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Episodes Episode #2533

Episode 2533 CWSA 07/11/24

Episode #2533 Jul 11, 2024 1:34:21 30,884 views

Biden's Big Boy presser, Trump's insult brilliance, and more fun ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. And wow, are you happy to be here. It's going to be amazing. And if you'd like your experience today to go up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, smo

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

oth human brains, I can't multitask. All you need is a coffee mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice or stein, a can, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, dopamine hit of the day. The thing that makes eve…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

that's good. That's some good stuff right there. I hope it was as good for you. All right, we still got a little bit of a problem here with my comment chat. I can make this work. You know my secret with technology is something doesn't work, you close it and reopen it and you reboot, then you reload…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

s to take my job." And Dilbert says, "How bad is his dementia?" And the boss says, "It's like a mild cold." That's called foreshadowing. Foreshadowing. And if you... oh my, oh my. All right, so let's make that go away. Hey, look at me using all this technology successfully. Incredible. Well, there…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

tes and take an aspirin to reduce your Parkinson's. Well, there's a big bust in Oregon. So Oregon had a big crime wave, and apparently 4,000 Lego sets were stolen, and they were valued at over $200,000 in Lego sets. Now it took the police a three-month investigation. Do you know why it took them th…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

se it took them a while to piece it all together. Ah, you're welcome. You're welcome. Well, there's a lawsuit against Northwestern, the school, for anti-white, anti-male hiring. So it's another DEI story. So do you need to know the details? No. There's a professor. He's white. He's male. Can't get…

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MainContent Career & Life Strategy

s have $200 million? I had to check on his net worth, and of course net worth numbers are usually ridiculous, made up. But it says his net worth was 600 million, and he put 200 million into one bet. That's a hell of a bet. And this entrepreneur has some credentials, but some scientists are skeptical…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

finally checked in. You know, as his wife tragically died a few weeks ago, and he's struggling, of course. The family is struggling, they would be. But apparently an autopsy has been conducted. You know, she had full security, she died at home, and they don't know what the cause of death is. So they…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

nything but a natural death, but they don't know the cause. And no, she was not vaccinated. I know you can ask. Well, Trump continues to be the best writer in the business. I'm going to read one of his lengthy Truth Social posts in which he talks about Nancy Pelosi, only for entertainment. All righ…

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MainContent Luck, Skill & Timing

d the country is absolutely fixable. We cannot take nor accept a defeatist attitude. I understand fully how corrupt our bureaucracy and elements within our government have become. The one person who can fix it is the president, but it must be the right president. How do you think Lincoln felt halfwa…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

it's clear that Biden himself does not want to leave, it seems clear that Jill is on that same page, and they don't have the physical power to force him out. But they really, really — they meaning Democrats, the leadership — really, really need him to leave. What are you going to do? Well, now we kn…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

in some budget expert for the government and asked how much would we need to cut the budget to balance it. Now that's not paying down the deficit, that's not paying down the 35 trillion. It's just what would it take to not make it more. How much would you have to cut? How many of you know the answer…

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MainContent Systems vs Goals

d $6 trillion. So that's the US budget. But we don't take in that much in taxes. So about 1.2 trillion of it is borrowing. So if you just round off, what is 1 trillion of 6 trillion? About 17%, right? So no, cutting 7 or 8% isn't going to get you close. You have to cut more like 17% of everything. D…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

nedy did a service. He actually nailed somebody down and forced him to give them a number, because nobody wants to do it. The reason nobody wants to do it is the number is unsurvivable. Nobody wants to say honestly it's unsurvivable. There's no way to cut it, and there's no way to survive it. That's…

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MainContent AI & Technology

5 trillion up to 100 trillion, we are definitely all dead. So something is too big for sure, but it's not too big yet. It's getting there. But if the only thing you did is keep it the same, you could limp along and inflate it away over the years. So you either have to massively increase taxes by mas…

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MainContent Economics & Finance

democracy are all real and observable. The list of Trump stealing democracy is imaginary. Are you surprised that that's their play? Everything that they do in front of us is objectively true and observable. Everything they say about Trump is like, really, like in the future he'll turn into a dragon…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

So that's one of the reasons that he's going to steal your democracy. The things he says he won't do, because they are trying to paint him as supporter of things he's not supporting. Then there's all the gaslighting that Democrats did about January 6. So because January 6 was a whole op, a gaslight…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

hey're hiding him. I don't think he's good at it. I don't think he's good at it. And I think that when you see Hillary Clinton's best friend and confidant marry him in a marriage that looks suspicious at best, you have to say to yourself, is there something else going on here? Now I don't know, but…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ogan was talking about Elon Musk believing we live in a simulation. And he said something that I've said a few times. He said if you're Elon Musk, of course you believe it's a simulation. People are letting you drill tunnels under LA and shoot rockets off into space and you make electric cars, solar…

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NewsReaction General Commentary

an do it, the argument was always that once it can be done there'll be more than one. So after somebody makes one of them in a year in the real world, in one year there will be that simulation. Somebody else is going to say, hey that's a good idea, I'll make one too. And at that moment the number of…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

ke the easiest thing you could look up in the world, doesn't it? The most important thing is climate change. So there's a gazillion documents and science about climate change. The most important thing we need to know about climate change is are the predictions correct, right? Would you agree? It's t…

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MainContent AI & Technology

you looked at all the places you'd find that some were more and some were less. Did you know that? I'm not even sure if it's true. It's just something I read. So we can't even be sure conclusively that we have more or less ice. I mean just think about that. And then what about the polar bears? The…

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MainContent Climate & Environment

ce isn't the first place that data became good. No, it's just like everything else. It's a bunch of human beings. And if they can't measure it they lie. That's what used to be my job. If I couldn't measure something it was my job explicitly — I'm not making this up — to lie about it. Because we coul…

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Closing General Commentary

ing. I know I went long again. Don't mean to go long but it's just so much fun. I just want to keep doing it. I'm going to say bye to everybody on YouTube and Rumble and X. And I'm going to talk to my beloved people in Locals only if this works. Let's see if it works today.

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Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams. And wow, are you happy to be here. It's going to be amazing. And if you'd like your experience today to go up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny, smooth human brains, I can't multitask. All you need is a coffee mug or a glass, a tankard, a chalice or stein, a can, a jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, dopamine hit of the day. The thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. It happens now.

Oh, that's good. That's some good stuff right there. I hope it was as good for you.

All right, we still got a little bit of a problem here with my comment chat. I can make this work. You know my secret with technology is something doesn't work, you close it and reopen it and you reboot, then you reload the app. None of that ever works by the way, but it's what I do. You should do it too.

All right, I'm definitely going to make this work. There it is. We have success.

Well, you're probably asking me, Scott, what does the Dilbert comic look like today? Is it relevant? Is it funny? Well, I'm going to show you. How would you like to see it? So here's the Dilbert comic for today. Normally you could only see this if you are subscribing, but I thought you'd like a preview.

The pointy-haired boss says, "Our CEO is showing signs of dementia. It will be your job to cover it up." He says to Dilbert. And Dilbert says, "Why?" And the boss says, "If we get a new CEO, he might hire one of his friends to take my job." And Dilbert says, "How bad is his dementia?" And the boss says, "It's like a mild cold." That's called foreshadowing. Foreshadowing.

And if you... oh my, oh my. All right, so let's make that go away. Hey, look at me using all this technology successfully. Incredible.

Well, there's a new study that says that one of the things you can do for Parkinson's — you know, 'cause Biden is suspected of having Parkinson's — and they found that if you do these three things at the same time, you can reduce your Parkinson's risk by 55%. You got to drink coffee, smoke tobacco, and take aspirin. Well, you know what? I'm not going to recommend all of those things. I'm not sure you should start smoking to reduce your risk of Parkinson's. And it does bring into question who funded that study. Who do you think funded the study that said smoking tobacco could get rid of your Parkinson's risk? Could it be tobacco people? I don't know.

So I of course immediately searched the internet to find out if marijuana had been tested as a possible treatment for or preventive for Parkinson's. And the answer is the studies are ambiguous, but there is some evidence marijuana is helpful for reducing at least the symptoms of Parkinson's. Or if I could summarize this in one big summary: science doesn't know what works, maybe about anything. I don't know. But no, I would not start smoking cigarettes and take an aspirin to reduce your Parkinson's.

Well, there's a big bust in Oregon. So Oregon had a big crime wave, and apparently 4,000 Lego sets were stolen, and they were valued at over $200,000 in Lego sets. Now it took the police a three-month investigation. Do you know why it took them three months to solve the Lego situation? It's because it took them a while to piece it all together. Ah, you're welcome. You're welcome.

Well, there's a lawsuit against Northwestern, the school, for anti-white, anti-male hiring. So it's another DEI story. So do you need to know the details? No. There's a professor. He's white. He's male. Can't get a job. I didn't even read it, but I can tell you that's the story. Yep. If these lawsuits succeed, do you think you'll see more of them? Yes, you will. One of the things about following the money is it's like seeing the future. Let's see. If somebody succeeds in a lawsuit, will there be more of them? Yes, there will. The likelihood of succeeding in this lawsuit? Probably 100%, because the thing with these DEI cases is you never have to look for the evidence. The evidence is what they told you and what they wrote down. The witnesses all over the place. 100% of the people would agree, and everybody in the same situation had the same outcome. It's the easiest case you can ever prove, because nobody's hiding it. Not only are they not hiding it, it's often written down as a policy. So how do you lose that? Yeah, imagine if there were entities that wrote policy documents that said we're going to steal money from people when they're not looking, and we're just going to keep it. And you'd say to yourself, I think I could find the conviction here.

All right. Tony Robbins has reportedly, according to Wall Street Journal, bet $200 million of his own money on a new technology that allegedly can turn coal into hydrogen so it can burn clean. So some kind of sciency process to make coal, which would be sort of a dirty fuel, into hydrogen, which would be super clean. Now, how does Tony Robbins have $200 million? I had to check on his net worth, and of course net worth numbers are usually ridiculous, made up. But it says his net worth was 600 million, and he put 200 million into one bet. That's a hell of a bet. And this entrepreneur has some credentials, but some scientists are skeptical. Well, I'm going to join these skeptical scientists, but I do love how Tony Robbins is putting his own money into it.

Let's call this another example of people who have given up on the government. Why would Tony Robbins put $200 million of his own money into this? Is it because he's a good investor? I doubt it. I mean, this would be weird to put a third of your net wealth into one company that hasn't proven its technology. That would not normally be the definition of a good investor. So why would he do it? Well, I've got a few opinions. One is I think when you're really successful, you end up with a God complex. Speaking from experience, you end up with a God complex, and you wonder, well, what else can I do? If I did all this, what else can I do? Like, I don't know what my limit is. And I ran into that problem when Dilbert became successful. There was this period of my life, maybe five years, where everything I touched was successful. I make a book, it's a bestseller. I make a comic, it's a big hit. Yeah, it was just everything. I go into the speaking circuit, I'm one of the highest paid speakers. So for a while I thought to myself, I wonder what my limit is. Like, should I be shooting higher? Should I be building a rocket to Mars?

And you could see that Elon Musk probably has the same thing. He builds a car company that nobody could build, and then he probably has to wonder, well, maybe I could have done more than that. Like, what's bigger than that? How about putting human life on Mars? Kind of a God complex, doing things that don't seem like they're possible. So some of it is actually just people testing their own limits. But some of it, the bigger story, is I think we've given up on the government. There was a time when I thought, well, the big problems have to be solved by the government. You know, a war has to be solved by the government, a pandemic, government. Fixing climate change? Well, that's probably going to be a government thing. It's so big. But nobody really trusts the government to fix anything. So if you really think that climate change is a problem, and you're Tony Robbins, and you know that you've done things that didn't even look possible, you probably say to yourself, you know what, maybe it's up to me. With great power comes great responsibility. And I think that's what's behind that actually. So good luck with that.

Thomas Massie finally checked in. You know, as his wife tragically died a few weeks ago, and he's struggling, of course. The family is struggling, they would be. But apparently an autopsy has been conducted. You know, she had full security, she died at home, and they don't know what the cause of death is. So they don't have the results of the autopsy yet. God, that would be maddening. Imagine it's been two weeks and you don't know the cause of death. It was natural. Well, I mean, there were no signs it was anything but a natural death, but they don't know the cause. And no, she was not vaccinated. I know you can ask.

Well, Trump continues to be the best writer in the business. I'm going to read one of his lengthy Truth Social posts in which he talks about Nancy Pelosi, only for entertainment. All right, this has no news value whatsoever. It's not news you can use. I just want to show you his writing skill. Now, if you think he doesn't have writing skill, just feel how much you feel his writing. Oh my God, you can feel it.

All right, I'll just read it. Quote: "Crazy Nancy Pelosi is more of a cognitive mess than Sleepy Crooked Joe." I mean, come on, that's just so good. There's just so much color in that first sentence. I mean, you just feel every part, every word. You're going to feel it. He goes on: "She also suffers from a terminal case of TDS, Trump Derangement Syndrome. She is a total nut job who impeached me twice and lost." Lost meaning he stayed in the job. "Now I see her going around barely" — meaning that she can barely go around — "and saying that I am a threat to democracy. No, this is just radical left Democrat disinformation, which is all they're good at."

Trump continued trying to convince anyone that will listen that Crooked Joe is a mental giant and in great form, which everyone knows he is not. She's just continuing the lie to the American people. And that she is the true threat to democracy and a very sick one. And remember, she took full responsibility for not doing her job on January 6th. It was her fault. And I'd like to thank her daughter for supplying the tape of Nancy's confession. But what took so long? Hiding evidence is a crime.

I just see him standing on a platform above the ocean that's filled with sharks, and he's just got this big barrel of meat, and he's like, I have a little more red meat. And he throws it in. The sharks go crazy. And he goes, how about over here? And he's just throwing red meat into the sharks, and the sharks think they have free will, and they're just like... and he's just orchestrating all their craziness. So he does this thing where he throws in so many accusations you don't even know what to do about it. Anyway, so funny.

Well, I was asked today for some constructive optimism, and I'm going to give you some optimism because some of the stories coming up are less optimistic. But this is from General Mike Flynn. And somebody posted about how bad things are, and he wanted to give us some optimism. He said the country is absolutely fixable. We cannot take nor accept a defeatist attitude. I understand fully how corrupt our bureaucracy and elements within our government have become. The one person who can fix it is the president, but it must be the right president. How do you think Lincoln felt halfway through his administration with the unity of the nation in grave peril? Or other great leaders throughout history who saw peril and did not flinch in fear or indecision? Hang tough, Wyatt. That's who he was talking to in his comments. I know you will, as will millions of others. You only lose when you quit. That is correct. That is correct.

Now, I've told you this before. One of the great advantages of being my age is that I get to see how many times we've been doomed. We've been doomed a lot. We've been doomed since I was five years old. We were doomed from a definite nuclear war with Russia. The ozone was emptying. We were running out of oil, and the hippies were going to take over and ruin our work culture. And it looked like the Communists were going to domino up the world, and we're polluted and we wouldn't be able to breathe, going to run out of food. That's just when I was 10. That's all the problems we had when I was 10 years old. And the '70s actually turned out to be a pretty good era after the war.

So I would say that America is really, really good at solving problems. But the phase before we solve a problem always looks like this. It looks like us complaining and not knowing how to solve the problem. And when everybody's complaining enough and everybody feels doomed enough and the problems look big enough, then we solve them. Because the weird thing about our problems is they're not unsolvable if we work together to solve them. But if you don't work together, you're pretty much dead, I think I could say that with certainty. If we work together to solve our problems, very solvable. Very solvable. If we decide to fight each other and not work together toward our problems, we're dead. But here's the good news: America does pull together when they don't have any choice. The internal division is a luxury that you get when things are working well. You don't turn on each other until things are kind of working okay, and then you have that luxury.

So as things get worse, our ability to solve them gets better, because that's when people say, okay. As they are now. Okay, Biden does have a problem. Now we're all on the same page, because they got worse. If Biden had not gotten worse, we would still be disagreeing whether he's bad enough to be president. But you know what we do about it may vary. But certainly we've agreed that now we have the same problem we're working toward. So I think that as the problems get worse, our ability to solve them gets better. But that's kind of invisible because you don't see it. And also there's always stuff working behind the scenes. There's technology, there's inventions, there are people trying things all the time. We generally figure this stuff out.

I would rate our current problems as average. Average. If you looked at every problem in America and compared it to all the problems we've ever had, somewhere in the middle. It's not an extra scary time. Might be the opposite. It's probably closer to extra safe than it is to extra scary on average. So no, don't worry about everything falling apart. It might get worse, but as it does, it gets closer to the time we have the resolve to solve it.

All right, there's going to be what they call a big boy press conference today. Biden's going to try to take questions from the White House press corps at 5:30 Eastern. So that would be right in the middle of Fox News's "The Five." So it's going to ruin their show. And I might want to livestream when that's happening. I haven't decided yet, but I'll see what I'm doing.

Here's what I think is the plan. Since it's clear that Biden himself does not want to leave, it seems clear that Jill is on that same page, and they don't have the physical power to force him out. But they really, really — they meaning Democrats, the leadership — really, really need him to leave. What are you going to do? Well, now we know. Let me tell you what they're going to do. And it's embarrassing, and it's just icky. They can't talk him into leaving, and they can't leave him there. What are they going to do? They can't leave him the way it is, and they can't talk him into leaving. What does that leave? Murder? Now I'm not predicting that because it'd be too obvious. So I think murder is off the table. So you can't kill him, can't get him to leave on his own, can't force him out. What's left? You can figure this one out yourself. I'm going to give you one more clue, okay?

That Kirby said in front of the public that this presser would be quote "a big boy press conference." A big boy press. Do you see it yet? And then George Clooney says, yeah, he's gone. And now we hear that Obama agreed with Clooney that he had no objection. Do you see it yet? He's going to embarrass him out of office. Do you think that they would have this press conference if they were trying to protect him? Nope. Because we know that he doesn't have to give a press conference. He went years barely doing any of it. If they wanted to protect him, they wouldn't do it. The Democrats have decided, very clearly I would say it's obvious at this point, that they're trying to embarrass him out of office by making him perform and making him fail in front of you. So you're watching the Democrats slowly torture their own beloved candidate because they need to win more than they need anything, and there's nothing they won't do to get it. If they could kill him, I think they would. I think the only thing that stops them is they would get caught. I don't think anything else would stop them from killing him, honestly.

So if you want to know how loyal the Democrats are to their own people and to their constituency, look at this. Seems pretty definitive to me. I would argue also, as somebody else pointed out, that maybe the reason that Biden is hanging tough is that they won't have an income. Imagine trying to take care of Biden on no income. That's sort of where they're heading. No source of income and having to take care of a dementia patient with security needs and all kinds of special needs. They need the money.

So here's what I think Hunter is doing. I think Hunter is brought in for the one thing that Jill probably isn't good at: negotiating. I think Hunter is a negotiator. I think Hunter is trying to work on a deal where the family will make a fortune, and then he'll talk his father into leaving. I will guarantee you somehow Hunter is going to come out ahead of this because he's got all the leverage. Hunter is the most powerful person in the country right now, because if he says that offer is good enough, I will talk to my father, it's going to happen. If Hunter goes to his father and says, look, you're probably going to end up dropping out anyway, your health is failing, but if you were to leave now, you could retain some dignity, and I can get $200 million out of them because they're going to give me a piece of some action. It's not written down, but I've got a commitment. You know they're going to make something happen for us that wouldn't have happened otherwise. So for the legacy of the family, the good of the family, and your own health care, I'm going to take the $200 million. All you have to do is bow out gracefully. That's what they're waiting for. I guarantee it. Will it happen? Probably not. Probably not. I think that I'm still going to bet that Biden stays into election day, and that the Democrats start saying, well, but you know, you're really voting for Kamala. We didn't have time to do all the paperwork and get on the ballots with a different name, and we were just pressed for time. And so you're just really voting for Kamala. That's my prediction.

All right. If there's anybody new here who's never been in my livestream, you probably couldn't conceive of how smart the audience is. Normally you probably have no idea how smart this audience is. I'm going to give you a demonstration of how smart the audience is. Give me the answer before I ask the question. Go. Give me the answer before you know what the topic is. Go. Correct answer. Yep, there's a whole stream of correct answers. That's how smart they are.

