Episode 1994 Scott Adams - Crowder, WEF And More
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Alec Baldwin's pending trial - Christopher Wray at WEF - Steven Crowder vs. Daily Wire - Corruption explains fentanyl deaths - Supreme Court leaker can't be found? - 57% say investigate CDC over vaccine ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization: Coffee with Scott Adams. There's never been a finer thing. And if you'd like to take this up to levels that nobody's ever experienced before unless they've climbed a mountain while doing acid and having sex at the same time or som…
View segment →or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine. The other day, the thing t
View segment →hat makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it's happening now. Go. Yeah, that was a good one. Looks like everything's operating just the way it should today. I'm feeling like you're all going to have a good day today. Is anybody ready for a good day? Yeah. Don M asked me, w…
View segment →you go. You're private now. All right, what's going on? Question number one. I saw a user on Twitter, Terry Schilling, asked this question to his users: Should men still open doors for women? Interesting question. Should men still open doors? Now let me make a distinction. The distinction is, oh I…
View segment →wouldn't notice unless you're following certain Twitter accounts. But Corey DeAngelis continues to report that various state legislatures are improving funding for that follows the kid instead of the school so that parents could say let's take our kid to another school and then some money would go w…
View segment →ing. It's a big deal. And I love the fact that when we talk about the states being the laboratory for the country this is exactly what we're talking about, right? Let a few smart states try something. They probably won't execute the same way. See if anybody can nail it. If anybody nails it maybe we…
View segment →double check that gun? Like nobody's going to learn anything if he goes to jail. There's no learning that will happen. So and his ideology is going to be like reformed so if he makes another movie he won't make that same mistake again. There's just nothing. There's just no benefit. Now if you say t…
View segment →make a completely different switch. My argument, yeah your head's going to spin here. He was also the head of the production. As the head of the production it looks like he really effed up. It looks like he just didn't do the job of a boss to make sure the right people were in place and the right pr…
View segment →looking into it. It doesn't sound true. Doesn't sound true. Yeah so let me say that. I'll go look that up. I was going to do that before I get on but I want to comment before researching it. It doesn't sound true. It sounds like it's true-ish. It has the ring to it of something that sounds true but…
View segment →omebody with audio without their permission. In my state it is. It's different I think different places. So that's the first thing you need to know. So the Daily Wire has played this so far professionally and I got to give them credit for that. Now here's what Crowder should have done or could hav…
View segment →? Of course not. Do they say we will give you a contract if you give us a book we can't publish because it's so terrible? No. In every case people have to perform. Performing to a contract is the most basic thing any contract does. So they just said this is what we expect of you. If this thing happe…
View segment →t if it's something like this? It caught my eye either six percent of the public is sensitive to gluten and almost the same number believe they had vaccine side effects. Do you think it could be as simple as there's some people who have a specific allergy and they did have bad outcomes with the vax?…
View segment →ight now. Which group is more likely to get the most shots and the most boosters? The ones who know they have no real risk to begin with and they're not around people all the time. What are the people who are around people and also have the highest risk? They should be the ones who are around people…
View segment →ow is it cognitive dissonance if I allow that both possibilities are entirely possible? Cognitive dissonance is almost always when you've made up your mind. I'm telling you explicitly both possibilities are alive. Can you hear that or not? Edith Eve is yelling cognitive dissonance. Edith you're in c…
View segment →was. All right what did Crenshaw say? Crenshaw is supporting military against the cartels. Well there we go. Is there anybody who doesn't now? I'm going to ask you a question that I know I'm going to get mocked for. All right I sometimes think that one of my special let's say services that I can d…
View segment →ke we did get to the point where that would be done intentionally. Yeah that's somebody should go to jail for that don't you think? I would think that's I don't know if it's a crime but it ought to be. 13 schools. God that's just amazing. Yes for over a year. Oh my God yeah. Life after death would…
View segment →s every one of those folders was touched by the president of the United States and had a state secret in it which would be kind of cool. I have a request for a parting sip for the YouTube people and I think I will comply. Here's your parting sip for this great livestream. I'm going to talk to the L…
View segment →Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of civilization: Coffee with Scott Adams. There's never been a finer thing. And if you'd like to take this up to levels that nobody's ever experienced before unless they've climbed a mountain while doing acid and having sex at the same time or something like that, well all we have today is a substitute for all that good stuff. And it's called a glass, a tankard, a shallow stein, a canteen, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine. The other day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it's happening now. Go.
Yeah, that was a good one. Looks like everything's operating just the way it should today. I'm feeling like you're all going to have a good day today. Is anybody ready for a good day? Yeah.
Don M asked me, what about smoking weed with Scott Adams? Well, sounds like somebody needs to join the Locals community where we do visit the man cave in the evenings. And the man cave is a very different, very different situation. But we're going to go private over here on Locals. There are subscription sites. They get the good stuff. There you go. You're private now.
All right, what's going on? Question number one. I saw a user on Twitter, Terry Schilling, asked this question to his users: Should men still open doors for women? Interesting question. Should men still open doors?
Now let me make a distinction. The distinction is, oh I'm only private on the Locals platform so I do some extra content there. On YouTube it's public. This is all public on YouTube. So I make a distinction between opening a door where a woman walks up to a door and stands there and waits for you to open the door for her versus you've walked through a door and then you're holding it open for somebody, or you just get there first because you're walking first and then you hold it open for, could it be a woman but it could be anybody.
Now my take on this is if I don't know their pronouns I don't want to take a chance. And if you can't identify a woman by looking at them, and I believe that is the standard, the standard now is that you can't identify a woman just by looking, that would be kind of an assumption. Now what if you saw somebody coming and you said to yourself, oh a woman, I think I'll be polite. And then what if you're wrong? What if it's somebody who identifies as a man but you've misidentified? Well what a social problem for you. Probably get canceled on social media as well. So don't take the chance. If you see a woman coming or somebody you identify as a woman but you don't know, hold that door closed and don't let that person even get through. That's the only way to play it. You gotta let them fight with it a little bit and then you'll all be like equal. No, not even equal. Equitable. That would be equitable.
Well that's just a big cluster F so we'll see how that works out.
Here's a growing positive trend that you wouldn't notice unless you're following certain Twitter accounts. But Corey DeAngelis continues to report that various state legislatures are improving funding for that follows the kid instead of the school so that parents could say let's take our kid to another school and then some money would go with them to help pay for that alternate school. So free market. It's apparently Florida. Florida legislature just introduced a bill to fund students and study systems. So a number of states are doing it and the conservative states seem to be passing them. It's a big thing. It's a big deal. And I love the fact that when we talk about the states being the laboratory for the country this is exactly what we're talking about, right? Let a few smart states try something. They probably won't execute the same way. See if anybody can nail it. If anybody nails it maybe we know in five to seven years and then we can start copying it. It's pretty good. That's a pretty good sign.
Actor Alec Baldwin is going to be prosecuted for two counts. We've talked about this way too much but here's the first thing. I'll bet we're going to find out a whole bunch of surprises. I think the trial will kick up some things that just seem like surprises. And apparently at one point early in the process Baldwin had said in an interview that he did not pull the trigger but the forensic people said yes the trigger was pulled. Now is that going to be a problem because he said I would never point a gun at a person and pull the trigger even if it was a movie gun. He said he would never do that which suggests, unfortunately for him it suggests that he was fully aware, fully aware of the danger of pointing a gun into somebody and he did pull the trigger according to the forensics people. We don't know. Yeah I suppose it could be like a weird defective gun that pulls its own trigger or something. Yeah the trigger pulled itself.
Well so here's my take on it. I hate, you know the legal system has to do what the legal system does but I hate that it was a genuine accident and some another life and his family will all be scarred by it forever. I don't know it just doesn't feel like justice because you can't bring the person back and it would be hard to punish him more than he's already punished, you know psychologically and financially and reputationally and everything else. And it's not exactly like there's any message to be sent is there? Is there anybody in Hollywood who doesn't already know to maybe double check that gun? Like nobody's going to learn anything if he goes to jail. There's no learning that will happen. So and his ideology is going to be like reformed so if he makes another movie he won't make that same mistake again. There's just nothing. There's just no benefit.
Now if you say that the family of the deceased should sue him and get a bunch of money I think that already happened didn't it? And that feels like the right domain. You know maybe there's financial compensation but I don't know. Jail doesn't make sense.
Now let me make a completely different switch. My argument, yeah your head's going to spin here. He was also the head of the production. As the head of the production it looks like he really effed up. It looks like he just didn't do the job of a boss to make sure the right people were in place and the right processes. That's harder to defend, right? The asking a non-gun owner actor in the context of a fictional movie to do all the right things. Yeah so that's a big ask. But asking a boss to make sure he hired the right people to take care of safety when there were all kinds of safety complaints, that one's hard to defend. So I think he's in trouble but we're gonna have some surprises. I know we'll have some surprises. Apparently there were more live bullets in his gun belt. I saw that in a Timcast tweet.
All right, apparently we know why the airline failure happened. The FAA said some contractor unintentionally deleted some files that some antiquated system needed to operate and it was hard to recover the files. Now the obvious is why do we have a system that's that weak? That's like the weakest system I've ever seen. Apparently it's really old. It's like from the generation of the Walkman. I saw somebody in Wall Street Journal say so. Boy somebody was not doing their job there but there's not much to say about that.
I saw a video at the World Economic Forum in which FBI director Christopher Wray was talking and user Alx on Twitter tweeted this is what Wray actually said. Now it's a little out of context but my point will be that he shouldn't be there in any capacity so even in context it's all wrong. But this is probably a little bit out of context but here's what he says. The level of collaboration between the private sector and the government, especially the FBI, has made significant strides. Yes it has. Yes as a matter of fact it has. The scariest thing you've ever heard. Why are we sending a representative of the United States to embarrass us in front of the world? What? Like why is that okay? Like why does he still have a job? Like everything about that is just creepy and wrong. It was probably out of context and you know I'm sure the context would have not sounded as scary. So this is something the WEF does is they do things which certainly sounds scary. You know who knows what they actually intend to do.
So here's what I'm trying to understand about the World Economic Forum. Is it a useless Dilbert entity where a bunch of people get together and say a bunch of jargon and have a nice holiday and go home? How many people think that's what's happening and that they don't really have any impact on anything? Like everything would have happened on its own. They just talk about it and take credit and pat each other on the back. Oh I'm saying yeses and those but I think it's at least partly that. Wouldn't you agree? No matter what else it is it's partly just a bunch of jargon spewing, woke signaling people having a nice vacation. It would be easy to overestimate how much power they have but it would be easy to underestimate it too because there might be some circles, some areas where they do influence.
Now I saw on Tucker Carlson's show the claim that the WEF was behind Sri Lanka's destroyed economy because Sri Lanka didn't use proper fertilizer because it was sort of pooh-pooed by the WEF in some way. Is that true? Let me say that without even looking into it. It doesn't sound true. Doesn't sound true. Yeah so let me say that. I'll go look that up. I was going to do that before I get on but I want to comment before researching it. It doesn't sound true. It sounds like it's true-ish. It has the ring to it of something that sounds true but if you looked into it there'd be a little something there.
Well let me understand this. The WEF cannot require anybody to do anything or am I right? So they didn't require anybody to do anything and so Sri Lanka was under no more or less requirement than every other country. Is that true or false? Every country had the same set of standards that were being pushed on them but one of them made a horrible catastrophic decision to I don't know follow some specific part of it too far. Why did nobody else do it? Incentives. Did the WEF offer them incentives? All right heavily encouraged. Did they heavily encourage them to look for substitutes or did they heavily encourage them to farm in a way that would not possibly work? Because I have trouble believing that the WEF said get rid of your fertilizer and don't replace it with anything. I don't believe that happened. Do you believe that happened? I don't believe that happened. And only one country in all the countries, only little Sri Lanka actually took that advice. They're the only ones.
Am I acting too confident for someone who has no information on the topic whatsoever? Probably. But I want you to see. So this is like a little test. I believe that you could usually, let's say eighty percent of the time, identify without doing any research eighty percent of the time. Now the twenty percent of the time could be a real problem right? So I'm not saying 80 is good but I think about 80 of the time you can tell it's just from the story itself. So I'm gonna call on the story with a complete lack of knowledge about the context because I think I have an 80 chance of being right and then a 20 chance of embarrassing myself but I never care about that right? So it's just an experiment. I don't know what's true. I'll just make it an eighty percent bet then tomorrow if I remember we'll check and I'll tell you if there's any context that changes the situation. But I don't believe it's true. But I could be wrong.
Let's talk about Stephen Crowder versus The Daily Wire. I knew this story was going to get more interesting didn't you? Couldn't you kind of smell it? Like there was a little story. I'll give you the starting point but just from the very beginning I thought this is going to go deeper and then it did.
All right so the story is internet conservative superstar Stephen Crowder who has millions of followers on YouTube and other places and he was offered a very lucrative contract to work with Daily Wire. And what went wrong was the Daily Wire made a large offer of 50 million over four years with the option to extend. Now that 50 million would include his production costs but you know maybe that's 10 or 20 percent of it so it's a big deal. A connection problem there. And Stephen Crowder went public but he didn't name the entity. He didn't name Daily Wire initially. Daily Wire outed themselves because I think they assumed people would figure out who they were. There are not many entities on the right who could offer a big contract right? And he was leaving Blaze. The Blaze. So they basically were like two entities that could offer him a lot of money and the Daily Wire was one so people would have figured it out. I think that trying to imagine that nobody would figure it out was unrealistic in my opinion. Somebody would have figured it out from the ends.
But Crowder said that the real issue was that the Daily Wire's offer was, let's see if I can, I'll try to do my most honest attempt to accurately characterize his opinion which is always sketchy whenever you're trying to summarize someone else's opinion. You almost never get it right because I watch people do it with me and they never get it right. So I'm wary that I might be misrepresenting his opinion but you all, many of you have seen it so keep me honest okay? So call me out if I'm not representing his side as accurately as possible.
Part of the deal said that if Crowder got demonetized by YouTube for example or some other platforms that would have obviously have a big impact on their shared revenue. So the idea was Crowder would make content, Daily Wire would promote it and put it on their platforms etc. and then the two of them would share the combined money. But if Crowder did something that would get him demonetized or banned on platforms the amount of money the two of them could make could be substantially decreased. So the Daily Wire's first offer, and first offer is important, first offer is not a final offer, his first offer was that there would be a financial offset for that or penalties you might call it so that they wouldn't have to pay Crowder millions of dollars if he was making no money for them.
Now Crowder interpreted this as effectively a form of censorship because he would be penalized if some other platform that he can't control decided he said something they didn't like. So in effect his point, which is accurate, this is an accurate point, is that the Daily Wire's offer would make him still subsidiary to the social media censors. In other words he would now, the Daily Wire would be an extra force on the side of the censors. Does that capture it? That the Daily Wire's offer because it included a penalty for bad behavior, you know bad behavior in quotes, that that was the same as being on the side of the censors. How many would take that view?
