Episode 1908 Scott Adams - Politics Reaches Peak Absurdity Just In Time For The Midterms. Buckle Up

probably the best thing that's ever happened to anybody ever anywhere and if you'd like to take it up a notch yeah hard to believe but it's possible all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea's Diner canteen drug or flaska vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamines of the day that makes everything better it's cold the simultaneous sympathy happens now go this is the highlight of civilization yeah civilization turns out the bar wasn't that high that was the surprising part well I'd like to start out with the uh most interesting story I just saw before I came on here at the University of Maryland they've developed a sweatshirt that acts as an invisibility cloak against AI so if you're worried that the AI will recognize you facial recognition they've developed a sweatshirt that it looks like the technique has but like crowd faces in it or something but whatever it does it confuses the AI and they they showed a live demonstration of the AI just became invisible or the person became invisible so they literally literally have developed a cloak of invisibility for AI it's an actual thing and it works that's why I say it's about time it's about time get that AI cloak some of you may have watched my live stream yesterday afternoon a special live stream in which I demonstrated how a senior citizen me gets a health care appointment through their health care provider Kaiser Permanente North if you think I ever got to talk to a doctor or got a doctor appointment you'd be wrong because I I demonstrated how difficult it would be just to work through the system of just getting an appointment and it wasn't until this morning I realized that the problem is that the entire system is designed to prevent you from getting a doctor appointment literally literally not a joke because that's the only way they can handle it economically they need to take all the people who were marginal doctor requests and really should have been handled in some other way and they they shunt them off so it's all about preventing you from getting to a doctor and the trouble is they got a little too good at it I actually can't figure out how to get to a doctor right now it's not that I don't know the method is that the method breaks for different reasons because of the complexity so when you reach a certain level of complexity and then you say okay you've seen your citizen go figure out which of these five apps and uh yeah five apps if you count websites so the three websites two apps a phone system that gets you to a person who gets you to a person who gets you to a person and I actually couldn't solve it and I've tried several times I can't get through the system to get anything done really so it's totally broken and I I don't think it's really necessarily just a problem with the Kaiser system which does seem completely broken at this point but it seems like a problem with complexity I feel like everything just had a creeping complexity until the point where it's just too hard to do anything just like and let me give you another example uh I I now have I think five streaming services because during the pandemic I was like desperate for any kind of entertainment at home so I just signed up for five of them thinking I'll keep the ones I like and so now instead of sitting down and watching a show for entertainment if I've like allocated an hour or something the whole hour is just looking for a show because now that there's so many of them I can't decide that the one I found is as good as the one I haven't found yet so I'm in a continuous state of looking for the good one and at the end of the hour I've watched no TV and it happens every time close to every time 95 of the time very rarely do I actually watch a show very rarely the exceptions are sometimes there'll be a game on and like I'll say oh there's a game and I'll turn it on and then it'll go to commercial and I'll say well that would have worked except that I can't possibly sit here for a whole commercial that's not gonna happen so I turn it off look for something else uh anyway so everything's too complicated though um Twitter let's give you a little Twitter update here are some things that are rumored but I don't know if they're true rumored that the Twitter deal with musk buying it might close on Friday well I don't know if that's true but it looks like it's going to close so that's good I heard a rumor that I do not have confidence and that musk plans to be CEO of Twitter as well did anybody hear that from a credible source anybody yeah I don't I don't I don't think that's going to happen I can imagine it happening temporarily like I can imagine for a month or something but it doesn't really sound like the thing that's going to happen and then I thought to myself if you were going to pick a CEO for Twitter who would you pick about it who would you pick that could actually do it in a way that you would Jack Dorsey somebody says you know you know I think people are going to miss Jack Dorsey yeah not me uh I would not be a good leader you know I am not a good leader I've told you this before does anybody remember why I'm a I would be a terrible manager or CEO and I've been those jobs and I'm not good at it it's be yeah I have too much empathy you you have to be able to abuse your employees more than they want to be abused or you're not a good manager I mean that the tension between what the employees want and what the company wants is what you're managing so you're supposed to manage them to the maximum amount of unhappiness that gets you the maximum amount of productivity and I I can't I can't wrap my head around that I'm glad that people can because it doesn't make the system work I just I just can't bring myself to that space I need a job where everybody wins as much as possible right if you read a joke and you laugh everybody wins um so Twitter put together a number of employees they put together some demands because they're worried about losing their jobs and worried about what Twitter might become under Elon Musk and so they've among other things they've asked in their letter that musk quote not discriminate against workers on the basis of their political beliefs yeah the employees of Twitter are worried that somebody would discriminate against them based on their political beliefs um this leads me into what I'm going to call the theme for the rest of the live stream don't you love it when I have a theme I have a theme today and it was accidental it's an accidental theme because the news just created the theme and here's the theme we've reached Peak absurdity and by we I mean the Democrats Democrats have reached Peak absurdity like it couldn't be any weirder nothing could be funnier or more clownish than the Twitter employees worried that somebody would treat them as political entities instead of just you know citizens of America huh I'd hate to see that happen um so there it is peak absurdity I know I so who would you put who would you put in a CEO let's say you were Elon Musk who would you put in the CEO they'll either make everybody happy or alternately everybody unhappy because you end up in the same place you don't want people to be too happy yay now well that's interesting yay just bought parlor so that's not gonna happen Lex he's busy all right I'm going to throw out a name just just for fun you ready for this Mike cernovich the whole world would explode every employee would quit but he is one of the few people I would trust to be balanced you know I would actually trust sirovich not to um limit people's freedom of speech and that's all you want I mean that's all you want you want somebody that you would trust to not limit somebody's freedom of speech and then you know I'm sure the rest of the people could make the you know make it profitable and all that stuff but you do need somebody you can trust on that one that one freedom of speech thing and I couldn't I couldn't immediately think of somebody else because everybody else is either so uh overtly political and even though cernovich is political he's political in a whatever makes sense way not in a I'm a republican to death way nothing like that Mark Cuban yeah he's busy yeah I don't think Mark Cuban wants to see your job yeah yeah interesting thought experiment um it'll be somebody you've never heard of probably so uh Fox News is uh Geraldo Rivera he has an idea that George Floyd is the uh the person most responsible for the failure of the democratic party not because of what George Floyd did specifically but you know he became the focus of attention and the focus on that heralda wants to call as maybe the you know the the turning point now I don't know that that I wouldn't go so far as to say it was the cause I don't I don't think George Floyd was a cause of things that happened not directly related to George Floyd but on the other hand I do think it marks a the beginning of the top don't you it feels like the the beginning of the absurdity started them where people had the best intentions I think I think actually most people had good intentions one way or the other about George Floyd they wanted the right answer I think I mean I felt like everybody just wanted the right answer in that one and they weren't quite sure what it would be but because I do think it might have been a coincidental marker of the beginning of something that got worse um cat Abu Twitter user uh reports that also about Geraldo noted that Heraldo mentioned that cops are quote besieged and quote under attack because more than 250 cops have been shot this year in the line of duty doesn't that seem like a lot like in my mind if you would ask me and I guess it's a higher number than before but if you ask me in the whole country of you know 350 million whatever we are now how many cops are shot in the line of duty per year what would you have guessed just if you didn't know the number what would you oh you would have guessed a thousand some people say 150 yeah I would have guessed 50 to 100 which is you know outrageous but 250 that does sound like it's funny that we would even have any sense of when it's too high how do I even have any idea what's the right number for that in in a normal world there's but somehow I still have that sense I have this weird sense that it's too high I mean one would be too high but I don't know it's it's weird that I have a sense of what's right without knowing what's standard I'm comparing it to that that just shows the limits of our rational Minds um but as Kat Abu mentioned when Geraldo said 250 cops have been shot in the line after duty this year Kat says what he didn't mention was that 804 people have been shot and killed by police this year as well so um no I didn't realize it was a competition but apparently we're scoring it as a competition and it's cops uh 804 and citizens 250.

so so far the cops are winning um shooting more citizens and the citizens are shooting cops uh now as somebody pointed out probably all 804 of those people were shot by police were criminals some of them might have been a little bit innocent Maybe a few of them were innocent but I'm not sure you could compare the number of police officers enforcing the law killed to the number of people breaking the law killed it feels like that's the wrong comparison have I ever mentioned to you that the difference between people are good at analysis versus bad is if they know what to compare that's the one thing that always divides the good from good comparers to the bad comparers is what did you compare it to you and I wouldn't compare those two numbers uh Michael schellenberger had a provocative tweet that involved a psychologist Sam vacton who studies narcissism and he says that the potential for aggression and victimhood movements is much larger than in the general population so in other words if you're part of a movement that says we are victims stop doing bad things to us you're more likely to turn into a violent movement than somebody who just you know wants different policies I guess now that makes sense doesn't it the the victims are the ones who are going to be the most energetic about changing things and usually you have to get violent to change anything big unfortunately so that kind of makes sense so would you say by this measure that the um the Democrats are more likely to be violent or the Republicans if this hypothesis holds that the the victimhood people are the more dangerous who is more dangerous really now just just check your first answer the The Reflex answer your first your first first answer is the other side right whoever's the other side so your first answer is definitely Democrats it's all the wokeness right the wokeness is basically about victimhood right now tell me what has been the main message of the Republicans lately that all the wokeness is making victims of the Republicans the Republicans have a total victimhood policy as well they don't express it the same way it's a different kind of victimhood but it you know and the and the Republicans are saying uh their biggest issue is stop killing babies stop killing babies right stop uh stop hunting I'm responsible for that being a meme hashtag Hunted yeah the Republicans definitely feel like victims definitely but is one of the more more victim than the other what do you think I know so it probably has to do with how you feel as much as what you say or more I guess so I'm not sure that standard is as useful as it should be because you always think the other side is the one that's complaining and you think your side is making good points but the other side is just being victim of complainers do you do you know what the left says about the right the left says about the right that the right is complaining too much and acting like victims and I I don't know I don't know how to compare so how would you compare those two things I don't know I I have no idea how you compare those and decide who's the bigger victimhood person but I can tell you it's a bad idea to have victim that is your primary brand so much so that I will make the following predictions sort of a generic prediction the someday a republican will run against victimhood but has to be in favor of something so against victimhood as an organizing principle say let's not use victimhood as the basis for all of our uh policies instead let's use uh engineered solutions that can be tested for effectiveness so imagine anybody it doesn't matter it doesn't have to be a republican but imagine anybody saying all right uh here's the deal I'm against victimhood as an organizing principal foreign go ahead and complain because we'd like to hear your complaints so free speech you know squeaky wheel that's all good complain as much as you want but don't use the victimhood as the basis for policy the victim of his for the victims to complain and make sure we know what's happening so we can incorporate it but it's not it shouldn't be the main operating principle the main operating principle should be what works and do you have a way to test it first now how would that person lose an election think about it because you're allowing the victimhood to you know be fully fully expressed you're not saying stop saying that you're just saying don't use that as the basis for decision making your decision making should be based on what works and that should be tested whenever you could test this model it just sounds like one person is a smart operator and the other one's just a Winer so your your comparison again it's all about comparison the person who said you should test it and just do what works is going to win that every time unless they have some other gigantic negative following around I say it again winning uh winning a national office could not be easier it's just nobody's doing the obvious thing it would take the winner they all just revert to their team because probably that's the only way they get funding I guess um so um I I saw a uh something that I read wrong somebody in their profile said they were working on uh anti-effectives and I I think it was in a medical sense or some kind of medical term there and I thought it would be interesting for somebody to run against ineffectiveness just say I don't care if you're left or right don't do things you know won't work so I'm against ineffectiveness I'm neither a republican nor a Democrat I'm against things that don't work how would the public like that and say well you can be a Democrat and you can be a Republican and I respect both of those choices but I'm only going to be for what works so if we can't prove it works I'm not for it it doesn't matter whose side it came from and you could pick a team you could say that you're you're you know we'll let you go away Robert since you seem like sort of an all right um here's another indication that we've reached Peak absurdity uh Wall Street Journal had a little piece yesterday uh noting this was an opinion piece but that the ESG bubble is deflating now do you think somebody could print in the Wall Street Journal without any correction that the ESG bubble is deflating now I'd say that's right on schedule what did I promise you about ESG do you remember what I promised I said I said I would uh I would destroy his reputation before the end of this year and now the Wall Street Journal is publishing that the ESG bubble is deflating there's another article that I tweeted around where somebody noted all of my ESG comics in in Dilbert and said you're in bad shape if Dilbert is mocking your thing noted Black.

