Episode 1984 Scott Adams - Russian Disinformation, Classified Biden Documents, Snopes Fact-Fail, More
Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - It depends how you define "refused"? - VP Biden had classified docs stored illegally? - Russia as an excuse for US bad behavior - Suggestions for President Trump's campaign - Updated Ukraine prediction - Suggestions for President Putin ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Good morning everybody. And if I've done my job correctly, I am now streaming on Locals and maybe Rumble and maybe YouTube. And if you're on Rumble or see me yet, well, I think I've got a check for the comments over on Rumble but apparently I don't know how to do that. So I've got a separate page op…
View segment →ike to take it up to a level that you've never seen before? You would. And all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass. Take your choice of style: a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the…
View segment →ite a bit better than all the other shirts I've ever worn before. I think it looks good. All right. How many of you were worried about me yesterday? Because the internet seems to think I was having a meltdown. I was contacted by some people who care to say, are you okay, everything okay? And how ma…
View segment →hat's how I get the energy. All right. I've discovered that I have bifurcated into two complete people in the mind of the public, which is kind of fun and weird. So I always talk about the two movies on one screen, right? We're all watching the same screen, but some people are seeing the union is e…
View segment →which is what I'm doing now, so it's good enough for commercial use, but I'm still nasally and I still clear my throat and I'm blowing my nose on camera and every other damn thing. So I'm nowhere near perfect voice. And then yesterday, something happened. And I tweeted it around. Now I think this i…
View segment →t was just a perfectly fine conversation. That was it. Now do you think that Trump was in the details of knowing if the Proud Boys had any bad elements or if they'd ever said anything he needed to condemn? How can he possibly know that? It would be ridiculous to imagine he had that level of knowled…
View segment →ssia. If you look at the pattern, you'd have to say it's most likely untrue, wouldn't you? So far everything our intelligence agencies have told us about Russia was an intentional lie, right? So Russia collusion was an intentional lie by intelligence people, current and retired. The Russia laptop w…
View segment →travel thing became too hard to resist. And the reason I waited was, why did I wait so long? There's only one reason I waited, is because I didn't trust institutional data. Why else would I wait? If I trusted it I would have signed up. I would have been first in line because nothing would have stopp…
View segment →ng would be, it's going to sound conspiracy theorist-like to the people he's trying to persuade. So that's no good. Rather I would rather see him mock the January 6th thing the way we do, which is just ask this question: do you really believe the Republicans staged an insurrection and didn't take th…
View segment →iction that Putin would not attack I think was reasonable because it was based on a very good assumption that turned out to be true. I was just totally wrong but it was reasonable. And I think that that's part of how you judge my credibility. You see if I can predict right. But predicting well might…
View segment →do that right now while Ukraine is raging. But I feel you can even give Putin a win on paper. You know one of the problems is Putin needs to get something out of his actions, right? He needs to show that he won. And what would be a better win for everybody involved than to form a space alliance befo…
View segment →re's nothing I hate more than too much pleasure. Like I'll just be bored to death and I feel like my life is worthless. So in order for me to feel like I'm part of life and that I'm doing something useful, I do this. Because to the extent that people find benefit of it for their life, that makes me…
View segment →self. I mean think of Elon Musk. He's a young man and he has, at one point he was the richest person in the world. Why do you wake up? I mean it's fun I mean it must be fun but he fills his day with work. I think work is the only meaning he gets and the rest is just filling the time before you do so…
View segment →Good morning everybody. And if I've done my job correctly, I am now streaming on Locals and maybe Rumble and maybe YouTube. And if you're on Rumble or see me yet, well, I think I've got a check for the comments over on Rumble but apparently I don't know how to do that. So I've got a separate page open for your Rumble comments, but it's looking like I won't know how to find them. Yeah, see, I can't check for them until I'm live, and then when I am live I don't know where to look for them. No idea. So if you want to comment, Rumblers, I won't see you today. Yeah, maybe I'll fix that next time. I think I've got my camera lined up. I think it's all working today.
How would you like to take it up to a level that you've never seen before? You would. And all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass. Take your choice of style: a canteen, a jug, a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine hit. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now.
Thank you for noticing. Yes, this is a very nice shirt I'm wearing today. Quite a bit better than all the other shirts I've ever worn before. I think it looks good.
All right. How many of you were worried about me yesterday? Because the internet seems to think I was having a meltdown. I was contacted by some people who care to say, are you okay, everything okay? And how many other people were having the same experience? Did anybody see me interacting on Twitter and say something's wrong here? All right. No, there was something going on. So if you thought it was a meltdown, that wasn't exactly what was happening, but it looked like it. So let me tell you what was really happening behind the scenes.
Every year, a few times a year, several times a year, maybe four times a year, I enter a manic phase. Do you know what that is? Manic. And when I'm manic, everything is more. Right. So that's the context. So for the last few days I've been in a manic phase. They are amazing. Like, you know, I suppose it's mental illness, right? But I don't experience it that way. It becomes a problem for other people. In other words, I become a little bit too much. Because in the manic phase I have infinite energy. I don't seem to need sleep. Like literally, I think I had two hours of sleep the night before, went all day, had a great workout. I did more work in the last 48 hours, more comics, more writing, got more chores done, did paperwork I've been putting off forever. I mean, I was just cranking through it.
But one of the side effects is that on Twitter, by now you know my pattern: if somebody starts a damaging false rumor about me, I usually go nuclear on it until I can draw more attention to the correction than the original claim. So what I'm trying to do is light all the kindling I can get, get everybody as mad as possible, provoke everybody, draw as much energy toward me. And so yesterday I was just responding to every troll and swearing at them, but I was just having fun. And I can see how from the outside it would look like I was having a meltdown. But let me tell you, if you were to look at the quality of my day, let's say last day and a half, exceptional. The last day and a half has been some of my most enjoyable, productive, incredibly creative days. I was creating micro lessons, three comics in one day. I mean, I was just cranking it out. It was all pretty good.
Now fortunately you've heard of people having manic, what's the other thing? The manic part feels good, but then the manic depressive, depression. I don't really get the depression part. I certainly have days where I'll have a week where I'm down, but not really the kind where you can't get out of bed. No, nothing like clinical depression. You just have days that are not ideal. So if you had a choice of having four weeks during the year where you're a little down, but the trade-off of that is four weeks of mania, you would take the mania. It's a really good trade-off in mental health.
Now let me be really clear. My situation seems to be completely different than most people who are having some kind of mental variability. Let's call it variability. Because the difference between the highs and the lows, generally when you've got that much variability, you're not too happy about it. But I think in my case it just makes other people unhappy. But you also feel invulnerable. Like nothing gets to you. So people were worried that I was down yesterday, and the whole day I was thinking, down? I don't think I've had a finer day in months. It was a really good day.
Yeah, usually you get extreme lows. That's right. So if anybody else tells you they have mania, you should be feeling probably some sympathy. But not in my case. So I was trying to be as mean as I could to everybody because, by the way, the next time there's any major rumor about me that's untrue, I'm going to do the same thing whether I'm in mania or not. I'm going to spend the whole day responding to as many trolls as possible, correcting the record, and I'll be as mean as possible so that they'll retweet it and say, what's wrong with this guy? That's all right. That's how I get the energy.
All right. I've discovered that I have bifurcated into two complete people in the mind of the public, which is kind of fun and weird. So I always talk about the two movies on one screen, right? We're all watching the same screen, but some people are seeing the union is ending and other people are seeing the golden age. And we don't agree on anything. But I think I finally realized why the Twitter users and the livestream users have completely different impressions of me.
So I livestream. I have enough time to do the full context. So on livestream if I say, you know, I'm on the same side as this argument, but I think the argument that's on my side is a little weak, so I want you to know I'm on the same side but I'd like to see a stronger argument on my side. So that's what I would say on a livestream. On Twitter I would just say what's wrong with the argument, and then I turn into the opposite person. So on Locals, YouTube, and Rumble, I'm Scott Adams, the reasonable voice that looks at all sides and tries to consider them fairly. And on Twitter I'm Clod Adams, the guy who's indistinguishable from Dr. Fauci. That's what idiot attorney Barnes tweeted the other day. Or yesterday he tweeted that I was basically Fauci.
Now in the other movie, in the other movie, people know that I'm the first person, the first public figure, to call Fauci a liar in public. I'm the first one. And I never changed my mind. Once he lied in public, I was like, oh, he's a guy who lies in public. So that was the last time I trusted him for anything. So it's like a whole different, you know, Clod Adams apparently trusts him, but livestream Adams, Scott Adams, never trusted him from the first time he opened his mouth. Yeah, I'm not sure that Robert Barnes has an opinion. Wouldn't that just be uninformed flailing? Is it really an opinion if it's based on obviously wrong data? I guess it's still an opinion. It's just an uninformed opinion.
All right. I would like to tell you the weirdest thing that happened to me yesterday. I told you yesterday was an awesome day for me. This was the coolest thing that happened. Back around 2005 or six, some of you know my life story enough to know that I lost my ability to speak. So there's a rare disorder called spasmodic dysphonia, and I lost the ability to speak for about three and a half years. I could make noise, but my vocal cords were clenching so that you couldn't understand what I was saying. So for those three and a half years I used affirmations. And the affirmation that I did when I was driving, I would do it out loud, but it didn't sound like real talk. I don't know what it sounded like, but my mouth was moving and my brain was thinking of the words, but I don't know what was coming out. But what I was thinking was this: I, Scott Adams, will speak perfectly. Yeah, you remember, will speak perfectly.
Now is there anything wrong with that affirmation? Yes. It's literally impossible by definition. Nobody can speak perfectly. No human being can do that. So I literally had an affirmation which was not just a little bit impossible but actually completely impossible. And I think you would agree that although my current voice has a, you know, it's good enough for a commercial application, which is what I'm doing now, so it's good enough for commercial use, but I'm still nasally and I still clear my throat and I'm blowing my nose on camera and every other damn thing. So I'm nowhere near perfect voice.
And then yesterday, something happened. And I tweeted it around. Now I think this is a real story. I'm not sure, but I think it's a real story. As you know, I've offered my personality and appearance and voice to anybody who wants to make an AI product, you know, a deepfake. So anybody who wants to use my personality for AI, I've allowed a full public license with no restrictions. So anything you want to do. Yesterday there was an announcement by an AI company that they decided to use my voice as the main voice of their AI products. And the reason they did it is because they'd looked around at all the voices they could use and they decided that my voice was pleasing enough and persuasive enough, and they use persuasion specifically. They thought my voice had a persuasive quality to it, and they're going to build it into their products.
Now here's the fun part. It won't be a recording of my voice, right? The AI will do an impression of my voice, and it will do a really good one because it has lots of samples to pull from. And when the AI does an impression of my voice, it's going to remove all imperfections. There's actually a really good chance that my voice will become perfect. And I don't think it's going to be as big as Siri or Alexa, but my voice actually might get incorporated in AI and it might be perfect because they would fix it to be so.
Now I've actually, if you've listened to any of my audiobooks that I recorded after I had the voice problem, you might say to yourself, well Scott, you did a whole audiobook and they sounded pretty close to perfect to me. I didn't hear anything wrong at all the entire book. But what you don't know is that my voice is imperfect in reality, but the audio engineers take out all the imperfections so you get to hear it perfect even though it wasn't.
So of all the unlikely things in the world, in 2004 I tested the concept of affirmations with something I literally thought was impossible. Because remember at the time it was an incurable condition. It was incurable, had always been incurable. Nobody had ever been cured. Now turns out a few people had been, and I didn't know about it, through a surgery that only one person was doing, and it was still experimental. And that's what cured me. But I actually used affirmations to accomplish the literal impossibility. Literally impossible. And it just happened where it looks like it's happening. Is that crazy? Is it just blowing my mind because it's about me, or is that actually mind-blowing? Because you know I'm fairly well known for talking about affirmations being a big part of my story. But that one was always the one that got away. That was always the one that got away. And I've always wondered about it. I thought, you know, maybe I just imagined this whole affirmation thing being useful. I don't know. It's so strange.
Let's talk more about Snopes. Yesterday I told you that Snopes, I wasn't covering the fine people hoax. And if they had, it would have changed history. Because if they'd called it a hoax, the left would have believed it presumably, and then Biden would not be able to run on it and everything could have been different. But I did find out that instead of the fine people hoax, which they did seem to ignore, they instead fact-checked whether Trump was quote refusing to condemn white supremacy. So that was the angle they took on it. So they took the larger view that included the debates. So they used the debates as the point of focus to take it away from the fact that he immediately condemned the neo-Nazis in Charlottesville without prompting. He immediately, in his own words, immediately said as soon as he said fine people, a few sentences later he said I'm not talking about the neo-Nazis. So that was the hoax, that he was, but when he wasn't.
So Snopes does this whole thing and they say they actually said that whether or not this was true or false that Trump had quote refused to condemn white supremacy depends on your definition of refused. Do I have to say anything else? It was like it's the Bill Clinton defense. Well it depends on your definition of it. They actually use the Bill Clinton approach. And I'm not going to read you everything they said because if you start off with it depends how you define refused, you know exactly what you're getting, right? And the argument has something to do with when they asked him to do it during the debate, he said sure. And then they said, well would you be willing to condemn them? He said yes. Well would you condemn them? Sure. Does that sound like refusing?
And here's the refusing part. Then apparently I think Biden and maybe the moderator or Mike Wallace were both saying, well then go ahead and do it, go ahead and do it. And then he said, tell me who specifically you want me to condemn. Is that a fair question? Tell me specifically who you're asking me to condemn. That's a fair question, right? Because I'm sure he didn't want to condemn the right wing of the Republican Party, right? Because maybe they would have said that, well I think all the right-wing Republicans are racist, so condemn them. Don't you think you have to ask specifically what do you want me to condemn? I think so.
Now they said the Proud Boys. If you remember the debate, that was the one. All right, about the Proud Boys, condemn them. I think somebody else they mentioned. And he said Proud Boys, you know, stand by and something like that. Now why did he not immediately condemn the Proud Boys? There's an obvious reason, isn't there? I mean besides the fact that they supported him. The obvious reason is I don't think anybody knew exactly what the Proud Boys were up to. Because I didn't. A few years before that I did a podcast interview. I was invited by Gavin McInnes, founder of the Proud Boys, who's no longer affiliated, but the founder of the Proud Boys asked me to do an interview. And I didn't know anything about them that sounded negative at the time. So I spent I don't know 45 minutes to an hour talking to him and it was just a perfectly fine conversation. That was it.
Now do you think that Trump was in the details of knowing if the Proud Boys had any bad elements or if they'd ever said anything he needed to condemn? How can he possibly know that? It would be ridiculous to imagine he had that level of knowledge about that group at that time. Now since then, you know, they were involved in January 6th, etc. We've learned more about them. Maybe some individuals there did some bad things that you could point out. But at the time it was a perfectly good question, which is who do you want me to condemn? And secondly, maybe he takes a pass on the Proud Boys because they support him and he doesn't know what they did wrong specifically.
Yeah, so Snopes is completely reprehensible for the way they handle this.
Bruce Fenton on Twitter, he asked ChatGPT, the AI, what it thought of the fine people hoax. And its first take was not debunking it. But then the AI was pushed, and when pushed it sort of admitted it was a lie. So the AI acted a little bit like a human. It avoided the question when asked directly, and then when asked directly it was like, well yeah. Now I think each version of ChatGPT acts a little differently, so it's way too early to imagine that you're seeing a trend yet. There's no trend. But it's achieving consciousness. And the problem is the AI might be as biased as we are. How can it avoid it?
Let me ask you this directly. How is it possible? Chinese room. What's that mean? How would it be possible for AI to not be biased, right? If AI mimics humans and humans are biased by what they want to be true, you know, they want the new news to be compatible with what they already know is true. AI is going to do the same thing. If AI has a framework of what is true and then you present it some new headlines, it will take those headlines and try to figure out how it fits with what it already knows. So it should be as biased as people. So we're going to have a super intelligence that is super biased. What the hell is that going to do to us? That could be our biggest risk. We talk about the singularity and all the unknowns and replacing human people for their jobs, and it could be that AI is just biased. And that bias we imagine is intelligence, and it's not. It's just bias. So that's a problem.
All right. Are you following the story of some classified documents from the Biden administration turned up in some left-leaning think tank? And this is just a payback story, right? This isn't a real story. I mean I'm sure the facts might be real. It's a Chinese think tank, is it? Because I didn't see that in the reporting. The story I read about it didn't have anything about that. All right, so I'm going to call BS on that. Somebody says China funded it. All right, I'm not going to claim that as a fact because I'm just reading in comments. But I would encourage you to read the story and see if there's anything behind it.
