Episode 2979 Coffee With Scott Adams 10/5/25

Cats are ready.

If you're ready, I'm ready.

All right.

Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.

It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.

If I sound a little different today, it's because I was up all night, so I haven't slept yet.

But, uh, we'll try to get through this.

I'll try not to fall asleep.

But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need is a copper mug or a glass attack sign, a canteen jug or flask, a vessel of any kind.

Fill it with your favorite liquid.

I like coffee.

And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.

Go.

I've got kind of a FM radio vibe going on now.

Weird voice thing.

Hey everybody, it's it's about 700 a.m.

California time.

All right.

Uh so after the show today, Owen Gregorian will be having his spaces event on X.

So, just look for Owen Gregorian when we're done for the afterparty spaces.

Well, I don't know if this was real or not real, but there was a video of a Chinese um drone show in which they had it looked like thousands of drones in the air at the same time.

But, uh somebody brought a drone jammer.

So, somebody started jamming the drones and there were thousands of them and they started falling from the sky.

Somebody said it might have been a demonstration of drone defense, in which case they should have been falling out of the sky, but it didn't look like it to me.

It looked like a prank.

I saw that in a post by Masimo on X.

So, check it out.

See what you think.

Um, look on X and just look for the drone jamming video from China and let me know.

Do you think that looks real?

It's so hard to tell.

I think I'm reaching the point where onethird of all the stories I talk about will turn out to be, you know, AI.

Well, let's see if I could have guessed this science.

Um, so they wanted to see if psilocybin could help some uh some health care workers reduce their depression and burnout.

How do you think that went?

About once a week there's a story about psilocybin helping somebody's mental health and 100% of the time it works every single time.

So, do you think it worked with health care workers and their depression and burnout?

Yes, it did.

Yes, it did.

Just in case you wondered, they could have skipped that.

And just ask Scott.

Eric Dolan of Cypost was writing about that.

Makes me wonder, is there anything this little Cyburn can't do?

Seems like it can do it all.

Um according to Cypost also Karina Petrova is writing that a uh little study was done and they found that a just a few brief chats with an AI if the AI is biased can alter your political opinion.

Now do you believe that?

Do you believe that AI can change your political opinion just by chatting with you for a little while?

Well, next time uh just ask me.

Yes, I can.

Do you know the um what what is the concept which kind of guarantees that chatting with an AI will uh be persuasive?

What what is it?

What is the persuasion concept that just guarantees it?

The answer is the documentary effect.

So, I always talk about the documentary effect.

The documentary effect is when you're you're listening to one side of an argument for an extended period of time.

Doesn't matter what the argument is.

You will be convinced or at least you know people will be more likely to be convinced if they listen to one side of an argument without hearing the other side.

That's all it is.

So it doesn't matter if it comes to you in a documentary or you only look at uh the the stuff in a bubble on social media or you talk to one biased AI that it you know was intended to be biased in this example.

Yeah, it's a documentary effect.

Of course it works.

Of course it does.

All you need is one point of view with no counterpoint and then add time.

That's it.

Time plus one point of view.

Persuasion.

I'm going to give you a uh Trump persuasion lesson in a little bit.

You're going to like it.

Uh regarding Gaza.

Well, the uh one of the co-founders of Roomba, you know, the little robot that vacuums your house.

um says that uh Elon Musk is in a terrible surprise in for a terrible surprise with his humanoid robots.

So futurism is writing about this Victor Tangerin and uh the Rumor guy says uh that you can't teach robots how to do things, you know, with with their hands basically.

And the reason is that the the hands don't have a feedback mechanism.

I think that's part of it.

Um, but he doesn't believe that you can teach a robot to do stuff by showing it how to do stuff.

So, as in you would never be able to teach it to do the laundry or maybe even I maybe empty the dishwasher, but but teaching it to do the laundry?

Probably never.

According to one robot maker, h how about never.

No, you'll never get that because the I I I think his argument is that if you don't have the tactile um the feel that you can't learn with your hands just by watching.

I don't know about that.

Uh I would not bet against Elon Musk who very clearly believes that this will work and he'll be rolling out these robots sometime this year.

I don't know.

I'm going to stay skeptical.

until I'm proven wrong.

Um, and my skepticism goes like this.

If it were possible that in one year we would see robots learning by watching, you know, watching somebody iron a shirt and then the robot can do it, you would already see that.

If if that were going to be on the on the open market in less than a year, you'd see the demonstrations today.

But we don't.

So I have to conclude that they don't know how to do that.

Will they be able to do it in a year?

I don't know.

I it feels like maybe not.

Maybe not.

We'll see.

Um also in futurism, uh a lot of people are discovering that their their electric bills are going up, especially if they live near a data center.

So if you live near a data center, you know that the data centers are pulling more electricity than ever for AI stuff.

And uh that will make your supply and demand uh equation cost uh cost you more money.

So apparently if you if you live anywhere near a data center, you're going to get reamed.

Data centers are going to be um really hit for electricity.

Now, here's my question.

Doesn't that mean that you're subsidizing AI?

It does, right?

So, if you live near a data center, then that data center becomes an AI, you know, driving data center, suddenly your electric bill goes up, I don't know, I'll pick a number, $400 per month.

And what do you get out of it?

Nothing.

Nothing.

you you're still getting the same amount of electricity just cost you $400 a month more.

So you tell me why should I not get equity in the AI company?

I should have equity because I'm literally directly investing in the AI, right?

So I need some reparations or something reparations maybe.

Um but that that is genuinely a big problem.

We we don't assume or I never have that my my contribution to the electrical cost would be anything that I would even think about because it just seems like it's all in the noise.

But once it doubles your electrical cost, you are a major investor in AI.

No way around it.

You're a major investor.

You just didn't ask for it.

So, yeah, you should get some equity.

Uh, apparently, uh, Amazon's going to launch, uh, or relaunch whatever it is, um, all of the James Bond movies, so you can get them all on Amazon.

But, uh, fans noticed that the guns that James Bond often holds on his covers has been deleted from the art.

So, it's just James Bond standing like this with his with a a handful of nothing where it used to be like that's where his gun would be.

So, can't show that gun.

Now, here's my question.

If they make James Bond woke, won't that be the opposite of James Bond?

And wasn't his lack of wokeness exactly the thing we liked about him?

Wasn't that the whole point?

There there are still uh some of the really early ones like from the 60s where where he slaps he slaps his girlfriend in the face.

You would never see that today.

Uh something tells me they're going to edit that out, too.

Yeah.

And all of his uh wild womanizing.

Maybe they'll get rid of that, too.

But here's the good news.

James Bond so far is still a white man.

Still a white man.

Y I'm pretty sure they're gonna use their AI to replace him with a black woman any any day now, but at the moment still a white man.

Well, Bad Bunny, the artist Bad Bunny, as you know, has been selected to do the the halftime show at the Super Bowl.

And uh he's Puerto Rican and he uh which means he's American and uh he he sings mostly in Spanish.

So a lot of people were up in arms.

We we don't want no Spanish-sp speakaking Super Bowl.

Give us some American Super Bowl.

Um, but I saw Jay-Z talking about it because his production group's in charge of the Super Bowl halftime show.

And uh, he was quite defiant.

But one thing I didn't know, I didn't know that Bad Bunny is one of the top uh, streaming artists in the world.

Did you know that?

I didn't know he was like in the top three.

I think he's one of the top streaming artists in the world.

So given that and given that the Super Bowl is, you know, more of a global event than it is than it used to be, um, makes sense to me.

It makes sense.

I mean, he's in the top three, you know, he's sort of in a class, um, not too far from Taylor Swift, so I don't know.

You You know, would it make a difference if you had a rapper and you couldn't understand a single word?

that the rapper said, "Is that going to be that much different than having somebody just sing it in Spanish?" It's not It's not that much different.

So, I I tried to get up in arms about this because people seem to be enjoying how mad they were, but I I I couldn't be bothered.

This one This one doesn't bother me at all.

Why?

Why not have a Puerto Rican, you know, top star in the world?

I I'm I'm actually kind of curious because I'm not familiar with his work.

So, I'm probably more likely to watch it than not because I want to see what what all the all the noise is about.

So, we'll see.

Um, so you know how uh Trump brought the uh troops into Washington DC and brought the crime down immediately.

Did you believe that?

Did you believe that there would be a somewhat permanent reduction in crime because the the feds were there for what a week or something?

Did did that ever make sense to you that the criminals would just stop doing crime?

M or would they wait a few weeks until things calm down and then just go back to what they were doing?

Well, Reuters is getting a little skeptical about the long-term impact in DC.

Um, apparently the murders did go down, but there's no reason to believe that they'll stay down.

And uh, other crimes didn't really change that much.

So maybe it feels a lot safer in Washington DC, but I'll bet you in six months it will look like nothing happened.

It'll be right back to where it was.

That's my guess.

Still worth doing, you know, even if it's only an experiment, still worth doing.

Uh still successful, but uh I don't think it'll be as big a change as people want.

Speaking of sending in the troops, the federal judge has stopped Trump from using um troops, the National Guard troops in Portland.

So that's that's being blocked at the moment.

I think it was a Trump appointed judge that blocked that, too.

Um and the judge said this is a nation of constitutional law, not martial law.

Meanwhile, Trump is trying to get Chicago to um accept 300 members of the uh of the National Guard to help with their crime situation, but JB Pritsker and I think the mayor of um Chicago are not in favor of that.

So Trump's option is to federalize them.

So he could just say, "Well, if you're not going to put them there, um, I will federalize them and put them there myself." So that might happen.

I don't know if there'll be another judge that stops it, but it seems likely.

You know, have you ever thought what would be the best form of government?

Like if you really if you could really have just the perfect form of government, I'll tell you what it wouldn't be.

It it wouldn't be a panel of people.

It wouldn't be a pure democracy.

That would be a mess.

It wouldn't be Marxism.

It wouldn't be, you know, an evil dictator.

