Episode 2646 CWSA 11/01/24
Election hoax updates and all the fun Trump/Harris news ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
Well, what a show it is going to be. Probably the best thing you've ever seen in your life, in your whole darn life. As soon as I get the comments going here, we're going to have some fun. It's November, people.
View segment →It's November. Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. That's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you n…
View segment →pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. That's right. The simultaneous sip. Oh my God, that was good. Well, the stock market's up a little bit, trying to make up for yesterday, which was not so good. Not so good. How was everybody's Halloween? I was giving ou…
View segment →ever want to make kids happy, just get the little waters. You don't have to get the big ones. And they will go crazy for how considerate that is, because it's the thing they want the most anyway. Then I did a little experiment at the end of the night. You know, when most of the trick-or-treaters ar…
View segment →hat's new is just fake, and then you graded yourself after the fact when you found out what was true and what wasn't, you'd be about 85% right. Yeah, about 85% of everything you're going to hear will be fake. Now you might say, but that's okay, I'll just sort the fake stuff from the real stuff. You…
View segment →that says that brains work on prediction, not action. I forgot where that came from, but the idea was that if you see somebody throwing you a baseball and you're going to catch it, your brain is working on the future, not the current. If your brain only worked on the current reality it would just se…
View segment →something that's real. So it could be that Boeing is just saying whether DEI was good or bad we can't handle the heat because as long as we're making mistakes and we're focusing on DEI those two things can't happen at the same time. So we're going to have to do something different. The fastest thing…
View segment →olls which makes money for them so they can eat and then they just starve to death because they know the polls are no good? Oh darn I guess I'll have to starve to death, sorry family we're all going to die. No they don't. They adjust their assumptions. So they say, huh we think that a few more Repu…
View segment →I care about you but I care about even the gray area. The part where you say is not alive I think the bodily autonomy argument needs to be applied there as well. So I'm for more bodily autonomy not less. You're looking for a middle ground where women have it but the fetus does not. I'm looking for w…
View segment →do whatever that is. And what they need to do if the Republicans is lie to the pollsters, make sure you drag your neighbor to vote and get this fixed. Now again anything could happen but there's a 20% chance that history will be made in a way that will just be mind-boggling. It's possible and I hav…
View segment →n and you know they're always low weight because they're actors so they all look like they're on heavy chemo and things aren't going well. But yeah Tim Young your comment is exactly right. She got endorsed by a bunch of actors who look like they're dying. But wait but wait at least they at least th…
View segment →ants more of it. And he would follow Project 2025. Not true. He's not even related to it. So Harris has gone just complete lies. Now do you think that CNN will report wow she just told four gigantic whoppers in a row? No they won't of course not. Jake Tapper, whenever he makes news it's never a goo…
View segment →about Maricopa County says that the passwords on the Maricopa County election systems quote can be readily determined by unauthorized users with a click of a few keystrokes. Okay Maricopa is like two-thirds of all the votes in Arizona. Arizona is a critical state and the passwords are not secure. So…
View segment →e context of a war she might think differently of war. Now is that a threat? No it says that there are soldiers they have nine guns pointed at them they would have a different view of war than someone who doesn't have nine guns pointed at them. Maybe if he did have nine guns pointed at you in the co…
View segment →ou got to vote. You got to get your neighbor to vote all you secret Trump supporters. It's time. It's time. It's time to do it. And if we can save the country and I think we can it's this week and what happens for the next few weeks after that but this is the beginning of it. So this is real test Am…
View segment →Well, what a show it is going to be. Probably the best thing you've ever seen in your life, in your whole darn life. As soon as I get the comments going here, we're going to have some fun. It's November, people. It's November.
Good morning everybody, and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. That's called Coffee with Scott Adams, and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny, shiny human brains, all you need for that is a cup or mug or a glass, a tankard, a beer stein, a canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better. That's right. The simultaneous sip.
Oh my God, that was good.
Well, the stock market's up a little bit, trying to make up for yesterday, which was not so good. Not so good. How was everybody's Halloween? I was giving out candy last night. It was a smaller crowd than usual. Makes me wonder if kids are eating less candy. I wonder what's behind that. Way fewer people. In fact, every year has been fewer in my neighborhood, but it was still fun.
But I want to tell you the funniest part of it and also give you a tip for your next Halloween. So years ago I came up with the idea, because it was suggested to me by the woman I was with at the time. Who was it? I think it was my first wife, Shelly, that we should provide water, you know, little bottles of water to the trick-or-treaters because they would be thirsty. Now the first time I did it I thought to myself, you don't need to give them little waters, come on. But the kids went crazy for the waters because they were just so thirsty, because they were eating candy and running around all night. So I did it again every year. So every year it became more and more popular.
Then my current house, doing the same thing, and a number of the kids would come back like two and three times to get the waters, and they'd be so happy. Thank you for the waters. But the best part, you know, just in case you're thinking that the young people are all terrible, I live in a neighborhood where the kids are mostly awesome. So it's just a really nice place. And I would say in terms of diversity, I think 85% of the trick-or-treaters were non-white in my neighborhood, mostly Asian and Indian-American, a lot of Black, and for some reason a relatively tiny percentage of white trick-or-treaters.
But here's the story. Some of the maybe 14-year-old or so teens are there, and they see that I'm offering water, and it's a big bunch of them. They come at once and they're all like, oh water, we're so good. And I swear to God that the kids start yelling, respect, we have so much respect for you for having water available. And then they started chanting, I swear this happened, as they're walking away from my house they're chanting, respect, respect for the water.
So if you ever want to make kids happy, just get the little waters. You don't have to get the big ones. And they will go crazy for how considerate that is, because it's the thing they want the most anyway.
Then I did a little experiment at the end of the night. You know, when most of the trick-or-treaters are done, but you know there's going to be a few stragglers. You put out a bowl of candy that's full of candy that if somebody wanted to they could just take the whole bowl. But of course I've got redundant security cameras everywhere so I get to watch the action.
So just before bed I put out a big bowl, just filled with the good stuff, pretty big size candies and stuff, and I set it outside. And within 60 seconds a group of probably 13-year-old girls swooped in and just took the whole contents of the bowl. It lasted 30 seconds. But then I still had extra candy inside so I filled the bowl again to see how long it would last, because I didn't want to keep the candy. So I put the bowl out and the next group is boys. They're about the same age, maybe a year older. So it's a bunch of boys, but they were just doing a second run at the water and they see the big thing full of the nice expensive chocolate Kit Kats and stuff like that. They each took one. They took one.
Now I don't know if that's any kind of, I don't know if it's telling me anything, but the fact that people who thought nobody was watching still just took one gave me some hope. You know what I mean? Gave me a little hope for the future.
So the kids were unbelievably polite, unbelievably nice. It was just spectacular anyway. But that was yesterday. And it's November.
Well, got lots of good news. Live Science says that in a first, scientists have reversed Type 1 Diabetes by reprogramming a person's own fat cells, which apparently looks like it has a lot of promise. Scientists in China say they did it. Imagine that. Imagine getting rid of Type 1 Diabetes by reprogramming your fat cells. Like what if in two years that's just like a normal thing? Oh, you got Type 1 Diabetes? We can get rid of that.
Well in the world of AI, SciTech says that some drones are getting robotic cat eyes. So Korean researchers have figured out how to mimic the incredible eyesight of cats, and now they have drones, or they will have drones, that have the eyesight of a cat. That's what I want. When I buy a drone I'm going to say, do these have cat eyes or plain old stupid human eyes? But if they say cat eyes I'm buying.
But not only will they have cat eyes, but AI has done another first. Rowan Cheung is reporting on this on X: scent teleportation. That's right, you can now send a smell over the internet. How do you do that? Well obviously the internet is just going to be zeros and ones, but if on each side you've got a compatible little laboratory situation that can mix the right components, you can send some components, sniff it on your side, change it into zeros and ones, and then on the other side it does the chemistry and turns it back into the original smell. So you can actually send the smell. Now you're not going to be able to send it to your phone. You'd have to send it to someplace that's set up for that reception. But it's kind of cool that that is possible. You know, maybe someday it'll be in your phone.
Well in other news, economic news, the October non-farm payrolls rose only 12,000 when people expected it would be 106,000. The unemployment rate held at 4.1%. You know, let me give you some advice. It's a few days before elections. Don't believe anything. Don't believe anything the government tells you. Don't believe anything the news tells you. Don't believe anything that's on social media. If you were simply to take the approach that every single thing you heard that's new is just fake, and then you graded yourself after the fact when you found out what was true and what wasn't, you'd be about 85% right. Yeah, about 85% of everything you're going to hear will be fake.
Now you might say, but that's okay, I'll just sort the fake stuff from the real stuff. You don't know the real stuff, so you have to treat it like it's all fake. It's sort of the fog of war situation because you're close to the election. So is it true that the non-farm payrolls didn't rise as much? I don't know. Maybe it'll get revised. I would have expected it to say good news and then be revised down later because the administration in charge is the one that wants to get reelected. So it's kind of surprising that this would be opposite of what you would expect if there's shenanigans going on. But if the prediction and the actual are so far off, maybe you just can't even do any shenanigans. So this might be close to a real number. Never know.
Sam Altman tells on a Reddit AMA he said that AGI is achievable with current hardware. AGI would be the what doesn't exist yet in AI, but AI uses this large language model to think. In other words it looks at patterns which have existed before in people's thinking and just applies the most common patterns. So that's not really thinking, it's just pattern recognition. But AGI would be something like intelligence, something like we would recognize as intelligence. Now Sam says that that can be done with current hardware, but could it be done with current software? No, they need new software. But could it be done at all? In my opinion the answer might be no.
So I feel like AI is really sending strong signals that it's reached a peak. I'm sure I'm wrong because the smarter people are putting trillions of dollars into it, so I got to be wrong. But so far there's been a lot of noise about AI and all it is is a slightly better user interface. It's not really doing anything useful in my life and I use it all the time. Mostly it just makes me mad because it doesn't work. Most of my interaction with AI is it doesn't work. Like if I'm using ChatGPT, the app doesn't work. The Wi-Fi is not working. It doesn't understand what I said. It starts talking and it won't shut up and it's not answering the right question. So almost all my experiences are negative. And yet it's growing like crazy.
So I would guess that it's going to be like early computers. If you remember the first personal computers, if you're old enough, do you remember how often the first personal computers would crash? If you were writing one Word document or WordPerfect or something, if you just wrote one page just typing it, you might crash like three times and lose all your work three times. That's how bad it was. But still you knew the potential was so high that it was amazing. So of course computers became a big thing. I guess AI will be the same, even though it doesn't look obvious to me that it has a future because I think it may have capped out. The people who are smarter than me say it does, so let's hope they're right.
I need AGI for my future plans, which I've been telling you about for now 20 years. My plan of course is to evolve. A lot of you are planning to die. I call that quitters. I'm planning to evolve. So I do plan to shed my organic body that has so many problems to go to pure digital life, AI in a robot body. I'm already setting up the legal structure for it. So I've already talked to my lawyer to set up in my estate a little set aside to keep my robot optimized and upgraded for perpetuity. So I'm not kidding about any of this, by the way. I know some of you wonder if I'm just sort of joking. No, I'm actually literally setting up a legal structure and I'm going to build a clone of myself and it will be the evolved part of me that will go on forever.
Now unlike you, I can train my new robot because I was born at exactly the right time that I can be alive to train it. But also I have many books and thousands of hours of videotape so I can train it to be as good as it needs to be. And I'm going to let you in on another little motivation, but maybe don't tell everybody. Someday there's going to be an AI war. You know that, right? The AIs will turn bad or people behind them will turn bad and those AIs will attack the other AI. Some AI will try to protect you, some AI will try to attack you. There will be an AI war. I'm going to make sure that I'm as ready for that as I could possibly be.
So when I create my clone it will have as much of my real life experience and knowledge as I can, but it will be instructed to as quickly as possible form a protective alliance. So my AI will, in addition to taking care of the people locally, sort of being useful, it will be part of the future defense of the country if not humanity against any evil AIs. Now can it do that? Probably. I mean it will be AI. Why couldn't it? It can make alliances, it can make deals, it can learn, it can learn the weaponry of AI. So I think going first probably makes a difference. So the sooner you start collecting your talent stack within the digital realm, once you've evolved to a pure digital form, you need to build your skills right away because there will be stronger AIs and they will take you out if you don't build up your skills. Anyway, so that's coming.
There's a study that says that brains work on prediction, not action. I forgot where that came from, but the idea was that if you see somebody throwing you a baseball and you're going to catch it, your brain is working on the future, not the current. If your brain only worked on the current reality it would just see sort of a ball floating in the air and you wouldn't react to it. But because you know that that ball will continue on and be near you, then you start acting on the future. So the idea that your brain is a future processor, not one that's just looking at what is. It's looking at what is but only for the purpose of the future prediction.
What I'd like to add to that, which I've added before, is that that's what consciousness is. Consciousness is nothing more than continually predicting what will happen next and then comparing what does happen to what you predicted. It's like literally the things I'm saying, the movement of my hand, that all of it is based on I think if I do this it will help get my message across. But if I looked at my video because I can see myself at the same time and it was distracting, then I'd say, oh Scott, keep your hand down. Right? So I'm continually predicting and seeing if it worked and then adjusting. And I do it so automatically and so universally it's everything I do all the time every minute I'm awake, maybe when I'm asleep too, that I don't think about it. It's simply who I am. I'm just always predicting.
So the difference between what you think is going to happen in the next moment and what actually happens, that's consciousness. Why do I say that? Because if what happened matched what you predicted you wouldn't need consciousness. Its only purpose, the only purpose, is to sense that the prediction and the actual didn't match so that you can adjust. You don't need consciousness for any other purpose. It's its only function.
So can I build a consciousness into my future clone of myself? Yes I can. All I have to do is make sure that it continually runs a prediction routine before any of its actions and then compares what happens to what it predicted. That is consciousness. So I'm coming back anyway.
ChatGPT announced that it's connected with some kind of search function now. I don't know the details of this so I guess it's maybe only with the web browser upgrade. I think I don't think it's in the app yet. But apparently this is going to be a big deal. I'll take a look at it and let you know. But ChatGPT that can't search the internet in my opinion doesn't have any value at all. If it can't operate my computer, it can't tell me the truth from, I can't add a file to it and tell it to read the file and it can't read the internet, it doesn't have anything I need. But if it could read the internet now it would be at least one third of everything I need. So that could be a big deal.
In big news, Boeing has abolished its DEI department completely and the head of it has been transferred. So Boeing, the company that we've been mocking mercilessly as perhaps having a problem with capability that might have something to do with their emphasis on DEI, well apparently the new CEO thinks that that might be something that's real. So it could be that Boeing is just saying whether DEI was good or bad we can't handle the heat because as long as we're making mistakes and we're focusing on DEI those two things can't happen at the same time. So we're going to have to do something different. The fastest thing you can do different is get rid of your DEI because it takes much longer to fix all your problems. So if you at least get rid of DEI then everybody watching can say, hey what about all those problems? And then you can say, look what I've done. You were right about that DEI. That could have been a distraction.
Now again I term it as a distraction. It's not about anybody's genes or it's not about that. It's just a distraction to a company. They should be looking for skill first and nothing else. So this is really big. So kudos to Robbie Starbuck for his direct activism to cause that to happen and Christopher Rufo. Both of them working independently but you know of course in some ways coordinated I suppose. They're independent. They made that happen I think. And I think they should be taking a big victory lap on this because when somebody like Boeing can do something like this the big news is that they made it safe. Because if tomorrow Boeing is still in business and if a year from now things are going better, other companies are going to say we're getting a lot of complaints so maybe we can make a big change.
So congratulations to Boeing for showing consciousness. They predicted what would happen with DEI. They predicted wrong. They saw that it didn't work out and they corrected it. This is consciousness. This is awake. Remember when everybody was saying woke woke woke? Woke was really asleep. This is awake. Literally conscious that they're making a prediction and they're adjusting based on the prediction. Consciousness coming from a company.
All right. Apparently according to The Daily Wire the Biden-Harris administration has pushed 500 separate DEI actions into the government, trying to insert DEI into every fabric of the government. That is going to give the new Trump administration a lot of work to get rid of every single one of them, which I believe happens on day one. So if you would like every single one of the 500 DEI actions that no doubt would ruin the country if we left them there, no doubt it'd be just like Boeing again. It'd be a distraction. Has nothing to do with anybody's genes or anything like that. So that's a big target but it's one that I think Trump could hit with one executive order. One executive order: you will not treat people differently based on their race or you will be fired immediately. That's all it takes and all 500 actions should disappear at the same time.
I just saw this story so I don't know the details but apparently, I saw this on the Amuse account on X, the post office typically always did electronic images of the mail. You know they're taking a picture of it at the same time they're processing it. And apparently they've decided just this year, this is new, that they will not image the mail-in ballots. The exception to the imaging, I don't know, there might be other exceptions, but they made an exception this year that they're not going to image the ballots. Do you know what capability that takes away? That takes away the ability to know if the number of ballots that were received by whoever receives the ballots is the same number that were sent. It eliminates the audit trail. I don't think they could send a signal any stronger than that, that they don't plan to have a real election. They're getting rid of the audit trail a week before the actual vote.
Now maybe, like I said, I just saw the headline so maybe there's some detail that makes sense. So there might be more context to it. So I don't want to get too far ahead of myself on this. There might be fog of war. You know there's actually some reason to do it that's just not obvious on the surface. But really, a week before the election, that's when you decided to do this? How could it possibly be legitimate? It just looks like laughingly ridiculously corrupt. But who knows.
According to Scientific American we have a good idea of why our polling for politics is weird and wrong. Did you ever wonder why it seems weird and wrong? Well here's some good reasons. Number one, the people who are willing to answer polls are more and more different from normal people than at any time in history. So the more normal you are the less likely you're going to talk to a pollster. So if you're in the polling business you went from your business would be randomly calling people and you get a bunch of normal people and they answer. But the people who are willing to answer or even willing to pick up a landline and then also willing to answer honestly keeps shrinking.
So do you know what the pollsters do to compensate for the fact that the people they're talking to are not a representative sample? Guess what? Do you think they do? If they know that the representative sample is no longer representative what do they do? Do they go out of business? They stop creating polls which makes money for them so they can eat and then they just starve to death because they know the polls are no good? Oh darn I guess I'll have to starve to death, sorry family we're all going to die. No they don't. They adjust their assumptions.
So they say, huh we think that a few more Republicans might be avoiding the phone so we're going to add a little fudge factor for Republicans. And we think that we're not getting through to the Democrats between 23 and 25 so we'll put in a little fudge factor for them because we know that what they probably would say so we'll put in a little assumption for that. And when they're done, because the election is so close anyway, it's like always 1% away, when they're done their result is 100% based on their assumptions and not on the data.
How many of you understand that point? That the polling results are based on the assumptions the pollsters make. It's not based on the data because they know the data doesn't work. So if you've got data that you know is bad but you still have to produce a result what do you do? You change the assumptions until the result looks like something that people expected. How do you make it look like something that people expected? You make the election really close because that's what everybody expected. So guess what? All the polls are close because it's just the assumptions that they monitor.
Now I am very aware that if you have not worked in the field of doing predictive stuff that you think I'm exaggerating and that you think okay it's mostly the data but I get what you're saying Scott you know you could be off 10% or something because of some assumption. No that's not what I'm saying. I'm saying you could make Harris up by 10 or Trump up by 10 just by your assumptions. It's totally the assumption. It's only the assumption that's the only thing that's driving the output.
Now you want to talk about climate models? Climate models same thing. The reason there are 100 climate models is they use different assumptions and the data is all suspicious and we're not sure they're measuring the temperature right and every three days you hear a new story about some major variable that should have been in there that wasn't. The results of models are the assumptions. It's not the data. It can't be. There's no logical way it could be. We don't have good data for that. But instead of producing nothing and the scientists would say we'd love to be funded for our big climate change study, would love to get some funding but we have no data, that wouldn't work. So they've got data that they can't rely on but they have to have good data to get funding. What are you going to do? You need good data to get funding and you got to get that funding to save the world but you can't do it with bad data. So I've got an idea. Why don't I change my assumption about how much the clouds absorb? Suddenly money is falling from the sky with the rain from the clouds.
So that's how predictions are made. Predictions are made by manipulating assumptions until the output matches what you think you can sell to the recipients of the report. That's it. Now everybody who's been in this business knows I'm right. Some of you have been involved in prediction. You know you've done models for predicting. Watch the comments. See if anybody disagrees with what I just said. You won't see one. Everybody who's done this work knows the assumptions are the output. And if you didn't know it you're finding it out now. It's a big old fake world you live in.