Rock so um if you look at my Twitter feed I've got a link to uh all of the ESG related comics and if you like um they're all licensable you know there's a link on there for buying it or licensing it if you want to use it for your own purposes if you use it for your own purposes without legally licensing it just make sure you're an individual not a corporate entity right if you're just doing it with your friends that's fine yeah I don't care about I don't care about copyright if you're forwarding to your friends or tweeting it you know if you're just an individual but don't do it in a corporate way that would require a license don't do it under corporate entity um so that is my uh my gift to you I hope it helps all right here are the things that seem the most absurd so ESG seems to be deflating so I think ESG has reached Peak absurdity true or false has ESG apparently reached Peak absurdity I say yes because people now can out loud they can criticize it right uh how about trans athletes so there's a story uh and of uh which Carolina north or south uh about a trans athlete a volleyball player who is apparently so powerful that people are being injured where the hell is that now there it is a North Carolina School District voted last month to forfeit all high school volleyball games against a rival school because the Rival school has a transgender Athlete on the female team who apparently is really talented relative to the other players and a little bit stronger than maybe they expected so they're apparently yeah apparently the uh trans athlete spiked the ball so hard into the face of an opponent that the opponent had some injuries which could be kind of bad I mean the head and neck that could be pretty bad does it say about it is but I think this is the way this will be settled I think that trans athletes will be allowed to join teams that that's the current situation for the most part but that the teams who would be scheduled to play against them will just forfeit and I think that that's how this will be handled now what would happen if every time somebody joined your team you didn't have anybody to play because the teams that cancel uh they canceled for safety and if you cancel for safety nobody can touch you nobody can touch you the the schools that canceled for safety are completely safe because they did it for a specific reason it was based on evidence it was an evidence-based decision so I think that's the way it's going to go I think that the freedom of the trans athletes and by the way if you're new to me I've always supported the trans athletes because I think that the the athletic world needs to be reconfigured for a variety of reasons not just for the trans it sporting is an elite um highly uh harmful process for some people meaning that the superstars who were born with genetic gifts we treat as Heroes and they get all the girls and the boys and everything else and the people who are not athletic don't get any benefits from athletic organizations and probably only the top maybe 10 percent are good enough athletes to be on a team and get all the goodness now if you're good enough to be on a team and actually play as opposed to sitting on the bench it's amazing I'm very in favor of organized Sports see this is this is where the I always see this NPC comment that Scott is not athletic and therefore he does not understand athleticism I've played every sport you could imagine when I was a kid I was playing I would play five sports a day literally five different organized Sports a day and that was just normal you know you do one at lunch one at recess one after school you know one with you you'd play catch with your brother you'd have a pickup game you'd have five sports a day you do every one right and that was sort of not even that untypical when I grew up I I feel as if you might be young if you're imagining that I was non-athletic because when I grew up there weren't any well I won't say any 90 of boys were athletic and played all the sports typically but today kids might play one sport right it's really different but if you're looking at somebody my age and you say that they didn't participate in sports you're almost always wrong almost all males my age played every sport you know I'm exaggerating a little bit but you get the idea so no that's not it my my uh my opinion is based on this I've played co-ed Sports so co-ed soccer and co-ed tennis and the co-ed um soccer and the co-ed tennis were really really fun really really fun all you have to do is make sure that the tennis player you're playing is about the same level or you know can can hang with you and make sure that the soccer players are not that not that different so the female soccer players tended to be the ones who could run you know when I had a co-ed um I had a co-ed soccer team as an adult in my 50s and the women that I recruited ended up being like college soccer players they had been and they were current marathon runners so I just sort of accidentally recruited a whole bunch of marathon running women and many of them played in college and so suddenly we had this Powerhouse soccer team you know you couldn't have uh yeah you had to have mixed you couldn't play just all men on the field and it was really really fun right so while I do think there's a place for you know every kind of combination of sports I think what we need more of is the Just For Fun sports where everybody's everybody just plays people of their relevant relative ability yeah you weren't competing for scholarships though yes and the the competing for scholarships is a terrible terrible process yeah I think that competing for scholarships is awesome for the one percent of people can get them so for them it's great for the rest of us it's just we're paying money for your kid why am I paying money for your kid right if my kid isn't as athlete but the you know the college or whatever that he that that kid goes to pays a lot of money for athletics and maybe it doesn't you know make money for them depending on the school why am I why am I subsidizing your child why is that right now I'm completely okay with your child excelling in sports and doing great but do you think I should pay for it that's the only question like I want your kid to have every opportunity and do everything that they want to do I want just as much for your kid as you do I'm just asking you should I subsidize it or should you subsidize my kid who's got more problems because they are not good at sports now it's a it's a weird situation but we have reached peak absurdity in that I think we've reached Peak absurdity with both phetamine and Biden we'll talk about Federal a little bit more but don't you think that the fact that fetterman and Biden are both legitimate Democrat candidates that is peak absurdity and I don't mean to be unkind for the differently abled it's not about that right anybody who wants to paint me with that brush good luck it's not about that right yeah if federmen were blind do you think we'd be having this conversation no if fetterman had one leg do you think we'd be having this conversation no and everybody knows that everybody knows that and and watching the Democrats argue that everything's fine with both Biden and Federman you do you do you feel that that is Peak yeah right nobody's saying that Crenshaw can't do the job so is um have we not reached Peak absurdity would you agree that I'm calling the top the fact that Federman invited are both considered legitimate candidates forget about their politics I'm not talking about any of their policy preferences it's not even about that but the fact that we're seriously considering both of those people it's insane all right and also the Ukraine situation seems to be reaching some kind of absurdity like the the bottomless pit all right let's um um so here's some more absurdity don't you think that the Democrat policies on covet or have now reached Peak absurdity would you agree with that call the the people wearing masks Outdoors by themselves you know the the still requirements for for things yeah I mean almost everything energy policy energy policy clearly has reached Peak absurdity yeah and but correct me if I'm wrong all of these things are sort of coincidentally reaching yeah Dei they're all reaching uh CRT they're always in Peak absurdity right before the midterms is that a weird coincidence that the absurdity is happening all at the same time because it correct Am I Wrong give me give me a give me a reasonableness check here now I'm going not on any data I'm going entirely upon just what it feels like if you read the news every day what it feels like is all of those things that when they first came out they sounded a little sketchy to you but you were never sure how big they would get right you didn't know how big anything would get so when things were little and sort of squirrely you ignored them well it's squirrely was kind of small and then it just kept getting bigger and bigger and bigger until the trans stuff couldn't get any more than whatever it is would you agree there's nothing more is there now I'm not arguing what's good or bad about it I'm just saying we've we've got to the limit of more there's nothing more right so that's the peak if you think it's absurd then it's pre-conserted if you think it's all good it's reached the peak goodness I guess that would be the other View all right uh let's talk about uh the progressives um there was this brief Shining Moment yesterday when uh I think it was a I saw a tweet saying uh that the progressives were going to be anti-war for Ukraine similar to some of the right-wing people and that maybe for the first time and this was really really unusual and special it could be that the far left and the far right would agree on the anti-war they would come together they would fix something that was important through their you know their being on the same side and for a while I thought to myself America can finally come together when it matters you know when the big things matter America comes together that progresses and then I read an article that says that uh the progressives uh didn't mean it and uh representative uh jayapal she withdrew that letter that was the subject of all this and says it was released by staff without vetting uh how do staff how in the world would your staff release a letter like that without vetting how in the world all right you're an if you'd waited two seconds you would hear me saying I don't believe them instead of saying Scott believe the squad he never learns you use red bill now I guess he's coming around how about waiting four seconds before you criticize the messenger goodbye um so let's talk about fetterman as we're talking about Peak absurdity so he started off his uh Thing by saying uh good night to everyone so good night everyone when he began his uh debate now is that a an example of someone whose brain is not working good night everyone probably not probably not suppose he had said good evening everyone good evening what's the difference between good night and good evening it was night he says good night everybody does good night mean goodbye does it mean hello good evening usually means hello good night usually means goodbye but correct me if I'm wrong was he not working off a teleprompter what was not his first sentence on the teleprompter we don't know that do we because I've got a feeling that the teleprompter said that he probably just read it now if all he did was confuse evening with night not the biggest problem in the world so I don't know how to judge that one but it happened uh however he did I guess his team accused the closed caption company of being laggy and maybe inaccurate and so it made him look bad because he was reading things that didn't read right and the company that made that system and tested it with them and gave him more opportunities to test it to make sure it was just what he wanted says um we gave you all the time you wanted to test it you didn't do it and it's exactly what you said was good and then you said it wasn't good after we gave it to you so I think I'm going to side with the uh probably with the company that produced it because they did I do think they gave them a chance to test it um John Cooper who's a Twitter user tweets that every time Maga hears fetterman stumble over a word tonight they mocked him every time I heard him stumble I felt inspired by his selflessness and bravery that's the difference between a liberal and an scientist John Cooper and I thought to myself this this has stirred my competitive juices now I'm not proud of this but I'm just sort of reflexively competitive like I can't turn it off it's just always there and when I see a competition like this to be who could be the most uh peacock like person in public and who can say the thing that makes them look the best while pretending they're talking about an issue so I thought I can top that I can top that all right so here's here's the bar he set on John I'm going to try to exceed this he says every time I heard him stumble I felt inspired by his selfness selflessness and bravery I'm thinking okay that's good that's really good I can beat that and so what I tweeted was um I'm too competitive to sit on all the peacocking today so I would like to submit my entry that proves my humanity and awesomeness and this was my entry John fetterman is so brave and selfless that I have commissioned a statue of him for my front yard if all you did was vote for him I win I win right I think I win I mean I might be a little biased in the scoring but I think I think I win statue beats tweet doesn't it statue beats tweet every time declaring victory I saw this other uh two movies on one screen tweet from a Twitter user Point logic he's got his Twitter handle is Socrates Big Bird so this is somebody who likes logic and Socrates and stuff and so this logical person says according to the maggots so I'm picking up some cues that it might be a Democrat or a left-leaning person because he's calling the bag of people maggots according to the maggots Fox News and a load of other Goons hey I wonder if I'm one of those goons but according to the maggots Fox News and a load of other goons he says their messages that vaccines kill you Pax lovid kills you and REM does Veer kills you but these meds use for other things that are proven ineffective for covet in all caps are quote Miracles Ivermectin hydroxychloroquine and uh Point logic asks why is this happening why is it happening that we've divided into two movies on one screen where one says vaccines kill you Paxil if it kills you rem deserveer kills you and the other says Ivermectin hydroxychloroquine work what's your answer to how that happened how did it happen well I have a hypothesis here's my hypothesis the complete collapse of experts once experts became no longer credible and I think that that's a fair that's that's a fair summary of the last few years wouldn't you say would you all agree with me that the experts took a real hit in the last two years like we've never seen before has there ever been a time in human history when the experts did so poorly in any you know one or two year period I mean it was sort of unusually bad performance uh you know maybe witch doctors or something if you go back further but to my mind the complete collapse of expert credibility left us all on our own and when you're on your own and the experts can't help you or you don't trust them to help you you just default to your team so what happened was the experts were the only thing that kept us from being complete team players like sometimes you'd say yeah like I'm a Democrat but I also believe in science and science says that nuclear power plants are okay so even though that's the thing Republicans say you know the science allows me to to connect with them and that one thing right but now once the experts are completely discredited