care of your family

the people closest

once you've taken care of yourself and

your family

and you still have stuff left over

i believe there's an instinct

to help the larger group the tribe

so what you say is ego i say is instinct

and i think that gates and soros are

also working on instinct

but it looks exactly like ego to you

here's why

i say that

because i've experienced it

and if there's anybody here who's

experienced getting rich when they

didn't start that way

ask

ask yourself

uh did you help other people if he did

because of ego

or because of

instinct it feels like instinct

because i could tell you i had a very

like profound experience when i had more

money than i needed like because it

happened kind of instantly it was like

winning a lottery because for me it was

a very big check from a publisher early

in my career where i said this check is

so big

i might not have to work again if i

don't want to

and in that moment i lost all of my

incentive

that i had always had all my life

because everything i'd done up to the

point was to make myself successful

and then i i succeeded

and then what the hell do you do

what do you do if your life

your life mission to become successful

what happens if it works

if it works suddenly i i had this

like transformation

my brain just went from oh

you took care of yourself and now you

can take care of your family easily

how about the tribe how about other

people so so you can see the arc of my

career followed that pattern and i'm way

less rich than these those other guys

like way less not even close

so i i think it's instinct

you say it's gratitude i don't think so

i think it's instinct

so that's my take so i'm gonna so here's

the full model and you compare it to

yours there's either these people who

got super rich and still want power even

though they have practically unlimited

power for anything they want right bill

gates can make pretty much anything

happen

right does he need more power i don't

know

i think it's people working on instinct

and in the soros case i think he's

poorly

maybe poorly served by somebody

down the line

i

now let me let me test you

let me test you

does my assumption and this is just an

assumption it's not an allegation

just an assumption

it was speculation i'll weaken it from

assumption assumption is even higher

than speculation i'm going to take it

all the way down to speculation

so all of our speculations are evil

because or not evil equal maybe maybe

they're evil all of our speculations

about what soros is thinking are equal

because we can't read his mind

only we can only see what he does

and i would i would put my

uh my fortunes i would bet them on their

because there's corruption below him

and that explains everything

what do you think

did i sell it

disagree wholeheartedly i see people say

i see no way off

i saw some people say yes

now i would argue that those of you who

have been so deeply in the soros is evil

camp are unable to hear what i'm saying

those of you who didn't really have a

strong opinion one way or the other

probably heard my explanation and some

of them said oh that looks better than

the other explanation

i think if you can't make the leap

on this one

you have to

check your thinking

just step back i'm not even going to say

you're wrong because that part we don't

know right

so hear me carefully i'm not saying

you're wrong

do you get that

do you get really clearly that i'm not

saying you're wrong whatever your

interpretation is you could be totally

right totally right

it just doesn't fit the facts as well as

mine that's all

um

all right

uh here's uh an interesting thing um you

know i told you that uh ai especially

with the help of

machiavelli's underbelly

on twitter i've been testing whether ai

can write a dilbert comic strip and so

far it's uh it's shockingly close

but not there i made the mistake

somebody's telling me that i have a

strong opinion and that therefore i am

biased

that is correct that is correct

that's why

i tell you to check check my work the

same as you should check your own

but here's what you should look for

what what would be the source of my bias

if i had had a strong opinion

one way or the other before this started

then that would be

that would be a good speculation

but i think you can say that my bias

from the start is i just didn't

understand

would you agree

would you agree with my characterization

of my own public statements of soros

that from the beginning i've said i'm

just puzzled i just don't understand

if you approach a topic from i'm

confused

and then you form a point of view it's

less likely to be confirmation bias

do you get that

confirmation bias is when you're just

agreeing with what you already said oh

all the evidence supports what i already

said

that's not what i did it was literally

yesterday when i realized that

corruption could explain all the

elements so i didn't have anything like

a firm opinion and still don't that's

why i'm so so adamant about saying that

this is speculation

but so is yours

we're all on the same level of

credibility which is none basically

so back to humor so ai did a good job of

coming up with things that uh sounded

funny and i cleverly but incorrectly

suggested

that if ai were fed the six dimensions