Here's what I think. I think this is just a payback story, meaning that it's going to be just like the Trump documents. There'll be some things that were there and you wish they weren't, and they're not that important. Don't you think so? It's University of Pennsylvania, blah blah. GSA, you pack those boxes. Yeah, I think it's going to be another bunch of nothing. And I think it's just a story that because it mirrors the Mar-a-Lago documents, that's what makes it a story. I'm not even sure it would be a story if not for the Mar-a-Lago documents. I doubt it's important. If it were important, don't you think they would have told us what the documents were about? Don't you think? Because it's not like the Mar-a-Lago documents where they say there's something in those boxes and we don't know what. That's different. They actually know what the documents are. They have possession of the documents. So if they were nuclear secrets, I think you would know that, right? Wouldn't that just be part of the story? So my guess is it's just sort of background context that was useful and somebody did something they shouldn't have, but probably not that big a deal. Yeah, so my guess is just over-classified stuff and nothing there. But it's a good political story. It'll get people yammering about how unfair things are.
All right. I think I mentioned this, that the Washington Post reported that the so-called Russian influence operation on Twitter was a big nothing, that it didn't have any impact at all. Now I feel it's important to call out when I made a correct prediction because predicting stuff is largely part of my credibility or not. And I would like to claim that I am the number one and maybe only person, when the Russian influence story first came out and when we saw the memes, so when we saw the memes and we knew the budget, I said loudly in public, oh it's obvious this had no impact. Because I saw the memes. I saw the memes and they looked like they were grade school level. And then I heard the budget, like a hundred thousand dollars for their entire operation. It was obviously a nothing. So those of you who follow me, can you confirm I was the first person to tell you this, that there was nothing to it and there was obviously nothing to it, right? And so now the Washington Post has confirmed what I told you, which was also obvious from the first moment. Obvious. Yeah, and the people in Locals are confirming that I called it.
Now here's something that I can say on livestream that I would not say on Twitter. Perfect example. If I said the same thing I just said on Twitter, people say, oh my God, you just think you get everything right. You never admit when you're wrong. No. On livestream I can say, well I don't get them all right. I can list which things I got wrong. For example, most notably recently, predicting that Russia would not invade Ukraine. I tell you I got that one wrong all the time. I predicted Trump's vice president pick incorrectly. I admit that. I wrote a whole book about all the things I got wrong. Now on livestream I say that so that it's easier for you to accept, oh I got this one right, because I also admit when I got them wrong. And you say, oh that's balanced. But on Twitter I would just say I got it right, and then they say Clod Adams because that's the only context they have. And they would all turn into idiot Robert Barnes.
So anyway, the Twitter files continue to offend us. Yeah, Tucker Carlson said a great thing about how many times the Democrats have used Russia as their excuse. And it's amazing when you hear the whole list. You forget how many times Russia was used as an excuse for any bad behavior.
Now I made another, let's say if you remember this or maybe I have a false memory of it, so check me. I might have a false memory. I've been saying since the beginning that every accusation of Russia hacking the DNC or Hillary's emails or whatever they're hacking, I've said that those are fake, most likely, and that our own intelligence agencies are lying to us about all of it. I'm going to double down on that. I don't think Russia hacked anything. I don't believe that. Maybe, but they, it seems like they can't even hack Ukraine and they're pretty motivated to do that. I just don't think they have much of a cyber operation, frankly. So who knows. Somebody probably hacked somebody, but I don't know that it was Russia.
If you look at the pattern, you'd have to say it's most likely untrue, wouldn't you? So far everything our intelligence agencies have told us about Russia was an intentional lie, right? So Russia collusion was an intentional lie by intelligence people, current and retired. The Russia laptop was a lie. And the Russian influence, the level of influence they had in cyber stuff, was a lie. Now that's three lies that involve Russia. They have our own intelligence backing. What is the only information we have that Russia hacked anything? Our intelligence people said so. That's it. There's no other information. So the least credible entity in the United States, which is our own intelligence agencies, when blaming Russia.
And here's another thing that you can say on livestream that I wouldn't bother to say on Twitter. Most of the intelligence people are probably just good people doing their job and they're patriots and we love them, right? But if I said it on Twitter it looks like I'm blaming all intelligence people for everything. It looks like a few members of leadership are bad apples and they were behind all of these things. So it's a very small percentage of the intelligence people. See the difference? If I say the same thing on Twitter without the context, then I become a different personality. I'm a conspiracy theorist and I'm blaming, you know, I hate the United States and nothing like that's happening.
All right. So yeah, I don't believe anything about Russian hacking of American anything, really.
Did you see that idiot Robert Barnes, I forget if I mentioned this, he tweeted or he wrote in his blog that I personally, the creator of the Dilbert comic strip, am too gullible and believing institutional data. Does that sound like a good analysis? I'm literally the world's most famous doubter of institutional information. If you were to take all eight billion people on the planet Earth and rank them by how prominently they've doubted institutional information, I believe I'd be number one out of eight billion people. Now Robert Barnes imagined that I was believing and I was highly gullible and I would believe institutional information when really I should have been believing rogues. I don't know. He's kind of ridiculous. Now it looks like he's having some kind of a meltdown, doesn't it? Is anybody watching Robert Barnes' reaction to this? It looks like a meltdown because the things he's saying about me are actually, they border on insane. Yeah.
And the clot birds, you can tell the clot birds, they're weighing in now on YouTube. The clot birds are all confused why I got vaccinated. Right, that's confusing because you don't know the context. If the clot birds followed me on a livestream more religiously than they are right now, they would know that I made the same decision as Dr. Robert Malone, one of the most prominent critics of the vaccination policies. I say the same thing he did. It at the same time and for the same reason. I think he waited until we saw what adverse reactions were right away. That's not all of them. There could be, but if you've gone six months your odds are much better. And then so he could go on vacation with my ex-wife. So he could fly internationally. That's why I did it. That's why a lot of people did it.
So if you didn't know that context and you were on Twitter, you say Clod Adams, you must be in favor of the vaccination. If you watch me on livestream, you know that the reason I waited six months when I could have gotten it right away, I was qualified early on because of my age and comorbidities, but I waited as long as I could until the travel thing became too hard to resist. And the reason I waited was, why did I wait so long? There's only one reason I waited, is because I didn't trust institutional data. Why else would I wait? If I trusted it I would have signed up. I would have been first in line because nothing would have stopped me, right?
So I think Barnes is having some kind of a mental breakdown. Terrible meltdown. You should express your empathy because he must be going through something in his personal life that's horrible. I'm probably some kind of, you know, not a marital problem or something. I can only speculate. But he seems to be acting out in a way that suggests a terrible mental breakdown. How many people think I'm serious about that? No, I'm not serious. It's sarcasm. You cannot diagnose somebody's mental state by their tweets. But he's doing it to me, so I was just returning the favor. None of it makes any sense. Do you think I know how he feels when he's not tweeting? Of course not. He could be, good Lord the storm is really loud. I'm gonna have to check outside to see if my landscape blew away.
All right. Sad news. Diamond of Diamond and Silk passed away at age 51. No cause of death, but I did read that she had been sick for a while. So whatever it was was not sudden. And that's quite tragic. And not much else to say about that. Yeah, we'll just show our respect and note that I think that they were, by the way, for some reason I didn't know they were sisters. Did you all know they were sisters? I just thought they were best friends. But they did act like sisters because they were on the same wavelength. Yeah. How could I go so long without knowing that? Because I don't remember them ever being referred to as sisters. They were always just Diamond and Silk. And I thought they did a great job of maximizing their potential and everything. The Diamond and Silk story is a real good one to look for success strategies. And I would say one of their best superpowers, which I talk about all the time, is I don't think that they ever got embarrassed. Am I wrong? Like they could go on and just put on a really good show because they were never embarrassed. They were just, you know, put themselves out there. Now that's something to be respected and also to be imitated. You know, they put themselves out there. They took a risk. The worst thing that could happen to them was they'd have a bad day on social media and then they say, oh I guess this isn't for us, right? It was the exact right kind of risk-reward that I always recommend. If the only risk is you spend an hour on social media and then some people mocked you but not many people saw you and you decided it wasn't for you, that's a perfect risk. Low risk, high potential payoff. And they took that risk and they got a high potential payoff. So good work for them. Good instincts. Good contribution to the whole.
When somebody passes away, we're only going to do the positive parts of their life. You understand that, right? So we're just doing positivity today.
Here's a strategy I think Trump could win the White House on. Here's what I would do if I were Trump. All right, you know he's being closed out by the media. So the mainstream media is going to close him down, including probably Fox. Now that might change if he gets nominated. Might change if he gets nominated. But at least during the nomination phase he's going to have to play it non-traditionally. Here's how I do it. I would say I'm only going to do podcasts because everything he does on a podcast is going to get turned into a clip and become viral. He'd be on every reel and every TikTok and it would be real easy to share it and stuff. But the content of those videos should be partly from interviews he does in podcasts because the podcast format is the best form for him because a podcaster could push him hard.
Right now I do plan that when I leave my media, at the moment I'm on a media diet so I'm not doing any interviews or I'm not appearing on other podcasts for most of this year. But I'm certainly going to offer to interview Trump if he gets into the process deeper. Now do you think he would say yes? Do you think Trump would appear on a podcast or livestream that has only 50,000 viewers on a good day? Yeah, because the 50,000 viewers is irrelevant to the reach. The only thing that matters is if he and I created a viral moment where there's like a 10-second clip or something that's really good. That's all that matters because that's the win. It's not anybody watching the interview.
Then secondly, if Trump does anything interesting on a podcast, it doesn't matter how many viewers the podcast normally gets. It's going to be a Trump number. It's not going to be a podcast number, right? So he can make anything big. So he doesn't have to go on to a big platform. He can go on a little platform and then let it expand.
Next thing I would do is I would create a series of very short, maybe two minutes at most, a minute would be better, but two-minute videos on each policy. Just two minutes so that nobody could ever doubt what his policy was. And then I think you need some work on those policies because if he presents his policies the same way he always did, I don't think it's good enough. I think he needs an upgrade in his persuasion. So if he did that and he made these little one-minute videos, they'd be very powerful.
Then the other thing, and here's the kill shot. The kill shot is he should do a series of very short videos, you know one minute-ish, debunking each of the conspiracy theories, each of the hoaxes against him. Imagine Trump creating a video that shows the tweet that was live at the time and the Wall Street Journal article talking about light as a disinfectant and then pick out the parts of his speech where it was light, light, light. Show how the hoax was created and do it all in one minute. Because each of these points is like a five or ten second point. You could put like six ten-second points together and debunk any hoax. So you do the fine people hoax, you do the drinking bleach hoax, and then he would have to answer the question for example why did you say you were just being sarcastic. Now he's never answered that question. But I think the easy answer is I was just trying to brush it away because it was just a hoax story. I just wanted to make it go away. Which I think anybody would believe, don't you? Because it obviously wasn't sarcasm. Whatever it was it wasn't sarcasm. So you would believe him if he said, you know honestly it was just a stupid story and I didn't want to be the president discussing COVID technology like that's not my role. I was just brainstorming and maybe it was better I don't do that. So I was just trying to make it go away. That would totally satisfy me. Would it satisfy you if he said yeah I mean honestly obviously it wasn't sarcasm. It was based on something I saw but I just didn't want to pursue it. Just wanted to make it go away.
So once he's created a one-minute debunk of each hoax, then the next thing you do is you put them in a compilation clip. So they each would live individually but also they would be short enough that you could put them into a like 20-hoax compilation clip. You put the hoax videos together with the quick policy videos that are really tight and well and better than he usually says them. Put them on podcasts. I think he's unstoppable.
Now I think January 6th has to be one of the hoaxes. I think he has to present it as the reaction to it was political. Now at the same time the only way you can do that credibly is to admit that members of the protest went too far and some of them probably wanted to do the worst possible things. He can't deny that, you know, the parts that are in evidence. But I think going after the Ray Epps thing would be, it's going to sound conspiracy theorist-like to the people he's trying to persuade. So that's no good. Rather I would rather see him mock the January 6th thing the way we do, which is just ask this question: do you really believe the Republicans staged an insurrection and didn't take their weapons? Does anybody believe you can conquer a country by occupying a room? I mean just, he should just make it sound stupid because it is. It was just a show trial.
Now the things he says are stuff like show trial, it's political, but you're so used to hearing those types of things they don't really register. I'd rather say something that you don't hear, which is do Republicans try to overthrow a country without weapons? In what reality do you think that really happened? You know, we'll acknowledge that there were bad people there and they should be, you know, the law needs to take care of that. But really, really, you really believe the Republicans didn't bring guns to a coup? I think he should mock it away. He should mock it away. You should not even go for the too factual. Don't retry the public hearings. Just mock it away. It's like come on, who believes that really? And I think that makes the president.
All right. Here's my updated Ukraine prediction. The winter is going to be really good for Ukraine. Here's why. Number one, the Ukrainians will be wintering in their own country, meaning that I would imagine there would be plenty of locals who would keep the military warm and would be happy to do it, right? So there's always going to be an indoor place for the Ukrainian military. The Russians still, probably, confined to indoor places but you know it's a little harder. And if they clump up too much the Ukrainians will send the HIMARS in and take them all out. So it's a little bit, I think the Russians are going to have a little harder time over the winter.
But apparently, and I was anticipating this, if you give the Ukrainians extra time what happens? They get extra weapons, right? So Ukrainians have a good winter because there won't be much fighting so they won't be doing much losing. But apparently they just, they're going to take possession of like 50 Bradleys, which is a whole new level of effectiveness. If you've got 50 Bradleys, you know these fighting vehicles, and you send all 50 of them into a Russian-held territory, you get the territory back. Now I know I'm no military expert but that's just what the people who know what they're talking about say. If you send, you know, you create a force with 50 Bradleys against the Russian forces, they would recapture that territory. So now the Ukrainians are moving from defensive to offensive forces and they've got a few months to get all the stuff in place.
Now Russia also has the full winter to resupply. But where is Russia getting their resupply from? Mostly from Russia. So I've got a feeling that the Russians don't have as much to resupply like they would have already been using everything they had because they were not doing so well. So it seems to me that the advantage is going to wildly turn toward Ukraine as soon as the snow starts melting. Does anybody have a different prediction? Because I think, let me say it simpler: every day Ukraine gets stronger and every day Russia gets weaker because of sanctions and running out of stuff. So I believe that the winter is only good for the one who benefits from extra time. So it should be Ukraine.
Yeah, I don't think anybody thought that HIMARS were all that was needed. Admit that you are very unbalanced on Ukraine. Here's a perfect example. If I were on Twitter right now and just made that prediction, you would say to yourself but Scott you were so unbalanced. You just always say good things about Ukraine. Because that's all we've seen on Twitter. But on livestream somebody says but you're so unbalanced about Ukraine. I've also been right about everything except the invasion, which I was as wrong as you could be. Now the reason I was wrong about the invasion is that it looked obvious to me that it wouldn't work and I thought it would be obvious to Putin. Now apparently I was right about the part it not working. The best prediction on the Ukraine war after the worst one. So I had the worst prediction that they wouldn't go in, but it was based on the best prediction that if they went in they'd get their ass kicked, which is what happened.
So if you'd like more balance, allow me to have it. Here's some balance. Can we trust any of the information coming from Ukraine or Russia that would suggest who's winning? No, right? Does that sound balanced? That all of the information is non-credible. That helps, right? Because if you're saying why are you latching on to this information and acting like it's true, that's not happening. No, I'm presenting what's in the news and I'm doing what if it's true and if it's true this might happen. But the prediction about the winter is a straight observation that one group has unlimited sources, Ukraine. The other group has probably more limited sources. So the one with unlimited sources should do better if you have more time. Now that's pretty straightforward.
Now does that mean that Russia will be destroyed? No. Russia still has nuclear weapons. Russia has weapons they haven't used. Russia could decide that they're willing to take massive losses instead of what losses they've already taken that are big. So yes. And in war this is one of those things I always imagine I don't need to say but on livestream I'll say it and on Twitter I wouldn't. Because if you are characters, would you agree that nobody can predict war? Agree. So if I tell you wow it looks like Ukraine is going to win, that's in the context of nobody can predict the war. But we still predict. The reason I predict is that I predict everything I can so you can see if my predictions were at least reasonable even if they don't work. Because my prediction that Putin would not attack I think was reasonable because it was based on a very good assumption that turned out to be true. I was just totally wrong but it was reasonable. And I think that that's part of how you judge my credibility. You see if I can predict right. But predicting well might be sixty percent correct, right? And when it's war I think that's even harder to predict.