Oh and furthermore he said very clearly it is not about the money. It is not about the money. Does that capture it? And then he backed up it's not about the money by saying I never said the 50 million wasn't enough. I never even discussed the dollar amount which apparently is true. So does that back his view that it's not about the money because he never discussed the 50 million? It's only about them being on the side of the censors. And that he was also concerned not so much for himself but he said directly on an audio we heard he said but what about the smaller person who comes up and can't negotiate with you? What about them? Are they going to get this deal too where basically everybody's just going to be under the heel of the censors which is exactly what we don't want. And then he suggested that they move away from being dependent on advertising now.
So would you characterize that as number one not about the money? How many would you agree the Crowder's complaint was not about the money? You're not quite sure are you? Well I'm gonna clear it up for you in a minute.
All right so let me give you three different takes on this. The first take will be people who don't have experience in business. Second take will be from a lawyer. The third take will be from somebody who's very experienced at negotiating contracts very much of this type. Do you think those three views are going to be the same? Not even close. Not even close.
All right so for our first stand in for the opinion of someone who I believe and if by the way if I'm mischaracterizing this individual please correct me but do you know Carolyn Borysenko on Twitter? Dr. Carolyn Borysenko. Now she's a popular tweeter. You've seen a lot of her tweets probably. And her take was, oh first of all you need to know that Stephen Crowder recorded his phone call with the Daily Wire and then he played it on the air. Okay we'll talk about that. But Dr. Borysenko says Stephen Crowder recorded phone call with the Daily Wire CEO that absolutely destroys the narrative that they, meaning the Daily Wire, have been trying to sell you. And so I listened to the audio and I didn't hear that. I didn't hear anything like that. I didn't hear any narrative get destroyed. Do you know what I heard? I'll tell you in a minute.
So somebody who, and again if I'm mischaracterizing this you know somebody should correct me because I'll apologize but I don't think that Dr. Borysenko would characterize herself as an expert in business or negotiating. I don't think so. Now if you're not really experienced in negotiating would it be reasonable that your take on this is incomplete? That there's maybe some blind spots because just a lack of experience in this. It's a very unique domain right? It's a domain that if you're not quite experienced with there'd be huge things that are not obvious to you. It would just be obvious to somebody who does it for a living. So that's one take.
So I'll say more about that but initially I would say it looks like she's agreeing that it wasn't about the money and it looks like she's agreeing that it was about the censorship. Is that a reasonable take for somebody who's not an expert at negotiating contracts? Is that reasonable from that perspective? Let's say I think so. I mean it sounds like a smart person because she is smart. She's above average, way above average I think, way above average in IQ and accomplishment. And it's reasonable if that was your frame of reference.
Now let's take another frame of reference. There's an attorney, maybe you've heard of him, Robert Barnes. Has anybody ever heard of attorney Robert Barnes? Well he's got a take in which he said on Twitter Crowder called the gilded cage of censored speech slavery to Big Tech not the dollar offer. And he says Crowder was right. So from a lawyer's take he's sort of more of like a technical take on what he said and his technical take is that it was about censored speech, you know slavery to Big Tech. It was not about the dollar amount of the offer. So that's the lawyer's take. By the way Robert Barnes is who I call the dumbest attorney in the world but that doesn't mean he's wrong on this. Just he's wrong about me. But so I just have a problem with him personally but yeah is that a reasonable opinion? Do you think that the attorney view because it very much agrees with Dr. Borysenko? Pretty reasonable. Yeah I'm going to say that's reasonable based on what he heard.
All right now I'm going to give you the third view which is someone with extensive business experience in this exact domain and that would be me. Because not only am I a content provider who has done lots of content providing contracts of all kinds but I also used to be a contract negotiator for a living and I've got a degree in economics and an MBA and so I have exactly the qualifications for exactly this topic.
All right so would somebody who has lots of experience in it have the same view as the attorney and as Dr. Borysenko? Well here's my take. It's always about the money. It's always about the money. Here's why. Now in order to understand that you would have to have some experience. So the idea was that Crowder would lose money if he got demonetized on the platform but the Daily Wire quite reasonably, quite reasonably the Daily Wire said well if you make less money shouldn't we pay you less money? Is that unreasonable? He says that if you pay me less money it's censorship. No it isn't. It's less money. If he didn't care about the money he wouldn't be complaining about the contract because the contract allows him to say anything he wants wherever he wants. What would be the penalty? Just money. The reason he feels he's trapped in the gilded cage is that he'll lose money if he says what he wants to say and is judged unfit for the platforms. So he doesn't want to be under the yoke of advertisers. We agree with that. He should not be under the yoke of advertisers. But what should he have done? How should he have handled it if he were an experienced business person operating with full ethics?
Number one you never record somebody's phone call in a negotiation and play it in public. If you do no one should ever work with you again. No there's no forgiveness. There's no second strike. There's no second chance for that one right? That is game over from an ethics perspective. Unless you know if we find out later let me soften this a little because there might be something I don't know. So you know if in 48 hours we find out that the Daily Wire knew they were recorded and agreed to it and agreed to have it public that'd be fine but that's not in evidence at the moment. It looks like he recorded them without their knowledge and played it without their knowledge. If that's true the Daily Wire should not be working with him. That would be evidence that he's not a person you could trust. That would be one of the worst things I've ever seen in a business context right? No he didn't steal any money but it's as bad as a you know Gary as a Madoff, FTX Sam Bankman-Fried I mean except for the money amount because it wasn't no money was lost but in terms of ethical breaches it's as big as it gets. I mean it's literally illegal depending where you are right? I think it depends on the state or something but it's literally illegal to record somebody with audio without their permission. In my state it is. It's different I think different places.
So that's the first thing you need to know. So the Daily Wire has played this so far professionally and I got to give them credit for that.
Now here's what Crowder should have done or could have done if he had more experience and wanted to solve this. He could have said to them look I totally understand that if we have a deal where we're both doing something to make money and if I do something that makes you not have money that needs to be dealt with somehow because otherwise why would the Daily Wire make a deal when they didn't without protecting the thing that's their biggest risk. Here's how they do it. It's a very typical contract problem. Stephen Crowder could counter with this. How about we share the subscription revenue and I just keep all of the YouTube revenue and then it's my problem if they demonetize me but we'll have a much smaller dollar amount and we'll just share the subscription money so that the Daily Wire will never ever be in a position where even accidentally they're on the side of the censors because that's where the subscription gets you. People just pay it no matter what. That would be the counteroffer. I've made those counteroffers before. It's very standard business.
Now you might say but why did the Daily Wire offer that in the first place? To which I say that's not the way it works. No they make the offer that's good for them the Daily Wire and they make it close enough to something that's good for the other person that when they negotiate you know they're not too far off and you could go back and forth. So Crowder could have easily said how about way less money but I'll have full control to say what I want and if I get demonetized it only affects me. Now they might not have gone for that offer but that's the offer.
But in every case it's only about the money. It's only about the money because the money is what causes the censorship. So to say it's about the censorship is honestly that seems disingenuous. Like I don't even know what to think about that.
Jared says wow Scott you completely missed Stefan's point. I bet I don't. His point is that the Daily Wire would be colluding in this in the censorship accidentally but colluding with the big tech companies to censor him. Isn't that the point? Right do you, I'm just saying did I really miss the point? I don't think I did. I think you missed the first part where I described his point in detail. So how do I do a deal like this? Same way. Same way. So when I do a deal with a publisher do you think the publisher says I'll give you millions of dollars no matter what you do? Of course not. Do they say we will give you a contract if you give us a book we can't publish because it's so terrible? No. In every case people have to perform. Performing to a contract is the most basic thing any contract does. So they just said this is what we expect of you. If this thing happens to you it's going to happen to us at the same time. You know we're both not going to get that YouTube money so let's share the risk. If he wanted them to take more of the risk he could have done it. You could have just offered something else.
All right so it's always about the money because the thing he's talking about can be transferred into money. Every time anybody says it's not about the money stop listening to them. Everything they say after it's not about the money when there's 50 million dollars there it's always about the money. Always. You know the fact that he's talking about it in the public what's that about? It's about the money right? You know his nose. So I'm going to be strongly on the side of the Daily Wire on this. They made a good first offer. He didn't counter. He could have. There are lots of ways to counter. He didn't. And he recorded them and I would never even take his phone call. Would you? If Stephen Crowder called you would you even take his call if you know he recorded somebody and then played it? I wouldn't even answer the phone. I don't know how he could ever go forward and do business with anybody at this point. I mean seriously that is an ethical lapse of just monumental size in my opinion. Maybe it's just a pet peeve.
All right here's something interesting. On Fox Business on Charlie Payne's show Making Money this big master of finance Jeffrey Gundlach. He's the DoubleLine CEO so he's one of the masters of the universe in finance and he's talked about fentanyl and he says that the lack of action to shut down fentanyl has to be intentional. He said that right on TV. He goes there's no explanation for the lack of action. It has to be intentional. This is I don't know if he's a billionaire he's probably a billionaire. This is somebody who's high credibility in the business world who's looked at this and says there's no explanation it has to be intentional that we're letting a hundred thousand people die. For what reason we don't know but since you know what the problem is and you know what you would do if you were trying to solve it and we're not doing the things that you do if you're even trying like it would be one thing to try and fail but we're not trying. See that part is unexplained. Failing everybody gets. Failing that's just business as usual but not trying on one of the biggest problems in the country that everyone realizes is the best that has to be corruption. It has to be. It's the process of elimination. If you could give me one other explanation I would take it but it's got to be corruption. Now it might not be all money corruption. It might be somebody doesn't want to raise their head and say something that will get them fewer voters or something but it's still corrupt because they're not doing the people's work. It's just a different kind of corruption.
All right well it was good to know that somebody smart and prominent has exactly the same opinion. The first thing I did was go to his Twitter account and find out if he was following me because I haven't heard anybody else say it. Have you? Have you heard anybody else say that the lack of action process of elimination it's got to be intentional? Who has anybody else said that? No he doesn't follow me on Twitter. So what's, that's even more impressive because it means I'm not the only one noticing but it means that just smart observers are saying the same thing that there's no action and there's no explanation for the direction.
Do you know what was the other time I saw this? When Obama reversed his position when he said he wouldn't touch the dispensaries and the weed business in states and then he did exactly the opposite and he said he would go after the dispensaries and he never said why he changed his view. Never said to which I said if you don't explain why you changed your opinion is corruption is the assumption. It has to be corruption. So I assume that that Obama's a criminal based on that. Yeah just of that alone I assume he's a criminal.
There's a funny story about the Supreme Court leaker. Remember with that Roe versus Wade thing that got overturned and Jonathan Turley says that on Twitter the Supreme Court's report indicates that they cannot isolate the culprit among the over 80 possible suspects. So that's people who had access to the document and it is an admission that is almost as chilling as the leak itself. 80 people. And then Joel Pollak writing in Breitbart notes that it appears that the Supreme Court did not investigate the Supreme Court justices themselves. No I don't know this for sure yeah unless it was done in secret but there's no mention no mention that the Supreme Court justices themselves are obvious suspects.
Now here's the funny part. Well it's funny or tragic you decide. So the Supreme Court should be in our system the most credible entity we have because it's sort of our final defense against other entities being corrupt right? So if your Supreme Court isn't your best people in terms of credibility and honesty you've got a real problem because that's like the cap of the whole business right? So here's what's hilarious. Oh and also some of the people they talked to admitted they talk to their spouses. So some of the 80s said no I didn't leak it to the media but I did tell my spouse. So we now have a situation where we can't trust the justices. We can't trust at least 80 of their staff and I'm not sure we can trust their spouses. So it turns out that the entity that we should trust the most has more suspects to this crime than any group you can imagine. Like if this happened in any retail store that had lots of employees I don't think they would have hundreds of suspects do you? Have you ever seen any crime in which there were hundreds of suspects of the same entity? When a bank gets robbed it's an insider job. Are there hundreds of suspects? The fact that everybody is a suspect is to be as hilarious. Like just everybody. They're all untrustworthy. See that's why transparency is the only solution. You really can't trust anybody in government. You just have to have transparency. It's the only way.
Speaking of transparency Rasmussen is reporting did a very provocative poll and reported that 57 percent of likely U.S. voters believe Congress should investigate the CDC over their vaccine handling. But it gets even more interesting. 41 don't think it's likely the CDC has provided complete information. So 22 percent say it's not likely that they got complete information. So unfortunately I fall into the 22 percent because I famously always say 25 or so get every poll wrong. In other words they have the dumb answer for every poll but here I am in the 22 percent. I'm in the group that says it's not likely at all that the CDC provided complete information about vaccine risks. Do you know why it's not likely they provided complete information? Yeah because they're not psychic. How could they possibly have complete information? Did the CDC know what was going to happen in five years you know when any potential problems might arise? No no all they knew is what the manufacturers told them basically. So how in the world could they have that information? They can't tell you it's safe. They could just tell you what somebody told them. That's all they could do. So anybody who thought that they should know it's safe how would they possibly know that? That was unknowable.
All right but then I guess more interesting Rasmussen asked people how many of them know somebody they think died from vaccines or had vaccine injury. It's like 28 percent. What 28 percent? How about this 68 of the, this is from Rasmussen also, 68 of the 260 million adults and that would be 177 million adults in the United States. So 177 million indicate that received the COVID vaccination and seven percent of those reported major side effects. Now that would translate to 12 million people with major side effects. I guess I would include well I don't know I guess that doesn't include death because they couldn't have answered the poll but that got picked up in the other question.
So how do you interpret this? Let's say and by the way hold your analysis for a moment right because I've got some I'll go deeper. So suppose the I think the polling is probably accurate in the sense that seven percent really did answer that they had in their opinion major side effects. Let's say you knew that was true. We don't know that's true but let's say you know it was a fact the seven percent reported major side effects that they associate with the vaccination. Would you say that is strong evidence there's a problem, evidence of nothing, or strong evidence that the vaccinations work? Go. A strong evidence the vaccinations are killing people, doesn't tell us anything or it's strong evidence that the vaccinations were a good idea on a risk reward basis. What's your interpretation? A lot of people say nothing interesting.
Well remember you know it's a poll of people's opinions so you know by definition that's not a science but wouldn't you be worried as the VAERS report had this? How is it different than the VAERS report? Is it less reliable than the VAERS report which is where the doctors input who they think got injury from the vaccinations?
All right let me give you some context. So seven percent report that they believe the vaccination injured. It doesn't mean they're right. That's just their best view of what it was. But in context 80 percent of the United States believes angels are real. 80 percent. 60 percent believe in ghosts. That goes surreal. 60 percent. Six percent of Americans don't believe it but they are sensitive to gluten. Six percent are sensitive to gluten but 25 percent self-diagnosed as sensitive to gluten. So only six percent are scientifically sensitive to it but 25 believe they are.
Right the placebo effect how big is the placebo effect? If you compare the non-active pill to the real pill in a study the placebo effect is 30 to 60 percent. So 30 to 60 percent of people will report that the pill helped them. 30 to 60 percent when it did nothing or maybe it did because their body just reacted to their belief. How about how many people believe Elvis is alive? Four percent. Four percent of the country thinks Elvis is alive. What percent of the country think Bigfoot is real? 14 percent. According to an NBC poll this was taken some time ago how many believe Hillary Clinton is honest? What percentage of the country believes Hillary Clinton is honest? 11 percent. All right so 11 of the country thinks Hillary is honest but only seven percent think they were injured by vaccinations. I don't know does that context do anything for you?
