Coffee With Scott Adams — Knowledge Archive October 12, 2026
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Episodes › Episode #1999

Episode 1999 Scott Adams - Documents Everywhere, Obesity Is A Bad Word, More Of Me Eating Crow

Episode #1999 Jan 25, 2023 1:10:05 24,302 views

Find my "extra" content on Locals: https://ScottAdams.Locals.com Content: ----------- - Matt Gaetz targets the important issues - Josh Hawley's "Pelosi Act" - Gigantic liars not wanted on intel committee - America's deniable war with Russia - Whiteboard1: How To Decide - Whiteboard2: Penis Based Decisions ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Oh shoot, I don't know what to do now. I found a classified item in my drawer. I need to call the FBI immediately. Hello, FBI? Yeah, I know, I feel stupid now. I found a classified item. It was in my drawer. I don't know who put it there. Probably my assistant. I assume my assistants are terrible w…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

long? Bribing? Taking bribes from oligarchs? Yeah, that can take a lot of time out of your schedule. All right, well I guess I'll just handle it myself. Okay, all right, and you have a good day too. Why is my phone yelling at me? Well, if you'd like to take today's classified top-secret experience…

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MainContent General Commentary

a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, or a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine. The other day, the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go. Do…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

er than coffee with Scott Adams and two whiteboards? Yes, three or more whiteboards. It's a trick question. All right, there is so much news today. I'm just going to run through the important stories. I'm going to start at the top with the most important stories and then we'll work down toward the…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

the top one percent with the user interface for controlling brains. No problem. Just let that issue go. Amazon has announced that its Prime members are going to have some kind of amazing deal on generics. So for five dollars a month for generics. So it's going to be like super cheap generics throug…

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MainContent Health & Biohacking

check on. So you all know Robert F. Kennedy Jr., right? Everybody knows Robert F. Kennedy. Very active in the vaccination conversations both prior to COVID and throughout. And he tweeted at me today. I didn't realize he follows me on Twitter but he tweeted at me today and he was telling me that at C…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

gical solution for what had been an incurable problem for forever and anybody who got that surgery and got fixed if they heard it from me then you know then it helped. And there are a number of other diseases and stuff that I've helped with directly and indirectly. All right, good luck to Robert F.…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

You know national defense. Don't you think Republicans win that too? Like I haven't seen the numbers recently but I think so, right? So this would mean that Republicans are better on fiscal things. I think you could call that the economy, fiscal handling, energy, the environment, immigration, crime…

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MainContent General Commentary

e. And he did all the right things. So Pence — I'm going to say it for the millionth time because I love it when somebody just does all the right things and then they just keep doing it — Pence is probably the most reasonable, grounded patriot of all time. Like the fact that he stays in his lane and…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

that because that happened a long time ago and it wasn't when he was in Congress. So you can use your own judgment about that. The only thing I'd like to add to this conversation and I haven't heard anybody do it is that we make fun of Swalwell allegedly having gas on camera. That didn't really hap…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

make a move into Crimea, suck all of Russia's resources out of the disputed areas. Then you know then you can take over the disputed areas because they'll just have conscripts and crap there. And then also when in Crimea you're done. So if they can bring the depleted Russian forces into Crimea beca…

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MainContent Decision Making

a big mistake by getting a shot. Now that wasn't obvious to me before because I thought these were different risk profiles. But after talking to a lot of people they're quite clear on it. That when they analyze their own risk and then they compared what they did to what I did I made the wrong decis…

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Closing General Commentary

o improve my game. So don't let me be like that because that would be arrogant. No more arrogance. We won't do that anymore. And that ladies and gentlemen brings me to the end of my program for YouTube. I'm going to talk to the Locals people for a minute. Bye for now.

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Oh shoot, I don't know what to do now. I found a classified item in my drawer. I need to call the FBI immediately.

Hello, FBI? Yeah, I know, I feel stupid now. I found a classified item. It was in my drawer. I don't know who put it there. Probably my assistant. I assume my assistants are terrible with classified information. I didn't even know it was there, really. So I thought I would... what the hell, you're busy? Oh well, what's taking you so long? Bribing? Taking bribes from oligarchs? Yeah, that can take a lot of time out of your schedule.

All right, well I guess I'll just handle it myself. Okay, all right, and you have a good day too.

Why is my phone yelling at me? Well, if you'd like to take today's classified top-secret experience up to levels you've never known before, this is how you do it. All you need is a copper mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice, or a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine. The other day, the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now.

Go.

Do you see behind me two whiteboards? Is there anything that can be better than coffee with Scott Adams and two whiteboards? Yes, three or more whiteboards. It's a trick question.

All right, there is so much news today. I'm just going to run through the important stories. I'm going to start at the top with the most important stories and then we'll work down toward the end. I will be eating crow for all of my wrongness about the pandemic. Those of you who like to watch me be wrong, you should wait till the end. But the important stories first, and nothing more important than this one.

A&W root beer has announced that its mascot, Rooty the Great Root Bear, who formerly wore a shirt but no pants, they announced that their bear might be polarizing. Polarizing? It's a bear. The bear might be polarizing if you had no pants. And so now they're going to put pants on their bear. Thank God. You know, I woke up this morning. I'm like, no, pantsless mascots must be fixed now.

You know, this made me think. I've seen a lot of videos of bears in the wild, haven't you? And like sometimes you'll see the grizzlies. The grizzlies will be standing up and they're like eight feet tall, right, when it stands up? It's like, ah, like this. You know what I've never seen is a bear's package. You know, the boy bears. Now because they're standing like this and they're big old bears, I feel like if I were in the woods and one of these grizzly bears attacked me, I'd have two reactions. You know, when I saw the bear and the bear went like this, my first reaction would be, oh no, I'm gonna die. And then my second reaction would be, whoa, you're really packing. Like that's how I imagined it would go because I just figured grizzlies, they got game. I don't know. I just assume that.

Another important story. 60 Minutes and Lesley Stahl was interviewing, I guess, some woman who's going to be in charge of the new government's dietary guidelines, who says that obesity is mostly genetic. Genetic. And that you won't lose weight just by eating less and exercising. So at first I thought, well, that seems contrary to all common sense and all science. But then I thought, oh wait a minute, Scott, back up. It's coming from the government. So now I believe it.

All right, next story, which is also related. I saw a tweet saying that obesity is like the new n-word for the people who are large. Now I remind you that we do not do fat shaming. Don't do fat shaming because, as I often say, if I liked food as much as other people, I might weigh more. That's my entire analysis. So therefore I don't fat shame because I would be one if I liked food more than I do. I just don't. I'm just not crazy about food. You know, I don't like sleep so much. Not big on food. I do them because I have to.

But I saw a tweet from Dr. Anita B. Eden, PhD, who says obesity is the n-word. And her alleged profile says that she's a fat-affirming dietitian with a PhD in body-positive medicine, and she's the author of "Snacks Over Scales" and "Health at Every Happy Meal." She's a feminist ally and her pronouns are she and her. Now here's the funny part. I literally couldn't tell if it was a parody for a few minutes. Like I had to spend some time looking at it. I thought, Anita B. Eden? I need to be eaten? Okay, probably not real.

But the only takeaway from this is that the difference between complete parody and reality is so thin now. It's so thin that you can really get away with parody like crazy because people can't tell. They genuinely can't tell when you're kidding. So the fact that people can't tell when you're kidding, I mean that opens a big opportunity for somebody like me. But you know I would never take advantage of that.

Did you know that China has more than the TikTok app? Oh, they have way more than that. They have an app called WeChat. Now it's mostly used in China, I think, but there are 19 million users of WeChat in the United States. I think mostly Chinese Americans or people with a more direct connection to China. But it does all kinds of things like payments, and you know, it's just like a universal app kind of thing. But apparently there are 19 million American users and China can monitor all their data and they basically know everything about them. That's not too scary, is it?

But speaking of apps from China, I saw on the Wall Street Journal that the Biden administration is considering — so watch out, watch out everybody — they're considering, and when they're considering, that's something. So they're considering doing something about data safety with TikTok. So the Wall Street Journal, apparently along with the Biden administration, are unaware that the risk with TikTok has very little to do with the data. I mean that's important, you know, they should control the data, but they're missing the whole story.

That TikTok and WeChat are literally — well, mostly TikTok is literally, literally, literally — right, you're going to think this is not really the right use of the word literally but no, literally used actually as literally should be used. TikTok is a user interface for the Chinese government to control American minds. Literally. It's literally an interface. It literally controls American minds. It's not a metaphor. It's not an analogy. It's not. It reminds me of just literally an interface to control American minds. No problem.

The Biden administration, but at least they're considering. They're giving a strong consideration. Boy, they're considering it so hard smoke is coming out of their brains. They're considering so hard dealing with something that isn't the issue. The data, also important, but not nearly in the top one percent with the user interface for controlling brains. No problem. Just let that issue go.

Amazon has announced that its Prime members are going to have some kind of amazing deal on generics. So for five dollars a month for generics. So it's going to be like super cheap generics through Amazon and it's most of the big stuff. And I got all excited about this. I thought, wow, oh this could be good. It's not active in my state, California or Texas. Why would something not be legal in California and Texas? What do those two even have in common that they would have the same opinion on this? I'm missing the reason. Why? Just money? But why would it be different for a red and a blue state? I don't even just population. I don't know. I don't understand this story. So maybe somebody could work that out.

But if you're on Medicare or Medicaid you can't use it, and if you're in California or Texas you can't use it. Does any of that make sense to you? No. This would be a good case of our government. It looks like they're not really serving us in this case. But I'm available to hear a better argument. Maybe I'm missing something. But just to me it just looks like the government's just getting in the way of a good thing. Am I wrong?

No, it wasn't accidental, to answer your question on Locals. But sometimes I don't give reasons. Sometimes it's just personal for blocking.

All right, so here's my take on that. Just the day before I heard this I saw a tweet by I believe it was Doc Anarchy on Twitter warning against taking generic drugs. Now the argument is that the generics have less quality control. Would you agree? I don't know if that's the case often or usually or always. I've heard this is something I've heard but I've you know I don't know how I would validate it and I think it depends, right? And but would you know in advance which meds it depended? Yeah, I don't know.

I would say that I suppose if you take the generics first and you don't get a good result, maybe try the name brand. Is that the way to play it? You know, depending if it's life and death. I suppose if it's life and death I might take the name brand first. But let's say it's something like blood pressure. In the short run it's not really life or death. So if in the short run it didn't work, maybe you try the other thing.

All right. Matt Gaetz continues to say the most interesting things and do the most interesting things in Congress. Here's a little — I'm just gonna read to you several things that Matt Gaetz has said recently. All right, so not in the same day but just different tweets just recently. I want you to pick up the pattern here. And the pattern I'm looking for — well I guess I'm priming you for the pattern so you don't have to look for it. The pattern is he seems to say exactly what you want him to say and he seems to be focusing on the priorities that are apparently exactly the ones you would want him to focus on. And what's weird about it is that it stands out. Isn't that weird that he's simply doing his job and it stands out? Like why does that stand out?

Let me just read the things he said recently and you see if you can see it. Maybe in case it's my imagination, right? So just in no order these are things he said either on a podcast or in his own tweets. Quote: "Our FBI is corrupted by political interest domestically and compromised by foreign interests financially." How important is that? Like right at the top, right? That's really, really important to us. And he just says it directly. There's no hedging here like the part you don't want to hear is all the weird hedging. No, this is just a fact now and he just puts it right out there directly.

Here's another one: "I'm not here for the document drama. I think having people in the national security apparatus trying to shape the presidential field is not a good thing regardless of your political persuasion." So he doesn't care about the documents. Okay, I'm totally on board. I think we enjoy the documents as a political conversation but I don't think anybody thinks they're important. So I agree with him. And then he says that by having the national security apparatus shape our presidential field. Yes. Yeah. What's more important than that? Yes, that's like right at the top of things you should be caring about. Who else is talking about it? That's the question.

Then Matt Gaetz asked: "We are now funding Ukraine's government and our own. Why should Ukraine get less oversight because the money that goes to Ukraine just goes into a black box of corruption and the money that we spend in America we at least try to figure out where it went?" Is that a good point? Yes. It's probably the only good point about Ukraine. It's the only point we should all agree on. You know, you could disagree whether you should be there or not or how you're handling it but should there be any disagreement on we should know exactly where our money goes? Now how important is it? Well it's trillions — well not trillions yet but there's billions and billions of dollars. Yeah, really, really important. Thank you Matt Gaetz for pointing that out.

Another one: "Those who perpetrated the Russia collusion hoax on American people were in fact taking corrupt cash from Russia." So that's the new story about the FBI agent who was doing that. How important is that? Really, really, really important. Really important.

So I get — so do you see it? I'm not imagining, right, that Matt Gaetz is accurately picking up the most important things, mostly to his base, but I would argue they should be important to everybody. I don't know. He's continuing to impress with what I guess you could call a comeback. But since the charges were dropped in that whole case there's really nothing to come back from. So he's doing great. And somehow he's managed to continue to be a full-throated supporter of Trump and it doesn't seem to be hurting him somehow. He's pulling this all off. You're gonna have to keep an eye on that because when you see that much skill it usually predicts.

He also said that's why Jim Jordan and I will hold hearings, bring whistleblowers forward and demand answers to determine how deep the rot goes, talking about the intelligence agencies and FBI of course.

And then here's also — Bill Gates? I think he said this on Timcast. We had bills that broke up big tech. We were waiting for them to come to the floor. Then on the dip, you know, because the big tech stocks went down because Congress was going to scrutinize. And then he says that when they went down Paul Pelosi bought a bunch of those stocks and then those bills never went to the floor. Nancy Pelosi. Now how important is that? Really, really important. Like really, really, really important.

So again he's just all the right things. Now apparently Senator Hawley has introduced the Pelosi Act which would disallow members of Congress from trading individual stocks. Now they could still invest, they would just buy mutual funds and stuff like that. There are a few ways they can do it. They just wouldn't be making their own decisions on individual stocks. So who knows if that will get passed. It would be embarrassing to vote against it. How could you vote against that really? Could you? You're a member of Congress and you would vote for allowing yourself to have special information and buy stocks? Who could vote for that? I'm sure the Democrats will find some reason to object but it's going to be hilarious to hear that reason.

All right, here's what the Pelosi Act stands for. So you know they always make the act. It's not just because it's about Pelosi. It's a generic thing. So the Pelosi stands for Preventing Elected Leaders from Owning Securities and Investments. PELOSI. I can't give them a compliment for how they're governing the country. Can't do it. But their ability to make up clever names for legislation? Unparalleled. Unparalleled. Yeah, so good job there.

Here's something that I need a fact check on. So you all know Robert F. Kennedy Jr., right? Everybody knows Robert F. Kennedy. Very active in the vaccination conversations both prior to COVID and throughout. And he tweeted at me today. I didn't realize he follows me on Twitter but he tweeted at me today and he was telling me that at Children's HD and hashtag The Defender — I don't know what they are, they must be Twitter entities — has a more robust and rigorous fact-checking operation than any legacy news provider.

Remember I was telling you that what we need is some kind of independent fact checker for medical recommendations. You know, somebody who can say well that used to be a good pill but you know there's a new study that says you shouldn't take it. You know that sort of thing. So a consumer can get a medical recommendation then just check it against somebody who's good at research. Not necessarily a doctor, just somebody who's good at research. And so anyway that's who Robert F. Kennedy Jr. recommends. The Children's HD, I don't know what that is, and hashtag The Defender.