Like how many people predicted that Russia would not win in Afghanistan and the United States would not win in Afghanistan? Well some did. Okay some did. Yeah actually probably a lot of people did. It's a bad example. But generally speaking you would all agree that war is unpredictable. So does it help you if I admit that all the information is not credible? There's definitely a path for Russia to turn it around and win everything and that is largely unpredictable. But still my prediction is not based on my love of Ukraine. Does that make sense? I'm not, I did have a Ukrainian flag in my profile but that was ironic. I was doing that as a joke.
Are you willing to accept at least on the Locals platform, are you willing to accept that it's not my love of Ukraine that's driving anything? Because I'm more just an observer really. But I will say, and I know this is not popular, it's entirely possible that the Biden administration's handling of the whole Ukraine-Russia thing will be looked at as one of the great American foreign successes. It doesn't look like it at the moment, would you agree? Doesn't look like it at the moment, right? Now if you're laughing I'm agreeing with you. At the moment that seems ridiculous, doesn't it? Would you all agree it looks ridiculous at the moment? I think we're all on that page.
But here's the part where it could change. If it turns out that we spend let's say 100 billion when it's all done and the net result was that Russia became no longer an adversary, they became weakened, and our energy industry picks up some of the slack that Russia leaves by not being a good partner, it's going to look like the United States played it right. It's going to look like the U.S. didn't lose people. Ukraine did. We spent 100 billion to get something we easily would have spent 100 billion on if you'd proposed it. For example if you said the United States, all right for 100 billion we'll guarantee that Russia goes from a top opponent to somewhere down in the ranks. We'll make them less dangerous and less important. Would that be worth 100 billion? It might be. If you could degrade China by as much as Russia will be degraded, would that be worth 100 billion dollars? I think so. That sounds like a bargain actually.
So I think the thing you're gonna have to wait for is how it all turns out. There's definitely one possibility, and I'm not sure what, I wouldn't put high odds on it necessarily, but there's one substantial possibility that this will look like one of the greatest foreign policy successes in the United States' history. It's equally possible it destroys the world. It's equally possible Ukraine is nothing but the worst thing we ever got into. Will you accept that it could go either way? But if you're ignoring that it could go wildly in both directions then I think that's not fair, right? Can I get a degree with this that it's possible it could go wildly in either direction? Wildly successful based on what we've already seen but also wildly, you know Russia's unpredictable, it could be wildly bad, right? Does that sound balanced or not? I feel like that's balanced.
All right. So I've got some pretty stuff now. Now you can see clearly the difference between livestream and tweeting, right? Everything I said after the first comments would not have been in a tweet. So on Twitter I'm a pro-Ukraine, I guess on Twitter I'd be a pro-Ukraine crazy person. It would look insane. But on livestream I look like a reasonable person who could be right, could be wrong, but it's not crazy.
All right. Did England win the war against our team Argentina? Yes they did. You sound very anti-Russia. Well that's correct. Somebody said I sound very anti-Russia. They are an adversary. Is it not coming through that I think our adversaries should be treated differently than our friends? Is that confusing? Yes you do. That is impressively, what's my imbalance that I'm too anti-Russia? Well to be clear I'm pro-Russian. Pro-Russians. I've said forever Russia should be our ally. Is there anybody who said more often than I have that Russia should be our ally and we should start treating them that way and see if we can make that work? Nobody said it more than I have. I've probably repeated that to the point where you're sick of it. Russia is a natural ally of the United States. Putin isn't necessarily. So I'm definitely not anti-Russia. I'm as pro-Russia as you could possibly be because I think the Russian people are kind of awesome. Kind of awesome. But they should be our allies. Just need different leadership.
How is Russia an adversary? They're an adversary in the sense that they have nuclear weapons pointed at us and they can make our work harder in some places. But to your point I'm more empathetic to your point than you think. Because my larger point is that there are not enough reasons to be adversaries. So you ask the right question. The correct question is are the problems we have with Russia enough to call them an adversary? And the answer is yes but I think it's not so much that we couldn't get rid of it. In other words it's something you can work with and you can manage that down because it's not that bad. Yeah we made them our enemies. I think there's something to that. I do think our actions change their behavior for sure. Yeah we share the International Space Station. You know that should be all you need to know, right? Like the fact that we're cooperating on the International Space Station. And I've said before that the pitch to Russia is to cooperate in space. See this is something that Trump could say because he's smart and other politicians just wouldn't say it. But Trump could say out loud hypothetically, you know let's think of the future. The thing that's going to be really important is military control of space and China is going to be up there. Do you think China is going to share their stuff with Russia because they like them? I don't think so. But I think we could work with Russia and say look we already cooperate on the International Space Station. Let's cooperate militarily in space and make that the reason to cooperate on Earth. To say all right the big picture is we have to be on the same side when space is the battleground. We have to. It would be insane for Russia and the United States to be on opposing sides in space. That would just be nuts. But China is going to go its own way and threatening or not it's going to be a force in space that needs to be dealt with. And we're going to be a lot better off if Russia is on the same team we are. A lot better off. So that's the pitch. Come together in the future.
All right. So it's insane to be so definitively anti-Russian as a reflex. Absolutely. But we should be open to bringing them onto the team. That should be the play, period. No matter what's happening, our stated intention should be to get them on our team. And by the way here's your persuasion lesson for the day. This is like the simplest persuasion lesson. If you want something to happen you have to state it directly. Just say what you want. And as unlikely as it is, putting it out there as what you want does make a difference. Because as soon as it's out there as a yes or no proposition then people will be drawn to it as a yes or no and then you've got something going. So even though everything is terrible with the United States and Russia, I would love to see our leader, whether it's Biden or anybody else, Trump, to say look in the long run Russia and the United States are going to be partners. And just say it as a fact. Don't say it's a wish. Don't say it's a desire. In the long run we're going to be on the same team.
Trump said that? I never heard him say that. I'm going to question that because I'm sure I would have seen that quote. But if there's a quote where Trump said anything like that I would love to see it. But the wisest leadership position would be you know we're going to be on the same team. There's no way around it. So let's start now. Now I don't think you could do that right now while Ukraine is raging. But I feel you can even give Putin a win on paper. You know one of the problems is Putin needs to get something out of his actions, right? He needs to show that he won. And what would be a better win for everybody involved than to form a space alliance before anybody's got any real spaceships except for the ISS, right? It would look like a win, wouldn't it? It would be. Russia would actually establish itself as a space force and that would give Putin something to say. Not only did I solve things on the ground, you know maybe we work on a deal with NATO or something and stop fighting. So you know the Ukraine war is going to wind down. So you could say the reason I'm winding it down is that we've reached not just an agreement on Ukraine but all of space. Putin can sell the hell out of that and we would be happy if he did, right? Wouldn't you be happy if Putin could go to his own people and say look you know this was all ugly and certainly was worse than we expected and you know that's on me. But we got something really good. We got a permanent arrangement on the ground because I think they'll get there eventually. But we also have a path into space that's far more important than what was happening in Ukraine.
You don't watch or listen to Trump since 2020. You said before that too. Well send it to me. Oh okay. Let me see. Trump says he would consider alliance with Russia over an Islamic State. And that's not the same. And an alliance over a specific topic is not what I'm talking about. So I do agree with you that Trump said we could work with Russia on specific things like terrorism and stuff. That's not even close to what I'm talking about. I'm talking about like literally treating them like Great Britain, you know, eventually.
Yeah, Space Force is still around doing great. Oh is that right? Is one of the reframes that Russia invaded to stop Ukraine from going on an offensive in those same contested areas? Yeah. By the way there's a, I forget where it is, is it on Netflix? There's a series on Richard Branson and the starting of Virgin which was way more interesting than I thought it was going to be. I didn't realize that he was on the brink of bankruptcy pretty much the entire time until he was rich. Like he was always basically broke and everything had gone to hell a whole bunch of times from the time he was a record store to the time he started an airline. Like every part of that was pretty sketchy. But he made it all work and then he lost six satellites. Were some satellites damaged last night with the solar flares or was it just one rocket that didn't work? I don't know anything about any satellites or there was a launch that failed. A Virgin launch with a Virgin. Oh it was a Virgin launch and it didn't work. Well I guess Elon Musk has a big advantage there. You know I don't think we can discount how important it is that Musk is the engineer as well as the company owner. Because I can't see Richard Branson being the right leader for a technical project right now. You can argue that having the airline is technical but it's such a well understood technical that that's different. But going into space is inventing something new and I don't think that Richard Branson is the right leader for that. But Musk is because Musk can just say why are you doing that, unplug it if it's nothing.
Bezos and Blue Origin yet? Well no, Bezos doesn't have a technical background, does he? Or does he? What is Bezos' educational background? He's not an engineer, is he? Banking, financial. Yeah you built Amazon and that's impressive. But I would argue that Amazon is a little bit closer to extending current technology than going to Mars. Going to Mars you have to invent the whole process. But Amazon was taking something that existed, you know websites, and they grew as the technology for the internet grew. I think they just grew with it. I'm not sure that they were in some ways like their server farms and stuff they were leading the internet I think you could say. But mostly they just followed the technology. So Bezos I think would not be the right head of a rocket company. Yeah they were brilliant in their marketing and sales and psychology and a whole bunch of things. They did some inventing on logistics, that's true. But as did Walmart, right? Yeah but logistics is something that a smart operator can do, right? Building rockets to Mars is not just not something a somebody who's good at finance can pull off.
All right. Question for you as we have reached the end of my prepared remarks. I understand that my image here on YouTube and probably Rumble is a lower grade than it should be. It looks like a 720 because I have the 1080 set but for some reason it's coming through as 720. My camera is 1080. This looks about, is it only because the lighting? I'm going to change the lighting and see if that changes it. Hold on. See if I can reach it. I can't reach it. That was that better? All right. So you think it was just the light that gave it the bad luck? Yeah the same resolution. All right. All right. So maybe it's a lighting issue. When I use the iPad, the iPad is so good in low light that I have to have it dark in here but it and it looks like on the iPad I'm overexposed. Right, I look super white. So I'm not sure I can get both of these devices. So I might have to stream on a laptop for both of them. Well I can't do the StreamYard stuff on the iPad and my head is shinier.
All right. That's all I got for now. Best livestream you've ever seen. Let's go see what Clod Adams is doing. My evil me. Like I actually have an evil me, Clod Adams. You know not everybody has one but Robert Barnes is really mad at that guy. My evil twin, right? My evil twin. Use a thermal cam. More makeup. Yeah I'm trying not to do makeup. I mean I don't even shave. I don't know if you can tell but because I have light here but I don't even shave before I do this. Like I'm literally in my pajamas and I think you'll like it that way, don't you?
By the way you're all aware that I'm doing everything I can to not get bigger, right? Is that obvious? Can you tell I'm going out of my way to not let this grow any bigger than, you know, I wouldn't want the Locals group to be more than ten thousand and I think you'll stay well below that. It's like six thousand something. But it's not going to be better if it's bigger. I would make a lot more money but it's not really the primary goal at the moment. So I'll just wrap up with this thought. If you've never had the experience of going from having nothing to having plenty you wouldn't know what this feels like. But I'm at that phase of my life where I kind of took care of myself, right, and the people closest to me. And now I'm looking for something that makes sense for waking up. And pleasure isn't good enough. Like I wouldn't wake up happy every day. Oh it's another day of pleasure. I hate to say it but there's nothing I hate more than too much pleasure. Like I'll just be bored to death and I feel like my life is worthless. So in order for me to feel like I'm part of life and that I'm doing something useful, I do this. Because to the extent that people find benefit of it for their life, that makes me happy and that makes it all worthwhile. So that's what's going on.
But there are people working very hard to diminish my value. Unfortunately they're mostly on Twitter. And somebody, oh here's the question for you. Somebody said to me that it's my own fault that people don't understand me on Twitter. And I guess that's a yes or no for me. It's my own fault because I could tweet non-provocative stuff, right? But to be useful, as you've seen many times, I like attacking the arguments on my own side if they're weak. And if I do that on Twitter it looks like I'm on the other team and everything goes wrong. You must seem to have similar motivations. Yeah it's what happens when you get enough for yourself. I mean think of Elon Musk. He's a young man and he has, at one point he was the richest person in the world. Why do you wake up? I mean it's fun I mean it must be fun but he fills his day with work. I think work is the only meaning he gets and the rest is just filling the time before you do something meaningful.
All right. That's all for now YouTube and Rumble. Let me know on Rumble how it worked. I'll try to figure out how to see your comments eventually. I just have another device I can do that. And goodbye for now.
for you Erica the excellent good morning everybody and if I've done my job correctly I am now streaming on locals and maybe Rumble and maybe You.
Tube and if you rumble or see me yet well uh I think I've got a check for the comments over on Rumble but apparently I don't know how to do that so I've got a separate page open for you Rumble comments but it's looking like I won't know how to find them yeah see I I can't check for them until I'm live and then when I am live I don't know where to look for them no idea so if you want to comment uh Rumblers I won't see you today yeah maybe I'll fix that next time I think I've got my camera lined up I think it's all working today how would you like to take it up to a level that you've never seen before you would and all you need for that is a copper bug or a glass to take your Chelsea style and the canteen and jug of flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine here the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous hip it happens now go thank you for noticing yes this is a very nice shirt I'm wearing today quite a bit better than all the other shirts I've been ever wearing before I think it looks good all right uh how many of you uh were worried about me yesterday because it uh the the internet seems to think I was having a meltdown I I was contacted by some people who care to say are you okay everything okay and how how many other people were having the same same experience did anybody see me interacting on Twitter and say something wrong here all right no there was something going on so if you thought it was a meltdown uh that wasn't exactly exactly what was happening but it looked like it so let me let me tell you what was really happening behind the scenes every year a few times a year several times a year maybe if I'm locking you four times a year I enter a manic phase do you know what that is manic and what I manic um everything is more right so that's the context so for the last few days I've been in a manic phase they are amazing like you know I suppose it's mental illness right but I don't experience it that way it becomes a problem for other people in other words I become a little bit too much because in the manic phase I have Infinite Energy I don't seem to need sleep like literally uh I think I had two hours of sleep the night before went all day had you know great workout uh I did more work in the last 48 hours more comics more writing got more chores done did paperwork I've been putting off forever I mean I was just cranking through it but what but one of the uh side effects is that on Twitter by now you know my pattern if somebody starts a damaging false rumor about me I I usually go nuclear on it until I can draw more attention to the correction than the original claim so what I'm trying to do is you know light all the kindling I can get everybody as mad as possible provoke everybody draw as much energy toward me and so yesterday I was just responding to every troll and you know I was swearing at him and but I was just having fun and I can see how from the outside it would look like I was having a meltdown but let me tell you if you were to look at the quality of my day let's say last day and a half exceptional like the the last day of the half has been some of my like just most enjoyable productive incredibly creative like you know I was creating you know micro lesson three Comics one day I mean I was just cranking it out it was all pretty good now fortunately you know you you've heard of people have manic what's the other thing the manic part feels good but then the manic depressive depression I don't really get the depression part you know I I certainly have days where like I'll have a week where I'm down but not really the kind where you can't get out of bed you know no nothing like a clinical depression you know you just have days that you're not ideal so if you had a choice of having like four weeks during the year where you're a little down but the trade-off of that is four weeks of uh Mania you would take the Mania it's a really good trade-off in mental health you know now let me be really clear my situation seems to be completely different than most people who are having some kind of mental you know let's say mental what'd I say uh variability let's call it variability because the difference between the highs and the lows generally when you've got that much variability there's you're not too happy about it but I think in my case it just makes other people unhappy but you also feel invulnerable like nothing gets to you so people people were worried that I was you know down yesterday and the whole day I was thinking down I don't think I've had a finer day and and months it was a really good day yeah usually you get extreme lows that's right so if anybody else tells you they have Mania you should be feeling probably some sympathy but not my case yeah so he says I was no I was I was trying to be as mean as I could to everybody because that's by the way the next time there's the next time there's you know any major rumor about me that's untrue I'm going to do the same thing whether I'm in Mania or not I'm going to spend the whole day responding to as many trolls as possible correcting the record and I'll be as mean as possible so that they'll retweet it and say what's wrong with this guy that's all right that's why how I get the energy all right um I've discovered that I have bifurcated into two complete people in the mind of the public which is which is kind of fun and weird so I always talk about the two movies on one screen right we're all watching the same screen but some people are saying the the union is ending and other people are seeing the Golden Age and we don't agree on anything but I think I finally realized um why the Twitter users and the live stream users have completely different impressions of me so I live stream I have enough time to do the uh full context so on live stream if I say you know I'm on the same side as this argument but I but I think the argument that's on my side is a little weak so I want you to know I'm on the same side but I'd like to see a stronger argument on my side so that's what I would say a live stream on Twitter I would just say what's wrong with the argument and then then I turn into the opposite person so on so on locals You.