So the context should be how accurate are people's self-reporting anything? Yeah seven percent actually sounds low to me. It says low. I would have expected more like 20 percent but seven percent is probably exactly the number of people who had a major health problem at around the same time as a vaccination. I don't know about you but at my age I tend to have some major health issue every year. Do you? Now when I say major I mean like I had problems with my blood pressure meds and you know at one point my sinuses were bad. At one point I had some reaction from some other meds and you know I got I thought my fitness declined quite a bit for a while during the pandemic. So I had all these things that I could have said you know I might have said were due to the shot but what if it's something like this? It caught my eye either six percent of the public is sensitive to gluten and almost the same number believe they had vaccine side effects. Do you think it could be as simple as there's some people who have a specific allergy and they did have bad outcomes with the vax? Yeah I don't know. I don't know if the vaccine is something you can have an allergy to because it has to be alive. Doesn't have to be alive to give you an allergic reaction technically. Oh I think it does. It doesn't have to be alive to give you I think there's like a technical definition that requires something to be alive but you could have a bad reaction to something that's not alive so it looks the same.
All right so here's what I'd say. I would say this is super alarming in the same way that the VAERS reports are but if you take it too much beyond that then you'd be into pretty speculative range. All right so I'd be worried about it. Apparently there's another report on one of the vaccinations giving strokes to even older people because we know there's some extra risks with the younger people so one of them might actually have some older people risk but they're looking into that. Drip drip drip.
So I was listening to a Spaces that audio program on Twitter and there was a conversation about the vaccine injury and stuff and Alex Berenson was there and they were talking about the fact that there are more vaccinated people being hospitalized and having bad outcomes than unvaccinated and it was an extended conversation. And while I was listening to it I didn't hear the whole thing I didn't hear anybody bring up the obvious point that whether the vaccines work or don't work at least the way we currently you know the way the doctors currently say they work which is not stopping the spread but rather helping you survive. Whether so here's what they were not saying. How would you interpret the fact that it's mostly the heavily boosted? More boosters you have the more likely you have a bad outcome. What's your interpretation of that? Your interpretation is that the vaccine not only doesn't work it gives you a negative impact right? Because that's not my interpretation. Well that seems to be the way everybody else is interpreting it and I'm trying to figure out is it me?
All right here's my interpretation. What group of people are most likely to get boosted? The people who spend the most time around people in crowds because they would have the most chance of getting infected and the people who are weak and old and have comorbidities. If you took just the group of people who have comorbidities and are around lots of people and compared to them you know forget about vaccinations just compare the people who are weak and around a lot of people to the people who are healthy and not around a lot of people would they have the same amount of outcomes? It should be hugely different right? The old people are dying like crazy. The young people it's just a sniffle right now. Which group is more likely to get the most shots and the most boosters? The ones who know they have no real risk to begin with and they're not around people all the time. What are the people who are around people and also have the highest risk? They should be the ones who are around people should be the most vaccinated. The ones who also have comorbidities or they're old. So if you took that group and you decreased the risk by half I'm just making up a number if you decrease the vulnerable group it should still be way higher than the people who never got vaccinated at all even if the vaccination worked great. So these numbers tell me the vaccination could be working great if it reduced the risk by half but it's still like two or three times more than the healthy people. That's exactly what I'd expect. So the numbers are exactly what I'd expect if the vaccine did protect people. I'm not saying it did. That's not my claim because we don't know right? We could be surprised tomorrow. You know tomorrow we learn all kinds of new stuff who knows and it hasn't been tested for long enough that you can be sure about anything but here's my problem.
I don't know if that's a good point and here's what I would need to know. When they do these studies of who's hospitalized are they looking at people with the same comorbidities vaccinated versus unvaccinated or are they looking at healthy people who didn't get vaccinated much compared to unhealthy people who are around a lot of people all the time who did get vaccinated? Because that's probably what it is. If all they did is look at the outcomes then they didn't do the study right. It's just a dumb study.
Now I always mention Andres Bachhaus you know because he's better than I am by a lot in looking at data and figuring out if at least the analysis is correct or they've confused correlation and causation and I believe his exact comment on all of this stuff was lol. I don't know exactly what he's thinking but I don't think it was worth more than an LOL because there's no way that they've sorted out causation from correlation. I don't think so. And there was nobody on that Spaces call who would even bring up the question. Now again I'm not sure it's the right question because if they really controlled the study somehow and then maybe they controlled for it but I doubt it. I don't think they could. It's proven to Scott no it's the data might be proven the data might be proven but the interpretation is sketchy.
Now is it cognitive dissonance if I allow that both possibilities are entirely possible? Cognitive dissonance is almost always when you've made up your mind. I'm telling you explicitly both possibilities are alive. Can you hear that or not? Edith Eve is yelling cognitive dissonance. Edith you're in cognitive dissonance. You're experiencing it. You're totally you're totally having a hallucination because I'm the one saying either one is possible and the data allows both interpretations. You're saying I'm having cognitive dissonance. That's cognitive dissonance. You are experiencing it because you have some certainty about something that couldn't be certain. No you are. No you are. You projected person. Laughs. People think they could read my body language and determine that I'm being disingenuous. Okay all right.
Here's the problem I keep having. When I bring up the same point everybody goes quiet. What's wrong with you today? Why does everybody go quiet when I bring up that point every time? Some people are just triggered into cognitive dissonance but the rest of you are just sort of commenting you know indirectly in general. I don't see people saying Scott I agree with your interpretation. Do you agree with my interpretation or no? That my interpretation is well my interpretation is that there are two interpretations and they're both alive at the moment. Okay so I think that needs to be at least part of every conversation on this or it doesn't feel real.
All right that's about all I had in this. I'd like to say again even though that I think I believe Alex Berenson is misinterpreting this data but I like to say that I think he's a valuable asset to the country because I do like the fact that people were pushing really hard against the safety claims of the vaccines. They might be overzealous but you need that. Like society really needed you know these people pushing hard who were credible people. So I appreciate Alex Berenson's service to the country. I don't know if he's got every question right but that's not how I would judge him. I wouldn't judge him by whether he got everything right during a pandemic because nobody did right? So I'm not going to judge anybody for being wrong during a pandemic. I told you in the beginning of the pandemic I wasn't going to do it and I'm trying to be consistent.
All right did I miss anything? Any stories happening that I missed? Are you going to talk about the Democrats being hunted in New Mexico now? Is that the story about the serial killer who there was a serial killer who hunted down some Democrats? I did see something like that. I typically don't talk about crime stories but if that's worth mentioning. So the Republicans are always talking about, I'm always talking about Republicans being hunted but there was a case of somebody who looks like they went out and just tried to kill some Democrats and we of course condemn that at the highest possible level but yeah that that's a fair comment. And see now that's the kind of criticism that I appreciate because that was first of all totally fair that there was something that was counter to my narrative that I didn't mention. Now again the reason is because I don't talk about specific crimes too much. That's sort of my thing. I don't talk about them but in that case I should have. You're right that absolutely should have been mentioned as the counterbalance. So good for you. I like it when you call me on stuff that's you know as clearly wrong as that was.
All right what did Crenshaw say? Crenshaw is supporting military against the cartels. Well there we go. Is there anybody who doesn't now?
I'm going to ask you a question that I know I'm going to get mocked for. All right I sometimes think that one of my special let's say services that I can do for the republic are to take something that you can't talk about and normalize it so that it becomes part of the option set because there's some things that people just won't say first because whoever goes first will just get shot down. And I'm pretty sure I've been the loudest public voice about a military intervention in Mexico and I said it loudly and clearly. I supported it and I will argue it in public. I'll argue with anybody who wants and I'll make my case because it has to be part of the option set. Now I believe that I did enough of it that it demonstrated that people were more open to it than maybe you would have assumed. Wouldn't you agree? There was plenty of pushback on the practical part of it and there should be. Like I don't want to recommend a war and have nobody in the United States disagree. Do you want to live in that country? No no I always want a healthy disagreement about war. Like yes no that should be the biggest fight we ever have but it should be a fair fight right? We should be serious about it about whether we ever use military force but I put that out there and I think after people ask questions about you know how it could work and are you serious and what would it look like largely people I think accepted it as an option. Would you agree?
Now I'm not you know I suppose maybe somebody else talked about it and I'm not aware of it but as Lance says you never did that. Can somebody tell Lance that for a long time I've been saying we should attack the cartels militarily. A long time. And I've been saying it publicly on livestream. I've said it on Twitter and I think that helps normalize it because remember what happened when who was it who talked about Trump brought it up once privately and one of his staffers basically just shot him down like it's not even something you can talk about. And that's what I wanted to change. I wanted to make sure that Trump could say that in public which he did. He put in a video saying it directly because I think he saw that the room had been softened enough that you could say it and you could defend it. So anyway I normalized more war. Well war is normalized isn't it? Do you think I did that? Pretty sure that was normalized a long time ago. We haven't been out of a war since I can remember. Yeah I would love whoever said that was crazy to say that to me. Do you think they would say so? I mean I would I would just eviscerate anybody who said that. It just would be it would be just destruction on camera.
All right oh he also implied too many rallies earlier too. Yeah but I think the direct the direct statement that special forces will go in and obliterate the cartels operation that was the part that he says directly Trump does and it's the reason that I'm going to back him because I'm a single issue voter. I'm a single issue voter on fentanyl. So whatever Trump does that you don't like not my problem. Yeah he can defend that as himself.
All right would politician families be targeted by the cartels if we bomb them? Probably.
The Virginia Merit scholar story. Oh yeah yeah is the story that in Virginia some students were not informed that they'd won the National Merit Scholarship. They were not informed in time to put it on the resume which would have helped them get into a better college. They were told after but only the white ones. So somebody held back the white people. Now if that's true that's a horrible crime. Like this isn't one that was was it all Asians? Yeah maybe it was just basically anti-Asian and anti-white mostly Asians. All right well so what whatever group was held back there that is huge. That when I heard that story like I almost couldn't believe it. Like we did get to the point where that would be done intentionally. Yeah that's somebody should go to jail for that don't you think? I would think that's I don't know if it's a crime but it ought to be. 13 schools. God that's just amazing. Yes for over a year. Oh my God yeah.
Life after death would just be the end of the simulation for you but it might mean that you're you know I also think we might be inhabited by another species who just uses this when we're awake so they would it would just be like a video game where you turn off the video game. That's all it would be. Yeah they should lose something for doing that.
All right is there any other story I missed? I think I'm all good.
All right it would be the only fish. On the other hand when you asked it about marriage it was clearly they can't do complex math analysis. How would you be judging when to trust it and when? Oh so ChatGPT. This is a good question. You know when would you trust that to do searches? Well it's not connected to the internet so right now all it is using basically everything it knows about language to create intelligence. As soon as it's connected to the internet then we'll be able to check its answers against the manual search and then you'll either be comfortable with it or not but I think it'll take a while to evolve to where it's better.
All right just looking at your classified documents. Oh what do you think of Trump's claim that he kept hundreds of classified documented folders, empty folders because they were cool souvenirs? Believe it or not do you think you would keep them as cool souvenirs? I thought of one situation in which he might. Right my first reaction was that doesn't sound like a good explanation. Who would keep empty folders? And I thought to myself imagine if he wanted to create a piece of art in which the wall was just all the empty classified folders. And I think maybe some of them had different fronts. So imagine a display of empty folders. It's just you know the flat folders on a wall and you would know what was in those folders. They wouldn't be in there but you know somehow like this one was about North Korea and this one was about nuclear weapons and stuff because it would be like a visual representation of Trump's job in office. His job in office was hey look at this secret file and let's make some decisions. And then that would be like the tapestry of his term and there wouldn't be any details. It'd just be a visual representation of how many secrets a president has to do. Now if he had said that I don't think anybody would believe it but when I thought about it I thought you know that would actually be a really cool display wouldn't it be like you know a wall of just the folders, the empty folders. It would be kind of cool. I would stop and look at it and I would also think oh those folders every one of those folders was touched by the president of the United States and had a state secret in it which would be kind of cool.
I have a request for a parting sip for the YouTube people and I think I will comply. Here's your parting sip for this great livestream. I'm going to talk to the Locals people after. Join me now in the parting sip. Ah hi YouTube. Thanks for joining. I'll see you tomorrow.
foreign good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of civilization coffee with Scott Adams there's never been a finer thing and if you'd like to take this up to levels that nobody's ever experienced before unless they've climbed a mountain well doing acid and having sex at the same time or something like that but all we have today is a substitute for all that good stuff and it's called a glass of Tankard shallow Stein a canteen jug of flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it's happening now go yeah that was a good one looks like everything's uh operating just the way it should today I'm feeling like you're all going to have a good day today is anybody ready for a good day yeah uh Don M asked me what about smoking weed with Scott Adams well sounds like somebody needs to join the locals community where we do visit the man cave in the evenings and the man cave is a very different very different situation but we're going to go private over here on locals there are subscription sites they get the good stuff there you go you're private now all right what's going on uh question number one I saw a user on Twitter Terry Schilling asked this question to his users should men still open doors for women interesting question should men still open doors now let me make a distinction uh the distinction is oh I'm only private on the locals platform so I do some extra content there on uh on You.
Tube it's public this is all public on You.
Tube um so I make a distinction between opening a door where a woman walks up to a door and stands there and waits for you to open the door for him versus you've walked through a door and then you're holding it open for somebody or you just get there first because you're walking first and then you hold it open for could it be a woman but it could be anybody now yeah but now my take on this is if I don't know their pronouns I don't want to take a chance and if you can't identify a Woman by looking at them and I believe that is the standard the standard now is that you can't identify a woman just by looking that would be kind of an assumption now what if you what if you saw somebody coming and you said to yourself oh a woman I think I'll I'll be polite and then what if you're wrong what if it's somebody who identifies as a man but you've misidentified well what a problem social problem for you probably get canceled on social media as well so don't take the chance if you see a woman coming or somebody you identify as a woman but you don't know hold that door closed and and don't let that person even get through that's the only way to play it you gotta let him fight with it a little bit and then you'll you'll all be like equal no not even equal Equitable that would be equitable well that's just a big cluster F so we'll see how that works out um here's a growing positive trend that you wouldn't notice unless you're following certain Twitter accounts but uh Corey De.