Um, by far the best form of government if you could get it.

Now the problem is there's no way to guarantee that that's what you're getting.

But if you could get it, the best form of government would be a authoritarian strongman who had your best interests in heart- which turns out to be Trump.

Is he an authoritarian?

Yes.

Is he a strong man?

I'd say yes.

Yes, he is.

Is he benevolent in the sense that although he's tough, um, everything he does clearly is for the benefit of the public?

Yes.

Does he does he put himself at personal risk for the benefit of the public?

Yes, very much so.

He he's had two assassination attempts.

That's as much risk as you could put anything at.

So, um, while I understand all the criticisms and I understand why people would be wary that it might, you know, turn into something else.

I get that.

But we are experiencing the golden age.

I hate to tell you, but you could not you could not design a better government than a uh strong leader who is stronger than an ordinary leader, stronger than a president and uh is taking every opportunity, every every possibility, every opening, pushing every door, you know, opening every window.

um and trying to make stuff happen but doing it transparently right in front of us so we could watch and uh being a second term president so he's got the experience he knows what he's doing now he's got the right staff this is sort of ideal I will go so far as to say that we might never have a government again that's as good as the one we're experiencing right now obviously it can't it's not magic so it can't do everything it wants to do right away.

But we could not do better than a strong man Trump who likes operating in public and likes to be liked, which is important.

He likes to be liked.

So that eliminates all the things that might be good for him, but we wouldn't like it.

He just doesn't do those things because he likes to be liked.

It's the perfect situation.

He's an authoritarian strong man kind of a kind of a bastard type but for us.

He's our bastard, right?

He's being a bastard for us and he's doing it well.

I don't think he could do better.

Honestly, and maybe we'll never do better.

This might be the best presidential situation we'll ever experience or anybody will ever experience.

Um it's such a unique situation that somebody wants to be liked um but also has the that strength and and also that experience at this point.

So we might never see it again.

Speaking of strong, uh Trump ordered yet another drug boat coming out of Venezuela to be blown up and it was.

So, at some point, the drug boats are going to they're going to either run out of drug boats or run out of people who are willing to get on a drug boat because it's just going to be a suicide um suicide uh sale.

Anyway, let's talk about Gaza.

That's the big news.

So, as you know, um, the Gazins or the Hamas has acted like they're going to say yes to the peace deal, but they said yes to a different peace deal, not the one that was offered.

So, they're still trying to weasle their way into being relevant, um, maybe keeping their weapons a little bit, maybe being involved in the government going forward.

And that's a that's a hard no from Israel.

So I don't think we're actually close to a deal, but it still might get done, which is what I'm going to talk about a little bit.

Um, so here's what uh here's what Trump allegedly said to Netanyahu according to Joel Pollock writing for Breitbart.

Um, so Trump said that he said, "Be this is your chance for victory." Um, and he was fine with it.

Trump said he's got to be fine with it.

He has no choice with me.

He's got to be fine.

So Trump is basically telling the world and telling Netanyahu, "I'm going to tell you what to do and then you're going to do it." Now, what other president could even say those words?

None.

He's the only president who could say out loud, "I told him he's got to do this and now he's got to do it." No one else.

You know that, right?

There's no one else who could even say those words and and be taken seriously, but Trump can.

He can.

And uh I I think this is in response to all the people who think Israel is the tail wagging the dog and that the US is um sort of following Netanyahu's lead.

And this is Trump saying um no, let me let me explain how this works.

He's got to do what I tell him to do.

Period.

That's it.

I'm going to tell him what to do and he'll do it.

So I like this.

I like this.

So this is Trump again being the strong man authoritarian that he is and he wants you to know that this smalish country of Israel is not not pushing him around and that he is in fact pushing Israel.

Now if he gets this done then I would say he has made his case that he's the one pushing Israel.

if he doesn't get it done and Israel decides that they'd rather keep fighting um and then they do well then it's going to start looking a little bit like maybe Israel is calling the shots.

So this is really important in terms of how we think of the relationship between Israel and the US.

If Netanyahu does in fact um make a deal in a way that you know all of us see wasn't his first choice.

You know maybe there's he didn't get everything he wanted.

That would be really good for Trump because it would show that he forced it to happen and it would show that he had the control.

So, but if it doesn't happen and it goes the other way, it's really going to prove that Netanyahu actually does run the country.

So, I mean, I'm exaggerating a little bit.

That's a little bit of hyperbole, but this matters.

Everybody's watching this.

So, unless the two of them suddenly act like they're exactly on the same page, it's going to look like somebody won and somebody lost between Trump and Netanyahu.

So I think that they'll pretend to be on the same page even if they're not to avoid that.

Um I guess uh Israel um bunch of nations uh Muslim majority nations are asking Israel to withdraw and uh they're thinking that if the fighting stops and Israel withdraws to some predetermined line that all the hostages will be released and then they can work on putting together some kind of government and you know repopulating the place.

Do you think that's uh going to happen?

Do you do you think that Hamas is going to release all the hostages without having a guarantee that they'll have some power or that they'll have some safety or get to keep some weapons or something?

I don't think so.

I don't I don't think that they're going to release any hostages until they get what they want.

And Israel is very clear, as is the United States, that they're not going to get what they want.

what they want is some ongoing, you know, power and control and a seat at the table.

There's no way they're going to get that.

In fact, all of the Hamas leadership is going to be dead under every scenario.

If they make a deal, they'll give up their weapons and Israel will eventually hunt them down and they'll all have accidents.

And if they don't give up their weapons, Israel will hunt them down in their tunnels and kill them.

So the Hamas leadership, they're kind of dead no matter what.

So, you know, if they can buy a few days of not being dead by making the hostage thing last longer, I feel like they will.

So, it's hard to imagine that an actual deal will get done, but I'm going to um as I said, I'll talk to you about Trump's persuasion play, which is really strong.

Um, Israel, speaking of Israel, uh there's some reports from Reuters, Danny Hiong is wr writing that uh Israel might want to quote mow the grass in Iran.

Now, if you haven't heard that term in a military context, mowing the grass means that, you know, new terrorists or new bad guys have popped up and they have to go back in and, you know, just kill the new batch and then wait for another batch to pop up like grass and they'll have to go in and mow the grass again.

So, apparently whatever bombing has already happened in Iran um didn't get everything that Israel needs to get.

So, they're thinking about going back in.

What would happen to the peace negotiations with Gaza if Israel decided this week to go in and bomb Iran again?

Might happen.

Well, it might be looked at as uh trying to derail the uh the Gaza thing because Israel is sort of has a win-win situation.

Maybe one win would be the peace deal works and that's a pretty big win.

The other way to win would be the peace deal falls apart and there's no way to resolve it and then they win the hard way.

They lose their probably lose their hostages, but they would eventually have complete control over Gaza in the short term and the long term.

So, it's not clear to me that Israel um or at least Netanyahu, I won't say Israel, I'll say Netanyahu.

It's not clear to me he wants this to work.

Um would you Is that fair?

It's not clear that Netanyahu not not Israel because Israel's got a lot of different opinions, but I'm not sure Netanyahu wants it to work because if it doesn't work, he's going to get everything he wants.

stay in power.

Um, you know, get to destroy Hamas completely, get to essentially annex it.

But, uh, where things are heading now is the the, uh, the beginning of what would be a two-state solution, and that's definitely not what Nanyahu wants.

He doesn't want that second state.

So, we'll see.

All right, let me give you a little Trump persuasion lesson.

I'm going to tell you what he's doing, right?

And oh my god, is he doing it right?

You know, just just like you've never seen.

Um, doesn't mean it's enough.

Right.

So, I'm gonna simultaneously say that what Trump is doing is is just world class.

Couldn't do better, but it might not be enough.

Might not be enough.

But, uh, maybe you'll learn something in the process.

Number one, if you want to be persuasive, credibility.

Boy, you can't beat that.

Credibility means that you have a track record of doing things that maybe were hard or at least things you said you were going to do.

If you've got that going for you, that just is so persuasive.

I would say that that's Elon Musk's superpower among others.

He's got a few superpowers, but one of them is that if Elon Musk says, "I can make a robot and it'll be a good robot." the fact that there's nothing about that that seems real to me.

I still trust him.

I still trust that he knows how to make a robot even though I can't.

I just have trouble imagining it'll work in the short run.

But he's so credible because of the things he's done already that looked impossible.

Um he's persuasive.

Now, Trump has that situation with trying to get a peace deal because look at what he's done to become credible.

The first thing he had to do is be the wor the biggest badass, right?

You're not going to get a peace deal if you're the peace guy.

Does that make sense?

If you're the war guy, you can get a peace deal cuz people really want to stay away from the war guy.

Oo, war guy.

War guy.

So, settle down.

Settle down, war guy.

Okay.

Okay, we'll give you some peace.

So, look at what Trump has done from his first term as a did the mother of all bombs.

Uh he took out Solomi.

He he did that highly successful strike with Israel on the Iran nuclear sites.

Now he's blowing up Venezuelan drug boats.

Um and then he he he changes the Department of Defense to the Department of War.

you make sure it's funded and and he uses the word lethality over and over again.

We're going to make it lethal, lethal, getting rid of the woke.

Um, and all of those things create a picture that says Trump doesn't bluff.

That's really important.

When he says if you don't get this done, there will be hell to pay, he means there will be hell to pay.

that that's not just a bluff and it's because he has credibility because he's created this track record.

On top of that, um, and I've never seen anybody accomplish this.

This this is one of the greatest accomplishments in persuasion you'll ever see.

We'll see if it pays off, but here's the accomplishment.

On one hand, he looks like the dictator authoritarian strongman who is willing to do things like kill Solomon A and you know drop bombs on Iran.

So he's that guy.

At the same time, even I saw his critics on U MSNBC fully admit that Trump unambiguously and honestly hates war.

That's his critics.

His critics have completely accepted that Trump is the most anti-war president we've ever seen.