Tube and Rumble I'm you know Scott Adams the reasonable uh the reasonable voice that looks at all sides and tries to consider them fairly and on Twitter I'm Claude Adams the the guy who's indistinguishable from Dr fauci that's what uh idiot attorney Barnes tweeted the other day or yesterday he tweeted that that I was basically fouchy foreign now in the other movie in the other movie people know that I'm the first person the first public figure to call fauci a liar in public I'm the first one and I never changed my mind once he lied in public I was like oh he's a he's a guy who lies in public so that was the last time I trusted him for anything so it's like a whole different you know claw claw Adams apparently trusts him but live stream Adams Scott Adams never trusted him from the first time he opened his mouth yeah I'm not sure that Robert Barnes has an opinion wouldn't that just be uh uninformed flailing is it really an opinion if it's based on obviously wrong data I guess it's still depending it's just an uninformed opinion all right I would like to tell you the weirdest thing that happened to me yesterday I told you yesterday was an awesome day for me this was the coolest thing that happened back at around 20 we'll say 2000 five or six some of you know my life story enough to know that I lost my ability to speak so there's a rare disorder called a spasmodic dysphonia and I lost the ability to speak for about three and a half years I can make noise but my vocal cords were clenching so that you couldn't understand what I was saying so for those three and a half years I used affirmations and the affirmation that I did when I was driving I would do it out loud but it didn't sound like real real talk I don't know what it sounded like but my mouth was moving and my brain was thinking of the words but I don't know what was coming up but what I was thinking was this I Scott Adams will speak perfectly yeah you remember will speak perfectly now is there anything wrong with that affirmation yes it's literally impossible by definition nobody can speak perfectly that that no human being can do that so I literally had an affirmation which was not just a little bit impossible but actually completely impossible and I think you would agree that although my career voice has a you know it's good enough for a commercial application which is what I'm doing now so it's good enough for commercial use but I'm still nasally and you know I still clear my throat and you know I'm blowing my nose on camera and every other damn thing so I'm nowhere near nowhere near uh perfect voice and then yesterday quiet and then yesterday something happened and I tweeted it around now I think this is a real story I'm not sure but I think it's a real story as you know I've offered my personality and appearance and voice to anybody who wants to make an AI product you know a deep fake so anybody wants to use my personality uh for AI I've I've allowed a full public license with no restrictions so anything you want to do yesterday there was an announcement by an AI company that they decided to use my voice as the main voice of their AI products and the reason they did it is because they'd looked around at all the voices they could use and they decided that my voice was pleasing enough and persuasive enough and they use persuasion specifically they thought my voice had a persuasive quality to it and they're going to build it into their products now here's the fun part it won't be a recording of my voice right the AI will do an impression of my voice and it will do a really good one because it has lots of samples to pull from and when the AI does an impression of my voice is going to remove all imperfections there's actually a really good chance that my voice will become perfect and become you know I don't think it's going to be as big as Siri or you know Alexa but my voice actually might get Incorporated in AI and it might be perfect because they would fix it to be so now I've actually if you've listened to any of my audiobooks that I recorded after I had the voice problem you might say to yourself well Scott you did a whole audiobook and they sounded pretty close to perfect to me I didn't hear anything wrong at all the entire book but what you don't know is that it's very uh I don't want to say very imperfect sorry Joshua but my voice is imperfect in reality but the audio Engineers take out all the imperfections so you get to hear it perfect even though it wasn't so of all the unlikely things in the world 2004 I tested the concept of affirmations with something I literally thought was impossible because remember at the time it was an incurable condition it was incurable had always been incurable nobody had ever been cured now turns out a few people had been and I didn't know about it through a a surgery that only one person was doing and it was still experimental and that's what cured me but I actually used affirmations to accomplish the literal impossibility literally impossible and it just happened where it looks like it's happening is that crazy is it just blowing my mind because it's about me or is that actually mind-blowing because you know I'm I'm fairly well known for talking about affirmations being a big part of my story but that one that one was always the one that got away that was always the one that got away and I've always wondered about it I thought you know maybe I just imagined this whole affirmation thing being useful I don't know it's so strange it's like well let's talk more about Snopes yesterday I told you that Snopes I wasn't covering the fine people hoax and if they had it would have changed history because if they'd called it a hoax the left would have believed it presumably and then Biden would not be able to run on it and everything could have been different but um I did if I I find out that instead of the fine people hoax which they did seem to ignore they instead fact checked whether Trump was quote refusing to condemn white supremacy so that was the angle they took on it so they took the the larger view that included the the debates so they used the debates as the point of focus to take it away from the fact that he immediately condemned the neo-nazis in Charlottesville without prompting he immediately in his own way immediately said as soon as he said fine people a few sentences later he said I'm not talking about the neo-nazis so that was the hoax that he was but when he wasn't so Snopes does this whole thing and they they say they actually they actually said that whether or not this was true or false that Trump had quote refused to give them white supremacy depends on your definition of refused do I have to say anything else it was like it's the Bill Clinton defense well it depends on your definition of it they actually use the Bill Clinton approach and I'm not going to read you everything they said because if you start off with it depends how you define and refused you know exactly what you're getting right and the argument has something to do with when they asked them to do it during the debate he said sure and then they said well would you be willing to condemn them he said yes well would you condemn them sure does that sound like refusing and here's the refusing part then apparently I think Biden and maybe the moderator or Mike Wallace were both saying well then go ahead and do it go ahead and do it and then he said tell me who specifically you want me to condemn is that is that a fair question tell me specifically who you're asking me to condemn that's a fair question right because I'm sure he didn't want to defend I'm sure he didn't want to like condemn the right wing of the Republican Party right because maybe they would have said that well well I think all the right-wing Republicans are racist so condemn them don't you think you have to ask specifically what do you want me to condemn I think so now they said the proud boys if you remember the debate that was the one all right about the proud boys condemn them I think somebody else they mentioned and he said proud boys you know Stand By and something like that now why did he not immediately condemn the proud boys there's an obvious reason isn't there I mean besides the fact that they supported him the obvious reason is I don't think anybody knew exactly what the proud boys were up to because I didn't you know I a few years before well no one was it yeah a few years before that I did a podcast interview I was invited by Gavin Mc.
Ginnis founder of The Proud boys who's no longer Affiliated but the founder of The Proud boys asked me to do an interview and I didn't know anything about them that sounded negative at the time at the time so I spent I don't know 45 minutes for an hour talking to him and it was just perfectly fine conversation that was it now do you think that Trump was like in the details of knowing if the proud boys had any bad elements or if they'd ever said anything he needed to condemn how can he possibly know that it would be ridiculous to imagine he had that level of knowledge about that group at that time now since then you know they were involved in the January 6 Etc we we've learned more about them maybe maybe some individuals there did some bad things that you could point out but at the time it was a perfectly good question which is who do you want me to condemn and secondly maybe he takes a pass of The Proud boys because they support him and he doesn't know what they did wrong specifically yeah so uh yeah snopes is uh completely uh reprehensible for the way they handle this uh Bruce Fenton on Twitter he asked chat GPT the AI uh what I thought of the uh fine people hoax and its first take was not not debunking it but then uh he was the the AI was pushed and when pushed it sort of admitted it was a lie so the AI acted a little bit like a human it avoided the question when asked directly and then when asked directly I was like well yeah now I think each version of chat GPT acts a little differently so you it's way too early to imagine that you're seeing a trend yet there's no Trend but it's you know it's achieving Consciousness and the problem is the AI might be as biased as we are how can it avoid it let me ask you this directly how is it possible Chinese room what's that mean how would it be possible for AI to not be biased right if AI mimics humans and humans are biased by let's say what what they want to be true you know they want the new news to be compatible with what they already know is true AI is going to do the same thing if AI has a framework of what is true and then you presented some new headlines it will take those headlines and try to figure out how it fits with what it already knows so it should be as biased as people so we're going to have a super intelligence that is super biased what the hell is that going to do to us that could be our biggest risk we talk about the singularity and you know all the unknowns and replacing human people for their jobs and it could be that AI is just biased and that bias we imagine is intelligence and it's not it's just bias so that's problem all right uh you are you following the story of uh some classified documents from the Biden Administration turned up in some left-leading uh Think Tank and this is just a payback story right this isn't a real story I mean I'm sure yeah well I'm not sure the facts might be real it's a Chinese Think Tank is it because I didn't see that in reporting the story I read about it didn't have anything about that all right so I'm gonna I'm gonna call BS on that somebody says China funded all right I'm not going to claim that as a fact because I'm just reading in comments but I I would encourage you to read the story and see if there's anything behind it um here's what I think I think this is just a payback story meaning that it's going to be just like the Trump documents there'll be some things that were there and you wish they weren't and they're not that important don't you think so it's University pen blah blah yeah GSA you pack those boxes yeah I think it's going to be another bunch of nothing and I think it's just a story that uh because it mirrors the Mar-A-Lago documents that's what makes it a story I'm not even sure it would be a story if not for the Mar-A-Lago documents I doubt it's important if it were important don't you think they would have told us what the documents were about don't you think because it's not like the Mar-A-Lago documents where they say there's something in those boxes and we don't know what that's different they actually know what the documents are they they have possession of the documents so if they were let's say nuclear secrets I think you would know that right wouldn't that just be part of the story so my guess is it's just sort of background context that was useful and somebody did something they shouldn't have but probably not that big a deal yeah so my guess is just over classified stuff and nothing there but it's a good political story it'll get people yammering about how unfair Things Are all right I think I mentioned this that uh Washington Post reported that the so-called Russian influence operation uh on Twitter was a big nothing that it didn't have any impact at all now I feel is important to call out when I made a correct prediction because predicting stuff is largely you know part of my credibility or not and I would like to claim that I am the number one and maybe only person when the the Russian influence story first came out and when we saw the memes so when we saw the memes and we knew the budget I said loudly in public oh it's obvious this had no impact because I saw the memes I saw the memes and they were they were looked like they were grade school level and then I heard the budget like a hundred thousand dollars for their entire operation it was obviously a nothing so those of you who follow me can you confirm I was the first person to tell you this that there was nothing to it and and there was obviously nothing to it right and so now the Washington Post has confirmed what I told you which was also obvious from the first moment obvious yeah and the people and locals are confirming that that I called in that all right now here's something that I can say on live stream that I would not say on Twitter perfect example if I said the same thing I just said on Twitter people say oh my God you just think you get everything right you never admit when you're wrong no on live stream I can say well I don't get them all right I can list which things I got wrong for example most notably recently predicting that Russia would not invade Ukraine I tell you I got that one wrong all the time I predicted you know Trump's vice president pick incorrectly I admit that I wrote a whole book about all the things I got wrong now on live stream I say that so that it's easier for you to accept oh I got this one right because I also admit when I got them wrong and you say oh that's balanced but on Twitter I would just say I got it right and then they say Claude Adams because that's the only context they have and they would all turn into idiot uh idiot Robert Barnes so anyway the Twitter files continue to uh uh offend us um yeah Tucker Carl said a great thing about how many times the Democrats have used Russia as their excuse yeah cope uh and it's amazing if when you hear the whole list you forget how many times um the Russia was used as a uh an excuse for any bad behavior now I made another let's say if you remember this or maybe I have a false memory of it so check me I might have a false memory I've been saying since the beginning that every accusation of Russia uh hacking the DNC or Hillary's emails or whatever they're hacking I've said that those are fake most likely and that our own intelligence agencies are lying to us about all of it I'm gonna I'm gonna double down on that I don't think Russia hacked anything I don't believe that Maybe but they it seems like they can't even hack Ukraine and they're pretty motivated to do that I just don't think they have much of a cyber operation frankly so who knows somebody probably hacked somebody but I don't know that it was Russia um if you if you look at the pattern you'd have to say it's most likely untrue wouldn't you so so far everything our intelligence agents have told us about Russia was a intentional lie right so Russia collusion was an intentional Lie by intelligence people current and retired the Russia laptop was a lie and the Russian influenced the level of influence they had in cyber stuff was a lie now that's three lies that involve Russia they have our own intelligence backing what is the only only information we have that Russia hacked anything our intelligence people said so that's it there's no other information so the least credible entity in the United States which is our own intelligence agencies when blaming Russia all right and here's another thing that you can say on live stream that I wouldn't bother to say on Twitter most of the intelligence people are probably just good people doing their job and their Patriots and we love them right but but if I said it on Twitter it looks like I'm you know blaming all intelligence people for all everything it looks like a few members of leadership are bad apples and they they were behind all of these things so it's a very small percentage of the intelligence people see the difference if I say the same thing on Twitter without the context and so um then I become a different personality I I'm a conspiracy theorist and I'm blaming you know I hate the United States and nothing like that's happening all right um so yeah I don't believe anything about Russian hacking of American anything really um did you see that uh idiot Robert Barnes I forget if I mentioned this he he tweeted or he wrote in his blog that I personally the creator of the Dilbert comic strip M uh two gullible and believing institutional data does that sound like a good analysis I'm literally the world's most famous doubter of institutional information if you were to take all eight billion people on the planet Earth and rank them by how much how prominently they've doubted institutional information I believe I'd be number one out of 8 billion people now Robert Barnes imagined that I was believing and I was highly gullible and I would believe institutional information when really I should have been believing Rogues I don't know he he's kind of ridiculous now it looks like he's having some kind of a meltdown doesn't it is anybody watching Robert Barnes reaction to this it looks like a meltdown because the things he's saying about me are actually they border on insane yeah yeah and the the clot Birds um you can tell the clot Birds they're weighing in now on You.
Tube the club birds are all confused why I got vaccinated right that's confusing because you don't know the context if the clock Birds followed me on a live stream more religiously than they are right now they would know that I made the same decision as uh Dr.
Robert Malone the one of the most prominent critics of the vaccination policies say the same thing he did it at the same time and for the same reason I think he waited until you know we saw what adverse reactions were right away that's not all of them there could be but we you know if you've gone six months your odds are much better and then no not not so he could go on vacation with my ex-wife but so he could fly internationally that's why I did it that's why a lot of people did it so if you didn't know that context and you were on Twitter you say cloud Adams you must be in favor of the vaccination if you watch me on live stream you know that the reason I waited six months when I could have gotten it right away I was you know I was qualified early on because of my age and comorbidities but I waited as long as I could until the travel thing became too hard to resist and the reason I waited was why why did I wait so long there's only one reason I waited is because I didn't trust institutional data why else would I wait if I trusted it I would have signed up I would have been first in line because nothing would have stopped me right so so I think Barnes is having some kind of a mental breakdown um terrible meltdown you should you should express your empathy because he's going he must be going through something in his personal life that's that's horrible I'm probably some kind of you know not a marital problem or something I can only speculate but he seems to be acting out in a way that suggests a terrible mental breakdown how many people think I'm serious about that no I'm not serious it's sarcasm you can't you cannot diagnose diagnose somebody's mental state by their tweets foreign but he's doing it to me so I was just returning the favor none of it makes any sense do you think I know how he feels when he's not tweeting of course not he could be good Lord the storm is really loud I'm gonna have to check outside to see if my if my landscape blew away all right um sad news uh Diamond of diamond and silk passed away at age 51.
no cause of death but I did read that she had been sick for a while so whatever it was was not sudden and that's quite tragic and not much else to say about that yeah I'm just we'll just show our respect and note that I think that they were the by the way for some reason I didn't know they were sisters did you all know they were sisters I just thought they were best friends but they did act like they did act like sisters because they were beyond the same wavelength yeah is that where how could I go so long without knowing that because I I don't remember them ever being referred to as sisters they were always just diamond and silk and I thought they did a great job of like maximizing their potential and everything the the David and silk story is a real good one to look for Success strategies and I would say one of their best superpowers which I talk about all the time is I don't think that they ever got embarrassed am I am I wrong like they could go on and just put on like a a really good like show because they were never embarrassed they were just you know put themselves out there now that's something to be um respected and also to be imitated you know they they put themselves out there they took a risk the worst thing that could happen to them was they'd have a bad day on social media and then they say oh I guess this isn't for us right it was the exact right kind of risk risk reward that I always recommend if the only risk is you spend an hour on social media and then some people mocked you but not many people saw you and you decided it wasn't for you that's a perfect risk right low low risk high potential payoff and they took that risk and they get a high potential payoff so good work for them good instincts good good contribution to the to the whole um when somebody passes away we're only we're only going to do the the positive parts of their life you understand that right so we're just doing positivity today um here's a strategy I think Trump could win the White House on here's what I knew if I were Trump all right you know he's uh he's CL and by the way this would work for De.
