Episode 2337 CWSA 12/29/23 Why do We Keep Confusing Political Opinions With Mental Illness?

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization we call it coffee with Scott Adams because there's going to be some of that and if you'd like to join and find yourself at levels of happiness you didn't even know were possible well all you need for that is a cuper muger glass a tanker chel of Stein a canteen jug or flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure of the dope am me of the day the thing that makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sipping happens now go well we've already got complaining about the volume on You.

Tube can somebody uh fill in the complainers what happens when you complain about the volume that's right I turn it off and I quit I'm not going to fix it that's what it is so wear headphones or stop complaining good I'm glad we got that sorted out by the way I should have that um resolved when I switch to the rumble studio um I'll be moving to a laptop and I believe the sound will be much better but until that happens we're going to forge on well the estimate is that Earth will reach 8 billion people by January 1st so there will be somebody who is designated as the 8 billionth person to be born would that be cool now of course they're going to have to make it up because they don't really know who is the exact 8 billionth person and people are dying at the same time people are being born so you don't really know but don't they usually designate somebody as the 8 billionth person you know when you reach a new billion well it's meaningless uh let me ask you this if you don't think that this is a simulation how do you explain that after 100 what is it uh 10,000 years of civilization that you happen to be alive at the same time that the population has a uh a problem of decline you know declining population is a bigger problem than growth but it happens to be exactly the same time that Ai and robots will become commercial how how in the world did those two things happen at the same time after 10,000 years of civilization and a 100,000 years of or or Millions I guess of evolution isn't that a weird coincidence unless we're a simulation just hold that in your mind more on that later well I uh got mad at my computer today and I I posted on x and I said uh I have a virus on my computer called Apple music does anyone else have that problem now I honestly expected that everybody would say what are you talking about what I'm talking about is when I use my Apple products my phone or my laptop um for random reasons that I've never discerned the screen will be taken over occasionally by an apple music thing that's hard to delete like you have to go to the menu to delete it it doesn't even have like a little X to close the window like what the hell is that and it happens to me so often that and I don't have apple music so I don't even use it it's just an advertise it that it just is a virus and it turns out there are people who actually stopped using Apple products just to get rid of the Apple music ads at least people respond and say yeah I got rid of the entire platform so I didn't have to see the Apple music at anymore it it actually acts like a virus like a legitimate how the hell do you get rid of a virus all right I'll work on that well with the AI there are big questions about copyright as you know but I found that there are quite a few people on social media who believe that copyrights should go away and that you're hurting the commons you know the the Public's common good uh by having copyrights I didn't know there so many people didn't understand how copyrights work let me explain to you copyright is why you have good material copyright is the reason people create art I make three to five jokes a day on you know commercially in two Comics a day and you know I post things things and everything basically everything I do for my entire career I would not have done any of it if copyrights did not exist the existence of copyright creates art if you don't understand that because a lot of people said well you know you uh selfish artists and selfish creators are creating art and then hogging it to yourself with these copyrights when it really should be part of the public domain and I think to myself are these the same people who think that Communism works did do you not understand the connection between human incentives and then what people actually do copyright is the incentive for me the artist to make art without copyright I'm not going to make a thing but the people who think that the copyright should go away they have this imagination that artists will create things because they have to Great are you kidding me no no I do this for a living we don't do it because we have to it's not based on some internal urge which I have to get up every single day and spend all of my weekends and all of my holidays making art for people because I just have to now would I make art yes I would if there were no copyrights I would absolutely make art then what would I do with it put it on my wall that's it I'd make some art and then I wouldn't share it with you because why would I you didn't make any art you're not paying me for it I think people really need to understand that artists also work for money you do you think I would have made uh let's say I think the number of comics I've created now is around 11,000 do the math for me 35 years of a comic every day 365 so do the math um but somewhere in the you know 11,000 Comics do you think I would have made 11,000 Comics just for my own entertainment no all right um so we're seeing the end of year stories now the roundups and one of the stories I've seen several times is why everyone got it wrong about the economy why did everyone why did everyone every single person why did they all get it wrong that the economy would be good this year Well relatively good well do you know why because these are people who make economic predictions for living and they got it wrong and the people they follow got it wrong so they figure everyone got it wrong no I I said loudly and publicly you know although it's you know limited to my audience of course but I've been saying for a while now and you can all verify it because you all heard me say it that the economy was going to surprise on the upside surprise on the upside and then all the year stories are hey it's surprise on the upside nobody saw it coming yeah yeah somebody saw it coming do you know what was the basis for my prediction the basis for my prediction is fake news fake news I predicted that the news was looking for all the bad stuff and so we would have an unusually bad idea of what the economy was going to do and that the reality was different from the fake news but the professional economists apparently believed the fake news that that everything was going to hell and then predicted based on that and I said I always think the news is fake I'll just go with the opposite of the news and it worked in fact if you had if you had predicted the opposite of the news for everything you would have done pretty well you would have said I don't think those vaccinations are working you would have said I don't think Russia is necessarily going to conquer uh Ukraine in two weeks am I right yeah uh you would have said that there's no way that uh China's economy is going to have a problem they're just so strong am I right you would have said that uh the Hurricanes would be much worse the sea level would be higher the uh glaciers would be melted we'd be having summer vacation in Antarctica right everything absolutely everything you probably would have said that the Middle East is heading toward peace literally everything would have been wrong if you followed the news so it you know it looks like a magic trick if I get a if I get a prediction right and everybody else got it wrong but try doing this open up the news on any platform left or right pick whatever is the biggest story of the day and then make a public prediction that is fake that's all just make a public prediction that this will turn out to be fake and then watch how you do uh let's go back in time I predict that uh the George Floyd thing will turn out to be that chovin did not murder him well that story is coming up yeah just bet against the news you'll do fine well a bunch of pro Palestinian protester types have decided that a good place to protest would be at the World Trade Center the newly rebuilt bu World Trade Centers so the pro Palestinian people said you know what I think I'm going to go protest at the one place that will remove all empathy for my cause so if you're a classic American watching this tell me how you felt when you found out that the Palestinians were protesting at the World Trade Center did you have the reaction I had uh the last well not last I actually had quite a bit the empathy that I had for the Palestinians just disappeared now you could take a side and still have plenty of empathy for the victims on the other side that's fair you know you could take a side and still say it's there's bad stuff happening to the you know the people who are getting the bad stuff um but honestly if you're going to if you're going to be in my country and Pro protest Pro Palestinians in front of the World Trade Center I'm going to give you exactly what you earned which is a a complete sensation of empathy absolute withdrawal of empathy so keep it up yeah no no empathy now as a human being of course you never lose your empathy but as a person who has to pick their targets because there's so many things you could have empathy about you'd be exhausted uh I'm just going to move my empathy somewhere else I got a lot of stuff I can worry about I got a lot of stuff I can help with there are a lot of people who need my empathy I'm going to take all of my empathy away from the prop Palestinian movement because they did that yeah that's the that's that's a line you cross the line sorry you know I can't I can't worry about you anymore and uh but let's make this interesting shall we shall we let's make it interesting how many of you believe that the FBI infiltrated the January 6 crowd and in incited them to do something that they maybe wouldn't have been inclined to do without that incitement a lot of you think that I think and you think that partly because it is routine routine for law enforcement to uh penetrate big movements so that they can be on the inside right do you think this Pro Palestinian movement has no uh undercovered people in it you think there's zero undercovered people if there are zero undercover people it would be sort of the first time now if you were an undercover person and let's say you were pro-israel or at least you know anti these protesters what would be a really good play what would be a really good incitement if I were if I were an undercover FBI pretending to be one of the pro Palestinian protesters I would say I got an idea let's take this protest over the World Trade Center because that would destroy the entire movement it looks like it did honestly you couldn't tell any American that the pro Palestinian people protested at the World Trade Center without changing their mind entirely about how they feel about it it's a little too on the nose so I've got a problem with this story that's a little too perfect isn't it it it is so pro-israel that you have to wonder if it happened naturally are they really that stupid because I don't think the pro Palestinian people have demonstrated you know ridiculous stupidity in fact they seem to be quite effective so I'm going to put a little question mark on this one might have been a really fun uh you know it could have been a successful op to embarrass the movement maybe I don't know but in any case it's certainly the worst thing they could have done short of beheading Americans um so it's very clarifying in in a certain sense well did you know as actually reports uh here's their headline the US is on course to end 2023 with one of the largest annual drops in homicides on record did you know that homicides are dropping and in fact one of the biggest drops on record this year wow if you were going into an election year that would be kind of important to know wouldn't it because I bet a lot of you thought crime was up uh we shall now identify the fake news fake news identifier number one when it says we're on a course to end 2023 one of the largest drops in homicides on record what is missing from the story go what what is missing from the story that's really really important it's dropping down to the baseline from the pandemic levels so it's not a drop from the Baseline which would be really good news it's a drop from the artificially High number of of the the lockdown period that's it basically it just reverted to the norm now I would say that's also good news because you know if it didn't revert to the norm that would be terrible but don't we want it uh even lower than the norm don't you think that the let me ask you this do you think the headline would have been more accurate it was said that the US homicide rate uh reverted to the base Baseline after the pandemic wouldn't that tell you a lot more it's almost as if the headline were written with the presidential race in mind everything's political even what it's not everything's political um here's what else they left out that uh property crime is up now when people talk about crime they're usually not talking about murder we you know we care about every murder of course but I don't see that the political right has been talking about an increase in Murder I've never I don't think I've even seen that once now they do talk about if there's some terrible murder you know that crime is too high of course we all say that but I haven't really heard any Republicans say uh that murder specifically is at an all-time high and going higher you say fox says it I'll bet they don't I'll bet they don't say it in direct words or just dep say not not the news people I don't know i' do a fact check on that claim but here's what I think uh I think that crimes against retail stores are at an all-time high and that inner cities are being you know their stores are closing because they can't operate don't you think that should be in this story don't you think that the story about the the crime rate for murder and other violent crimes by the way uh are down but only to the Baseline shouldn't this story necessarily tell you that property crime is through the roof and lots of places should it tell you that there's a big uptick in the so-called Chilean uh organized crime groups that are hitting high-end homes like my next door neighbor literally my next door neighbor uh was hit by one of the Chilean gangs where they they go in all at once they try to grab your jewelries now one reason they haven't tried to get all my Jewels there's literally nothing in my house they can steal I don't have a single stealable thing that would be worth you know the gas you put in your car to steal because these days nobody steals the television am I right because television isn't really worth that much and it's hard to carry so they're not going to take my tele telion that they probably wouldn't take a car out the garage they don't seem to do that what are they going to steal I own zero jewelry I don't keep enough cash in the house you know like you know I basically have a a wallet the the entire contents of my wealth that is transportable is my wallet and you could get that from anywhere you know you don't have to do it in my house so it's a funny crime I think you need to make sure there's a woman in the house and it's a high income house so they'll have some Jewels but I got no Jewels like literally none I don't have a single I don't have a single thing you could put in your pocket that would have value or even anything you could put in a pillowcase but uh that that should be mentioned all right I've got a hypothesis for you how many of you would say that you feel a human instinct to reproduce or have at any point in your life how many of you have ever at any time in your life felt a human impulse which you knew was natural that that well I don't know if you know I mean there's always a social part of it that you're socially hypnotized to reproduce but it feels natural I so I have it as well even though I've never had um biological children I have at various times felt this impulse to have a biological child now why do you think you have that impulse now obviously if evolution is true um we evolved to reproduce because if we didn't have an Impulse to reproduce we wouldn't do it as much and then we wouldn't even be here so it's sort of built into us that we have a need to reproduce but you know what's interesting about reproduction reproduction is really not about your own Survival it can work that way if you know if your children need to take care of you in your old age but it's not really about that is it when you think about having a child you're not thinking about your own Survival you're thinking about having a child so what drives that here's my hypothesis that what drives it is the uh the impulse for immortality I think that you that all people believe including me we believe that if our mortal body were to expire but we left something of ourselves genetically you know in another human that could therefore also have more humans that we would be immortal in a sense would you agree so how many would accept my hypothesis without proof but my hypothesis is that our instinct to reproduce has Mo mostly to do with our own mortality mostly and and also I'd say narcissism I think reproduction is narcissism it's like you're so important you must produce more of yourself and it should go on even after your death because that's how important you are ah some of me must go on now there are other reasons for wanting kids you just like them and blah blah blah you know plenty of other reasons but I think the the Basic Instinct is just about self-love it's a form of self-love that just happens to have an external component to it the child now whether or not you accept that hypothesis I'm going to extend it for those who do accept it uh we now have uh AI that can take one photograph and animate it like a perfect deep fake it can add your voice perfectly and it can learn about you so it can act like you so people like me who have a large body of work including these live streams could just uh train an AI to create me to live forever it could age me it could age me backwards Etc so there's a 100% chance that I'm going to leave my AI um self after I'm physically gone from this life why because I can afford it I've been planning to do it for 30 years now you can all confirm that right there's a lot of people who have been following me for a long time you can confirm that I've been saying for 30 years that I plan to wait until the technology can uh essentially duplicate me in digital form yeah so I'm saying the confirmation is coming by so you know I've been saying this forever that I also have this uh Instinct for narcissism but I don't want to really promote my genes so I can I feel that my instinct for immortality can be satisfied by AI now is that a generalizable thing or is it because I'm a freak and I'm you know maybe there's cognitive dissonance confirmation bias you know maybe there's just something unique and broken about me that makes me think a digital Recreation is somehow somehow going to extend my mortality because it's crazy right kind of crazy it's crazy to think that putting yourself into a digital form is really anything but you know what I say putting your genes on another person and then dying is ridiculous it's ridiculous you're still dead and it's just some other creature is alive right the the thing which makes us think having a child supports our immortality is irrational the thing that would make me feel that an AI would support my immortality is also irrational but you know what's what they both have in common they both work because when you're trying to disable an instinct like the instinct to be immortal or to reproduce the instinct is not based on reason you can't reason away an instinct but you can satisfy it and I believe that I can satisfy my reproduction Instinct with AI but that's not my point because if you think the point is about how weird I am that's just sort of the Side Story the bigger point is this I think AI could end um reproduction on Earth and it could happen really quickly because there's going to be a whole lot of people who are in that gray area where they say to themselves and by the way here's there's another Trend I'm going to connect to it if you if you're on social media there's a very big uptick in in relationship experts telling you to don't bother because everybody's broken and if you marry a woman she's just just going to take your money and monkey Branch to another guy right so on one hand you've got all these experts telling you that traditional marriage with a human being is a losing proposition for men and they should just not do it keep their money in just serial date or find some woman who's willing to you know have no financial interest and still be married to you for some reason um so if you start combining these two groups you've got one group saying that our human um our human method of having children is way too expensive and the colleges are making them idiots and they'll grow up to hate you because they'll be all woke and they might die at you know offend little overdose Etc uh or you could have an AI that satisfies all your Basic Instincts it gives you a mate that doesn't hate you it gives you immortality there's going to be a whole bunch of people who would have had children and then regretted it because you know they got divorced and they lost custody and all the bad things that happen those people are just going to say you know what I don't think marriage would work out for me so I'll just take this other AI option here and you don't need to take reproduction down to zero to end Humanity you only have to take it down lower than 2.1 I think 2.1 reproductions you know per couple so if you get a below replacement rate AI is a future and I think we might be had it that way all right um so born lorg points out a surprising bit of information and this does surprise me the United States is producing more oil than any country in history right now right now the United States is pumping more oil than any country in the history of the world did you know that I had no idea I knew that we had the potential to be number one but I thought Biden you know was clamping down on too hard on it so let me can I make a confession you know I like to point out when people on the left are uh brainwashed by their media I appear to have been brainwashed I appear to have been brainwashed because if you had ask me to write an essay about the energy situation in the United States I would say well number one the main thing you have to know because I've been watching conservative media too much the main thing you need to know is that our oil production is way down compared to where it was under Trump it's higher than Trump just a little bit but it's higher than the highest point of trump how many of you knew that before you heard it today how many of you knew that the United States was pumping more oil than anybody in the history of ever some of you knew it good for you good for you but but those of you like me who didn't know it no I knew it was a lot I knew the US was you know potentially the biggest producer I you I've known that for a long time but I feel like I was brainwashed and when I read this story I felt like I was coming out of it like I had the experience of recovery a little bit are any of you having that experience right now is there anybody here who is saying holy I watched the news every day and I had no idea yeah some of you were having that experience but like you said a lot of you already knew that so you were add of me on this one yeah so that if I could give you one piece of useful advice about the news never assume that the one who's brainwashed is the one disagreeing with you do not start with that assumption because it's just too often wrong just assume that it could be you and then reason from that point on right don't assume you're right and then reason from that that makes no sense assume you're you're equally likely to have been brainwashed and go from there all right here's a interesting uh post by Billy Oppenheimer on creativity and genius oh well let me just make one more point about the gas prices so gas prices are being held lower than they normally would be except us is producing so much that we're exporting now so do you think it's a an accident that in an election year we just hit our Peak uh oil production kind kind of feels like an election year thing doesn't it that makes you wonder what is true has Biden been lying to his side and telling them that he was going to be the you know climate change president while doing everything he could to boost production or did it just happen on his own you could it be that the free market was still free enough that there were no restrictions that held them back enough and they just kept drilling so I don't know my suspicion is we wouldn't have been here in a non-election year but I don't know about that if I were a republican how would I handle this if I'm running for president would I say oh got to drill more because then you're susceptible because then Biden says I drilled more than Trump you know we're at a high new level so that doesn't work as well as it could but what if you go the opposite way suppose you complimented Biden for the fact that drilling is at an all-time high that might actually work because remember you you know if you're a republican you don't have to disagree with everything the other side does every now and then there's going to be something you agree with so imagine Trump saying you know I criticize you a lot President Biden but one thing I won't is that the drilling is reached an alltime high even higher than uh when I was president now if I were am reelected it's going to go way up from where Biden is so it's going to be way higher still if I'm president but I have to give you credit you talked a good game about the climate but then you drilled like hell that's kind of a kill shot right so the difference between Biden and me is that apparently Biden wants to drill like crazy too the difference is it's the opposite of what his base wants him to do his base is asking him to stop and he's going nuts drilling I'm telling you I want to drill more too and I'm very happy that we're having this much oil I have no complaints about the oil level except that I'm sure I can get it much higher and it should be because price is still too high and we still should be far far more competitive and climate change is under control Etc so it's an opening for the Republicans uh creativity and genius so Billy opener Oppenheimer had this post and I guess there's some science showing that one thing that uh According to some book by somebody named Dr.

