Episode 2200 Scott Adams - If You Want Your Mind Blown, Today Is The Day For That. Bring Cleanup Rags

dude good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization times two you might see behind me a white board but don't be confused it's two-way boards two white boards today yeah I know settle down settle down do white boards but if you'd like to put your mind at a level that is equal to the content you're going to see today all you need is a cup of mug or a glass of tanker Chelsea Stein a canteen jogger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the end of the day the thing that makes everything better or is called the simultaneous up it happens now go there we go yes everybody have an equitable morning we will settle for nothing less lots of stories today I'm not sure the Zuckerberg versus musk fight is going to happen I think Zuckerberg is saying that musk is not serious enough and he doesn't want to do a practice fight at his house and so it looks like maybe that's off I don't know but we'll keep an eye on it RFK JR says that the media is hitting him harder than Trump he says I like this quote if I believe this stuff that's written about me in the papers and reported about me on the mainstream news sites I would definitely not vote for me I get it he said which is totally correct if you believed what the news said about Kennedy uh uh you wouldn't vote for him but I remind you how often is the news about public figures accurate the news about never not even ever there's always context left out there's always a bias in the reporting there's always stuff that nobody could possibly know that matters yeah so nothing you see about RFK Jr is going to be true if it's in the news at least not true completely it'll be maybe true facts but out of context that sort of thing all right I have a conspiracy theory to add to the mix do you feel like there are enough do you need a new conspiracy theory yeah uh but you're going to have to help me out on the fact checking on this because there are so many legal cases going on that I'm starting to get confused what's a Biden case and what's a trump case and which Trump case is it and is it the gun charges or is it something else so uh wise I'm getting Jack Smith and wise confused what why is is the one who did the uh sweetheart deal for Hunter right is that right what so Weiss is the one with a sweetheart deal for Hunter now Weiss is also the one who's been chosen as the uh what do you call it the Special counsel right so here's the sequence of events that didn't make sense uh so Weiss was a trump appointed prosecutor correct give me a fact check of that Trump appointed right Trump appointed but then brought a Biden related sweetheart plea deal to the courts and it was so bad that it was thrown away so how do you explain that why would he be a professional and even a you know possibly you know not too Lefty but why would he do something that so obviously was you know imperfect I don't know the answer to this but I would tell you what I would do in his situation just to give you some context all right let's say you put me in Weiss's situation and my boss Garland says you have full approval to prosecute in any state you want and you have all the resources you want and nobody will bother you and then you find out none of that's true hypothetically you find out that you can't actually do whatever you want you don't have the power and they lied to you and they did not help you the entire time how would you play it would you reside some people would it's not what I would have done do you know what I would do it's a little thing called Embrace and amplify yeah once you see it you put me in his job and you know what I do I would put together the most absurd ridiculous plea agreement I'd make sure that all the idiots who were trying to block me and stop me and influence me thought it was the best plea deal they'd ever seen and then I would go public with it and I would let it blow up in my face just the way it happened I would put together a deal so absurd that the public would be signaled that there's no justice going on and that's what happened and so absurd he couldn't guarantee that a judge would throw it out but he had to know it was an option and what would happen if the judge threw it out while there would be a lot of conversation and winter about what was going on and then the that I think he was probably subjected to would come to light and what was the net result he got more power he got more power now I understand the argument that oh isn't this convenient you know just when Congress wanted to look into things it becomes a special counsel so that they can't yes that is very convenient and it might be the whole reason could be wouldn't rule it out so maybe the whole the whole thing is just to keep Congress from finding out what's going on but the other possibility is if you put me and Weiss's job and then then I found out I couldn't do my job and yet it was my job to go embarrass myself in public like I really had I wouldn't do it I would not play along but I wouldn't necessarily resign I would stay to destroy the system that's what I'd do I mean I think that's just a personality thing but if you put me in that situation what I would do would look exactly like what he did but my intentions would be to blow it up and just show how corrupt it is now if that's what happened and then the result of that is he got the power he always needed in the first place you might see something like an interesting outcome however today we find out that the so-called diversion agreement where I think they take a the classic case for a diversion agreement as I understand it is that if somebody's an addict but non-violent sometimes you'll divert them into some treatment and don't treat the crime like you might have because it's a non-violent situation so to me this is a perfect situation for a diversion agreement like he is non-violent there's not much chance you know he's going to do that exact same gun crime of lying on a Federal Form what is he going to repeat that crime I don't think so so you need some kind of you know the justice system needs to be involved he wouldn't like a diversion either but it seems like the right application and now there's some thought that the diversion part was separate from the plea deal so that the at least the gun charges would be treated in a diversiony way I think that means he gets treatment counseling something like that doesn't get to keep his guns I imagine so I think that's what the legal system should be doing for somebody like him but the you know the rest of the plea deal I suppose that's a bigger question all right um so I'm just going to throw that out there as this might be an embrace Embrace and amplify it might be it looks like it Jordan Peterson says he's creating a new College online isn't that like one of the best things you've heard lately the Jordan Peterson is trying to create an actual Accredited Online University that wouldn't have all the flaws of current education systems you know the the wokeness and ridiculous courses and stuff like that um but he thinks he could get the course of a bachelor of the cost of a bachelor's degree down to four thousand dollars if it's online now I don't think online is as good as in person but maybe with AI it will be fairly quickly maybe it will be because if you had an AI to ask questions you know in in addition to the whatever the lecture look like and the homework might really help I mean we might be where online is actually competitive and he's you know Jordan Peterson would be exactly the person I would hope would be involved in this sort of thing because he can see the whole field you know he understands Academia of course but he also gets the whole psychological political you know situation so we could put together something that made sense so I like that but I would like to amplify and add to this conversation a little bit with some white boards that are coming up don't get too excited oh yeah it's going to be good it's going to be good but I asked this question on my live stream in my man cave last night and I'm going to ask the same question to you in this group because I think it's relevant to Jordan Peterson and his creating new colleges online question number one you're an employer and you're looking for employees you've got two candidates and they seem to be identical one is a white candidate one is a black candidate but on paper they seem to have just the same background and experience so you can't tell but the black candidate mentions that he's building a talent stack and he prefers systems over goals and you immediately recognize that he's read my book how to filled almost everything and still went big who do you hire which one do you hire the one who read my book or the one who didn't well read it and is implementing it racist says white white person and now you would hire the black person because the black person had acquired a set of skills that very clearly signal a serious person who is very likely to do well and you would want to work with him so I put that out there as uh evidence that there already is a strategy for people to succeed but why don't they you know what's holding things up if we know exactly what it would take for any individual be they white or black or brown or anything else we know how to do it why isn't it happening well that's what the white boards are going to teach you are you ready for this are you ready to have your mind blown some people on the locals platform my community there have seen some of this but you're going to see it all put together in a way they haven't seen either so the first part you may have seen it's a it's an idea by a philosopher Lao Sue he'll try to get rid of that there we go and allowsu said many years ago he said uh watch your thoughts because your thoughts become words watch your words because your words become actions watch your actions because they become habits habits become your character and your character is Destiny now I'm going to update this Lao Sue was a very smart guy apparently but he was smart before we discovered how to make AI work so there's something we have to update on this words and thoughts turns out of the same thing whoops so AI taught us the large language models that all you have to do is look at the pattern of words and if you applied the right technology to it just the word use alone would produce intelligence but before that we imagined we had some kind of you know reason and thoughts and stuff that was independent from our words but AI kind of put the lie to that which is something by the way hypnotists have known forever hypnotists know that the words are what are activating you the thoughts are really word combinations because we think in words right your thoughts right now your private thoughts are in words if you were to change those words what would happen well if you change the words so I'm going to treat you words and thoughts as one thing because AI taught us that right so if you change your words you're going to change your actions because that's how you're built that's the only way it can work the things you do are literally based on the frequency and combination of words in your programmer your head your brain so to reprogram a person from something sub-optimal to something that they would want all you do is change the frequency and arrangement of words do you know what this is called if you change the frequency and arrangement of words and and what you're doing is trying to change somebody's actions what's what's that called wordsmithing no reframing yes could be hypnosis that's exactly what hypnosis is hypnosis is not a lot of people if they watch movies they think it's about the watch this clock they think it's about the voice of the hypnotist it's not the voice it's not the mannerisms although those those are helpful parts of the process it's actually the frequency and the arrangement of words that's hypnosis that's it that's enough to change somebody's entire brain and their actions their habits their character and then their destiny so if you could optimize the words in your head blah blah blah let me give you a real concrete example the other day I was showing this to somebody and the person said that they they were working on a problem they had a fear of rejection right there they were considering doing something it was somebody considering an action which would have been almost certainly good for them right a very obvious you know just a really obvious thing to do that would be good for you but couldn't get the action right because of the fear of rejection that ladies and gentlemen is word poisoning you say to yourself well there's some bad thoughts there no words are thoughts words and their combinations and their frequency is your thoughts there's no difference once you get that you unlock this power until you understand that your words are a programming language that you can change on your own you can't you don't have access to the stack right and then what I heard when I heard the person say to me fear of rejection I had this thought I don't use that word for anything anything I'm never going to let that word in my head when I heard it I I like I recoiled I recoiled the actual word hurt me it was like I don't want that in my head I will never use that word because I don't want to stop myself from acting do you know what I say in those situations this is going to be great this would be great because keep in mind that in all of the situations I'm talking about mine or anybody else's people know what they're supposed to do am I right don't people almost always know what they're supposed to do it's just hard to do it and the reason it's hard is because you don't have your words right if the words in your head is the word rejection you're not going to do this whatever it is if the word in your head is this is going to be great this will be excited this will be interesting by the way curiosity is one of the best replacement words if you have some negative words and you want the easiest way to replace them replace them with curiosity words I wonder what's going to happen well this will be interesting I am fascinated about how today is going to turn out you put those words in your head you're going to act you put the r word in your head I'm not even going to say it again because it's such a damaging word or the f word f-a-i-l nope not when I say it's not my vocabulary I mean that I've consciously made sure that if it comes up it's not about me that's you know I'm talking about a system failure or something like that all right so how many of you are sold on this as a good way of understanding the world just just give me a a halfway point is this a good way to understand what you see right I think most of you say yes got one now all right so now I'm gonna so hold on to this thought that words not thoughts words are what unlock habits okay words and the combination of words is the only thing that unlocks habits not thoughts just the words if you don't get that you don't get anything right now let's explain the world this by the way would apply to other people more generally but I'm going to give you a specific problem so we have a problem let's say you're let's say you're a black kid and you want to succeed in this world and you want to do it the way everybody succeeds the way everybody succeeds is they imitate people who have successful patterns so you look for somebody who's 60 you think and you say what are you doing to succeed and then you try to do that that's how everybody does it everybody everywhere now every once in a while you might produce a Steve Jobs right Steve Jobs does seem magical it's like he was inventing things that other people copied now I don't think he actually invented anything but he was better at noticing patterns so he might be you know like a real exception where he's inventing patterns as opposed to following them but the rest of us follow we would follow him right she'd say what did you do all right let's do more of that but because we have an industry that tells you that well these all have something in common the Dei the CRT the ESG one thing they have in common is the words that there were slaves their systemic racism there's black and there's white and that there is a oppressor class and an oppressed class those would be you know that's an example of the words right so don't think too hard about the specific words but you would agree that all of these ideas these Concepts are built on words you agree so far it's a it's a word related set of thoughts as everything is so these are not these are not uniquely about words any three-letter Concepts I put here would also be supported by their sets of words these sets of words create what I call the glass imitation ceiling meaning that if you're a young black kid and you're asked to imitate successful people you're going to be looking at the people that you have been taught or your oppressors who can do that who could imitate the repressors I couldn't if you said the only way you can succeed is by imitating your oppressors or a life of crime I'd pick the crime I would I'm just being honest if you put me in that same situation the the mental emotional um impact of having to imitate my oppressor there's just no way I'd do it I would I would take up a life of crime before I did that so that's the situation you're putting black kids in and again if anybody's new to me I'm never talking about all black kids I'm never talking about all white people anything I'm never talking about all black people anything or all anybody anything people are amazingly different from each other but this is just a good conceptual framework so here's what I think has to be fixed uh Black Americans have an imitation ceiling they simply can't do the things that other people would do but the tools are all there the tools are there I mentioned my book had it failed almost everything and still went big my new one that is also coming out I think this week if the last technical Parts work with the online publishing but those would be two examples of books that would tell anybody how to succeed because I've organized the words and the books to make that happen the books are also hypnosis in the sense that they're built they're built to be persuasive as well as you know utilitarian how do you fix this I'm going to tell you I have no idea I have no idea how to fix it the only thing I'm sure of is that it has to be fixed by the people who are involved which is not me this is something that can't be fixed from the outside no matter how good your intentions are no matter how good your skill is and no matter anything it doesn't matter how many resources you have there are some things that have to be fixed from the inside and I feel like every time you put outside pressure on a group that's already in a say victim and oppressor model that outside pressure depending on who it comes from let's say it comes from somebody like me is it helping I don't know I I don't have a good argument that would say it would help might actually make it worse so somehow Black America needs to figure this out you know how do they either create enough black successful people or stories about them so that young black kids have lots of role models that they can imitate this is the basic setup you don't know how much your problem is systemic racism until you deal with the fact that people are not pursuing individual success because they feel like it's denied to them or where it would be unpleasant to copy somebody so that's my understanding of the world did it help all right give me some feedback did this tell you did this give you a framework that you can at least say well I could compare this to some other points of view there's a big difference in the comments on You.