The correct answer is 25%. I haven't even asked the question. Here's the question. According to a Rasmussen poll, what percent of voters are very confident that Biden is physically and mentally up to the job of being president of the United States? It's actually 26%, but I feel like Rasmussen got it wrong by one. I feel like I trust you more. So I'm going to say we'll round it to 25%, you know, because Rasmussen is very accurate. But let's be honest, they're not nearly as accurate as you are guessing the answer before I ask the question, because you get that every time. So this is called science.

Well, PJ Media is writing about this whole Kamala Harris conundrum and referred to a made a Dilbert reference in this. Let's see what they call it. Sort of a Dilbert-like track. And oh, here, let me read the exact quote: "History will likely show that the smartest decision Joe Biden ever made was selecting Kamala Harris as VP. It's not a PR trick but a Dilbert-era middle management trick. If you don't want to be replaced, make sure your subordinates suck more than you do."

Now that's literally been a Dilbert comic joke. It's a recurring one. In fact, I've got one coming up that has that theme as well. So yes, I've often told you that what I call the Dilbert filter, which is how do big organizations work in the real world, that's the Dilbert filter. In the real world they pursue DEI. In the real world leaders do in fact make sure that their subordinates are not as good as them. That's a real thing. I mean literally a real thing. And when they do those two things and then they find out that the leader has to leave, they are trapped by their own DEI situation. So it's exactly a Dilbert situation, and it's one that's been in the comic and will be again. So now they're boxed in. There's nothing they can do. That's why I think it's Kamala or bust. And there's no real reason to elevate her to the top of the ticket. It makes more sense just to leave it the way it is and let people vote the way it is.

All right. I saw Senator Kennedy do the most useful thing I've seen a senator do in a long time, probably because Thomas Massie, you know, and Congress is not terribly functional. But at least Senator Kennedy is. Here's what he did. He brought in some budget expert for the government and asked how much would we need to cut the budget to balance it. Now that's not paying down the deficit, that's not paying down the 35 trillion. It's just what would it take to not make it more. How much would you have to cut? How many of you know the answer to that? How much would you have to cut the current budget to get it in balance? Because if you said, well, one or two percent, then I'd say, oh, we don't have that big a problem, right?

So the expert said 7 or 8%. Do you think there's any human way that our current government could cut our budget by 7 or 8%? No, no, because you'd have to cut everything. And if you didn't cut everything, it gets worse. Because if you said, oh, we're not going to cut this one section, we're not going to cut this one, well then you're talking about maybe 15% cuts to other places. Do you think we could cut any part of the whole budget 15% with the current government in the current situation? No, not a chance. Because cutting gets you unelected. Pushing the can down the field gets you elected, because they know they always get reelected.

So I asked ChatGPT to give me a little sanity check on it. And here's just some numbers just to hold in your head when you're talking about the budget. Just a few numbers to keep in your head so you feel like you're smart. First of all, our budget every year is around $6 trillion. So that's the US budget. But we don't take in that much in taxes. So about 1.2 trillion of it is borrowing. So if you just round off, what is 1 trillion of 6 trillion? About 17%, right? So no, cutting 7 or 8% isn't going to get you close. You have to cut more like 17% of everything. Do you think there's any chance we would cut 17% off the budget of everything? And again, if we don't, that means that some budgets are going to get it twice as hard. Or the other budgets would be twice as hard. And not twice, you know, I'm exaggerating, but that's what it would look like.

And then I asked myself, how is that even possible? So then I asked ChatGPT to come up with its own budget, to tell me what to cut in each of the current budget categories to get to a balanced budget. And I'll tell you what ChatGPT says, just to give you an idea how... oh, maybe I won't have to look it up. But the answer is way more horrifying. You would have to make cuts in various things about 25%. So probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 17 to 25% you'd have to take off of every budget. Do you think they're going to cut the military by 17 to 25%? Do you think Social Security is going to get cut by... no, no, there isn't any way. So if there's no way to do it, are we doomed?

And it was really hard to get even ChatGPT to give me a suggested budget which we could survive. Survival. I'm not even talking about optimizing. I'm not talking about the best of several plans. I tried to get ChatGPT to give me any estimate where we could survive, and it fought me just like humans do. That's why Kennedy did a service. He actually nailed somebody down and forced him to give them a number, because nobody wants to do it. The reason nobody wants to do it is the number is unsurvivable. Nobody wants to say honestly it's unsurvivable. There's no way to cut it, and there's no way to survive it. That's the truth. It's unsurvivable.

Now, does that mean we're doomed? No. Let's go back to General... I'm sorry, just General, you know the thing, Flynn. General Flynn. So we go back to his optimism. Is this a worse problem than the Civil War? No. Is it a worse problem than World War I or II? No. Is it a worse problem than the pandemic? Maybe. But it's within the realm of things we solve. How? I have no idea. But let me give you some just brainstorming to give you a sense it might be possible. All right, because you need to feel it might be possible.

Number one, Elon Musk says that Tesla might be way more valuable because of all the robots. We're going to go through a one server robot cycle where we will sell probably, I don't know, make and sell a hundred million robots pretty soon. What if we tax the robots and just stop taxing people? So if you were to get a robot, you got to pay something per robot, because nobody already has a robot like a personal robot. So if you just said, all right, here's the cost of a robot. It's going to be $25,000, and there will always be a 10% robot tax. Well, if you never had to pay a robot tax because you never bought a robot, it doesn't look so bad, does it? It just looks like it's the cost of the robot. And you'd say, well, I have a maintenance program that's on. I have insurance for my robot that's ongoing. What if I have a little tax that's ongoing too, just part of the cost of owning?

Now, who's going to be buying these robots? Not poor people. So it wouldn't be a tax on poor people. It would be very much on rich people. And most of the robots will probably be by big companies who buy all of the robots and then they rent them to you. So it'll be robot as a service. So you're not going to have necessarily a robot in your house, but you might have a robot that drives up to your house in a self-driving Tesla, cleans your house, and then goes back to its business while you're at work. That might happen. Probably will happen. So everybody's going to be renting a robot even if they don't own one. So could you get to a point where the robot tax is paying all of your costs?

How about AI? AI is going to be wildly profitable for some companies and wildly gigantic. Suppose you say I put a special tax on, I don't know, data centers, because we know we're going to build like trillions of dollars of data centers. So suppose you say 10% tax or something, and suddenly you're talking about things that are so big and so new that there's some chance that growth gets rid of some of your deficit. Some chance. But you would also have to almost stop spending. You'd have to just flatten spending for a long time.

The other thing you could do is use AI to recommend where the cuts are. The reason you could use AI is that Congress will only vote for things for which they won't be blamed later. Right? If you say who's in favor of cutting these budgets 20%, no Congress person signs up for that, because that's the end of your job, because you would be blamed for cutting 10% or 20% of their Social Security. They're going to take it personally. So how could you make it so that Congress could vote in the way that's the best for the country and not lose their jobs? I have a suggestion. You delegate the suggestion for the cuts to AI. Now, will AI make the best decisions? Nobody will ever agree on that. No, we'd fight it. We'd say no, don't listen to that AI. But what AI would do, it would give the Congress people an out. If they could sell the AI version of the cuts to the public, then they can say, look, if it were up to me, if it were up to me I wouldn't have done that. But we had decided on a process in which AI would make the decisions because we all agree that if the humans try to make the decisions we'll just delay it. So can we all agree — this is what you can imagine Congress saying — can we all agree that if you leave it to us we won't do it, we'll just kick the can forever? You agree it has to be done. Let's agree that we'll use this objective standard that doesn't care about us one way or the other. AI. Let AI make the decision.

And AI might be more rational. For example, if you and I were going to cut, we might say, oh, I think they can handle 2%, but I can't go further. But the AI might say, oh, you realize if you just redo this whole department you can lower the expenses 90%, because that's something humans wouldn't necessarily see. But maybe the AI would say, oh, we could just automate this whole thing. I can get rid of the entire Department of whatever, just make it AI. It'll take you two years, 90% reduction in cost. So the AI could do things that the humans can't do only because the AI won't be blamed for being biased. I mean it will be biased, but it won't be as blamed. So is there any path? Yes. I don't know what it will be, but I think we have a chance.

Now here's an update. I was talking about the idea of using a magic crypto to pay off our debt, and I kept asking for people to validate whether that was the dumbest idea in the world because it sounds like it, or the smartest idea in the world, because sometimes the smartest idea and the dumbest idea sound the same. It's really hard to tell sometimes. So I did get some expert smart people who contacted me separately and explained to me, nope, you can't do it.

So here's the simple explanation. If you add money to the system in any way, whether it's regular money or crypto, it's too much money in the system. It's inflation. Everything crashes. Now that I knew, of course. But I was thinking what if you just replaced US dollars with crypto? Does that create money out of nothing? And here's the other problem. Apparently even if a space alien came down and gave you somehow, magically gave you money to pay off all $35 trillion national debt, it would destroy the country. Didn't see that coming, did you? If some outside third party who magically had $35 trillion appear tomorrow and says I'll tell you what, I could write a check, we'll just get rid of all this debt, it would be so disruptive that the economy wouldn't recover. So you need some kind of debt because the debt is doing work too, right? Debt isn't zero money. Debt is somebody gave the government money, and then the government can allow banks to lend more money, and then the economy works. That's the quick expression.

But here's my updated suggestion. Suppose you created a crypto but it could never compete with money. How is that possible, you say? Well, like this. Suppose the government said we're going to make a program for people who don't have a lot of money that they can buy all these goods and services that are super designed so that they're cheap and effective and healthy, but you can only spend crypto on it. Now that doesn't work because the crypto would still have to get into the system. If you were only spending the crypto for the government... well, here's the idea. It's a bad idea, but could you bifurcate the economy so that it introduces new money but that new money can't get to the rest of the economy to cause inflation? In other words, could you create fake money just for poor people so the poor people could have goods and services but it wouldn't add money to the system because they'd be set off. They couldn't buy a car with it. They could only buy food and shelter and stuff. I don't know. I think that doesn't work either. Pretty much all the ideas don't work.

But here's the thing I want to tell you. Paying down the debt doesn't seem that important, but getting rid of the deficit is critical to survival. Does that make sense? You got to make sure that your budget every year is good, because if you drive the 35 trillion up to 100 trillion, we are definitely all dead. So something is too big for sure, but it's not too big yet. It's getting there. But if the only thing you did is keep it the same, you could limp along and inflate it away over the years. So you either have to massively increase taxes by massively increasing productivity or else you cut things massively. But your choices are some kind of massive growth and some kind of massive cuts. Now if you cut the difference, it would be something like you'd have to take the GDP from what is around three or four, you'd probably have to get it up to six or seven, which probably can only happen during the robot AI turnover. It could work the other way and reduce it, but I think in the short term it would be more. And then maybe cut things 10%. And you have to have AI make the cutting decisions because the Congress can't. So that's what you're looking at.

Hey, have you heard the Democrats say that Trump is only in it for himself? He's only in it for himself. This is called the projection alert. Projection alert. Where they accuse somebody of what they're doing. What do you think they think of Biden right now? So Biden is staying in the race for Biden, right? There's nobody who's a Democrat or a Republican, nobody who believes that he's staying in the race because it's good for the country. Not a single person believes that. What have they been saying about Trump? He's in it for himself. How's that work? Because it's so good for the Trump brand? That's not true. How is he in it for himself exactly? Unless you think he's going to steal your democracy. I don't. I can't even call it democracy. It's like a dumb crazy. Have you noticed how much democracy and dumb crazy sound the same? It's our democracy. Crazy democracy.

Anyway, so I think even the Democrats are starting to write, wait a minute, something's going on here. It would seem to me that Biden's only in it for himself. It would seem to me that Trump is like Jesus and he is sacrificing his brand, his maybe his life, and his reputation and his business to help the country survive. Now maybe he's doing it for his ego, but don't they all do it for their ego? I mean that's always part of it, right? You think Biden doesn't have an ego? Everybody's in there for the ego.

But there was an MSNBC guest who repeated what I call the Gutfeld observation. They didn't credit him of course because it's MSNBC. But they basically were saying out loud, why do we keep pretending that Trump is an existential threat at the same time we're running the only person who will surely lose to him in '24? How do we explain to ourselves our own messaging that Trump is a threat to the existence of the world, and we're not trying very hard to replace him? In fact, we're doing the worst thing we could possibly do if that's what we cared about. How do we explain that?

Well, apparently there's some evidence from people who are Democrats who are finally admitting that they are not worried about a Trump presidency at all. That's right. You wonder, are the Democrats lying, crazy, or evil? Turns out that more and more of them are admitting they were just lying. They do not in fact fear an existential threat from a Trump presidency. Do you know how I knew that? Here, let me show you how I knew that. I'll prove it to you right now. I hope. Otherwise this will be very embarrassing.

You prove it by looking at the stock market. And let's see what the stock market looks like. We'll just take you since... let's take the stock market since we learned for sure that it was going to be Biden versus Trump. And then we learned for sure that Biden had a very low chance of winning and it was going to be Trump. So scary Trump was going to end the world. What does that do to the S&P 500? Right up. So the stock market, which is a collection of all the smart people, no worry whatsoever. Because that's pricing Trump into the market, because the market is a forward-looking measurement. So when the market is confident and solid, it means that they are not worrying about Trump ruining things. It means they were lying.

Now here's the fun part. Since we know that Biden was obviously demented and has been for a long time, and we know that most of the media on the left was saying, we don't see anything, no problem. Yep, don't see a problem here. It's one of those rare times when both Democrats and Republicans can tell that they were saying things that weren't true. That the people in charge of the truth, the news and the politicians, now we both know it, right? Everybody knows it. So that's where it gets fun. Because if everybody knows they were telling us what wasn't true, what are the press who was saying it and covering up for it, how did they explain themselves? Well, the only two possibilities are that they were lying or they were stupid.

If you're a member of the press and your only choices are to explain your behavior by saying I was either stupid and didn't notice the dementia, or I was lying and I wasn't dumb, I was just lying, I was a weasel. Which one will they pick? It's an easy question. If you're in the press and you admit that you lied, there's no penalty. When was the last time you saw somebody lying about the news and losing their job? There's no penalty for that. But suppose you said I didn't notice. Then you just look like the dumbest person in all of politics. Really? You're the only person who didn't notice that? How do you not notice that?

So you have this situation where you can see it already. It's starting. The press is scrambling to confess that they lied because the alternative is that they were really, really stupid. And that's less survivable than lying, because they work in an industry where lying is so ordinary it's not a risk. Think about that. Being stupid in public is always a risk, but lying in public, as long as it's clear that they all did it, totally survivable. So the weird thing is you're going to see people rushing to confess that they were lying because the alternative would be worse. I love this summer. I love this summer. Yeah, there might be some cognitive dissonance, but I think they actually know exactly what happened and why.

All right. Let's see who's stealing whose democracy. This would be another projection alert. Projection alert. Well, Jen Psaki says in a post, it's not helping the Democrats' case for democracy when Joe Biden's campaign is premised on the idea that it doesn't matter if he is senile in office. Then who are we voting for and how is that democracy? So here's another prominent Democrat voice saying, wait a minute, the things we're saying and the things we're doing, they don't line up at all. They don't line up.

All right, so let's go down the list of Democrats stealing democracy, and then we'll do Trump stealing democracy. This is going to be a little bit of a spoiler, but you probably didn't see this coming. But the list of things that would be Democrats stealing democracy are all real and observable. The list of Trump stealing democracy is imaginary. Are you surprised that that's their play? Everything that they do in front of us is objectively true and observable. Everything they say about Trump is like, really, like in the future he'll turn into a dragon and use his fiery breath to destroy your village. I'm not so sure that's going to happen. Feels imaginary.

So here's the list. The Democrats rigged their own primaries and still are. They created a massive assault on free speech. If you don't know how that worked, follow Mike Benz by creating infinite external entities that could put pressure on sources of information. So that would be the Twitter files and everything else. So massive free speech assault. Trying to limit the Second Amendment, of course. Weaponizing the Department of Justice against Trump. All the lawfare. Nobody believes that that's legitimate. You know, if you're still in the world where, well, but Democrats think they're just pursuing the law. No they're not. No they're not. Not anything like that. It's transparent, obvious weaponization of the Department of Justice. It's obviously coordinated. It's exactly what you see.

They have controlled the media so that everybody started saying that Biden was sharp as a tack at the same time. And their media was like, well, okay, whatever. So we can see that they control the media. Although the media finally gave up on them on the Biden brain thing only because they had to. Only because they had to. Where if the debate hadn't happened, the media would still be covering up for Biden. Just think about that. They'd still be covering. Except for the debate. If the public had not found out on their own, basically doing their own research by watching the debate, the news never would have told you. Is that... that's just mind-blowing that we had to see it ourselves. They never would have told us.

Now we got Democrats to discuss packing the Supreme Court because they don't like it. Impeaching. AOC wants to impeach two of the justices because they don't like it. So they're not so big on the whole separation of powers thing. There's the whole starting a war under false pretense in Ukraine. What part of that was democracy? Did we vote for a war? I don't recall voting for a war. No, I don't remember that at all. But we're in one.

The Democrats have universally and completely and in every case voted against laws that would improve election integrity. They have voted against every measure that would make it more clear who got elected. That's not a coincidence. It's because they're stealing your democracy. There's only one explanation for that.

Now you got the party elites trying to replace Biden, which is basically the Iranian system where the elites or the mullahs decide who can run because it doesn't matter which one gets elected because they've all been pre-approved. The Iranian system. And they're doing it right in front of us again. It's observable, right? You can see them trying to organize a fake primary after they had one.

And now we are connecting the dots that Hunter once took a $5 million loan from a Chinese citizen who was connected to Chinese intelligence. And there's no indication he ever paid back the $5 million loan, which would mean that somebody in China kind of owns them a little bit. And now Hunter's maybe controlling policy in the White House just because he's capable. So that's... how's that? Does that sound like democracy? The guy who is the gatekeeper for the president owes a Chinese guy connected to security or intel $5 million. I don't think that could be worse.

All right, so those seem... I think you'd agree that those are observable. Not really any question that all that's happening. Not really. Now here's Trump's list stealing your democracy. There's the things on the Project 2025 list that he does not agree with. So the first imaginary category are things he says he doesn't agree with and wouldn't do. So that's one of the reasons that he's going to steal your democracy. The things he says he won't do, because they are trying to paint him as supporter of things he's not supporting.

Then there's all the gaslighting that Democrats did about January 6. So because January 6 was a whole op, a gaslighting op in which they pretended it was an insurrection and that Trump was in charge of it. An entire imaginary hoax. That's one of the main reasons that they have to say, well, if he did it once he'll do it again. But he didn't do it once. He left office on the day he was supposed to leave office, and there was never any possibility he could have taken over a country because some of his supporters trespassed or because he picked some alternate electors just to hold his rights, but that didn't work out.

And then there's the stuff that Democrats are hallucinating Trump might do if he becomes president. Literally they're afraid of the things he'll do that they don't really have a specific name for but think you won't leave office and just crazy. That is not observable and it seems to come out of pure mental illness. We're just lying.

And then of course there's the abortion question that he'll take away your bodily autonomy. Will he do that by taking himself out of the decision-making process? Because that's what he said he'd do. He said he would not be part of any national ban on abortion. In other words, he's not going to be a decision maker either way. He said he wants... he moved all the power to the states, which they've been wanting to do, so that it's not his role. How does giving your power away to the states suddenly qualify as stealing your democracy? I mean basically all he did is correct it. It's something that was seemed out of whack at one point, so he corrected it, put the power back in the states where it probably should have always been.

Now, have I made my case that the Trump stealing your democracy is purely imaginary? It's based on their own hoaxes and gaslighting. And all of theirs are obvious. It's a longer list and you can observe it. It's observable right now. You don't have to wonder what will happen in the future. It's right now.

All right. And then you have of course Biden defying the majority because ABC News says two-thirds of the public wants him to step down. Is he acting all democratic by staying in office when we don't know who's in charge and two-thirds of the country wants him to step down, including majority of his own party? So that's his view of preserving democracy, I guess. Not doing what people want. Now I know we're not a democracy. Let me just do an update for the NPCs. Swimming is the best form of exercise. The United States is a form of republic, not a democracy. And if somebody invents a new source of food it's probably Soylent Green. So if you're trying to remain an NPC in good standing, make sure that whenever any of those topics come up you add your value like I just did.