which is unfortunately Where We Are then people just agree with their team because it's all they have left well might as well agree with my team now nobody thinks it through that way I'm not saying that's a conscious decision but it's the default if you can't if you can't trust the experts you trust your team that may be a terrible idea but it's just what happens um I saw an expert on AI Ethan Malik did a series of tweets which I retweeted and it's definitely worth reading this is one of those threads where if you read this thread you will just see the future and I promise you you will like you will see the future more accurately than the people who did not read the tweet and basically the gist of it is that the public doesn't have any idea how fast AI is coming right now specifically for uh he was talking about the creative jobs such as writing yeah and he used this analogy which I approve of in this case he said that people probably are imagining that the pace of AI is similar to the pace of microchips where it doubles every X period right so microchips were used to um we're sort of acclimated to a certain level of improvement in technology that crosses all technology am I right everything that is from social media to microchips to everything else every year is better it could be significantly better like 20 percent better right but 20 is nothing like what you're going to see what we're already seeing in AI AI is going to hockey stick it's already in a hockey stick so AI is not waiting for the hockey stick it's in the hockey stick it's it's in the total upswing this is a short path to the singularity like if you were wondering when the singularity was going to happen the the one thing you had to know is it was going to be nothing happening nothing happening nothing happening nothing happening it seems like a little is happening but barely nothing barely nothing barely nothing barely nothing whole world changes all right if you don't know that's coming you better get ready for it and that's what the that's what this will tell you I I've said before that uh predicting the future three years out is now impossible and that's never been true before even even when you could be surprised by Wars and shortages and stuff even with a war it still looked like a continuation of the world you knew there just happened to be War right three years from now nothing will be familiar AI will change everything and there's nothing that can stop it and it might be in one ear I mean that it's probably only the commercialization of it that makes it three years probably in one year it will already write better than all humans in one year AI will write everything we want written because it will do it better and faster you will still be able to write because you learned how you just won't have a reason for it there will never be a reason to write after about a year now think about that just just think about that one thing writing could be obsolete in a year that's a real thing writing could by humans could be Obsolete and now it might turn into some version of editing so here's how I imagined I would write a Dilbert comic in a year from now so roughly one to two to three years from now this is how I would write a Dilbert comic I'd say all right Dilbert's talking to his boss they're in the office and show me a new angle that we haven't seen before the first panel uh Dilbert says blah blah blah second panel the boss responds blah blah blah and then the third panel uh add something funny put a punch line there and then I'm going to walk away and that's going to be my entire job that day yeah in the future the only asset I will own for Dilbert is the rights to the IP I will no longer be the only person who can make it basically you will be able to make your own Dilbert comics at home just by speaking to your AI hey make some Dilbert comics for me no no make some dealer comments on me just on this topic it'll be done that's probably one year away now if you didn't know that was one year away you really don't know what's happening it's coming and it's not just art and writing that will change it's everything it's everything the entire economy Wars I really the three years it will be exciting I hope it will be good um here's some more absurdities the hunter laptop Hunter's activities when his father was vice president and even when he was between between jobs still sort of amazingly being ignored by one half of the media uh all right amazing absurdity is everywhere um the whole fetterman versus Oz thing if you're making fun of conservatives for uh they're let's say their ableism is that what it's called if you're if you're mocking fetterman because you say that is maybe temporary disability is preventing him from doing the job then you are against disabled people to which I say there's still a Special Olympics right has anybody pushed for these Special Olympics people to just be thrown in with the regular Olympics people is that happening or do people understand that your ability affects and I know I'm going to go out and live here this is not widely understood and I realize it's provocative but it's possible that your ability has a some kind of a correlation maybe a causation to your ability now I realize we haven't connected those traditionally because a lot of times people think your ability has nothing to do with your ability and with fetterman we've decided to disconnect those so his ability we can't talk about how his ability is related to his ability to do the job now if his ability was unrelated to his ability to do the specific job then I would say that would be unfair similar the same with the Special Olympics if these Special Olympics participants if their ability was equal to the ability of the you know regular Olympics I would be in favor of them playing together all right and to me it's just amazing that this is even a conversation fetterman I guess came out and saying he's fully supports fracking and he loves fracking he's he's fracking in love with fracking did um did fracking didn't we always think he was against it he's just lying right isn't there video of him saying the opposite or am I imagining that because I got fooled by the media on one side yeah so he's just lying right and apparently that's that works how many how many Democrats do you think know he's lying about fracking how many Democrats do you think know he's lying 25 percent yeah it works because they don't read the other media so a Democrat let me let me give you this as a model a Democrat can make any lie and be comfortable that the their voters won't see the truth would you say that's true because the left does not read Fox News website at all but the right tends to see both arguments because the the mainstream argument is mainstream so they're more likely to see it yeah it's not really a fair fight there's one side that knows both sides we saw that uh clearly and we already talked about this the MSNBC uh interview I guess you call it with a bunch of trump supporters and where you saw that the ordinary Trump supporter just the citizen knew more than the professional political reporter and demonstrated it by correcting their twice on facts and that that was the perfect example of how the right sees both arguments and the left only sees one side these are not these are not similar things they're not even a little bit similar all right uh Biden said in public uh quote almost everyone who will die from covet this year will not be up to date on their shots uh put on your analytical caps give me two possible reasons why this could be a true statement give me two one of them would be vaccinations protect you right but what's the other possible explanation for why this might actually be true that almost everyone who dies from covid will not be up to date on their shots could it be because most people will not be up to date so most people in the world will not be up to date therefore doesn't it kind of make sense that most people who are also coincidentally dying would be dying for unreal reasons unrelated to covet unrelated to covid but I don't know uh it's amazing that Biden can say that kind of stuff out loud but at the same time do you want to get into real cancellation territory here who's with me let's fly close to the Sun ready son Scott let's do it there's a Twitter user I've mentioned before called ethical skeptic how many of you are familiar with the Twitter account of ethical skeptic many of you on Twitter is very well uh exposed and this is what the ethical uh ethical skeptic says this is not what I say all right so I'm reporting what somebody said I am not endorsing it and therefore I cannot be canceled do we all agree on that I think we do so ethical Skeptics says the same thing which I do not endorse nor do I rebuke so you will see no opinion for me yet he says the latest variant to come on the Block what they are calling BQ is seeking out vaccinated individuals three to one over unvaccinated and has a particular taste for those who were recently vaccinated as well so he's famous this user Twitter user for being an expert on data and for using public data sources and putting them together in ways that show different possible conclusions than the mainstream ones I don't know if anything he does is real let me say it as quick as clearly as I can I cannot judge whether the ethical skeptic is a genius who's doing a service for the country because many people are looking at it that way and it might be it could be or if it's somebody who doesn't know what they're talking about but I can't tell the difference I have no idea I have no opinion on whether this is valid or invalid smart or not smart true or not true I have no idea I really don't I'm not kidding I'm not joking I really can't tell and it's one of my you know Mysteries I'm trying to solve but is there any other reason first of all do you think it's true as a fact you fact Jack this do you think it's true that the vaccine the recently vaccinated are more likely to get covered because remember the the vaccinated the vaccinations don't prevent you from getting it but what what would the recently vaccinated have in common what would the recently vaccinated have in common wouldn't they well Democrats yes but wouldn't they also believe that they needed the booster wouldn't it be people who's self-assessed and probably their doctor as well said oh you're you're in a situation where you're either going to be around a lot of people you're either around a lot of people or you might be extra weak so um it may be true that the vaccinated are more likely to get infected but there's nothing about the vaccinated that is common to the public or let me say that clear the people who are recently boosted are a special group of people and they're special in a variety of ways so it doesn't tell you anything about the public at Large right so is ethical skeptical showing us something that is of the greatest National importance and we're all missing it or is it as simple as the population of people who got boosted is not like the rest of us I don't know I know and and I would guess that if ethical skeptic were here he would say Scott Scott here's why what you're saying is wrong and it would probably make sense like I'm not selling what my opinion has right it's just a mystery to me I don't I don't know anyway keep an eye on that um I Heard a theory about China two theories about China that spell it's doom and maybe the United States doomed too but let's talk about China uh one of them is that they're already lying massively about their population decrease and that Chinese populations is substantially smaller than what you thought it was because they've already constrained their population and that when you do that you end up with way too many uh retired people compared to workers and it's just basically a time bomb and there's nothing they can do about it so basically they would be doomed by demographics that's one theory of why China is doomed number two um there's a theory that the the main thing that makes any country look successful is that they're overspending on infrastructure because they need it and that when Japan overspent on infrastructure it looked like they were booming and they were going to eat our lunch but when they stopped spending on infrastructure and you know got down to a normal level they had no GDP growth for years and years and years and that the United States might you know suffer a similar thing where if if Government stops spending massively as it has been recently then maybe we don't have any real growth like it's all been government so by that argument uh when China reaches its limit of uh not a limit but when it does most of its infrastructure projects and then it slows down because it's done most of what it needs to do it's just in a new stuff mode that there won't be enough government spending in China to keep the GDP having and then it all falls apart what do you think well in economics there's one rule that I like to stick with which is people are terrible at predicting any of this stuff and the Adam's law of slow-moving disasters suggests that people will make whatever adjustments they can so these are gigantic threats to China but I wouldn't say necessarily that that means they're doomed but then they have this third thing going on which is they're no longer trustworthy and being not trustworthy means that people don't do want to do business with you and I think that's going to hurt more than it's hurting now you know that trick where we said Hillary Clinton was warning that the Democrats would try to steal the election which is a signal that I'm sorry the Hillary warned that the Republicans would try to steal the next election which is really priming the environment for the Democrats to steal the election because you won't see it coming if they've made you think Republicans are going to do it it's just a good way to cover your evil and now NATO is blaming Russia of using the same trick Russia is saying that Ukraine is planning to use a dirty bomb you know a nuclear dirty bomb uh whereas NATO says no no no that's what Russia accuses the other side of before they do the thing so apparently that's a known strategy that Russia accuses you of what they're planning to do so if Russia accuses you of a chemical uh a chemical weapons attack they are definitely going to use a chemical weapon if they accuse you of using a dirty bomb or planning it they're definitely planning to use a dirty bomb now maybe to blame the other side maybe just because they want to use it but I'd worry about this it looks like an understood problem and NATO is all over it all right so back to my theme my theme is that we've reached Peak absurdity look at every story I talked about there's a story that maybe Russia will nuke itself because Russia thinks Ukraine is part of Russia so we're literally acting serious about the possibility that Russia will nuke itself personally I think that's absurd I don't see any possibility of that now I also thought that Russia wouldn't wouldn't invade so you have to put my opinion in context right uh so my ability to predict what Putin will do is now uh has been demonstrated as low ability so um by the way do you know what my my most frequent criticism is I never admit when I'm wrong I will submit to you that no one has admitted they're wrong more often or reliably than I have of any public figure that's my claim that literally of all public figures of all time nobody has ever spent more time admitting they were wrong in public than I have well if you think that's false name the other person I think that the number of times I've admitted I'm wrong in public would be maybe 20 times those of you who have watched me since the beginning put a number on it if you can remember just roughly how many times do you think I've admitted I'm wrong in public 20 times somebody said 100.