At the same time that he's the toughest, you know, the most badass.

He's the most badass military president and also by far by far the most peaceloving um will risk his life for peace.

uh we'll put everything on the line for peace.

Now he claims he has seven peace deals.

Now you could argue how many of those seven he really made a difference.

You know India and Pakistan might say well you know I think that was going to happen anyway.

But it's very important that he creates the image that he's he was at least an important process in seven different peace deals.

Now, it doesn't have to be 100% true.

It just has to be in your head.

So, you you're holding in your head at the same time these two opposites.

He's the baddest ass badass military guy and he will definitely whack you if you don't play along.

He will definitely take you out.

He'll take out your little drug boats.

He'll he'll take out your whole country if he has to.

But he will he will fight harder for peace than anybody ever has.

Now, how do you pull that off?

How how do you how are you both people?

Only Trump.

Trump's the only person who could be both of those people at the same time and completely sell it.

I completely believe he's the baddest badass.

I completely believe that he wants peace more than any president ever has.

That's amazing.

So, um, and this also gets me to the, uh, next persuasion point.

Deadlines.

Deadlines are absolutely necessary when you have some kind of open-ended situation.

And a war is by its nature an open-ended situation.

So what Trump does is something that probably he learned doing construction because if you say if your if your builder says, "Oh, we ran into some problems.

It's going to take us longer than we thought." If you don't get him to commit to a new deadline, it'll never get done.

It'll just never get done.

You got to say, "All right, you're fired if you don't get this done by the end of the week." And that's sort of what Trump did with Hamas.

Um he was he was a little weak on giving him a real deadline deadline, but then he finally said, "If you don't have this worked out by Sunday, there'll be all hell to pay." And the deadline is a persuasion factor.

You have to have a deadline, otherwise nothing happens.

Nothing ever happens without a deadline.

So he knows that.

So he puts a deadline on it.

And sure enough, as soon as he puts the deadline on it, stuff starts to happen.

Deadlines really, really matter, especially in negotiations.

The other thing he does is what I call the you could call the biggest gap persuasion.

He makes the biggest difference between making him happy and making him unhappy.

Um, so if you make him unhappy, all hell will break loose.

But if you make him happy and make peace, then he will help you rebuild this uh jewel of the Middle East.

It won't just be, "Oh, maybe we can get back to where we were." No, it'll be way better.

It'll be better than anything you could even imagine.

The the quality of life there eventually would be like spectacular.

The economy would be better.

The danger would be gone.

So he paints a picture where if you if you don't play along, there's going to be hell to pay and he can back it up because he has credibility.

But he makes sure that you know it's not just about avoiding the bad thing.

It's it's you've got this good thing that's so good.

It's just so good you should want it even if you weren't escaping the bad thing.

But if you put them together, you've got a really bad thing that you can escape.

But you're not just escaping, you're getting to this great thing, this great future.

So that's another technique.

You want the biggest difference between making you happy, doing what you want, and not doing what you want.

Maximum.

Nobody does that better.

He is the number one best person at maximizing the distance between make me happy and don't make me happy.

And he does it with everything.

So it's not an accident.

You see him do it with everything really.

And then lastly he has a vision.

So the vision um gets everybody to focus on the end point.

And I think that makes things which seemed impossible suddenly become possible because everybody's thinking about it.

You have to get people to honestly imagine and visualize an end point of peace and everything working out or it'll never happen.

So he makes sure that you can imagine it.

Um he makes you think it's possible.

when when Hamas uh responded at first and said, "Oh, yeah, we're, you know, we're okay with this peace deal as long as, you know, we have power and everything." To me, it looked like there was no chance because Hamas was still asking for more than they would ever get, which is to stay in power.

And but but what's interesting is that Trump acted like it was close to a deal.

which is brilliant because if he if Trump acts like acts like it's really close even if the reality is that it's not close it makes it close because people's brains will sort of automatically be um attracted to whatever they think about and they're visualizing.

So he makes you think about and visualize, wow, we're almost there.

We almost got a deal.

We're well, we're right there.

We're right there.

We're not right there.

We're not cuz the the biggest thing is still in dispute.

What happens to Hamas?

It's the biggest thing.

So, but the fact that he treats it like you're almost there brings along a lot of people and and they go, "Huh, he is very credible.

He did get seven deals doneish.

Um, maybe he knows more than we do.

Oh my goodness.

Now I could imagine that this could happen for the first time.

How hard would it be to ever imagine that there could be a sort of a really good base of peace in the Middle East?

It's almost impossible to imagine, isn't it?

But what did Trump do?

Trump is allowing us to imagine it for the first time.

I would say that I'm imagining it for the first time.

I I just imagined that it wasn't possible and they would just fight forever.

But now I wouldn't maybe I wouldn't place a big bet on it.

But I can totally imagine it.

And you have to get people to imagine the thing before the thing can happen.

Success.

We we can now imagine the thing.

Do you know how big a deal that is?

That we can imagine that this could work.

Just imagine.

And I'm not even talking about getting it done.

That's a whole other level.

But even to get to the point where all the people involved, all of them are now imagining it possible.

That's only Trump.

He's the only one who could do that.

Nobody else could do that.

Maybe an Elon Musk could do it if he were in that job.

Um, Trump is also treating it like it's almost a sure thing, which is even better.

He, instead of just saying, well, you can kind of imagine it might work, he's way beyond that.

He He's already treating it like, oh yeah, we're going to get this done and I told BB he's going to have to do this.

See how that all fits together?

Makes so you imagine it and then he tells you that he's going to make them do it.

And and because he's credible, you say, "Can he do that?

Can he can he just make Netanyahu say yes?" Now, you can imagine it.

I don't know if he can, but I can imagine it.

And that's a big big step cuz other people are imagining it, too.

If everybody's imagining it, you get there.

But my favorite thing besides the fact that he can hold out that Gaza will be rebuilt to be some jewel of the Middle East.

That's visual and gets you to think about the prize.

But also this could be the beginning of um a permanent expansion of the Abraham course.

It could be a real good model of all the countries working together productively to get the Gaza thing, you know, writed.

And that would be hugely valuable for the um Abraham Accords, you know, so that all all the other Arab countries in Israel figure out how to work together productively and maybe that expands.

So he's got that going too.

But by far the best thing is that um we all talk about the Nobel Prize if this happens.

He the Nobel Prize is making you think past the sale, which he's a genius at.

He's making you think past the sale.

Let let me ask this.

How many of you have thought, huh, if he gets this done, I wonder if he'll get a Nobel Peace Prize, right?

If you're thinking about whether he will get the Nobel Peace Prize or they'll try to, you know, screw him out of it because he's just not who they want to win it.

You're already thinking past you got a he got a peace deal.

Perfect.

Who else does that?

You know, if if you don't understand him, you just say, "Oh, that narcissist, he just wants a he just wants a Nobel Peace Prize." Well, he definitely wants a Nobel Peace Prize.

Who wouldn't?

Everybody wants a Nobel Peace Prize.

So, of course he wants one.

Of course he does.

But he has to earn it.

He's going to have to earn it.

And you know, he's going to try.

So, I love the fact that he makes us think about the Nobel Peace Prize.

Other people would have an ego problem where they'd say, "No, that's too embarrassing.

I I can't say out loud that I should have gotten a Nobel Peace Prize.

You You can't say that out loud because people will just think you're some kind of a, you know, stuck up narcissistic jerk or something.

But have I ever taught you that Trump uses his ego like a tool?

It's not a flaw.

It's a tool.

He can turn it up and he can turn it down.

and uh he turned it up for the Nobel Peace Prize so that we all think about it and now we're thinking past the sale.

If he didn't need it, maybe he would turn it down.

But but watching him work is is truly it's just breathtaking.

There there's nobody who could have created this entire uh I'll call it a structure from what you think about him to you know how he's framed it.

It's all a structure that he's created and and his um the way he's worked with his partners even they brought Jared in.

So I guess Jared is going to be part of this now.

What what do you think when Jared gets involved?

Well, when I see Jared get involved, my brain says, "Oh my goodness, he's bringing in the A team.

He's bringing in a finisher." Jared is a finisher.

He's bringing in the finisher.

Do you see?

Do you see what that does, too?

It makes you say, "Oh, wait.

We're in the finish mode." Like, because he brought it in the finisher.

So, every bit of this is just freaking brilliant.

Honestly, if if Trump gets it done, and I'm not I'm still not at a point where I'm going to predict that he can get it done because there too many weasels over there.

But if he gets this done, oh boy, does this deserve a Nobel Peace Prize.

I mean, it really deserves one cuz what what he's created already to even give us a chance is spectacular.

It's spectacular.

All right, Cat.

Well, in other good news, our liquid natural gas exports hit a record high in September.

Justin news is reporting on that.

So that's good.

Uh whenever we're exporting maximum amount of energy, things are looking good.

Remember that story about the uh there was a room that was found that had all these uh cell phone SIM cards and it was uh presumed that um some foreign entity was using it to crash our cell network if if they ever wanted to crash it.

And then it was found that it was a Chinese entity.

So that the Chinese had built a structure to crash our cell phones in an emergency.

And then to update it now, we learned that they had a second facility that has been discovered.

So they had two full facilities that had no other purpose, couldn't be used for anything else except to jam up our cell networks during an emergency cuz you know why else would you do it?

You would only do it if you could really mess with us.

So how do we just act like that didn't happen?

you know, is is is there so much spycraft going on between the US and China that that we just look at this and go, "Ah, well, you know, nice try.

Glad we caught you.

Um, we're we're doing things with you and you know, you haven't caught us yet, so business as usual." Anyway, we'll see.

Um, but it doesn't seem like we could just have a normal relationship with them when they're doing that.

I mean, they're they literally put major physical assets in the United States for no other reason than sabotage.

How do you let that go?

Now, I realize we need to buy their but how do you let that go?

I don't know.