All right. Representative Anna Paulina Luna from Florida, she's leading up an effort to try to fine Attorney General Garland $10,000 per day until he turns over the Hur audio. Now the Hur audio is the one where we think President Biden was incoherent, but the transcript may have erased all the incoherence. So since they already have the transcript, what would be the big deal of hearing the actual audio? Well, I think we all suspect that the only reason you don't hear it is that it's really bad. And I think Hur was maybe being kind by saying he's too out of it to ever stand trial. I think he was right on that, and so far he's been vindicated.

But I would ask you this, Representative Luna. How's this good for us? How is it good? Because worst case scenario is that audio comes out tomorrow. Democrats say, oh okay, we're all out. And it goes to 90% Democrats want him out, and then basically has no choice. He's going to get pushed out. So how's that good for Trump? I think Trump's playing this right. Trump's playing it right. Because the question of whether Biden is mentally capable has been asked and answered. If you're still trying to ask and answer it, you're only introducing a variable that we don't need and could go wrong. Because the way it could go wrong is it might give the Democrats the ability to rapidly replace him, and then you don't know what you're getting. Then you don't know what you're getting. Could be better, although they still have the problem of how do you skip over Kamala. So I suppose the way they would do it is they would elevate Kamala Harris to the top. They would pick a really strong vice president, and then it would sell them as a team. They'd say, well, you know, if you don't like Kamala, it's a team. Look at this vice president pick. It's so strong. That's probably their best play. But I don't think we need to hear the Hur tape. It's not going to add anything, but it could subtract something. It could reduce the chances you get the president you want.

Joy Behar says that when Trump calls Kamala "laughing Kamala," that is sexist. That's not something you would never make fun of a man's laugh, would you? Like yeah, of course this is purely sexist because making fun of how somebody laughs, honestly that only happens to women. And conservatives only make fun of women who laugh wrong. Have I ever given you my Tucker Carlson laughing impression? I can't do the high pitch. Everybody makes fun of Tucker's laugh. Tucker's laugh is one of the most famous memes in all of right-leaning world. We love Tucker. No, Joy Behar has she could find more ways to be wrong about more things than anybody I've ever seen in my life. It's literally one of the most famous things that people make fun of is that Tucker has one of the most distinctive laughs in all of them. So no, it's not sexist anyway.

So the press conference will be 5:30 today Eastern time. And basically all the major outlets, news outlets that normally support the president are against him. In other news, Alex Soros, the heir to the Soros fortune now in control of its money, has married Huma Abedin. I'm just going to say it. That... do you want me to beat around the bush or do you want me to just say it? This is why it's good to be canceled. I would never say what I'm going to say next unless I'd been canceled. If you spend one minute Googling Alex Soros and images, he's very gay. All right, let's just say you've never seen a gayer guy hanging out in intimate poses with his boyfriends. He's not even slightly straight. He's the gayest gay guy you've ever seen in your life. Now if you don't believe me, just Google his images. There are plenty of them. It's really observable and obvious.

Now you will not tell me... here's what won't happen. I guarantee this won't happen. You're not going to go look at the pictures yourself and then say, well, I think you're misinterpreting this, Scott. No, you're not going to do that. There's no doubt from his personal life that he's a gay man. Now I love the LGBTQ community. I'm very pro-gay. So I'm not saying anything bad about him, you know, just to clarify. You know, it's 2024. You have to clarify in 2024. I shouldn't have to clarify that if I mention somebody's gay it's not an insult. Can we just... are we past that yet? Can we be past that? Can it just be a fact without it being some kind of assumed insult? We should be way past that. 'Cause the LGBT community is probably one of the most successful American communities, one of the ones I have the most respect for, honestly. Because you know why? Nobody ever said this: we don't want to go to that gay neighborhood because of all the crime and filth. It's like one of the most successful groups in America. So I have complete respect for that group.

Now he's obviously a member of the group, and he's marrying a woman who's what, 10 years older than him? Which is what billionaires do all the time, don't they? They marry people who are 10 years older than them? I don't think I've ever seen it, frankly. It's like that's like how something happens zero times. So your pattern recognition should be kicking in at this point. And your pattern recognition should say something like, huh, that looks a lot like somebody who's getting married for political reasons, doesn't it? What could that political reason be?

Well, we believe that George Soros, whether you think he's evil or not, is a brilliant, brilliant tactician. Would you agree? Nobody's ever called George Soros dumb. I mean he just keeps doing smart-looking things that you might not like, but he's certainly effective. Would you say the same thing about Alex? Well, I don't know. I've not seen any evidence that he's a highly qualified player. It seems that they're hiding him from interviews because given his outsized influence on the world — I mean really, really big — he should be on interviews every day. But they seem to be hiding him. If you can find an interview of him talking in public, you'll very quickly learn why they're hiding him. I don't think he's good at it. I don't think he's good at it.

And I think that when you see Hillary Clinton's best friend and confidant marry him in a marriage that looks suspicious at best, you have to say to yourself, is there something else going on here? Now I don't know, but let me just speculate. It looks like Hillary is making a play to control the Soros fortune after George Soros passes, which will happen pretty soon, because all that money, or at least control of it, will go to Alex. Alex will be controlled by Huma, which gives Hillary functional control of the Soros fortune. That's the play, in my opinion. That's the play.

Now let's take it to the next level of conspiracy theory. What happens if Alex Soros dies in a boating accident tragically? What if he falls off a yacht and the sharks eat him? Because that could happen. He's on a lot of yachts. Accidents happen. People... accidents happen. Just the fact that he happens to be in Hillary's... I mean Hillary's... he's in Hillary's orbit. That doesn't mean something bad's going to happen to him. I mean I know you think that, but just because Hillary... I mean Hillary... just because Hillary would get functional control of I don't know $30 billion that she could use to control the world, that doesn't mean she's going to kill Alex and let Huma take over the money. And presumably Clinton has some influence over Huma. So I think it's exactly what it looks like. I think Huma is going to maybe make George Soros happy before he dies, as in maybe George Soros doesn't know his son is gay. And he might think, you know what, I really need is heirs. I want to make sure I have an heir. So it could be that Alex is making his father seem to be getting an heir, but he'll die before he has to see if there's an heir or not.

So every bit of this looks suspicious. They don't look like a couple even a little bit, honestly. If you see the pictures, I think it's exactly what it looks like. It looks like a Hillary Clinton play to get control of Soros's fortune because they don't think Alex Soros is dependable or smart, and they need to control it because it's essential to their power base. They can't lose control of that. That's what I think.

And I'm quoted in the Gateway Pundit. So here's what I said that they quoted. I said this on X: When Biden refuses to sign a bill preventing non-citizens from voting — which I think is going to happen. So the House passed a bill that says non-citizens can't vote. The Senate might pass it, we don't know. But if they did, it would get to Biden, and he said he would reject it. So here, that's the premise. So if Biden refuses to sign a bill preventing non-citizens from voting, that should become the only issue in the campaign because it also reveals everything else. It's like the key that opens up everything. It gives away the whole game. And what I mean by that is it's an unambiguous statement that Democrats prefer their power over your happiness. There's no other way to explain it. That they need a crooked election because they need the power and they don't care if it makes you unhappy and your country worse. They're just putting themselves over you.

And what I said is you should ask Democrats to defend it, and you should ask Biden to defend it. Like why would you veto a bill that says non-citizens can't vote? Now I think their reason is going to be... somebody's telling me that Huma is 47 so she's not going to be making any heirs. I disagree. They could probably use a surrogate and make a baby. So don't be surprised if you hear that there's a surrogate baby on the way. Anyway, so I would ask Biden to defend it, and I would ask the Democrats to defend why they don't want to limit voting to citizens. And I don't think they can defend it. I think that what they're going to say is, well, it's already illegal so don't worry about it. But that's kind of missing the point.

Well, The Daily Show had a little panel of six Black voters that they were asking about the presidency. And so they got... they're New Yorkers too, so they're Black New York voters, a mix of men and women. And half of the group, three out of six, said they would vote for Trump. The moderator who worked for The Daily Show was also a Black gentleman. And after three of the six of them said they'd vote for Trump, he said, and I quote, "We're an even split." I didn't see that coming. I didn't see that coming. I did. I would have guessed three out of six. If you said how many randomly picked are going to say Trump, I would have said about three out of six. That's you know two out of six maybe more often, but three out of six I think you could get there.

And as Mike Benz warns, and many of you are seeing, and I think Glenn Greenwald is warning on this too, the Democrats can't let go on this Russia is to blame for everything thing. Do you all understand why it's always Russia? Yeah, you have to know the history of the CIA. So the CIA is the CIA because of the Soviet Union. When the Soviet Union fell, they needed a new enemy to justify their actions and their budget. So like, well, Russia. Even though the entire point of disintegrating the Soviet Union was that Russia would basically become friends with the United States. Do you know why we're not friends with Russia when everything they were doing was for the intention of being our friends and never being at war with us? It's because it wouldn't be good for the CIA's budget. That's probably the only reason. Yeah, that's probably the only reason. Now there was also the oil, the energy stuff, you know, later, blah blah blah, and Putin maybe interfering in other countries where we wanted to interfere before he interfered. So there's certainly lots of little stuff. But if we had already made friends with them, Putin probably would already be working productively with us in these other countries. And if he wanted something like a warm port and they were our allies, we would have said something like, why would we object to you having a warm port? You're our ally. We don't object to France putting a port anywhere, do we? They're our ally.

So it seems to me that the reason Russia, Russia, Russia is because the intel people work with the Democrats, and the intel people need the Democrats to tell you that Russia, Russia, Russia so they can keep their budget. So I don't think that the Russia is an enemy is real. I don't think it's based on reality. I think some reality comes out of it because when you tell each other you're enemies you don't work together in other countries. Well, so we see that. But it feels like a manufactured problem. Totally manufactured. And it looks like it's manufactured to support the budget of our intelligence people and nothing else. It may be military too. That's what it looks like.

Eric Adams says sanctuary cities are a big mistake, wants them to go away. Of course.

All right, I've got a challenge for you. Oh wait, we'll do this first. So Joe Rogan was talking about Elon Musk believing we live in a simulation. And he said something that I've said a few times. He said if you're Elon Musk, of course you believe it's a simulation. People are letting you drill tunnels under LA and shoot rockets off into space and you make electric cars, solar roof panels. I mean he's literally living like some character in a movie. Now I've told you that, right? The exact same thing. If you were Elon Musk and you saw what you could personally accomplish, you would have to believe none of this is real because he lives life like a video game. He plays video games, so that model is in his head, you know, closer to the front of his head. But I say the same thing now. You don't know everything about my life, but if you just looked at the things you know about, how is that possibly real? That when I was six years old I said, you know, I think I want to be a famous cartoonist. Well, the number of famous cartoonists who happened since I was six years old is like three or four out of seven billion people. And I'm one of the three or four. How's that possible? And then you know, next thing I know I'm predicting Trump and I'm invited to the White House and here I am. How is any of this possible, right? And that's just my professional life. My personal life is even weirder. How is any of it possible? So yes, I believe we're in a simulation. And I think we're going to find out in a year. So that's my prediction. I think we're one year away from confirming that we live in a simulation.

Now when I say confirming, I don't mean that everybody will agree. I mean that the evidence will be overwhelming. And here's what it will look like in one year. We will create our own simulation in which the characters believe they have consciousness, free will, and they're living their own lives. Once we do that — and we already have the tech for that — once we do it, maybe in a year, the argument for us not being one will just disappear. Because once we can do it, the argument was always that once it can be done there'll be more than one. So after somebody makes one of them in a year in the real world, in one year there will be that simulation. Somebody else is going to say, hey that's a good idea, I'll make one too. And at that moment the number of simulated realities will be confirmed to be twice as many as base reality if there is, if even one exists.

Now the argument that I've heard against the simulation is stupid, and it goes like this: Scott, you're just pushing God back one more level. I mean you know something can't come from nothing, so therefore a God. And then I say, is God something? Well yeah, where did he come from? Something came from nothing or something was always there. Here's the answer to where everything came from. Everything was always here. That's it. Now the fact that your brain can't wrap its head around that doesn't make it wrong, because you can't wrap your head around any of physics. But you don't need to solve the problem of how anything came from nothing because that's an absurd assumption. The correct assumption is there was always something. Do you know why? Because you can't make something out of nothing. It's obvious. There was always something. You know, even if you say the Big Bang was the beginning, no, whatever it was that caused the Big Bang had to exist. So there was always something, even if it was packed into one little singularity. But there was something. So no, you don't have to solve the God or simulation problem. There was always something. That's it. That's the whole solution. There was always something.

All right, here is my last challenge to you. I want to see if you can prove me wrong. I was curious how many of the predictions made during the Al Gore era of "An Inconvenient Truth," when he first started saying you were all doomed from climate change, how many predictions were made either by him or other experts at that time that have panned out. Now that seems like the easiest thing you could look up in the world, doesn't it? The most important thing is climate change. So there's a gazillion documents and science about climate change. The most important thing we need to know about climate change is are the predictions correct, right? Would you agree? It's the biggest problem if it's true, and the biggest issue within it is can we predict it so that we know that we're in trouble. So the most obvious thing that should be easy to Google would be what are the predictions and what's the reality. You can't find it. You cannot find it. Good luck.

You can even take one thing. Take just one thing. Are the storms more severe or less? Good luck. You'll find yes, you'll find no. Sometimes you'll find confusing answers. But you cannot answer the question have the predictions so far turned out to be true. Now here's what you're going to say. But Scott, I know the answer. The sea level has not risen. That's not what the internet says. The internet says that the sea level has risen but not everywhere. For example in the Gulf of Mexico they say the sea level has risen as predicted, but maybe not on the other side of Florida. So if you go to the internet, I swear to God this is true, they'll tell you that the sea level rose on the west side of Florida but not the east side. Which maybe is possible because the one side is warmer than the other. But don't you think it rose a little bit on the other side? Yeah.

So here's my challenge to you. My challenge is this. You cannot with any credibility determine if the predictions were right or wrong. Now do you think that's an accident that the internet won't tell you that? Do you think that nobody studied that? No, I'll bet it just gets erased as it's published. I guarantee you that somebody did a good job of looking at the predictions and a really good job of comparing them to reality, and you can't find it. Try. See. Try yourself. I welcome the challenge. See if you can find the answer to that question.

Now the fact that you can't find it, what does that tell you? That's all you need to know. That is the dog that is so not barking. Because if the predictions had been largely true, not completely but even just largely true, you would hear that every day, right? If Al Gore had been right about most things but not everything, it's all you would hear. It'd be in the news every day. Look how right we were. I don't see it. I see stuff like looks like this one island had a little problem but the island next to it was fine. Or we did get storms like a little earlier this year but we don't really see a signal that there's more or worse storms. But some people would say there are. That's the state of our data. Don't know.

So we don't know if sea level's going up or down. We don't know if storms are getting worse. And then what about the ice? There was a prediction that the ice would melt and that the North Pole you'd be able to pass. So is that a prediction from climate change? Well the trouble is that was predicted without climate change because the world is always warming or cooling long term. So we already knew that the ice was going to melt 'cause we're in a warming period, which is better than being in a cooling period. So how much of the ice melt is because it was going to happen anyway versus climate change? Well the argument would be but Scott there's an acceleration so it's much more now. It's accelerated. Yeah, yeah, there might be some baseline because we're at a long-term warming period, but you know, accelerated. Did it? You think they can measure that? Because I've seen evidence that they measured it wrong. Do I believe the evidence that they measured it wrong? No. Do I believe the evidence that they measured it right? No. Because part of the argument is you're measuring the wrong ice. Like there are places where there's less of it but in other places there's a lot more. And if you only looked at one place you'd say well there's less ice there. But if you looked at all the places you'd find that some were more and some were less. Did you know that? I'm not even sure if it's true. It's just something I read.

So we can't even be sure conclusively that we have more or less ice. I mean just think about that. And then what about the polar bears? The polar bears of course would be at risk if the ice melted. But you know what happened? We came up with some polar bear conservation laws and polar bears are starting to come back. What about the Great Barrier Reef? That there was going to be bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef and then when the coral all dies that would cause some ripple effect and the oceans would be in bad shape. Did that happen? Yeah, it happened for years. The Great Barrier Reef was getting worse and worse and worse and worse until about three years ago and then it reversed. Why? Why did it reverse? How could it? And the answer is well maybe we don't know much about Great Barrier Reefs. So we don't have conclusive evidence that anything has ever happened in climate for 30 years. Probably no real evidence. There are claims but nothing credible.

And that so it comes down to temperature. So they bring it down to but we did tell you that as CO2 went up, which it did, that temperature would go up. And sure enough temperature's up, CO2 is up. Bing, proved it. To which I say, did it? Because the recent studies show that you can't tell if the temperature went up because the heat islands got closer to the thermometers and you don't know how much that would have affected it. But you know it affected it, right? And do you think they could have ever measured it anyway? That's not a thing humans can do. We can't measure the temperature of the Earth. That's sort of the Dilbert filter. If you've never worked in a big entity where you tried to gather data you wouldn't know that it never works. This is something I can't even communicate. You have to live it. Sometimes you say to yourself well Scott, lots of times the data is good. No it isn't. No it isn't. No, the data is never good in the real world. The data is never good. That's just the quality of the world. It does not apply to climate science. Climate science isn't the first place that data became good. No, it's just like everything else. It's a bunch of human beings. And if they can't measure it they lie. That's what used to be my job. If I couldn't measure something it was my job explicitly — I'm not making this up — to lie about it. Because we couldn't do things without data and we had to show our analysis because you needed to get approved for things. And the only way you could do it is lying. So I just changed the assumptions and tweaked things until my boss was happy and then that was the truth. No, there is no possibility that a bunch of humans could measure the temperature of the Earth with precision and take it back 100 years. That's crazy. Yeah, that's really crazy.

