MainContent
dy.
So people don't realize the horror and the torture that they put kids through in public school. If you haven't observed it personally, you would never believe how bad it is. So education could go to zero quickly.
But I've also said that car insurance could go to zero because once your self-driving car has basically no accidents, there's always going to be some, then the car maker can just add insurance forever to the purchase price of the car. So for an extra $1,000 purchase price, the car maker will cover all your insurance in case you have an accident for the rest of the life of the car. So that won't be free, but if you compare a one-time thousand cost over the ownership of the car, it's close to free.
Then somebody mentioned that Optimus, the robot, will soon be able to do child care. And I thought to myself, all right, if you compared a human to a robot today for child care, you would probably pick the human, right? But because the humans who do child care are not maybe not as trustworthy as they could be. Maybe you couldn't watch what they're doing as easily as you could if a robot was working for you and you could just ask the robot what's going on. I feel like child care is going to go to the robots really quickly, which would make the cost of it drop dramatically.
For example, if you already had a robot to clean your house or do ordinary things, you could say, "All right robot, for these work hours you're going to be doing child care." Because the robot doesn't need to rest. So as long as you have a robot, it can do child care.
Now imagine if somebody broke into your home and tried to do something bad to you or your home. Who would you rather defend it? A traditional child care person or a badass robot? I think it would be better security. It would be less likely to molest your child and it's just going to be better in every way very, very quickly and it could do multiple people. So your neighbor's kids could come over and one robot takes care of them so your kid is not lonely. But you'd have to choose carefully.
Then what about security? We're very close to the point where the robots could give you security better than humans. Partly because you couldn't afford a human, partly because you need three humans a day just to cover the 24 hours. And partly because the robot probably would be stronger and have better decision making, etc.
So that's at least four things that could almost immediately drop to no cost at all. So I'm not sold entirely on the idea that money will be worthless, but there sure will be a lot of times when that money is not going to look like it used to.
See what else is happening. So here's a wild prediction speaking of Elon Musk. So I actually, he predicted this, that there will be double-digit growth meaning the GDP within 12 to 18 months. Double digit. Now why that's ridiculous but might be right is that we were all cheering that the GDP went from 3.5 to 4.5 roughly. So we got all excited because it was over 4 percent. Elon says it's going to be over 10 percent within a year, maybe a year and a half. Do you believe that?
His reasoning is this. He says if applied intelligence, and that would be AI and robots used intelligently, is a proxy for economic growth, which it should be, he says triple digit is possible in less than five years. Triple digit. So now he's going from 10 percent a year to over 100 percent a year. If you could do that, does money become worthless? I don't know. I'm having a little bit of trouble intellectually following the argument, but it's a fun one.
Now the caution is this. I believe, I think Musk actually said this but I'm not sure, I believe he is intentionally moving toward an optimistic take on everything because he's so well watched that if he has optimism, his optimism will spread and become a positive thing. And this could be just some of that. It could be that he's just being so optimistic that he knows that's a good idea for society. It's better to be over-optimistic in this domain than it would be to be a pessimist. So I don't know how 100 percent accurate this is to his opinion, but it certainly would meet the target of being optimistic.
So just to put a wet blanket on this, Mark Cuban today was posting that he said, "I agree. We're talking about robot tax." Not we, but on X. And Mark Cuban posted, "I agree. We need to start discussing now what a robot tax would look like, a straight amount per hour of use per robot or cobot, doesn't matter what the shape or form is, and start coming up with responses to the inevitable quote we won't be able to compete economically with other countries' robots."
So of course people will say, "Hey you can't put a tax on my robot, China will get ahead." He says every country will face the prospect of national instability if the economics get out of whack, which is far more expensive than what you were paying in taxes on your robots.
