Episode 2715 CWSA 01/09/25

well there you are you're here I'm here um all right we're going to find our comments and get them going so I can see what the local people are saying to me and then we will blow your mind with the best show ever good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization probably the best day you're going to ever have but if you'd like to take this experience up to levels that nobody can even understand when they're tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a CER marug or glass a tanker chel or Stein a canteen Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee join me now for the unparallel pleasure of the dope of meend of the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous Sip and it happens now go Sensational best SIP of the day well of course I'm going to be talking about the LA fires but I I'll wait just a minute for people to stream in before that I would like to note do any of you remember I can't remember how long ago it was so we're going to test you longterm memory it was a long time ago but there were these two Terror attacks One in New Orleans and one in Vegas any of that sound familiar it was so long ago right uh Trump is doing it again he's doing that thing where time is completely disted it so when the Vegas terrorism thing was the headline story I said to myself o this is going to be in the news for a while so I'm going to do a a Dilbert comic in which uh Dilbert's uh boss's secretary uh suggests that he takes a a vacation in Vegas because he didn't know where to go on his vacation so she she suggests she suggests that he buy a cyber truck and drive it to Vegas and stay at the Trump Hotel and well anyway you'd have to see the comic it's pretty darn funny but it's it's running today only for the subscribers you you'd have to be subscribing on X or locals to see it but you know I was prepping it to uh publish it this morning and I thought oh my God that feels so long ago so long ago so Trump time just Distortion happening again all right just one more thing then we'll talk about the fires I tried to use chat GPT last night to to digest a big legal document that I was asked to review and I thought to myself oh perfect application for AI I'm going to upload the document and then I will query it uh to say okay is this handled you know what about this what's to say about this and it would summarize it for me and I'd save bunch of time I was so happy to be in the age of AI so I took my PDF file and I uploaded it and it said no we can't handle the PDF file and I said in 2025 the advanced intelligence the most important technology in the world can't read a PDF file but it said you know jpeg it could read so I thought all right all right well so I just change it to a JPEG file and I upload it and it fails and it says uh it can only take when when it goes to jpeg it turns the document into each of its individual Pages as one file a piece but I thought well no problem I'll just drag all of the pages in it'll figure out the page numbers good to go and then I I try to drag all the pages in and it says can only handle four pages and I think okay no problem no problem I'll just do four at a time because they're only you know 20 some pages it's not going to take all day so I drag four over good so I drag another four over and then it clarifies that it's a total of four it's not four at a time it's a total of four so I spent something like 45 minutes of my day finding out that AI can't do the simplest freaking thing so so I don't know they say they say it's going to replace everything and do everything but I don't know all right let's talk about the LA fires um it's all horrible um you know if if you're new to my live stream I live in Northern California and you might say to yourself well Northern California that's so far away from Southern California that you're probably not much impacted well I'm not impacted directly by the fire that's not a risk where I am but if you live in California you end up having a lot of friends in other parts of California so I'm very impacted and uh I had to cancel the man cave last night because there was just too many people who needed help and too many people I had to check on and you it was both both family and friends and uh it was uh it was a big weight so just not being in the direct fire is better than being in the fire but let me tell you the other the other residents of California we're taking it in the we're taking it in the gut this is this is like being punched all day long and uh five people dead apparently which you know is a gigantic tragedy I suppose I suppose you know you could say something like could have been worse but five people as five people one of them reportedly had stayed behind with his hose and was trying to save his house and I always wondered how smart or dumb that strategy was because there are a number of people who apparently did in fact save their houses because somebody stayed you know neighbor or they stayed with a hose but one of them died so if you're going to stay with a hose just know I don't know what the odds are of you dying in this sort of massive fire situation but it might be like 20% you know I mean it's crazy high but people do what they have to do if it's if it's your entire life and you're not insured which was the case in many cases I guess you do what you got to do anyway um so speaking of do what you want to do I heard uh Greg geld on the five yesterday um requesting that people consider opening up their homes to other people th this one's not like a lot of uh different disasters the sheer number of people who are displaced in in a fairly populated area is kind of crazy and they're not going to go back soon so a lot of people are opening houses uh donating money trying to help in every possible way they can so it's pretty much it's an all hands on deck situation here so if if you don't see me putting in as much work could you please understand that this isn't the week that my mind's on work right we're we're trying to keep people alive and and help as we can um so apparently there's I think there's still zero containment but the Santa an winds that made us so bad should be dying down by the end of today so I'm hoping that we're going to see something like some containment now I hate to say it but probably the only thing that will bring this fire under control is burning everything that's burnable until there's just no fuel left it's just the ocean so I don't know what they're what they're going to do but um Elon Musk has uh announced he's going to donate free startling terminals to the affected area in LA uh I think that's maybe today or tomorrow he's going to do that um X always makes me feel like the world is so small so you know the the richest most interesting guy in the world right now uh is of course in every topic and he's in this topic in a productive way and then you see in the comments when he says he's going to donate them you see his brother Kimble saying you know thanks brother so he must be in LA and he must be a fected so even Kimble Kimble musk is in the mix a lot of celebrities we'll talk about some of those all right the the biggest macro story is the fog of War so uh I'm guilty of probably I don't know the specifics but I think I probably reposted some fake news yesterday because there was so much speculation and not quite accurate so I want to talk about the things we think we now and put them in context if you haven't done this yet I recommend it highly if you're not watching one of the fake news networks like CNN talking about the context of how we got to this situation in California you're not really hearing the other side and this is one of those things where there's a fog of War but on top of it two completely different versions of what happened is have already emerged no surprise no surprise but you really need to hear the the alternative explanations of what happened it's it's going to it's going to blow your mind that any of it could be a little bit explained now when I say a little bit explained my macro theory is that there's massive incompetence there needs to be some kind of some kind of uh addressing that I don't know what that looks like so there's massive incompetent um but some of the accusations clearly don't fly and I'll tell