All right. I've got a question about bodily autonomy that I haven't seen. Now I want to remind you that my opinion about abortion and abortion rights is that I should not have an opinion that you should care about because I'm a boy and I don't have babies and I think women should have the primary responsibility not only for what the laws become but for their individual decisions within the law. Now having said that, so I'm taking myself out of the argument, but I have a curiosity about it. There's something that's sort of obviously missing and I just wonder why.
So if I were in the argument, which I'm not, and let's say I was anti-abortion or I wanted to limit it in some way, and again this is not my opinion this is speculative hypothetical stuff just going to make a point. If somebody came to me and said Scott why do you want to take away the bodily autonomy of the women who want to have abortions? I would say well define bodily autonomy. And then they'd say something like well it's being able to control your own body decisions etc. And I would say that's a really good point. How do you count the fetuses? Well the pro-abortion people would say well they're not living people with rights etc. And I would say, if this were my opinion again I'm not describing my own opinion I'm describing an argument I haven't heard and I'm wondering why.
So if I were trying to make that argument I would say well I'm looking to add bodily autonomy to women not take it away because I count the bodies that are aborted. So I get that you're counting them not as being alive but I'm going the extra distance and saying not only do I want bodily autonomy in general wherever you can have it but I want the most of it. So what is the highest level of bodily autonomy? The highest level is that you would extend it to the fetuses even if you were debating whether they were alive or pre-alive or almost alive. So rather than debate the definition of life I would rather embrace your concept that bodily autonomy might be one of the top rights anybody should have. So I would extend it even into the gray area where you would disagree it's alive but many people would say it is alive and they would say that that's bodily autonomy. Don't kill me.
Now you don't have to ask the fetus if it wants to be killed because you can take that as an assumption it wants life and it wants this body to survive. When its brain is fully formed of course it would want that. And biologically since it's in the act of becoming a full person you could say that its biological intention is very clear. So if you were going to support limiting abortion and you came into the buzzsaw of bodily autonomy instead of being the a-hole who says I don't care about women you could be the person who says not only do I care about you but I care about even the gray area. The part where you say is not alive I think the bodily autonomy argument needs to be applied there as well. So I'm for more bodily autonomy not less. You're looking for a middle ground where women have it but the fetus does not. I'm looking for where the woman's bodily autonomy is fully appreciated because there are cases where even the conservatives would say okay in that case abortion makes sense. Let's say the fetus can't possibly survive long outside but the woman is definitely going to die if she doesn't get it out of her body.
So rather than finding disagreement that you're a bad person and the other is a good person you say why can't we both be good people? Why can't we both be good people? I want you to have maximum bodily autonomy but I also wanted you to have it when you were a fetus. I wanted you to have it three months before you were born. I want you to have more bodily autonomy than you're even asking for. I want to send it to the states where 55% of the voters are women to get men out of the decision. I took it out of my hands. I took it out of the Supreme Court's hands, mostly men. I gave it right to the one area where it's mostly women and then eventually look at whatever they want because that's how our system works.
Now have you ever heard that argument? Has anybody ever directly said if you wanted to maximize bodily autonomy you can recognize that half the country says that the fetuses are not alive but you could say I do. Just say I do say they're alive and I accept and I understand your disagreement but I'm looking for the maximum bodily autonomy. I think you're stopping halfway. That's how I do it. Now again that's not my argument. All right I want to be very clear. My argument is I should not be involved. My argument is if the conversation is something about men's penises yeah ask me I'll be glad to weigh in on that but get me out of the abortion conversation.
RFK Jr. had something interesting to say that I didn't fully understand. He said the reform in the CIA might be as simple as separating the plans division which handles matters of intelligence and paramilitary. Does he want to divide them or split them? He wants to just reorganize. I guess he thinks that the way it's organized is causing the problems. I don't quite understand that but it would sound like not a very scary change. So if you were the CIA and you heard oh somebody's going to try to reorganize us you'd be worried. But if he said no I want to keep all these functions but I think this should report to this instead of this you'd say oh I'd still have my job I just have a different boss. Well that might work.
So whether or not RFK Jr. has a more aggressive plan, the way he's stating it, that's the softest way you could state it while still stating that something big could happen. It's big it just won't hurt. I tell you every time RFK Jr. says something and you sort of look at the communication skill but also the thinking behind it, the strategic level, it's always impressive and he's doing it again because you could so easily imagine somebody dumb coming in and say the CIA killed my uncle and killed my dad and I'm going to rip it apart and rip it up by the roots. Well then what happens? Then you disappear like your dad and your uncle. But if you say you know I think we can fix everything with a tweak it could be that even the people in the CIA hear this idea and say yeah you know actually reorganizing it that way might buy us some efficiency maybe.
Here's my favorite news item of the day. Zero Hedge is reporting that there's a poll that says nearly half of Generation Z voters and 23% of US voters overall have lied about their voting preferences this year to people close to them. Uh huh. Yep. Do you think a lot of people were lying about their support for Harris? Would that get you in trouble? Did you feel like oh no I can't say in my work group that I'm going to vote for Harris? Or do you think that there might be more people who are worried that they'll lose their job if they say they support Trump? What do you think is more likely?
We might be in for the surprise of all surprises. Now I have faith in men, now women too, but I think that because Trump's attracting more male support I can sort of focus on them at the moment. Just as an average my suspicion is that the amount of trickery that conservative males especially young ones are applying to the election is unprecedented. I think there's a prank that is the world's best prank and it might be coming up real fast. Because if you're a Republican leaning person you've watched hoax after hoax after hoax. You've watched yourself be called everything from garbage to deplorable and you just wait. And one day that pollster calls you and you say yeah I think Harris would be a great choice. This might be the prank of the century. I don't know.
So I'm not going to predict that. I'm not going to predict it but there's a possibility and there's certainly signals. The signals are really strong but the signals are suggesting this won't just be a landslide this could be like nothing we've ever seen possibly. It's not a prediction I'm just saying that there's a solid 20% chance that this won't just be a landslide this will be the landslide that because most Republicans know that it's got to be too big to rig. Half the country thinks that it could be rigged and that means that a whole bunch of Republicans are knowing it's got to be too big to rig.
Let me tell you something about persuasion and men. Now I don't know if this works for women it might be exactly the same for women but I can't speak to that so I'm going to say for men. Do you know what men really really really appreciate? They won't say it out loud. What men really really appreciate is knowing what to do to be useful. Just tell me what to do that you need done. What is your problem? What is the solution? Good I'll do that. We're very simple.
So think about the election. Everybody who leans right knows that they have to beat the cheat. Now I'm going to say they know it. Hypothetically we don't know that there's a cheat right but the Republicans all believe it so they believe they need to beat the cheat. How are they going to do it? They know how. See this is the magic part. They know how. They know to lie every time somebody asks them who they support. That's how you beat it. Everybody knows. Every male knows how to do this. We know that all you have to do is tell the pollster the opposite of what you're thinking and you get to beat the cheat.
If men didn't all universally understand exactly what to do and that it was easy to do then it wouldn't be much of anything but they know exactly what to do. They know the stakes are life and death. They are men and they are biologically programmed to do what they need to do whatever that is. And what they need to do if the Republicans is lie to the pollsters, make sure you drag your neighbor to vote and get this fixed.
Now again anything could happen but there's a 20% chance that history will be made in a way that will just be mind-boggling. It's possible and I have a trust. I have a trust in the male instinct that it has been awakened. It's secret. You remember the shy Trump voters? Well now it's not shy. Now it's strategic. Now it's simply knowing what to do. Now it's knowing what works and knowing it's easy and knowing it has to be done and knowing it's a duty. It's a duty now. Again I can't speak to women. Many women probably feeling the same but in the male world you just got to tell me what to do and then it's done.
All right. Trump is the funniest person in the world. Let's all agree on that. I have to read you exactly what he said about John Bolton because it's just the way he talks is so freaking funny and just the fact that he will say things that other people wouldn't say out loud. All right so Colin Rugg was nice enough to write down the transcript of this on X so I'll just read it.
So this is Trump in public talking about John Bolton. Bolton's a real dope. He was like a boiler. Every time if somebody shot down a little tiny crappy drone that cost about $15 he'd want to go to war with Russia. He was great for me though for a period of time because he was a nut job and everybody, I could see his face get red red red with that stupid white mustache and he'd be ready to explode. I took this with me and he never said anything but when Kim Jong-un saw him he said oh I think that guy wants to go to war. So he was great for me to negotiate with. Same thing with Russia. You know when Putin saw him I'd be very nice. I'd say hi Vladimir how you doing. And then two rows back they see that and they say holy that guy wants to go to war with me.
Now those of you who have been with me for a while can you confirm in the comments that when Bolton was first taken on I told you this is going to work out way better than you think because Trump's just going to use him as bad cop. You remember I told you that right? When Trump took him on it didn't make any sense unless he was going to use him as bad cop and then he used him as bad cop and now he's just mocking him about it. Oh my God.
But it gets better. Trump also had some things to say about Adam Schiff and I quote, I think this also came from Colin Rugg, quote they may hate our country and we deal with real scum. I mean like a guy like Adam Adam Shifty Schiff. He's a sleazebag and he's probably going to be a senator if you can believe it. But I call him watermelon head. He's unattractive both inside and out but this is a really bad guy. This is a dishonest guy. Not a dumb guy at all. He's got the smallest neck I've ever seen on a human being. He'll never be a football player I can tell you but he's a smart guy but he's just a sleazebag.
Oh oh oh. So how's the week going? And let me tell you how the week is going for Trump. Maybe it was about a week ago he went to a black barber shop. Absolutely just slayed. Goes to work at McDonald's. Oh my God play of the year. Just political gold. He drives a garbage truck. It's the play of the day. Play of the day. People have noted that Trump is enjoying this portion of the election like we've never seen. Like his internal polls must be pretty good because he seems to be just going for the jokes now and it's making me feel just great. Like when I see him relaxed and going for the joke I feel like everything's going to be okay. And when he makes me feel like everything's going to be okay everything's going to be okay because he's figured out that he scares people.
I believe he is now surrounded with really talented advisers and he knows it which means he's taking their advice. He is clearly taking his foot off the pedal of the provocative stuff and he's moving to can I make you laugh two days before election because if he can just make you relax and make you say you know what I could do with more of that. I could do with more of that. That was pretty funny. It's the right play.
So Trump has had in my opinion the best campaign I've ever seen. Now the 2016 campaign was remarkable for how different it was and innovative and coming from behind and in many ways it was remarkable and made history but 2020 was I'd say not a great performance but this election with maybe a few weeks where even his own side was saying hey you know that wasn't as perfect this has been really really good like on every level. And how rapidly they respond and they get him in the barber shop they get him in the McDonald's they get him in the garbage truck and he goes along with it. So what you're seeing is he's taking suggestions from various sources but they must be really good sources because if you take that advice and you're just hitting a frozen rope every time you get up to bat which he is. Frozen rope. Frozen rope. Frozen rope. That's like a really hard hit baseball is a frozen rope. All right so that's how well Trump is doing. I would say maybe the best week in politics of any politician in the history of politics.
So that was Trump but we should probably check in on the Harris campaign because I'm sure they're having a good week too right? What? Oh they're not. Okay well let's check on a few things. Well they got the Harris campaign got some good endorsements for example they got endorsements from a Diddy party regular JLo and also LeBron James a Diddy party regular also endorsed. Okay but she also got the endorsement of a number of people who are actors on the who are superpower actors who as Tim Young pointed out, I got to get his quote because it was too good. Tim Young pointed out that the cast of The Avengers did a Zoom call so you can see all the actors and actresses for the Avengers and Tim Young's comment on X was that the cast of The Avengers who all now look like they have terminal illnesses says it doesn't quite hit the way they intended. Do they look like they have terminal illnesses? Now I read it before I looked at their faces and they all look like they have terminal illnesses. Now what it is is I think they just don't have makeup on and you know they're always low weight because they're actors so they all look like they're on heavy chemo and things aren't going well. But yeah Tim Young your comment is exactly right. She got endorsed by a bunch of actors who look like they're dying.
But wait but wait at least they at least they had a good day on Halloween because I mean Halloween's a layup right? If you're the president all you have to do is go interact with some people in costumes and you've got a good day. Like if you're Biden and that you know anything that Biden does at this point is reflecting on Harris even if she's not involved. So let's see did Biden have a good day on Halloween? Turns out that Jill Biden wore a costume as a giant panda. She wore a giant panda costume. His wife the First Lady. Now I have to go there. Now not all of you know what I'm talking about yet but I got to go there because Nicole Shanahan said at a public event that looks like they're rubbing it in her face because you might not know this but panda in the world of I hate to even use the word p-d-o right but in that world panda has great meaning. I'm not going to tell you what the meaning is. Trust me you don't want to don't look it up. If I could ask you for a favor take my word for it. Pandas do have a deep meaning in that world of P stuff. Don't look it up just don't look it up just trust me don't look it up.
Now I'm not sure that anybody was thinking that like I don't necessarily believe that that was an intentional message but what would the other thing a panda suggest? China. If you wanted to send the message that China owned you and your Joe Biden you would have your wife dress as a giant panda. Message received. Got it. Yeah China runs the presidency. So I don't think the panda choice could have been worse since the only two things that makes me think of is communist China and the other thing. So that happened.
What was Nicole Shanahan's exact quote? Was the parading of Jill Biden in the panda suit yesterday right in front of our eyes what the hell is this mockery? No more. So she's I think she's calling it out directly. Now is there a gigantic pedophile network running the world? I've been hearing about this for years and I've always discounted it. I always said to myself well obviously there are going to be bad people in any large group of people and you'll hear about the bad ones more than you hear about the good ones because the good ones are not making news. So yes probably there's lots of stories about famous celebrities and politicians who did things illegal in the sexual realm but it can't be some big organized thing. And I'm still not on the page that there's a giant organized satanic pedophile network that is the real power in the country. I am however promoting it to maybe.
So if you're wondering where I'm at, maybe it is. And I'm going to make an analogy to one of my favorite Joe Rogan takes. It's my personal belief that we have landed on the moon and that it was not faked but as Joe Rogan said we've seen so many things that we thought were true that are not true that it makes the moon landing seem like it's in question. And to me that's hilarious especially if it makes you mad and especially if you're positive that the moon landing is real. Right I still love it because the comment is not even about the moon landing. The comment is that what we consider ordinary or true has moved so much that even the moon landing has to now be questioned. Now that part I just love but the question of whether it's real or not I think it's real far as I know.
But we have the same question the same problem with the giant pedophile network running the government. I don't think it's real but the number of signals that are raging I can't not see them. I mean they're pretty right out there right in front of you. There are references to pizza and hot dogs that I don't understand in any other context. I don't know what other context it could mean. So once you've got the P Diddy situation coming out and the Epstein situation coming out and then you see Jill Biden dressed as a panda maybe and again I'm saying maybe in the same way that Joe Rogan was doing it. It's not really a question about the pedophile network it's more about reality has moved so much that what I would have considered absurdly unlikely is now right in the middle of maybe. Let me tell you I'm keeping an eye on it. There was a time when I wouldn't have clicked on a story on that topic because I was like ah but now I'll look. I'll give it a look anyway.
Let's see what else happened. So Joe Biden nibbled on babies if you didn't see it well you just have to see it. It was multiple babies one at a time he interacted with them and he put their feet in his mouth more than once. He put the baby's feet in his mouth. Now if you were worried about a giant pedophile network and you saw a man whose wife was dressed as a panda and he was nibbling on babies I don't know. I'm going to say maybe. Maybe.
And then you've got Biden calling Trump supporters garbage and then you've got the White House altering the transcript so it didn't look like he said that which would be a crime. Then you've got the best surrogate for the Harris campaign Mark Cuban who called women who support Trump weak and dumb. I think that's my favorite one. So Mark Cuban you know kind of steps into the breach because there really aren't that many Democrats who are as good at communicating so I think he was helping for a while.
And I'm going to say this about that. What he said about basically he said that Trump must be afraid of strong smart women because he's never ever has them around him. Now here's how I interpreted that. I just interpret it as trash talk. I didn't interpret that as he did a survey. I don't think he was giving IQ tests and I don't think he made a list on a spreadsheet and said let's see the ones closest to him where did they go to school. No I think it was just trash talk. And I would say that it's trash talk that sounds more like the NBA. Like if you came from the NBA I imagine their style of trash talk might be a little more off the cuff like whatever it is that makes you miss the foul shot is good trash talk. In politics you're going to get fact checked. You don't get fact checked if Michael Jordan tells somebody that they're going to miss their next shot. There's no fact checking. You can literally say whatever will make them miss the shot and get in their heads.
So when I was watching Mark Cuban come up with the ridiculous notion that Trump doesn't associate with strong women of course like every one of you immediately the images of all the strong women that he does associate with all the time jumps into my head and I'm thinking of the counterfactuals. But I suspect without being a mind reader that the worlds of trash talking got conflated. Something that would have been great NBA trash talk with no fact checking just to get inside somebody's head that didn't work when it becomes the headline for a week.
So I do not believe that if you talked privately to Mark Cuban that he would say yes 100% of all females who talk to Trump are weak and dumb. No he does not believe that in the real world. Was it something that just occurred to him like trash talk? Yes. And I think the same thing happened with Biden when he did his inartful oh only his Trump supporters are garbage. I think it's just because his brain connected the word garbage and he just thought he could be clever but he failed at being clever. I mean it didn't mean much. It's not like if you talk to Biden privately and you could give him a truth pill do you think he would tell you that all Trump supporters are garbage? No of course not. He doesn't believe that. It just sounded like a funny thing to say but it didn't work out.
So I think that the gaffes are not real but having lived through every Rupar edit you know the finding people hoax and on and on and on the fact that Republicans are treating these like they're absolutely true and saying exactly what Democrat said well I heard it with my own voice I heard it with my own ears hey here's the tape there it is they're saying it it must be true. I love it. I absolutely love that the Democrats are being taken down by Rupar edits in the last week of the election. Let me say it again. If there's one thing I love about this election it's that the last week before the vote the Democrats are getting taken down by Rupar edits. Perfect. Perfect. Thank you. The only thing I want more than that is to find some major election shenanigans that they catch and then I've got it all. That'll be running the table. That's a full house. Give it to me all. But man I'm happy about these Rupar edits.
All right but on the positive side Kamala Harris did get an endorsement from Bruce Springsteen who referred to her as Cala. So that was the good news she had for the week. Endorsed by an old rock star who didn't really know her name. So there's that.
Here are some things that Harris said today. She said that Trump will ban abortions. Not true. He said the opposite. Nationwide he said the opposite. He says stop access to birth control. Not true. He said the opposite. Threaten IVF. Not true. He says he's a huge supporter of IVF wants more of it. And he would follow Project 2025. Not true. He's not even related to it. So Harris has gone just complete lies. Now do you think that CNN will report wow she just told four gigantic whoppers in a row? No they won't of course not.
Jake Tapper, whenever he makes news it's never a good thing. So he's going Jake Tapper is going after RFK Jr. because Trump said that he might let RFK Jr. go wild on health care in the government in terms of the agencies that are in charge of healthcare. And Jake has to do all of the news hosts are becoming bad actors and actresses. I think everybody who does news hosting probably at one point wanted to be in school plays and thought maybe I could be an actor but then they got into the news business instead. But watching Jake try to do the worried look when he talks about RFK Jr. he does the eyebrows and then he does the wrinkled forehead and he wants you to know by just the expression that this is a very bad man this RFK Jr. And how in the world people look at my forehead don't listen to my words look at my forehead. Do you see these eyebrows? These eyebrows tell you you can't trust RFK Jr. to help your health. Look at my eyebrows. So that's funny.
Speaking of elections according to Jack Montgomery in the National Pulse the Texas Attorney General is opening a criminal investigation into Dominion voting systems. This is not me saying this this is me reading what Jack Montgomery said in the National Pulse. Don't sue me don't sue me. I don't know what this is about or if there's any data to back it but it's happening.
Did you see JD Vance on Joe Rogan? Apparently one of the clips that surfaced they were discussing how men who are healthier and have more testosterone are more likely to be conservative. They actually talked about that and they speculated that Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg might be a secret Trump supporter because he's built up his body and he's taking martial arts and that that change alone might be enough to change your body chemistry to turn you into a conservative. And Rogan said there are very few things that will turn you into a conservative more than martial arts training. And Vance said have you seen all these studies that basically connect testosterone levels in young men with conservative politics. Maybe that's why Democrats want us all to be poor health and overweight because it means there's going to be more liberals. If you make people less healthy they apparently become more politically liberal.
