Episode 2987 CWSA 10/13/25
Israeli hostages freed, China cooling off, and lots more goodness ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Hey, there you are. Come on in. What a day. What a day we have ahead, huh? Happy Columbus Day. I'm just checking your stocks, and it looks like today will be an update for all the reasons that you already know. Kind of exciting. Soon as we get our comments going, we'll give you the show you deserve…
View segment →let's try this and that. Oh, what a day. All right, people. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better day. But if you'd like to experience levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, sh…
View segment →e simultaneous sip, and it happens right now. Go. I don't want to say that that was better than a hostage release, but it's right up there. All right. As is my new tradition, I'm going to start with a reframe. I tried to pick one that was relevant to today's big news, which we'll get to in a momen…
View segment →ork hard so that somebody will say, "Oh, I'm really glad you did that thing, whatever that thing was." So yeah, the prediction is that people like Trump are going to get a lot done. Happy Columbus Day. Let's talk about those hostages freed. You already know the news. All 20 living hostages have bee…
View segment →t like him being an authoritarian strongman dictator will completely understand that none of this would happen without him being that person because he pushed everybody. He scared everybody. He shook the box. Nobody else could do that. Nobody else could do that. So at the same time that all that go…
View segment →ted that to get done. But there was a group of professional liars and insurrectionists, I would call them, who worked very hard to stop that. Now, if you lawfare those guys, I'm totally okay with that because you absolutely need mutually assured destruction so that the next time the Democrats decid…
View segment →cing all our jobs. I think maybe it'll be an assistant for a while, etc. However, I want to be the first one to tell you what's coming. What's coming is a new form of AI that's not the large language models. So the problem with the large language models is that all they do is look for a pattern. Tha…
View segment →h you later. Everybody is there to do mingling. So if you say, "It was great talking to you. I got to go do some mingling." They get it because they probably have to do the same thing. So that's not awkward. Or you could say, "Can I refill your drink?" If they don't want to spend more time with you,…
View segment →ing and their infrastructure is in complete disrepair. It's just collapsing. So Cuba might fail before Venezuela, but I guess they're sort of joined at the hip. So Trump might have a Cuba play that historically we've never had. Meaning that Cuba is going to be pretty desperate. Far more than it is.…
View segment →Hey, there you are. Come on in. What a day. What a day we have ahead, huh? Happy Columbus Day.
I'm just checking your stocks, and it looks like today will be an update for all the reasons that you already know. Kind of exciting. Soon as we get our comments going, we'll give you the show you deserve. So grab a seat. Make sure your beverage is filled because you know what time it is. That's right.
All right, let's try this and that. Oh, what a day.
All right, people. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better day. But if you'd like to experience levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a copper mug or a glass or a tankard, a stein, a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind, and fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip, and it happens right now. Go.
I don't want to say that that was better than a hostage release, but it's right up there.
All right. As is my new tradition, I'm going to start with a reframe. I tried to pick one that was relevant to today's big news, which we'll get to in a moment. But this is another reframe from my book, *Reframe Your Brain*. And it goes like this.
The usual frame, the way people usually think, is that the best worldview is the one that's true. Right? The best worldview is the one that's true. Here's the reframe. The best worldview is the one that predicts the best. It predicts the best.
Does that sound relevant? Well, it is relevant because in 2016 when I decided to back Trump, I was predicting and my prediction went like this. He definitely seems to love America and always has. So his heart's in the right place. He definitely has skills that other people just don't have. He just has skills they don't have, and those skills could be really important to the country because he could do things that we need to get done that nobody could get done.
So I predicted that his love of country, his love of winning, his extreme toolbox of skills would get us to a good place. Now, was that based on reality and truth or was it just predictive? Well, other people said, "Hey, I think his personality and character are unsuitable to be president. Therefore, he will steal our democracy and just steal money from the treasury for himself and he's only in it to win it for himself." Was that predictive? It was not. That was not predictive.
So it's easier if you focus on what's predictive because then you end up fighting about the details of what's true and focus on what's predictive. Follow the money. That's predictive. That if you thought that Trump was a big old narcissist who just wants everybody to love him and look good, that's why he works so hard. That's not a negative. That's why he works so hard.
I have the same situation. I want to be appreciated for what I've done for other people. That's my big payoff in life. So I will work hard so that somebody will say, "Oh, I'm really glad you did that thing, whatever that thing was." So yeah, the prediction is that people like Trump are going to get a lot done.
Happy Columbus Day. Let's talk about those hostages freed. You already know the news. All 20 living hostages have been released. There's hope that bodies will be returned, but that might be a little more complicated. Two thousand or so Hamas people, I guess, are getting released in return. We won't talk about them too much because today is more about happiness.
Trump flew over to Israel, which turned out to be a brilliant move. He didn't have to, but he did. And wow, did he get a hero's welcome like I've never seen before. Netanyahu praised him like I've never seen anybody praise Trump at all, and all deserved. He said, "No one moved the world so decisively as Trump." He said, "I believe that the close cooperation between our two nations, combining Israel's military pressure and Trump's unmatched global leadership, achieved this historic moment."
Well, here's something that Israel figured out, and Netanyahu certainly figured out. There's no such thing as praising Trump too much. I think you've all figured that out, too, right? It's not like he says, "Oh, that's enough. Really, you can tone it down a little bit. Oh, well, thank you. I appreciate it, but you don't have to do all that." The more you do, the better it is. You can lay it on as thick as you want, and he'll just think, "Is there any more of that? Can I get a little more of that?" I do like that about him.
Anyway, he was hailed as a colossus and a giant of Jewish history by the Israeli Parliament. So here are just some things in no particular order. Number one, does anybody think that any other president could have gotten this done? No. No, you don't.
But poor little Biden and Biden's little dingleberries that are still hanging around him, they're trying to claim that all Trump did was finalize the deal that Biden got working. Can you believe the gall, the fact that they would even try that, they would even try to give Biden credit for this? Oh my goodness.
So meanwhile, while the so-called Hitler is finding peace for Israel, the Democrats are still whining about him being an authoritarian Hitler while we're all watching the authoritarian Hitler bring peace to the entire world. The Democrats could not be losing harder than they are today. Today is peak losing for Democrats. They just got to shut up at this point. Just let it go, right? Just let it go. There's nothing you should say right now except thank you, Mr. President.
Some people asked reasonably, why are all 20 of the people released male? I think it's two factors. One is the women, all the remaining women are dead. That would be a fact, unfortunately. I don't know if they were killed in particular or killed because they didn't want them talking. That's the thing I worry about the most. Were they killed because they were abused and they didn't want them to go public? Maybe. But it could also be because the earlier rounds of releases focused on women and children and elderly, and they just leave the healthy male military-age people for last. So it's probably a combination of bad things happen to women but also that they negotiated the women out earlier. Probably both.
Anyway, so Trump gets a standing ovation, but when he mentioned Biden, the people laughed. They actually laughed at even the mention of Biden. And then when he mentioned Obama being the worst or second-worst president after Biden, they clapped. They actually clapped, the Israeli Knesset. They clapped for Obama being a terrible president, and they laughed. They literally laughed at a mention of Biden being the president. And they stood and gave a standing ovation, and now Netanyahu wants to nominate Trump for the highest award in Israel. So maybe this whole authoritarian thing is working out. Seems to be working out pretty well.
Anyway, here's what Trump said in his speech, which was hilarious, by the way. So his speech, he talked about, he kind of teased Netanyahu for running on too long because he's trying to get to this other big meeting in Egypt where all the big Middle East countries will meet and decide the fate of the Middle East. So I guess he's terribly late for that, but he's late because they're praising him, so it's not the worst thing in the world.
But when he got to speak after he made fun of Bibi talking too long and said some fun things, he said, "Generations from now, this will be remembered as the moment that everything began to change." Like the USA right now, it will be the golden age of Israel and the golden age of the Middle East. Well, here we are. It's the golden age.
And he says everybody's loving Israel again. He said things were getting tough the last several months because of course Israel was taking brutal criticism for the way they were executing the war. But now it's looking like it just looks like a victory. You know, winning solves a lot of problems. Winning does.
And then Trump started selling the Abraham Accords hard because he's the salesman in chief. If he can get that done, oh my goodness. So I guess there are four Middle East countries that are part of that Abraham Accords, and then there are a bunch that could be but aren't but would like to be maybe. And this probably opens the door for that. So Trump's trying to sell it hard. You know, get in, get in on that Abraham Accords as soon as you can.
And Trump is actually even promising that he thinks he can make a deal with Iran, not part of the Abraham Accords, but separately. And he thinks Iran's ready to do a deal, mostly because they've been so weakened by recent events that they would get flexible. But I don't know about that, but maybe.
All right. Here are some of the highlights of his speech as well. The part I like best is you might know that Netanyahu has got some legal problems. He's being accused of I don't know, bribery or corruption or something, and that's on hold because of the war. So Trump's up there absorbing like the maximum amount of praise, and he's praising Netanyahu, and then he turns to the president, which is different than the prime minister of course, turns to the president of Israel who was on the dais, and he says that he thinks that Netanyahu should get a pardon, and that's the guy that decides to pardon. And I thought he was going to get the president of Israel to agree to a pardon right in front of us, but he didn't take the bait. He might, but watching Trump make that play to see if he can get the pardon for Netanyahu was one of the strongest leadership things I've ever seen in my life. That was so impressive, even if he doesn't get it. That was so impressive.
How many times have I told you that one of the magic tricks that Trump does for persuasion is that if you're his enemy, you're really his enemy. Like he's really going to take you down. You're going to get lawfared. You know, your country might get attacked. You might get a bad nickname. If you're on his bad side, you're really on his bad side. But as I often tell you, if you get on his good side, he won't just say you're a good person. He will change your life.
And this is one of the things he could have done and maybe he still will do for Netanyahu. So Netanyahu became flexible. I'm not sure that he was always flexible in this process, but Netanyahu did decide to conform to what Trump wanted him to do, and that worked out. So now they're best friends.
And what does Trump do? Does he just say, you know, I'll give you some award? That's what Netanyahu is doing for Trump, right? Give you an award. Well, that's great. I love it. Awards are good. But what would be more valuable to Netanyahu than a pardon? And who would have more influence and who would be more in the moment to read the room and know that this is the moment to insert that idea? Only Trump. There's not another president in the entire world who would have read that moment and said, "Wow, this is something I could do that's beyond what Netanyahu would ever expect me to do, and I might be able to pull it off."
I would love to know what was going on in the mind of the Israeli president. I wonder if he thought to himself, I should just do it. Because obviously he doesn't want to do it or he would have done it already. But I wonder if he just thought to himself, this would be such a moment. I mean, the moment would have been extraordinary. Yeah. Imagine if the president had just turned and said, "Mr. President, I have not fully considered this, but in recognition of the day, in recognition of what you've done for us, I'm going to give you that." That could have happened. That would have been amazing. Boy, Trump knows how to create a moment or get close to a moment.
All right, but here's what I feel and I hope that the rest of you feel it, too. As I posted on X cryptically, but I only wanted the people who understood to understand it. I don't want everybody to understand it. And my post on X was just this: This is why. That's it. This is why. What I mean, of course, for the few of you who don't know exactly what that means, is that in 2016 when I decided to, I didn't know I was doing it at the time, but quickly I figured it out, when I decided I would throw away my entire social life to back Trump and when I eventually threw away my entire career, which even before I was cancelled, my licensing business and book sales went to almost nothing because I was supporting Trump. I sacrificed everything. I sacrificed my social life. I sacrificed my career. I sacrificed my reputation. I may have sacrificed my health. And I did that because I believed it was worth it.
Today's the day. Today's the day. All right. And I'm really happy I lived long enough to see it. It was worth it. It was worth it. Not just for this, you know, but it was worth it. It was worth it to be right. It's worth it to be right.
All right. So as you know, Trump doesn't become president without a hundred things going the right way. I like to think I might have been one of the hundred things that went the right way so that he could get elected and we could get something done, save the country, maybe save the world. But it wasn't free. It wasn't cheap. It wasn't easy. But every one of you who's watching right now probably shared a little bit in that pain. Probably every one of you said, "You know what? You're not going to tell me who to vote for. You know what? You're not going to manipulate me. You know what? I'm going to do what I think is right, and I'm going to follow this all the way."
All the MAGA supporters, you all took a personal and professional risk for the benefit of the country, and you knew that it was going to cost you dearly. You lost family members. A lot of you lost family members, you lost friends, you lost jobs, it cost you money. And you were right in the end. In the end, you were right. You bet the right way.
So you know, even though you could say, Scott, this is more about Israel than it is about the United States, and it is, but it seems to be an emotional touch point that seems to touch everything. It seems to touch the world, including the United States most heavily. And what it does is it just puts Trump in a whole different category where now he can do even more things that were impossible because people are going to look at him and say, "Okay, you did the impossible one time after another. What else can you do?" And we're probably going to find out. Maybe it means we get better trade deals with China. Maybe you can wrap something up with Russia. That's going to be a tough one.
But you know that I've been all in since 2016. All in. I bet it all. I just spent everything. I bet everything to get to this point. The golden age. So here we are. Here we are.
So I don't even know if I want to talk about the news today. It just feels so good to be on the right side of history. Because you never know. You never know if you're going to be on the right side of history. But boy, are we on the right side of history right now. So unless there are aliens in that comet, maybe things are going to look good.
Anyway, we have some background on why Hamas finally caved. I guess Egypt and Qatar were going hard at them, saying it was the last chance. Turkey was going hard at Hamas, telling them you better get this done, and they were getting a lot of pressure from their own people. So basically it got to the point where everybody outside of Hamas was telling Hamas, you got to end this. There was essentially nobody left on their side. So it got done.
So being in the right place at the right time helps, but it still had to be Trump. Only Trump could have gotten it done. And then the last person to agree was Netanyahu, and Trump bullied him into saying yes. And I'm sure Netanyahu was happy about it.
Now, here's what Charlemagne tha God said about it. He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible." Now, remember, Charlemagne tha God is a Democrat. He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible. Trump shows me what presidents can do if they want to do it." And he says it's not about what can't be done. It's about who has the political will to do it.
So that seems to be the frame that some Democrats are starting to enter. The okay, this is true that Trump can do things that other people can't do. That is the number one thing I wanted to sell the country. The number one thing, he can do things that other people can't do, and if you ever need those things to get done, there's only one person to do it as far as I know. So Charlemagne sees it too. He sees, oh my goodness, who you pick really makes a difference. It did this time.
Don't you wonder what the Democrats are going to have to protest? So they're left to protest the government closing, which is their fault. Just think about this. The biggest complaint that they have now is that Trump is too strong a leader. He's like a strongman dictator type. But that's why this got done. Even the people who don't like him being an authoritarian strongman dictator will completely understand that none of this would happen without him being that person because he pushed everybody. He scared everybody. He shook the box. Nobody else could do that. Nobody else could do that.
So at the same time that all that goodness is happening, maybe peace breaking out everywhere. You know, on Friday that China scared us with this threat of restricting the rare earth materials, which would destroy the entire economy of the world if they did that. I was not so sure that was real, but I don't think I committed to it one way or the other. But according to Trump, it's probably just a negotiating position and not really that different from what it was.
He goes, "Don't worry, you know, truth." He said yesterday, I guess, "Don't worry about China. It will be fine. Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment. He doesn't want depression for his country, and neither do I. The US wants to help China, not hurt it."
Do you see how much technique is built into that? Just that little message on Truth Social. Don't worry about China. It'll all be fine. So that part's probably true because China doesn't want to destroy the economy of the world. They don't really get an advantage if they do that. So probably won't do that.
But when he says that respected President Xi just had a bad moment, that really gets to his face. That's kind of putting him down a little bit and showing that he lost face by creating this little brouhaha. Now, what that does is if Xi doesn't decide to nuke us for insulting him, in theory he just got negged. Do you know what negging is? Neg. It means that he got sort of a complimenty insult. It's a complimenty insult. It's what you do if you want a woman to like you if you're one of those dating guys.
So, President Xi, if it's not so bad that he'll never talk to Trump again, then it probably isn't. Just the fact that he had a bad moment, he's going to have to recover from his bad moment. So that's the position that Trump has put him in. He's like, I'm not criticizing you. I'm just saying you had a bad moment. Do you think Xi wants to be known as the guy who had a bad moment and almost destroyed the economy of the United States with a statement that probably should have been vetted a little bit better? Oh, I think Trump's completely right. He had a bad moment. He totally had a bad moment.
So now he's got something to make up for. And that's the genius of Trump. This is just perfect persuasion. Push Xi in a little box with just a little bit of discomfort. And wouldn't he like to get out of that box by not being a person who's trying to hurt the economy of the world? So setting them up for negotiations.