Now I reposted this but that doesn't mean I agree with it. So I would say I'm early in the process of thinking about it. On one hand, if Musk is right that money will become worthless very quickly, then talk of taxing doesn't make sense. Just why tax if money isn't worth anything. But there should be some interim period in which money is worth something and we need more of it. So it does seem to me that it would be unavoidable for the government to put some kind of tax on it. And the theory would be, hey, if you're really increasing your productivity by triple digits, are you telling me that doesn't create any extra money for paying down our debt?
And with a little bit of tax, because the domain would be enormous, so you wouldn't have to tax at 50 percent per robot. Maybe I'm just going to take a swing. Maybe 5 percent tax per the value of each robot, something like that. Would that be enough to pay down the debt or at least get us out of an emergency situation with the debt while we wait for the day when money is worthless?
So there's the interim transitionary part that's a little vague how that's going to work if it works at all. But I do agree with him that there's going to be a conversation. I hate using that term, but we do need to get serious about thinking will robots be taxed? I tend to agree with him that if we taxed our robots a little bit, it wouldn't put us behind compared to say China if we overtax them. Yeah.
Then of course, right? So there's probably some number that doesn't hurt you at all in the same way that the tariffs didn't hurt us like we thought they would. Economics is so unpredictable that it's really hard to know if and when a tax on robots makes sense. You know, your common sense might not be up to the task. I feel that's my case. I feel like my common sense, which usually works pretty well, you know not that there is common sense, but I don't know. I do not know.
All right. In other news, I think we're ready for a sip. Boop.
All right. I'm just going to rest and look at your comments for a minute. If you want less of something, tax it. Yeah. Yep.
So I guess Trump wants the vaccine schedule for childhood to be totally changed from 72 doses when the kid's born basically all the way down to 11. So that would be similar to Denmark. What do you think of that? Is that a good idea? I don't know. I'm no doctor, but people are definitely worried about loading up little babies with too many vaccinations in the beginning. So it seems like there's at least a good argument for stretching them out. And if we can look to Denmark as our model of what works and what doesn't, well maybe that's a little bit safer. So I don't have an opinion on this. I will default to people who are much smarter. I'll just note that it's happening.
Well, the company called Groq with a Q on the end instead of the K on the end, which I believe is one of Chamath's companies from the All-In Pod, I think he was a key investor in that. Apparently they've got some kind of deal. I heard yesterday that they sold the company, but maybe it's just a working deal. So they've got some kind of AI inference technology that OpenAI was interested in. So it looks like a big win for Chamath. Chamath, congratulations. That's a very big win. Somebody said something like $4 billion. I don't know what the real numbers are, but they're big numbers. So he's been busting his butt on this startup and wow. Wow. That's very impressive. Good work, Chamath.
I saw a quote today from a writer from Blaze Media that I really liked. So JT Young writing from Blaze Media said, "Democrats caused the affordability crisis with their progressive policies and now pretend to be shocked by it." But here's the fun part. Democrats are now left with a single strategy, campaigning on the consequences of their own incompetence and hoping voters forget who caused them. That is such a good reframe. So that the Democrats, the only thing they have is affordability and they're the ones who caused the problem and it's unlikely they have a solution. That's pretty funny.
Did you know that the DNC itself, that's the Democrat organization, is also in debt? Unlike the Republicans, the DNC is $16 million in debt. Does it seem to you that Democrats overspend in every category, including their own organization? And it just doesn't seem like Republicans are doing that. So Republicans have a nice little war chest.
Well, Rand Paul came out with his Festivus report for 2025. He found 1.6 trillion in waste and fraud. 1.6 trillion in waste and fraud. Now people will debate how much of that is waste and fraud, but I always say the first trillion is the easiest to spot. And once you get that first trillion, do you believe that there's 1.6 trillion in waste and fraud that he could find? I do. You know, I've said this now a number of times. I could not understand the world, the political world, unless the fraud numbers were over a trillion dollars a year. And apparently they are. They're over a trillion dollars a year. And apparently it's also identifiable. That's the weird part. It's totally identifiable.