But then he goes on. He says let me know if we ever err. Oh he must be involved with this. So he goes, let me know if we ever err. So I guess he has some involvement in those entities or one of them. And we will apologize and correct. And then here's the part that just totally threw me. This is his last sentence of the tweet. He says, he's tweeting to me, he says thanks Scott for inspiring me to get surgery for my spasmodic dysphonia.

What? Now I know I recommended it and I tried to get that message to him a few different ways but I wasn't sure that he had the same — well I know that he doesn't have exactly the same form of spasmodic dysphonia, that's a voice disorder, as I had. But there are two flavors and I thought he might have the other flavor and I wasn't sure if there was a surgery for that one. But apparently there is.

Now what I don't know is if he's still recovering from it or because we haven't heard him speak well in public yet, right? Is that true? We have not heard him speak well in public which means he may be actually recovering right now. Has anybody seen him in public recently? Because and then I did a quick Google search. I didn't see anything about it. Oh he was on Tucker and sounds better. And he was on Tucker last week and did he sound better? Oh really? Well I'm gonna have to look that up. That would be amazing. I hope this is — I hope that I actually helped.

You know I've told you before that the weirdest thing about my life is how many medical cures I've been behind. You know that I've literally caused people to heal in a variety of ways. Now one of them is I was promoting the surgical solution for what had been an incurable problem for forever and anybody who got that surgery and got fixed if they heard it from me then you know then it helped. And there are a number of other diseases and stuff that I've helped with directly and indirectly.

All right, good luck to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on his voice. If his experience is like mine — I'm shy bladder for example — if his experience is like mine the recovery period lasts a long time. So your voice will be better fairly quickly but then it just continues improving as your vocal mechanism heals to its perfect state. So I think it took me years actually, years for my voice to normalize. But it did.

Rasmussen poll says that the GOP is just creeping the Democrats on these three issues: energy, immigration and spending. Those seem like pretty big issues, don't they? Energy, immigration and spending. The public by majority, not just the plurality but by an actual solid majority, which means the independents and Democrats a little bit are crossing over.

So here are the numbers. 53 percent of likely U.S. voters trust Republicans more to handle immigration. So Republicans on immigration 53 percent, only 36 percent trust Democrats. And then you know there's the people in between. That's a huge difference. The Republicans just have a solid winning position on immigration.

Now I'll say it again. If Trump comes in and just says the same things he used to say about immigration he will give away all of the advantage. Am I right? If he just acts the way he always acts and says the same things he always says he will give away all of the advantage. All he needs to do is just play it: we need to control the border. And then we need to separate the question of who comes in. Just one little change. Just separate the question of who comes in from the management of the physical border. You just do that, you own the topic. Such a small change and one that Trump would not disagree with. Do you think Trump would disagree with separating the physical security which he wants from the decision of how much to open the door? No, he said that directly, right? He said the big beautiful door so that you can let people in but you do it reasonably and logically.

So I think you know I mean this is just like a huge superhighway for a Republican to just walk into the office at this point. Yeah. So energy of course the Republicans are better on energy. Let's say 48 trust Republicans so it's not over 50 but only 40 trust Democrats. Again it's a pretty big difference between 40 and 48.

And then on environmental policy 43 percent trust Republicans, the Democrats 40. Crime and homeland — that's not the subject of this poll. Do Republicans or Democrats would win with the general public on crime? Oh spending, this is the third one. Sorry. And somewhere there's something about spending. 50 trust Republicans more on spending and only 35 percent trust Democrats. Thank you.

And so what about crime and homeland defense? You know national defense. Don't you think Republicans win that too? Like I haven't seen the numbers recently but I think so, right? So this would mean that Republicans are better on fiscal things. I think you could call that the economy, fiscal handling, energy, the environment, immigration, crime and homeland defense. And the election is still going to be close. Thank goodness for mail-in voting, huh? Because it doesn't look like we would have a two-party system anymore if we didn't have interesting election mechanisms. I don't think it would even be close. The polling shows that you couldn't win as a Democrat today. Am I wrong?

Because here's the other thing. Here's the thing that the Republicans did brilliantly. Here's something they did brilliantly. They got abortion over with, right? They got it over with. So they took a hit. The Republicans took a huge hit by changing, pushing it back to the states. But now it's pushed back to the states. That's done. It's pushed back to the states. It's completely a state issue now. So if you just wait a bit longer nobody's going to be voting because of Roe versus Wade for the federal level. They'll definitely vote at the state level but at the federal level the Republicans have — I think you know this is a psychology question so you can't know for sure but I think the Republicans have removed their biggest negative issue by dealing with it fast. Basically they rip the Band-Aid off. You know what Republicans are good at? Ripping the Band-Aid off. Am I right? If you had to pick somebody to rip the Band-Aid off and just take the pain and get on with it, just take the pain, do it now, just eat it now and get on with it, it's always going to be Republican. I know it's a gross generalization but it does seem to be built into the philosophy.

All right. Pence has documents. So ex-vice president Pence discovered some classified documents in his home but apparently it's all taped shut and it's maybe one box. Let me put it in a safe. And he did all the right things. So Pence — I'm going to say it for the millionth time because I love it when somebody just does all the right things and then they just keep doing it — Pence is probably the most reasonable, grounded patriot of all time. Like the fact that he stays in his lane and just masters his domain. I know that's a funny reference but he's sort of a master of his domain. And like even the thing that we laugh at him the most, that he wouldn't go to lunch with a woman unless his wife was there. Totally right. Totally. Pence was so right about that. The Pence rule. Don't do something with a woman who's not your wife. Totally right. Like but nobody's been more right than that ever in the history of rightness. Simple. Okay well he's playing the odds right I think.

All right well we have to talk about mass shootings. You know I've told you that I don't like to talk about the individual shootings and crime. I don't like to give them attention and I don't have much to offer right because it's always the same argument. It's just a different shooting. But I'm going to make one alarming prediction. We see already that the number of mass shootings is starting to really hockey stick up, right? Everybody sees it now. Like the number of mass shootings is just climbing. That is not going to stop. Do you know why? Do you know why the number of mass shootings is going to skyrocket? Not because of gun ownership. Not because of gun ownership. I mean it requires gun ownership. It wouldn't happen without it. But it's not the reason it's going to skyrocket.

All right I'm just going to say the same thing that I said on Twitter. Men know. Men know. Women don't know what's happening. Women are completely confused. Do you know why women are confused? Because they don't give a about men. That's the whole reason. Women don't care anything about men. What they think, what they feel, what their situation in society is and how it's basically going to crap. You have an entire gender who don't have any hope. They don't think they're going to date because Tinder took away their dating options because only the top 10 date. You can't date. So if you can't date you can't get married. You can't afford getting married. You can't have a kid. And if you did you would be the third-class citizen in the marriage. You would be less important than the wife, less important than the kids, less important than the dog. And that's what men have to look forward to.

Men have what they have to look forward to is putting a lot of investment in something that won't pay off. There's no longer a path for men. Now that might be true for women as well. I don't know. Because the same way that women don't have a full appreciation for men, men don't have a full appreciation for women and vice versa. And whites and blacks and everybody else. Young and old. Actually young and old is the only one where I think the old can still have some appreciation for the young because at least they used to be young. So that might be the one time that somebody can understand the other category. Old people can sometimes understand young people but not totally.

So everything that I see suggests that the number of men who have no hope and just want to do something exciting before they die are going to do this. And that doesn't explain all of them. You know some of them are just beef at work and some of them are crazy people and all that. But I think you're going to see like the bottom 10 percent of men who just don't have any hope but they do have access to guns and they're just going to make themselves important because society has made them unimportant.

So let me ask you that. So my take is that nobody cares about men and they know it. We all know it. And that they don't have hope anymore because society has changed. Women don't really need men and women have stopped wanting to have babies and men can't afford to be the sole breadwinner. So are you all buying this? You know what's interesting? I don't see anybody pushing back. I see no pushback right now.

I'm going to go further and say that men generally understand this. Women probably only understand it because they're hearing it and it sort of makes sense when you hear it. But did you know this? How many of you women understood that the situation for men is beyond dire? You know dire is where you just you're uncomfortable and you know it's serious. We're all the way to men are just going to kill themselves and as many people as they can kill at the same time because they don't give a darn.

See how well I did that? That was totally a place where I would have sworn if this were not 2023. I totally would have let loose a whole tirade of horrible words but I did not. I held back. I held back. It wasn't easy.

All right so mass shootings, you should expect them to skyrocket and expect that nobody will do anything about it because nobody cares about men. They'll just go after the guns.

Here's a simulation alert. So you know the Schiff and Swalwell got kicked off the Intel committee. McCarthy did a pretty awesome job talking to reporters in public and telling them why he kicked those two people off. And I think most Republican-leaning people looked at that and said yep that is what we wanted. That is exactly why we want you to be in charge. If you're happy with McCarthy, if you are, that's why. He gave the right answer. He basically said you know they're available for other committees. We're not saying that they can't be in Congress. That's not up to us. We're just saying this one specific thing requires somebody who are not gigantic liars. And those two proved that they lied to the country about classified information. They didn't just lie in general which would be everybody in Congress. They lied about the stuff that only they could see.

Now that was more Schiff. I don't know what the Swalwell spy thing is. Now I'm going to go with Matt Gaetz on that. That maybe we're making too much of that because that happened a long time ago and it wasn't when he was in Congress. So you can use your own judgment about that.

The only thing I'd like to add to this conversation and I haven't heard anybody do it is that we make fun of Swalwell allegedly having gas on camera. That didn't really happen but it's a funny story. And we of course we make fun of Schiff because his last name reminds us of something. So what are the odds that we're in this simulation and the two people in the headlines are literally Schiff and Swalwell? Schiff and Swalwell. The two guys that got kicked off the intelligence committee. Schiff and Swalwell. Come on. Is that funny? No? Okay well moving on. That's all I had for that. That's all I had but that's my only commentary.

Ukraine is interesting in the sense that it feels like the US is at war but we're doing war the way war will be fought in the future. Which is we'll use our technology and we'll get people who are more local to the problem to do the fighting and dying. So it feels to me like the United States is at war with Russia and we're just using Ukraine as a cutout. Now Ukrainians think they're at war with Russia but from my perspective it just looks like we're at war with Russia and we're just doing it in this semi-clever way so that Russia doesn't treat it exactly like a war with the United States. It's like a deniable war that's obviously a war. It's a weird little thing. Like we're all pretending it's one thing when it's obviously another thing.

But even Andrew Yang was saying — he tweeted today — he was glad the U.S. is going to send Abrams tanks to Ukraine. And then I guess the Germans are also going to send their Leopard 2 tanks. And I don't know a ton about tanks but I'm guessing tanks are mostly offensive weapons, right? Is that true? Tanks are mostly offensive weapons. Which would suggest that Ukraine's getting ready for an offensive. So is Ukraine going to go into Crimea? I feel like Ukraine's best play would be to make a move into Crimea, suck all of Russia's resources out of the disputed areas. Then you know then you can take over the disputed areas because they'll just have conscripts and crap there. And then also when in Crimea you're done.

So if they can bring the depleted Russian forces into Crimea because they would have to go, right? There's no way that Russia would allow Crimea to not be perfectly defended because he can't lose Crimea. But it looks like Ukraine is getting ready for a headshot. The headshot is Crimea, right? If Putin loses Crimea, like just loses it, that's pretty bad on his end. Like that would be hard for him to even stay in office without people really questioning his abilities at that point.

So you say the 30 to 50 tanks without air superiority would be meaningless? By themselves sure but it would help. So here's the question. You're missing the Poland role that's coming. Unbelievable. Unbelievable. If there's one thing that you're disappointed in me it's that I haven't seen that one person on Twitter who told you something you believe and that's unbelievable that I'm missing that.

Now I don't — let me say as clearly as possible. Wow that sounded like cringe on prayer. Let me be as clear as possible. I don't know what's going to happen in Ukraine. How would I know? I'm just saying you know as observers it looks like that's what they're gearing up to do. Now whatever's happening in Poland and Belarus and all that there's probably a hundred things that I'm not taking into account but on the surface it looks like they're going to threaten Crimea, drain Russia into Crimea and then they'll have a better situation when the snow goes away. That's what I think.

And then maybe Russia is planning its own advance. So I would say after the snow melts it's a free-for-all. Would you agree with that? After the snow melts there's no way to know if Russia or Ukraine will have the advantage because they're both gearing up and we don't know who's gearing up better. There's no way to know. So all hell is going to break loose but it's unpredictable after this. So if it sounded like I predicted something I didn't.

All right I'm gonna eat some more crow today for those of you who like to see me be wrong. Here's what I think a proper apology should include. It's never enough to just apologize, is it? An apology should come with — you know the harm you did. First the apology that you acknowledge the harm you did. But then you've got to do the third thing and the third thing is the hard thing. The third thing is you have to create a plan so you don't do it again. Or at least you have to tell people what you're going to do differently so you will not make that same mistake again.

So I did a deep dive on the people who got the pandemic stuff right and I learned much more about where I got it wrong. And with your indulgence I would like to take some moment to beat myself up for missing some really obvious signals. Really obvious signals that you did not miss.

All right so this is what I've learned. So I've talked to quite a few people about how they got the right answer when I got all the wrong answers. And here's what I learned. So this was roughly the decision tree that we were dealing with. So the question was — so the young people and the old people I think we all agree have a different risk factor. So in the but individually it was the same layout just different risk factors.

So you would look at the risk of the shot itself and when they did they said oh that is greater than the risk of COVID death which is practically nothing. Would you all agree so far? The risk of dying of COVID even really early on, well before the so-called vaccinations were available, we really knew that for most people the risk of death was vanishingly small. Agree?

So in that case the risk of the shot would certainly for the young people would be greater than the risk of dying of COVID. And then that's the end of the conversation. So it's just the risk of the shot versus the risk of the COVID death. And then if that's bigger you're done. So a lot of people correctly looked at the data. They did their own research and they looked at the numbers. Even the pharma numbers when they looked at them they said holy cow the risk of the shot for young people is definitely bigger than the risk of dying from the COVID itself. So I would be crazy to get the shot because that's a higher risk than the COVID. And then they were done. It's all you need to know.

And I'll tell you how they determine this risk in a minute. Is there anything I'm leaving out? I don't think so. But then there's a second part of the analysis that when I say young I mean people under 65. The people under 65 said their risk of getting the shot was greater than the risk of COVID and therefore I made a mistake. So even though I'm in the 65 and older category because the young people did the research they felt that the risk of the shot is greater than risk of COVID. I made a big mistake by getting a shot.

Now that wasn't obvious to me before because I thought these were different risk profiles. But after talking to a lot of people they're quite clear on it. That when they analyze their own risk and then they compared what they did to what I did I made the wrong decision. So I'm learning from that now.

Before we go on is there anything on here I've not discussed yet? Because I learned that there's this other box that I thought was real that I learned is not even real. Did you know that a lot of people knew the risk of long COVID way before the medical community and they just said no I know this risk? Now I thought it was unknown.

Now let's also do a definition. My definition of long COVID would include several months of feeling like crap. Not necessarily years. I mean it could be years but my definition was months. Now if you're a young person and you got long COVID probably you would kick it in a few days. It's no big deal, don't you think? Like the young people just brush off the COVID because they never get that sick in the first place. So you'd expect if they don't get that sick their risk of long COVID is probably zero.