So that concludes my prepared comments for today. Thanks for joining. I know I went long again. Don't mean to go long but it's just so much fun. I just want to keep doing it. I'm going to say bye to everybody on YouTube and Rumble and X. And I'm going to talk to my beloved people in Locals only if this works. Let's see if it works today.

good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and wow are you happy to be here it's going to be amazing and if You' like your experience today to go up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny SM smooth human brains I can't multitask all you need is coer marar a glass a tanker cheler Stein a Ken Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure dope mean head of the day the thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip it happens now go oh that's good that's some good stuff right there I hope it was as good for you all right we still got a little bit of a problem here with my come on chat I can make this work you know my secret with technology is something doesn't work you close it and reopen it and you reboot then you reload the app none of that ever works by the way but it's what I do you should do it too all right I'm definitely going to make this work there it is we have success well you're probably asking me Scott what does the Dilbert comic look like today is it relevant is it funny well I'm going to show you how would you like to see it so here's the dilber comic for today you normally you could only see this if you are subscribing but I thought you'd like a preview uh the pointy a boss says our CEO is showing signs of dementia it will be your job to cover it up he says to Dilbert and Dilbert says why and the boss says if we get a new CEO he might hire one of his friends to take my job and dilbur says how bad is his dementia and the boss says it's like a mild cold that's called foreshadowing foreshadowing and if you if you oh my oh my all right so let's make that go away hey look at me using all this technology successfully incredible well there's a new study that says that one of the things you you can do for Parkinson's you know CU Biden is suspected of having Parkinson's and they found that uh if you do these three things at the same time you can reduce your Parkinson uh Risk by 55% you got to drink coffee smoke tobacco and take aspirin well you know what I'm not going to recommend all of those things I'm not sure you should start smoking to reduce your risk of Parkinson's and it does bring into question who funded that study who do you think funded the study that said smoking tobacco could get rid of your Parkinson risk could it be tobacco people I don't know so I of course immediately uh searched the internet to find out if marijuana had been tested as a possible treatment for uh or preventive for Parkinson's and the answer is the studies are ambiguous but there is some evidence marijuana is helpful for reducing at least the symptoms of Parkinson's or if I could summarize this in all one big summary science doesn't know what works maybe about anything I don't know but uh no I would not start smoking cigarettes and take an aspirin to reduce your Parkinson's well there's a big bust in Oregon so Oregon uh had a big crime wave and apparently 4,000 Lego St sets were stolen and they were valued at over $200,000 in Lego sets now it took the police a three-month investigation do you know why I took him three months to solve the Lego situation it's because it took him a while to piece it all together ah you're welcome you're welcome well there's a lawsuit against Northwestern the school for anti-white anti-male hiring so it's another Dei story so do you need to know the details no there's a professor he's white he's male can't get a job I didn't even read it but I can tell you that's the story yep if these lawsuits succeed do you think you'll see more of them yes you will one of the things about uh you know following the money is it's like seeing the future let's see if somebody succeeds in a lawsuit will there be more of them yes there will the likelihood of succeeding in this lawsuit probably 100% because the thing with these Dei cases is you never have to look for the evidence the evidence is what they told you and what they wrote down and the Witnesses all over the place and 100% of the people would agree and everybody in the same situation had the same outcome it's the easiest case you can ever prove because nobody's hiding it not not only are they not hiding it it's often written down as a policy so how do you lose that yeah imagine if there were entities that wrote wrote policy documents that says uh we're going to steal money from people when they're not looking and we're just going to keep it and you'd say to yourself I think I could find the conviction here all right Tony Robbins has uh reportedly according to Wall Street Journal bet $200 million of his own money on a new technology uh that allegedly can turn coal into hydrogen so it can burn clean so some kind of sciency process to make coal which would be sort of a dirty fuel into hydrogen which would be super clean now how does Tony Robbins have $200 million I I had to check on his net worth and of course net worth numbers are usually ridiculous made up but it says his net worth was 600 million and he put 200 million into one bet that's a hell of a bet and uh this entrepreneur has some your credentials but some scientists are skeptical well I'm going to join these skeptical scientists but I do love how Tony Robbins is putting his own money into it let's call this another example of people who have given up on the government why would Tony Robbins put $200 million of his own money into this is it because he's a good investor I doubt it I mean I don't this would be weird to put a a third of your net wealth into one company that hasn't proven its technology that would not normally be the definition of a good investor so why would he do it well I've got a few opinions you know one is I think when you're really successful you end up with a God complex speaking from experience you end up with a God complex and you wonder well what else can I do if I did all this what else can I do like I don't know what my limit is and I ran into that problem when when Dilbert became successful there was this period of my life maybe five years where everything I touched was successful I make a book it's a bestseller I make a comic it's a big hit yeah it was just everything I uh go into speaking circuit I'm one of the highest paid speakers so for a while I thought to myself I wonder what my limit is like should I be shooting higher should I be building a rocket to Mars and you could see that Elon Musk probably has the same thing he builds a car company that nobody could build and then he probably has to wonder well maybe I could have done more than that like what's bigger than that how about putting human life on Mars kind of a God complex doing things that don't seem like they're possible so some of it is actually just a um I think people testing their own limits but some of it the bigger story is I think we've given up on the government there was a time when I thought well the big problems have to be solved by the government you know a war has to be solved by the government a pandemic government you know fixing climate change well that's probably going to be a government thing it's so big but nobody really trusts the government to fix anything so if you really think that you know climate change is a problem and you're Tony Robbins and you know that you've done things that didn't even look possible you probably say to yourself you know what maybe it's up to me with great power comes great responsibility and I think that's what's behind that actually so good luck with that Thomas Massie Finally checked in you know as his wife tragically died a few weeks ago and he uh you know he's he's struggling of course uh the family is struggling they would be but apparently an autopsy has been conducted you know she had full security she died at home and they don't know what the cause of death is so they don't have the results of the autopsy yet God that would be maddening imagine it's been two weeks and you don't know the cause of death it was natural well I mean there there were no signs it was anything but a natural death but they don't know the cause and know she was not vaccinated I know you can ask well Trump continues to be the best writer in the business uh I'm going to read one of his lengthy truth social Post in which he talks about Nancy Pelosi only for entertainment all right this has no news value whatsoever it's not news you can use I just want to show you his writing skill now if you think he doesn't have writing skill just feel how much you feel his writing oh my God you can feel it all right I'll just read it quote crazy Nancy Pelosi is more of a cognitive mess than sleepy crooked Joe I mean come on that's just so good there's just so much color in that first sentence I mean you just feel every part every word you're going to feel he goes on she also suffers from a terminal case of TDS Trump derangement syndrome uh she is a total nut job who impeached me twice and lost lost meaning he stayed in the job now I see her going around barely now I see her going around barely meaning that she can barely go around and saying that I am a threat to democracy no this is just radical left Democrat disinformation which is all they're good at uh Trump continued uh trying to convince anyone that will listen that crooked Joe is a mental Giant and in great form which everyone knows he is not she she's just continuing the lie to the American people uh uh and that uh she is the true threat to democracy and a very sick one and remember she took full responsibility for not doing her job on January 6th it was her fault and I'd like to thank her daughter for supplying the tape of ny's confession but what took so long hiding evidence is a crime I just see him standing you know on a platform above the ocean that that's filled with sharks and he's just he's just got this big barrel of meat and he's like I have a little more red meat and he throws it in the Sharks go crazy and he goes how about over here and he's just throwing red meat into the Sharks and the Sharks the shark sharks think they have free will and they're just like and he's just orchestrating all their craziness so he he he does this thing where he throws in so many accusations you don't even know what to do about it anyway so funny well I was asked today for some constructive optimism and I'm going to give you some optimism because some of the stories coming up are you know less optimistic but uh this is from General Mike Flynn and somebody posted about you know how bad things are and uh he wanted to give us some optimism he said the country is absolutely fixable we cannot take nor accept a Deus attitude I understand fully how corrupt our bureaucracy and elements within our government have begun the one person who can fix it is the president but it must be the right president how do you think Lincoln felt halfway through his administration with the unity of the nation in grave Peril or other great leaders throughout history who saw Peril and did not flinch and a fear or indecision hang tough Wyatt that's who he was talking to in his comments uh I know you will million as will millions of others you only lose when you quit that is correct that is correct now one I've told told you this before one of the great advantages of being my age is that I get to see how many times we've been doomed we've been doomed a lot we've been doomed since I was 5 years old we were doomed from a definite you know nuclear war with Russia the ozone was emptying the we're running out of oil and the hippies were going to take over and ruin our work culture and it looked like the Communists were going to you know Domino up with the world and we're polluted and we wouldn't be able to breathe going to run out of food that's just when I was 10 that that's all the problems we had when I was 10 years old and 70s actually turned out to be pretty good ERA you after the after the war um so I would say that uh America is really really good at solving problems but the phase before we solve a problem always looks like this it looks like us complaining and not knowing how to solve the problem and when everybody's complaining enough and everybody feels doomed enough and the problems look big enough then we solve them because the weird thing about our problems is they're not unsolvable if we you know work together to solve them but if you don't work together you're pretty much dead I think I could say that with certainty if if we work together to solve our problems very solvable very solvable if we decide to fight each other and not work together toward our problems we're dead but here's the good news America does pull together when they don't have any choice the the internal division is a luxury that you get when things are working well you don't you don't turn on each other until things are kind of working okay and then you have that luxury so as things get worse our ability to solve them gets better because that's when people say okay as they are now okay Biden does have a problem now we're all on the same page because they got worse if Biden had not gotten worse we would still be disagreeing whether he's bad enough to be president but you know what we do about it um May Vary but certainly we've agreed that now we have the same problem we're working toward right so I think that as the problems get worse our ability to solve them gets better but that's kind of invisible because you don't see it and and also there's always stuff working beond the scenes there's technology there's inventions there people trying things all the time we generally configure this stuff stuff out I would rate our current problems as average average if you looked at every problem in America and compared to to all the problems we've ever had somewhere in the middle it's not it's not an extra scary time might be the opposite it's probably closer to extra safe than it is to extra scary on average so no don't worry about everything falling apart it might get worse but as it does it gets closer to the time we have the resolve to solve it all right there's going to be what they call a big boy press conference today Biden's going to try to take questions from the White House Press Corp at 5:30 Eastern um so that would be uh right in the middle of uh Fox News is the five um so it's going to ruin their show and um I might want to live stream when that's happening I haven't decided yet but I'll see what I'm doing here's what I think is the plan uh since it's clear that Biden himself does not want to leave it seems clear that Jill is on that same page and they don't have the physical power to force him out but they really really they meaning Democrats the leadership really really need him to leave what are you going to do well now we know let me tell you what they're going to do and it's embarrassing and it's it's just icky they can't talk him into leaving and they can't leave him there what are they going to do they can't leave him can't leaveing it the way it is and they can't talk him into leaving what does that leave him murder now I'm not predicting that because it'd be too obvious so I think murder is off the table so you can't kill him can't get him to leave on his own can't force him out what's left you can figure this one out yourself I'm going to give you one more clue okay that Kirby said in front of the public that this pressor would be quote a big boy press conference a big boy press do you see it yet and then uh George Clooney says um yeah he's he's gone and now we hear that Obama agreed with Clooney that you know he had no objection Clooney s the do you see it yet he's going to embarrass him out of office do you think that they would have this press conference if they were trying to protect him nope because we know that he doesn't have to give a press conference he went a years barely doing any of it if they wanted to protect them they wouldn't do it the Democrats have decided very clearly I would say it's obvious at this point that they're they're trying to embarrass him out of office by making him perform and making him fail in front of you so you're watching the Democrats slowly torture their own beloved candidate because they need to win more than they need anything and there's nothing they won't do to get it if they could kill them I think they would I think the only thing that stops them is they would get caught I don't think anything else would stop him from killing him honestly so if you want to know how loyal the Democrats are to their own people and to their constituency look at this seems seems pretty definitive to me um I would argue also as somebody else pointed out that maybe the reason that Biden is hanging tough is that they won't have an income imagine trying to take care of Biden on no income that's sort of where they're heading no source of in come and having to take care of a dementia patient with security needs and you know all kinds of special needs they need the money so here's what I think uh Hunter is doing I think Hunter is brought in for the one thing that Jill probably isn't good at negotiating I think Hunter is a negotiator I think Hunter is trying to work on a deal where the family will make a fortune and then he'll talk his father into leaving I will guarantee you somehow Hunter is going to come out ahead of this because he's got all the leverage Hunter is the most powerful person in the country right now because if he says that offer is good enough I will talk to my father it's going to happen if Hunter goes to his father and says look you're probably going to end up dropping out anyway your your health is failing but if you were to leave now you could retain some dignity and I can get $200 million out of them because they're going to give me a piece of some action it's not written down but I've got a commitment you know they're going to make something happen for us that wouldn't have happened otherwise so for the legacy of the family the good of the family and your own you know Health Care um I'm going to take the $200 million all you have to do is bow out gracefully that's what they're waiting for I guarantee it will it happen probably not probably not I I think that I'm still going to bet that Biden stays into election day and that the Democrats start saying well but you know you're really voting for kamla we we didn't have time to do all the paperwork and get on the ballots with a different name and you know we were just pressed for time and you know so you're just really voting for kamla that's my prediction all right um if there's anybody new here who's never been in my live stream you probably couldn't you probably couldn't conceive of how smart the audience is normally you probably have no idea how smart this audience is I'm going to give you a demonstration of how smart the audience is give me the answer before I ask the question go give me the answer before you know what the topic is go correct answer yep there's a whole stream of correct answers that's how smart they are the correct answer is 25% I haven't even asked the question here's the question according to a rasmuson poll what percent of Voters are very confident that Biden is physically and mentally up to the job of being president of the United States it's actually 26% but I feel like raspon got it wrong by one I feel like I trust you more so I'm going to say We'll round it to 25% you know because rasmon is very accurate but let's be honest they're not nearly as accurate as you are guessing the answer before I ask the question because you get that every time so this is called science well PJ media is writing about this whole uh KL Harris conundrum and uh referred to a made a Dilbert reference in this um let's see what do they call it uh sort of a Dilbert like uh track and the oh here let me read the exact quote history will likely show that the smartest decision Joe Biden ever made was selecting Comm Harris's VP it's not a PR trick but a dilber era middle management trick if you don't want to be replaced make sure you're subar subordinates suck more than you do now that's literally been a Dilbert comic joke it's a recurring one in fact I've got one coming up that has that that theme as well so yes uh I've often told you that what I call the Dilbert filter which is how do big organizations work in the real world that's the Dilbert filter in the real world they pursue Dei in the real world leaders do in fact make sure that their subordinates are not as good as them that's a real thing I mean literally a real thing and when they do those two things and then they find out that the leader has to leave they are trapped by their own Dei situation so it's it's exactly a dilbur situation and it's one that's been in the comic and will be again so now they're boxed in there's nothing they can do that's why I think it's Kamala or bust and there's no real reason to elevator to the top of the ticket makes more sense just to leave it the way it is and let people vote the way it is all right I saw Senator Kennedy um do the most useful thing I've seen a senator do in a long time uh probably because Thomas massie's you know and a congress Congress is not terribly functional um but at least Senator Kennedy is here's what he did he brought in some budget expert for the government and asked uh how much would we need to cut the budget to balance it now that's not paying down the deficit that's not paying down the 35 trillion it's just what would it take to not make it more how much would you have to cut how many of you know the answer to that how much would you have to cut the current budget to get it in Balance because if you said well one or two% then I'd say oh we don't have that big a problem right um so the expert said 78% do you think there's any human way that our current government could cut our budget by 7 or 8% no no because you'd have to cut everything and if you didn't cut everything it gets worse because if you said oh we we're not going to cut this one section we're not going to cut this one well then you're talking about maybe 15% cuts to other places do you think we could cut any part of the whole budget 15% with the current government in the current situation no not not a chance because cutting gets you unelected pushing the can down the the field gets you elected because they know they always get elected so I asked chat GPT to give me a little uh sanity check on it and here's just some numbers just to hold in your head when you're talking about the budget just a few numbers to keep in your head so you feel like you're smart first of all our budget every year is around $6 trillion so that's the US budget but we don't take in that much in taxes so um about 1.2 trillion of it is borrowing so that what would if you just round off what is 1 trillion of 6 trillion about 17% right so no cutting seven or 8% isn't going to get you close you have to cut more than 177% of everything do you think there's any chance we would cut 177% off the budget of everything and again if we don't that means that some budget is going to get it twice as hard or the other budgets would be twice as hard and not twice you know I'm exaggerating but that's what it would look like and then I asked myself how is that even possible so then I asked chat GPT to come up with its own budget to tell me what to cut in each of the current budget categories to get to uh to get to a balanced budget and I'll tell you what Chad gbt says just to give you an idea how oh maybe I won't have to look it up um but the answer is way more horrifying you would have to make Cuts in various things about 25% so probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 17 to 25% you'd have to take off of every budget do you think they're going to cut the military by 17 to 25% do you think Social Security is going to get cut by no no there isn't any way so if there's no way to do it are we doomed and it was really hard to get um even chat GPT to give me a suggested budget which we could survive survival I'm not I'm not even talking about op optimizing I'm not talking about the best of several plans I tried to get Chad gbt to give me any estimate where we could survive and it fought me just like humans do that that's why Kennedy did a service he actually nailed somebody down and forced him to give them a number because nobody wants to do it the reason nobody wants to do it is the number is unsurvivable nobody wants to say honestly it's unsurvivable there's no way to cut it and there's no way to survive it that's the truth it's unsurvivable now does that mean we're doomed no let's go back to General um um I'm sorry just general uh you know you know the thing Flynn General FP so we go back to his optimism is this a worse problem than the Civil War no is a worse problem than World War 1 or two no is it a worse problem than the pandemic maybe but it's within the realm of things we solve how I have no idea but let me give you some just brainstorming to give you a sense it might be possible all right because we need you need to feel it might be possible number one um Elon Musk says that Tesla might be you know way more valuable because of all the robots we're going to go through a one sever robot um cycle where we will sell probably I don't know make and sell a hundred million robots pretty soon what if we tax the robots and just stop taxing people so if you were to get a robot you got pay something per robot because nobody already has a robot like a personal robot so if you just said all right here's the cost of a robot it's going to be 25,000 and there will always be a 10% robot tax well if you never had to pay a robot tax because you never bought a robot it doesn't look so bad does it it just looks like it's the cost of the robot and you'd say well I have a maintenance program that's on I have insurance for my robot that's ongoing what if I have a little tax that's ongoing too just part of the cost of owning now who's going to be buying these robots not poor people so it wouldn't be a tax on poor people it would be very much on rich people and most of the most of the robots will probably be by big companies who buy all of the robots and then they rent them to you so it'll be robot as a service so you're not going to have necessarily a robot in your house but you might have a robot that drives up to your house and it's self-driving Tesla cleans your house and then goes back to its business while you're at work that might happen probably will happen so everybody's going to be renting a robot even if they don't own one so could you get to a point where the robot tax is paying all of your uh your costs how about AI AI is going to be wildly profitable for some companies and wildly gigantic suppose you say uh I put a special tax on I don't know um uh data centers because we know we're going to build build like trillions of dollars of data centers so suppose you say 10% tax or something and suddenly you're talking about things that are so big and so knew that there's some chance that growth gets rid of some of your deficit some chance but you would also have to almost stop spending you you'd have to just like flatten spending for a long time the other thing you could do is use AI to recommend where the cuts are the reason you could use AI is that Congress will only vote for things for which they won't be blamed later right right if you say who's in favor of cutting these budgets 20% no Congress person signs up for that because that's the end of your job because you would be blamed for cutting 10% or 20% of their social security they're going to take it personally so how could you make it so that Congress could vote in the way that's the best for the country and not lose their jobs I have a suggestion you delegate the suggestion for the cuts to AI now will AI make the best decisions nobody will ever agree on that no we'd fight it we'd say no don't listen to that AI but what AI would do it would give the Congress people an out if they could sell the AI version of the cuts to the public then they can say look if it were up to me if it were up to me I wouldn't have done that but we had decided on a process in which AI would make the decisions because we all agree that if the humans try to make the decisions we'll just delay it so can we all agree this is what you can imagine Congress saying can we all agree that if you leave it to us we won't do it we'll just Kick the Can forever you agree it has to be done let's agree that we'll use this objective standard that doesn't care about us one way or the other AI let AI make the decision a word to cut and AI might be more rational for example if you and I were going to cut we might say oh I think they can handle 2% but I can't go further but the AI might say oh you realize if you just redo this whole department you can lower the expenses 90% because that's something humans wouldn't necessarily see but maybe the AI would say oh we could just automate this whole thing I can I can get rid of the entire I don't know Department of whatever just make it AI it'll take you two years 90% reduction in cost so the AI could do things that the humans can't do only because the AI won't be blamed for being biased I mean it will be biased but it won't won't be as Blain so is there any path yes I don't know what it will be but I think we have a chance now here's an update I was talking about the idea of using a magic crypto to pay off our debt and I kept asking for people to validate whether that was the dumbest idea in the world because it sounds like it or the smartest idea in the world because sometimes the smartest idea and the dumb dumbest idea sound the same it's really hard to tell sometimes so I did get uh some expert smart people who contacted me separately and explained to me nope you can't do it so here's some here's the the simple explanation is if you add money to the system in any way whether it's regular money or crypto it's too much money in the system it's inflation everything crashes now that I knew um of course um but I was thinking what if you just replaced US dollars with crypto does that create money out of nothing and here's the other problem apparently even if a space alien came down and gave you somehow Ally gave you money to pay off all $35 trillion national debt it would destroy the country didn't see that coming did you if if some outside third party who magically had $35 trillion appear tomorrow and says I'll tell you what I could write a check we'll just get rid of all this debt it would be so disruptive that the economy wouldn't recover so you need some kind of debt because the debt is doing work too right debt isn't zero money debt is somebody gave the government money and then the government can allow Banks to lend more money and then the economy works that's the quick expression but here's my updated suggestion suppose you created a crypto but it could never compete with money how is that possible you say well like this suppose the government said we're going to make a program for people who don't have a lot of money that they can uh buy all these goods and services that are you know super designed so that they're cheap and effective and healthy uh but you can only spend crypto on it now that doesn't work because the crypto would still have to get into the system if you were only spending the crypto for the government well here's the idea it's a bad idea but could you bifurcate the economy so that it introduces new money but that new money can't can't get to the rest of the economy to cause inflation in other words could you create fake money just for poor people so the poor people could have goods and services but it wouldn't add money to the system because they'd be set off they couldn't buy a car with it they could only buy food and shelter and stuff I don't know I think that doesn't work either pretty much all the ideas don't work but here's the thing I want to tell you paying them the debt doesn't seem that important um but getting rid of the deficit is critical to survival does that make sense you you got to make sure that your budget every year is good because if you drive the 35 trillion up to 100 trillion we are definitely all dead so there's something is too big for sure but it's not too big yet it's getting there but if the only thing you did is keep it the same you could limp along and inflate it away over over the years so the you either have to massively increase taxes by massively increasing productivity uh or else you cut things massively but your your choices are some kind of massive growth and some kind of massive Cuts now if you cut the difference it would be something like you'd have to take the GDP from what is around three or four you'd probably have to get it up to six or seven which probably can only happen during the robot AI turnover it could work the other way and reduce it but I think in the short term it would be more um and then maybe cut things 10% and you have to have ai make the cutting decisions because the Congress can't so that's what you're looking at hey have you heard the uh the Democrats say that Trump is only in it for himself he's only in it for himself this is called the projection alert projection alert where they accuse somebody of what they're doing what do you think uh they think of Biden right now so Biden is staying in the race for Biden right there's nobody there's nobody who's a democrat or a republican nobody who believes that he's staying in the race because it's good for the country not a single person believes that what have they been saying about Trump he's in it for himself how's that work because it's so good for the Trump brand that's not true how how is he in it for himself exactly unless you think he's going to steal your D democr Dem democracy I don't I can't even call it democracy it's like a dumb crazy have you noticed how much democracy and dumb crazy sound the same it's our democracy crazy democracy anyway so I think even the Democrats are starting to write wait a minute something's going on here it would seem to me that Biden's only in it for himself it would seem to me that Trump is like Jesus and he is sacrificing his brand his maybe his life and uh his reputation and his business to help the country survive now maybe he's doing it for his ego but don't they all do it for their ego I mean that's always part of it right you think you think Biden doesn't have an ego everybody's in there for the ego but uh there was an MSNBC guest who repeated what I call the Gutfeld observation they didn't credit him of course because it's MSNBC but they basically were saying out loud uh why do we why do we keep pretending that Trump is an existential threat at the same time we're running the only person who will surely lose to him in El how do we explain to ourselves our own messaging that Trump is a threat to the existence