yeah but you wouldn't but you wouldn't disagree you wouldn't disagree with my estimate of 20 would you like that's not crazy somebody says 10 or so between 20 and 100.

all right so whatever it is if you're on uh if you're on You.

Tube you're not seeing the comments the low the people on the locals platform most of them have followed me for the longest time and they they're not arguing with my estimate they're they're just putting different numbers on it but there's an arguing with the main point that I've admitted I'm wrong a whole bunch of times a whole bunch of times now if you say you're wrong more than anybody in the world or at least you know you're in the top one percent of that people will tell you you never admit you're wrong and it's the most frustrating thing it's the most frustrating thing because I don't mind being accused of things I've done I mean that doesn't feel good but at least at least you feel you're in a just world that makes sense well I did make that mistake they are criticizing me okay right so when people criticize me for being wrong about Russia invading I don't I don't insult you right I just say well yep you got me on that one it's hard because you're a comedian in your audience has lots of hecklers maybe I'm not sure if people even see me as a comedian when I'm doing this stuff uh okay Gino says you've you've recommended me to others because I've admitted when I'm wrong the the thing about admitting money wrong is that I don't think people understand that it makes you stronger if people understood that they would do it now obviously there's a right and a wrong way to do it but if you do it fully and by the way is there anything more surprising I like to use Mike cernovich for all of my examples it's amazing how many how many situations he fits into as a as a teaching point but so Mike's very much did the whole uh you know the pizzagate situation and then instead of like explaining it away or you know making it look like it the the real problem was his accuser he just put it in his movie so he made a movie and he just you know he featured it instead of explaining it apologizing for it he just featured it any any other questions and I feel like that's what allowed his um his his Twitter traffic to grow Etc is that people saw oh okay you just you fully ex you just accepted that and then he moved on uh Mike made the movie A hoaxed with an ed on the end hoaxed which by the way I've recommended very highly it's a tremendous movie and I think I think we need hoax to too because the number of hoaxes since that movie it's just begging for a hoax to two which I hope he makes all right uh you know the hoax quiz yeah similar to the superpower of saying I don't know you don't want to overdo that one but there is power in admitting you don't know something that's true yeah so now we have 16 hoaxes and you know that's a abbreviated list and even the people who know that 12 of them are real hoaxes foreign that always amazes me all right is there any story I missed today any any big thing happening I saw Mike Pence uh teasing that yeah the Susan Sarah surrender tweet I'm trying to remember I saw it but I can't remember what that was all right where can the hoax list to be found um good question I think if you went to Twitter and just searched for it is also on locals I published it a few times at locals it's not a pin tweet anymore I changed my pin tweet uh there's a book about race hoaxes yeah but I think the race Oaks is that's too narrow yeah there's a earthquake I guess this morning I did not feel it or yesterday or yesterday it's a 5.1 uh I mean what jobs would advise a teenager that's tough you know I used to advise teenagers to go into uh the Arts because that would be the the last thing that AI would get to but that's all wrong so now ai does better graphic art and it does better writing already it won't be long before it does humor better uh the expensive toilet in San Francisco yeah that's the so the stories I typically stay away from are the air force uh was charged two million dollars for a screw right I'm talking about a physical screw uh not prostitution and they the media gets that story wrong every time every time the reason that the the one little part cost a million dollars is that nobody made that part they had to like build an assembly line just to make the part and so they charge you what it cost right it's a retooling cost and when the media reports that they report it like it's a market price and they just gouged is never that not once not once has that story been true every time you saw that story and how many of those have you seen everyone was fake they were all fake and everybody who had an economics degree knew it you know we everybody watched it was like no there's a reason it's a million dollars now they may they may have patted the million dollars which is you know or related but a separate point but the reason it's so expensive is because they had to retool they may have also you know padded padded the retooling price I wouldn't be surprised but the big the big answer is that they had to retool um explain the two thousand dollar Air Force heated mugs easily there were there was a special requirement if you look at their two thousand dollar heated mugs I think you would find that they either had to you know work if your airplane is flying upside down or something there's probably some weird requirement that required them to retool something to make them something like that or maybe the the demand was low so the only way to make them is on ineconomically but if you looked into it you'd find there was always a reason here's what you wouldn't find well honestly it did only cost us ten dollars to make these mugs honestly but we thought we could get away with charging two thousand dollars I don't believe that's ever happened and if it has somebody probably got caught and got fired right now the hospital bills are different all right I'm talking about the military Contracting the hospitals charge whatever they just whatever they want they just make up numbers whatever they can get away with Hospital prices is just based on what you can get away with wouldn't you say am I right I mean it's always priced if they can price it over cost of course so that's the minimum but hospitals only look at what they can get away with is purely a uh I mean it's closer to a scam than it is an actual business model uh Trump's testimony to be on tape today that's going to be interesting so how surprised are you that the January 6th thing uh followed the following Arc it was the primary thing that the Democrats thought they could use against the Republicans and as of this week Trump is still telling uh do a fact check on this but I think Trump told Oz that he needs to talk more about the election uh the election being rigged to win his elections do you believe that we we went all the way from it's the biggest problem that Trump has ever been in two if you don't accept it his view on it you can't even get elected that might be the biggest switch in per maybe in the biggest persuasion movement we've ever seen oh I was bastards right I'm sorry it was Blake Masters who was uh receiving a phone call from Trump so it was not um yeah it was not Oz but at the same point it doesn't matter who it was the same point is that that Trump can say out loud you'd better talk about election Integrity if you want to win and I don't think he's wrong I think he's actually right I mean even the Democrats are talking Non-Stop about the elections being riggable Hillary Clinton is agreeing with Trump that the elections are now secure and and Trump did that correct me if I'm wrong but he went all the way from our elections are perfect to not a single person in the country trust the elections I believe he did that all himself right there's there's no Democrat and no Republican who fully trusts the system now you if you do a poll you're going to get 25 saying everything's fine but that 25 is brain dead on every question I mean all the thinking people are worried about election integrity and should be right which doesn't mean there's a problem but you should be worried about it yeah the Dems have been complaining for years true um once again Trump has shattered reality true story now I'm going to throw in a two unlikely predictions are you ready number one most of the smart people say we're headed for a recession in 2023.

I'm going to say that 2023 will be better than we expected economically I don't know what that means but I'm going to say that the the consensus of experts will be way worse than the economy and I'm going to base it on some sort of a you know rule of thumb type stuff without a lot of analysis number one employment stays High number two we've had enough time to adjust our uh uh supply lines you know maybe enough next every other country will be doing worse than us which I I think there's an argument that that helps you to be the best of the worst because that gives your currency strong am I wrong about that that as long as your currency is better than all the other places that are worse you're still okay it's just that if your currency started looking bad compared to others well then you're in trouble so we don't have to be good we have to be better than other places right so being better than other places is easier than it's ever been that's never been easier and I think the United States has more the United States is willing to shoot itself to rebuild faster than any other country I don't know that that's true by the way and that could be pure bigotry on my part but it feels like the U.S is more able to bury its uh bury his own mistakes and just say all right everything we're doing up to this point was wrong let's do it all different rip it out rip it out by the roots I think we do that faster and better than anybody so I'm going to predict that our economy except for inflation I'm going to allow that inflation will stay high for a while because it has to and I'm going to give you a counter-intuitive when I say inflation stays High because it has to it has to for good and for bad like we had to drain we have to drain some cash out of the system it's the only way to do it as far as I know and but but as long as everything else keeps humming along as long as America is less bad than all the Alternatives I feel like I feel like we're going to have a good year next year which will be a problem for the 2024 election because Trump or whoever is running it might run into a strong economy a weirdly strong economy and you might be used to inflation by then yeah inflation will not be good next year so let me be clear inflation will not be solved next year that will be the problem that stays with us but if everything else works it's going to be absorbable in the long run all right so I'm going to make that prediction that the economy will be better than the consensus of experts I don't know how much better here's my second one Trump has an opportunity that only one person has ever had before only one person in the history of the whole world has been in a position that Trump is likely to be in and it goes like this George Washington walked away from Power when he didn't need to for the good of the country he said although you know I think that's the historical interpretation I suspect it was a little bit good for him as well but it got interpreted as you know the the greatest move that really defined the whole country didn't it pretty much the most fundamental part of our you know National DNA is that George Washington walked away from Power I would argue that nothing is more essential to the United States success than George Washington walked away from power and everybody learned it you learned that when you were whatever great right Trump will be projected to you know sweep the field everybody thinks he could get the nomination and I think any Republican can win now so if Trump decided not to run he would be the first president ever who could do a legitimate George Washington and if the reason he gave was that he was too controversial and there are other other Republicans let's say who have similar policies but less controversy he would not only redeem himself for losing the first election but he would pass him to Legend territory it would be Legend If he if he does a second term half of the country will think it was the end of the world and will always imagine it that way and half will think you did a good job probably if he walks away when he's guaranteed to win and allows a republican let's say to get in there and just do a good job could be De.

Santis somebody else he would be Legend you would be Legend and you could never take that away from him even the Democrats would say oh the only problem we had with him was he was he was too provocative and he and he didn't want the country to go through that again think about it now I don't think he's going to do it so this is not not a prediction it would seem counter to everything everything he's done it would also be a big risk because it would take him out of the game like too early because he's not done like he's got more to do clearly so unless he had more to do let's say we're working on Truth social or we're working on fixing the the media if Trump left and said I'm going to work on fixing the debate so I'll host a debate show so you can see see which side works if Trump hosted a legitimate debate show he would run the country without being president doubt me go ahead tell me I'm wrong about that you can't if Trump said I'm not going to run because I don't think people this age should be president uh foreign but if Trump said I've aged to enter the job and I'm a little too provocative he would be Legend he would he would Ascend basically you would Ascend to just god-like territory and the the anals of presidents in my opinion that would be my opinion that nothing could be a higher accomplishment than that and I'm right that I'm wrong yeah he's not going to do it so the trouble with my um prognostic prognostication here is that everything you like about Trump tells you he won't do that am I right everything you like about him is he doesn't give up doesn't apologize doesn't quit like those are all the things you liked so if he apologized and quit I guess it wouldn't be an apology but it would be accepting his own limitations I guess if he did that that would be so out of Personality that you you can't even imagine it really I think he needs to win now imagine he won with a strong vice president imagine he wins with a real strong vice president and then he steps down in two years because he's not feeling well that he still keeps the option but that would not feel as selfless because it would be stepping down and putting your own chosen vice president in charge so that's not exactly George Washington material yeah and I don't see any I don't see him stepping down under any condition I don't think that Trump would pick Kerry Lake tell me why go tell me why Trump will not pick Carrie Lake as a VP well too soon that that's probably all the reason you need too strong yeah too strong you don't want to pick somebody that people will continually say you know you know maybe you should make her present you don't want that conversation to happen all and that didn't happen with Pence did it was there a lot of conversation about how pens should have been the top of the ticket I don't remember hearing that even once yeah Pence was perfect uh that was just I I can't say enough good things about Mike Pence I don't want him to be president but my god do I respect that man for for the service he did to the country all right um I think we've done everything we need to do today let's go do some other things am I right that this was the most amazing live stream you've ever seen did I pull my theme together Peak absurdity anybody did I make my case I think I did I think I did all right well then in that case we've done what we need to do today and I'll see you tomorrow