Nancy and Jon um they they did some brain Imaging studies on Creative people and talked about other creative people like uh Einstein and da Vinci and one thing that the claim is they all had in common was lots of uh free time to do nothing but think during the day so Einstein famously got in his little boat that didn't have a motor and he would just go out in a lake somewhere and he'd just be gone for hours with just Him in a boat and they' come back with some new Theory uh apparently other creative people do the same thing now I just want to pile on and say that I also do that and so if you don't do that and you're trying to be more creative you probably should so you probably ask me what's the deal with my man cave like why am I always in my garage you know like a weird little environment that I built well the man cave is all about that when I go to the man cave that's not work so I turn off all of work and it helps have a different environment if you're trying to just think in your office like where I am right now sitting at my office desk it doesn't work because I get drawn into work thoughts I have to physically remove myself so I've built a place in my house where I don't think about work I only think about what's fun and wherever my brain wants to go most of my best ideas came out of not thinking about anything in particular and it just Boop something pops into your head uh I also like to take long walks and because I'm a creative person um I'm always multitasking when I'm exercising so if I'm lifting weights or taking you know long walk or whatever I'm doing um my mind is in creative mode and I just let it go where it goes and it comes up with good stuff so if you're not doing that I recommend it you should find some excuse that takes you away from your digital devices and gives you you know good salad I think at least half an hour but an hour a day would be better of just unstructured thoughts just let yourself not think about your chores not think about your day not think about your problems just let your brain go wherever it's going see how you feel you might like it it's one of my secrets for happiness but I have a sort of an unnaturally active creative part of my brain so it might not apply to everybody well Google has settled a uh5 billion lawsuit apparently they were tracking the incognito mode users wait what yes that's right you know how you when you set your browser to incognito mode the entire point of that is that you can't be but they were uh tracking are you surprised yeah right surprise shocker all right may I take this moment for a public service this is a public service announcement your privacy disappeared a long time ago you don't have a problem of losing privacy you have a problem of not understanding it's already gone it's a different problem you should start living your life immediately as as a person who has nothing to hide meaning don't do stuff that you have to hide don't do it because you're going to get caught at least by the government you know if you're hiding something from your spouse well you're still going to get caught does anybody get away with cheating these days I feel like cheating is not even the thing anybody can get away with because it's definitely going to be on your phone and if your spouse if your spouse asks to look at your phone and you say no well you're definitely a cheater and if you say yes and you're cheating well you're definitely caught so your your phone is like the you know the greatest anti- cheater device but it's probably do you know how many divorces are caused by phones I wonder because if you went back to say the 60s if you suspected your spouse was cheating and you couldn't prove it there was probably a really good chance you could get over it like even if there was cheating if it was you know temporary you'd probably have a way to get over it because you'd never really be sure your spouse would say it didn't happen and maybe you talk yourself into believing it didn't happen but if it's right there on the phone there's nothing you can do about it so uh just live your life if you can in a way that there are no secrets at least digitally right and and you can't even have a conversation in a home or a physical space because well let me just think about this imagine you said to yourself okay I know there's a ring camera but it you know it can't hear me because I'm I'm out of hearing distance do you think AI won't someday be able to read your lips yeah yeah someday AI is going to read your lips if you appear on video talking it doesn't matter if they can't hear it the AI will just read your lips someday yeah if if you had a conversation with somebody and either one of you had a smartphone in your pocket or nearby is that private well not necessarily because the bad guys can listen to you through your phone they can even take a picture of you through your phone and you'd never know it right there is no such thing as privacy it's gone live your life under that assumption all right um how many people are having the same experience about Japan Japan is I don't know if I should say suddenly but it's the it country when I asked you where's the place if I were to leave America cuz things got bad where would I go a number of people said Japan privately people have told me Japan is incredible like when people talk about Japan their entire demeanor changes when they talk about it have you noticed that if you talk about another country that people like hey have you been to Great Britain oh yeah it was a good trip I loved it right have you been to Dubai yeah Dubai is amazing you know very modern great place have you been to Paris yeah it's a you know too many cigarettes but you know great place classic everybody should go there then you say how about Japan and watch the demeanor change if they've been there oh my God Japan is like you can't even believe it I almost can't describe it it's like living in the future there's like you know no crime no trash there's no stream people everything's efficient everybody's nice everything works transportation is easy is like exciting that it's visually spectacular the country works now we hear that Japan just uh uh restarted their uh casha wasaki kowa one of the world's largest nuclear power plants has seven reactors on site uh it had been offline ever since the Fukushima problem but they're they're putting it back up online so Japan is an interesting place you know when I was young we were all worried in America we were worried that Japan would eat our lunch we used to say yeah they're going to take all our manufacturing and then of course China took their manufacturing and China and Japan went into sort of a long doldrum but that long doldrum apparently they regrafted their situation and they're killing it so Japan really looks like a just a shout out to Japan good job good job Japan whatever you're doing is right now you I did say at one point incorrectly that Japan didn't have much immigration but apparently they do have a Workforce need uh laborers so they do have a pretty robust immigration but something tells me they don't get to stay there and live there I don't know I got a feeling that they let them come in to work but I don't know how easy it is to become a citizen yeah well that's a open question well V ramaswami keeps talking about the system and I'll I'll read his exact words if you really think the system is going to let either Trump or Biden get anywhere near the Finish Line open your eyes folks they're selling us the the Rope today that they'll use to hang us tomorrow don't fall for the trick now apparently the the subtext of this is that Nikki Haley is being pushed by the Republicans but maybe the Democrats who like their military spending don't hate her so there's you know the the system I think the system in this context is the permanent power people in Washington who are slightly different than the parties so I love this fact that he says it directly and unapologetically um there's a little hyperbole built into it but I like that he's putting that out there as you know you just open your eyes in the real world neither of them are going to serve the military-industrial complex as much as it needs to be served and therefore the the system is going to try to take them both out that doesn't mean the system will succeed but um as V says they will try anything now have we seen enough evidence that the Democrats will try anything I think we have yeah if you told me that assassination was off the table because it's so far out of anything we've observed as the behavior of the Democrats I would say I don't see that at all I see the Democrats putting innocent people in jail where they are killed starved or committed suicide I see the Democrats already murdering people and knowing they're doing it you know they're doing it the indirect way through the legal system but it's still murder you know Derek Jovin they tried to murder him in prison in my opinion that's my interpretation of events so when V warns that they'll do anything to keep uh specifically Trump out of office but Biden too that does include the worst thing is absolutely a risk and it's a real risk um so don't forget that all here's a totalitarian update of who the totalitarians are so as uh Kyle Cheney is reporting on X uh so the second circuit appeals court has denied Trump's motion to stay the uh to delay something with the EG genene Carol lawsuit so the egene Carol lawsuit will go forward um it's one of several lawfare legal things against Trump all of them are ridiculous all of them are stupid which is not to say he didn't do some of the things alleged I'm not claiming he didn't do any of the things alleged I'm saying that the only reason that he's being pursued is politics you know that there are things that would be trivial under any other context except this one so think about egene Carol hold egene caroll's face in your head okay you got it do you have like a mental image face then we're going to compare that with the image that I carefully um decision uh we lay out why under main law now look at this face the woman speaking here's what I see I see mental illness and I'll tell you who this is in a moment when I see e uh Carol my brain interprets her her uh let's say demeanor face presentation as mental illness now I'm not an expert so I don't want to be you know accused of doing a diagnosis I'm no mental health expert I'm just saying how I receive it so this is not a factual statement I'm not making a factual statement I'm saying that's how I see it now I'm completely aware that it could be on my end that they're just normal people and my brain is turning them into monsters because you know I'm on the other side of politics or something maybe so I don't rule that out that's why I'm asking you but so we see that in Maine um the the woman I just showed you who's a you know Democrat operative and of course she decided that Trump should be kicked off the ballot in Maine but it was written in the way that he's not going to be kicked off the ballot yeah because you know it depends on the the appeal and the Supreme Court and blah blah blah you don't need to know the details but it's basically a purely political act and she's she's explaining it because the Insurrection is obviously real and that was her reasoning that the January 6 was obviously an Insurrection by Trump now when I look at that face I just see mental illness do you is it just me how many of you see mental illness I do yeah and when you see Liz sheney what do you see do you see mental illness actually I don't I don't see it with list ching with her I just see evil yeah with her it looks more like pure evil that's just how I receive it again I'm not reading a m because I can't read mins I don't know what's happening in there but they don't it's not like every woman who doesn't like Trump registers as crazy I'm not saying that but I'm saying these two and I feel like we're not doing a good service to the public if we treat as political news what is more likely a mass hysteria we should be treating it like a medical problem because it is it's the same thing we do with uh uh why the you know why do we have a reduction in the birth rate I think it's a medical problem yeah we we treat it like it's a opinion people don't want to people don't want to spend the money it's too expensive people are selfish that's what we talk about I don't think so I think it's people eating too much and eating poison food yeah basically if you corrected the diet in America I saw again a photo of uh what people look like 50 years ago both men and women what they look like 50 years ago everybody looked rockable everybody men women yeah they might not be your specific type but they all look now go to the mall just walk walk down the mall and just ask yourself male or female how many of the people who walk by you are male or female not a lot not a lot it's not 80% like it was 50 years ago you'd be lucky if you saw one person you actually wanted to get busy with even one and of the whole Mall if you saw one person that you'd legitimately say you know wouldn't mind being under the covers with that person yeah so why do we treat it like it's some kind of like social political thing it's food it's food anyway so the totalitarians who believe they are voting rights people are trying to keep Trump off the uh away from the voters so the the hypocrisy level is through the roof which is why it looks more like mental illness because nobody who is sane could fail to notice that they're they think they're voting rights activists and they're keeping somebody who's leading in the polls both both in the general election and in the primary leading in the polls and that he should be kept off because one crazy woman thinks that uh January 6 was an Insurrection no thank you all right New York Post is reporting that Google meta and other Tech Giants are uh getting rid of their Dei related groups so they diversity equity and inclusion uh apparently they had too many of them so they need to get rid of them now do you get rid of uh anything that's working no you do not if it were working they would keep it so so apparently it doesn't work or at least doesn't work well enough so here's the question I ask is it too soon for me to demand reparations too soon to demand reparations here's my argument uh I was born without any apparent benefits of slavery I didn't you know nobody in my family owned any slaves and indeed my cousins the president Adams's uh were were big Warriors against slavery so I made my own money but I would have made a lot more if I had been able to do my corporate career I know that sounds weird but yes I would have made more money if I just kept my job because I was you know working in the Bay Area Silicon Valley was taking off I would have been in some startup that just paid crazy amounts of money and I'd be retired by now but I didn't get that option I had to go do my own thing which worked out um but I wonder how many people would have made a lot more money if they were not white and male because they didn't get the promotion they didn't get the raise etc for about 30 years yeah a lot now here's the real question if you're going to calculate reparations um you should calculate the net right so you should calculate what is owed to slaves if you you know buy into that narrative what would be owed the descendants of slaves but you'd have to also calculate what was taken already and if what is taken already from white men is greater than what is owed then you say oh okay I guess we're good and we're done right so you have to get the net it wouldn't make sense to calculate only what you think somebody's owed without calculating what has already been paid because the sacrifice of the raise you didn't get is a tax right because otherwise you would have gotten the raise now here's the tricky part and this is why it's so hard to do an analysis of anything statistics can lie based on your assumptions just just think how painful this next assumption is how much money did uh the slaves or let's say somebody's life today their great grandfather uh lose because of discrimination well it'd be probably a big number you might say something like well they could have made as much as the average white person whatever your argument is and then You' come up with a number that represents the Discrimination part right so then you do the same calculation with uh white men who were uh prevented from employment or didn't get the raise over over a 30-year period but here's the problem the white guy who didn't get the 20% uh raise with a promotion 20% of a modern salary is a lot of money even if you account for inflation whereas when nobody had much of anything in the early days of the country if you doubled your income it really wasn't much money right so how do you account for that even even if you adjust for the value of money changing the 20% that somebody got in modern times is still going to overwhelm the $100 you wish you got in 1800s yeah cuz cuz white guys are losing like a million dollars over the course of their career whereas the grandfather who might have had a slightly better Farm might not be losing that much money even after you've adjusted for the value of money changing over time yeah even with the time value of money I think I think you'd find that the modern people are taking a bigger hit just as a percentage of their potential so how do you calculate that the answer is there's no way to calculate any of this in a way that people will agree it is an uncalculated in any even approximation of a reasonable agreeable consensus way and it can't there's just no way to do it it's purely political it's purely power and that's the way it should be seen if you think you're correcting an injustice nothing like that's happening nothing like that is happening is a purely political power grab and a money grab and that's all it is uh reparations isn't going to happen uh I I'll die before I'll pay reparations all right well or I'd move to another country or something moved to Japan um so what else is going on so claudian gay the embattled president of Harvard who didn't say enough of the right things uh about the uh Gaza situation turns out that people have been looking at her papers even before then to see problems and apparently one of her papers uh she had a thesis that uh in 2001 that black having black Representatives made white people vote less but apparently the numbers in her study do not match the conclusion surprise the numbers that she includes in her own analysis do not support the conclusion now I don't know that that's true I just know that somebody who has a lot of credentials according to their profile PhD and statistics looked at the statistics and said oh you just did it wrong and the conclusion is backwards now given that science in general only passes muster maybe half the time about half of all the peer-reviewed scientific papers turn out to b bs or you know misinterpreted so you should you should expect about the same for any PhD doctoral thesis wouldn't you I I would think that about half of all the PHD papers probably have the same problem about half of them don't don't work so uh I find myself in yet another weird situation where I'm going to uh defend claudi and gay my guess is that if you did some kind of a Bas line of PhD papers about half of them would be are you going to take away all their phds and fire them I don't know I feel like this story is lacking a baseline for comparison somebody says yes no well here's my point the people who did the papers didn't they're they're not being blamed for uh intentionally falsifying that's not part of the story nobody nobody's saying she's doing it intentionally it looks like a misinterpretation according to one person who may also be wrong don't even know if the critic is right uh I'm going to say that having some uh obvious well not obvious maybe only obvious to an expert but having errors in your papers probably is more normal than anybody wants to admit probably kind of normal now I think she should lose her job because there are other reasons that are better but getting some statistics wrong in a PhD paper maybe that's closer to Baseline activity I don't know but uh I guess I would take some fact checks on that if somebody says no PhD papers are almost always right if you can tell me that PhD written academic papers are almost always right then I'll have a different opinion about this if you tell me it's just like the rest of science where half of them are you're ridiculous then I'm going to say all right well it's just Baseline all right um let's see uh California decided they would not try to kick Trump off the primary ballot so let's see we had Michigan tried it and failed or they rejected the idea to keep him off uh Maine is trying it but not really uh Colorado is trying it but not really because they both Maine and Colorado had both had built into it that it doesn't go into effect unless the Supreme Court or less his challenge so they basically had self-cancelling language in it was just to embarrass trump it looks like but why would California looking at exactly the same set of facts come to a different conclusion because remember the Colorado and Maine opinions were based on the fact that it's obvious an Insurrection was being implemented by Trump does doesn't California think it's obvious why why doesn't California think it's obvious well I assume it's because Nome is a smarter politician right Nome is definitely a smarter politician than most of them you know which is why he's in the conversation he's a smarter politician so I'm sure that whether Newsome you know put his thumb on this decision or not the people who made it knew what he would want right he didn't have to make a phone call and what he doesn't need is to run for president and have to explain why California took Trump off the primary that's just hard to explain because it would look anti- Democratic so I think uh Nome has the better Instinct here that as long as other other places are picking Trump to death he doesn't want to have that one more thing to criticize he can he can say hey California is in favor of democracy I can't speak for the other states that's a good message and that would be a very capable and competent message so uh with with some uh trepidation I have to compliment California for getting this right although I think they got it right for the wrong reason I think they got it right for politics not because it is right all right uh Mike cernovich points out that the process is the punishment all of this uh legal stuff against Trump is not exactly necessarily that they're going to put him in jail they're they're just going to exhaust him financially