of the world and we're not trying very hard to replace them in fact we're doing the worst thing we could possibly do if that's what we cared about how do we explain that well apparently there's some evidence from people who are Democrats who are finally admitting that they are not worried about a trump presidency at all that's right you wonder are the Democrats lying crazy or evil turns out that more and more of them are admitting they were just lying they do not in fact fear an existential threat from a trump presidency do you know how I knew that here let me let me show you how I knew that I'll prove it to you right now I hope otherwise this will be very embarrassing um you prove it by looking at the stock market and uh let's see what's the stock market look like uh we'll just take you since let's take the stock market since uh we learned for sure that it was going to be Biden versus Trump and then we learned for sure that Biden had a very low chance of winning and it was going to be Trump so scary Trump was going to end the world what does that do to the S&P 500 right up so the stock market which is a collection of all the smart people no worry whatsoever because that that's pricing Trump into the market because the market is a forward-looking uh measurement so when the market is confident and solid it means that they are not worrying about Trump ruining things it means they were lying now here's the fun part since we know that Biden was obviously demented and has been for a long time and we know that most of the media on the left was saying H we don't see anything no problem yep don't see a problem here it's one of those rare times when both Democrats and Republicans can tell that they were saying things that weren't true that the people in charge of the truth the news and and the politicians now we both know it right everybody knows it so that's where it gets fun because if everybody knows they were telling us what wasn't true what are the what are the the Press who was saying it and covering up for it how did they explain themselves well the only two possibilities are that they were Li or they were stupid if you're a member of the press and your only choices are to explain your behavior by saying I was either stupid and didn't notice the Dementia or I was lying and I wasn't dumb I was just lying I was a weasel which one will they pick it's an easy question if you're in the press and you admit that you lied there's no penalty when it was the last time you saw somebody lying about the news and losing their job there's no penalty for that but suppose you said I didn't notice then you just look like the dumbest person in all of politics really you're the only person who didn't notice that how do you not notice that so you have this situation where uh you can see it already it's starting the Press is scrambling to confess that they lied because the alternative is that they were really really stupid and that's less survivable than lying because they work in an industry where lying is so ordinary it's not a risk think about that being stupid in public is always a risk but lying in public as long as it's clear that they all did it totally survivable so the weird thing is you're going to see people rushing to confess that they were lying because the alternative would be worse I love this summer I love this summer yeah there might be some cognitive distance but I think they actually know exactly what happened and why all right um let's see who's stealing who democracy this would be another uh projection alert projection alert well uh Jen weager says in a post it's not helping the Democrats case for democracy when Joe Biden's campaign is premised on the idea that it doesn't matter if he is seile in office then who are we voting for and how is that democracy so here's another prominent Democrat voice saying wait a minute the things we're saying and the things we're doing they don't line up at all they don't line up all right so let's go down the list of Democrats stealing democracy and then we'll do Trump we'll do Trump stealing democracy uh this is going to be a little bit of a spoiler but you probably didn't see this coming but the list of things that would be Democrats stealing democracy are all real and observable the list of trump stealing democracy is imaginary are you surprised that that's their play every everything that everything that they do in front of us is objectively true and observable everything they they say about Trump is like really like in the future he'll turn into a dragon and use his fiery breath to destroy your village I'm not so sure that's going to happen feels imaginary so here's the list uh the Democrats rigged their own primaries and still are uh they created a massive assault on Free Speech if you don't know how that worked follow Mike Ben by creating you know infinite um external entities that could put pressure on us sources of information so that would be the Twitter files and everything else so massive Free Speech assault trying to limit the Second Amendment of course uh weaponizing the Department of Justice against Trump all the lawfare nobody believes that that's legitimate you know if if you're still in the world where well but Democrats think they're just pursuing the law no they're not no they're not that they're not not anything like that it's transparent obvious weaponization of the Department of Justice it's obviously coordinated it's exactly what you see um they have controlled the media so that uh everybody started saying that that Biden was sharp as attack at the same time and their media was like well okay whatever so we can see that they control the media although the media finally gave up on them on the Biden brain thing only because they had to only because they had to where if the debate hadn't happened the media would still be covering up for Biden just think about that they'd still be covering except for the debate if if the public had not found out on their own basically doing their own research by watching the debate the news never would have told you is that that's just mind-blowing that we had to see it ourselves they never would have told us now we got Democrats to discuss packing the Supreme Court because they don't like it impeaching AOC wants to impeach two of the justices because they don't like it so they're not so big on the whole separation of powers thing um there's the whole starting a war under false pretense in Ukraine what part of that was democracy did we vote for a war I don't recall voting for a war no I don't remember that at all but we're in one um the Democrats have universally and completely and in every case voted against laws that would improve election Integrity they have voted against every measure that would make it more clear who got elected that's not a coincidence it's because they're stealing your democracy there's only one explanation for that uh now you got the party Elites trying to replace Biden which is basically the Iranian system where the elites or the mullus decide who can run because it doesn't matter which one gets elected because they've all been pre-approved the Iranian system and they're doing it right in front of us again it's observable right you can see them trying to organize a fake primary after they had one um and uh now we are connecting the dots that uh Hunter once took a $5 million loan from a Chinese um citizen who was connected to Chinese intelligence and there's no indication he ever paid back the 5 million loan which would mean that somebody in China kind of owns them a little bit and uh now Hunters maybe controlling policy in the White House just because he's capable so that's the how's that does that sound like democracy the guy who is the gatekeeper for the president owes a Chinese guy connected to security or Intel 5 million I don't think that could be worse all right so those seem I think you'd agree that those are observable not really any question that all that's happening not really now here's uh here's Trump's list stealing your democracy there's the things on the project 2025 list that he does not agree with so the first imaginary category are things he says he doesn't agree with and wouldn't do so that's one of the r that he's going to steal your democracy the things he says he won't do because they are trying to paint him as supporter of things he's not supporting uh then there's uh all the gaslighting that Democrats did about January 6 so because January 6 was a whole op a gaslighting op in which they pretended it was an Insurrection and that Trump wasn't in charge of it an entire imaginary hoax that's one of the the main reasons that they have to say well if he did it once he'll do it again but he didn't do it once he left office on the day he was supposed to leave office and there was never any possibility he could have taken over a country because some of his supporters trespassed or because uh he picked some alternate electors just to hold his rights but that didn't work out all right um and then uh there's the stuff that Democrats are hallucinating Trump might do if he becomes president literally they're afraid of the things you'll do that they don't really have a specific name for but think you won't leave office and just crazy that is not observable and it seems to come out of pure mental illness we just lying and uh then of course there's the abortion question that he'll take away your bodily autonomy will he do that by taking himself out of the decision-making process because that's what he said he'd do he said he would not be part of any national ban on abortion in other words he's not going to be a decision maker either way he said he wants he moved all the power to the states which they've been wanting to do so that it's not his role how how does how does giving your power away to the states suddenly qualify as stealing your democracy I mean basically all he did is correct it it's something that was you know seemed out a whack at one point so he corrected it put the power back in the States where it probably should have always been now have I made my case that the Trump stealing your democracy is purely imaginary it's based on their own hoaxes and gaslighting and uh all of theirs are obvious it's a long longer list and you can observe it it's observable right now you don't have to wonder what will happen in the future it's right now all right and then you have of course Biden defying the majority because ABC news says two-thirds of the public wants him to step down is he acting all Democratic by staying in office when we don't know who's in charge and two-thirds of the country wants him to step down including majority of his own party so that that's his view of preserving democracy I guess not doing what people want now I know we're not a democracy we're uh let let me just do an update for the NPCs swimming is the best form of exercise the United States is a form of Republic not a democracy and if somebody invents a new source of food it's probably soil and green so if you're trying to remain uh an NPC in good standing make sure that whenever any of those topics come up you you add your value like I just did all right uh representative Anna Pina Luna uh from Florida she wants uh she's leading up an effort to try to find uh attorney general Garland 10,000 per day until he turns over the her audio now the her audio is the one where we think President Biden was in coherent uh but the transcript may have erased all the incoherence so since they already have the transcript what would be the big deal of hearing the actual audio well I think we all suspect that the only reason you don't hear it is that is really bad and I think her was maybe being kind by saying he's too out of it to ever stand trial I think he was right on that and so far he's been Vindicated but I would ask you this representative Luna how's this good for us how how's it good because worst case scenario is that audio comes out tomorrow Democrats say oh okay we're all out and it goes to 90% Democrats want him out and then basically has no choice he's going to get pushed down so how's that good for Trump I think Trump Trump is playing this right Trump's playing it right because the question of whether Biden is mentally capable has been asked and answered if you're still trying to ask and answer it you're only introducing a variable that we don't need and could go wrong because the way it could go wrong is it might give the Democrats the ability to rapidly replace them and then you don't know what you're getting then you don't know what you're getting could be better although they still the problem of how do you skip over kamla so I suppose the way they would do it is they would Elevate kamla Harris to the top they would pick a really strong vice president and then it would sell him as a team they'd say well you know if you don't like kamla it's a team look at this vice president pick it's so strong that's probably their best play but I don't think we need to hear the her tape it's not going to add anything but it could subtract something it could reduce the chances you get the president you want uh joyy bear says that when Trump calls kamla laughing laughing kamla that is sexist that's not something you would never make fun of a man's laugh would you like yeah of course this is purely sexist because making fun of how somebody laughs honestly that only happens to women and conservatives only make fun of women who laugh wrong have I ever given you my Tucker Carlson laughing impression I can't do the high pitch everybody makes fun of Tucker's laugh Tucker's laugh is one of the most famous memes in all of right leaning world we love Tucker no joy bayar has she could find more ways to be wrong about more things than anybody I've ever seen in my life it's literally one of the most famous things that people make fun of is that Tucker has one of the most distinctive laughs and all of LOM so no it's not it's not uh sexist anyway so the press conference will be 5:30 today eastern time um and basically all the major Outlets news outlets that normally support the president or against him in other news Alex Soros the heir to the Soros Fortune now in control of its money has married Huma abedine I'm just going to say it that do you want me to beat around the bush or do you want me to just say it this is why it's good to be cancelled I would never say what I'm going to say next unless I'd been cancelled if you spend one minute go Googling Alex Soros and images he's very gay all right let's just say you've never seen a gayer guy hanging out in Intimate poses with his boyfriends he's not even slightly straight he's the gayest gay guy you've ever seen in your life now if you don't believe me just Google his images there are plenty of them it's it's really observable and obvious now you will not tell me here's what won't happen I guarantee this won't happen you're not going to go look at the pictures yourself and then say well I think you're misinterpreting this Scott no you're not going to do that there's no doubt from his personal life that he's a gay man now I love I love the lgbtq community I'm very PR gay so I'm not saying anything bad about him you know just just to clarify you know it's 2024 you have to clarify in 2024 I shouldn't have to clarify that if I mention somebody's gay it's not an insult can we just are we past that yet can we be past that can it just be a fact without without it being some kind of you know assumed insult we should be way past that uh cu the LGBT community is probably one of the most successful American communities uh one of one of the ones I have the most respect for honestly because you know why nobody ever said this we don't want to go to that gay neighborhood because of all the crime and filth it's like one of the most successful groups in America so I have complete respect for that group now he's obviously a member of the group and he's marrying a woman who's what 10 years older than him which is what billionaires do all the time don't they they marry people who are 10 years older than them I don't think I've ever seen it frankly it's like that's like how something happens zero times so your pattern Rec recognition should be kicking in at this point and your pattern recognition should say something like huh that looks a lot like somebody who's getting married for political reasons doesn't it what could that political reason be well we believe that George Soros whether you think he's evil or not is a brilliant brilliant tactician would you agree nobody's ever called George Soros dumb I mean he just keeps doing smart looking things that you might not like but he's certainly effective would you say the same thing about Alex well I don't know I I've not seen any evidence that he's a highly qualified player it seems that they're hiding him from interviews because given his aized influence on the world I mean really really big he should be on interviews every day but they seem to be hiding him if you can find an interview of him talking in public you'll very quickly learn why they're hiding him I don't think he's good at it I don't think he's good at it and I think think that when you see Hillary Clinton's best friend and Confidant marry him in a marriage that looks suspicious at best you have to say to yourself is there something else going on here now I don't know but let me just speculate it looks like Hillary is making a play to control the Soros Fortune after George Soros passes which will happen pretty soon because all that money or at least control of it will go to Alex Alex will be controlled by Huma which gives Hillary functional control of the Soros of Fortune that's the play in my opinion that's the play now let's take it to the next level of conspiracy theory what happens if Alex Soros dies in a boating accident tragically what if he falls off a yacht and the Shark E him because that could happen he's on a lot of Yachts accidents happen people accidents happen just the fact that he happens to be in Killer's uh I mean Hillary's he's in Hillary's orbit that doesn't mean something bad's going to happen to him I mean I know you think that but just because killary I mean Hillary just because Hillary would get functional control of I don't know $30 billion dollar that she could use to control the world that doesn't mean she's going to kill Alex and let haa take over the money and presumably Clinton has some influence over Uma so I think it's exactly what it looks like I think Huma is going to um maybe make George Soros happy before he dies as in maybe Jor Soros doesn't know his son is gay and he might think you know what I really need is heirs I want to make sure I have an heir so it could be that Alex is making his father seem to be getting an air but he'll die before he has to see if there's an air or not so every bit of this looks suspicious they they don't look like a couple even a little bit honestly if you see the pictures I think it's exactly what it looks like it looks like a Hillary Clinton play to get control of soros's Fortune because they don't think Alex Soros is Dependable or smart and they need to control it because it's essential to their power base they can't lose control of that that's what I think um and uh let's see uh um I'm quoted in the Gateway pundit so uh here's what I said that they quoted I said this on X when Biden refuses to sign a bill preventing non-citizens from voting which I think is going to happen so the house passed a bill that says non-citizens can't vote um the Senate might pass it we don't know but if they did it would get to Biden and he said he would reject it so here that's the premise so if Biden refuses to sign a bill preventing nine citizens from voting uh that should become the only issue in the campaign because it also reveals everything else it's like the key that opens up everything uh it gives away the whole game and what I mean by that is it's an unambiguous statement that Democrats prefer their power over your happiness there's no other way to explain it that they they need a crooked election because they need the power and they don't care if it makes you unhappy and your round comes worse they're just putting themselves over you and what I said is she you should ask Democrats to defend it and you should ask Biden to defend it like why would you say that non-citizens could vote now I think their reason is going to be um somebody's telling me that Uma is 47 so she's not going to be making any errors I disagree she that they could make a they could probably use a surrogate and make a baby so don't be surprised if you hear that there's a surrogate baby on the way um anyway so I would ask uh Biden to defend it and I would ask the Democrats to defend why they don't want to limit voting to Citizens and uh I don't think they can defend it I think that what they're going to say is well it's already illegal so don't worry about it but that's kind of missing the point well The Daily Show had a little panel of six black voters that they were asking about uh the presidency and uh so they got they're New Yorkers too so they're black New York voters a mix of men and women and uh half of the group three and a six said they would vote for Trump the uh the moderator who worked for the The Daily Show was also a black gentleman and after three of the six of them said they' vote for Trump uh he said and I quote we're an even split I didn't see that coming I didn't see that coming I did I would I would have guessed three out of six if you said how many randomly picked are going to say Trump I would have said about three ns6 that's you know two ns6 maybe more often but three NS six I think you could get there and as Mike Ben warns and many of you are seeing and I think Glenn Greenwald is warning on this too uh the Democrats can't release on this Russia is to blame for everything thing do you all understand why it's always Russia yeah you have to know the history of the CIA so the CIA is the CIA because of the Soviet Union when the Soviet Union fell they needed a new enemy to justify their actions and their budget so like well Russia even though the entire point of disintegrating the Soviet Union was that Russia would basically becomes friends with the United States do you know why we're not friends with Russia when everything they were doing was for the intention of being our friends and never being at war with us it's because it wouldn't be good for the cia's budget that's probably the only reason yeah that's probably the only reason now there was also the O the energy stuff you know later blah blah blah and Putin you know maybe interfering in other countries where we wanted to interfere before he interfered so there's you certainly there's lots of little stuff but if we had already made friends with them Putin probably would already be working productively with us in these other countries and if he wanted something like a warm a warm port and they were our allies we would have said something like why would we object to you having a warm Port you're our Ally we we don't object to France putting a port anywhere do we they're Ally so it seems to me that the reason Russia Russia Russia is because the Intel people work with the Democrats and the Intel people need the Democrats to tell you that Russia Russ Russia so they can keep their budget so I don't think that the the Russia is an enemy is real I don't think it's based on reality uh I think some reality comes out of it because when you tell each other you're enemies you don't work together in other countries well so we see that but it feels like a manufactured problem totally manufactured and it looks like it's manufactured to support the budget of her intelligence people and nothing else it may be military too that's what it looks like um Eric Adams says Sanctuary cities are a big mistake wants them to go away of course all right I've got a challenge for you oh wait we'll do this first so Joe Rogan was talking about uh Elon Musk believing we live in a simulation and he said something that I've said a few few times he said if you're Elon Musk of course you believe it's a simulation people are letting you drill tunnels under LA and shoot rockets off into space and you make electric cars solar roof panels I mean he's literally living like some character in a movie now I've told you that right the exact same thing if you were Elon Musk and you saw what you could personally accomplish you would have to believe none of this is real because he lives life like a like a video game he plays video games so that model is in his head you know closer to the front of his head but I say the same thing now you don't know everything about my life but if if you just looked at the things you know about how's that possibly real that when I was six years old I said you know I think I want to be a famous cartoonist well the number of famous cartoonists who happened since I was six years old is like three three or four and of s billion people and I I'm one of the three or four how's that possible and then you know next thing I know I'm predicting Trump and I'm invited to the White House and here I am how is any of this possible right and that's just my professional life my personal life is even weirder how is any of it possible so yes I believe we're in a simulation and I think we're going to find out in a year so that's my prediction I think we're one one year away from confirming that we live in a simulation now when I say confirming I don't mean that everybody will agree I mean that the evidence will be overwhelming and here's what it will look like in one year we will create our own simulation in which the characters believe they have Consciousness Free Will and they living their own lives once we do that and we already have the tech for that once we do it maybe in a year the argument for us not being one will just disappear because once we can do it the argument was always that once it can be done there'll be more than one so after after somebody makes one of them in a year in the real world in one year there will be that simulation somebody else is going to say hey that's a good idea I'll make one too and at that moment the number of simulated realities will be confirmed to be twice as me many as base reality if there is if even one exists now the argument that I've heard against the simulation is stupid and it goes like this P Scott you're just pushing God back one more level I mean you know something can't come from nothing so therefore a God and then I say is God something well yeah where did he come from um something came from nothing or something was always there here's the answer to where everything came from everything was always here that's it now the fact that your brain Can't Wrap its head around that doesn't make it wrong because you can't wrap your head around any of physics but you're not you don't need to solve the problem of how anything came from nothing because that's an absurd assumption the correct assumption is there was always something do you know why because you can't make something out of nothing it's obvious there was always something you know even if you say the the big bang was the beginning no whatever it was that caused the Big Bang had to exist so there was always something even if it was packed into you know one little singularity but there was something so no you don't have to solve the god or simulation problem there was always something that's it that's the whole solution there was always something all right here is my last challenge to you I want to see if you can prove me wrong um I was curious how many of the predictions made during the U um alore era of the Inconvenient Truth when he first started saying you were all doomed from climate change how many predictions were made either by him or other experts at that time that have panned out now that seems like the easiest thing you could look up in the world doesn't it the most important thing is climate change so there's you know a gazillion documents and science about climate change the most important thing we need to know about climate change is are the predictions correct right would you agree it's the biggest problem if it's true and the biggest issue within it is can we predict it so that we know that we're we're in trouble so the most obvious thing that should be easy to Google would be what are the predictions and what's the reality you can't find it you cannot find it good luck you can even take one thing take just one thing thing are the storms more severe or less good luck you'll you'll find yes you'll find no sometimes you'll find confusing answers but you cannot answer the question have the have the predictions so far turned out to be true now here's what you're going to say but Scott I know the answer the the sea level has not risen that's not what the internet says the internet says that the sea level has has risen but not everywhere for example in the Gulf of Mexico they say the sea level has risen as predicted but maybe not on the other side of Florida so if you go to the internet I swear to God this is true they'll tell you that the sea level rose on the west side of Florida but not the east side which maybe is possible because the one side is warmer than the other but don't you think it rais a little bit on the other side yeah so here's my challenge to you my challenge is this you cannot with any credibility determine if the predictions were right or wrong now do you think that's an accident that the Internet won't tell you that do you think that nobody studied that no I'll bet it just is gets erased as it's published I guarantee you that somebody did a good job of looking at the predictions and a really good job of comparing them to reality and you can't find it try see try yourself I I I welcome the challenge see if you can find the answer to that question now the fact that you can't find it what does that tell you that's all you need to know that is the dog that is so not barking because if the predictions had been largely true not completely but even just largely true uh you would hear that every day right if alore had been right about most things but not everything it's all you would hear it'd be in the news every day look how right we were I don't see it I see stuff like uh looks like this one Island had a little problem but the island next to it was fine or it we did get storms like a little earlier this year but we don't really see a signal that there's more or Worse storms but some people would say there are that that's the state of our data don't know so we don't know if sea levels going up or down we don't know if storms are getting worse and then what about the ice there there there were there was a prediction that the uh the ice would melt and that the you know the North Pole you'd be able to pass so is that a a prediction from climate change well the trouble is that was predicted without climate change because the the world is always warming or cooling long term so we already knew that the ice was going to melt CU we're in a warming period which is better than being in a CO cooling period so how much of the ice melt is because it was going to happen anyway versus climate change well the the argument would be but Scott there's an acceleration so it it's it's much more now it's accelerated yeah yeah there might be some Baseline because we're at a long-term warming period but you know accelerated did it did it you think they can measure that because I've seen evidence that they measured it wrong do I believe the evidence that they measured it wrong no do I do I believe the evidence that they measured it right no because part of the argument is you're measuring the wrong ice like there are places where there's less of it but in other places there's a lot more and if you only looked at one place you'd say well there's less less ice there but if you looked at all the places you'd find that some were more and some were less did you know that I'm not even sure if it's true it's just something I read so we can't even we can't even be sure that conclusively that we have more or less ice I mean just think about that and then what about the polar bears the polar bears of course would be um at risk if the ice melted but you know what happened we came up with some polar bear conservation laws and polar bearers are starting to come back what about the uh what about the uh Great Barrier Reef that there was going to be bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef and then when the uh you know the the coral all dies that would cause some ripple effect and you know the oceans would be in bad shape did that happen yeah it happened for years the the Great Barrier Reef was getting worse and worse and worse and worse until about three years ago and then It reversed why why did it reverse how could it and the answer is well maybe we don't know much about Great Barrier reefs so we don't have conclusive evidence that anything has ever happened in climate for 30 years probably no real evidence there are claims but nothing credible and that so it comes down to temperature so they bring it down to but we did tell you that as CO2 went up which it did that temperature would go up and sure enough temperature's up CO2 is up B Bing proved it to which I say did it because the recent studies show that you can't tell if the temperature went up because the heat Islands got closer to the thermometers and you don't know how much that would have affected it but you know it affected it right and do you think they could have ever measured it anyway that's not a thing humans can do we can't measure the temperature of the earth that that sort of the dilbur filter if you've never worked in a big entity where you tried to gather data you wouldn't know that it never works this is something I can't even communicate you have to live it sometimes you say to yourself well Scott lots of times the data is good no it isn't no it isn't no the data is never good in the real world the data is never good that's just the quality of the world it doesn't not apply to climate science climate science isn't the first place that data became good no it's just like everything else it's a bunch of human beings and if they can't measure it they lie that's what I did used to be my job if I couldn't measure something it was my job explicitly I'm not making this up to lie about it because we couldn't do things without data and we had to show our analysis because you needed to get approved for things and the only way you could do it is lying so I just changed the assumptions and tweak things until my boss was happy and then that was the truth no there is no possibility that a bunch of humans could measure the temperature of the Earth with precision and take it back 100 years that's crazy yeah that's really crazy so that concludes my prepared comments for today thanks for joining I know I went long again don't mean to go long but it's just so much fun I just want to keep doing it uh i g to say bye to everybody um on You.