probably the best thing that's ever

happened to anybody ever anywhere

and if you'd like to take it up a notch

yeah hard to believe but it's possible

all you need is a cup of mug or a glass

of tanker Chelsea's Diner canteen drug

or flaska vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid I like

coffee and join me now for the

unparalleled pleasure of the dopamines

of the day that makes everything better

it's cold

the simultaneous sympathy happens now

go

this is the highlight of civilization

yeah civilization turns out the bar

wasn't that high

that was the surprising part

well I'd like to start out with the uh

most interesting story I just saw before

I came on here at the University of

Maryland

they've developed a sweatshirt

that acts as an invisibility cloak

against AI

so if you're worried that the AI will

recognize you facial recognition they've

developed a sweatshirt

that it looks like the technique has but

like crowd faces in it or something but

whatever it does it confuses the AI and

they they showed a live demonstration of

the AI just became invisible or the

person became invisible so they

literally

literally have developed a cloak of

invisibility for AI

it's an actual thing and it works

that's why I say it's about time it's

about time

get that AI cloak

some of you may have watched my live

stream yesterday afternoon a special

live stream in which I demonstrated how

a senior citizen me

gets a health care appointment through

their health care provider Kaiser

Permanente North

if you think I ever got to talk to a

doctor or got a doctor appointment you'd

be wrong

because I I demonstrated how difficult

it would be just to work through the

system of just getting an appointment

and it wasn't until this morning I

realized that the problem is

that the entire system is designed to

prevent you from getting a doctor

appointment

literally

literally not a joke because that's the

only way they can handle it economically

they need to take all the people who

were marginal doctor requests and really

should have been handled in some other

way and they they shunt them off

so it's all about preventing you from

getting to a doctor and the trouble is

they got a little too good at it

I actually can't figure out how to get

to a doctor

right now it's not that I don't know the

method is that the method breaks for

different reasons

because of the complexity so when you

reach a certain level of complexity

and then you say okay you've seen your

citizen go figure out which of these

five apps and uh yeah five apps if you

count websites so the three websites two

apps

a phone system that gets you to a person

who gets you to a person who gets you to

a person

and I actually couldn't solve it and

I've tried several times I can't get

through the system to get anything done

really

so it's totally broken and I I don't

think it's really necessarily just a

problem with the Kaiser system which

does seem completely broken at this

point but it seems like a problem with

complexity

I feel like everything just had a

creeping complexity until the point

where it's just too hard to do anything

just like and let me give you another

example

uh I I now have I think five streaming

services

because during the pandemic I was like

desperate for any kind of entertainment

at home so I just signed up for five of

them thinking I'll keep the ones I like

and so now instead of sitting down and

watching a show for entertainment

if I've like allocated an hour or

something

the whole hour is just looking for a

show

because now that there's so many of them

I can't decide that the one I found is

as good as the one I haven't found yet

so I'm in a continuous state of looking

for the good one and at the end of the

hour I've watched no TV

and it happens every time

close to every time 95 of the time very

rarely do I actually watch a show

very rarely the exceptions are sometimes

there'll be a game on and like I'll say

oh there's a game and I'll turn it on

and then it'll go to commercial

and I'll say well that would have worked

except that I can't possibly sit here

for a whole commercial that's not gonna

happen so I turn it off look for

something else

uh

anyway so everything's too complicated

though

um

Twitter let's give you a little Twitter

update here are some things that are

rumored but I don't know if they're true

rumored that the Twitter deal with musk

buying it might close on Friday

well I don't know if that's true but it

looks like it's going to close so that's

good I heard a rumor that I do not have

confidence and that musk plans to be CEO

of Twitter as well

did anybody hear that from a credible

source

anybody

yeah I don't I don't I don't think

that's going to happen

I can imagine it happening temporarily

like I can imagine for a month or

something but it doesn't really sound

like

the thing that's going to happen

and then I thought to myself

if you were going to pick a CEO for

Twitter

who would you pick

about it

who would you pick that could actually

do it in a way that you would Jack

Dorsey somebody says you know you know I

think people are going to miss Jack

Dorsey

yeah not me uh I would not be a good

leader you know I am not a good leader

I've told you this before does anybody

remember why I'm a I would be a terrible

manager or CEO and I've been those jobs

and I'm not good at it

it's be yeah I have too much empathy

you you have to be able to abuse your

employees more than they want to be

abused or you're not a good manager

I mean that the tension between what the

employees want and what the company

wants is what you're managing

so you're supposed to manage them to the

maximum amount of unhappiness that gets

you the maximum amount of productivity

and I I can't I can't wrap my head

around that I'm glad that people can

because it doesn't make the system work

I just I just can't bring myself to that

space I need a job where everybody wins

as much as possible right if you read a

joke

and you laugh everybody wins

um

so Twitter put together a number of

employees they put together some demands

because they're worried about losing

their jobs and worried about what

Twitter might become under Elon Musk and

so they've among other things they've

asked in their letter

that musk quote not discriminate against

workers on the basis of their political

beliefs

yeah the employees of Twitter are

worried that somebody would discriminate

against them based on their political

beliefs

um this leads me into

what I'm going to call the theme for the

rest of the live stream

don't you love it when I have a theme

I have a theme today and it was

accidental it's an accidental theme

because the news just created the theme

and here's the theme

we've reached

Peak absurdity

and by we I mean the Democrats

Democrats have reached Peak absurdity

like it couldn't be any weirder

nothing could be funnier or more

clownish

than the Twitter employees worried that

somebody would treat them as political

entities instead of just you know

citizens of America

huh

I'd hate to see that happen

um

so there it is peak absurdity

I know I

so who would you put who would you put

in a CEO let's say you were Elon Musk

who would you put in the CEO

they'll either make everybody happy or

alternately everybody unhappy because

you end up in the same place

you don't want people to be too happy

yay

now well that's interesting yay just

bought parlor so that's not gonna happen

Lex he's busy

all right I'm going to throw out a name

just

just for fun

you ready for this Mike cernovich

the whole world would explode

every employee would quit

but he is one of the few people I would

trust

to be balanced

you know I would actually trust sirovich

not to

um limit people's freedom of speech

and that's all you want I mean that's

all you want you want somebody that you

would trust to not limit somebody's

freedom of speech

and then you know I'm sure the rest of

the people could make the you know make

it profitable and all that stuff

but you do need somebody you can trust

on that one that one freedom of speech

thing and I couldn't I couldn't

immediately think of somebody else

because everybody else is either so uh

overtly political

and even though cernovich is political

he's political in a whatever makes sense

way not in a I'm a republican to death

way

nothing like that

Mark Cuban

yeah he's busy yeah I don't think Mark

Cuban wants to see your job

yeah yeah

interesting thought experiment

um it'll be somebody you've never heard

of probably

so uh

Fox News is uh Geraldo Rivera

he has an idea that George Floyd is the

uh the person most responsible for the

failure of the democratic party not

because of what George Floyd did

specifically but you know he became the

focus of attention and the focus on that

heralda wants to call as maybe the you

know the the turning point now I don't

know that that I wouldn't go so far as

to say it was the cause

I don't I don't think George Floyd was a

cause of things that happened not

directly related to George Floyd

but on the other hand I do think it

marks a the beginning of the top

don't you

it feels like the the beginning of the

absurdity started them

where people had the best intentions I

think I think actually most people had

good intentions one way or the other

about George Floyd they wanted the right

answer

I think I mean I felt like everybody

just wanted the right answer in that one

and they weren't quite sure what it

would be

but

because I do think it might have been a

coincidental marker of the beginning of

something that got worse

um cat Abu

Twitter user

uh reports that also about Geraldo

noted that Heraldo mentioned that cops

are quote besieged and quote under

attack because more than 250 cops have

been shot this year in the line of duty

doesn't that seem like a lot

like in my mind if you would ask me

and I guess it's a higher number than

before but if you ask me in the whole

country of you know 350 million whatever

we are now how many cops are shot in the

line of duty per year what would you

have guessed

just if you didn't know the number what

would you oh you would have guessed a

thousand

some people say 150 yeah I would have

guessed 50 to 100

which is you know outrageous

but 250 that does sound like

it's funny that we would even have any

sense of when it's too high

how do I even have any idea what's the

right number for that in in a normal

world there's but somehow I still have

that sense I have this weird sense that

it's too high I mean one would be too

high but

I don't know it's it's weird that I have

a sense of what's right without knowing

what's standard I'm comparing it to

that that just shows the limits of our

rational Minds

um but as Kat Abu mentioned when Geraldo

said 250 cops have been shot in the line

after duty this year Kat says what he

didn't mention was that 804 people have

been shot and killed by police this year

as well

so

um no I didn't realize it was a

competition

but apparently we're scoring it as a

competition and it's cops uh 804 and

citizens 250.

so so far the cops are winning

um

shooting more citizens and the citizens

are shooting cops

uh now as somebody pointed out probably

all 804 of those people were shot by

police were criminals

[Laughter]

