Episode 2953 CWSA 09/09/25
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Hello. Come on in. I was just checking on your stocks. Well, if you have Tesla, that's up a little bit. Otherwise it's kind of flat. Would you like to have a show? Yes. You're used to it. You like it and you're going to get it. Probably the best thing that'll happen to you all day
View segment →. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance at elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even comprehend with their tiny shiny human brains, all y…
View segment →ing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. When it happens. Now go. Well, it looks like everything's working, the sound, etc. I've been tinkering with my setup, so you never know what could happen. Here's a text story that I don't know if I believe. It looks like a prank.…
View segment →of business and that's part of Tesla. I remember hearing or seeing Adam Townsend. He did a post several years back in which he said that Tesla was actually an energy company in disguise as a car company. And I don't know if I buy that 100% or that he even meant it 100%. But how big could that busin…
View segment →WhatsApp, the app that's owned by Meta, had some privacy problems. And specifically what he said was there were about 1,500, listen to this, he claims that there were 1,500 WhatsApp engineers that had full access to private user data with no logs, no audits, and no way to know if anything was taken.…
View segment →caught on fire. It's a suspected arson attack. Well, I would think so if there are two of them, unless they were right next to each other. You would think it would be a pretty big coincidence if two of them caught on fire. I would even say it's weird if one of them catches on fire because how much b…
View segment →judgment. And who knows how much their lawyers are going to get but what would be typical in a class action? Does the law firm get a third? What is typical? So if it had been, let's say, $1.5 billion and the lawyers get a third, you know, they'd be looking at half a billion dollars for some lawyerin…
View segment →ybe. You've noticed that I've been ignoring the story about the Ukrainian refugee woman who got stabbed to death in Charlotte when she was on the light rail train. Well, it turns out that now it's morphed from a crime story into a big political story because now the anti-MAGA press of the world has…
View segment →'t do anything about it, I've often wondered if the best solution isn't for people to apply for, let's call it a grant or a scholarship to move out of whatever bad place has a bad example that's being set for them. Not just in this regard, but someplace safe where they can really concentrate on scho…
View segment →d up. Of course that represents me. But if the people in Chicago don't want the help, should we really force it upon them? I mean, they do have the ability to vote in people who would change that and they apparently are not choosing that path. At what point does it just become their problem? So I d…
View segment →a bunch of money into the charities, then you'll be good to me when I need a favor. Well, I can't say that, but if you put a bunch of money into these charities, they sure would be good for those charities. And then you work it out with the charities or you've chosen them because they're working wit…
View segment →e don't know anything because there's some science that says there's a link, some says it isn't. We don't really trust either one of them. So I don't trust any data, certainly any study like that. I'm way beyond being able to trust them. But at the same time, President Trump I guess he reposted a vi…
View segment →mp of thinking about using crypto to wipe out our debt. Now if you're like me, you said, "Wait, how would you do that? How would you wipe out $35 trillion worth of debt with crypto without making things worse?" Now you might remember that I've asked that question a bunch of times, but not saying how…
View segment →yes. Except that what Israel is requesting and what I guess Trump is requesting would be too weak. Demanding is that they give up all the hostages and lay down their arms. Now if you were Hamas, do you think you're going to give up your hostages and lay down your arms? Because what happens to you th…
View segment →ing about that story yet. I definitely wouldn't believe that it was an Israeli attack yet. It totally could have been. I wouldn't rule it out, but too soon. I wouldn't jump to that conclusion. So I wouldn't trust any of the reports coming out. But if it were true that Israel figured this was a good…
View segment →Hello. Come on in. I was just checking on your stocks. Well, if you have Tesla, that's up a little bit. Otherwise it's kind of flat.
Would you like to have a show? Yes. You're used to it. You like it and you're going to get it. Probably the best thing that'll happen to you all day.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance at elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even comprehend with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit at the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip.
When it happens. Now go.
Well, it looks like everything's working, the sound, etc. I've been tinkering with my setup, so you never know what could happen.
Here's a text story that I don't know if I believe. It looks like a prank. But allegedly there's a company called Alter Ego that's a little wearable that you put around like sort of like headphones except it doesn't cover your ears. Sort of like the kind that just wrap around the back of your head. Anyway, they allege that that thing can read your thoughts well enough to know what you would like to be sending to a screen with almost perfect precision and it happens kind of quickly. And they showed this demo of a guy who was wearing one and he was writing an email by thinking what he wants in the email.
Now, how in the world can they pick out the words in your head that you want to send from the words in your head that you don't want to send? And I thought to myself, how does that work with people who have a conversation in your head all the time? The way I organize my thoughts to make sure that they make sense is I put them in sentences and I think of them as full spoken sentences and I'll keep rearranging them until they make sense when I hear them because it's sort of like I'm listening to myself talk.
How in the world? And they allege that they can detect the thoughts, if I can say it right. I'm probably not saying it right, but something like just when you're going to verbalize a thought. So they get it when you've decided to verbalize it, but they won't get it prior to you deciding to verbalize it. But in this case you don't actually verbalize it. It just picks up your intention to verbalize it.
Do you believe that there's a thing that can attach to the outside of your head, you know, like little headphone things, little sensors that would be currently sensitive enough and smart enough to determine what you intend to say? Does that sound even a little bit likely that that's true? I would love to know that it is true. That'd be kind of cool. But I'm going to go with nope. Let's grade that one. Nope. But like I say, yeah, I would love to be wrong. So if that's a real thing, really cool, but nope.
Allegedly OpenAI is planning to make a feature-length animated movie that would debut at the Cannes Film Festival and would be done in nine months on a budget of $30 million. Do you believe that they'll be able to do that? And if they can do it, does that mean that the tool would allow you to do it? Because it seems like there's going to be a massive storage element. You know, we're asked to store what it's already done to make sure that what it does next is compatible with all that. Do you think that will be available to the average person? Or are they going to demonstrate that if you want the studio model, oh that's the studio model, it's $10 million a year because you're going to make so much money making movies.
Maybe. I am skeptical that you'll be able to use the off-the-shelf OpenAI to make yourself a movie anytime soon. Someday, but no time soon. So we'll see. That's pretty ambitious. I like it.
Elon Musk has decided to make the code on X for recommending what it recommends to you open source. So people who know how to look at code can look at it and say, "Hey, now I know why it doesn't show me James Woods or whatever it's allegedly hiding from people, and why it doesn't show me other things." So I love that. That is a solid Elon Musk play that feels sort of uniquely him. You know, something you wouldn't expect from other people and I like it.
Speaking of Tesla, yesterday they had a big announcement about what's called the megapack, which is their big battery structures that they sell into power utility grids. So it becomes part of an existing grid and it would store power when it was cheap to make or possible to make and use it when it was needed later. So apparently, I didn't know this, but apparently they're making billions of dollars on this line of business and that's part of Tesla.
I remember hearing or seeing Adam Townsend. He did a post several years back in which he said that Tesla was actually an energy company in disguise as a car company. And I don't know if I buy that 100% or that he even meant it 100%. But how big could that business be? I mean, if they're the top or even number two in the business of putting in enormous battery packs, then the interesting thing is that he's got a company, the megapack battery thing, that would be benefiting from AI because AI is going to require that every form of energy and saving energy and storing energy becomes super valuable because we can't get enough of it. AI will be sucking up all that energy. So he's got a very compatible company there.
And at the same time, speaking of compatible companies, his SpaceX company is doing a deal to buy a whole bunch of spectrum from EchoStar, which apparently will be key to turning their satellites because SpaceX is a very compatible company with Starlink, you know, the network of Elon Musk satellites that are around the Earth already. They were launched by SpaceX. So those are the two most compatible companies you could imagine.
Except if you could have a satellite company, what would be the best thing you could introduce next? A phone that happens to work, or you work with somebody else on phone service all over the globe. And it looks like that's what he's going to do. So he's going to have batteries all over the globe and AI is going to drive that demand. He's already got satellites all over the world and they're not far away from turning that into worldwide phone service that would compete with everybody. Apparently the speeds would be great, the latency would be low and he's really looking to take on cell phones. I mean just imagine the enormity of that business and Musk is sort of, you know, year after year he's just building these assets that can walk right up to the domain of the cell phone industry and possibly take over the entire industry because he's built exactly the right compatible assets from rockets to satellites to batteries, you know, which you need for phones. And then of course they have access to the best engineers and it all kind of comes together, doesn't it?
Anyway, there's an engineer at Meta, or he was at Meta, who claims that WhatsApp, the app that's owned by Meta, had some privacy problems. And specifically what he said was there were about 1,500, listen to this, he claims that there were 1,500 WhatsApp engineers that had full access to private user data with no logs, no audits, and no way to know if anything was taken. Now, user data would include their messages, right? So there were 1,500 people who all they had to do was want to and they could look at all your private messages in what you thought was your super private messaging thing.
Remember what I tell you about privacy. The only protection you have is to be uninteresting. That's it. So there were, you know, presumably most of the millions of people who used WhatsApp had nobody look at their messages because there was no reason to. They're not very interesting. But if they had any reason at all to look at your messages, and let me just put you into the room. Let's say you're one of those engineers. And if this allegation is true, and I'm not sure it is, right? So I'm not going to take it at face value, but what if it is? What if it's true that there were 1,500 people who could anytime they want look into everybody's messages on WhatsApp and nobody would catch them and they knew that? What would happen when they get a divorce? What would happen when they get into a relationship that breaks up? Do you think all 1,500 of those engineers said to themselves, you know, I could just look at all of her messages back as long as I wanted to, but nah. Nah, I'm not going to do that. I'm not the kind of guy who would find out something really, really useful and have no risk whatsoever of ever getting caught. I'm not that kind of guy. Or am I?
So yeah, if these allegations are true, I would say that would be something to worry about.
Apparently there was some massive power outage in Berlin this morning. 50,000 homes without electricity. There were two high voltage masts, you know, big electrical towers that caught on fire. It's a suspected arson attack. Well, I would think so if there are two of them, unless they were right next to each other. You would think it would be a pretty big coincidence if two of them caught on fire. I would even say it's weird if one of them catches on fire because how much burnable material is in a high voltage tower? I don't know. It's not like it's made of wood. So yeah, I believe they all need a Tesla Powerwall to get past that kind of risk.
You know that Greta Thunberg is now an activist about the Palestinian cause and she's on her second, if you can call it that. She's on a flotilla. They're going over there to protest Israel's treatment of the Gazans or something like that. But apparently she got to Tunisia in Tunisian waters. She may have, and this is disputed so we don't know if this is true, but allegedly a drone attacked her boat. Now I think it caused something on fire, they say, but it didn't kill anybody. Nobody was injured, so that's good. But there is some dispute. The Tunisian authorities say there was no drone hitting your boat. Somebody dropped a cigarette on some life preservers.
So they were either one of two things. They were either attacked by another country in a bold raid in which they sent a drone from a long distance or they had somebody stationed there waiting for Greta and then they tried to assassinate her without leaving a trace by using their sophisticated drones. So that's one possibility. The other possibility is that Greta was taking a smoke break and she was just out by the life preservers. You know, I'm having a real good time protesting this Gaza situation. Flick. And then she flicks her lit cigarette into the life preservers and the next thing you know, we better tell people that was a drone.
So we don't know what happened. My point is the fog of war makes it impossible to know how much of that story is true, if any of it.
You know the story about Anthropic, the AI company that got sued by a bunch of authors and the authors banded together as a class and sued and they won. And so the authors were going to split up $1.5 billion. That was the judgment. And who knows how much their lawyers are going to get but what would be typical in a class action? Does the law firm get a third? What is typical? So if it had been, let's say, $1.5 billion and the lawyers get a third, you know, they'd be looking at half a billion dollars for some lawyering. But apparently it had to be overseen by a judge. And the federal judge that was going to oversee it looked at the deal that the lawyers made and said, "Uh, really? This doesn't even look like you did this deal for the benefit of the authors. It looks like maybe you did the deal for the benefit of the lawyers because it would not be irrational for a lawyer to say, 'Seriously, they're offering us $1.5 billion.' I don't know. Have you guys done the math? That's $100 million a piece. All we have to do is say yes, and we will get $100 million a piece. We will never have to worry about money again. All you have to do is say yes. Or you could fight that case for months and maybe it would get appealed and maybe they'd win. You know, maybe the other side would win. But you'd fight to try to get more for the authors because if the authors win with this measly $1.5 billion award, it might first of all set the price low for other lawsuits for other entities, but it doesn't work out to much per author. So an author would lose their entire intellectual property for all practical purposes and in return they would get I don't know $1,000 if they were well established."