Scott Bessent says the idea is to give China time to meet and talk. So mostly it's about showing some respect for China and giving them the time to work things out, and then probably things will be fine. Stock market seems to be happy about it.
I saw a long post by Sahil Patel who wanted to look into the semiconductor supply chain because as you know if the semiconductor supply chain breaks then all of our technology breaks and then the whole world falls into a coma. But it turns out that our semiconductor supply chain, not ours, but the world's is really, really brittle. And I didn't have any idea how brittle it was, but that's what Sahil did.
So TSMC, the Taiwan company that produces 90% of the world's most advanced chips. So problem number one, there's only one company that makes 90% of the chips and they happen to be on an island that is likely to turn into a war zone. So that's the first thing to worry about. Secondly, TSMC relies on a Dutch company for lithography machines, meaning that there's probably no other place you can get them, meaning that if something happened to that one company, maybe TSMC couldn't make any new chips just if that one company has a problem.
But they depend on a company called Carl Zeiss that does optical stuff. It's the only firm in the world capable of making the mirrors that are precise enough for the high-end chips. Only one company. If that company had a problem, no more chips. There's a light source. I need a EUV machine that's produced by one company in San Diego. If something happens to that one company in San Diego, no chips for you. And it goes on and on like this about the other parts that are only available in one place ever.
Now, in theory, somebody else could make them, but I know that the mirror stuff is so amazingly hard that probably there's a good chance that nobody else will ever be able to do it possibly. Anyway, so it goes on like that. There's a whole bunch of pieces that you can only get from one place. So if that one place went down, no chips if any one of them go down. So that's pretty scary.
Meanwhile, over in Ukraine, where the Ukrainian drones are attacking Russian energy sources, they attacked a bunch of energy sources on Crimea and did quite an attack with the drones. But the update on Trump is he had been talking about sending our Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine because they go long distance. They would go deep into Russia and they would be very accurate and hard to stop. I thought he had already agreed to give them to Ukraine with some restrictions on how they use them, but it sounds like he is not. He still needs to talk to Zelensky.
And what he said was Trump said that he may send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine if Russia doesn't settle its war. So it looks like he might be using the threat of Tomahawks to get Putin to say, "I don't want any Tomahawks hitting myself." Now, of course, Russia said that if we did give them Tomahawks and they got used that they would retaliate in some unspecified way that we wouldn't like. So I don't know, would they? Or there's something psychological about the Ukraine war where both Russia and Ukraine decide not to attack the neighboring countries that are helping. Yeah.
So we're, you know, they're not attacking the United States for providing weapons or not attacking Europe for providing the funding. They're just treating it like it's a war between two countries when clearly there are a lot of countries involved. So if Putin continues to do that, to treat it like it's just them against Ukraine, then the Tomahawks wouldn't be that big a deal, except that, you know, they wouldn't like it. But if Putin decides to change the frame and reframe it and say, "Okay, this is a war against the United States. You're just laundering it through Ukraine." Well, then all bets are off.
But I would think that Putin would not want to do anything that looked like a direct attack on the United States because there's this guy, you may have heard of him, Donald Trump, who's the president, and what his response would be compared to any other president, what his response would be to any attack on the homeland or our military assets. Putin can't predict that. That's unpredictable. And you don't want to get into militarily unpredictable waters. So that's another thing that Trump brings, that unpredictability that does keep people away.
Anyway, so we'll see what happens with those Tomahawks. Seems like a good play.
So JD Vance was on ABC talking to George Stephanopoulos, and Stephanopoulos was trying to get him to talk about the story that may be completely fake about Homeland Security guy Tom Homan, allegedly before he was in this job, accepting a $50,000 bag of cash on video, allegedly for helping some company get a border contract. Now, I don't think that was illegal because he wasn't working for the government then and he was consulting. So I don't even know if there's a crime involved.
But so JD Vance was asked about that to comment on the bag of cash and Tom Homan because ABC News needed to find something to talk about that was not the tremendous success that Trump is experiencing at the moment in the Middle East. So they had to find something. They got to find something to talk to JD about that'll sound bad for those guys.
And JD had a very interesting response to the accusations about that bag of cash. He said it's a fake scandal and he didn't know anything about that video. And I said to myself, what do you mean you don't know about the video? Everybody knows about the video. It's been a top headline. We all know about the video. And then I thought to myself, wait a minute. I haven't seen the video. Have any of you seen a video of him or anybody else accepting a bag of cash? And then I thought, wait a minute, is this whole thing just made up?
If you haven't seen the video, I don't know that there's a video. Do you believe there's really a video of him accepting cash? It's been a while. You think that bad boy would have leaked, right? Or at the very least somebody would say, "I have the video in my hand. I just can't show it to you." So we don't know who has said video and nobody that we know has seen it. I feel like JD had the right answer, which is you treat it like it's not real because they can't prove it's real. I don't know if it's real. You know, my guess is if it was real, if it were real and it was real bad that probably more would have happened. So my guess is that's not that real. Just my guess.
So Reuters has an article today that looked like it came from the past. The title was "Climate Tipping Points Are Being Crossed, Scientists Warn Ahead of COP30." So I guess there's some big climate change meetup coming up. And Reuters wants us to know that we're past the tipping points where climate change is going to kill us all. We're already past the tipping points.
Now, isn't there something wrong with this? Why would that just be a little bit of an article around other articles that just is keyed off of a meeting coming up? Wouldn't that be the biggest problem and biggest story in the world that we would cross all the tipping points and now we're definitely dead? They couldn't possibly believe what they're saying. They could not possibly believe what they're writing. That's where we've gotten to, right? Where they couldn't possibly believe it because you wouldn't act matter-of-fact about it. It's just like a little article on Reuters. Yeah, we're past all the tipping points. Looks like there's nothing we could do. It's the end of the world. But they got a big meeting coming up. Like what?
If I believed that the world was past the tipping point, I'd be recommending that you have sex with a stranger. No, I wouldn't. Maybe I would, but you would act completely different. There's no way you would act matter-of-fact if you really believed we had crossed the tipping points and the climate's going to just disappear.
Now, they had some claims about, oh, we're past the tipping point for coral and it said, you know, all the coral is disappearing and therefore the oceans will not be sustainable, etc. And I thought, what news are you looking at, Reuters? All the news I've seen in the past six months told me that the coral has recovered when people didn't expect it. Did I imagine that? Was that fake news? Or does Reuters not know that the current news is that the coral seems to have come back or it's coming back powerfully and probably there's no tipping point at all. Yeah.
Anyway, so that just seems so out of date.
Meanwhile, several, this is also Reuters, several pharmaceutical companies, I think there were like maybe 10 of them or so, quite a few of them are now saying that they'll sell their drugs directly to patients in the US. Now, that would be in response to Trump trying to get them to lower their prices. But what's interesting here is, have I ever introduced my idea of the confuseopoly?
The confuseopoly is when you're in a business that's just like somebody else's business and it's sort of a commodity like a cell phone or some kinds of insurance. You know, they're exactly the same. So you have to pretend that yours is different by making it confusing. Well, what does this cell phone service cost? Well, it depends. Do you have your relatives on it and did you use the extra minutes and did you roll over the minutes and then you can't really compare it to anything because you don't know exactly what minutes you would use and what you would roll over and if you rolled it over would anybody use it.
So if they make it confusing then each of the cell companies will sort of get their share. If they made it not confusing, then everybody would know which one was the good one and all the others would be out of business instantly. So confuseopolies are the only thing that keeps complicated commodity-like businesses in business. It prevents you from knowing which one is the better one.
And that is clearly something that's happening with these pharmaceutical companies who have agreed to sell drugs direct to patients because they're all going to do it a different way and they're going to do it with different platforms. So some of them have their own website, some of them are going to work through somebody else. Some of them are going to cut some drugs but not others. They'll probably come up with complicated formulas like, well, under these conditions, we'll cut them for these people, but under these conditions, we won't.
So I feel like the pharma companies are going to have to make it really complicated so that they can say they're doing things without doing things because I'll tell you what they can't do. They can't lower their prices and give us the same price that they give to third world countries, which is the ask. That's what we're asking for. They can't do that. That would be their entire profitability. So they have to pretend they're playing along because Trump is too powerful right now. So they have to act like they're playing along. Well, I don't think they are playing along. I think they're going to throw a bone. You know, maybe some drugs that are almost generic but are not their big profitable drugs. If they throw a few sacrificial drugs for lower cost, they can keep their profitable ones at their current price. Probably try to get away with that.
So I'm not ready to speak optimistically about where that's heading. I think the big pharma has got a lot of game. They know how to protect themselves.
Well, Trump has suggested publicly that who he calls corrupt Senator Adam Schiff could be the next person who gets lawfared. Says he's so dishonest. And of course that causes people to say, "Wait a minute. You're the president of the United States. You can't be identifying enemies and then telling the Department of Justice to go lawfare them. You can't do that."
To which I have mixed feelings. If these had been innocent people or just people who were doing their own thing that didn't affect Trump and didn't affect me and didn't affect the government, I might say, "Yeah, don't lawfare them. That's just going to create more problems." You know, even though they lawfared you, don't lawfare them. But because these specific people were literally trying to overthrow my government and they were trying to destroy the guy that you and I and the other supporters were trying to support to the point where he could get to do things like this, you know, ending wars. That's what we wanted him to do. That's why we hired him. That's why we voted for him. And we wanted that to get done.
But there was a group of professional liars and insurrectionists, I would call them, who worked very hard to stop that. Now, if you lawfare those guys, I'm totally okay with that because you absolutely need mutually assured destruction so that the next time the Democrats decide to lawfare the next president, which they will, they'll at least think twice and they're going to say, "All right, the last time we lawfared a president, we didn't see it coming, but he became the president again and then he got all of us back and all the people who lawfared him are in jail or paid a lot of money."
You can't let it go. The things that they did to Trump and by extension to his supporters, you can't let that go. So if you have to lawfare it to get them back, lawfare it. Whatever you have to do, you cannot let that stand. And to imagine that lawfaring this group of people, lawfaring the lawfarers who were the insurrectionist lawfarers, you can't compare that to anything else.
If he were just taking down a critic, I'll tell you where I'd draw the line. If he said Stephen King says bad things about me all the time, I'd like you to lawfare him. Go find a crime. I'm sure you can find a crime. Now, that would be completely unacceptable to me and I would fight against that. How about Rob Reiner? Huge critic of the president. Huge pain in the ass. If the president said, "Hey, lawfare that guy because he says bad things about me." No, no, nope. We don't do that. You can say bad things about people. We allow that. That's free speech.
But if he's going after the people who literally lied about what was in the skiff, ran gigantic hoaxes to try to literally change the government and tried to jail him, if not shoot him, free pass. Mr. President, you have a free pass. Not just to say whatever you want to say. Little cat action going on here. Not only to say what you want to say, but to encourage the Department of Justice to deal with it. So yeah, I'm completely in favor of lawfare against lawfarers, but limited to that and maybe insurrectionists, but that's the same thing in this case.
All right. There's some new news that there's this Washington DC undercover metropolitan police guy, Nicholas Thomasula, who says that he was actually trying to instigate trouble at the January 6th event. I don't know if he says that he did it for Nancy Pelosi, but apparently there is evidence and he's saying it directly that he was encouraging people to trespass and encouraging them to climb up the scaffolding, which was the big weakness in the defense they had there.
And is this real? Do we actually have a real live person now who says, "Oh yeah, I was there to instigate." Do you think there was only one? Would they only send one or would one think that on his own? Did he decide on his own to do that? Are we on the verge of finding out the truth about January 6th? We might be. We might be on the verge of actually finding out that that was more staged than we thought. So keep an eye on that.
I've been watching with interest Marjorie Taylor Greene buck not just the left but often the right. So I guess Marjorie Taylor Greene, who I like by the way, I like having her as part of government and you know she's just a fun personality as well. So I kind of like her as a person and as a politician, but she's not on board with all Republicans.
She said, quote, "As a construction business owner," which she is, "I don't think we should be supporting illegal immigrants that work in that industry." Now, I saw a counterpoint to that, which is if you got rid of all the illegal immigrants, you wouldn't need to build as many houses and therefore you wouldn't need them. And it's funny when I saw that argument because there's no population growth. We don't have population growth. So in theory we shouldn't have to build too many houses, you know, mostly just replacement houses and upgrades and stuff. But so maybe we don't even need a construction business because we're just building houses for the people that we didn't want to come in. I don't I'm not buying that narrative entirely. There's a little bit to it. There's a little bit to it, but that's not a good complete picture.
And Marjorie Taylor Greene also says that prices have not come down and pay has not gone up. Now slightly true that some prices went down and it's slightly true that some pay went up, but not really in a big way. So she's bucking the narratives there a little bit, but I don't mind that at all.
Well, meanwhile, Denmark has committed $4.2 billion to defending Greenland so that they don't have to give it up to the United States. And now they are legitimately worried about Russia's influence in that part of the world. So Greenland buying some defensive stuff. I can't imagine that Denmark plus Greenland if you add them together could defend against Russia without the US. I mean, not that they would have to because they're a NATO country, but wait, how's that work? So if Russia attacked Greenland, and Greenland is owned by Denmark, which is in NATO, but Greenland isn't specifically part of NATO. Would NATO be activated for Greenland? I do not know. Maybe somebody can tell me that.
Anyway, I doubt that their $4.2 billion is going to get them enough to defend against Russia.
The Wall Street Journal had an article about AI not making as much difference in productivity as anybody hoped. A JP Morgan Chase economist didn't find any strong link between productivity and rolling out AI. Now, who's been telling you for a while that AI will not be the job killer that all the smart people say it will be? Me. Because just if you've tried using it yourself, you immediately see that it is so limited. And in my opinion, the current version of AI cannot be better because if they can't make the hallucinations go away, and they can't, what are you going to use it for? All you can use it for is chatting basically and a few other things.
So I've been a skeptic of AI replacing all our jobs. I think maybe it'll be an assistant for a while, etc. However, I want to be the first one to tell you what's coming. What's coming is a new form of AI that's not the large language models. So the problem with the large language models is that all they do is look for a pattern. That's all they do. And so if the words that people have used are in a certain pattern, it uses that pattern. So it doesn't mean that it's seeing the truth, it's just detecting patterns which sometimes are not reality-based patterns. So that can't go too far.
But there's a new type of AI being referred to as generative video AI. Now, if I understand this correctly, generative video AI starts with real video. So let's say if you had the database of all the video taken by all the Tesla car cameras, that would be the real video. And then you could train your AI with real video so that it could see for example this is an object that's a phone. It could see how it could be manipulated in space. So instead of learning a word pattern and the word pattern for LLM might be I pick up phone and if a lot of people say I pick up phone then the large language model knows that you can pick up a phone but it doesn't really know it. It's just a pattern. Lots of people have picked up phones. Lots of people have mentioned it. So now AI knows that you can pick up a phone.
But with the new ones, the video ones, if you had video of somebody picking up a phone, it would know you could pick up a phone. And it could also conform to the physics of the situation. And then the fun part is it can generate fake videos of people doing things with the phone. But the fake video would be based on things that could be done with the phone because it uses physics, etc., like a game would, just like a video game. So that it can create a whole bunch of knowledge about what a person can do with a phone without observing it. So it wouldn't have to observe people doing it. It would just figure out, oh well, now I know it's a physical object. It's about this size. That would be something somebody could pick up.
Now I'm simplifying it but what I'm trying to say is that that limitation of the hallucinating might be fixable but it will require an entirely new technology. This generative video AI which is coming by the way it's not speculative. It's being rolled out right now. Yeah. I think that's close to what Tesla is doing. It's either close to or exactly what Tesla's doing. That's right.
So if you were going to bet on which company got to the really smart AI first, I think I would bet on Tesla. Now, that's not a recommendation. It's not a recommendation. Don't buy stock because I say it's something that's a bad idea. But it does look like Elon knows that the LLMs are capped and that he knows that if he's going to put a trillion dollars into it, which he is, he'd better get the good stuff. So keep an eye on that.
Ray Kurzweil, the futurist who's been around forever. He's trying to live forever. Like literally live forever by porting his brain to a computer someday. I think he says that AGI, that would be the real smart version of AI, will be around 2029. Now, he's got a long track record of making incredible predictions. So we take him seriously. 2029. So three years. I think he's right on. I think he's right on because it will take about that time in my best guess for that generative AI to not only work but to be sort of rolled out. That feels about right. I think he nailed it again probably about three years before we have the serious AI.