Well, there's a story that I was I almost didn't want to talk about, but there's this guy running for Virginia Attorney General.

Apparently, he said some things in some emails that got out that were pretty bad.

He was fantasizing about his opponent's children dying because he says if his opponent's children died um then he might change his mind about some of his policies because without pain people don't change.

And then he also said he made a joke that if his opponent um were if he saw his opponent and Hitler and I don't know Stalin or somebody and he only had two bullets uh he would put both of the bullets in his opponent and let Hillar and Stalin live which is you know sort of an old joke just a form of an old joke but um the te his text messages got out and now people are calling for him to drop Don't.

Here's my um problem with this.

I have a rule that if it's a private conversation that the person who released it is responsible for it.

Meaning that the things that we say privately.

Um we say them privately because we don't want them anywhere else.

And we say them privately because we think the person we're talking to can handle it and might, you know, put it in the proper context and you know that you're not serious about it.

You're just have some hyperbole or something.

But when it gets out in the wild, um, all the context is lost.

And I usually say in these situations that the person responsible is the leaker.

whoever leaked it.

The leaker should get fired for revealing a private conversation.

So, I'm very mad at whoever leaked it.

Very mad.

Um, if it were just something unpleasant, I would probably say, you know what, those are private thoughts.

I'm not going to judge them for a private thought, but these are really bad private thoughts.

These are not normal.

These are not normal private thoughts.

These are violent and it does suggest um some kind of bias toward violence against conservatives at a time when conservatives are worried about violence against them.

So the timing could not be worse for saying something like that.

So, I'm gonna I hate to do it, but I'm going to violate my own rule and say that even though this was a private thought that happened to be expressed to one private person, um h this one, you can't you can't let this go.

You can't let this one go.

This one's too dangerous.

He he's he's got to go.

If they elect this guy, big mistake.

Well, apparently the Conservatives over in uh the UK, the Conservative Party, they're uh pushing to do some kind of an ICE uh organization to deport um a whole bunch of people they want to deport.

So, but I guess there are at least two parties over there that want to are anti-immigration, but they want to get as many as 750,000 migrants shipped back in 5 years.

And they would call that the removals force.

Politico is reporting on this.

So, I don't know.

Do you do you think that uh do you think that the UK is going full Donald Trump and that they realize that they're going to have to do something about the migration situation or, you know, close up the country because it's they're done?

I feel I feel like the existence of Trump makes it possible for the UK to adjust because if if they see that he did and that the US is getting on a firmer footing and you know recovering from over migration um if they see that we can do it they're probably going to be able to do it.

But if it doesn't work anywhere, if there's no country that, you know, gets tough and ships people back, it just doesn't happen anywhere.

Um, they probably won't do it either.

So, this is another one of those situations where the the the shadow or the vibration or the secondary effect from Trump being Trump probably helps other countries a lot.

This would be one example of that.

So, there's a uh story um I think the Daily Skeptic had this story a few months ago.

Um but the MET office that's in Great Britain, I guess that's where they do their uh their climate change calculations, the Met Met Office.

But apparently, this is so funny, um that uh data from more than 30% of its uh temperature sites are just made up.

So over time, a lot of the temperature measuring sites either go bad or they go out of service or they maybe somebody builds an airport next to it, so it's not it's no longer reliable for the temperature.

But uh the over in the UK they've been blamed with fabricating data for more than 30% of their reporting sites.

If you're making up the now now of course they would say that their estimates are responsible.

So they would say something like well this temperature usually matched you know this other temperature.

So since we don't have access to this temperature, we'll just say it's continued to match this other temperature.

So I mean, if you did a few of them, you know, a few, I'd say, well, I mean, maybe you could have left them out, but it's just a few.

But if 30% of them don't exist and you're estimating them, you don't think there's any subjectivity in the estimates?

Of course there is.

Of course there's subjectivity.

they have to decide what they're going to base the guest on.

So, it's not science.

And you know, uh, this is why I enjoy saying, uh, wait, wait until you find out about climate models.

It's way more fun to not spend any time defending how it's going to turn out.

Just say, "Wait till you find out.

You've got a big surprise coming." Now, by the way, I do not have to be a climatologist or a psychologist or a scientist to uh to know in advance that the temperature measurements would be bogus.

All you have to do is have experience in the real world.

Anybody who had real world experience, especially in big organizations, should have known that the temperature stuff was sketchy.

That was the most knowable obvious fact and all you had to do is have experience in completely other realms.

You don't have to have any experience in science or climate to know that if you have that many people and that many measuring devices over that much time and that level of complexity, somebody's making stuff up every time.

Somebody's making stuff up.

All right.

There's a story about a uh professor who got put on leave for some Facebook comments about uh Charlie Kirk's murder.

Daily Mail is reporting this, Samantha Rut.

And uh she refer referred to dangerous white men.

So it's a Kansas professor.

She's a black woman in case you want to get all the context here.

And uh her name is Nelle Chance and she's an assistant psychology professor or was I guess.

Um and when Charlie Kirk first got shot, she posted me thinks the word karma is appropriate.

Sad day all around.

Well, at least she said it was sad.

Um and then later she said um um she posted again she said uh uh but when we tell you all this statistically white American men are the most dangerous animals on the planet were wrong let's not be hasty they say.

So she was dep def defending her opinion that white American men are the most dangerous animals on the planet.

Hm.

Should I be mad that she's calling me an animal?

I'm going to say no, cuz I'm an animal.

You know, humans are animals.

Close enough.

Um, you know, I again, I have a a mixed feeling on this because I want her to have free speech.

And was that not free speech?

Um, so I I really don't like it when people lose jobs over uh even ugly opinions.

But here's here's why.

Yeah, I understand that she has to, you know, she has to pay for that comment.

But um her belief about Charlie Kirk is entirely based on things that she was not responsible for.

Meaning that she saw things on social media.

She saw people she trusted having opinions about him and she adopted those opinions.

Now those opinions are completely wrong.

You know, he wasn't the bad guy, you know, devil that people said.

But if he had been, how bad would that comment be?

Suppose he had been just a horrible monster.

Would would you feel bad if somebody said, "Oh, I don't mind that the horrible monster had a bad end." It wouldn't be so bad, right?

So, the the way you react to her is is based on something that she was duped on.

She was duped.

She was duped into thinking he was a devil.

And so, she thought it would be safe to say, "Well, you know, I guess that's what happens to the devil." But not knowing that to half the country he was closer to an angel, you know, she just walked into the buzzsaw.

So how much of that was her fault?

She clearly she lived in a bubble because she thought that saying that out loud, you know, would be consequencefree apparently.

Um, so that was, you know, maybe that was her fault, but she's not the one who created the hoax that Charlie Kirk was a bad guy.

She didn't create that.

She was a victim of it and then she just reacted in a way that somebody would if they heard that, you know, Hitler had died, right?

I don't know.

So, I feel like in the real world, you know, of course there's going to be consequences for saying that opinion out loud.

But on the other hand, she's a little bit of a victim.

A little bit of a victim.

Not enough, you know, for forgiveness, but she's a little bit of a victim.

Um there's meanwhile over in Ukraine, uh Ukraine struck one of Russia's biggest oil refineries again.

And uh apparently Russia did massive aerial attacks on um some oil refineries uh or what is it uh some of their uh gas production or something in in uh Ukraine.

So it looks like Russia's play is to make it really cold in Ukraine.

So winter's coming.

So, it looks like Russia's play is to make sure the Ukrainians feel the fear and that they're going to freeze to death.

And it looks like Zalinsk's strategy in Ukraine is to take out the energy production in Russia until the economy is is reeling and uh there's long lines for gas and maybe that gets the public against Putin.

But it looks like we know the play now.

And as I've been saying, it looks like they're not going to bother trying to kill humans because killing humans hasn't worked.

So they're going to go after assets now.

So anyway, um there's a report in interesting engineering that over in China, they've built a a mockup of the Taiwan capital of Taipei.

And the reason they built a model, it's a fullscale model, is so they can practice conquering uh Taiwan.

So, so they've got a uh a full mockup of these city streets around, you know, like the capital building and, you know, the important buildings in the city for when they capture them.

So, if you're wondering, is China serious about, you know, invading Taiwan?

Yes, they bu they built an entire model and they're practicing on it.

Yeah, that sounds pretty serious to me.

Um, I don't I think that they won't do it when Trump's president because they're patient.

You know, that's one of their great virtues.

The Chinese are very patient.

So, wouldn't it be crazy for them to do it when Trump is president?

They just have to sort of wait, you know, get a get a weaker president someday.

It won't be JD Vance.

He'd be a problem, too.

But maybe they get a Democrat someday.

So worth worth waiting.

All right.

Um I'll remind you that uh Owen Gregorian has a spaceless event that'll be firing up any minute now um once he's got a chance to fire it up.

Uh I'm done now, but I'm going to say a few words privately to my beloved um subscribers on locals.

And I hope you liked my FM voice today.

All right, everybody.

I will see all of you tomorrow.

Same time, same place.

And locals coming at you privately.

Cats are ready.

If you're ready, I'm ready.

[Music]

All right.

[Music]

Good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization.

It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and

you've never had a better time. If I

sound a little different today, it's

because I was up all night, so I haven't

slept yet.

But, uh, we'll try to get through this.

I'll try not to fall asleep. But if

you'd like to take your experience up to

levels that nobody can even understand

with their tiny shiny human brains, all

you need is a copper mug or a glass

attack sign, a canteen jug or flask, a

vessel of any kind. Fill it with your

favorite liquid. I like coffee.

And join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the

thing that makes everything better. It's

called the simultaneous sip and it

happens now. Go.

I've got kind of a FM radio vibe going

on now. Weird voice thing.

Hey everybody, it's it's about 700 a.m.

California time.

All right. Uh so after the show today,

Owen Gregorian will be having his spaces

event on X. So, just look for Owen

Gregorian when we're done for the

afterparty spaces.