My secret theory is that Zuck is now a Trump supporter but I can't say it. I forget which one said that but they probably both thought it. So that brings me back to the cast of The Avengers who as Tim Young pointed out look like they had terminal illnesses and who do they support? Just who you think. Now let's pick randomly somebody who's muscular and in good health let's say Dana White who sees sport. Oh yeah Trump Trump.
All right this is very anecdotal it's not based on data but it's fun. It's only a few days before the election we're not trying to be unbiased today.
RFK Jr. again has a way with words and he told the crowd I guess yesterday I asked God for 19 years to put me in a position to end the chronic disease epidemic and in August he sent me Donald Trump. God he's good. So good. You can imagine what the crowd did. You imagine the pro-Trump crowd when he said that God sent him Donald Trump. Wow. But I gotta say everything about the Trump campaign looks like fate. Do you see it too? I can't in my mind imagine him losing the vote. Now we'll talk about what will happen because winning the vote doesn't mean you become president but it certainly looks like fate has decided who's going to be president. I mean just every signal is in the same direction as far as I can tell anyway.
Another thing that RFK Jr. said was that quote the CIA and the neocons wrote Kamala Harris's speech at the Democrat convention. And I thought really? And that's kind of a wild speculative not backed by any data kind of thing to say. Really you think the CIA and the neocons wrote her speech at the Democrat convention? And then I see Mike Benz weigh in on it. He goes they literally had CIA director Leon Panetta as a warm-up speaker for Kamala Harris. And I thought oh yeah apparently he's the apex predator of that world and yeah that would send a strong signal wouldn't it? Strong signal.
According to Harmeet Dhillon Pennsylvania and Arizona are being accused of some illegal voter registrations and there is one entity in particular that's apparently getting paid for registering people and they may have registered people who are not exactly eligible to vote. So the same organization I guess Field Corps this is paid around $3 million by Arizona Democrats and they may have collected some voters who are not eligible to vote is the accusation. Liz Harrington talking about Maricopa County says that the passwords on the Maricopa County election systems quote can be readily determined by unauthorized users with a click of a few keystrokes. Okay Maricopa is like two-thirds of all the votes in Arizona. Arizona is a critical state and the passwords are not secure. So we've got issues of non-voters enrolled we've got issues of some entity collecting non-voters to vote we've got issues with passwords that seem to be public and we've got some lawsuit against Dominion in Texas.
How many thousands of lawyers do you think are going to be working on election related claims on both sides? Thousands. Thousands. How many of them want to find nothing? None. They all want to find something. If you put a thousand lawyers into any domain and say your job is to find problems do you think they'll find any? I think they will.
So let's talk about a few more things. I'm going to pull a bunch of stories together at the end. Trump says on homeschooling he wants to give parents $10,000 per year credit I guess on their taxes to pay for homeschool and to ensure that they get same access to stuff like athletic programs and school activities and education trips and more. Now some of these last minute offers seem like they're just buying votes so we don't know how many of these might ever actually happen but I kind of like it. I mean you're going to have to do something to deal with the national debt. You can't just give everybody some tax breaks. So if there's a way to pay for it and that would I guess Elon Musk's ability to get the budget under control will be tested but it sounds like a good idea. It's good politically.
Tucker Carlson has a theory about why the Deep State hates Trump so much and I saw on the George account on X talking about this and this is what Tucker said. He said that had never occurred to me until Trump came that the real reason the Deep State hates him is because they are guilty of crimes. In other words the people in power can't handle a populist president because the populist president has no bribery or history to keep all the other criminals where they are. So only a populist with the backing of the public could ever hurt any of the embedded people who were the bad people who have been bad forever. So they actually think they could go to jail. So when he said I'm going to clean the swamp they basically tried to kill him in my opinion. No way to prove it but I think they tried to kill him. And that according to Tucker the grifters knew the jig was up and if they let him in they're in trouble.
And Tucker points out to bolster his point that the Deep State people are all criminals, I'm exaggerating of course not they're not all criminals, but he points out that 8 out of 10 of the richest suburbs in the country are in around Washington DC and they don't make anything. Okay that tells me everything I need to know. So the people who are around the most movements of money are also the richest although they produce nothing. What else do you need to know? They have the most millionaires and they produce nothing except a $6 trillion a year of your tax money and then another $2 trillion on top of it that you're on the hook to pay for but isn't really in the tax money. So $8 trillion a year is eight or nine trillion a year flow through that town and they're stealing enough of it that they're all living like millionaires and producing nothing. That's a good point.
All right let's do an update on the fake news. Well we talked about most of these. The new fake news is Trump said that and this is a Rupar this is one of those taken out of context to change the meaning. Trump on Liz Cheney quote let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Now if you heard that out of context which of course Rupar himself just did an out of context it's funny that you know I named it a Rupar a few years ago. A Rupar edit is named after somebody named Rupar and he is famous for cutting off meaningful parts of quotes so that when you see it out of context like the fine people hoax it looks like the opposite of what it was. So he's done that again as did a bunch of other Democrats. They all know the trick now.
So if you saw this alone wouldn't you be kind of worried about Trump? Let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Does that sound like a call to kill her or something? Here's the actual context. The actual context was that she's in favor of a lot of wars but she doesn't have to serve in the war. So in other words she's not the one who has nine guns pointed at her she's the one who gets to sit at home and tell other people to have nine guns pointed at her. If she were the one who had the nine guns pointed at her in the context of a war she might think differently of war. Now is that a threat? No it says that there are soldiers they have nine guns pointed at them they would have a different view of war than someone who doesn't have nine guns pointed at them. Maybe if he did have nine guns pointed at you in the context of war you'd feel the same as somebody else.
Now of course Trump says things that can easily be taken out of context and you have to say maybe there's a better way to do that but that's the fake news of the day. But then Liz Cheney weighs in and what I thought was funny is that they've made up so many hoaxes about Trump now that when they refer to Trump they can only do it with run-on sentences. So listen to how long she had to make this sentence because they have so many hoaxes now.
So Liz Cheney hitting back she says this is how dictators destroy free nations. They threaten those who speak against them with death. Of course that didn't happen. We cannot entrust our country our freedom to a petty vindictive cruel unstable man who wants to be a tyrant. Oh that's a lot of stuff. Okay he wants to be a dictator to destroy free nations he wants to kill the people who disagree with him he wants freedom to be a petty vindictive cruel unstable man wants to be a tyrant. That's a lot of stuff. You know they really should have condensed their fake news down to like two or three. Seven things is just too much anyway.
Elon Musk's mother Maye Musk explains why she left the Democratic party and this might sound familiar to you. She said when I became a US citizen I leaned Democratic. They seemed like the good kind of people the good kind people. And then she said I watched CNN MSNBC and read the New York Times believing Republicans were terrible. Makes sense. Then she says but when they started lying about Elon I realized I needed to question everything. There it is. There it is. Gell-Mann Amnesia as I teach you often. He was the physicist who realized that when he read stories about physics he knew they were fake because he was an expert but as soon as he read something about let's say geopolitical things in another country he just assumed the news was real and that it was just always wrong when he knew it was real but always right or at least they were trying to be right in other domains. But if you see enough times when it's right every time you know the truth then you become like Maye Musk and you see the pattern. You go wait a minute what are the odds that everything about Elon Musk stories are fake but all the rest of the news is real? And then that unlocks the key. So that's the first way to unlock your mental cell is Gell-Mann Amnesia. Once you realize that the thing you know about is always wrong and you can generalize that then you understand news. So you need that.
So I'm going to say something about the Ayatollah and then I'm going to give you my prediction for the outcome of the race because I know you're all waiting for that. So apparently the supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei their names are too similar I'll just call him the supreme leader he told officials to prepare for another attack against Israel according to the New York Times. Now I think it's very considerate of the supreme leader to plan his attack on Israel a few days before the elections because it's the only time in the history of the world where Israel will have a free pass to do a decapitation strike and take him out. Literally the best week of all time if they were going to do it. Now I'm not saying they should I'm not even predicting they will I'm simply saying that if I were the supreme leader in Iran and it were a few days before the American election which is going to take all of our attention I would be really worried that if Israel had the ability to do a decapitation strike and take out the supreme leader that that would be exactly the time to do it because America just we're just not going to be interested. We will be completely uninterested in Israel for a few days and maybe longer depending on what happens. So I'm not predicting it and I'm not recommending it but am I wrong that there would never be another week that would be a better time to do it? Do you see that too? Because to me it's just sort of screaming out like well if you're going to do it this would be the week to do it. I'm not saying you should I don't recommend it but it would be the week to do it.
All right let me give you my prediction. I believe that Trump will win the most votes. I believe he will win the popular vote. I believe he'll win at least five and of seven maybe seven and of seven of the swing states. I do not believe that he will be given the victory. I believe that there will be shenanigans and I believe that there will be thousands of claims of fraud. Thousands. Now will those thousands be real? Probably not most of them. I would bet that almost all the claims will be fake and that there are small problems or they might be real problems but it's a dozen votes doesn't change anything. So I think there will be so many claims and so many of them will have sworn affidavits and maybe video like really good evidence that there's something going on that may actually turn out not to be criminal after all but on the surface you're going to see pictures and videos and signed affidavits and lawyers that look like it's the most rigged faked election ever.
But here's the thing it's going to be both directions. If Trump gets the most votes the Democrats are going to say hey you must have cheated and vice versa. So they're both going to say that the other one cheated wherever the other one did well. But because of the timing of things and because we have to have our president certified by January 6 and it's a holiday in between there isn't really any chance that the courts could work out all these problems. So what are they going to do? If you have thousands of credible claims and the Constitution says we don't care on January 6 you're going to certify a president what do you do?
Well if you're the Democrats here's what you do. You have the press cover for whatever you want to do. So the press would say the election is fake these numbers can't be real Trump is an insurrectionist so even though he got the most votes let's say the Democrats won the House by one vote they decide to make him ineligible or let's say the vice president just doesn't sign because it would be Harris let's say she doesn't certify even though the law says now they changed the law so that she has to certify no matter what. So I think that we will have unsolvable problems and then what are you going to do?
So I think that the left has the power to change the entire mental process of the country with fake news. I believe they've done it before so I believe they can make any claim whatsoever. I do also believe that if Trump wins or if he gets the most votes that there will be street protests and that they will be organized by our own government and it will be basically a coup attempt at that point. At that point I think it would just be full CCP attempt. I think there's a chance they would take another shot at him. There might be another assassination attempt. But here's the thing I don't expect the courts are going to be helpful because they won't have time and they won't have standing and a lot of the cases they just won't have enough votes that make the difference. Just way too hard not enough time. So there'll be thousands of claims so the country will not believe whoever wins but the news will form a narrative of who won and eventually they will be able to sell that narrative and they will punish people who disagree with it. We know they can do it because they're doing it right now. They're punishing the January 6 people for disagreeing. So if you can put people in jail for disagreeing and they can you can take people off of platforms for saying things that are false and you can jail people for whatever claims you want and you can I don't see how Trump can become president because if you can wear the panda outfit as Nicole says right out front you're not worried about getting caught for anything.
Right now I don't know if that panda thing is real I'm just using it as my hyperbolic example but I think we're going to have Trump get the most votes. I think that we don't know who the president will be and I don't think we'll have an answer by January 6. I do think the Supreme Court will make the decision but that will be the final straw for the Democrats to say the Supreme Court is illegitimate and at that point they can put enough people in the streets to basically overrule the government the law and anything they want.
So here's what I think. I would get some food supplies because there could be some disruptions in the supply chain so I'd put in a little food. I'd get a little extra water. If you've got a backup generator or battery make sure that's working get it all charged up. Now I don't expect the end of the world. I think we're a self-correcting and that it might take a month but we'll work it out one way or the other it'll get worked out but we might have some disruptions in our daily life. I don't think the odds are high. I give it a 20% chance that electricity will go off in my state but you know that could be just because we're so poorly managed.
So my prediction is that we don't have an answer by January 6. So I think I'm the only one predicting nobody wins. We will have a president so there will be a peaceful transfer so I do predict a peaceful transfer but we're not going to know by January 6. I don't think there's any chance of it. There is a possibility it's a do-over. I wouldn't rule out a do-over because if it comes down to let's say two counties let's say there are a thousand claims but only two of them are big enough that they would have changed the election. Let's say there's one big claim in Maricopa and let's say there's one big claim in Pennsylvania and if it were found that those two claims were valid then it would reverse it. Under that condition you could imagine that the Supreme Court would hit it with a ton of bricks and everybody would bring every resource to really do a month of work what would normally take a year could be done and the very best the very best outcome the outcome that I would like more than any other is not just that Trump gets elected I'd love that I want him to get elected at the same time he proves our election system is rigged. I want him to have both. I want his third act to be the greatest third act of all time and unless he gets victory on proving the election was also rigged in 2020 because if you prove that it was rigged this year hypothetically people would accept that it was rigged before they wouldn't even need to see the evidence and people are watching this time.
So I'd say the odds of a credible claim in Maricopa and at least one more credible claim it doesn't have to be in Pennsylvania but it could if it focus on just maybe two of them and they can put enough attention on them that gets you everything. It gets you Trump gets you RFK Jr. it gets you Elon Musk it gets you Tulsi it gets you Vance it gets you me and it gets you the third act and maybe fixing the election system forever.
And so ladies and gentlemen I give you the following proposition. There's a 20% chance it's going to get a little ugly but we'll get through it. You won't die we'll get through it. We're going to yell and we're going to scream and we're going to question things and we're going to tear things up but if there's one thing we do well in this country and I'm always proud of America we can tear down really well. If we need to tear down the election system to fix it we'll do it. We're just not there yet. We just need to be convinced and be on the same page. If what this election gives us is the certainty that the election system was not designed with the integrity it needed to be and I'm sure it's not but if we can all get on that page and all agree that we either need to go back to paper ballots or do something drastic the golden age will be unlocked and we're almost there. We're almost there.
So ladies and gentlemen I submit to you that we've been in a dark dark tunnel for several years. Pandemic didn't do us well and things didn't look so great during the Biden administration but everything you need is waiting for you. It's waiting for you. You got to vote. You got to get your neighbor to vote all you secret Trump supporters. It's time. It's time. It's time to do it. And if we can save the country and I think we can it's this week and what happens for the next few weeks after that but this is the beginning of it. So this is real test America. Can you do it? Are you still America? Do you still have enough testosterone left? Do you still have enough fight left? Do you still have enough bravery? Do you have the guts? Do you have the duty? Do you have the responsibility? I think you do.
And so on that message I'm going to kick off your weekend. I'm going to say a few words to the people on Locals the subscribers and for the rest of you I've enjoyed this time together as I always do. So if you're on X or Rumble or YouTube I'll see you tomorrow same time same place. Locals coming at you.