All right. Here's a funny story. You've heard that some North Koreans had figured out how to get jobs at Amazon and they just acted like they were remote workers. And apparently Amazon has blocked 1,800 job apps from these suspected North Korean agents who when they get a job, they just do the job and then they get paid and they give the money to presumably the regime.
Now the first time I heard this story, I assumed that the reason that the North Koreans were doing this was to get access to our technology and maybe to do some mischief. But it looks like maybe their primary motive, maybe not the only motive, but their primary motive is just to get a job and to put the money into the regime, which would suggest that their incentive is to do the very best job they could because not only could they get fired, but they could get executed. So it could turn out that they've always been the best employees Amazon's ever had.
Episode 3053 CWSA 12/25/25
MainContent
ork hard so that somebody will say, "Oh, I'm really glad you did that thing, whatever that thing was." So yeah, the prediction is that people like Trump are going to get a lot done.
Happy Columbus Day. Let's talk about those hostages freed. You already know the news. All 20 living hostages have been released. There's hope that bodies will be returned, but that might be a little more complicated. Two thousand or so Hamas people, I guess, are getting released in return. We won't talk about them too much because today is more about happiness.
Trump flew over to Israel, which turned out to be a brilliant move. He didn't have to, but he did. And wow, did he get a hero's welcome like I've never seen before. Netanyahu praised him like I've never seen anybody praise Trump at all, and all deserved. He said, "No one moved the world so decisively as Trump." He said, "I believe that the close cooperation between our two nations, combining Israel's military pressure and Trump's unmatched global leadership, achieved this historic moment."
Well, here's something that Israel figured out, and Netanyahu certainly figured out. There's no such thing as praising Trump too much. I think you've all figured that out, too, right? It's not like he says, "Oh, that's enough. Really, you can tone it down a little bit. Oh, well, thank you. I appreciate it, but you don't have to do all that." The more you do, the better it is. You can lay it on as thick as you want, and he'll just think, "Is there any more of that? Can I get a little more of that?" I do like that about him.
Anyway, he was hailed as a colossus and a giant of Jewish history by the Israeli Parliament. So here are just some things in no particular order. Number one, does anybody think that any other president could have gotten this done? No. No, you don't.
But poor little Biden and Biden's little dingleberries that are still hanging around him, they're trying to claim that all Trump did was finalize the deal that Biden got working. Can you believe the gall, the fact that they would even try that, they would even try to give Biden credit for this? Oh my goodness.
So meanwhile, while the so-called Hitler is finding peace for Israel, the Democrats are still whining about him being an authoritarian Hitler while we're all watching the authoritarian Hitler bring peace to the entire world. The Democrats could not be losing harder than they are today. Today is peak losing for Democrats. They just got to shut up at this point. Just let it go, right? Just let it go. There's nothing you should say right now except thank you, Mr. President.
Some people asked reasonably, why are all 20 of the people released male? I think it's two factors. One is the women, all the remaining women are dead. That would be a fact, unfortunately. I don't know if they were killed in particular or killed because they didn't want them talking. That's the thing I worry about the most. Were they killed because they were abused and they didn't want them to go public? Maybe. But it could also be because the earlier rounds of releases focused on women and children and elderly, and they just leave the healthy male military-age people for last. So it's probably a combination of bad things happen to women but also that they negotiated the women out earlier. Probably both.
Anyway, so Trump gets a standing ovation, but when he mentioned Biden, the people laughed. They actually laughed at even the mention of Biden. And then when he mentioned Obama being the worst or second-worst president after Biden, they clapped. They actually clapped, the Israeli Knesset. They clapped for Obama being a terrible president, and they laughed. They literally laughed at a mention of Biden being the president. And they stood and gave a standing ovation, and now Netanyahu wants to nominate Trump for the highest award in Israel. So maybe this whole authoritarian thing is working out. Seems to be working out pretty well.