you which ones they are because I feel like we want to be mad but it's such wasted energy to be mad at the wrong things there's plenty of things to really be mad at now I will remind you uh well we'll get to that so here here are some of the things that people accused the LA you know government and management of doing uh so first of all the reports were that the fire hydrants either didn't have water or had no water pressure now there's two versions that if the problem is they didn't have water because there was no stored water there there is some some evidence that there was a water reservoir that was not filled but I'd Le I'd like to know more about whether it was possible to fill it because maybe there was no water to put in it and I don't know whose fault that would be so these all of these things that look like they're simple they've all got some bigger story behind them which doesn't make any good or right it's just that you should know the context it's it's never as simple as you know the posts on X so there it's possible uh well there definitely was a low water pressure in some places and there definitely were high fire hydrogen not producing water some were so we do have reports of some working hydrants some not possibly or even maybe probably the reason the water pressure was insufficient is that there were so many hydrons being used at the same time attempted and the entire Place had been destroyed so there were a lot of open Fountain like um water being wasted just in homes so the it if the area was served by the same water source be at the High hant or inside the house if the house has broken pipes and the water is spewing everywhere and everybody's trying to use water at the same time to put out the fire is not going to be enough water pressure or maybe even water so water and water pressure were both a problem um it's not entirely clear that either of those were some direct mistake that you could put on some particular person they're all complicated there's a question of forest management you know U Trump has been on it for years literally years he's been saying that California is not managing its Forest like places like Austria where they don't have this kind of fire and managing the forest means partly removing the underbrush you know the really really flammable stuff because the trees can do a much better job of surviving if if if it's just going tree to tree it's not going to go as fast as if there's this underbrush that's just ready to go CU trees are the living trees are a little bit wet so they'll they'll slow things down but the dead underbrush you know it's just it's going to be traveling like crazy so the forest management thing is a real thing it's really important it's really not done well but I don't know if that had a causation in this case because most of what I saw burning were residential homes uh and and there's at least one report that I don't think is confirmed that somebody said the fire started in somebody's backyard and then spread up a hill if it started in somebody's backyard and spread up a hill which is not confirmed not confirmed it's just something I saw a fireman on the scene who was working it said um if it was set by somebody we heard reports that uh which are fake these are fake reports somebody and oh that's that's one of the fake ones that I think I reposted so that's bad on me that's just a mistake I should not have been trusting that kind of information that early in the story all right so that's just on my that's just an unforced error so on my part believing that story that some homeless person said it which did not happen um that's on me that that's just an error I should have said sub reports it but we don't know that would have been the right answer so we still don't know but I can tell you that I don't see a direct link from forest management to this particular fire I do see a gigantic risk if our fires are if our forests are not well managed and that appears to be the case um so we don't know about the water reservoir thing uh there are a whole bunch of questions about uh you whether Water Resources have been managed correctly for years it doesn't look like it it it looks like there are enough allegations of things that could have solved the problem I guess years ago there was some big plan to you know capture the water runoff and make it available for fires but that didn't get passed somebody say some people will say it's because of the Democrats um other people will say well you know we tried to get this bipartisan Bill to have more water but the Republicans said no for some reason so I don't know but I would say the one thing that I'm confident about is I'm confident that California has completely mismanaged its water resources would that have made a difference in this specific case maybe not there's a video of uh Joe Rogan in 2024 in the summer which is you know just six months ago in which he was saying he talk to a fireman so 6 months before this fire in La a fireman said uh we've been lucky so far if we get the wind at the same time as a fire all of La is going to burn this is from a professional firemen who said there's no way around it you're not going to be able to stop it if if the fire starts at the same time as the high wind which is exactly what happened there is no defense so if you say to me if only we had more water we could defend it I say to you maybe a little but it probably would have still taken out most of the area you maybe you could save some houses but it would have taken out most of the area so the bigger problem was it was a known problem that was not directly addressed so is it a problem that forests are not managed it's a big one maybe not directly factor in this fire is the Water Management a problem yes poorly done was it directly uh a problem in this fire yes if your house burned down because the fire Hy the fire hydrant didn't work you're probably going to say why didn't you count on a fire that's this big or something like that but um maybe it couldn't have been stopped you maybe the firemen and 2024 was exactly right and there just wasn't anything you could do um the mayor Karen bass is it she happened to be in Ghana for some some uh government thing that she thought was interesting and uh uh I'm not sure that anything is different because the um the mayor was in a different country you know may mayor's travel and even though there's no reason they should have been doing some International work I mean she could have been on vacation I there are lots of reasons of people around town I I doubt that her absence had any impact on the emergency response but in emergencies you want your leaders to act capable and you know have empathy and be on hand and you know tell you everything they know you know give you some hope that they could get this under control so I don't think she did a good job on anything but probably didn't have any make any difference to any house that burned or didn't burn then I've got to spend a a moment on this that there's a lot of accusations that this is caused by Dei and um I'm going to make some suggestions about this so I'm going to talk I'll talk about Dei after I give the list of other things that people are saying I I don't think you can pin it on one person and say that's a d I higher or even more than one person but more on that moment um so let's see uh there's something about the Smelt fish smelt is it a Smelt fish or is just a smelt apparently Trump calls it an extinct fish I don't think it's extinct which is the whole point of trying to preserve it if it were extinct we wouldn't be worrying about it but it's funny that he calls it extinct an extinct fish um but apparently there was some there was some movement to provide more water for uh LA but it didn't work because it would have been bad for these rare smelt the Delta smelt well let me tell you what else smelt about this situation everything so I don't know I I think that smelt fish is going to be one of those those two movies on one on one uh screen I think CNN's going to tell you oh that was a bipartisan thing or Republicans should have said yes or there there's going to be another story to that I don't think it's as clean as uh we traded smelt for human for human beings although in some ways it looks exactly like that but