emotionally mentally personally professionally until he just doesn't have any fight left in him and he can't campaign so I think they might well I don't know I think they don't want him to go to jail what do you think do you think the Democrats are fully aware that if Trump spends a day in jail 81 million people are going to go ape and start cleaning their guns they have to know that right let me say it out loud just in case there are any that any questions about it I don't promote or endorse or incentivize or incite any kind of violence I'm opposed to violence but I'm also an observer of the obvious let me observe the obvious you put in you put Trump in jail for one day just one day over any of this and 81 million people are going to clean their guns that's all I'm going to say they're going to have very clean guns that day now what happens after that I don't know but 81 million people are going to clean their guns and you're going to see every one of those pictures on social media you're going to turn on X and it's going to be a blizzard of Republicans just cleaning their guns yeah so you don't think the Democrats are aware of that because they know what too far looks like they know what too far looks like this legal is not too far because we do believe that Trump will be able to you know crawl his way through it to the end but if you didn't believe he could crawl his way through it you'd feel differently one day in jail that's the standard the standard is one day so it has to be clear because the the way you stay out of trouble is making sure that your potential you know person on the other side of the trouble fully understands the the reason that uh that uh you you know the reason that any threat works is that it's credible the reason the United States is not attacked is that we have a credible threat that we will nuke the out of you if you try anything because we mean it it's not a joke we will nuke you if you try to attack the United States Homeland we will nuke you absolutely so uh yeah I think the so I agree with Mike covich that the real play is to exhaust Trump and his supporters because I think they know put one day in jail is a whole different game all the rules are gone at that point every rule will be suspended if he spends one day in jail uh but I don't recommend any uh violence all right here's a uh priming story all right you ready for this it's a priming story did you know I saw this in a post by Scott linum uh that American history textbooks uh they give causes for the uh the big Great Depression so if you read a history textbook you're in school you'll read the about the uh Great Depression and there will be reasons listed for why it happened and there are a variety of them did you know that those do not match what uh economics academics say is the reason and I'm not going to get into the details I'm just going to tell you that what the current day experts in economics say does not match what your children are learning in school does that surprise you and I'm talking about Democrats in both cases you know most of your teachers are going to be Democrats uh most of your academics Or democrats but even the but the people who know the most the economic academics you know not just somebody working at a bank but they're ones who are studying you know the whole field of Economics all the time they have a completely different opinion of why the Great Depression happened it's not even close to what the what has being taught in the textbooks now I have no interest in discussing that topic further this is a priming story I'm I'm using persuasion on you so I want you to see how it feels the priming story created a framework in your mind that I'm going to populate with a different story and I'm doing it so you can see it and feel it and recognize it in the wild look for priming stories you have now been primed the priming is there something as basic in history as the Great Depression could be fake history that's the prime now may I go on T Carlson uh is doing a video talking about uh Derek Chauvin being uh unfairly convicted uh for the alleged murder of George Floyd and that it's obvious that it was not murder and that he was railroaded now here's my question what will the history books write about George Floyd will they say he was killed by a police officer who did the wrong things yes they probably will but you're lie to watch it so you're watching history being created and a fiction you're watching it live and then you're going to watch it Harden into the textbook and that will be the history that will be the history now I should point out that when Tucker said this and marjerie Taylor green reposted it that uh on the xplatform community notes weighed in and said that the ER did in fact say the cause of death was the police action and then it pointed to NPR as its source so Community notes for the win right right Community notes solve the problem right worked really good right no NPR is not a reliable source NPR is a narrative they exist as a Democrat narrative they're not even close to a reliable source not only that but the basic news of what the coiner said and how the FBI uh you know push them Etc that's not in the NPR story so uh one of the things you can do with Community notes is you can rate the note itself so I rated the note as pointing to an non-credible Source if enough people do that then presumably Community notes might adjust and stop pointing to NPR as a credible source that was my hope so Community notes is is always going to be a active work in progress so it's still the best thing we have honestly it's literally the best thing we have for knowing the truth in the modern world but it's not perfect uh it's it's more like science you know you keep experimenting and trying to crawl forward until you get closer to the truth so Community notes is more about trying to crawl toward the truth is not necessarily going to be the truth every time uh so just keep that in mind so how about this uh so we're having this big discussion about uh the cause of slavery cause of slavery oh not the cause of slavery the C the reason the slavery ended in the United States in the Civil War because Nikki Hy said some things about that so um if you'd like to know what really was going on um you've got Tom Cotton who who's reminding us that you know slavery was a big part of that and Ted Cruz also reminding us that uh ending slavery was you know the the big part of uh the Civil War so that's our history so do you believe that the history of why the Civil War was fought and why slavery was ended given that you're observing in real time that the real modern things you can see with your own eyes are being reported as completely fictional stories while you watch do you believe that that the story of the Civil War and slavery are accurately told even in a directional sense even sort of a general general direction I would say no I would say there's nothing I believe about the telling of the Civil War now let me give you another one let's say someday the Ukraine uh Russia war is in the history books and then somebody reads about it 20 years from now what will that history book tell you about the cause of the war well I've got a feeling it's going to say something like Putin was a monster and he likes to take over his neighbors does does that match the history that you understand while you're living in it we're living in it right now does that sound like what the right history is not even close do you think the history books will say that NATO and the United States miscalculated tragically in trying to expand NATO which was a known provocation that would almost certainly start a tragic war and we walk right into the most obvious and known trap in the world and we just sprung the Trap because we're all idiots or incompetent or stupid or we're trying to fund the military industrial complex do you think the history book will say that because that's what I see I'm I'm I'm I'm alive right now I read the news every day what what is it that the historians are going to read that I don't have access to I feel like I'm looking at enough right but if you can live through today knowing that all of the important stories well take Trump himself how how are history books going to talk about January 6 as an attempted Insurrection it wasn't but they'll probably say that if you know that all of the things that are happening right around you today are going to be written in history books as fiction you know that don't you is that too far have I made my case or is it just obvious to all of you that the history that will be written of our current moment will all be fake and obviously so it will all be obviously fake from our perspective yeah so why would you believe anything about the Civil War and its causes I don't I don't believe Tom Cotton I don't believe he knows I mean it's a good guess and well I'll give Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz both credit because their interpretation of it is one that's positive for republicans and positive for America so they're they're kind of putting a patrio spin on it which I don't mind because they're in that job they're they're sort of in the job of making sure America feels good about itself you know so I'm going to give him a pass for not being historic you know they're they're in Congress so that's that's good I don't mind that they handle it that way here's what Haley uh Nikki Haley said when uh somebody asked a follow-up question you know as she got uh why the Civil War was fought and she didn't mention slavery right away so she's sort of trying to fix that uh but first thing she said was she thought that the person who asked her the question question was a Democrat plant how many of you think the person who asked the question was a bad actor it could have been Democrat but it could have been somebody running against her it did sound like a trick question I I was curious it it's s it's such a good trick question that I can't believe a republican asked it it does not sound like a republican question so I'm going to agree with Nikki Haley that it looked like a dirty trick and it was clever cuz if the person who asked it um was believing that because you know she's a Southern state person that she might um she might go a little soft on slavery I think they got their they got their wish because I wouldn't say she went soft on it that's not a fair statement but her communication was so toward tortured that I think if it was a troll and I think it was uh that they got what they wanted so it was a good play but in trying to fix it in the subsequent day uh Nikki hilly said uh that you know that slavery as a reason for the Civil War uh is quote a given for people who grew up in the South do you buy that she didn't need to mention slavery because that's a given ah it she's right so I have two reactions she's a 100% correct it doesn't need to be mentioned because it's a given and that's how we do that's how we do uh fake news we act like somebody not saying something that's obvious isn't a given so when uh Trump said there were fine people on each side in in Charlottesville wasn't it obvious he's not talking about the racists it's just obvious it's a given it's a given that the president of the United States doesn't praise racists marching against Jewish people in public it's just a given but they still went after him because he wasn't clear enough with the given but of course he was clear enough because he said it directly they just take that part in the transcript but it said it's a common trick to go after a politician for not stating directly something you really should have to state right if you said to be Scott was a holocaust you know one of the worst tragedies in the world and I gave you an answer that was sort of you know sounded like academic answer it's because it's a given I'm not going to spend a lot of time talking about the Holocaust it's a given right but as a politician you still have to say it around else somebody's going to attack you which is what happened but here's her word solid bad explanation she said yes of course slavery can never happen again but going forward doesn't that mean we should focus on the freedoms of people to live their life not to have government not to have any other person tell them what they can and can't do what so she's still trying to say that the big takeaway from slavery was the government shouldn't tell citizens what to do uh wasn't that the whole point of the Civil War is to tell the South that they couldn't do that anymore the whole point was the government told the people what they can't do that's all it was if if you take the you know approach that uh the Civil War was about slavery which at least in part it was um yeah I mean even her point so she's trying to make sort of an academic point but even the academic point doesn't make sense now I of course favor that the government got involved and took away the ability for the southern people to own slaves you know I agree with that from a human perspective but what I wouldn't describe it as is a government allowing people to do what they want to do it was the opposite if the government allowed people to do what they want to do there would be slavery there would absolutely be slavery so the government really can't allow the people to do whatever they want to do yeah I'm seeing a comment that says she should have been aware that 99% of the public would say that the Civil War was about slavery so she should at least wave at that point you know if she wants to put a Nuance on it you do that after you say well obviously slavery was a big issue but you should also know and then go on with her academic point now this is a sort of mistake that you do not see V ramas Swami make this was just a communication fumble that not only did she fumble it but then after she had time to think about it she rebled it has has v ever done anything like that he's he hasn't even fumbled yet and I guarantee you that if he ever did fumble because you know we're all humans he would know how to correct it he wouldn't do this yeah but this is one of those situations where well let me be honest I I'll be as Frank as I can be one of the things I do like about a lot of our politicians is that they're unusually smart even if you don't like them Nikki Hy seems to me unusually smart you know as the other C candidates do as well but she's not nearly as smart as V and I think this is one of those situations where it really comes clear he just wouldn't have made any of these mistakes and you know it right he watched him for five minutes and you know he wouldn't make that mistake first of all he'd know his history better but secondly he would know what the Public's thinking he would know what they need to hear and then if he haded he wanted to add any new ones he would add it after he had established what we all agree on so this really shows sort of an IQ difference in my opinion but I'll say again she's very smart so there's nothing dumb about Nikki Hy it's just for VES another level uh Nikki Hy did say she would pardon Trump if he is convicted of any crime that's smart so I'm just going to say that's good persuasion she should say they should do that she gave her reason it's in uh what's in the best interest of the country look how well she says this so you know I remind you if you want to seem credible if you can't say anything good about somebody you might have a criticism about you're probably not credible it just means you're out a team so I'm going to say something unambiguously good about Nikki hilly when uh here's her quote what's in the best interest of the country is not to have an 80-year-old man sitting in jail that continues to divide our country end of story thank you yes nothing else to say that that is a complete and perfect statement that I as an American want to hear that you're not going to around what's good for the country what's good for me is that I'm not still talking about an 80-year-old guy in jail for some charges yeah yes it's not about Trump I like Trump like as a human being so I don't want him to go to jail so there's a human element to it but when she says this she's talking about the country country first yeah yeah I'm all on board with that good job U of course she's also copying V who said it first and better um I heard yesterday uh this is the part where some of you will want to leave I'm going to talk about the simulation Theory I'm going to add something but if you don't like that uh that's my last topic of the day some of you might want to bail out so I try to put the uh stuff you don't want to hear at the end because some people do and some people don't all right so I I was posting on this yesterday uh in my opinion the worst argument against the possibility that we are a simulation our reality is a simulation is that it would be too hard to do it there's too much data in the universe for a simulation You couldn't possibly build a computer uh even if you're an advanced alien race you couldn't build a computer so good that it could model all of the detail of the universe now that's a terrible terrible argument you know why it's circular here here's me restating the argument first assume that everything you see is real and then I'm going to use the fact that everything is real to show you that you couldn't simulate it because it's too much therefore proving that everything's real do you catch that the Assumption the Assumption was the argument it's just an assumption that it's real I make the assumption that I don't know if it's real so I look for the signals that it's real and and that it's not now the first thing you need to know is that I agree you could not make a computer probably if it feels right now we you can't rule out that the aliens could have a better computer right it's just better than what we can imagine that would be not too amazing but beyond that the way the human brain works is it it tells us we're seeing details we don't see do you all know that the human brain a normal functioning human brain imagines great detail in your environment and your life and even your history and your memory but it's mostly fiction most of what you remember about your past is just a story that formed that isn't exactly much of a reproduction of the past so your memories are mostly just fiction half of the things you do in politics are a fiction that you think is real like you you live in this world where your brain is giving you a tight little story that has only the like a rough connection to what any kind of reality is so your brain is already something that gives you the illusion of detail without actually being correct everybody okay so far that your brain tells you there's detail but it's not really there you're you just have a fictional movie in your head now when you say there's no such thing as a computer that could be powerful enough to recreate what we experience as you know this full uh uh reality I say to you have you ever had a dream if you've ever had a dream didn't it look pretty clear my dreams are not fuzzy the way I remember them is in full detail and when I'm having them I don't have too many dreams these days but when I did they'd be in full detail and it would be a complete world so are you telling me that you can't build a computer that like aliens with with the greatest technology they can't build a computer that my brain can do on its own while I'm asleep I'm not even trying like without any effort at all I've created a detailed and complete world that was as good as real while I was asleep so no it's not that hard to to create a simulation as detail you just have to put you have to put some code in the people in the simulation that they see detail that isn't there that's it so you put a character into your simulation you say whenever you look around it will seem to you as complete and detailed and you will not notice it's pixelated the real world we could be walking around looking like Legos you know Legos or roox if you know what Roblox is you know what I mean we could be like squares of pixelated people walking around in in jerky fashion but we have one line of code that says everything is smooth that's it that's all you need and you would imagine your life was smooth and detailed and you would be like a a Lego person walking around like a robot you just wouldn't know the difference all right that's the first thing so there's definitely not any kind of resource limit to us being a simulation um but if we are a simulation here's what I think I believe that you could prove that we are a simulation by identifying all of the coding shortcuts that a human programmer would make if a human were making a simulation so if you see that our reality has all the same limits that a human programmer would have making a simulation that's a really strong signal that we are one it's not a proof but it' be a strong signal so what signals do we have number number one if we're a simulation history would not exist it would be created on demand which it is I'm not going to get into the details but in the quantum physics World there are experiments they show that the the history is created by what you're observing in the the present that's a fact and it doesn't make sense unless we're a simulation uh we can't get outside the edge of the universe that's how you'd program it if it were a game uh there's a maximum speed in our reality why is there a maximum speed you ever think about that does that make sense that intuitively shouldn't there always be something that's faster than however fast you're going now it might be difficult to you know achieve the speed but why is it impossible that sounds like a video game limit so you can't so you can't run to the edge of the universe and see what's happening right how about uh most of the space in our reality is uh full of nothing because you wouldn't want to you wouldn't want to program every particle of the universe you'd want the particles to be really far away but you know they act as if they're you know more cohesive that's exactly what our universe is right if you could look at your body from the subatomic level it would look like empty space if you were to travel into space and try Tob gra a grab something in space and see what's in there it would be empty you have this so-called dark dark matter might be nothing might be something but it might be nothing um so there'd be a lot of nothing and that tracks uh how about the fact that whenever we can determine it our reality seems to map to math formulas why is it that there are physics formulas that work yeah you ever wonder about that wouldn't it be far more likely that everything was random all the time and even the rules of physics are changing as the Space.