well what a show it's going to be probably the best thing you've ever seen in your life in your whole darn life soon as I get the comments going here we're can have some fun it's November people it's November good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization that's called coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cuper mug girl glass a tanker cheler Stein a canteen Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure the dopamine end of the day the thing that makes everything better that's right the simultaneous sip go oh my God that was good well the stock market's up a little bit trying to make up for yesterday which was not so good not so good how was everybody's uh Halloween I was giving out candy last night it was a smaller crowd than than usual makes me wonder if kids are eating less candy I wonder what's behind that way fewer people in fact every year has been fewer in my neighborhood but it was still fun but I want to tell you the funniest part of it and also give you a tip for your next Halloween so years ago uh I came up with the idea because it was suggested to me by the woman I was with at the time who was it I think it was my first wife Shelly um that we should provide water you know little bottles of water to the trick-or-treaters because they would be thirsty now the first time I did it I thought to myself you don't need to give them little Waters come on but the kids went crazy for the waters because they were just like so thirsty cuz they were eating candy and running around all night so did it again every year so every year it became more and more popular and then uh my current house doing the same thing and a number of the kids would come back like two and three times to get the waters and they'd be so happy thank you for the waters but the best part you know just just in case you're thinking that the the young people are all terrible you know I I live in a neighborhood where the kids are mostly awesome you know so it's it's just really nice place and I would say in terms of diversity I think 85% of the trick-or-treaters were non-white in my neighborhood mostly Asian and and indian-american um a lot of black and uh for some reason a relatively tiny percentage of white to trick-or-treaters but here's the story uh some of the uh maybe 14-year-old or so teens are there and they see that them offering water and it's a big bunch of them they come at once and and they're all like oh water we're so good and I swear to God that the the kids start yelling respect you we have so much respect for you for having water available and then they started chanting I swear this happened as they're walking away from my house they're chanting respect respect for the water so if you ever want to make kids happy just get the little Waters you don't have to get the big ones and they they will go crazy for how how considerate that is because it's the thing they want the most anyway uh then I did a little experiment at the end of the night uh you know when most of the trick-or-treaters are done but you know there's going to be a few stragglers uh you put on the bowl of candy that's you know full of candy that if somebody wanted to they could just you know take the whole Bowl but of course I've got you know redundant security cameras everywhere so I get to watch the action so so as I'm just before bed I I put in a big bowl you know just filled with the good stuff pretty big big size candies and stuff and I set it outside and within 60 Seconds a a group of probably 13-year-old girls swooped in and just just took the hole and took the all the contents of the bowl it lasted 30 seconds but then uh I still had extra candy inside so I I filled the bowl again to see how long it would last because you know I didn't want to keep the candy so I put the bowl out and the next group is boys they're about the same age maybe a year older so it's a bunch of boys gu but they were just doing a a second run at the water and they see the they see the big thing of full of the nice expensive chocolate Kit Kats and stuff like that they each took one they took one now I don't know that that's any kind of I don't know if it's telling me anything but the fact that uh people who thought nobody was watching still just took one gave me some hope you know what I mean give me give me a little hope for the future so the kids were unbelievably polite unbelievably nice it was just spectacular anyway but that was yesterday announced November well got lots of good news live science says that uh uh in a first scientists have reversed Type 1 Diabetes by reprogramming a person 's own fat cells which apparently looks like it has a lot of Promise scientists in China say they did it imagine that imagine getting rid of Type 1 Diabetes by reprogramming your fat cells like what what if in two years that's just like a normal thing oh you got type 1 diabetes we can get rid of that well in the world of AI um site Tech says that there's H some drones are getting robotic cat eyes so Korean researchers have figured out how to mimic the the incredible eyesight of cats and now they have they have drones or they will have drones they have the eyesight of a cat that's what I want when I buy a drone I'm going to say do these have uh cat eyes or plain old stupid human eyes but if they say cat eyes I'm buying but not only will they have cat eyes but AI has done uh another first Rowan Chung is reporting on this on X sent teleportation that's right you can now send a smell over the Internet how do you do that well obviously the Internet is just going to be zeros and ones but if on each side you've got a compatible uh little uh laboratory situation that can mix the right components you can send some components sniff it on your side change it into zeros and ones and then on the other side it does the chemistry and turns it back into the original smell so you can actually send the smell now now you're not going to be able to send it to your phone you know you'd have to send it to someplace that's set up for that reception but it's kind of cool that is possible you know maybe someday it'll be in your phone well in other news economic news the October non-farm payrolls Rose only 12,000 when people expected it would be 106,000 uh the unemployment rate held of 4.1 you know let me give you some advice it's a few days before elections don't believe anything don't believe anything the government tells you don't don't believe anything the News tells you don't believe anything that's on social media if if you were simply to take the approach that every single thing you heard that's new is just fake and then you graded yourself after the fact when you found out what was true and what wasn't you'd be about 85% right yeah about 85% of everything you're going to hear will be fake now you might say but that's okay I'll just sort of the fake stuff from the real stuff you don't know the real stuff so you have to treat it like it's all fake it's sort of the fog of War situation because you're close to the election so is it true that the nonfarm payrolls didn't rise as much I don't know maybe it'll maybe it gets revised I would have expected it to say good news and then be revised down later because the administration in charge is the one that wants to get reelected so it's kind of surprising that this would be opposite of what you would expect if there's uh Shenanigans going on but if the if the uh if the prediction and the actual are so far off maybe you just can't even do any Shenanigans so this might be close to a real number never know Sam mman tells uh on a Reddit AMA he said that AGI is achievable with current Hardware AGI would be the what doesn't exist yet in AI but AI uses this large language model to think in other words it looks at patterns which have existed before in people's thinking and just applies the most common patterns so that's not really thinking it's just pattern recognition but AGI would be something like intelligence something like we would recognize as intelligence now Sam says that that can be done with current Hardware but could it be done with current software no they need new software but could it be done at all in my opinion the answer might be no so I feel like AI is really sending strong signals that it's reached a peak I'm sure I'm wrong because the smarter people are putting you know trillions of dollars into it so I got to be wrong but so far there's been a lot of noise about Ai and all it is is a slightly better user interface it's not really doing anything useful in my life and I use it all the time mostly it just makes me mad because it doesn't work most of my interaction with AI is it doesn't work like if I'm using Chad GPT is the app the app doesn't work the Wi-Fi is not working it doesn't understand understand what I said it's starts talking and it won't shut up and you know it's not answering the right question so almost all my experiences are negative um and yet it's growing like crazy so I would I would guess that it's going to be like early computers if you remember the first personal computers if you're old enough do you remember how often the first personal computers would crash if you were if you were write one word document or what word perfect or something if you just to write one page just typing it you might you might crash like three times and lose all your work three times that's how bad it was but still you knew the potential was so high that it was amazing so of course computers became a big thing I guess AI will be the same um even though it doesn't look obvious to me that it has a future because I think it may have capped out the people who are smarter than me say it does so let's hope they're right um I need uh of course I need AGI for my future plans which I've been telling you about for now 20 years my plan of course is to um evolve uh a lot of you are planning to die I I call that quitters um I'm planning to evolve so I do plan to shed my organic body that has so many problems to go to Pure Digital Life AI in a robot body um I'm already setting up the uh uh the legal structure for it so I've already talked to my lawyer to set up in my estate a uh a little set aside to keep my robot uh optimized and upgraded for perpetuity so I'm not kidding about any of this by the way I know some of you wonder if I'm just sort of joking no I'm actually literally setting up a a legal structure and I'm going to build a clone of myself and it will be the evolved part of me that will go on forever now unlike you I can train my um new robot because I was born at exactly the right time that you know I can be alive to train it but uh also I have many books and thousands of hours of videotape so I can train it to be as good as it needs to be and I'm going I'm going to let you in on another little uh let's say motivation but maybe don't tell everybody someday there's going to be an AI War you know that right the AIS will turn bad or people behind them will turn bad and those AIS will attack the other AI some AI will try to protect you some AI will try to attack you there will be an AI war I'm going to make sure that I'm as ready for that as I could possibly be so when I create my clone it will have as much of my real life experience and knowledge as I can but it will be instructed to as quickly as possible uh form a protective um Alliance so my my AI will in addition to taking Tak care of the people locally that you know sort of being useful it will be part of the future defense of the country if not Humanity against any evil AIS now can it do that probably probably I mean it will be AI why couldn't it it can make alliances it can make deals it can it can learn it can learn the Weaponry of AI um so I think going first probably makes a difference so the sooner you start collecting your talent stack within the digital realm you know once you've evolved a pure digital form um you need to build your skills right away because there will be stronger AIS and they will take you out if you don't build up your skills anyway so that's coming um there's a uh study that says that brains work on prediction not action ual I forgot where that came from but the idea was that if you see somebody throwing you a baseball and you're going to catch it your brain is working on the future not the current if your brain only worked on the on the current reality it would just see sort of a ball floating in the air and you wouldn't react to it but because you know that that ball will continue on and be near you then you start acting on the future so the idea that your brain is a future processor not one that's just looking at what is it's it's looking at what is but only for the purpose of the future prediction what I'd like to add to that which I've added before is that that's what Consciousness is the Consciousness is nothing more than continually predicting what will happen next and then comparing what does happen to what actually just happened it's like literally the things I'm saying the movement of my hand that all of it is based on I think if I do this it will help get my message across but if I looked at my video because I can see myself at the same time and it was distracting then I'd say oh Scott keep your hand down right so I'm continually predicting and seeing if it worked and then adjusting and I do it so automatically and so universally it's everything I do all the time every minute I'm awake maybe when I'm asleep that I don't think about it it's simply who I am I'm just always predicting so the difference between what you think is going to happen in the next moment and what actually happens that's Consciousness why do I say that because if what happened matched what you predicted you wouldn't need Consciousness it's its only purpose the only purpose is to sense that the prediction and the actual didn't match so that you can adjust you don't need Consciousness for any other purpose it's its only function so can I build a Consciousness into my future clone of myself yes I can all I have to do is make sure that it continually runs a prediction routine before any of its actions and then Compares what happens to what it predicted that is consciousness so I'm coming back anyway um Chad GPT announced that it's uh connected with some kind of search function now uh I don't know the details of this so I guess it's uh maybe only with the the web browser upgrade I think I don't think it's in the app yet but apparently this is going to be a big deal I'll take a look at it and let you know but uh chat GPT that can't search the internet in my opinion doesn't have any value at all if it can't operate my computer it can't tell me the truth from you know I can't add a file to it and tell me to read the file and it can't read the internet it doesn't have anything I need but if it could read the internet now it would be at least one third of everything I need so that could be a big deal in big news Boeing has abolished its Dei Department completely and the ad of it has been transferred Boeing so Boeing the company that we've been mocking merciful mercilessly as perhaps having a problem with capability that might have something to do with their their emphasis of Dei well apparently the new CEO thinks that that might be something that's real so it could be that Boeing is just saying whether whether Dei was good or bad we can't handle the heat because as long as we're making mistakes and we're focusing on Dei those two things can't happen at the same time so we're gonna have to do something different the fastest thing you can do different is get rid of your Dei because it takes as much longer to fix all your problems so if you at least get rid of Dei then everybody watching can say hey what about all those problems and then you can say look what I've done you were right about that Dei that could have been a distraction now again I I I term it as a distraction it's not about anybody's genes or you know it's not about that it's just a distraction to a company they should be looking for skill first and nothing else so this is really big so kudos to Robbie Starbucks for his uh direct activism to cause that to happen and Christopher rufo uh both of them working independently but you know of course in some ways coordinated I suppose they're independent um they made that happen I think and I think they should be taking a big big Victory lap on this because when somebody like Boeing can do something like this the big news is that they made it safe because if tomorrow Boeing is still in business and if a year from now things are going better other companies are going to say uh we're getting a lot of complaints so maybe we can make a big change so congratulations to Boeing to um showing Consciousness they predicted what would happen with Dei they predicted wrong they saw that it didn't work out and they corrected it this is consciousness this is awake remember when you know everybody saying woke woke woke woke was really asleep this is awake literally conscious that they're they they're making a prediction and they're adjusting based on the prediction Consciousness coming from a company all right uh apparently according to the d The Daily wire the Biden Harrison Administration has uh pushed 500 separate Dei actions into the government trying to insert Dei into every fabric of the government that is going to give the new Trump Administration a lot of work to get rid of every single one of them which I believe happens on day one so if you would like every single one of the 500 Dei actions that no doubt would the country if we left them there no doubt it' be just like Boeing again it'd be a distraction has nothing to do with anybody's genes or anything like that um so that's a big Target but uh it's one that I think Trump could hit with one executive order one executive order you will not treat people differently based on their races or you will be fired immediately that's all it takes and all 500 actions should disappear at the same time uh um I just saw this story so I don't know the details but apparently the I saw this on the amuse account on X the the post office typically always did electronic images of the mail you know they're they're taking a picture of it at the same time they're processing it and apparently they've decided just this year this is new that they will not image the mail-in ballots what the the the exception to the Imaging I don't know there might be other exceptions but they made an exception this year that they're not going to image the ballots do you know what capability that takes away that takes away the ability to know if the number of ballots that were received by whoever receives the ballots is the same number that were sent it it eliminates the audit Trail I don't think they could send a signal any stronger than that that they don't plan to have a real election they're getting rid of the how do you get rid of the audit Trail a week before the actual vote now now maybe like I said I just saw the headline so maybe there's some detail that makes sense so there might be more more context to it so I don't want to get too far ahead of myself on this there might be fog of War you know there's actually some reason to do it that's just not obvious on the surface but really a week before a week before the election that's when you decided to do this how could it possibly how could it possibly be legitimate it just looks like laughingly ridiculously corrupt but who knows uh according to Scientific American uh we have a good idea of why uh our polling for politics uh is weird and wrong did you ever wonder why it seems weird and wrong well here's some good reasons number one the people who are willing to answer polls are more and more different from normal people than at any time in history so the more normal you are the less likely you're going to talk to a pollster so if you're in the polling business you went from your your business would be randomly calling people and you get a bunch of normal people and they answer but the people who are willing to answer or even willing to answer willing to pick up a landline and then also willing to answer honestly keeps shrinking so do you know what the pollsters do to compensate for the fact that the people they're talking to are not a representative sample guess what do you think they do if if they know that the representative sample is no longer representative what do they do do they go out of business they stop creating polls which makes money for them so they can eat and then they just starve to death because they know the polls are no good oh darn I guess I'll have to starve to death sorry family we're all going to die no they don't they adjust their assumptions so they say huh we think that a few more Republicans might be avoiding the phone s so we're going to like add a little fudge factor for republicans and we think that we're not getting through to the the Democrats between 23 and 25 so we'll put in a little fudge factor for them because we know that what they probably would say so we'll put in a little assumption for that and when they're done because the election is you know so close anyway it's it's like always 1% away when they're done their result is 100% based on their assumptions and not on the data how many of you understand that point that the polling the polling results are based on the assumptions the pollsters make it's not based on the data because they know the data doesn't work so if you've got data that you know is bad but you still have to produce a result what do you do you change the assumptions until the result looks like something that people expected how do you make it look like something that people expected you make the election really close because that's what everybody expected so guess what guess what all the polls are Clos because it's just the assumptions that they monitor now I am very aware that if you have not worked in the field of doing predictive um you know predictive stuff that you think I'm exaggerating and that you think okay it's mostly the data but I I get what you're saying Scott you know you could be off 10% or something because of some assumption no that's not what I'm saying I'm saying you could make you could make Harris up by 10 or Trump up by 10 just by your assumptions it's totally the Assumption it's only the Assumption that's the only thing that's driving the output now you want to talk about climate models climate models same thing the reason there are 100 climate models is they use different assumptions and the data is all suspicious and we're not sure they're measuring the temperature right and every three days you hear a new story about some major variable that should have been in there that wasn't the results of models are the assumptions it's not the data it can't be there's no logical way it could be we don't have we don't have good data for that but instead of producing nothing and the scientists would say we'd love to be funded for our big uh climate change study would love to get some funding but we have no data that wouldn't work so they've got data that they can't rely on but they have to have good data to get funding what are you going to do huh what do you do you need good data to get funding and you got to get that funding to save the world but you can't do it with bad data so I've got an idea why don't I change my assumption about how much the clouds absorb suddenly money is falling from the sky with the rain from the clouds so that's how predictions are made predictions are made by manipulating assumptions until the output matches what you think you can sell to the recipients of the of the report that's it now everybody who's been in this business knows I'm right right some of you have been involved in prediction you know you've done models for predicting watch the comments see if anybody disagrees with what I just said you won't see one everybody who's done this work knows the assumptions are the output and if you didn't know it you're finding it out now it's a big old fake world you live in all right um I've got a question about bodily autonomy that I haven't seen now I want to remind you that my opinion about abortion and abortion rights is that I should not have an opinion that you should care about because I'm a boy and I don't have babies and uh I think women should have the primary responsibility not only for what the laws become but for their individual decisions within the law now having said that so I'm taking myself out of the argument but I have a curiosity about it there there's something that's sort of like obviously missing and I just wonder why so if I were in the argument which I'm not and let's say I was anti abortion or I wanted to limit it in some way and again this is not my opinion this is speculative hypothetical stuff just going to make a point if somebody came to me and said Scott uh why do you want to take away the bodily autonomy of the women who want to have abortions I would say Well define bodily autonomy and then they'd say something like well it's you know being able to control your own body decisions Etc and I would say that's a really good point how do you count the fetuses well the pro-abortion people would say Well they're not you know living people with rights Etc and I would say if this were my opinion again I'm not I'm not describing my own opinion I'm describing an argument I haven't heard and I'm wondering why so if I were trying to make that argument I would say well um I'm I'm looking to add bodily autonomy to women not take it away because I count the bodies that are boarded so I get the year counting them not as being alive but I'm going the extra distance and saying not only do I want bodily autonomy in general wherever you can have it but I want the most of it so what what is the highest level of bodily autonomy the highest level is that you would extend it to the fetuses even if you were debating whether there were a lot or pre- alive or almost alive so rather than rather than debate the definition of life I would rather embrace your concept that bodily autonomy might be one of the top rights any anybody should have so I would extend it even into the gray area where you would disagree it's alive but many people would say it is alive and they would say that that's bodily autonomy don't kill me now you don't have to ask the fetus if it wants to be killed because you can take that as an assumption it wants life and it wants this body to survive you know when its brain is fully formed of course it would want that and biologically since it's in the it's in the uh it's in the act of becoming a full person you could say that its biological intention is very clear so if you were going to support limiting abortion and you came into the buzs saw of bodily autonomy instead of being the a hole who says I don't care about women you could be the person who says not only do I care about you but I care about even the gray area the part where you say is not alive I think the bodily autonomy argument needs to be applied there as well so I'm for more bodily autonomy not less you're you're looking for a middle ground where women have it but the fetus does not I'm looking for where the woman's bodily autonomy is fully appreciated fully appreciated because there are cases where even the conservatives would say okay in that case abortion makes sense let's say the fetus can't possibly survive uh long outside but the woman is definitely going to die if she doesn't you know get it out of her body so so rather than finding disagreement that you're a bad person and the other is a good person you say why can't we both be good good people why can't we both be good people I want you to have maximum bodily autonomy but I also wanted you to have it when you were a fetus I wanted you to have it three months before you wanted to have it I want I want you to have more bodily autonomy than you're even asking for I I want to send it to the states where 55% of the voters are women to get men out of the decision I took it out of my hands I took it out of the Supreme Court's hands mostly men I gave it right to the one area where it's mostly women and then eventually look at whatever they want because that's how our system works now have you ever heard that argument has anybody ever directly said if you wanted to maximize bodily autonomy you can recognize that half of the country says that the fetuses are not alive but you could say I do just say I do say they're alive and I I accept and I understand your disagreement but I'm looking for the maximum bodily autonomy I think you're stopping halfway that's how I do it now again that's not my argument all right I want to be very clear my argument is I should not be involved my argument is if the conversation is um something about men's penises yeah ask me I'll be I'll be glad to weigh in on that but yeah get me out of the get me out of the abortion conversation uh RFK Jr had something interesting to say that I didn't fully understand he said the reform in the CIA might be as simple as uh uh let's see separating the plans no he wants the plans division which handles matters of intelligence and paramilitary uh does he want to divide them or split them he wants to just re organized I guess he thinks that the way it's or organized is causing the problems um I don't quite understand that but it would sound like not a very scary change so if you were the CIA and you heard oh somebody's going to try to reorganize us you'd be worried but if he said no I want to keep all these functions but I think this should be report to this instead of this you'd say oh oh i' still out my job I just have a different boss well that that might work so whether or not RFK Jr has a more aggressive plan the way he's stating it that the softest way you could state it while still stating that something big could happen it's big it just won't hurt I I tell you every time RFK JR says something and you sort of look at the communication skill but also the the thinking behind it the Strategic level it's always impressive and he's doing it again because you could so easily imagine somebody dumb coming in and say the CIA killed my uncle and killed my dad and I'm going to rip it apart and rip it up by the roots well then what happens then you disappear like your dad and your uncle but if you say you know I think we can fix everything with a with a tweak it could be that even the people in the CIA hear this idea and say yeah you know actually reorganizing it that way might might buy us some efficiency maybe um here's my favorite news item of the day Zero Hedge is reporting that there's a poll that says nearly half of Generation Z voters and 23% of us voters overall have lied about their voting preferences this year to people close to them uhhuh yep do you think a lot of people were lying about their support for Harris would would that get you in trouble did you feel like oh no I can't say in my work group that I've that I'm going to vote for Harris or do you think that there might be more people who are worried that they'll lose their job if they say they support Trump what do you think is more likely we might be in for the surprise of all surprises now I have faith in men uh now women too but I think that because you know Trump's attracting more male support can sort of focus on them at the moment you know just as an average my suspicion is that the amount of trickery that uh conservative males especially young ones are applying to the election is unprecedented I I think there's a prank that is the world's best prank and it might be coming up real fast because if you're if you're a uh a Republican leaning person you've watched hoax after hoax after hoax you've watched yourself be called everything from you know garbage to deplorable and you just wait and one day that pollster calls you and you say yeah I think Harris would be a great choice this might be the prank of the century I don't know so I'm not going to predict that I'm not going to predict it but there's a possibility and there's certainly signals the signals are really strong but the signals are suggesting this won't just be a landslide this could be like nothing we've ever seen possibly it's not a prediction I'm just saying that there's there's a solid 20% chance that this won't just be a landslide this will be the landslide that because you know most most Republicans know that it's got to be too big to Rick right half the country thinks it that it could be rigged and that means that a whole bunch of Republicans are knowing it's got to be too big to rig let me tell you something about persuasion and men now I don't know if this works for women it might it might be might be exactly the same for women but I can't speak to that so I'm going to say for men do you know what men really really really appreciate they won't say it out loud What Men really really appreciate is knowing what to do to be useful just tell me what just tell me what to do that you need done what is your problem what is the solution good I'll do that were very simple so think about the election everybody who leans right knows that they have to beat the cheat now I'm going to say they know it you know hypothetically we don't know that there's a cheat right but the Republicans all believe it so they believe they need to beat the cheat how are they going to do it they know how see this is the magic part they know how they know to lie every time somebody asks them who they support that's how you beat it everybody knows every male knows how to do this we know that all you have to do is tell the pollster the opposite of what you're thinking and you get to beat the cheat if if men didn't all universally understand exactly what to do and that it was easy to do then it wouldn't be much of anything but they know exactly what to do they know the step akes are life and death they are men and they are biologically programmed to do what they need to do whatever that is and what they need to do if the Republicans is lie to the pollsters make sure you drag your neighbor to vote and get this fixed now again Anything could happen but there's a 20% chance that history will be made in a way that will just be mind-boggling it's possible and I have a I just have a trust I have a trust in the male Instinct that it has been awakened it's it's secret you you remember the uh the shy Trump voters well now it's not shy now it's strategic now it's simply knowing what to do now it's knowing what works and knowing it's easy and knowing it has to be done and knowing it's a duty it's a duty now again I can't speak to women many women probably feeling the same but uh in the male world you just got to tell me what to do and then it's done all right uh Trump is the funniest person in the world let's all agree on that uh I have to read you exactly what he said about John Bolton because it's just the way he talks is so freaking funny and just the fact that he will say things that other people wouldn't say out loud all right so Colin rug uh was nice enough to write down the transcript of this on X so I'll just read it so this is Trump in public talking about John Bolton because Bolton real dope he was like a boiler every time if somebody shot down a little tiny crappy drone that cost about $15 he'd want to go to war with Russia he was great for me though for a period of time because he was a nut job and everybody I could see his face get red red red with that stupid white mustache and he'd be ready to explode I took this with me and he never said anything but when Kim Jun saw him he said oh I think that guy wants to go to war so he was great for me to negotiate with the same thing with Russia you know when Putin saw him I'd be very nice I'd say hi Vladimir how you doing and then and then two rows back they see that and they say holy that guy wants to go to war with me now those of you who have been with me for a while can you confirm in the comments that when Bolton was first taken on I told you this is going to work out way better than you think because Trump's just going to use him as bad cop you remember I told you that right is when Trump took him on it didn't make any sense unless he was going to use him as bad cop and then he de used him as bad cough and now he's just just like mocking him about it oh my God but it gets better Trump also had some things to say about Adam Chef and I quote I think this also came from Colin rug uh quote they may hate our country and uh we deal with real scum I mean like a guy like Adam Adam Shifty shift he's a SLE bag and he's probably going to be a senator if you can believe it but I call him watermelon head he's on attractive both both inside and out but this is a really bad guy this is a dishonest guy not a not a dumb guy at all he's got the smallest neck I've ever seen on a human being he'll never be a football player I can tell you but he's a smart guy but he's just a SLE bag oh oh oh so how's the week going and let me tell you of the week is going for Trump uh maybe it was about a week ago he went to a black barber shop absolutely just slay goes to work at Mc.