Now if you're an older person, let's say you're over 65. Let me tell you one of my own just like a personal medical criteria. If I get any kind of major medical problem whether it's COVID or I break my leg, do you know what happens to you when you're 65 and you lose let's say several months of good health? Do you know what happens? I'll tell you what I think happens. I think you never recover. Like never as in you don't recover. Now I say you don't recover I mean you'll never get back to your fitness level before because it's just too hard to crawl back when you're a certain age.

So I've always been concerned that my health, which is very good at my current age, is very good. I've always and I had my blood done it's just perfect everything's good. And I was concerned I was always concerned that if some major problem happened that it would take me a year or more to recover. Now I'll give you an example. During the pandemic I had to take prednisone to get ready for some sinus surgery. Now because of the pandemic my surgery was delayed so they put me on prednisone the second time and then I got delayed and then they put me on a third time. You should never be on three doses of prednisone like long doses in one year because getting off it is really really hard. Like you feel terrible for a long time.

Now the prednisone problem alone probably took nine months out of my life because for months and months I could barely exercise and barely get up to where I am now. Now at the moment I'm back up to my peak everything's good but it took me maybe a year to get back. I was concerned that if I got long COVID and just had a normal week-long terrible COVID that what would happen is that I would lose a year of quality life and maybe you would never get back to where it was.

So remember when a young person gets long COVID that's not really much of a problem. They'd probably just shake it off. But if an older person got it that would be a criteria. Now what I learned was I'm the only person on this livestream who cares about long COVID. To me that was the biggest variable. But what I learned is you can just ignore it because you don't know anybody who had this problem. I hadn't thought of that. But if you don't know anybody personally who has had long COVID or you think it's just ordinary people get sick and then it takes a while to recover then you wouldn't worry about this.

But I was just watching Joe Scarborough yesterday. Joe Scarborough said that at least — Mika his wife was on the show — said that he took like three months to recover from his most recent COVID. And that was just Omicron. I don't know how old Joe Scarborough is but he lost three months of his life. Three months of quality living he lost to one infection.

Now I thought but of course you can't trust the government that if the shots did nothing but decrease how much you suffered it would probably decrease your long COVID because the long COVID probably comes from how bad your original infection is. I just assume they're connected but I don't have any science for that.

All right so what I learned here is that as long as you think young people and old people should be treated the same and as long as you ignore what I think is the biggest risk because none of us believe that the risk of dying if you're youngish and healthy was worth considering. So I think we all discounted the risk of dying if we were generally young enough and healthy enough. And even I'm young enough. You know even at 65 I'm young enough to think that the risk of dying was basically zero. But I didn't know about this one so I didn't do the right thing which is to discount my biggest risk. So I should have said my biggest risk was actually zero and then I would have gotten the right answer.

Now here's how I would have done it. I'll tell you this crow tastes good. You know this crow. So we start with science and there was lots of science around the COVID and about the vaccination. And the science was doing all the randomized controlled trials and then meta-analysis and the data. They did the observational studies in the peer review. And that part we all appreciate. The science doesn't get the right answer every time but at least it's a process that we respect. Would you agree? You know we're crawling toward the truth usually through a lot of wrongness until you get to the truth. So the science isn't about being totally right the first try. It's a process.

And there were at least three different ways that people departed from science to make their decision. The dumbest people listened to the government and big pharma and the news and said well that sounds right. If these three entities which have lied to us consistently forever if they say it's okay I'm taking it. And then they got the wrong answer, right? So they believed people.

Now a lot of people thought I was in this group but I wasn't in that group. I was in this group. I thought I didn't understand anything about the science and didn't have a way to really understand it so I used my penis to make my decision. And my penis said if I get the vaccination I can go on a trip to Santorini later to Bora Bora with a beautiful woman instead of being locked down with COVID. Now so I used my penis and my penis — I don't like to admit this — my penis has a terrible track record for decisions. I don't know about yours. And I know many of you don't have a penis so I'm just speaking to those who do. Is your penis smart? Because my penis doesn't know anything. Like I keep expecting it to make good decisions and I'm like hey what do you think we should do about taxes? Nothing. Basically won't even help me on my taxes.

So this was a big complicated medical decision. I delegated to my penis. My penis got it wrong and that's on me. That's on me. So shoot me.

But the people who were correct use a much better and more rational decision-making process. They looked at all the science and they said to themselves that's not enough. We must use our personal research and assessment to find out what this really means. We've got to look deeper. We've got to look at not just the mainstream. We've got to look at the critics. We've got to look at the bigger world.

And I want to be complimentary about this group because I know I've been harsh in the past. I want to be very clear that in order to do good personal research and assessment of this what seems like a very complicated area the people who did this right were not just experts. They were not just people who were like data analysts. They were not just doctors. They were not just researchers. These were ordinary people. Blue collar people. People with every kind of education. And they were fully qualified every one of them to look at this complicated stuff that to me I just couldn't figure out anything. I didn't know which was a bigger risk. But if you did your personal research and you ignored long COVID that was important you would get the correct answer.

Now I like to show both sides of every argument. That always gets me in trouble. So I'd like to point out that there are some critics of this approach. I'm not one of them so don't put this on me please, right? This is clearly the approach that got the right answer. It is rational. And compare it to the alternatives. What should I recommend that you stop using your rational analysis and use your penis? Half of you don't even have one. How is that going to work? You can't make a decision with a vagina. Stupid. But you know sometimes the penis gets it right but still it's not recommended, right? And nobody's going to recommend you listen to the government, big pharma, news. Those are your other choices.

So I think you would join me in saying don't use your penis or vagina to make a decision. Don't listen to the government, big pharma, news because they're professional liars. Do a rational process. Be you a scientist, data analyst or just somebody who's a smart person who's doing the work. Do your personal research and assessment to get the correct answer. And we see that they did. They did in fact.

But it has to be said there are some critics. There would be some people who would disagree with this. We'll just use some examples of people who disagree. Isaac Newton. Isaac Newton wouldn't want to see this because Isaac Newton would say wait a minute I invented science so that you wouldn't do this. Because that's what we were doing before. So I invented science because this would be sort of adding a subjective layer on top of the science. So Isaac Newton wouldn't like this. But can we agree that Isaac Newton he pooped in a hole and he was in the 1600s and we don't really need to listen to an old dead guy? All right so we can discount Isaac Newton I think.

What about does anybody else would disagree? Carl Sagan. Carl Sagan wouldn't like this at all because he would like this part but I think he would probably have some complaints about non-scientists doing their own deep research. He might say oh Scott that's taking the entire benefit of science and discarding it like it didn't count. But Carl Sagan is dead. Are you going to listen to a dead guy? I mean how smart is he? He died anyway.

So well let's talk about I saw Jimmy Dore was talking about my analysis and he says that not only am I just the Dilbert guy but he is very annoyed at my arrogance on this topic. My arrogance? Do I say American? I don't say American do I? I'm eating humble crow as hard as I can. I told you you're all right and I got it wrong. I told you I have great regret because I'm not a pure blood.

But Jimmy Dore had some good criticisms and I'd like to address. On his show he talked quite a bit about me and my opinions on this. And the first thing when I saw the show I said to myself wow Jimmy Dore is not doing too well. But you know age catches up with all of us. Now I hadn't seen a Jimmy Dore show in a while and it looked like he had sort of aged. And when I listened to it I thought oh God can somebody stop me before I start sounding like an old man who's lost it? Because somebody you know I thought somebody needed to talk to him. And I was trying to figure out how old he was and I thought just based on listening to him I thought high 70s. He looked like he's in kind of good shape you know maybe he takes care of himself but I thought he's probably 75, 76 something like that. And you know you have to I think forgive people for being a little less quick when they reach that age. Yeah he was pretty old.

So I looked up his actual age. He's 57. So that was shocking. I thought he was closer to 75. Yeah that's what I thought because you know I'm 65 and I thought well I'm losing a step but he looked like he lost a lot of steps. You'd have to see it to know what I'm talking about.

But he also criticized me for calling the pure bloods anti-vaxxers. And I'd like to clarify if you will allow me to clarify. When I use the term anti-vaxxer I'm not talking about all vaccinations. It's always in the context of COVID. I've never talked about vaccinations in general ever. And in fact a lot of people said Scott, Scott don't throw us into the anti-vax category because we're only concerned with the COVID one. And in fact our kids are vaccinated with regular vaccinations but they've been tested in the normal way.

So I wasn't aware of this but were you aware that the normal childhood vaccinations have been tested? Because I thought they weren't. Have they been tested? Childhood vaccinations? Because I thought they were only tested individually but the way we give them is collectively, right? We give like a combined shot but that's never been tested has it? The combined shot? Or did they only test them individually? They tested some yeah.

So I don't know much about the ordinary vaccination story but I was unaware that they've tested them the way they're given. I they were tested individually but I don't think they were tested the way they're given. You know all at once. Yeah I think that's RFK Junior's point. I think Trump made that point as well. So there are a lot of people who are happy with an untested vaccination for their children but they make a distinction because the mRNA is unknown. So they're more comfortable with the unknown of the combined childhood vaccination than the unknown of the mRNA. So that seems reasonable.

And yes and we'll get to some of your points. I see you can go by all right.

So the first thing you need to know is that when I talk about the anti-vaxxers some are taking that as I was making it an insult but I'm not. To me the anti-vaxxers were the people that didn't want to take the COVID vaccination and got the right answer. And if I had been talking about all the other people I would have included the fact that there's some question about whether the childhood vaccinations have been tested the way they should be tested. You know all together instead of individually. So I'm not anti. I'm not against anti-vaxxers. Does that make sense? If it sounded like I was why would I be? It doesn't even make sense that I would be.

All right what else did he say? Oh and then on the Jimmy Dore show they speculated that the reason I was so pro-lockdown and pro-vaccination according to them not according to anything I actually did or said but it's because of my hatred for Trump. I'll just leave that there for a moment. Yeah so after they had analyzed me completely their bottom line was that it could be the reason I'm so wrong is my hatred of Trump and that that spread over into me disliking my entire audience.

But he's only 57. Jimmy Dore will be 57. Very surprising.

All right now a lot of you said that the way you did your analysis and your personal research and assessment was not just about the science. Some of you were good at that but they were good at not trusting the people who were withholding information and making money and all that. But I think that argument is one I've always agreed with right? So the people who said all the people who are making the vaccination can't be trusted. The government can't be trusted. Nobody can be trusted. I was always on that page. I was only questioning the long COVID and apparently you knew that it wasn't a problem for young people.

No mandatory shots right? Yeah I've never been in favor of any mandatory shots that's for sure. Yeah yeah I actually led an anti-mask movement but Jimmy Dore knows better. He knows what I was really thinking and doing. But anyway I would like to push back on Jimmy's.

Oh and then there are also a number of people who wanted me to say that when I said that the unvaxxed people won that they want me to clarify that nobody won. All right so the people who did not get vaxxed do not want to be labeled as winners because that would make them seem small as if you know they didn't care about the people who were injured. But of course they do care about them. And so I won't call it a win. I'll just say they were right. Is that better?

Now Alex Berenson offered to talk to me to explain to me how he got the right answer and I didn't.

Now the last thing I'd like to deal with is Jimmy Dore thinks that I'm arrogant in general I think but on this topic I would like to defend myself against that charge. Does this look arrogant? Does this seem arrogant?

Now here's my argument. If I were going to be arrogant I would act a little differently. Well would you mind if I showed you just like a fictional version of what I would look like if I were acting arrogant? Because then you can contrast it to the way I am acting. So I like if with your permission I'm going to model what it would have looked like had I been arrogant. Okay you ready? This is me doing an impression of Scott if he were arrogant.

Well you looked at the science and then you did your own research. Some people would say there's a step missing in which the psychology mattered. I can't reach it. I'm strapped into my thing here. But some would say that the people who understand persuasion would know that this is nothing but confirmation bias. And so the people who said they did this and then you know trusted their gut instinct. If I were arrogant I would say well you've just described the exact reason that science was invented. Science was invented so you wouldn't do this. That was to prevent you from doing this and this. Because these are not science. Science is the solution to doing this. This would be the problem not the solution. This would be everything wrong according to somebody who understood psychology.

Now that would be arrogant. That would be messed up. And that's why I don't do that. Instead I say the people who got the correct answer it's obvious that they use the right process and that's the end of the story. And if they ignore the biggest risk of long COVID it's not because I know how to do things right and I include all the risks. That would be arrogant. Instead I learned from the people who got it right and I try to improve my game.

So don't let me be like that because that would be arrogant. No more arrogance. We won't do that anymore.

And that ladies and gentlemen brings me to the end of my program for YouTube. I'm going to talk to the Locals people for a minute. Bye for now.

oh oh shoot oh I don't know what to do now I found a classified item in my drawer um I need to call the FBI immediately hello FBI yeah I I know I feel stupid now I found a classified item it was an it was in my drawer I don't know who put it there probably my assistant I assumed my assistant assistants are terrible with classified information I I didn't even know it was there really so I thought I would what the hell you're busy oh well what's taking you so long bribing taking bribes from oligarchs yeah that can take a lot of time out of your schedule all right well I guess I'll just handle it myself okay all right and you have a good day too why is my phone yelling at me well if you'd like to take today's classified top secret experience up to levels you've never known before this is how you do it all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea style and a canteen jug or flask of a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the other day the thing that makes everything better is called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go do you see behind me two white boards is there anything that can be better than coffee with Scott Adams and two white boards yes three or more white boards it's a trick question all right there is so much news today I'm just going to run through the run through the important stories I'm going to start at the top with the most important stories and then we'll work down toward the end I will be eating crow for all of my wrongness about the Pandemic those of you who like to watch me be wrong this would you should wait till the end but the important stories first and nothing more important than this one a w root beer has announced that its mascot Rudy the great root bear um who formerly wore a shirt but no pants and they announced that uh their bear might be polarizing polarizing it's a bear the bear might be polarizing uh if you had no pants and so now they're going to put pants on their bear thank God you know I woke up this morning I'm like no pantsless mascots must be fixed now you know this made me think I've seen a lot of videos of bears in the wild haven't you and like sometimes you'll see the the Grizzlies the Grizzlies will be standing up and they're like how big is a grizzly it's like eight feet tall right when it stands up it's like ah like this you know what I've never seen is a bear's package you know the boy bears now because they're standing like this and they're big old you know bears I feel like if I were in the woods and one of these grizzly bears attacked me like I'd have two reactions you know when I saw the bear and the bear went like this my first reaction will would be oh no I'm gonna die and then my second reaction would be whoa you really packing like that's how I imagined it would go because I just figured Grizzlies they got game I don't know I just assume that another important story 60 minutes and Leslie Stahl was uh interviewing I guess some a woman who's going to be in charge of the new government's dietary guidelines um who says that obesity is mostly genetic genetic and that you won't lose weight just by eating less and exercising so you know at first I thought well that seems contrary to all common sense and all science but then I thought oh wait a minute Scott back up it's coming from the government so now I believe it all right next story which is also related I I saw a tweet saying that obesity is like the new n-word for the the people who are who are large now I remind you that we do not do fat shaming don't do fast Jamie because as I often say if I liked food as much as other people I might weigh more that that's my entire analysis so therefore I I don't fat shame because I would be one if I liked food more than I do I just don't I'm just not crazy about food you know I don't like sleep so much not big on food I do them because I have to uh but I saw a tweet from uh Dr.