In other fun news, according to the Daily Mail, some tunnels have been discovered under Egypt's Giza pyramids. Now, these are not the weird stories that I debunked a while ago. Several months ago there was somebody said, "Oh, we found all these things under the pyramids." It's not that. Apparently connecting pyramids as opposed to being directly under them. And they found a few of these alleged long-forgotten underground pathways that had been rumored in history but nobody found them.
So I guess Herodotus had described a labyrinth in Egypt with 3,000 chambers, many hidden below ground, but nobody had ever found any of it. So they thought Herodotus might be an exaggerator, I guess, but maybe there is something down there. So we will soon find out who built those pyramids when we get down there.
Maybe University of South Wales found out that you could use intensive one-week online therapy to reduce symptoms of social anxiety. So apparently they did a study and they found you could reduce your social anxiety disorder with online help.
Now, in my book *Reframe Your Brain*, I also have a reframe for that. You want me to just, I think I'll just tell you, I've told you this reframe before, but it's one of the very best. This could be life-changing. Do any of you have that problem where if you go to a party, first of all, you didn't want to go, but then you're sitting outside and you say to yourself, you know what? I can't even walk in that room. I don't want to be in a room with all those fakes and those people, right? How many of you have that social anxiety where you go I just I can't talk to these strangers? A lot of you, right?
I'm going to give you a reframe now that will fix it. You ready for this? This will change your life. It really will. I've heard from people who say it changed their life. They just heard it once. Changed their life. It goes like this.
First of all, everybody has social anxiety. Now, maybe not everybody, but 90%. So the first thing you need to know is that everybody else is pretending. As soon as you think you're the only one pretending to be comfortable and that everybody else has figured out how to do this, that's not the case. They're all uncomfortable. Ten percent are kind of crazy narcissists who like the excitement. Ten percent. Ninety percent are exactly what you're feeling. Oh, who am I going to talk to? What do I do with my hands? Did I make a fool of myself? Can I just make an excuse to leave? Why should I pretend to get another drink?
All right, here's what you need to know. If you had studied the Dale Carnegie approach for making conversation, you would know the technique for walking up to any stranger and just starting a pleasant conversation that the other person would, when you're done, say, "I like that guy." Or, "I like that person." And it's easy. I've taught you this many times. All you do is you ask questions about the other person and you listen. That's it.
If you walk up to somebody and try to make a joke to a stranger, which is what I used to do before I learned how to do this, I would think, well, if I'm funny, like I'll bond right away. Never really worked. You can get lucky and hit somebody who has your exact sense of humor and then something can happen. But it's not a good general approach. Most people are not going to laugh and it's just not going to lead to anything.
But if you walk up and say your name, hi, I'm Scott. That's always first. Hi, I'm blah blah blah. If they don't say who they are, you say, "What's your name?" And then you ask them just basic questions about them. It would depend on what was the point of the thing. So you might say, "Hey, you know, where are you from?" or "Who do you know?" Or you could even ask, you know, what do you do for a living? If the conversation goes, do you have kids? You planning a vacation? What school do your kids go to? If you ask just those basic questions, the other person will feel comfortable because they know the answers to the questions. They know their name. They know where they work. They know where the kids go to school, unless it's the father. And then that's comfortable because all they're doing is answering easy questions and it looks like you're interested in them. Solves every problem.
All right, so I just solved how to talk to a stranger. If you don't think that works, try it once. It works. It works every time. Show interest. Ask questions and don't do a big monologue about you. If they want to know about you, they'll ask. You don't even have to say anything about you. But usually if just a few questions, you can find something you have in common. So you might say, "So what do you do for a living?" And the person tells you their job and you go, "I'm so interested in that. Like how does that work? How'd you get into that?" So you know, and if it's something about kids, if you have kids about the same age, you got lots to talk about. So you're looking for that thing you can talk about, the jumping off point, and the questions are just to get you to that.
All right. Now, so now you have a skill that I just taught you that the other 90% of the people who have bad social anxiety don't have. So what are they going to do? They're going to go there and think, I don't know what to do. I don't know what to do. But I solved it for you. Just walk up to somebody who looks uncomfortable. Introduce yourself. Ask some questions. And then the next thing you need to know is how to leave. You know how to stop talking to somebody because you don't want to get trapped and you think, "Oh, I found one person to talk to. I'll just stay here all night until they hate me." No, you have to leave. You want to give them just enough of you that they got enough but not too much.
So here's what you say. It was really great meeting you. I want to do a little mingling and I'll catch up with you later. Everybody is there to do mingling. So if you say, "It was great talking to you. I got to go do some mingling." They get it because they probably have to do the same thing. So that's not awkward. Or you could say, "Can I refill your drink?" If they don't want to spend more time with you, they're gonna say, "Oh, no. I'm fine." And then you go away to refill your own drink and don't come back. Or you say, "I got to use the restroom." Or you say, "You see somebody." Here's another good one. You say, "Oh, I have to talk to Bob. Excuse me. It was great talking to you." And then you go directly over to Bob. If you know Bob.
The other thing is if you don't know a single person there, not if you don't know anybody, I always recommend looking for the alpha female. Most events have at least one alpha female and you can pick them out. You know, they're the ones flitting from one place to the other and everybody's giving them attention. Maybe they're the organizer, maybe it's the person who invited you. But if you attach to them, the alpha female, men will do it too, but the alpha females are a little bit better. They will introduce you to whoever they're standing next to. So you just walk up to them. Hi, Betty. Thanks for inviting me. They go, "Oh, glad you made it. Have you met so and so?" And here's so and so. And now you know three people that you could say hi to anytime during the party.
All right. So now you know the technique, but now we're going to get to the good part. Okay, here's the payoff. You're sitting in your car outside the party and you've got that anxiety about going in. Reframe it. Here's the reframe. You're going to rescue all those other people who have social anxiety. You're not the person with social anxiety. You're the solution. So you walk in there and you find somebody who looks uncomfortable and you walk right up to them and you solve their problem by being the person who knows how to start a conversation, which you are now. And when you're done with that person, you say, "Great meeting you. I've got to do a little more mingling." You find another person and you save them, too. You can spend your whole night saving people. And boy, will they appreciate it.
There's nothing that the other people want more than a friendly person to come up to them and start a conversation. They all want that. You are their hero. If you can do that for them, you're their hero. So you're not going there as this weak little person who's in the 10% who can't figure out how to start a conversation with a human being. That's not who you are. You are already because I just trained you and it was that easy. It really is that easy. I just taught you how to be the most effective person in the party, and you will be. You simply have to do what I just said. Just learn how to ask questions, learn how to introduce yourself with eye contact and a handshake, and learn how to leave. If you learn those very simple things, which you just did, basically, you just learned them, you are no longer a victim of social anxiety. It'll take you a few practice runs, but once you've done it like twice, you'll never have anxiety again. You'll say, "Oh, I did it twice in a row, and it was super easy, and everybody seemed to be happy about it, and I got all these phone numbers and made some friends."
So that's a reframe in my book, *Reframe Your Brain*. Now, when I tell you that this is the kind of book that changes people's lives, that's what I mean, right? So some of you didn't need that. That had no value to you whatsoever. But 100% of you know somebody who needs it, don't you? 100% of you know somebody that you're already thinking, "Oh, man. I want to get a clip of that and show my friend. That will really help them." I hope this gets clipped. Probably will be.
All right. So there are other reframes that might be more relevant to you specifically.
Venezuela is collapsing, but so is Cuba. I saw an article by Daniel Allott. He's an opinion contributor in The Hill and he tells us that over the last four years roughly two million Cubans which would be 20% of all Cubans on the island have left the island and the ones leaving are the professionals because you know they can make a life somewhere. So I guess their biggest source of oil was Venezuelan oil which they can no longer depend on. It's not reliable anymore. The professionals are leaving and their infrastructure is in complete disrepair. It's just collapsing. So Cuba might fail before Venezuela, but I guess they're sort of joined at the hip. So Trump might have a Cuba play that historically we've never had. Meaning that Cuba is going to be pretty desperate. Far more than it is. It's already pretty desperate. But if they become even more desperate, they might get flexible and maybe the US is the only thing that can save them and maybe they want to be a little bit friendlier with the US going forward and vice versa. We'll see.
Well, you heard the story about the Dominion company, the election voting machines. That company got sold to an alleged Republican who is apparently involved in decommissioning a number of the machines. Now, I don't have details about why some of them are being decommissioned, but not all of them. Why do you think? Do you think that he's decommissioning voting machines because they're old and unreliable? Old and unreliable or because they had security vulnerabilities that we don't know about just generally unreliable or unreliable for security reasons. Don't you feel you need to know the answer to that question? I feel like that's really important. Are they decommissioning machines because they know that they're not secure? I've got questions.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is what I have for today's show. I want to thank you all again from the bottom of my heart. If you were supporting this president and you took the risks that I took, you took the hits, you lost family members, you may have lost money, you may have lost prestige, you may have lost everything, but damn it, you were right. You were right and this is the time to enjoy it. You know, maybe tomorrow will be different, but today you can bask in the fact that you did a great thing. You were part of something amazing. In this case, it probably helped another country more than it helped us, but it's the same process. The same stuff is going to be helping America.
So just enjoy being right. It feels really good. And that's all I have for you today. I'm going to say a few words privately to my beloved local subscribers and the rest of you. I hope to see you tomorrow for more good news. Maybe. You never know.
All right, Locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds.
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Come on in.
What a day.
What a day we have ahead, huh?
Happy Columbus Day.
I'm just checking your stocks and it looks like today will be an update for all the reasons that you already know.
Kind of exciting.
Soon as we get our comments going, we'll give you the show you deserve.
So, grab a seat.
Make sure your beverage is filled because you know what time it is.
That's right.
All right, let's try this and that.
Oh, what a day.
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I don't want to say that that was better than a hostage release, but it's right up there.
All right.
As is my new tradition, I'm going to start with a reframe.
I tried to pick one that was relevant to today's big news, which we'll get to in a moment.
But this is another reframe from my book, Reframe Your Brain.
And it goes like this.
The usual frame, the way people usually think, is that the best world view is the one that's true.
Right?
The best world view is the one that's true.
Here's the reframe.
The best world view is the one that predicts the best.
It predicts the best.
Does that sound relevant?
Well, it is relevant because 2016 when I decided to back Trump, I was predicting and my prediction went like this.
He definitely seems to love America and always has.
So, his heart's in the right place.
He definitely has skills that other people just don't have.
He just has skills they don't have and that those skills could be really important to the country because he could do things that we need to get done that nobody could get done.
So I predicted that his love of country, his love of winning, his uh his extreme toolbox of skills would get us to a good place.
Now was that based on reality and truth or was it just predictive?
Well, other people said, "Hey, I think his personality and character are uh unsuitable to be president.
Therefore, he will steal our democracy and just steal money from the treasury for himself and uh he's only in it to win it for himself." Was that predictive?
It was not.
That was not predictive.
So, it's easier if you release on what's true because then you end up fighting about the details of what's true and focus on what's predictive.
Follow the money, that's predictive.
That if if you thought that Trump was a big old narcissist who just wants everybody to love him and look good, that's why he works so hard.
That's not a negative.
That's why he works so hard.
I I have the same uh the same situation.
Uh I want to be appreciated for what I've done for other people.
That's that's my big payoff in life.
So I will work hard so that somebody will say, "Oh, I'm really glad you did that thing, whatever that thing was." So yeah, the prediction is that people like Trump are going to get a lot of done.
Happy Columbus Day.
Let's talk about those hostages free.
You already know the news.
All 20 living hostages have been released.
Um there's hope that bodies will be returned, but that might be a little more complicated.
2,000 or so Hamas people, I guess, are getting released in return.
We won't talk about them too much because today is more about happiness.
Um Trump flew over to Israel, which turned out to be a brilliant move.
He didn't have to, but he did.
And uh wow, did he get a did he get a hero's welcome like I've never seen before.
Netanyahu praised him like I've never seen anybody praise Trump at all and all deserved.
He said, "No one moved the world so decisively as Trump." He said, "Uh, I believe that the close cooperation between our two nations, combining Israel's military pressure and Trump's unmatched global leadership, achieve this historic moment." Well, here's something that Israel figured out, and Netanyahu certainly figured out.
There's no such thing as praising Trump too much.
I think you've all figured that out, too, right?
it it's not like he says, "Oh, that's enough." Really, you can tune it down a little bit.
Oh, well, thank you.
I I appreciate it, but you don't have to do all that.
The more you do, the better it is.
You You can lay it on as thick as you want, and he'll just think, "Is there any more of that?
Can I get a little more of that?" I do like that about him.
Anyway, he was hailed as a colossus and a giant of Jewish history by the uh Israeli Parliament.
Um so here here are just some things in no particular order.
Um number one, does anybody think that any other president could have gotten this done?
No.
No, you don't.
But poor little Biden and Biden's uh little uh dingleberries that are still hanging around around him, they're they're trying to claim that all Trump did was finalize the deal that Biden got working.
Can you believe the gall the the the fact that uh they they would even try that they would even try to give Biden credit for this.
Oh my goodness.
So meanwhile, while uh the so-called Hitler is finding peace for Israel, the Democrats are still they're still whining about him being an authoritarian uh Hitler while we're all watching the authoritarian Hitler bring peace to the entire world.
The the Democrats could not be losing harder than they are today.
Today is peak peak losing for Democrats.
They just got to shut up at this point.
Just just let it go, right?
Just let it go.
There's nothing you should say right now except thank you, Mr.
President.
Um, some people asked reasonably, why are all 20 of the people released male?
Um, I think it's two factors.
One is the women the all the remaining women are dead.
Uh, that would be a fact unfortunately.
I don't know if they were killed in particular or killed because they didn't want them talking.
That's the thing I worry about the most.
Were they killed because they were abused and they didn't want them to go public?
Maybe.
But it could also be because the earlier rounds of releases focused on women and children and elderly and uh they just leave the the healthy male military age people for last.
So it's probably a combination of bad things happen to women but also that they negotiated the women out earlier.
Probably both.
Anyway, um so Trump gets a, you know, standing ovation, but when he mentioned Biden, uh the people laughed.
They actually laughed at even the mention of Biden.
And then when he mentioned Obama being the the worst or second worst president after Biden, uh they clapped.
They actually clapped the Israeli Knesset.
They clapped for Obama being a terrible president and they laughed.
They literally laughed at a mention of Biden being the president.
And they sto they stood and gave a standing ovation and uh now Netanyahu wants to give um wants to nominate Trump for the highest award in Israel.
So maybe this whole authoritarian thing is working out.
seems to be working out pretty well.
Anyway, um here's what uh Trump said in his speech, which was hilarious, by the way.
So, his speech, he talked about uh he he kind of teased Netanyahu for running on too long because he's trying to get to this other big meeting in Egypt where all the all the big Middle East countries will meet and decide the fate of the Middle East.
So, I guess he's terribly late.
uh for that, but he's late because they're praising him, so it's not the worst thing in the world.
Um, but when he got to speak after he, you know, made fun of BB talking too long and said some fun things, he said, "Generations from now, this will be remembered as the moment that everything began to change." Like the USA right now, it will be the golden age of Israel and the golden age of the Middle East.
Well, here we are.
It's the golden age.
And uh and he says everybody's loving Israel again.
You he said things were getting tough the last several months cuz of course Israel was taking brutal criticism for the way they were executing the war.
But now it's looking like it just looks like a victory.
You know, winning winning solves a lot of problems.
winning does.
And uh then Trump started selling the Abraham Accords hard because he's the salesman chief.
If he can get that done, oh my goodness.
So I guess there are four Middle East countries that are part of that Abraham Accords and then there are a bunch that could be but aren't but would like to be maybe.
And this probably opens the door for that.
So Trump's trying to sell it hard.
You know, get in, get in on that Abraham Accords as soon as you can.
And Trump is actually even promising that he thinks he can make a deal with Iran, not part of the Abraham Accords, but separately.
And he thinks Iran's ready to do a deal.
Um, mostly because they've been so weakened by recent events that they would get flexible.
But I don't know about that, but maybe.
All right.
Here here are some of the highlights of his speech as well.
Um the part I like best is you might know that Netanyahu is uh got some legal problems.
He's being accused of I don't know bribery or corruption or something.
and uh that's on hold because the war and so Trump's up there absorbing like the maximum amount of praise and he's praising Netanyahu and then he turns to the president um which is different than the prime minister of course turns to the president of uh Israel who was on the deis and he says that uh he thinks that Netanyahu should get a pardon and that's the guy that decides to pardon and I thought I thought he was going to get the president of Israel to agree to a pardon right in front of us, but he he didn't take the bait.