some of them might have been a little

bit innocent

Maybe

a few of them were innocent

but I'm not sure you could compare the

number of police officers enforcing the

law killed to the number of people

breaking the law killed it feels like

that's the wrong comparison

have I ever mentioned to you that the

difference between people are good at

analysis versus bad

is if they know what to compare

that's the one thing that always divides

the good from good comparers to the bad

comparers is what did you compare it to

you and I wouldn't compare those two

numbers

uh Michael schellenberger had a

provocative tweet that involved a

psychologist Sam vacton who studies

narcissism

and he says that the potential for

aggression and victimhood

movements is much larger than in the

general population so in other words if

you're part of a movement that says we

are victims stop doing bad things to us

you're more likely to turn into a

violent movement than somebody who just

you know wants different policies I

guess

now that makes sense doesn't it

the the victims are the ones who are

going to be the most energetic about

changing things and usually you have to

get violent to change anything big

unfortunately so that kind of makes

sense so would you say by this measure

that the

um the Democrats are more likely to be

violent or the Republicans

if this hypothesis holds that the the

victimhood people are the more dangerous

who is more dangerous

really

now just

just check your first answer the The

Reflex answer

your first your first first answer is

the other side right whoever's the other

side so your first answer is definitely

Democrats it's all the wokeness right

the wokeness is basically about

victimhood right

now tell me what has been the main

message of the Republicans lately

that all the wokeness is making victims

of the Republicans

the Republicans have a total victimhood

policy as well they don't express it the

same way it's a different kind of

victimhood but it you know and the and

the Republicans are saying uh their

biggest issue is stop killing babies

stop killing babies right stop uh stop

hunting I'm responsible for that being a

meme hashtag Hunted

yeah the Republicans definitely feel

like victims definitely

but

is one of the more more victim than the

other

what do you think

I know so it probably has to do with how

you feel as much as what you say or more

I guess

so I'm not sure that standard is as

useful as it should be because you

always think the other side is the one

that's complaining and you think your

side is making good points

but the other side is just being victim

of complainers do you do you know what

the left says about the right

the left says about the right that the

right is complaining too much and acting

like victims

and I I don't know I don't know how to

compare

so how would you compare those two

things I don't know

I I have no idea how you compare those

and decide who's the bigger victimhood

person but I can tell you it's a bad

idea to have victim that is your primary

brand

so much so that I will make the

following predictions sort of a generic

prediction

the someday a republican will run

against victimhood

but has to be in favor of something

so against victimhood as an organizing

principle

say let's not use victimhood

as the basis for all of our uh policies

instead let's use uh engineered

solutions that can be tested for

effectiveness

so imagine anybody it doesn't matter it

doesn't have to be a republican but

imagine anybody saying all right

uh here's the deal I'm against

victimhood as an organizing principal

foreign

go ahead and complain because we'd like

to hear your complaints so free speech

you know squeaky wheel that's all good

complain as much as you want but don't

use the victimhood as the basis for

policy

the victim of his for the victims to

complain and make sure we know what's

happening so we can incorporate it but

it's not it shouldn't be the main

operating principle the main operating

principle should be what works

and do you have a way to test it first

now how would that person lose an

election

think about it

because you're allowing the victimhood

to

you know be fully fully expressed you're

not saying stop saying that you're just

saying don't use that as the basis for

decision making

your decision making should be based on

what works and that should be tested

whenever you could test this model

it just sounds like one person is a

smart operator and the other one's just

a Winer

so your your comparison again it's all

about comparison the person who said you

should test it and just do what works is

going to win that every time unless they

have some other gigantic negative

following around

I say it again winning uh winning a

national office could not be easier it's

just nobody's doing the obvious thing it

would take the winner they all just

revert to their team because probably

that's the only way they get funding I

guess

um

so

um

I I saw a uh something that I read wrong

somebody in their profile said they were

working on uh anti-effectives

and I I think it was in a medical sense

or some kind of medical term there and I

thought it would be interesting for

somebody to run against ineffectiveness

just say I don't care if you're left or

right

don't do things you know won't work

so I'm against ineffectiveness I'm

neither a republican nor a Democrat I'm

against things that don't work

how would the public like that

and say well you can be a Democrat and

you can be a Republican and I respect

both of those choices but I'm only going

to be for what works

so if we can't prove it works I'm not

for it it doesn't matter whose side it

came from

and you could pick a team you could say

that you're you're you know

we'll let you go away Robert since you

seem like sort of an

all right

um

here's another indication that we've

reached Peak absurdity uh Wall Street

Journal had a little piece yesterday uh

noting this was an opinion piece but

that the ESG bubble is deflating now do

you think somebody could print

in the Wall Street Journal

without any correction that the ESG

bubble is deflating

now I'd say that's right on schedule

what did I promise you about ESG do you

remember what I promised

I said I said I would uh I would destroy

his reputation before the end of this

year

and now the Wall Street Journal is

publishing

that the ESG bubble is deflating

there's another article that I tweeted

around where somebody noted all of my

ESG comics in in Dilbert

and said you're in bad shape if Dilbert

is mocking your thing

noted BlackRock

so

um if you look at my Twitter feed I've

got a link to uh

all of the ESG related

comics and if you like

um they're all licensable you know

there's a link on there for buying it or

licensing it if you want to use it for

your own purposes

if you use it for your own purposes

without legally licensing it

just make sure you're an individual not

a corporate entity right if you're just

doing it with your friends that's fine

yeah I don't care about I don't care

about copyright if you're forwarding to

your friends or tweeting it you know if

you're just an individual but don't do

it in a corporate way that would require

a license don't do it under corporate

entity

um

so that is my uh

my gift to you I hope it helps

all right here are the things that seem

the most absurd so ESG seems to be

deflating so I think ESG has reached

Peak absurdity true or false has ESG

apparently reached Peak absurdity I say

yes

because people now can out loud they can

criticize it right

uh how about trans athletes

so there's a story uh and of uh which

Carolina north or south

uh about a trans athlete a volleyball

player

who is apparently so powerful that

people are being

injured where the hell is that now there

it is a North Carolina School District

voted last month to forfeit all high

school volleyball games against a rival

school because the Rival school has a

transgender Athlete on the female team

who apparently is really talented

relative to the other players and a

little bit stronger than maybe they

expected

so they're apparently yeah apparently

the uh trans athlete spiked the ball so

hard into the face of an opponent that

the opponent had some injuries which

could be kind of bad I mean the head and

neck that could be pretty bad

does it say about it is but I think this

is the way this will be settled I think

that trans athletes will be allowed to

join teams

that that's the current situation for

the most part but that the teams who

would be scheduled to play against them

will just forfeit

and I think that that's how this will be

handled

now what would happen if every time

somebody joined your team you didn't

have anybody to play

because the teams that cancel uh they

canceled for safety

and if you cancel for safety

nobody can touch you nobody can touch

you

the the schools that canceled for safety

are completely safe because they did it

for a specific reason it was based on

evidence it was an evidence-based

decision

so I think that's the way it's going to

go I think that the freedom of the trans

athletes and by the way if you're new to

me I've always supported the trans

athletes because I think that the the

athletic world needs to be reconfigured

for a variety of reasons not just for

the trans

it sporting is an elite

um

highly uh

harmful process for some people

meaning that the superstars who were

born with genetic gifts we treat as

Heroes and they get all the girls and

the boys and everything else and the

people who are not athletic don't get

any benefits from athletic

organizations

and probably only the top maybe 10

percent are good enough athletes to be

on a team and get all the goodness now

if you're good enough to be on a team

and actually play as opposed to sitting

on the bench

it's amazing I'm very in favor of

organized Sports

see this is this is where the I always

see this NPC comment that Scott is not

athletic and therefore he does not

understand

athleticism I've played every

sport you could imagine when I was a kid

I was playing I would play five sports a

day literally five different organized

Sports a day and that was just normal

you know you do one at lunch one at

recess one after school you know one

with you you'd play catch with your

brother you'd have a pickup game you'd

have five sports a day you do every one

right and that was sort of not even that

untypical when I grew up I I feel as if

you might be young

if you're imagining that I was

non-athletic because when I grew up

there weren't any well I won't say any

90 of boys

were athletic and played all the sports

typically

but today kids might play one sport

right it's really different but if

you're looking at somebody my age and

you say that they didn't participate in

sports you're almost always wrong

almost all males my age played every

sport

you know I'm exaggerating a little bit

but you get the idea

so no that's not it my my uh my opinion

is based on this I've played co-ed

Sports

so co-ed soccer and co-ed tennis

and the co-ed

um soccer and the co-ed tennis were

really really fun

really really fun all you have to do is

make sure that the tennis player you're

playing is about the same level

or you know can can hang with you and

make sure that the soccer players are

not that not that different

so the female soccer players tended to

be the ones who could run

you know when I had a co-ed

um I had a co-ed soccer team as an adult

in my 50s and the women that I recruited

ended up being like college soccer

players they had been and they were

current marathon runners

so I just sort of accidentally recruited

a whole bunch of marathon running women

and many of them played in college and

so suddenly we had this Powerhouse

soccer team you know you couldn't have

uh yeah you had to have mixed you

couldn't play just all men on the field

and it was really really fun

right so

while I do think there's a place for you

know every kind of combination of sports

I think what we need more of

is the Just For Fun sports where

everybody's

everybody just plays people of their

relevant relative ability

yeah

you weren't competing for scholarships

though yes and the the competing for

scholarships is a terrible terrible

process

yeah I think that competing for

scholarships is awesome for the one

percent of people can get them

so for them it's great for the rest of

us it's just we're paying money for your

kid

why am I paying money for your kid

right if my kid isn't as athlete but the

you know the college or whatever that he

that that kid goes to

pays a lot of money for athletics

and maybe it doesn't you know make money

for them depending on the school

why am I why am I subsidizing your child

why is that right

now I'm completely okay with your child

excelling in sports and doing great but

do you think I should pay for it that's

the only question like I want your kid

to have every opportunity and do

everything that they want to do I want

just as much for your kid as you do

I'm just asking you should I subsidize

it

or should you subsidize my kid

who's got more problems because they are

not good at sports

now it's a it's a weird situation

but we have reached peak absurdity in

that I think we've reached Peak

absurdity with both phetamine and Biden

we'll talk about Federal a little bit

more but don't you think that the fact

that fetterman and Biden are both

legitimate Democrat candidates

that is peak absurdity and I don't mean

to be unkind for the differently abled

it's not about that right anybody who

wants to paint me with that brush good

luck it's not about that right yeah if

federmen were blind do you think we'd be

having this conversation no

if fetterman had one leg do you think

we'd be having this conversation no and

everybody knows that everybody knows

that and and watching the Democrats

argue that everything's fine with both

Biden and Federman you do you do you

feel that that is Peak yeah right

nobody's saying that Crenshaw can't do

the job so is

um have we not reached Peak absurdity

would you agree that I'm calling the top

the fact that Federman invited are both

considered legitimate candidates

forget about their politics

I'm not talking about any of their

policy preferences

it's not even about that but the fact

that we're seriously considering both of

those people it's insane

all right and also the Ukraine situation

seems to be reaching some kind of

absurdity like the the bottomless pit

all right let's

um

um so here's some more absurdity

don't you think that the Democrat

policies on covet or have now reached

Peak absurdity

would you agree with that call

the the people wearing masks Outdoors by

themselves

you know the the still requirements for

for things yeah I mean almost everything

energy policy energy policy clearly has

reached Peak absurdity

yeah and but correct me if I'm wrong

all of these things are sort of

coincidentally reaching yeah Dei they're

all reaching uh CRT they're always in

Peak absurdity right before the midterms

is that a weird coincidence

that the absurdity is happening all at

the same time

because it correct Am I Wrong give me

give me a give me a reasonableness check

here now I'm going not on any data I'm

going entirely upon just what it feels

like if you read the news every day what

it feels like is all of those things

that when they first came out

they sounded a little sketchy to you

but you were never sure how big they

would get right

you didn't know how big anything would

get so when things were little and sort

of squirrely

you ignored them well it's squirrely was

kind of small and then it just kept

getting bigger and bigger and bigger

until

the trans stuff couldn't get any more

than whatever it is would you agree

there's nothing more

is there now I'm not arguing what's good

or bad about it I'm just saying we've

we've got to the limit of more there's

nothing more

right so that's the peak if you think

it's absurd then it's pre-conserted if

you think it's all good it's reached the

peak goodness I guess that would be the

other View

all right uh let's talk about uh the

progressives

um there was this

brief Shining Moment yesterday

when uh I think it was a

I saw a tweet saying uh that the

progressives were going to be anti-war

for Ukraine similar to some of the

right-wing people and that maybe for the

first time and this was really really

unusual and special it could be that the

far left and the far right would agree

on the anti-war they would come together

they would fix something that was

important through their you know their

being on the same side and for a while I

thought to myself

America

can finally come together when it

matters you know when the big things

matter

America comes together that progresses

and then I read an article that says

that uh the progressives uh didn't mean

it and uh representative uh jayapal she

withdrew that letter

that was the subject of all this and

says it was released by staff without

vetting

uh how do staff

how in the world would your staff

release a letter like that without

vetting

how in the world

all right you're an if you'd

waited two seconds you would hear me

saying I don't believe them instead of

saying Scott believe the squad he never

learns you use red bill now I guess he's

coming around how about waiting four

seconds before you criticize the

messenger

goodbye

um

so let's talk about fetterman as we're

talking about Peak absurdity so he

started off his uh Thing by saying uh

good night to everyone so good night

everyone

when he began his uh debate now is that

a an example of someone whose brain is

not working

good night everyone

probably not

probably not suppose he had said good

evening everyone

good evening

what's the difference between good night

and good evening

it was night

he says good night everybody

does good night mean goodbye does it

mean hello

good evening usually means hello

good night usually means goodbye

but correct me if I'm wrong was he not

working off a teleprompter

what was not his first sentence on the

teleprompter

we don't know that do we because I've

got a feeling that the teleprompter said

that he probably just read it

now if all he did was confuse evening

with night

not the biggest problem in the world

so I don't know how to judge that one

but it happened uh however he did I

guess his team

accused the closed caption company of

being laggy and maybe inaccurate and so

it made him look bad because he was

reading things that didn't read right

and the company that made that system

and tested it with them and gave him

more opportunities to test it to make

sure it was just what he wanted says

um we gave you all the time you wanted

to test it you didn't do it and it's

exactly what you said was good and then

you said it wasn't good after we gave it

to you so I think I'm going to side with

the uh

probably with the company that produced

it because they did I do think they gave

them a chance to test it

um

John Cooper who's a Twitter user tweets

that every time Maga hears fetterman

stumble over a word tonight they mocked

him every time I heard him stumble I

felt inspired by his selflessness and

bravery

that's the difference between a liberal

and an scientist John Cooper

and I thought to myself

this this has stirred my competitive

juices

now I'm not proud of this

but I'm just sort of reflexively

competitive

like I can't turn it off it's just