Tube and Rumble and x and I'm going to talk to my beloved people in locals only if this works let's see if it works today e e e e e e

[Music]

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human civilization it's

called coffee with Scott Adams and wow

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be amazing and if You' like your

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join me now for the unparallel pleasure

dope mean head of the day the thing

makes everything better it's called the

simultaneous sip it happens now

go oh that's good that's some good stuff

right there I hope it was as good for

you all right we still got a little bit

of

a problem here with

my come on

chat I can make this work you know my

secret with technology is something

doesn't work you close it and reopen it

and you reboot then you reload the app

none of that ever works by the way but

it's what I do you should do it

too all right I'm definitely going to

make this

work there it

is we have

success well you're probably asking me

Scott what does the Dilbert comic look

like today is it relevant is it funny

well I'm going to show you

how would you like to see

it so here's the dilber comic for today

you normally you could only see this if

you are subscribing but I thought you'd

like a preview uh the pointy a boss says

our CEO is showing signs of dementia it

will be your job to cover it up he says

to Dilbert and Dilbert says why and the

boss says if we get a new CEO he might

hire one of his friends to take my job

and dilbur says how bad is his dementia

and the boss says it's like a mild

cold that's called

foreshadowing

foreshadowing and if

you if

you oh my oh

my all right so let's make that go

away hey look at me using all this

technology

successfully incredible well there's a

new study that says that one of the

things you you can do for Parkinson's

you know CU Biden is suspected of having

Parkinson's and they found that uh if

you do these three things at the same

time you can reduce your

Parkinson uh Risk by

55% you got to drink coffee smoke

tobacco and take

aspirin well you know what I'm not going

to recommend all of those things I'm not

sure you should start smoking to reduce

your risk of Parkinson's and it does

bring into question who funded that

study who do you think funded the study

that said smoking tobacco could get rid

of your Parkinson

risk could it be tobacco people I don't

know so I of course immediately uh

searched the internet to find out if

marijuana had been tested as a possible

treatment

for uh or preventive for Parkinson's and

the answer is the studies are ambiguous

but there is some evidence marijuana is

helpful for reducing at least the

symptoms of Parkinson's or if I could

summarize this in all one big

summary science doesn't know what

works maybe about anything I don't know

but uh no I would not start smoking

cigarettes and take an aspirin to reduce

your

Parkinson's well there's a big bust in

Oregon so Oregon uh had a big crime wave

and apparently 4,000 Lego St sets were

stolen and they were valued at over

$200,000 in Lego sets now it took the

police a three-month

investigation do you know why I took him

three months to solve the Lego

situation it's because it took him a

while to piece it all

together ah you're welcome you're

welcome

well there's a lawsuit against

Northwestern the school for anti-white

anti-male hiring so it's another Dei

story so do you need to know the details

no there's a

professor he's white he's male can't get

a job I didn't even read it but I can

tell you that's the story yep if these

lawsuits succeed do you think you'll see

more of them yes you will one of the

things about uh you know following the

money is it's like seeing the future

let's see if somebody succeeds in a

lawsuit will there be more of them yes

there will the likelihood of succeeding

in this lawsuit probably

100% because the thing with these Dei

cases is you never have to look for the

evidence the evidence is what they told

you and what they wrote down and the

Witnesses all over the place and 100% of

the people would agree and everybody in

the same situation had the same

outcome it's the easiest case you can

ever prove because nobody's hiding it

not not only are they not hiding it it's

often written down as a policy so how do

you lose

that yeah imagine if there were entities

that wrote wrote policy documents that

says uh we're going to steal money from

people when they're not looking and

we're just going to keep it

and you'd say to yourself I think I

could find the conviction

here all

right Tony

Robbins has uh reportedly according to

Wall Street Journal bet $200 million of

his own money on a new

technology uh that allegedly can turn

coal into hydrogen so it can burn clean

so some kind of sciency

process to make coal which would be sort

of a dirty fuel into hydrogen which

would be super

clean now how does Tony Robbins have

$200

million I I had to check on his net

worth and of course net worth numbers

are usually ridiculous made up but it

says his net worth was 600

million and he put 200 million into one

bet that's a hell of a

bet and uh this entrepreneur has some

your

credentials but some scientists are

skeptical well I'm going to join these

skeptical scientists but I do love how

Tony Robbins is putting his own money

into

it let's call this another example of

people who have given up on the

government why would Tony Robbins put

$200 million of his own money into this

is it because he's a good investor I

doubt it I mean I don't this would be

weird to put a a third of your net

wealth into one company that hasn't

proven its technology that would not

normally be the definition of a good

investor so why would he do

it well I've got a few opinions you know

one is I think when you're really

successful you end up with a God

complex speaking from experience you end

up with a God complex and you wonder

well what else can I do

if I did all this what else can I do

like I don't know what my limit is and I

ran into that problem when when Dilbert

became

successful there was this period of my

life maybe five years where everything I

touched was successful I make a book

it's a bestseller I make a comic it's a

big hit yeah it was just everything I uh

go into speaking circuit I'm one of the

highest paid speakers so for a while I

thought to myself I wonder what my limit

is like should I be shooting higher

should I be building a rocket to Mars

and you could see that Elon Musk

probably has the same thing he builds a

car company that nobody could build and

then he probably has to wonder well

maybe I could have done more than that

like what's bigger than that how about

putting human life on

Mars kind of a God complex doing things

that don't seem like they're possible so

some of it is actually just a um I think

people testing their own

limits but some of it the bigger

story is I think we've given up on the

government there was a time when I

thought well the big problems have to be

solved by the government you know a war

has to be solved by the government a

pandemic government you know fixing

climate change well that's probably

going to be a government thing it's so

big but nobody really trusts the

government to fix

anything so if you really think that you

know climate change is a problem and

you're Tony Robbins and you know that

you've done things that didn't even look

possible you probably say to yourself

you know what maybe it's up to me with

great power comes great responsibility

and I think that's what's behind that

actually so good luck with that Thomas

Massie Finally checked in you know as

his wife tragically died a few weeks ago

and

he uh you know he's he's struggling of

course uh the family is struggling they

would be but apparently an autopsy has

been conducted you know she had full

security she died at home and they don't

know what the cause of death is so they

don't have the results of the autopsy

yet God that would be

maddening imagine it's been two weeks

and you don't know the cause of death it

was natural well I mean there there were

no signs it was anything but a natural

death but they don't know the cause and

know she was not

vaccinated I know you can

ask well Trump continues to be the best

writer in the business uh I'm going to

read one of his lengthy truth social

Post in which he talks about Nancy

Pelosi only for entertainment all right

this has no news value whatsoever it's

not news you can use I just want to show

you his writing skill now if you think

he doesn't have writing skill just feel

how much you feel his writing oh my God

you can feel it all right I'll just read

it quote crazy Nancy Pelosi is more of a

cognitive mess than sleepy crooked Joe I

mean come on that's just so

good there's just so much color in that

first sentence I mean you just feel

every part every word you're going to

feel he goes on

she also suffers from a terminal case of

TDS Trump derangement syndrome uh she is

a total nut job who impeached me twice

and lost lost meaning he stayed in the

job now I see her going around barely

now I see her going around barely

meaning that she can barely go around

and saying that I am a threat to

democracy no this is just radical left

Democrat disinformation which is all

they're good at uh Trump continued uh

trying to convince anyone that will

listen that crooked Joe is a mental

Giant and in great form which everyone

knows he is

not she she's just continuing the lie to

the American

people

uh uh and that uh she is the true threat

to democracy and a very sick one and

remember she took full responsibility

for not doing her job on January 6th it

was her fault and I'd like to thank her

daughter for supplying the tape of ny's

confession but what took so long hiding

evidence is a

crime I just see him standing you know

on a platform above the ocean that

that's filled with sharks and he's just

he's just got this big barrel of meat

and he's like I have a little more red

meat and he throws it in the Sharks go

crazy and he goes how about over

here and he's just throwing red meat

into the Sharks and the Sharks the shark

sharks think they have free will and

they're just

like and he's just orchestrating all

their craziness so he he he does this

thing where he throws in so many

accusations you don't even know what to

do about

it anyway so

funny well I was asked today for some

constructive

optimism and I'm going to give you some

optimism because some of the stories

coming up are you know less optimistic

but uh this is from General Mike

Flynn and somebody posted about you know

how bad things are and uh he wanted to

give us some optimism he said the

country is absolutely fixable we cannot

take nor accept a Deus attitude I

understand fully how corrupt our

bureaucracy and elements within our

government have begun the one person who

can fix it is the president but it must

be the right president how do you think

Lincoln felt halfway through his

administration with the unity of the

nation in grave Peril or other great

leaders throughout history who saw Peril

and did not flinch and a fear or

indecision hang tough Wyatt that's who

he was talking to in his comments uh I

know you will million as will millions

of others you only lose when you quit

that is

correct that is correct now one I've

told told you this before one of the

great advantages of being my age is that

I get to see how many times we've been

doomed we've been doomed a lot we've

been doomed since I was 5 years old we

were doomed from a definite you know

nuclear war with Russia the ozone was

emptying the we're running out of oil

and the hippies were going to take over

and ruin our work culture and it looked

like the Communists were going to you

know Domino up with the world and we're

polluted and we wouldn't be able to

breathe going to run out of

food that's just when I was 10 that

that's all the problems we had when I

was 10 years

old and 70s actually turned out to be

pretty good ERA you after the after the

war um so I would say that uh

America is really really good at solving

problems but the phase before we solve a

problem always looks like this it looks

like us complaining and not knowing how

to solve the problem and when

everybody's complaining enough and

everybody feels doomed enough and the

problems look big enough then we solve

them because the weird thing about our

problems is they're not

unsolvable if we you know work together

to solve them

but if you don't work together you're

pretty much

dead I think I could say that with

certainty if if we work together to

solve our problems very solvable very

solvable if we decide to fight each

other and not work together toward our

problems we're dead but here's the good

news America does pull together when

they don't have any choice the the

internal division is a luxury that you

get when things are working well you

don't you don't turn on each other until

things are kind of working okay and then

you have that luxury so as things get

worse our ability to solve them gets

better because that's when people say

okay as they are

now okay Biden does have a problem now

we're all on the same page because they

got worse if Biden had not gotten worse

we would still be disagreeing whether

he's bad enough to be president but you

know what we do about it um May Vary but

certainly we've agreed that now we have

the same problem we're working toward

right so I think that as the problems

get

worse our ability to solve them gets

better but that's kind of invisible

because you don't see it and and also

there's always stuff working beond the

scenes there's technology there's

inventions there people trying things

all the time we generally configure this

stuff stuff out I would rate our current

problems as

average average if you looked at every

problem in America and compared to to

all the problems we've ever had

somewhere in the middle it's not it's

not an extra scary time might be the

opposite it's probably closer to extra

safe than it is to extra scary on

average so no don't worry about

everything falling apart it might get

worse but as it does it gets closer to

the time we have the resolve to solve

it all right there's going to be what

they call a big boy press conference

today Biden's going to try to take

questions from the White House Press

Corp at 5:30

Eastern um so that would be uh right in

the middle of uh Fox News is the

five um so it's going to ruin their

show and um I might want to live stream

when that's happening I haven't decided

yet but I'll see what I'm doing here's

what I think is the

plan uh since it's clear that Biden

himself does not want to leave it seems

clear that Jill is on that same

page and they don't have the physical

power to force him out but they really

really they meaning Democrats the

leadership really really need him to

leave what are you going to do well now

we know let me tell you what they're

going to do

and it's embarrassing and

it's it's just

icky they can't talk him into leaving

and they can't leave him there what are

they going to

do they can't leave him can't leaveing

it the way it is and they can't talk him

into leaving what does that leave him

murder now I'm not predicting that

because it'd be too obvious so I think

murder is off the

table so you can't kill

him can't get him to leave on his

own can't force him out what's

left you can figure this one out

yourself I'm going to give you one more

clue okay that Kirby said in front of

the public that this pressor would be

quote a big boy press conference a big

boy press do you see it

yet and then uh George Clooney says um

yeah he's he's gone and now we hear that

Obama agreed with Clooney that you know

he had no objection Clooney s the do you

see it

yet he's going to embarrass him out of

office do you think that they would have

this press conference if they were

trying to protect him nope because we

know that he doesn't have to give a

press conference he went a years barely

doing any of it if they wanted to

protect them they wouldn't do it the

Democrats have decided very clearly I

would say it's obvious at this point

that they're they're trying to embarrass

him out of office by making him perform

and making him fail in front of you so

you're watching the Democrats slowly

torture their own beloved

candidate because they need to win more

than they need

anything and there's nothing they won't

do to get it if they could kill them I

think they would I think the only thing

that stops them is they would get caught

I don't think anything else would stop

him from killing him honestly so if you

want to know how loyal the Democrats are

to their own people and to their

constituency look at

this seems seems pretty definitive to

me um I would argue also as somebody

else pointed out that maybe the reason

that Biden is hanging tough is that they

won't have an

income imagine trying to take care of

Biden on no

income that's sort of where they're

heading no source of in come and having

to take care of a dementia patient with

security needs and you know all kinds of

special needs they need the money so

here's what I think uh Hunter is doing I

think Hunter is brought in for the one

thing that

Jill probably isn't good at

negotiating I think Hunter is a

negotiator I think Hunter is trying to

work on a deal where the family will

make a

fortune and then he'll talk his father

into

leaving I will guarantee you somehow

Hunter is going to come out ahead of

this because he's got all the leverage

Hunter is the most powerful person in

the country right now because if he says

that offer is good enough I will talk to

my father it's going to happen if Hunter

goes to his father and says look you're

probably going to end up dropping out

anyway your your health is failing but

if you were to leave now you could

retain some dignity and I can get $200

million out of them because they're

going to give me a piece of some action

it's not written down but I've got a

commitment you know they're going to

make something happen for us that

wouldn't have happened otherwise so for

the legacy of the family the good of the

family and your own you know Health Care

um I'm going to take the $200 million

all you have to do is bow out gracefully

that's what they're waiting for I

guarantee it will it happen probably not

probably not I I think that I'm still

going to bet that Biden stays into

election day and that the Democrats

start saying well but you know you're

really voting for kamla we we didn't

have time to do all the paperwork and

get on the ballots with a different name

and you know we were just pressed for

time and you know so you're just really

voting for

kamla that's my prediction

all right um if there's anybody new here

who's never been in my live stream you

probably couldn't you probably couldn't

conceive of how smart the audience is

normally you probably have no idea how

smart this audience is I'm going to give

you a demonstration of how smart the

audience is give me the answer before I

ask the

question go give me the answer before

you know what the topic is go correct

answer

yep there's a whole stream of correct

answers that's how smart they are the

correct answer is

25% I haven't even asked the

question here's the question according

to a rasmuson poll what percent of

Voters are very confident that Biden is

physically and mentally up to the job of

being president of the United

States it's actually 26% but I feel like

raspon got it wrong by one I feel like I

trust you more