Tube versus all right for those who said no uh I guess it would be hard to ask the question so I see more yeses than those but I think the nose may be um yeah I mean I have a theory about the nose I think the nose are people who don't want this to be useful I think there are a lot of people who just want they want their drama they they want their hate you know they want their helplessness you can get real addicted to that stuff so you're you're welcome to your feelings all right Norway is going to be finding meta for their targeted advertising as you know meta used to be Facebook and uh their entire business model and other online models is that they can give you an ad that's targeted just for you but Norway says no to targeted ads sort of on a I think it's a privacy issue but they're going to find a hundred thousand dollars a day for Facebook and Instagram's business if they keep doing it now whatever Norway does is not going to make or break meta but it makes you wonder if this is something that could catch on would you agree that targeted advertisement is by definition a violation of your privacy feels like it I mean I understand the argument but you know there are lots of situations where you're trading a little bit of privacy for a little bit of utility so you always have to measure well I gave up a little privacy but I got a lot of utility so I don't know Norway might have the right idea on this this one I think this one's open for opinion but um I'm leaning toward Norway but more generally I don't understand how how medicines stay in business like have you ever seen a business in your town that seemed to defy economics to such a degree that you think it must be a money laundering situation because they couldn't possibly stay in business for 30 years with the business model That You observe it's like okay you're selling decorative I don't know doilies and you've been in business for 30 years and I never see anybody in your store you're like something else going on there I think right uh but that's how I feel about meta I don't know anybody who's happy about using it now Instagram of course is is a monster and what's you know Whats.

App is a monster so they have they have sources of revenue but the the main business which I would say would be the the Facebook part of old and now the the virtual reality stuff I think those are dead those both feel like dead men walking to me I don't know how they could survive but we'll see Zuckerberg Zucker has been right before Zuck has been more right than me so if I'm being if I'm being reasonably humble well he's probably got a better grasp on this than I do you think that uh history repeats how many how many would say this is a fair fair statement history repeats it now we can't repeat care repeat here's the problem with history repeats Which history do you pick suppose you were looking at history repeats and you're looking at the news from 2015 to today and you wanted to use that as your model for history repeats which version of History would use the version that says that President Trump was a coup planner and insurrectionist and then you would say well that'll happen again or would you use the version of history that says that was always fake news and that nothing like that happened they're both history and they but they point in opposite directions so if history repeats which one do you pick you see the problem the problem is you get to pick the history you like is the opposite of science if you get to pick the version of history that supports your point it's not because history repeats is that you cherry-picked a little story that probably wasn't real to begin with because history isn't real and then you try to generalize it now history repeats is ridiculous but we're you know we were brainwashed into thinking use the thing the only part that I would say history repeats is the human human motivations are always the same so for example if you created a large organization that with no transparency and a lot of money is involved what what's the likelihood that it would eventually become corrupt 100 percent 100 so that's a that's case of history repeating but it's within the special case of yeah people always act the same so instead of saying history repeats change that in your mind to People Are People follow the money follow the money will take it all I mean follow the money gets you the whole the whole the whole answer it's just always going to be right so that's better than uh history repeats but I mentioned this because somebody else's San Francisco in a doom Loop in other words is it just going to keep spiraling down into nothing and somebody used the example of Detroit is it going to become like Detroit when manufacturing left and my answer is no it's uh San Francisco is not going to go to nothing and neither will Maui because Maui and San Francisco have a lot in common that the weather is unusually you know good and even even though San Francisco is like cold for California famously foggy and stuff people like it I mean something that people like so now if you have the best locations in the world follow the money follow the money the money says that you always build along the coast you know there's just always going to be money for that now yeah there might be you know some companies leave and there's lots of disruption and stuff but San Francisco isn't going to be abandoned there's just too much money involved in that location of course it'll be rebuilt of course it will come back and Maui's the same nobody's going to leave Maui you know unrecovered way too much money in that so yeah but Detroit once manufacturing left Detroit who had an interest in putting a bunch of money into it to build it up you still have Detroit weather all right uh so follow the money you don't say history repeats so I've got a another Theory so you probably saw the news that Biden's been at the beach for a few weeks and then he was asked about Maui and although I think he has put out an official statement he was asked for comment alive and he said no comment about Maui about the fire that destroyed Lahaina and might be the worst disaster we've ever seen of Fire no comment here's my interpretation if you were Jill Biden and you had been either asked by others or you decided it was time and you were going to tell Joe that he's not going to be president and by the way I do believe that Jill can just tell him that does anybody disagree I believe that Jill has his wife has the decision of whether he runs or not and it's not Joe's decision and I'm not doing the old oh the wife you know the wife's in charge it's not that I'm not doing the old uh um she's always been the puppet master I'm not doing that I'm saying that in any copy the older one is need to make this decision for me conceive it that way but in a realistic sense when it comes to you know the big decisions of life Jill's the decision maker in my opinion that would be obvious by this point I don't think it was obvious uh four years ago four years ago I think Joe was in enough you know in enough control that it was more like a partnership in other words that both Jill and Joe had to be on board which they were it looks like and then they could go forward but this time if Jill is not on board that's the end of it now if you were Jill and it was your job to tell your husband that he's not really going to run for president again how would you do it and where would you do it and when would you do it you would do it right now you would do it on his summer vacation and when you were done what would Joe's frame of mind be because remember it wouldn't be his decision it would be his wife telling it telling him that was the decision and when and when he's asked about Lahaina after he's been told he's not going to be the president how does he respond well one way he might respond is no comment not because he doesn't care but because he checked out and that his mind is entirely upon his own situation right now which would suggest a decision has already been made so here's my here's my uh front running of the news the decision is made by Jill has been informed and you'll find out probably much later now I could be wrong pretty easily but that's what it looks like and I base this on pattern recognition if you put me in this situation you said all right your Jill and you're gonna have to break the news to him and he's not going to like it I do it on his summer vacation when he has lots of time away from the regular work to process it I do it when he's away from everybody else because if he doesn't take it well you don't want a lot of witnesses and I would do it exactly at this time so there's enough time for a replacement to get in uh without it being too embarrassing what do you think I think to me it is screamingly obvious that from the here's the modeling point if you put a political model in this you can't see it if it's only a political model it's a little bit invisible if you put a relationship model on it it's obvious huh if you put a if you put a relationship filter on this it's obvious she must have told them she must have told them in the last two weeks that's what I think so we'll test so this will be a good test of my predicting you know nothing's 100 but I feel pretty confident about this one um that I think the relationship filter is screamingly obvious on this one well we'll see and also anything could change all right uh it's all Ben Shapiro and some other smart people say that the special counsel that's been chosen uh can't be chosen from the government employee and that's what they did so did they just sort of decide to ignore the I don't know laws or statutes or is there actually a counter argument to this because to me it looks pretty cut and dried you can't pick them from a government employee he is a government employee they did pick him can somebody explain that to me it's not a law it's a statute so is it a suggestion but not a requirement oh they violated it before it's a regulation not a requirement so who can who can violate a regulation anybody who's the Boss I don't know so I don't know if that's a big story or not probably not um do we need to talk about the Georgia situation and Trump's perfect phone call now the perfect phone call to me looks just like the drinking bleach hoax the fine people hoax it's entirely based on intentional misreporting isn't it they changed the words of what he said and then they changed the context a little bit if they didn't change his words his exact words and his context it looks completely different so I guess that's all I would say about it it's the same trick of taking your amount of context all right remember every single day I tell you that Rama Swami Vivek won the the news cycle again well here we go again um one of one of the viral videos is a a pansexual lgbtq reporter for some publication um got the conversation or asked the vague some questions quite politely and the vague's answer was so perfect and complete and off the cuff like he wasn't reading from notes or anything and he talked for a while I mean so it was a really complete tight little package that it became viral just because it was the best answer anybody's ever seen to that question imagine being so good at answering the question that people make you viral just because your answer was so good you just look at it and go how did you even do that that was so good right and that was just one thing he did I mean he was rapping the other day um but then he also makes news by being sort of the only one who's saying and I'll I'll I think this is him his actual words uh Ukrainian State Affiliated companies multi-million dollar bribe to the Biden family so he's he's calling it a bribe and he's saying somewhat obvious that this should have affected his decisions on support for Ukraine's war and he says it directly which again makes news and I think it's a perfect Fair perfectly Fair um framing of the situation he's not saying that there's a specific you know any specific decision but this this clearly would put you in a conflict bribery looking situation which he says is impeachable I looks impeachable to me I mean it looks like the most impeachable thing of all time it's like perfectly impeachable what was it um so there it is again yeah Vivek day after day after day wins the news cycle now how did De.

Santis do in Iowa De.

Santis looks like somebody who already decided to quit the race right because the the other the other people are they they still have a second bite of the Apple because they still have the vice presidency that's sort of up for grabs and then you know another chance at the presidency De.

Santis is not really a possibility as a vice president would you agree I don't see any way that De.

Santis would be a vice presidential shortlist so if De.