Time is evolving but no that if you find a rule of physics that was true uh a billion years ago it's still true it's kind of suspicious isn't it it feels a lot like a video game you know you just put in some rules and that's easier to program the thing um how about the how about the fact that the players in the game that's you and I how about the fact that we have routinely not it's not an exception but routinely we have different memories of the same event why would that be why would memory be so bad because we're a simulation the hardest part about the Computing would be to make my my history uh be complete and robust and also consistent with your history imagine how hard that would be to write a program that made everybody's memory consistent because that would mean everybody's past was you know consistent that would be impossible you know what it be easier what would be easier is to say that you and I have a different memory of an event because it didn't happen at all it's just easier to give us fake memories of stuff rather than store the actual memory so it's a lot like a game that's how I would code it exactly like that um how about uh the fact that the players in the game are prevented from seeing the obvious wouldn't you include that code if you were making a video game and they're doing this now they're giving the NPCs the non-player characters in video games they're going to give them AI if you put AI I into an NPC what's the problem for the game player here's the problem if the game player goes over and says are you an NPC and you know are you a thinking person what will it say if it's Ai and you didn't code it to say otherwise it would say oh I am AI I am just a Mindless creature walking around pretending to be like a person well that wouldn't be any fun for the game no so You' put a few lines of code in there to take away his self-awareness right so that whenever the NPC came into uh any kind of information that would make you think it wasn't real the code would reject it so let's say you're playing the video game and this this will be a real thing in just a month or two this will be a real thing so you find an NPC and you engage it in conversation and then you say to it hey um you know you're not real so that would be new information what would the NPC say oh I will take this new information and act upon it I'm not real no that would ruin your game instead you would you would code the creature to reject any information that said it wasn't a real person so it could actually see something or hear something in the Real Environment well the fake game environment that would very conclusively say that it wasn't real but it would experience what something like Co cognitive dissonance if you're connecting all the dots yet something like cognitive dissonance so you would have to build into your NPC's cognitive dissonance you would have to it's not optional you would have to make them not be able to see the obvious and instead form an illusion in their own little heads to explain away the obvious and you know what the obvious is it's kind of obvious that we're a simulation it's really obvious but if you can't see it is because there's probably a line of code preventing you from seeing it that's what I think how about this um do humans imagine seeing more detail than is actually there yes just like a video game um is it true that in our so-called reality have we recently discovered that the thing we thought was special and amazing and intelligence was really just patterns of words because we created intelligence with just word patterns yes yes discovering that human intelligence could be reproduced by word patterns is pretty obvious evidence that you're a simulation pretty obvious right if you're saying to yourself I don't see it Scott that's because you have a line of code that's preventing you from seeing the obvious I know you don't like that um how about this do you believe that most of the characters you encounter are real players or are they NPCs do you see a lot of people in your life who don't appear to be based on logic and they don't appear to have a history and they can't tell stories there are people if you go up to them and say can you tell me a good story about they go about what H anything like that was cool or interesting when you were a child and some of them can't like an NPC so our real world has people who for all intents and purposes look like they're mindless and they will act like that their entire lives and you'll wonder what's going on that's what you'd expect if we a simulation you'd expect some of the characters might be players and some of them might be NPCs how about this uh if you were building a simulated environment would you tell these simulated characters that they had free will or would you tell them that everything they do is just cause and effect and it's based on their programming well I think you would tell them they have free will and what would be the evidence against it free will all of science 100% of science really tells you you don't have free will there's no part of science that's credible that tells you have free will so what does a if you were made as a simulation and it was really really obvious that Free Will didn't exist but it was really important that the characters in it thought it existed what would be your observation your observation would be it's obvious there's no free will but everybody around you is convinced is true that's what I see I see the people around me believe they have free will when to me it's really obvious they don't like really obvious all right how about this uh here's my favorite one I saved it for last what are the odds well let me let me do a fact check here how many creatures do you think uh have ever walked the Earth or swam it or fluid now I'm including all the insects all the birds all the reptiles all the fish all the mamals every type of species that has come and gone how many how many different species do you think they're bad not not numbers of individuals not number of individuals but species encounter everything from Bugs to birds the dinosaurs how many species Millions can can we settle on Millions I think it's probably in the if I had to guess tens of Millions Millions I think would you accept tens of millions of different species on Earth no well if you count from the beginning of time you know not necessarily what we have now but from the beginning of time it's a big number let let's say for argument sake it's a million all right just to make my point so we we can separately do a fact check on that but let's all agree it's some real big number that your brain can't hold I'm going to say a million just to make my point so there are a million types of species or creatures on Earth what are the odds that you're the apex predator I mean really seriously yeah there there's a million creatures and you're not the bug no you're not the rabbit you're not the Deer you just happen to be out of a million species how lucky you are huh we all Lucky we're the we're the apex predator and of a million species that now are you telling me that that's not obvious that you live in a simulation that's not like super obvious to you let let let me see you say it out loud how many of you will say out loud in the comments I'm positive I do not live in a simulation let's see if you can say it out loud no tell me you're positive it's not a simulation you're positive it's not a simulation a lot of people a lot of people are positive now remember if we are a simulation that's what we should see if we are simulation the people in it should be absolutely positive that they're not in the simulation yeah now let me ask this how many of you are open to the possibility open to the possibility quite a few quite a few but I think this is a unique audience right if you were to survey the world in General on this question 1% Maybe do you think you would get more than 1% of the 8 billion people on Earth who would say yeah I'm open to this simulation hypothesis I think 1% maximum right so that's what I would expect if we were a simulation 99% would say there's no way we have free will we totally have free will we got really lucky by being the apex predator but thanks to God that oh also God exists right and I'll ask you again it's not obvious to you that this is a simulation yet don't see it yet all right all right well I don't know uh I don't know that we're a simulation because it's unknowable in our current situation but I will tell you uh I experience life as a simulation so internally I'm at a point where I can't can't believe it's real like there there's not even a single part of me that thinks this is real I mean take it from my perspective not only did I get lucky enough to be born into the one end of a million or it could be a lot more than a million to be the apex predator species not only did I get that lucky but as six years old when I said I wanted to be a famous Rich cartoonist I actually got that seriously this is real how could this possibly be real how could it possibly be real well it is possible so like I say I can't know for sure but if I look at the odds first of all you take the odds that if a simulation is ever possible and it will be it's already possible we could build one today we just haven't done it um if it's possible to build it you do the math of well there will be more simulations than there will be original species so therefore just the math says we're probably a simulation but it but you could ignore that and just say what are the odds you're the apex predator that doesn't seem suspicious to you at all this exactly the way we build video games do we ever build a video game where we're not the Apex Predator I don't think so we're always the apex predator isn't that lucky right well that's just something for you to think about all right ladies and gentlemen oh I needed to be somewhere else 6 minutes ago I got to go bye