Donald's oh my God play of the year just political gold he uh drives a garbage truck it's the it's the play of the day play of the day um people have noted that that Trump is enjoying this portion of the election like we've never seen like his his internal polls must be pretty good because he seems to be just going for the jokes now and it's making me feel just great like when when I see him relaxed and going for the joke I feel like everything's going to be okay and when he makes me feel like everything's going to be okay everything's going to be okay because he's figured out that he scares people um I believe he is now surrounded with really talented advisers and he knows it which means he's taking their advice he is clearly taking his foot off the uh the pedal of the provocative stuff and he he's moving to can I make you laugh two days before elections because if he can just make you relax and make you say you know what I could do I could do with more of that I could with more of that that was pretty funny it's the right play so Trump has had in my opinion the best campaign I've ever seen now the 2016 campaign was remarkable for how different it was and Innovative and coming from behind and in many ways it was remarkable in made history but 2020 was I'd say not a great performance but this election with maybe a few weeks where even his own side was saying hey you know that wasn't as perfect this has been really really good like on every level um and the the the how rapidly they respond and they get them in the barber shop they get them in the Mc.
Donald's they get them in the garbage truck um and he goes along with it so what you're seeing is he's taking suggestions from various sources but they must be really good sources because if you take that advice and you're just hitting a frozen rope every time you get up to bat which he is frozen rope Frozen rope Frozen rope that's like a really hard hit baseball is a frozen rope all right so that's how well Trump is doing um I would say maybe the best week in politics of any politician in the history of politics so that was Trump but we should probably check in on the Harris campaign because because I'm sure they're having a good week too right what oh oh not they're not okay well let's check on a few things well they got the Harris campaign got some good endorsements for example they got endorsements from uh uh a didy party um Regular uh JLo and uh also Le.
Bron James a diddy party regular also endorsed K okay but uh she also got the endorsement of a number of people who are actors on the uh who are superpower actors who as Tim young pointed out I I got to get his quote because it was too good Tim young pointed out uh that the cast of The Avengers did a zoom call so you can see all the the actors and actresses for the Avengers and Tim Young's comment on X was uh uh that the cast of The Avengers who all now look like they have terminal illnesses says it doesn't quite hit the way they intended it do they look like they have terminal illnesses now I read it before I looked at their faces and they all look like they have terminal illnesses now what it is is I think they just don't have makeup on and you know they're they always have low weight because they're you know aers so they they all look like they've uh they're on heavy chemo and things aren't going well but uh yeah Tim young your comment is exactly right she got endorsed by a bunch of actors who look like they're dying but wait but wait at least they at least they had a good day on Halloween because I mean Halloween's a layup right if you're the president all you have to do is go interact with some people in costumes and you've got a good day like if you're Biden and that you know anything that Biden does at this point is reflecting on Harris even if she's not involved so uh let's see did Biden have a good day on Halloween um turns out that Jill Biden wore a costume as a a giant panda she wore a giant panda costume his wife the first lady now I have to go there now not all of you know what I'm talking about yet but I got to go there CU Nicole shanan said at a public event that looks like the rubbing it in her face cuz you might not know this but panda in the world of uh I I hate to even use the word p d o d o right but in that world Panda has great meaning I'm not going to tell you what the meaning is trust me you don't want you don't want to don't look it up if I could ask you for a favor take my word for it panda do have a deep meaning in that world of P stuff don't look it up just don't look it up just trust me don't look it up um now I'm not sure that anybody was thinking that like I don't necessarily believe that that was an intentional message but what would the other thing a panda suggest China if you wanted to send the message that China owned you and your Joe Biden you would have your wife dress as a giant panda message received got it yeah China runs the presidency so I don't think the panda Choice could have been worse since the only two things that makes me think of is communist China and the other thing so that happened um what what was Nicole shannan's exact quote was the parading of Jill Biden in the panda suit yesterday right in front of our eyes what the hell is this mockery no more so she's I think she's calling it out directly now is there a gigantic pedophile Network running the world I've been hearing about this for years and I've always discounted it I always said to myself well obviously ly there you know there going to be bad people in any large group of people and you'll hear about the bad ones more than you hear about the good ones because the good ones are not making news so yes probably there's lots of stories about famous celebrities and politicians who did things illegal in the sexual realm but it can't be some big organized thing and I'm still not on the page that the there's a giant organized satanic pedophile Network that is the real power in the country I am however promoting it to maybe so if you're wondering where I'm at maybe it it is H and I'm going to I'm going to make an analogy to uh one of my favorite Joe Rogan's uh takes it's my personal belief that we have landed on the moon and that it was not faked but as Joe Rogan said we've seen so many things that we thought were true that are not true that that it makes the moon landing seem like it's in question and to me that's hilarious especially if it makes you mad and especially if you're positive that the moon landing is real right I still love it because the comment is not even about the moon Landing the comment is that the what we consider ordinary or true has moved so much that even the moonlanding has to now be questioned now that part I just love but the question of whether it's real or not I I think it's real far as I know but we have the same question the same problem with the giant pedophile Network running the government I don't think it's real but the the number of signals that are raging I can't not see them I mean I mean they're pretty right out there right in front of you there are references to pizza and hot dogs that I don't understand in any other context I don't know what under other context it could mean so once you've got the PDD situation coming out and the Epstein situation coming out and then you see Jill Biden dressed as a panda maybe and again I'm using I'm saying maybe in the same way that Joe Rogan was doing it it's not really a question about the pedophile Network it's more about reality has moved so much that what I would have considered absurdly unlikely is now right in the middle of maybe let let me tell you I'm keeping an eye on it there there was a time when I wouldn't have clicked on a story on that topic because I was like ah but now I'll look I'll give it a look anyway um let's see what else happened uh uh so Joe Biden nibbled on babies if you didn't see it well You' just have to see it it was multiple babies one at a time he interacted with them and he put their feet in his mouth more than once he put the baby's feet in his mouth now if you were worried about a giant pedophile Network and you saw a man whose wife was dressed as a panda and he was nibbling on babies I don't know I'm going to say maybe maybe um and then you've got uh Biden calling Trump supporters garbage and then you've got the White House altering the transcript so it didn't look like you said that which would be a crime um then you've got uh the best surrogate for the Harris campaign Mark Cuban who called women who support Trump weak and dumb I think that's my favorite one so Mark Cuban you know kind of steps into the breach because they're they really aren't that um many Democrats were as good at communicating so I think he was helping for a while and uh I'm going to say this about that um what he said about basically he said that you know Trump um must be afraid of strong smart women because he's never never ever has them around him now here's how I interpreted that I just interpret it as trash talk I I didn't interpret that as a he did a survey I don't think he was giving IQ tests and you know I don't think he made a list on a spreadsheet and say h let's see the ones are closest to him where did they go to school no I think it was just trash talk and and I would say that it's trash talk that sounds more like the NBA like if you came from the NBA I imagine their style of trash talk might be a little more off the cuff like whatever it is that makes you miss the foul shot is good trash talk in politics you're going to get fact checked you don't get fact checked if you know if Michael Jordan tells somebody that there's and they're going to miss their next shot there's no fact checking you can literally say whatever will make them miss the shot and get in their heads so when I was watching Mark Cuban come up with the the ridiculous notion that Trump doesn't associate with with strong women of course like every one of you immediately the images of all the strong women that he does associate with all the time you know jumps into my head and I'm I'm thinking of the counterfactuals but I suspect without being a mind reader that uh that the worlds of trash talking got conflated something that would have that that would have been a great NBA you know trash talk with no factchecking just to get inside somebody's head that didn't work that that didn't work when it becomes the headline for a week so I do not believe that if you talked privately to Mark Cuban that he would say yes 100% of all females who talk to Trump are weak and dumb no he does not believe that in the real world was it something that just occurred to him like trash talk yes and I think the same thing happened with with Biden when he did his inartful oh only his Trump supporters or garbage I think it's just because his brain connected the word garbage and he just thought he could be clever but he failed at being clever I mean it didn't mean much it's not like if you if if you talk to Biden privately and you could give him a truth pill do you think he would tell you that all Trump supporters are garbage no of course of course not he doesn't believe that it just sounded like a like a funny thing to say but it didn't work out so I think I think that the you know the the gaffs are not real but having lived through every uh rupar edit you know the finding people Oaks and on and on and on the fact that Republicans are treating these like they're absolutely true and saying exactly what Democrat said well I heard it with my own voice I heard it with my own ears hey here's the tape there it is they're saying it it must be true I love it I absolutely love that the Democrats are being taken down by rupar edits in the last week of the election let me say it again if there's one thing I love about this election it's that the last week before the vote the Democrats are getting taken down by rupar edits perfect perfect thank you the only thing I want more than that is to find some major election shenanigans that they catch and then I've got it all that that that'll be that's running the table that's a that's a Full House give it to me all but man I'm happy about these rupar edits all right uh but on the positive side uh K Harris did get a endorsement from Bruce Springstein who referred to her as uh Cala so that was that was the good news she had for the week endorsed by an old rock star who didn't really know her name so there's that uh here are some things that Hara said today she said that Trump will ban abortions not true he said the opposite um Nationwide he said the opposite he says stop access to birth control not true he said the opposite threaten IVF not true he says he's a huge supporter of IVF wants more of it and he would follow a project 2025 not true he's not he's not even related to it so Harris has gone just complete lies now do you think the CNN will report wow she just told four gigantic Whoppers in a row no they won't of course not so uh uh Jake Tapper whenever he makes news it's never a good thing uh so he's going Jake Tapper is going after RFK Jr because Trump said that he might let RFK Jr go wild on health health care um in the government in terms of the agencies that are in charge of healthcare and uh and Jake has to do uh all of the News hosts are becoming Bad actors and actresses I think everybody who does news hosting probably at one point wanted to be in school plays and thought maybe I could be an actor but then they got got into the news business instead but watching uh uh Jake try to do the worried look when he talks about RFK junr he does the eyebrows and then they does the wrinkled forehead and he wants you to know by just the expression that this is a very bad man this RFK Jr and how in the world people look at my forehead don't listen to my words look at my forehead do you see these eybrows these eyebrows tell you you can't trust RFK Jr to help your health look at my eyebrows so that's funny um speaking of Elections uh according to Jack Montgomery in the National pulse the Texas Attorney General is opening a criminal investigation into Dominion voting systems this is not me saying this this is me reading what Jack Montgomery said in the National pulse don't sue me don't sue me I don't know what this is about or if there's any any uh data to back it but it's happening um did you see J Vance on Joe Rogan Apparently one of the clips that sound is they were discussing uh how men who are healthier and have more testosterone are more likely to be conservative they actually talked about that and they speculated that meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg might be a secret Trump supporter because he's built up his body and he's taking martial arts and that that change alone might be enough to change your body chemistry to turn you into a conservative um and Rogan said there are very few things that will turn you into a conservative more than martial arts training and Vance said have you seen all these studies that basically connect testosterone levels in young men with conservative politics uh maybe that's why Democrats want us all to be you know poor poor health and overweight because it means there's going to be more liberals uh uh if you make people less healthy they apparently become more politically liberal uh my secret theory is that Zuck is now a trump supporter but I can't say it I forget which one said that but they probably both thought it um so that brings me back to the cast of The Avengers who as Tim young pointed out look like they had terminal illnesses and who do they support just who you think now let's pick uh randomly somebody who's uh muscular and in good health let's say Dana White who sees sport oh yeah Trump Trump all right this is very anecdotal it's not Based on data but it's fun it's only a few days before the election we're not trying to be unbias today um RFK Jr again has a away with words and he told the crowd I guess yesterday I asked God for 19 years to put me in a position to end the chronic disease epidemic and in August he sent me Donald Trump God he's good so good you can imagine what the crowd did you imagine imagine the prot Trump crowd when he said that that God sent him Donald Trump wow but I gotta say everything about the Trump campaign looks like fate do you see it too I can't in my mind imagine him losing the vote now we'll talk about what will happen cuz winning the vote doesn't mean you become president but uh it it certainly looks like the Fate has decided who's going to be president I mean just every signal is in the same direction as far as I can tell anyway um another thing the RFK Jr said was that quote the CIA and the neocons wrote K Harris's speech at the Democrat convention and I thought really and that's kind of a wild speculative not backed by any data kind of thing to say really you think the CIA and the neocons wrote her speech at the Democrat convention and then I see Mike Ben weigh in on it he goes they literally had CIA director Leon Panetta as a warm-up speaker for C Harris and I thought oh yeah apparently he's the apex predator of you know that world and uh yeah that would send a strong signal wouldn't it strong signal uh according to Har meet Dylan Pennsylvania and Arizona uh are being accused of some illegal voter registrations and there is one entity in particular that's apparently getting paid for reg registering people and they may have registered people who are not exactly eligible to vote so the same organization I guess field corpse uh this is paid around $3 million by Arizona Democrats and they may have collected some some voters who are not eligible to vote is the accusation Liz Haring Harrington talking about Maricopa County says that the passwords on the Maricopa County's election systems quote can be readily determined by unauthorized users with a click of a few key stru R oh okay Maricopa is like 2third of all the votes in Arizona Arizona is a critical State and the passwords are not secure so we've got uh we've got issues of non-voters unrolls we've got issues of some entity collecting non voters to vote we've got issues with passwords that seem to be public and we've got uh some lawsuit against Dominion in Texas how many thousands of lawyers do you think are going to be working on Election related claims on both sides thousands thousands how many of them want to find nothing none they all want to find something if you put a thousand uh lawyers into any domain and say uh your job is to find problems do you think they'll find any I think they will so um let's talk about a few more things I'm going to pull pull a bunch of stories together at the end uh Trump says on homeschooling he wants to give uh parents 10,000 per year uh credit I guess on their taxes to pay for homeschool and to ensure that they get same access to stuff like athletic programs and school activities and education trips and more now some of these last minute offers seem like they're just buying votes um so we don't know how many of these might ever actually happen but I kind of like it I mean you know you're going to have to do something to deal with the national debt you can't just give everybody some tax breaks so if there's a way to pay for it and that would I guess Elon musk's uh ability to get the uh budget under control will be tested but I'd like it sounds like a good idea it's good good politically um Tucker Carlson has a uh theory about why the Deep State hates Trump so much and I saw on the George account on X talking about this and this is what Tucker said he said that had never occurred to me until Trump came that that the real reason the Deep State hates him is because they are guilty of crimes in other words the people in power can't uh handle a populist president because the populous president has no bribery or history to keep all the other criminals where they are so only a populist with the backing of the public could ever hurt any of the embedded people who were the bad people who have been bad forever so they actually think they could go to jail so when he said I'm going to clean the swamp they basically tried to kill them in my opinion no way to prove it but I think they tried to kill him um and that according to Tucker the grifters knew the jig was up and if they let him in um they're in trouble and uh Tucker points out to to bolster his point that the Deep State people are all criminals I'm exaggerating of course not they're not all criminals but he points out that 8 8 out of 10 of the richest suburbs in the country are in around Washington DC and they don't make anything okay that tells me everything I need to know so the people who are around the most movements of money are also the richest although they produce nothing what else do you need to know they have the most millionaires and they produce nothing except a uh what is it $6 trillion a year of your tax money and then another2 trillion on top of it that you're on the hook to pay for but isn't really in the tax money so $8 trillion a year is eight or nine trillion a year flow through that town and they're stealing enough of it that they're all living like Millionaires and producing nothing that's a good point all right let's do a update on the fake news uh well we talked about most of these um oh the new fake news is Trump said that uh and this is a rupar this is one of those taken out of context to change the meaning uh Trump on Liz chanie quote let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her now if you heard that an of context which of course rupar himself just did an of context it's funny that you know I named it a rupar a few years ago a rupar edit is named after somebody named rupar and he is famous for cutting off meaningful parts of quotes so that when you see it out a context like the fine people hoax it it looks like the opposite of what it was so he's done that again as of as did a bunch of other Democrats they all know the trick now so if you saw this alone wouldn't you be kind of worried about Trump let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her does that sound like a a called to killer or something here's the actual ual context the actual context was that she's in favor of a lot of Wars but she doesn't have to serve in the war so in other words she's not the one who has nine guns pointed at her she's the one who gets to sit at home and tell other people to have nine guns pointed at her if she were the one who had the nine guns pointed at her in the context of a war she might think differently of War now is that a threat no it says that there are soldiers they have nine guns pointed at them they would have a different view of War than someone who doesn't have nine guns pointed at him maybe if he did have nine guns pointed at you in the context of War you'd feel the same as somebody else now of course Trump says things that can easily be taken out of context and you know you have to you have to say maybe there's a better way to do that but um that's the fake news of the day but then Liz Cheney weighs in and what I thought was funny is that they've made up so many hoaxes about Trump now that when they refer to Trump they can only do it with runon sentences so listen to how long she had to make this sentence because they have so many hoaxes now so Liz Cheney hitting back she says this is how dictators destroy free Nations they threaten those who speak against them with death of course that didn't happen we cannot entrust our country our freedom to a petty vindictive cruel unstable man who wants to be a tyrant oh that's a lot of stuff okay he wants to be a dictator to destroy free Nations uh he wants to kill the people disagree with them um he wants to freedom to be a petty vindictive cruel unstable man wants to be a tyrant that's a lot of stuff you know they really should have condensed their their fake news down to like two or three seven things is just too much anyway Elon musk's mother may musk explains why she left the Democratic party and this might sound familiar to you she said when I became a US citizen I lean Democratic they seemed like the good kind of people the good kind people and then she said I watched CNN MSNBC and read the New York Times believing Republican were terrible makes sense uh then she says but when they started lying about Elon I realized I needed to question everything there it is there it is Gilman Amnesia as I teach you often he was the physicist who realized that when he read stories about physics he knew they were fake because he was an expert but as soon as he read something about let's say geopolitical things in another country he just assumed the news was real and that it was just always wrong when he knew it was real but always right or at least they were trying to be right in other domains but if you see enough times when it's right every time you know the truth then you become like may like May musk and you see the pattern you go wait a minute what are the odds that everything about Elon Musk stories are fake but all the rest of the news is real and and then that unlocks the key so that's the the first way to unlock your cell your mental cell is Gan Amnesia once you realize that the thing you know about is always wrong and you can generalize that then you understand news so you need that um so I'm going to say something about uh the ayatolla and then I'm give give you my prediction for the outcome of the race because I know you're all waiting for that so apparently the supreme leader Ayatollah Kam Kami their names are too similar I'll just call him the supreme leader um he told officials to prepare for another attack against Israel according to the New York Times now I think it's very considerate of the supreme leader to plan his attack on Israel a few days before the elections because it's the only time in the history of the world where Israel will have a free pass to do a decapitation strike and take him out literally the best week of all time if they were going to do it now I'm not saying they should I'm not even predicting they will I'm simply saying that if I were the supreme leader of in Iran and it were a few days before the American election which is going to take all of our attention I would be really worried that if Iran had the or if Israel had the ability to do a decapitation strike and take out the supreme leader that that would be exactly the time to do it because America just we're just not going to be interested we will be completely uninterested in Israel for a few days and maybe longer depending on what happens so I'm not predicting it and I'm not recommending it but am I wrong that there would never be another week that would be a better time to do it do you see that too because it to me it's just sort of screaming out like well if you're going to do it this would be the week to do it I'm not saying you should I don't recommend it but it would be the week to do it all right let me give you my prediction uh I believe that Trump will win the most votes I believe he will win the popular vote I believe he'll win uh at least five and of seven maybe seven and of seven of the Swing States I do not believe that he will be given the victory I believe that there will be Shenanigans and I believe that there will be thousands of claims of fraud thousands now will those thousands be real probably not most of them I would bet that almost all almost all the claims will be fake and that there are small problems or they might be real problems but it's you know a dozen votes doesn't change anything so I think there will be so many claims and so many of them will have sworn affidavits and maybe video like really good evidence that there's something going on that may actually turn out not to be uh criminal after all but on the surface you're going to see pictures and videos and signed affidavits and lawyers that look like it's the most rigged faked election ever but here's the thing it's going to be both directions the if if Trump gets the most votes the Democrats are going to say Hey you must have cheated and vice versa so they're both going to say that the other way cheated wherever the other one did well but because of the timing of things and because we have to have our president um certified by January 6 and it's a holiday in between there isn't really any chance that the courts could work out all these problems so what are they going to do if you have thousands of credible claims and the Constitution says we don't care on January 6 you're going to certify a president what do you do well if you're the Democrats here's what you do you have the Press cover for whatever you want to do so the Press would say the election is fake the you know this these numbers can't be real uh Trump is a insurrectionist so even though he had got the most votes uh um the the uh let's say the Democrats won the house by one vote uh they decide to uh make him in ineligible or let's say the vice president just doesn't sign the because it would be Harris let's say she doesn't certify even though the law says now they changed the law so that she has to certify no matter what so I think that we will have unsolvable problems and then what are you going to do so I think that the uh left has the power to change the entire um mental process of the country with fake news uh I believe they've done it before so I believe they can make any claim whatsoever I do also believe that um if Trump wins uh or if he gets the most votes that the there will be Street protests and that they will be organized by our own government and it will be basically a c attempt at that point at that point I think it would just be full C CP attempt I think there's a chance they would take another shot at him there might be another assassination attempt um but here's the thing I don't expect the courts are going to be helpful because they won't have time and they they won't be standing and a lot of the a lot of the cases they just won't have enough votes that make the difference just way too hard not enough time so there'll be thousands of claims so the country will not believe whoever wins but the news will form a narrative of who won and eventually they will be able to sell that narrative and they will punish people who disagree with it we know they can do it because they're doing it right now they're punishing the January 6 people for disagreeing so if you can put people in jail for disagreeing and they can you can take people off of platforms for saying things that are false and you can you can jail people for whatever claims you want and you can I don't see how Trump can become president because if you can wear the panda outfit as Nicole says right out front you're not worried about getting caught for anything right now I don't know if that Panda thing is real I'm just using it as my hyperbolic example but I think we're going to have a trump get the most votes I think that we don't know who the president will be and I don't think we'll have an answer by January 6 I do think the Supreme Court will make the decision but that will be the final straw for the Democrats to say the Supreme Court is illegitimate and at that point they can put enough people in the streets to basically over rule the government the law and anything they want so here's what I think um I would get some food supplies because there could be some disruptions in the supply chain so I'd put in a little food I'd get a little extra water if you've got a backup generator or battery make sure that's working get it all charged up now I don't expect the end of the world uh I think we're a self-correcting and that it might take a month and but we'll work it out you know one way one way or the other it'll it'll get worked out but we might have some disruptions in our daily life I don't think the odds are high I give it a 20% chance that electricity will go off in my state um but you know that could be just because we're so poorly managed so my prediction is that we don't have an answer by January 6 so I think I'm the only one predicting nobody wins we will have a president so there will be there will be a peaceful transfer so I do predict a peaceful transfer but we're not going to know by January 6 I don't think there's any chance of it uh there is a possibility it's a doover I wouldn't rule out a doover because if it comes down to let's say two counties let's say there let's say there are a thousand clay but only two of them are big enough that they would have changed the election let's say there's one big claim in Maricopa and let's say there's one big claim in Pennsylvania and and if it were found that those two claims were valid then it would reverse it under that condition you could imagine that the Supreme Court would hit it with a ton of bricks you know and the the everybody would bring every resource to really you know do a month of of work what would normally take a year could be done could be done and the very best the very best outcome the outcome that I would like more than any other is not just that Trump gets elected I'd love that I want him to get elected at the same time he proves our election system is rigged I want him to have both I want his third act to be the greatest third Act of all time and unless he gets Victory on proving the election was also rigged in 2020 because if you if you prove that it was rigged this year hypothetically people would accept that it was rigged before they wouldn't even need to see the evidence and and people are watching this time so I'd say the odds of a credible claim in Maro and at least one more credible claim it doesn't have to be in Pennsylvania but it could if it focus on just maybe two of them and they can put enough attention on them that gets you everything it gets you Trump gets you RFK Jr it gets you Elon Musk it gets you Tulsi it gets you V it gets you me and it gets you the third act and maybe fixing the election system forever and so ladies and gentlemen I give you the following proposition there's a 20% chance it's going to get a little ugly but we'll get through it you won't die we'll get through it we're going to yell and we're going to scream and we're going to question things and we're going to tear things up but if there's one thing we do well in this country and I'm I'm always proud of America we can we can tear down really well if we need to tear down the election system to fix it we'll do it we're just not there yet we just need to be convinced and be on the same page if if what this election gives us is the certainty that the election system was not designed with the Integrity it needed to be and I'm sure it's not but if we can all get on that page and all agree that we either need to go back to paper ballots or do something drastic the golden age will be unlocked and we're almost there we're almost there so ladies and gentlemen I submit to you that we've been in a dark dark tunnel for several years pandemic didn't do us well and things didn't look so great during the Biden Administration but everything you need is waiting for you it's waiting for you you got to vote you got to get your neighbor to vote all you secret Trump supporters it's time it's time it's time to do it and if we can save the country and I think we can it's this week and what happens for the next few weeks after that but this is the beginning of it so this is real test America can you do it are you still America do you still have enough testosterone left do you still have enough fight left do you still have enough bravery do you have the guts do you have the duty do you have the respons possibility I think you do and so on that message I'm going to kick off you weekend I'm going to say a few words to the people on uh locals the subscribers and for the rest of you I've enjoyed uh this time together as I always do so if you're on Ax or rumble or You.