Santis thinks he can't you know make it to the top he it looked like a whole lot of giving up this week it looked like maybe he's already decided that you know he's just going through the motions because he has backers and you know they told him not to quit yet but of course I suppose everybody's waiting just to see if Trump escapes all of his legal problems but uh I think Vivek will be the if the if Trump went away I think Vivek would rise to the top immediately as a person who would get the Trump votes right um so Trump went after his uh judge that he's going to have for her alleged bias in her past statements about Trump and I would agree that her past statements about Trump to me show a bias against it has anybody read her comments because that one party she talked about other people in January 6.

in some public statement and said that yet Trump remains free Now that statement is chilling because it's a very clear statement that she believes that he should not be a free man before seeing the evidence just based on what she saw in public now here's the situation so the media spent how many years like six years seven years brainwashing the public mostly Democrats brainwashing Democrats into believing that Trump is a traitorous racist sexist am I right he's a traitorist racist sexist the news has been telling everybody mostly Democrats this for years and then the person who is randomly chosen happens to be a female black immigrant right the very groups that the news has been telling everybody should be the most the most outraged that he even exists now as I said in my tweet if science were real and I'm pretty sure it's not at this point and and the scientists were not useless weasels don't you think there should be some scientist like a cognitive scientist who should say under these specific situations you absolutely cannot have an immigrant black female judging Trump now this is not a comment about her qualifications you got to hear this clearly I have no reason to believe she's not a great judge no indications I also understand the judges could have bias but still do their job do we agree this is not a comment about her as a judge not about her it's a general statement that if you put anybody in this situation cognitive scientists if they were not all frauds and weasels and pieces of would be going public and say look look this is really a special case you've had the most powerful brainwashing forces brainwashing half of the country into believing that he's this massive monster a racist sexist immigrant and hating person and then you randomly pick a female black immigrant to be his judge and the rest of the country is supposed to watch this and say oh that looked fair to me no problem here I absolutely think that you can't remove bias from you know juries and from judges because we're humans and I absolutely think that even with those biases you can still get the right result but that's what the bias is at like normal levels we're not looking at anything normal the the Trump derangement syndrome is very real it's been studied there's no question that it's real and when you see the comments of the judge about you know he's he's still free after January 6.

you cannot imagine that this would look like a fair trial to anybody who's paying attention and I think that the justicism has a obligation to not only try to give people a fair trial duh but to make sure it looks like it make sure it looks like it this doesn't look like it and Trump is calling it out because he's the only one with the balls to say the obvious it's really obvious that this is not it's not looking Fair now again am I saying that she she is not a professional enough to be fair I'm not saying that at all I believe that her intentions in all likelihood would be to be as Fair as possible I would I would assume that but I don't think that from a scientific basis from a scientific perspective you could put any female black immigrant into this specific job with a specific case of trump he's the exception this can't work this this can't work and the only reason we've gotten this far is because scientists are cowards do you think there's even one cognitive scientist who would back this just one anywhere in the world do you think there's one cognitive scientist who would say yeah I think this is a situation where you know as long as it's transparent and every you know judges are taught to be independent so this should be fine do you think so do you think you could get one actual professional to say that about this now they'd obviously say it about uh trials in general right in general we do the best we can but this is not in general this is a very specific situation that violates every historical precedent there's never been a president like this who has been the subject of massive media brainwashing right massive and you could prove that the the brainwashing is even intentional you could probably find quotes from you know news Executives Etc that would prove that it's not accidental is it an actual brainwashing operation when you saw the uh the fake laptop story that it was Russian disinformation when you see that 50 in in past and current intelligence people signed a letter is that ordinary brainwashing is that is that like a rank and file you know you know all of you could do it no no that is that is military grade that is military grade brainwashing that's not commercial grade commercial grade is advertising right right now I'm doing commercial grade persuasion but the the government does military grade that's what the laptop persuasion was that was about the Russia collusion hoax was that like commercial grade no that was military grade that was absolutely military grade how about the uh fine people hoax the fine people Oaks do you think that was just commercial grade no no that was military grade so you're looking at military grade brainwashing that has clearly affected one segment of the country more than others I would argue both sides are being brainwashed but in different ways right it's not always it's not always the same level of danger depending on the brainwashing so for example Trump is brainwashing his team into believing he did better than he did but we just call that politics and we expect that right but Trump does a good job he actually has people very convinced of his of his successes which by the way he did have a lot of successes all right well this is completely unfair Trump is 100 right I agree that he should go as hard as possible at her um in most situations I would say no but in this specific situation of trump and years of massive military-grade brainwashing yes he should go right at this as hard as he is totally agree did I talk yesterday about Bill Maher apparently he knows the the fine people hoax was a hoax so he said it on on his uh Club random he actually said that he doesn't like being a gas lit and that this was obviously a made-up thing but even though he knows the story is fake he still seemed to believe I don't want to read his mind but based on what he said he seemed to indicate that he thought Trump actually said something like that by his defenses you know that it's sort of taken out of context or something I don't know but he actually didn't say it like like Bill is almost there he thinks he did say it but it was like over interpreted or misinterpreted or something like that you know or or no here's what he said I'm sorry I'm I'm botching this story what Mara said was that Trump had so often clarified that he disavowed Nazis that that should be taken as more of the truth than the one thing he said that didn't sound good now that's not really the argument the real argument is he didn't ever say it and literally he said aggressively clearly and immediately the opposite of what was reported that's really different than oh he has said before he disavowed them so you should take you know you should take that as true that's that's the weakest not quite accurate defense but at the very least at the least Mar knows he's being gaslit on this topic that's progress that's a little bit of progress not nearly the entire story was reversed and faked but it's progress all right um you've heard people say that the windmills the offshore windmills are bad for the whales and maybe some of the other sea life and I never knew what to think about that but one of the things that I use as my my BS filter is when the science matches observation right so we have uh in our own Community here we see you Erica so we we have a real life human being that I can verify as a real life human being who says they've seen their 61st dead whale on their Beach 61.

this is one person with one beach and offshore there are apparently some newish windmills can you imagine any Beach that ever had 61 dead whales I don't know what the time period is but I imagine just a few years yeah that doesn't look like a coincidence does it because I don't think there were 61 dead whales where there are no windmills so the so I'm going to say you know I didn't see the whales and I wouldn't understand the science if I saw it but when you've got the science and the observation matching like that and then you've got Michael schellenberger who's you know he's on this case and he's he's basically untangling it for you if you've got those three things happening schellenberger has weighed in he's done the work he's very highly credible very highly credible you've got observation that's through the roof you know if you saw three whales with three whales tell the story I don't know three seems like a lot actually if I are the three whales you know that would get my you tell me this 61 whales 61.