always there

and when I see a competition like this

to be who could be the most uh peacock

like person in public and who can say

the thing that makes them look the best

while pretending they're talking about

an issue

so I thought I can top that

I can top that

all right so here's here's the bar he

set on John I'm going to try to exceed

this he says every time I heard him

stumble I felt inspired by his selfness

selflessness and bravery I'm thinking

okay that's good that's really good

I can beat that

and so what I tweeted was

um I'm too competitive to sit on all the

peacocking today so I would like to

submit my entry that proves my humanity

and awesomeness and this was my entry

John fetterman is so brave and selfless

that I have commissioned a statue of him

for my front yard

if all you did was vote for him

I win

I win

right

I think I win I mean I might be a little

biased in the scoring but I think I

think I win

statue beats tweet doesn't it statue

beats tweet every time

declaring victory

I saw this other uh two movies on one

screen tweet from

a Twitter user Point logic he's got his

Twitter handle is Socrates Big Bird

so this is somebody who likes logic and

Socrates and stuff and so this logical

person says according to the maggots

so I'm picking up some cues that it

might be a Democrat or a left-leaning

person because he's calling the bag of

people maggots according to the maggots

Fox News and a load of other Goons

hey I wonder if I'm one of those goons

but according to the maggots Fox News

and a load of other goons he says their

messages that vaccines kill you Pax

lovid kills you and REM does Veer kills

you but

these meds use for other things that are

proven ineffective for covet in all caps

are quote Miracles Ivermectin

hydroxychloroquine

and uh Point logic asks why is this

happening

why is it happening that we've divided

into two movies on one screen where one

says vaccines kill you Paxil if it kills

you rem deserveer kills you and the

other says Ivermectin

hydroxychloroquine work

what's your answer to how that happened

how did it happen

well I have a hypothesis

here's my hypothesis

the complete collapse of experts

once experts became no longer credible

and I think that that's a fair that's

that's a fair summary of the last few

years wouldn't you say would you all

agree with me that the experts took a

real hit in the last two years like

we've never seen before

has there ever been a time in human

history when the experts

did so poorly in any you know one or two

year period I mean it was sort of

unusually bad performance

uh you know maybe witch doctors or

something if you go back further

but

to my mind the complete collapse of

expert credibility left us all on our

own

and when you're on your own and the

experts can't help you or you don't

trust them to help you you just default

to your team

so what happened was the experts were

the only thing that kept us from being

complete

team players

like sometimes you'd say yeah like I'm a

Democrat but I also believe in science

and science says that nuclear power

plants are okay so even though that's

the thing Republicans say you know the

science allows me to

to connect with them and that one thing

right

but now once the experts are completely

discredited which is unfortunately Where

We Are

then people just agree with their team

because it's all they have left

well might as well agree with my team

now nobody thinks it through that way

I'm not saying that's a conscious

decision but it's the default

if you can't if you can't trust the

experts

you trust your team that may be a

terrible idea but it's just what happens

um

I saw an expert on AI Ethan Malik did a

series of tweets which I retweeted and

it's definitely worth reading this is

one of those threads where if you read

this thread you will just see the future

and I promise you you will like you will

see the future more accurately than the

people who did not read the tweet and

basically the gist of it is that the

public doesn't have any idea how fast AI

is coming right now specifically for uh

he was talking about the creative jobs

such as writing

yeah and he used this analogy which I

approve of in this case he said that

people probably are imagining that the

pace of AI is similar to the pace of

microchips where it doubles every X

period right so microchips were used to

um we're sort of acclimated to a certain

level of improvement in technology that

crosses all technology am I right

everything that is from social media to

microchips to everything else every year

is better

it could be significantly better like 20

percent better

right but 20 is nothing like what you're

going to see what we're already seeing

in AI AI is going to hockey stick it's

already in a hockey stick

so AI is not waiting for the hockey

stick

it's in the hockey stick it's it's in

the total upswing

this is a short path to the singularity

like if you were wondering when the

singularity was going to happen the the

one thing you had to know is it was

going to be nothing happening nothing

happening nothing happening nothing

happening it seems like a little is

happening but barely nothing barely

nothing barely nothing barely nothing

whole world changes

all right if you don't know that's

coming

you better get ready for it and that's

what the that's what this will tell you

I I've said before that uh predicting

the future three years out is now

impossible

and that's never been true before even

even when you could be surprised by Wars

and shortages and stuff even with a war

it still looked like a continuation of

the world you knew there just happened

to be War right three years from now

nothing will be familiar

AI will change everything

and there's nothing that can stop it

and it might be in one ear I mean that

it's probably only the commercialization

of it that makes it three years

probably in one year it will already

write better than all humans

in one year

AI will write

everything we want written because it

will do it better and faster you will

still be able to write because you

learned how you just won't have a reason

for it

there will never be a reason to write

after about a year

now think about that

just just think about that one thing

writing

could be obsolete in a year

that's a real thing writing

could by humans could be Obsolete and

now it might turn into some version of

editing

so here's how I imagined I would write a

Dilbert comic in a year from now

so roughly one to two to three years

from now this is how I would write a

Dilbert comic I'd say all right

Dilbert's talking to his boss they're in

the office and show me a new angle that

we haven't seen before

the first panel uh Dilbert says blah

blah blah second panel the boss responds

blah blah blah and then the third panel

uh add something funny

put a punch line there

and then I'm going to walk away

and that's going to be my entire job

that day

yeah in the future the only asset I will

own for Dilbert is the rights to the IP

I will no longer be the only person who

can make it

basically you will be able to make your

own Dilbert comics at home just by

speaking to your AI hey make some

Dilbert comics for me

no no make some dealer comments on me

just on this topic

it'll be done

that's probably one year away

now if you didn't know that was one year

away you really don't know what's

happening

it's coming and it's not just art and

writing that will change

it's everything

it's everything

the entire economy Wars

I really

the three years

it will be exciting I hope it will be

good

[Applause]

um

here's some more absurdities

the hunter laptop Hunter's

activities when his father was vice

president and even when he was between

between jobs

still sort of amazingly being ignored by

one half of the media

uh

all right amazing

absurdity is everywhere

[Applause]

um

the whole fetterman versus Oz thing if

you're making fun of conservatives for

uh they're let's say their ableism is

that what it's called if you're if

you're mocking fetterman because you say

that is

maybe temporary disability is preventing

him from doing the job then you are

against disabled people

to which I say

there's still a Special Olympics right

has anybody pushed for these Special

Olympics people to just be thrown in

with the regular Olympics people is that

happening or do people understand that

your ability affects and I know I'm

going to go out and live here

this is not widely understood and I

realize it's provocative but it's

possible

that your ability

has a some kind of a correlation maybe a

causation to your ability

now I realize we haven't connected those

traditionally because a lot of times

people think your ability

has nothing to do with your ability

and with fetterman we've decided to

disconnect those

so his ability we can't talk about how

his ability is related to his ability to

do the job

now if his ability

was unrelated to his ability

to do the specific job then I would say

that would be unfair

similar the same with the Special

Olympics if these Special Olympics

participants

if their ability

was equal to the ability

of the you know regular Olympics I would

be in favor of them playing together

all right

and

to me it's just amazing that this is

even a conversation fetterman I guess

came out and saying he's fully supports

fracking and he loves fracking he's he's

fracking in love with fracking

did

um did fracking

didn't we always think he was against it

he's just lying right isn't there video

of him saying the opposite or am I

imagining that because I got fooled by

the media on one side

yeah so he's just lying right

and apparently that's that works how

many how many Democrats do you think

know he's lying about fracking

how many Democrats do you think know

he's lying

25 percent

yeah it works because they don't read

the other media

so a Democrat let me let me give you

this as a model a Democrat can make any

lie

and be comfortable that the their voters

won't see the truth would you say that's

true

because the left does not read

Fox News website at all but the right

tends to see both arguments because the

the mainstream argument is mainstream so

they're more likely to see it

yeah it's not really a fair fight

there's one side that knows both sides

we saw that uh clearly and we already

talked about this the MSNBC uh

interview I guess you call it with a

bunch of trump supporters and where you

saw that the ordinary Trump supporter

just the citizen knew more than the

professional political reporter and

demonstrated it by correcting their

twice on facts

and that that was the perfect example of

how the right sees both arguments and

the left only sees one side these are

not these are not similar things they're

not even a little bit similar

all right uh Biden said in public uh

quote almost everyone who will die from

covet this year will not be up to date

on their shots

uh put on your analytical caps

give me two possible reasons why this

could be a true statement give me two

one of them would be vaccinations

protect you right but what's the other

possible explanation for why this might

actually be true that almost everyone

who dies from covid will not be up to

date on their shots

could it be because most people will not

be up to date

so most people in the world will not be

up to date

therefore doesn't it kind of make sense

that most people who are also

coincidentally dying

would be dying for unreal reasons

unrelated to covet

unrelated to covid but

I don't know uh

it's amazing that Biden can say that

kind of stuff out loud

but

at the same time

do you want to get into real

cancellation territory here

who's with me

let's fly close to the Sun

ready

son

Scott

let's do it

there's a Twitter user I've mentioned

before called ethical skeptic how many

of you are familiar with the Twitter

account of ethical skeptic

many of you on Twitter is very well uh

exposed

and this is what the ethical uh ethical

skeptic says this is not what I say all

right so I'm reporting what somebody

said I am not endorsing it and therefore

I cannot be canceled

do we all agree on that I think we do

so ethical Skeptics says the same thing

which I do not endorse nor do I rebuke

so you will see no opinion for me yet

he says the latest variant to come on

the Block what they are calling BQ is

seeking out vaccinated individuals three

to one over unvaccinated and has a

particular taste for those who were

recently vaccinated as well

so he's famous

this user Twitter user for being an

expert on data and for using public data

sources and putting them together in

ways that show different possible

conclusions than the mainstream ones

I don't know if anything he does is real

let me say it as quick as clearly as I

can

I cannot judge whether the ethical

skeptic is a genius

who's doing a service for the country

because many people are looking at it

that way and it might be it could be

or if it's somebody who doesn't know

what they're talking about but I can't

tell the difference

I have no idea

I have no opinion on whether this is

valid or invalid smart or not smart

true or not true I have no idea I really

don't I'm not kidding

I'm not joking I really can't tell and

it's one of my you know Mysteries I'm

trying to solve but

is there any other reason

first of all do you think it's true

as a fact you fact Jack this do you

think it's true that the vaccine the

recently vaccinated are more likely to

get covered

because remember the the vaccinated the

vaccinations don't prevent you from

getting it

but what what would the recently

vaccinated have in common

what would the recently vaccinated have

in common

wouldn't they well Democrats yes but

wouldn't they also believe that they

needed the booster

wouldn't it be people who's

self-assessed and probably their doctor

as well said oh you're you're in a

situation where you're either going to

be around a lot of people

you're either around a lot of people

or you might be extra weak

so

um it may be true that the vaccinated

are more likely to get infected

but there's nothing about the vaccinated

that is common to the public

or let me say that clear the people who

are recently boosted are a special group

of people and they're special in a

variety of ways so it doesn't tell you

anything about the public at Large

right so

is ethical skeptical showing us

something that is of the greatest

National importance and we're all

missing it

or is it as simple as the population of

people who got boosted is not like the

rest of us

I don't know

I know and and I would guess

that if ethical skeptic were here he

would say Scott Scott here's why what

you're saying is wrong and it would

probably make sense like I'm not selling

what my opinion has right

it's just a mystery to me I don't I

don't know

anyway keep an eye on that

um I Heard a theory about China

two theories about China that spell it's

doom and maybe the United States doomed

too but let's talk about China

uh one of them is that they're already

lying massively about their population

decrease and that Chinese populations is

substantially smaller than what you

thought it was because they've already

constrained their population and that

when you do that you end up with way too

many uh retired people compared to

workers and it's just basically a time

bomb and there's nothing they can do

about it

so basically they would be doomed by

demographics that's one theory of why

China is doomed number two

um

there's a theory that the the main thing

that makes any country look successful

is that they're overspending on

infrastructure because they need it

and that when Japan overspent on

infrastructure it looked like they were

booming and they were going to eat our

lunch

but when they stopped spending on

infrastructure and you know got down to

a normal level

they had no GDP growth for years and

years and years

and that the United States might you

know suffer a similar thing where if if

Government stops spending massively as

it has been recently then maybe we don't

have any real growth like it's all been

government

so by that argument uh when China

reaches its limit of uh not a limit but

when it does most of its infrastructure

projects and then it slows down because

it's done most of what it needs to do

it's just in a new stuff mode that there

won't be enough government spending in

China to keep the GDP having

and then it all falls apart

what do you think well in economics

there's one rule that I like to stick

with which is people are terrible at

predicting any of this stuff and the

Adam's law of slow-moving disasters

suggests that people will make whatever

adjustments they can

so these are gigantic threats to China

but I wouldn't say necessarily that that

means they're doomed but then they have

this third thing going on

which is they're no longer trustworthy

and being not trustworthy means that

people don't do want to do business with

you and I think that's going to hurt

more than it's hurting now

you know that trick where we said

Hillary Clinton was warning that the

Democrats would try to steal the

election which is a signal that I'm

sorry the Hillary warned that the

Republicans would try to steal the next

election which is really

priming the environment for the

Democrats to steal the election because

you won't see it coming

if they've made you think Republicans

are going to do it it's just a good way

to cover your evil

and now NATO is blaming Russia of using

the same trick

Russia is saying that Ukraine is

planning to use a dirty bomb you know a

nuclear dirty bomb

uh

whereas NATO says no no no

that's what Russia accuses the other

side of before they do the thing so

apparently that's a known strategy

that Russia accuses you of what they're

planning to do so if Russia accuses you

of a chemical uh a chemical weapons

attack

they are definitely going to use a

chemical weapon if they accuse you of

using a dirty bomb or planning it

they're definitely planning to use a

dirty bomb

now maybe to blame the other side maybe

just because they want to use it but I'd

worry about this

it looks like an understood problem

and NATO is all over it

all right

so back to my theme

my theme is that we've reached Peak

absurdity

look at every story I talked about

there's a story that maybe Russia will

nuke itself

because Russia thinks Ukraine is part of

Russia

so we're literally acting serious about

the possibility that Russia will nuke

itself

personally I think that's absurd

I don't see any possibility of that now

I also thought that Russia wouldn't

wouldn't invade so you have to put my

opinion in context right uh so my

ability to predict what Putin will do is

now uh has been demonstrated as low

ability

so

um

by the way do you know what my my most

frequent criticism is I never admit when

I'm wrong

I will submit to you that no one has

admitted they're wrong more often or

reliably than I have of any public

figure

that's my claim that literally of all

public figures of all time nobody has

ever spent more time admitting they were

wrong in public than I have

well if you think that's false name the

other person I think that the number of

times I've admitted I'm wrong in public

would be maybe 20 times

those of you who have watched me since

the beginning put a number on it

if you can remember just roughly how

many times do you think I've admitted

I'm wrong in public 20 times

somebody said 100.