Anita B Eden PhD who says obesity is the n-word and or her uh her alleged profile says that she's a fat affirming dietitian with a PhD in body positive medicine and she's the author of snacks over scales and health at every Happy Meal she's a feminist Ally and her pronouns are she and her now here's the funny part I I literally couldn't tell if it was a parody for a few minutes like I had to spend some time looking at it I thought Anita be eaten I need to be eaten okay probably not real but the the only take away from this is that the difference between complete parity and reality is so thin now it's so thin that you can really get away with parody like crazy because people can't tell they genuinely can't tell when you're kidding so I mean the fact that people can't tell when you're kidding I mean that opens a big opportunity for somebody like me but you know I would never take care take advantage of that um did you know that China has more than the tick tock app oh they have way more than that they have an app called We.

Chat now it's mostly used in China I think but there are 19 million users of We.

Chat in the United States I think mostly Chinese Americans or or people with a more direct connection to China but it does all kinds of things like payments and you know it's just like a universal app kind of thing uh but apparently there are 19 million American users and China can monitor all their data and they basically know everything about them that's not too scary is it but speaking of apps from China I saw on the Wall Street Journal that the Biden Administration is considering so watch out watch out everybody they're considering and when when they're considering that's that's something that's something so they're considering doing something about data safety with tick tock what uh so the Wall Street Journal apparently along with the Biden Administration are unaware that the risk with Tick Tock has very little to do with the data I mean that's important you know they should control the data but they're missing the whole story that Tick Tock and We.

Chat are literally well mostly Tick Tock is literally literally literally right you're going to think this is not really the right use of the word literally but no literally used actually as literally should be used Tick Tock is a user interface for the Chinese government to control American Minds literally it's literally an interface it literally controls American Minds it's not a metaphor it's not an analogy it's not it reminds me of just literally an interface to control American lions no problem the the Biden Administration but at least they're considering they're giving a strong consideration boy they're considering it so hard smoke is coming out of their brains they're considering so hard dealing with something that isn't the issue the data also important but not nearly in the top one percent with the user interface for controlling brains no problem just let that issue go um Amazon has announced its its Prime members are going to have some kind of amazing deal on generics so for five dollars a month for generics so it's going to be like super cheap generics through Amazon and it's most of the big stuff and uh I got all excited about this I thought wow oh this could be good uh it's not active in my state California or Texas why would something not be legal in California and Texas what what do those two even have in common that they would have the same opinion on this I'm missing the reason why just money but why would it be different for for you know a red and a blue State I don't even just population I don't know I don't understand this story so maybe somebody could work that out but um so if you're on Medicare or Medicaid you can't use it and if you're in California or Texas you can't use it does any of that make sense to you no this would be a good case of our government it looks like they're not really serving urges in this case but I I'm available to hear a better argument maybe I'm missing something but just to me it just looks like the government's just getting in the way of a good thing am I wrong no it wasn't accidental to answer your question on locals um but sometimes I don't give reasons sometimes it's just personal for blocking all right so here's my take on that uh just the day before I heard this I saw a tweet by I believe it was Doc Anarchy on Twitter warning against taking generic drugs uh now the argument is that the generics have uh less quality control would you agree I don't know if that's the case often or usually or always I've heard this is something I've heard but I've you know I don't know how I would validate it and I think it depends right and but would you know in advance which which meds it depended yeah I don't know uh I would say that I suppose if you take the generics first and you don't get a good result maybe try the name brand is that the way to play it you know depending if it's life and death I suppose if it's life and death I might take the name brand first but let's say it's something like blood pressure in the short run it's not really life of death so if in the short run it didn't work maybe you try the other thing all right um Matt Gates continues to say the most interesting things and do the most interesting things in Congress here's a little I'm gonna I'm just gonna read to you uh several things that Matt gase has said recently all right so not in the same day but just different tweets just recently I want you to pick up the pattern here and the pattern I'm looking for well I guess I'm priming you for the pattern so you don't have to look for it the pattern is he seems to say exactly what you want him to say and he seems to be focusing on the priorities that are apparently exactly the ones you would want him to focus on and what's weird about it is that it stands out isn't that weird that he's simply doing his job and like stands out like why does that stand out let me just read the things he said recently and you see if you can you see it maybe in case it's my imagination right so just in no order these are things he said either on a podcast or in his own tweets quote our FBI is corrupted by political interest domestically and compromised by Foreign interests financially how important is that like right at the top right that's really really important to us and he just says it directly there's there's no hedging here like the part you don't want to hear is all the weird hedging no this is just a fact now and he just puts it right out there directly here's another one I'm not here for the document drama I think having people in the National Security apparatus trying to shape the presidential field is not a good thing regardless of your political persuasion so he doesn't care about the documents okay I'm totally on board I think we enjoy the documents as a political conversation but I don't think anybody thinks they're important so I agree with them and then he they says that by having the National Security apparatus shape our presidential field yes yeah what's more important than that yes that's like right at the top of things you should be caring about who else is talking about it that's the question uh then Matt Gates asked we are now funding Ukraine's government in our own why should Ukraine get less oversight because the money that goes to Ukraine just goes into a black box of corruption and the money that we spend in America we at least try to figure out where it went is that a good point yes it's probably the only good point about Ukraine it's the only point we should all agree on you know you could disagree whether you should be there or not or how you're handling it but should there be any disagreement on we should know exactly where our money goes now how important is it well it's trillion well not trillions yet but there's billions and billions of dollars yeah really really important thank you Matt gates for pointing that out uh another one those who perpetrated the Russia occlusion hoax on American people were in fact taking corrupt cash from Russia so that's the new story about the FBI agent who was doing that how important is that really really really important really important so I get so do you see it I'm not imagining right that Matt Gates is accurately picking up the most important things mostly to his base but I would argue they should be important to everybody um I don't know he's continuing to impress with what I guess you could call a comeback but since the charges were dropped in that whole case there's really nothing to come back from so he's doing great and somehow he's managed to continue to be a full-throated supporter of trump and it doesn't seem to be hurting him somehow he's pulling this all off of that you're gonna have to keep an eye on that because when you see that much skill it usually predicts all right uh oh let's see he also said that's why Jim Jordan and I will hold hearings bring whistleblowers forward and demand answers to determine How Deep The Rock goes talking about the intelligence agencies and FBI of course uh and then and then here's also Bill Gates I think he said this on Tim cast we had bills that broke bills you know legislation we had bills that broke up big Tech we were we were waiting for them to come to the floor then on the dip you know because the Big Tap big dip the Big Tap big tech stocks went down because Congress was you know going to scrutinyson and then he says that when they went down Paul Pelosi bought a bunch of those stocks and then those bills never went to the floor Nancy Pelosi now how important is that really really important like really really really important uh so again he's just all the right things now apparently Senator Hawley has introduced the Pelosi Act which is would uh would disallow members of Congress from Trading individual stocks now they could still invest they would just buy you know um mutual funds and stuff like that there are a few ways they can do it they just wouldn't be making their own decisions on individual stocks so uh who knows if that will get passed it would be embarrassing to vote against it how could you vote against that really could you you're a member of Congress and you would vote for allowing yourself to have a special information and buy stocks who could vote for that I'm sure the Democrats will find some reason to to object but it's going to be hilarious to hear that reason all right here's what the Pelosi act stands for so you know they always make the ACT it's not just because it's about Pelosi it's it's you know a generic thing so the Pelosi stands for preventing elected leaders from owning Securities and Investments Pelosi I I can't I can't give them a compliment for how they're governing the country can't do it but their ability to make up clever uh clever names for legislation unparalleled unparalleled yeah so good job there um here's something that I need a fact check on so you all know Robert F Kennedy Jr right everybody knows Robert F Kennedy very active in the vaccination conversations both prior to covet and and throughout and he tweeted uh tweeted at me today I didn't realize he follows me on Twitter but he tweeted at me today and he was telling me that at Children's HD and hashtag the defender I don't know what they are they must be Twitter entities as a more robust and rigorous fact-checking operation than any Legacy news provider remember I was telling you that what we need is some kind of independent fact checker for medical recommendations you know somebody who can say well that used to be a good pill but you know there's a new study that says you shouldn't take it you know that that sort of thing so a consumer can get a medical recommendation then just check it against somebody who's good at research not necessarily a doctor just somebody who's good at research and so anyway so uh that's who Robert F Kennedy Jr recommends the children's Children's HD I don't know what that is and and hashtag the defender but then he goes on he says let me know if we ever Heir oh he must be involved with this so he goes let me know if we ever Heir so I guess he has some involvement in those entities or one of them and uh we will apologize and correct and then here's the part that just totally threw me this is his last sentence of the Tweet he says he's tweeting to me he says thanks Scott for inspiring me to give surgery for my spasmodic dysphonia what now I know I recommended it and I I tried to get that message to him a few different ways but I wasn't sure that he had the same well I know that he doesn't have exactly the same form of uh spasmodic dysphodia that's a voice disorder um as I had but there are two flavors and I thought he might have the other flavor and I wasn't sure if there was a surgery for that one but apparently there is now what I don't know is if he's still recovering from it or because we haven't heard him speak well in public yet right is that true we have not heard him speak well in public which means he may be actually recovering right now has anybody seen him in public recently because and then I did a quick Google search I didn't see anything about it oh he was on Tucker and sounds better and he was on Tucker last week and did he sound better oh really well I'm gonna have to look that up that would be amazing I I hope this is I hope that I actually helped you know I've told you before that the weirdest thing about my life is how many medical cures uh I've been behind you know that I've literally caused people to heal in a variety of ways now one of them is I was promoting uh the surgical solution for what had been an incurable problem for forever and anybody who got that surgery and got fixed if they heard it for me then you know then it helped and there are a number of other you know diseases and stuff that I've helped with directly and indirectly all right the menu movie okay so uh good luck to Robert F Kennedy Jr on his voice travels if if his experience is like mine I'm shy bladder for example if his experiences like mine the recovery period lasts a long time so your your voice will be better fairly quickly but then it just continues improving as you you know as your vocal mechanism heals to its perfect state so I think it took me years actually years from my voice to normalize but it did all right Rasmussen uh poll says that the GOP is just creeping the Democrats on these three issues energy immigration and spending those seem like pretty big issues don't they energy immigration and spending the public by majority not not just the plurality but by an actual solid majority which means the independence and Democrats a little bit are crossing over so here are the numbers uh 53 percent of likely U.S voters trust Republicans more than more to handle immigration so Republicans on immigration 53 percent only 36 percent trust Democrats and then you know there's the people in between that's a huge difference the the Republicans just have a solid winning position on immigration now I'll say it again if Trump comes in and just says the same things he used to say about immigration he will give away all of the advantage am I right if he just acts the way he always acts it says the same things he always says he will give away all of the advantage all he needs to do is just play it we need to control the border and then we need to separate the question of who comes in just one little change just separate the question of who comes in from the management of the physical border you just do that you own the topic such a small change and one that Trump would not disagree with do you think Trump would disagree with separating the physical security which he wants from the decision of how much to open the door no he said that directly right he said the big beautiful door so that you can let people in but you do it you know reasonably and logically so I think you know I mean this is just like a huge Super Highway for a republican to just walk into the office at this point yeah so energy of course uh you know the Republicans are better on energy let's say uh oh 48 trust Republicans so it's not over 50 but only 40 trust Democrats again it's a pretty big difference between 40 and 48.

and and then on environmental policy 43 percent trust Republicans and exactly the same trust Democrats hmm what about crime and Homeland defense that's not the subject of this this poll do you think that Republicans Or democrats would win with the general public on crime oh spending this is the third one sorry and somewhere there's something about spending uh 50 trust Republicans more on spending and only 35 percent trust uh Democrats thank you and so what about crime and Homeland defense you know National Defense don't you think Republicans win that too like I haven't seen the numbers recently but I think so right so this would mean that Republicans are better on uh fiscal things I think you could call that the economy fiscal handling uh energy the environment immigration crime and Homeland defense and the election is still going to be close thank goodness for uh mailing voting huh because it doesn't look like we would have a two-party system anymore if we didn't have uh interesting election mechanisms I don't think it would even be close the polling shows that you couldn't win as a Democrat today am I wrong because here's the other thing here here's the thing that the Republicans did brilliantly here's something they did brilliantly they got they got abortion over with right they got it over with so they they took a hit the Republicans took a huge hit by you know uh changing pushing it back to the States but now there's pushed back to the States that's done it's pushed back to the States it's completely a state issue now so if you just wait a bit longer nobody's going to be voting because of Roe versus Wade for the at the federal level they'll definitely vote at the state level but at the federal level the Republicans have I think you know this is a psychology question so you can't know for sure but I think the Republicans have removed their biggest negative issue by dealing with it fast basically they rip the Band-Aid off you know what Republicans are good at ripping the Band-Aid off am I right if you had if you had to pick somebody to rip the Band-Aid off and just take the pain and get on with it just take the pain do it now just just eat the now and get on with it it's always going to be Republican I know it's a general a gross generalization but it does seem to be built into the philosophy all right uh Pence has documents so ex vice president Pence uh discovered some classified documents in his home but apparently it's all taped shot and it's maybe one box let me put it in a safe and he did all the right things so uh Pence I I'm going to say it for the millionth time because I love it when somebody just does all the right things and then they just keep doing it Pence is probably the most reasonable grounded Patriot of all time like the fact that he stays in his Lane and just like Masters he Masters his domain I know that's a funny reference but he's sort of a master of his domain and like even the thing that we laugh to him the most that he wouldn't go to lunch with a woman unless his wife was there totally right totally Pence was so right about that the pens rule don't don't do something with a woman who's not your wife totally right like but nobody's been more right than that ever in the history of rightness simple okay well he's playing the odds right I think all right well we have to talk about mass shootings you know I've told you that I don't like to talk about the individual shootings and crime I don't like to give them attention and uh I don't have much to offer right because it's always the same argument it's just a different shooting but I'm going to make one alarming prediction we see already that the number of mass shootings is starting to really hockey stick up right everybody sees it now like the number of mass shootings is just climbing that is not going to stop do you know why do you know why the number of mass shootings is going to Skyrocket not because of gun ownership not because of gun ownership I mean you it requires gun ownership it wouldn't happen without it but it's not the reason it's going to Skyrocket all right I'm just going to say the same thing that I said on Twitter men know men now women don't know what's happening women are completely confused do you know why women are confused because they don't give a about men that's the whole reason women don't care anything about men what they think what they feel what their situation in society is and how it's basically going to crap you have an entire gender who don't have any hope they don't think they're going to date because Tinder took away their dating options because only only the top 10 date you can't date so if you can't date you can't get married you can't afford getting married you can't have a kid and if you did you would be the third class citizen in the marriage you would be less important than the wife less important to the kids less important than the dog and that's what men have to look forward to men have what they what they have looked to look forward to is putting a lot of investment in something that won't pay off there's no longer a path for men now that might be true for women as well I don't know because the same way that women don't have a full appreciation for men men don't have a full appreciation for women and vice versa and whites and blacks and everybody else young and old actually young and old is the only one where I think the old can still have some appreciation for the young because at least they used to be young so that might be the one the one time that somebody can understand the other category is old people can sometimes understand young people but not totally so everything that I see suggests that the number of men who have no hope and just want to do something exciting before they die are going to do this and that doesn't explain all of them you know some of them are just a beef at work and some of them are crazy people and all that but I think you're going to see like the bottom 10 percent of men who just don't have any hope but they do have access to guns and they're just going to make themselves important because Society has made them unimportant so let me ask you that so my take is that nobody cares about men and they know it we all know it and that they don't have hope anymore because Society has changed women don't really need men and women have stopped wanting to have babies and men can't afford to be you know the sole breadwinner so are you all buying this I you know what's interesting I don't see anybody pushing back I see no pushback right now uh I'm going to go further and say that men generally understand this women probably only understand it because they're hearing it and it sort of makes sense when you hear it but did you know this how many of you women understood that the situation for men is beyond dire you know Dyer is where you just you know you're you're uncomfortable and you know it's serious we're we're all the way to men are just going to kill themselves and as many people as they can kill at the same time because they don't give a darn see how see how well I did that was totally a place where I would have sworn if this were not 2023 I totally would have let loose a whole tirade of horrible words but I did not I held back I held back it wasn't easy all right so mass shooting you should expect them to Skyrocket and expect that nobody will do anything about it because uh nobody cares about men they'll just go after the guns here's a simulation alert so you know the Schiff and swallow got kicked off the Intel committee Mc.