He might, but um watching watching uh Trump make that play to see if he can get the pardon for Netanyahu was one of the strongest leadership things I've ever seen in my life.
That was so impressive.
even if he doesn't get it.
That was so impressive.
How many times have I told you that one of the magic tricks that Trump does for persuasion is that if you're his enemy, you're really his enemy.
Like he's really he's going to take you down.
You're going to get lawfared.
You know, your country might get attacked.
You might be get a bad nickname.
If you're on his bad side, you're really on his bad side.
But as I often tell you, if you get on his good side, he won't just say you're a good person.
He will change your life.
And this is one one of the things he could have done and maybe he still will do for Netanyahu.
So Netanyahu became flexible.
I'm not sure that he was always flexible in this process, but he did Netanyahu did decide to conform to what Trump wanted him to do, and that worked out.
So now they're best friends.
And what does Trump do?
Does he just say, um, you know, I'll give you some award.
That's what Nanyahu is doing for Trump, right?
Give you an award.
Well, that's great.
I love it.
Awards are good.
But what would be more valuable to Nanyahu than a pardon?
And who would have more influence and who would be more in the moment to read the room and know that this is the moment to insert that idea?
only Trump.
There's not another president in the entire world who would have read that moment, right?
And said, "Wow, this is this is something I could do that's beyond, you know, what Netanyahu would ever expect me to do, and I might be able to pull it off." I I feel I would love to know what was going on in the mind of the Israeli president.
I wonder if he thought to himself, I should just do it.
because obviously he doesn't want to do it or he would have done it already.
But I wonder if he just thought to himself, this would be such a moment.
I mean, the moment would have been extraordinary.
Yeah.
Imagine if the president had just turned and said, "Mr.
President, I have not, you know, fully considered this, but in recognition of the day, in recognition of what you've done for us, I'm going to give you that." That could have happened.
That would have been amazing.
Boy, Trump knows how to create a moment or get close to a moment.
All right, but here's uh here's what I feel and I hope that the rest of you feel it, too.
As I posted on Acts uh cryptically, but I only wanted the people who understood to understand it.
I don't want everybody to understand it.
And my my post on X was just this.
This is why.
That's it.
This is why what I mean, of course, for the few of you who don't know exactly what that means, is that in 2016 when I decided to I didn't know I was doing it at the time, but quickly I figured it out.
when I decided I would throw away my entire social life to back Trump and when I eventually threw away my entire career which even before I was cancelled my licensing business and you know book sales you know went to went to almost nothing because I was supporting Trump.
I sacrificed everything.
I sacrificed my social life.
I sacrificed my career.
I sacrificed my reputation.
I may have sacrificed my health.
And I did that because I believed it was worth it.
Today's the day.
Today's the day.
All right.
And I'm really happy I lived long enough to see it.
It was worth it.
It was worth it.
Not just for this, you know, but it was worth it.
It was It was worth it to be right.
It's worth it to be right.
All right.
So, as you know, Trump doesn't become president without a hundred things going the right way.
You know, I I like to think I might have been one of the hundred things that went the right way so that he could uh get elected and we could get something done, save the country, maybe save the world.
Um, but it wasn't free.
It wasn't cheap.
It wasn't easy.
But every one of you who's watching right now probably shared a little bit in that pain.
Probably every one of you said, "You know what?
You're not going to tell me who to vote for.
You know what?
You're you're not going to manipulate me.
You know what?
I'm going to do what I think is right and I'm going to follow this all the way." You altered that.
all all the all the MAGA supporters, you all took a personal and professional risk for the benefit of the country and you knew that it was going to cost you dearly.
You lost family members, lost your daughter, somebody says, "Yeah, a lot of you lost family members, you lost friends, you lost jobs, cost you money." And you were right in the end.
In the end, you were right.
You bet the right way.
So, you know, even though you could say Scott, you know, this is more about Israel than it is about the United States, and it is, but it seems to be an emotional touch point that seems to touch everything.
It seems to touch the world, including the United States, you know, most heavily.
And what it does is it it just puts Trump in a whole different category where now he can do even more things that were impossible because people are going to look at him and say, "Okay, you did the impossible one time after another.
What else can you do?" And we're probably going to find out.
Maybe it means we get better trade deals with China.
Maybe maybe you can wrap something up with Russia.
That's going to be a tough one.
But um you know that I've been all in since 2016.
All in.
I bet it all.
I just spent everything.
I bet everything to get to this point.
The golden age.
So here we are.
Here we are.
So I I don't even know if I want to talk about the news today.
It just feels so good to be on the right side of history.
because you never know.
You never know if you're going to be on the right side of history.
But boy are we on the right side of history right now.
So unless there are aliens in that comet, maybe things are going to look good.
Anyway, um we have some background on why Hamas finally caved.
I guess Egypt and Qatar were going hard at him, saying it was the last chance.
Turkey was going hard at Hamas telling them you better get this done and uh they were getting a lot of pressure at from their own people.
So basically it got to the point where everybody outside of Hamas was telling Hamas, you got to end this.
There was essentially nobody left on their side.
So it got done.
So being in the right place at the right time helps, but it still had to be Trump.
Only Trump could have gotten it done.
Um, and then the last person to agree was Netanyahu, and Trump bullied him into saying yes.
And I'm sure Na was happy about it.
Now, here's what Charlemagne the God said about it.
He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible." Now, remember, Charlemagne the God's Democrat.
He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's politically possible.
Trump shows me what presidents can do if they want to do it.
And he says it's not about what can't be done.
It's about what who has the political will to do it.
So that seems to be the frame that some Democrats are starting to enter.
The okay, okay, this is true that Trump can do things that other people can't do.
That is the number one thing I wanted to sell the country.
the number one thing he can do things that other people can't do and if you if you ever need those things to get done there's only one person to do it as far as I know.
So Charlemagne sees it too.
He sees oh my goodness who you pick really makes a difference.
It did this time.
Don't you wonder what the uh Democrats are going to have to protest.
So they're they're left to protest the the government closing, which is their fault.
Just think about this.
The biggest complaint that they have now is that Trump is too strong a leader.
He's like a strongman dictator type.
But that's why this got done.
Even the people who don't like him being an authoritarian strongman dictator will completely understand that none of this would happen without him being that person because he pushed everybody.
He scared everybody.
He shook the box.
Nobody else could do that.
Nobody else could do that.
So at the same time that all that goodness is happening, maybe peace breaking down everywhere.
Um you know on Friday that China scared us with this uh threat of restricting the rare earth materials which would destroy uh the entire economy of the world if they did that.
I was not so sure that was real, but I I think I don't think I committed to it one way or the other.
But uh according to Trump, it's probably just a negotiating position and not really that different from what it was.
He goes, "Don't worry, you know, truth." He said yesterday, I guess, "Don't worry about China.
It will be fine.
Highly respected President Xi just had a bad moment.
He doesn't want depression for his country, and neither do I.
The US wants to uh help China, not hurt it." Do you see how much technique is built into that?
just that little sent that little message on true social.
Don't worry about China.
It'll all be fine.
So that part's probably true because China doesn't want to destroy the economy of the world.
They don't really get an advantage if they do that.
So probably won't do that.
Um but when he says that respected President Xi just had a bad moment, that is really um gets to his face.
that that's kind of putting him it's kind of putting him down a little bit and and showing that he lost face by creating this uh this little bruhaha.
Now what that does is if she doesn't decide to nuke us for insulting him in theory he just got negged.
Do you know what negging is?
Neg.
It means that he he got sort of a complimenty insult.
It's a complimenty insult.
It's it's what you do if you want a woman to uh like you if you're one of those dating guys.
So, President Xi, if it's not so bad that he'll never talk to Trump again, then it probably isn't.
Just the fact that he had a bad moment, he's going to have to recover from his bad moment.
So that's that's the position that Trump has put him in.
He's like, I'm not criticizing you.
I'm just saying you had a bad moment.
Do you think she wants to be known as the guy who had a bad moment and almost destroyed the economy of the United States with a a statement that probably should have been vetted a little bit better?
Oh, I I think Trump's completely right.
He had a bad moment.
He totally had a bad moment.
So now he's got something to to make up for.
And that's the genius of Trump.
This is just perfect persuasion.
Put push she in a little box with just a little bit of discomfort.
And wouldn't he like to get out of that box by not being a person who's trying to hurt the economy of the world?
So setting them up for negotiations.
Scott Besson says uh in all caps uh no he didn't say it in all caps.
The idea is to give China time to meet and talk.
So mostly it's about showing some respect for China and giving them the time to to work things out and then probably things will be fine.
Stock market seems to be happy about it.
I saw a long post by Sahil Patel who wanted to look into the semiconductor um supply chain because as you know if the semiconductor supply chain breaks then all of our technology breaks and then the whole world falls into a coma.
Um, but it turns out that our semiconductor supply chain, not ours, but the world's is really, really brittle.
And I didn't have any idea how brittle it was, but uh that's what Sahil did.
So TSMC, the the Taiwan company that produces 90% of the world's most advanced chips.
So, problem number one, there's only one company that makes 90% of the chips and they happen to be on an island that is likely to turn into a war zone.
So, that's the first thing to worry about.
Secondly, TSMC relies on a Dutch company uh for lithography machines, meaning that there's probably no other place you can get them.
meaning that if something happened to that one company, maybe TSMC couldn't make any new chips just if that one company has a problem.
But uh they depend on a company called Carl Zeiss that does optical stuff.
Uh it's the only firm in the world capable of making the mirrors that are precise enough for the the high-end chips.
Only one company.
If that company had a problem, no more chips.
Uh, there's a light source.
I need a EUV machine that's produced by one company in San Diego.
If something happens to that one company in San Diego, no chips for you.
And it goes on and on like this uh about the other parts that are only available in one place ever.
Now, in theory, somebody else could make them, but I know that the the mirror stuff is so amazingly amazingly hard that probably I mean, there's a good chance that nobody else will ever be able to do it possibly.
Anyway, so it goes on like that.
There's a whole bunch of pieces that you can only get from one place.
So, if that one place went down, no chips if any one of them go down.
So, that's pretty scary.
Meanwhile, over in Ukraine, where the Ukrainian drones are attacking uh Russian energy sources, they attacked a bunch of energy sources on Crimea and uh did quite an attack with the drones.
Um, but the update on Trump is he had been talking about sending our Tomahawk missiles to uh Ukraine because they're they go long distance.
They would go deep into Russia and they would be very accurate and hard to stop.
Uh, I thought he had already agreed to give them to Ukraine with some restrictions on how they use them, but it sounds like he is not.
he still needs to talk to Zilinski.
Um, and what he said was Trump said that he may send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine if Russia doesn't settle its war.
So, it looks like he might be using the threat of tomahawks to get Putin to say, "I don't want any tomahawks hitting myself." Now, of course, Russia said that if we did give them tomahawks and they got used that they would retaliate in some unspecified way that we wouldn't like.
So, I don't know, would they?
Or or there there's something psychological about the Ukraine war where both Russia and Ukraine decide not to attack the neighboring countries that are helping.
Yeah.
So, so we're, you know, they're not attacking the United States for providing weapons or not attacking Europe for providing the funding.
They're just treating it like it's a war between two countries when clearly there are a lot of countries involved.
So, if Putin continues to do that, to treat it like it's just them against Ukraine, then the Tomahawks wouldn't be that big a deal, except that, you know, they wouldn't like it.
But if Putin decides to change the frame and reframe it and say, "Okay, this is a war against the United States.
You're just you're just laundering it through Ukraine." Well, then all bets are off.
But I would think that Putin would not want to do anything that looked like a direct attack on the United States because there's this guy, you may have heard of him, uh, Donald Trump, who's the president, and, uh, what what his response would be compared to any other president, what his response would be to any attack on the homeland or our military assets.
Putin can't predict that.
That's unpredictable.
and you don't want to get into militarily unpredictable waters.
So, that's another thing that Trump brings, that unpredictability that does keep people away.
Anyway, um so we'll see what happens with those tomahawks.
Seems like a good play.
So, uh, JD Vance was on ABC talking to George Slaponopoulos and, uh, Slopponopoulos was trying to get him to talk about the, uh, the story that may be completely fake about, uh, Homeland Security guy Tom Hman, allegedly before he was in this job, accepting a $50,000 bag of cash on video, allegedly um, for helping some company get a border contract.
Now, I don't think that was illegal because he wasn't working for the government then and he was consulting.
So, I don't even know if there's a crime involved.
But um so JD Vance was asked about that to comment on the bag of cash and Tom Hman because ABC News needed to find something to talk about that was not the tremendous success that that Trump is experiencing at the moment in the Middle East.
So they had to find something.
They got to find something to talk to JD about that'll sound bad for those guys.
Um, and JD had a very interesting response to the accusations about that bag of cash.
He said it's a fake scandal and uh he didn't know anything about that video.
And I said to myself, what do you mean you don't know about the video?
Everybody knows about the video.
It's been a, you know, top headline.
We all know about the video.
And then I thought to myself, wait a minute.
I haven't seen the video.
Have any of you seen a video of him or anybody else accepting a bag of cash?
And then I thought, wait a minute, is this whole thing just made up?
If if you haven't seen the video, I don't know that there's a video.
Do you do you believe there's really a video of him accepting cash?
It's been a while.
You think that you think that bad boy would have leaked, right?
or at the very least somebody would say, "I have the video in my hand.
I just can't show it to you." So, we don't know who has said video and we haven't and nobody that we know has seen it.
I feel like JD had the right answer, which is you treat it like it's not real because they can't prove it's real.
I don't know if it's real.
You know, my guess is if it was real, if it were real and it was real bad that probably more would have happened.
So, my guess is that's not that real.
Just my guess.
So, Reuters has an article today that that looked like came from the past.
The title was climate tipping points are being crossed, scientists warn ahead of COP30.
So, I guess there's some big climate change meetup coming up.
And uh Reuters wants us to know that we're past the tipping points where climate change is going to kill us all.
We're we're already past the tipping points.
Now, isn't there something wrong with this?
But why would that just be a a little bit of an article around other articles that just is keyed off of a meeting coming up?
Wouldn't that be the biggest problem and biggest story in the world that we would cross all the tipping points and now we're definitely dead?
They couldn't possibly believe what they're saying.
They could not possibly believe what they're writing.
That's where we've gotten to, right?
where they couldn't possibly believe it because you wouldn't you wouldn't act matterof fact about it.
It's just like a little article on Reuters.
Yeah, we're past all the tipping points.
Looks like there's nothing we could do.
It's the end of the world.
Uh but they got a big meeting coming up.
Like what?
If I believe that the world was past the tipping point, I'd be recommending that you have sex with a stranger.
No, I wouldn't.
Maybe I would, but you would act completely different.
There's no way you would act matterof fact if you really believed we had crossed the tipping points and the and the climate's going to just disappear.
Now, they had some claims about, oh, we're past the tipping point for coral and it said, you know, all the coral is disappearing and therefore the, you know, the oceans will not be sustainable, etc.
And I thought, what news are you looking at, Reuters?
All the news I've seen in the past 6 months told me that the coral has recovered when people didn't expect it.
Did I imagine that?
Was that fake news?
Or does Reuters not know that the current news is that the coral seems to have come back or it's coming back uh powerfully and probably there's no tempo uh no crossover point at all.
Yeah.
Anyway, so that just seems so out of date.
Meanwhile, several uh this is also Reuters, several pharmaceutical companies, I think there were like maybe 10 of them or so, quite a few of them u are now saying that they'll sell their drugs directly to patients in the US.
Now, that would be in response to Trump uh trying to get them to lower their prices.
But what's interesting here is, have I ever introduced my idea of the confuseopoly?
The confuseopoly is when you're in a business that's just like somebody else's business and it's sort of a commodity like a cell phone or or some kinds of insurance.
You know, they're exactly the same.
So, you have to pretend that yours is different by making it confusing.
Well, what does this cell phone service cost?
Well, it depends.
uh do you have your relatives on it and did you use the extra minutes and did you roll over the minutes and then you can't really compare it to anything because you don't know how exactly what minutes you would use and what you would roll over and if you rolled it over would anybody use it.
So if they make it confusing then each of the cell companies will sort of get their share.
If they made it not confusing, then everybody would know which one was the good one and all the others would be out of business instantly.
So confusopies are the only thing that um keeps complicated commodity like businesses in business.
It it prevents you from knowing which one is the better one.
And that is clearly something like that's happening with these pharmaceutical companies who have agreed to sell drugs direct to patients because they're all going to do it a different way and they're going to do it with different platforms.
So some of them have their own website, some of them are going to work through somebody else.
Some of them are going to cut some drugs but not others.