I'm not going to ignore that and then the sign seems to back it so you've got three points of credibility here that's unusual that's an unusually high level of credibility now I don't want to say it's 100 proven because nothing in our world ever is but wow I wouldn't worry about this one you know those signals are pretty glaring all right um do you think that the world the the world has more fires or fewer fires Bjorn Lumberg says that uh you're talking about the reinsurers so some people are saying hey um there must be more natural disasters caused by climate change because the reinsurers don't want to be in the insurance business so they're afraid that the climate change will be too bad do you see anything wrong with that argument so the things we know is that the insurance business the reinsurers the insurance business is too afraid of climate change risks from natural disasters so that must be pretty credible that climate change is real must be real because the insurance companies are the the most realistic players anywhere because they don't get the the insurance companies go out of business if they're trying to Gaslight you they can only use real numbers as best as they can understand them because otherwise they go out of business they can't just make up so did they just make stuff up here let me tell you what's missing from the story how many of you know what's missing from the story that changes it totally what's missing from the story price of Real Estate price of real estate let's say you're in the insurance business and somebody builds a house on the ocean and that house is worth half a million dollars you say yeah I mean if something happens to that house we can afford to pay that half a million dollars and then a bunch of people build on on the shore and each of them is half a million dollar house let's say and the insurance company still says well that's more than I can handle like that's a lot of houses but what I do is I I sell my insurance into What's called the reinsurer market so basically you you can spread your risk among other entities so even if all of the homes there when you know got taken out by a hurricane if every one of them went you're still okay because you you didn't take on all the risk yourself you sold some of the risk to other people who shared it in the risk so everybody's okay so far everything's good and everybody has insurance now let's say that the risk of climate change makes the risk of your house going away your half million dollar house goes up 30 percent can you still get insurance oh probably yeah you probably could now let's say that your half million dollar house turns into a 20 million dollar house because maybe a little bit of it is inflation but also houses are rebuilt by even richer people who want you know Ocean Beach so now the insurer now the insurer says uh I can't even Insure One house there there's the real estate's too expensive I can't even and even if I try to ensure you know a bunch of houses and try to spread that risk with the the reinsurers it's too big it's just the numbers are too big so that's always left out of the story the price of real estate should make Insurance impractical at some point because they they can't charge enough to be sure they'll get their money back now when when insurance companies say they're pulling out you you haven't interpreted that to mean they don't want to sell insurance there right nothing like that's happening the insurance companies that are pulling out they totally want to sell you insurance even no matter how big your house is but they want you to pay a market rate for it and there's no way you will it's just too expensive right so the when you see the story is about insurers pulling out make sure that you're also seeing the context that the cost of real estate is so so high that it's hard for an insurer to just even afford losses at that scale and then some of it you have to think it might be uh brain brainwashing about climate change so they may have convinced themselves is really about climate when it might more be about the cost of real estate going up all right all right um but there are not more fires or catastrophes that's mostly media all right um DARPA is developing a screening tool to detect risk of suicide primarily in service people because did you know this since 2001 more than 30 000 U.S active duty members and Veterans have died from suicide thirty thousand that would be uh three-fifths the size of the Vietnam War which was fifty thousand wow so I'm not sure I knew how big a problem this was you know I hear in the news all the time that military suicides are higher than ever you know that's alarming but I wasn't really aware of the scale the the scale is way different I mean now add the PTSD people the people who are living a life you know maybe they wish they were dead that's a lot of people who are dead like that we don't count as victims of a war you know and maybe that's a problem maybe we should be able to calculate how many people are going to commit suicide after any military action and maybe we should say all right this military action is likely to you know take five thousand lives today and thirty thousand over the next 20 years or something like that foreign but there's a interesting side element here the tool that they're going to use to screen for early signs of suicide is actually a scan of your brain so they're going to ask you questions that would be relevant you know to the topic of taking your life and then they would look at your brain and see if you're lying so for example if you if you said hey Bob you've been complaining a lot things aren't going well have you ever thought of taking your life and then Bob says no no no now if Bob says yes then the screening process has already worked oh we found one Bob just said yes he thought about it but if Bob says no they can look at his brain and they can tell if he's lying so that would be another yes so then Bob can get some help maybe now on one hand I say to myself wow this would be amazing if you could shortcut this problem and get them the achievement they need which as a patriot I'm especially interested that anybody who went to war or was any part of the war machine they should get everything that they they can get um but the scary part is they're building a lie detector so instead of that the ones that are not allowed in court you know the standard lie detector I think you know they're not allowed in court and the reason they're not allowed in court is that they're not reliable the way a lie detector works and I probably shouldn't give away the secret the way a lie detector works is fooling you into thinking it works that's the active process the active process is not the machine reading your vitals the active process is the person who uses the machine bsing you into thinking it's going to work because if you think it's going to work and then they ask you did you kill the hobo and you're like I'm hooked up to this thing it's totally gonna it's gonna get me it's gonna get me it's good then your vitals go crazy on the machine and then the operator still not a science still not a science because you could be going crazy for an unrelated reason you may be afraid that you would get caught right the real problem might be that you're afraid of getting caught and that elevates your vitals so that's what you know that's just one reason they're not allowed in court because they're not science right so along the not science level so let's say that the the person knows they're lying and and so their vitals go crazy and then the operator says well yeah the the machine has caught uh deception uh would you like to modify that statement and then the person's like maybe I can say something that's not exactly admitting it but maybe maybe I can beat the machine and then they try to lie a little bit more and then the operator says okay that was an obvious lie let me let's say it is uh it appears that you're sending all the signals of lying and then you just watch the person how they react right so the the idea is to convince somebody that they've been caught lying and then they'll maybe confess right but if you walked in knowing that that's how it works if you put me in the machine it wouldn't matter what the machine said you know if the operator said to me oh it's going crazy I say what would you expect when you use something that's not based on science and you put my life at risk with the machine that you know is not even allowed in court because it's not reliable if that thing gives you the wrong indication you're going to go tell people I'm guilty you think I'm going to say here all come and and and and put up with this pseudoscience why don't you read my goddamn horoscope and decide if I should be in jail all right so that's how that's how my lie detector would go I would attack the lie detector guy and I would make him defend his non-science and I'll put him on trial and I would tell him he's a liar I'll say are you telling me this works well you know there's an indication that overtaught no does this work well you know many people have used it in many of you situate no does this work and he'd have to lie to me so I would actually make the lie detector guy lie to me and I would just say look this but it's all and this guy's a liar here's what he said it's on tape because they would usually videotape the the thing just in case so you say look I've got him on tape lying he says this works we have we have a hundred years of science that says it doesn't work and this guy just told me it does so you know you got a liar here you're worried about my life this guy's uh this guy's on video line all right so that could be a problem if they come up with a actual lie detector that works unlike the current models hey let's talk about that Ukrainian offensive so the name Victoria Newland comes up in the news all the time mostly on social media seems and I hear all these accusations of her what what are the accusations that she's I don't know neocon and she likes Wars or something is that what we think all right so here's something uh Glenn Greenwald pointed out in a tweet he said the U.S began openly touting NATO's expansion into Ukraine in 2008 under Bush that was when now CIA director Bill Burns wrote his memo warning that was a red line for all Russia not just Putin all Russia and would trigger war in Crimea and Don Bass and then Greenwald West says Greenwald says guess who was the U.S ambassador to Nato then Victoria Newland so Victoria Newland was Central to the NATO expansion in Ukraine and then was Ambassador to Ukraine was she ambassador to Ukraine um or U.N ambassador I know so here's what I I'd know and what I don't know what I know is her name comes up a lot when there's something sketchy about Ukraine or war or Russia um I don't have any personally I don't have any specific accusations is there a specific accusation where people just think she's too Hawk hawkish is this sort of a generally two hawkish situation I'm not exactly sure why she's being blamed of right but apparently she is a Russia expert which is a Russia expert do you know what I said was the cause of the war does anybody remember what I said was the cause of the war or the cause of our bad relations with Russia in general in my opinion it's because we create too many Russia experts and the Russia experts have to do some Russia stuff and cause some Russian stuff to happen so I think we're creating the people who create the problem because they they need to have a narrative they need to justify their life's work imagine if we created these tens of thousands of Russia experts like Victoria Newland and then we made peace with Russia and they became an ally they all lose their jobs or or they have to at least retool you know and maybe find a way to use those skills but I think we're creating a system which guarantees war with Russia and the system is we keep making Russia experts now I'm not sure I'm not saying we shouldn't have Russia experts but at some point if you've produced an abundance of Russia experts you can guarantee a war with Russia let me let me put it in a different way if we had an unusual number of I don't know North Korea experts do you think that more people go into the foreign services and become Russia experts or do more of them try to become North Korea experts do you know why we're not at war with North Korea probably because we have not created enough North Korea experts to have something that they need to do with their life probably because if you're a rush expert at least you get to visit Russia which could could be cool if you're a North Korean expert you're not even get going to get to visit the place you're an expert at so you know why would you even go into that line of work honestly I think Victoria Newland might be part of my larger larger framework that we create too many people who have to make it their job to create a war with Russia so she just might be one of those she has family from Russia yeah I don't know which way that would affect her maybe that would make her less liking Putin depends how they're depends how the family was doing I guess all right ladies and gentlemen this completes my prepared remarks is there a topic I missed today that is uh vitally important to you yeah so starseed is asking the right questions so questions I would ask because Victoria Newland seems important to the understanding of the larger story wouldn't you want to know what her connections are I tried Googling her and it's just page after page of official government stuff that doesn't look like he's telling me anything because the real questions are who's she married to right who's she married to if she's married I don't know if she is who is she married to uh what associations is she a member of and what do those associations do typically um and uh you know what has she done in the past that might be relevant or controversial so there's a whole bunch I'd like to know about her just to understand the situation but I don't have an accusation so I'm not accusing her of anything I'm just saying maybe we got too many Rush experts all right ladies and gentlemen I'm going to say goodbye to you over on uh all right so I'm getting the anti-semitic thing over on uh You.

Tube I gotta pause for a second okay for all of you anti-Semitic people um while I don't condemn thought crimes uh I don't want to see it like you don't have to put it here but let me let me give you this little framework if you're anti-semitic and you think the Jews are coordinating to take over the world I would like to give you a reframe on that so I'm going to reframe some of you anti-semites antivira anti-semitism and it's going to happen right now right in front of you it won't work for all of you but I'll pick up a few of you so a few of you I'm going to cure right now how would things look different if the only thing about the Jewish Community is they put a big emphasis on education and you know Career Success how would that look different from every observation would they for example go into industries that pay a lot and are great jobs such as the entertainment industry yes would they have more control over the industry than maybe another group they had less less attention to education and Career Success of course so all you need to know is that the Jewish Community has been super successful as school that's it every other observation would look like that so everything you think about oh there must be some coordination and some Jewish thing no how about it's a group of people who put a emphasis on the stuff that puts you in those jobs and then they got good jobs and then you say hey wait a minute there are too many Jewish people in high levels of government how would there not be how could that not happen there are also lots of people from Harvard and Yale in government jobs is it is it a Harvard conspiracy because there's so many Harvard people in government now it's just an indication that there's a certain people who are trying to get those jobs and they're doing the right stuff so the only thing I would ask you is if you're if you've been spending too much time online you're going to get all the the pattern people oh look at this pattern oh it's funny every time there's something bad happening why do I see so many Jewish names in the leadership because they have a concentration of people who like to go to school get good grades and get good jobs if you can't eliminate the obvious fact that people who try to succeed and do all the right things do in fact succeed there's your whole explanation uh I have worked and I'll give you my personal experience so I've worked in mostly public publication publishing the book World syndication can you imagine how many Jewish professionals I deal with you know as my normal work all right it's it's saturated like most of My Success most of it is because I worked with really good Jewish Executives and professionals who were trying to make me successful because that's how they do their jobs and now they're successful but I've spent a lot of time you know saturated in that community I've never seen anything that looked like a conspiracy and I'm pretty sure I would have like I've never seen anybody discriminate anything against me because I was you know not Jewish I've never seen anybody coordinate at all I've never heard of it I've never even heard of anybody like oh the the Jewish Executives got together and did some Jewish stuff never once do do Jewish Executives like Israel yeah yeah what is that a news flash or something would they would they say things in public that would be supportive of Israel and it would sound like they were on the same team yeah yes of course like you're just you're looking for conspiracies where uh it's hard to find now let me uh so that I don't look like I'm you know just completely crazy to you does it look like the uh Jewish let's say lobbying in the United States is effective yes yes why why would it be effective same reason you've got a whole community of people who focused on education have really good communication skills because that's what education gives you also very you know career oriented so they have good jobs so when they talk you listen to them because they're in the kinds of jobs where people listen to them and they like Israel and so there's a whole bunch of people who do things that you know are not bad for the United States necessarily but you know they have a Israel benefit to them it's all transparent I mean this is transparent as you could possibly see Israel is one of our closest allies and we'd probably like to keep it that way so yeah so uh watch the comments and you'll see the people who can't handle the refrain they're they're just going to go with the the insults to me would anybody like to uh live out their troll like anti-semitic uh wet dreams by saying something shitty about me this this would be the time to do it yeah uh and you're debunking what now I'm just telling you that you're seeing conspiracies where you should see a group of people who are just doing the right things for success and and succeeding and of course they might like Israel above average big surprise all right so enough on that uh You.

Tube thanks for listening I'll see

dude

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization

times two you might see behind me a

white board but don't be confused it's

two-way boards two white boards today

yeah I know settle down settle down do

white boards but if you'd like to

put your mind at a level that is equal

to the content you're going to see today

all you need is a cup of mug or a glass

of tanker Chelsea Stein a canteen jogger

flask a vessel of any kind fill it with

your favorite liquid I like coffee and

join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure of the dopamine the end of the