Carthy did uh pretty awesome job talking to reporters in public and telling him why he kicked those two people off and I think most most republican-leaning people looked at that and said yep that is what we wanted that's that is exactly why we want you to be in charge if you're happy with Mc.

Carthy if you are that's why that he gave the right answer he basically said you know they're they're available for other committees we're not saying that they can't be in Congress that's not up to us we're just saying this one specific thing requires somebody who are not gigantic liars and those two proof that they lied to the country about about classified information they didn't just lie in general which would be you know everybody in Congress they lied about the stuff that only they could see now that was more uh Schiff I don't know what the swallow thing is now the swallow well spy thing I'm going to go with Matt Gates on that that maybe we're making too much of that because that happened a long time ago and it wasn't when he was in Congress so you can use your own judgment about that the only thing I'd like to add to this conversation and I haven't heard anybody do it is that we make fun of small welfare allegedly having gas on camera that didn't really happen but it's a funny story um and we of course we make fun of Chef because his last name reminds us of something so what are the odds that we're in this simulation and the two people in the headlines are literally Schiff and fart yeah Schiff and fart the two guys that got kicked off the intelligence committee chef and fork come on is that funny no okay well moving on that's all I had for that that's all I had but that's my only commentary um so Ukraine is interesting in the sense that it feels like the US is at War but we're doing War the way war will be fought in the future which with which is we'll use our technology and we'll get people who are you know more local to the problem to do the fighting and dying so it feels to me like the United States is at war with Russia and we're just using Ukraine as as a cut out now ukrainians think they're at war with Russia but from my perspective it just looks like we're at war with Russia and we're just doing it in this semi-clever way so that Russia doesn't treat it like exactly like a war with the United States it's like a deniable War that's obviously a war it's a weird little thing like we're all pretending it's one thing when it's obviously another thing but even Andrew Yang was saying he's a tweeted today he was glad the U.S is going to send Abram's tanks to Ukraine and then I guess the Germans are also going to send their leopard two tanks and I don't know a ton about tanks but I'm guessing tanks are mostly offensive weapons right is that true tanks are mostly offensive weapons which would suggest that Ukraine's getting ready for an offensive so is Ukraine going to go into Crimea I feel like I feel like Ukraine's Ukraine's best play would be to make a move into Crimea suck all of Russia's resources out of the disputed areas then you know then you can take over the disputed areas because they'll just have conscripts and and crap there and then also when in in Crimean you're done so if they can bring the depleted Russian forces into Crimea because they would have to go right there's no way that Russia would you know allow Crimea to not be perfectly defended because he can't lose Crimea but it looks like Ukraine is getting ready for a headshot the headshot is Crimea right if Putin loses Crimea like just loses it that's pretty bad on his end like that would be hard for him to even stay in office without people really questioning his abilities at that point so you say the 30 to 50 tanks without air superiority would be meaningless Yeah by themselves sure but it would help so here's the question uh you're missing the pollen role that's coming unbelievable unbelievable if there's one thing that you're disappointed in me it's that I haven't seen that one person on Twitter who told you something you believe and that's unbelievable that I'm missing that now I don't I make uh let me let me say as clearly as possible wow that sounded like cringe on prayer let me be as clear as possible I don't know what's going to happen in Ukraine how would I know I'm just saying you know as as Observers it looks like that's what they're clearing up to do now whatever's happening in Poland and Belarus and all that there's probably a hundred things that I'm not taking into account but on the surface it looks like they're going to threaten Crimea the drain drain Russia into Crimea and then they'll they'll have a better situation when the the snow goes away that's what I think and then maybe Russia is planning its own advance so I would I would say after the snow melts uh it's a free-for-all would you agree with that after the snow melts there's no way to know if Russia or CR or Ukraine will have the advantage because they're both gearing up and we don't know who's gearing up better there's no way to know so all hell is going to break loose but it's unpredictable after this so if it sounded like I predicted something I didn't all right um I'm gonna eat some more Crow today for those of you who like to see me be wrong um here's what I think of proper apology should include It's never enough to just apologize is it an apology should come with you know you know the harm you did you know first the apology that you acknowledge the harm you did but then you've got to do the third thing and the third thing is the hard thing the third thing is you have to create a plan so you don't do it again or at least you have to tell people what you're going to do differently so you will not make that same mistake again so I did a deep dive on the people who got the pandemic stuff right and I learned much more about where I got it wrong and with your Indulgence I would like to take some moment to beat myself up for missing some really obvious signals really obvious signals that you did not miss all right so this is what I've learned so I've talked to quite a few people about how they got the right answer when I got all the wrong answers and here's what I learned so this this was roughly the decision tree that we were dealing with so the question was so the young people and the old people I think we all agree have a different risk factor so in the but individually it was the same same layout just different risk factors so you would look at the risk of the shot itself and when they did they said oh that is greater than the risk of covet death which is practically nothing would you all agree so far the risk of dying of covid even really early on well before the Vex vaccination so-called vaccinations were available we really knew that for most people the risk of death was vanishingly small agree so in that case the risk of the shot would certainly for the young people would be greater than the risk of dying of covet and then and then then that's the end of the conversation so it's just the risk of the shot versus the risk of the cover death and then if that's bigger you're done so a lot of people correctly looked at the data they did their own research and they looked at the numbers even even the farman numbers when they looked at them they said holy cow the risk of the shot for young people is definitely bigger than the risk of dying from the covet itself so I would be crazy to get the shot because that's a higher risk than the covet and then and then they were done it's all you need to know and I'll tell you how they how they determine this risk in a minute is there anything I'm leaving out I don't think so so but then there's a second part of the analysis uh that when I say young I mean people under 65.

the people under 65 said their risk of getting the shot was greater than the risk of covet and therefore I made a mistake so even though I'm in the 65 and older category because the young people did the research they felt that the risk of the shot is greater than risk of covet I made a big mistake by getting a shot now that wasn't obvious to me before because I thought these were different risk profiles but after talking to a lot of people they're quite clear on it that when they analyze their own risk and then they compared what they did to what I did I made the wrong decision so I'm learning from that now before we go on is there anything on here I've not discussed yet because I learned that there's this other box that I thought was real that I learned is not even real did you know that a lot of people knew the risk of long covet way before the medical community and they just said no I know this risk now I thought it was unknown now let's also do a definition my definition of long covid would include several months of feeling like crap not necessarily you know years I mean it could be years but my definition was months now if you're a young person and you got long covered probably you would kick it in you know a few days is no big deal don't you think like the young people just like brush off the cover because they never they don't get sick they don't get that sick in the first place so you'd expect if they don't get that sick their risk of long covet is probably zero now if you're an older person let's say you're over 65.

let me tell you one of my own just like a personal medical criteria if I get any kind of major medical problem whether it's covid or I break my leg do you know what happens to you when you're 65 and you lose let's say several months of good health do you know what happens I'll tell you what I think happens I think you never recover like never as in you don't recover now I say you don't recover I mean you'll never get back to your Fitness the fitness level before because it's just too hard to crawl back when you're a certain age so I've always been concerned that my health which is very good at my current age is very good I've always and I had my blood done it's just perfect everything's good and I was concerned I was always concerned that if some major problem happened um that it would take me a year or more to recover now I'll give you an example when during the pandemic I had to take prednisone to get ready for some sinus surgery now because of the pandemic my surgery was delayed so they put me on Prednisone the second time and then I got delayed and then they put me on a third time you should never be on three doses of Prednisone like long doses in one year because getting off it is really really hard like you feel terrible for a long time now the prednisone problem alone probably took nine months out of my life because for months and months it I could barely exercise and you know barely get up to where I am now now at the moment I'm back up to my Peak everything's good but it took me maybe a year to get back I was concerned that if I got long covered and just had a normal you know week-long terrible covet that what would happen is that I would lose a year of quality life and maybe you would never get back to where it was so remember when a young person gets long covered that's not really much of a problem they'd probably just shake it off but if a long if a older person got it that would be a criteria now what I learned was I'm the only person on this live stream who cares about long covet to me that was the biggest variable but what I learned is you can just ignore it because you don't know anybody who had this problem I hadn't thought of that but if you don't know anybody personally who has had long covert or you think it's just ordinary people get sick and then it takes a while to recover then you wouldn't worry about this but I was just watching Joe Scarborough yesterday Joe Scarborough said that at least Mika his wife was on this who's on the show said that he took like three months to recover from his most recent covet and that was just Omicron I don't know how old Joe Scarborough is but he lost three months of his life three months of quality living he lost to one infection now I thought but of course you can't trust the government that if the if the shots did nothing but decrease how much you suffered it would probably decrease your long covet because the long covet probably comes from how bad your original infection is I just assume they're connected but I don't have I don't have any science for that all right so what I learned here is that as long as you think young people know people should be treated the same and as long as you ignore what I think is the biggest risk because none of us believe that the risk of dying if you're youngish and healthy was worth considering so I think we all discounted the risk of dying if we were generally young enough and healthy enough and even I'm young enough you know even at 65 I'm young enough to think that the risk of dying was basically zero but I didn't know about this one so I didn't do the right thing which is uh to Discount my biggest risk so I should have said my biggest risk was actually zero and then I would have gotten the right answer now here's how I would have done it I'll tell you this Crow tastes good you know this girl so we start with science and there was lots of science around the covid and about the the vaccination and the science was doing all the randomized controlled trials and then meta-analysis and the data they did the observational studies in the peer review and that part that part we all appreciate the science doesn't get the right answer every time but at least it's a process that we respect would you agree you know it's we we're crawling toward the truth usually through a lot of wrongness until you get to the truth so the science isn't about being totally right the first try it's it's a process and there were at least three different ways that people you know departed from science to make their decision the dumbest people um listened to the government and big Pharma and the news and said well that sounds right if if these three entities which have lied to us consistently forever if they say it's okay I'm taking it and then they got the wrong answer right so they believed people now a lot of people thought I was in this group but I wasn't in that group I was in this group um I thought I didn't understand anything about the science and didn't have a way to really understand it so I used my penis to make my decision and my penis said if I get the vaccination I can go on a trip to Santorini later to Bora Bora with a beautiful woman instead of being locked down with covet now so I used my penis and my penis I don't like to admit this my penis has a terrible track record for decisions I don't know about yours and I know many of you don't have a penis so I'm just speaking to those who do is your penis smart because my penis doesn't know anything like I keep expecting it to like make good decisions and I'm like hey what do you think we should do about taxes nothing basically won't even help me on my taxes so this was a big complicated you know medical decision I delegated my penis my penis got it wrong and that's on me that's on me so shoot me but the people who are correct use a much better and more rational decision-making process they they looked at all the science and they said to themselves that's not enough we must use our personal research and assessment to find out you know what this really means we've got to look deeper we've got to look at the not just the mainstream we've got to look at the you know the critics we got to look at the bigger world and I want to be um complimentary about this group because I know I've been harsh in the past I want to be very clear that in order to do good personal research and assessment of this what seems like a very complicated area the people who did this right were not just experts they were not just people who were like data analysts they were not just doctors they were not just researchers these were Ordinary People Blue Collar people people with every kind of education and they were fully qualified every one of them to look at this complicated stuff that that you know to me I just couldn't figure out anything I didn't know which was a bigger risk but if you did your personal research and you ignored long covet that was important you would get the correct answer now I like to show both sides of every argument that always gets me in trouble so I'd like to point out that there are some critics of this approach I'm not one of them so don't put this on me please right this is clearly the approach that got the right answer it is rational and compare it to the alternatives what what should I am I going to am I going to recommend that you stop using your rational analysis and use your penis half of you don't even have one how is that going to work you can't make a decision with a vagina stupid but you know sometimes the penis gets it right but still it's not it's not recommended right and nobody's going to recommend you listen to the government inform it in the news those are your other choices so I think you would join me in saying don't use your penis or vagina to make a decision don't listen to the government big Pharma news because they're professional Liars do a rational process be you a scientist data analyst or just somebody who's a smart person who's doing the work do your personal research and assessment to get the correct answer and we see that they did they did in fact but it has to be said there are some critics there would be some people who would disagree with this um we'll just use some examples of people who disagree Isaac Newton Isaac Newton wouldn't want to see this because Isaac Newton would say wait a minute I invented science so that you wouldn't do this because that's what we were doing before so I invented science because this would be sort of adding a subjective layer on top of the science so Isaac Newton wouldn't like this but can we agree that Isaac Newton he pooped in a hole and he was you know he was in the 1600s and we don't really need to listen to an old dead guy all right so we can discount Isaac Newton I think what about uh does anybody else would disagree Carl Sagan Carl Sagan wouldn't like this at all because he would like this part but I think he he would probably have some complaints about non-scientists doing their own deep research he might say oh Scott that's that's taking the entire benefit of Science and discarding it like it didn't count but Carl Sagan is dead are you going to listen to a dead guy I mean how smart is he died anyway so well let's talk about uh I saw Jimmy Dore was talking about my analysis and he he says that uh not only am I you know just the Dilbert guy but he is very annoyed at my arrogance on this topic my arrogance do I say American I don't say American do I I'm eating I'm eating humble Crow as hard as I can I told you you're all right and I got it wrong I told you I have great regret because I'm not a pure blood but Jimmy Dore had some good criticisms and I'd like to address on his show he talked quite a bit about me and my opinions on this and uh the first thing when I when I saw the show I said to myself wow Jimmy Dore is not doing too well but you know age catches up with all of us now I hadn't seen a Jimmy Dore show in a while and it looked like he had sort of aged and when I listened to it I thought oh God can somebody stop me before I start sounding like an old man who's lost it because somebody you know I thought somebody needed to talk to him and I was trying to figure out how old he was and I thought just just based on listening to him I thought um high 70s he looked like he's in kind of good shape you know maybe he takes care of himself but I thought he's probably 75 76 something like that and you know you have to I think forgive people for being a little a little less quick when they reached that age yeah he was he was pretty old so I looked up his actual age he's 57.

so that was shocking I thought he I thought he was closer to 75.