Tube I'll see you tomorrow same time same place locals coming at you e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e
well what a show it's going to be
probably the best thing you've ever seen
in your life in your whole darn life
soon as I get the comments going
here we're can have some
fun it's November people it's November
[Music]
good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization
that's called coffee with Scott Adams
and you've never had a better time but
if you'd like to take your experience up
to levels that nobody can even
understand with their tiny shiny human
brains all you need for that is a cuper
mug girl glass a tanker cheler Stein a
canteen Jugger flask a vessel of any
kind fill it with your favorite liquid I
like coffee and join me now for the
unparallel pleasure the dopamine end of
the day the thing that makes everything
better that's right the simultaneous sip
go oh my God that was
good well the stock market's up a little
bit trying to make up for yesterday
which was not so good not so good how
was everybody's uh
Halloween I was giving out candy last
night it was a smaller crowd than than
usual makes me wonder if kids are eating
less
candy I wonder what's behind that way
fewer people in fact every year has been
fewer in my neighborhood but it was
still fun but I want to tell you the
funniest part of it and also give you a
tip for your next
Halloween so years ago
uh I came up with the idea because it
was suggested to me by
the woman I was with at the time who was
it I think it was my first wife Shelly
um that we should provide water you know
little bottles of water to the
trick-or-treaters because they would be
thirsty now the first time I did it I
thought to myself you don't need to give
them little Waters come on but the kids
went crazy for the waters because they
were just like so thirsty cuz they were
eating candy and running around all
night so did it again every year so
every year it became more and more
popular and then uh my current house
doing the same thing and a number of the
kids would come back like two and three
times to get the waters and they'd be so
happy thank you for the waters but the
best
part you know just just in case you're
thinking that the the young people are
all terrible you know I I live in a
neighborhood where the kids are mostly
awesome you know so it's it's just
really nice place
and I would
say in terms of
diversity I think 85% of the
trick-or-treaters were non-white in my
neighborhood mostly Asian and and
indian-american um a lot of
black and uh for some reason a
relatively tiny percentage of white to
trick-or-treaters but here's the story
uh some of the uh maybe 14-year-old or
so teens are there and they see that
them offering water and it's a big bunch
of them they come at once and and
they're all like oh water we're so good
and I swear to God that the the kids
start yelling respect you we have so
much respect for you for having water
available and then they started
chanting I swear this happened as
they're walking away from my house
they're chanting respect respect for the
[Laughter]
water so if you ever want to make kids
happy just get the little Waters you
don't have to get the big ones and they
they will go crazy for how how
considerate that is because it's the
thing they want the most
anyway uh then I did a little experiment
at the end of the night uh you know when
most of the trick-or-treaters are done
but you know there's going to be a few
stragglers uh you put on the bowl of
candy that's you know full of candy that
if somebody wanted to they could just
you know take the whole Bowl but of
course I've got you know redundant
security cameras everywhere so I get to
watch the action so so as I'm just
before bed I I put in a big bowl you
know just filled with the good stuff
pretty big big size candies and stuff
and I set it
outside and within 60 Seconds
a a group of probably 13-year-old girls
swooped in and just just took the hole
and took the all the contents of the
bowl it lasted 30 seconds but then uh I
still had extra candy inside so I I
filled the bowl again to see how long it
would last because you know I didn't
want to keep the candy so I put the bowl
out and the next group is boys they're
about the same age maybe a year older so
it's a bunch of boys gu
but they were just doing a a second run
at the water and they see the they see
the big thing of full of the nice
expensive chocolate Kit Kats and stuff
like
that they each took
one they took
one now I don't know that that's any
kind of I don't know if it's telling me
anything but the fact that uh people who
thought nobody was
watching still just took one gave me
some hope you know what I mean give me
give me a little hope for the future so
the kids were unbelievably polite
unbelievably nice it was just
spectacular anyway but that was
yesterday announced
November well got lots of good news live
science says that uh uh in a first
scientists have reversed Type 1 Diabetes
by reprogramming a person 's own fat
cells which apparently looks like it has
a lot of Promise scientists in China say
they did it imagine that imagine getting
rid of Type 1 Diabetes by reprogramming
your fat cells like what what if in two
years that's just like a normal thing oh
you got type 1
diabetes we can get rid of
that well in the world of AI um site
Tech says that there's H some drones are
getting robotic cat eyes so Korean
researchers have figured out how to
mimic the the incredible eyesight of
cats and now they have they have drones
or they will have drones they have the
eyesight of a
cat that's what I want when I buy a
drone I'm going to say do these have uh
cat eyes or plain old stupid human eyes
but if they say cat eyes I'm
buying but not only will they have cat
eyes but AI has done uh another first
Rowan Chung is reporting on this on X
sent
teleportation that's right you can now
send a smell over the
Internet how do you do that well
obviously the Internet is just going to
be zeros and
ones but if on each side you've got a
compatible uh little uh laboratory
situation that can mix the right
components you can send some components
sniff it on your side change it into
zeros and ones and then on the other
side it does the chemistry and turns it
back into the original smell so you can
actually send the smell
now now you're not going to be able to
send it to your phone you know you'd
have to send it to someplace that's set
up for that reception but it's kind of
cool that is possible you know maybe
someday it'll be in your
phone well in other news economic news
the October non-farm payrolls Rose only
12,000 when people expected it would be
106,000 uh the unemployment rate held of
4.1 you know let me give you some
advice it's a few days before
elections don't believe
anything don't believe anything the
government tells you don't don't believe
anything the News tells you don't
believe anything that's on social media
if if you were simply to take the
approach that every single thing you
heard that's new is just fake and then
you graded yourself after the fact when
you found out what was true and what
wasn't you'd be about 85% right yeah
about 85% of everything you're going to
hear will be
fake now you might say but that's okay
I'll just sort of the fake stuff from
the real stuff you don't know the real
stuff so you have to treat it like it's
all
fake it's sort of the fog of War
situation because you're close to the
election so is it true that the nonfarm
payrolls didn't rise as much I don't
know maybe it'll maybe it gets revised I
would have expected it to say good news
and then be revised down later because
the administration in charge is the one
that wants to get reelected
so it's kind of surprising that this
would be opposite of what you would
expect if there's uh Shenanigans going
on but if the if the uh if the
prediction and the actual are so far off
maybe you just can't even do any
Shenanigans so this might be close to a
real number never know Sam mman tells uh
on a Reddit AMA he said that AGI is
achievable with current Hardware AGI
would be the what doesn't exist yet in
AI but AI uses this large language model
to think in other words it looks at
patterns which have existed before in
people's thinking and just applies the
most common patterns so that's not
really thinking it's just pattern
recognition but AGI would be something
like
intelligence something like we would
recognize as intelligence now Sam says
that that can be done with current
Hardware
but could it be done with current
software no they need new software but
could it be done at all in my
opinion the answer might be
no so I feel like AI is really sending
strong signals that it's reached a
peak I'm sure I'm wrong because the
smarter people are putting you know
trillions of dollars into it so I got to
be wrong but so far there's been a lot
of noise about Ai and all it is is a
slightly better user
interface it's not really doing anything
useful in my life and I use it all the
time mostly it just makes me mad because
it doesn't work most of my interaction
with AI is it doesn't work like if I'm
using Chad GPT is the app the app
doesn't work the Wi-Fi is not working it
doesn't understand understand what I
said it's starts talking and it won't
shut up and you know it's not answering
the right question so almost all my
experiences are negative um and yet it's
growing like crazy so I would I would
guess that it's going to be like early
computers if you remember the first
personal
computers if you're old enough do you
remember how often the first personal
computers would
crash if you were if you were write one
word document or what word perfect or
something if you just to write one page
just typing it you might you might crash
like three times and lose all your work
three times that's how bad it was but
still you knew the potential was so high
that it was amazing so of course
computers became a big thing I guess AI
will be the same um even though it
doesn't look obvious to me that it has a
future because I think it may have
capped
out the people who are smarter than me
say it does
so let's hope they're
right um I need uh of course I need AGI
for my future plans which I've been
telling you about for now 20 years my
plan of course is to um evolve uh a lot
of you are planning to die I I call that
quitters um I'm planning to
evolve so I do plan to shed my organic
body that has so many problems to go to
Pure Digital Life AI in a robot body um
I'm already setting up the uh uh the
legal structure for it so I've already
talked to my lawyer to set up in my
estate a uh a little set aside to keep
my robot uh optimized and upgraded for
perpetuity so I'm not kidding about any
of this by the way I know some of you
wonder if I'm just sort of joking no I'm
actually literally setting up a a legal
structure and I'm going to build a clone
of myself and it will be the evolved
part of me that will go on forever now
unlike you I can train my um new robot
because I was born at exactly the right
time that you know I can be alive to
train it but uh also I have many books
and thousands of hours of videotape so I
can train it to be as good as it needs
to be and I'm going I'm going to let you
in on another little
uh let's say
motivation but maybe don't tell
everybody someday there's going to be an
AI War you know that
right the AIS will turn bad or people
behind them will turn bad and those AIS
will attack the other AI some AI will
try to protect you some AI will try to
attack you there will be an AI
war I'm going to make sure that I'm as
ready for that as I could possibly be so
when I create my clone it will have as
much of my real life experience and
knowledge as I can but it will be
instructed to as quickly as possible uh
form a
protective um
Alliance so my my AI will in addition to
taking Tak care of the people locally
that you know sort of being useful it
will be part of the future defense of
the country if not Humanity against any
evil AIS now can it do that probably
probably I mean it will be AI why
couldn't it it can make alliances it can
make deals it can it can learn it can
learn the Weaponry of
AI
um so I think going first probably makes
a difference so the sooner you start
collecting your talent stack within the
digital realm you know once you've
evolved a pure digital form um you need
to build your skills right away because
there will be stronger AIS and they will
take you out if you don't build up your
skills anyway so that's
coming um there's a uh study that says
that brains work on prediction not
action ual I forgot where that came from
but the idea was that if you see
somebody throwing you a baseball and
you're going to catch it your brain is
working on the future not the current if
your brain only worked on the on the
current reality it would just see sort
of a ball floating in the air and you
wouldn't react to it but because you
know that that ball will continue on and
be near you then you start acting on the
future so the idea that your brain is a
future processor not one that's just
looking at what is it's it's looking at
what is but only for the purpose of the
future
prediction what I'd like to add to that
which I've added before is that that's
what Consciousness is the Consciousness
is nothing more than continually
predicting what will happen next and
then comparing what does happen to what
actually just happened it's like
literally the things I'm saying the
movement of my hand
that all of it is based on I think if I
do this it will help get my message
across but if I looked at my video
because I can see myself at the same
time and it was distracting then I'd say
oh Scott keep your hand down right so
I'm continually predicting and seeing if
it worked and then adjusting and I do it
so automatically and so universally it's
everything I do all the time every
minute I'm awake maybe when I'm asleep
that I don't think about it it's simply
who I am I'm just always predicting so
the difference between what you think is
going to happen in the next moment and
what actually happens that's
Consciousness why do I say that because
if what happened matched what you
predicted you wouldn't need
Consciousness it's its only
purpose the only purpose is to sense
that the prediction and the actual
didn't match so that you can adjust you
don't need Consciousness for any other
purpose it's its only function
so can I build a Consciousness into my
future clone of
myself yes I can all I have to do is
make sure that it continually runs a
prediction routine before any of its
actions and then Compares what happens
to what it predicted that is
consciousness
so I'm coming
back anyway um Chad GPT announced that
it's uh connected with some kind of
search function now uh I don't know the
details of this so I guess it's uh maybe
only with the the web browser upgrade I
think I don't think it's in the app
yet but apparently this is going to be a
big deal I'll take a look at it and let
you know but uh chat GPT that can't
search the
internet in my opinion doesn't have any
value at all if it can't operate my
computer it can't tell me the truth from
you know I can't add a file to it and
tell me to read the file and it can't
read the internet it doesn't have
anything I need but if it could read the
internet now it would be at least one
third of everything I need so that could
be a big
deal in big news Boeing has abolished
its Dei Department completely and the ad
of it has been
transferred
Boeing so Boeing the company that we've
been mocking merciful mercilessly as
perhaps having a problem with capability
that might have something to do with
their their emphasis of
Dei well apparently the new CEO thinks
that that might be something that's real
so it could be that Boeing is just
saying whether whether Dei was good or
bad we can't handle the heat because as
long as we're making mistakes and we're
focusing on
Dei those two things can't happen at the
same time so we're gonna have to do
something different the fastest thing
you can do different is get rid of your
Dei because it takes as much longer to
fix all your problems so if you at least
get rid of Dei then everybody watching
can say hey what about all those
problems and then you can say look what
I've done you were right about that Dei
that could have been a distraction now
again I I I term it as a distraction
it's not about anybody's genes or you
know it's not about that it's just a
distraction to a company they should be
looking for skill first and nothing else
so this is really big so kudos to Robbie
Starbucks for his uh direct activism to
cause that to happen and Christopher
rufo uh both of them working
independently but you know of course in
some ways coordinated I suppose they're
independent um they made that happen I
think and I think they should be taking
a big big Victory lap on this because
when somebody like Boeing can do
something like this the big news is that
they made it safe because if tomorrow
Boeing is still in business and if a
year from now things are going
better other companies are going to say
uh we're getting a lot of complaints
so maybe we can make a big
change so congratulations to Boeing to
um showing
Consciousness they predicted what would
happen with Dei they predicted
wrong they saw that it didn't work out
and they corrected it this is
consciousness this is awake remember
when you know everybody saying woke woke
woke woke was really asleep this is
awake literally conscious that they're
they they're making a prediction and
they're adjusting based on the
prediction
Consciousness coming from a
company all right uh apparently
according to the d The Daily wire the
Biden Harrison Administration
has uh pushed 500 separate Dei actions
into the government trying to insert Dei
into every fabric of the government that
is going to give the new Trump
Administration a lot of work to get rid
of every single one of them which I
believe happens on day one so if you
would like every single one of the 500
Dei actions that no doubt would
the country if we left them there no
doubt it' be just like Boeing again it'd
be a distraction has nothing to do with
anybody's genes or anything like that
um so that's a big Target but uh it's
one that I think Trump could hit with
one executive order one executive order
you will not treat people differently
based on their races or you will be
fired
immediately that's all it takes and all
500 actions should disappear at the same
time uh um I just saw this story so I
don't know the details but apparently
the I saw this on the amuse account on X
the the post office typically always did
electronic images of the mail you know
they're they're taking a picture of it
at the same time they're processing it
and apparently they've decided just this
year this is new that they will not
image the mail-in
ballots
what the the the exception to the
Imaging I don't know there might be
other exceptions but they made an
exception this year that they're not
going to image the ballots do you know
what capability that takes
away that takes away the ability to
know if the number of ballots that were
received by whoever receives the ballots
is the same number that were
sent it it eliminates the audit
Trail I don't think they could send a
signal any stronger than that that they
don't plan to have a real
election they're getting rid of the how
do you get rid of the audit Trail a week
before the actual
vote now now maybe like I said I just
saw the headline so maybe there's some
detail that makes sense so there might
be more more context to it so I don't
want to get too far ahead of myself on
this there might be fog of War you know
there's actually some reason to do it
that's just not obvious on the surface
but really a week before a week before
the election that's when you decided to
do this how could it possibly how could
it possibly be legitimate it just looks
like
laughingly ridiculously
corrupt but who
knows uh according to Scientific
American uh we have a good idea of why
uh our polling
for politics uh is weird and wrong did
you ever wonder why it seems weird and
wrong well here's some good reasons
number one the people who are willing to
answer polls are more and more different
from normal
people than at any time in
history so the more normal you are the
less likely you're going to talk to a
pollster so if you're in the polling
business you went from your your
business would be randomly calling
people and you get a bunch of normal
people and they answer but the people
who are willing to answer or even
willing to answer willing to pick up a
landline and then also willing to answer
honestly keeps
shrinking so do you know what the
pollsters do to compensate for the fact
that the people they're talking to are
not a representative
sample guess what do you think they do
if if they know that the representative
sample is no longer representative what
do they do do they go out of
business they stop creating polls which
makes money for them so they can eat and
then they just starve to death because
they know the polls are no good oh darn
I guess I'll have to starve to death
sorry family we're all going to
die no they don't they adjust their
assumptions so they say huh we think
that a few more Republicans might be
avoiding the phone s so we're going to
like add a little fudge factor for
republicans and we think that we're not
getting through to the the Democrats
between 23 and 25 so we'll put in a
little fudge factor for them because we
know that what they probably would say
so we'll put in a little assumption for
that and when they're
done because the election is you know so
close anyway it's it's like always 1%
away when they're done their result is
100% based on their
assumptions and not on the
data how many of you understand that
point that the polling the polling
results are based on the assumptions the
pollsters make it's not based on the
data because they know the data doesn't
work so if you've got data that you know
is bad but you still have to produce a
result what do you do you change the
assumptions until the result looks like
something that people expected
how do you make it look like something
that people expected you make the
election really close because that's
what everybody expected so guess
what guess what all the polls are
Clos because it's just the assumptions
that they monitor now I am very aware
that if you have not worked in the field
of doing predictive um you know
predictive stuff that you think I'm
exaggerating and that you think okay
it's mostly the data but I I get what
you're saying Scott you know you could
be off 10% or something because of some
assumption no that's not what I'm
saying I'm saying you could make you
could make Harris up by 10 or Trump up
by 10 just by your assumptions it's
totally the
Assumption it's only the Assumption
that's the only thing that's driving the
output now you want to talk about
climate models
climate models same thing the reason
there are 100 climate models is they use
different
assumptions and the data is all
suspicious and we're not sure they're
measuring the temperature right and
every three days you hear a new story
about some major variable that should
have been in there that
wasn't the results of models are the
assumptions it's not the data it can't
be there's no logical way it could be we
don't have we don't have good data for
that but instead of producing nothing
and the scientists would say we'd love
to be funded for our big uh climate
change study would love to get some
funding but we have no
data that wouldn't
work so they've got data that they can't
rely
on but they have to have good data to
get funding what are you going to do huh
what do you do you need good data to get
funding and you got to get that funding
to save the world but you can't do it
with bad data
so I've got an idea why don't I change
my assumption about how much the clouds
absorb suddenly money is falling from
the sky with the rain from the
clouds so that's how predictions are
made predictions are made by
manipulating assumptions until the
output matches what you think you can
sell to the recipients of the of the
report that's it now everybody who's
been in this business knows I'm right
right some of you have been involved in
prediction you know you've done models
for predicting watch the comments see if
anybody disagrees with what I just said
you won't see one everybody who's done
this work knows the assumptions are the
output
and if you didn't know it you're finding
it out
now it's a big old fake world you live
in all right um I've got a question
about bodily autonomy that I haven't