They'll probably come up with complicated formulas like, well, under these conditions, we'll cut them for these people, but under these conditions, we won't.
So, I feel like the pharma companies are going to have to make it really complicated so that they can say they're doing things without doing things because I'll tell you what they can't do.
They can't lower their prices and give us the same price that they give to third world countries, which is the ask.
That's what we're asking for.
They can't do that.
That would be their entire profitability.
So, they have to pretend they're playing along because Trump is too powerful right now.
So, they have they have to act like they're playing along.
Well, I don't think they are playing along.
I think they're going to, you know, throw a bone.
You know, maybe maybe some drugs that are almost generic but are not their big profitable drugs.
you know, if they if they throw a few sacrificial drugs uh for lower cost, they can keep their their profitable ones at their current price.
Probably try to get away with that.
So, I'm not ready to speak optimistically about where that's happening.
I think I think that the big pharma has got a they got a lot of game.
They know how to protect themselves.
Well, Trump has suggested publicly that uh who he calls corrupt Senator Adam Schiff could be the the next person who gets lawfired.
Says he's so dishonest.
And of course that causes people to say, "Wait a minute.
You're the president of the United States.
You can't be identifying enemies and then telling the Department of Justice to go laware them.
You can't do that." to which I have mixed feelings.
If if these had been innocent people or just people who were doing their own thing that didn't affect Trump and didn't affect me and didn't affect the government, I might say, "Yeah, don't lawfare them.
That's just going to create more problems." You know, even even though they lawfared you, don't lawfare them.
But because but because these specific people were literally trying to overthrow my government and they were trying to destroy the guy that you know you and I and the other supporters were trying to support to the point where he could get to do things like this, you know, ending wars.
That's what we wanted him to do.
That's why we hired him.
That's why we voted for him.
And we wanted that to get done.
But there was a group of professional liars and uh insurrectionists, I would call them, who worked very hard to stop that.
Now, if you lawfare those guys, I'm totally okay with that because you absolutely need uh mutually assured destruction so that the next time the Democrats decide to lawfare the next president, which they will, they'll at least think twice and they're going to say, "All right, the last time we lawfire a president, we didn't see it coming, but he became the president again and then he got all of us back and all the people who lawfared him are in jail or or paid a lot of money.
You can't let it go.
The the things that they did to Trump and by extension to his supporters, you can't let that go.
So if you have to lawfare it to get them back, lawfare it.
Whatever you have to do, you cannot let that stand.
And to imagine that lawfaring this group of people, lawfaring the lawfarers who were the the insurrectionist lawfares, you can't compare that to anything else.
If if he were just taking down a critic, I'll tell you where I'd draw the line.
If he said, uh, if he said, uh, Stephen King says bad things about me all the time, uh, I'd like you to lawfare him.
Go find a crime.
I'm sure you can find a crime.
Now, that would be completely unacceptable to me and I would fight against that.
How about uh Rob Reiner?
Huge critic of the president.
Huge pain in the ass.
If the president said, "Hey, lawfare that guy because he says bad things about me." No, no, nope.
We don't do that.
You can say bad things about people.
We allow that.
That's free speech.
But if he's going after the people who literally lied about what was in the skiff, ran gigantic hoaxes to try to literally change the government and tried to jail him, if not shoot him, free pass.
Mr.
President, you have a free pass.
Not just to say whatever you want to say.
Okay.
little little cat action going on here.
Not only to say what you want to say, but to encourage the Department of Justice to deal with it.
So, yeah, I'm completely in favor of lawfare against lawfarers, but limited to that and maybe insurrectionists, but that's the same thing in this case.
All right.
Um, there's some new news that there's this uh Washington DC undercover metropolitan police guy, Nicholas Thomasula, who says that he was actually trying to instigate trouble at the January 6th event.
Um, I don't know if he says that he did it for Nancy Pelosi, but apparently there is evidence and he's saying it directly that he was encouraging people to trespass and encourage them to climb up the scaffolding, which was the big weakness in the uh the defense they had there.
And is this real?
Do we actually have a real live person now who says, "Oh yeah, I was there to instigate." Do you think there was only one?
Would they only send one or would one think that, you know, on his own?
Did he decide on his own to do that?
Are are we on the verge of finding out the truth about January 6th?
We might be.
We might be on the verge of actually finding out that, you know, that was more staged than we thought.
So keep an eye on that.
I've been watching with interest Marjgerie Taylor Green buck the uh not just the left but often the right.
So I guess I guess Marjorie Taylor Green who I like by the way.
Uh I I like having her uh as part of government and you know she's just a fun personality as well.
So, I I kind of like her um as a person and as a politician, but she's not on board with uh with all Republicans.
She said uh quote, "As a construction business owner," which she is, I don't think we should be supporting illegal immigrants that work in that industry.
Now, I saw a counterpoint to that, which is if you got rid of all the illegal immigrants, uh you wouldn't need to build as many houses and therefore you wouldn't need them.
And and it's funny when I when I saw that argument because there's no population growth.
We don't have population growth.
So, in theory, we shouldn't have to build too many houses, you know, mostly just replacement houses and upgrades and stuff.
But, uh, so maybe we don't even need a construction business.
Uh, because we're just building houses for the people that we we didn't want to come in.
I don't I'm not buying that that narrative entirely.
There's a little bit to it.
There's a little bit to it, but that that's not that's not a good complete picture.
And that Marjorie Taylor Green also says that prices have not come down and pay has not gone up.
Now slightly true that some prices went down and it's slightly true that some pay went up, but not really in a big way.
So she's uh she's bucking the narratives there a little bit, but I don't mind that at all.
Well, meanwhile, Denmark has committed $4.2 two billion dollars to defending uh Greenland so that they don't have to give it up to the United States.
Uh and uh there now they are legitimately worried about Russia's influence in that part of the world.
So Greenland buying some buying some defensive stuff.
I can't imagine that Denmark plus Greenland if you add them together could defend against Russia without the US.
I mean, not that they would have to because they're a NATO country, but wait, how's that work?
So, if Russia attacked Greenland, and Greenland is owned by Denmark, which is in NATO, but Greenland isn't specifically part of NATO.
Would NATO be uh activated for Greenland?
I do not know.
Maybe somebody can tell me that.
Anyway, I doubt that their 4.2 billion is going to get them enough to defend against Russia.
The Wall Street Journal had an article about uh AI not making as much difference and productivity as anybody hoped.
Um a JP Morgan Chase economist didn't find any strong link between productivity and uh rolling out AI.
Now, who's been telling you for a while that AI will not be the job killer that all the smart people say it will be?
Me.
Um, cuz just if you've tried using it yourself, you immediately see that it is so limited.
And in my opinion, the current version of AI cannot be better because if they can't make the hallucinations go away, and they can't, um, what are you going to use it for?
All you can use it for is chatting basically and a few other things.
So, I've been a uh skeptic of AI replacing all our jobs.
I think maybe it'll be an assistant for a while, etc.
However, I want to be the first one to tell you what's coming.
Um, what's coming is a new form of AI that's not the large language models.
So the problem with the large language models is that all they do is look for a pattern.
That's all they do.
And so if the words that people have used are in a certain pattern that uses that pattern.
So it doesn't mean that it's seeing the truth, it's just detecting patterns which sometimes are not, you know, they're not reality based patterns.
So that can't go too far.
But there's a new type of AI being referred to as generative video AI.
Now, if I understand this correctly, generative video AI starts with real video.
So, let's say if you had the database of all the video taken by all the Tesla car cameras, that would be the real video.
And then you could you could train your AI with real video so that it could see for example you know this is an object that's a phone.
It could see how it could be manipulated in space.
So instead of learning a word pattern and the word pattern for llm might be uh I pick up phone and if a lot of people say I pick up phone then the large language model knows that you can pick up a phone but it doesn't really know it.
It's just a pattern.
Lots of people have picked up phones.
Lots of people have mentioned it.
So now AI knows that you can pick up a phone.
But with the new ones, the the uh video ones, if you had video of somebody picking up a phone, it would know you could pick up a phone.
And it could also conform to the physics of the situation.
And then the fun part is it can generate fake videos of people doing things with the phone.
But the fake video would be based on things that could be done with the phone because it uses physics, etc., like a game would, just like a video game.
So that it can create a whole bunch of knowledge about what a person can do with a phone without observing it.
So it wouldn't have to observe people doing it.
It would just figure out, oh well, now I know it's a physical object.
It's, you know, it's about this size.
Uh, that would be something somebody could pick up.
Now I'm I'm simplifying it but um what I'm trying to say is that that limitation of the hallucinating might be fixable but it will require an entirely new technology.
This this generative video AI which is coming by the way it's not it's not speculative.
It's being rolled out right now.
Yeah.
I I think that's close to what Tesla is doing.
It's either close to or exactly what Tesla's doing.
That's right.
So, if you were going to bet on which company got to the the really smart AI first, I think I would bet on Tesla.
Now, that's not a recommendation.
It's not a recommendation.
Don't buy stock because I say it's something that's a bad idea.
But, uh, it does look like, uh, Elon knows that the LLMs are are capped and that he knows that if he's going to put a trillion dollars into it, which he is, uh, he'd better get the good stuff.
So, keep an eye on that.
Ray Kurszswwell, the uh, futurist who's been around forever.
He's trying to live forever.
Uh, like literally live forever by porting his brain to a computer someday.
I think he says that AGI, that would be the the real smart version of AI, will be around 2029.
Now, he's got a long track record of making incredible predictions.
So, we take him seriously.
Uh 2029.
So, three years.
I think he's right on.
I think he's right on because it will take about that time in my in my best guess for that generative AI to not only work but to be sort of rolled out.
That feels about right.
I think he nailed it again probably about 3 years before we have the the serious AI.
In other fun news, some uh according to the Daily Mail, some tunnels have been uh discovered under Egypt's Giza pyramids.
Now, these are not the the the weird stories that I debunked a while ago, several months ago, there was somebody said, "Oh, we found all these, you know, things under the pyramids." It's not that.
Uh apparently connecting pyramids as opposed to being, you know, directly under them.
and they found a few of these uh alleged uh longforgotten underground pathways that had been rumored in history, but nobody found them.
So, I guess Heroditus had described a labyrinth in Egypt with 3,000 chambers, many hidden below ground, but nobody had ever found any of it.
So, they thought Heroditus might be might be an exaggerator, I guess, but maybe there is something down there.
So, we will soon find out who built those pyramids when we get down there.
Maybe uh University of South Wales found out that you could use um intensive oneweek online therapy to reduce symptoms of social anxiety.
So, apparently they've had they did a study and they found you could reduce your social anxiety disorder um with online help.
Now, in my book, Reframe Your Brain, I also have a reframe for uh that.
You want me to just I think I'll just tell you, I've told you this reframe before, but it's one of the very best.
This could be life-changing.
Do any of you have that problem where if you go to a party, first of all, you didn't want to go, but then you're sitting outside and you say to yourself, you know what?
I can't even walk in that room.
I I don't want to be in a room with all those those fakes and those people, right?
How many of you have that social anxiety where you gh I I just I can't talk to these strangers?
A lot of you, right?
I'm going to give you a reframe now that will fix it.
You ready for this?
This will change your life.
It really will.
I've heard from people who say it changed their life.
They just heard it once.
Changed their life.
It goes like this.
First of all, everybody has social anxiety.
Now, maybe not everybody, but 90%.
So, the first thing you need to know is that everybody else is pretending.
As soon as you think you're the only one pretending to be, you know, comfortable and that everybody else has figured out how to do this, that's not the case.
They're all uncomfortable.
10% are kind of crazy narcissists who like the excitement.
10%.
90% are exactly what you're feeling.
Oh, who am I going to talk to?
What do I do with my hands?
Did I make a fool of myself?
Can I just make an excuse to leave?
Why should I pretend to get another drink?
All right, here's what you need to know.
If you had studied the Dale Carnegie approach for making conversation, you would know the technique for walking up to any stranger and just starting a pleasant conversation that the other person would when you're done say, "I like that guy." Or, "I like that person." And it's easy.
I've taught you this many times.
All you do is you ask questions about the other person and you listen with.
That's it.
If you walk up to somebody and try to make a joke to a stranger, which is what I used to do before I learned how to do this, I I would think, well, if I'm funny, like I I'll bond right away.
Never really worked.
You can get lucky and hit somebody who has your exact sense of humor and you then something can happen.
But it's not a good general approach.
Most people are not going to laugh and it's just not going to lead to anything.
But if you walk up and say your name, hi, I'm Scott.
That's always first.
Hi, I'm blah blah blah.
If they don't say who they are, you say, "What's your name?" And then you ask them just basic questions about them.
It would depend on, you know, what was the point of the the thing.
So, you might say, "Hey, you know, where are you from?" or "Who do you know?" Or, uh, you could even ask, you know, what do you do for a living?
If it if the conversation goes, do you have kids?
You planning a vacation?
What school do your kids go to?
If you ask just those basic questions, the other person will feel comfortable because they know the answers to the questions.
They know their name.
They know where they work.
They know where the kids go to school, unless it's the father.
And uh and then that's comfortable because all they're doing is answering easy questions and it looks like you're interested in them.
solves every problem.
All right, so I just solved how to talk to a stranger.
If you don't think that works, try it once.
It works.
It works every time.
Show interest.
Ask questions and don't do a big monologue about you.
If they want to know about you, they'll ask.
You don't even have to say anything about you.
But usually, if just a few questions, you can find something you have in common.
So you might say, "So what do you do for a living?" And the person tells you their job and you go, "I I'm so interested in that." Like, you know, how does that work?
How'd you get into that?
So, you know, and if it's something about kids, if you have kids about the same age, you got lots to talk about.
So, you're looking for that thing you can talk about, the jumping off point, and and the questions are just to get you to that.
All right.
Now, so now you have a skill that I just taught you that the other 90% of the people who have bad social anxiety don't have.
So what are they going to do?
They're going to go there and think, I don't know what to do.
I don't know what to do.
But I solved it for you.
Just walk up to somebody who's looks uncomfortable.
Introduce yourself.
Ask some questions.
And then the next thing you need to know is how to leave.
you know how to how to stop talking to somebody because you don't want to get trapped and you think, "Oh, I found one person to talk to.
I'll just stay here all night until they hate me." No, you have to leave.
You you want to give them just enough of you that they they got enough but not too much.
So, here are some ways to leave people without being rude.
If you've talked to them enough and you've asked some questions and you've showed some interest, they're done.
you know, they don't need you to stay there all night.
So, here's what you say.
It was really great meeting you.
Um, I want to do a little mingling and I'll catch up with you later.
Everybody is there to do mingling.
So, if you say, "It was great talking to you.
I got to go do some mingling." They get it because they probably have to do the same thing.
So, that's not awkward.
Or you could say, "U, can I get you a can I refill your drink?" If they don't want to spend more time with you, they're gonna say, "Oh, no.
I'm fine." And then you you go away to refill your own drink and don't come back.
Or you say, "I got to use the restroom." Or you say, "You see somebody.
Here's another good one." You say, "Oh, I have to talk to Bob.
Excuse me.
It was great talking to you." And then you you go directly over to Bob.
If you know Bob, the other thing is if you don't know a single person there, not if you don't know anybody, I always recommend looking for the alpha female.
Most most events have at least one alpha female and you you can pick them out.
You know, they're the ones flitting from one place to the other and everybody's giving them attention.
Maybe they're the organizer, maybe it's the person who invited you.
But if you attach to them, the alpha female, men will do it too, but the alpha females are a little little bit better.
They will introduce you to whoever they're standing next to.
So, you just walk up to them.
Hi, Benny.
Thanks for inviting me.
They go, "Oh, glad you made it.
Have you met so and so?" And here's so and so.
And now you know three people that you could say hi to anytime during the party.
All right.
So, now you know the technique, but now we're going to get to the good part.
Okay, here's the payoff.
You're sitting in your car outside the party and you've got that anxiety about going in.
Reframe it.
Here's the reframe.
You're going to rescue all those other people who have social anxiety.
You're not the person with social anxiety.
You're the solution.
So, you walk in there and you find somebody who looks uncomfortable and you walk right up to them and you solve their problem by being the person who knows how to start a conversation, which you are now.
And when you're done with that person, you say, "Great meet you.
I've got to do a little more mingling." You find another person and you save them, too.
You can spend your whole night saving people.
And boy, will they appreciate it.
Yeah.
it.
There's nothing that the other people want more than a friendly person to come up to them and start a conversation.
They all want that.
You are their hero.
If you can do that for them, your hero.
So, you're not going there as this weak little person who's in the 10% who can't figure out how to start a conversation with a human being.