Well, I don't know if this was real or

not real, but there was a video of a

Chinese um drone show in which they had

it looked like thousands of drones in

the air at the same time. But, uh

somebody brought a drone jammer.

So, somebody started jamming the drones

and there were thousands of them and

they started falling from the sky.

Somebody said it might have been a

demonstration of drone defense, in which

case they should have been falling out

of the sky, but it didn't look like it

to me. It looked like a prank. I saw

that in a post by Masimo on X. So, check

it out. See what you think. Um, look on

X and just look for the drone jamming

video from China and let me know. Do you

think that looks real? It's so hard to

tell. I think I'm reaching the point

where onethird of all the stories I talk

about will turn out to be, you know, AI.

Well, let's see if I could have guessed

this science. Um, so they wanted to see

if psilocybin

could help some uh some health care

workers reduce their depression and

burnout. How do you think that went?

About once a week there's a story about

psilocybin helping somebody's mental

health and 100% of the time it works

every single time.

So, do you think it worked with health

care workers and their depression and

burnout? Yes, it did. Yes, it did. Just

in case you wondered, they could have

skipped that.

And just ask Scott.

Eric Dolan of Cypost was writing about

that.

Makes me wonder, is there anything this

little Cyburn can't do? Seems like it

can do it all.

Um according to Cypost also Karina

Petrova is writing that a uh little

study was done and they found that a

just a few brief chats with an AI if the

AI is biased can alter your political

opinion.

Now do you believe that? Do you believe

that AI can change your political

opinion just by chatting with you for a

little while?

Well, next time uh just ask me. Yes, I

can. Do you know the um what what is the

concept which kind of guarantees that

chatting with an AI will uh be

persuasive?

What what is it? What is the persuasion

concept that just guarantees it? The

answer is the documentary effect. So, I

always talk about the documentary

effect. The documentary effect is when

you're you're listening to one side of

an argument for an extended period of

time. Doesn't matter what the argument

is. You will be convinced

or at least you know people will be more

likely to be convinced if they listen to

one side of an argument without hearing

the other side. That's all it is.

So it doesn't matter if it comes to you

in a documentary or you only look at uh

the the stuff in a bubble on social

media or you talk to one biased AI that

it you know was intended to be biased in

this example. Yeah, it's a documentary

effect. Of course it works. Of course it

does. All you need is one point of view

with no counterpoint and then add time.

That's it. Time plus one point of view.

Persuasion.

I'm going to give you a uh Trump

persuasion lesson in a little bit.

You're going to like it. Uh regarding

Gaza.

Well, the uh one of the co-founders of

Roomba, you know, the little robot that

vacuums your house. um says that uh Elon

Musk is in a terrible surprise

in for a terrible surprise with his

humanoid robots. So futurism is writing

about this Victor Tangerin and uh the

Rumor guy says uh that you can't teach

robots how to do things, you know, with

with their hands basically. And the

reason is that the the hands don't have

a feedback mechanism. I think that's

part of it. Um, but he doesn't believe

that you can teach a robot to do stuff

by showing it how to do stuff. So, as in

you would never be able to teach it to

do the laundry or maybe even I maybe

empty the dishwasher, but but teaching

it to do the laundry? Probably never.

According to one robot maker, h how

about never. No, you'll never get that

because the I I I think his argument is

that if you don't have the tactile

um the feel that you can't learn with

your hands just by watching. I don't

know about that. Uh I would not bet

against Elon Musk who very clearly

believes that this will work and he'll

be rolling out these robots sometime

this year.

I don't know. I'm going to stay

skeptical. until I'm proven wrong.

Um, and my skepticism goes like this.

If it were possible that in one year we

would see robots learning by watching,

you know, watching somebody iron a shirt

and then the robot can do it, you would

already see that.

If if that were going to be on the on

the open market in less than a year,

you'd see the demonstrations today.

But we don't. So I have to conclude that

they don't know how to do that. Will

they be able to do it in a year?

I don't know. I it feels like maybe not.

Maybe not. We'll see.

Um also in futurism,

uh a lot of people are discovering that

their their electric bills are going up,

especially if they live near a data

center. So if you live near a data

center, you know that the data centers

are pulling more electricity than ever

for AI stuff. And uh that will make your

supply and demand uh equation cost uh

cost you more money. So apparently if

you

if you live anywhere near a data center,

you're going to get reamed. Data centers

are going to be um really hit for

electricity. Now, here's my question.

Doesn't that mean that you're

subsidizing AI?

It does, right? So, if you live near a

data center, then that data center

becomes an AI, you know, driving data

center, suddenly your electric bill goes

up, I don't know, I'll pick a number,

$400 per month. And what do you get out

of it? Nothing. Nothing. you you're

still getting the same amount of

electricity just cost you $400 a month

more. So you tell me why should I not

get equity in the AI company? I should

have equity because I'm literally

directly investing in the AI, right? So

I need some reparations or something

reparations maybe.

Um

but that that is genuinely a big

problem. We we don't assume or I never

have that my my contribution to the

electrical cost would be anything that I

would even think about because it just

seems like it's all in the noise. But

once it doubles your electrical cost,

you are a major investor in AI. No way

around it. You're a major investor. You

just didn't ask for it. So, yeah, you

should get some equity.

Uh, apparently, uh, Amazon's going to

launch, uh, or relaunch whatever it is,

um, all of the James Bond movies, so you

can get them all on Amazon. But, uh,

fans noticed that the guns that James

Bond often holds on his covers has been

deleted from the art. So, it's just

James Bond standing like this with his

with a a handful of nothing where it

used to be like that's where his gun

would be. So, can't show that gun.

Now, here's my question. If they make

James Bond woke,

won't that be the opposite of James

Bond? And wasn't his lack of wokeness

exactly the thing we liked about him?

Wasn't that the whole point?

There there are still uh some of the

really early ones like from the 60s

where where he slaps he slaps his

girlfriend in the face.

You would never see that today. Uh

something tells me they're going to edit

that out, too.

Yeah. And all of his uh wild womanizing.

Maybe they'll get rid of that, too. But

here's the good news. James Bond so far

is still a white man. Still a white man.

Y I'm pretty sure they're gonna use

their AI to replace him with a black

woman any any day now, but at the moment

still a white man.

Well, Bad Bunny, the artist Bad Bunny,

as you know, has been selected to do the

the halftime show at the Super Bowl. And

uh he's Puerto Rican and he uh which

means he's American and uh he he sings

mostly in Spanish. So a lot of people

were up in arms.

We we don't want no Spanish-sp

speakaking Super Bowl. Give us some

American Super Bowl. Um, but I saw Jay-Z

talking about it because his production

group's in charge of the Super Bowl

halftime show. And uh, he was quite

defiant. But one thing I didn't know, I

didn't know that Bad Bunny is one of the

top uh, streaming artists in the world.

Did you know that? I didn't know he was

like in the top three. I think he's one

of the top streaming artists in the

world. So given that and given that the

Super Bowl is, you know, more of a

global event than it is than it used to

be, um, makes sense to me. It makes

sense. I mean, he's in the top three,

you know, he's sort of in a class, um,

not too far from Taylor Swift, so I

don't know. You You know, would it make

a difference if you had a rapper and you

couldn't understand a single word? that

the rapper said, "Is that going to be

that much different than having somebody

just sing it in Spanish?" It's not It's

not that much different.

So, I I tried to get up in arms about

this because people seem to be enjoying

how mad they were, but I I I couldn't be

bothered. This one This one doesn't

bother me at all.

Why? Why not have a Puerto Rican,

you know, top star in the world? I I'm

I'm actually kind of curious because I'm

not familiar with his work. So, I'm

probably more likely to watch it than

not because I want to see what what all

the all the noise is about. So, we'll

see.

Um, so you know how uh Trump brought the

uh troops into Washington DC and brought

the crime down immediately. Did you

believe that?

Did you believe that there would be a

somewhat permanent reduction in crime

because the the feds were there for what

a week or something? Did did that ever

make sense to you that the criminals

would just stop doing crime?

M or would they wait a few weeks until

things calm down and then just go back

to what they were doing? Well, Reuters

is getting a little skeptical about the

long-term impact in DC. Um, apparently

the murders did go down, but there's no

reason to believe that they'll stay

down. And uh, other crimes didn't really

change that much. So maybe it feels a

lot safer in Washington DC, but I'll bet

you in six months

it will look like nothing happened.

It'll be right back to where it was.

That's my guess. Still worth doing, you

know, even if it's only an experiment,

still worth doing. Uh still successful,

but uh I don't think it'll be as big a

change as people want.

Speaking of sending in the troops, the

federal judge has stopped Trump from

using um troops, the National Guard

troops in Portland.

So that's that's being blocked at the

moment. I think it was a Trump appointed

judge that blocked that, too.

Um and the judge said this is a nation

of constitutional law, not martial law.

Meanwhile,

Trump is trying to get Chicago to um

accept 300 members of the uh of the

National Guard to help with their crime

situation, but JB Pritsker and I think

the mayor of um Chicago are not in favor

of that. So Trump's option is to

federalize them. So he could just say,

"Well, if you're not going to put them

there, um, I will federalize them and

put them there myself." So that might

happen. I don't know if there'll be

another judge that stops it, but it

seems likely.

You know, have you ever thought what

would be the best form of government?

Like if you really if you could really

have just the perfect form of

government, I'll tell you what it

wouldn't be. It it wouldn't be a panel

of people.

It wouldn't be a pure democracy. That

would be a mess. It wouldn't be Marxism.

It wouldn't be, you know, an evil

dictator.

Um, by far the best form of government

if you could get it. Now the problem is

there's no way to guarantee that that's

what you're getting. But if you could

get it, the best form of government

would be a authoritarian strongman who

had your best interests in heart-

which turns out to be Trump. Is he an

authoritarian?

Yes.

Is he a strong man?