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization we

call it coffee with Scott Adams because

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you'd like to join and find yourself at

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everything better it's called the

simultaneous sipping happens now

go well we've already got complaining

about the volume on

YouTube can somebody uh fill in the

complainers what happens when you

complain about the volume that's right I

turn it off and I quit I'm not going to

fix it that's what it is so wear

headphones or stop

complaining

good I'm glad we got that sorted out by

the way I should have that um resolved

when I switch to the rumble

studio um I'll be moving to a laptop and

I believe the sound will be much better

but until that happens we're going to

forge on well the estimate is that Earth

will reach 8 billion people by January

1st

so there will be somebody who is

designated as the 8 billionth person to

be

born would that be cool now of course

they're going to have to make it up

because they don't really know who is

the exact 8 billionth person and people

are dying at the same time people are

being born so you don't really know but

don't they usually designate somebody as

the 8 billionth person you know when you

reach a new

billion well it's meaningless uh let me

ask you this

if you don't think that this is a

simulation how do you

explain that

after 100 what is it uh 10,000 years of

civilization that you happen to be alive

at the same time that the population has

a uh a problem of decline you know

declining population is a bigger problem

than growth but it happens to be exactly

the same time that Ai and

robots will become

commercial how how in the world did

those two things happen at the same time

after 10,000 years of civilization and a

100,000 years of or or Millions I guess

of

evolution isn't that a weird coincidence

unless we're a

simulation just hold that in your mind

more on that

later well I uh got mad at my computer

today and I I posted on x and I said uh

I have a virus on my computer called

Apple music does anyone else have that

problem now I honestly expected that

everybody would say what are you talking

about what I'm talking about is when I

use my Apple products my phone or my

laptop um for random reasons that I've

never discerned the screen will be taken

over occasionally by an apple music

thing that's hard to delete like you

have to go to the menu to delete it it

doesn't even have like a little X to

close the window like what the hell is

that and it happens to me so

often that and I don't have apple music

so I don't even use it it's just an

advertise it that it just is a

virus and it turns out there are people

who actually stopped using Apple

products just to get rid of the Apple

music

ads at least people respond and say yeah

I got rid of the entire platform so I

didn't have to see the Apple music at

anymore it it actually acts like a virus

like a legitimate how the hell do you

get rid of a virus all right I'll work

on

that well with the AI there are big

questions about copyright as you know

but I found that there are quite a few

people on social media who believe that

copyrights should go away and that

you're hurting the commons you know the

the Public's common good uh by having

copyrights

I didn't know there so many people

didn't understand how copyrights work

let me explain to

you copyright is why you

have good

material copyright is the reason people

create

art I

make three to five jokes a day on you

know commercially in two Comics a

day and you know I post things things

and everything basically everything I do

for my entire career I would not have

done any of it if copyrights did not

exist the existence of copyright creates

art if you don't understand that because

a lot of people said well you know you

uh selfish artists and selfish creators

are creating art and then hogging it to

yourself with these copyrights when it

really should be part of the public

domain and I think to

myself are these the same people who

think that Communism

works did do you not understand the

connection between human incentives and

then what people actually

do copyright is the incentive for me the

artist to make art without copyright I'm

not going to make a thing but

the people who think that the copyright

should go away they have this

imagination that artists will create

things because they have to Great are

you kidding me no no I do this

for a living we don't do it because we

have to it's not based on some internal

urge which I have to get up every single

day and spend all of my weekends and all

of my holidays making art for people

because I just have to now would I make

art yes I would if there were no

copyrights I would absolutely make art

then what would I do with

it put it on my

wall that's it I'd make some art and

then I wouldn't share it with you

because why would I you didn't make any

art you're not paying me for

it I think people really need to

understand that artists also work for

money you do you think I would have made

uh let's say I think the number of

comics I've created now is around

11,000

do the math for me 35 years of a comic

every day

365 so do the math um but somewhere in

the you know 11,000 Comics do you think

I would have made 11,000 Comics just for

my own

entertainment

no all right um so we're seeing the end

of year stories now the roundups and one

of the stories I've seen several times

is why everyone got it wrong about the

economy why did everyone why did

everyone every single

person why did they all get it wrong

that the economy would be good this year

Well relatively

good well do you know why because these

are people who make economic predictions

for living and they got it wrong and the

people they follow got it wrong so they

figure everyone got it

wrong

no I I said loudly and publicly you know

although it's you know limited to my

audience of course but I've been saying

for a while now and you can all verify

it because you all heard me say it that

the economy was going to surprise on the

upside surprise on the upside and then

all the year stories are hey it's

surprise on the upside nobody saw it

coming yeah yeah somebody saw it

coming do you know what was the basis

for my

prediction the basis for my prediction

is fake

news fake

news I predicted that the news was

looking for all the bad stuff and so we

would have an

unusually bad idea of what the economy

was going to do and that the reality was

different from the fake

news but the professional economists

apparently believed the fake news that

that everything was going to hell and

then predicted based on that and I said

I always think the news is fake I'll

just go with the opposite of the

news and it worked in fact if you had if

you had predicted the opposite of the

news for everything you would have done

pretty well you would have said I don't

think those vaccinations are working you

would have said I don't think Russia is

necessarily going to conquer uh Ukraine

in two weeks am I right yeah uh you

would have said that there's no way that

uh China's economy is going to have a

problem they're just so strong am I

right you would have said that uh the

Hurricanes would be much worse the sea

level would be higher the uh glaciers

would be melted we'd be having summer

vacation in

Antarctica right

everything absolutely

everything you probably would have said

that the Middle East is heading toward

peace

literally everything would have been

wrong if you followed the news so it you

know it looks like a magic trick if I

get a if I get a prediction right and

everybody else got it wrong but try

doing this open up the news on any

platform left or right pick whatever is

the biggest story of the day and then

make a public prediction that is

fake that's all just make a public

prediction that this will turn out to be

fake

and then watch how you

do uh let's go back in time I predict

that uh the George Floyd thing will turn

out to be that chovin did not murder him

well that story is coming up yeah just

bet against the news you'll do

fine well a bunch of pro Palestinian

protester types have decided that a good

place to protest would

be at the World Trade

Center the newly rebuilt bu World Trade

Centers so the pro Palestinian people

said you know what I think I'm going to

go protest at the one place that will

remove all empathy for my

cause so if you're a classic American

watching this tell me how you felt when

you found out that the Palestinians were

protesting at the World Trade

Center did you have the reaction I had

uh the last well not last I actually had

quite a bit the empathy that I had for

the Palestinians just

disappeared now you could take a side

and still have plenty of empathy for the

victims on the other side that's fair

you know you could take a side and still

say it's there's bad stuff happening to

the you know the people who are getting

the bad stuff um but honestly if you're

going to if you're going to be in my

country and Pro protest Pro Palestinians

in front of the World Trade Center I'm

going to give you exactly what you

earned which is a a complete sensation

of

empathy

absolute withdrawal of

empathy so keep it up yeah no no empathy

now as a human being of course you never

lose your empathy but as a person who

has to pick their targets because

there's so many things you could have

empathy about you'd be exhausted uh I'm

just going to move my empathy somewhere

else I got a lot of stuff I can worry

about I got a lot of stuff I can help

with there are a lot of people who need

my empathy I'm going to take all of my

empathy away from the prop Palestinian

movement because they did that yeah

that's the that's that's a line you

cross the line sorry you know I can't I

can't worry about you

anymore and uh but let's make this

interesting shall we shall we let's make

it

interesting how many of you believe that

the FBI infiltrated the January 6 crowd

and in incited them to do something that

they maybe wouldn't have been inclined

to do without that incitement a lot of

you think that I think and you think

that partly because it is

routine routine for law enforcement to

uh

penetrate big movements so that they can

be on the inside right do you think this

Pro Palestinian

movement has no uh undercovered people

in it you think there's zero

undercovered

people if there are zero undercover

people it would be sort of the first

time now if you were an undercover

person and let's say you were pro-israel

or at least you know anti these

protesters what would be a really good

play

what would be a really good

incitement if I were if I were an

undercover FBI pretending to be one of

the pro Palestinian protesters I would

say I got an idea let's take this

protest over the World Trade

Center because that would destroy the

entire movement it looks like it did

honestly you couldn't tell any American

that the pro Palestinian people

protested at the World Trade Center

without changing their mind entirely

about how they feel about it it's a

little too on the

nose so I've got a problem with this

story that's a little too perfect isn't

it it it is so

pro-israel that you have to wonder if it

happened

naturally are they really that stupid

because I don't think the pro

Palestinian people have

demonstrated you know ridiculous

stupidity in fact they seem to be quite

effective so I'm going to put a little

question mark on this one might have

been a really fun uh you know it could

have been a successful op to embarrass

the movement maybe I don't know but in

any case it's certainly the worst thing

they could have

done short of beheading

Americans um so it's very clarifying in

in a certain sense well did you know as

actually reports uh here's their

headline the US is on course to end 2023

with one of the largest annual drops in

homicides on

record did you know that homicides are

dropping and in fact one of the biggest

drops on record this year wow if you

were going into an election year that

would be kind of important to know

wouldn't it because I bet a lot of you

thought crime was

up uh we shall now identify the fake

news

fake news identifier number one when it

says we're on a course to end 2023 one

of the largest drops in homicides on

record what is missing from the story

go what what is missing from the story

that's really really

important it's dropping down to the

baseline from the pandemic

levels so it's not a drop from the

Baseline which would be really good news

it's a drop from the artificially High

number of of the the lockdown

period that's

it basically it just reverted to the

norm now I would say that's also good

news because you know if it didn't

revert to the norm that would be

terrible but don't we want it uh even

lower than the norm don't you think that

the let me ask you this do you think the

headline would have been more accurate

it was said that the US homicide rate uh

reverted to the base Baseline after the

pandemic wouldn't that tell you a lot

more it's almost as if the headline were

written with the presidential race in

mind everything's political even what

it's not everything's

political um here's what else they left

out that uh property crime is

up now when people talk about crime

they're usually not talking about

murder we you know we care about every

murder of course but I don't see that

the political right has been talking

about an increase in

Murder I've never I don't think I've

even seen that once now they do talk

about if there's some terrible murder

you know that crime is too high of

course we all say that but I haven't

really heard any Republicans

say uh that murder

specifically is at an all-time high and

going higher you say fox says it I'll

bet they don't I'll bet they don't say

it in direct words or just dep say not

not the news

people I don't know i' do a fact check

on that claim but here's what I

think uh I think that crimes against

retail stores are at an all-time high

and that inner cities are being you know

their stores are closing because they

can't operate don't you think that

should be in this story

don't you think that the story about the

the crime rate for murder and other

violent crimes by the way uh are down

but only to the Baseline shouldn't this

story necessarily tell you that property

crime is through the roof and lots of

places should it tell you that there's a

big uptick in the so-called

Chilean uh organized crime groups that

are hitting high-end homes like my next

door neighbor literally my next door

neighbor

uh was hit by one of the Chilean gangs

where they they go in all at once they

try to grab your jewelries now one

reason they haven't tried to get all my

Jewels there's literally nothing in my

house they can steal I don't have a

single stealable thing that would be

worth you know the gas you put in your

car to steal because these days nobody

steals the

television am I right because television

isn't really worth that much and it's

hard to carry so they're not going to

take my tele

telion that they probably wouldn't take

a car out the garage they don't seem to

do that what are they going to steal I

own zero

jewelry I don't keep enough cash in the

house you know like you know I basically

have a a

wallet the the entire contents of my

wealth that is

transportable is my wallet and you could

get that from anywhere you know you

don't have to do it in my house so it's

a funny crime I think you need to make

sure there's a woman in the house and

it's a high income house so they'll have

some Jewels but I got no Jewels like

literally none I don't have a single I

don't have a single thing you could put

in your pocket that would have

value or even anything you could put in

a

pillowcase but uh that that should be

mentioned all right I've got a

hypothesis for you how many of you would

say that you feel a human instinct to

reproduce or have at any point in your

life how many of you have ever at any

time in your life felt a human impulse

which you knew was

natural that that well I don't know if

you know I mean there's always a social

part of it that you're socially

hypnotized to reproduce but it feels

natural I so I have it as well even

though I've never had um biological

children

I have at various times felt this

impulse to have a biological

child now why do you think you have that

impulse now obviously if evolution is

true um we evolved to reproduce because

if we didn't have an Impulse to

reproduce we wouldn't do it as much and

then we wouldn't even be here so it's

sort of built into us that we have a

need to reproduce but you know what's

interesting about reproduction

reproduction is really not about your

own

Survival it can work that way if you

know if your children need to take care

of you in your old age but it's not

really about that is it when you think

about having a child you're not thinking

about your own Survival you're thinking

about having a child so what drives

that here's my

hypothesis that what drives it is the uh

the impulse for

immortality I think that you that all

people believe including me we believe

that if our mortal body were to expire

but we left something of ourselves

genetically you know in another human

that could therefore also have more

humans that we would be immortal in a

sense would you agree so how many would

accept my hypothesis without proof but

my hypothesis is that our instinct to

reproduce has Mo mostly to do with our

own mortality

mostly and and also I'd say

narcissism I think reproduction is

narcissism it's like you're so important

you must produce more of yourself and it

should go on even after your death

because that's how important you are ah

some of me must go on now there are

other reasons for wanting kids you just

like them and blah blah blah you know

plenty of other reasons but I think the

the Basic Instinct

is just about

self-love it's a form of self-love that

just happens to have an external

component to it the

child now whether or not you accept that

hypothesis I'm going to extend it for

those who do accept it uh we now have uh

AI that can take one photograph and

animate it like a perfect deep fake it

can add your voice perfectly and it can

learn about you so it can act like you

so people like me who have a large body

of work including these live streams

could just uh train an AI to create me

to live forever it could age me it could

age me backwards Etc so there's a 100%

chance that I'm going to leave my

AI um self after I'm physically gone

from this life why because I can afford

it I've been planning to do it for 30

years now you can all confirm that right

there's a lot of people who have been

following me for a long time you can

confirm that I've been saying for 30

years that I plan to wait until the

technology can uh essentially duplicate

me in digital form yeah so I'm saying

the confirmation is coming by so you

know I've been saying this forever that

I also have this uh Instinct for

narcissism but I don't want to really

promote my

genes so I can I feel that my instinct

for immortality can be satisfied by

AI now is that a generalizable thing or

is it because I'm a freak and I'm you

know maybe there's cognitive dissonance

confirmation bias you know maybe there's

just something unique and broken about

me that makes me think a digital

Recreation

is

somehow somehow going to extend my

mortality because it's crazy right kind

of crazy it's crazy to think that

putting yourself into a digital form is

really

anything but you know what I say putting

your genes on another person and then

dying is

ridiculous it's

ridiculous you're still dead and it's

just some other creature is alive right

the the thing which makes us think

having a child supports our immortality

is

irrational the thing that would make me

feel that an AI would support my

immortality is also irrational but you

know what's what they both have in

common they both work because when

you're trying to disable an instinct

like the instinct to be immortal or to

reproduce the instinct is not based on

reason you can't reason away an instinct

but you can satisfy it and I believe

that I can satisfy my reproduction

Instinct with AI but that's not my point

because if you think the point is about

how weird I am that's just sort of the

Side Story the bigger point is

this I think AI could end um

reproduction on Earth and it could

happen really quickly because there's

going to be a whole lot of people who

are in that gray area where they say to

themselves and by the way here's there's

another Trend I'm going to connect to it

if you if you're on social media there's

a very big uptick in in relationship

experts telling you to don't bother

because everybody's broken and if you

marry a woman she's just just going to

take your money and monkey Branch to

another

guy right so on one hand you've got all

these experts telling you that

traditional marriage with a human being

is a losing proposition for men and they

should just not do it keep their money

in just serial date or find some woman

who's willing to you know have no

financial interest and still be married

to you for some

reason um so if you start combining

these two groups you've got one group

saying that our human um our human

method of having children is way too

expensive and the colleges are making

them idiots and they'll grow up to hate

you because they'll be all woke and they

might die at you know offend little

overdose Etc uh or you could have an

AI that satisfies all your Basic

Instincts it gives you a mate that

doesn't hate you it gives you

immortality there's going to be a whole

bunch of people who would have had

children and then regretted it because

you know they got divorced and they lost

custody and all the bad things that

happen those people are just going to