probably there's a little extra context on that one and then the part that is definitely true is that the insurance policy caps that California tried to put on insurance fire insurance policies um caused a shortage of fire insurance policies because the the fire insurance people said um no thanks if we can't make money we don't want to be in your state so they pull down so what makes this particular situation go from tragic to how do I say this without being cancelled all right I'm I'm going to speak as indirectly as I can and you can piece it together if an ordinary tragedy happens you you get into tragedy mode you're like trying to help people you're feeling sad you're feeling impacted you're basically just feeling terrible but trying to do what you can if it's just a tragedy if it's a tragedy which would have been had by your insurance kicking in and at least paying for what you lost that would be half as big but it wouldn't be just a change of you being half as mad it's the difference between and here's where I have to be careful it's the difference between people feeling bad and people feeling homicidal was that indirect enough we're looking at the government of C California and I can tell you from personal experience my my emotions I'm trying to keep under control and if you're seeing a lot of Californians talking in ways that you think are unusually calm given the situation like James Woods you saw him acting completely calm that the house he loved and just rebuilt and remodeled was lost and he had no insurance now he has better resources maybe than other people but he broke down on an interview so don't mistake how strong people are acting with how they're feeling on the inside this feels like we got raped that's what it feels like it doesn't feel like a tragedy happened it feels like we got raped all of us even if you if even even if you're not directly affected do you know what this is going to do to the possibility of getting Insurance anywhere in the state this just made the entire state unlivable they're going to have to tax the beesus of us to pay for whatever this costed the the level of economic destruction I don't even think you can calculate it it it's bigger than anything that's ever happened in the country and so I feel a sense of Rage that makes me in Revenge homicidal head instead of recovery from an event head I want to be I want to be just in the helpful recovery mode but man when they give you they give you the double tap you know one in the chest one in the head one in the chest was the bad fire management the one in the head was you don't have insurance because we changed the rules in an obvious way in a way that obviously would make insurance go away and not be available you do that I don't think the res uh uh let me say it in the way that um I Heard It stated I'm not going to attribute this but without attribution I heard yesterday a Californian who was directly affected say of one of the leading politicians who's getting a lot of blame again I won't be specific and the and the advice was I wouldn't show yourself in public now that advice I think was well intended as a security thing you need to know that people feel homicidal they don't feel just hurt this is not like other things the the level of incompetence apparently is so extreme that it doesn't feel like an accident if feels intentional it wasn't intentional but it feels like it it feels like people just raped us because I didn't give a so if you think we're going to get over this I doubt it I doubt it I don't think we're going to get over this and you didn't have to be in the fire zone to not get over it I'm not getting over this the this is the wakeup call it's the tap on the shoulder it says you know all that complaining you did complaining is nothing complaining is nothing at this point pretty serious action and I hope it's not the homicidal kind is required and I do believe that you know people of character are going to act really differently and some of them will be sacrificing their personal fortunes some will be sacrificing their reputations but the risk reward equation just changed completely once you realize you can't live in this state the way it is then you're going to take a bigger risk to change it you know if you're just like ah I don't like it but next year is going to be a lot like this year you know you're just going to get on with your life but now it's an existential risk just to be managed by incompetence it's an existential risk of incompetence now I will remind you as I was reminded just moments ago before the show started that it was a while ago that I warned that Dei would cause massive institutional and corporate and government incompetence and it would be really really obvious and it could destroy everything we love now when people mentioned that on TV such as the amazing Scott Jennings he got into that conversation on CNN it went completely off the rail and it was a I'm going to call it a rare a rare communication Mistake by Scott Jennings um you know when I talk about him usually it's like oh my God he just he just explained things so well uh among this panel of Democrats and you know he won that day and you know I'll be forwarding around so in general he he's the best we have if you're looking at like who who's the best Communicator who's not Trump himself it might be Scott jenx he's really really impressive but on the Dei stuff total fail now I think it's easy to correct and I would expect he will here's the correction um and I I posted this I hope he sees it but accusing people specific people if what you're doing is is accusing specific people of being Dei hires we don't have that kind of information you know we could tell that they're in a certain demographic group but you can't tell that the that's the problem you can't look at a specific case and say oh if if Karen bass had been a white guy everything would be fine now that might it might be that she's a Dei hire and then that's the whole story and the police chief is Dei hire and and you've got everything you need it might be but we don't have that kind of information so when Scott Jennings brought up the Dei element He had a couple of black female panelists who just ate him up and what they did is they do the thing where where they say why are you saying that black women can't do a good job nobody says that that has nothing that has absolutely nothing to do with the Dei conversation the Dei conversation is not about the capability of one any particular group it's not a capability it's a system incentive design problem that you could replace you could replace anybody in this equation and you get the same bad outcome so nobody's saying that there's something special about black women not being able to do stuff I I'm not aware of anybody who has that opinion it's more about the system and let me explain that a little bit better so the first point is that as soon as you apply it to any individual you're on thin ice you don't have the proof of that unless you worked with that person every day you probably don't know if they're doing a good or bad job you know sometimes there are other variables that makes stuff impossible but here's what you can say you can say number one that leaders focus on what is easiest to measure that probably is the number one most important thing you need to know about management that managers man to things that can be tracked why do they do that because when they get their bonuses and their Awards and their raises it's going to be based on what can be measured what is easier to measure than diversity Improvement it's easy uh what are you I'm a woman got it what are you I identify as black got it right easy to count easy to keep track easy to see how it changed from what it was to where it is if you give any manager that situation where it's easy to know what you know if you did it right or at least if you hit the goal I won't say right but you hit the goal they're going to manage that and they're going to let other things lapse because they it won't affect their pay for example suppose several years ago the people in charge had decided to to do a big water management Improvement how long would it take to get that approved to get it built to see if it worked and then even when you built it you wouldn't know if