Angelis continues to report that you know various state legislatures are improving uh funding for that follows the kid instead of the school so that uh parents could say let's take our kid to another school and then some money would go with them to help pay for that alternate School so free market it's apparently Florida Florida legislatures just introduced a bill to fund students and study systems so a number of states are doing it and the conservative States seem to be passing them it's a big thing it's a big deal and I love the fact that when we talk about the states being the laboratory for the country this is exactly what we're talking about right let a few smart States try something they probably won't execute the same way see if anybody can nail it if anybody Nails it maybe we know in you know five to seven years and then we can start copying it it's pretty good that's a pretty good sign actor Alec Baldwin is going to be prosecuted for two counts we've talked about this way too much but um here's the first thing I'll bet we're going to find out a whole bunch of surprises I think the trial will kick up some things that just seem like surprises and apparently uh at one point early in the process Baldwin had said in an interview that he did not pull the the trigger but the forensic people said yes the trigger was pulled now is that going to be a problem because he said I would never point a gun at a person and pull the trigger even if it was a movie gun he said he would never do that which suggests unfortunately for him it suggests that he was fully aware fully aware of the danger of pointing a gun into somebody and he did pull the trigger according to the forensics people we don't know yeah I suppose it could be like a weird defective gun that pulls its own Trigger or something yeah the trigger pulled itself well so here's my take on it I hate you know the the legal system has to do with the legal system does but I hate that it was a genuine accident and some you know another life and his family will all be scarred by it forever I don't know it just doesn't feel like justice because you can't bring the person back and it would be hard to punish him more than he's already already punished you know psychologically and financially and reputationally and everything else and it's not exactly like there's any message to be sent is there is there anybody in Hollywood who doesn't already know to maybe double check that gun like nobody's going to learn anything if he goes to jail there's no learning that will happen so an histology is going to be like reformed so if he makes another movie he won't make that same mistake again there's just nothing there's just no benefit now if you say that the family of the deceased should sue him and get a bunch of money I think that already happened didn't it and that that feels like the right domain you know maybe there's financial compensation but I don't know jail doesn't make sense now let me make a completely different switch my argument yeah your head's going to spin here he was also the head of the production as the head of the Productions it looks like you really effed up it looks like he he just didn't do you know the job of a boss to make sure the right people who were in place in the right processes that's that's harder to defend right the asking a non-gun owner actor and the you know in the context of fictional movie to do all the right things yeah so that's a big ask by asking a boss to make sure he hired the right people to take care of safety when there were all kinds of safety complaints that one's hard to defend so I think he's in trouble but we're gonna have some surprises I know we'll have some surprises apparently there were more uh live bullets in his gun belt I saw that in a Tim cast tweet all right um apparently we know why the airline failure happened the FAA said some contractor unintentionally deleted some files that some Antiquated system needed to operate and it was hard to recover the files now the obvious is why do we have a system that's that week that's like the weakest system I've ever seen apparently it's really old it's like from the generation of the Walkman I saw somebody in Wall Street Journal say so boy somebody was somebody who was not doing their job there but there's not much to say about that I saw a video at the world economic forum in which FBI director Christopher Ray was talking and uh user Alx on Twitter tweeted this is what Ray actually said now it's a little out of context but my point will be that he shouldn't be there in any capacity so even in context it's all wrong but this is probably a little bit out of context but here's what he says the level of collaboration between the private sector and the government especially the FBI has made significant strides yes it has yes as a matter of fact it has the scariest thing you've ever heard why are we sending a representative of the United States to embarrass us in front of the world what like why is that okay like why does he still have a job like everything about that is just creepy and wrong it was probably out of context and you know I'm sure the context would have you know not not sounded as scary so this is something the Wes does is they do things which certainly sounds scary you know who knows what they actually intend to do so here's what I'm trying to understand about the world economic forum is it a useless Dilbert entity where a bunch of people get together and say a bunch of jargon and have a nice holiday and go home how many people think that's what's happening and that they don't really have any impact on anything like everything would have happened on its own they just talk about it and take credit and Pat each other in the back oh I'm saying yeses and those but I think it's at least partly that wouldn't you agree not no matter what else it is it's partly just a bunch of jargon spewing you know woke signaling people having a nice vacation it would be easy to overestimate how much power they have but it would be easy to underestimate it too because there might be some circles you know some areas where they do influence now I saw on Dr.
Carlson's show the claim that the wef was behind Sri Lanka's uh destroyed economy because Sri Lanka didn't use proper fertilizer because it was sort of you know pooh-pooed by the wef in some way is that true let me say that without even looking into it it doesn't sound true doesn't sound true yeah so let me let me say that uh I'll go look that oh let me do a little research I was going to do that before I get on but I want to comment it before I research before researching it it doesn't sound true it sounds like it's true-ish it has the ring to it of something that's sounds true but if you looked into it there'd be a little something there well let me understand this the WF cannot require anybody to do anything or am I right so they didn't require anybody to do anything and so Sri Lanka was under no more or less requirement than every other country is that is that true or false every country had the same set of standards that were being pushed on them but one of them made a horrible catastrophic decision to I don't know follow some some specific part of it too far why did nobody else do it incentives did the WF offer them incentives all right heavily encouraged did they heavily encourage them to look for substitutes or did they heavily encourage them to farm in a way that would not possibly work because I have trouble believing that the WF said get rid of your fertilizer and don't replace it with anything I don't believe that happened do you believe that happened I don't believe that happened and only one country in all the countries only only little Sri Lanka actually took that advice they're the only ones all right now um am I am I acting too confident for someone who has no information on the topic whatsoever probably and probably but but I but I want you to see um so this is like a little test is a little test I believe that you could usually let's say eighty percent of the time identify without doing any research eighty percent of the time now the twenty percent of the Iran could be a real problem right so I'm not I'm not saying 80 is good but I think about 80 of the time you can tell it's just from the story itself so I'm gonna I'm gonna call on the story with a complete lack of knowledge about the context because I think I have an 80 chance of being right and then a 20 chance of embarrassing myself but I never care about that right so it's just an experiment I don't know what's true I'll just I'll just make it eighty percent bet then tomorrow if I remember we'll check and I'll tell you if there's any context that changes the situation but I don't believe it's true uh but I could brawl let's talk about uh Stephen Crowder versus The Daily wire I knew this story was going to get more interesting didn't you couldn't you kind of smell it like like there was a little story I'll tell I'll give you the starting point but just from the very beginning I thought this is going to go deeper and then it did all right so the story is uh internet uh say conservative Superstar uh Stephen Crowder who has millions of followers on You.
Tube and other places and he was offered a very lucrative contract to work with daily wire and what went wrong was the daily wire made a large offer of 50 million over four years with the option to extend now that 50 million would include his production costs but you know maybe that's 10 or 20 percent of it so it's a big deal a connection problem there and Stephen Crowder went in public but he didn't name the entity he didn't name daily wire initially daily wire outed themselves because I think they assumed people would figure out who they were there are not many entities on the right who could offer a big contract right and he was leaving Blaze the blaze so they're basically were like two entities they could offer him a lot of money and the daily wire was one so people would have figured it out you know I I think that trying to imagine uh yeah I think that trying to imagine that nobody would figure it out was unrealistic in my opinion somebody would have figured it out from the ends but uh Crowder said that the real issue was that the daily wires offer was in let's see if I can I'll try to do my most honest attempt to accurately characterize his his opinion which is always sketchy whenever you're trying to summarize someone else's opinion you almost never get it right because I watch people do it with me and they never get it right so I'm I'm wary that I might be misrepresenting his opinion but you you all many of you have seen it so keep me honest okay so call me out if I'm not representing his side as accurately as possible part of the deal said that if uh Crowder got demonetized by You.
Tube for example or some other platforms that would have a obviously have a big impact on their shared Revenue so the idea was Crowder would make content daily wire would promote it and put it on their platforms Etc and then the two of them would share the combined money but if Crowder did something that would get him uh demonetized or banned on platforms the amount of money the two of them could make could be substantially decreased so so the daily wires first offer and first offer is important first offer is not a final offer his first offer was that there would be a financial offsets for that or penalties you might call it so that they wouldn't have to pay Crowder millions of dollars if he was making no money for them now Crowder interpreted this as effectively a form of censorship because he would be penalized if some other platform that he can't control decided he said something they didn't like so in effect his point which is accurate this is an accurate point is that the daily wires offer would make him still subsidiary to the social media sensors in other words he he would now the daily wire would be an extra force on the side of the the sensors does that capture it that the daily wires offer because it included a penalty for bad behavior you know bad behavior and quotes that that was the same as being on the side of the sensors how many would take that view oh and furthermore furthermore he said very clearly it is not about the money it is not about the money does that capture it and then he backed up is not about the money by saying I never said the 50 million wasn't enough I never even discussed the dollar amount which appear apparently is true so does that does that back his view that it's not about the money because he never discussed the 50 million it's only about them being on the side of the sensors and that he was he was also concerned not so much for himself but he said directly on an audio we heard he said but what about the the smaller person who comes up and can't negotiate with you what about them are they going to get this deal too where basically everybody's just going to be under the heel of the sensors which is exactly what we don't want and then he suggested that they move away from being dependent on Advertising now so would you characterize that as number one not about the money how many would you agree the Crowder's complaint was not about the money you're not quite sure are you well I'm gonna I'm gonna clear it up for you in a minute all right and um all right so let me give you three different takes on this the first take will be people who don't have experience in business second take will be from a lawyer the third take will be from somebody who's very experienced at negotiating contracts very much of this type all right do you think those three views are going to be the same not even close not even close all right so for our first uh stand in for the opinion of someone who I believe and if by the way if I'm mischaracterizing this individual please correct me but uh do you know uh Carolyn borisenko on Twitter uh Dr.
Carolyn besenko now she's a popular Tweeter you've seen a lot of her tweets probably and her take was uh oh first of all you need to know that Stephen Crowder recorded his phone call with the daily wire and then he played it on the air okay we'll talk about that but Dr uh borisenko says Stephen Crowder recorded phone call with the daily wire CEO that absolutely destroys the narrative that they meaning the daily wire have been trying to sell you and so I listened to the audio and I didn't hear that I didn't hear anything like that I didn't hear any narrative get destroyed do you know what I heard I'll tell you in a minute so so somebody who and again if I'm mischaracterizing this you know somebody should correct me because I'll apologize but I don't think that Dr borisenko would characterize herself as an expert in business or negotiating I don't think so now if you're not if you're not really experienced in negotiating would it be reasonable that your take on this is incomplete that there's maybe some blind spots because just a lack of experience in this it's a very unique domain right it's a domain that if you're not quite uh like experienced with there'd be huge things that are not obvious to you it would just be obvious to somebody who does it for a living so that's one take so I'll uh I'll say more about that but the initially I would say uh it looks like she's agreeing that it wasn't about the money and it looks like she's agreeing that it was about the censorship is that a reasonable take for somebody who's not an expert at negotiating contracts is that reasonable from that perspective let's say I think so I I mean it sounds like a smart person because she is smart she's you know she's above average way above average I think way above average in IQ and accomplishment and it's reasonable you know if if that was your frame of reference now let's take another frame of reference uh there's a an attorney maybe you've heard of them Robert Barnes has anybody ever heard of attorney Robert Barnes well he's got to take um in which he said on Twitter Crowder called the Crowder called the Gilded cage of censored speech slavery to Big Tech uh not the dollar offer and he says Crowder was right so from a lawyer's take um he's sort of more of like a technical take on what he said and his technical take is that it was about sensory speech you know slavery the big Tech it was not about the dollar amount of the offer so that's the lawyers take by contacts Robert Barnes is who I call the dumbest attorney in the world but that doesn't mean he's wrong on this just on he's wrong about me but so I I just have a problem with him personally but yeah yeah is that a reasonable opinion do you think that the attorney view because it very much agrees with um Carolyn Dr basenko pretty reasonable yeah I'm going to say that's reasonable based on what he heard all right now I'm going to give you the third view which is someone with extensive business experience in this exact domain and that would be me because not only am I a content provider who has done lots of content providing contracts of all kinds but I also used to be a contract negotiator for a living and you know I've got a degree in economics and the MBA and so I have exactly the qualifications for exactly this topic all right so would somebody who has lots of experience in it have the same view as the attorney and as Dr basenko well here's my take it's always about the money it's always about the money here's why now in order to understand that you would have to have some experience so the the idea was that Crowder would lose money if he got demonetized on the platform but the daily wire quite reasonably quite reasonably the daily wire said well if you make less money shouldn't we pay you less money is that unreasonable he says that if you pay me less money in censorship no it isn't it's less money if he didn't care about the money he wouldn't be complaining about the contract because the contract allows them to say anything he wants wherever he wants what would be the penalty just money the reason he he feels he's trapped in the Gilded cage is that he'll lose money if he says what he wants to say and is judged uh unfit for the platforms so he doesn't want to be under the the Yoke of advertisers we agree with that he should not be under the Yoke of advertisers but what should he have done how should he have handled it if he were an experienced business person operating with full ethics number one you never record somebody's phone call in a negotiation and play it in public if you do no one should ever work with you again no there's no forgiveness there's no second strike there's no second chance for that one right that that is game oh it's so hard not to swear that is game over from an Ethics perspective unless you know if we find out later let me let me soften this a little because there might be something I don't know so you know if in 48 hours we find out that the daily wire knew they were recorded and agreed to it and agreed to have it public that'd be fine but that's not an Evidence at the moment it looks like he recorded them without their knowledge and played it without their knowledge if that's true the daily wire should not be working with him he that would be evidence that he's not not a person you could trust that would be one of the worst things I've ever seen in a business context right no he didn't steal any money but it's as bad as a you know Gary as a Madoff FTX Sam bagman free I mean except for the money amount because it wasn't no money was lost but in terms of uh ethical breaches it's as big as it gets I mean it's literally illegal depending where you are right I think it depends on the state or something but it's literally illegal to record somebody with audio without their permission in my state it is it's different I think different places so that's the first thing you need to know so the daily wire uh has played this so far professionally and I got I got to give them credit for that now here's what Crowders should have done or could have done if he had more experience and wanted to solve this he could have said to them look I totally understand that if we have a deal where we're both doing something to make money and if I do something that makes you not have money that that needs to be dealt with somehow because otherwise why would the daily wire make a deal when they didn't you know without protecting the thing that's their biggest risk here's how they do it it's a very typical contract problem Stephen Crowder could uh counter with this how about we share the subscription Revenue and I just keep the all of the You.
Tube revenue and then it's my problem if they you know I'll say whatever I want and it's just my problem if they demonetize me but we'll have a much smaller dollar amount and we'll just share the subscription money so that the daily wire will never ever be in a position where even accidentally they're on the side of the sensors because that's where the subscription gets you people just pay it no matter what that would be the counteroffer I've made those counter offers before it's very standard business now you might say but why did the daily wire offer that in the first place to which I say that's not the way it works no they make the offer that's good for them the daily wire and they make it close enough to something that's good for the other person that when they negotiate you know they're not too far off and you could go back and forth so Crowder could have easily said how about way less money but I'll have full control to say what I want and if I get demonetized it only affects me now they might not have gone for that offer but that's the offer but in every case it's only about the money it's only about the money because the money is what causes the censorship so to say it's about the censorship is honestly that seems disingenuous like I I don't even know what to think about that Jared says wow Scott you completely Miss Stefan's point um I bet I don't his point is that the daily wire would be colluding in this in the sentence accidentally but colluding with the big tech companies to censor him isn't that the point um right do you I'm just saying it did I really miss the point I don't think I did I think you missed the first part where I described his point in detail so um how do I do a deal like this same way same way so when I do a deal with a publisher do you think the publisher says I'll give you millions of dollars no matter what you do of course not do they say we will give you a contract if you give us a book we can't publish because it's so terrible no in every case people have to perform performing to a contract is the most basic thing any contract does so they just said this is what we expect of you if this thing happens to you it's going to happen to us at the same time you know we're both not going to get that You.