I'd say yes. Yes, he is. Is he

benevolent in the sense that although

he's tough,

um, everything he does clearly is for

the benefit of the public? Yes. Does he

does he put himself at personal risk for

the benefit of the public? Yes, very

much so. He he's had two assassination

attempts. That's as much risk as you

could put anything at. So,

um, while I understand all the

criticisms and I understand why people

would be wary that it might, you know,

turn into something else. I get that.

But we are experiencing the golden age.

I hate to tell you, but you could not

you could not design a better government

than a uh strong leader who is stronger

than an ordinary leader, stronger than a

president and uh is taking every

opportunity, every every possibility,

every opening, pushing every door, you

know, opening every window.

um and trying to make stuff happen but

doing it transparently right in front of

us so we could watch and uh being a

second term president so he's got the

experience he knows what he's doing now

he's got the right staff this is sort of

ideal I will go so far as to say that we

might never have a government again

that's as good as the one we're

experiencing right now obviously it

can't it's not magic so it can't do

everything it wants to do right away.

But we could not do better than a strong

man Trump who likes operating in public

and likes to be liked, which is

important. He likes to be liked. So that

eliminates all the things that might be

good for him, but we wouldn't like it.

He just doesn't do those things because

he likes to be liked. It's the perfect

situation. He's an authoritarian strong

man kind of a kind of a bastard type but

for us. He's our bastard, right? He's

being a bastard for us and he's doing it

well. I don't think he could do better.

Honestly, and maybe we'll never do

better. This might be the best

presidential situation we'll ever

experience or anybody will ever

experience. Um it's such a unique

situation that somebody wants to be

liked

um but also has the that strength and

and also that experience at this point.

So we might never see it again.

Speaking of strong, uh Trump ordered yet

another drug boat coming out of

Venezuela to be blown up and it was. So,

at some point, the drug boats are going

to they're going to either run out of

drug boats or run out of people who are

willing to get on a drug boat because

it's just going to be a suicide um

suicide uh sale.

Anyway, let's talk about Gaza. That's

the big news. So, as you know, um, the

Gazins or the Hamas has acted like

they're going to say yes to the peace

deal, but they said yes to a different

peace deal, not the one that was

offered. So, they're still trying to

weasle their way into being relevant,

um, maybe keeping their weapons a little

bit, maybe being involved in the

government going forward. And that's a

that's a hard no from Israel. So

I don't think we're actually close to a

deal,

but it still might get done, which is

what I'm going to talk about a little

bit. Um,

so here's what uh here's what Trump

allegedly said to Netanyahu according to

Joel Pollock writing for Breitbart. Um,

so Trump said that he said, "Be this is

your chance for victory."

Um, and he was fine with it. Trump said

he's got to be fine with it. He has no

choice with me. He's got to be fine. So

Trump is basically telling the world and

telling Netanyahu, "I'm going to tell

you what to do and then you're going to

do it." Now, what other president could

even say those words? None. He's the

only president who could say out loud,

"I told him he's got to do this and now

he's got to do it." No one else. You

know that, right? There's no one else

who could even say those words and and

be taken seriously, but Trump can. He

can. And uh I I think this is in

response to all the people who think

Israel is the tail wagging the dog and

that the US is um sort of following

Netanyahu's lead. And this is Trump

saying um no, let me let me explain how

this works. He's got to do what I tell

him to do. Period. That's it. I'm going

to tell him what to do and he'll do it.

So I like this. I like this. So this is

Trump again being the strong man

authoritarian that he is and he wants

you to know that this smalish country of

Israel is not not pushing him around and

that he is in fact pushing Israel. Now

if he gets this done then I would say he

has made his case that he's the one

pushing Israel. if he doesn't get it

done and Israel decides that they'd

rather keep fighting

um and then they do well then it's going

to start looking a little bit like maybe

Israel is calling the shots. So this is

really important in terms of how we

think of the relationship between Israel

and the US. If Netanyahu does in fact um

make a deal in a way that you know all

of us see wasn't his first choice. You

know maybe there's he didn't get

everything he wanted. That would be

really good for Trump because it would

show that he forced it to happen and it

would show that he had the control. So,

but if it doesn't happen and it goes the

other way, it's really going to prove

that Netanyahu actually does run the

country. So, I mean, I'm exaggerating a

little bit. That's a little bit of

hyperbole, but this matters. Everybody's

watching this. So, unless the two of

them suddenly act like they're exactly

on the same page, it's going to look

like somebody won and somebody lost

between Trump and Netanyahu. So I think

that they'll pretend to be on the same

page even if they're not to avoid that.

Um

I guess uh Israel um bunch of nations uh

Muslim majority nations are asking

Israel to withdraw

and uh they're thinking that if the

fighting stops and Israel withdraws to

some predetermined line that all the

hostages will be released and then they

can work on putting together some kind

of government and you know repopulating

the place. Do you think that's uh going

to happen?

Do you do you think that Hamas is going

to release all the hostages

without having a guarantee that they'll

have some power or that they'll have

some safety or get to keep some weapons

or something?

I don't think so. I don't I don't think

that they're going to release any

hostages until they get what they want.

And Israel is very clear, as is the

United States, that they're not going to

get what they want.

what they want is some ongoing, you

know, power and control and a seat at

the table. There's no way they're going

to get that. In fact, all of the Hamas

leadership is going to be dead under

every scenario. If they make a deal,

they'll give up their weapons and Israel

will eventually hunt them down and

they'll all have accidents. And if they

don't give up their weapons, Israel will

hunt them down in their tunnels and kill

them. So the Hamas leadership, they're

kind of dead no matter what. So, you

know, if they can buy a few days of not

being dead by making the hostage thing

last longer, I feel like they will. So,

it's hard to imagine that an actual deal

will get done, but I'm going to um as I

said, I'll talk to you about Trump's

persuasion play, which is really strong.

Um, Israel, speaking of Israel,

uh there's some reports from Reuters,

Danny Hiong is wr writing that uh Israel

might want to quote mow the grass in

Iran. Now, if you haven't heard that

term in a military context, mowing the

grass means that, you know, new

terrorists or new bad guys have popped

up and they have to go back in and, you

know, just kill the new batch and then

wait for another batch to pop up like

grass and they'll have to go in and mow

the grass again. So, apparently whatever

bombing has already happened in Iran

um didn't get everything that Israel

needs to get. So, they're thinking about

going back in. What would happen to the

peace negotiations with Gaza if Israel

decided this week to go in and bomb Iran

again?

Might happen. Well,

it might be looked at as uh trying to

derail the uh the Gaza thing because

Israel is sort of has a win-win

situation. Maybe one win would be the

peace deal works and that's a pretty big

win. The other way to win would be the

peace deal falls apart and there's no

way to resolve it and then they win the

hard way. They lose their probably lose

their hostages, but they would

eventually have complete control over

Gaza in the short term and the long

term. So, it's not clear to me that

Israel

um or at least Netanyahu, I won't say

Israel, I'll say Netanyahu. It's not

clear to me he wants this to work.

Um

would you Is that fair? It's not clear

that Netanyahu not not Israel because

Israel's got a lot of different

opinions, but I'm not sure Netanyahu

wants it to work because if it doesn't

work, he's going to get everything he

wants. stay in power. Um, you know, get

to destroy Hamas completely, get to

essentially annex it. But, uh, where

things are heading now is the the, uh,

the beginning of what would be a

two-state solution, and that's

definitely not what Nanyahu wants. He

doesn't want that second state. So,

we'll see. All right, let me give you a

little Trump persuasion lesson. I'm

going to tell you what he's doing,

right? And oh my god, is he doing it

right? You know, just just like you've

never seen. Um, doesn't mean it's

enough. Right. So, I'm gonna

simultaneously say that what Trump is

doing is is just world class. Couldn't

do better, but it might not be enough.

Might not be enough. But, uh, maybe

you'll learn something in the process.

Number one, if you want to be

persuasive,

credibility.

Boy, you can't beat that. Credibility

means that you have a track record of

doing things that maybe were hard or at

least things you said you were going to

do. If you've got that going for you,

that just is so persuasive. I would say

that that's Elon Musk's superpower among

others. He's got a few superpowers, but

one of them is that if Elon Musk says,

"I can make a robot and it'll be a good

robot." the fact that there's nothing

about that that seems real to me. I

still trust him.

I still trust that he knows how to make

a robot even though I can't. I just have

trouble imagining it'll work in the

short run.

But he's so credible because of the

things he's done already that looked

impossible.

Um he's persuasive. Now, Trump has that

situation with trying to get a peace

deal because look at what he's done to

become credible. The first thing he had

to do is be the wor the biggest badass,

right? You're not going to get a peace

deal if you're the peace guy. Does that

make sense? If you're the war guy, you

can get a peace deal cuz people really

want to stay away from the war guy. Oo,

war guy. War guy. So, settle down.

Settle down, war guy. Okay. Okay, we'll

give you some peace. So, look at what

Trump has done from his first term as a

did the mother of all bombs. Uh he took

out Solomi. He he did that highly

successful strike with Israel on the

Iran nuclear sites. Now he's blowing up

Venezuelan drug boats. Um and then he he

he changes the Department of Defense to

the Department of War. you make sure

it's funded and and he uses the word

lethality over and over again. We're

going to make it lethal, lethal, getting

rid of the woke. Um,

and all of those things create a picture

that says Trump doesn't bluff.

That's really important. When he says if

you don't get this done, there will be

hell to pay, he means there will be hell

to pay.

that that's not just a bluff and it's

because he has credibility because he's

created this track record.

On top of that, um, and I've never seen

anybody accomplish this. This this is

one of the greatest accomplishments in

persuasion you'll ever see. We'll see if

it pays off, but here's the

accomplishment. On one hand, he looks

like the dictator authoritarian

strongman who is willing to do things

like kill Solomon A and you know drop

bombs on Iran. So he's that guy. At the

same time, even I saw his critics on U

MSNBC

fully admit that Trump unambiguously and

honestly hates war.