it worked you would only know that there weren't any fires lately you wouldn't know that it worked so if you got this big ambiguous but way more important thing to do the water management is way more important than other things but it takes a long time you can't tell what any one person did to make it happen it's really hard to get you know to to be held responsible for that so if you're a manager you go for what can be measured easily you focus on it that's where your pay depends then on top of that the second thing you need to know is that every major company is trying to improve their diversity at the same time and I would argue even the companies that may have uh renounced their Dei efforts the individual managers are still going to be hiring with a Dei goal you don't need you don't need a Dei program because those same managers are still going to be bragging if they get more diversity you you could you could get away with give up the entire incentive system but if one of the people says well I you know I Diversified my department and the other manager that they're competing against for the top job says oh I uh I do some long-term things that are really smart but how' it turn out well we won't know because lots of people involved could take years if it doesn't work it might not be my fault it could be the legislation right so anyway so if you have every company trying to do it at the same time even if it's not part of a organized program you're going to run out of your target demographics and here's the important thing to know you could switch out the target demographics and replace it with any other group and it's the same that's why it's not a racist observation for example let's say your Dei program was you had to hire more Irish people or Irish Americans and that's it how's that going to work out you're going to maximize Irish American now there are a lot of Irish Americans but if everybody suddenly said oh God I got to get get myself an Irish Irish guy you would run out of Highly qualified Irish Americans on day two on day one all the all the Smart Ones with a good resume have already been hired we got a we got an Irish guy yes it's going to look good on my resume so if you're when Scott Jennings on CNN allows his panelists to argue you know that black black women can do any job nobody's disagreeing with that that the right qualified person of any demographic can do pretty much any job and the and the thing that you have to understand is you can replace that Target demographic with anybody you you could take black women out of the conversation entirely put Irish men Irish men same same problem if you're managing to the number of Irish men on your staff you're in trouble you're going to you're going to have massive incompetence if you fast forward 20 years and here we are we are in a position of massive massive incompetence is it the cause of any specific demographic group can't tell the only thing you can know for sure is that this was a guaranteed outcome that the design of the incentive system and the natural limitation of any demographic group group to have you know unlimited people in it is all you needed to know on paper it couldn't have worked and that's why it's so important to reverse it and reverse our thinking about it so Scott Jennings I hope you make that correction the first thing you should say is it's not about any individual it's about a system design if you have incentives that make people do the wrong thing they'll do the wrong thing and that's where we are now some of the worst takes on this Bernie Sanders weighs in while people are running for their lives and posts this 80,000 people told to evacuate I think it's twice that now since he posted it 80,000 people told to evacuate he said blazes 0% contained and so far I'm thinking oh this is Bernie being helpful he's he's telling us how bad it is and then he's going to hit us with what we should do about it he says eight months since the area has been has seen rain okay that did make it worse the scale the damage and loss is unimaginable thank you for you know recognizing how bad this is and then he said climate change is real not a hoax Donald Trump must treat this like the existential crisis it is meaning climate change well you could imagine how I felt when I read that have I mentioned that we Californians don't feel like we went through a tragedy we feel like we got raped by you by politicians you know so Burnie burning you know indirectly and the fact that California was focusing on your little Pet Project the climate change which I believe is mostly freaking fake because it only applies to people who think the news news is real and science is not corrupt if you think the news is real and science is not completely corrupted by money you might believe that this climate change has been proven by all the smart people to be a danger now it might be a danger I often say I don't know I I don't know how much people are contributing to it um I I see both sides I don't think any of them are believable from my point of view because I can't tell but I can tell you for sure that if you think the models are predicting the future you have not looked into it very much if you think we can measure the temperature of the earth over decades you haven't looked into it and I find that I can't even have a conversation with somebody who thinks all of that climate uh the alarm part is true you can't even talk to them because they've been so hypnotized they think the news is real the news is not real about anything important the news could have a correct fact now and then but the narrative is never real narratives are always motivated they're not they're not real if you believe the news is even trying to be real you can't be reached you you have to first understand that they're not trying to tell you the truth it's just not it's not their business model and if you think that anybody under any circumstances can take all these weird hidden variables and gigantic variables and hard to measure variables and put them into a complicated model and tell you the temperature in 10 years how do I begin to tell you how impossible that is that's not something that the smart people figured out that is a pure hoax the models part now what I'm not calling the hoax is I don't know if it's getting warmer I don't know if people are involved I just know that nobody else knows I know for sure that nobody else knows so but my problem with Bernie is not that he believes in climate change and I'm pretty sure that he's wrong uh at least in terms of the alarm part of it my part is you need to be able to read the room a little bit better you don't talk to rape victims about wearing a condom you know what I mean you don't talk to rape victims about wearing a condom you know maybe maybe you should had a cond with you no you were just making it worse so my first reaction was I was just going to go nuclear and I had every fbom and like like I was ready to go and my fingers hit the keyboard and I said I'm not going to make it worse because that was just a pure emotional reaction um so instead I reposted this I said Senator Sanders as a California I respectfully ask for you to delete this post no California thinks climate change dried up the fire hydrants and canel fire insurance now whether my take is you know factually correct that that the fire hydrant were a problem that somehow was undermanaged or that the canceled well the canceled fire Insurance um that's certainly uh a fact but um and then I told to read The Room 2 million people agreed with me which is very unusual for a post on X to get 2 million views that means people really agreed not every person but it means a lot of people agreed with my take that he was not reading the room and I would like to add a few things if the problem with the LA fire were caused by climate change the whole world would be on fire by now right I'm pretty sure that the climate change is not limited to La we would see basically everything on fire if climate changes cause fire if droughts caused fire everything that's having a slightly under normal year which is what La is la is in what I think they call it a moderate drought meaning it's barely a drought and it's not outside of the historical Norm whatsoever not at all um so anyway um who