Tube money so let's share the risk if he wanted them to take more of the risk he could have done it you could have just offered something else all right so it's always about the money because the thing he's talking about can be transferred into money every anytime anybody says it's not about the money stop listening to them everything they say after it's not about the money when there's 50 million dollars there it's always about the money always you know the fact that he's talking about it in the public what's that about it's about the money right you know his nose so I'm going to be strongly on the side of the daily wire on this they made a good first offer he didn't counter he could have there are lots of ways to counter he didn't and he recorded them and I would never even I would never even take his phone call would you if Stephen Crowder called you would you even take his call if you know he recorded somebody and then played it I wouldn't even answer the phone I don't know how he could ever go forward and do business with anybody at this point I mean seriously that that is an ethical lapse of just Monumental size in my opinion maybe it's just a pet peeve all right here's something interesting uh on Fox Business on Charlie Payne's show making money um this big master of Finance Jeffrey gun ledge he's the double line CEO so he's one of the you know Masters of the Universe in finance and he he's he's talked about fentanyl and he says that the lack of action to shut down Fentanyl has to be intentional you said that right on you said that right on TV he goes there's no explanation for the lack of action it has to be intentional this is this is I don't know if he's a billionaire he's probably a billionaire this is somebody who's High credibility in the business World who's looked at this and says there's no explanation it has to be intentional that we're letting a hundred thousand people die for what reason we don't know but since you know what the problem is and you know what you would do if you were trying to solve it and we're not doing the things that you do if you're even trying like it would be one thing to try and fail but we're not trying see that part is unexplained failing everybody gets failing that's just you know business as usual but not trying on one of the biggest problems in the country that everyone realizes is the best that has to be corruption it has to be it's the process of elimination if you could give me one other explanation I would take it but it's got to be corruption now it might not be all money corruption it might be somebody doesn't want to you know raise their head and say something that will get them you know fewer voters or something but it's still corrupt because they're not doing the people's work it's just a different kind of corruption all right well it was good to know that somebody smart and prominent has exactly the same opinion the first thing I did was go to his Twitter account and find out if he was following me because I haven't heard anybody else say it have you have you have you heard anybody else say that the lack of action process of elimination it's got to be intentional who has anybody else said that no he doesn't follow he doesn't follow me on Twitter so so what's uh that's even more impressive because it means I'm not the only one noticing but it means that just smart observers are saying the same thing that there's no action and there's no explanation for the direction do you know what was the other time I saw this when Obama reversed his position when he said he wouldn't touch the dispensaries and the weed business in States and then he did exactly the opposite and he said he would go after the dispensaries and he never said why he changed his View never said to which I said if you don't explain why you changed your opinion is corruption is the Assumption it has to be corruption so I assume that that Obama's a criminal based on that yeah just of that alone I I assume he's a criminal um there's a funny story about the Supreme Court leaker remember with a that Roe verse Wade thing that got overturned and Jonathan Turley says that they on Twitter the Supreme Court's report uh indicates that they cannot isolate the culprit among the over 80 possible suspects so that's people who had access to the document and it is an admission that is almost as chilling as the leak itself uh 80 people and then Joel Pollock writing in Breitbart notes that uh it appears that the Supreme Court did not investigate the Supreme Court Justices themselves no I don't know this for sure yeah unless it was done in secret but there's no mention no mention that the Supreme justices themselves are obvious suspects now here's the funny part well it's funny or tragic you decide so the Supreme Court should be in our system the most credible entity we have because it's sort of our final defense against other entities being corrupt right so so if if your Supreme Court isn't your best people in terms of credibility and honesty you've got a real problem because that's like you know the cap of the whole business right so here's what's hilarious uh oh and also some of the people they talked to admitted they talk to their spouses so some of the 80s said no I didn't leak it to the media but I did tell my spouse so we now have a situation where we can't trust the justices we can't trust at least 80 of their staff and I'm not sure we can trust their spouses so it turns out that the entity that we should trust the most has more suspects to this crime than any group you can imagine like if this happened in you know any retail store that had lots of employees I don't think they would have hundreds of suspects do you have you ever seen any crime in which there were hundreds of suspects of the same entity when a bank when a bank gets robbed it's an Insider job are there hundreds of suspects the the the the fact that everybody is a suspect is to be as hilarious like just everybody they're all they're all untrustworthy see that's why transparency is the the only solution you really can't trust anybody in government you just have to have transparency it's the only way speaking of transparency um Rasmussen is reporting did a very provocative poll and uh reported that 57 percent of likely U.S voters believe Congress should investigate the CDC over their vaccine handling uh but it gets even more interesting 41 don't think it's likely the CDC has provided complete information so 22 percent say it's not likely that they got complete information so unfortunately I fall into the 22 percent because I famously always say 25 or so get every poll wrong in other words they they have the dumb answer for every poll but here I am in the 22 percent I'm in the group that says it's not likely at all that the the CDC provided complete information about vaccine risks do you know why it's not likely they provided complete information yeah because they're not psychic how could they possibly have complete information did the CDC know what was going to happen in five years you know when any potential problems might arise no no all they knew is what the the manufacturers told them basically so how in the world could they have that information they can't tell you it's safe they could just tell you what somebody told them that's all they could do so anybody who thought that they should know it's safe how would they possibly know that that was unknowable all right uh but then I guess more interesting Rasmussen asked people uh how many of them know somebody they think died from vaccines or had vaccine injury it's like 28 percent what 28 percent how about this um 68 of the this is from racism also 68 of the 260 million adults and that would be 177 million adults in the United States so 177 million indicate that receives the covid vaccination and seven percent of those reported major side effects now that would translate to 12 million people with major side effects I guess I would include well I I don't know I guess that doesn't include death because they couldn't have answered the poll but that got picked up in the the other question so how do you interpret this let's say uh and by the way hold hold your analysis for a moment right because I've got some I'll go deeper so suppose uh the I think the polling is probably accurate in the sense that seven percent really did answer that they had in their in their opinion major side effects let's say you knew that was true we don't know that's true but let's say you know it was a fact the seven percent reported major side effects that they associate with the vaccination would you say that is strong evidence there's a problem evidence of nothing or strong evidence that the vaccinations work go a strong evidence the vaccinations are killing people doesn't tell us anything or it's strong evidence that the vaccinations were a good idea on a risk reward basis what's your interpretation a lot of people say nothing interesting well remember you know it's a poll of people's opinions so you know by by definition that's not a science but wouldn't you be worried as the various report had this how is it different than the various report is it less reliable than the Verge report which is where the doctor's input who they think got injury from the vaccinations all right let me give you some context so seven percent report that they believe the vaccination injured it doesn't mean they're right that's just their best view of what it was but in context eighty percent of the United States believes angels are real 80 percent 60 percent believe in ghosts that go surreal 60 percent um six percent of Americans are not don't believe it but they are sensitive to gluten six percent are sensitive to gluten but 25 percent self-diagnosed as sensitive to gluten so only six percent are scientifically sensitive to it but 25 believe they are right um the placebo effect how big is the placebo effect if you if you compare the non-active pill to the real pill in a study the placebo effect is 30 to 60 percent so 30 to 60 percent of people will report that the pill helped them Thirty to sixty percent when it did nothing or maybe it did because their body just reacted to their belief how about how many people believe Elvis is alive four percent four percent of the country thinks Elvis is alive what percent of the country think Bigfoot is real 14 percent um according to an NBC poll this was taken some time ago how many believe Hillary Clinton is honest what percentage of the of the country believes Hillary Clinton is honest 11 11 percent all right so 11 of the country thinks Hillary is honest but only seven percent think they were injured by vaccinations I don't know does that context do anything for you so the context should be how accurate are people's self-reporting anything yeah seven percent actually sounds low to me it says low I would I would have expected more like 20 percent but seven percent is probably exactly the number of people who had a major health problem at around the same time as a vaccination I I don't know about you but at my age I tend to have some major health issue every year do you now when I say major I mean like I had problems with my blood pressure meds and you know at one point my sinuses were bad at one point I had some reaction from some other meds and you know I got I thought my fitness declined quite a bit for a while during the pandemic so I had all these things that I could have said you know I might have said we're due to the uh shot but what if it's something like this it caught my my eye either six percent of the public is sensitive to gluten and almost the same number believe they had vaccine side effects do you think it could be as simple as there's some people who have a specific allergy and and they did have bad outcomes with the vacs yeah I I don't know I don't know if you I don't know if the vaccine is something you can have an allergy to because it has to be alive doesn't have to be alive to give you an allergic reaction technically oh I think it does it doesn't have to be alive to give you I think there's like a technical definition that requires something to be alive but you could have a bad reaction to something that's not alive so it looks the same all right so here's what I'd say I would say this is a super alarming in the same way that the varus reports are but if you take it too much beyond that then you'd be into pretty speculative range all right so I'd be worried about it apparently there's another report on one of the vaccinations giving Strokes to even older people because we know there's some extra risks with the younger people so one of them might actually have some older people risk but they're looking into that drip drip drip so I was listening to a spaces that audio program on Twitter and there was a conversation about the vaccine injury and stuff and Alex Berenson was there and there's they were talking about the fact that there are more vaccinated people being hospitalized and having bad outcomes than unvaccinated and it was an extended conversation and while I was listening to it I didn't hear the whole thing I didn't hear anybody bring up the obvious point that whether the vaccines work or don't work at least the way we currently you know the way the doctors currently say they work which is not spreading not stopping the spread but rather helping you survive whether uh so here's what here's what they were not saying how would you interpret the fact that it's mostly the heavily boosted more boosters you have the more likely you have a bad outcome what's your interpretation of that your interpretation is that the vaccine not only doesn't work it gives you a negative a negative impact right because that's not my interpretation well that seems to be the way everybody else is interpreting it and I'm trying to figure out is it me all right here's my interpretation what group of people are most likely to get boosted the people who spend the most time around people in crowds because they would have the most chance of getting infected and the people were weak and old and have co-morbidities if you took just the group of people who have comorbidities and around lots of people and compared to them you know forget about vaccinations just compare the people who are weak and around a lot of people to the people who are healthy and not around a lot of people would they have the same amount of um outcomes it should be hugely different right the old people are dying like crazy the young people is just a sniffle right now which group is more likely to get the most shots and the most boosters the ones who know they have no real risk to begin with and they're not around people all the time what are the people who are around people and also have the highest risk they should the ones who are around people should be the most vaccinated the ones who are also have comorbidities or they're old so if you took that group and you decreased the risk by half I'm just making up a number if you decrease that the the vulnerable group I have it should still be way higher than the people who never got vaccinated at all even if the vaccination worked great so these numbers tell me the vaccination could be working great if it reduced the risk by half but it's still like you know two or three times more than the healthy people that's exactly what I'd expect so the numbers are exactly what I'd expect if the vaccine did protect people I'm not saying it yet that's not my claim because we don't know right we could be surprised tomorrow you know tomorrow we learn all kinds of new stuff who knows and it hasn't been tested for long enough that you can be sure about anything but here's my problem I don't know if that's a good point and here's a here's what I would need to know when they do these studies of who's hospitalized are they looking at people with the same comorbidities vaccinated versus unvaccinated or are they looking at healthy people who didn't get vaccinated much compared to unhealthy people who are around a lot of people all the time who did get vaccinated because that's probably what it is if all they did is look at the outcomes then they didn't do the study right it's just a dumb study now I always mentioned Andre's back house you know because he's better than I am by a lot in looking at data and figuring out if at least the analysis is correct or they've you know confused correlation and causation and I believe his exact um his exact comment on the of this stuff was lol I don't know exactly what he's thinking but I don't think it was worth more than an LOL because there's no way that they've sorted out causation from correlation I don't think so and and there was nobody on that spaces call who would even bring up the question now again I'm not sure it's the right question because if they really controlled the study somehow and then maybe maybe they controlled for it but I doubt it I don't think they could it's proven to Scott no it's the data might be proven the data might be proven but the interpretation is sketchy now is it cognitive dissonance if I allow that both possibilities are entirely entirely possible cognitive dissonance is almost always when you've made up your mind I'm telling you explicitly both possibilities are alive can you hear that or not Edith Eve is yelling cognitive distance Edith your incognitive dissonance you're experiencing it you're totally you're totally having a hallucination because I'm the one saying either one is possible and the data allows both interpretations you're saying I'm having cognitive dissonance that's cognitive distance you are experiencing it because you have some certainty about something that couldn't be certain no you are no you are you projected person laughs people think they could read my body language and determine that I'm being disingenuous okay all right here's the problem I keep having when I bring up the same point everybody goes quiet what's wrong with you today why does everybody go quiet when I bring up that point every time some people are just triggered into cognitive dissonance but the rest of you are just sort of commenting you know indirectly in general I don't see people saying Scott I agree with your interpretation do you agree with my interpretation or no that my interpretation is well my interpretation is that there are two interpretations and they're both alive at the moment okay so I think that needs to be at least part of every conversation on this or it doesn't feel doesn't feel real all right um that's about all I had in this I'd like to say again even though that I think I believe Alex Berenson is misinterpreting this data but I like to say that uh I think he's a valuable asset to the country because I do like the fact that people were pushing really hard against the safety claims of the vaccines they might you know they may be uh overzealous but you need that like Society really needed you know these people pushing hard who were credible people so I appreciate Alex bernson's service to the country I don't know if he's you know got every question right but that's not how I would judge him I wouldn't judge him by whether he got everything right during a pandemic because nobody did right so so I'm not going to judge anybody for being wrong during a pandemic I told you in the beginning of the pandemic I wasn't going to do it and I'm trying to be consistent foreign all right uh did I miss anything any uh any stories happening that I missed are you going to talk about the Democrats uh being hunted in New Mexico now is that the story about the serial killer who there was a serial killer who hunted down some Democrats I did I did see something like that I I typically don't talk about uh crime stories but if but that's worth mentioning so the Republicans are always talking about I'm always talking about uh Republicans being hunted but there was a case of somebody who looks like they went out and just tried to kill some Democrats and we of course condemn that at the highest possible level but yeah that that's a fair comment and see now that's the kind of criticism that I appreciate because that that was first of all totally fair that there was something that was counter to my narrative that I didn't mention now again the reason is because I don't talk about specific crimes too much that's sort of my thing I don't talk about them but in that case I should have you're right that absolutely should have been mentioned as the the you know counterbalance so good for you I like it when you call me on stuff that's you know as clearly wrong as that was all right uh what did Crenshaw say Crenshaw is supporting military against the cartels well there we go is there anybody who doesn't now I'm going to ask you a question that I know I'm going to get mocked for all right I sometimes think that one of my special uh let's say services that I can do for the Republic are to take something that you can't talk about and normalize it so that it becomes part of the option set because there's some things that people just won't say first because whoever goes first will just get shot down and I'm pretty sure I've been the loudest public voice about a military intervention in Mexico and I said it loudly and clearly I supported it and I will argue it in public I'll argue with anybody who wants and I'll make my case because it has to be part of the option set now I believe that I did enough of it that it demonstrated that people were more open to it than maybe you would have assumed wouldn't you agree there was plenty of pushback on the Practical part of it and there should be like I don't want to I don't want to recommend a war and have nobody in the United States disagree do you want to live in that country no no I always want a healthy disagreement about war like yes no that should be the biggest fight we ever have but it should be a fair fight right we should we should be serious about it about whether we ever use military force but I put that out there and I think after people ask questions about you know how it could work and are you serious and what would it look like largely people I think accepted it as an option would you agree now I'm not you know I suppose maybe somebody else talked about it and I'm not aware of it but um as Lance says you never did that can somebody tell Lance that for a long time I've been saying we should attack the cartels militarily a long time and and I've been saying it publicly on live stream I've said it on Twitter and I think that helps normalize it because remember what happened when uh who was it who talked about uh Trump brought it up once privately and one of his staffers basically just shot him down like like it's not even something you can talk about and that's what I wanted to change I wanted to make sure that Trump could say that in public which he did he put in a video saying it directly because I think he saw that the the room had been softened enough that you could say it and you could defend it so anyway I normalized more war well war is normalized isn't it do you think I did that pretty sure that was normalized a long time ago we haven't been out of a war since I can remember yeah I would love whoever said that was crazy to say that to me do you think they would say so I mean I would I would just eviscerate anybody who said that it just would be it would be just destruction on camera all right oh he also implied to many rallies earlier too yeah but I think the direct the direct statement that special forces will go in and obliterate the the cartels operation that was the part that he he says directly Trump does and it's the reason that I'm going to back him because I'm a single issue voter I'm a single issue voter on fentanyl so whatever Trump does that you don't like not my problem yeah he can defend that as himself all right would politician families be targeted by the cartels if we bomb them probably the Virginia Merit scholar story oh yeah yeah is the story that in Virginia um some students were not informed that they'd won the National Merit Scholarship they were not informed in time to put it on the resume which would have helped them get into a better College they were told after but only the white ones so somebody held back the white people now if that's true that's a horrible crime like this isn't one that was was it all agents yeah maybe it was just basically anti-asian and anti-white mostly Asians all right well so what whatever whatever group was uh held back there that is huge that when I heard that story like I almost couldn't believe it like we did get to the point where that would be done intentionally yeah that's somebody should go to jail for that don't you think I would think that's I don't know if it's a crime but it ought to me 13 schools God that's just amazing yes for over a year oh my God yeah uh life after death life after death would just be the end of the simulation for you but it might mean that you're you know I also think we might be inhabited by another species who just uses this when we're awake so they would it would just be like a video game where you turn off the video game that's all it would be yeah they should lose something for doing that all right is there any other story I missed I think I'm all good uh uh all right it would be the only fish on the other hand when you asked it about marriage it was clearly they can't do complex math analysis how would you be judging when to trust it and when oh so chat GPT this is a good question you know when would you trust that to do searches well it's not connected to the internet so right now all it is using basically everything it knows about language to create intelligence as soon as it's connected to the internet then we'll be able to check its answers against the manual search and then you'll either be comfortable with it or not but I think it'll take a while to evolve to where it's better um all right just looking at your classified documents oh what do you think of Trump's claim that he kept hundreds of classified documented folders empty folders because they were cool souvenirs believe it or not do you think you would keep them as cool souvenirs I thought of one situation in which he might right my first reaction was that doesn't sound like a good explanation who would keep empty folders and I thought to myself imagine if he wanted to create a piece of art in which the wall was just all the empty classified folders and I think maybe some of them had different fronts so imagine a display of empty folders it's just you know the flat folders on a wall and you would know what was in those folders they wouldn't be in there but but you know somehow like this one was about North Korea and this one was about nuclear weapons and stuff because it would be like a like a visual representation of Trump's job in office his job in office was hey look at this secret file and let's make some decisions and then that would be like the tapestry of his of his uh term and there wouldn't be any details it'd just be a visual representation of how many Secrets a president has to do now if he had said that I don't think anybody would believe it but when I thought about it I thought you know that would actually be a really cool display wouldn't it be like you know a wall of just of just the folders the empty folders it would be kind of cool I I would stop and look at it and I would also think oh those folders every one of those folders was touched by the president of the United States and had a state secret in it which would be kind of cool I have a request for a parting sip for the You.