say you know what I don't think marriage

would work out for me

so I'll just take this other AI option

here and you don't need to take

reproduction down to zero to end

Humanity you only have to take it down

lower than 2.1 I think 2.1 reproductions

you know per

couple so if you get a below replacement

rate AI is a future and I think we might

be had it that way all right

um so born lorg points out a surprising

bit of information and this does

surprise me the United States is

producing more oil than any country in

history right now right now the United

States is pumping more oil than any

country in the history of the world did

you know that I had no idea I knew that

we had the potential to be number one

but I thought Biden you know was

clamping down on too hard on

it so let me can I make a confession you

know I like to point out when people on

the left are uh brainwashed by their

media I appear to have been

brainwashed I appear to have been

brainwashed because if you had ask me to

write an essay about the energy

situation in the United States I would

say well number one the main thing you

have to know because I've been watching

conservative media too much the main

thing you need to know is that our oil

production is way down compared to where

it was under Trump it's higher than

Trump just a little bit but it's higher

than the highest point of trump how many

of you knew that before you heard it

today how many of you knew that the

United States was pumping more oil than

anybody in the history of

ever some of you knew it good for you

good for you but but those of you like

me who didn't know it no I knew it was a

lot I knew the US was you know

potentially the biggest producer I you

I've known that for a long time but I

feel like I was

brainwashed and when I read this story I

felt like I was coming out of it like I

had the experience of

recovery a little bit are any of you

having that experience right now is

there anybody here who is saying holy

I watched the news every day and I

had no

idea yeah some of you were having that

experience but like you said a lot of

you already knew that so you were add of

me on this one yeah so that if I could

give you one piece of useful advice

about the

news never

assume that the one who's brainwashed is

the one disagreeing with you do not

start with that assumption because it's

just too often wrong just assume that it

could be you and then reason from that

point on right don't assume you're right

and then reason from that that makes no

sense assume you're you're equally

likely to have been brainwashed and go

from

there all right here's a interesting uh

post by Billy Oppenheimer on creativity

and

genius oh well let me just make one more

point about the gas prices so gas prices

are being held lower than they normally

would be except us is producing so much

that we're exporting now so do you think

it's a an accident that in an election

year we just hit our Peak uh oil

production kind kind of feels like an

election year thing doesn't it that

makes you wonder what is

true has Biden been lying to his side

and telling them that he was going to be

the you know climate change president

while doing everything he could to boost

production or did it just happen on his

own you could it be that the free market

was still free enough that there were no

restrictions that held them back enough

and they just kept

drilling so I don't know my suspicion is

we wouldn't have been here in a

non-election year but I don't know about

that if I were a republican how would I

handle this if I'm running for president

would I say oh got to drill more because

then you're susceptible because then

Biden says I drilled more than Trump you

know we're at a high new level so that

doesn't work as well as it could but

what if you go the opposite way suppose

you complimented Biden for the fact that

drilling is at an all-time

high that might actually work because

remember you you know if you're a

republican you don't have to disagree

with everything the other side does

every now and then there's going to be

something you agree with so imagine

Trump saying you know I criticize you a

lot President

Biden but one thing I won't is that the

drilling is reached an alltime high even

higher than uh when I was president now

if I were am reelected it's going to go

way up from where Biden is so it's going

to be way higher still if I'm president

but I have to give you credit you talked

a good game about the climate but then

you drilled like

hell that's kind of a kill

shot right so the difference between

Biden and me is that apparently Biden

wants to drill like crazy too the

difference is it's the opposite of what

his base wants him to do his base is

asking him to stop and he's going nuts

drilling I'm telling you I want to drill

more too and I'm very happy that we're

having this much

oil I have no complaints about the oil

level except that I'm sure I can get it

much higher and it should be because

price is still too high and we still

should be far far more competitive and

climate change is under control Etc so

it's an opening for the

Republicans uh creativity and genius so

Billy opener Oppenheimer had this post

and I guess there's some science showing

that one thing that uh According to some

book by somebody named Dr Nancy and

Jon um they they did some brain Imaging

studies on Creative people and talked

about other creative people like uh

Einstein and da Vinci and one thing that

the claim is they all had in common was

lots of uh free time to do nothing but

think during the day so Einstein

famously got in his little boat that

didn't have a motor and he would just go

out in a lake somewhere and he'd just be

gone for hours with just Him in a boat

and they' come back with some new

Theory uh apparently other creative

people do the same thing now I just want

to pile on and say that I also do

that and so if you don't do that and

you're trying to be more creative you

probably should so you probably ask me

what's the deal with my man cave like

why am I always in my garage you know

like a weird little environment that I

built well the man cave is all about

that when I go to the man cave that's

not

work so I turn off all of work and it

helps have a different environment if

you're trying to just think in your

office like where I am right now sitting

at my office desk it doesn't work

because I get drawn into work thoughts I

have to physically remove myself so I've

built a place in my house where I don't

think about

work I only think about what's fun and

wherever my brain wants to go most of my

best ideas came out of not thinking

about anything in particular and it just

Boop something pops into your head uh I

also like to take long walks and because

I'm a creative person um I'm always

multitasking when I'm

exercising so if I'm lifting weights or

taking you know long walk or whatever

I'm doing um my

mind is in creative mode and I just let

it go where it goes and it comes up with

good stuff so if you're not doing that I

recommend it you should find some excuse

that takes you away from your digital

devices and gives you you know good

salad I think at least half an hour but

an hour a day would be better of just

unstructured thoughts just let yourself

not think about your chores not think

about your day not think about your

problems just let your brain go wherever

it's going see how you feel you might

like it it's one of my secrets for

happiness but I have a sort of an

unnaturally active creative part of my

brain so it might not apply to

everybody well Google has settled a uh5

billion lawsuit apparently they were

tracking the incognito mode

users wait

what yes that's right you know how you

when you set your browser to incognito

mode the entire point of that is that

you can't be

but they were uh

tracking are you surprised yeah right

surprise

shocker all right may I take this moment

for a public

service this is a public service

announcement your privacy disappeared a

long time ago you don't have a problem

of losing privacy

you have a problem of not understanding

it's already gone it's a different

problem you should start living your

life

immediately as as a person who has

nothing to hide meaning don't do stuff

that you have to hide don't do it

because you're going to get caught at

least by the government you know if

you're hiding something from your

spouse well you're still going to get

caught does anybody get away with

cheating these days I feel like cheating

is not even the thing anybody can get

away with because it's definitely going

to be on your

phone and if your spouse if your spouse

asks to look at your phone and you say

no well you're definitely a cheater and

if you say yes and you're cheating well

you're definitely

caught so your your phone is like the

you know the greatest anti- cheater

device but it's probably do you know how

many divorces are caused by

phones I wonder

because if you went back to say the 60s

if you suspected your spouse was

cheating and you couldn't prove it there

was probably a really good chance you

could get over it like even if there was

cheating if it was you know temporary

you'd probably have a way to get over it

because you'd never really be sure your

spouse would say it didn't happen and

maybe you talk yourself into believing

it didn't happen but if it's right there

on the phone there's nothing you can do

about it

so uh just live your

life if you can in a way that there are

no secrets at least digitally right and

and you can't even have a conversation

in a home or a physical space

because well let me just think about

this imagine you said to yourself okay I

know there's a ring camera but it you

know it can't hear me because I'm I'm

out of hearing

distance do you think AI won't someday

be able to read your

lips yeah yeah someday AI is going to

read your lips if you appear on video

talking it doesn't matter if they can't

hear it the AI will just read your lips

someday yeah if if you had a

conversation with somebody and either

one of you had a smartphone in your

pocket or nearby is that

private well not necessarily because the

bad guys can listen to you through your

phone they can even take a picture of

you through your phone and you'd never

know it right there is no such thing as

privacy it's gone live your life under

that

assumption all right um how many people

are having the same experience about

Japan Japan is I don't know if I should

say suddenly but it's the it

country when I asked you where's the

place if I were to leave America cuz

things got bad where would I go a number

of people said Japan privately people

have told me Japan is

incredible like when people talk about

Japan their entire demeanor changes when

they talk about it have you noticed that

if you talk about another country that

people like hey have you been to Great

Britain oh yeah it was a good trip I

loved it right have you been to Dubai

yeah Dubai is amazing you know very

modern great place have you been to

Paris yeah it's a you know too many

cigarettes but you know great place

classic everybody should go there then

you say how about Japan and watch the

demeanor change if they've been there oh

my God Japan is like you can't even

believe it I almost can't describe it

it's like living in the future there's

like you know no crime no trash there's

no stream people everything's efficient

everybody's nice everything works

transportation is easy is like exciting

that it's visually spectacular the

country

works now we hear that Japan just uh uh

restarted their uh casha wasaki kowa one

of the world's largest nuclear power

plants has seven reactors on site uh it

had been offline ever since the

Fukushima problem but they're

they're putting it back up

online so Japan is an interesting place

you know when I was young we were all

worried in America we were worried that

Japan would eat our lunch we used to say

yeah they're going to take all our

manufacturing and then of course China

took their manufacturing and China and

Japan went into sort of a long

doldrum but that long

doldrum apparently they regrafted their

situation and they're killing it so

Japan really looks like a just a shout

out to Japan good job good job Japan

whatever you're doing is right now you I

did say at one point incorrectly that

Japan didn't have much

immigration but apparently they do have

a Workforce need uh laborers so they do

have a pretty robust immigration but

something tells me they don't get to

stay there and live there I don't know I

got a feeling that they let them come in

to

work but I don't know how easy it is to

become a

citizen yeah well that's a open

question well V ramaswami keeps talking

about the system and I'll I'll read his

exact words if you really think the

system is going to let either Trump or

Biden get anywhere near the Finish Line

open your eyes folks they're selling us

the the Rope today that they'll use to

hang us tomorrow don't fall for the

trick now apparently the the subtext of

this is that Nikki Haley is being pushed

by the Republicans but maybe the

Democrats who like their military

spending don't hate her so there's you

know the the system I think the system

in this context is the permanent power

people in Washington who are slightly

different than the

parties so I love this fact that he says

it directly and

unapologetically um there's a little

hyperbole built into it but I like that

he's putting that out there as you know

you just open your eyes in the real

world neither of them are going to serve

the military-industrial

complex as much as it needs to be

served and therefore the the system is

going to try to take them both

out that doesn't mean the system will

succeed but um as V says they will try

anything

now have we seen enough evidence that

the Democrats will try anything I think

we have yeah if you told me that

assassination was off the table because

it's so far out of anything we've

observed as the behavior of the

Democrats I would say I don't see that

at all I see the Democrats putting

innocent people in jail where they are

killed starved or committed

suicide I see the Democrats already

murdering people and knowing they're

doing it you know they're doing it the

indirect way through the legal system

but it's still murder you know Derek

Jovin they tried to murder him in prison

in my opinion that's my interpretation

of

events so when V warns that they'll do

anything to keep uh specifically Trump

out of office but Biden too that does

include the worst thing is absolutely a

risk and it's a real

risk um so don't forget that all here's

a totalitarian update of who the

totalitarians are so as

uh Kyle Cheney is reporting on X uh so

the second circuit appeals court has

denied Trump's motion to stay the uh to

delay something with the EG genene Carol

lawsuit so the egene Carol lawsuit will

go

forward um it's one of several lawfare

legal things against Trump all of them

are ridiculous all of them are stupid

which is not to say he didn't do some of

the things alleged I'm not claiming he

didn't do any of the things alleged I'm

saying that the only reason that he's

being pursued is politics you know that

there are things that would be trivial

under any other context except this

one so think about egene

Carol hold egene caroll's face in your

head okay you got it do you have like a

mental image

face

then we're going to compare

that with the image that I carefully um

decision uh we lay out why under main

law

now look at this

face the woman

speaking here's what I see I see mental

illness and I'll tell you who this is in

a moment when I see e uh

Carol my brain interprets

her her uh let's say demeanor face

presentation as mental illness now I'm

not an expert so I don't want to be you

know accused of doing a diagnosis I'm no

mental health expert I'm just saying how

I receive it so this is not a factual

statement I'm not making a factual

statement I'm saying that's how I see it

now I'm completely

aware that it could be on my end that

they're just normal people and my brain

is turning them into monsters because

you know I'm on the other side of

politics or something maybe so I don't

rule that out that's why I'm asking you

but so we see that in Maine um the the

woman I just showed you who's a you know

Democrat operative and of course she

decided that Trump should be kicked off

the ballot in Maine but it was written

in the way that he's not going to be

kicked off the ballot yeah because you

know it depends on the the appeal and

the Supreme Court and blah blah blah you

don't need to know the details but it's

basically a purely political act and

she's she's explaining it because the

Insurrection is obviously real

and that was her reasoning that the

January 6 was obviously an Insurrection

by Trump now when I look at that face I

just see mental

illness do

you is it just me how many of you see

mental

illness I do yeah and when you see Liz

sheney what do you see do you see mental

illness actually I don't I don't see it

with list ching with her I just see evil

yeah with her it looks more like pure

evil that's just how I receive it again

I'm not reading a m because I can't read

mins I don't know what's happening in

there but they don't it's not like every

woman who doesn't like

Trump registers as crazy I'm not saying

that but I'm saying these two and I feel

like we're not doing a good service to

the public if we treat as political news

what is more likely a mass

hysteria we should be treating it like a

medical problem because it

is it's the same thing we do with uh uh

why

the you know why do we have a reduction

in the birth

rate I think it's a medical

problem yeah we we treat it like it's a

opinion people don't want to people

don't want to spend the money it's too

expensive people are selfish that's what

we talk about

I don't think so I think it's people

eating too much and eating poison

food yeah basically if you corrected the

diet in America I saw again a photo of

uh what people look like 50 years ago

both men and women what they look like

50 years ago everybody looked

rockable everybody men women

yeah they might not be your specific

type but they all look

now go to the mall just walk

walk down the mall and just ask yourself

male or female how many of the people

who walk by you are male or

female not a lot not a lot it's not 80%

like it was 50 years ago you'd be lucky

if you saw one person you actually

wanted to get busy with even one and of

the whole Mall

if you saw one person that you'd

legitimately say you know wouldn't mind

being under the covers with that person

yeah so why do we treat it like it's

some kind of like social political thing

it's food it's

food

anyway so the totalitarians who believe

they are voting rights people are trying

to keep Trump off the uh away from the

voters so the the hypocrisy level is

through the

roof which is why it looks more like

mental illness because nobody who is

sane could fail to notice that they're

they think they're voting rights

activists and they're keeping somebody

who's leading in the polls both both in

the general election and in the primary

leading in the polls and that he should

be kept off because one crazy woman

thinks that uh January 6 was an

Insurrection no thank

you all right New York Post is reporting

that Google meta and other Tech Giants

are uh getting rid of their Dei related

groups so they diversity equity and

inclusion uh apparently they had too

many of

them so they need to get rid of them now

do you get rid of uh anything that's

working no you do not if it were working

they would keep it so so apparently it

doesn't work or at least doesn't work

well

enough so here's the question I ask is

it too soon for me to demand

reparations too soon to demand

reparations here's my

argument uh I was born without any

apparent benefits of

slavery I didn't you know nobody in my

family owned any slaves and indeed my

cousins the president Adams's uh were

were big Warriors against

slavery so I made my own money but I

would have made a lot more if I had been

able to do my corporate career I know

that sounds weird but yes I would have

made more money if I just kept my job

because I was you know working in the

Bay Area Silicon Valley was taking off I

would have been in some startup that

just paid crazy amounts of money and I'd

be retired by now but I didn't get that

option I had to go do my own thing which

worked

out um but I wonder how many

people would have made a lot more money

if they were not white and male because

they didn't get the promotion they

didn't get the raise etc for about 30

years yeah a lot now here's the real

question if you're going to calculate

reparations um you should calculate the

net right so you should calculate what

is owed to slaves if you you know buy

into that narrative what would be owed

the descendants of slaves but you'd have

to also calculate what was taken

already and if what is taken already

from white men is greater than what is

owed then you say oh okay I guess we're

good and we're

done right so you have to get the net it

wouldn't make sense to calculate only

what you think somebody's owed without

calculating what has already been paid

because the sacrifice of the raise you

didn't get is a

tax right because otherwise you would

have gotten the raise now here's the

tricky part and this is why it's so hard

to do an analysis of anything statistics

can lie based on your

assumptions just just think how painful

this next assumption

is how much money did uh the slaves or

let's say somebody's life today their

great grandfather uh

lose because of discrimination well it'd

be probably a big number you might say

something like well they could have made

as much as the average white person

whatever your argument is and then You'