of humor a formula that i came up with

years ago for what makes something funny

the formula is that if any of two of six

dimensions are used in a joke it's it

could be funny but not necessarily but

it's a minimum requirement the minimum

requirement

is two of six dimensions if you haven't

heard it the six dimensions are

is it recognizable you know something

that happens in your life is it naughty

cute clever bizarre

um

and there's uh

another one i forget but if you use two

of the six you get it so i said hey if

you were to feed this formula into a.i

could then it beat me

because i believed it had not been done

but it turns out that

machiavelli's underbelly had done

exactly that and fed my entire

explanation of the six dimensions of

humor into it it still did not create a

joke

that i think was

great it was missing one thing

but this is going to really this is

really going to blow your mind down

there's only one thing that it couldn't

do

you knew how to write

you knew what a joke was

you knew the formula for writing a joke

it had the right topic

but it didn't quite hit

there's one thing i say all the time

that it needs to have to write jokes

that's missing

a b testing

do you know how i know if something is

funny

i'm a b testing it in my own brain

because there's still one thing i can do

that ai can't do

well that's a lie it's one thing that ai

hasn't done yet

but could really easily do

that's the problem

the problem is

it can't a b test on its own

because it doesn't have a sense of humor

but a human has a sense of humor this

developed in whatever weird way we

develop

so when i'm going through all the

options i'm saying if he says this is a

funny if he says this is a bit funny he

says this

i actually laugh

i a b test instantly

if it makes me laugh that's the

requirement it has to make me laugh

the computer doesn't have that it'll put

on its best shot

it'll try one thing it's best shot and

then it's done

if i did that i couldn't write humor

either if all i did is

put put down my my first draft

you would never read my comic

it doesn't do the second drafts

it doesn't edit

and it doesn't test it with the audience

now here's what's going to put me out of

business

all you need is a twitter account that

the ai has access to

that it can tweet

and then you say

ai

write me a joke about um george soros or

critical race theory

and then the ai

gives a first draft

here's my first draft and then

it tweets it and says what do you think

about this

and then humans some way instantly

because jokes are

are easy to read might be three

sentences

within five minutes

the ai has hundreds of responses

it only needs ten 10 responses would be

perfectly adequate to say if something

is funny or not because people are

similar enough

that if three out of 10 thought it was

hilarious that would be a hit

right

you know you can't get 10 out of 10. but

if you got 3 out of 10 people say that

is just really funny you would have a

best-selling book number one comic 3 out

of 10 is huge for humor

so the only thing

ai doesn't do to write jokes

it could do tomorrow

it just had to know what i just told you

all it needs to do is add the one thing

that i have that it doesn't have and it

could do it better than i could do it

because if i could test all of my jokes

instantly

on twitter with other people

i wouldn't use my own brain to do it

because the limitation of my own brain

is that i'm only getting the things i

think are funny

and cartoonists become a little weird

over time

we need edgier stuff to laugh because we

deal with humor all the time so you just

need more

and so sometimes there are things i

don't think are funny that the audience

would

and some of the actually some of the

most popular dilbert comics of all time

i thought were some of my weaker efforts

but the public thought it was my best

work

so i can't tell

but hey i could tell ai would know what

the best one is because it would have

data it tested it

so you you add the first draft

a b testing second draft a b testing you

add that to the humor formula

and a i already can do my job

did you see the pictures the a.i drew of

my comic strip

and you noticed that the the heads of

the characters were like mishapen

how hard would it be to teach the ai hey

hey we we see your first draft of these

comics but we should remind you

that on humans as well as comics

the ears on both sides are symmetrical

the eyes are symmetrical

so you want symmetry the let whatever's

on the left should look like the right

believe it or not ai doesn't seem to

know that yet in the context of creating

you know dilbert comics but how hard

would it be for ai to learn

that the ear on the left needs to look

like the ear on the right or it's not

right

pretty easy

pretty easy

all right

that should scare you

you know a lot of us thought that art

would be last

the art would be the last thing that the

ai could do

and for probably 20 years i've been

saying

you are so wrong

art is going to be the first thing

art isn't going to be the last thing

it's going to be the first thing and the

reason that i can say that

is because of my talent stack

i do creative stuff for a living in a

lot of different realms you know visual

art and writing etc tweeting

speaking

so i have the you know the creative