so I'm going to say We'll round it to

25% you know because rasmon is very

accurate but let's be honest they're not

nearly as accurate as you are guessing

the answer before I ask the question

because you get that every time

so this is called

science well PJ media is writing about

this whole uh KL Harris conundrum and uh

referred to a made a Dilbert reference

in

this

um let's see what do they call it uh

sort of a Dilbert like

uh track and the oh here let me read the

exact

quote history will likely show that the

smartest decision Joe Biden ever made

was selecting Comm Harris's VP it's not

a PR trick but a dilber era middle

management trick if you don't want to be

replaced make sure you're subar

subordinates suck more than you do now

that's literally been a Dilbert comic

joke it's a recurring one in fact I've

got one coming up that has that that

theme as well so yes uh I've often told

you that what I call the Dilbert filter

which is how do big organizations work

in the real world that's the Dilbert

filter in the real world they pursue

Dei in the real world leaders do in fact

make sure that their subordinates are

not as good as them that's a real thing

I mean literally a real thing and when

they do those two

things and then they find out that the

leader has to leave they are trapped by

their own Dei situation so it's it's

exactly a dilbur situation and it's one

that's been in the comic and will be

again so now they're boxed in there's

nothing they can do that's why I think

it's Kamala or bust and there's no real

reason to elevator to the top of the

ticket makes more sense just to leave it

the way it is and let people vote the

way it is all

right I saw Senator

Kennedy um do the most useful thing I've

seen a senator do in a long time uh

probably because Thomas massie's you

know and a congress Congress is not

terribly

functional um but at least Senator

Kennedy is here's what he did he brought

in some budget expert for the government

and asked uh how much would we need to

cut the budget to balance it now that's

not paying down the deficit that's not

paying down the 35 trillion it's just

what would it take to not make it more

how much would you have to cut how many

of you know the answer to that how much

would you have to cut the current budget

to get it in Balance because if you said

well one or two% then I'd say oh we

don't have that big a problem

right um so the expert said

78% do you think there's any human way

that our current government could cut

our budget by 7 or

8% no no because you'd have to cut

everything and if you didn't cut

everything it gets worse because if you

said oh we we're not going to cut this

one section we're not going to cut this

one

well then you're talking about maybe 15%

cuts to other places do you think we

could cut any part of the whole budget

15% with the current government in the

current situation no not not a chance

because cutting gets you

unelected pushing the can down the the

field gets you elected because they know

they always get

elected so I asked chat GPT to give me a

little uh sanity check on it and here's

just some numbers just to hold in your

head when you're talking about the

budget just a few numbers to keep in

your head so you feel like you're smart

first of all our budget every year is

around $6

trillion so that's the US budget but we

don't take in that much in taxes so um

about 1.2 trillion of it is

borrowing so that what would if you just

round off what is 1 trillion of 6

trillion about

17% right so no cutting seven or 8%

isn't going to get you

close you have to cut more than

177% of

everything do you think there's any

chance we would cut 177% off the budget

of

everything and again if we don't that

means that some budget is going to get

it twice as

hard or the other budgets would be twice

as hard and not twice you know I'm

exaggerating

but that's what it would look

like and then I asked myself how is that

even possible so then I asked chat GPT

to come up with its own budget to tell

me what to cut in each of the current

budget categories to get to uh to get to

a balanced

budget and I'll tell you what Chad gbt

says just to give you an idea how oh

maybe I

won't have to look it

up um but the answer is way more

horrifying you would have to make Cuts

in various things about

25% so probably somewhere in the

neighborhood of 17 to 25% you'd have to

take off of every budget do you think

they're going to cut the military by 17

to

25% do you think Social Security is

going to get cut by no no there isn't

any

way so if there's no way to do

it are we

doomed and it was really hard to get um

even chat GPT to give me a suggested

budget which we could

survive survival I'm not I'm not even

talking about op optimizing I'm not

talking about the best of several plans

I tried to get Chad gbt to give me any

estimate where we could

survive and it fought

me just like humans do that that's why

Kennedy did a service he actually nailed

somebody down and forced him to give

them a number because nobody wants to do

it the reason nobody wants to do it is

the number is

unsurvivable nobody wants to say

honestly it's unsurvivable

there's no way to cut it and there's no

way to survive

it that's the truth it's

unsurvivable now does that mean we're

doomed no let's go back to General

um um I'm sorry just general uh you know

you know the

thing Flynn General

FP so we go back to his optimism is this

a worse problem than the Civil War no is

a worse problem than World War 1 or two

no is it a worse problem than the

pandemic maybe but it's within the realm

of things we

solve how I have no idea but let me give

you some just brainstorming to give you

a sense it might be possible all right

because we need you need to feel it

might be

possible number one

um Elon Musk says that Tesla might be

you know way more valuable because of

all the robots we're going to go through

a one sever

robot um cycle where we will sell

probably I don't know make and sell a

hundred million robots pretty

soon what if we tax the

robots and just stop taxing

people so if you were to get a robot you

got

pay something per

robot because nobody already has a robot

like a personal robot so if you just

said all right here's the cost of a

robot it's going to be 25,000 and there

will always be a 10% robot

tax well if you never had to pay a robot

tax because you never bought a robot it

doesn't look so bad does it it just

looks like it's the cost of the

robot and you'd say well I have a

maintenance program that's on I have

insurance for my robot that's

ongoing what if I have a little tax

that's ongoing too just part of the cost

of owning now who's going to be buying

these robots not poor people so it

wouldn't be a tax on poor people it

would be very much on rich people and

most of the most of the robots will

probably be by big companies who buy all

of the robots and then they rent them to

you so it'll be robot as a service so

you're not going to have necessarily a

robot in your house but you might have a

robot that drives up to your house and

it's self-driving Tesla cleans your

house and then goes back to its business

while you're at work that might happen

probably will happen so everybody's

going to be renting a robot even if they

don't own one so could you get to a

point where the robot tax is paying all

of your uh your costs how about AI

AI is going to be wildly profitable for

some companies and wildly

gigantic suppose you say uh I put a

special tax on I don't know um uh data

centers because we know we're going to

build build like trillions of dollars of

data centers so suppose you say 10% tax

or something and suddenly you're talking

about things that are so big and so knew

that there's some

chance that growth gets rid of some of

your deficit some chance but you would

also have to almost stop

spending you you'd have to just like

flatten spending for a long time the

other thing you could do is use AI to

recommend where the cuts are the reason

you could use AI is that Congress will

only vote for things for which they

won't be blamed

later right right if you say who's in

favor of cutting these budgets

20% no Congress person signs up for that

because that's the end of your job

because you would be blamed for cutting

10% or 20% of their social security

they're going to take it personally so

how could you make it so that Congress

could vote in the way that's the best

for the country and not lose their jobs

I have a suggestion you delegate the

suggestion for the cuts to

AI now will AI make the best decisions

nobody will ever agree on that no we'd

fight it we'd say no don't listen to

that AI but what AI would do it would

give the Congress people an

out if they could sell the AI version of

the cuts to the

public then they can say look if it were

up to me if it were up to me I wouldn't

have done that but we had decided on a

process in which AI would make the

decisions because we all agree that if

the humans try to make the decisions

we'll just delay

it so can we all agree this is what you

can imagine Congress saying can we all

agree that if you leave it to us we

won't do it we'll just Kick the Can

forever you agree it has to be

done let's agree that we'll use this

objective standard that doesn't care

about us one way or the other AI let AI

make the decision a word to cut and AI

might be more

rational for example if you and I were

going to cut we might say oh I think

they can handle 2% but I can't go

further but the AI might say oh you

realize if you just redo this whole

department you can lower the expenses

90% because that's something humans

wouldn't necessarily see but maybe the

AI would say oh we could just automate

this whole thing I can I can get rid of

the entire I don't know Department of

whatever just make it AI it'll take you

two

years 90% reduction in cost so the AI

could do things that the humans can't do

only because the AI won't be blamed for

being biased I mean it will be biased

but it won't won't be as Blain so is

there any path yes I don't know what it

will be but I think we have a chance now

here's an update I was talking about the

idea of using a magic crypto to pay off

our debt

and I kept asking for people to validate

whether that was the dumbest idea in the

world because it sounds like it or the

smartest idea in the world because

sometimes the smartest idea and the dumb

dumbest idea sound the same it's really

hard to tell sometimes so I did get uh

some expert smart people who contacted

me separately and explained to me nope

you can't do it so here's some here's

the the simple explanation is if you add

money to the system in any way whether

it's regular money or crypto it's too

much money in the system it's inflation

everything

crashes now that I

knew um of

course

um but I was thinking what if you just

replaced US dollars with crypto does

that create money out of nothing and

here's the other problem apparently even

if a space alien came down and gave you

somehow Ally gave you money to pay off

all $35 trillion national debt it would

destroy the

country didn't see that coming did you

if if some outside third party who

magically had $35

trillion appear tomorrow and says I'll

tell you what I could write a

check we'll just get rid of all this

debt it would be so disruptive that the

economy wouldn't

recover so you need some kind of debt

because the debt is doing work too right

debt isn't zero money debt

is somebody gave the government money

and then the government can allow Banks

to lend more money and then the economy

works that's the quick expression but

here's my updated

suggestion

suppose you created a

crypto but it could never compete with

money how is that possible you say well

like this suppose the government said

we're going to make a program for people

who don't have a lot of

money that they can uh buy all these

goods and services that are you know

super designed so that they're cheap and

effective and healthy uh but you can

only spend crypto on

it now that doesn't work because the

crypto would still have to get into the

system if you were only spending the

crypto for the

government well here's the idea it's a

bad idea

but could you bifurcate the

economy so that it introduces new money

but that new money can't can't get to

the rest of the economy to cause

inflation in other words could you

create fake money just for poor people

so the poor people could have goods and

services but it wouldn't add money to

the system because they'd be set off

they couldn't buy a car with it they

could only buy food and shelter and

stuff I don't know I think that doesn't

work either

pretty much all the ideas don't work but

here's the thing I want to tell

you paying them the debt doesn't seem

that

important um but getting rid of the

deficit is critical to

survival does that make sense you you

got to make sure that your budget every

year is good because if you drive the 35

trillion up to 100 trillion we are

definitely all

dead so there's something is too big for

sure but it's not too big yet it's

getting there but if the only thing you

did is keep it the

same you could limp along and inflate it

away over over the years so

the you either have to massively

increase taxes by massively increasing

productivity uh or else you cut things

massively but your your choices are some

kind of massive growth and some kind of

massive Cuts now if you cut the

difference it would be something like

you'd have to take the GDP from what is

around three or

four you'd probably have to get it up to

six or seven which probably can only

happen during the robot AI turnover it

could work the other way and reduce it

but I think in the short term it would

be more um and then maybe cut things

10% and you have to have ai make the

cutting decisions because the Congress

can't so that's what you're looking

at hey have you heard the uh the

Democrats say that Trump is only in it

for himself he's only in it for

himself this is called the projection

alert projection alert where they accuse

somebody of what they're doing what do

you think uh they think of Biden right

now so Biden is staying in the race

for Biden right there's nobody there's

nobody who's a democrat or a republican

nobody who believes that he's staying in

the race because it's good for the

country not a single person believes

that what have they been saying about

Trump he's in it for

himself how's that work because it's so

good for the Trump

brand that's not

true how how is he in it for himself

exactly unless you think he's going to

steal your D democr Dem

democracy I don't I can't even call it

democracy it's like a dumb crazy have

you noticed how much democracy and dumb

crazy sound the same it's our democracy

crazy

democracy anyway so I think even the

Democrats are starting to write wait a

minute something's going on here it

would seem to me that Biden's only in it

for himself it would seem to me that

Trump is like Jesus and he is

sacrificing his brand his maybe his life

and uh his reputation and his business

to help the country

survive now maybe he's doing it for his

ego but don't they all do it for their

ego I mean that's always part of it

right you think you think Biden doesn't

have an ego

everybody's in there for the

ego but uh there was an

MSNBC guest who repeated what I call the

Gutfeld observation they didn't credit

him of course because it's MSNBC but

they basically were saying out

loud uh why do

we why do we keep pretending that Trump

is an existential threat at the same

time we're running the only person who

will surely lose to him in El

how do we explain to

ourselves our own messaging that Trump

is a threat to the existence of the

world and we're not trying very hard to

replace them in fact we're doing the

worst thing we could possibly do if

that's what we cared about how do we

explain

that well apparently there's some

evidence from people who are Democrats

who are finally

admitting that they are not worried

about a trump presidency at all

that's right you wonder are the

Democrats lying crazy or

evil turns out that more and more of

them are admitting they were just lying

they do not in fact fear an existential

threat from a trump

presidency do you know how I knew

that here let me let me show you how I

knew that I'll prove it to you right now

I hope otherwise this will be very

embarrassing um

you prove it by looking at the stock

market and uh let's see what's the stock

market look like uh we'll just take you

since let's take the stock market since

uh we learned for sure that it was going

to be Biden versus Trump and then we

learned for sure that Biden had a very

low chance of winning and it was going

to be Trump so scary Trump was going to

end the world what does that do to the

S&P

500 right up so the stock market which

is a collection of all the smart

people no worry whatsoever because that

that's pricing Trump into the market

because the market is a forward-looking

uh measurement so when the market is

confident and solid it means that they

are not worrying about Trump ruining

things it means they were

lying now here's the fun

part since we know that Biden was

obviously demented and has been for a

long time and we know that most of the

media on the left was saying H we don't

see anything no problem yep don't see a

problem

here it's one of those rare times when

both Democrats and Republicans can tell

that they were saying things that

weren't true that the people in charge

of the truth the news and and the

politicians now we both know it right

everybody knows it

so that's where it gets

fun because if everybody knows they were

telling us what wasn't

true what are

the what are the the Press who was

saying it and covering up for it how did

they explain themselves well the only

two

possibilities are that they were Li

or they were

stupid if you're a member of the press

and your only choices are to explain

your behavior by saying I was either

stupid and didn't notice the Dementia or

I was

lying and I wasn't dumb I was just lying

I was a weasel which one will they

pick it's an easy question if you're in

the press and you admit that you

lied there's no penalty

when it was the last time you saw

somebody lying about the news and losing

their job there's no penalty for that

but suppose you said I didn't

notice then you just look like the

dumbest person in all of

politics really you're the only person

who didn't notice that how do you not

notice that so you have this situation

where uh you can see it already it's

starting the Press is

scrambling to confess

that they

lied because the alternative is that

they were really really stupid and

that's less survivable than lying

because they work in an industry where

lying is so ordinary it's not a risk

think about that being stupid in public

is always a

risk but lying in public as long as it's

clear that they all did it totally

survivable so the weird thing is you're

going to see people rushing to confess

that they were lying because the

alternative would be

worse I love this summer I love this

summer yeah there might be some

cognitive distance but I think they

actually know exactly what happened and

why all right

um let's see who's stealing who

democracy this would be another uh

projection alert projection alert

well uh Jen weager says in a post it's

not helping the Democrats case for

democracy when Joe Biden's campaign is

premised on the idea that it doesn't

matter if he is seile in office then who

are we voting for and how is that

[Laughter]