else was bad then Joe Biden with his defective brain and oppressor talked about the fire but nobody remembers that all they remember is he had the bad judgment to say quote the good news is that I became a Grandpa wow wow between Sanders and Biden not being able to read the room do they understand that California's a blue state or was um let's see according to the New York Post I think Molly Hemingway flagged this that uh uh Governor Newsome is launching his Trump resistance plan this week so so Nome wants to tell you how much he's resisting Trump which looks like the problem not the solution this week doesn't it cuz now we have we have on video Trump saying all the right things about fire prevention in California you've blocked the water you you block you're not doing Forest management turns out those were the right answers those were the right answers of course he's against Dei again we don't know that that caused this problem but it's the right you know overarching theme so Trump was as right about this situation and on time because he said it way before it happened he was right and he was on time and it looks like California completely screwed the pooch on in every Dimension at least it looks that way we don't know that that's true but let me talk about the future of California politics because everything has a political element to it um and here's how Trump posted it he said uh on his one of his posts some truth I I think he said the governor new scum as he calls him chose to save the extinct fish instead of sending water to Southern California to fight apocalyptic wildfires now this is another example of how good Trump is in messaging to take this big complicated situation and just turn it into new scum chosen extinct fish over saving the lives of Californians it's an oversimplification and I don't even know if the fish part is really a valid I don't even know if that's a valid claim because if you turn on CNN they're going to say well but you know it's Republican's fault too and blah blah blah I don't know what they say but but there's more context to it however as a political messaging thing the the Brilliance of the summary is what Trump does better than anybody nobody does that well he he's the best ever as summarized nobody summarizes better than he does um Adam Cora who apparently is one of the more famous people being displaced he looked like he was in a hotel room and he did a video and he he was explaining something that you might not fully understand outside of California do you know how hard it is to build something in California all of these people who think well I'll get my insurance check or maybe I had some extra money and I'm going to rebuild so they're going to go to the sity and say Here's my plan oh my God they're just entering hell um I won't go into the details but let me let me just tell you this getting a California entity any any City really to approve a building of anything is pretty much a nightmare the the house I'm in right now I you know had built but I think it took 18 months just to get approval something something like that now these are people who just think well it should be easy because I'm just going to build back the house I had you know with slight variety it's not going to be easy you you're going to spend a year not getting the permit and then good luck finding a contractor because everybody in your whole city is trying to hire the contractor who knows how to build stuff you're not going to have a contractor you're not going to be able to get insurance you're not going to be able to pay for it with the insurance you don't have you're not going to be able to get a permit I don't believe the the country and maybe even Californians have absorbed how bad this is you're seeing something closer to the beginning of the problem than the end as bad as it was and we don't I don't think we can fully appreciate the economic disruption to the state who's going to pay for the recovery I don't think the federal government is going to pay for it all is this raise my California taxes again from the highest taxes to the highest taxes on Turbo how are we going to survive it how are we going to fix the things that need to get fixed we're we're already paying the highest taxes and it feels like the lowest level of service in return so now if you think we're just going to rebuild you don't know California that might be just empty land for the rest of my life like I I don't know that it's I just don't see a path where that quickly gets fixed I don't know um here's what I think I think this has been such a black eye for the management of the state that for the first time recently I can say it's possible to have a republican Governor now it would take a special character it would take a Reagan type character who was a rep rep and I don't know anybody in the state who would fit that you know reaganesque um thing um and would also have experience managing something because you you don't want somebody who's never managed anything because the state is you know as much management as politics so it's not exactly like other jobs you need to manage so we need a you know disantis type of Governor so if somebody like D santis became available to run for governor it's the best time now other people are going to say Scott Scott Scott I think you don't realize that the the The Blue Team um has California all wrapped up and no no nobody but a Democrat could win and it's not just because of the voters it's because the Democrat machine controls too much and they can rig any vote to go the way they want because they just control too much now that might be true however I think that uh the opening is now if it's ever going to happen uh I saw some people suggest this that maybe a smart independent like Nicole Shanahan would be a possibility now I like everything about Nicole Shanahan but I don't know that she has exactly the right background for managing because whoever takes his job has to like dig into you know the whole water thing the forest thing yeah it's it's really a management thing so as a high quality and as much as I would trust Nicole shanan I like everything about her basically um I don't know if she has the exact background that that fits this slot um but maybe somebody will emerge and then as people have noted the legislature would probably still stay blue and so even the governor couldn't get anything done um so I saw some related to this I saw Bill Mah video and he was talking to Stephen A Smith and Mar said this that really caught my attention he said quote I've been out with every type of celebrity you know meaning just having fun and he says they don't say the things they say to me to other celebrities there it is now you probably said to yourself Scott you can't get a republican Governor because the state is Phil Phil so many Democrat voters you're you're never going to get over the hump I don't think they're Democrats I think they're literally pretending to be Democrats I think that the I think that every one of these people who may have been seeming like political enemies are now seeing that the thing we need to you know get together on is common sense stuff I don't believe there's Democrat who wanted less Forest management well there's some crazy ones who you know want to preserve everything natural but not really I don't think there's any Democrats who say I'm sure glad we didn't have enough water right I don't think there are any Democrats who said uh sure is a good thing there were not enough escape routs from a place that is an obvious fire risk these are all so clearly and cleanly Common Sense issues that I don't think anybody's going to give a about the smelt going forward try try to try stopping us from fixing the state because of a smelt yeah because I don't think that works anymore so of course I'm speaking for my own little bubble because you know I'm very influenced by how I personally feel about this which is some intense feelings uh in many directions I'm pretty sure that this is the wakeup call that tells everybody in the South you know the the Republicans don't hate you you get that right we really I'm going to say we because I caucus with the Republicans even though I'm uh I'm a Democrat by um registration um I think I think maybe it will be a little better