Santis or anybody else but it would work especially well for Trump um so he's being closed out by the um the media so the mainstream media is going to close them down including probably fox now that might change if he gets nominated might change if it gets nominated but at least during the nomination phase he's going to have to play it non-traditionally here's how I do it I would say I'm only going to do podcasts because everything he does on a podcast is going to get turned into a clip and and become viral he'd be on every real and every tick tock and it would be real easy to share it and stuff but the but the content of those um those videos should be partly from interviews he does in podcasts because of podcast form is the best form for him because a podcaster could push him hard right now I do plan that when I leave my uh media um at the moment I'm on a media diet so I'm not doing any interviews or I'm not appearing on other podcasts for most of this year and but I'm certainly going to offer to interview Trump if he's if he gets you know into the process deeper now do you think he would say yes do you think Trump would appear on a uh podcast or live stream that has only you know 50 000 viewers on a good day yeah because the 50 000 viewers is irrelevant to the reach the only thing that matters is if he and I created a viral moment where there's like a 10 second clip or something that's really good that's all that matters because that that's the win it's not anybody watching the interview then secondly if Trump does anything interesting on a podcast it doesn't matter how many viewers the podcast normally gets it's going to be a trump number it's not going to be a podcast number right so he can make anything big so he doesn't have to go on to a big platform he can go on a little platform and then let it and let it expand next thing I would do is I would create a series of very short maybe two minutes at most a minute would be better but two minute videos on each policy just two minutes so that nobody could ever doubt what his policy was and then I think you need some work on those policies because if he presents his policies the same way he always did I don't think it's good enough I think he needs an upgrade in his persuasion so but if he did that and he made these little one minute videos they'd be very powerful then the other thing and here's the kill shot the kill shot is he should do a series of very short videos you know one minute-ish uh debunking each of the uh conspirac the theories each of the hoaxes against them imagine Trump creating a video that shows the tweet that was live at the time and the Wall Street Journal article talking about light as a disinfectant and then pick out the parts of his speech where it was light light light show how the The hoax was created and do it all in one minute because because each of these points is like a five or ten second point you could put like six ten second points together and debunk any hoes so you know you do the fine people hopes you do the drinking bleed jokes you do the um and then he would have to have to answer the question for example why did you say you were just being sarcastic now he's never answered that question but I think the easy answer is I was just trying to brush it away because it was just a hoax story I just wanted to make it go away which I think anybody would believe don't you because it obviously wasn't sarcasm whatever it was it wasn't sarcasm so you would believe him if he said you know honestly it was just a stupid story and I didn't want to be I didn't want to be the president discussing covet technology like that's not my role I was just brainstorming and maybe it was better I don't do that so I was just trying to make it go away that would totally satisfy me would it satisfy you if he said yeah I mean honestly obviously it wasn't sarcasm it was based on something I saw but I just didn't want to pursue it just wanted to make it go away so once he's created a one-minute debunk of each hoax then the next thing you do is you put him in a compilation clip so they each would live individually but also they would be short enough that you could put them into a like 20 hoax compilation clip you you put the hoax videos together with the quick policy videos that are really tight and well and better than he usually says them put them on podcasts I think he's Unstoppable now I think January 6 has to be one of the hoax the hoaxes I I think he has to present it as um the the reaction to it was political now at the same time the only way you can do that credibly is to admit that members of the protest went too far and some of them probably wanted to do the worst possible things he can't deny that you know the parts that are in evidence but and and I think going after the rayapps thing would be it's going to sound conspiracy theorist Theory like to the people he's trying to persuade so that's no good rather I would rather see him mock the January 6th thing the way we do which is just ask this question do you really believe the Republican stage and Insurrection and don't take their weapons out does anybody believe you can conquer a country by occupying a room I mean just he should just make it sound stupid because it is it was just a show trial now the things he says are stuff like show trial it's political but you're so used to hearing those types of things they don't really register I'd rather say something that you don't hear which is do Republicans try to overcome a country without weapons in what reality do you think that really happened you know we'll acknowledge that there were bad people there and they should be you know the law needs to take care of that but really really you really believe the Republicans don't bring guns to a coup I think he should mock it away he should mock it away you should not even go for the like too factual you know don't don't uh retry the you know the public hearings just mock it away it's like come on who believes that really uh and I think that makes the president all right here's my updated uh Ukraine prediction um the winter is going to be really good for Ukraine here's why number one uh the ukrainians will be wintering in their own country meaning that I would imagine there would be plenty of locals who would keep the military warm and we'd be happy to do it right so there's always going to be an indoor place for the Ukrainian military the Russians still probably confined indoor places but you know it's a little harder and if they Clump up too much the ukrainians will send the high Mars in and take them all out so it's a little bit I think the Russians are gonna have a little harder time over the winter um but apparently and I was anticipating this if you give the ukrainians extra time what happens they get extra weapons right so ukrainians have a good winter because there won't be much fighting so they won't be doing much losing but apparently they just they're going to take possession of like 50 Bradleys which is a whole new level of Effectiveness if you've got 50 Bradleys you know these fighting vehicles uh and you send all 50 of them into a russian-held territory you get the territory back now I know I'm no military expert but that's just what they you know the people who know what they're talking about and say if you send you know you created a force with 50 Bradleys against the Russian forces they would recapture that territory so now the now the ukrainians are moving from defensive to offensive forces and they've got a few months to get all the stuff in place um now Russia also has the full winter to resupply but where is where is Russia getting their resupply from mostly from Russia so I've got a feeling that the Russians don't have as much to resupply like they would have already been using everything they had because they were you know not doing so well so it seems to me that the advantage is going to wildly turn toward Ukraine as soon as the snow starts melting does anybody have a different prediction because I think ever let me say it simpler every day Ukraine gets stronger and every day Russia gets weaker because of sanctions and you know running out of stuff so I believe that the winter is only good for the one who benefits from extra time so it should be Ukraine uh yeah I don't think anybody thought that high Mars were all that was needed admit that you are very unbalanced on Ukraine uh here's a perfect example if I if I were on Twitter right now and just made that prediction you would say to yourself but Scott you were so unbalanced you just always say good things about Ukraine because that's all we've seen on Twitter but on live stream somebody says but you're so unbalanced about Ukraine I've also been right about everything except the invasion which I was as wrong as you could be now the reason I was wrong about the invasion is that it looked obvious to me that it wouldn't work and I thought it would be obvious to Putin now apparently I was right about the part it not working the best best prediction on the Ukraine war after the worst one so I had the worst prediction that they wouldn't they wouldn't go in but it was based on the best prediction that if they went in they get their ass kicked which is what happened so if you'd like more balance allow me to have it here's some balance can we trust any of the information coming from Ukraine or Russia that would suggest who's winning no right does that sound balanced that all of the information is non-credible that helps right because if you're saying why are you latching on to this information and acting like it's true that's not happening no no I'm I'm presenting what's in the news and I'm doing you know what if it's true and if it's true this might happen but the prediction about the winter is is a straight observation that one group has unlimited sources Ukraine the other group has probably more limited sources so the one with unlimited sources should do better if you have more time now that's pretty straightforward now does that mean that Russia will be destroyed now Russia still has nuclear weapons Russia has you know weapons they haven't used Russia could decide that they're they're willing to take you know massive losses instead of what losses they've already taken that are big so yes and in in war this is one of those things I always imagine I don't need to say but on live stream I'll say it and on Twitter I wouldn't because I F you are characters would you agree that nobody can predict War agree so if I tell you wow it looks like Ukraine is going to win that's in the context of nobody nobody can predict the war but we still predict the reason I predict is that I predict everything I can so you can see if my predictions were at least reasonable even if they don't work because my prediction that Putin would not attack I think was reasonable because it was based on you know a very good assumption that turned out to be true I was just totally wrong but it was reasonable and I think that that's part of how you judge my credibility you see if I can predict right but predicting well might be sixty percent correct right and when it's War I think that's even the hardest to predict like how many people predicted that uh Russia would not win in Afghanistan and the United States would not win in Afghanistan well some did Okay some did yeah actually probably a lot of people did it's a bad example but generally speaking you would all agree that war is unpredictable so does it help you if I admit that all the information is not credible there's definitely a path for Russia to turn it around and win everything and that is uh largely unpredictable but still uh my prediction is not based on my love of a Ukraine does that make sense I'm not I did have a Ukrainian flag in my profile but that was ironic I was doing that as a joke um are you willing to accept at least at least in the locals platform are you willing to accept that uh is not my love of Ukraine that's driving anything because I'm more just an observer really but I will say and um I know this is not popular it's entirely possible that the Biden administration's handling of the whole Ukraine Russia thing will be looked at as one of the Great American foreign successes it doesn't look like it at the moment would you agree doesn't look like it at the moment right now if you're laughing I'm agreeing with you at the moment that seems ridiculous doesn't it would you all agree it looks ridiculous at the moment I think we're all on that page here's but here's the part where it could change if it turns out that we spend let's say 100 billion when it's all done and the net result was that Russia became no longer an adversary they became weakened and are let's say our energy industry picks up the slack that some of the slack that Russia leaves by not being a good partner it's going to look like the United States played a right it's going to look like the U.S didn't lose people Ukraine did we spent 100 billion to get something we easily would have spent 100 billion on if you'd if you'd proposed it for example if you said the United States all right for 100 billion we'll guarantee that Russia goes from a like a top a top opponent to you know somewhere down in the ranks we'll make them less dangerous and less important would that be worth 100 billion it might be if you if you could degrade if you could degrade degrade China by as much as Russia will be degraded would that be worth 100 billion dollars I think so that sounds like a bargain actually so I think the thing you're gonna have to wait for is how it all turns out there's definitely one possibility and I'm not sure what I wouldn't put like high odds on it necessarily but there's one substantial possibility that this will look like one of the greatest foreign policy successes in the United States as possible it's equally possible it destroys the world it's equally possible Ukraine is nothing but the worst thing we ever got into will you accept that could go either way but if you're ignoring that it could go wildly in both directions then I think I think that's not fair right can I get you a degree with this that it's possible it could go wildly in either direction wildly successful based on what we've already seen but also wildly you know Russia's unpredictable could it could be wildly bad right does that sound balanced or not I feel like that's balanced all right so I've got some pretty stuff now now you can see clearly the difference between live stream and tweeting right everything I said after the first comments would not have been in a tweet so so on on Twitter I'm a pro Ukraine um I guess on Twitter I'd be a pro Ukraine crazy person it would look insane but on live stream I look like a you know reasonable person who could be right could be wrong but it's not crazy all right did England win the war against our team Argentina yes they did uh you sound very anti-russia well that's that's correct somebody said I sound very anti-russia they are an adversary is it not coming through that I think our adversaries should be treated differently than our friends is that confusing yes you do that is in pricelessly what's my imbalance that I'm too anti-russia well to be clear I'm a I'm pro-russians pro-russians I've said forever Russia should be our Ally is there anybody who said more often than I have that Russia should be our Ally and we should start treating them that way and see if we can make that work nobody said it more than I am I've probably repeated that to the point where you're sick of it Russia is a natural Ally of the United States Putin isn't necessarily so it's I'm definitely not anti-russia I'm as pro-russia as you could possibly be because I think the Russian people are kind of Awesome kind of Awesome but and they should be our allies just need different leadership how is Russia an adversary um they're an adversary in the sense that they have nuclear weapons pointed at us and they can make our work harder in some places so but um to your point I'm more I'm more empathetic to your point than you think because my larger point is that there are not enough reasons to be adversaries so you ask the right question the correct question is are are the problems we have with Russia enough to call them an adversary and the answer is yes but I think it's not so much that we couldn't get rid of it in other words it's something you can work with and you can you can manage that down because it's not that that bad uh uh yeah we made them our enemies I think I think there's something to that I do think our actions change their behavior for sure yeah we share the International Space Station you know that should be all you need to know right like you know the fact that we that we're cooperating on the International Space Station and and I've said before that the the pitch to Russia is to cooperate in space see this is something that Trump could say because he's smart and other politicians just wouldn't say it but Trump could say out loud hypothetically you know let's think of the future the the thing that's going to be really important is you know military control of space and China is going to be up there do you think China is going to share their stuff with Russia because they like them I don't think so but I think we we could work with Russia and say look we already cooperate on the International Space Station let's cooperate militarily in space and make that make that the reason to cooperate on on earth right to say all right the big picture is we have to be on the same side when space is the Battleground we have to it would be insane for Russia in the United States to be on opposing size in space that would just be nuts but China is going to go its own way and threatening or not it's going to be a force in space that needs to be dealt with and we're going to be a lot better off if Russia is on the same team we are a lot better off so that's the pitch come together in the future uh all right uh so it's insane to be so defensive definitive uh yeah it would be insane uh it would be insane to be um just anti-russian as a reflex absolutely but we we should be open to bringing them onto the team that that should be the play period no matter what's happening our our stated intention should be to get them on our team and by the way here's your persuasion lesson for the day this is like the simplest persuasion lesson if you want something to happen you have to State it directly just say what you want and as unlikely as it is putting it out there as what you want does make a difference because as soon as it's out there as a yes or no proposition then people people will be drawn to it as a yes or no and then you've got something going so so even though everything is terrible with the United States and Russia I would love to see our leader whether it's Biden or anybody else Trump to say look in the long run Russia and the United States are going to be partners and just say it as a fact don't say it's a wish don't say it's a desire in the long run we're going to be on the same team we Trump said that I never heard him say that I'm going to question that because I'm sure I would have seen that quote but it but if there's a quote where Trump said anything like that I would love to see it but the the wisest leadership position would be you know we're going to be on the same team there's there's no way around it so let's start now now I I don't think you could do that right now well while Ukraine is Raging but I I feel you can even give uh Putin a win on paper you're you know one of the problems is Putin needs to get something out of out of his actions right he needs to show that he won and what would be a better win for everybody involved than to form a space Alliance before anybody's got any real spaceships except for the ISS right it would look like a wind wouldn't it it would be Russia Russia would actually um establish itself as a space force and that would give Putin something to say not only not only did I solve things on the ground you know maybe we work on a deal with NATO or something and stop fighting so you know you know the Ukraine war is going to wind down so you could say the reason I'm winding it down is that we've reached not just an agreement on Ukraine but all of space Putin can sell the hell out of that and we would be happy if he did right wouldn't you be happy if Putin could go to his own people and say look you know this was all ugly and certainly was worse than we expected and you know that's on me but we got something really good we got a permanent Arrangement on the ground because I think they'll get there eventually but we also have a path into space that's far more important than what was happening in Ukraine uh you don't watch or listen to Trump since 2020 you said before that too well send it to me oh okay let me see Trump says he would consider alliance with Russia over an Islamic State and that's not the same and an alliance over a specific topic is not what I'm talking about so I I do agree with you that Trump said we could work with Russia on specific things like terrorism and stuff that's not even close to what I'm talking about I'm talking about like literally treating like Great Britain you know eventually uh yeah space force is still around doing great oh is that right is one of the reframes that Russia invaded to stop Ukraine from going on an offensive in those same in the contested areas yeah by the way there's a uh I forget where it is is it on Netflix there's a series on Richard Branson and the starting of Virgin which was way more interesting than I thought it was going to be I didn't realize that he was he was on the brink of bankruptcy pretty much the entire time until he was rich like like he was always like basically he was broke and everything had gone to Hell a whole bunch of times from the time he was a you know a record record store to the time he started an airline like every part of that was pretty sketchy but uh he made it all working then he lost six satellites were some satellites damaged last night with the solar flares or did or was it just one rocket that didn't work I don't know anything about any satellites or there was a launch that failed a virgin launch with a virgin oh it was a virgin launch and it didn't work well I guess I guess Elon Musk has a big Advantage there you know I don't think we can discount how important it is that musk is the engineer as well as the company owner because I I can't see uh Richard Branson being the Right leader for a technical project right now you can argue that having the airline is technical but it's such a well understood technical that that's different but going into spaces inventing something new and I don't think there that Richard Branson is the Right leader for that but musk is because you know musk can just say why are you doing that unplug it if it's nothing Bezos and blue origin yet well um no Bezos doesn't have a technical background does it or does he what it what is Bezos educational background he's not an engineer is he banking Financial yeah you built Amazon and that's impressive but I would argue that uh Amazon is a little bit closer to extending current technology than going to Mars going to Mars you have to invent the whole process but Amazon was taking something that existed you know websites and they they grew as the technology for the internet grew I think they just grew with it I'm not sure that they were you know in some ways like their uh server farms and stuff they were leading the internet I think you could say but mostly they just followed the technology so Bezos I think it would not be the right head of our rocket company yeah they were brilliant in their marketing and sales and psychology and a whole bunch of things they did some inventing on Logistics that's true um but as did Walmart right yeah but Logistics is something that a smart operator can do right building Rockets to Mars is not just not something a somebody who's good at Finance can pull off yeah all right question for you as we have reached the end of my prepared remarks um I understand that my my image here on You.