day the thing that makes everything

better or is called the simultaneous up

it happens now go

there we go

yes everybody have an equitable morning

we will settle for nothing less

lots of stories today

I'm not sure the Zuckerberg versus musk

fight is going to happen I think

Zuckerberg is saying that musk is not

serious enough and

he doesn't want to do a practice fight

at his house and

so it looks like maybe that's off I

don't know but we'll keep an eye on it

RFK JR says that the media is hitting

him harder than Trump

he says I like this quote if I believe

this stuff that's written about me in

the papers and reported about me on the

mainstream news sites I would definitely

not vote for me I get it he said

which is totally correct if you believed

what the news said about Kennedy

uh uh you wouldn't vote for him

but I remind you how often is the news

about public figures accurate

the news about never

not even ever

there's always context left out there's

always a bias in the reporting there's

always stuff that nobody could possibly

know that matters yeah so nothing you

see about RFK Jr is going to be true if

it's in the news

at least not true completely it'll be

maybe true facts but out of context that

sort of thing

all right I have a conspiracy theory to

add to the mix do you feel like there

are enough

do you need a new conspiracy theory yeah

uh but you're going to have to help me

out on the fact checking on this because

there are so many legal cases going on

that I'm starting to get confused what's

a Biden case and what's a trump case and

which Trump case is it and is it the gun

charges or is it something else

so

uh wise I'm getting Jack Smith and wise

confused what why is

is the one who did the uh sweetheart

deal for Hunter right

is that right

what so Weiss is the one with a

sweetheart deal for Hunter now Weiss is

also the one who's been chosen as the

uh what do you call it the Special

counsel

right

so here's the sequence of events that

didn't make sense

uh so Weiss was a trump appointed

prosecutor correct give me a fact check

of that Trump appointed

right Trump appointed but then brought a

Biden related sweetheart plea deal

to the courts and it was so bad that it

was thrown away

so how do you explain that why would he

be a professional

and even a you know possibly you know

not too Lefty but why would he do

something that so obviously was

you know imperfect

I don't know the answer to this but I

would tell you what I would do in his

situation

just to give you some context

all right let's say you put me in

Weiss's situation

and my boss Garland

says you have full approval to prosecute

in any state you want and you have all

the resources you want and nobody will

bother you

and then you find out none of that's

true hypothetically

you find out that you can't actually do

whatever you want you don't have the

power and they lied to you and they did

not help you the entire time how would

you play it

would you reside

some people would

it's not what I would have done

do you know what I would do it's a

little thing called Embrace and amplify

yeah once you see it

you put me in his job and you know what

I do

I would put together the most absurd

ridiculous plea agreement

I'd make sure that all the idiots who

were trying to block me and stop me and

influence me thought it was the best

plea deal they'd ever seen

and then I would go public with it and I

would let it blow up in my face

just the way it happened

I would put together a deal so absurd

that the public would be signaled that

there's no justice going on

and that's what happened and so absurd

he couldn't guarantee that a judge would

throw it out but he had to know it was

an option

and what would happen if the judge threw

it out

while there would be a lot of

conversation and winter about what was

going on

and then

the that I think he was probably

subjected to would come to light

and what was the net result

he got more power

he got more power

now I understand the argument that oh

isn't this convenient you know just when

Congress wanted to look into things it

becomes a special counsel so that they

can't yes that is very convenient and it

might be the whole reason

could be wouldn't rule it out so maybe

the whole the whole thing is just to

keep Congress from finding out what's

going on but the other possibility

is if you put me and Weiss's job and

then then I found out I couldn't do my

job and yet it was my job to go

embarrass myself in public like I really

had

I wouldn't do it

I would not play along but I wouldn't

necessarily resign

I would stay to destroy the system

that's what I'd do

I mean I think that's just a personality

thing but if you put me in that

situation what I would do would look

exactly like what he did but my

intentions would be to blow it up and

just show how corrupt it is

now if that's what happened and then the

result of that is he got the power he

always needed in the first place

you might see something like an

interesting outcome

however today we find out that the

so-called diversion agreement where I

think they take a the classic case for a

diversion agreement as I understand it

is

that if somebody's an addict but

non-violent

sometimes you'll divert them into some

treatment and don't treat the crime like

you might have because it's a

non-violent situation

so to me this is a perfect situation for

a diversion agreement

like he is non-violent

there's not much chance you know he's

going to do that exact same gun crime of

lying on a Federal Form what is he going

to repeat that crime I don't think so

so you need some kind of you know the

justice system needs to be involved he

wouldn't like a diversion either

but it seems like the right application

and now there's some thought that the

diversion part was separate from the

plea deal

so that the at least the gun charges

would be treated in a diversiony way I

think that means he gets treatment

counseling something like that doesn't

get to keep his guns I imagine

so I think that's what the legal system

should be doing for somebody like him

but the you know the rest of the plea

deal I suppose that's a bigger question

all right um

so I'm just going to throw that out

there as this might be an embrace

Embrace and amplify it might be it looks

like it

Jordan Peterson says he's creating a new

College online

isn't that like one of the best things

you've heard lately

the Jordan Peterson is trying to create

an actual Accredited Online University

that wouldn't have all the flaws of

current education systems you know the

the wokeness and ridiculous courses and

stuff like that

um but he thinks he could get the course

of a bachelor of the cost of a

bachelor's degree down to four thousand

dollars

if it's online

now I don't think online is as good as

in person but maybe with AI it will be

fairly quickly maybe it will be because

if you had an AI to ask questions

you know in in addition to the whatever

the lecture look like and the homework

might really help

I mean we might be where online is

actually competitive and he's you know

Jordan Peterson would be exactly the

person I would hope

would be involved in this sort of thing

because he can see the whole field you

know he understands

Academia of course but he also gets the

whole psychological political

you know situation so we could put

together something that made sense

so I like that

but I would like to amplify and add to

this conversation a little bit with some

white boards that are coming up don't

get too excited oh yeah it's going to be

good it's going to be good

but I asked this question on my live

stream in my man cave last night and I'm

going to ask the same question to you in

this group

because I think it's relevant to Jordan

Peterson and his creating new colleges

online question number one

you're an employer

and you're looking for employees you've

got two candidates and they seem to be

identical one is a white candidate one

is a black candidate but on paper they

seem to have just the same background

and experience so you can't tell but

the black candidate mentions that he's

building a talent stack

and he prefers systems over goals

and you immediately recognize that he's

read my book how to filled almost

everything and still went big

who do you hire

which one do you hire

the one who read my book or the one who

didn't

well read it and is implementing it

racist says white white person and now

you would hire the black person because

the black person had

acquired a set of skills

that very clearly signal a serious

person who is very likely to do well and

you would want to work with him

so I put that out there as uh evidence

that there already is a strategy

for people to succeed but

why don't they

you know what's holding things up if we

know exactly what it would take

for any individual be they white or

black or brown or anything else

we know how to do it

why isn't it happening well that's what

the white boards are going to teach you

are you ready for this are you ready to

have your mind blown

some people on the locals platform my

community there have seen some of this

but you're going to see it all put

together in a way they haven't seen

either

so the first part you may have seen

it's a

it's an idea by a philosopher Lao Sue

he'll try to get rid of that

there we go and allowsu said many years

ago he said uh watch your thoughts

because your thoughts become words watch

your words because your words become

actions watch your actions because they

become habits habits become your

character and your character is Destiny

now I'm going to update this Lao Sue

was a very smart guy apparently but he

was smart before we discovered how to

make AI work

so there's something we have to update

on this

words and thoughts

turns out of the same thing

whoops so AI taught us the large

language models that all you have to do

is look at the pattern of words

and if you applied the right technology

to it just the word use alone would

produce intelligence

but before that we imagined we had some

kind of you know reason and thoughts and

stuff that was independent from our

words

but AI kind of put the lie to that which

is something by the way hypnotists have

known forever

hypnotists know that the words

are what are activating you

the thoughts are really word

combinations

because we think in words

right your thoughts right now your

private thoughts are in words if you

were to change those words

what would happen

well if you change the words so I'm

going to treat you words and thoughts as

one thing because AI taught us that

right so if you change your words you're

going to change your actions because

that's how you're built

that's the only way it can work

the things you do are literally based on

the frequency and combination of words

in your programmer your head your brain

so to reprogram a person from something

sub-optimal to something that they would

want

all you do is change the frequency

and arrangement of words

do you know what this is called

if you change the frequency and

arrangement of words and and what you're

doing is trying to change somebody's

actions what's what's that called

wordsmithing no

reframing yes

could be hypnosis that's exactly what

hypnosis is

hypnosis is not a lot of people if they

watch movies they think it's about the

watch this clock they think it's about

the voice of the hypnotist it's not the

voice

it's not the mannerisms although those

those are helpful parts of the process

it's actually the frequency

and the arrangement of words

that's hypnosis

that's it

that's enough to change somebody's

entire brain and their actions their

habits their character and then their

destiny

so if you could optimize the words in

your head

blah blah blah let me give you a real

concrete example the other day I was

showing this to somebody

and the person said that they they were

working on a problem they had a fear of

rejection

right there they were considering doing

something it was somebody considering an

action which would have been almost

certainly good for them right a very

obvious you know just a really obvious

thing to do that would be good for you

but couldn't get the action right

because of the fear of rejection

that ladies and gentlemen is word

poisoning you say to yourself well

there's some bad thoughts there no words

are thoughts

words and their combinations

and their frequency

is your thoughts there's no difference

once you get that

you unlock this power

until you understand that your words are

a programming language that you can

change on your own

you can't you don't have access to the

stack

right and then what I heard when I heard

the person say to me fear of rejection

I had this thought

I don't use that word for anything

anything

I'm never going to let that word in my

head

when I heard it I I like I recoiled I

recoiled the actual word hurt me

it was like I don't want that in my

head

I will never use that word

because I don't want to

stop myself from acting

do you know what I say in those

situations

this is going to be great

this would be great because keep in mind

that in all of the situations I'm

talking about mine or anybody else's

people know what they're supposed to do

am I right

don't people almost always know what

they're supposed to do it's just hard to

do it and the reason it's hard is

because you don't have your words right

if the words in your head is the word

rejection

you're not going to do this whatever it

is if the word in your head is this is

going to be great this will be excited

this will be interesting by the way

curiosity is one of the best replacement

words

if you have some negative words and you

want the easiest way to replace them

replace them with curiosity words I

wonder what's going to happen well this

will be interesting I am fascinated

about how today is going to turn out

you put those words in your head you're

going to act you put the r word in your

head I'm not even going to say it again

because it's such a damaging word

or the f word

f-a-i-l nope not when I say it's not my

vocabulary I mean that I've consciously

made sure that if it comes up it's not

about me

that's you know I'm talking about a

system failure or something like that

all right so

how many of you are sold on this as a

good way of understanding the world

just just give me a a halfway point

is this a good way to understand

what you see

right I think most of you say yes got

one now all right so now I'm gonna so

hold on to this thought that words not

thoughts

words are what unlock habits okay words

and the combination of words is the only

thing that unlocks habits not thoughts

just the words

if you don't get that you don't get

anything

right

now let's explain the world

this by the way would apply to

other people more generally but I'm

going to give you a specific problem

so we have a problem let's say you're

let's say you're a black kid and you

want to succeed in this world and you

want to do it the way everybody succeeds

the way everybody succeeds is they

imitate people who have successful

patterns

so you look for somebody who's 60 you

think and you say what are you doing to

succeed and then you try to do that

that's how everybody does it everybody

everywhere now every once in a while you

might produce a Steve Jobs right Steve

Jobs does seem magical it's like he was

inventing things that other people

copied

now I don't think he actually invented

anything but he was better at noticing

patterns so he might be you know like a

real exception where he's inventing

patterns as opposed to following them

but the rest of us follow we would

follow him right she'd say what did you

do all right let's do more of that

but because we have an industry that

tells you that well these all have

something in common the Dei the CRT the

ESG one thing they have in common is the

words

that there were slaves

their systemic racism

there's black and there's white

and that there is a oppressor class and

an oppressed class

those would be you know that's an

example of the words right so don't

think too hard about the specific words

but you would agree

that all of these ideas these Concepts

are built on words

you agree so far it's a it's a word

related set of thoughts as everything is

so these are not these are not uniquely

about words

any three-letter Concepts I put here

would also be supported by their sets of

words

these sets of words create what I call

the glass imitation ceiling

meaning that if you're a young black kid

and you're asked to imitate successful

people

you're going to be looking at the people

that you have been taught or your

oppressors