understood that Trump was on California's side and whatever the Democrats running things were doing may have been for their own benefit or may have been just pure incompetence we don't know what it was but we know that Trump had exactly the right solution in exactly the right time early and we know that the Democrats failed just in performance the exact reasons hard to know but they certainly failed um Hunter Biden's rental burned up and I I think the M the thing that bothered me the most about that was that it was a rental like it's it's bad enough if you're the landlord for Hunter Biden CU remember uh we heard the story that he had rented someplace and didn't pay in the past a different place but he had been renting a place and didn't pay the rent and then he used the Secret Service to keep the landlord from getting to him to ask for the rent that is like the most effed up thing you're going to hear he didn't pay the rent and he used his secret service protection to make sure that nobody would come bug him to get the rent that actually happened was it Shan Maguire I think was the landlord there uh so he's I don't think he's in that house anymore but uh I just feel sorry doubly sorry for the whoever owned it because they lost their house that was rental but also they had Hunter Biden as as a resident I mean I don't know if you could even cleaned it after that Christy tan and John Legend and their kids are in a hotel Henry winklers said some angry drunk looking things he's he's affected um I have mixed feelings talking about the celebrities involved on one hand I don't think this is a story about celebrities and so it's just gross and icky that they're even part of the story like why do we care about them more does it matter more to you that Henry Winkler is safe than Henry Winkler's not famous neighbor I mean there so there's something creepy about it but at the same time the politics of it is that these are the some of them are some of them are conservative but number of other ones are outspoken Democrats and I would love to know how Chrissy Teegan and John Legend feel about their team after losing their house to their team do does that change how you feel what else could I mean is see if you're going to change somebody's mind having a debate with them H maybe usually not having really good points yeah might work but probably not really being good at persuasion it might help but probably not people are pretty set in their ways you burn down somebody's house you have their attention everybody who lost the house is now open to a better argument a lot of Minds open up so I think I think uh California is in play anyway in related but other news because we can't spend all our time talking about this it's just it's just too hard um Trump is as other people have noted flooding the zone so he's completely controlling the news uh even the fire which you would think you know is not directly a trump topic he's still the top of the news because he said the right things and did the right things and it stands in contrast to what happened so not only that but apparently he's uh there's a report from Steph Knight I think she's a axios um saying that uh there's some knowledge that Trump plans to flood the Zone with a 100 executive orders uh like his first day or first week or something now so we've got Trump talking about you know Greenland Panama Canada he's talking about the fire um he might have a hundred executive orders every day three new things this is the only way to defeat the fake news and you know he's always done this thing where he he keeps the Overton window so to speak keeps the action going and it keeps the attention on him but I think I just realized the other hidden benefit of this you know as we've often said Republicans can be right and they can be wrong they can have wrong facts um and often do they might believe in some conspiracy theories that don't prove out but that's normal sort of normal human beings on the Democrat side there's an organized hoax creation you know machine for the Democrats they'll create a hoax about the other side and then they'll use their news their media and their Talking Heads to say the same things over and over again right how many times have you seen that well he's a he's a convicted felon you know that's just the talking point and if they say convicted felon a million times it's going to stick in your head because repetition is the number one tool of persuasion and even more importantly it's the number one tool of brainwashing brainwashing requires you to hear the same exact message over and over and over and over again until your brain just uncritically says well it must be true I keep hearing it which doesn't make sense but your brain will process it that way so what Trump has done is he's removed from the fake news the ability to repeat any of their messages often enough for them to stick because they start going on with he wants to send the military into Greenland and then they repeat that L we got them we got them because nobody's going to be in favor of you know sending the military in although some are so they repeat that and then the next thing you know he's talking about Panama and then they're like all right what are we saying about Panama uh Panama uh wait he's talking about Canada now what what do we say about Canada wait what did he say about the smelt wait new scum he's calling him new scum 100 executive orders they can't repeat often enough he took away from them their number one persuasion trick repetition now is this intentional do you think that he intentionally said if I just take away all of their oxygen they'll never be able to repeat anything enough to stick the answer is yes yes this is absolutely intentional now that doesn't mean it's only Trump who knows this he's working with Steven Miller and you know a bunch of brilliant people right the brilliant people can see this clear as they so yes it's not an accident they going to have a 100 executive orders and he's talking about things that make your hair just catch on fire like you can't and also everything that Trump says is too interesting to ignore it doesn't matter what he says it's always too interesting to ignore he's what Greenland what so yes is intentional yes is brilliant in a way that we don't even deserve like we don't even deserve that level of capability and and when he shows you the competence level that he brings just a message the competence level that he brought to his campaign the competence level in which he's taking things that people said are ridiculous things to do such as you know using the old Twitter or now posting things that are like geopolitical you know hugely important things he makes that work when you watch somebody who is just an extreme example of competence with his team right he doesn't do everything alone but I think people are going to notice competence is hard to ignore if you just keep at it and he is well in other news if there's any good news at all the employment for this coming year looks like a little better than people expected that hasn't happened yet but the thinking is that um in surveys big companies are showing much more optimism and more um more uh let's say prediction that they'll do serious hiring apparently the reason there was less hiring than there might have been is that big companies said oh we better wait to see if AI is going to take all the jobs and now they've waited and like my example where I started the show where I said I tried to get AI to do any simple thing just look at a document and summarize it and just because it was multiple Pages it just couldn't do it so I think that probably the companies have now wised up that what they thought was going to be this instant replacement of employees with machines it might still happen but not in 2025 so in 2025 they're like uh we're going to need human bodies because we can tell them to look at the whole contract not just four pages and quit so it could be that at least in the short run a little little bump and Improvement in employment um I just this is just an as side because I'm amused by it but do you remember Aaron rupar uh he's the reason that I came up with the phrase a rupar for a description of a video that's been edited to change his meaning because he did a number of those and