So the judge just said nope and put a pause on it. I don't know where it goes next, but the federal judge didn't think it looked like a proper deal. I don't know, maybe.
You've noticed that I've been ignoring the story about the Ukrainian refugee woman who got stabbed to death in Charlotte when she was on the light rail train. Well, it turns out that now it's morphed from a crime story into a big political story because now the anti-MAGA press of the world has decided that the way the people on the right, the MAGA supporters, are talking about it somewhat obsessively is that it's obviously kind of racist and so CNN had a big hit piece on that. And I wasn't going to talk about it because I don't do crime, but now that it's sort of a political thing and a persuasion thing and it's now slopped into my domain, I'll give you my thoughts on it.
Number one, if she had not been a hot blonde, would we be talking about it? You tell me. If she had not been a hot blonde, literally some kind of a model I think, would we even be talking about this? Don't people get stabbed and murdered kind of often? You know, way more than because it's not somebody pretty and they're not from Ukraine and it's not a black attacker and a white victim. But if she's pretty and we've got video, that makes a big difference. And it fits into a narrative that a lot of people are seeing in the larger world beyond this one thing. There's a lot of discussion about the crime rate and who's committing the crimes and is that something that needs to be addressed.
So it kind of fits the right's narrative perfectly and it's just made for memeing and it's just made to be viral because of her looks. So the anti-MAGA people, they're doing their best to try to figure out how it can be racist. And I do believe I've seen it myself that in the comments, not so much what the big influencers are saying, that doesn't sound racist to me, but a lot of the comments are flat out as racist as you could possibly be. Now, you could argue whether that needs to be stopped or not. And you could also argue is it racist if you're talking statistically? Right? So that's what people would say. It's like, well, if I'm just talking about the statistical risk, that's not that racist, is it? But there are other people who are using certain language that you would, most of you I think we would agree is over the line. But that's the real world. In the real world there are people who are going to go over every line and you see that online. So I would imagine that your feed would be different from mine, which should be different from everybody else's. I may see more of it than you do.
We believe, but I'm not positive this is true. So there's still a little fog of war in this story. But is it true? Because I haven't seen it and I wouldn't know if it was real if I saw it, that there was a video that came out after the main murder video on the train that showed the murderer saying quote that he got that white girl which would strongly suggest that he had a racial motive even if he's a crazy person. So you know, that's good enough to throw it in that does it prove something about the bigger world? Personally I saw this as more like a crazy person situation, but I saw Greg Gutfeld's monologue. I was watching that and he points out that for a crazy person he certainly made a lot of sane judgments about how to get away and how to plan it. So it's always a mixed bag. It's not so crazy that you're running around naked throwing your feces but there are pockets of non-craziness.
So what do you do with that? So obviously race was part of the story and remains part of the story. And then Trump seizing on a situation because he's anti-crime as you know and so now CNN says he's seizing on the moment because it's getting a lot of attention so he wants to maybe get in front of it. And anyway he's threatening to withhold federal dollars from the city of Charlotte because of that murder. And I don't know who said this. I saw a quote online, but the quote might have been Trump, but somebody said, "I guarantee that if I find what I think I'm going to find, they're not going to have your federal tax dollars going to their public transportation system. Zero. None."
So there's some allegation, but I'm not entirely sure who's making it, unless it's Trump, that they know something about Charlotte that's corrupt or dirty. Now, have you noticed the pattern yet that every local government is corrupt or it seems that way? Except, correct me if I'm wrong, it feels like it's just always Democrat government. Yeah. Every story I know it's not literally true. There are obviously Republicans who have been arrested and indicted and stuff for crimes. It's not like it doesn't exist. But the news that I see, isn't it suddenly like 10 to one in one direction? And what do you do about that? It's like 10 to one, isn't it?
And then that murder is bringing into the larger conversation the following statistics that I see literally every day on social media. I don't know if these are exactly true or true enough, but it's what people are saying. So that's the important part. But I keep seeing on social media people saying black people make up 13% of the US population, but they claim, and I don't know if this is true, that black people commit 56% of the murders. Now, is that true? And then do you further calculate how many of them were other black people who were the victims? Because it would be mostly, right? Like would it be three quarters of their victims would also be black or more than three quarters, right?
Then there are a whole bunch of other statistics. The murder rate among black people is six to eight times higher than among white people blah blah. So that's the sort of stuff that's going around social media and Elon Musk is getting into it by saying that a small group of criminals are the repeat violent offenders. Now that is a far less racial way to approach this. So I think Elon Musk is probably going on the most productive path because as soon as it gets into a race, nothing happens. Everybody just hates everybody. So you could just forget that. But if you were to focus on the repeat offenders, that's purely a behavioral thing and it only kicks in if objectively speaking somebody's been convicted a certain number of times for a certain number of things, certain type of things. So but the vast majority of all crime is committed by people who have at least three prior arrests. So these are pretty measurable things.
So Elon is saying if we look at that and lock up the repeat criminals our crime situation would be vastly improved. I remember when that was a thing in California. I think it got reversed, but for a time there was that three strikes thing and people argued before that was implemented that if you locked up the people who did the vast majority of the crimes, you know, the three strike people, they actually argued that if you locked up in jail and kept them there forever the people who did 80% of all the crimes that it wouldn't change the crime rate. That was actually what smart people were saying in public in their arguments. Well, it's not going to change the crime rate just because you put the people who do all the crimes in jail forever. And I used to jokingly say, "So let me see if I understand your hypothesis. Your hypothesis is that if they lock up 100% of the people who are doing 80% of the crimes that the crime rate won't go down, but rather the people who were not planning to do any crimes would increase the number of crimes they were committing beyond what they had planned to make up for the repeat criminals being in jail. That's how you would get a balance and nothing would change, right?" And the conversation would quickly turn into insult because when people realize how dumb their opinion is. That's not really an opinion, is it? That's really just somebody's a dumb. People who are in jail don't commit crimes outside of jail. I mean, unless they have access to a telephone I guess, or a henchman to do their work like a crime boss. But generally speaking, if you're in jail, it does stop you from murdering mostly except in jail.
If you're wondering why are some communities more dangerous than others, and you don't have enough of a racist opinion about why, let me give you a lesser racist opinion about why some places are more dangerous. Apparently according to Neuroscience News, aggression is contagious. Meaning that if you observe your parents in particular, so it's more a family thing. Observing strangers doesn't have the same effect. It must have some, but if you observed family members being physical, yeah, you were more likely to be that way yourself. But I went immediately to Grok and I said, "Can you tell me, Grok, is violence and aggression, are those things inherited?" Because it would make sense to me that if they were hereditary, you know, not 100%, but at least in any way, that it might not be because you're watching your family be aggressive. It might be because you all have the aggressive gene. So it seems to you that maybe the cause is that you're observing it or you're around it. But it could be according to Grok that there are some people who think that aggression is about 50% inherited. So the studies of twins I guess 50% of variance in aggressive behavior might be genetic.
So here's my suggestion for fixing things. If the people who are being violent are being perpetuated by seeing their family being violent and it becomes this cycle. Maybe the best thing you could do because it's hard to fix that directly. I mean what are you going to do? People spend time with their family. How are you going to stop that? So if you can't do anything about it, I've often wondered if the best solution isn't for people to apply for, let's call it a grant or a scholarship to move out of whatever bad place has a bad example that's being set for them. Not just in this regard, but someplace safe where they can really concentrate on school or whatever. Don't you think that that would be one way to save a failing neighborhood? Literally to let people say, "All right, give me your best argument. If you're really serious about having a successful, honest life, write us a little thing or send us a video and maybe we'll sponsor you or a number of people will sponsor you to get enough money to move to a place that has lower crime, better schools." So it would be great if the people who have the ability to thrive in a different atmosphere had the opportunity to get there and they wouldn't always be able to do it themselves. So just an idea.
There's a Chicago alderman who was ripping into both the governor and the mayor Johnson and Pritzker about the topic of Trump offering aid to Chicago. Newsmax is reporting this, Michael Katz, and he's basically saying and he's obviously a Democrat as well, but he's on their team and he's even saying no, we got a little bit too much crime here. Maybe you should accept his help. So if you're wondering if reasonable common sense people would agree with Trump, well, there you go. Sounds like he's a pretty reasonable alderman.
But here's a question that I ask that you might be asking yourself. How much should I care about crime in Chicago if I don't live in Chicago and the people who do live there are electing people who allow this much crime and probably could do something i.e. let Trump come in with some extra help. They probably could do something to lower it, but for whatever reason, their priorities are not that. So am I supposed to care a lot? I very much wanted Trump to move the National Guard to Washington DC, even though I don't live there, because it's my capital, right? It's my capital. Of course I want that cleaned up. Of course that represents me. But if the people in Chicago don't want the help, should we really force it upon them? I mean, they do have the ability to vote in people who would change that and they apparently are not choosing that path. At what point does it just become their problem?
So I don't know how much of my tax dollars I want to spend sending the military or any form of the military into Chicago. It's not that it wouldn't work. I think it would work and I think politically it would probably be a total winner. But I don't know if it's because of my empathy. Don't ask me to have more empathy than they have for themselves. That doesn't make sense. I should have maybe equal to but not more empathy than they have for themselves.
Anyway, I guess Trump and the team won another court victory. So now a judge is going to allow the ICE to sweep up immigrants in raids. And partially they can use the race of the people as part of their decision-making, but it can't be all of it. So if the only reason they stopped somebody to find out their status was because they look like they were Hispanic, that would not be allowed. That would be pure racism. But the court has allowed, the Supreme Court has now allowed that it would be one of the elements you might look at. So for example, if they were Hispanic and standing at the Home Depot, I'm making that up, and speaking only Spanish, I don't know, there might be some other elements, but you could use it as one variable, but not the variable. I don't know how I feel about that.
Moving on, apparently Nepal is having some issues. The parliament building is on fire and the public had revolted. Except there's something a little bit weird about this Nepal situation as in why it happened. So I guess it started because the country was trying to ban some fake social media accounts. But the issue of banning some fake social media accounts turned into the public being mad about corruption and digital censorship. That turned into riots in the street and then it looks like maybe the country has fallen I can't tell but here's the thing. When you hear that Nepal has done this street protest against the government and burned down a building and dragged down some of the politicians, I don't know what happened to them but some of them got dragged out, do you assume that that happens spontaneously or do you believe that there's just no such thing anywhere of this kind of organized thing unless there's some external source, maybe a color revolution kind of a situation, some foreign country, maybe some intelligence people within the country, who knows, but I'm way beyond imagining that this kind of stuff happens on its own. So I would have some questions about who might have been involved behind the scenes, if you know what I mean.
According to a post I saw on X by Wall Street Apes, there's some independent investigation about Gavin Newsom's association to some NGOs which allegedly all these Democrat conspiracies and alleged corruption things were also complicated where he allegedly was doing something called behested payments. So this would be legal. So allegedly somebody like Newsom could go to a bunch of rich donors and say, "Hey, I behest you to put a bunch of money into these NGOs. It's a charity. It's really good." And then the rich people go, "Oh, got it." Wink wink. So if I put a bunch of money into the charities, then you'll be good to me when I need a favor. Well, I can't say that, but if you put a bunch of money into these charities, they sure would be good for those charities. And then you work it out with the charities or you've chosen them because they're working with you where they say, "If you can get us a bunch of money from a bunch of rich people in return for you giving them favors, we'll make sure that a bunch of this money benefits you directly or indirectly." So the allegation is that $400 million have flowed through this process and it's hard to imagine that Governor Newsom didn't give anybody any favors for being a conduit allegedly. Don't know if any of this is true, but if he really were the conduit for $400 million flowing through, it's hard to believe he didn't get a taste of that. Maybe not directly, but through circuitous routes, which is how they do it. That's how they do it.
So again, I remind you that all local government and maybe all government is corrupt.
Health and Human Services is going to release a report that seems to tie Tylenol use in pregnant women with autism. But there is apparently some conflict in the science. There's some science that suggests there is a link and some science that suggests there's not. So what would you and I assume about that? We shouldn't assume that we don't know anything because there's some science that says there's a link, some says it isn't. We don't really trust either one of them. So I don't trust any data, certainly any study like that. I'm way beyond being able to trust them. But at the same time, President Trump I guess he reposted a video on social media that linked vaccines to autism. So according to Modernity News is reporting that. So it looks like if you read the tea leaves, the government is going to suggest that there are more than one thing that might be behind autism. And maybe they're not going to say we know 100% sure what it is or how much each of these contribute. They might say, well, as far as we can narrow it down, it might be these things. But I do trust that if any big decisions are made about vaccines, I do trust that that would be based on data that we can all see. So people will have a chance to say, "You read that data wrong or they collected that data wrong." So that's coming.