who can do that who could imitate the

repressors

I couldn't

if you said the only way you can succeed

is by imitating your oppressors or a

life of crime

I'd pick the crime

I would

I'm just being honest if you put me in

that same situation the the mental

emotional

um impact of having to imitate my

oppressor

there's just no way I'd do it

I would I would take up a life of crime

before I did that so that's the

situation you're putting black kids in

and again if anybody's new to me I'm

never talking about all black kids I'm

never talking about all white people

anything I'm never talking about all

black people anything or all anybody

anything

people are amazingly different from each

other but this is just a good conceptual

framework so here's what I think has to

be fixed

uh Black Americans have an imitation

ceiling they simply can't do the things

that other people would do but

the tools are all there

the tools are there I mentioned my book

had it failed almost everything and

still went big my new one that is also

coming out I think this week if the last

technical Parts work with the online

publishing but

those would be two examples of books

that would tell anybody how to succeed

because I've organized the words and the

books

to make that happen

the books are also hypnosis in the sense

that they're built they're built to be

persuasive as well as you know

utilitarian

how do you fix this

I'm going to tell you I have no idea I

have no idea how to fix it the only

thing I'm sure of

is that it has to be fixed by the people

who are involved which is not me

this is something that can't be fixed

from the outside no matter how good your

intentions are no matter how good your

skill is

and no matter anything it doesn't matter

how many resources you have there are

some things that have to be fixed from

the inside

and I feel like every time you put

outside pressure

on a group that's already in a say

victim and oppressor model that outside

pressure depending on who it comes from

let's say it comes from somebody like me

is it helping

I don't know I I don't have a good

argument that would say it would help

might actually make it worse

so somehow Black America needs to figure

this out

you know how do they either create

enough black successful people or

stories about them so that young black

kids have lots of role models that they

can imitate

this is the basic setup

you don't know how much your problem is

systemic racism until you deal with the

fact that people are not pursuing

individual success

because they feel like it's denied to

them or where it would be unpleasant to

copy somebody

so

that's my understanding of the world did

it help

all right give me some feedback did this

tell you did this give you a framework

that

you can at least say well I could

compare this to some other points of

view

there's a big difference in the comments

on YouTube versus all right for those

who said no

uh I guess it would be hard to ask the

question so I see more yeses than those

but I think the nose may be

um

yeah I mean I have a theory about the

nose

I think the nose are people who don't

want this to be useful

I think there are a lot of people who

just want

they want their drama

they they want their hate

you know they want their helplessness

you can get real addicted to that stuff

so

you're you're welcome to your feelings

all right Norway is going to be finding

meta

for their targeted advertising as you

know meta used to be Facebook

and uh

their entire business model and other

online models is that they can give you

an ad that's targeted just for you but

Norway says no to targeted ads sort of

on a I think it's a privacy issue

but they're going to find a hundred

thousand dollars a day

for Facebook and Instagram's business if

they keep doing it now

whatever Norway does is not going to

make or break meta

but

it makes you wonder if this is something

that could catch on

would you agree that targeted

advertisement is by definition a

violation of your privacy

feels like it I mean I understand the

argument

but you know there are lots of

situations where you're trading a little

bit of privacy for a little bit of

utility so you always have to measure

well I gave up a little privacy but I

got a lot of utility so

I don't know Norway might have the right

idea on this this one I think this one's

open for opinion but

um I'm leaning toward Norway but more

generally I don't understand how how

medicines stay in business

like have you ever seen a business in

your town

that seemed to defy economics to such a

degree that you think it must be a money

laundering situation

because they couldn't possibly stay in

business for 30 years with the business

model That You observe it's like okay

you're selling decorative

I don't know doilies and you've been in

business for 30 years and I never see

anybody in your store you're like

something else going on there I think

right

uh but that's how I feel about meta

I don't know anybody who's happy about

using it

now Instagram of course is is a monster

and what's you know WhatsApp is a

monster so they have they have sources

of revenue but the the main business

which I would say would be the the

Facebook part of old and now the the

virtual reality stuff I think those are

dead

those both feel like dead men walking to

me

I don't know how they could survive

but we'll see Zuckerberg Zucker has been

right before Zuck has been more right

than me

so if I'm being if I'm being reasonably

humble

well he's probably got a better grasp on

this than I do

you think that uh history repeats

how many how many would say this is a

fair fair statement history repeats

it now we can't repeat

care repeat here's the problem with

history repeats Which history do you

pick

suppose you were looking at history

repeats and you're looking at the news

from 2015 to today and you wanted to use

that as your model for history repeats

which version of History

would use the version that says that

President Trump was a coup planner and

insurrectionist and then you would say

well that'll happen again or would you

use the version of history that says

that was always fake news and that

nothing like that happened

they're both history

and they but they point in opposite

directions so if history repeats which

one do you pick

you see the problem

the problem is you get to pick the

history you like

is the opposite of science

if you get to pick the version of

history that supports your point it's

not because history repeats is that you

cherry-picked a little story that

probably wasn't real to begin with

because history isn't real

and then you try to generalize it now

history repeats is ridiculous but we're

you know we were brainwashed into

thinking use the thing

the only part that I would say history

repeats is the human human

motivations are always the same

so for example if you created a large

organization that with no transparency

and a lot of money is involved

what what's the likelihood that it would

eventually become corrupt 100 percent

100 so that's a that's case of history

repeating but it's within the special

case of yeah people always act the same

so instead of saying history repeats

change that in your mind to

People Are People

follow the money

follow the money will take it all I mean

follow the money gets you the whole the

whole the whole answer

it's just always going to be right

so that's better than uh history repeats

but I mentioned this because somebody

else's San Francisco in a doom Loop in

other words is it just going to keep

spiraling down into nothing and somebody

used the example of Detroit is it going

to become like Detroit when

manufacturing left and my answer is no

it's uh San Francisco is not going to go

to nothing

and neither will Maui

because Maui and San Francisco have a

lot in common

that the weather is unusually you know

good and even even though San Francisco

is like cold for California famously

foggy and stuff people like it I mean

something that people like

so

now if you have the best locations in

the world

follow the money

follow the money

the money says that you always build

along the coast

you know there's just always going to be

money for that now yeah there might be

you know some companies leave and

there's lots of disruption and stuff but

San Francisco isn't going to be

abandoned

there's just too much money involved in

that location of course it'll be rebuilt

of course it will come back

and Maui's the same nobody's going to

leave Maui you know unrecovered way too

much money in that

so yeah but Detroit

once manufacturing left Detroit who had

an interest in putting a bunch of money

into it to build it up

you still have Detroit weather

all right uh so follow the money you

don't say history repeats

so I've got a another

Theory

so you probably saw the news that

Biden's been at the beach for a few

weeks and then he was asked about Maui

and although I think he has put out an

official statement he was asked for

comment alive and he said no comment

about Maui about the fire that destroyed

Lahaina and might be the worst disaster

we've ever seen of Fire

no comment

here's my interpretation

if you were Jill Biden

and you had been either asked by others

or you decided it was time and you were

going to tell Joe that he's not going to

be president and by the way I do believe

that Jill can just tell him that does

anybody disagree

I believe that Jill has his wife has the

decision of whether he runs or not and

it's not Joe's decision and I'm not

doing the old oh the wife you know the

wife's in charge it's not that I'm not

doing the old uh

um she's always been the puppet master

I'm not doing that

I'm saying that in any copy the older

one is

need to make this decision for me

conceive it that way but in a realistic

sense

when it comes to you know the big

decisions of life

Jill's the decision maker

in my opinion that would be obvious by

this point I don't think it was obvious

uh four years ago

four years ago I think Joe was in enough

you know in enough control that it was

more like a partnership

in other words that both Jill and Joe

had to be on board which they were it

looks like and then they could go

forward but this time if Jill is not on

board that's the end of it

now if you were Jill

and it was your job to tell your husband

that he's not really going to run for

president again

how would you do it

and where would you do it and when would

you do it

you would do it right now

you would do it on his summer vacation

and when you were done

what would Joe's frame of mind be

because remember

it wouldn't be his decision it would be

his wife telling it telling him that was

the decision

and when and when he's asked about

Lahaina

after he's been told he's not going to

be the president

how does he respond

well one way he might respond is no

comment

not because he doesn't care

but because he checked out

and that his mind is entirely upon his

own situation right now which would

suggest a decision has already been made

so here's my here's my uh front running

of the news

the decision is made

by Jill

has been informed

and you'll find out probably much later

now I could be wrong

pretty easily but that's what it looks

like and I base this on pattern

recognition if you put me in this

situation you said all right your Jill

and you're gonna have to break the news

to him and he's not going to like it I

do it on his summer vacation

when he has lots of time away from the

regular work to process it

I do it when he's away from everybody

else because if he doesn't take it well

you don't want a lot of witnesses

and I would do it exactly at this time

so there's enough time for a replacement

to get in

uh without it being too embarrassing

what do you think

I think to me it is screamingly obvious

that from the here's the modeling point

if you put a political model in this

you can't see it

if it's only a political model it's a

little bit invisible if you put a

relationship model on it it's obvious

huh if you put a if you put a

relationship filter on this it's obvious

she must have told them she must have

told them in the last two weeks

that's what I think so we'll test so

this will be a good test of my

predicting

you know nothing's 100 but I feel pretty

confident about this one

um that I think the relationship filter

is screamingly obvious on this one

well we'll see and also anything could

change

all right uh it's all Ben Shapiro and

some other smart people say that the

special counsel that's been chosen

uh can't be chosen from the government

employee and that's what they did

so did they just sort of decide to

ignore the I don't know laws or statutes

or is there actually a counter argument

to this because to me it looks pretty

cut and dried you can't pick them from a

government employee he is a government

employee they did pick him

can somebody explain that to me

it's not a law it's a statute

so is it a suggestion but not a

requirement

oh they violated it before

it's a regulation not a requirement

so who can who can violate a regulation

anybody who's the Boss

I don't know so I don't know if that's a

big story or not probably not

um

[Music]

do we need to talk about the Georgia

situation and

Trump's perfect phone call

now the perfect phone call to me looks

just like the drinking bleach hoax the

fine people hoax it's entirely based on

intentional misreporting isn't it

they changed the words of what he said

and then they changed the context a

little bit if they didn't change his

words his exact words and his context it

looks completely different

so I guess that's all I would say about

it it's the same trick of taking your

amount of context

all right remember every single day I

tell you

that Rama Swami Vivek won the the news

cycle again

well here we go again

um one of one of the viral videos is a a

pansexual lgbtq reporter for some

publication

um

got the conversation or asked the vague

some questions quite politely and the

vague's answer

was so perfect and complete and off the

cuff like he wasn't reading from notes

or anything

and he talked for a while I mean so it

was a really complete tight little

package that it became viral just

because it was the best answer anybody's

ever seen to that question

imagine being so good at answering the

question

that people make you viral just because

your answer was so good you just look at

it and go how did you even do that that

was so good

right and that was just one thing he did

I mean he was rapping the other day

um

but then he also makes news by being

sort of the only one who's saying and

I'll I'll I think this is him his actual

words uh Ukrainian State Affiliated

companies multi-million dollar bribe to

the Biden family so he's he's calling it

a bribe and he's saying somewhat obvious

that this should have affected his

decisions on support for Ukraine's war

and he says it directly

which again makes news and I think it's

a perfect Fair perfectly Fair

um framing of the situation

he's not saying that there's a specific

you know any specific decision but this

this clearly would put you in a conflict

bribery looking situation which he says

is impeachable

I looks impeachable to me

I mean it looks like the most

impeachable thing of all time it's like

perfectly impeachable

what was it

um so there it is again yeah Vivek day

after day after day wins the news cycle

now how did DeSantis do in Iowa

DeSantis looks like somebody who already

decided to quit the race

right because the the other the other

people are they they still have a second

bite of the Apple because they still

have the vice presidency that's sort of

up for grabs and then you know another

chance at the presidency DeSantis is not

really

a possibility as a vice president would

you agree I don't see any way that

DeSantis would be a vice presidential

shortlist

so if DeSantis thinks he can't you know

make it to the top

he it looked like a whole lot of giving

up this week it looked like maybe he's

already decided

that you know he's just going through

the motions because he has backers and

you know they told him not to quit yet

but of course I suppose everybody's

waiting just to see if Trump escapes all

of his legal

problems

but uh I think Vivek will be the

if the if Trump went away I think Vivek

would rise to the top immediately as a

person who would get the Trump votes

right

um so Trump went after his uh judge that

he's going to have for her alleged bias

in her past statements about Trump and I

would agree that her past statements

about Trump to me

show a bias against it has anybody read

her comments because that one party she

talked about other people in January 6.