experience down but my background is

more economics and rational business and

you know even engineering type of

thinking

so i bring sort of an engineering

approach into the creative world and

what i can see

what i can see is my own method

i can see my own system

i'm not sure other artists

see it as clearly if they don't have

sort of an engineering mindset going

into it

and so what i can see is that all art

is just

a formula

art is just a formula

and then you add the first draft and the

a b testing part of it and you're done

i knew that from this from the jump

i knew that art would be first and in my

opinion the art that the ai is doing

right now is better than human art

so let me call let me call it and by the

way

it doesn't matter what you say it

matters what artists say

this is one of those situations where it

takes an artist

to tell you when the ai is better

and i'm telling you that right now

i've seen a lot of ai art in the last

month it's better i if you told me what

do you want to put on your wall

i would put the air on my wall right now

it's not even close

in my opinion the ai art has already

lapped human art and it will never

return

it's over

you know people might buy human art

because it came from humans and you know

they're always going to see things they

like

but the ai art is just better it's just

better

calling it better is silly no it's not

no it's not better better in this

context means that it lights up

the parts of the brain the art is

supposed to light up

and it does does it more uh thoroughly

than other art that that's pretty

objective you know i know art is you

know it when you see it blah blah but

that's just not true

it's just not true

what's true is good

art is done well

is very objectively

done well and you could find the formula

to it you know how many of you know that

if you were to do a portrait

there's a let's say

a design element or several they pretty

much have to use if you go outside that

you know those design expectations

you don't have art

so art is always been formula it's just

that the artist didn't necessarily know

they were following one

and you thought it was maybe magic and

art because you didn't know the formula

either

but if you do create art

and you have some background and you

know rational thinking

you can see instantly that it's just

craft art is mostly craft plus luck

there's some people who make things and

it's just magic on the first draft

and that's just luck

you know if you tried to make artistic

things all day long and you had some

skill at it you're going to nail it once

in a while

it's just luck

you're not talking about the same art

that you're talking about

i think i am but i don't know

there's a priceless plexiglas box called

art well i think that's more about

marketing

than anything else

is luck really genius

well let me give you one of the reframes

that's in my

how to fail book

well that's weird

uh

about luck

the old frame is that you can't control

luck

the reframe the one that i offer is that

you can totally control luck

you just have to go where luck exists

so go where there's more energy more

things happening more connections more

networking more jobs faster growing

industry a growing industry not a

shrinking industry you just go where the

action is and then you know put yourself

into it and you're going to have all

kinds of opportunities but if you sit on

your couch at home

luck isn't going to find you a home

so

you would say that's not luck no it is

luck because you still need the

accidental

you know opportunity you still need to

notice when somebody said something

somebody named their couch lucky yeah

okay that's one way to play it

um jeff says you do realize the engineer

artist thing works both ways excellent

point

the the engineer science thing works

both ways too

yeah there is a hypothesis that i found

stronger than i thought it would be

that artists anticipate science and

therefore engineering

right

do you believe that do you believe that

art

anticipates

science

i'm going to go further

you can't make anything you can't

imagine

there's your reframe

you can't do anything you can't imagine

i've often been asked

you know uh have i ever been tempted to

do this or that illegal thing

to which i say well i can't imagine it

working out for me

so no

there's nothing that would cause me to

do something where i can't even imagine

it could work out

at the very least you have to imagine it

before it activates you you don't even

stand up

you don't even get off the couch

unless you can imagine that that

pays off if you can't even imagine it's

good to get off the couch you're not

going to do it

so your imagination is the only thing

that activates you plus um

dopamine

it's basically imagination

plus dopamine

plus a functioning body you know health

that's it

imagination plus preference i guess

imagination plus preferences you know

personal preferences

plus dopamine there you go

all right well some of you need to go

start your day

and that means it must be close to eight

o'clock

uh my time not your time and

may i say

that i had the most

excellent writing trip

i felt i was uh

totally totally

inspired

a apparently my muse did a good job

and

i'll see you tomorrow and youtube

bye for now