Andrew Cuomo, who as you know is running for mayor of New York against Mayor Adams and the communist guy Mamdani and Curtis Sliwa. Andrew Cuomo, I just watched him on a video and he said, "Democrats want someone to defend them against President Trump. I am that person because I have done that." Now, is it my imagination or does Andrew Cuomo have the easiest job in the world, which would be to become mayor of New York given who he's running against? Shouldn't he easily be able to win this? It feels like he should. But here's what he's doing wrong. Mamdani comes in and he talks about affordability and people go, "Oh, you have my attention. That's exactly what I'm worrying about." Cuomo comes in and he's making it about attacking Trump. Now, I don't argue that people are asking him to attack Trump. I'm sure they are. But really, he doesn't see that that's not the winning message. The winning message is what Mamdani's doing. He says, "You got a problem? I have a magic plan to deal with your biggest problem." So it's just jaw-dropping and head-shaking that when he's talking about why you should make him the mayor, it's to fight Trump. That's just the worst reason anybody ever had to run for mayor.
There's a rumor going around that Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary, and Bill Pulte, who is the head of the Federal Housing Finance, whatever it is, I can never remember the name of the organization, Freddie and Fannie. And apparently they went to a dinner and Scott Bessent threatened to punch Pulte in the face and he wanted to step outside and fight him. And then reportedly, but I don't believe anything about this story at this point. We never know the real context of these things. Reportedly Bill wasn't sure if he was serious, but he said he was serious about punching him. And so I don't know how the dinner ended or who picked up the check, but that sounds pretty bad. I guess Bessent was complaining because he believed that Bill Pulte had said something negative to him about to Trump. I don't know what that was allegedly, but I don't know how to feel about it because it would depend entirely upon what it was he may or may not have said to Trump. You could certainly imagine that it could have been something really important that Trump would need to know, in which case Pulte had to do it. That would just be part of his job. But you could imagine that Bessent wouldn't like it no matter what it was. So I like Bill too much to have an opinion on this. So I'm just going to say that we'll never know exactly what happened in that situation, but I don't think Bill's going to be talking to anybody about anything important unless it's important. So we'll never know what that's about.
There's a new laser defense weapon to shoot down drones, and it's better than ever before. It can kill 50 drones a minute, which actually doesn't sound like that many. 50 drones a minute if they're sending a swarm of a thousand drones. Unless it's the really big ones that don't swarm. I don't know. But here's what I was wondering as I was reading that story. What are the odds that drones become the main weapon of choice at the same time that lasers finally become cost effective to shoot them down? Is that kind of weird that those two technologies that have both been out there for a while, you know, years and years, but they both kind of matured at the same time? That just when the drones can do all kinds of things and there can be thousands of them in the sky autonomously attacking you is exactly the same time that we've built all these deadly lasers that can shoot them out of the sky. What are the odds that those two technologies are peaking at about the same time? I know it's weird. It's a simulation.
One of the Russian advisers to Putin accused the US and accused Trump of thinking about using crypto to wipe out our debt. Now if you're like me, you said, "Wait, how would you do that? How would you wipe out $35 trillion worth of debt with crypto without making things worse?" Now you might remember that I've asked that question a bunch of times, but not saying how it would happen, but asking if there's any way to make it happen. And the answer that I got from everyone is no, you can't like do it with one magic trick of crypto. You might be able to make crypto your only money and then inflate away the value of the dollar over time and maybe that's literally the only way we'll ever get out of it. So that might happen. But so I went to Grok and I put that story in there and I said, "Is that something that could ever work?" And Grok said, "Not really." So Grok went into all the details but basically said no, you know every way that you could go with that. This is me paraphrasing it but every way you could go with that with some kind of clever crypto thing would make something way worse and would be unacceptable. So no that probably won't happen. But you can see why they're afraid of it because the US has played around with the gold standard, for example, in the past.
Politico is talking about France's government collapsing. A lot of collapsing happening lately. So Joshua Berlinger is writing about this. So I guess Macron has to appoint now his fifth prime minister in less than two years. And there's protests and things are falling apart. So I don't think, I hate to say it, but I don't really see a way that France can survive. Do you? I suppose that would be true of everybody in the medium run, but I don't see a path. I hate to say that because I'm pretty optimistic and I generally don't buy into the oh this country is going down the drain. You know, we've talked about I don't think China's really about to go down the drain. I don't think Russia's really about to go down the drain. And I don't think France is going down the drain this year. But it seems like just demographically they're in an unrecoverable situation. But we'll see.
And I guess Macron is mad at the US for barring visas for most Palestinians. Like that's the biggest problem. He's got 75 cities in lockdown and he's worried about Palestinian visas.
In other news, Israel has reportedly said yes to Trump's suggestion for a Gaza ceasefire. So that would make you think, ah, we're 50% toward peace because at least one side said yes. Except that what Israel is requesting and what I guess Trump is requesting would be too weak. Demanding is that they give up all the hostages and lay down their arms. Now if you were Hamas, do you think you're going to give up your hostages and lay down your arms? Because what happens to you the minute that that happens? It's not like part of the deal is for safe passage or something. It's not like you're going to get a pardon. 100% of the people who have a weapon and are in a tunnel and are working for Hamas, 100% of them are going to be in jail or killed. Why exactly would they want to hurry that up while they have hostages? So to me it's easy for Israel to say we will accept your total surrender so that we can do what we want with you. So I get why they say yes, but how in the world is Hamas ever going to say yes to that? Well, unless they have no other choice and everything's worse. And that looks like that's where things are heading. It's going to get a lot worse.
But just before I got on, apparently there was some kind of big explosion in Qatar or Qatar as you like to say in Doha. Some say it was an Israeli assassination strike on senior Hamas officials. But I heard that just before I went live, so by now we probably have better information. But we're still in fog of war. So I wouldn't believe anything about that story yet. I definitely wouldn't believe that it was an Israeli attack yet. It totally could have been. I wouldn't rule it out, but too soon. I wouldn't jump to that conclusion. So I wouldn't trust any of the reports coming out. But if it were true that Israel figured this was a good time to take out their leadership in Qatar, well, there's probably no bad time to do it.
San Mateo, one of my local airports here, is launching the first flying car with vertical takeoff. It's going to test flights at Half Moon Bay and Hollister. And you could buy one for or you could put in a pre-order for your flying car at $300,000. Now I think you know that there have been news stories about flying cars for 30 years and we're always right around the corner. Oh we're so close. You are going to have a flying car any minute now. Well, maybe it's happening. Maybe. We'll see. But if it does, can we agree on one thing? If we get our flying cars, that is the golden age. Everybody agree? I think that would settle it. We still need to work on our affordability, but in many other ways, golden age.
All right, ladies and gentlemen. Sorry about my cat-related disturbances. If it sounded a little choppy over here, I was fighting a cat with one hand and using my brain to entertain you with my other hand. All right, that didn't work. Flying cars will be a disaster. It does seem like it would be a problem. Unless the flying cars are self-driving by law. I can imagine that it would keep them out of trouble.
All right. Thank you, Sergio. I'm going to say a few words privately to the beloved members of Locals. The rest of you, I'll see you tomorrow, same time, same place. I enjoy it every morning. So make sure you come back. I'd miss you if you didn't.
are.
Hello.
Come on in.
I was just checking on your stocks.
Well, if you have Tesla, that's up a little bit.
Otherwise, it's kind of flat.
Would you like to have a show?
Yes.
You're used to it.
You like it and you're going to get it.
Probably the best thing that'll happen to you all day.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take a chance of elevating your experience up to levels that no one can even comprehend with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass, a tanker shelter, a canteen, jugger flask, a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine, the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip.
when it happens.
Now go.
Well, it looks like everything's working, the sound, etc.
I've been tinkering with my setup, so you never know what could happen.
Well, here's a uh text story that I don't know if I believe it.
It looks like a prank.
But allegedly there's a company called Alter Ego that's a little wearable that you put around like sort of like headphones except doesn't cover your ears.
Sort of like the uh you know the kind that just wrap around the back of your head.
Anyway, they allege that that that thing can read your thoughts uh well enough to know what you would like to be sending to a screen with almost, you know, perfect precision and happens kind of quickly.
And they showed this demo of a guy who was, you know, wearing one and he was writing an email by thinking what he wants in the email.
Now, how in the world can they pick out the words in your head that you want to send from the words in your head that you don't want to send?
And I thought to myself, how does that work with people who have a conversation in your head all the time?
The way I organize my thoughts to make sure that they make sense is I put them in sentences and I think of them as full spoken sentences and uh I'll keep rearranging them until until they make sense when I hear them because it's sort of like I'm listening to myself now.
How in the world?
And they allege that they can uh they can detect they allege that they can detect um the the thoughts, if I can say it right.
I'm I'm probably not saying it right, but something like just when you're going to verbalize a thought.
So they get it when you've decided to verbalize it, but they won't get it prior to you deciding to verbalize it.
But in this case, you don't actually verbalize it.
It just picks up your intention to verbalize it.
Do you believe that there's a thing that can attach to the outside of your head?
You know, like little headphone things, little sensors that would be currently sensitive enough and smart enough to determine what you intend to say.
Does that sound even a little bit likely that that's true?
I would love I would love to know that it is true.
That'd be kind of cool.
But I'm going to go with nope.
Let's let's let's grade that one.
Nope.
Um but like I say, yeah, I would love to be wrong.
So if that's a real thing, really cool, but nope.
All right.
Um, allegedly Open AI is uh planning to make a featurelength animated movie that would debut at the can film festival and would be done in 9 months and a budget of $30 million.
Um, do you believe that they'll be able to do that?
And if they can do it, does that mean that the tool would allow you to do it?
because seems like there going to be a a massive storage element.
You know, we're asked to store what it's already done to make sure that what it does next is compatible with all that.
Do you think that will be available to the average person?
Or or are they going to demonstrate that if you want the studio model, oh that's the studio model is $10 million a year because you're going to make so much money making movies.
Maybe I I am uh skeptical that you'll be able to use the the offtheshelf open AI to make yourself a movie anytime soon.
Someday, but no time soon.
So, we'll see.
That's pretty ambitious.
I like it.
Well, uh, Elon Musk has decided to make the, uh, the code on X for recommending what it recommends to you, uh, open source.
So, people who know how to look at code can look at it and say, "Hey, now I know why it doesn't show me James Wood or whatever it's allegedly hiding from people, and why it doesn't show me other things." So, I love that.
That's a uh that is a solid Elon Musk play that uh feels sort of uniquely him.
You know, something you wouldn't expect from other people and I like it.
So, speaking of Tesla, yesterday they had a big announcement about what's called the mega pack, which is their big battery structures that they sell into power utility grids.
So, it become part of an existing grid and it would store power uh when it was cheap to make or possible to make and use it when it was needed later.
So apparently, I didn't know this, but um apparently they're making billions of dollars on this line of business and that's part of Tesla.
So I remember hearing uh Adam or seeing Adam Townsend, he did a post several years back in which he said that Tesla was actually a energy company uh in disguise as a car company.
And I don't know if I buy that 100% or that he even meant it 100%.
But um how big could that business be?
I mean, if they're if they're the top or even number two in the business of putting in enormous battery packs, then the interesting thing is that he's got a company, the Megapac battery thing that would be benefiting from AI because AI is going to require that, you know, every form of energy and saving energy and storing energy becomes super valuable because we can't get enough of it, AI will be sucking up all that energy.
So, he's got a very compatible company there.
And at the same time, speaking of compatible companies, um his uh SpaceX company is doing a deal to buy a whole bunch of spectrum from Echoar, which apparently will will be key to turning their satellites because SpaceX is a very compatible company with Starlink, you know, the network of Elon Musk satellites that around the Earth already.
They were launched by SpaceX.
So, those are the two most compatible companies you could imagine.
Except if you if you could have a satellite company, what would be the the best thing you could introduce next?
A phone that happens to work or you work with somebody else on phone service all over the globe.
And it looks like that's what he's going to do.
So, he's going to have batteries all over the globe and AI is going to drive that demand.