in some public statement and said that

yet Trump remains free

Now that statement is chilling

because it's a very clear statement that

she believes that he should not be a

free man

before seeing the evidence just based on

what she saw in public

now

here's the situation

so the media spent how many years like

six years seven years brainwashing the

public

mostly Democrats brainwashing Democrats

into believing that Trump is a

traitorous racist sexist

am I right

he's a traitorist racist sexist the news

has been telling everybody mostly

Democrats this for years

and then the person who is randomly

chosen

happens to be a female black immigrant

right the very groups that the news has

been telling everybody

should be the most

the most outraged that he even exists

now

as I said in my tweet if science were

real and I'm pretty sure it's not at

this point

and and the scientists were not

useless weasels

don't you think there should be some

scientist like a cognitive scientist who

should say under these specific

situations you absolutely cannot have

an immigrant black female judging Trump

now this is not a comment about her

qualifications you got to hear this

clearly I have no reason to believe

she's not a great judge no indications I

also understand the judges could have

bias but still do their job

do we agree this is not a comment about

her as a judge not about her

it's a general statement that if you put

anybody in this situation

cognitive scientists if they were not

all frauds and weasels and pieces of

would be going public and say look look

this is really a special case you've had

the most powerful brainwashing forces

brainwashing half of the country into

believing that he's this massive monster

a racist sexist immigrant and hating

person

and then you randomly pick a female

black immigrant to be his judge and the

rest of the country is supposed to watch

this and say oh that looked fair to me

no problem here

I absolutely think that you can't remove

bias from you know juries and from

judges because we're humans

and I absolutely think that even with

those biases you can still get the right

result

but that's what the bias is at like

normal levels

we're not looking at anything normal

the the Trump derangement syndrome is

very real it's been studied there's no

question that it's real and when you see

the comments of the judge about you know

he's he's still free after January 6.

you cannot imagine that this would look

like a fair trial to anybody who's

paying attention

and I think that the justicism has a

obligation to not only try to give

people a fair trial duh but to make sure

it looks like it

make sure it looks like it this doesn't

look like it

and Trump is calling it out because he's

the only one with the balls to say the

obvious it's really obvious that this is

not it's not looking Fair now again

am I saying that she she is not a

professional enough

to be fair I'm not saying that at all I

believe that her intentions in all

likelihood would be to be as Fair as

possible

I would I would assume that

but I don't think that from a scientific

basis from a scientific perspective you

could put any female black

immigrant into this specific job with a

specific case

of trump he's the exception this can't

work

this this can't work and the only reason

we've gotten this far

is because scientists are

cowards

do you think there's even one cognitive

scientist who would back this

just one

anywhere in the world do you think

there's one cognitive scientist who

would say yeah I think this is a

situation where you know as long as it's

transparent and every you know judges

are taught to be independent

so this should be fine do you think so

do you think you could get one actual

professional to say that about this now

they'd obviously say it about uh trials

in general

right in general

we do the best we can but this is not in

general this is a very specific

situation that violates every historical

precedent there's never been a president

like this

who has been the subject of massive

media brainwashing

right massive and you could prove that

the the brainwashing is even intentional

you could probably find quotes from you

know news Executives Etc that would

prove that it's not accidental is it an

actual brainwashing operation

when you saw the uh the fake laptop

story that it was Russian disinformation

when you see that 50 in in past and

current intelligence people signed a

letter

is that ordinary brainwashing

is that is that like a rank and file you

know you know all of you could do it no

no that is that is military grade

that is military grade brainwashing

that's not commercial grade commercial

grade is advertising

right right now I'm doing commercial

grade persuasion

but the the government does military

grade

that's what the laptop persuasion was

that was about the Russia collusion hoax

was that like commercial grade no that

was military grade that was absolutely

military grade how about the uh

fine people hoax

the fine people Oaks do you think that

was just commercial grade

no no that was military grade

so you're looking at military grade

brainwashing

that has clearly affected one segment of

the country more than others I would

argue both sides are being brainwashed

but in different ways right it's not

always it's not always the same level of

danger depending on the brainwashing so

for example Trump is brainwashing his

team into believing he did better than

he did but we just call that politics

and we expect that right but Trump does

a good job he actually has people very

convinced of his of his successes which

by the way he did have a lot of

successes

all right well this is completely unfair

Trump is 100 right I agree that he

should go as hard as possible at her

um in most situations I would say no but

in this specific situation

of trump and years of massive

military-grade brainwashing yes he

should go right at this as hard as he is

totally agree did I talk yesterday about

Bill Maher apparently he knows the the

fine people hoax was a hoax

so he said it on on his uh Club random

he actually said

that he doesn't like being a gas lit and

that this was obviously a made-up thing

but even though he knows the story is

fake

he still seemed to believe I don't want

to read his mind but based on what he

said he seemed to indicate that he

thought Trump actually said something

like that by his defenses you know

that it's sort of taken out of context

or something I don't know but he

actually didn't say it

like like Bill is almost there

he thinks he did say it but it was like

over interpreted or misinterpreted or

something like that you know or or no

here's what he said

I'm sorry I'm I'm botching this story

what Mara said was that Trump had so

often clarified that he disavowed Nazis

that that should be taken as more of the

truth than the one thing he said that

didn't sound good

now that's not really the argument

the real argument is he didn't ever say

it

and literally he said aggressively

clearly and immediately the opposite of

what was reported

that's really different than oh he has

said before he disavowed them so you

should take you know you should take

that as true that's that's the weakest

not quite accurate defense but at the

very least

at the least

Mar knows he's being gaslit on this

topic

that's progress

that's a little bit of progress not

nearly the entire story was reversed and

faked but it's progress

all right

um you've heard people say that the

windmills the offshore windmills are bad

for the whales and maybe some of the

other sea life

and I never knew what to think about

that but one of the things that I use as

my my BS filter

is when the science matches observation

right so we have uh in our own Community

here

we see you Erica so we we have a real

life human being that I can verify as a

real life human being

who says they've seen their 61st dead

whale on their Beach

61.

this is one person with one beach

and offshore there are apparently some

newish windmills

can you imagine any Beach that ever had

61 dead whales I don't know what the

time period is but I imagine just a few

years

yeah that doesn't look like a

coincidence does it

because I don't think there were 61 dead

whales where there are no windmills

so the so I'm going to say you know I

didn't see the whales

and I wouldn't understand the science if

I saw it

but when you've got the science and the

observation

matching like that

and then you've got Michael

schellenberger who's you know he's on

this case and he's he's basically

untangling it for you if you've got

those three things happening

schellenberger has weighed in he's done

the work he's very highly credible very

highly credible

you've got observation that's through

the roof you know if you saw three

whales with three whales

tell the story I don't know

three seems like a lot actually if I are

the three whales you know that would get

my you tell me this 61 whales

61.