yeah that's what I thought because you know I'm 65 and I thought well I'm losing the step but uh he looked like he lost a lot of steps you'd have to see it to know what I'm talking about but he also uh he criticized me for calling the uh the pure Bloods uh anti-vaxxers and I'd like to clarify if you will allow me to clarify when I use the term anti-vaxxer I'm not talking about all vaccinations it's always in the context of covet I've never talked about vaccinations in general ever and in fact a lot of people said Scott Scott don't throw us into the anti-vaxx category because we're only concerned with a the the coveted one and in fact our kids are vaccinated with irregular vaccinations but they've been tested in the normal way so um I wasn't aware of this but were you aware that the normal childhood vaccinations have been tested because I thought they weren't have they been tested childhood vaccinations because I thought they would I thought they were only tested individually but the way we give them is that collectively right we give like a combined shop but that's never been tested has it the combined shot or did they only test them individually they tested some yeah so I don't know much about the ordinary vaccination story but I was unaware that they've tested them the way they're given I they were tested individually but I don't think they were tested the way they're given you know all at once yeah I think that's RFK Junior's point I think Trump made that point as well so there are a lot of people who are happy with uh an untested vaccination for their children but they make a distinction because the MRNA is unknown so they they're more comfortable with the unknown of the combined childhood vaccination than the unknown of the MRNA so that seems reasonable um and yes and we'll get to some of your points I see you can go by all right so the first thing you need to know is that when I talk about the anti-vaxxers some are taking that as I was uh I was making it an insult but I'm not to me the anti-vaccineers were the people that didn't want to take the coveted vaccine vaccination and got the right answer and if I had been talking about all the other people I would have included the fact that there's some question about whether the childhood vaccinations have been tested the way they should be tested you know all together instead of individually so I'm not anti I'm not against anti-vaxxers does that make sense if his effort sounded like I was why would I be it doesn't even make sense that I would be all right um what else did he say oh and then on the Jimmy Dore show they speculated that the reason I was so Pro lockdown and pro-vaccination according to them not according to anything I actually did or said but it's because of my hatred for Trump I'll just leave that there for a moment yeah so after they had analyzed me completely uh their bottom line was that it could be the reason I'm so wrong is my hatred of trump and that that spread over into me disliking uh my entire audience so um but he's only 57.

he's Jimmy doors will be 57 very surprising all right um now a lot of you said that the way you did your analysis and your personal research and assessment was not just about the science some of you were good at that but they were good at not trusting the people who were withholding information and making money and all that but I think that argument is one I've always agreed with right so the people who said all the people who are making the vaccination can't be trusted the government can't be trusted nobody can be trusted I was always on that page I was only questioning the long covet and apparently you knew that it wasn't a problem for me because it wasn't a problem for young people um no mandatory shots right yeah I've never been in favor of any mandatory shots that's for sure yeah yeah I actually led a anti-mask uh movement but uh Jimmy Dore knows better he knows what I was really thinking and doing but anyway I would like to push back on uh Jimmy's uh oh and then there are also a number of people who wanted me to say that when I said that the the unvaxed people won that they they want me to clarify that nobody won all right so the people who did not give axed do not want to be labeled as winners because that would make them seem small as if you know they didn't care about the people who were who were injured but of course they do care about them and so I won't call it one I'll just say they were right is that better now oh yeah Alex Barrison Alex Berenson offered to talk to me to uh to explain to me how he got the right answer and I didn't now uh the last thing I'd like to deal with is Jimmy Dore thinks that I'm arrogant in general I think but on this topic I would like to defend myself against that charge does this look arrogant does this seem arrogant now here's my argument if I were going to be arrogant I would act a little differently well would you mind if I showed you just like a fictional version of what I would look like if I were acting arrogant because then you can contrast it to the way I am acting so so I like if with your permission I'm going to model what it would have looked like had I been arrogant okay you ready this is me doing an impression of Scott if he were arrogant well you looked at the science and then you did your own research um some people would say there's a step missing in which the psychology mattered I can't reach it on I'm strapped into my unto my thing here but some would say that the people who understand persuasion would know that this is nothing but confirmation bias and so the people who said they did this and then you know trusted their gut instinct if I were arrogant I would say well you've just described the exact reason that science was invented science was invented so you wouldn't do this that was to prevent you from doing this and this because these are not science science is the solution to doing this this would be the problem not the solution this would be everything wrong according to somebody who understood psychology now that would be arrogant that would be messed up and that's why I don't do that instead I say the people who got the correct answer it's obvious that they use the right process and that's the end of the story and if they ignore the biggest risk of long covet it's not because I know how to do things right and I include all the risks that would be arrogant instead I learned from the people who got it right and I try to improve my game so don't let me be like that because that would be arrogant no more arrogance we won't do that anymore and that ladies and gentlemen brings me to the end of my program for You.

Tube I'm going to talk to the locals people for a minute bye for now

oh

oh shoot

oh I don't know what to do now

I found a classified item

in my drawer

um I need to call the FBI immediately

hello FBI yeah I I know I feel stupid

now I found a classified item

it was an it was in my drawer I don't

know who put it there

probably my assistant I assumed my

assistant assistants are terrible with

classified information I I didn't even

know it was there really

so I thought I would

what the hell

you're busy

oh well what's taking you so long

bribing taking bribes from oligarchs

yeah that can take a lot of time out of

your schedule all right well I guess

I'll just handle it myself

okay all right and you have a good day

too

why is my phone yelling at me

well if you'd like to take today's

classified top secret experience up to

levels you've never known before

this is how you do it all you need is a

copper mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea

style and a canteen jug or flask of a

vessel of any kind

fill it with your favorite liquid

I like coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure of the dopamine the other day