He's got he's going to have a uh or he has he's already got satellites all over the world and they're not far away from turning that into um worldwide phone service that would compete with everybody.
Apparently the speeds would be great, the latency would be low and uh he's really he he's looking to take cell phones.
I mean just just even imagine the enormity of that business and and Musk is sort of you know year after year he's just building these assets they can walk right up to the the domain of cell phone industry and possibly take over the entire industry because he's built exactly the right compatible assets from rockets to satellites.
um to batteries, you know, which you need for phones.
So, and then of course they have access to the best engineers and it all kind of kind of comes together, doesn't it?
Anyway, um there's a exineer at Meta or he was at Meta who claims that uh Whats.
App, the app that's owned by Meta, um had some privacy problems.
And specifically what he said was um there were about 1,500 Listen to this.
He claims that there were 1,500 Whats.
App engineers that had full access to private user data with no logs, no audits, and no way to know if anything was taken.
Now, user data would include their messages, right?
So there were 1,500 people who all they had to do was want to and they could look at all your private messages in what you thought was your super private message thing.
Remember what I tell you about privacy.
The only protection you have is to be uninteresting.
That's it.
So there were, you know, presumably, you know, most of the millions of people who used Whats.
App had nobody look at their messages because there were no reason to.
They're not very interesting.
But if they had any reason at all to look at your messages and let let me let me just put you into the room.
Let's say you're one of those engineers.
And if this allegation is true, and I'm not sure it is, right?
So, I'm not going to take it at face value, but what if it is?
What if it's true that there were 1,500 people who could anytime they want look into everybody's messages on Whats.
App and nobody would catch them and they knew that what would happen when they get a divorce?
What would happen when, you know, they get into a relationship that breaks up?
Do you think all 1,500 of those engineers said to themselves, you know, I could just look at all of her messages back as long as I wanted to, but uh nah.
Nah, I'm not going to do that.
I'm not the kind of guy who would find out something really, really useful and have no risk whatsoever of ever getting caught.
I'm not that kind of guy.
Or am I?
So yeah, if these allegations are true, I would say that would be something to worry about.
Um, apparently there was some massive power outage in Berlin this morning.
50,000 homes without electricity.
There were two high voltage masks, you know, big artificial towers that caught on fire.
Uh, it's a suspected arson attack.
Well, I would think so if there are two of them, unless they were right next to each other, you know, you would think it would be a pretty big coincidence if two of them caught on fire.
I would even say it's weird if one of them catches on fire because how much burnable material is in a is in a cell phone tower.
I don't know.
Or high voltage tower.
Either way, it can't be much.
It's not it's not like it's made of wood.
So, yeah.
I believe they all need a Tesla power wall to get past that kind of risk.
Well, you know that Greta Tunberg is now an activist about u the Palestinian cause and uh she's uh she's on her secondh if you can call it that.
She's on a flotillaa.
uh they're going over there to protest Israel's treatment of the Gazins or something like that.
But apparently she got to Tunisia in in Tunisian waters.
She may have and uh this is disputed so we don't know if this is true but allegedly um a drone attacked her boat.
Now I think it caused something on fire.
they say, but it didn't uh didn't kill anybody.
Nobody was injured, so that's good.
But there is some dispute.
The Tunisian authorities say there was no drone hitting your boat.
Somebody dropped a cigarette on some life life preservers.
So So they were either one of two things.
They were either attacked by by another country in a bold raid in which they sent a drone from a long distance or they had somebody stationed there waiting for Greta and then they tried to assassinate her uh without leaving a trace by using their sophisticated drones.
So that's one possibility.
The other possibility is that Greta was taking a smoke break and she was she was just out by the life preservers.
You know, uh I'm having a real good time protesting this Gaza situation.
Flick.
And then she flicks her lit cigarette into the life preservers and the next thing you know, uh, we better tell people that was a drone.
So, we don't know what happened.
My point is the fog of war makes it impossible to know how much of that story is true, if any of it.
Well, you know the story about Anthropic, the AI company that got sued by a bunch of a bunch of authors and the authors, you know, bandits together as a class and sued and uh they won.
And so the authors were going to split up $1.5 billion.
That was the judgment.
And uh who knows how much their lawyers are going to get but what would be typical class action does the lawyer get or the lawyer firm do they get a third um what what is typical?
So, if it had been, let's say, 1.5 billion and the lawyers get a third, you know, they'd be looking at half a billion dollars for some lawyering.
But apparently, it was had to be overseen by a judge.
And the federal judge that was going to oversee it looked at the deal that the lawyers made and said, "Uh, really?
This doesn't even look like you did this deal for the benefit of the authors.
It looks like maybe you did the deal for the benefit of the lawyers because it would not be irrational for a lawyer to say, "Seriously, they're offering us $1.5 billion." I don't know.
Have you guys done the math?
That's $100 million a piece.
All we have to do is say yes, and we will get $100 million a piece.
we will never have to worry about money again.
All you have to do is say yes.
Or you could fight that case for months and maybe it would get appealed and maybe they'd win.
You know, maybe the other side would win.
But but you'd fight to try to get more for the authors because if the authors win with this measly $1.5 billion award, um it might first of all set the price low for other lawsuits for other entities, but uh it doesn't work out to much per author.
So an author would lose, you know, their their entire intellectual property for all practical purposes.
and in return they would get I don't know $1,000 if they were well established.
So the judge just said nope and put a pause on it.
I don't know where it goes next, but uh the federal judge didn't think it looked like a proper deal.
I don't know, maybe.
Um, so you know, you've noticed that I've been ignoring the story about the um the Ukrainian refugee woman who got stabbed to death in Charlotte when she was on the light rail train.
Well, it turns out that now it's it's morphed from a crime story um no Gary off the keyboard.
uh has morphed from a crime story uh into a big political story because now the uh let's call it the anti-Trump press of the world has decided that the way the people on the right the MAGA supporters are uh talking about it somewhat obsessively is that uh it's obviously kind of racist and so uh CNN had a big hit piece on that and I wasn't going to talk about it cuz I don't do crime, but now that it's sort of a political thing and a persuasion thing and you know it's it's now slopped into my domain, uh, I'll give you my thoughts on it.
Number one, if she had not been a hot blonde, would we be talking about it?
You tell me.
If she had not been a hot blonde, literally some kind of a model, I think, would we even be talking about this?
Don't people get stabbed and murdered kind of often?
You know, way more than, you know, because it's not somebody pretty and they're not from Ukraine and it's not a black attacker and a white victim.
But if she's pretty and we've got video, that that makes a big difference.
Um, and it fits into a narrative that a lot of people are seeing in the larger world, you know, beyond this one one thing.
There's a lot of discussion about the crime rate and who's committing the crimes and, you know, is that something that needs to be addressed?
So, it kind of fits the rights narrative perfectly and it's it's just made for memeing and um it's just made to be viral because of her looks.
So, the uh you know the anti-ag people, they're doing their best to try to figure out how it can be racist.
And I do believe I've seen it myself that in the comments, not so much what the big influencers are saying, that's that doesn't sound racist to me, but a lot of the comments are flat out as racist as you could possibly be.
Now, you could argue whether that needs to be stopped or not.
And you could also argue um is it racist if you're talking statistical?
Right?
So, that that's what people would say.
It's like, well, if I'm just talking about the statistical risk, that's not that racist, does it?
But there are other people who are using certain language that you would, most of you, I think, we would agree is over the line.
So, but that's the real world.
In the real world, there are people who are going to go over every line and you see that online.
So, I would imagine that your feed would be different from mine, which should be different from everybody else's.
I may see more of it than you do.
Um, we believe, but I'm not positive this is true.
So, there's still a little fog of war in this story.
But is it true?
because I haven't seen it and I wouldn't know if it was real if I saw it that there was a video that came out after the main murder video on the train that showed the murderer saying quote uh that he got that white girl which would um strongly suggest that he had a racial motive even if he's a crazy person.
So, you know, that's that's good enough to throw it in that uh you know, does it prove something about the bigger world box.
Um, personally, uh, I saw this as more like a crazy person situation, but I saw, uh, Greg Guffeld's monologue.
I was watching that and he points out that for a crazy person he certainly made a lot of uh let's say sane judgments about how to get away and you know how to plan it and you know the so so it's it's always a mixed bag.
It's not so crazy that you're running around naked throwing your feces but you know there there are pockets of non craziness.
Um, so what do you do with that?
So obviously race was part of the story and remains part of the story.
Um, and then Trump Trump seizing on a situation because he he's uh anti-rime as you know and uh so now CNN says he's seizing on the moment uh because it's you know it's getting a lot of attention so he wants to maybe get in front of it.
Um, and uh, anyway, he's I guess he's threatening to withhold federal dollars from the city of Charlotte because of that murder.
And uh, I don't know who said this.
I saw a quote online, but the quote might have been Trump, but somebody said, "I guarantee that if I find what I think I'm going to find, they're not going to have your federal tax dollars going to their public transportation system." Zero.
None.
So, there's some allegation, but I'm not entirely sure who's making it, unless it's Trump, um that that they know something about Charlotte that's corrupt or dirty.
Now, have you noticed the pattern yet that every local government is corrupt or it seems that way?
Except, correct me if I'm wrong?
It it feels like it's just always Democrat government.
Yeah.
Every story I I know it's not literally true.
There there are obviously Republicans who have been arrested and indicted and stuff for for crimes.
It's not like it doesn't exist.
But the news that I see, isn't it suddenly like 10 to one in one direction?
And what do you do about that?
It's like 10 to one, isn't it?
All right.
Um and then the then that murder is bringing into the larger conversation um the following statistics that I see literally every day on social media.
I don't know if these are exactly true or true enough, but it's what people are saying.
So that's the important part.
Um, but uh I keep seeing on social media people saying black people make up 13% of the US population, but they claim, and I don't know if this is true, that that black people commit 56% of the murders.
Now, is that true?
And then do you um do you further calculate how many of them were uh other black people who were the victims?
Because it would be mostly, right?
Like would it be 3/4 of their victims would also be black or more more than three quarters, right?
Um then there are a whole bunch of other statistics.
the murder rate among black people is six to eight times higher than among white people blah blah.
So that's the sort of stuff that's going around social media and Elon Musk is getting into it by saying that uh a small group of criminals um are the repeat violent offenders.
Now that is a far less racial way to approach this.
So I think Elon Musk is probably the, you know, going on the most productive path because as soon as it gets into a race, nothing happens.
Everybody just hates everybody.
So you could just forget that.
But if you were to focus on the repeat offenders, um that's purely a, you know, behavioral thing and it it only kicks in if objectively speaking somebody's been, you know, convicted a certain number of times for a certain number of things, certain type of things.
So, but the vast majority of all crime is committed by people who have at least three prior arrests.
So these are you know pretty measurable things.
Um so Elon is saying if we look at that and lock up the repeat criminals our crime situation would be vastly improved.
Um I remember when that was a that was a thing in California.
I think it got reversed, but for a time there was that three strikes thing and people argued before that was implemented that if you locked up the people who did the vast majority of the crimes, you know, the the three strike people, they re they actually argued that if you locked up in jail and kept them there forever the people who did 80% of all the crimes that it wouldn't change the crime rate.
That was actually what smart people were saying in public in their arguments.
Well, it's not going to change the crime rate just cuz you put the people who do all the crimes in jail forever.
And I used to jokingly say, "So, let me see if I understand your hypothesis.
Your hypothesis is that if they lock up 100% of the people who are doing 80% of the crimes that the crime rate won't go down, but rather the people who were not planning to do any crimes would increase the number of crimes they were committing beyond what they had planned to make up for the repeat criminals being in jail.
That's that's how you would get a balance and nothing would change, right?
And the the conversation would quickly turn into insult because when people realize how dumb their opinion is.
That's that's not really an opinion opinion, is it?
That's really just somebody's a dumb People who are in jail don't commit crimes outside of jail.
I mean, unless they have access to a telephone, I guess, or a henchman to do their work like a crime boss.
But generally speaking, if you're in jail, it does stop you from murdering mostly except in jail.
Well, if you're wondering why are some communities more dangerous than others, and you don't have enough of a racist opinion about why, let me give you a uh a lesser a lesser racist opinion about why some places are more dangerous.
Um, apparently according to neuroscience news, aggression is contagious.
Meaning that if you observe your parents in particular, so it's more a family thing.
Uh, observing strangers doesn't have the same effect.