it looked like he knew he was doing it you couldn't tell because you can't read his mind but it looked like I feel like he knows he took that out of context and uh then I saw he he made some claim uh I think it was yesterday it doesn't matter what the claim was but the Community note to it uh just noted that he's a well-known liar so the actual Community note wasn't just that he was saying something that wasn't true it's said he was a well he was a well-known famous liar who does it for clicks now I'm paraphrasing but it said basically that uh now as soon as I refreshed it the community note changed to something less less attacking of his character but for moment the community notes has settled on yeah he's just a famous liar so you shouldn't pay attention to him if if I contributed even 1% by making people understand that a rupar is literally a you know a fake post or edit if I contributed even 1% to that I'm proud all right um I love I love the fake news talking about the uh the use of force to overtake Greenland so I guess the Pentagon was asked if there was any kind of plan to invade Greenland but what's funny is that the whoever was talking some kind of Pentagon spokesperson uh said that they didn't know of any plan it was short of a no so instead of saying no there's no plan to use the military uh or or even a plan to what would look like if he used the military instead the spokesperson said I'm not aware of one would the spokesperson be aware of the secret attack plans I feel like you wouldn't tell the spokesperson because if you told them they could accidentally tip somebody off so the spokesperson never knows the secret attack plans do they because if they do that feels like a mistake to me but anyway well the only thing I want to add to this is that why would the Pentagon need a plan the entire country is 56,000 people mostly in one place uh and they seem to be fairly pro- Maga pro-american and if it were up to them and not Denmark who owns them if it were just up to the people in Greenland it's kind of looking like they might be okay with this idea but I think it's funny that anybody would ask the Pentagon if they have a if they have a conquest plan for Greenland when all they really needed was Don Jr and Charlie Kirk to fly over there and take some selfies now to be fair Don Jr and Charlie Kirk taking selfies with the locals is not enough to conquer a country it's not enough they might have to go back two or three more times and take more selfies that should be enough I think three to four trips of Don J and Charlie Kirk taking selfies the whole island surrenders then we just have to you know work on a deal with Denmark so no no military needed just Don and Charlie all right uh Senator Rick Scott has introduced a uh some legislation to stop the changing of the clocks twice a year I keep wanting to have an opinion on that but I don't and I'm going to admit why because I don't know what change they're talking about it's too hard for me to figure out the whole hour hour backwards hour forwards but if they standardize it which one are they standardizing on because I never know which one is which one's the base case I don't know and and I also don't know if I'd like it since I've never experienced it you know the the different amount of light at a different time of day I've never experienced it so how would I even have an opinion on that maybe I'd like it a little bit more in the morning but dislike it at more at night but what's the net know so if it's expensive and I know it cuts down on a productivity when the time changes I I don't see a reason to change the time so I'm in favor of changing it but I don't have any idea what that looks like like in my actual life so but just in terms of economics it makes sense um Britain is threatened to cut ties security ties with the US unless uh Trump stops working with Elon Musk according to the National pulse William Upton to which I say Great Britain is threatening to cut ties with us okay the uh can you remind me uh what are all the military advantages we're getting from protecting them what trade you know what products are you getting from England from their manufacturing base how much do we need England or the UK or Great Britain how much do we need them I don't know sounds like a pretty bad threat bad threat to me and I don't think there's any chance they're going to cut ties Biden is considering according to the post millennial Hayden Cunningham is writing that Biden's thinking about preemptive pardons for Liz Cheney and Anthony fouchi so Liz Chene for the corrupt um Insurrection so-called Insurrection committee um do you have a problem with that yeah this one's an interesting one because I think I don't know if any charges would ever be brought up because there's a lot of bad behavior that I don't know if it's criminal it's just really really bad and unethical Behavior so if they get a preemptive pardon we don't have to watch the trial and talk about it but also it would label them forever as felons because who gets a preemptive pardon I would like to ask the following question in the history of Pardons how many times as a completely innocent person got a preemptive pardon is there even one time that's ever happened where somebody who was legitimately innocent got a preemptive pardon can you think of any time that's ever happened no you give a preemptive pardon to somebody you know is damn guilty so now they to be fair they might be more worried about some illegitimate lawfare being used against them and if that's the only thing they're thinking well you know if they if they if you think there was no real crime maybe but the way we're going to read it is that they've just they just they just declared themselves guilty if they accept a preemptive pardon for something they didn't do I'm not going to believe they didn't do it I'm just going to believe oh you know you're dirty you lucky you lucky guy and lucky woman um all right the Mexican president what's her name Claudia Shin bomb I will never get tired of saying this the Mexican president Claudia Shin Bal I'm going to say it another time because it's funny so the Mexican president Claudia Shin balb the Jewish woman I just love that that she you know uh I have to give Mexico credit because you think of Mexico as you know they're going to be kind of a patriarchy you presume if it's if most of the residents are Mexican they're going to vote for you know somebody who's as Mexican as possible uh but they elected they elected Claudia shine bomb and I give them credit for that if she does a good job good work um anyway so she's responding to Trump saying that he wants the gulf to be called the Gulf of America instead of the Gulf of Mexico go and she's shooting back and she says the US the US should be called America Mexicana uh let's see how long it takes me to forget her framing one two three wait what did she say what did she call it do you see how special Trump is Trump says extinct fish once and I'll remember it for the rest of my life the Mexican president as capable as she probably is I imagine she's very good in general to get where she got but she tries to match him he's like ah how about I got it I'm G to Zing you how about we call it America Mexicana why isn't everybody clapping clap please the the difference in Persuasion and communication skill is just so striking like you don't realize how good Trump is at the what I'll call the little stuff you know just the ordinary communication you don't realize how good he is until you see somebody else try it and then and they just do a total face plant I had to read it again America Mexicana no that's not a good try well Russia's introducing these uh land robot tank things it looks like a little miniature tank and it could have wheels or tracks but it's got loaded with all kinds of weapons and they're going to make a bunch of them they say and send them at Ukraine um here's my question can Russia manufacture now I know they have manufacturing and I know they make weapons and this is a weapon but if they if their uh outcome of the war depends on making a lot of these robots that they've never made before how good are they going to be now it could be that you know even if Russia is not a massively good uh Manufacturing Company it could be that they put