the thing that makes everything better

is called the simultaneous Sip and it

happens now go

do you see behind me

two white boards

is there anything that can be better

than coffee with Scott Adams and two

white boards

yes

three or more white boards

it's a trick question

all right there is so much news today

I'm just going to run through the run

through the important stories

I'm going to start at the top with the

most important stories and then we'll

work down

toward the end

I will be eating crow for all of my

wrongness about the Pandemic those of

you who like to watch me be wrong

this would you should wait till the end

but the important stories first

and nothing more important than this one

a w root beer has announced that its

mascot Rudy the great root bear

um who formerly wore a shirt but no

pants

and they announced that uh their bear

might be polarizing polarizing

it's a bear

the bear might be polarizing uh if you

had no pants

and so now they're going to put pants on

their bear

thank God

you know I woke up this morning I'm like

no

pantsless mascots must be fixed

now you know this made me think

I've seen a lot of videos of bears in

the wild haven't you

and like sometimes you'll see the the

Grizzlies

the Grizzlies will be standing up and

they're like how big is a grizzly it's

like eight feet tall right

when it stands up it's like ah like this

you know what I've never seen

is a bear's package you know the boy

bears

now

because they're standing like this and

they're big old you know bears

I feel like if I were in the woods

and one of these grizzly bears attacked

me like I'd have two reactions you know

when I saw the bear and the bear went

like this my first reaction will would

be oh no I'm gonna die

and then my second reaction would be

whoa you really packing

like that's how I imagined it would go

because I just figured Grizzlies

they got game I don't know I just assume

that another important story

60 minutes and Leslie Stahl was uh

interviewing I guess some a woman who's

going to be in charge of the new

government's dietary guidelines

um who says that obesity is mostly

genetic

genetic and that you won't lose weight

just by eating less and exercising

so you know at first I thought well that

seems contrary to all common sense and

all science but then I thought oh wait a

minute Scott back up

it's coming from the government

so now I believe it

all right next story

which is also related

I I saw a tweet saying that obesity is

like the new n-word for the the people

who are

who are large

now I remind you that we do not do fat

shaming

don't do fast Jamie because as I often

say if I liked food as much as other

people I might weigh more

that that's my entire analysis so

therefore

I I don't fat shame because I would be

one

if I liked food more than I do I just

don't I'm just not crazy about food you

know I don't like sleep so much not big

on food I do them because I have to

uh but I saw a tweet from uh

Dr Anita B Eden PhD

who says obesity is the n-word

and

or her uh her alleged profile

says that she's a fat affirming

dietitian with a PhD in body positive

medicine

and she's the author of snacks over

scales

and health at every Happy Meal

she's a feminist Ally and her pronouns

are she and her

now

here's the funny part

I I literally couldn't tell

if it was a parody for a few minutes

like I had to spend some time looking at

it I thought

Anita be eaten

I need to be eaten

okay probably not real

but the the only take away from this is

that the difference between complete

parity

and reality is so thin now it's so thin

that you can really get away with parody

like crazy because people can't tell

they genuinely can't tell when you're

kidding

so I mean the fact that people can't

tell when you're kidding

I mean that opens a big opportunity for

somebody like me

but you know I would never take care

take advantage of that

um did you know that China has more than

the tick tock app oh they have way more

than that they have an app called WeChat

now it's mostly used in China I think

but there are 19 million users of WeChat

in the United States I think mostly

Chinese Americans or or people with a

more direct connection to China but it

does all kinds of things like payments

and you know it's just like a universal

app kind of thing uh

but apparently there are 19 million

American users and China can monitor all

their data and they basically know

everything about them

that's not too scary is it

but speaking of apps from China I saw on

the Wall Street Journal that the Biden

Administration is considering

so watch out watch out everybody they're

considering

and when when they're considering

that's that's something that's something

so they're considering doing something

about data safety with tick tock

what

uh so the Wall Street Journal apparently

along with the Biden Administration are

unaware

that the risk with Tick Tock has very

little to do with the data

I mean that's important you know they

should control the data but they're

missing the whole story

that Tick Tock and WeChat are literally

well mostly Tick Tock is literally

literally

literally right you're going to think

this is not really the right use of the

word literally but no literally used

actually as literally

should be used

Tick Tock is a user interface for the

Chinese government to control American

Minds

literally

it's literally an interface

it literally controls American Minds

it's not a metaphor

it's not an analogy it's not it reminds

me of just literally an interface to

control American lions no problem the

the Biden Administration but at least

they're considering

they're giving a strong consideration

boy they're considering it so hard smoke

is coming out of their brains

they're considering so hard dealing with

something that isn't the issue

the data also important but

not nearly in the top one percent with

the user interface for controlling

brains no problem just let that issue go

um

Amazon has announced its its Prime

members are going to have some kind of

amazing deal on generics

so for five dollars a month for generics

so it's going to be like super cheap

generics through Amazon and it's most of

the big stuff

and uh I got all excited about this I

thought wow oh this could be good uh

it's not active in my state California

or Texas

why would something not be legal in

California and Texas

what what do those two even have in

common that they would have the same

opinion on this

I'm missing the reason why

just money but why would it be different

for

for you know a red and a blue State I

don't even just population

I don't know I don't understand this

story so maybe somebody could work that

out but

um

so if you're on Medicare

or Medicaid you can't use it and if

you're in California or Texas you can't

use it does any of that make sense to

you no this would be a good case of our

government it looks like they're not

really serving urges in this case but I

I'm available to hear a better argument

maybe I'm missing something

but just to me it just looks like the

government's just getting in the way of

a good thing

am I wrong

no it wasn't accidental to answer your

question on locals

um but sometimes I don't give reasons

sometimes it's just personal

for blocking all right so here's my take

on that uh just the day before I heard

this I saw a tweet by I believe it was

Doc Anarchy on Twitter warning against

taking generic drugs uh now the argument

is that the generics have uh less

quality control

would you agree

I don't know if that's the case often or

usually or always I've heard this is

something I've heard but I've you know I

don't know how I would validate it

and I think it depends right and but

would you know in advance which which

meds

it depended

yeah I don't know uh I would say that

I suppose if you take the generics first

and you don't get a good result maybe

try the name brand is that the way to

play it you know depending if it's life

and death I suppose if it's life and

death I might take the name brand first

but let's say it's something like blood

pressure

in the short run it's not really life of

death so if in the short run it didn't

work

maybe you try the other thing

all right

um

Matt Gates continues to say the most

interesting things and do the most

interesting things in Congress here's a

little I'm gonna I'm just gonna read to

you

uh several things that Matt gase has

said recently

all right so not in the same day but

just different tweets just recently I

want you to pick up the pattern here

and the pattern I'm looking for well I

guess I'm priming you for the pattern so

you don't have to look for it the

pattern is

he seems to say exactly what you want

him to say

and he seems to be focusing on the

priorities

that are apparently exactly the ones you

would want him to focus on

and what's weird about it is that it

stands out

isn't that weird

that he's simply doing his job

and like stands out

like why does that stand out let me just

read the things he said recently and you

see if you can you see it maybe in case

it's my imagination right so just in no

order these are things he said either on

a podcast or in his own tweets quote our

FBI is corrupted by political interest

domestically and compromised by Foreign

interests financially

how important is that

like right at the top right that's

really really important to us

and he just says it directly there's

there's no hedging here like the part

you don't want to hear is all the weird

hedging no this is just a fact now

and he just puts it right out there

directly

here's another one I'm not here for the

document drama

I think having people in the National

Security apparatus trying to shape the

presidential field is not a good thing

regardless of your political persuasion

so he doesn't care about the documents

okay I'm totally on board I think we

enjoy the documents as a political

conversation but I don't think anybody

thinks they're important so I agree with

them and then he they says that by

having the National Security apparatus

shape our presidential field yes

yeah what's more important than that yes

that's like right at the top of things

you should be caring about who else is

talking about it

that's the question

uh then Matt Gates asked we are now

funding Ukraine's government in our own

why should Ukraine get less oversight

because the money that goes to Ukraine

just goes into a black box of corruption

and the money that we spend in America

we at least try to figure out where it

went

is that a good point

yes it's probably the only good point

about Ukraine

it's the only point we should all agree

on you know you could disagree whether

you should be there or not or how you're

handling it but should there be any

disagreement

on we should know exactly where our

money goes now how important is it well

it's trillion well not trillions yet but

there's billions and billions of dollars

yeah really really important thank you

Matt gates for pointing that out

uh another one

those who perpetrated the Russia

occlusion hoax on American people were

in fact taking corrupt cash from Russia

so that's the new story about the FBI

agent who was doing that

how important is that

really really really important

really important

so I get so do you see it

I'm not imagining right that Matt Gates

is accurately picking up the most

important things mostly to his base but

I would argue they should be important

to everybody

um I don't know he's continuing to

impress with what I guess you could call

a comeback but since the charges were

dropped in that whole case

there's really nothing to come back from

so he's doing great and somehow he's

managed to continue to be a

full-throated supporter of trump and it

doesn't seem to be hurting him

somehow he's pulling this all off of

that you're gonna have to keep an eye on

that

because when you see that much skill

it usually predicts

all right

uh oh let's see he also said

that's why Jim Jordan and I will hold

hearings bring whistleblowers forward

and demand answers to determine How Deep

The Rock goes talking about the

intelligence agencies and FBI

of course

uh and then and then here's also Bill

Gates I think he said this on Tim cast

we had bills that broke bills you know

legislation we had bills that broke up

big Tech we were we were waiting for

them to come to the floor

then on the dip you know because the Big

Tap

big dip the Big Tap big tech stocks went

down because Congress was you know going

to scrutinyson and then he says that

when they went down Paul Pelosi bought a

bunch of those stocks

and then those bills never went to the

floor

Nancy Pelosi

now how important is that really really

important like really really really

important

uh so again he's just all the right

things now apparently Senator Hawley has

introduced the Pelosi Act

which is would uh would disallow

members of Congress from Trading

individual stocks now they could still

invest they would just buy you know

um mutual funds and stuff like that

there are a few ways they can do it they

just wouldn't be making their own

decisions on individual stocks

so uh who knows if that will get passed

it would be embarrassing to vote against

it how could you vote against that

really

could you you're a member of Congress

and you would vote for allowing yourself

to have a special information and buy

stocks who could vote for that

I'm sure the Democrats will find some

reason to to object but it's going to be

hilarious to hear that reason

all right here's what the Pelosi act

stands for so you know they always make

the ACT it's not just because it's about

Pelosi it's it's

you know a generic thing so the Pelosi

stands for preventing elected leaders

from owning Securities and Investments

Pelosi

I I can't I can't give them a compliment

for how they're governing the country

can't do it

but their ability to make up clever uh

clever names for legislation

unparalleled

unparalleled

yeah

so good job there

um

here's something that I need a fact

check on

so you all know Robert F Kennedy Jr

right

everybody knows Robert F Kennedy

very active in the vaccination

conversations both prior to covet and

and throughout

and he tweeted uh tweeted at me today I

didn't realize he follows me on Twitter

but he tweeted at me today and he was

telling me that at Children's HD and

hashtag the defender I don't know what

they are they must be Twitter entities

as a more robust and rigorous

fact-checking operation than any Legacy

news provider remember I was telling you

that what we need

is some kind of independent fact checker

for medical recommendations you know

somebody who can say well that used to

be a good pill but you know there's a

new study that says you shouldn't take

it you know that that sort of thing so a

consumer can get a medical

recommendation then just check it

against somebody who's good at research

not necessarily a doctor just somebody

who's good at research

and so anyway so uh

that's who Robert F Kennedy Jr

recommends the children's Children's HD

I don't know what that is and and

hashtag the defender

but then he goes on

he says let me know if we ever Heir oh

he must be involved with this so he goes

let me know if we ever Heir so I guess

he has some involvement in those

entities or one of them and uh we will

apologize and correct

and then here's the part that just

totally threw me this is his last

sentence of the Tweet he says he's

tweeting to me he says thanks Scott for

inspiring me to give surgery for my

spasmodic dysphonia

what

now I know I recommended it and I I

tried to get that message to him a few

different ways but I wasn't sure that he

had the same well I know that he doesn't

have exactly the same form of uh

spasmodic dysphodia that's a voice

disorder

um

as I had but there are two flavors and I

thought he might have the other flavor

and I wasn't sure if there was a surgery

for that one but apparently there is now

what I don't know is if he's still

recovering from it or because we haven't

heard him speak well in public yet right

is that true

we have not heard him speak well in

public

which means he may be actually

recovering right now has anybody seen

him in public recently

because and then I did a quick Google

search I didn't see anything about it

oh he was on Tucker and sounds better

and he was on Tucker last week and did

he sound better

oh really

well I'm gonna have to look that up that

would be amazing

I I hope this is I hope that I actually

helped you know I've told you before

that the weirdest thing about my life

is how many medical cures uh I've been

behind

you know that I've literally caused

people to heal in a variety of ways now

one of them is I was promoting uh the

surgical solution for what had been an

incurable problem for forever

and anybody who got that surgery and got

fixed

if they heard it for me then you know

then it helped

and there are a number of other

you know diseases and stuff that I've

helped with directly and indirectly

all right the menu movie okay

so uh good luck to Robert F Kennedy Jr

on his voice travels if if his

experience is like mine

I'm shy bladder for example if his

experiences like mine the recovery

period lasts a long time

so your your voice will be better fairly

quickly but then it just continues

improving as you

you know as your vocal mechanism heals

to its perfect state

so I think it took me years actually

years from my voice to normalize

but it did

all right Rasmussen uh poll says that

the GOP is just creeping the Democrats

on these three issues energy immigration

and spending

those seem like pretty big issues don't

they

energy immigration and spending the

public by majority not not just the

plurality but by an actual solid

majority which means the independence

and Democrats a little bit are crossing

over so here are the numbers uh 53

percent of likely U.S voters trust

Republicans more than more to handle

immigration

so Republicans on immigration 53 percent

only 36 percent trust Democrats and then

you know there's the people in between

that's a huge difference

the the Republicans just have a solid

winning position on immigration

now I'll say it again

if Trump comes in and just says the same

things he used to say about immigration

he will give away all of the advantage

am I right

if he just acts the way he always acts

it says the same things he always says

he will give away all of the advantage

all he needs to do is just play it we

need to control the border and then we

need to separate the question of who

comes in

just one little change

just separate the question of who comes

in

from the management of the physical

border you just do that you own the

topic

such a small change and one that Trump

would not disagree with do you think

Trump would disagree

with separating the physical security

which he wants

from the decision of how much to open

the door no he said that directly right

he said the big beautiful door

so that you can let people in but you do

it you know reasonably and logically

so I think you know I mean this is just

like a huge Super Highway for a

republican to just walk into the office

at this point yeah so energy of course

uh

you know the Republicans are better on

energy let's say uh

oh 48 trust Republicans so it's not over

50 but only 40 trust Democrats again

it's a pretty big difference between 40

and 48.

and

and then on environmental policy 43

percent trust Republicans and exactly

the same trust Democrats

hmm

what about crime and Homeland defense

that's not the subject of this this poll

do you think that Republicans Or

democrats would win with the general

public on crime oh spending this is the

third one sorry

and somewhere there's something about

spending

uh 50 trust Republicans more on spending

and only 35 percent trust uh Democrats

thank you and so what about crime and

Homeland defense you know National

Defense don't you think Republicans win

that too

like I haven't seen the numbers recently

but I think so right

so this would mean that Republicans are

better on

uh fiscal things I think you could call

that the economy

fiscal handling

uh energy

the environment

immigration

crime and Homeland defense

and the election is still going to be

close

thank goodness for uh mailing voting huh

because it doesn't look like we would

have a two-party system anymore if we

didn't have uh interesting election

mechanisms

I don't think it would even be close

the polling shows that you couldn't win

as a Democrat today

am I wrong

because here's the other thing

here here's the thing that the

Republicans did

brilliantly

here's something they did brilliantly

they got they got abortion over with

right they got it over with so they they

took a hit the Republicans took a huge

hit

by you know uh changing pushing it back

to the States but now there's pushed

back to the States

that's done it's pushed back to the

States it's completely a state issue now

so if you just wait a bit longer

nobody's going to be voting because of

Roe versus Wade for the at the federal

level they'll definitely vote at the

state level but at the federal level the

Republicans have I think

you know this is a psychology question

so you can't know for sure

but I think the Republicans have removed

their biggest negative issue

by dealing with it fast basically they

rip the Band-Aid off

you know what Republicans are good at

ripping the Band-Aid off

am I right

if you had if you had to pick somebody

to rip the Band-Aid off and just take

the pain and get on with it just take

the pain do it now

just just eat the now and get on

with it it's always going to be

Republican I know it's a general a gross

generalization but it does seem to be

built into the philosophy

all right uh Pence has documents so

ex vice president Pence

uh discovered some classified documents

in his home

but apparently it's all taped shot and

it's maybe one box let me put it in a

safe and he did all the right things so

uh Pence

I I'm going to say it for the millionth

time

because I love it when somebody just

does all the right things and then they

just keep doing it

Pence

is probably the most reasonable

grounded

Patriot

of all time like the fact that he stays

in his Lane and just like Masters he

Masters his domain I know that's a funny

reference but he's sort of a master of

his domain and like even the thing that

we laugh to him the most that he

wouldn't go to lunch with a woman unless

his wife was there totally right

totally Pence was so right about that

the pens rule don't don't do something

with a woman who's not your wife totally

right like but nobody's been more right

than that ever in the history of

rightness

simple

okay well he's playing the odds right I

think

all right well we have to talk about

mass shootings you know I've told you

that I don't like to talk about the

individual shootings and crime I don't

like to give them attention and uh I

don't have much to offer right because

it's always the same argument it's just

a different shooting

but I'm going to make one alarming

prediction we see already that the

number of mass shootings is starting to

really hockey stick up

right everybody

sees it now like the number of mass

shootings is just climbing

that is not going to stop

do you know why

do you know why the number of mass

shootings is going to Skyrocket

not because of gun ownership

not because of gun ownership I mean you

it requires gun ownership it wouldn't

happen without it but it's not the

reason it's going to Skyrocket

all right I'm just going to say the same

thing that I said on Twitter

men know

men now

women don't know what's happening

women are completely confused do you

know why women are confused

because they don't give a about men

that's the whole reason women don't care

anything about men what they think what

they feel what their situation in

society is and how it's basically going

to crap you have an entire gender

who don't have any hope

they don't think they're going to date

because Tinder took away their dating

options because only only the top 10

date

you can't date

so if you can't date

you can't get married

you can't afford getting married

you can't have a kid

and if you did you would be the third

class citizen in the marriage you would

be less important than the wife less

important to the kids less important

than the dog

and that's what men have to look forward

to men have what they what they have

looked to look forward to is putting a

lot of investment in something that

won't pay off

there's no longer a path for men now

that might be true for women as well I

don't know because the same way that

women don't have a full appreciation for

men men don't have a full appreciation

for women and vice versa and whites and

blacks and everybody else young and old

actually young and old is the only one

where I think the old can still have

some appreciation for the young because

at least they used to be young

so that might be the one the one time

that somebody can understand the other

category

is old people can sometimes understand

young people but not totally

so

everything that I see suggests that the

number of men who have no hope and just

want to do something exciting before

they die

are going to do this

and that doesn't explain all of them you

know some of them are just a beef at

work and some of them are crazy people

and all that but I think you're going to

see like the bottom

10 percent of men who just don't have

any hope but they do have access to guns

and they're just going to make

themselves important because Society has

made them unimportant

so

let me ask you that so my take is that

nobody cares about men and they know it

we all know it

and that they don't have hope anymore

because Society has changed women don't

really need men

and women have stopped wanting to have

babies

and men can't afford to be you know the

sole breadwinner

so

are you all buying this

I you know what's interesting I don't

see anybody pushing back

I see no pushback

right

now

uh I'm going to go further and say that

men generally understand this

women probably only understand it

because they're hearing it and it sort

of makes sense when you hear it but did

you know this how many of you women

understood that the situation for men is

beyond dire

you know Dyer is where you just you know

you're you're uncomfortable and you know

it's serious we're we're all the way to

men are just going to kill themselves

and as many people as they can kill at

the same time

because they don't give

a darn

see how see how well I did that was

totally a place where I would have sworn

if this were not 2023 I totally would

have let loose a whole tirade of

horrible words but I did not I held back

I held back it wasn't easy

all right so mass shooting you should

expect them to Skyrocket and expect that

nobody will do anything about it because

uh

nobody cares about men

they'll just go after the guns

here's a simulation alert so you know

the Schiff and swallow got kicked off

the Intel committee McCarthy did uh

pretty awesome job talking to reporters

in public and telling him why he kicked

those two people off and I think most

most republican-leaning people looked at

that and said yep that is what we wanted

that's that is exactly why we want you

to be in charge if you're happy with

McCarthy if you are that's why

that he gave the right answer he

basically said you know they're they're

available for other committees

we're not saying that they can't be in

Congress that's not up to us we're just

saying this one specific thing requires

somebody who are not gigantic liars and

those two proof that they lied to the

country about

about classified information they didn't

just lie in general which would be you

know everybody in Congress

they lied about the stuff that only they

could see now that was more uh Schiff I

don't know what the swallow thing is now

the swallow well spy thing I'm going to

go with Matt Gates on that that maybe

we're making too much of that because

that happened a long time ago and it

wasn't when he was in Congress

so you can use your own judgment about

that the only thing I'd like to add to

this conversation and I haven't heard

anybody do it

is that we make fun of small welfare

allegedly having gas on camera that

didn't really happen but it's a funny

story

um and we of course we make fun of Chef

because his last name reminds us of

something

so what are the odds that we're in this

simulation and the two people in the

headlines are literally Schiff and fart

yeah Schiff and fart the two guys that

got kicked off the intelligence

committee

chef and fork

come on is that funny

no

okay

well moving on that's all I had for that

that's all I had but

that's my only commentary

um

so Ukraine is interesting in the sense

that it feels like the US is at War but

we're doing War the way war will be

fought in the future

which with which is we'll use our

technology

and we'll get people who

are you know more local to the problem

to do the fighting and dying

so it feels to me like the United States

is at war with Russia and we're just

using Ukraine as as a cut out now

ukrainians think they're at war with

Russia but from my perspective it just

looks like we're at war with Russia and

we're just doing it in this semi-clever

way so that Russia doesn't treat it like

exactly like a war with the United

States it's like a deniable War that's

obviously a war it's a weird little

thing like we're all pretending it's one

thing when it's obviously another thing

but even Andrew Yang was saying he's a

tweeted today he was glad the U.S is

going to send Abram's tanks to Ukraine

and then I guess the Germans are also

going to send their leopard two tanks

and I don't know a ton about tanks but

I'm guessing

tanks are mostly offensive weapons right

is that true

tanks are mostly offensive weapons

which would suggest that Ukraine's

getting ready for an offensive

so is Ukraine going to go into Crimea

I feel like I feel like Ukraine's

Ukraine's best play would be to make a

move into Crimea suck all of Russia's

resources out of the disputed areas

then you know then you can take over the

disputed areas because they'll just have

conscripts and and crap there and then

also when in in Crimean you're done

so if they can bring the depleted

Russian forces into Crimea because they

would have to go right there's no way

that Russia would you know allow Crimea

to not be perfectly defended because he

can't lose Crimea but it looks like

Ukraine is getting ready for a headshot

the headshot is Crimea right if Putin

loses Crimea like just loses it

that's pretty bad on his end like that

would be hard for him to even stay in

office without people really questioning

his abilities at that point

so you say the 30 to 50 tanks without

air superiority would be meaningless

Yeah by themselves sure

but it would help so here's the question

uh you're missing the pollen role that's

coming unbelievable

unbelievable if there's one thing that

you're disappointed in me it's that I

haven't seen that one person on Twitter

who told you something you believe and

that's unbelievable that I'm missing

that

now I don't I make uh

let me let me say as clearly as possible

wow that sounded like

cringe on prayer let me be as clear as

possible

I don't know what's going to happen in

Ukraine

how would I know

I'm just saying you know as as Observers

it looks like that's what they're

clearing up to do now whatever's

happening in Poland and Belarus and all

that there's probably a hundred things

that I'm not taking into account but on

the surface

it looks like they're going to threaten

Crimea the drain drain Russia into

Crimea and then they'll they'll have a

better situation when the the snow goes

away that's what I think

and then maybe Russia is planning its

own advance

so I would I would say after the snow

melts

uh it's a free-for-all would you agree

with that after the snow melts there's

no way to know if Russia or CR or

Ukraine will have the advantage because

they're both gearing up and we don't

know who's gearing up better there's no

way to know so all hell is going to

break loose

but it's unpredictable after this

so if it sounded like I predicted

something I didn't

all right

um I'm gonna eat some more Crow today

for those of you who like to see me be

wrong

um

here's what I think of proper apology

should include

It's never enough to just apologize is

it

an apology should come with you know you

know the harm you did

you know first the apology that you

acknowledge the harm you did

but then you've got to do the third

thing and the third thing is the hard

thing

the third thing is you have to create a

plan so you don't do it again or at

least you have to tell people what

you're going to do differently so you

will not make that same mistake again so

I did a deep dive

on the people who got the pandemic stuff

right

and I learned

much more about where I got it wrong

and with your Indulgence I would like to

take some moment to beat myself up

for missing some really obvious signals

really obvious signals that you did not

miss

all right so

this is what I've learned so I've talked

to quite a few people about how they got

the right answer when I got all the

wrong answers

and here's

what I learned

so this this was roughly the decision

tree

that we were dealing with

so the question was so the young people

and the old people I think we all agree

have a different risk factor

so in the but individually it was the

same same layout just different risk

factors so you would look at the risk of

the shot itself

and when they did they said oh that is

greater than the risk of covet death

which is practically nothing

would you all agree so far the risk of

dying of covid even really early on well

before the Vex vaccination so-called

vaccinations were available we really

knew that for most people

the risk of death was vanishingly small

agree

so in that case the risk of the shot

would certainly for the young people

would be greater than the risk of dying

of covet

and then and then then that's the end of

the conversation

so it's just the risk of the shot

versus the risk of the cover death and

then if that's bigger you're done

so a lot of people correctly looked at

the data they did their own research and

they looked at the numbers even even the

farman numbers when they looked at them

they said holy cow the risk of the shot

for young people

is definitely bigger than the risk of

dying from the covet itself so I would

be crazy to get the shot

because that's a higher risk than the

covet and then and then they were done

it's all you need to know and I'll tell

you how they how they determine this

risk in a minute

is there anything I'm leaving out

I don't think so so but then there's a

second part of the analysis uh that when

I say young I mean people under 65.