yeah but you wouldn't but you wouldn't

disagree you wouldn't disagree with my

estimate of 20 would you like that's not

crazy

somebody says 10 or so

between 20 and 100. all right so

whatever it is if you're on uh if you're

on YouTube you're not seeing the

comments the low the people on the

locals platform most of them have

followed me for the longest time and

they they're not arguing with my

estimate

they're they're just putting different

numbers on it but there's an arguing

with the main point that I've admitted

I'm wrong a whole bunch of times

a whole bunch of times

now if you say you're wrong more than

anybody in the world or at least you

know you're in the top one percent of

that

people will tell you you never admit

you're wrong

and it's the most frustrating thing

it's the most frustrating thing because

I don't mind being accused of things

I've done I mean that doesn't feel good

but at least at least you feel you're in

a just world that makes sense well I did

make that mistake they are criticizing

me okay right so when people criticize

me for being wrong about

Russia invading

I don't I don't insult you right I just

say well yep you got me on that one

it's hard because you're a comedian in

your audience has lots of hecklers

maybe I'm not sure if people even see me

as a comedian when I'm doing this stuff

uh

okay Gino says you've you've recommended

me to others

because I've admitted when I'm wrong

the the thing about admitting money

wrong is that I don't think people

understand that it makes you stronger

if people understood that they would do

it

now obviously there's a right and a

wrong way to do it

but if you do it fully

and by the way is there anything more

surprising I like to use Mike cernovich

for all of my examples it's amazing how

many how many situations he fits into as

a as a teaching point

but so Mike's very much did the whole uh

you know the pizzagate situation

and then instead of like explaining it

away or you know making it look like it

the the real problem was his accuser he

just put it in his movie

so he made a movie and he just you know

he featured it

instead of explaining it apologizing for

it he just featured it

any any other questions

and I feel like that's what allowed his

um

his his Twitter traffic to grow Etc is

that people saw oh okay

you just you fully ex you just accepted

that and then he moved on

uh Mike made the movie A hoaxed

with an ed on the end hoaxed

which by the way I've recommended very

highly it's a tremendous movie and I

think I think we need hoax to too

because the number of hoaxes since that

movie

it's just begging for a hoax to two

which I hope he makes

all right

uh you know the hoax quiz

yeah similar to the superpower of saying

I don't know

you don't want to overdo that one but

there is power in admitting you don't

know something that's true

yeah

so now we have 16 hoaxes

and you know that's a abbreviated list

and even the people who know that 12 of

them are real hoaxes

foreign

that always amazes me

all right is there any story I missed

today

any any big thing happening I saw Mike

Pence uh

teasing that

yeah the Susan Sarah surrender tweet I'm

trying to remember I saw it but I can't

remember what that was

all right

where can the hoax list to be found

um

good question I think if you went to

Twitter and just searched for it

is also on locals I published it a few

times at locals

it's not a pin tweet anymore I changed

my pin tweet

uh there's a book about race hoaxes yeah

but I think the race Oaks is that's too

narrow

yeah there's a earthquake I guess this

morning

I did not feel it

or yesterday or yesterday

it's a 5.1

uh I mean what jobs would advise a

teenager that's tough you know I used to

advise teenagers to go into uh the Arts

because that would be the the last thing

that AI would get to

but

that's all wrong so now ai does better

graphic art and it does better writing

already it won't be long before it does

humor better

uh

the expensive toilet in San Francisco

yeah that's

the

so the stories I typically stay away

from are the air force uh was charged

two million dollars for a screw

right I'm talking about a physical screw

uh not prostitution

and

they the media gets that story wrong

every time

every time the reason that the the one

little part cost a million dollars is

that nobody made that part they had to

like build an assembly line just to make

the part and so they charge you what it

cost right it's a retooling cost and

when the media reports that they report

it like it's a market price and they

just gouged

is never that not once not once has that

story been true

every time you saw that story and how

many of those have you seen everyone was

fake

they were all fake and everybody who had

an economics degree knew it you know we

everybody watched it was like

no there's a reason it's a million

dollars now they may they may have

patted the million dollars which is you

know or related but a separate point but

the reason it's so expensive is because

they had to retool they may have also

you know padded padded the retooling

price I wouldn't be surprised

but the big the big answer is that they

had to retool

um

explain the two thousand dollar Air

Force heated mugs easily there were

there was a special requirement if you

look at their two thousand dollar heated

mugs I think you would find that they

either had to you know work if your

airplane is flying upside down or

something

there's probably some weird requirement

that required them to retool something

to make them something like that

or maybe the the demand was low so the

only way to make them is on

ineconomically

but if you looked into it you'd find

there was always a reason

here's what you wouldn't find

well honestly

it did only cost us ten dollars to make

these mugs honestly but we thought we

could get away with charging two

thousand dollars

I don't believe that's ever happened

and if it has somebody probably got

caught and got fired right

now the hospital bills are different

all right I'm talking about the military

Contracting

the hospitals charge whatever they just

whatever they want they just make up

numbers whatever they can get away with

Hospital prices is just based on what

you can get away with

wouldn't you say

am I right I mean it's always priced if

they can price it over cost of course so

that's the minimum but hospitals only

look at what they can get away with is

purely a

uh I mean it's closer to a scam than it

is an actual business model

uh Trump's testimony to be on tape today

that's going to be interesting

so

how surprised are you

that the January 6th thing uh followed

the following Arc

it was the primary thing that the

Democrats thought they could use against

the Republicans

and as of this week

Trump is still telling uh do a fact

check on this but I think Trump told Oz

that he needs to talk more about the

election

uh the election being rigged to win his

elections

do you believe that

we we went all the way from it's the

biggest problem that Trump has ever been

in

two if you don't accept it his view on

it you can't even get elected

that might be the biggest switch

in per maybe in the biggest persuasion

movement we've ever seen

oh I was bastards right I'm sorry

it was Blake Masters who was uh

receiving a phone call from Trump so it

was not

um yeah it was not Oz

but at the same point it doesn't matter

who it was the same point is that

that Trump can say out loud

you'd better talk about election

Integrity if you want to win

and I don't think he's wrong I think

he's actually right I mean even the

Democrats are talking Non-Stop about the

elections being riggable

Hillary Clinton is agreeing with Trump

that the elections are now secure

and and Trump did that

correct me if I'm wrong but he went all

the way from our elections are perfect

to not a single person in the country

trust the elections

I believe he did that all himself

right

there's there's no Democrat and no

Republican who fully trusts the system

now you if you do a poll you're going to

get 25 saying everything's fine but that

25 is brain dead on every question I

mean all the thinking people are worried

about election integrity and should be

right which doesn't mean there's a

problem

but you should be worried about it

yeah the Dems have been complaining for

years true

um once again Trump has shattered

reality

true story

now I'm going to throw in a

two unlikely predictions are you ready

number one most of the smart people say

we're headed for a recession in 2023.

I'm going to say that 2023 will be

better than we expected economically

I don't know what that means but I'm

going to say that the the consensus of

experts will be way worse than the

economy

and I'm going to base it on some sort of

a you know rule of thumb type stuff

without a lot of analysis

number one

employment stays High

number two we've had enough time to

adjust our uh

uh supply lines

you know maybe enough

next every other country will be doing

worse than us

which I I think there's an argument that

that helps you to be the best of the

worst

because that gives your currency strong

am I wrong about that

that as long as your currency is better

than all the other places that are worse

you're still okay it's just that if your

currency started looking bad compared to

others well then you're in trouble

so we don't have to be good we have to

be better than other places

right

so being better than other places is

easier than it's ever been

that's never been easier

and I think the United States has more

the United States is willing to shoot

itself

to rebuild faster than any other country

I don't know that that's true by the way

and that could be pure bigotry on my

part but it feels like the U.S is more

able to bury its uh bury his own

mistakes and just say all right

everything we're doing up to this point

was wrong let's do it all different rip

it out rip it out by the roots I think

we do that faster and better than

anybody

so I'm going to predict that our economy

except for inflation

I'm going to allow that inflation will

stay high for a while because it has to

and I'm going to give you

a counter-intuitive

when I say inflation stays High because

it has to it has to for good and for bad

like we had to drain we have to drain

some cash out of the system it's the

only way to do it

as far as I know and

but but as long as everything else keeps

humming along as long as America is less

bad than all the Alternatives I feel

like I feel like we're going to have a

good year next year

which will be a problem

for the 2024 election

because Trump or whoever is running

it might run into a strong economy a

weirdly strong economy and you might be

used to inflation by then

yeah inflation will not be good next

year so let me be clear inflation will

not be solved next year that will be the

problem that stays with us but if

everything else works

it's going to be

absorbable in the long run

all right

so I'm going to make that prediction

that the economy will be better than the

consensus of experts I don't know how

much better

here's my second one

Trump has an opportunity

that only one person has ever had before

only one person in the history of the

whole world

has been in a position that Trump is

likely to be in

and it goes like this

George Washington walked away from Power

when he didn't need to

for the good of the country he said

although you know I think that's the

historical interpretation I suspect it

was a little bit good for him as well

but it got interpreted as you know the

the greatest move

that really defined the whole country

didn't it

pretty much the most

fundamental part of our you know

National DNA

is that George Washington walked away

from Power

I would argue that nothing is more

essential

to the United States success

than George Washington walked away from

power and everybody learned it

you learned that when you were whatever

great right

Trump will be projected to you know

sweep the field everybody thinks he

could get the nomination and I think any

Republican can win now

so if Trump decided not to run

he would be the first president ever

who could do a legitimate George

Washington

and if the reason he gave was that he

was too controversial and there are

other other Republicans let's say who

have similar policies but less

controversy

he would not only redeem himself for

losing the first election

but he would pass him to Legend

territory

it would be Legend

If he if he does a second term

half of the country will think it was

the end of the world and will always

imagine it that way and half will think

you did a good job probably

if he walks away when he's guaranteed to

win and allows a republican let's say to

get in there and just do a good job

could be DeSantis somebody else

he would be Legend

you would be Legend and you could never

take that away from him

even the Democrats would say oh

the only problem we had with him was he

was he was too provocative

and he and he didn't want the country to

go through that again

think about it

now I don't think he's going to do it so

this is not not a prediction it would

seem counter to everything everything

he's done it would also be a big risk

because it would take him out of the

game

like too early because he's not done

like he's got more to do clearly so

unless he had more to do

let's say we're working on Truth social

or we're working on fixing the the media

if Trump left and said I'm going to work

on fixing

the debate

so I'll host a debate show so you can

see see which side works if Trump hosted

a legitimate debate show

he would run the country without being

president

doubt me go ahead

tell me I'm wrong about that you can't

if Trump said I'm not going to run

because I don't think people this age

should be president

uh foreign

but if Trump said I've aged to enter the

job and I'm a little too provocative

he would be Legend

he would he would Ascend basically you

would Ascend to just god-like territory

and the the anals of presidents in my

opinion that would be my opinion that

nothing could be a higher accomplishment

than that

and I'm right that I'm wrong yeah he's

not going to do it so the trouble with

my

um prognostic

prognostication here is that everything

you like about Trump tells you he won't

do that

am I right everything you like about him

is he doesn't give up

doesn't apologize doesn't quit like

those are all the things you liked so if

he apologized and quit I guess it

wouldn't be an apology but it would be

accepting his own limitations I guess

if he did that

that would be so out of Personality that

you you can't even imagine it really

I think he needs to win

now imagine he won with a strong vice

president

imagine he wins with a real strong vice

president

and then he steps down in two years

because he's not feeling well

that

he still keeps the option

but that would not feel as selfless

because it would be stepping down and

putting your own chosen vice president

in charge so that's not exactly George

Washington material

yeah and I don't see any I don't see him

stepping down

under any condition

I don't think that Trump would pick

Kerry Lake tell me why

go tell me why Trump will not pick

Carrie Lake as a VP well too soon that

that's probably all the reason you need

too strong yeah too strong

you don't want to pick somebody that

people will continually say you know

you know

maybe you should

make her present you don't want that

conversation to happen all and that

didn't happen with Pence did it was

there a lot of conversation about how

pens should have been the top of the

ticket

I don't remember hearing that even once

yeah Pence was perfect

uh that was just

I I can't say enough good things about

Mike Pence I don't want him to be

president but my god do I respect that

man

for for the service he did to the

country

all right

um

I think we've done everything we need to

do today let's go do some other things

am I right that this was the most

amazing live stream you've ever seen

did I pull my theme together

Peak absurdity

anybody

did I make my case I think I did I think

I did all right well then in that case

we've done what we need to do today and

I'll see you tomorrow