come up with a number that represents

the Discrimination

part right so then you do the same

calculation with uh white men who were

uh prevented from employment or didn't

get the raise over over a 30-year period

but here's the problem the white guy who

didn't get the 20% uh raise with a

promotion 20% of a modern salary is a

lot of money even if you account for

inflation whereas when nobody had much

of anything in the early days of the

country if you doubled your income it

really wasn't much

money right so how do you account for

that even even if you adjust for the

value of money changing the 20% that

somebody got in modern times is still

going to

overwhelm the $100 you wish you got in

1800s yeah cuz cuz white guys are losing

like a million dollars over the course

of their

career whereas the grandfather who might

have had a slightly better

Farm might not be losing that much money

even after you've adjusted for the value

of money changing over time yeah even

with the time value of money I think I

think you'd find that the modern people

are taking a bigger hit just as a

percentage of their potential so how do

you calculate that the answer is there's

no way to calculate any of this in a way

that people will agree it is an

uncalculated in any even

approximation of a reasonable agreeable

consensus way and it can't there's just

no way to do it it's purely political

it's purely power and that's the way it

should be seen if you think you're

correcting an injustice nothing like

that's

happening nothing like that is happening

is a purely political power grab and a

money grab and that's all it is uh

reparations isn't going to happen uh I

I'll die before I'll pay

reparations all right well or I'd move

to another country or something moved to

Japan um so what else is going on so

claudian gay the embattled president of

Harvard who didn't say enough of the

right things uh about the uh Gaza

situation turns out that people have

been looking at her papers even before

then to see problems and apparently one

of her papers uh she had a thesis that

uh in 2001 that black having black

Representatives made white people vote

less but apparently the numbers in her

study do not match the

conclusion surprise the numbers that she

includes in her own analysis do not

support the

conclusion now I don't know that that's

true I just know that somebody who has a

lot of credentials according to their

profile PhD and statistics looked at the

statistics and said oh you just did it

wrong and the conclusion is backwards

now given that science in general only

passes muster maybe half the time about

half of all the peer-reviewed scientific

papers turn out to b bs or you know

misinterpreted so you should you should

expect about the same for any PhD

doctoral thesis wouldn't you

I I would think that about half of all

the PHD papers probably have the same

problem about half of them don't don't

work so uh I find myself in yet another

weird situation where I'm going to uh

defend claudi and

gay my guess is that if you did some

kind of a Bas line of PhD papers about

half of them would be are you

going to take away all their phds and

fire

them I don't know I feel like this story

is lacking a baseline for comparison

somebody says yes no well here's my

point the people who did the papers

didn't they're they're not being blamed

for uh intentionally falsifying that's

not part of the story nobody nobody's

saying she's doing it intentionally it

looks like a misinterpretation according

to one person who may also be wrong

don't even know if the critic is right

uh I'm going to say that having some uh

obvious well not obvious maybe only

obvious to an expert but having errors

in your papers probably is more normal

than anybody wants to admit probably

kind of normal now I think she should

lose her job because there are other

reasons that are

better

but getting some statistics wrong in a

PhD paper maybe that's closer to

Baseline activity

I don't know but

uh I guess I would take some fact checks

on that if somebody says no PhD papers

are almost always right if you can tell

me that

PhD written academic papers are almost

always right then I'll have a different

opinion about this if you tell me it's

just like the rest of science where half

of them are you're

ridiculous then I'm going to say all

right well it's just

Baseline all right um

let's see

uh California decided they would not try

to kick Trump off the primary ballot so

let's see we had Michigan tried it and

failed or they rejected the idea to keep

him off uh Maine is trying it but not

really uh Colorado is trying it but not

really because they both Maine and

Colorado had both had built into it that

it doesn't go into effect unless the

Supreme Court or less his challenge so

they basically had self-cancelling

language in it was just to embarrass

trump it looks like but why would

California looking at exactly the same

set of facts come to a different

conclusion because remember the Colorado

and Maine opinions were based on the

fact that it's obvious an

Insurrection was being implemented by

Trump does doesn't California think it's

obvious why why doesn't California think

it's

obvious well I assume it's because Nome

is a smarter

politician right Nome is definitely a

smarter politician than most of them you

know which is why he's in the

conversation he's a smarter politician

so I'm

sure that whether Newsome you know put

his thumb on this decision or not the

people who made it knew what he would

want right he didn't have to make a

phone call and what he doesn't need is

to run for president and have to explain

why California took Trump off the

primary that's just hard to explain

because it would look anti- Democratic

so I think uh Nome has the better

Instinct here that as long as other

other places are picking Trump to death

he doesn't want to have that one more

thing to criticize he can he can say hey

California is in favor of democracy I

can't speak for the other states that's

a good

message and that would be a very capable

and

competent message so uh

with with some

uh trepidation I have to compliment

California for getting this right

although I think they got it right for

the wrong reason I think they got it

right for politics not because it is

right

all right uh Mike cernovich points out

that the process is the punishment all

of this uh legal stuff against Trump is

not exactly necessarily that they're

going to put him in jail they're they're

just going to exhaust him financially

emotionally

mentally personally

professionally until he just doesn't

have any fight left in him and he can't

campaign so I think they

might well I don't know I think they

don't want him to go to

jail what do you

think do you think the Democrats are

fully aware that if Trump spends a day

in jail 81 million people are going to

go ape and start cleaning their

guns they have to know that

right let me say it out loud just in

case there are any that any questions

about it I don't promote or

endorse or incentivize or incite any

kind of violence I'm opposed to violence

but I'm also an observer of the obvious

let me observe the obvious you put in

you put Trump in jail for one day just

one day over any of this

and 81 million people are going

to clean their guns that's all I'm going

to say they're going to have very clean

guns that day now what happens after

that I don't know but 81 million people

are going to clean their guns

and you're going to see every one of

those pictures on social media you're

going to turn on X and it's going to be

a blizzard of Republicans just cleaning

their

guns yeah so you don't think the

Democrats are aware of that because they

know what too far looks

like they know what too far looks like

this legal is not too far

because we do believe that Trump will be

able to you know crawl his way through

it to the end

but if you didn't believe he could crawl

his way through it you'd feel

differently one day in jail that's the

standard the standard is one

day so it has to be clear because the

the way you stay out of trouble is

making sure that your potential you know

person on the other side of the trouble

fully understands the the reason that uh

that uh you you know the reason that any

threat works is that it's credible the

reason the United States is not attacked

is that we have a credible threat that

we will nuke the out of you if you

try anything because we mean it it's not

a joke we will nuke you if you try to

attack the United States Homeland we

will nuke you

absolutely so uh yeah I think the so I

agree with Mike covich that the real

play is to exhaust Trump and his

supporters because I think they know put

one day in jail is a whole different

game all the rules are gone at that

point every rule will be suspended if he

spends one day in

jail uh but I don't recommend any uh

violence all right here's a uh priming

story all right you ready for

this it's a priming story did you know I

saw this in a post by Scott

linum uh that American history textbooks

uh they give causes for the uh the big

Great

Depression so if you read a history

textbook you're in school you'll read

the about the uh Great Depression and

there will be reasons listed for why it

happened and there are a variety of them

did you know that those do not match

what uh economics academics say is the

reason and I'm not going to get into the

details I'm just going to tell you that

what the current day experts in

economics say does not match what your

children are learning in

school does that surprise

you and I'm talking about Democrats in

both cases you know most of your

teachers are going to be

Democrats uh most of your academics Or

democrats but even the but the people

who know the most the economic

academics you know not just somebody

working at a bank but they're ones who

are studying you know the whole field of

Economics all the time they have a

completely different opinion of why the

Great Depression happened it's not even

close to what the what has being taught

in the textbooks now I have no interest

in discussing that topic further this is

a priming

story I'm I'm using persuasion on you so

I want you to see how it feels the

priming story created a framework in

your mind that I'm going to populate

with a different story and I'm doing it

so you can see it and feel it and

recognize it in the wild look for

priming stories you have now been primed

the priming is there something as basic

in history as the Great Depression could

be fake

history that's the

prime now may I go

on T Carlson uh is doing a video talking

about uh Derek Chauvin being uh unfairly

convicted uh for the alleged murder of

George Floyd and that it's obvious that

it was not murder and that he was

railroaded now here's my question what

will the history books write about

George

Floyd will they say he was killed by a

police officer who did the wrong

things yes they probably will but you're

lie to watch it so you're watching

history being created and a fiction

you're watching it live and then you're

going to watch it Harden into the

textbook and that will be the

history that will be the history now I

should point out that when Tucker said

this and marjerie Taylor green reposted

it that uh on the xplatform community

notes weighed in and said that the ER

did in fact say the cause of death was

the police

action and then it pointed to NPR as its

source so Community notes for the win

right right Community notes solve the

problem right worked really good right

no NPR is not a reliable source NPR is a

narrative they exist as a Democrat

narrative they're not even close to a

reliable source not only that but the

basic news of what the coiner said and

how the

FBI uh you know push them Etc that's not

in the NPR

story so uh one of the things you can do

with Community notes is you can rate the

note

itself so I rated the note as pointing

to an non-credible

Source if enough people do that then

presumably Community notes might adjust

and stop pointing to NPR as a credible

source that was my hope so Community

notes is is always going to be a active

work in progress so it's still the best

thing we have honestly it's literally

the best thing we have for knowing the

truth in the modern world but it's not

perfect uh it's it's more like science

you know you keep experimenting and

trying to crawl forward until you get

closer to the truth so Community notes

is more about trying to crawl toward the

truth is not necessarily going to be the

truth every time uh so just keep that in

mind so how about this uh so we're

having this big discussion about uh the

cause of

slavery cause of slavery oh not the

cause of slavery the C the reason the

slavery ended in the United States in

the Civil War because Nikki Hy said some

things about that so um if you'd like to

know what really was going

on um you've got Tom

Cotton who who's reminding us that you

know slavery was a big part of that and

Ted Cruz also reminding us that uh

ending slavery was you know the the big

part of uh the Civil War so that's our

history so do you believe that the

history of why the Civil War was fought

and why slavery was

ended given that you're observing in

real time that the real modern things

you can see with your own eyes are being

reported as completely fictional stories

while you watch do you believe that that

the story of the Civil

War and slavery are accurately told even

in a directional sense even sort of a

general general

direction I would say no I would say

there's nothing I believe about the

telling of the Civil

War now let me give you another one

let's say someday the Ukraine uh Russia

war is in the history

books and then somebody reads about it

20 years from now what will that history

book tell you about the cause of the

war well I've got a feeling it's going

to say something like Putin was a

monster and he likes to take over his

neighbors does does that match the

history that you understand while you're

living in it we're living in it right

now does that sound

like what the right history

is not even

close do you think the history books

will

say that NATO and the United States

miscalculated

tragically in trying to expand NATO

which was a known provocation that would

almost certainly start a tragic war and

we walk right into the most obvious and

known trap in the world and we just

sprung the Trap because we're all

idiots or incompetent or stupid

or we're trying to fund the military

industrial

complex do you think the history book

will say that because that's what I see

I'm I'm I'm I'm alive right now I read

the news every

day what what is it that the historians

are going to read that I don't have

access to I feel like I'm looking at

enough right but if you can live through

today knowing that all of the important

stories well take Trump himself how how

are history books going to talk about

January 6 as an attempted

Insurrection it

wasn't but they'll probably say

that if you know that all of the things

that are happening right around you

today are going to be written in history

books as fiction you know that don't you

is that too far have I made my case or

is it just obvious to all of you that

the history that will be written of our

current moment will all be fake and

obviously so it will all be obviously

fake from our

perspective yeah so why would you

believe anything about the Civil War and

its causes I don't I don't believe Tom

Cotton I don't believe he

knows I mean it's a good guess and well

I'll give Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz both

credit because their interpretation of

it is one that's positive for

republicans and positive for America so

they're they're kind of putting a patrio

spin on it which I don't mind because

they're in that job they're they're sort

of in the job of making sure America

feels good about itself you know so I'm

going to give him a pass for not being

historic

you know they're they're in Congress so

that's that's good I don't mind that

they handle it that

way here's what Haley uh Nikki Haley

said when uh somebody asked a follow-up

question you know as she

got uh why the Civil War was fought and

she didn't mention slavery right away so

she's sort of trying to fix

that uh but first thing she said was she

thought that the person who asked her

the question question was a Democrat

plant how many of you think the person

who asked the question was a bad actor

it could have been Democrat but it could

have been somebody running against

her it did sound like a trick

question I I was curious it it's s it's

such a good trick question that I can't

believe a republican asked it it does

not sound like a republican question so

I'm going to agree with Nikki Haley that

it looked like a dirty trick and it was

clever cuz if the person who asked it um

was believing that because you know

she's a Southern state person that she

might um she might go a little soft on

slavery I think they got their they got

their

wish because I wouldn't say she went

soft on it that's not a fair statement

but her communication was so toward

tortured that I think if it was a troll

and I think it was uh that they got what

they wanted so it was a good

play but in trying to fix it in the

subsequent day uh Nikki hilly said uh

that you know that slavery as a reason

for the Civil War uh is quote a given

for people who grew up in the South do

you buy that she didn't need to mention

slavery because that's a

given

ah it she's

right so I have two reactions she's a

100% correct it doesn't need to be

mentioned because it's a given and

that's how we do that's how we do uh

fake news we act like somebody not

saying something that's

obvious isn't a given so when uh Trump

said there were fine people on each side

in in

Charlottesville wasn't it obvious he's

not talking about the racists it's just

obvious it's a given it's a given that

the president of the United States

doesn't praise racists marching against

Jewish people in public it's just a

given but they still went after him

because he wasn't clear enough with the

given but of course he was clear enough

because he said it directly they just

take that part in the transcript but it

said it's a common trick to go after a

politician for not stating directly

something you really should have to

state right if you said to be Scott was

a holocaust you know one of the worst

tragedies in the

world and I gave you an answer that was

sort of you know sounded like academic

answer it's because it's a

given I'm not going to spend a lot of

time talking about the Holocaust it's a

given right but as a politician you

still have to say it around else

somebody's going to attack you which is

what happened but here's her word solid

bad explanation she

said yes of course slavery can never

happen again but going forward doesn't

that mean we should focus on the

freedoms of people to live their life

not to have government not to have any

other person tell them what they can and

can't

do

what so she's still trying to say that

the big takeaway from slavery

was the government shouldn't tell

citizens what to

do uh wasn't that the whole point of the

Civil War is to tell the South that they

couldn't do that

anymore the whole point was the

government told the people what they

can't

do that's all it was if if you take the

you know approach that uh the Civil War

was about slavery which at least in part

it

was um yeah I mean even her point so

she's trying to make sort of an academic

point but even the academic point

doesn't make sense now I of course favor

that the government got involved and

took away the ability for the southern

people to own slaves you know I agree

with that from a human perspective but

what I wouldn't describe it as is a

government allowing people to do what