the people under 65

said their risk of getting the shot was

greater than the risk of covet

and therefore I made a mistake

so even though I'm in the 65 and older

category

because the young people did the

research they felt that the risk of the

shot is greater than risk of covet

I made a big mistake by getting a shot

now that wasn't obvious to me before

because I thought these were different

risk profiles

but after talking to a lot of people

they're quite clear on it that when they

analyze their own risk

and then they compared what they did to

what I did I made the wrong decision

so

I'm learning from that

now before we go on is there anything on

here I've not discussed yet

because I learned that there's this

other box that I thought was real

that I learned is not even real

did you know that

a lot of people knew the risk of long

covet

way before the medical community

and they just said no I know this risk

now I thought it was unknown

now let's also do a definition my

definition of long covid would include

several months of feeling like crap

not necessarily you know years I mean it

could be years but my definition was

months now if you're a young person and

you got long covered

probably you would kick it in you know a

few days is no big deal don't you think

like the young people just like brush

off the cover because they never they

don't get sick they don't get that sick

in the first place

so you'd expect if they don't get that

sick their risk of long covet is

probably zero now if you're an older

person let's say you're over 65.

let me tell you one of my own just like

a personal medical

criteria

if I get any kind of major medical

problem

whether it's covid or I break my leg

do you know what happens to you when

you're 65

and you lose let's say several months of

good health

do you know what happens

I'll tell you what I think happens I

think you never recover

like never

as in you don't recover now I say you

don't recover I mean you'll never get

back to your Fitness

the fitness level before because it's

just too hard to crawl back when you're

a certain age

so I've always been concerned that my

health which is very good at my current

age is very good I've always and I had

my blood done it's just perfect

everything's good and I was concerned I

was always concerned that if some major

problem happened

um that it would take me a year or more

to recover now I'll give you an example

when during the pandemic I had to take

prednisone to get ready for some sinus

surgery

now because of the pandemic my surgery

was delayed

so they put me on Prednisone the second

time

and then I got delayed and then they put

me on a third time you should never be

on three doses of Prednisone like long

doses in one year because getting off it

is really really hard like you feel

terrible for a long time now the

prednisone problem alone

probably took nine months out of my life

because for months and months it I could

barely exercise and you know barely get

up to where I am now now at the moment

I'm back up to my Peak everything's good

but it took me maybe a year

to get back

I was concerned that if I got long

covered and just had a normal you know

week-long terrible covet

that what would happen is that I would

lose a year of quality life

and maybe you would never get back to

where it was so remember when a young

person gets long covered that's not

really much of a problem they'd probably

just shake it off but

if a long if a older person got it that

would be a criteria now what I learned

was I'm the only person on this live

stream who cares about long covet to me

that was the biggest variable

but what I learned is you can just

ignore it because you don't know anybody

who had this problem

I hadn't thought of that but if you

don't know anybody personally who has

had long covert

or you think it's just ordinary people

get sick and then it takes a while to

recover then you wouldn't worry about

this but I was just watching Joe

Scarborough yesterday Joe Scarborough

said that at least Mika his wife was on

this who's on the show said that he took

like three months to recover from his

most recent covet and that was just

Omicron

I don't know how old Joe Scarborough is

but he lost three months of his life

three months of quality living he lost

to one infection now I thought but of

course you can't trust the government

that if the if the shots did nothing but

decrease how much you suffered

it would probably decrease your long

covet because the long covet probably

comes from how bad your original

infection is I just assume they're

connected but I don't have I don't have

any

science for that all right so what I

learned here is that as long as you

think young people know people should be

treated the same and as long as you

ignore what I think is the biggest risk

because none of us believe that the risk

of dying if you're youngish and healthy

was worth considering

so I think we all discounted the risk of

dying if we were generally young enough

and healthy enough and even I'm young

enough you know even at 65

I'm young enough to think that the risk

of dying was basically zero

but I didn't know about this one so I

didn't do the right thing

which is uh to Discount my biggest risk

so I should have said my biggest risk

was actually zero and then I would have

gotten the right answer now here's how I

would have done it

I'll tell you this Crow tastes good

you know this girl

so

we start with science and there was lots

of science around the covid and about

the the vaccination and the science was

doing all the randomized controlled

trials and then meta-analysis and the

data they did the observational studies

in the peer review and that part

that part we all appreciate

the science doesn't get the right answer

every time

but at least it's a process that we

respect would you agree you know it's we

we're crawling toward the truth usually

through a lot of wrongness until you get

to the truth so the science isn't about

being totally right the first try it's

it's a process

and there were at least three different

ways that people you know departed from

science to make their decision

the dumbest people

um listened to the government and big

Pharma and the news and said well that

sounds right

if if these three entities which have

lied to us consistently forever if they

say it's okay

I'm taking it and then they got the

wrong answer

right so they believed people now a lot

of people thought I was in this group

but I wasn't in that group I was in this

group

um

I thought I didn't understand anything

about the science and didn't have a way

to really understand it

so I used my penis to make my decision

and my penis said if I get the

vaccination

I can go on a trip to Santorini

later to Bora Bora

with a beautiful woman

instead of being locked down

with covet now so I used my penis

and my penis

I don't like to admit this

my penis has a terrible track record

for decisions I don't know about yours

and I know many of you don't have a

penis so I'm just speaking to those who

do is your penis smart

because my penis doesn't know anything

like I keep expecting it to like make

good decisions and I'm like hey

what do you think we should do about

taxes

nothing

basically won't even help me on my taxes

so this was a big complicated you know

medical decision

I delegated my penis my penis got it

wrong and that's on me

that's on me

so shoot me

but the people who are correct

use a much better and more rational

decision-making process

they they looked at all the science and

they said to themselves that's not

enough we must use our personal research

and assessment to find out you know what

this really means we've got to look

deeper we've got to look at the not just

the mainstream we've got to look at the

you know the critics we got to look at

the bigger world and I want to be

um

complimentary about this group

because I know I've been harsh in the

past

I want to be very clear

that in order to do good personal

research and assessment of this what

seems like a very complicated area

the people who did this right were not

just experts

they were not just

people who were like data analysts they

were not just doctors they were not just

researchers these were Ordinary People

Blue Collar people

people with every kind of education and

they were fully qualified

every one of them to look at this

complicated stuff that that you know to

me I just couldn't figure out anything I

didn't know which was a bigger risk but

if you did your personal research

and you ignored long covet that was

important you would get the correct

answer

now I like to show both sides of every

argument that always gets me in trouble

so

I'd like to point out that there are

some critics

of this approach

I'm not one of them so don't put this on

me please

right this is clearly the approach that

got the right answer it is rational

and

compare it to the alternatives

what what should I am I going to am I

going to recommend that you stop using

your rational analysis and use your

penis

half of you don't even have one how is

that going to work

you can't make a decision with a vagina

stupid

but you know sometimes the penis gets it

right

but still it's not it's not recommended

right and nobody's going to recommend

you listen to the government inform it

in the news

those are your other choices

so I think you would join me in saying

don't use your

penis or vagina to make a decision don't

listen to the government big Pharma news

because they're professional Liars do a

rational process be you a scientist

data analyst or just somebody who's a

smart person who's doing the work do

your personal research and assessment to

get the correct answer and we see that

they did

they did in fact but it has to be said

there are some critics

there would be some people who would

disagree with this

um

we'll just use some examples of people

who disagree

Isaac Newton

Isaac Newton wouldn't want to see this

because Isaac Newton would say wait a

minute

I invented science

so that you wouldn't do this

because that's what we were doing before

so I invented science because this would

be

sort of adding a subjective layer on top

of the science

so Isaac Newton wouldn't like this

but can we agree that Isaac Newton

he pooped in a hole and he was you know

he was in the 1600s and we don't really

need to listen to an old dead guy all

right so we can discount Isaac Newton I

think what about uh does anybody else

would disagree Carl Sagan Carl Sagan

wouldn't like this at all because he

would like this part but I think he he

would probably have some complaints

about

non-scientists doing their own deep

research he might say

oh Scott that's that's

taking the entire benefit of Science and

discarding it like it didn't count but

Carl Sagan is dead

are you going to listen to a dead guy

I mean how smart is he died anyway

so

well let's talk about uh I saw Jimmy

Dore was talking about my analysis and

he he says that uh not only am I you

know just the Dilbert guy

but he is very annoyed at my arrogance

on this topic

my arrogance

do I say American

I don't say American do I I'm eating I'm

eating humble Crow as hard as I can

I told you you're all right and I got it

wrong I told you I have great regret

because I'm not a pure blood

but Jimmy Dore had some good criticisms

and I'd like to address on his show he

talked quite a bit about me and my

opinions on this

and

uh the first thing when I when I saw the

show I said to myself

wow Jimmy Dore is not doing too well but

you know age catches up with all of us

now I hadn't seen a Jimmy Dore show in a

while and it looked like

he had sort of aged

and when I listened to it I thought oh

God

can somebody stop me before I start

sounding like an old man

who's lost it because somebody you know

I thought somebody needed to talk to him

and I was trying to figure out how old

he was and I thought

just just based on listening to him I

thought um

high 70s

he looked like he's in kind of good

shape you know maybe he takes care of

himself but I thought he's probably 75

76 something like that and you know you

have to I think forgive people for being

a little a little less

quick

when they reached that age

yeah he was he was pretty old so I

looked up his actual age

he's 57.

so that was shocking I thought he I

thought he was closer to 75.

yeah that's what I thought

because you know I'm 65 and I thought

well I'm losing the step

but uh he looked like he lost a lot of

steps you'd have to see it to know what

I'm talking about

but

he also uh he criticized me for calling

the uh the pure Bloods

uh anti-vaxxers and I'd like to clarify

if you will allow me to clarify when I

use the term anti-vaxxer I'm not talking

about all vaccinations

it's always in the context of covet I've

never talked about vaccinations in

general

ever

and in fact a lot of people said Scott

Scott don't throw us into the anti-vaxx

category because we're only concerned

with a the the coveted one

and in fact our kids are vaccinated with

irregular vaccinations but they've been

tested in the normal way

so

um I wasn't aware of this but were you

aware that the normal childhood

vaccinations have been tested

because I thought they weren't

have they been tested childhood

vaccinations

because I thought they would I thought

they were only tested individually

but the way we give them is that

collectively right we give like a

combined shop but that's never been

tested has it the combined shot or did

they only test them individually

they tested some yeah so I don't know

much about the ordinary vaccination

story

but I was unaware that they've tested

them the way they're given I they were

tested individually but I don't think

they were tested the way they're given

you know all at once yeah I think that's

RFK Junior's point I think Trump made

that point as well

so there are a lot of people who are

happy with uh an untested vaccination

for their children but they make a

distinction because the MRNA is unknown

so they they're more comfortable with

the unknown of the combined childhood

vaccination than the unknown of the MRNA

so that seems reasonable

um

and yes and we'll get to some of your

points I see you can go by all right so

the first thing you need to know is that

when I talk about the anti-vaxxers

some are taking that as I was uh

I was making it an insult

but I'm not

to me the anti-vaccineers were the

people that didn't want to take the

coveted vaccine vaccination and got the

right answer

and if I had been talking about all the

other people

I would have included the fact

that there's some question about whether

the childhood vaccinations have been

tested the way they should be tested you

know all together instead of

individually

so I'm not anti I'm not against

anti-vaxxers does that make sense if his

effort sounded like I was

why would I be

it doesn't even make sense that I would

be

all right um

what else did he say oh and then on the

Jimmy Dore show they speculated that the

reason I was so Pro lockdown and

pro-vaccination

according to them not according to

anything I actually did or said but it's

because of my hatred for Trump

I'll just leave that there for a moment

yeah so after they had analyzed me

completely

uh their bottom line was that it could

be the reason I'm so wrong is my hatred

of trump and that that spread over into

me disliking uh my entire audience

so

um but he's only 57. he's Jimmy doors

will be 57 very surprising

all right um

now a lot of you said that the way you

did your analysis and your personal

research and assessment was not just

about the science some of you were good

at that but they were good at not

trusting the people who were withholding

information and making money and all

that but I think that argument

is one I've always agreed with right so

the people who said all the people who

are making the vaccination can't be

trusted the government can't be trusted

nobody can be trusted I was always on

that page I was only questioning the

long covet and

apparently you knew that it wasn't a

problem for me

because it wasn't a problem for young

people

um

no mandatory shots right yeah I've never

been in favor of any mandatory shots

that's for sure

yeah yeah I actually led a anti-mask

uh movement but uh Jimmy Dore knows

better

he knows what I was really thinking and

doing

but anyway

I would like to push back on uh Jimmy's

uh oh and then there are also a number

of people who wanted me to say that when

I said that the the unvaxed people won

that they they want me to clarify that

nobody won

all right so the people who did not give

axed do not want to be labeled as

winners because that would make them

seem small as if you know they didn't

care about the people who were

who were injured but of course they do

care about them and so I won't call it

one I'll just say they were right is

that better

now oh yeah Alex Barrison Alex Berenson

offered to talk to me

to uh to explain to me how he got the

right answer and I didn't

now

uh the last thing I'd like to deal with

is Jimmy Dore

thinks that I'm arrogant

in general I think but on this topic I

would like to defend myself against that

charge

does this look arrogant

does this seem arrogant

now

here's my argument

if I were going to be arrogant

I would act a little differently

well would you mind if I showed you just

like a fictional version of what I would

look like if I were acting arrogant

because then you can contrast it to the

way I am acting so so I like if with

your permission I'm going to model what

it would have looked like had I been

arrogant

okay

you ready this is me doing an impression

of Scott if he were arrogant

well you looked at the science and then

you did your own research

um

some people would say there's a step

missing

[Music]

in which

the psychology

mattered I can't reach it on

I'm strapped into my

unto my

thing here

but some would say that the people who

understand persuasion would know that

this is nothing but confirmation bias

and so the people who said they did this

and then you know trusted their gut

instinct if I were arrogant I would say

well you've just described the exact

reason that science was invented

science was invented

so you wouldn't do this

that was to prevent you from doing this

and this

because these are not science

science is the solution

to doing this this would be the problem

not the solution this would be

everything wrong

according to somebody who understood

psychology

now that would be arrogant

that would be messed up

and that's why I don't do that

instead

I say the people who got the correct

answer it's obvious that they use the

right process and

that's the end of the story and if they

ignore the biggest risk of long covet

it's not because I know how to do things

right

and I include all the risks that would

be arrogant

instead I learned from the people who

got it right and I try to improve my

game

so don't let me be like that because

that would be arrogant

no more arrogance we won't do that

anymore and that ladies and gentlemen

brings me to the end of my program for

YouTube I'm going to talk to the locals

people for a minute

bye for now