That's not who you are.
You are already because I just trained you and it was that easy.
It really is that easy.
I just taught you how to be the most effective person in the party, and you will be.
You simply have to do what I just said.
Just learn how to ask questions, learn how to introduce yourself with eye contact and a handshake, and learn how to leave.
If you learn those very simple things, which you just did, basically, you just learned them, you are no longer a victim of social anxiety.
It'll take you a few practice runs, but once you've done it like twice, you'll never have anxiety again.
You you'll say, "Oh, I did it twice in a row, and it was super easy, and everybody seemed to be happy about it, and I got all these phone numbers and made some friends." So, that's a that's a reframe in my book, Reframe Your Brain.
Now, when I tell you that this is the kind of book that changes people's lives, that's what I mean, right?
So, so some of you didn't need that.
That had no value to you whatsoever.
But 100% of you know somebody who needs it, don't you?
100% of you know somebody that you're already thinking, "Oh, man.
I want to get a clip of that and show my friend that will really help them." I hope this gets clipped.
uh probably will be.
All right.
So, there are other reframes that might be more more relevant to you specifically.
Um let's see.
Uh Venezuela is collapsing, but so is Cuba.
Did uh I saw an article by Daniel a lot.
He's an opinion contributor in the Hill and he tells us that over the last four years roughly 2 million Cubans which would be 20% of all Cubans on the island have left the island and the ones leaving are the professionals because you know they can they can make a life somewhere.
So I guess their their biggest source of oil was Venezuelan oil which they can no longer depend on.
It's not reliable anymore.
the professionals are leaving and their infrastructure is in complete um disrepair.
It's just collapsing.
So Cuba might fail before Venezuela, but I guess they're sort of joined at the hip.
So Trump might have a Cuba play that historically we've never had.
Meaning that Cuba is going to be pretty desperate.
Uh far more than it is.
It's already pretty desperate.
But uh if they become even more desperate, they might get flexible and and maybe maybe the US is the only thing that can save them and maybe they want to, you know, be a little bit uh friendlier with the US going forward and vice versa.
We'll see.
Well, you heard the story about the Dominion um company, the election voting machines.
that company got sold to a alleged Republican who uh is apparently involved in decommissioning a number of the uh machines.
Now, I don't have details about why some of them are being decommissioned, but not all of them.
Why do you think do you think that he's that he's decommissioning voting machines because they're old and unreliable?
old and unreliable or because they had um security vulnerabilities that we don't know about just generally unreliable or unreliable for security reasons.
Don't you feel you need to know the answer to that question?
I feel like that's really important.
Are they decommissioning machines because they know that they're not secure?
H I've got questions.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that is what I have for today's show.
I want to thank you all again from the bottom of my heart.
If you were supporting this president and you took the the risks that I took, you took the hits, you lost family members, you may have lost money, you may have lost prestige, you may have lost everything, you may have lost everything, but damn it, you were right.
You were right and this is the time to enjoy it.
You know, maybe tomorrow will be different, but today you can bask in the fact that you did a great thing.
You were part of something amazing.
In this case, it probably helped another country more than it helped us, but it's the same process.
The the same stuff is going to, you know, be helping America.
So, um, just enjoy being right.
It feels really good.
And that's all I have for you today.
I'm going to say a few words privately to my beloved local subscribers and the rest of you.
I hope to see you tomorrow for more good news.
Maybe.
You never know.
All right, locals coming at you privately in 30 seconds.
Hey, there you are. Come on in. What a
day. What a day we have ahead, huh?
Happy Columbus Day. I'm just checking
your stocks and it looks like today will
be an update for all the reasons that
you already know.
Kind of exciting.
Soon as we get our comments going, we'll
give you the show you deserve.
So, grab a seat.
Make sure your beverage is filled
because you know what time it is. That's
right.
All right, let's try this
and that.
[Music]
Oh, what a day.
All right, people.
Good morning, everybody, and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and
you've never had a better day. But if
you'd like to experience levels that
nobody can even understand with their
tiny, shiny human brains. All you need
for that is a copper mug or a glass of
tanker, gel, stina, a canteen, and
jugger flask, a vessel of any kind. and
fill it with your favorite liquid. I
like coffee. And join me now for the
unparallel pleasure, the dopamine of the
day, the thing that makes everything
better. It's called the simultaneous sip
and it happens right now. Go.
I don't want to say that that was better
than a hostage release, but it's right
up there.
All right.
As is my new tradition, I'm going to
start with a reframe.
I tried to pick one that was relevant to
today's big news, which we'll get to in
a moment. But this is another reframe
from my book, Reframe Your Brain.
And it goes like this.
The usual frame, the way people usually
think, is that the best world view is
the one that's true.
Right? The best world view is the one
that's true. Here's the reframe. The
best world view is the one that predicts
the best. It predicts the best. Does
that sound relevant?
Well, it is relevant because
2016 when I decided to back Trump,
I was predicting
and my prediction went like this.
He definitely seems to love America and
always has. So, his heart's in the right
place. He definitely has skills that
other people just don't have. He just
has skills they don't have and that
those skills could be really important
to the country because he could do
things that we need to get done that
nobody could get done.
So I predicted that his love of country,
his love of winning, his uh his extreme
toolbox of skills would get us to a good
place. Now was that based on reality and
truth or was it just predictive?
Well, other people said, "Hey, I think
his personality and character are uh
unsuitable to be president. Therefore,
he will steal our democracy and just
steal money from the treasury for
himself and uh he's only in it to win it
for himself."
Was that predictive?
It was not. That was not predictive. So,
it's easier if you release on what's
true because then you end up fighting
about the details of what's true and
focus on what's predictive.
Follow the money, that's predictive.
That if if you thought that Trump was a
big old narcissist who just wants
everybody to love him and look good,
that's why he works so hard.
That's not a negative. That's why he
works so hard. I I have the same uh the
same situation. Uh I want to be
appreciated for what I've done for other
people. That's that's my big payoff in
life. So I will work hard
so that somebody will say, "Oh, I'm
really glad you did that thing, whatever
that thing was." So yeah, the prediction
is that people like Trump are going to
get a lot of done. Happy Columbus
Day. Let's talk about those hostages
free. You already know the news. All 20
living hostages have been released. Um
there's hope that bodies will be
returned, but that might be a little
more complicated. 2,000 or so Hamas
people, I guess, are getting released in
return. We won't talk about them too
much because today is more about
happiness.
Um Trump flew over to Israel, which
turned out to be a brilliant move. He
didn't have to, but he did. And uh wow,
did he get a did he get a hero's welcome
like I've never seen before. Netanyahu
praised him like I've never seen anybody
praise Trump at all and all deserved. He
said, "No one moved the world so
decisively as Trump." He said, "Uh, I
believe that the close cooperation
between our two nations, combining
Israel's military pressure and Trump's
unmatched global leadership, achieve
this historic moment." Well, here's
something that Israel figured out, and
Netanyahu certainly figured out. There's
no such thing as praising Trump too
much.
I think you've all figured that out,
too, right? it it's not like he says,
"Oh, that's enough." Really, you can
tune it down a little bit. Oh, well,
thank you. I I appreciate it, but you
don't have to do all that. The more you
do, the better it is. You You can lay it
on as thick as you want, and he'll just
think, "Is there any more of that? Can I
get a little more of that?"
I do like that about him. Anyway, he was
hailed as a colossus and a giant of
Jewish history by the uh Israeli
Parliament.
Um so here here are just some things in
no particular order. Um number one, does
anybody think that any other president
could have gotten this done? No. No, you
don't. But poor little Biden and Biden's
uh little uh dingleberries that are
still hanging around around him, they're
they're trying to claim that all Trump
did was finalize the deal that Biden got
working.
Can you believe the gall
the the the fact that uh they they would
even try that they would even try to
give Biden credit for this. Oh my
goodness.
So meanwhile, while uh the so-called
Hitler is finding peace for Israel,
the Democrats are still they're still
whining about him being an authoritarian
uh Hitler
while we're all watching the
authoritarian Hitler bring peace to the
entire world.
The the Democrats could not be losing
harder than they are today. Today is
peak peak losing for Democrats. They
just got to shut up at this point. Just
just let it go, right? Just let it go.
There's nothing you should say right now
except thank you, Mr. President.
Um,
some people asked reasonably, why are
all 20 of the people released male? Um,
I think it's two factors. One is the
women the all the remaining women are
dead. Uh, that would be a fact
unfortunately. I don't know if they were
killed
in particular or killed because they
didn't want them talking. That's the
thing I worry about the most. Were they
killed because they were abused and they
didn't want them to go public?
Maybe. But it could also be because the
earlier rounds of releases focused on
women and children and elderly and uh
they just leave the the healthy male
military age people for last. So it's
probably a combination of bad things
happen to women but also that they
negotiated the women out earlier.
Probably both.
Anyway, um so Trump gets a, you know,
standing ovation, but when he mentioned
Biden, uh the people laughed. They
actually laughed at even the mention of
Biden. And then when he mentioned Obama
being the the worst or second worst
president after Biden, uh they clapped.
They actually clapped
the Israeli Knesset. They clapped for
Obama being a terrible president and
they laughed. They literally laughed at
a mention of Biden being the president.
And they sto they stood and gave a
standing ovation and uh now Netanyahu
wants to give um wants to nominate Trump
for the highest award in Israel.
So
maybe this whole authoritarian thing is
working out.
seems to be working out pretty well.
Anyway, um here's what uh Trump said in
his speech, which was hilarious, by the
way. So, his speech, he talked about uh
he he kind of teased Netanyahu for
running on too long because he's trying
to get to this other big meeting in
Egypt where all the all the big Middle
East countries will meet and decide the
fate of the Middle East. So, I guess
he's terribly late.
uh for that, but he's late because
they're praising him, so it's not the
worst thing in the world. Um, but when
he got to speak after he, you know, made
fun of BB talking too long and said some
fun things, he said, "Generations from
now, this will be remembered as the
moment that everything began to change."
Like the USA right now, it will be the
golden age of Israel and the golden age
of the Middle East.
Well, here we are. It's the golden age.
And uh
and he says everybody's loving Israel
again. You he said things were getting
tough the last several months cuz of
course Israel was taking brutal
criticism for the way they were
executing the war. But now it's looking
like it just looks like a victory. You
know, winning winning solves a lot of
problems.
winning does.
And uh then Trump started selling the
Abraham Accords hard because he's the
salesman chief. If he can get that done,
oh my goodness. So I guess there are
four Middle East countries that are part
of that Abraham Accords and then there
are a bunch that could be but aren't but
would like to be maybe. And this
probably opens the door for that. So
Trump's trying to sell it hard. You
know, get in, get in on that Abraham
Accords as soon as you can.
And Trump is actually even promising
that he thinks he can make a deal with
Iran, not part of the Abraham Accords,
but separately. And he thinks Iran's
ready to do a deal. Um, mostly because
they've been so weakened by recent
events that they would get flexible. But
I don't know about that, but maybe.
All right. Here here are some of the
highlights of his speech as well.
Um
the part I like best is you might know
that Netanyahu is uh got some legal
problems. He's being accused of I don't
know bribery or corruption or something.
and uh that's on hold because the war
and so Trump's up there absorbing like
the maximum amount of praise and he's
praising Netanyahu and then he turns to
the president
um which is different than the prime
minister of course turns to the
president of uh Israel who was on the
deis and he says that uh he thinks that
Netanyahu should get a pardon and that's
the guy that decides to pardon and I
thought
I thought he was going to get the
president of Israel to agree to a pardon
right in front of us, but he he didn't
take the bait. He might, but um watching
watching uh Trump make that play to see
if he can get the pardon for Netanyahu
was one of the strongest leadership
things I've ever seen in my life. That
was so impressive. even if he doesn't
get it. That was so impressive. How many
times have I told you
that one of the magic tricks that Trump
does for persuasion is that if you're
his enemy, you're really his enemy. Like
he's really he's going to take you down.
You're going to get lawfared. You know,
your country might get attacked.
You might be get a bad nickname. If
you're on his bad side, you're really on
his bad side. But as I often tell you,
if you get on his good side, he won't
just say you're a good person. He will
change your life. And this is one one of
the things he could have done and maybe
he still will do for Netanyahu. So
Netanyahu
became flexible. I'm not sure that he
was always flexible in this process, but
he did Netanyahu did decide to conform
to what Trump wanted him to do, and that
worked out. So now they're best friends.
And what does Trump do? Does he just
say, um, you know, I'll give you some
award.
That's what Nanyahu is doing for Trump,
right? Give you an award. Well, that's
great. I love it. Awards are good. But
what would be more valuable to Nanyahu
than a pardon? And who would have more
influence and who would be more in the
moment to read the room and know that
this is the moment to insert that idea?
only Trump. There's not another
president in the entire world who would
have read that moment, right? And said,
"Wow, this is this is something I could
do that's beyond, you know, what
Netanyahu would ever expect me to do,
and I might be able to pull it off."
I I feel I would love to know what was
going on in the mind of the Israeli
president. I wonder if he thought to
himself,
I should just do it. because obviously
he doesn't want to do it or he would
have done it already. But I wonder if he
just thought to himself, this would be
such a moment. I mean, the moment
would have been extraordinary. Yeah.
Imagine if the president had just turned
and said, "Mr. President, I have not,
you know, fully considered this, but in
recognition of the day, in recognition
of what you've done for us, I'm going to
give you that."
That could have happened. That would
have been amazing. Boy, Trump knows how
to create a moment or get close to a
moment.
All right, but here's uh here's what I
feel and I hope that the rest of you
feel it, too. As I posted on Acts
uh cryptically, but I only wanted the
people who understood to understand it.
I don't want everybody to understand it.
And my my post on X was just this.
This is why.
That's it. This is why
what I mean, of course, for the few of
you who don't know exactly what that
means, is that in 2016 when I decided to
I didn't know I was doing it at the
time, but quickly I figured it out. when
I decided I would throw away my entire
social life to back Trump
and when I eventually threw away my
entire career which even before I was
cancelled my licensing business and you
know book sales you know went to went to
almost nothing because I was supporting
Trump.
I sacrificed everything. I sacrificed my
social life. I sacrificed my career. I
sacrificed my reputation.
I may have sacrificed my health.
And I did that because I believed it was
worth it.
Today's the day.
Today's the day.
All
right.
And
I'm really happy I lived long enough to
see it. It was worth it.
It was worth it. Not just for this, you
know, but it was worth it.
It was It was worth it to be right.
It's worth it to be right.
All right. So,
as you know, Trump doesn't become
president without a hundred things going
the right way.
You know, I I like to think I might have
been one of the hundred things that went
the right way so that he could uh get
elected and we could get something done,
save the country, maybe save the world.
Um, but it wasn't free. It wasn't cheap.
It wasn't easy. But every one of you
who's watching right now probably shared
a little bit in that pain. Probably
every one of you said, "You know what?
You're not going to tell me who to vote
for. You know what? You're you're not
going to manipulate me.
You know what? I'm going to do what I
think is right and I'm going to follow
this all the way."
You altered that. all all the all the
MAGA supporters, you all took a personal
and professional risk for the benefit of
the country and you knew that it was
going to cost you dearly. You lost
family members,
lost your daughter, somebody says,
"Yeah, a lot of you lost family members,
you lost friends, you lost jobs,
cost you money."
And you were right in the end.
In the end, you were right. You bet the
right way.
So, you know, even though you could say
Scott, you know, this is more about
Israel than it is about the United
States, and it is,
but it seems to be an emotional touch
point that seems to touch everything. It
seems to touch the world, including the
United States, you know, most heavily.
And what it does is it it just puts
Trump in a whole different category
where now he can do even more things
that were impossible because people are
going to look at him and say, "Okay, you
did the impossible one time after
another.
What else can you do?" And we're
probably going to find out. Maybe it
means we get better trade deals with
China. Maybe maybe you can wrap
something up with Russia. That's going
to be a tough one.
But
um you know that I've been all in since
2016.
All in. I bet it all. I just spent
everything. I bet everything to get to
this point. The golden age.
So here we are.
Here we are. So I I don't even know if I
want to talk about the news today. It
just feels so good to be on the right
side of history.
because you never know. You never know
if you're going to be on the right side
of history. But boy are we on the right
side of history right now.
So unless there are aliens in that
comet, maybe things are going to look
good.
Anyway, um we have some background on
why Hamas finally caved. I guess Egypt
and Qatar were going hard at him, saying
it was the last chance. Turkey was going
hard at Hamas telling them you better
get this done and uh they were getting a
lot of pressure at from their own
people. So basically it got to the point
where everybody outside of Hamas was
telling Hamas, you got to end this.