It must have some, but uh, if you observed family members being physical, yeah, you were more likely to be that way yourself.
But I went immediately to Grock and I said, "Uh, can you tell me, Grock, is uh violence and aggression, are those things evered?" Because it would make sense to me that if they were hereditary, you know, not 100%, but at least in any way, that uh it might not be because you're watching your family be aggressive.
It might be because you all have the aggressive gene.
So it seems to you that maybe the cause is that you're observing it or you're around it.
But it could be according to Grock that uh there are some people who think that aggression is about 50% um inherited.
So the studies of twins I guess 50% of variance in aggressive behavior might be genetic.
So here's my suggestion for fixing things.
If the if the people who are who are being violent um are being perpetuated by seeing their family being violent and it becomes this this cycle.
Maybe the best thing you could do because it's hard to fix that directly.
I mean you know what are you going to do?
uh people spend time with their family.
How how are you going to stop that?
So, if you can't do anything about it, I've often wondered if the best solution isn't for people to apply for, let's call it a grant or a scholarship to move out of whatever bad place has a bad example that's being set for them.
Not just in this regard, but someplace safe where they can, you know, really concentrate on school or whatever.
Don't you think that that would be one way to save a failing neighborhood?
Literally to let people say, "All right, give me your best argument." If you're really serious about, you know, having a successful, honest life, write us a little thing or send us a video and, you know, maybe we'll sponsor you or a number of people will sponsor you to get enough money to move to a place that has lower crime, better schools.
So, it would be great if the people who have the ability to thrive in a different atmosphere had the opportunity to get there and they wouldn't always be able to do it themselves.
So, just an idea.
Well, there's a Chicago alderman who was uh ripping into um both the governor and the mayor Johnson and Prrisker um about the topic of uh Trump offering aid to Chicago.
Newsmax is reporting this Michael Katz and uh it he's basically saying and he's obviously a Democrat as well, but he's on their team and he's even he's saying um no, we got a little bit too much crime here.
Maybe maybe you should accept his help.
So, if you're wondering if uh reasonable common sense people would agree with Trump, well, there you go.
Sounds like he's a pretty reasonable alderman.
But, uh here's a question that I ask that you might be asking yourself.
How much should I care about crime in Chicago if I don't live in Chicago and the people who do live there are electing people who allow this much crime and probably could do something i.e.
let Trump come in with some extra help.
They probably could do something to lower it, but for whatever reason, their priorities are not that.
Um, so am I supposed to care a lot?
I mean, I I I very much wanted Trump to move the National Guard to Washington DC, even though I don't live there, because it's my capital, right?
It's my capital.
Of course, I want that cleaned up.
Of course, that that represents me.
But if the people in Chicago um don't want the help, should we really force it upon them?
I mean, they do have the ability to vote in people who would change that and they apparently are not choosing that path.
At what point does it just their problem?
So, I don't know how much of my tax dollars I want to spend sending the military or any form of the military into Chicago.
Uh, it's not that it wouldn't work.
I think it would work and I think politically probably be a a total winner.
Um, but uh I don't know if it's because of my empathy.
Um, don't ask me to have more empathy than they have for themselves.
That that doesn't make sense.
I I should have maybe equal to but not more empathy than they have for themselves.
Anyway, uh I guess Trump's Trump and the team won another court victory.
So now a judge is going to allow the uh the ICE, I guess, to sweep up immigrants and raids.
Um, and partially they can use the race of the people as part of their decision-making, but it can't be all of it.
So, if the only reason they stopped somebody to find out their status was because they look like they were um Hispanic, that would not be allowed.
That would be pure racism.
But um the court has allowed the Supreme Court has now allowed that it would be one of the elements you might look at.
So, for example, if they were Hispanic, uh, and standing at the Home Depot, I'm making that up, and speaking only Spanish, uh, I don't know, there there might be some other elements, but you could use it as one variable, but not the variable.
Um, I don't know how I feel about that.
Um so moving on um apparently uh Nepal is having some issues.
The parliament building is on fire and the public had revolted.
Um except there's there's something a little bit weird about this Nepal situation as in why it happened.
Um so so I guess it started because the country was trying to ban some fake social media accounts.
But the issue of banning some fake fake right fake social media accounts that turned into um the public being mad about corruption and digital censorship.
that turned into riots in the street and then the um it looks like you know maybe the country has fallen I can't tell but here's the thing when you hear that Nepal has uh you know done this street protest against the government and burned down a building and dragged down some of the politicians I don't know what happened to them but some of them got dragged out um do you assume that that happens spont spontaneously or do you believe that there's just no such thing anywhere of a you know this kind of organized thing unless there's some external source maybe a color revolution kind of a situation some foreign country maybe maybe some intelligence people within the country you know who knows but uh I I'm way beyond imagining that this kind of stuff happens on his own.
So, I would have some questions about who might have been who might have been involved behind the scenes, if you know what I mean.
Um anyway, so according to a post I saw on X by Wall Street Apes, there's some independent uh investigation uh about uh Gavin Newsome's association to some NOS's which allegedly all all these uh uh Democrat conspiracy ies and alleged corruption things were also complicated where he allegedly was doing something called beested payments.
So this would be legal.
So So allegedly somebody like Newsome could go to a bunch of rich donors and say, "Hey, uh I beest you to uh put a bunch of money into these NOS's.
It's a charity.
It's really good." And then the rich people go, "Oh, got it." Wink wink.
So, if I put a bunch of money into the charities, then you'll be good to me when I need a favor.
Well, I can't say that, but if you put a bunch of money into these charities, they sure would be good for those charities.
And then you work it out with the charities or you've chosen them because they're working with you where they say, "If you can get us a bunch of money from a bunch of rich people in return for you giving them favors, we'll make sure that a bunch of this money benefits you directly or indirectly." So, um, the allegation is that $400 million have flowed through this process and, uh, it's hard to imagine that Governor Nuome didn't give anybody any favors for being a conduit allegedly.
Don't know if any of this is true, but uh if he if he really were the conduit for $400 million flowing through, it's hard to believe he didn't get a taste of that.
Maybe not directly, but through circuitous roots, which is how they do it.
That's how they do it.
Um so again, I remind you that all local government and maybe all government is corrupt.
Um, so, Health and Human Services is going to release a report that uh seems to tie Tylenol use in pregnant women with autism.
But there is apparently uh there's some conflict in the science.
There's some science that suggests there is a link and some s some science that suggests there's not.
So, what would you and I assume about that?
We shouldn't assume that we don't know anything cuz there's some science that says there's a link, some says it isn't.
We don't really trust either one of them.
So, I don't trust any data, certainly any study like that.
Uh, I'm way beyond being able to trust them.
But at the same time, um, at the same time, let's see what else is happening.
Uh, President Trump, I guess he reposted a video on social media that, uh, linked vaccines to autism.
So, according to modernity is reporting that.
So it looks like if you read the tea leaves, the government is going to suggest that there are, you know, more than one thing that might be behind autism.
And maybe they're not going to say we know 100% sure what it is or how much each of these contribute.
They might say, well, as far as we can narrow it down, it might be these things.
So, um, but I do I do trust that if any big decisions are made about vaccines, I do trust that that would be based on data that we can all see.
So, people will have a chance to say, "You read that data wrong or they collected that data wrong." So, that's coming.
All right.
Andrew Cuomo, who as you know is running for mayor of New York against Mayor Adams and the communist guy Mam Dami.
Um, and uh, Curtis Leewa.
So, Andrew Cuomo, I just watched him on a video and he said, uh, Democrats want someone to defend them against President Trump.
I am that person because I have done that.
Now, is it my imagination or does Andrew Cuomo have the easiest job in the world, which would be to become mayor of New York given who he's running against?
Shouldn't he easily be able to win this?
It feels like he should.
But here's what he's doing wrong.
Mom Dami comes in and he talks about affordability and people go, "Oh, you have my attention.
That's exactly what I'm worrying about." Cuomo comes in and he's making it about attacking Trump.
Now, I don't argue that people are asking him to attack Trump.
I'm sure they are.
But really, he he doesn't see that that's not the winning message.
The winning message is what Mom Donniey's doing.
He says, "You got a problem?
I will I I have a magic plan to deal with your biggest problem.
So, it's just it's just jaw-dropping and headshaking that when he's talking about why you should, you know, make him the mayor, it's to fight Trump.
That that's that's just the worst reason anybody ever had to run for mayor.
Well, there's a rumor going around that Scott Bassant, Treasury Secretary, and Bill PE, um, who is the head of the Federal Housing Finance, whatever it is.
I can never remember the name of the organization, Freddy and Fanny.
And uh apparently they went to a dinner and uh Scott Bent threatened to punch Py in the face and he wanted to step outside and and fight him.
So uh and then reportedly, but I don't believe anything about this story at this point.
We never know the real context of these things.
Um, reportedly Bill wasn't sure if he was serious, but he said he was serious about punching him.
And uh, so I don't know how the dinner ended or who picked up the check, but uh, that sounds pretty bad.
I guess uh, Bent was complaining because he believed that uh, Bill Py had said something negative to him about to Trump.
Uh, I don't know what that was allegedly, but I don't know how to feel about it because it would depend entirely upon what it was he may or may not have said to Trump.
You could certainly imagine that it could have been something really important that Trump would need to know, in which case, you know, Boly had to do it.
That that would just be part of his job.
Um, but you could you could imagine that uh Bent wouldn't like it no matter what it was.
So, um I like Bill too much to have an opinion on this.
So, I'm just going to say that uh we'll never know exactly what happened in that situation, but I don't think Bill's going to be talking to anybody about anything important unless it's important.
So, we'll never know what that's about.
Um, so there's a new uh laser defense weapon to shoot down drones, and it's better than ever before.
It can kill 50 drones a minute, which actually doesn't sound like that many.
50 drones a minute if they're sending a swarm of a thousand drones.
Um, unless it's the really big ones that don't come that don't swarm.
I don't know.
But, uh, here's what I was uh wondering as I was reading that story.
What are the odds that, uh, drones become the main weapon of choice at the same time that lasers finally become cost effective to shoot them down?
Is that kind of weird that those two technologies that have both been out there for a while, you know, years and years, but they both kind of matured at the same time.
That just when the drones can do all kinds of things and there can be thousands of them in the sky, you know, autonomously attacking you is exactly the same time that we've built all these deadly lasers that can shoot them out of the sky.
I what what are the odds that those two technologies are peaking at about the same time?
I know it's weird.
It's a simulation.
Well, uh, one of the Russian advisers to Putin accused the US and accused Trump of thinking about using crypto to wipe out our debt.
Now, if you're like me, you said, "Wait, how How would you do that?
How would you wipe out $35 trillion worth of debt with crypto uh without making things worse?
Now, you might remember that I've asked that question a bunch of times, but not saying how it would happen, but asking if there's any way to make it happen.
And I the answer that I got from everyone is uh no, you you can't like do it with one magic trick of crypto.
You might be able to make crypto your only money and then inflate away the value of the dollar over time and maybe that's literally the only way we'll ever get out of it.
So that might happen.
But uh so I I went to Grock and I put that story in there and I said, "Is that something that could ever work?" And Grock said, "Not really." So Gro would went into all the details but basically said no you know every way that you could go with that.
This is me paraphrasing it but every way you could go with that with some kind of clever crypto thing would make something way worse and you know would be unacceptable.
So no that probably won't happen.
Um, but you can see why they're afraid of it because the US has played around with the gold standard, for example, in the past.
Well, Politico is talking about France's government collapsing.
A lot of collapsing happening lately.
So, the uh Joshua Berlinger is writing about this.
So, I guess Mcronone has to appoint now is fifth prime minister in less than two years.
Um, and there's protests and things are falling apart.
So, um, I don't think, I hate to say it, but I don't really see a way that France can survive.
Do you?
I suppose that would be true of everybody in the medium run, but I don't see I don't see a path.
Um, I hate to say that because, you know, I'm pretty optimistic and I generally don't buy into the, oh, this country is going down the drain.
You know, we've talked about, you know, I don't think China's really about to go down the drain.
I don't think Russia's really about to go down the drain.
And I don't think France is going down the drain this year.
Um, but it seems like just demographically they're in an unreoverable situation.
But we'll see.
And I guess uh Mcronone is mad at the US for barring visas for most Palestinians.
Like like that's the biggest problem.
He he's got 75 cities in lockdown.
Uh and he's worried about Palestinian visas.
All right.
Um, in other news, Israel has reportedly said yes to Trump's suggestion for a uh Gaza ceasefire.