Anyway, here's what Trump said in his speech, which was hilarious, by the way. So his speech, he talked about, he kind of teased Netanyahu for running on too long because he's trying to get to this other big meeting in Egypt where all the big Middle East countries will meet and decide the fate of the Middle East. So I guess he's terribly late for that, but he's late because they're praising him, so it's not the worst thing in the world.
But when he got to speak after he made fun of Bibi talking too long and said some fun things, he said, "Generations from now, this will be remembered as the moment that everything began to change." Like the USA right now, it will be the golden age of Israel and the golden age of the Middle East. Well, here we are. It's the golden age.
And he says everybody's loving Israel again. He said things were getting tough the last several months because of course Israel was taking brutal criticism for the way they were executing the war. But now it's looking like it just looks like a victory. You know, winning solves a lot of problems. Winning does.
And then Trump started selling the Abraham Accords hard because he's the salesman in chief. If he can get that done, oh my goodness. So I guess there are four Middle East countries that are part of that Abraham Accords, and then there are a bunch that could be but aren't but would like to be maybe. And this probably opens the door for that. So Trump's trying to sell it hard. You know, get in, get in on that Abraham Accords as soon as you can.
And Trump is actually even promising that he thinks he can make a deal with Iran, not part of the Abraham Accords, but separately. And he thinks Iran's ready to do a deal, mostly because they've been so weakened by recent events that they would get flexible. But I don't know about that, but maybe.
All right. Here are some of the highlights of his speech as well. The part I like best is you might know that Netanyahu has got some legal problems. He's being accused of I don't know, bribery or corruption or something, and that's on hold because of the war. So Trump's up there absorbing like the maximum amount of praise, and he's praising Netanyahu, and then he turns to the president, which is different than the prime minister of course, turns to the president of Israel who was on the dais, and he says that he thinks that Netanyahu should get a pardon, and that's the guy that decides to pardon. And I thought he was going to get the president of Israel to agree to a pardon right in front of us, but he didn't take the bait. He might, but watching Trump make that play to see if he can get the pardon for Netanyahu was one of the strongest leadership things I've ever seen in my life. That was so impressive, even if he doesn't get it. That was so impressive.
How many times have I told you that one of the magic tricks that Trump does for persuasion is that if you're his enemy, you're really his enemy. Like he's really going to take you down. You're going to get lawfared. You know, your country might get attacked. You might get a bad nickname. If you're on his bad side, you're really on his bad side. But as I often tell you, if you get on his good side, he won't just say you're a good person. He will change your life.
And this is one of the things he could have done and maybe he still will do for Netanyahu. So Netanyahu became flexible. I'm not sure that he was always flexible in this process, but Netanyahu did decide to conform to what Trump wanted him to do, and that worked out. So now they're best friends.
And what does Trump do? Does he just say, you know, I'll give you some award? That's what Netanyahu is doing for Trump, right? Give you an award. Well, that's great. I love it. Awards are good. But what would be more valuable to Netanyahu than a pardon? And who would have more influence and who would be more in the moment to read the room and know that this is the moment to insert that idea? Only Trump. There's not another president in the entire world who would have read that moment and said, "Wow, this is something I could do that's beyond what Netanyahu would ever expect me to do, and I might be able to pull it off."
I would love to know what was going on in the mind of the Israeli president. I wonder if he thought to himself, I should just do it. Because obviously he doesn't want to do it or he would have done it already. But I wonder if he just thought to himself, this would be such a moment. I mean, the moment would have been extraordinary. Yeah. Imagine if the president had just turned and said, "Mr. President, I have not fully considered this, but in recognition of the day, in recognition of what you've done for us, I'm going to give you that." That could have happened. That would have been amazing. Boy, Trump knows how to create a moment or get close to a moment.