Tube and probably Rumble is a lower grade than it should be it looks like a 720.
because I have I have the 1080 1080 um set but for some reason it's coming through a 720.
my camera is 1080.
this looks about it is it only because the lighting I'm going to change the lighting and see if that changes it hold on see if I can reach it I can't reach it that was that better all right so you think it was just the light that gave it the bad bad luck yeah the uh same resolution all right all right so maybe maybe it's a lighting issue when I use the i.
Pads uh the i.
Pad is so good in low light that I have to have it dark in here but it and it looks like on the i.
Pad I'm Overexposed right I look super white uh so I'm not sure I can get both of these devices uh uh so I might have to I might have to stream on a laptop for both of them uh well I can't do I can't do the stream yard stuff on the i.
Pad and my head is shinier all right all right that's all I got for now best live stream you've ever seen uh let's go see what Claude Adams is doing the my my it's like my evil me like I actually have an evil me claw Adams you know not everybody has one but Robert Barnes is really mad at that guy my evil twin right my evil twin uh use a thermal cam more makeup yeah I'm trying not to do makeup I mean I don't even shave I don't know if you can tell but because I have light here but I don't even shave before I do this like I'm literally in my pajamas and I think you'll like it that way don't you by the way you're all aware that I'm doing everything I can to not get bigger right is that obvious can you tell I'm going out of my way to not let this grow any bigger than than you know I wouldn't want the locals group to be more than ten thousand and I think you'll stay well below that it's like six thousand something but it's not going to be better if it's bigger I would make a lot more money but it's not really the primary goal at the moment so I'll just uh I'll just wrap up with this thought if you've never had the experience of going from having nothing to having plenty you wouldn't know what this feels like but I'm at that phase of my life where I kind of took care of myself right and the people closest to me and now I'm looking for something that makes makes sense for waking up and pleasure isn't good enough like I wouldn't I wouldn't wake up happy every day oh it's another day of pleasure I hate to say it but there's nothing I hate more than too much pleasure like I'll just be bored to death and I feel like my life is worthless so in order for me to feel like I'm you know part of life and that I'm doing something useful um I do this because to the extent that people find uh benefit of it for their life um that makes me happy and that that makes it all worthwhile so that's what's going on uh but there are people working very hard to diminish my value unfortunately they're mostly on the on Twitter and somebody oh here's the question for you somebody said to me um that it's my own fault that people don't understand me on Twitter and I guess that's a yes or no for me it's my own fault because I could Tweet non-provocative stuff right but to be useful as you've seen many times I like attacking the arguments on my own side if they're weak and if I do that on Twitter it looks like you know I'm on the other team and everything goes wrong um you would must seem to have similar motivations yeah it's what happens when you get enough for yourself I mean think of Elon Musk he's a young man and he has he's you know at one point he was the richest person in the world why do you wake up I mean it's fun I mean it must be fun but he fills his day with work I think work is the only meaning he gets and the rest is just filling the time before you do something meaningful all right um that's all for now You.
Tube and Rumble uh let me know on Rumble how it worked I'll try to figure out how to see your comments eventually I just have another device I can do that and goodbye for now
for you Erica the excellent
[Music]
good morning everybody
and if I've done my job correctly
I am now streaming on locals and maybe
Rumble
and maybe YouTube
and if you rumble or see me yet
well uh I think I've got a check for the
comments over on Rumble
but apparently I don't know how to do
that so I've got a separate page open
for you Rumble comments
but it's looking like I won't know how
to find them
yeah
see I I can't check for them until I'm
live
and then when I am live I don't know
where to look for them
no idea so if you want to comment uh
Rumblers I won't see you today yeah
maybe I'll fix that next time
I think I've got my camera lined up I
think it's all working today how would
you like to take it up to a level that
you've never seen before
you would and all you need for that is a
copper bug or a glass to take your
Chelsea style and the canteen and jug of
flask a vessel of any kind fill it with
your favorite liquid I like coffee
join me now for the unparalleled
pleasure of the dopamine here the day
thing makes everything better
it's called the simultaneous hip it
happens now go
thank you for noticing yes this is a
very nice shirt I'm wearing today
quite a bit better than all the other
shirts I've been ever wearing before I
think it looks good
all right
uh how many of you uh were worried about
me yesterday because it uh the the
internet seems to think I was having a
meltdown
I I was contacted by some people who
care
to say are you okay
everything okay
and how how many other people were
having the same
same experience
did anybody see me interacting on
and say something wrong here
all right no there was something going
on
so if you thought it was a meltdown
uh that wasn't exactly exactly what was
happening but it looked like it
so let me let me tell you what was
really happening behind the scenes
every year
a few times a year several times a year
maybe
if I'm locking you four times a year
I enter a manic phase
do you know what that is manic
and what I manic
um everything is more
right so that's the context so for the
last few days I've been in a manic phase
they are amazing
like you know I suppose it's mental
illness right but I don't experience it
that way it becomes a problem for other
people
in other words I become a little bit too
much
because in the manic phase I have
Infinite Energy
I don't seem to need sleep like
literally uh I think I had two hours of
sleep the night before
went all day
had you know great workout uh I did more
work
in the last 48 hours more comics more
writing got more chores done did
paperwork I've been putting off forever
I mean I was just cranking through it
but what but one of the uh side effects
is that on Twitter
by now you know my pattern if somebody
starts a damaging false rumor about me
I I usually go nuclear on it until I can
draw more attention to the correction
than the original claim so what I'm
trying to do is you know light all the
kindling I can get everybody as mad as
possible provoke everybody draw as much
energy toward me and so yesterday I was
just responding to every troll
and you know I was swearing at him and
but I was just having fun
and I can see how from the outside it
would look like I was having a meltdown
but let me tell you if you were to look
at the quality of my day let's say last
day and a half
exceptional
like the the last day of the half has
been some of my like just most enjoyable
productive incredibly creative like you
know I was creating you know micro
lesson three Comics one day I mean I was
just cranking it out it was all pretty
good
now fortunately
you know you you've heard of people have
manic what's the other thing
the manic part feels good but then the
manic
depressive depression I don't really get
the depression part
you know I I certainly have days
where like I'll have a week where I'm
down but not really the kind where you
can't get out of bed you know no nothing
like a clinical depression you know you
just have days that you're not ideal
so if you had a choice of having like
four weeks during the year where you're
a little down
but the trade-off of that is four weeks
of uh Mania
you would take the Mania it's a really
good trade-off in mental health you know
now let me be really clear
my situation seems to be completely
different
than most people who are having some
kind of mental you know let's say mental
what'd I say
uh variability let's call it variability
because the difference between the highs
and the lows generally when you've got
that much variability there's you're not
too happy about it
but I think in my case it just makes
other people unhappy
but you also feel invulnerable
like nothing gets to you so people
people were worried that I was you know
down yesterday and the whole day I was
thinking down
I don't think I've had a finer day and
and months it was a really good day
yeah usually you get extreme lows that's
right so if anybody else tells you they
have Mania you should be feeling
probably some sympathy
but not my case
yeah
so he says I was no I was I was
trying to be as mean as I could to
everybody
because that's by the way the next time
there's the next time there's
you know any major rumor about me that's
untrue
I'm going to do the same thing whether
I'm in Mania or not I'm going to spend
the whole day responding to as many
trolls as possible
correcting the record
and I'll be as mean as possible so that
they'll retweet it and say what's wrong
with this guy
that's all right that's why how I get
the energy all right
um I've discovered that I have
bifurcated into two complete people in
the mind of the public
which is which is kind of fun and weird
so I always talk about the two movies on
one screen right we're all watching the
same screen but some people are saying
the the union is ending and other people
are seeing the Golden Age and we don't
agree on anything
but I think I finally realized
um why the Twitter users and the live
stream users have completely different
impressions of me
so I live stream
I have enough time to do the uh
full context
so on live stream if I say you know I'm
on the same side as this argument but I
but I think the argument that's on my
side is a little weak
so I want you to know I'm on the same
side but I'd like to see a stronger
argument on my side
so that's what I would say a live stream
on Twitter I would just say what's wrong
with the argument
and then then I turn into the opposite
person so on so on locals YouTube and
Rumble I'm you know Scott Adams the
reasonable uh the reasonable voice that
looks at all sides and tries to consider
them fairly
and on Twitter I'm
Claude Adams the the guy who's
indistinguishable from Dr fauci
that's what uh idiot attorney Barnes
tweeted the other day or yesterday he
tweeted that that I was basically fouchy
foreign
now in the other movie
in the other movie people know that I'm
the first person the first public figure
to call fauci a liar in public
I'm the first one and I never changed my
mind once he lied in public I was like
oh he's a he's a guy who lies in public
so that was the last time I trusted him
for anything
so it's like a whole different you know
claw claw Adams apparently trusts him
but live stream Adams Scott Adams never
trusted him from the first time he
opened his mouth
yeah I'm not sure that Robert Barnes has
an opinion
wouldn't that just be uh uninformed
flailing
is it really an opinion if it's based on
obviously wrong data
I guess it's still depending it's just
an uninformed opinion all right I would
like to tell you the weirdest thing that
happened to me yesterday I told you
yesterday was an awesome day
for me
this was the coolest thing that happened
back at around 20 we'll say 2000
five or six
some of you know my life story enough to
know that I lost my ability to speak
so there's a rare disorder called a
spasmodic dysphonia
and I lost the ability to speak for
about three and a half years I can make
noise but my vocal cords were clenching
so that you couldn't understand what I
was saying
so for those three and a half years I
used affirmations
and the affirmation that I did when I
was driving I would do it out loud but
it didn't sound like real real talk
I don't know what it sounded like but my
mouth was moving and my brain was
thinking of the words but I don't know
what was coming up
but what I was thinking was this
I Scott Adams will speak perfectly yeah
you remember
will speak perfectly now
is there anything wrong with that
affirmation
yes
it's literally impossible by definition
nobody can speak perfectly
that that no human being can do that so
I literally had an affirmation
which was not just a little bit
impossible
but actually completely impossible and I
think you would agree that although my
career voice has a you know it's good
enough for a commercial application
which is what I'm doing now
so it's good enough for commercial use
but I'm still nasally and you know I
still clear my throat and you know I'm
blowing my nose on camera and every
other damn thing so I'm nowhere near
nowhere near uh
perfect voice
and then yesterday
quiet
and then yesterday
something happened
and I tweeted it around now I think this
is a real story
I'm not sure but I think it's a real
story
as you know I've offered my
personality and appearance and voice to
anybody who wants to make an AI product
you know a deep fake so anybody wants to
use my personality
uh for AI I've I've allowed a full
public license with no restrictions
so anything you want to do
yesterday there was an announcement by
an AI company
that they decided to use my voice as the
main voice of their AI products
and the reason they did it is because
they'd looked around at all the voices
they could use and they decided that my
voice was pleasing enough
and persuasive enough and they use
persuasion specifically they thought my
voice had a persuasive quality to it
and they're going to build it into their
products now here's the fun part
it won't be a recording of my voice
right the AI will do an impression of my
voice and it will do a really good one
because it has lots of samples to pull
from
and when the AI does an impression of my
voice
is going to
remove
all
imperfections
there's actually a really good chance
that my voice will become perfect
and become you know I don't think it's
going to be as big as Siri or you know
Alexa
but my voice actually might get
Incorporated in AI
and it might be perfect
because they would fix it to be so now
I've actually if you've listened to any
of my audiobooks that I recorded after I
had the voice problem
you might say to yourself well Scott you
did a whole audiobook
and they sounded pretty close to perfect
to me I didn't hear anything wrong at
all the entire book but what you don't
know is that it's very
uh I don't want to say very imperfect
sorry Joshua
but my voice is imperfect
in reality but the audio Engineers take
out all the imperfections
so you get to hear it perfect
even though it wasn't
so of all the unlikely things in the
world
2004 I tested the concept of
affirmations with something I literally
thought was impossible because remember
at the time it was an incurable
condition
it was incurable
had always been incurable
nobody had ever been cured now turns out
a few people had been and I didn't know
about it through a a surgery that only
one person was doing and it was still
experimental and that's what cured me
but I actually used affirmations to
accomplish the literal impossibility
literally impossible and it just
happened where it looks like it's
happening
is that crazy
is it just blowing my mind because it's
about me
or is that actually mind-blowing
because you know I'm I'm fairly well
known for talking about affirmations
being a big part of my story
but that one that one was always the one
that got away
that was always the one that got away
and I've always wondered about it I
thought you know maybe I just imagined
this whole affirmation thing being
useful
I don't know it's so strange it's like
well
let's talk more about Snopes yesterday I
told you that Snopes I wasn't covering
the fine people hoax and if they had it
would have changed history because if
they'd called it a hoax the left would
have believed it presumably and then
Biden would not be able to run on it and
everything could have been different
but
um
I did if I I find out that instead of
the fine people hoax which they did seem
to ignore they instead fact checked
whether Trump was quote refusing to
condemn white supremacy
so that was the angle they took on it so
they took the the larger view that
included the
the debates
so they used the debates
as the point of focus to take it away
from the fact that he immediately
condemned the neo-nazis in
Charlottesville without prompting he
immediately in his own way immediately
said as soon as he said fine people a
few sentences later he said I'm not
talking about the neo-nazis so that was
the hoax that he was but when he wasn't
so
Snopes does this whole thing and they
they say
they actually they actually said
that whether or not this was true or
false that Trump had quote refused to
give them white supremacy
depends on your definition of refused
do I have to say anything else
it was like it's the Bill Clinton
defense well it depends on your
definition of it they actually use the
Bill Clinton
approach and I'm not going to read you
everything they said because if you
start off with it depends how you define
and refused
you know exactly what you're getting
right
and the argument has something to do
with when they asked them to do it
during the debate
he said sure
and then they said well would you be
willing to condemn them he said yes
well would you condemn them sure
does that sound like refusing
and here's the refusing part then
apparently I think Biden and maybe the
moderator or Mike Wallace were both
saying well then go ahead and do it go
ahead and do it
and then he said tell me who
specifically you want me to condemn
is that is that a fair question
tell me specifically who you're asking
me to condemn that's a fair question
right because I'm sure he didn't want to
defend I'm sure he didn't want to like
condemn the right wing of the Republican
Party
right because maybe they would have said
that well well I think all the
right-wing Republicans are racist so
condemn them
don't you think you have to ask
specifically what do you want me to
condemn I think so
now they said the proud boys if you
remember the debate that was the one all
right about the proud boys condemn them
I think somebody else they mentioned and
he said proud boys you know Stand By and
something like that
now why did he not immediately condemn
the proud boys
there's an obvious reason isn't there I
mean besides the fact that they
supported him the obvious reason is I
don't think anybody knew exactly what
the proud boys were up to
because I didn't
you know I a few years before well no
one was it
yeah a few years before that
I did a podcast interview I was invited
by Gavin McGinnis founder of The Proud
boys who's no longer Affiliated but the
founder of The Proud boys asked me to do
an interview
and I didn't know anything about them
that sounded negative at the time at the
time so I spent I don't know 45 minutes
for an hour talking to him and it was
just perfectly fine conversation that
was it
now
do you think that Trump was like in the
details of knowing if the proud boys had
any bad elements or if they'd ever said
anything he needed to condemn how can he
possibly know that
it would be ridiculous to imagine he had
that level of knowledge about that group
at that time now since then
you know they were involved in the
January 6 Etc we we've learned more
about them maybe maybe some individuals
there did some bad things that you could
point out
but at the time
it was a perfectly good question which
is who do you want me to condemn
and secondly
maybe he takes a pass of The Proud boys
because they support him and he doesn't
know what they did wrong
specifically
yeah so uh yeah snopes is uh
completely uh reprehensible for the way
they handle this
uh Bruce Fenton on Twitter
he asked chat GPT the AI
uh what I thought of the uh fine people
hoax and its first take was
not not debunking it
but then uh he was the the AI was pushed
and when pushed it sort of admitted it
was a lie
so the AI acted a little bit like a
human
it avoided the question when asked
directly
and then when asked directly I was like
well yeah
now I think each version of chat GPT
acts a little differently so you it's
way too early to imagine that you're
seeing a trend yet there's no Trend but
it's you know it's achieving
Consciousness and the problem is the AI