Tube people and I think I will comply here's your parting sip for this great live stream I'm going to talk to the locals people after join me now in the party except ah hi You.
Tube thanks for joining I'll see you tomorrow
foreign
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yeah that was a good one
looks like everything's uh operating
just the way it should today I'm feeling
like you're all going to have a good day
today
is anybody ready for a good day
yeah
uh Don M asked me what about smoking
weed with Scott Adams
well sounds like somebody needs to join
the locals community
where we do visit the man cave
in the evenings
and the man cave is a very different
very different situation
but we're going to go private over here
on locals
there are subscription sites they get
the good stuff
there you go you're private now
all right
what's going on uh question number one
I saw a user on Twitter Terry Schilling
asked this question to his users
should men still open doors for women
interesting question
should men still open doors now let me
make a distinction
uh the distinction is oh I'm only
private on the locals platform
so I do some extra content there on uh
on YouTube it's public this is all
public on YouTube
um
so I make a distinction between opening
a door
where a woman walks up to a door and
stands there and waits for you to open
the door for him
versus you've walked through a door and
then you're holding it open for somebody
or
you just get there first
because you're walking first and then
you hold it open for could it be a woman
but it could be anybody
now yeah
but now my take on this is if I don't
know their pronouns I don't want to take
a chance
and if you can't identify a Woman by
looking at them and I believe that is
the standard the standard now is that
you can't identify a woman just by
looking that would be kind of an
assumption
now what if you what if you saw somebody
coming
and you said to yourself oh
a woman I think I'll I'll be polite and
then what if you're wrong
what if it's somebody who identifies as
a man but you've misidentified well
what a problem
social problem for you
probably get canceled on social media as
well so don't take the chance
if you see a woman coming
or somebody you identify as a woman but
you don't know
hold that door closed and and don't let
that person even get through
that's the only way to play it you gotta
let him fight with it a little bit and
then you'll you'll all be like equal no
not even equal
Equitable that would be equitable
well that's just a big cluster F so
we'll see how that works out
um here's a growing positive trend
that you wouldn't notice unless you're
following certain Twitter accounts but
uh Corey DeAngelis continues to report
that you know various state legislatures
are improving uh funding for that
follows the kid instead of the school
so that uh parents could say let's take
our kid to another school and then some
money would go with them to help pay for
that alternate School
so free market
it's apparently Florida Florida
legislatures just introduced a bill to
fund students and study systems so a
number of states are doing it and the
conservative States seem to be passing
them
it's a big thing it's a big deal and
I love the fact
that when we talk about the states being
the laboratory for the country this is
exactly what we're talking about right
let a few smart States try something
they probably won't execute the same way
see if anybody can nail it if anybody
Nails it
maybe we know in you know five to seven
years and then we can start copying it
it's pretty good that's a pretty good
sign
actor Alec Baldwin is going to be
prosecuted for two counts
we've talked about this way too much but
um here's the first thing I'll bet we're
going to find out a whole bunch of
surprises
I think the trial will kick up some
things that just seem like surprises
and apparently uh
at one point early in the process
Baldwin had said in an interview
that he did not pull the the trigger but
the forensic people said yes the trigger
was pulled
now is that going to be a problem
because he said I would never point
a gun at a person and pull the trigger
even if it was a movie gun he said he
would never do that which suggests
unfortunately for him it suggests that
he was fully aware
fully aware of the danger of pointing a
gun into somebody
and he did pull the trigger according to
the forensics people we don't know
yeah I suppose it could be like a weird
defective gun that pulls its own Trigger
or something yeah the trigger pulled
itself
well
so here's my take on it I hate
you know the the legal system has to do
with the legal system does but
I hate
that it was a genuine accident
and some you know another life and his
family will all be scarred by it forever
I don't know it just doesn't feel like
justice because you can't bring the
person back
and it would be hard to punish him more
than he's already already punished you
know psychologically and financially and
reputationally and everything else
and it's not exactly like there's any
message to be sent is there
is there anybody in Hollywood who
doesn't already know to maybe double
check that gun like nobody's going to
learn anything if he goes to jail
there's no learning that will happen
so an histology is going to be like
reformed so if he makes another movie he
won't make that same mistake again
there's just nothing there's just no
benefit
now if you say that the family of the
deceased
should sue him and get a bunch of money
I think that already happened didn't it
and that that feels like the right
domain you know maybe there's financial
compensation
but I don't know jail doesn't make sense
now
let me make a completely different
switch my argument
yeah your head's going to spin here he
was also the head of the production
as the head of the Productions it looks
like you really effed up it looks like
he he just didn't do
you know the job of a boss to make sure
the right people who were in place in
the right processes that's that's harder
to defend
right the asking a non-gun owner actor
and the you know in the context of
fictional movie to do all the right
things yeah so that's a big ask
by asking a boss to make sure he hired
the right people to take care of safety
when there were all kinds of safety
complaints
that one's hard to defend
so I think he's in trouble but we're
gonna have some surprises
I know we'll have some surprises
apparently there were more uh live
bullets in his gun belt I saw that in a
Tim cast tweet all right
um
apparently we know why the airline
failure happened the FAA said some
contractor unintentionally
deleted some files
that some Antiquated system needed to
operate and it was hard to recover the
files
now
the obvious is why do we have a system
that's that week
that's like the weakest system I've ever
seen apparently it's really old it's
like from the generation of the Walkman
I saw somebody in Wall Street Journal
say
so
boy somebody was somebody who was not
doing their job there but there's not
much to say about that
I saw a video at the world economic
forum
in which FBI director Christopher Ray
was talking
and uh user Alx on Twitter tweeted this
is what Ray actually said
now it's a little out of context
but my point will be that he shouldn't
be there
in any capacity so even in context it's
all wrong but this is probably a little
bit out of context but here's what he
says
the level of collaboration between the
private sector and the government
especially the FBI has made significant
strides
yes it has
yes as a matter of fact it has
the scariest thing you've ever heard
why are we sending a representative of
the United States
to embarrass us in front of the world
what like why is that okay
like why does he still have a job
like everything about that is just
creepy and wrong
it was probably out of context and you
know I'm sure the context would have you
know not not sounded as scary so this is
something the Wes does is they do things
which
certainly sounds scary
you know who knows what they actually
intend to do
so
here's what I'm trying to understand
about the world economic forum
is it
a useless Dilbert entity where a bunch
of people get together and say a bunch
of jargon and have a nice holiday and go
home
how many people think that's what's
happening and that they don't really
have any impact on anything like
everything would have happened on its
own they just talk about it and take
credit and Pat each other in the back
oh I'm saying yeses and those but
I think it's at least partly that
wouldn't you agree
not no matter what else it is it's
partly just a bunch of
jargon spewing
you know
woke signaling people having a nice
vacation
it would be easy to overestimate how
much power they have but it would be
easy to underestimate it too because
there might be some circles you know
some areas where they do influence now I
saw on Dr Carlson's show the claim
that the wef was behind
Sri Lanka's uh destroyed economy
because Sri Lanka didn't use proper
fertilizer
because it was sort of you know
pooh-pooed by the wef in some way
is that true
let me say that without even looking
into it it doesn't sound true
doesn't sound true
yeah
so let me let me say that
uh I'll go look that oh let me do a
little research I was going to do that
before I get on but I want to comment it
before I research
before researching it it doesn't sound
true
it sounds like it's true-ish
it has the ring to it of something
that's sounds true but if you looked
into it there'd be a little something
there
well let me understand this the WF
cannot require anybody to do anything or
am I right
so they didn't require anybody to do
anything
and so Sri Lanka was under no more or
less requirement than every other
country is that is that true or false
every country had the same set of
standards that were being pushed on them
but one of them made a horrible
catastrophic decision
to I don't know follow some
some specific part of it too far
why did nobody else do it
incentives did the WF offer them
incentives
all right
heavily encouraged
did they heavily encourage them to look
for substitutes or did they heavily
encourage them to farm in a way that
would
not possibly work
because I have trouble believing that
the WF said get rid of your fertilizer
and don't replace it with anything
I don't believe that happened
do you believe that happened
I don't believe that happened and only
one country in all the countries only
only little Sri Lanka actually took that
advice
they're the only ones
all right now
um
am I am I acting too confident for
someone who has no information on the
topic whatsoever
probably
and probably
but but I but I want you to see
um so this is like a little test
is a little test I believe that you
could usually let's say eighty percent
of the time identify without
doing any research eighty percent of the
time now the twenty percent of the Iran
could be a real problem right so I'm not
I'm not saying 80 is good
but I think about 80 of the time you can
tell it's just
from the story itself
so I'm gonna I'm gonna call on
the story
with
a complete lack of knowledge about the
context
because I think I have an 80 chance of
being right
and then a 20 chance of embarrassing
myself but I never care about that right
so it's just an experiment I don't know
what's true I'll just I'll just make it
eighty percent bet then tomorrow if I
remember
we'll check and I'll tell you if there's
any context that changes the situation
but I don't believe it's true
uh but I could brawl
let's talk about uh Stephen Crowder
versus The Daily wire
I knew this story was going to get more
interesting
didn't you
couldn't you kind of smell it
like like there was a little story I'll
tell I'll give you the starting point
but just from the very beginning I
thought this is going to go deeper and
then it did
all right so the story is uh internet uh
say conservative Superstar
uh Stephen Crowder who has millions of
followers on YouTube and other places
and he was offered a very lucrative
contract to work with daily wire
and
what went wrong was the daily wire made
a large offer of 50 million over four
years with the option to extend
now that 50 million would include his
production costs but you know maybe
that's 10 or 20 percent of it
so it's a big deal
a connection problem there and Stephen
Crowder went in public but he didn't
name the entity he didn't name daily
wire initially
daily wire outed themselves because I
think they assumed people would figure
out who they were there are not many
entities on the right who could offer a
big contract right and he was leaving
Blaze the blaze so they're basically
were like
two entities they could offer him a lot
of money
and the daily wire was one
so people would have figured it out you
know I I think that trying to imagine
uh yeah I think that trying to imagine
that nobody would figure it out was
unrealistic in my opinion somebody would
have figured it out from the ends
but
uh Crowder said that the real issue was
that the daily wires offer was in let's
see if I can I'll try to do my most
honest attempt to accurately
characterize his his opinion which is
always sketchy whenever you're trying to
summarize someone else's opinion you
almost never get it right because I
watch people do it with me and they
never get it right
so I'm I'm wary that I might be
misrepresenting his opinion but you you
all many of you have seen it so keep me
honest okay so call me out if I'm not
representing his side as accurately as
possible
part of the deal said that if uh Crowder
got demonetized by YouTube for example
or some other platforms that would have
a obviously have a big impact on their
shared Revenue so the idea was Crowder
would make content daily wire would
promote it and put it on their platforms
Etc
and then the two of them would share the
combined money
but if Crowder did something that would
get him uh demonetized or banned on
platforms the amount of money the two of
them could make could be substantially
decreased
so so the daily wires first offer and
first offer is important first offer is
not a final offer his first offer was
that there would be a financial offsets
for that or penalties you might call it
so that they wouldn't have to pay
Crowder
millions of dollars if he was making no
money for them
now
Crowder interpreted this as
effectively a form of censorship because
he would be penalized
if some other platform that he can't
control
decided he said something they didn't
like
so in effect his point which is accurate
this is an accurate point is that the
daily wires offer would make him still
subsidiary to the social media sensors
in other words he he would now the daily
wire
would be an extra force on the side of
the the sensors
does that capture it that the daily
wires offer because it included a
penalty for bad behavior you know bad
behavior and quotes that that was the
same as being on the side of the sensors
how many would take that view oh and
furthermore furthermore he said very
clearly it is not about the money
it is not about the money
does that capture it
and then he backed up is not about the
money
by saying I never said the 50 million
wasn't enough I never even discussed the
dollar amount
which appear apparently is true
so does that
does that back his view that it's not
about the money
because he never discussed the 50
million it's only about them being on
the side of the sensors and that he was
he was also concerned not so much for
himself but he said directly on an audio
we heard he said but what about the the
smaller person who comes up and can't
negotiate with you what about them are
they going to get this deal too where
basically everybody's just going to be
under the heel of the sensors which is
exactly what we don't want and then he
suggested that they move away
from being dependent on Advertising
now so would you characterize that as
number one not about the money
how many would you agree
the Crowder's complaint was not about
the money
you're not quite sure are you well I'm
gonna I'm gonna clear it up for you in a
minute all right and
um
all right so let me give you three
different takes on this
the first take will be people who don't
have experience in business
second take will be from a lawyer
the third take will be from somebody
who's very experienced at negotiating
contracts very much of this type
all right do you think those three views
are going to be the same
not even close
not even close all right so for our
first uh stand in for the opinion of
someone who I believe
and if by the way if I'm
mischaracterizing this individual please
correct me
but uh do you know uh Carolyn borisenko
on Twitter uh Dr Carolyn besenko now
she's a popular Tweeter you've seen a
lot of her tweets probably and
her take was uh oh first of all you need
to know that Stephen Crowder recorded
his phone call with the daily wire
and then he played it on the air
okay we'll talk about that
but Dr uh borisenko says Stephen Crowder
recorded phone call with the daily wire
CEO that absolutely destroys the
narrative that they meaning the daily
wire have been trying to sell you
and so I listened to the audio
and I didn't hear that
I didn't hear anything like that I
didn't hear any narrative get destroyed
do you know what I heard
I'll tell you in a minute
so
so somebody who and again if I'm
mischaracterizing this
you know somebody should correct me
because I'll apologize but I don't think
that Dr borisenko would characterize
herself
as an expert in business or negotiating
I don't think so now if you're not if
you're not really experienced in
negotiating
would it be reasonable that your take on
this is incomplete
that there's maybe some blind spots
because just a lack of experience in
this it's a very unique domain right
it's a domain that if you're not
quite uh like experienced with there'd