So, that would make you think, ah, we're 50% toward peace because at least one side said yes.
Um except that what Israel is uh requesting and what uh I guess Trump is requesting um requesting would be too weak demanding is that they give up all the hostages and lay down their arms.
Now if you were Hamas, do you think you're going to give up your hostages and lay down your arms?
Cuz what happens to you the minute that that happens?
It's not like part of the deal is for safe passage or something.
It's not like you're going to get a, you know, you're going to be pardoned.
100% of the people who have a weapon and are in a tunnel and are working for Hamas, 100% of them are going to be in jail or killed.
Why exactly would they want to hurry that up while they have hostages?
So to me, uh, it's easy for Israel to say, uh, we will accept your total surrender so that we can do what we want with you.
So I get why they say yes, but how in the world is is Hamas ever going to say yes to that?
Well, unless, you know, they have no other choice and everything's worse.
And that's it looks like that's where things are heading.
It's going to get a lot worse.
But uh just before I got on, apparently there was some kind of big explosion in Qatar or Qatar as you like to say in Doha.
Some say it was an Israeli assassination strike as senior Hamas officials.
But uh I heard that just before I went live, so by now we probably have better information.
But we're still in fog of war.
So, I wouldn't believe anything about that story yet.
Uh, I definitely wouldn't believe that it was an Israeli attack yet.
It totally could have been.
You know, I wouldn't rule it out, but uh too soon.
I would I wouldn't jump to that conclusion.
So, I wouldn't trust any of the reports coming out.
But if it were true that uh Israel figured this was a good time to take out their leadership and Qatar, well, there's probably no no bad time to do it.
And uh uh San Mateo, one of my local airports here, uh is launching uh the first flying car with vertical takeoff.
Um, it's going to test flights at Half Moon Bay and Hollister.
And you could you could buy one for or and you could put in a pre-order for your flying car at $300,000.
Now, I think you know that that there have been news stories about flying cars for 30 years and and we're always right around the corner.
Oh, we're so close.
You are going to have a flying car any minute now.
Well, maybe it's happening.
Maybe.
We'll see.
But if it does, can we agree on one thing?
If we get our flying cars, that is the golden age.
Everybody agree?
I think that would settle it.
We still need to work on our affordability, but uh in many other ways, golden age.
All right, ladies and gentlemen.
Sorry about my cat related disturbances.
If it sounded a little choppy over here, I was fighting a cat with one hand and using my brain to entertain you with my other hand.
All right, that didn't work.
Flying cars will be a disaster.
It does seem like it would be a problem.
Um, unless the flying cars are uh self-driving by law.
I can imagine that it would keep them out of trouble.
All right.
Thank you, Sergio.
I'm going to say a few words privately to the beloved members of Locals.
The rest of you, I'll see you tomorrow, same time, same place.
I enjoy it every morning.
So, make sure you come back.
I'd miss you if you didn't.
are. Hello. Come on in. I was just
checking on your stocks.
Well, if you have Tesla, that's up a
little bit. Otherwise, it's kind of
flat.
Would you like to have a show?
Yes. You're used to it.
You like it and you're going to get it.
Probably the best thing that'll happen
to you all day.
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Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
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you'd like to take a chance of elevating
your experience up to levels that no one
can even comprehend with their tiny
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that is a copper mug or a glass, a
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favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join
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the dopamine, the end of the day, the
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called the simultaneous sip. when it
happens. Now go.
Well, it looks like everything's
working, the sound, etc. I've been
tinkering with my setup, so you never
know what could happen.
Well, here's a uh text story that I
don't know if I believe it. It looks
like a prank. But allegedly there's a
company called Alter Ego that's a little
wearable that you put around like sort
of like headphones except doesn't cover
your ears. Sort of like the uh you know
the kind that just wrap around the back
of your head. Anyway,
they allege that that that thing can
read your thoughts
uh well enough to know what you would
like to be sending to a screen with
almost, you know, perfect precision and
happens kind of quickly. And they showed
this demo of a guy who was, you know,
wearing one and he was writing an email
by thinking what he wants in the email.
Now,
how in the world can they pick out the
words in your head that you want to send
from the words in your head that you
don't want to send? And I thought to
myself, how does that work with people
who have a conversation in your head all
the time? The way I organize my thoughts
to make sure that they make sense is I
put them in sentences and I think of
them as full spoken sentences and uh
I'll keep rearranging them until until
they make sense when I hear them because
it's sort of like I'm listening to
myself now. How in the world? And they
allege that they can uh they can detect
they allege that they can detect um the
the thoughts, if I can say it right. I'm
I'm probably not saying it right, but
something like just when you're going to
verbalize a thought. So they get it when
you've decided to verbalize it, but they
won't get it prior to you deciding to
verbalize it. But in this case, you
don't actually verbalize it. It just
picks up your intention to verbalize it.
Do you believe that there's a thing that
can attach to the outside of your head?
You know, like little headphone things,
little sensors that would be currently
sensitive enough and smart enough to
determine what you intend to say.
Does that sound even a little bit likely
that that's true?
I would love I would love to know that
it is true. That'd be kind of cool. But
I'm going to go with nope.
Let's let's let's grade that one. Nope.
Um but like I say, yeah, I would love to
be wrong. So if that's a real thing,
really cool, but nope.
All right.
Um, allegedly Open AI is uh planning to
make a featurelength animated movie that
would debut at the can film festival and
would be done in 9 months and a budget
of $30 million.
Um, do you believe that they'll be able
to do that? And if they can do it, does
that mean that the tool would allow you
to do it?
because seems like there going to be a a
massive storage element. You know, we're
asked to store what it's already done to
make sure that what it does next is
compatible with all that. Do you think
that will be available to the average
person?
Or or are they going to demonstrate that
if you want the studio model, oh that's
the studio model is $10 million a year
because you're going to make so much
money making movies. Maybe I I am uh
skeptical that you'll be able to use the
the offtheshelf open AI to make yourself
a movie anytime soon. Someday, but no
time soon. So, we'll see. That's pretty
ambitious. I like it.
Well, uh, Elon Musk has decided to make
the, uh, the code on X for recommending
what it recommends to you, uh, open
source. So, people who know how to look
at code can look at it and say, "Hey,
now I know why it doesn't show me James
Wood or whatever it's allegedly hiding
from people, and why it doesn't show me
other things." So, I love that. That's a
uh that is a solid Elon Musk play that
uh feels sort of uniquely him. You know,
something you wouldn't expect from other
people and I like it. So, speaking of
Tesla, yesterday they had a big
announcement about what's called the
mega pack, which is their big battery
structures that they sell into power
utility grids. So, it become part of an
existing grid and it would store power
uh when it was cheap to make or possible
to make and use it when it was needed
later. So apparently, I didn't know
this, but um
apparently they're making billions of
dollars on this line of business
and that's part of Tesla. So I remember
hearing uh Adam or seeing Adam Townsend,
he did a post several years back in
which he said that Tesla was actually a
energy company uh in disguise as a car
company. And I don't know if I buy that
100% or that he even meant it 100%. But
um how big could that business be? I
mean, if they're if they're the top or
even number two in the business of
putting in enormous battery packs, then
the interesting thing is that he's got a
company, the Megapac battery thing that
would be benefiting from AI because AI
is going to require that, you know,
every form of energy and saving energy
and storing energy becomes super
valuable because we can't get enough of
it, AI will be sucking up all that
energy. So, he's got a very compatible
company there. And at the same time,
speaking of compatible companies,
um his uh SpaceX company is doing a deal
to buy a whole bunch of spectrum from
Echoar, which apparently will will be
key to turning their satellites because
SpaceX is a very compatible company with
Starlink, you know, the network of Elon
Musk satellites that around the Earth
already. They were launched by SpaceX.
So, those are the two most compatible
companies you could imagine. Except if
you if you could have a satellite
company, what would be the the best
thing you could introduce next?
A phone that happens to work or you work
with somebody else on phone service all
over the globe. And it looks like that's
what he's going to do. So, he's going to
have batteries all over the globe and AI
is going to drive that demand. He's got
he's going to have a uh or he has he's
already got satellites all over the
world and they're not far away from
turning that into um worldwide phone
service that would compete with
everybody. Apparently the speeds would
be great, the latency would be low and
uh he's really he he's looking to take
cell phones. I mean just just even
imagine the enormity of that business
and and Musk is sort of you know year
after year he's just building these
assets they can walk right up to the the
domain of cell phone industry
and possibly take over the entire
industry
because he's built exactly the right
compatible assets from rockets to
satellites.
um to batteries, you know, which you
need for phones. So, and then of course
they have access to the best engineers
and
it all kind of kind of comes together,
doesn't it?
Anyway, um there's a exineer at Meta or
he was at Meta who claims that uh
WhatsApp, the app that's owned by Meta,
um had some privacy problems. And
specifically what he said was
um there were about 1,500
Listen to this. He claims that there
were 1,500 WhatsApp engineers that had
full access to private user data with no
logs, no audits, and no way to know if
anything was taken.
Now, user data would include their
messages, right? So there were 1,500
people who all they had to do was want
to and they could look at all your
private messages in what you thought was
your super private message thing.
Remember what I tell you about privacy.
The only protection you have is to be
uninteresting.
That's it.
So there were, you know, presumably, you
know, most of the millions of people who
used WhatsApp had nobody look at their
messages because there were no reason
to. They're not very interesting. But if
they had any reason at all to look at
your messages and let let me let me just
put you into the room. Let's say you're
one of those engineers. And if this
allegation is true, and I'm not sure it
is, right? So, I'm not going to take it
at face value, but what if it is? What
if it's true that there were 1,500
people who could anytime they want look
into everybody's messages on WhatsApp
and nobody would catch them and they
knew that what would happen when they
get a divorce?
What would happen when, you know, they
get into a relationship that breaks up?
Do you think all 1,500 of those
engineers said to themselves, you know,
I could just look at all of her messages
back as long as I wanted to, but uh nah.
Nah, I'm not going to do that. I'm not
the kind of guy who would find out
something really, really useful and have
no risk whatsoever of ever getting
caught. I'm not that kind of guy.
Or am I?
So yeah, if these allegations are true,
I would say that would be something to
worry about.
Um, apparently there was some massive
power outage in Berlin this morning.
50,000 homes without electricity. There
were two high voltage masks, you know,
big artificial towers that caught on
fire. Uh, it's a suspected arson attack.
Well, I would think so if there are two
of them, unless they were right next to
each other,
you know, you would think it would be a
pretty big coincidence if two of them
caught on fire. I would even say it's
weird if one of them catches on fire
because how much burnable material is in
a is in a cell phone tower.
I don't know. Or high voltage tower.
Either way, it can't be much. It's not
it's not like it's made of wood. So,
yeah.
I believe they all need a Tesla power
wall to get past that kind of risk.
Well, you know that Greta Tunberg is now
an activist about u the Palestinian
cause and uh she's uh she's on her
secondh
if you can call it that. She's on a
flotillaa.
uh they're going over there to protest
Israel's treatment of the Gazins
or something like that. But apparently
she got to Tunisia in in Tunisian
waters. She may have and uh this is
disputed so we don't know if this is
true but allegedly
um a drone
attacked her boat. Now I think it caused
something on fire. they say, but it
didn't uh didn't kill anybody. Nobody
was injured, so that's good. But there
is some dispute. The Tunisian
authorities say there was no drone
hitting your boat. Somebody dropped a
cigarette on some life life preservers.
So So they were either
one of two things. They were either
attacked by by another country in a bold
raid in which they sent a drone from a
long distance or they had somebody
stationed there waiting for Greta and
then they tried to assassinate her uh
without leaving a trace by using their
sophisticated drones.
So that's one possibility.
The other possibility is that Greta was
taking a smoke break and she was she was
just out by the life preservers.
You know,
uh I'm having a real good time
protesting this Gaza situation.
Flick.
And then she flicks her lit cigarette
into the life preservers and the next
thing you know, uh, we better tell
people that was a drone. So, we don't
know what happened. My point is the fog
of war makes it impossible to know how
much of that story is true, if any of
it.
Well, you know the story about
Anthropic, the AI company that got sued
by a bunch of a bunch of authors and the
authors, you know, bandits together as a
class and sued and uh they won. And so
the authors were going to split up $1.5
billion.