That's his critics. His critics have

completely accepted that Trump is the

most anti-war president we've ever seen.

At the same time that he's the toughest,

you know, the most badass. He's the most

badass military president and also by

far by far the most peaceloving

um will risk his life for peace.

uh we'll put everything on the line for

peace. Now he claims he has seven peace

deals. Now you could argue how many of

those seven he really made a difference.

You know India and Pakistan might say

well you know I think that was going to

happen anyway. But it's very important

that he creates the image that he's he

was at least an important process in

seven different peace deals. Now, it

doesn't have to be 100% true. It just

has to be in your head. So, you you're

holding in your head at the same time

these two opposites. He's the baddest

ass badass military guy and he will

definitely whack you if you don't play

along. He will definitely take you out.

He'll take out your little drug boats.

He'll he'll take out your whole country

if he has to.

But he will he will fight harder for

peace than anybody ever has. Now, how do

you pull that off? How how do you how

are you both people? Only Trump. Trump's

the only person who could be both of

those people at the same time and

completely sell it. I completely believe

he's the baddest badass. I completely

believe that he wants peace more than

any president ever has.

That's amazing.

So,

um, and this also gets me to the, uh,

next persuasion point. Deadlines.

Deadlines are absolutely necessary when

you have some kind of open-ended

situation. And a war is by its nature an

open-ended situation.

So what Trump does is something that

probably he learned doing construction

because if you say if your if your

builder says, "Oh, we ran into some

problems. It's going to take us longer

than we thought." If you don't get him

to commit to a new deadline,

it'll never get done. It'll just never

get done. You got to say, "All right,

you're fired if you don't get this done

by the end of the week." And that's sort

of what Trump did with Hamas. Um he was

he was a little weak on giving him a

real deadline deadline, but then he

finally said, "If you don't have this

worked out by Sunday, there'll be all

hell to pay." And the deadline is a

persuasion factor. You have to have a

deadline, otherwise nothing happens.

Nothing ever happens without a deadline.

So he knows that. So he puts a deadline

on it. And sure enough, as soon as he

puts the deadline on it, stuff starts to

happen. Deadlines really, really matter,

especially in negotiations.

The other thing he does is what I call

the you could call the biggest gap

persuasion. He makes the biggest

difference between making him happy and

making him unhappy.

Um, so if you make him unhappy, all hell

will break loose. But if you make him

happy and make peace, then he will help

you rebuild this uh jewel of the Middle

East. It won't just be, "Oh, maybe we

can get back to where we were." No,

it'll be way better. It'll be better

than anything you could even imagine.

The the quality of life there eventually

would be like spectacular. The economy

would be better. The danger would be

gone. So he paints a picture where if

you if you don't play along, there's

going to be hell to pay and he can back

it up because he has credibility.

But he makes sure that you know it's not

just about avoiding the bad thing. It's

it's you've got this good thing that's

so good.

It's just so good you should want it

even if you weren't escaping the bad

thing. But if you put them together,

you've got a really bad thing that you

can escape. But you're not just

escaping, you're getting to this great

thing, this great future. So that's

another technique. You want the biggest

difference between making you happy,

doing what you want, and not doing what

you want. Maximum. Nobody does that

better. He is the number one best person

at maximizing the distance between make

me happy and don't make me happy. And he

does it with everything. So it's not an

accident. You see him do it with

everything really.

And then lastly he has a vision.

So the vision um gets everybody to focus

on the end point. And I think that makes

things which seemed impossible suddenly

become possible because everybody's

thinking about it. You have to get

people to honestly imagine and visualize

an end point of peace and everything

working out or it'll never happen. So he

makes sure that you can imagine it. Um

he makes you think it's possible. when

when Hamas uh responded at first and

said, "Oh, yeah, we're, you know, we're

okay with this peace deal as long as,

you know, we have power and everything."

To me, it looked like there was no

chance because Hamas was still asking

for more than they would ever get, which

is to stay in power. And

but but what's interesting is that Trump

acted like it was close to a deal.

which is brilliant because if he if

Trump acts like acts like it's really

close even if the reality is that it's

not close

it makes it close

because people's brains will sort of

automatically be um attracted to

whatever they think about and they're

visualizing. So he makes you think about

and visualize, wow, we're almost there.

We almost got a deal. We're well, we're

right there. We're right there. We're

not right there. We're not cuz the the

biggest thing is still in dispute. What

happens to Hamas? It's the biggest

thing. So, but the fact that he treats

it like you're almost there brings along

a lot of people and and they go, "Huh,

he is very credible. He did get seven

deals doneish.

Um, maybe he knows more than we do. Oh

my goodness. Now I could imagine that

this could happen for the first time.

How hard would it be to ever imagine

that there could be a sort of a really

good base of peace in the Middle East?

It's almost impossible to imagine, isn't

it? But what did Trump do? Trump is

allowing us to imagine it for the first

time.

I would say that I'm imagining it for

the first time. I I just imagined that

it wasn't possible and they would just

fight forever. But now

I wouldn't maybe I wouldn't place a big

bet on it. But I can totally imagine it.

And you have to get people to imagine

the thing before the thing can happen.

Success.

We we can now imagine the thing. Do you

know how big a deal that is? That we can

imagine that this could work. Just

imagine. And I'm not even talking about

getting it done. That's a whole other

level. But even to get to the point

where all the people involved, all of

them are now imagining it possible.

That's only Trump. He's the only one who

could do that. Nobody else could do

that.

Maybe an Elon Musk could do it if he

were in that job.

Um,

Trump is also treating it like it's

almost a sure thing,

which is even better. He, instead of

just saying, well, you can kind of

imagine it might work, he's way beyond

that. He He's already treating it like,

oh yeah, we're going to get this done

and I told BB he's going to have to do

this. See how that all fits together?

Makes so you imagine it and then he

tells you that he's going to make them

do it. And and because he's credible,

you say, "Can he do that? Can he can he

just make Netanyahu say yes?"

Now, you can imagine it. I don't know if

he can, but I can imagine it. And that's

a big big step cuz other people are

imagining it, too. If everybody's

imagining it, you get there. But my

favorite thing besides the fact that he

can hold out that Gaza will be rebuilt

to be some jewel of the Middle East.

That's visual and gets you to think

about the prize. But also this could be

the beginning of um a permanent

expansion of the Abraham course. It

could be a real good model of all the

countries working together productively

to get the Gaza thing, you know, writed.

And that would be hugely valuable for

the um Abraham Accords, you know, so

that all all the other Arab countries in

Israel figure out how to work together

productively and maybe that expands. So

he's got that going too. But by far the

best thing is that

um we all talk about the Nobel Prize if

this happens.

He the Nobel Prize is making you think

past the sale,

which he's a genius at. He's making you

think past the sale.

Let let me ask this. How many of you

have thought, huh, if he gets this done,

I wonder if he'll get a Nobel Peace

Prize, right? If you're thinking about

whether he will get the Nobel Peace

Prize or they'll try to, you know, screw

him out of it because he's just not who

they want to win it. You're already

thinking past you got a he got a peace

deal. Perfect. Who else does that? You

know, if if you don't understand him,

you just say, "Oh, that narcissist, he

just wants a he just wants a Nobel Peace

Prize." Well, he definitely wants a

Nobel Peace Prize. Who wouldn't?

Everybody wants a Nobel Peace Prize. So,

of course he wants one. Of course he

does. But he has to earn it. He's going

to have to earn it. And you know, he's

going to try. So, I love the fact that

he makes us think about the Nobel Peace

Prize.

Other people would have an ego problem

where they'd say, "No, that's too

embarrassing. I I can't say out loud

that I should have gotten a Nobel Peace

Prize. You You can't say that out loud

because people will just think you're

some kind of a, you know, stuck up

narcissistic jerk or something. But have

I ever taught you that Trump uses his

ego like a tool? It's not a flaw. It's a

tool. He can turn it up and he can turn

it down. and uh he turned it up for the

Nobel Peace Prize so that we all think

about it and now we're thinking past the

sale. If he didn't need it, maybe he

would turn it down. But but watching him

work is is truly it's just breathtaking.

There there's nobody who could have

created this entire uh I'll call it a

structure from what you think about him

to you know how he's framed it. It's all

a structure that he's created and and

his um the way he's worked with his

partners even they brought Jared in. So

I guess Jared is going to be part of

this now. What what do you think when

Jared gets involved?

Well, when I see Jared get involved, my

brain says, "Oh my goodness, he's

bringing in the A team. He's bringing in

a finisher." Jared is a finisher. He's

bringing in the finisher. Do you see? Do

you see what that does, too? It makes

you say, "Oh, wait.

We're in the finish mode." Like, because

he brought it in the finisher. So, every

bit of this

is just freaking brilliant. Honestly, if

if Trump gets it done, and I'm not I'm

still not at a point where I'm going to

predict that he can get it done because

there too many weasels over there. But

if he gets this done, oh boy, does this

deserve a Nobel Peace Prize. I mean, it

really deserves one cuz what what he's

created already to even give us a chance

is spectacular. It's spectacular.

All right, Cat.

Well, in other good news, our liquid

natural gas exports hit a record high in

September. Justin news is reporting on

that. So that's good. Uh whenever we're

exporting maximum amount of energy,

things are looking good. Remember that

story about the uh there was a room that

was found that had all these uh cell

phone SIM cards and it was uh presumed

that um some foreign entity was using it

to crash our cell network if if they

ever wanted to crash it. And then it was

found that it was a Chinese entity. So

that the Chinese had built a structure

to crash our cell phones in an

emergency.

And then to update it now, we learned

that they had a second facility that has

been discovered. So they had two full

facilities that had no other purpose,

couldn't be used for anything else

except to jam up our cell networks

during an emergency cuz you know why

else would you do it? You would only do

it if you could really mess with us.