democracy so here's another prominent

Democrat voice saying wait a minute the

things we're saying and the things we're

doing they don't line up at all they

don't line

up all right so let's go down the list

of Democrats stealing democracy and then

we'll do Trump we'll do Trump stealing

democracy uh this is going to be a

little bit of a

spoiler but you probably didn't see this

coming but the list of things that would

be Democrats stealing democracy are all

real and

observable the list of trump stealing

democracy

is

imaginary are you surprised that that's

their play every everything

that everything that they do in front of

us is objectively true and observable

everything they they say about Trump is

like really like in the future he'll

turn into a dragon and use his fiery

breath to destroy your village I'm not

so sure that's going to happen feels

imaginary so here's the list uh the

Democrats rigged their own

primaries and still

are uh they created a massive assault on

Free Speech if you don't know how that

worked follow Mike Ben by creating you

know infinite um external entities that

could put pressure on us sources of

information so that would be the Twitter

files and everything else so massive

Free Speech assault trying to limit the

Second Amendment of course uh

weaponizing the Department of Justice

against Trump all the

lawfare nobody believes that that's

legitimate you know if if you're still

in the world where well but Democrats

think they're just pursuing the law no

they're not no they're not that they're

not not anything like that it's

transparent obvious weaponization of the

Department of Justice it's obviously

coordinated it's exactly what you see

um they have controlled the

media so that uh everybody started

saying that that Biden was sharp as

attack at the same time and their media

was like well okay whatever so we can

see that they control the media although

the media finally gave up on them on the

Biden brain thing only because they had

to only because they had to where if the

debate hadn't happened the media would

still be covering up for Biden

just think about that they'd still be

covering except for the debate if if the

public had not found out on their own

basically doing their own research by

watching the debate the news never would

have told

you is that that's just mind-blowing

that we had to see it ourselves they

never would have told

us now we got Democrats to discuss

packing the Supreme Court because they

don't like it impeaching AOC wants to

impeach two of the justices because they

don't like it so they're not so big on

the whole separation of powers thing um

there's the whole starting a war under

false pretense in Ukraine what part of

that was

democracy did we vote for a war I don't

recall voting for a war no I don't

remember that at all but we're in one um

the Democrats have universally and

completely and in every case voted

against laws that would improve election

Integrity they have voted against every

measure that would make it more clear

who got elected that's not a coincidence

it's because they're stealing your

democracy there's only one explanation

for that uh now you got the party Elites

trying to replace Biden which is

basically the Iranian system where the

elites or the mullus decide who can run

because it doesn't matter which one gets

elected because they've all been

pre-approved the Iranian system and

they're doing it right in front of us

again it's observable right you can see

them trying to organize a fake primary

after they had

one

um and uh now we are connecting the dots

that uh Hunter once took a $5 million

loan from a Chinese um citizen who was

connected to Chinese intelligence and

there's no indication he ever paid back

the 5 million loan which would mean that

somebody in China kind of owns them a

little bit and uh now Hunters maybe

controlling policy in the White House

just because he's

capable so that's the how's that does

that sound like

democracy the guy who is the gatekeeper

for the president owes a Chinese guy

connected to security or Intel 5

million I don't think that could be

worse all right so those seem I think

you'd agree that those are

observable not really any question that

all that's happening not really now

here's uh here's Trump's list stealing

your

democracy there's the things on the

project 2025 list that he does not agree

with so the first imaginary category are

things he says he doesn't agree with and

wouldn't

do so that's one of the r that he's

going to steal your democracy the things

he says he won't do because they are

trying to paint him as supporter of

things he's not

supporting uh then there's uh all the

gaslighting that Democrats did about

January

6 so because January 6 was a whole op a

gaslighting op in which they pretended

it was an Insurrection and that Trump

wasn't in charge of it an entire

imaginary hoax that's one of the the

main reasons that they have to say well

if he did it once he'll do it again but

he didn't do it once he left office on

the day he was supposed to leave

office and there was never any

possibility he could have taken over a

country because some of his supporters

trespassed or because uh he picked some

alternate electors just to hold his

rights but that didn't work

out all right um and then

uh there's the stuff that Democrats are

hallucinating Trump might do if he

becomes

president literally they're afraid of

the things you'll do that they don't

really have a specific name for but

think you won't leave office and just

crazy that is not observable and it

seems to come out of pure mental illness

we just lying and uh then of course

there's the abortion question that he'll

take away your bodily autonomy will he

do that by taking himself out of the

decision-making process because that's

what he said he'd do he said he would

not be part of any national ban on

abortion in other words he's not going

to be a decision

maker either way he said he wants he

moved all the power to the states which

they've been wanting to do so that it's

not his

role how how does how does giving your

power away to the states suddenly

qualify as stealing your

democracy I mean basically all he did is

correct it it's something that was you

know seemed out a whack at one point so

he corrected it put the power back in

the States where it probably should have

always been now have I made my

case that the Trump stealing your

democracy is purely imaginary it's based

on their own hoaxes and gaslighting and

uh all of theirs are obvious it's a long

longer list and you can observe it it's

observable right now you don't have to

wonder what will happen in the future

it's right

now all right and then you have of

course Biden defying the majority

because ABC news says two-thirds of the

public wants him to step down is he

acting all

Democratic by staying in

office when we don't know who's in

charge and two-thirds of the country

wants him to step down including

majority of his own party so that that's

his view of

preserving democracy I guess not doing

what people want now I know we're not a

democracy

we're uh let let me just do an update

for the

NPCs swimming is the best form of

exercise the United States is a form of

Republic not a

democracy and if somebody invents a new

source of

food it's probably soil and

green so if you're trying to remain uh

an NPC in good standing make sure that

whenever any of those topics come up you

you add your value like I just

did all right uh representative Anna

Pina

Luna uh from Florida she wants uh she's

leading up an effort to try to find uh

attorney general Garland 10,000 per day

until he turns over the her audio now

the her audio is the one where we think

President Biden was in coherent uh but

the transcript may have erased all the

incoherence so since they already have

the transcript what would be the big

deal of hearing the actual audio well I

think we all suspect that the only

reason you don't hear it is that is

really

bad and I think her was maybe being kind

by saying he's too out of it to ever

stand

trial I think he was right on that and

so far he's been Vindicated

but I would ask you this representative

Luna how's this good for

us how how's it

good because worst case scenario is that

audio comes out tomorrow Democrats say

oh okay we're all out and it goes to 90%

Democrats want him

out and then basically has no choice

he's going to get pushed down so how's

that good for

Trump I think Trump Trump is playing

this right Trump's playing it right

because the question of whether Biden is

mentally capable has been asked and

answered if you're still trying to ask

and answer it you're only introducing a

variable that we don't need and could go

wrong because the way it could go wrong

is it might give the Democrats the

ability to rapidly replace them and then

you don't know what you're getting then

you don't know what you're getting could

be

better although they still the problem

of how do you skip over kamla so I

suppose the way they would do it is they

would Elevate kamla Harris to the top

they would pick a really strong vice

president and then it would sell him as

a team they'd say well you know if you

don't like kamla it's a team look at

this vice president pick it's so

strong that's probably their best play

but I don't think we need to hear the

her tape it's not going to add anything

but it could subtract something it could

reduce the chances you get the president

you want

uh joyy bear says that when Trump calls

kamla laughing laughing kamla that is

sexist that's not something you would

never make fun of a man's laugh would

you like yeah of course this is purely

sexist because making fun of how

somebody

laughs

honestly that only happens to women and

conservatives only make fun of women who

laugh wrong

have I ever given you my Tucker Carlson

laughing

impression I can't do the high pitch

everybody makes fun of Tucker's

laugh Tucker's laugh is one of the most

famous

memes in all of right leaning

world we love

Tucker no joy bayar has she could find

more ways to be wrong about more things

than anybody I've ever seen in my life

it's literally one of the most famous

things that people make fun of is that

Tucker has one of the most distinctive

laughs and all of

LOM so no it's not it's not uh

sexist anyway so the press conference

will be 5:30 today eastern

time um and basically all the major

Outlets news outlets that normally

support the president or against him in

other news Alex Soros the heir to the

Soros Fortune now in control of its

money has married Huma

abedine I'm just going to say it that do

you want me to beat around the bush or

do you want me to just say

it this is why it's good to be cancelled

I would never say what I'm going to say

next unless I'd been

cancelled if you spend one minute go

Googling Alex

Soros and

images he's very

gay all right let's just say you've

never seen a gayer guy hanging out in

Intimate poses with his

boyfriends he's not even slightly

straight he's the gayest gay guy you've

ever seen in your life now if you don't

believe me just Google his images

there are plenty of them it's it's

really observable and obvious now you

will not tell me here's what won't

happen I guarantee this won't happen

you're not going to go look at the

pictures yourself and then say well I

think you're misinterpreting this

Scott no you're not going to do

that there's no doubt from his personal

life that he's a gay man now I love I

love the lgbtq community I'm very PR gay

so I'm not saying anything bad about him

you know just just to clarify you know

it's 2024 you have to clarify in 2024 I

shouldn't have to

clarify that if I mention somebody's gay

it's not an insult can we just are we

past that yet can we be past that can it

just be a fact without without it being

some kind of you know assumed insult we

should be way past that uh cu the LGBT

community is probably one of the most

successful American communities uh one

of one of the ones I have the most

respect for honestly because you know

why nobody ever said

this we don't want to go to that gay

neighborhood because of all the crime

and

filth it's like one of the most

successful groups in America so I have

complete respect for that group now he's

obviously a member of the

group and he's marrying a woman

who's what 10 years older than

him which is what billionaires do all

the time don't they they marry people

who are 10 years older than

them I don't think I've ever seen it

frankly it's like that's like how

something happens zero times so your

pattern Rec recognition should be

kicking in at this point and your

pattern recognition should say something

like huh that looks a lot like somebody

who's getting married for political

reasons doesn't it what could that

political reason be well we believe that

George Soros whether you think he's evil

or not is a brilliant brilliant

tactician would you agree nobody's ever

called George Soros dumb I mean he just

keeps doing smart looking things that

you might not

like but he's certainly

effective would you say the same thing

about

Alex well I don't know I I've not seen

any evidence that he's a highly

qualified player it seems that they're

hiding him from

interviews because given his aized

influence on the world I mean really

really big he should be on interviews

every

day but they seem to be hiding him if

you can find an interview of him talking

in public you'll very quickly learn why

they're hiding him I don't think he's

good at it I don't think he's good at it

and I think think that when you see

Hillary Clinton's best friend and

Confidant marry him in a marriage that

looks suspicious at best you have to say

to yourself is there something else

going on

here now I don't

know but let me just

speculate it looks like Hillary is

making a play to control the Soros

Fortune after George Soros passes which

will happen pretty

soon because all that money or at least

control of it will go to Alex Alex will

be controlled by

Huma which gives Hillary functional

control of the Soros of

Fortune that's the play in my opinion

that's the play now let's take it to the

next level of conspiracy theory

what happens if Alex Soros dies in a

boating accident

tragically what if he falls off a

yacht and the Shark E him because that

could happen he's on a lot of Yachts

accidents happen people accidents happen

just the fact that he happens to be in

Killer's uh I mean Hillary's he's in

Hillary's orbit that doesn't mean

something bad's going to happen to him I

mean I know you think that but just

because killary I mean Hillary just

because Hillary would get functional

control of I don't know $30 billion

dollar that she could use to control the

world that doesn't mean she's going to

kill Alex and let haa take over the

money and presumably Clinton has some

influence over

Uma

so I think it's exactly what it looks

like I think Huma is going to um maybe

make George Soros happy before he dies

as in maybe Jor Soros doesn't know his

son is

gay and he might think you know what I

really need is heirs I want to make sure

I have an

heir so it could

be that Alex is making his father seem

to be getting an air but he'll die

before he has to see if there's an air

or

not so every bit of this looks

suspicious they they don't look like a

couple even a little bit honestly if you

see the

pictures I think it's exactly what it

looks like it looks like a Hillary

Clinton play to get control of soros's

Fortune because they don't think Alex

Soros is Dependable or smart

and they need to control it because it's

essential to their power base they can't

lose control of

that that's what I

think

um and uh let's see

uh um I'm quoted in the Gateway

pundit so uh here's what I said that

they quoted I said this on X when Biden

refuses to sign a bill preventing

non-citizens from voting which I think

is going to happen so the house passed a

bill that says non-citizens can't vote

um the Senate might pass it we don't

know but if they did it would get to

Biden and he said he would reject it so

here that's the premise so if Biden

refuses to sign a bill preventing nine

citizens from

voting uh that should become the only

issue in the

campaign because it also reveals

everything else it's like the key that

opens up everything uh it gives away the

whole

game and what I mean by that is it's an

unambiguous statement that Democrats

prefer their power over your happiness

there's no other way to explain it that

they they need a crooked election

because they need the power and they

don't care if it makes you unhappy and

your round comes worse they're just

putting themselves over you and what I

said is she you should ask Democrats to

defend it and you should ask Biden to

defend it like why would you say that

non-citizens could vote now I think

their reason is going to be

um somebody's telling me that Uma is 47

so she's not going to be making any

errors I

disagree she that they could make a they

could probably use a surrogate and make

a

baby so don't be surprised if you hear

that there's a surrogate baby on the

way

um

anyway so I would ask uh Biden to defend

it and I would ask the Democrats to

defend why they don't want to limit

voting to

Citizens and uh I don't think they can

defend it I think that what they're

going to say is well it's already

illegal so don't worry about it but

that's kind of missing the point well

The Daily Show had a little panel of six

black voters that they were asking about

uh the

presidency and uh so they got

they're New Yorkers too so they're black

New York voters a mix of men and women

and uh half of the group three and a six

said they would vote for

Trump the uh the moderator who worked

for the The Daily Show was also a black

gentleman and after three of the six of

them said they' vote for Trump uh he

said and I quote we're an even split I

didn't see that

coming I didn't see that coming

I did I would I would have guessed three

out of

six if you said how many randomly picked

are going to say Trump I would have said

about three ns6 that's you know two

ns6 maybe more often but three NS six I

think you could get

there and as Mike Ben warns and many of

you are seeing and I think Glenn

Greenwald is warning on this too uh the

Democrats can't release on this Russia

is to blame for everything thing do you

all understand why it's always

Russia yeah you have to know the history

of the

CIA so the CIA is the CIA because of the

Soviet Union when the Soviet Union fell

they needed a new enemy to justify their

actions and their budget so like well

Russia even though the entire point of

disintegrating the Soviet Union was that

Russia would basically becomes friends

with the United

States do you know why we're not friends

with Russia when everything they were

doing was for the intention of being our

friends and never being at war with

us it's because it wouldn't be good for

the cia's budget that's probably the

only reason yeah that's probably the

only reason now there was also the O the

energy stuff you know later blah blah

blah and Putin you know maybe

interfering in other countries where we

wanted to interfere before he interfered

so there's you certainly there's lots of

little

stuff but if we had already made friends

with them Putin probably would already

be working productively with us in these

other countries and if he wanted

something like a warm a warm

port and they were our

allies we would have said something like

why would we object to you having a warm

Port you're our

Ally we we don't object to France

putting a port anywhere do we they're

Ally so it seems to me that the reason

Russia Russia Russia is because the

Intel people work with the

Democrats and the Intel people need the

Democrats to tell you that Russia Russ

Russia so they can keep their budget so

I don't think that the the Russia is an

enemy is real I don't think it's based

on reality uh I think some reality comes

out of it because when you tell each

other you're enemies you don't work

together in other countries well so we

see that but it feels like a

manufactured problem

totally manufactured and it looks like

it's manufactured to support the budget

of her intelligence people and nothing

else it may be military

too that's what it looks

like

um Eric Adams says Sanctuary cities are

a big mistake wants them to go away of

course all right I've got a challenge

for you oh wait we'll do this first so

Joe Rogan was talking about uh Elon Musk

believing we live in a

simulation and he said something that

I've said a few few times he said if

you're Elon Musk of course you believe

it's a simulation people are letting you

drill tunnels under LA and shoot rockets

off into space and you make electric

cars solar roof panels I mean he's

literally living like some character in

a

movie now I've told you that right the

exact same thing if you were Elon Musk

and you saw what you could personally

accomplish you would have to believe

none of this is real because he lives

life like a like a video game he plays

video games so that model is in his head

you know closer to the front of his

head but I say the same thing now you

don't know everything about my life but

if if you just looked at the things you

know about how's that possibly real that

when I was six years old I said you know

I think I want to be a famous

cartoonist well the number of famous

cartoonists who happened since I was six

years old is like

three three or four and of s billion

people and I I'm one of the three or

four how's that

possible and then you know next thing I

know I'm predicting Trump and I'm

invited to the White House and here I am

how is any of this possible right and

that's just my professional life my

personal life is even weirder how is any

of it

possible so yes I believe we're in a

simulation and I think we're going to

find out in a year so that's my

prediction I think we're one one year

away from confirming that we live in a

simulation now when I say confirming I

don't mean that everybody will

agree I mean that the evidence will be

overwhelming and here's what it will

look like in one year we will create our

own simulation in which the characters

believe they have Consciousness Free

Will and they living their own lives

once we do that and we already have the

tech for that once we do it maybe in a

year the argument for us not being one

will just disappear because once we can

do it the argument was always that once

it can be done there'll be more than one

so after after somebody makes one of

them in a year in the real world in one

year there will be that simulation

somebody else is going to say hey that's

a good idea I'll make one too and at

that moment the number of simulated

realities will be confirmed to be twice

as me many as base reality if there is

if even one

exists now the argument that I've heard

against the simulation is stupid and it

goes like this P Scott you're just

pushing God back one more level I mean

you know something can't come from

nothing so therefore a God and then I

say is God something well yeah

where did he come

from

um something came from nothing or

something was always

there here's the answer to where

everything came

from everything was always

here that's it now the fact that your

brain Can't Wrap its head around that

doesn't make it wrong because you can't

wrap your head around any of physics but

you're not you don't need to solve the

problem of how anything came from

nothing because that's an absurd

assumption the correct assumption is

there was always something do you know

why because you can't make something out

of nothing it's obvious there was always

something you know even if you say the

the big bang was the

beginning no whatever it was that caused

the Big Bang had to exist so there was

always something even if it was packed

into you know one little singularity but

there was something so no you don't have

to solve the god or simulation problem

there was always something that's it

that's the whole solution there was

always

something all

right here is my last challenge to you I

want to see if you can prove me wrong um

I was curious how many of the

predictions made during the U um alore

era of the Inconvenient Truth when he

first started saying you were all doomed

from climate change how many predictions

were made either by him or other experts

at that time that have panned

out now that seems like the easiest

thing you could look up in the world

doesn't it the most important thing is

climate change so there's you know a

gazillion documents and science about

climate change the most important thing

we need to know about climate change is

are the predictions

correct right would you agree it's the

biggest problem if it's

true and the biggest issue within it is

can we predict it so that we know that

we're we're in

trouble so the most obvious thing that

should be easy to Google would be what

are the predictions and what's the

reality you can't find

it you cannot find

it good luck you can even take one thing

take just one thing thing are the storms

more severe or

less good luck you'll you'll find yes

you'll find no sometimes you'll find

confusing answers but you cannot answer

the question have the have the

predictions so far turned out to be true

now here's what you're going to say but

Scott I know the answer the the sea

level has not

risen that's not what the internet says

the internet says that the sea level has

has risen but not

everywhere for example in the Gulf of

Mexico they say the sea level has risen

as

predicted but maybe not on the other

side of

Florida so if you go to the internet I

swear to God this is true they'll tell

you that the sea level rose on the west

side of Florida but not the east

side which maybe is possible because the

one side is warmer than the other

but don't you think it rais a little bit

on the other

side yeah so here's my challenge to you

my challenge is this you cannot with any

credibility determine if the predictions

were right or wrong now do you think

that's an accident that the Internet

won't tell you that do you think that

nobody studied that no I'll bet it just

is gets erased as it's

published I guarantee you that somebody

did a good job of looking at the

predictions and a really good job of

comparing them to reality and you can't

find

it

try see try yourself I I I welcome the

challenge see if you can find the answer

to that question now the fact that you

can't find it what does that tell you

that's all you need to

know that is the dog that is so not

barking because if the predictions had

been largely

true not completely but even just

largely

true uh you would hear that every day

right if alore had been right about most

things but not everything it's all you

would hear it'd be in the news every day

look how right we were

I don't see it I see stuff like uh looks

like this one Island had a little

problem but the island next to it was

fine

or it we did get storms like a little

earlier this year but we don't really

see a signal that there's more or Worse

storms but some people would say there

are that that's the state of our

data don't know so we don't know if sea

levels going up or down we don't know if

storms are getting worse and then what

about the

ice there there there were there was a

prediction that the uh the ice would

melt and that the you know the North

Pole you'd be able to pass so is that a

a prediction from climate

change well the trouble is that was

predicted without climate change because

the the world is always warming or

cooling long term

so we already

knew that the ice was going to melt CU

we're in a warming

period which is better than being in a

CO cooling period so how much of the ice

melt is because it was going to happen

anyway

versus climate change well the the

argument would be but Scott there's an

acceleration so it it's it's much more

now it's accelerated yeah yeah there

might be some Baseline because we're at

a long-term warming period but you know

accelerated did it did it you think they

can measure that because I've seen

evidence that they measured it wrong do

I believe the evidence that they

measured it wrong no do I do I believe

the evidence that they measured it right

no because part of the argument is

you're measuring the wrong ice like

there are places where there's less of

it but in other places there's a lot

more and if you only looked at one place

you'd say well there's less less ice

there but if you looked at all the

places you'd find that some were more

and some were

less did you know that I'm not even sure

if it's true it's just something I

read so we can't even we can't even be

sure that

conclusively that we have more or less

ice I mean just think about that and

then what about the polar

bears the polar bears of course would be

um at risk if the ice melted but you

know what happened we came up with some

polar bear

conservation laws and polar bearers are

starting to come back what about the

uh what about the uh Great Barrier

Reef that there was going to be

bleaching of the Great Barrier Reef and

then when the uh you know the the coral

all dies that would cause some ripple

effect and you know the oceans would be

in bad shape

did that happen yeah it happened for

years the the Great Barrier Reef was

getting worse and worse and worse and

worse until about three years ago and

then It

reversed why why did it

reverse how could

it and the answer is well maybe we don't

know much about Great Barrier

reefs so we don't have conclusive

evidence that anything has ever happened

in climate

for 30 years probably no real evidence

there are claims but nothing

credible and that so it comes down to

temperature so they bring it down to but

we did tell you that as CO2 went up

which it did that temperature would go

up and sure enough temperature's up CO2

is up B Bing proved it to which I

say did it because the recent studies

show that you can't tell if the

temperature went up because the heat

Islands got closer to the thermometers

and you don't know how much that would

have affected it but you know it

affected

it right and do you think they could

have ever measured it anyway that's not

a thing humans can do we can't measure

the temperature of the earth that that

sort of the dilbur filter if you've

never worked in a big entity where you

tried to gather

data you wouldn't know that it never

works this is something I can't even

communicate you have to live it

sometimes you say to yourself well Scott

lots of times the data is good no it

isn't no it isn't no the data is never

good in the real

world the data is never good that's just

the quality of the world it doesn't not

apply to climate science climate science

isn't the first place that data became

good no it's just like everything else

it's a bunch of human beings and if they

can't measure it they lie that's what I

did used to be my job if I couldn't

measure something it was my job

explicitly I'm not making this up to lie

about it because we couldn't do things

without data and we had to show our

analysis because you needed to get

approved for things and the only way you

could do it is lying so I just changed

the assumptions and tweak things until

my boss was happy and then that was the

truth no there is no possibility that a

bunch of humans could measure the

temperature of the Earth with precision

and take it back 100 years that's

crazy yeah that's really

crazy so that concludes my prepared

comments for today thanks for joining I

know I went long again don't mean to go

long but it's just so much fun I just

want to keep doing it uh i g to say bye

to everybody um on YouTube and Rumble

and x and I'm going to talk to my

beloved people in locals only if this

works let's see if it works

today

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