That was the judgment. And uh who knows
how much their lawyers are going to get
but what would be typical class action
does the lawyer get or the lawyer firm
do they get a third
um what what is typical? So, if it had
been, let's say, 1.5 billion and the
lawyers get a third, you know, they'd be
looking at half a billion dollars for
some lawyering.
But apparently, it was had to be
overseen by a judge. And the federal
judge that was going to oversee it
looked at the deal that the lawyers made
and said, "Uh,
really? This doesn't even look like you
did this deal for the benefit of the
authors. It looks like maybe you did the
deal for the benefit of the lawyers
because it would not be irrational for a
lawyer to say, "Seriously, they're
offering us $1.5 billion." I don't know.
Have you guys done the math? That's $100
million a piece. All we have to do is
say yes, and we will get $100 million a
piece. we will never have to worry about
money again.
All you have to do is say yes. Or you
could fight that case for months and
maybe it would get appealed and maybe
they'd win. You know, maybe the other
side would win. But but you'd fight to
try to get more for the authors because
if the authors win with this measly $1.5
billion award,
um it might first of all set the price
low for other lawsuits for other
entities, but
uh it doesn't work out to much per
author. So an author would lose, you
know, their their entire intellectual
property for all practical purposes.
and in return they would get I don't
know $1,000 if they were well
established.
So the judge just said nope and put a
pause on it. I don't know where it goes
next, but uh the federal judge didn't
think it looked like a proper deal. I
don't know, maybe.
Um,
so you know, you've noticed that I've
been ignoring the story about the um the
Ukrainian refugee woman who got stabbed
to death in Charlotte when she was on
the light rail train. Well, it turns out
that now it's it's morphed from a crime
story
um no Gary off the keyboard.
uh has morphed from a crime story uh
into a big political story because now
the uh let's call it the anti-Trump
press of the world has decided that the
way the people on the right the MAGA
supporters are uh talking about it
somewhat obsessively is that uh it's
obviously kind of racist
and so uh CNN had a big hit piece on
that and
I wasn't going to talk about it cuz I
don't do crime, but now that it's sort
of a political thing and a persuasion
thing and you know it's it's now slopped
into my domain, uh, I'll give you my
thoughts on it. Number one, if she had
not been a hot blonde, would we be
talking about it?
You tell me. If she had not been a hot
blonde, literally some kind of a model,
I think, would we even be talking about
this? Don't people get stabbed and
murdered kind of often? You know, way
more than, you know, because it's not
somebody pretty and they're not from
Ukraine and it's not a black attacker
and a white victim. But if she's pretty
and we've got video, that that makes a
big difference.
Um, and it fits into a narrative that a
lot of people are seeing in the larger
world, you know, beyond this one one
thing. There's a lot of discussion about
the crime rate and who's committing the
crimes and, you know, is that something
that needs to be addressed? So, it kind
of fits the rights narrative perfectly
and it's it's just made for memeing and
um it's just made to be viral because of
her looks.
So,
the uh you know the anti-ag people,
they're doing their best to try to
figure out how it can be racist. And I
do believe I've seen it myself that in
the comments, not so much what the big
influencers are saying, that's that
doesn't sound racist to me, but a lot of
the comments are flat out as racist as
you could possibly be.
Now, you could argue whether that needs
to be stopped or not. And you could also
argue um is it racist if you're talking
statistical?
Right? So, that that's what people would
say. It's like, well, if I'm just
talking about the statistical risk,
that's not that racist, does it? But
there are other people who are using
certain language that you would, most of
you, I think, we would agree is over the
line. So, but that's the real world. In
the real world, there are people who are
going to go over every line and you see
that online. So, I would imagine that
your feed would be different from mine,
which should be different from everybody
else's. I may see more of it than you
do. Um,
we believe,
but I'm not positive this is true. So,
there's still a little fog of war in
this story. But is it true? because I
haven't seen it and I wouldn't know if
it was real if I saw it that there was a
video that came out after the main
murder video on the train that showed
the murderer saying quote uh that he got
that white girl which would
um strongly suggest that he had a racial
motive even if he's a crazy person. So,
you know, that's that's good enough to
throw it in that uh you know, does it
prove something about the bigger world
box. Um, personally,
uh, I saw this as more like a crazy
person situation,
but I saw, uh, Greg Guffeld's monologue.
I was watching that and he points out
that for a crazy person he certainly
made a lot of uh let's say sane
judgments about how to get away and you
know how to plan it and you know the so
so it's it's always a mixed bag. It's
not so crazy that you're running around
naked throwing your feces but you know
there there are pockets of non
craziness.
Um, so what do you do with that?
So obviously race was part of the story
and remains part of the story. Um,
and then Trump Trump seizing on a
situation because he he's uh anti-rime
as you know and uh so now CNN says he's
seizing on the moment
uh because it's you know it's getting a
lot of attention so he wants to maybe
get in front of it. Um,
and uh,
anyway, he's I guess he's threatening to
withhold federal dollars from the city
of Charlotte because of that murder. And
uh, I don't know who said this. I saw a
quote online, but the quote might have
been Trump, but somebody said, "I
guarantee that if I find what I think
I'm going to find, they're not going to
have your federal tax dollars going to
their public transportation system."
Zero. None. So, there's some allegation,
but I'm not entirely sure who's making
it, unless it's Trump, um
that that they know something about
Charlotte that's corrupt or dirty. Now,
have you noticed the pattern yet that
every local government is corrupt or it
seems that way? Except, correct me if
I'm wrong?
It it feels like it's just always
Democrat government.
Yeah. Every story I I know it's not
literally true. There there are
obviously Republicans who have been
arrested and indicted and stuff for for
crimes. It's not like it doesn't exist.
But the news that I see,
isn't it suddenly like 10 to one in one
direction?
And what do you do about that? It's like
10 to one, isn't it?
All right.
Um
and then the then that murder is
bringing into the larger conversation
um the following statistics that I see
literally every day on social media. I
don't know if these are exactly true or
true enough, but it's what people are
saying. So that's the important part.
Um, but uh I keep seeing on social media
people saying black people make up 13%
of the US population, but they claim,
and I don't know if this is true, that
that black people commit 56% of the
murders.
Now, is that true?
And then
do you
um
do you further calculate how many of
them were uh other black people who were
the victims? Because it would be mostly,
right? Like would it be 3/4 of their
victims would also be black or more more
than three quarters, right?
Um then there are a whole bunch of other
statistics. the murder rate among black
people is six to eight times higher than
among white people blah blah. So that's
the sort of stuff that's going around
social media
and Elon Musk is getting into it by
saying that uh a small group of
criminals um are the repeat violent
offenders. Now that is a far less racial
way to approach this. So I think Elon
Musk is probably the, you know, going on
the most productive path because as soon
as it gets into a race, nothing happens.
Everybody just hates everybody. So you
could just forget that. But if you were
to focus on the repeat offenders,
um that's purely a, you know, behavioral
thing and it it only kicks in if
objectively speaking somebody's been,
you know, convicted a certain number of
times for a certain number of things,
certain type of things. So, but the vast
majority of all crime is committed by
people who have at least three prior
arrests.
So these are you know pretty measurable
things.
Um so Elon is saying if we look at that
and lock up the repeat criminals our
crime situation would be vastly
improved. Um I remember when that was a
that was a thing in California. I think
it got reversed, but for a time there
was that three strikes thing
and people argued before that was
implemented that if you locked up the
people who did the vast majority of the
crimes, you know, the the three strike
people, they re they actually argued
that if you locked up in jail and kept
them there forever
the people who did 80% of all the crimes
that it wouldn't change the crime rate.
That was actually what smart people were
saying in public in their arguments.
Well, it's not going to change the crime
rate just cuz you put the people who do
all the crimes in jail forever.
And I used to jokingly say, "So, let me
see if I understand your hypothesis.
Your hypothesis is that if they lock up
100% of the people who are doing 80% of
the crimes that the crime rate won't go
down, but rather the people who were not
planning to do any crimes would increase
the number of crimes they were
committing beyond what they had planned
to make up for the repeat criminals
being in jail. That's that's how you
would get a balance and nothing would
change, right? And
the the conversation would quickly turn
into insult because when people realize
how dumb their opinion is. That's that's
not really an opinion opinion, is it?
That's really just
somebody's a dumb People who are
in jail don't commit crimes outside of
jail. I mean, unless they have access to
a telephone, I guess, or a henchman to
do their work like a crime boss. But
generally speaking, if you're in jail,
it does stop you from murdering mostly
except in jail.
Well, if you're wondering why are some
communities more dangerous than others,
and you don't have enough of a racist
opinion about why, let me give you a uh
a lesser a lesser racist opinion about
why some places are more dangerous. Um,
apparently according to neuroscience
news, aggression is contagious.
Meaning that if you observe your parents
in particular, so it's more a family
thing. Uh, observing strangers doesn't
have the same effect. It must have some,
but uh, if you observed family members
being physical, yeah, you were more
likely to be that way yourself. But I
went immediately to Grock and I said,
"Uh,
can you tell me, Grock, is uh violence
and aggression, are those things
evered?"
Because it would make sense to me that
if they were hereditary, you know, not
100%, but at least in any way, that uh
it might not be because you're watching
your family be aggressive. It might be
because you all have the aggressive
gene. So it seems to you that maybe the
cause is that you're observing it or
you're around it. But it could be
according to Grock that uh there are
some people who think that aggression is
about 50%
um inherited.
So the studies of twins I guess 50% of
variance in aggressive behavior might be
genetic.
So here's my suggestion for fixing
things.
If the if the people who are who are
being violent
um are being perpetuated by seeing their
family being violent and it becomes this
this cycle.
Maybe the best thing you could do
because it's hard to fix that directly.
I mean you know what are you going to
do? uh people spend time with their
family. How how are you going to stop
that? So, if you can't do anything about
it, I've often wondered if the best
solution isn't for people to apply for,
let's call it a grant or a scholarship
to move out of whatever bad place has a
bad example that's being set for them.
Not just in this regard, but someplace
safe where they can, you know, really
concentrate on school or whatever. Don't
you think that that would be one way to
save a failing neighborhood? Literally
to let people say, "All right, give me
your best argument." If you're really
serious about, you know, having a
successful, honest life, write us a
little thing or send us a video and, you
know, maybe we'll sponsor you or a
number of people will sponsor you to get
enough money to move to a place that has
lower crime, better schools. So, it
would be great if the people who have
the ability to thrive in a different
atmosphere had the opportunity to get
there and they wouldn't always be able
to do it themselves.
So, just an idea.
Well, there's a Chicago alderman who was
uh ripping into um both the governor and
the mayor Johnson and Prrisker um about
the topic of uh Trump offering aid to
Chicago. Newsmax is reporting this
Michael Katz and uh
it he's basically saying and he's
obviously a Democrat as well, but he's
on their team and he's even he's saying
um no, we got a little bit too much
crime here. Maybe maybe you should
accept his help.
So, if you're wondering
if uh reasonable common sense people
would agree with Trump, well, there you
go. Sounds like he's a pretty reasonable
alderman.
But, uh here's a question that I ask
that you might be asking yourself. How
much should I care about crime in
Chicago if I don't live in Chicago and
the people who do live there are
electing people who allow this much
crime
and probably could do something i.e. let
Trump come in with some extra help. They
probably could do something to lower it,
but for whatever reason, their
priorities are not that.
Um,
so am I supposed to care a lot? I mean,
I I I very much wanted Trump to move the
National Guard to Washington DC, even
though I don't live there, because it's
my capital, right? It's my capital. Of
course, I want that cleaned up. Of
course, that that represents me. But if
the people in Chicago
um don't want the help,
should we really force it upon them? I
mean, they do have the ability to vote
in people who would change that and they
apparently
are not choosing that path. At what
point does it just their problem?
So, I don't know how much of my tax
dollars I want to spend sending the
military or any form of the military
into Chicago.
Uh, it's not that it wouldn't work. I
think it would work and I think
politically probably be a a total
winner. Um,
but uh I don't know if it's because of
my empathy. Um, don't ask me to have
more empathy than they have for
themselves.
That that doesn't make sense. I I should
have maybe equal to but not more empathy
than they have for themselves.
Anyway,
uh I guess Trump's Trump and the team
won another court victory. So now a
judge is going to allow the uh the ICE,
I guess, to sweep up immigrants and
raids. Um, and partially they can use
the race of the people as part of their
decision-making, but it can't be all of
it. So, if the only reason they stopped
somebody to find out their status was
because they look like they were um
Hispanic, that would not be allowed.