be huge things that are not obvious to
you it would just be obvious to somebody
who does it for a living
so that's one take so I'll uh I'll say
more about that but the initially I
would say uh it looks like she's
agreeing that it wasn't about the money
and it looks like she's agreeing that it
was about the censorship
is that a reasonable take for somebody
who's not an expert at negotiating
contracts
is that reasonable from that perspective
let's say
I think so
I I mean it sounds like a smart person
because she is smart
she's you know she's above average way
above average I think way above average
in IQ and accomplishment
and it's reasonable you know if if that
was your frame of reference
now let's take another frame of
reference
uh there's a an attorney maybe you've
heard of them Robert Barnes has anybody
ever heard of attorney Robert Barnes
well he's got to take
um in which he said on Twitter Crowder
called the Crowder called the Gilded
cage of censored speech slavery to Big
Tech
uh not the dollar offer and he says
Crowder was right
so from a lawyer's take
um
he's sort of more of like a technical
take on what he said
and his technical take is that it was
about sensory speech you know slavery
the big Tech it was not about the dollar
amount of the offer
so that's the lawyers take
by contacts Robert Barnes is who I call
the dumbest attorney in the world
but that doesn't mean he's wrong on this
just on he's wrong about me but so I I
just have a problem with him personally
but
yeah yeah is that a reasonable opinion
do you think that the attorney view
because it very much agrees with
um
Carolyn Dr basenko
pretty reasonable yeah I'm going to say
that's reasonable based on what he heard
all right now I'm going to give you the
third view which is someone with
extensive business experience in this
exact domain
and that would be me
because not only am I a content provider
who has done lots of content providing
contracts of all kinds
but I also used to be a contract
negotiator for a living
and you know I've got a degree in
economics and the MBA and so I have
exactly the qualifications for exactly
this topic all right so would somebody
who has lots of experience in it
have the same view as the attorney
and
as Dr basenko well here's my take
it's always about the money
it's always about the money
here's why
now in order to understand that you
would have to have some experience
so the the idea was that Crowder would
lose money if he got demonetized on the
platform
but the daily wire quite reasonably
quite reasonably the daily wire said
well if you make less money
shouldn't we pay you less money
is that unreasonable
he says that if you pay me less money in
censorship no it isn't it's less money
if he didn't care about the money he
wouldn't be complaining about the
contract
because the contract allows them to say
anything he wants wherever he wants
what would be the penalty
just money the reason he he feels he's
trapped in the Gilded cage is that he'll
lose money
if he says what he wants to say and is
judged uh unfit for the platforms
so he doesn't want to be under the the
Yoke of advertisers
we agree with that he should not be
under the Yoke of advertisers but what
should he have done
how should he have handled it if he were
an experienced business person
operating with full ethics number one
you never record somebody's phone call
in a negotiation and play it in public
if you do no one should ever work with
you again
no there's no forgiveness there's no
second strike
there's no second chance for that one
right that that is game
oh it's so hard not to swear
that is game over
from an Ethics perspective unless you
know if we find out later let me let me
soften this a little because there might
be something I don't know
so you know if in 48 hours we find out
that the daily wire knew they were
recorded and agreed to it and agreed to
have it public
that'd be fine
but that's not an Evidence at the moment
it looks like he recorded them without
their knowledge and played it without
their knowledge if that's true the daily
wire should not be working with him he
that would be evidence that he's not not
a person you could trust that would be
one of the worst things I've ever seen
in a business context
right no he didn't steal any money
but it's as bad as a you know Gary as a
Madoff
FTX Sam bagman free I mean except for
the money amount because it wasn't no
money was lost but in terms of
uh
ethical breaches it's as big as it gets
I mean it's literally illegal depending
where you are right I think it depends
on the state or something but it's
literally illegal to record somebody
with audio without their permission in
my state it is it's different I think
different places
so that's the first thing you need to
know so the daily wire uh has played
this so far
professionally and I got I got to give
them credit for that now here's what
Crowders should have done or could have
done if he had more experience
and wanted to solve this
he could have said to them look I
totally understand
that if we have a deal where we're both
doing something to make money and if I
do something that makes you not have
money that that needs to be dealt with
somehow because otherwise why would the
daily wire make a deal when they didn't
you know without protecting the thing
that's their biggest risk
here's how they do it it's a very
typical contract problem
Stephen Crowder could uh counter with
this how about
we share the subscription Revenue
and I just keep the all of the YouTube
revenue and then it's my problem if they
you know I'll say whatever I want and
it's just my problem if they demonetize
me but we'll have a much smaller dollar
amount and we'll just share the
subscription money so that the daily
wire will never ever be in a position
where even accidentally they're on the
side of the sensors
because that's where the subscription
gets you people just pay it no matter
what
that would be the counteroffer I've made
those counter offers before it's very
standard business now you might say but
why did the daily wire offer that in the
first place
to which I say that's not the way it
works no they make the offer that's good
for them the daily wire
and they make it close enough to
something that's good for the other
person that when they negotiate you know
they're not too far off and you could go
back and forth so Crowder could have
easily said how about way less money
but I'll have full control to say what I
want and if I get demonetized it only
affects me
now they might not have gone for that
offer
but that's the offer
but in every case it's only about the
money
it's only about the money
because the money is what causes the
censorship
so to say it's about the censorship is
honestly that seems disingenuous like I
I don't even know what to think about
that
Jared says wow Scott you completely Miss
Stefan's point
um I bet I don't
his point is that the daily wire would
be
colluding in this in the sentence
accidentally but colluding with the big
tech companies to censor him isn't that
the point
um
right do you I'm just saying it did I
really miss the point I don't think I
did
I think you missed the first part where
I described his point in detail
so
um
how do I do a deal like this
same way
same way
so when I do a deal with a publisher
do you think the publisher says I'll
give you millions of dollars no matter
what you do
of course not
do they say we will give you a contract
if you give us a book we can't publish
because it's so terrible
no in every case people have to perform
performing to a contract is the most
basic thing any contract does so they
just said this is what we expect of you
if this thing happens to you it's going
to happen to us at the same time you
know we're both not going to get that
YouTube money so let's share the risk if
he wanted them to take more of the risk
he could have done it you could have
just offered
something else
all right
so it's always about the money because
the thing he's talking about can be
transferred into money every anytime
anybody says it's not about the money
stop listening to them everything they
say after it's not about the money when
there's 50 million dollars there it's
always about the money
always
you know the fact that he's talking
about it in the public what's that about
it's about the money
right
you know his nose
so I'm going to be strongly on the side
of the daily wire on this they made a
good first offer he didn't counter he
could have there are lots of ways to
counter he didn't
and he recorded them and I would never
even I would never even take his phone
call would you
if Stephen Crowder called you
would you even take his call
if you know he recorded somebody and
then played it I wouldn't even answer
the phone
I don't know how he could ever go
forward and do business with anybody at
this point I mean seriously that that is
an ethical lapse of just Monumental size
in my opinion maybe it's just a pet
peeve
all right here's something interesting
uh on Fox Business on Charlie Payne's
show making money
um this big master of Finance Jeffrey
gun ledge he's the double line CEO
so he's one of the you know Masters of
the Universe in finance and he he's he's
talked about fentanyl
and he says that the lack of action to
shut down Fentanyl
has to be intentional
you said that right on you said that
right on TV
he goes there's no explanation for the
lack of action it has to be intentional
this is this is I don't know if he's a
billionaire he's probably a billionaire
this is somebody who's High credibility
in the business World who's looked at
this and says there's no explanation it
has to be intentional that we're letting
a hundred thousand people die
for what reason we don't know but since
you know what the problem is and you
know what you would do if you were
trying to solve it and we're not doing
the things that you do if you're even
trying
like it would be one thing to try and
fail
but we're not trying
see that part is unexplained
failing everybody gets failing that's
just you know business as usual but not
trying
on one of the biggest problems in the
country that everyone realizes is the
best
that has to be corruption
it has to be it's the process of
elimination
if you could give me one other
explanation I would take it
but it's got to be corruption now it
might not be all money corruption it
might be somebody doesn't want to you
know raise their head and say something
that will get them you know fewer voters
or something but it's still corrupt
because they're not doing the people's
work it's just a different kind of
corruption
all right well it was good to know that
somebody smart and prominent has exactly
the same opinion the first thing I did
was go to his Twitter account and find
out if he was following me
because I haven't heard anybody else say
it have you
have you have you heard anybody else say
that the lack of action
process of elimination it's got to be
intentional
who has anybody else said that
no he doesn't follow he doesn't follow
me on Twitter
so so what's uh that's even more
impressive because it means I'm not the
only one noticing but it means that just
smart observers are saying the same
thing that there's no action and there's
no explanation for the direction do you
know what was the other
time I saw this when Obama reversed his
position when he said he wouldn't touch
the dispensaries and the weed business
in States and then he did exactly the
opposite and he said he would go after
the dispensaries
and he never said why he changed his
View
never said
to which I said if you don't explain why
you changed your opinion is corruption
is the Assumption it has to be
corruption so I assume that that
Obama's a criminal
based on that
yeah
just of that alone I I assume he's a
criminal
um there's a funny story about the
Supreme Court leaker remember with a
that Roe verse Wade thing that got
overturned and Jonathan Turley says that
they on Twitter the Supreme Court's
report uh indicates that they cannot
isolate the culprit
among the over 80 possible suspects so
that's people who had access to the
document and it is an admission that is
almost as chilling as the leak itself
uh 80 people
and then Joel Pollock writing in
Breitbart notes that
uh it appears that the Supreme Court did
not investigate the Supreme Court
Justices themselves
[Laughter]
no I don't know this for sure yeah
unless it was done in secret but there's
no mention no mention
that the Supreme justices themselves are
obvious suspects
now here's the funny part
well it's funny or tragic you decide so
the Supreme Court should be in our
system
the most credible entity we have because
it's sort of our final defense against
other entities being corrupt right so so
if if your Supreme Court isn't your best
people in terms of credibility and
honesty you've got a real problem
because that's like you know the cap of
the whole business right
so
here's what's hilarious
uh oh and also some of the people they
talked to admitted they talk to their
spouses
so some of the 80s said no I didn't leak
it to the media but I did tell my spouse
so we now have a situation
where we can't trust the justices
we can't trust at least 80 of their
staff
and I'm not sure we can trust their
spouses
so it turns out that the entity that we
should trust the most
has more suspects to this crime than any
group you can imagine
like if this happened in you know any
retail store that had lots of employees
I don't think they would have hundreds
of suspects do you
have you ever seen any crime
in which there were hundreds of suspects
of the same entity
when a bank when a bank gets robbed it's
an Insider job are there hundreds of
suspects
the the the the fact that everybody is a
suspect is to be as hilarious like just
everybody they're all they're all
untrustworthy
see that's why transparency is the the
only solution you really can't trust
anybody in government
you just have to have transparency it's
the only way
speaking of transparency
um
Rasmussen is reporting did a very
provocative poll
and uh reported that 57 percent of
likely U.S voters
believe Congress should investigate the
CDC
over their vaccine handling
uh but it gets even more interesting
41 don't think it's likely the CDC has
provided complete information
so 22 percent say it's not likely that
they got complete information so
unfortunately I fall into the 22 percent
because I famously always say 25 or so
get every poll wrong in other words they
they have the dumb answer for every poll
but here I am in the 22 percent
I'm in the group that says it's not
likely at all that the the CDC provided
complete information about vaccine risks
do you know why it's not likely they
provided complete information
yeah
because they're not psychic how could
they possibly have complete information
did the CDC know what was going to
happen in five years
you know when any potential problems
might arise no no all they knew is what
the
the manufacturers told them basically
so how in the world could they have that
information they can't tell you it's
safe they could just tell you what
somebody told them that's all they could
do
so anybody who thought that they should
know it's safe how would they possibly
know that that was unknowable
all right uh but then I guess more
interesting
Rasmussen asked people uh how many of
them know somebody they think died from
vaccines or had vaccine injury it's like
28 percent
what
28 percent
how about this
um 68 of the this is from racism also 68
of the 260 million adults
and that would be 177 million adults in
the United States so 177 million
indicate that receives the covid
vaccination and seven percent of those
reported major side effects
now that would translate to 12 million
people
with major side effects
I guess I would include well I I don't
know I guess that doesn't include death
because they couldn't have answered the
poll
but that got picked up in the the other
question
so how do you interpret this let's say
uh and by the way hold hold your
analysis for a moment
right because I've got some I'll go
deeper
so
suppose uh the I think the polling is
probably accurate in the sense that
seven percent really did answer that
they had in their in their opinion major
side effects
let's say you knew that was true we
don't know that's true but let's say you
know it was a fact the seven percent
reported major side effects that they
associate with the vaccination
would you say that is strong evidence
there's a problem
evidence of nothing
or strong evidence that the vaccinations
work
go
a strong evidence the vaccinations are
killing people
doesn't tell us anything
or it's strong evidence that the
vaccinations were a good idea on a risk
reward basis
what's your interpretation
a lot of people say nothing
interesting well remember you know it's
a poll of people's opinions
so you know by by definition that's not
a science but
wouldn't you be worried as the various
report had this how is it different than
the various report
is it less reliable than the Verge
report
which is where the doctor's input who
they think got injury
from the vaccinations
all right let me give you some context
so seven percent report that they
believe the vaccination injured it
doesn't mean they're right that's just
their best view of what it was
but in context eighty percent of the
United States believes angels are real
80 percent
60 percent believe in ghosts that go
surreal
60 percent
um six percent of Americans are not
don't believe it but they are sensitive
to gluten
six percent are sensitive to gluten
but 25 percent
self-diagnosed as sensitive to gluten
so only six percent are scientifically
sensitive to it but 25 believe they are
right
um
the placebo effect how big is the
placebo effect if you if you compare the
non-active pill to the real pill in a
study
the placebo effect is 30 to 60 percent
so 30 to 60 percent of people