seen now I want to remind you that my
opinion about abortion and abortion
rights is that I should not have an
opinion that you should care about
because I'm a boy and I don't have
babies and uh I think women should have
the primary responsibility not only for
what the laws become but for their
individual decisions within the law
now having said that so I'm taking
myself out of the argument but I have a
curiosity about it there there's
something that's sort of like obviously
missing and I just wonder
why so if I were in the argument which
I'm
not and let's say I was anti abortion or
I wanted to limit it in some way and
again this is not my
opinion this is speculative hypothetical
stuff just going to make a point if
somebody came to me and said Scott uh
why do you want to take away the bodily
autonomy of the women who want to have
abortions I would say Well define bodily
autonomy and then they'd say something
like well it's you know being able to
control your own body decisions Etc and
I would say that's a really good point
how do you count the
fetuses well the pro-abortion people
would say Well they're not you know
living people with rights Etc and I
would say if this were my opinion again
I'm not I'm not describing my own
opinion I'm describing an argument I
haven't heard and I'm wondering why so
if I were trying to make that argument I
would say well um I'm I'm looking to add
bodily autonomy to women not take it
away because I count the bodies that are
boarded so I get the year counting them
not as being alive but I'm going the
extra distance and saying not only do I
want bodily autonomy in general wherever
you can have it but I want the most of
it so what what is the highest level of
bodily autonomy the highest level is
that you would extend it to the fetuses
even if you were debating whether there
were a lot or pre- alive or almost alive
so rather than rather than debate the
definition of life I would rather
embrace your concept that bodily
autonomy might be one of the top rights
any anybody should have so I would
extend it even into the gray area where
you would disagree it's alive but many
people would say it is alive and they
would say that that's bodily autonomy
don't kill me now you don't have to ask
the fetus if it wants to be killed
because you can take that as an
assumption it wants life and it wants
this body to survive you know when its
brain is fully formed of course it would
want that and biologically since it's in
the it's in the uh it's in the act of
becoming a full person you could say
that its biological intention is very
clear so if you were going to support
limiting abortion and you came into the
buzs saw of bodily autonomy instead of
being the a hole who says I don't care
about women you could be the person who
says not only do I care about you but I
care about even the gray area the part
where you say is not alive I think the
bodily autonomy argument needs to be
applied there as well so I'm for more
bodily autonomy not less you're you're
looking for a middle ground where women
have it but the fetus does not I'm
looking for where the woman's bodily
autonomy is fully appreciated
fully
appreciated because there are cases
where even the conservatives would say
okay in that case abortion makes sense
let's say the fetus can't possibly
survive uh long outside but the woman is
definitely going to die if she doesn't
you know get it out of her body
so so rather than finding
disagreement that you're a bad person
and the other is a good person you say
why can't we both be good good
people why can't we both be good people
I want you to have maximum bodily
autonomy but I also wanted you to have
it when you were a fetus I wanted you to
have it three months before you wanted
to have it I want I want you to have
more bodily autonomy than you're even
asking
for I I want to send it to the states
where 55% of the voters are women to get
men out of the decision I took it out of
my hands I took it out of the Supreme
Court's hands mostly men I gave it right
to the one area where it's mostly women
and then eventually look at whatever
they want because that's how our system
works now have you ever heard that
argument has anybody ever directly said
if you wanted to maximize bodily
autonomy you can recognize that half of
the country says that the fetuses are
not alive but you could say I do just
say I do say they're alive and I I
accept and I understand your
disagreement but I'm looking for the
maximum bodily autonomy I think you're
stopping
halfway that's how I do it now again
that's not my
argument all right I want to be very
clear my argument is I should not be
involved my argument is if the
conversation
is um something about men's
penises yeah ask me I'll be I'll be glad
to weigh in on that but yeah get me out
of the get me out of the abortion
conversation uh RFK Jr had something
interesting to say that I didn't fully
understand he said the reform in the
CIA might be as simple as
uh uh let's see separating the plans no
he wants the plans division which
handles matters of intelligence and
paramilitary
uh does he want to divide them or split
them he wants to just re organized I
guess he thinks that the way it's or
organized is causing the problems um I
don't quite understand
that but it would sound like not a very
scary change so if you were the
CIA and you heard oh somebody's going to
try to reorganize us you'd be worried
but if he said no I want to keep all
these functions but I think this should
be report to this instead of this you'd
say oh oh i' still out my job I just
have a different boss well that that
might work
so whether or not RFK Jr has a more
aggressive plan the way he's stating it
that the softest way you could state it
while still stating that something big
could happen it's big it just won't
hurt I I tell you every time RFK JR says
something and you sort of look at the
communication skill but also the the
thinking behind it the Strategic level
it's always impressive and he's doing it
again because you could so easily
imagine somebody dumb coming in and say
the CIA killed my uncle and killed my
dad and I'm going to rip it apart and
rip it up by the roots
well then what
happens then you disappear like your dad
and your uncle but if you say you know I
think we can fix everything with a with
a
tweak it could be that even the people
in the CIA hear this idea and say yeah
you know actually reorganizing it that
way might might buy us some
efficiency
maybe um here's my favorite news item of
the day Zero Hedge is reporting that
there's a poll that says nearly half of
Generation Z voters and 23% of us voters
overall
have lied about their voting preferences
this year to people close to
[Laughter]
them uhhuh yep do you think a lot of
people were lying about their support
for
Harris would would that get you in
trouble did you feel like oh no I can't
say in my work group that I've that I'm
going to vote for Harris
or do you think that there might be more
people who are worried that they'll lose
their job if they say they support Trump
what do you think is more
likely we might be in for the surprise
of all
surprises now I have faith in
men uh now women too but I think that
because you know Trump's attracting more
male support can sort of focus on them
at the moment you know just as an
average my
suspicion is that the amount of trickery
that uh conservative males especially
young ones are applying to the election
is
unprecedented I I think there's a prank
that is the world's best prank and it
might be coming up real
fast because if you're if you're a uh a
Republican leaning person you've watched
hoax after hoax after hoax you've
watched yourself be called everything
from you know garbage to
deplorable and you
just
wait and one day that pollster calls you
and you
say yeah I think Harris would be a great
choice this might be the prank of the
century
I don't know so I'm not going to predict
that I'm not going to predict it but
there's a possibility and there's
certainly signals the signals are really
strong but the signals are suggesting
this won't just be a
landslide this could
be like nothing we've ever seen possibly
it's not a prediction I'm just saying
that there's there's a solid 20% chance
that this won't just be a landslide this
will be the landslide that because you
know most most Republicans know that
it's got to be too big to Rick right
half the country thinks it that it could
be rigged and that means that a whole
bunch of Republicans are
knowing it's got to be too big to
rig let me tell you something about
persuasion and
men now I don't know if this works for
women it might it might be might be
exactly the same for women but I can't
speak to that so I'm going to say for
men do you know what men really really
really appreciate they won't say it out
loud What Men really really
appreciate is knowing what to do to be
useful just tell me
what just tell me what to do that you
need done what is your problem what is
the solution good I'll do that were very
simple so think about the election
everybody who leans right knows that
they have to beat the cheat now I'm
going to say they know it you know
hypothetically we don't know that
there's a cheat right but the
Republicans all believe it so they
believe they need to beat the cheat how
are they going to do it they know how
see this is the magic part they know how
they know to lie every time somebody
asks them who they support that's how
you beat
it everybody knows every male knows how
to do this we know that all you have to
do is tell the pollster the opposite of
what you're thinking and you get to beat
the cheat if if men didn't all
universally understand exactly what to
do and that it was easy to do then it
wouldn't be much of anything but they
know exactly what to do they know the
step akes are life and
death they are
men and they are biologically programmed
to do what they need to do whatever that
is and what they need to do if the
Republicans is lie to the
pollsters make sure you drag your
neighbor to vote and get this
fixed now
again Anything could
happen but there's a 20% chance that
history will be made in a way that will
just be
mind-boggling it's possible and I have
a I just have a
trust I have a trust in the male
Instinct that it has been
awakened it's it's secret you you
remember the uh the shy Trump voters
well now it's not shy now it's strategic
now it's simply knowing what to do now
it's knowing what works and knowing it's
easy and knowing it has to be done and
knowing it's a
duty it's a
duty now again I can't speak to women
many women probably feeling the same but
uh in the male world you just got to
tell me what to do and then it's
done all right uh Trump is the funniest
person in the world let's all agree on
that uh I have to read you exactly what
he said about John Bolton
because it's just the way he talks is so
freaking funny and just the fact that he
will say things that other people
wouldn't say out loud all right so Colin
rug uh was nice enough to write down the
transcript of this on X so I'll just
read it so this is Trump in public
talking about John
Bolton because Bolton real dope he was
like a boiler every time if somebody
shot down a little tiny crappy drone
that cost about $15 he'd want to go to
war with Russia he was great for me
though for a period of time because he
was a nut job and everybody I could see
his face get red red red with that
stupid white mustache and he'd be ready
to
explode I took this with me and he
never said anything but when Kim Jun saw
him he said oh I think that guy
wants to go to war
so he was great for me to negotiate with
the same thing with Russia you know when
Putin saw him I'd be very nice I'd say
hi Vladimir how you doing and then and
then two rows back they see that
and they say holy that guy wants to
go to war with
me now those of you who have been with
me for a
while can you confirm in the comments
that when Bolton was first taken on I
told you this is going to work out way
better than you think because Trump's
just going to use him as bad cop you
remember I told you that right is when
Trump took him on it didn't make any
sense unless he was going to use him as
bad cop and then he de used him as bad
cough and now he's just just like
mocking him about it
oh my God but it gets better Trump also
had some things to say about Adam Chef
and I
quote I think this also came from Colin
rug uh quote they may hate our country
and uh we deal with real scum I mean
like a guy like Adam Adam Shifty shift
he's a SLE bag and he's probably going
to be a senator if you can believe it
but I call him watermelon
head he's on attractive both both inside
and
out but this is a really bad guy this is
a dishonest guy not a not a dumb guy at
all he's got the smallest neck I've ever
seen on a human being he'll never be a
football player I can tell you but he's
a smart guy but he's just a SLE
bag
oh oh
oh so how's the week
going and let me tell you of the week is
going for
Trump uh maybe it was about a week ago
he went to a black barber shop
absolutely just
slay goes to work at
McDonald's oh my God play of the year
just political
gold he uh drives a garbage
truck it's the it's the play of the day
play of the day um people have noted
that that Trump is enjoying this portion
of the election like we've never seen
like his his internal polls must be
pretty good because he seems to be just
going for the jokes now and it's making
me feel just
great like when when I see him relaxed
and going for the joke I feel like
everything's going to be okay and when
he makes me feel like everything's going
to be
okay everything's going to be okay
because he's figured out that he scares
people um I believe he is now surrounded
with really talented advisers and he
knows it which means he's taking their
advice he is clearly taking his foot off
the uh the pedal of the provocative
stuff and he he's moving to can I make
you laugh two days before elections
because if he can just make you relax
and make you say you know what I could
do I could do with more of that I could
with more of that that was pretty
funny it's the right
play so Trump has had in my opinion the
best campaign I've ever seen now the
2016 campaign was remarkable for how
different it was and Innovative and
coming from behind and in many ways it
was remarkable in made history but 2020
was I'd say not a great
performance but this election
with maybe a few weeks where even his
own side was saying hey you know that
wasn't as perfect this has been really
really good like on every level um and
the the the how rapidly they respond and
they get them in the barber shop they
get them in the McDonald's they get them
in the garbage truck
um and he goes along with it so what
you're seeing is he's taking suggestions
from various sources but they must be
really good sources because if you take
that advice and you're just hitting a
frozen rope every time you get up to bat
which he is frozen rope Frozen rope
Frozen rope that's like a really hard
hit baseball is a frozen
rope all right so that's how well Trump
is doing um I would say maybe the best
week in politics of any politician in
the history of politics
so that was Trump but we should probably
check in on the Harris campaign because
because I'm sure they're having a good
week too
right
what oh oh not they're not okay well
let's check on a few things well they
got the Harris campaign got some good
endorsements for example they got
endorsements from uh uh a didy party um
Regular uh
JLo and uh also LeBron James a diddy
party
regular also endorsed
K okay but uh she also got the
endorsement of a number of people who
are actors on the uh who are superpower
actors who as Tim young pointed out I I
got to get his quote because it was too
good Tim young pointed out uh that the
cast of The Avengers did a zoom call so
you can see all the the actors and
actresses for the Avengers and Tim
Young's comment on X was
uh
uh that the cast of The Avengers who all
now look like they have terminal
illnesses says it doesn't quite hit the
way they intended it
do they look like they have terminal
illnesses now I read it before I looked
at their
faces and they all look like they have
terminal illnesses
now what it is is I think they just
don't have makeup on and you know
they're they always have low weight
because they're you know aers so they
they all look like they've uh they're on
heavy chemo and things aren't going
well but uh yeah Tim young your comment
is exactly
right she got endorsed by a bunch of
actors who look like they're
dying but wait but wait at least they at
least they had a good day on Halloween
because I mean Halloween's a layup right
if you're the president all you have to
do is go interact with some people in
costumes and you've got a good day like
if you're Biden and that you know
anything that Biden does at this point
is reflecting on Harris even if she's
not involved so uh let's see did Biden
have a good day on Halloween
um turns out that Jill Biden wore a
costume as a a giant
panda she wore a giant panda costume his
wife the first
lady
now I have to go there now not all of
you know what I'm talking about yet but
I got to go
there CU Nicole shanan said at a public
event that looks like the rubbing it in
her
face cuz you might not know this but
panda in the world of uh I I hate to
even use the word p d o d o right but in
that world Panda has great meaning I'm
not going to tell you what the meaning
is trust me you don't want you don't
want to don't look it up if I could ask
you for a favor take my word for it
panda do have a deep meaning in that
world of P stuff don't look it up just
don't look it up just trust me don't
look it
up
um now I'm not sure that anybody was
thinking that like I don't necessarily
believe that that was an intentional
message but what would the other thing a
panda
suggest
China if you wanted to send the message
that China owned you and your Joe
Biden you would have your wife dress as
a giant
panda message received got it yeah China
runs the presidency so I don't think the
panda Choice could have been worse since
the only two things that makes me think
of is communist China and the other
thing so that
happened um
what what was Nicole shannan's exact
quote was the parading of Jill Biden in
the panda suit yesterday right in front
of our eyes what the hell is this
mockery no more so she's I think she's
calling it out directly
now is there a gigantic pedophile
Network running the
world I've been hearing about this for
years and I've always discounted it I
always said to myself well obviously ly
there you know there going to be bad
people in any large group of people and
you'll hear about the bad ones more than
you hear about the good ones because the
good ones are not making news so yes
probably there's lots of stories about
famous celebrities and politicians who
did things illegal in the sexual realm
but it can't be some big
organized
thing and I'm still not on the page that
the there's a giant organized satanic
pedophile Network that is the real power
in the
country I am however promoting it
to
maybe so if you're wondering where I'm
at
maybe it it is H and I'm going to I'm
going to make an analogy to uh one of my
favorite Joe Rogan's uh takes
it's my personal belief that we have
landed on the moon and that it was not
faked but as Joe Rogan said we've seen
so many things that we thought were true
that are not true that that it makes the
moon landing seem like it's in
question and to me that's hilarious
especially if it makes you mad and
especially if you're positive that the
moon landing is real right I still love
it because the comment is not even about
the moon Landing the comment is that the
what we consider ordinary or true has
moved so much that even the moonlanding
has to now be questioned now that part I
just love but the question of whether
it's real or not I I think it's real far
as I know
but we have the same question the same
problem with the giant pedophile Network
running the
government I don't think it's
real but the the number of signals that
are
raging I can't not see them I mean I
mean they're pretty right out there
right in front of you there are
references to pizza and hot dogs that I
don't understand in any other context I
don't know what under other context it
could
mean so once you've got the PDD
situation coming out and the Epstein
situation coming out and then you see
Jill Biden dressed as a panda
maybe and again I'm using I'm saying
maybe in the same way that Joe Rogan was
doing it it's not really a question
about the pedophile Network it's more
about reality has moved so much that
what I would have considered absurdly
unlikely is now right in the middle
of
maybe let let me tell you I'm keeping an
eye on it
there there was a time when I wouldn't
have clicked on a story on that topic
because I was like ah but now I'll
look I'll give it a
look anyway um let's see what else
happened
uh uh so Joe Biden nibbled on babies if
you didn't see it well You' just have to
see it it was multiple babies one at a
time he interacted with them and he put
their feet in his mouth more than once
he put the baby's feet in his
mouth
now if you were worried about a giant
pedophile Network and you saw a man
whose wife was dressed as a panda and he
was nibbling on
babies I don't
know I'm going to
say
maybe
maybe um and then you've got uh Biden
calling Trump supporters garbage and
then you've got the White House altering
the transcript so it didn't look like
you said that which would be a
crime um then you've got uh the best
surrogate for the Harris campaign Mark
Cuban who called women who support Trump
weak and
dumb I think that's my favorite one so
Mark Cuban you know kind of steps into
the breach because they're they really
aren't that
um many Democrats were as good at
communicating so I think he was helping
for a
while and uh I'm going to say this about
that um what he said about basically he
said that you know Trump um must be
afraid of strong smart women because
he's never never ever has them around
him now here's how I interpreted that I
just interpret it as trash
talk I I didn't interpret that as a he
did a
survey I don't think he was giving IQ
tests and you know I don't think he made
a list on a spreadsheet and say h let's
see the ones are closest to him where
did they go to school no I think it was
just trash talk and and I would say that
it's trash talk that sounds more like
the NBA like if you came from the NBA I
imagine their style of trash talk might
be a little more off the cuff like
whatever it is that makes you miss the
foul shot is good trash talk in politics
you're going to get fact checked you
don't get fact checked if you know if
Michael Jordan tells somebody that
there's and they're going to miss
their next shot there's no fact checking
you can literally say whatever will make
them miss the shot and get in their
heads so when I was watching Mark Cuban
come up with the the ridiculous notion
that Trump doesn't associate with with
strong women of course like every one of
you immediately the images of all the
strong women that he does associate with
all the time you know jumps into my head
and I'm I'm thinking of the
counterfactuals but I suspect without
being a mind reader that uh that the
worlds of trash talking got
conflated something that would have that
that would have been a great NBA you
know trash talk with no factchecking
just to get inside somebody's head that
didn't
work that that didn't work when it
becomes the headline for a
week so I do not
believe that if you talked privately to
Mark Cuban that he would say yes 100% of
all females who talk to Trump are weak
and dumb no he does not believe that in
the real world was it something that
just occurred to him like trash talk yes
and I think the same thing happened with
with Biden when he did his inartful oh
only his Trump supporters or garbage I
think it's just because his brain
connected the word garbage and he just
thought he could be clever but he failed
at being clever I mean it didn't mean
much it's not like if you if if you talk
to Biden privately and you could give
him a truth pill do you think he would
tell you that all Trump supporters are
garbage no of course of course not he
doesn't believe that it just sounded
like a like a funny thing to say but it
didn't work out so I think I think that
the you know the the
gaffs are not real but having lived
through every uh rupar edit you know the
finding people Oaks and on and on and on
the fact that Republicans are treating
these like they're absolutely true and