There was essentially nobody left on
their side. So it got done.
So being in the right place at the right
time helps, but it still had to be
Trump. Only Trump could have gotten it
done.
Um,
and then the last person to agree was
Netanyahu,
and Trump
bullied him into saying yes. And I'm
sure Na was happy about it. Now, here's
what Charlemagne the God said about it.
He said, "Donald Trump shows me what's
politically possible." Now, remember,
Charlemagne the God's Democrat. He said,
"Donald Trump shows me what's
politically possible. Trump shows me
what presidents can do if they want to
do it.
And he says it's not about what can't be
done. It's about what who has the
political will to do it. So that seems
to be the frame that some Democrats are
starting to enter. The okay, okay, this
is true that Trump can do things that
other people can't do. That is the
number one thing I wanted to sell the
country. the number one thing he can do
things that other people can't do and if
you if you ever need those things to get
done there's only one person to do it as
far as I know. So Charlemagne sees it
too. He sees oh my goodness who you pick
really makes a difference. It did this
time.
Don't you wonder what the uh Democrats
are going to have to protest. So they're
they're left to protest the the
government closing, which is their
fault.
Just think about this. The biggest
complaint that they have now is that
Trump is too strong a leader. He's like
a strongman dictator type.
But that's why this got done. Even the
people who don't like him being an
authoritarian strongman dictator will
completely understand that none of this
would happen without him being that
person because he pushed everybody. He
scared everybody. He shook the box.
Nobody else could do that. Nobody else
could do that.
So at the same time
that all that goodness is happening,
maybe peace breaking down everywhere. Um
you know on Friday that China scared us
with this uh threat of restricting the
rare earth materials which would destroy
uh the entire economy of the world if
they did that. I was not so sure that
was real, but I I think I don't think I
committed to it one way or the other.
But uh according to Trump, it's probably
just a negotiating position and not
really that different from what it was.
He goes, "Don't worry, you know, truth."
He said yesterday, I guess, "Don't worry
about China. It will be fine. Highly
respected President Xi just had a bad
moment. He doesn't want depression for
his country, and neither do I. The US
wants to uh help China, not hurt it."
Do you see how much technique is built
into that? just that little sent that
little message on true social. Don't
worry about China. It'll all be fine. So
that part's probably true because China
doesn't want to destroy the economy of
the world.
They don't really get an advantage if
they do that. So probably won't do that.
Um but when he says that respected
President Xi just had a bad moment, that
is really
um gets to his face.
that that's kind of putting him it's
kind of putting him down a little bit
and and showing that he lost face by
creating this uh this little bruhaha.
Now what that does is if she doesn't
decide to nuke us for insulting him in
theory he just got negged. Do you know
what negging is? Neg.
It means that he he got sort of a
complimenty insult.
It's a complimenty insult. It's it's
what you do if you want a woman to uh
like you if you're one of those dating
guys.
So, President Xi, if it's not so bad
that he'll never talk to Trump again,
then it probably isn't. Just the fact
that he had a bad moment, he's going to
have to recover from his bad moment. So
that's that's the position that Trump
has put him in. He's like, I'm not
criticizing you. I'm just saying you had
a bad moment. Do you think she wants to
be known as the guy who had a bad moment
and almost destroyed the economy of the
United States with a a statement that
probably should have been vetted a
little bit better? Oh, I I think Trump's
completely right. He had a bad moment.
He totally had a bad moment. So now he's
got something to to make up for. And
that's the genius of Trump. This is
just perfect persuasion. Put push she in
a little box with just a little bit of
discomfort.
And wouldn't he like to get out of that
box by not being a person who's trying
to hurt the economy of the world? So
setting them up for negotiations.
Scott Besson says uh in all caps uh no
he didn't say it in all caps. The idea
is to give China time to meet and talk.
So mostly it's about showing some
respect for China and giving them the
time to to work things out and then
probably things will be fine. Stock
market seems to be happy about it.
I saw a long post by Sahil Patel who
wanted to look into the semiconductor
um supply chain because as you know if
the semiconductor supply chain breaks
then all of our technology breaks and
then the whole world falls into a coma.
Um, but it turns out that our
semiconductor supply chain, not ours,
but the world's is really, really
brittle. And I didn't have any idea how
brittle it was, but uh that's what Sahil
did. So TSMC, the the Taiwan company
that produces 90% of the world's most
advanced chips. So, problem number one,
there's only one company that makes 90%
of the chips and they happen to be on an
island that is likely to turn into a war
zone.
So, that's the first thing to worry
about. Secondly,
TSMC relies on a Dutch company uh for
lithography machines, meaning that
there's probably no other place you can
get them. meaning that if something
happened to that one company,
maybe TSMC couldn't make any new chips
just if that one company has a problem.
But uh they depend on a company called
Carl Zeiss that does optical stuff. Uh
it's the only firm in the world capable
of making the mirrors that are precise
enough for the the high-end chips. Only
one company. If that company had a
problem, no more chips.
Uh, there's a light source. I need a EUV
machine that's produced by one company
in San Diego. If something happens to
that one company in San Diego, no chips
for you.
And it goes on and on like this uh about
the other parts that are only available
in one place ever.
Now, in theory, somebody else could make
them, but I know that the the mirror
stuff is so amazingly amazingly hard
that probably I mean, there's a good
chance that nobody else will ever be
able to do it possibly. Anyway, so it
goes on like that. There's a whole bunch
of pieces that you can only get from one
place. So, if that one place went down,
no chips if any one of them go down. So,
that's pretty scary.
Meanwhile, over in Ukraine, where the
Ukrainian drones are attacking
uh Russian energy sources, they attacked
a bunch of energy sources on Crimea and
uh did quite an attack with the drones.
Um,
but the update on Trump is he had been
talking about sending our Tomahawk
missiles to uh Ukraine because they're
they go long distance. They would go
deep into Russia
and they would be very accurate and hard
to stop. Uh, I thought he had already
agreed to give them to Ukraine with some
restrictions on how they use them, but
it sounds like he is not. he still needs
to talk to Zilinski. Um, and what he
said was Trump said that he may send
Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine if Russia
doesn't settle its war. So, it looks
like he might be using the threat of
tomahawks
to get Putin to say, "I don't want any
tomahawks hitting myself." Now, of
course, Russia said that if we did give
them tomahawks and they got used
that they would retaliate in some
unspecified way that we wouldn't like.
So, I don't know, would they?
Or or there there's something
psychological about the Ukraine war
where both Russia and Ukraine decide not
to attack the neighboring countries that
are helping.
Yeah. So, so we're, you know, they're
not attacking the United States for
providing weapons or not attacking
Europe for providing the funding.
They're just treating it like it's a war
between two countries when clearly there
are a lot of countries involved. So, if
Putin continues to do that, to treat it
like it's just them against Ukraine,
then the Tomahawks wouldn't be that big
a deal, except that, you know, they
wouldn't like it. But if Putin decides
to change the frame and reframe it and
say, "Okay, this is a war against the
United States. You're just you're just
laundering it through Ukraine." Well,
then all bets are off. But I would think
that Putin would not want to do anything
that looked like a direct attack on the
United States because there's this guy,
you may have heard of him, uh, Donald
Trump, who's the president, and, uh,
what what his response would be compared
to any other president, what his
response would be to any attack on the
homeland or our military assets.
Putin can't predict that. That's
unpredictable. and you don't want to get
into militarily unpredictable waters.
So, that's another thing that Trump
brings, that unpredictability that does
keep people away.
Anyway, um so we'll see what happens
with those tomahawks. Seems like a good
play. So,
uh, JD Vance was on ABC talking to
George Slaponopoulos and, uh,
Slopponopoulos was trying to get him to
talk about the, uh, the story that may
be completely fake about, uh, Homeland
Security guy Tom Hman, allegedly before
he was in this job, accepting a $50,000
bag of cash on video, allegedly
um, for helping some company get a
border contract. Now, I don't think that
was illegal because he wasn't working
for the government then and he was
consulting. So, I don't even know if
there's a crime involved. But um so JD
Vance was asked about that to comment on
the bag of cash and Tom Hman because ABC
News needed to find something to talk
about that was not the tremendous
success that that Trump is experiencing
at the moment in the Middle East. So
they had to find something. They got to
find something to talk to JD about
that'll sound bad for those guys. Um,
and JD had a very interesting response
to the accusations about that bag of
cash.
He said it's a fake scandal and uh he
didn't know anything about that video.
And I said to myself, what do you mean
you don't know about the video?
Everybody knows about the video. It's
been a, you know, top headline. We all
know about the video. And then I thought
to myself, wait a minute. I haven't seen
the video.
Have any of you seen a video of him or
anybody else accepting a bag of cash?
And then I thought, wait a minute, is
this whole thing just made up? If if you
haven't seen the video,
I don't know that there's a video. Do
you do you believe there's really a
video of him accepting cash?
It's been a while. You think that you
think that bad boy would have leaked,
right? or at the very least somebody
would say, "I have the video in my hand.
I just can't show it to you."
So, we don't know who has said video and
we haven't and nobody that we know has
seen it.
I feel like JD had the right answer,
which is you treat it like it's not real
because they can't prove it's real. I
don't know if it's real.
You know, my guess is if it was real, if
it were real and it was real bad that
probably more would have happened. So,
my guess is that's not that real. Just
my guess.
So, Reuters has an article today that
that looked like came from the past. The
title was climate tipping points are
being crossed, scientists warn ahead of
COP30. So, I guess there's some big
climate change meetup coming up. And uh
Reuters wants us to know that we're past
the tipping points where climate change
is going to kill us all. We're we're
already past the tipping points. Now,
isn't there something wrong with this?
But why would that just be a a little
bit of an article
around other articles that just is keyed
off of a meeting coming up? Wouldn't
that be the biggest problem and biggest
story in the world that we would cross
all the tipping points and now we're
definitely dead?
They couldn't possibly believe what
they're saying. They could not possibly
believe what they're writing. That's
where we've gotten to, right? where they
couldn't possibly believe it because you
wouldn't you wouldn't act matterof fact
about it. It's just like a little
article on Reuters. Yeah, we're past all
the tipping points. Looks like there's
nothing we could do. It's the end of the
world. Uh but they got a big meeting
coming up. Like what?
If I believe that the world was past the
tipping point, I'd be recommending that
you have sex with a stranger.
No, I wouldn't. Maybe I would, but you
would act completely different.
There's no way you would act matterof
fact if you really believed we had
crossed the tipping points and the and
the climate's going to just disappear.
Now, they had some claims about, oh,
we're past the tipping point for coral
and it said, you know, all the coral is
disappearing and therefore the, you
know, the oceans will not be
sustainable, etc. And I thought, what
news are you looking at, Reuters? All
the news I've seen in the past 6 months
told me that the coral has recovered
when people didn't expect it. Did I
imagine that? Was that fake news? Or
does Reuters not know that the current
news is that the coral seems to have
come back or it's coming back uh
powerfully and probably there's no tempo
uh no crossover point at all.
Yeah. Anyway, so that just seems so out
of date.
Meanwhile, several uh this is also
Reuters, several pharmaceutical
companies, I think there were like maybe
10 of them or so, quite a few of them u
are now saying that they'll sell their
drugs directly to patients in the US.
Now, that would be in response to Trump
uh trying to get them to lower their
prices. But what's interesting here is,
have I ever introduced my idea of the
confuseopoly?
The confuseopoly is when you're in a
business that's just like somebody
else's business and it's sort of a
commodity like a cell phone or or some
kinds of insurance. You know, they're
exactly the same. So, you have to
pretend that yours is different by
making it confusing. Well, what does
this cell phone service cost? Well, it
depends. uh do you have your relatives
on it and did you use the extra minutes
and did you roll over the minutes and
then you can't really compare it to
anything because you don't know how
exactly what minutes you would use and
what you would roll over and if you
rolled it over would anybody use it. So
if they make it confusing
then each of the cell companies will
sort of get their share.
If they made it not confusing, then
everybody would know which one was the
good one and all the others would be out
of business instantly.
So confusopies are the only thing that
um keeps complicated commodity like
businesses in business. It it prevents
you from knowing which one is the better
one.
And that is clearly something like
that's happening with these
pharmaceutical companies who have agreed
to sell drugs direct to patients because
they're all going to do it a different
way and they're going to do it with
different platforms. So some of them
have their own website, some of them are
going to work through somebody else.
Some of them are going to cut some drugs
but not others. They'll probably come up
with complicated formulas like, well,
under these conditions, we'll cut them
for these people, but under these
conditions, we won't. So, I feel like
the pharma companies are going to have
to make it really complicated so that
they can say they're doing things
without doing things because I'll tell
you what they can't do. They can't lower
their prices and give us the same price
that they give to third world countries,
which is the ask. That's what we're
asking for. They can't do that. That
would be their entire profitability. So,
they have to pretend they're playing
along because Trump is too powerful
right now. So, they have they have to
act like they're playing along. Well, I
don't think they are playing along. I
think they're going to, you know, throw
a bone. You know, maybe maybe some drugs
that are almost generic but are not
their big profitable drugs. you know, if
they if they throw a few sacrificial
drugs uh for lower cost, they can keep
their their profitable ones at their
current price. Probably try to get away
with that. So, I'm not ready to speak
optimistically about where that's
happening. I think I think that the big
pharma has got a they got a lot of game.
They know how to protect themselves.
Well, Trump has suggested publicly that
uh who he calls corrupt Senator Adam
Schiff could be the the next person who
gets lawfired. Says he's so dishonest.
And of course that causes people to say,
"Wait a minute. You're the president of
the United States. You can't be
identifying enemies and then telling the
Department of Justice to go laware them.
You can't do that." to which I have
mixed feelings.
If if these had been innocent people or
just people who were doing their own
thing that didn't affect Trump and
didn't affect me and didn't affect the
government, I might say, "Yeah, don't
lawfare them. That's just going to
create more problems." You know, even
even though they lawfared you, don't
lawfare them. But because but because
these specific people were literally
trying to overthrow my government and
they were trying to destroy the guy that
you know you and I and the other
supporters were trying to support to the
point where he could get to do things
like this, you know, ending wars. That's
what we wanted him to do. That's why we
hired him. That's why we voted for him.
And we wanted that to get done. But
there was a group of professional liars
and uh insurrectionists, I would call
them, who worked very hard to stop that.
Now, if you lawfare those guys,
I'm totally okay with that because you
absolutely need uh mutually assured
destruction so that the next time the
Democrats decide to lawfare the next
president, which they will, they'll at
least think twice and they're going to
say, "All right, the last time we
lawfire a president, we didn't see it
coming, but he became the president
again
and then he got all of us back and all
the people who lawfared him are in jail
or or paid a lot of money.
You can't let it go. The the things that
they did to Trump and by extension to
his supporters, you can't let that go.
So if you have to lawfare it to get them
back, lawfare it.
Whatever you have to do, you cannot let
that stand. And to imagine that
lawfaring this group of people,
lawfaring the lawfarers who were the the
insurrectionist lawfares, you can't
compare that to anything else. If if he
were just taking down a critic, I'll
tell you where I'd draw the line. If he
said, uh, if he said, uh, Stephen King
says bad things about me all the time,
uh, I'd like you to lawfare him. Go find
a crime. I'm sure you can find a crime.
Now, that would be completely
unacceptable to me and I would fight
against that. How about uh Rob Reiner?
Huge critic of the president. Huge pain
in the ass. If the president said, "Hey,
lawfare that guy because he says bad
things about me." No, no, nope. We don't
do that. You can say bad things about
people. We allow that. That's free
speech. But if he's going after the
people who literally lied about what was
in the skiff, ran gigantic hoaxes to try
to literally change the government and
tried to jail him, if not shoot him,
free pass.
Mr. President, you have a free pass. Not
just to say whatever you want to say.
Okay. little little cat action going on
here. Not only to say what you want to
say, but to encourage the Department of
Justice to deal with it.
So, yeah, I'm completely in favor of
lawfare against lawfarers,
but limited to that and maybe
insurrectionists, but that's the same
thing in this case.
All right.
Um, there's some new news that there's
this uh Washington DC undercover
metropolitan police guy, Nicholas
Thomasula,
who says that he was actually trying to
instigate trouble at the January 6th
event.
Um, I don't know if he says that he did
it for Nancy Pelosi, but apparently
there is evidence and he's saying it
directly that he was encouraging people
to trespass and encourage them to climb
up the scaffolding, which was the big
weakness in the uh the defense they had
there. And is this real? Do we actually
have a real live person now who says,
"Oh yeah, I was there to instigate."
Do you think there was only one?