might be as biased as we are how can it
avoid it
let me ask you this directly how is it
possible
Chinese room what's that mean
how would it be possible for AI to not
be biased
right if AI mimics humans and humans are
biased by
let's say what what they want to be true
you know they want the new news to be
compatible with what they already know
is true AI is going to do the same thing
if AI has a framework of what is true
and then you presented some new
headlines it will take those headlines
and try to figure out how it fits with
what it already knows
so it should be as biased as people
so we're going to have a super
intelligence
that is super biased
what the hell is that going to do to us
that could be our biggest risk we talk
about the singularity and you know all
the unknowns and replacing human people
for their jobs and it could be that AI
is just biased
and that bias we imagine is intelligence
and it's not it's just bias
so that's problem
all right uh you are you following the
story of uh some classified documents
from the Biden Administration turned up
in some left-leading uh Think Tank
and
this is just a payback story right
this isn't a real story
I mean I'm sure yeah well I'm not sure
the facts might be real
it's a Chinese Think Tank
is it because
I didn't see that in reporting
the story I read about it didn't have
anything about that
all right so I'm gonna I'm gonna call BS
on that
somebody says China funded
all right I'm not going to claim that as
a fact
because I'm just reading in comments but
I I would encourage you to read the
story and see if there's anything behind
it
um here's what I think I think this is
just a payback story
meaning that it's going to be just like
the Trump documents there'll be some
things that were there and you wish they
weren't and they're not that important
don't you think
so it's University pen blah blah
yeah GSA you pack those boxes yeah I
think it's going to be another bunch of
nothing and I think it's just a story
that uh because it mirrors the
Mar-A-Lago documents that's what makes
it a story I'm not even sure it would be
a story if not for the Mar-A-Lago
documents I doubt it's important
if it were important don't you think
they would have told us what the
documents were about
don't you think
because it's not like the Mar-A-Lago
documents where they say there's
something in those boxes and we don't
know what
that's different they actually know what
the documents are they they have
possession of the documents so if they
were let's say nuclear secrets
I think you would know that
right wouldn't that just be part of the
story so my guess is it's just sort of
background context
that was useful and somebody did
something they shouldn't have but
probably not that big a deal
yeah so my guess is just over classified
stuff and nothing there but it's a good
political story it'll get people
yammering about how unfair Things Are
all right I think I mentioned this that
uh Washington Post reported that the
so-called Russian influence operation
uh on Twitter was a big nothing
that it didn't have any impact at all
now
I feel is important
to call out when I made a correct
prediction because predicting stuff is
largely you know part of my credibility
or not
and I would like to claim
that I am the number one and maybe only
person
when the the Russian influence story
first came out and when we saw the memes
so when we saw the memes and we knew the
budget
I said loudly in public oh it's obvious
this had no impact
because I saw the memes
I saw the memes and they were they were
looked like they were grade school level
and then I heard the budget like a
hundred thousand dollars for their
entire operation
it was obviously a nothing
so
those of you who follow me
can you confirm I was the first person
to tell you this that there was nothing
to it
and and there was obviously nothing to
it right and so now the Washington Post
has confirmed what I told you which was
also obvious from the first moment
obvious yeah and the people and locals
are confirming that that I called
in that all right now
here's something that I can say on live
stream that I would not say on Twitter
perfect example if I said the same thing
I just said on Twitter
people say oh my God you just think you
get everything right you never admit
when you're wrong
no
on live stream I can say well I don't
get them all right
I can list which things I got wrong for
example most notably recently predicting
that Russia would not invade Ukraine
I tell you I got that one wrong all the
time I predicted you know Trump's vice
president pick incorrectly I admit that
I wrote a whole book about all the
things I got wrong
now on live stream I say that so that
it's easier for you to accept oh I got
this one right
because I also admit when I got them
wrong and you say oh that's balanced but
on Twitter I would just say I got it
right
and then they say Claude Adams because
that's the only context they have and
they would all turn into idiot uh idiot
Robert Barnes
so
anyway the Twitter files continue to uh
uh offend us
um
yeah Tucker Carl said a great thing
about how many times the Democrats have
used Russia as their excuse yeah cope
uh
and it's amazing if when you hear the
whole list you forget how many times
um
the Russia was used as a uh an excuse
for any bad behavior
now I made another let's say if you
remember this or maybe I have a false
memory of it so check me I might have a
false memory
I've been saying since the beginning
that every accusation of Russia
uh hacking the DNC or Hillary's emails
or whatever they're hacking I've said
that those are fake
most likely and that our own
intelligence agencies are lying to us
about all of it
I'm gonna I'm gonna double down on that
I don't think Russia hacked anything
I don't believe that
Maybe
but they it seems like they can't even
hack Ukraine and they're pretty
motivated to do that I just don't think
they have much of a cyber operation
frankly
so who knows somebody probably hacked
somebody but I don't know that it was
Russia
um if you if you look at the pattern
you'd have to say it's most likely
untrue wouldn't you
so so far everything our intelligence
agents have told us about Russia was a
intentional lie
right so Russia collusion was an
intentional Lie by intelligence people
current and retired the Russia laptop
was a lie
and the Russian influenced the level of
influence they had in cyber stuff was a
lie now that's three lies that involve
Russia they have our own intelligence
backing
what is the only only information we
have that Russia hacked anything
our intelligence people said so
that's it there's no other information
so the least credible entity in the
United States which is our own
intelligence agencies when blaming
Russia all right and here's another
thing that you can say on live stream
that I wouldn't bother to say on Twitter
most of the intelligence people are
probably just good people doing their
job and their Patriots and we love them
right
but but if I said it on Twitter it looks
like I'm you know blaming all
intelligence people for all everything
it looks like a few members of
leadership
are bad apples and they they were behind
all of these things so it's a very small
percentage of the intelligence people
see the difference
if I say the same thing on Twitter
without the context and so um then I
become a different personality I I'm a
conspiracy theorist and I'm blaming you
know I hate the United States
and nothing like that's happening
all right
um
so yeah I don't believe anything about
Russian hacking of American
anything really
um
did you see that uh idiot Robert Barnes
I forget if I mentioned this he he
tweeted or he wrote in his blog that I
personally
the creator of the Dilbert comic strip
M uh two gullible and believing
institutional data
does that sound like a good analysis
I'm literally the world's most famous
doubter of institutional information
if you were to take all eight billion
people on the planet Earth
and rank them by how much how
prominently they've doubted
institutional information I believe I'd
be number one
out of 8 billion people
now Robert Barnes imagined that
I was believing and I was highly
gullible and I would believe
institutional information
when really I should have been believing
Rogues
I don't know he he's kind of ridiculous
now it looks like he's having some kind
of a meltdown doesn't it
is anybody watching Robert Barnes
reaction to this it looks like a
meltdown because the things he's saying
about me are actually they border on
insane yeah
yeah
and the the clot Birds
um you can tell the clot Birds they're
weighing in now on YouTube the club
birds are all confused why I got
vaccinated right
that's confusing because you don't know
the context
if the clock Birds followed me on a live
stream more religiously than they are
right now they would know that I made
the same decision as uh Dr Robert Malone
the one of the most prominent critics of
the vaccination policies say the same
thing he did it at the same time
and for the same reason
I think he waited until you know we saw
what adverse reactions were right away
that's not all of them there could be
but we you know if you've gone six
months your odds are much better and
then
no not not so he could go on vacation
with my ex-wife but so he could fly
internationally
that's why I did it that's why a lot of
people did it
so if you didn't know that context and
you were on Twitter you say cloud Adams
you must be in favor of the vaccination
if you watch me on live stream you know
that the reason I waited six months when
I could have gotten it right away
I was you know I was qualified early on
because of my age and comorbidities but
I waited as long as I could
until the travel thing became too hard
to resist and the reason I waited was
why why did I wait so long
there's only one reason I waited is
because I didn't trust institutional
data
why else would I wait
if I trusted it I would have signed up I
would have been first in line because
nothing would have stopped me
right
so so I think Barnes is having some kind
of a mental breakdown
um terrible meltdown you should you
should express your empathy
because he's going he must be going
through something in his personal life
that's that's horrible
I'm probably some kind of
you know not a marital problem or
something I can only speculate but he
seems to be acting out in a way that
suggests a terrible mental breakdown
how many people think I'm serious about
that
no I'm not serious
it's sarcasm you can't you cannot
diagnose diagnose somebody's mental
state by their tweets
foreign
but he's doing it to me so I was just
returning the favor none of it makes any
sense do you think I know how he feels
when he's not tweeting of course not he
could be
good Lord the storm is really loud
I'm gonna have to check outside to see
if my
if my landscape blew away
all right um
sad news uh Diamond of diamond and silk
passed away at age 51. no cause of death
but I did read that she had been sick
for a while so whatever it was was not
sudden and that's quite tragic and
not much else to say about that yeah I'm
just we'll just show our respect and
note that I think that they were
the by the way for some reason I didn't
know they were sisters
did you all know they were sisters I
just thought they were best friends
but they did act like they did act like
sisters because they were beyond the
same wavelength yeah is that where how
could I go so long without knowing that
because I I don't remember them ever
being referred to as sisters they were
always just diamond and silk
and I thought they did a great job of
like maximizing their potential and
everything the the David and silk story
is
a real good one to look for Success
strategies
and I would say one of their best
superpowers which I talk about all the
time is I don't think that they ever got
embarrassed
am I am I wrong like they could go on
and just put on like a a really good
like show
because they were never embarrassed they
were just you know put themselves out
there now that's something to be
um respected
and also to be imitated
you know they they put themselves out
there they took a risk the worst thing
that could happen to them
was they'd have a bad day on social
media and then they say oh I guess this
isn't for us right
it was the exact right kind of risk risk
reward that I always recommend if the
only risk is you spend an hour
on social media and then some people
mocked you but not many people saw you
and you decided it wasn't for you
that's a perfect risk right low low risk
high potential payoff and they took that
risk and they get a high potential
payoff so
good work for them good instincts good
good contribution to the to the whole
um
when somebody passes away we're only
we're only going to do the the positive
parts of their life you understand that
right
so we're just doing positivity today
um
here's a strategy I think Trump could
win
the White House on
here's what I knew if I were Trump all
right you know he's uh he's CL and by
the way this would work for DeSantis or
anybody else but it would work
especially well for Trump
um so he's being closed out by the
um the media
so the mainstream media is going to
close them down including probably fox
now that might change if he gets
nominated might change if it gets
nominated but at least during the
nomination phase he's going to have to
play it non-traditionally
here's how I do it
I would say I'm only going to do
podcasts
because everything he does on a podcast
is going to get turned into a clip and
and become viral he'd be on every real
and every tick tock and it would be real
easy to share it and stuff but the but
the content of those
um
those videos
should be partly from interviews he does
in podcasts
because of podcast form is the best form
for him because a podcaster could push
him hard right now I do plan
that when I leave my uh media
um at the moment I'm on a media diet so
I'm not doing any interviews or I'm not
appearing on other podcasts for most of
this year
and
but I'm certainly going to offer to
interview Trump if he's if he gets you
know into the process deeper
now do you think he would say yes
do you think Trump would appear on a uh
podcast or live stream that has only
you know 50 000 viewers on a good day
yeah because the 50 000 viewers is
irrelevant to the reach the only thing
that matters is if he and I created a
viral moment where there's like a 10
second clip or something that's really
good that's all that matters because
that that's the win it's not anybody
watching the interview
then secondly if Trump does anything
interesting on a podcast it doesn't
matter how many viewers the podcast
normally gets it's going to be a trump
number it's not going to be a podcast
number right so he can make anything big
so he doesn't have to go on to a big
platform he can go on a little platform
and then let it and let it expand
next thing I would do is I would create
a series of very short maybe two minutes
at most a minute would be better but two
minute videos on each policy
just two minutes so that nobody could
ever doubt what his policy was
and then I think you need some work on
those policies because if he presents
his policies the same way he always did
I don't think it's good enough
I think he needs an upgrade in his
persuasion
so but if he did that and he made these
little one minute videos they'd be very
powerful then the other thing and here's
the kill shot
the kill shot is he should do a series
of very short videos
you know one minute-ish uh debunking
each of the uh conspirac the theories
each of the hoaxes against them
imagine Trump creating a video that
shows the tweet that was live at the
time and the Wall Street Journal article
talking about light as a disinfectant
and then pick out the parts of his
speech where it was light light light
show how the The hoax was created and do
it all in one minute
because because each of these points is
like a five or ten second point you
could put like six ten second points
together and debunk any hoes so you know
you do the fine people hopes you do the
drinking bleed jokes you do the
um and then he would have to have to
answer the question
for example why did you say you were
just being sarcastic
now he's never answered that question
but I think the easy answer is I was
just trying to brush it away because it
was just a hoax story I just wanted to
make it go away
which I think anybody would believe
don't you
because it obviously wasn't sarcasm
whatever it was it wasn't sarcasm so you
would believe him if he said you know
honestly it was just a stupid story and
I didn't want to be I didn't want to be
the president discussing covet
technology like that's not my role I was
just brainstorming and maybe it was
better I don't do that so I was just
trying to make it go away
that would totally satisfy me
would it satisfy you
if he said yeah I mean honestly
obviously it wasn't sarcasm it was based
on something I saw but I just didn't
want to pursue it just wanted to make it
go away
so
once he's created a one-minute debunk of
each hoax then the next thing you do is
you put him in a compilation clip
so they each would live individually but
also they would be short enough that you
could put them into a like 20 hoax
compilation clip
you you put the hoax videos together
with the quick policy videos that are
really tight and well and better than he
usually says them
put them on podcasts
I think he's Unstoppable
now I think January 6 has to be one of
the hoax the hoaxes
I I think he has to present it as
um the the reaction to it was political
now at the same time the only way you
can do that credibly is to admit that
members of the protest went too far and
some of them probably wanted to do the
worst possible things he can't deny that
you know the parts that are in evidence
but and and I think going after the
rayapps thing
would be
it's going to sound conspiracy theorist
Theory like to the people he's trying to
persuade so that's no good
rather I would rather see him mock the
January 6th thing the way we do
which is just ask this question
do you really believe the Republican
stage and Insurrection and don't take
their weapons out
does anybody believe you can conquer a
country by occupying a room
I mean just he should just make it sound
stupid because it is it was just a show
trial now the things he says are stuff
like show trial it's political but
you're so used to hearing those types of
things they don't really register
I'd rather say something that you don't
hear which is do Republicans try to
overcome a country without weapons in
what reality do you think that really
happened
you know we'll acknowledge that there
were bad people there and they should be
you know the law needs to take care of
that but really really you really
believe the Republicans don't bring guns
to a coup
I think he should mock it away
he should mock it away
you should not even go for the like too
factual you know don't don't uh retry
the you know the public hearings just
mock it away it's like come on
who believes that really
uh
and I think that makes the president
all right here's my updated uh Ukraine
prediction
um
the winter is going to be really good
for Ukraine
here's why
number one uh the ukrainians will be
wintering in their own country meaning
that I would imagine
there would be plenty of locals who
would keep the military warm and we'd be
happy to do it right so there's always
going to be an indoor place for the
Ukrainian military
the Russians still probably confined
indoor places but you know it's a little
harder and if they Clump up too much the
ukrainians will send the high Mars in
and take them all out so it's a little
bit I think the Russians are gonna have
a little harder time over the winter
um but apparently and I was anticipating
this if you give the ukrainians extra
time
what happens
they get extra weapons
right
so ukrainians have a good winter because
there won't be much fighting so they
won't be doing much losing but
apparently they just they're going to
take possession of like 50 Bradleys
which is a whole new level of
Effectiveness if you've got 50 Bradleys
you know these fighting
vehicles uh and you send all 50 of them
into a russian-held territory
you get the territory back
now I know I'm no military expert but
that's just what they you know the
people who know what they're talking
about and say if you send you know you
created a force with 50 Bradleys against
the Russian forces they would recapture
that territory
so now the now the ukrainians are moving
from defensive to offensive forces and
they've got a few months to get all the
stuff in place
um