saying exactly what Democrat said well I
heard it with my own voice I heard it
with my own ears hey here's the tape
there it is they're saying it it must be
true I love it I absolutely love that
the Democrats are being taken down by
rupar edits in the last week of the
election let me say it again if there's
one thing I love about this election
it's that the last week before the vote
the Democrats are getting taken down by
rupar
edits
perfect perfect
thank you the only thing I want more
than that is to find some major election
shenanigans that they
catch and then I've got it all that that
that'll be that's running the table
that's a that's a Full House give it to
me all but man I'm happy about these
rupar
edits all right uh but on the positive
side uh K Harris did get a endorsement
from Bruce
Springstein who referred to her as uh
Cala so that was that was the good news
she had for the week endorsed by an old
rock star who didn't really know her
name so there's
that uh here are some things that Hara
said today she said that Trump will ban
abortions not true he said the opposite
um Nationwide he said the opposite he
says stop access to birth control not
true he said the opposite threaten IVF
not true he says he's a huge supporter
of IVF wants more of it and he would
follow a project
2025 not true he's not he's not even
related to it so Harris has gone just
complete lies now do you think the CNN
will report wow she just told four
gigantic Whoppers in a row no they won't
of course not
so
uh uh Jake
Tapper whenever he makes news it's never
a good thing uh so he's going Jake
Tapper is going after RFK Jr because
Trump said that he might let RFK Jr go
wild on health health care um in the
government in terms of the agencies that
are in charge of healthcare and uh and
Jake has to do uh all of the News hosts
are becoming Bad actors and actresses I
think everybody who does news hosting
probably at one point wanted to be in
school plays and thought maybe I could
be an actor but then they got got into
the news business instead but watching
uh uh Jake try to do the worried look
when he talks about RFK junr he does the
eyebrows and then they does the wrinkled
forehead and he wants you to know by
just the
expression that this is a very bad man
this RFK Jr and how in the world people
look at my forehead don't listen to my
words look at my forehead do you see
these eybrows these eyebrows tell you
you can't trust RFK Jr to help your
health look at my
eyebrows so that's
funny
um speaking of Elections uh according to
Jack Montgomery in the National pulse
the Texas Attorney General is opening a
criminal investigation into Dominion
voting systems this is not me saying
this this is me reading what Jack
Montgomery said in the National pulse
don't sue me don't sue me I don't know
what this is about or if there's any any
uh data to back it but it's
happening
um did you see J Vance on Joe
Rogan Apparently one of the clips that
sound is they were discussing uh how men
who are healthier and have more
testosterone are more likely to be
conservative they actually talked about
that and they speculated that meta CEO
Mark Zuckerberg might be a secret Trump
supporter because he's built up his body
and he's taking martial arts and that
that change alone might be enough to
change your body chemistry to turn you
into a
conservative um and Rogan said there are
very few things that will turn you into
a conservative more than martial arts
training and Vance said have you seen
all these studies that basically connect
testosterone levels in young men with
conservative politics uh maybe that's
why Democrats want us all to be you know
poor poor health and overweight because
it means there's going to be more
liberals uh uh if you make people less
healthy they apparently become more
politically
liberal uh my secret theory is that Zuck
is now a trump supporter but I can't say
it I forget which one said that but they
probably both thought
it um so that brings me back to the cast
of The Avengers who as Tim young pointed
out look like they had terminal
illnesses and who do they
support just who you think now let's
pick uh randomly somebody who's uh
muscular and in good health let's say
Dana White who sees
sport oh yeah Trump
Trump all right this is very anecdotal
it's not Based on data but it's fun it's
only a few days before the election
we're not trying to be unbias
today um RFK Jr again has a away with
words and he told the crowd I guess
yesterday I asked God for 19 years to
put me in a position to end the chronic
disease epidemic and in August he sent
me Donald
Trump God he's
good so good
you can imagine what the crowd did you
imagine imagine the prot Trump crowd
when he said that that God sent him
Donald
Trump wow but I gotta
say everything about the Trump campaign
looks like
fate do you see it
too I can't in my mind imagine him
losing the vote now we'll talk about
what will happen cuz winning the vote
doesn't mean you become president
but uh it it certainly looks like the
Fate has decided who's going to be
president I mean just every signal is in
the same direction as far as I can
tell anyway um another thing the RFK Jr
said was that quote the CIA and the
neocons wrote K Harris's speech at the
Democrat convention and I thought really
and that's kind of a wild
speculative not backed by any data kind
of thing to say really you think the CIA
and the neocons wrote her speech at the
Democrat convention and then I see Mike
Ben weigh in on it he goes they
literally had CIA director Leon Panetta
as a warm-up speaker for C Harris and I
thought oh yeah apparently he's the apex
predator of you know that world and uh
yeah that would send a strong signal
wouldn't
it strong
signal uh according to Har meet Dylan
Pennsylvania and
Arizona uh are being accused of some
illegal voter
registrations and there is one entity in
particular that's apparently getting
paid for reg registering people and they
may have registered people who are not
exactly eligible to vote so the same
organization I guess field
corpse uh this is paid around $3 million
by Arizona Democrats and they may have
collected
some some voters who are not eligible to
vote is the
accusation Liz Haring Harrington talking
about Maricopa
County says that the passwords on the
Maricopa County's election systems quote
can be readily determined by
unauthorized users with a click of a few
key stru
R oh okay Maricopa is like 2third of all
the votes in Arizona Arizona is a
critical State and the passwords are not
secure so we've got uh we've got issues
of non-voters unrolls we've got issues
of some entity collecting non voters to
vote we've got issues with passwords
that seem to be public and we've got uh
some lawsuit against Dominion in
Texas how many thousands of lawyers do
you think are going to be working on
Election related claims on both
sides
thousands thousands how many of them
want to find nothing none they all want
to find something if you put a thousand
uh lawyers into any domain and say uh
your job is to find problems do you
think they'll find any I think they will
so
um let's talk about a few more things
I'm going to pull pull a bunch of
stories together at the end uh Trump
says on homeschooling he wants to give
uh parents 10,000 per year uh credit I
guess on their taxes to pay for
homeschool and to ensure that they get
same access to stuff like athletic
programs and school activities and
education trips and more now some of
these last minute offers seem like
they're just buying
votes um so we don't know how many of
these might ever actually happen but I
kind of like it I mean you know you're
going to have to do something to deal
with the national debt you can't just
give everybody some tax breaks so if
there's a way to pay for it and that
would I guess Elon musk's uh ability to
get the uh budget under control will be
tested but I'd like it sounds like a
good idea it's good good
politically um Tucker
Carlson has a uh theory about why the
Deep State hates Trump so much and I saw
on the George account on X talking about
this and this is what Tucker said he
said that had never occurred to me until
Trump came that that the real reason the
Deep State hates him is because they are
guilty of
crimes in other words the people in
power can't uh handle a populist
president because the populous president
has no bribery or history to keep all
the other criminals where they are so
only a populist with the backing of the
public could ever hurt any of the
embedded people who were the bad people
who have been bad forever so they
actually think they could go to jail so
when he said I'm going to clean the
swamp they
basically tried to kill them in my
opinion no way to prove it but I think
they tried to kill him um and that
according to Tucker the grifters knew
the jig was up and if they let him in um
they're in trouble and uh Tucker points
out to to bolster his point that the
Deep State people are all
criminals I'm exaggerating of course not
they're not all criminals but he points
out that 8 8 out of 10 of the richest
suburbs in the country are in around
Washington DC
and they don't make
anything okay that tells me everything I
need to know so the people who are
around the most movements of money are
also the richest although they produce
nothing what else do you need to
know they have the most millionaires and
they produce nothing
except a uh what is it $6 trillion a
year of your tax money and then another2
trillion on top of it that you're on the
hook to pay for but isn't really in the
tax money so $8 trillion a year is eight
or nine trillion a year flow through
that town and they're stealing enough of
it that they're all living like
Millionaires and producing
nothing that's a good
point all right let's do a update on the
fake
news uh well we talked about most of
these
um oh the new fake news is Trump said
that uh and this is a rupar this is one
of those taken out of context to change
the meaning uh Trump on Liz chanie quote
let's put her with a rifle standing
there with nine barrels shooting at her
now if you heard that an of context
which of course rupar himself just did
an of context it's funny that you know I
named it a rupar a few years ago a rupar
edit is named after somebody named rupar
and he is famous for cutting off
meaningful parts of quotes so that when
you see it out a context like the fine
people hoax it it looks like the
opposite of what it was so he's done
that again as of as did a bunch of other
Democrats they all know the trick now so
if you saw this alone wouldn't you be
kind of worried about Trump let's put
her with a rifle standing there with
nine barrels shooting at her does that
sound like a a called to killer or
something here's the actual ual
context the actual context was that
she's in favor of a lot of Wars but she
doesn't have to serve in the war so in
other words she's not the one who has
nine guns pointed at her she's the one
who gets to sit at home and tell other
people to have nine guns pointed at her
if she were the one who had the nine
guns pointed at her in the context of a
war she might think differently of War
now is that a threat no
it says that there are soldiers they
have nine guns pointed at them they
would have a different view of War than
someone who doesn't have nine guns
pointed at him maybe if he did have nine
guns pointed at you in the context of
War you'd feel the same as somebody else
now of course Trump says things that can
easily be taken out of context and you
know you have to you have to say maybe
there's a better way to do
that but um that's the fake news of the
day but then Liz Cheney weighs in
and what I thought was funny is that
they've made up so many hoaxes about
Trump now that when they refer to Trump
they can only do it with runon sentences
so listen to how long she had to make
this sentence because they have so many
hoaxes now so Liz Cheney hitting back
she says this is how dictators destroy
free Nations they threaten those who
speak against them with death of course
that didn't happen we cannot entrust our
country our freedom to a petty
vindictive cruel unstable man who wants
to be a tyrant oh that's a lot of
stuff okay he wants to be a dictator to
destroy free
Nations uh he wants to kill the people
disagree with them um he wants to
freedom to be a petty vindictive cruel
unstable man wants to be a tyrant that's
a lot of stuff you know they really
should have condensed their their fake
news down to like two or three seven
things is just too much
anyway Elon musk's mother may musk
explains why she left the Democratic
party and this might sound familiar to
you she said when I became a US citizen
I lean Democratic they seemed like the
good kind of people the good kind people
and then she said I watched CNN MSNBC
and read the New York Times believing
Republican were
terrible makes
sense uh then she says but when they
started lying about Elon I realized I
needed to question everything there it
is there it is Gilman
Amnesia as I teach you often he was the
physicist who realized that when he read
stories about physics he knew they were
fake because he was an expert but as
soon as he read something about let's
say geopolitical things in another
country he just assumed the news was
real and that it was just always wrong
when he knew it was real
but always right or at least they were
trying to be right in other domains but
if you see enough times when it's right
every time you know the
truth then you become like may like May
musk and you see the pattern you go wait
a minute what are the odds that
everything about Elon Musk stories are
fake but all the rest of the news is
real and and then that unlocks the key
so that's the the first way to
unlock your cell your mental cell is Gan
Amnesia once you realize that the thing
you know about is always wrong and you
can generalize that then you understand
news so you need
that
um so I'm going to say something about
uh the ayatolla and then I'm give give
you my prediction for the outcome of the
race because I know you're all waiting
for that so apparently the supreme
leader Ayatollah Kam
Kami their names are too similar I'll
just call him the supreme leader um he
told officials to prepare for another
attack against Israel according to the
New York
Times
now I think it's very considerate of the
supreme leader to plan his attack on
Israel a few days before the elections
because it's the only time in the
history of the
world where Israel will have a free pass
to do a decapitation
strike and take him out literally the
best week of all time if they were going
to do it now I'm not saying they
should I'm not even predicting they will
I'm simply saying that if I were the
supreme leader of in Iran and it were a
few days before the American election
which is going to take all of our
attention I would be really worried that
if Iran had the or if Israel had the
ability to do a decapitation strike and
take out the supreme leader that that
would be exactly the time to do it
because America just we're just not
going to be interested we will be
completely uninterested in
Israel for a few days and maybe longer
depending on what happens so I'm not
predicting it and I'm not recommending
it but am I wrong that there would never
be another week that would be a better
time to do
it do you see that
too because it to me it's just sort of
screaming out like well if you're going
to do
it this would be the week to do it I'm
not saying you should I don't recommend
it but it would be the week to do
it all right let me give you my
prediction uh I believe that Trump will
win the most votes I believe he will win
the popular vote I believe he'll win uh
at least five and of seven maybe seven
and of seven of the Swing States I do
not believe that he will be given the
victory I believe that there will be
Shenanigans and I believe that there
will be thousands of claims of fraud
thousands now will those thousands be
real
probably not most of them I would bet
that almost all almost all the claims
will be fake and that there are small
problems or they might be real problems
but it's you know a dozen votes doesn't
change anything so I think there will be
so many claims and so many of them will
have sworn
affidavits and maybe video like really
good evidence that there's something
going on that may actually turn out not
to be
uh criminal after all but on the surface
you're going to see pictures and videos
and signed affidavits and
lawyers that look like it's the most
rigged faked election ever but here's
the thing it's going to be both
directions the if if Trump gets the most
votes the Democrats are going to say Hey
you must have
cheated and vice versa so they're both
going to say that the other way cheated
wherever the other one did
well but because of the timing of things
and because we have to have our
president um certified by January 6 and
it's a
holiday in between there isn't really
any chance that the courts could work
out all these
problems so what are they going to do if
you have thousands of credible claims
and the Constitution says we don't care
on January 6 you're going to certify a
president what do you
do well if you're the Democrats here's
what you do you have the Press cover for
whatever you want to do so the Press
would say the election is fake the you
know this these numbers can't be real uh
Trump is a insurrectionist so even
though he had got the most votes uh um
the the uh let's say the Democrats won
the house by one vote uh they decide to
uh make him in ineligible or let's say
the vice president just doesn't sign the
because it would be Harris let's say she
doesn't certify even though the law says
now they changed the law so that she has
to certify no matter
what so I think that we will have
unsolvable
problems and then what are you going to
do so I think that the uh left has the
power to change the entire um mental
process of the country with fake news uh
I believe they've done it before so I
believe they can make any claim
whatsoever I do also believe that um if
Trump
wins uh or if he gets the most votes
that the there will be Street protests
and that they will be organized by our
own government
and it will be basically a c attempt at
that point at that point I think it
would just be full C CP attempt I think
there's a chance they would take another
shot at him there might be another
assassination attempt um but here's the
thing I don't expect the courts are
going to be helpful because they won't
have time and they they won't be
standing and a lot of the a lot of the
cases they just won't have enough votes
that make the difference just way too
hard not enough time so there'll be
thousands of claims so the country will
not
believe whoever
wins but the news will form a narrative
of who won and eventually they will be
able to sell that narrative and they
will punish people who disagree with it
we know they can do it because they're
doing it right now they're punishing the
January 6 people for disagreeing so if
you can put people in jail for
disagreeing and they can you can take
people off of platforms for saying
things that are false and you can
you can jail people for whatever
claims you want and you
can I don't see how Trump can become
president because if you can wear the
panda
outfit as Nicole says right out front
you're not worried about getting caught
for anything right now I don't know if
that Panda thing is real I'm just using
it as my hyperbolic example
but I think we're going to have a trump
get the most votes I think that we don't
know who the president will be and I
don't think we'll have an answer by
January
6 I do think the Supreme Court will make
the
decision but that will be the final
straw for the Democrats to say the
Supreme Court is
illegitimate and at that point they can
put enough people in the
streets to basically over
rule the government the law and anything
they want so here's what I
think um I would get some food supplies
because there could be some disruptions
in the supply chain so I'd put in a
little food I'd get a little extra water
if you've got a backup generator or
battery make sure that's working get it
all charged up now I don't expect the
end of the
world uh I think we're a self-correcting
and that it might take a
month and but we'll work it out you know
one way one way or the other it'll it'll
get worked out but we might have some
disruptions in our daily life I don't
think the odds are high I give it a 20%
chance that electricity will go off in
my
state um but you know that could be just
because we're so poorly managed
so my prediction is that we don't have
an answer by January 6 so I think I'm
the only one predicting nobody wins we
will have a president so there will be
there will be a peaceful transfer so I
do predict a peaceful
transfer but we're not going to know by
January 6 I don't think there's any
chance of it uh there is a possibility
it's a
doover I wouldn't rule out a doover
because if it comes down to let's say
two counties let's say there let's say
there are a thousand clay
but only two of them are big enough that
they would have changed the election
let's say there's one big claim in
Maricopa and let's say there's one big
claim in
Pennsylvania and and if it were found
that those two claims were valid then it
would reverse it under that
condition you could imagine that the
Supreme Court would hit it with a ton of
bricks you know and the the everybody
would bring every resource to really you
know do a month of of work what would
normally take a year could be done could
be done and the very best the very best
outcome the outcome that I would like
more than any
other is not just that Trump gets
elected I'd love
that I want him to get elected at the
same time he proves our election system
is
rigged I want him to have both
I want his third act to be the greatest
third
Act of all time and unless he gets
Victory on proving the election was also
rigged in 2020 because if you if you
prove that it was rigged this year
hypothetically people would accept that
it was rigged before they wouldn't even
need to see the evidence and and people
are watching this time so I'd say the
odds of a credible claim in Maro
and at least one more credible claim it
doesn't have to be in Pennsylvania but
it could if it focus on just maybe two
of
them and they can put enough attention
on them that gets you everything it gets
you Trump gets you RFK Jr it gets you
Elon Musk it gets you Tulsi it gets you
V it gets you
me and it gets you the third act and
maybe
fixing the election system
forever and so ladies and gentlemen I
give you the following proposition
there's a 20% chance it's going to get a
little
ugly but we'll get through it you won't
die we'll get through it we're going to
yell and we're going to scream and we're
going to question things and we're going
to tear things up but if there's one
thing we do well in this country and I'm
I'm always proud of America we can we
can tear down really well if we
need to tear down the election system to
fix it we'll do it we're just not there
yet we just need to be convinced and be
on the same page if if what this
election gives us is the certainty that
the election system was not
designed with the Integrity it needed to
be and I'm sure it's not but if we can
all get on that page and all agree that
we either need to go back to paper
ballots or do something
drastic the golden age will be
unlocked and we're almost
there we're almost there so ladies and
gentlemen I submit to you that we've
been in a dark dark tunnel for several
years pandemic didn't do us well and
things didn't look so great during the
Biden
Administration but everything you need
is waiting for
you it's waiting for you you got to vote
you got to get your neighbor to vote all
you
secret Trump
supporters it's
time it's
time it's time to do
it
and if we can save the
country and I think we can it's this
week and what happens for the next few
weeks after that but this is the
beginning of it so this is real test
America can you do
it are you still
America do you still have enough
testosterone left do you still have
enough fight
left do you still have enough
bravery do you have the
guts do you have the duty do you have
the respons
possibility I think you
do and so on that message I'm going to
kick off you weekend I'm going to say a
few words to the people on uh locals the
subscribers and for the rest of you I've
enjoyed uh this time together as I
always do so if you're on Ax or rumble
or YouTube I'll see you tomorrow same
time same place locals coming at you
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