they want to do it was the opposite if

the government allowed people to do what

they want to do there would be slavery

there would absolutely be slavery so the

government really can't allow the people

to do whatever they want to

do yeah I'm seeing a comment that says

she should have been aware that 99% of

the public would say that the Civil War

was about slavery so she should at least

wave at that point you know if she wants

to put a Nuance on it you do that after

you say well obviously slavery was a big

issue but you should also know and then

go on with her academic point now this

is a sort of mistake that you do not see

V ramas Swami make this was just a

communication fumble that not only did

she fumble it but then after she had

time to think about it she rebled

it has has v ever done anything like

that he's he hasn't even fumbled yet and

I guarantee you that if he ever did

fumble because you know we're all humans

he would know how to correct it he

wouldn't do

this yeah but this is one of those

situations where well let me be honest I

I'll be as Frank as I can

be one of the things I do like about a

lot of our politicians is that they're

unusually smart even if you don't like

them Nikki Hy seems to

me unusually

smart you know as the other C candidates

do as well but she's not nearly as smart

as

V and I think this is one of those

situations where it really comes

clear he just wouldn't have made any of

these mistakes and you know it right he

watched him for five minutes and you

know he wouldn't make that

mistake first of all he'd know his

history better but secondly he would

know what the Public's thinking he would

know what they need to hear and then if

he haded he wanted to add any new ones

he would add it after he had established

what we all agree on so this really

shows sort of an IQ difference in my

opinion but I'll say again she's very

smart so there's nothing dumb about

Nikki Hy it's just for VES another

level uh Nikki Hy did say she would

pardon Trump if he is convicted of any

crime that's smart so I'm just going to

say that's good

persuasion she should

say they should do that she gave her

reason it's in uh what's in the best

interest of the country look how well

she says this so you know I remind you

if you want to seem credible if you

can't say anything good about somebody

you might have a criticism about you're

probably not credible it just means

you're out a team so I'm going to say

something unambiguously good about Nikki

hilly when uh here's her quote what's in

the best interest of the country is not

to have an 80-year-old man sitting in

jail that continues to divide our

country end of story thank you yes

nothing else to say that that is a

complete and perfect

statement that I as an American want to

hear that you're not going to

around what's good for the country

what's good for me is that I'm not still

talking about an 80-year-old guy in jail

for some charges yeah yes it's

not about

Trump I like Trump like as a human being

so I don't want him to go to jail so

there's a human element to it but when

she says this she's talking about the

country country first yeah yeah I'm all

on board with that good

job U of course she's also copying V who

said it first and

better

um I heard yesterday uh this is the part

where some of you will want to leave

I'm going to talk about the simulation

Theory I'm going to add something but if

you don't like that uh that's my last

topic of the day some of you might want

to bail out so I try to put the uh stuff

you don't want to hear at the end

because some people do and some people

don't all right so I I was posting on

this yesterday uh in my opinion the

worst

argument against the possibility that we

are a simulation our reality is a

simulation is that it would be too hard

to do it there's too much data in the

universe for a simulation You couldn't

possibly build a computer uh even if

you're an advanced alien race you

couldn't build a computer so good that

it could model all of the detail of the

universe now that's a terrible terrible

argument you know

why it's

circular here here's me restating the

argument first assume that everything

you see is

real and then I'm going to use the fact

that everything is real to show you that

you couldn't simulate it because it's

too much therefore proving that

everything's

real do you catch

that the Assumption the Assumption was

the argument it's just an assumption

that it's

real I make the assumption that I don't

know if it's real so I look for the

signals that it's real and and that it's

not now the first thing you need to know

is that I agree you could not make a

computer probably if it feels right now

we you can't rule out that the aliens

could have a better

computer right it's just better than

what we can imagine that would be not

too amazing but beyond that the way the

human brain works is it it tells us

we're seeing details we don't see do you

all know that the human brain a normal

functioning human brain imagines great

detail in your environment and your life

and even your history and your memory

but it's mostly fiction most of what you

remember about your past is just a story

that formed that isn't exactly much of a

reproduction of the past so your

memories are mostly just fiction half of

the things you do in politics are a

fiction that you think is real like you

you live in this world where your brain

is giving you a tight little story that

has only the like a rough connection to

what any kind of reality is so your

brain is already something that gives

you the illusion of

detail without actually being

correct everybody okay so far that your

brain tells you there's

detail but it's not really there you're

you just have a fictional movie in your

head now when you say there's no such

thing as a computer that could be

powerful enough to recreate what we

experience as you know this full uh

uh reality I say to you have you ever

had a

dream if you've ever had a

dream didn't it look pretty

clear my dreams are not fuzzy the way I

remember them is in full detail and when

I'm having them I don't have too many

dreams these days but when I did they'd

be in full detail and it would be a

complete

world so are you telling me that you

can't build a

computer that like aliens with with the

greatest technology they can't build a

computer that my brain can do on its own

while I'm

asleep I'm not even trying like without

any effort at all I've created a

detailed and complete world that was as

good as real while I was asleep so no

it's not that hard to to create a

simulation as detail you just have to

put you have to put some code in the

people in the

simulation that they see detail that

isn't there that's it so you put a

character into your simulation you say

whenever you look around it will seem to

you as complete and detailed and you

will not notice it's

pixelated the real world we could be

walking around looking like Legos you

know Legos or roox if you know what

Roblox is you know what I mean we could

be like squares of pixelated people

walking around in in jerky fashion

but we have one line of code that says

everything is

smooth that's it that's all you need and

you would imagine your life was smooth

and detailed and you would be like a a

Lego person walking around like a robot

you just wouldn't know the difference

all right that's the first thing so

there's definitely not any kind of

resource limit to us being a

simulation um but if we are a

simulation here's what I think

I believe that you could prove that we

are a

simulation by identifying all of the

coding

shortcuts that a human programmer would

make if a human were making a

simulation so if you see that our

reality has all the same limits that a

human programmer would have making a

simulation that's a really strong signal

that we are one it's not a proof but it'

be a strong signal so what signals do we

have number number one if we're a

simulation history would not exist it

would be created on

demand which it is I'm not going to get

into the details but in the quantum

physics World there are experiments they

show that the the history is created by

what you're observing in the the present

that's a fact and it doesn't make sense

unless we're a

simulation uh we can't get outside the

edge of the universe that's how you'd

program it if it were a game uh there's

a maximum speed in our reality why is

there a maximum speed you ever think

about that does that make sense that

intuitively shouldn't there always be

something that's faster than however

fast you're going now it might be

difficult to you know achieve the speed

but why is it impossible that sounds

like a video game limit so you can't so

you can't run to the edge of the

universe and see what's happening right

how about uh most of the space in our

reality is uh full of

nothing because you wouldn't want to you

wouldn't want to program every particle

of the universe you'd want the particles

to be really far

away but you know they act as if they're

you know more cohesive that's exactly

what our universe is right if you could

look at your body from the subatomic

level it would look like empty space if

you were to travel into space and try

Tob gra a grab something in space and

see what's in there it would be empty

you have this so-called dark dark matter

might be nothing might be something but

it might be nothing um so there'd be a

lot of nothing and that tracks uh how

about the fact that whenever we can

determine it our reality seems to map to

math

formulas why is it that there are

physics

formulas that

work yeah you ever wonder about

that wouldn't it be far more likely that

everything was random all the time and

even the rules of physics are changing

as the SpaceTime is evolving but no that

if you find a rule of physics that was

true uh a billion years ago it's still

true it's kind of suspicious isn't it it

feels a lot like a video game you know

you just put in some rules and that's

easier to program the thing um how about

the how about the fact that the players

in the game that's you and I how about

the fact that we have routinely not it's

not an exception but routinely we have

different memories of the same

event why would that be why would memory

be so bad because we're a

simulation the hardest part about the

Computing would be to make my my history

uh be complete and robust and also

consistent with your history imagine how

hard that would be to write a program

that made everybody's memory consistent

because that would mean everybody's past

was you know consistent that would be

impossible you know what it be easier

what would be easier is to say that you

and I have a different memory of an

event because it didn't happen at

all it's just easier to give us fake

memories of stuff rather than store the

actual memory so it's a lot like a game

that's how I would code it exactly like

that um how about uh the fact that the

players in the game are prevented from

seeing the

obvious wouldn't you include that code

if you were making a video

game and they're doing this now they're

giving the NPCs the non-player

characters in video games they're going

to give them

AI if you put AI I into an NPC what's

the problem for the game

player here's the problem if the game

player goes over and says are you an

NPC and you know are you a thinking

person what will it say if it's Ai and

you didn't code it to say otherwise it

would say oh I am AI I am just a

Mindless creature walking around

pretending to be like a person well that

wouldn't be any fun for the game no so

You' put a few lines of code in there to

take away his

self-awareness right so that whenever

the

NPC came into uh any kind of information

that would make you think it wasn't real

the code would reject it so let's say

you're playing the video game and this

this will be a real thing in just a

month or two this will be a real thing

so you find an NPC and you engage it in

conversation and then you say to it hey

um you know you're not

real so that would be new information

what would the NPC say oh I will take

this new information and act upon it I'm

not real no that would ruin your game

instead you would you would code the

creature to reject any information that

said it wasn't a real

person so it could actually see

something or hear something in the Real

Environment well the fake game

environment that would very conclusively

say that it wasn't real but it would

experience

what something like Co cognitive

dissonance if you're connecting all the

dots

yet something like cognitive dissonance

so you would have to build into your

NPC's cognitive

dissonance you would have to it's not

optional you would have to make them not

be able to see the obvious and instead

form an illusion in their own little

heads to explain away the obvious and

you know what the obvious

is

it's kind of obvious that we're a

simulation it's really

obvious but if you can't see it is

because there's probably a line of code

preventing you from seeing

it that's what I think how about this um

do humans imagine seeing more detail

than is actually there yes just like a

video game um is it true that in our

so-called reality have we recently

discovered that the thing we thought was

special and amazing and intelligence was

really just patterns of words because we

created intelligence with just word

patterns

yes yes discovering that human

intelligence could be reproduced by word

patterns is pretty obvious evidence that

you're a

simulation pretty obvious right if

you're saying to yourself I don't see it

Scott that's because you have a line of

code that's preventing you from seeing

the obvious

I know you don't like that um how about

this do you believe that most of the

characters you encounter are real

players or are they

NPCs do you see a lot of people in your

life who don't appear to be based on

logic and they don't appear to have a

history and they can't tell

stories there are people if you go up to

them and say can you tell me a good

story about they go about what H

anything like that was cool or

interesting when you were a child and

some of them

can't like an

NPC so our real world has people who for

all intents and purposes look like

they're mindless and they will act like

that their entire lives and you'll

wonder what's going on that's what you'd

expect if we a simulation you'd expect

some of the characters might be players

and some of them might be

NPCs how about this uh if you were

building a simulated environment would

you tell these simulated characters that

they had free will or would you tell

them that everything they do is just

cause and effect and it's based on their

programming well I think you would tell

them they have free

will and what would be the evidence

against it free

will all of science 100% of science

really tells you you don't have free

will there's no part of science that's

credible that tells you have free will

so what does a if you were made as a

simulation and it was really really

obvious that Free Will didn't exist but

it was really important that the

characters in it thought it existed what

would be your observation your

observation would be it's obvious

there's no free will but everybody

around you is convinced is

true that's what I see I see the people

around me believe they have free will

when to me it's really obvious they

don't like really

obvious all right how about

this uh here's my favorite one I saved

it for

last what are the odds well let me let

me do a fact check here how many

creatures do you

think uh have ever walked the Earth or

swam it or fluid now I'm including all

the insects all the birds all the

reptiles all the fish all the mamals

every type of species that has come and

gone how

many how many different species do you

think they're bad not not numbers of

individuals not number of individuals

but

species encounter everything from Bugs

to birds the dinosaurs how many

species Millions can can we settle on

Millions I think it's probably in the if

I had to guess tens of Millions

Millions I think would you accept tens

of millions of different species on

Earth

no well if you count from the beginning

of time you know not necessarily what we

have now but from the beginning of

time it's a big number let let's say for

argument sake it's a

million all right just to make my point

so we we can separately do a fact check

on that but let's all agree it's some

real big number that your brain can't

hold I'm going to say a million just to

make my point so there are a million

types of species or creatures on

Earth what are the

odds that you're the apex

predator I mean really

seriously yeah there there's a million

creatures and you're not the bug no

you're not the

rabbit you're not the

Deer you just happen to be out of a

million

species how lucky you are huh we all

Lucky we're the we're the apex

predator and of a million

species that now are you telling me that

that's not obvious that you live in a

simulation that's not like super obvious

to

you

let let let me see you say it out loud

how many of you will say out loud in the

comments I'm positive I do not live in a

simulation let's see if you can say it

out

loud no tell me you're positive it's not

a simulation you're positive it's not a

simulation a lot of people a lot of

people are positive now remember if we

are a simulation that's what we should

see if we are simulation the people in

it should be absolutely positive that

they're not in the

simulation yeah now let me ask this how

many of you are open to the

possibility open to the

possibility quite a few quite a few but

I think this is a unique audience right

if you were to survey the world in

General on this question 1% Maybe

do you think you would get more than 1%

of the 8 billion people on Earth who

would say yeah I'm open to this

simulation hypothesis I think 1% maximum

right so that's what I would expect if

we were a simulation 99% would say

there's no way we have free

will we totally have free will we got

really lucky by being the apex predator

but thanks to God that oh also God

exists

right and I'll ask you again it's not

obvious to you that this is a simulation

yet don't see it yet all

right all right well I don't know uh I

don't know that we're a

simulation because it's unknowable in

our current situation but I will tell

you uh I experience life as a

simulation so internally I'm at a point

where I can't can't believe it's real

like there there's not even a single

part of me that thinks this is real

I mean take it from my perspective not

only did I get lucky enough to be born

into the one end of a million or it

could be a lot more than a million to be

the apex predator species not only did I

get that

lucky but as six years old when I said I

wanted to be a famous Rich

cartoonist I actually got that

seriously this is

real how could this possibly be real how

could it possibly be

real well it is possible so like I say I

can't know for sure but if I look at the

odds first of all you take the odds that

if a simulation is ever possible and it

will be it's already possible we could

build one today we just haven't done

it um if it's possible to build it you

do the math of well there will be more

simulations than there will be original

species so therefore just the math says

we're probably a simulation but it but

you could ignore that and just say what

are the odds you're the apex

predator that doesn't seem suspicious to

you at

all this exactly the way we build video

games do we ever build a video game

where we're not the Apex

Predator I don't think so we're always

the apex predator isn't that

lucky right well that's just something

for you to think about all right ladies

and gentlemen oh I needed to be

somewhere else 6 minutes ago I got to go

bye