will report that the pill helped them
Thirty to sixty percent
when it did nothing
or maybe it did because their body just
reacted to their belief
how about how many people believe Elvis
is alive
four percent four percent of the country
thinks Elvis is alive
what percent of the country think
Bigfoot is real
14 percent
um according to an NBC poll this was
taken some time ago how many believe
Hillary Clinton is honest
what percentage of the of the country
believes Hillary Clinton is honest 11 11
percent
all right
so 11 of the country thinks Hillary is
honest but only seven percent think they
were injured by vaccinations
I don't know does that context do
anything for you
so the context should be how accurate
are people's self-reporting
anything
yeah seven percent actually sounds low
to me
it says low
I would I would have expected more like
20 percent
but seven percent is probably exactly
the number of people who had a major
health problem at around the same time
as a vaccination
I I don't know about you but at my age I
tend to have some major health issue
every year
do you
now when I say major I mean like I had
problems with my blood pressure meds and
you know at one point my sinuses were
bad at one point I had some reaction
from some other meds and you know I got
I thought my fitness declined quite a
bit for a while during the pandemic so I
had all these things that
I could have said you know I might have
said we're due to the uh shot but what
if it's something like this it caught my
my eye either six percent of the public
is sensitive to gluten and almost the
same number believe they had vaccine
side effects
do you think it could be as simple as
there's some people who have a specific
allergy and and they did have bad
outcomes with the vacs
yeah I I don't know I don't know if you
I don't know if the vaccine is something
you can have an allergy to because it
has to be alive doesn't have to be alive
to give you an allergic reaction
technically
oh I think it does
it doesn't have to be alive to give you
I think there's like a technical
definition that requires something to be
alive but you could have a bad reaction
to something that's not alive
so it looks the same
all right so here's what I'd say I would
say this is a super alarming in the same
way that the varus reports are
but if you take it too much beyond that
then you'd be into pretty speculative
range
all right
so I'd be worried about it apparently
there's another report on one of the
vaccinations
giving Strokes to even older people
because we know there's some extra risks
with the younger people so one of them
might actually have some older people
risk but they're looking into that
drip drip drip
so I was listening to a spaces that
audio
program on Twitter and there was a
conversation about the vaccine injury
and stuff and Alex Berenson was there
and
there's they were talking about the fact
that there are more vaccinated people
being hospitalized and having bad
outcomes than unvaccinated
and it was an extended conversation and
while I was listening to it I didn't
hear the whole thing I didn't hear
anybody bring up the obvious point
that whether the vaccines work or don't
work at least the way we currently you
know the way the doctors currently say
they work which is not spreading not
stopping the spread but rather helping
you survive whether
uh so here's what here's what they were
not saying how would you interpret the
fact that it's mostly the heavily
boosted more boosters you have the more
likely you have a bad outcome what's
your interpretation of that
your interpretation is that the vaccine
not only doesn't work
it gives you a negative a negative
impact right
because that's not my interpretation
well that seems to be the way everybody
else is interpreting it and I'm trying
to figure out is it me
all right here's my interpretation
what group of people are most likely to
get boosted
the people who spend the most time
around people in crowds because they
would have the most chance of getting
infected and the people were weak and
old and have co-morbidities
if you took just the group of people who
have comorbidities and around lots of
people
and compared to them you know forget
about vaccinations just compare the
people who are weak and around a lot of
people to the people who are healthy and
not around a lot of people would they
have the same amount of
um outcomes it should be hugely
different right the old people are dying
like crazy the young people is just a
sniffle
right now which group is more likely to
get the most shots and the most boosters
the ones who know they have no real risk
to begin with
and they're not around people all the
time
what are the people who are around
people
and also have the highest risk they
should the ones who are around people
should be the most vaccinated the ones
who are also have comorbidities or
they're old
so if you took that group and you
decreased the risk by half I'm just
making up a number if you decrease that
the the vulnerable group I have it
should still be way higher than the
people who never got vaccinated at all
even if
the vaccination worked great
so these numbers tell me
the vaccination could be working great
if it reduced the risk by half but it's
still like you know two or three times
more than the healthy people that's
exactly what I'd expect
so the numbers are exactly what I'd
expect if the vaccine
did protect people
I'm not saying it yet that's not my
claim because we don't know right we
could be surprised tomorrow you know
tomorrow we learn all kinds of new stuff
who knows and it hasn't been tested for
long enough that you can be sure about
anything
but
here's my problem
I don't know if that's a good point
and here's a here's what I would need to
know
when they do these studies of who's
hospitalized
are they looking at people with the same
comorbidities
vaccinated versus unvaccinated or are
they looking at healthy people who
didn't get vaccinated much
compared to unhealthy people who are
around a lot of people all the time who
did get vaccinated
because that's probably what it is
if all they did is look at the outcomes
then they didn't do the study right it's
just a dumb study
now
I always mentioned Andre's back house
you know because he's better than I am
by a lot in looking at data and figuring
out if at least the analysis is correct
or they've you know confused correlation
and causation and I believe his exact
um his exact comment
on the of this stuff was lol
I don't know exactly what he's thinking
but I don't think it was worth more than
an LOL
because there's no way that they've
sorted out causation from correlation
I don't think so
and and there was nobody on that spaces
call who would even bring up the
question now again I'm not sure it's the
right question because if they really
controlled the study somehow
and then maybe maybe they controlled for
it but I doubt it I don't think they
could
it's proven to Scott no it's the data
might be proven
the data might be proven
but the interpretation is sketchy
now is it cognitive dissonance if I
allow that both possibilities are
entirely
entirely possible
cognitive dissonance is almost always
when you've made up your mind I'm
telling you explicitly both
possibilities are alive
can you hear that or not Edith Eve is
yelling cognitive distance Edith your
incognitive dissonance you're
experiencing it you're totally you're
totally having a hallucination because
I'm the one saying either one is
possible and the data allows both
interpretations you're saying I'm having
cognitive dissonance that's cognitive
distance you are experiencing it because
you have some certainty about something
that couldn't be certain
no you are no you are you projected
person
laughs
people think they could read my body
language and determine that I'm being
disingenuous
okay
all right here's the problem I keep
having when I bring up the same point
everybody goes quiet
what's wrong with you today
why does everybody go quiet when I bring
up that point every time
some people are just triggered into
cognitive dissonance but the rest of you
are just sort of commenting you know
indirectly
in general
I don't see people saying Scott I agree
with your interpretation
do you agree with my interpretation or
no
that my interpretation is well my
interpretation is that there are two
interpretations and they're both alive
at the moment
okay
so I think that needs to be at least
part of every conversation on this or it
doesn't feel
doesn't feel real
all right
um
that's about all I had in this I'd like
to say again even though that I think I
believe Alex Berenson is misinterpreting
this data
but I like to say that uh I think he's a
valuable asset to the country
because I do like the fact that people
were pushing really hard against the
safety claims of the vaccines they might
you know they may
be uh overzealous but you need that like
Society really needed you know these
people pushing hard who were credible
people so I appreciate Alex bernson's
service to the country I don't know if
he's you know got every question right
but that's not how I would judge him I
wouldn't judge him by whether he got
everything right during a pandemic
because nobody did right so so I'm not
going to judge anybody for being
wrong during a pandemic I told you in
the beginning of the pandemic I wasn't
going to do it and I'm trying to be
consistent
foreign all right
uh did I miss anything
any uh any stories happening that I
missed
are you going to talk about the
Democrats uh being hunted in New Mexico
now is that the story about the serial
killer who
there was a serial killer who hunted
down some Democrats
I did I did see something like that I I
typically don't talk about uh crime
stories
but if but that's worth mentioning so
the Republicans are always talking about
I'm always talking about uh Republicans
being hunted but there was a case of
somebody who looks like they went out
and just tried to kill some Democrats
and we of course condemn that at the
highest possible level
but yeah that that's a fair comment and
see now that's the kind of criticism
that I appreciate
because that that was first of all
totally fair
that there was something that was
counter to my narrative that I didn't
mention
now again the reason is because I don't
talk about specific crimes too much
that's sort of my thing I don't talk
about them but in that case I should
have you're right that absolutely should
have been mentioned as the
the you know counterbalance so good for
you
I like it when you call me on stuff
that's you know as clearly wrong as that
was
all right
uh what did Crenshaw say
Crenshaw is supporting military against
the cartels
well there we go
is there anybody who doesn't
now
I'm going to ask you a question that I
know I'm going to get mocked for
all right
I sometimes think that one of my special
uh let's say services that I can do for
the Republic
are to take something that you can't
talk about
and normalize it so that it becomes part
of the option set because there's some
things that people just won't say first
because whoever goes first will just get
shot down
and I'm pretty sure I've been the
loudest
public voice about a military
intervention in Mexico
and I said it loudly and clearly I
supported it and I will argue it in
public
I'll argue with anybody who wants and
I'll make my case because it has to be
part of the option set now
I believe that I did enough of it
that it demonstrated that people were
more open to it than maybe you would
have assumed wouldn't you agree there
was plenty of pushback on the Practical
part of it and there should be
like I don't want to I don't want to
recommend a war and have nobody in the
United States disagree do you want to
live in that country no no I always want
a healthy disagreement about war like
yes no that should be the biggest fight
we ever have but it should be a fair
fight right we should we should be
serious about it about whether we ever
use military force but I put that out
there and I think after people ask
questions about you know how it could
work and are you serious and what would
it look like
largely people I think accepted it as an
option
would you agree
now I'm not you know I suppose maybe
somebody else talked about it and I'm
not aware of it
but
um as Lance says you never did that can
somebody tell Lance
that for a long time I've been saying we
should attack the cartels militarily a
long time
and and I've been saying it publicly on
live stream I've said it on Twitter
and I think that helps normalize it
because remember what happened when uh
who was it who talked about uh Trump
brought it up once privately
and one of his staffers basically just
shot him down like like it's not even
something you can talk about
and that's what I wanted to change I
wanted to make sure that Trump could say
that in public
which he did he put in a video saying it
directly because I think he saw that the
the room had been softened enough
that you could say it and you could
defend it
so
anyway
I normalized more war well war is
normalized isn't it
do you think I did that
pretty sure that was normalized a long
time ago we haven't been out of a war
since I can remember
yeah I would love whoever said that was
crazy to say that to me
do you think they would
say so
I mean
I would I would just eviscerate anybody
who said that it just would be it would
be just destruction on camera
all right
oh he also implied to many rallies
earlier too yeah but I think the direct
the direct statement that special forces
will go in and obliterate the the
cartels operation that was the part that
he he says directly Trump does and it's
the reason that I'm going to back him
because I'm a single issue voter I'm a
single issue voter on fentanyl so
whatever Trump does that you don't like
not my problem
yeah he can defend that as himself
all right
would politician families be targeted by
the cartels if we bomb them probably
the Virginia Merit scholar story oh yeah
yeah
is the story that in Virginia
um some students were not informed that
they'd won the National Merit
Scholarship
they were not informed in time to put it
on the resume which would have helped
them get into a better College
they were told after but only the white
ones
so somebody held back the white people
now if that's true that's a horrible
crime
like this isn't one that
was was it all agents yeah maybe it was
just basically anti-asian and anti-white
mostly Asians all right well so what
whatever whatever group was uh held back
there that is huge
that when I heard that story like I
almost couldn't believe it
like we did get to the point where that
would be done intentionally
yeah that's somebody should go to jail
for that don't you think
I would think that's I don't know if
it's a crime but it ought to me
13 schools God
that's just amazing
yes for over a year oh my God
yeah
uh life after death life after death
would just be the end of the simulation
for you
but it might mean that you're you know I
also think we might be inhabited by
another species
who just uses this when we're awake
so they would it would just be like a
video game where you turn off the video
game
that's all it would be
yeah they should lose something for
doing that all right is there any other
story I missed
I think I'm all good
uh
uh all right
it would be the only fish on the other
hand when you asked it about marriage it
was clearly they can't do complex math
analysis how would you be judging when
to trust it and when oh so chat GPT this
is a good question you know when would
you trust that to do searches well it's
not connected to the internet
so right now all it is using basically
everything it knows about language
to create intelligence as soon as it's
connected to the internet then we'll be
able to check its answers against the
manual search and then you'll either be
comfortable with it or not but I think
it'll take a while to evolve to where
it's better
um
all right
just looking at your
classified documents
oh what do you think of Trump's claim
that he kept hundreds of classified
documented folders
empty folders because they were cool
souvenirs
believe it or not
do you think you would keep them as cool
souvenirs
I thought of one situation in which he
might
right my first reaction was that doesn't
sound like a good explanation
who would keep empty folders and I
thought to myself
imagine if he wanted to create a piece
of art
in which the wall was just all the empty
classified folders and I think maybe
some of them had different fronts
so imagine a display of empty folders
it's just you know the flat folders on a
wall and you would know what was in
those folders
they wouldn't be in there but but you
know somehow like this one was about
North Korea and this one was about
nuclear weapons and stuff because it
would be like a like a visual
representation of Trump's job in office
his job in office was hey look at this
secret file and let's make some
decisions and then that would be like
the tapestry of his of his uh term
and there wouldn't be any details it'd
just be a visual representation of how
many Secrets a president has to do now
if he had said that I don't think
anybody would believe it but when I
thought about it I thought you know that
would actually be a really cool display
wouldn't it be
like you know a wall of just of just the
folders the empty folders it would be
kind of cool I I would stop and look at
it and I would also think oh those
folders
every one of those folders was touched
by the president of the United States
and had a state secret in it
which would be kind of cool
I have a request for a parting sip for
the YouTube people
and I think I will comply
here's your parting sip
for this great live stream I'm going to
talk to the locals people after
join me now in the party except
ah hi YouTube thanks for joining I'll
see you tomorrow