So how do we just act like that didn't

happen?

you know, is is is there so much

spycraft going on between the US and

China that that we just look at this and

go, "Ah, well, you know, nice try. Glad

we caught you. Um, we're we're doing

things with you and you know, you

haven't caught us yet, so business as

usual."

Anyway, we'll see. Um, but it doesn't

seem like we could just have a normal

relationship with them when they're

doing that. I mean, they're they

literally put major physical assets in

the United States for no other reason

than sabotage.

How do you let that go?

Now, I realize we need to buy their

but how do you let that go?

I don't know. Well, there's a story that

I was I almost didn't want to talk

about, but there's this guy running for

Virginia Attorney General. Apparently,

he said some things in some emails that

got out that were pretty bad. He was

fantasizing about his opponent's

children dying because he says if his

opponent's children died um then he

might change his mind about some of his

policies because without pain people

don't change. And then he also said he

made a joke that if his opponent

um

were if he saw his opponent and Hitler

and I don't know Stalin or somebody and

he only had two bullets uh he would put

both of the bullets in his opponent and

let Hillar and Stalin live which is you

know sort of an old joke just a form of

an old joke but um the te his text

messages got out and now people are

calling for him to drop Don't. Here's my

um problem with this. I have a rule that

if it's a private conversation

that the person who released it is

responsible for it.

Meaning that the things that we say

privately.

Um we say them privately because we

don't want them anywhere else. And we

say them privately because we think the

person we're talking to can handle it

and might, you know, put it in the

proper context and you know that you're

not serious about it. You're just have

some hyperbole or something. But when it

gets out in the wild,

um, all the context is lost.

And I usually say in these situations

that the person responsible is the

leaker. whoever leaked it. The leaker

should get fired for revealing a private

conversation. So, I'm very mad at

whoever leaked it. Very mad. Um, if it

were just something unpleasant,

I would probably say, you know what,

those are private thoughts. I'm not

going to judge them for a private

thought, but these are really bad

private thoughts.

These are not normal. These are not

normal private thoughts. These are

violent and it does suggest

um

some kind of bias toward violence

against conservatives at a time when

conservatives are worried about violence

against them. So the timing could not be

worse for saying something like that.

So, I'm gonna I hate to do it, but I'm

going to violate my own rule and say

that even though this was a private

thought that happened to be expressed to

one private person, um h this one, you

can't you can't let this go. You can't

let this one go. This one's too

dangerous. He he's he's got to go.

If they elect this guy,

big mistake.

Well, apparently the Conservatives over

in uh the UK, the Conservative Party,

they're uh pushing to do some kind of an

ICE

uh organization to deport

um a whole bunch of people they want to

deport. So, but I guess there are at

least two parties over there that want

to are anti-immigration, but they want

to get as many as 750,000

migrants shipped back in 5 years. And

they would call that the removals force.

Politico is reporting on this. So, I

don't know. Do you do you think that uh

do you think that the UK is going full

Donald Trump and that they realize that

they're going to have to do something

about the migration situation or, you

know, close up the country because it's

they're done? I feel I feel like the

existence of Trump makes it possible for

the UK to adjust because if if they see

that he did and that the US is getting

on a firmer footing and you know

recovering from over migration

um if they see that we can do it

they're probably going to be able to do

it. But if it doesn't work anywhere, if

there's no country that, you know, gets

tough and ships people back, it just

doesn't happen anywhere. Um, they

probably won't do it either. So, this is

another one of those situations where

the the the shadow or the vibration or

the secondary effect from Trump being

Trump probably helps other countries a

lot. This would be one example of that.

So,

there's a uh story um I think the Daily

Skeptic had this story a few months ago.

Um but the MET office that's in Great

Britain, I guess that's where they do

their uh their climate change

calculations, the Met Met Office. But

apparently,

this is so funny, um

that uh data from more than 30% of its

uh temperature sites are just made up.

So over time, a lot of the temperature

measuring sites either go bad or they go

out of service or they maybe somebody

builds an airport next to it, so it's

not it's no longer reliable for the

temperature. But uh the

over in the UK they've been blamed with

fabricating data for more than 30% of

their reporting sites.

If you're making up the now now of

course they would say that their

estimates are responsible.

So they would say something like well

this temperature usually matched you

know this other temperature. So since we

don't have access to this temperature,

we'll just say it's continued to match

this other temperature.

So I mean, if you did a few of them, you

know, a few, I'd say, well, I mean,

maybe you could have left them out, but

it's just a few. But if 30% of them

don't exist and you're estimating them,

you don't think there's any subjectivity

in the estimates? Of course there is. Of

course there's subjectivity. they have

to decide what they're going to base the

guest on. So, it's not science.

And you know, uh, this is why I enjoy

saying, uh, wait, wait until you find

out about climate models. It's way more

fun to not spend any time defending how

it's going to turn out. Just say, "Wait

till you find out. You've got a big

surprise coming."

Now, by the way, I do not have to be a

climatologist or a psychologist or a

scientist to uh to know in advance that

the temperature measurements would be

bogus. All you have to do is have

experience in the real world. Anybody

who had real world experience,

especially in big organizations, should

have known that the temperature stuff

was sketchy.

That was the most knowable obvious fact

and all you had to do is have experience

in completely other realms. You don't

have to have any experience in science

or climate to know that if you have that

many people and that many measuring

devices over that much time and that

level of complexity,

somebody's making stuff up every time.

Somebody's making stuff up.

All right.

There's a story about a uh professor who

got put on leave for some Facebook

comments about uh Charlie Kirk's murder.

Daily Mail is reporting this, Samantha

Rut. And uh she refer referred to

dangerous white men. So it's a Kansas

professor.

She's a black woman in case you want to

get all the context here. And uh her

name is Nelle Chance and she's an

assistant psychology professor or was I

guess. Um and when Charlie Kirk first

got shot, she posted me thinks the word

karma is appropriate. Sad day all

around. Well, at least she said it was

sad.

Um and then later she said

um

um she posted again she said uh uh but

when we tell you all this statistically

white American men are the most

dangerous animals on the planet were

wrong let's not be hasty they say. So

she was dep def defending her opinion

that white American men are the most

dangerous animals on the planet. Hm.

Should I be mad that she's calling me an

animal? I'm going to say no, cuz I'm an

animal. You know, humans are animals.

Close enough. Um,

you know, I again, I have a a mixed

feeling on this because I want her to

have free speech.

And was that not free speech?

Um, so I I really don't like it when

people lose jobs over uh even ugly

opinions. But here's here's why. Yeah, I

understand that she has to, you know,

she has to pay for that comment. But um

her belief about Charlie Kirk

is entirely based on things that she was

not responsible for. Meaning that she

saw things on social media. She saw

people she trusted having opinions about

him and she adopted those opinions. Now

those opinions are completely wrong. You

know, he wasn't the bad guy, you know,

devil that people said. But if he had

been,

how bad would that comment be?

Suppose he had been just a horrible

monster.

Would would you feel bad if somebody

said, "Oh, I don't mind that the

horrible monster had a bad end." It

wouldn't be so bad, right? So, the the

way you react to her is

is based on something that she was duped

on. She was duped. She was duped into

thinking he was a devil. And so, she

thought it would be safe to say, "Well,

you know, I guess that's what happens to

the devil." But not knowing that to half

the country he was closer to an angel,

you know, she just walked into the

buzzsaw.

So how much of that was her fault?

She clearly she lived in a bubble

because she thought that saying that out

loud, you know, would be consequencefree

apparently. Um, so that was, you know,

maybe that was her fault, but she's not

the one who created the hoax that

Charlie Kirk was a bad guy. She didn't

create that. She was a victim of it and

then she just reacted

in a way that somebody would if they

heard that, you know, Hitler had died,

right?

I don't know. So, I feel like in the

real world, you know, of course there's

going to be consequences for saying that

opinion out loud. But on the other hand,

she's a little bit of a victim. A little

bit of a victim. Not enough, you know,

for forgiveness,

but she's a little bit of a victim.

Um there's meanwhile over in Ukraine,

uh Ukraine struck one of Russia's

biggest oil refineries again.

And uh apparently Russia did massive

aerial attacks on um some oil refineries

uh or what is it uh some of their uh gas

production or something in in uh

Ukraine. So it looks like Russia's play

is to make it really cold in Ukraine. So

winter's coming. So, it looks like

Russia's play is to make sure the

Ukrainians feel the fear and that

they're going to freeze to death. And it

looks like Zalinsk's strategy in Ukraine

is to take out the energy production in

Russia until the economy is is reeling

and uh there's long lines for gas and

maybe that gets the public against

Putin. But it looks like we know the

play now. And as I've been saying, it

looks like they're not going to bother

trying to kill humans because killing

humans hasn't worked. So they're going

to go after assets now. So anyway, um

there's a report in interesting

engineering that over in China, they've

built a a mockup of the Taiwan capital

of Taipei. And the reason they built a

model, it's a fullscale model, is so

they can practice conquering uh Taiwan.

So, so they've got a uh a full mockup of

these city streets around, you know,

like the capital building and, you know,

the important buildings in the city for

when they capture them.

So, if you're wondering, is China

serious about, you know, invading

Taiwan?

Yes, they bu they built an entire model

and they're practicing on it. Yeah, that

sounds pretty serious to me. Um, I don't

I think that they won't do it when

Trump's president

because they're patient. You know,

that's one of their great virtues. The

Chinese are very patient. So, wouldn't

it be crazy for them to do it when Trump

is president? They just have to sort of

wait, you know, get a get a weaker

president someday. It won't be JD Vance.

He'd be a problem, too. But maybe they

get a Democrat someday.

So worth worth waiting. All right. Um

I'll remind you that uh Owen Gregorian

has a spaceless event that'll be firing

up any minute now um once he's got a

chance to fire it up. Uh I'm done now,

but I'm going to say a few words

privately to my beloved

um subscribers on locals. And I hope you

liked my FM voice today.

All right, everybody. I will see all of

you tomorrow. Same time, same place. And

locals coming at you privately.