All right, but here's what I feel and I hope that the rest of you feel it, too. As I posted on X cryptically, but I only wanted the people who understood to understand it. I don't want everybody to understand it. And my post on X was just this: This is why. That's it. This is why. What I mean, of course, for the few of you who don't know exactly what that means, is that in 2016 when I decided to, I didn't know I was doing it at the time, but quickly I figured it out, when I decided I would throw away my entire social life to back Trump and when I eventually threw away my entire career, which even before I was cancelled, my licensing business and book sales went to almost nothing because I was supporting Trump. I sacrificed everything. I sacrificed my social life. I sacrificed my career. I sacrificed my reputation. I may have sacrificed my health. And I did that because I believed it was worth it.
Today's the day. Today's the day. All right. And I'm really happy I lived long enough to see it. It was worth it. It was worth it. Not just for this, you know, but it was worth it. It was worth it to be right. It's worth it to be right.
All right. So as you know, Trump doesn't become president without a hundred things going the right way. I like to think I might have been one of the hundred things that went the right way so that he could get elected and we could get something done, save the country, maybe save the world. But it wasn't free. It wasn't cheap. It wasn't easy. But every one of you who's watching right now probably shared a little bit in that pain. Probably every one of you said, "You know what? You're not going to tell me who to vote for. You know what? You're not going to manipulate me. You know what? I'm going to do what I think is right, and I'm going to follow this all the way."
All the MAGA supporters, you all took a personal and professional risk for the benefit of the country, and you knew that it was going to cost you dearly. You lost family members. A lot of you lost family members, you lost friends, you lost jobs, it cost you money. And you were right in the end. In the end, you were right. You bet the right way.
So you know, even though you could say, Scott, this is more about Israel than it is about the United States, and it is, but it seems to be an emotional touch point that seems to touch everything. It seems to touch the world, including the United States most heavily. And what it does is it just puts Trump in a whole different category where now he can do even more things that were impossible because people are going to look at him and say, "Okay, you did the impossible one time after another. What else can you do?" And we're probably going to find out. Maybe it means we get better trade deals with China. Maybe you can wrap something up with Russia. That's going to be a tough one.
But you know that I've been all in since 2016. All in. I bet it all. I just spent everything. I bet everything to get to this point. The golden age. So here we are. Here we are.
So I don't even know if I want to talk about the news today. It just feels so good to be on the right side of history. Because you never know. You never know if you're going to be on the right side of history. But boy, are we on the right side of history right now. So unless there are aliens in that comet, maybe things are going to look good.
Anyway, we have some background on why Hamas finally caved. I guess Egypt and Qatar were going hard at them, saying it was the last chance. Turkey was going hard at Hamas, telling them you better get this done, and they were getting a lot of pressure from their own people. So basically it got to the point where everybody outside of Hamas was telling Hamas, you got to end this. There was essentially nobody left on their side. So it got done.
So being in the right place at the right time helps, but it still had to be Trump. Only Trump could have gotten it done. And then the last person to agree was Netanyahu, and Trump bullied him into saying yes. And I'm sure Netanyahu was happy about it.
Now, here's what Charlemagne tha God said about it. He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible." Now, remember, Charlemagne tha God is a Democrat. He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible. Trump shows me what presidents can do if they want to do it." And he says it's not about what can't be done. It's about who has the political will to do it.
So that seems to be the frame that some Democrats are starting to enter. The okay, this is true that Trump can do things that other people can't do. That is the number one thing I wanted to sell the country. The number one thing, he can do things that other people can't do, and if you ever need those things to get done, there's only one person to do it as far as I know. So Charlemagne sees it too. He sees, oh my goodness, who you pick really makes a difference. It did this time.
Don't you wonder what the Democrats are going to have to protest? So they're left to protest the government closing, which is their fault. Just think about this. The biggest complaint that they have now is that Trump is too strong a leader. He's like a strongman dictator type. But that's why this got done. Even the people who don'
Episode 2987 CWSA 10/13/25