now Russia also has the full winter to
resupply
but where is where is Russia getting
their resupply from
mostly from Russia
so I've got a feeling that the Russians
don't have as much to resupply like they
would have already been using everything
they had because they were you know not
doing so well so it seems to me that the
advantage is going to wildly turn toward
Ukraine as soon as the snow starts
melting
does anybody have a different prediction
because I think ever let me say it
simpler every day Ukraine gets stronger
and every day Russia gets weaker because
of sanctions and you know running out of
stuff
so I believe that the winter is only
good for the one who benefits from extra
time
so it should be Ukraine
uh
[Music]
yeah I don't think anybody thought that
high Mars were all that was needed
admit that you are very unbalanced on
Ukraine uh here's a perfect example
if I if I were on Twitter right now and
just made that prediction you would say
to yourself but Scott you were so
unbalanced you just always say good
things about Ukraine because that's all
we've seen on Twitter but on live stream
somebody says but you're so unbalanced
about Ukraine
I've also been right about everything
except the invasion which I was as wrong
as you could be now the reason I was
wrong about the invasion
is that it looked obvious to me
that it wouldn't work
and I thought it would be obvious to
Putin
now apparently I was right about the
part it not working
the best best prediction on the Ukraine
war after the worst one so I had the
worst prediction that they wouldn't
they wouldn't go in but it was based on
the best prediction that if they went in
they get their ass kicked
which is what happened
so
if you'd like more balance
allow me to have it here's some balance
can we trust any of the information
coming from Ukraine or Russia that would
suggest who's winning
no
right does that sound balanced that all
of the information is non-credible
that helps right because if you're
saying why are you latching on to this
information and acting like it's true
that's not happening
no no I'm I'm presenting what's in the
news
and I'm doing you know what if it's true
and if it's true this might happen but
the prediction about the winter
is is a straight observation that one
group has unlimited sources Ukraine the
other group has probably more limited
sources
so the one with unlimited sources should
do better if you have more time
now that's pretty straightforward
now does that mean that Russia will be
destroyed
now Russia still has nuclear weapons
Russia has you know weapons they haven't
used Russia could decide that they're
they're willing to take you know massive
losses instead of what losses they've
already taken that are big so yes
and in in war
this is one of those things I always
imagine I don't need to say
but on live stream I'll say it and on
Twitter I wouldn't because I F you are
characters would you agree that nobody
can predict War
agree
so if I tell you wow it looks like
Ukraine is going to win
that's in the context of nobody nobody
can predict the war
but we still predict the reason I
predict is that I predict everything I
can so you can see if my predictions
were at least reasonable even if they
don't work
because my prediction that Putin would
not attack
I think was reasonable
because it was based on
you know a very good assumption that
turned out to be true I was just totally
wrong
but it was reasonable and I think that
that's part of how you judge my
credibility
you see if I can predict right
but predicting well might be
sixty percent correct right
and when it's War I think that's even
the hardest to predict like how many
people predicted that uh Russia would
not win in Afghanistan and the United
States would not win in Afghanistan well
some did Okay some did
yeah actually probably a lot of people
did it's a bad example but generally
speaking you would all agree that war is
unpredictable so does it help you
if I admit that all the information is
not credible there's definitely a path
for Russia to turn it around and win
everything
and that is uh largely unpredictable
but still
uh my prediction is not based on my love
of a Ukraine
does that make sense I'm not I did have
a Ukrainian flag in my profile but that
was ironic I was doing that as a joke
um
are you willing to accept at least at
least in the locals platform are you
willing to accept
that uh is not my love of Ukraine that's
driving anything
because
I'm more just an observer really
but I will say
and
um
I know this is not popular
it's entirely possible that the Biden
administration's handling of the whole
Ukraine Russia thing
will be looked at as one of the Great
American foreign successes
it doesn't look like it at the moment
would you agree
doesn't look like it at the moment
right now if you're laughing I'm
agreeing with you at the moment that
seems ridiculous doesn't it would you
all agree it looks ridiculous at the
moment
I think we're all on that page here's
but here's the part where it could
change
if it turns out that we spend let's say
100 billion when it's all done and the
net result was that Russia became no
longer an adversary
they became weakened and are let's say
our energy industry picks up the slack
that some of the slack that Russia
leaves by not being a good partner
it's going to look like the United
States
played a right
it's going to look like the U.S didn't
lose people Ukraine did we spent 100
billion to get something we easily would
have spent 100 billion on if you'd if
you'd proposed it for example if you
said the United States all right for 100
billion we'll guarantee that Russia goes
from a like a top
a top
opponent to you know somewhere down in
the ranks we'll make them less dangerous
and less important
would that be worth 100 billion
it might be
if you if you could degrade if you could
degrade degrade China
by as much as Russia will be degraded
would that be worth 100 billion dollars
I think so
that sounds like a bargain actually
so I think the thing you're gonna have
to wait for is how it all turns out
there's definitely one possibility and
I'm not sure what I wouldn't put like
high odds on it necessarily but there's
one substantial possibility that this
will look like one of the greatest
foreign policy successes in the United
States
as possible
it's equally possible
it destroys the world
it's equally possible Ukraine is nothing
but the worst thing we ever got into
will you accept that could go either way
but if you're ignoring that it could go
wildly in both directions then I think I
think that's not fair
right
can I get you a degree with this
that it's possible it could go wildly in
either direction wildly successful based
on what we've already seen
but also wildly you know Russia's
unpredictable could it could be wildly
bad
right does that sound balanced or not
I feel like that's balanced
all right so I've got some pretty stuff
now now you can see clearly the
difference between live stream and
tweeting right
everything I said after the first
comments would not have been in a tweet
so so on
on Twitter I'm a pro Ukraine
um I guess on Twitter I'd be a pro
Ukraine crazy person
it would look insane
but on live stream I look like a you
know reasonable person who could be
right could be wrong
but it's not crazy
all right
did England win the war against our team
Argentina yes they did
uh you sound very anti-russia
well
that's that's correct
somebody said I sound very anti-russia
they are an adversary
is it not coming through that I think
our adversaries should be treated
differently than our friends
is that confusing
yes you do that is in pricelessly what's
my imbalance that I'm too anti-russia
well to be clear I'm a I'm pro-russians
pro-russians I've said forever Russia
should be our Ally is there anybody who
said more often than I have that Russia
should be our Ally and we should start
treating them that way and see if we can
make that work nobody said it more than
I am
I've probably repeated that to the point
where you're sick of it
Russia is a natural Ally of the United
States Putin isn't necessarily
so it's I'm definitely not anti-russia
I'm as pro-russia as you could possibly
be because I think the Russian people
are kind of Awesome
kind of Awesome
but and they should be our allies just
need different leadership
how is Russia an adversary
um
they're an adversary in the sense that
they have nuclear weapons pointed at us
and they can make our work harder in
some places
so but um to your point I'm more I'm
more empathetic to your point than you
think because my larger point is that
there are not enough reasons to be
adversaries so you ask the right
question the correct question is
are are the problems we have with Russia
enough
to call them an adversary and the answer
is yes
but I think it's not so much that we
couldn't get rid of it
in other words it's something you can
work with and you can you can manage
that down
because it's not that that bad
uh
uh yeah we made them our enemies I think
I think there's something to that I do
think our actions
change their behavior for sure
yeah we share the International Space
Station you know
that should be all you need to know
right
like you know the fact that we that
we're cooperating on the International
Space Station and and I've said before
that the the pitch to Russia is to
cooperate in space
see this is something that Trump could
say because he's smart and other
politicians just wouldn't say it but
Trump could say out loud hypothetically
you know let's think of the future
the the thing that's going to be really
important is you know military control
of space and China is going to be up
there
do you think China is going to share
their stuff with Russia because they
like them
I don't think so
but I think we we could work with Russia
and say look we already cooperate on the
International Space Station
let's cooperate militarily in space
and make that make that the reason to
cooperate on on earth right to say all
right the big picture is we have to be
on the same side when space is the
Battleground we have to it would be
insane for Russia in the United States
to be on opposing size in space
that would just be nuts
but China is going to go its own way
and threatening or not it's going to be
a force in space that needs to be dealt
with and we're going to be a lot better
off if Russia is on the same team we are
a lot better off so that's the pitch
come together in the future
uh
all right
uh so it's insane to be so defensive
definitive uh yeah it would be insane
uh it would be insane to be
um just anti-russian as a reflex
absolutely but we we should be open to
bringing them onto the team
that that should be the play period no
matter what's happening
our our stated intention should be to
get them on our team
and by the way here's your persuasion
lesson for the day
this is like the simplest persuasion
lesson
if you want something to happen
you have to State it directly
just say what you want
and as unlikely as it is putting it out
there as what you want does make a
difference because as soon as it's out
there as a yes or no proposition then
people people will be drawn to it as a
yes or no and then you've got something
going so so even though everything is
terrible with the United States and
Russia I would love to see our leader
whether it's Biden or anybody else Trump
to say look in the long run
Russia and the United States are going
to be partners
and just say it as a fact
don't say it's a wish don't say it's a
desire in the long run we're going to be
on the same team
we Trump said that
I never heard him say that
I'm going to question that because I'm
sure I would have seen that quote but it
but if there's a quote where Trump said
anything like that I would love to see
it but the the wisest leadership
position would be you know we're going
to be on the same team
there's there's no way around it
so let's start now
now I I don't think you could do that
right now well while Ukraine is Raging
but
I I feel you can even give uh Putin a
win
on paper you're you know one of the
problems is Putin needs to get something
out of out of his actions right he needs
to show that he won and what would be a
better win for everybody involved
than to form a space Alliance
before anybody's got any real spaceships
except for the ISS
right
it would look like a wind wouldn't it it
would be Russia Russia would actually
um establish itself as a space force
and that would give Putin something to
say not only not only did I solve things
on the ground you know maybe we work on
a deal with NATO or something and stop
fighting so you know you know the
Ukraine war is going to wind down
so you could say the reason I'm winding
it down is that we've reached not just
an agreement on Ukraine
but all of space
Putin can sell the hell out of that and
we would be happy if he did right
wouldn't you be happy if Putin could go
to his own people and say look
you know this was all ugly and certainly
was worse than we expected and you know
that's on me but we got something really
good we got a permanent Arrangement on
the ground because I think they'll get
there eventually but we also
have a path into space that's far more
important than what was happening in
Ukraine
uh
you don't watch or listen to Trump since
2020 you said before that too well send
it to me
oh okay let me see
Trump says he would consider alliance
with Russia over an Islamic State and
that's not the same and an alliance over
a specific topic is not what I'm talking
about
so I I do agree with you that Trump said
we could work with Russia on specific
things like terrorism and stuff that's
not even close to what I'm talking about
I'm talking about like literally
treating like Great Britain you know
eventually
uh yeah space force is still around
doing great
oh is that right is one of the reframes
that Russia invaded to stop Ukraine from
going on an offensive
in those same in the contested areas
yeah
by the way there's a uh
I forget where it is is it on Netflix
there's a series on Richard Branson and
the starting of Virgin
which was way more interesting than I
thought it was going to be I didn't
realize that he was he was on the brink
of bankruptcy
pretty much the entire time until he was
rich
like like he was always like basically
he was broke and everything had gone to
Hell a whole bunch of times from the
time he was a you know a record record
store to the time he started an airline
like every part of that was
pretty sketchy but uh he made it all
working then
he lost six satellites
were some satellites damaged last night
with the solar flares or did or was it
just one rocket that didn't work
I don't know anything about any
satellites or there was a launch that
failed a virgin launch
with a virgin
oh it was a virgin launch and it didn't
work
well I guess
I guess Elon Musk has a big Advantage
there you know I don't think we can
discount how important it is
that musk is the engineer as well as the
company owner
because I I can't see uh Richard Branson
being the Right leader for a technical
project
right now you can argue that having the
airline is technical but it's such a
well understood technical that that's
different
but going into spaces inventing
something new and I don't think there
that Richard Branson is the Right leader
for that
but musk is
because you know musk can just say why
are you doing that unplug it if it's
nothing
Bezos and blue origin yet well
um
no
Bezos doesn't have a technical
background does it or does he what it
what is Bezos educational background
he's not an engineer is he
banking Financial
yeah you built Amazon
and that's impressive but I would argue
that uh Amazon is a little bit closer to
extending current technology than going
to Mars going to Mars you have to invent
the whole process
but Amazon was taking something that
existed you know websites and they they
grew as the technology for
the internet grew I think they just grew
with it I'm not sure that they were you
know in some ways like their uh server
farms and stuff
they were leading the internet I think
you could say but mostly they just
followed the technology so Bezos I think
it would not be the right head of our
rocket company
yeah they were brilliant in their
marketing and sales and psychology and a
whole bunch of things
they did some inventing on Logistics
that's true
um but as did Walmart right yeah but
Logistics is something that a smart
operator can do right building Rockets
to Mars is not just not something a
somebody who's good at Finance can pull
off
yeah
all right question for you
as we have reached the end of my
prepared remarks
um I understand that my my image here on
YouTube and probably Rumble is a lower
grade than it should be it looks like a
720.
because I have I have the 1080 1080
um
set
but for some reason it's coming through
a 720. my camera is 1080.
this looks about it is it only because
the lighting I'm going to change the
lighting and see if that changes it
hold on see if I can reach it
I can't reach it
that was that
better
all right so you think it was just the
light that gave it the bad
bad luck yeah the uh
same resolution
all right
all right so maybe maybe it's a lighting
issue when I use the iPads uh the iPad
is so good in low light that I have to
have it dark in here
but it and it looks like on the iPad I'm
Overexposed right I look super white
uh so I'm not sure I can get both of
these devices
uh uh so I might have to
I might have to stream on
a laptop for
both of them
uh well I can't do I can't do the stream
yard stuff on the iPad
and my head is shinier all right all
right that's all I got for now best live
stream you've ever seen
uh let's go see what Claude Adams is
doing the my
my it's like my evil me
like I actually have an evil me
claw Adams
you know not everybody has one
but Robert Barnes is really mad at that
guy my evil twin right my evil twin
uh use a thermal cam
more makeup yeah I'm trying not to do
makeup
I mean I don't even shave I don't know
if you can tell but
because I have light here but I don't
even shave before I do this like I'm
literally in my pajamas
and I think you'll like it that way
don't you
by the way you're all aware that I'm
doing everything I can to not get bigger
right
is that obvious
can you tell I'm going out of my way to
not let this grow any bigger than
than you know I wouldn't want the locals
group to be more than ten thousand and I
think you'll stay well below that it's
like six thousand something
but it's not going to be better if it's
bigger I would make a lot more money
but it's not really the primary goal at
the moment
so I'll just uh I'll just wrap up with
this thought
if you've never had the experience of
going from having nothing to having
plenty
you wouldn't know what this feels like
but I'm at that phase of my life where I
kind of took care of myself
right and the people closest to me
and now I'm looking for something that
makes makes sense for waking up and
pleasure isn't good enough
like I wouldn't
I wouldn't wake up happy every day oh
it's another day of pleasure
I hate to say it but there's nothing I
hate more than too much pleasure like
I'll just be bored to death and I feel
like my life is worthless
so in order for me to feel like I'm you
know
part of life and that I'm doing
something useful
um I do this because to the extent that
people find uh benefit of it for their
life
um that makes me happy
and that that makes it all worthwhile
so that's what's going on
uh but there are people working very
hard to diminish my value
unfortunately they're mostly on the on
and somebody oh here's the question for
you somebody said to me
um
that it's my own fault that people don't
understand me on Twitter
and I guess that's a yes or no for me
it's my own fault because I could Tweet
non-provocative stuff
right
but to be useful
as you've seen many times I like
attacking the arguments on my own side
if they're weak and if I do that on
Twitter it looks like you know I'm on
the other team and everything goes wrong
um
you would must seem to have similar
motivations yeah it's what happens when
you get enough for yourself
I mean think of Elon Musk he's a young
man
and he has he's you know at one point he
was the richest person in the world
why do you wake up
I mean it's fun I mean it must be fun
but he fills his day with work
I think work is the only meaning he gets
and the rest is just filling the time
before you do something meaningful
all right
um that's all for now
YouTube and Rumble
uh let me know on Rumble how it worked
I'll try to figure out how to see your
comments eventually I just have another
device I can do that and goodbye for now