I'm not going to ignore that and then

the sign seems to back it so you've got

three points of credibility here

that's unusual that's an unusually high

level of credibility now

I don't want to say it's 100 proven

because nothing in our world ever is but

wow

I wouldn't worry about this one you know

those signals are pretty glaring

all right

um

do you think that the world the the

world has more fires or fewer fires

Bjorn Lumberg

says that uh you're talking about the

reinsurers so some people are saying hey

um there must be more natural disasters

caused by climate change because the

reinsurers don't want to be in the

insurance business so they're afraid

that the climate change will be too bad

do you see anything wrong with that

argument

so the things we know is that the

insurance business the reinsurers the

insurance business is too afraid

of climate change risks

from natural disasters so that must be

pretty credible that climate change is

real

must be real because the insurance

companies are the the most realistic

players anywhere

because they don't get the the insurance

companies go out of business if they're

trying to Gaslight you they can only use

real numbers as best as they can

understand them because otherwise they

go out of business

they can't just make up

so did they just make stuff up here

let me tell you what's missing from the

story how many of you know what's

missing from the story that changes it

totally

what's missing from the story

price of Real Estate

price of real estate let's say you're in

the insurance business and somebody

builds a house on the ocean and that

house is worth half a million dollars

you say yeah I mean if something happens

to that house we can afford to

pay that half a million dollars and then

a bunch of people build on on the shore

and each of them is half a million

dollar house let's say and the insurance

company still says well that's more than

I can handle like that's a lot of houses

but what I do is I I sell my insurance

into What's called the reinsurer market

so basically you you can spread your

risk among other entities so even if all

of the homes there

when you know got taken out by a

hurricane if every one of them went

you're still okay because you you didn't

take on all the risk yourself you sold

some of the risk to other people who

shared it in the risk so everybody's

okay

so far everything's good and everybody

has insurance now

let's say that the risk of climate

change makes the risk of your house

going away your half million dollar

house goes up 30 percent

can you still get insurance

oh probably

yeah you probably could

now let's say that your half million

dollar house turns into a 20 million

dollar house

because maybe a little bit of it is

inflation but also houses are rebuilt by

even richer people who want you know

Ocean Beach

so now the insurer now the insurer says

uh I can't even Insure One house

there there's the real estate's too

expensive I can't even and even if I try

to ensure you know a bunch of houses and

try to spread that risk with the the

reinsurers it's too big it's just the

numbers are too big

so

that's always left out of the story

the price of real estate should make

Insurance impractical at some point

because they they can't charge enough

to be sure they'll get their money back

now when when insurance companies say

they're pulling out

you you haven't interpreted that to mean

they don't want to sell insurance there

right nothing like that's happening the

insurance companies that are pulling out

they totally want to sell you insurance

even no matter how big your house is

but they want you to pay a market rate

for it and there's no way you will

it's just too expensive

right so the when you see the story is

about insurers pulling out make sure

that you're also seeing the context that

the cost of real estate is so so high

that it's hard for an insurer to just

even afford losses at that scale

and then some of it you have to think it

might be uh brain brainwashing about

climate change so they may have

convinced themselves is really about

climate when it might more be about the

cost of real estate going up

all right

all right

um but there are not more fires or

catastrophes that's mostly media

all right um DARPA is developing a

screening tool to detect risk of suicide

primarily in service people because did

you know this since 2001 more than 30

000 U.S active duty members and Veterans

have died from suicide

thirty thousand

that would be uh

three-fifths the size of the Vietnam War

which was fifty thousand

wow so I'm not sure I knew how big a

problem this was you know I hear in the

news all the time that military suicides

are higher than ever you know that's

alarming

but I wasn't really aware of the scale

the the scale is way different I mean

now add the PTSD people the people who

are living a life you know maybe they

wish they were dead

that's a lot of people who are

dead like

that we don't count as victims of a war

you know and maybe that's a problem

maybe we should be able to calculate how

many people are going to commit suicide

after any military action and maybe we

should say all right this military

action is likely to you know take five

thousand lives today and thirty thousand

over the next 20 years or something like

that

foreign

but there's a interesting side element

here the tool that they're going to use

to screen for early signs of suicide is

actually a scan of your brain

so they're going to ask you questions

that would be relevant you know to the

topic of taking your life and then they

would look at your brain and see if

you're lying so for example if you if

you said hey Bob

you've been complaining a lot things

aren't going well have you ever thought

of taking your life

and then Bob says no no no

now if Bob says yes then the screening

process has already worked oh we found

one Bob just said yes he thought about

it

but if Bob says no

they can look at his brain

and they can tell if he's lying

so that would be another yes

so then Bob can get some help maybe

now on one hand I say to myself wow this

would be amazing if you could shortcut

this problem and get them the

achievement they need which as a patriot

I'm especially interested that anybody

who went to war or was any part of the

war machine they should get everything

that they

they can get

um

but the scary part is they're building a

lie detector

so instead of that the ones that are not

allowed in court you know the standard

lie detector I think you know they're

not allowed in court and the reason

they're not allowed in court is that

they're not reliable

the way a lie detector works and I

probably shouldn't give away the secret

the way a lie detector works is fooling

you into thinking it works

that's the active process the active

process is not the machine reading your

vitals the active process is the person

who uses the machine

bsing you into thinking it's going to

work

because if you think it's going to work

and then they ask you did you kill the

hobo

and you're like I'm

hooked up to this thing it's totally

gonna it's gonna get me it's gonna get

me it's good then your vitals go crazy

on the machine

and then the operator still not a

science

still not a science because you could be

going crazy for an unrelated reason you

may be afraid that you would get caught

right the real problem might be that

you're afraid of getting caught and that

elevates your vitals

so that's what you know that's just one

reason they're not allowed in court

because they're not science right so

along the not science level so let's say

that the the person knows they're lying

and and so their vitals go crazy

and then the operator says

well yeah the the machine has caught uh

deception

uh would you like to modify that

statement

and then the person's like

maybe I can say something that's not

exactly admitting it but maybe maybe I

can beat the machine and then they try

to lie a little bit more

and then the operator says okay that was

an obvious lie

let me let's say it is

uh it appears that you're sending all

the signals of lying

and then you just watch the person how

they react right so the the idea is to

convince somebody that they've been

caught lying

and then they'll maybe confess

right but if you walked in knowing that

that's how it works

if you put me in the machine

it wouldn't matter what the machine said

you know if the operator said to me oh

it's going crazy I say what would you

expect when you use something that's not

based on science

and you put my life at risk with the

machine that you know is not even

allowed in court because it's not

reliable if that thing gives you

the wrong indication you're going to go

tell people I'm guilty you think I'm

going to say here all come and and and

and put up with this pseudoscience why

don't you read my goddamn horoscope and

decide if I should be in jail

all right so that's how that's how my

lie detector would go I would attack the

lie detector guy and I would make him

defend his non-science and I'll put him

on trial and I would tell him he's a

liar

I'll say are you telling me this works

well you know there's an indication that

overtaught no does this work well you

know many people have used it in many of

you situate no

does this work

and he'd have to lie to me

so I would actually make the lie

detector guy lie to me

and I would just say look

this but it's all and this

guy's a liar

here's what he said it's on tape because

they would usually videotape the the

thing just in case so you say look I've

got him on tape lying he says this

works

we have we have a hundred years of

science that says it doesn't work and

this guy just told me it does

so you know you got a liar here you're

worried about my life this guy's uh this

guy's on video line

all right so that could be a problem if

they come up with a actual lie detector

that works unlike the current models hey

let's talk about that Ukrainian

offensive

so the name Victoria Newland

comes up in the news all the time mostly

on social media seems

and I hear all these accusations

of her what what are the accusations

that she's I don't know neocon and she

likes Wars or something

is that what we think

all right so here's something uh Glenn

Greenwald pointed out

in a tweet he said the U.S began openly

touting NATO's expansion into Ukraine in

2008 under Bush

that was when now CIA director Bill

Burns wrote his memo warning that was a

red line for all Russia not just Putin

all Russia and would trigger war in

Crimea and Don Bass

and then Greenwald West says Greenwald

says guess who was the U.S ambassador to

Nato then

Victoria Newland

so Victoria Newland was Central to the

NATO expansion in Ukraine

and then was Ambassador to Ukraine

was she ambassador to Ukraine

um

or U.N ambassador

I know so here's what I I'd know and

what I don't know what I know is her

name comes up a lot when there's

something sketchy about Ukraine or war

or Russia

um I don't have any personally I don't

have any specific accusations

is there a specific accusation where

people just think she's too Hawk hawkish

is this sort of a generally two hawkish

situation

I'm not exactly sure why she's being

blamed of

right but apparently she is a Russia

expert

which is a Russia expert

do you know what I said was the cause of

the war does anybody remember what I

said was the cause of the war

or the cause of our bad relations with

Russia in general

in my opinion

it's because we create too many Russia

experts

and the Russia experts have to do some

Russia stuff and cause some Russian

stuff to happen

so I think we're creating the people who

create the problem

because they they need to have a

narrative they need to justify their

life's work imagine if we created these

tens of thousands of Russia experts like

Victoria Newland

and then we made peace with Russia and

they became an ally

they all lose their jobs

or or they have to at least retool you

know and maybe find a way to use those

skills but

I think we're creating a system which

guarantees war with Russia and the

system is we keep making Russia experts

now I'm not sure I'm not saying we

shouldn't have Russia experts but at

some point if you've produced an

abundance of Russia experts you can

guarantee a war with Russia

let me let me put it in a different way

if we had an unusual number of

I don't know North Korea experts

do you think that more people go into

the foreign services and become Russia

experts or do more of them try to become

North Korea experts

do you know why we're not at war with

North Korea

probably because we have not created

enough North Korea experts to have

something that they need to do with

their life

probably because if you're a rush expert

at least you get to visit Russia which

could could be cool

if you're a North Korean expert you're

not even get going to get to visit the

place you're an expert at

so you know why would you even go into

that line of work honestly I think

Victoria Newland might be part of my

larger larger

framework that we create too many people

who have to make it their job to create

a war with Russia

so she just might be one of those

she has family from Russia

yeah I don't know which way that would

affect her maybe that would make her

less liking Putin

depends how they're depends how the

family was doing I guess all right

ladies and gentlemen

this completes my prepared remarks is

there a topic I missed today that is uh

vitally important to you

yeah so starseed is asking the right

questions so questions I would ask

because Victoria Newland seems important

to the understanding of the larger story

wouldn't you want to know what her

connections are

I tried Googling her

and it's just page after page of

official government stuff

that doesn't look like he's telling me

anything because the real questions are

who's she married to

right

who's she married to if she's married I

don't know if she is who is she married

to uh what associations is she a member

of

and what do those associations do

typically

um

and uh you know what has she done in the

past that might be relevant or

controversial

so there's a whole bunch I'd like to

know about her just to understand the

situation but I don't have an accusation

so I'm not accusing her of anything I'm

just saying maybe we got too many Rush

experts

all right

ladies and gentlemen I'm going to say

goodbye to you over on uh

all right so I'm getting the

anti-semitic thing over on uh YouTube I

gotta pause for a second okay

for all of you anti-Semitic people

um

while I don't condemn thought crimes

uh I don't want to see it

like you don't have to put it here

but let me let me give you this little

framework if you're anti-semitic and you

think the Jews are coordinating to take

over the world

I would like to give you a reframe on

that so I'm going to reframe some of you

anti-semites antivira anti-semitism

and it's going to happen right now right

in front of you it won't work for all of

you but I'll pick up a few of you so a

few of you I'm going to cure right now

how would things look different

if the only thing about the Jewish

Community is they put a big emphasis on

education

and you know Career Success

how would that look different from every

observation would they for example go

into industries that pay a lot and are

great jobs such as the entertainment

industry

yes would they have more control over

the industry than maybe another group

they had less less attention to

education and Career Success of course

so all you need to know is that the

Jewish Community has been super

successful as school

that's it every other observation would

look like that

so everything you think about oh there

must be some coordination and some

Jewish thing no how about it's a group

of people who put a emphasis on the

stuff that puts you in those jobs

and then they got good jobs and then you

say hey wait a minute there are too many

Jewish people in high levels of

government

how would there not be

how could that not happen there are also

lots of people from Harvard and Yale in

government jobs is it is it a Harvard

conspiracy

because there's so many Harvard people

in government now it's just an

indication that there's a certain people

who are trying to get those jobs and

they're doing the right stuff

so

the only thing I would ask you is if

you're if you've been spending too much

time online you're going to get all the

the pattern people

oh look at this pattern

oh it's funny every time there's

something bad happening why do I see so

many Jewish names in the leadership

because they have a concentration of

people who like to go to school get good

grades and get good jobs

if you can't eliminate the obvious fact

that people who try to succeed and do

all the right things do in fact succeed

there's your whole explanation

uh

I have worked and I'll give you my

personal

experience

so I've worked in mostly public

publication publishing the book World

syndication

can you imagine

how many Jewish professionals

I deal with you know as my normal work

all right it's it's saturated like most

of My Success

most of it is because I worked with

really good Jewish Executives and

professionals

who were trying to make me successful

because that's how they do their jobs

and now they're successful

but I've spent a lot of time

you know saturated in that community

I've never seen anything that looked

like a conspiracy

and I'm pretty sure I would have

like I've never seen anybody

discriminate anything against me because

I was you know not Jewish I've never

seen anybody coordinate

at all I've never heard of it I've never

even heard of anybody like oh the the

Jewish Executives got together and did

some Jewish stuff never once

do do Jewish Executives like Israel

yeah

yeah what is that a news flash or

something

would they would they say things in

public that would be supportive of

Israel and it would sound like they were

on the same team yeah

yes of course

like you're just you're looking for

conspiracies where

uh it's hard to find now let me uh so

that I don't look like I'm you know just

completely crazy to you does it look

like the uh Jewish let's say lobbying in

the United States is effective

yes

yes why why would it be effective

same reason you've got a whole

community of people who focused on

education

have really good communication skills

because that's what education gives you

also very you know

career oriented so they have good jobs

so when they talk you listen to them

because they're in the kinds of jobs

where people listen to them

and they like Israel

and so there's a whole bunch of people

who do things that you know are not bad

for the United States necessarily but

you know they have a Israel benefit to

them

it's all transparent

I mean this is transparent as you could

possibly see Israel is one of our

closest allies

and we'd probably like to keep it that

way

so

yeah so uh watch the comments and you'll

see the people who can't handle the

refrain they're they're just going to go

with the the insults to me would anybody

like to uh live out their troll like

anti-semitic uh wet dreams by saying

something shitty about me

this this would be the time to do it

yeah

uh and you're debunking what now I'm

just telling you that you're seeing

conspiracies where you should see a

group of people who are just doing the

right things for success and and

succeeding and of course they might like

Israel above average

big surprise

all right so enough on that uh YouTube

thanks for listening I'll see