That would be pure racism. But um the
court has allowed the Supreme Court has
now allowed that it would be one of the
elements you might look at. So, for
example, if they were Hispanic, uh, and
standing at the Home Depot, I'm making
that up, and speaking only Spanish, uh,
I don't know, there there might be some
other elements, but you could use it as
one variable, but not the variable.
Um,
I don't know how I feel about that.
Um so moving on
um apparently uh Nepal
is having some issues. The parliament
building is on fire and the public had
revolted.
Um
except there's there's something a
little bit weird about this Nepal
situation
as in why it happened.
Um
so so I guess it started because the
country was trying to ban some fake
social media accounts.
But the issue of banning some fake fake
right fake social media accounts that
turned into
um
the public being mad about corruption
and digital censorship. that turned into
riots in the street and then the um it
looks like you know maybe the country
has fallen I can't tell but here's the
thing when you hear that Nepal has uh
you know done this street protest
against the government and burned down a
building and dragged down some of the
politicians I don't know what happened
to them but some of them got dragged out
um do you assume that that happens spont
spontaneously
or do you believe that there's just no
such thing anywhere of a you know this
kind of organized thing unless there's
some external source maybe a color
revolution kind of a situation
some foreign country maybe maybe some
intelligence people within the country
you know who knows but uh I I'm way
beyond imagining that this kind of stuff
happens on his own.
So, I would have some questions about
who might have been who might have been
involved behind the scenes, if you know
what I mean.
Um
anyway,
so according to a post I saw on X by
Wall Street Apes,
there's some independent uh
investigation
uh about uh Gavin Newsome's association
to some NOS's
which allegedly
all all these uh uh Democrat conspiracy
ies and alleged corruption things were
also complicated where he allegedly was
doing something called beested payments.
So this would be legal.
So So allegedly somebody like Newsome
could go to a bunch of rich donors and
say, "Hey, uh I beest you to uh put a
bunch of money into these NOS's. It's a
charity. It's really good." And then the
rich people go, "Oh, got it." Wink wink.
So, if I put a bunch of money into the
charities,
then you'll be good to me when I need a
favor. Well, I can't say that, but if
you put a bunch of money into these
charities, they sure would be good for
those charities. And then you work it
out with the charities or you've chosen
them because they're working with you
where they say, "If you can get us a
bunch of money from a bunch of rich
people in return for you giving them
favors, we'll make sure that a bunch of
this money benefits you directly or
indirectly."
So, um, the allegation is that $400
million have flowed through this process
and, uh, it's hard to imagine that
Governor Nuome didn't give anybody any
favors
for being a conduit allegedly. Don't
know if any of this is true, but uh if
he if he really were the conduit for
$400 million flowing through, it's hard
to believe he didn't get a taste of
that. Maybe not directly, but through
circuitous roots, which is how they do
it.
That's how they do it.
Um so again, I remind you that all local
government and maybe all government is
corrupt.
Um, so, Health and Human Services is
going to release a report that uh seems
to tie Tylenol use in pregnant women
with autism.
But
there is apparently uh there's some
conflict in the science. There's some
science that suggests there is a link
and some s some science that suggests
there's not. So, what would you and I
assume about that?
We shouldn't assume that we don't know
anything
cuz there's some science that says
there's a link, some says it isn't. We
don't really trust either one of them.
So, I don't trust any data, certainly
any study like that. Uh, I'm way beyond
being able to trust them.
But at the same time,
um,
at the same time, let's see what else is
happening. Uh, President Trump, I guess
he reposted a video on social media
that, uh, linked vaccines to autism.
So, according to modernity is reporting
that.
So it looks like if you read the tea
leaves, the government is going to
suggest that there are, you know, more
than one thing that might be behind
autism. And maybe they're not going to
say we know 100% sure what it is or how
much each of these contribute. They
might say, well, as far as we can narrow
it down, it might be these things.
So,
um, but I do I do trust
that if any big decisions are made about
vaccines, I do trust that that would be
based on data that we can all see. So,
people will have a chance to say, "You
read that data wrong or they collected
that data wrong." So, that's coming.
All right. Andrew Cuomo, who as you know
is running for mayor of New York against
Mayor Adams and the communist guy Mam
Dami. Um, and uh, Curtis Leewa.
So, Andrew Cuomo, I just watched him on
a video and he said, uh, Democrats want
someone to defend them against President
Trump. I am that person because I have
done that. Now, is it my imagination
or does Andrew Cuomo have the easiest
job in the world, which would be to
become mayor of New York given who he's
running against?
Shouldn't he easily be able to win this?
It feels like he should. But here's what
he's doing wrong. Mom Dami comes in and
he talks about affordability
and people go, "Oh, you have my
attention. That's exactly what I'm
worrying about." Cuomo comes in and he's
making it about attacking Trump. Now, I
don't argue that people are asking him
to attack Trump. I'm sure they are. But
really, he he doesn't see that that's
not the winning message. The winning
message is what Mom Donniey's doing. He
says, "You got a problem? I will I I
have a magic plan to deal with your
biggest problem. So, it's just it's just
jaw-dropping and headshaking that when
he's talking about why you should, you
know, make him the mayor, it's to fight
Trump.
That that's that's just the worst reason
anybody ever had to run for mayor.
Well, there's a rumor going around that
Scott Bassant, Treasury Secretary, and
Bill PE,
um, who is the head of the Federal
Housing Finance, whatever it is. I can
never remember the name of the
organization, Freddy and Fanny. And uh
apparently they went to a dinner and uh
Scott Bent threatened to punch Py in the
face and he wanted to step outside and
and fight him.
So
uh and then reportedly, but I don't
believe anything about this story at
this point. We never know the real
context of these things. Um,
reportedly Bill wasn't sure if he was
serious, but he said he was serious
about punching him. And uh, so I don't
know how the dinner ended or who picked
up the check, but uh,
that sounds pretty bad. I guess uh, Bent
was complaining because he believed that
uh, Bill Py had said something negative
to him about to Trump. Uh, I don't know
what that was allegedly, but I don't
know how to feel about it because it
would depend entirely upon what it was
he may or may not have said to Trump.
You could certainly imagine
that it could have been something really
important that Trump would need to know,
in which case, you know, Boly had to do
it. That that would just be part of his
job. Um, but you could
you could imagine that uh Bent wouldn't
like it no matter what it was. So, um
I like Bill too much to have an opinion
on this. So,
I'm just going to say that uh we'll
never know exactly what happened in that
situation, but I don't think Bill's
going to be talking to anybody about
anything important unless it's
important.
So, we'll never know what that's about.
Um,
so there's a new uh laser defense weapon
to shoot down drones, and it's better
than ever before. It can kill 50 drones
a minute, which actually doesn't sound
like that many. 50 drones a minute if
they're sending a swarm of a thousand
drones. Um, unless it's the really big
ones
that don't come that don't swarm. I
don't know. But, uh, here's what I was
uh wondering as I was reading that
story. What are the odds
that, uh, drones become the main weapon
of choice at the same time that lasers
finally become cost effective to shoot
them down?
Is that kind of weird that those two
technologies that have both been out
there for a while, you know, years and
years, but they both kind of matured at
the same time. That just when the drones
can do all kinds of things and there can
be thousands of them in the sky, you
know, autonomously attacking you is
exactly the same time that we've built
all these deadly lasers that can shoot
them out of the sky. I what what are the
odds that those two technologies
are peaking at about the same time? I
know it's weird.
It's a simulation.
Well, uh, one of the Russian advisers to
Putin accused the US and accused Trump
of thinking about using crypto to wipe
out our debt.
Now, if you're like me, you said, "Wait,
how How would you do that? How would you
wipe out $35 trillion worth of debt with
crypto uh without making things worse?
Now, you might remember that I've asked
that question a bunch of times, but not
saying how it would happen, but asking
if there's any way to make it happen.
And I the answer that I got from
everyone is uh no, you you can't like do
it with one magic trick of crypto. You
might be able to make crypto your only
money and then inflate away the value of
the dollar over time and maybe that's
literally the only way we'll ever get
out of it.
So that might happen. But uh so I I went
to Grock and I put that story in there
and I said, "Is that something that
could ever work?" And Grock said, "Not
really."
So Gro would went into all the details
but basically said no you know every way
that you could go with that. This is me
paraphrasing it but every way you could
go with that with some kind of clever
crypto thing would make something
way worse and you know would be
unacceptable. So no that probably won't
happen.
Um, but you can see why they're afraid
of it because the US has played around
with the gold standard, for example, in
the past.
Well, Politico
is talking about France's government
collapsing. A lot of collapsing
happening lately. So, the uh Joshua
Berlinger is writing about this. So, I
guess Mcronone has to appoint now is
fifth prime minister in less than two
years. Um, and there's protests and
things are falling apart.
So,
um, I don't think, I hate to say it, but
I don't really see a way that France can
survive.
Do you? I suppose that would be true of
everybody in the medium run, but I don't
see I don't see a path.
Um, I hate to say that because, you
know, I'm pretty optimistic and I
generally don't buy into the, oh, this
country is going down the drain. You
know, we've talked about, you know, I
don't think China's really about to go
down the drain. I don't think Russia's
really about to go down the drain. And I
don't think France is going down the
drain this year. Um, but it seems like
just demographically
they're in an unreoverable situation.
But we'll see.
And I guess uh Mcronone is mad at the US
for barring visas for most Palestinians.
Like like that's the biggest problem. He
he's got 75 cities in lockdown. Uh
and he's worried about Palestinian
visas.
All right. Um, in other news, Israel has
reportedly said yes to Trump's
suggestion for a uh Gaza ceasefire.
So, that would make you think, ah, we're
50% toward peace because at least one
side said yes.
Um except that
what Israel is uh requesting and what uh
I guess Trump is requesting
um requesting would be too weak
demanding
is that they give up all the hostages
and lay down their arms.
Now
if you were Hamas, do you think you're
going to give up your hostages and lay
down your arms? Cuz what happens to you
the minute that that happens?
It's not like part of the deal is for
safe passage or something. It's not like
you're going to get a, you know, you're
going to be pardoned.
100% of the people who have a weapon and
are in a tunnel and are working for
Hamas, 100% of them are going to be in
jail or killed.
Why exactly would they want to hurry
that up while they have hostages?
So to me, uh, it's easy for Israel to
say, uh, we will accept your total
surrender so that we can do what we want
with you. So I get why they say yes, but
how in the world
is is Hamas ever going to say yes to
that? Well, unless, you know, they have
no other choice and everything's worse.
And that's it looks like that's where
things are heading. It's going to get a
lot worse. But uh just before I got on,
apparently there was some kind of big
explosion in Qatar or Qatar as you like
to say in Doha. Some say it was an
Israeli assassination strike as senior
Hamas officials.
But uh I heard that just before I went
live, so by now we probably have better
information. But we're still in fog of
war. So, I wouldn't believe anything
about that story yet.
Uh, I definitely wouldn't believe that
it was an Israeli attack yet. It totally
could have been. You know, I wouldn't
rule it out, but uh too soon. I would I
wouldn't jump to that conclusion. So, I
wouldn't trust any of the reports coming
out. But if it were true that uh Israel
figured this was a good time to take out
their leadership and Qatar,
well,
there's probably no no bad time to do
it.
And uh
uh San Mateo, one of my local airports
here, uh is launching uh the first
flying car with vertical takeoff.
Um, it's going to test flights at Half
Moon Bay and Hollister. And you could
you could buy one for or and you could
put in a pre-order for your flying car
at $300,000.
Now,
I think you know that that there have
been news stories about flying cars for
30 years
and and we're always right around the
corner. Oh, we're so close. You are
going to have a flying car any minute
now. Well, maybe it's happening. Maybe.
We'll see. But if it does, can we agree
on one thing? If we get our flying cars,
that is the golden age. Everybody agree?
I think that would settle it. We still
need to work on our affordability,
but uh in many other ways, golden age.
All right, ladies and gentlemen. Sorry
about my cat related disturbances.
If it sounded a little choppy over here,
I was fighting a cat with one hand and
using my brain to entertain you with my
other hand. All right, that didn't work.
Flying cars will be a disaster.
It does seem like it would be a problem.
Um, unless the flying cars are uh
self-driving by law.
I can imagine that
it would keep them out of trouble.
All right. Thank you, Sergio.
I'm going to say a few words privately
to the beloved members of Locals. The
rest of you, I'll see you tomorrow, same
time, same place. I enjoy it every
morning. So, make sure you come back.
I'd miss you if you didn't.