Would they only send one or would one
think that, you know, on his own? Did he
decide on his own to do that? Are are we
on the verge of finding out the truth
about January 6th?
We might be. We might be on the verge of
actually finding out that, you know,
that was more staged than we thought.
So keep an eye on that. I've been
watching with interest Marjgerie Taylor
Green buck the uh not just the left but
often the right. So I guess I guess
Marjorie Taylor Green who I like by the
way. Uh I I like having her uh as part
of government and you know she's just a
fun personality as well. So, I I kind of
like her um as a person and as a
politician, but she's not on board with
uh with all Republicans. She said uh
quote, "As a construction business
owner," which she is, I don't think we
should be supporting illegal immigrants
that work in that industry.
Now, I saw a counterpoint to that, which
is if you got rid of all the illegal
immigrants, uh you wouldn't need to
build as many houses and therefore you
wouldn't need them.
And and it's funny when I when I saw
that argument because there's no
population growth.
We don't have population growth. So, in
theory, we shouldn't have to build too
many houses, you know, mostly just
replacement houses and upgrades and
stuff. But, uh, so maybe we don't even
need a construction business. Uh,
because we're just building houses for
the people that we we didn't want to
come in.
I don't I'm not buying that that
narrative entirely. There's a little bit
to it. There's a little bit to it, but
that that's not that's not a good
complete picture. And that Marjorie
Taylor Green also says that prices have
not come down and pay has not gone up.
Now slightly true that some prices went
down and it's slightly true that some
pay went up, but not really in a big
way. So she's uh she's bucking the
narratives there a little bit, but I
don't mind that at all.
Well, meanwhile, Denmark has committed
$4.2 two billion dollars to defending
uh Greenland so that they don't have to
give it up to the United States. Uh and
uh there now they are legitimately
worried about Russia's influence in that
part of the world. So Greenland buying
some buying some defensive stuff. I
can't imagine that Denmark plus
Greenland if you add them together could
defend against Russia without the US.
I mean, not that they would have to
because they're a NATO country, but
wait, how's that work?
So, if Russia attacked Greenland,
and Greenland is owned by Denmark, which
is in NATO, but Greenland isn't
specifically part of NATO.
Would NATO be uh activated for
Greenland?
I do not know. Maybe somebody can tell
me that.
Anyway, I doubt that their 4.2 billion
is going to get them enough to defend
against Russia.
The Wall Street Journal had an article
about uh AI not making as much
difference and productivity as anybody
hoped. Um a JP Morgan Chase economist
didn't find any strong link between
productivity and uh rolling out AI.
Now, who's been telling you for a while
that AI will not be the job killer that
all the smart people say it will be? Me.
Um, cuz just if you've tried using it
yourself, you immediately see that it is
so limited. And in my opinion, the
current version of AI cannot be better
because if they can't make the
hallucinations go away, and they can't,
um, what are you going to use it for?
All you can use it for is chatting
basically and a few other things. So,
I've been a uh skeptic of AI replacing
all our jobs. I think maybe it'll be an
assistant for a while, etc. However, I
want to be the first one to tell you
what's coming.
Um, what's coming is a new form of AI
that's not the large language models. So
the problem with the large language
models is that all they do is look for a
pattern. That's all they do. And so if
the words that people have used are in a
certain pattern that uses that pattern.
So it doesn't mean that it's seeing the
truth,
it's just detecting patterns which
sometimes are not, you know, they're not
reality based patterns. So that can't go
too far. But there's a new type of AI
being referred to as generative video
AI.
Now, if I understand this correctly,
generative video AI starts with real
video. So, let's say if you had the
database of all the video taken by all
the Tesla car cameras, that would be the
real video. And then you could you could
train your AI with real video so that it
could see for example you know this is
an object that's a phone. It could see
how it could be manipulated in space. So
instead of learning a word pattern and
the word pattern for llm might be uh I
pick up phone and if a lot of people say
I pick up phone then the large language
model knows that you can pick up a phone
but it doesn't really know it. It's just
a pattern. Lots of people have picked up
phones. Lots of people have mentioned
it. So now AI knows that you can pick up
a phone. But with the new ones, the the
uh video ones, if you had video of
somebody picking up a phone, it would
know you could pick up a phone. And it
could also conform to the physics of the
situation. And then the fun part is it
can generate fake videos of people doing
things with the phone. But the fake
video would be based on things that
could be done with the phone because it
uses physics, etc., like a game would,
just like a video game. So that it can
create a whole bunch of knowledge about
what a person can do with a phone
without observing it.
So it wouldn't have to observe people
doing it. It would just figure out, oh
well, now I know it's a physical object.
It's, you know, it's about this size.
Uh, that would be something somebody
could pick up.
Now I'm I'm simplifying it but um what
I'm trying to say is that that
limitation of the hallucinating
might be fixable but it will require an
entirely new technology. This this
generative video AI which is coming by
the way it's not it's not speculative.
It's being rolled out right now.
Yeah. I I think that's close to what
Tesla is doing. It's either close to or
exactly what Tesla's doing. That's
right. So, if you were going to bet on
which company got to the the really
smart AI first, I think I would bet on
Tesla. Now, that's not a recommendation.
It's not a recommendation. Don't buy
stock because I say it's something
that's a bad idea. But, uh, it does look
like, uh, Elon knows that the LLMs are
are capped and that he knows that if
he's going to put a trillion dollars
into it, which he is, uh, he'd better
get the good stuff. So, keep an eye on
that. Ray Kurszswwell, the uh, futurist
who's been around forever. He's trying
to live forever. Uh, like literally live
forever by porting his brain to a
computer someday. I think he says that
AGI, that would be the the real smart
version of AI, will be around 2029.
Now, he's got a long track record of
making incredible predictions. So, we
take him seriously. Uh 2029. So, three
years.
I think he's right on. I think he's
right on because it will take about that
time in my in my best guess for that
generative AI to not only work but to be
sort of rolled out. That feels about
right. I think he nailed it again
probably about 3 years before we have
the the serious AI.
In other fun news, some uh according to
the Daily Mail,
some tunnels have been uh discovered
under Egypt's Giza pyramids. Now, these
are not the the the weird stories that I
debunked a while ago, several months
ago, there was somebody said, "Oh, we
found all these, you know, things under
the pyramids." It's not that. Uh
apparently connecting pyramids as
opposed to being, you know, directly
under them. and they found a few of
these uh alleged uh longforgotten
underground pathways that had been
rumored in history, but nobody found
them. So, I guess Heroditus had
described a labyrinth in Egypt with
3,000 chambers, many hidden below
ground, but nobody had ever found any of
it. So, they thought Heroditus might be
might be an exaggerator, I guess, but
maybe there is something down there. So,
we will soon find out who built those
pyramids when we get down there. Maybe
uh University of South Wales found out
that you could use
um
intensive oneweek online therapy to
reduce symptoms of social anxiety.
So, apparently they've had they did a
study and they found you could reduce
your social anxiety disorder um with
online help.
Now, in my book, Reframe Your Brain, I
also have a reframe for uh that.
You want me to just I think I'll just
tell you, I've told you this reframe
before, but it's one of the very best.
This could be life-changing. Do any of
you have that problem where if you go to
a party, first of all, you didn't want
to go, but then you're sitting outside
and you say to yourself, you know what?
I can't even walk in that room. I I
don't want to be in a room with all
those those fakes and those people,
right? How many of you have that social
anxiety where you gh I I just I can't
talk to these strangers? A lot of you,
right? I'm going to give you a reframe
now that will fix it. You ready for
this?
This will change your life. It really
will. I've heard from people who say it
changed their life. They just heard it
once. Changed their life. It goes like
this.
First of all, everybody has social
anxiety.
Now, maybe not everybody, but 90%.
So, the first thing you need to know is
that everybody else is pretending.
As soon as you think you're the only one
pretending to be, you know, comfortable
and that everybody else has figured out
how to do this, that's not the case.
They're all uncomfortable.
10% are kind of crazy narcissists who
like the excitement. 10%. 90% are
exactly what you're feeling. Oh, who am
I going to talk to? What do I do with my
hands? Did I make a fool of myself? Can
I just make an excuse to leave? Why
should I pretend to get another drink?
All right, here's what you need to know.
If you had studied the Dale Carnegie
approach for making conversation, you
would know the technique for walking up
to any stranger and just starting a
pleasant conversation that the other
person would when you're done say, "I
like that guy." Or, "I like that
person."
And it's easy. I've taught you this many
times. All you do is you ask questions
about the other person and you listen
with. That's it.
If you walk up to somebody and try to
make a joke to a stranger, which is what
I used to do before I learned how to do
this, I I would think, well, if I'm
funny, like I I'll bond right away.
Never really worked.
You can get lucky and hit somebody who
has your exact sense of humor and you
then something can happen. But it's not
a good general approach. Most people are
not going to laugh and it's just not
going to lead to anything. But if you
walk up and say your name, hi, I'm
Scott. That's always first. Hi, I'm blah
blah blah. If they don't say who they
are, you say, "What's your name?" And
then you ask them just basic questions
about them. It would depend on, you
know, what was the point of the the
thing. So, you might say, "Hey, you
know, where are you from?" or "Who do
you know?" Or, uh, you could even ask,
you know, what do you do for a living?
If it if the conversation goes, do you
have kids? You planning a vacation? What
school do your kids go to? If you ask
just those basic questions, the other
person will feel comfortable because
they know the answers to the questions.
They know their name. They know where
they work. They know where the kids go
to school, unless it's the father.
And uh and then that's comfortable
because all they're doing is answering
easy questions and it looks like you're
interested in them. solves every
problem. All right, so I just solved how
to talk to a stranger. If you don't
think that works, try it once. It works.
It works every time. Show interest. Ask
questions and don't do a big monologue
about you. If they want to know about
you, they'll ask. You don't even have to
say anything about you. But usually, if
just a few questions, you can find
something you have in common.
So you might say, "So what do you do for
a living?" And the person tells you
their job and you go, "I
I'm so interested in that." Like, you
know, how does that work? How'd you get
into that? So, you know, and if it's
something about kids, if you have kids
about the same age, you got lots to talk
about. So, you're looking for that thing
you can talk about, the jumping off
point, and and the questions are just to
get you to that. All right. Now, so now
you have a skill that I just taught you
that the other 90% of the people who
have bad social anxiety don't have. So
what are they going to do? They're going
to go there and think, I don't know what
to do. I don't know what to do. But I
solved it for you. Just walk up to
somebody who's looks uncomfortable.
Introduce yourself. Ask some questions.
And then the next thing you need to know
is how to leave.
you know how to how to stop talking to
somebody because you don't want to get
trapped and you think, "Oh, I found one
person to talk to. I'll just stay here
all night until they hate me." No, you
have to leave. You you want to give them
just enough of you that they they got
enough but not too much. So, here are
some ways to leave people without being
rude. If you've talked to them enough
and you've asked some questions and
you've showed some interest, they're
done. you know, they don't need you to
stay there all night. So, here's what
you say. It was really great meeting
you. Um, I want to do a little mingling
and I'll catch up with you later.
Everybody is there to do mingling. So,
if you say, "It was great talking to
you. I got to go do some mingling." They
get it because they probably have to do
the same thing. So, that's not awkward.
Or you could say, "U, can I get you a
can I refill your drink?" If they don't
want to spend more time with you,
they're gonna say, "Oh, no. I'm fine."
And then you you go away to refill your
own drink and don't come back. Or you
say, "I got to use the restroom." Or you
say, "You see somebody. Here's another
good one." You say, "Oh, I have to talk
to Bob. Excuse me. It was great talking
to you." And then you you go directly
over to Bob. If you know Bob, the other
thing is if you don't know a single
person there, not if you don't know
anybody, I always recommend looking for
the alpha female.
Most most events have at least one alpha
female and you you can pick them out.
You know, they're the ones flitting from
one place to the other and everybody's
giving them attention. Maybe they're the
organizer, maybe it's the person who
invited you. But if you attach to them,
the alpha female, men will do it too,
but the alpha females are a little
little bit better. They will introduce
you to whoever they're standing next to.
So, you just walk up to them. Hi, Benny.
Thanks for inviting me. They go, "Oh,
glad you made it. Have you met so and
so?" And here's so and so. And now you
know three people that you could say hi
to anytime during the party. All right.
So, now you know the technique, but now
we're going to get to the good part.
Okay, here's the payoff.
You're sitting in your car outside the
party and you've got that anxiety about
going in. Reframe it. Here's the
reframe.
You're going to rescue all those other
people who have social anxiety.
You're not the person with social
anxiety. You're the solution. So, you
walk in there and you find somebody who
looks uncomfortable and you walk right
up to them and you solve their problem
by being the person who knows how to
start a conversation, which you are now.
And when you're done with that person,
you say, "Great meet you. I've got to do
a little more mingling." You find
another person and you save them, too.
You can spend your whole night saving
people. And boy, will they appreciate
it. Yeah. it. There's nothing that the
other people want more than a friendly
person to come up to them and start a
conversation. They all want that. You
are their hero. If you can do that for
them, your hero. So, you're not going
there as this weak little person who's
in the 10% who can't figure out how to
start a conversation with a human being.
That's not who you are. You are already
because I just trained you and it was
that easy. It really is that easy. I
just taught you how to be the most
effective person in the party, and you
will be. You simply have to do what I
just said. Just learn how to ask
questions, learn how to introduce
yourself with eye contact and a
handshake,
and learn how to leave. If you learn
those very simple things, which you just
did, basically, you just learned them,
you are no longer a victim of social
anxiety.
It'll take you a few practice runs,
but once you've done it like twice,
you'll never have anxiety again. You
you'll say, "Oh, I did it twice in a
row, and it was super easy, and
everybody seemed to be happy about it,
and I got all these phone numbers and
made some friends."
So, that's a that's a reframe in my
book,
Reframe Your Brain.
Now, when I tell you that this is the
kind of book that changes people's
lives, that's what I mean, right? So, so
some of you didn't need that. That had
no value to you whatsoever. But 100% of
you know somebody who needs it, don't
you? 100% of you know somebody that
you're already thinking, "Oh, man. I
want to get a clip of that and show my
friend that will really help them." I
hope this gets clipped. uh probably will
be. All right. So, there are other
reframes that might be more more
relevant to you specifically.
Um let's see.
Uh Venezuela is collapsing, but so is
Cuba. Did uh I saw an article by Daniel
a lot. He's an opinion contributor in
the Hill and he tells us that over the
last four years roughly 2 million Cubans
which would be 20% of all Cubans on the
island have left the island
and the ones leaving are the
professionals because you know they can
they can make a life somewhere. So I
guess their their biggest source of oil
was Venezuelan oil which they can no
longer depend on. It's not reliable
anymore. the professionals are leaving
and their infrastructure is in complete
um disrepair. It's just collapsing. So
Cuba might fail before Venezuela, but I
guess they're sort of joined at the hip.
So Trump might have a Cuba play
that historically we've never had.
Meaning that Cuba is going to be pretty
desperate. Uh far more than it is. It's
already pretty desperate. But uh if they
become even more desperate, they might
get flexible and and maybe maybe the US
is the only thing that can save them and
maybe they want to, you know, be a
little bit uh friendlier with the US
going forward and vice versa. We'll see.
Well, you heard the story about the
Dominion um company, the election voting
machines. that company got sold to a
alleged Republican
who uh is apparently involved in
decommissioning a number of the uh
machines.
Now, I don't have details about why some
of them are being decommissioned, but
not all of them. Why do you think do you
think that he's that he's
decommissioning voting machines because
they're old and unreliable?
old and unreliable
or because they had um security
vulnerabilities that we don't know about
just generally unreliable or unreliable
for security reasons.
Don't you feel you need to know the
answer to that question?
I feel like that's really important. Are
they decommissioning machines because
they know that they're not secure?
H I've got questions. All
right, ladies and gentlemen, that is
what I have for today's show. I want to
thank you all again from the bottom of
my heart. If you were supporting this
president and you took the the risks
that I took, you took the hits, you lost
family members, you may have lost money,
you may have lost prestige, you may have
lost everything, you may have lost
everything, but damn it, you were right.
You were right and this is the time to
enjoy it. You know, maybe tomorrow will
be different, but today you can bask in
the fact that you did a great thing. You
were part of something amazing. In this
case, it probably helped another country
more than it helped us, but it's the
same process. The the same stuff is
going to, you know, be helping America.
So,
um, just enjoy being right.
It feels really good.
And that's all I have for you today. I'm
going to say a few words privately to my
beloved local subscribers and the rest
of you. I hope to see you tomorrow for
more good news. Maybe. You never know.
All right, locals coming at you
privately in 30 seconds.