their best people in the military stuff which would make sense and uh maybe this is maybe it's good work and maybe they're they can crank them out like crazy but the thing I'd be looking for is whether they can manufacture well enough to put working models in the field that make a difference now the other thing is that even the ground robots like these the ones on wheels or running dogs or whatever they will soon be programmed to swarm just like the drones in the air so if you if you organize the drones so that they operate as one and they swarm there's almost no defense but likewise if you were in you know if you were on the front line and you're a human being and you get swarmed by these robots you're going to be in a lot of trouble the robots on the ground because it probably takes a little bit of planning and work and strange execution to even take out one of them if six of them are bearing down on you you you got to run and it will run faster than you so it's going to get real interesting thing in Ukraine I I would look to see if they can manufacture well and quickly well I'm going to do something that you don't like uh I'm going to defend uh U khaw so Dan kensaw uh is often reported for having very high relative to other people uh really good gains on his stock picks so there's another story today mentioning that he's a top five investor among Congress you're like H top five did he do that because of Insider information and the implication is that it's because he has Insider information so that he and other members who trade are just beaten people because they're inside information and it was poting out that he had a high percentage gain so if you look at his gain I think it was over 40% for the year or something that that would put him in the top five now now what do I teach you about spotting fake news if you know the percentage of gain he made but they don't tell you the dollar amount is it real news or fake news the answer is it's fake news if they told you both the percentage and the dollar amount it might be real if they told you only the dollar amount without the percentage that would be fake and if they told you the percentage without the dollar amount which is what they did that's fake so the first thing you need to know is that you got abused when you read the story you got abused somebody's trying to pull one over on you turns out his portfolio is not very big he's not a rich guy and he said directly that one of the few ways that he can get ahead and still afford to be in Congress because it doesn't pay that much relative to the cost of being there that uh he absolutely needs to you know augment his income and he does it by trading now how did you how did you rule out the possibilities at it he told you he needs it he told you he focuses on it that's different than most of the people in Congress most of the people in Congress don't need it a lot of them are rich I don't know what percentage but a lot of them are rich and some of them are not concentrating on it you know they're concentrating on other things he's concentrating on it if you knew his educational background it's really good do you know how much like formal education he's had Plus the military I don't think people understand how academically trained he is so you got somebody who's got higher academic training than most of Congress unlike Congress he's really paying attention which means he's learning how to do it right and there's very little dollar amount so if some so if he had one good pick he he would had that gain how do you know that the reason he's he's up is some kind of secret ins information what if and this is not in the story this should be in the story what if he bought stock in Nvidia do you know who bought stock in Nvidia I did and and a lot of my followers did because I mentioned it you know as sort of once ever you know kind of a unique situation so most of my most of my followers probably had the same return he did cuz if the only thing you did was buy the one most obvious stock Nvidia you would you would beat all the other members of Congress is that what happened if he had just bought Tesla he would have beat most of the members of Congress if he had just invested in you know one of the uh Atomic stocks that I mentioned that I'm not going to mention today he would have beat everybody it only took one just one one good stock in his whole port portfolio is up 40% so if you see a story that says he did better than the other people in Congress and therefore the implication is that he broke some law or did something not he wouldn't break a law because it's legal for them to use to be inside of Traitor that if you believe that it was like some secret unethical thing he did to get those gains there's no evidence of that in the story there's no evidence of it in the story now if there is evidence of any bad behavior or you know it wouldn't be illegal so I guess it wouldn't even be necessarily unethical but you wouldn't like it you're G you're going to have to give me a lot more than he did a good job because if you're complaint about the guy is he's good at investing that just pisses me off that just pisses me off because that's punishing somebody for competence and that might be the only anything that's happening now again let me be very clear I don't know if there's any you know valid insider trading that that helped his returns I don't know but what I do know is you don't know you don't know so if you're going to go from he's a good investor to he did something sketchy that you hate that's a leap I can't support and it pisses me off when somebody does a good job and there's no evidence that he did it unethically that we we crit criticize him for competence and for making it affordable to do the job of the people now before you give me a hard time because I know you want to you're going to say but but Scott what about those other unrelated things that we don't like about his policies fine I'm not arguing that if you don't think he's doing the job you want I'm not even in that conversation I I don't know enough frankly about him but um my my and I'll also tell you just for full disclosure that uh I have had conversations with him because I did his podcast a while ago so I've interacted with him at least on you know a zoom kind of a way and he's a really nice guy I don't know if you know that but he's a really nice guy and so I'm influenced by that and then I see him being attacked for something that if there's any basis to this nobody's nobody's revealing it so let's let's uh let's calm down on that you're certainly makes sense to go after him for the other stuff but let let me sum that up with a little bit of a context um sometimes you wonder what's it like to be a public figure such as Dan kensaw and such as me what's it like to be a public figure well like like Dan crenchaw one thing I have in common with him is that I've had several scandals in my career some of them you haven't heard of or you forgot about because they're so long one of the things that all of my scandals have in common is that none of them have actually happened none of them happened for example uh let's say uh I'm being criticized for being an H1B supporter so that's that's late that didn't happen not once no I have said we need to bring in you know only the best people who make sense but the H1B process apparently doesn't do that so I've never said it does that I've never said I was in favor of it and it's the biggest thing I'm being criticized for let's see I'm also being criticized for recommending that people get vaccinated during the pandemic which never happened and I forcefully always said the opposite very frequently probably said it over and over again I'm not your doctor I'm not telling you to get it I'm not telling you not to get it it's a personal decision opposite literally the opposite of what I'm blamed for do you remember um some of you might remember the thing that first derailed my career this was years ago where I had an argument where I predicted that Evolution the theory of evolution would would be debunked in my lifetime and that it would de be debunked not necessarily in in a let's say in classic ways but it would be debunked because we would understand the nature of reality so differently that Evolution would stop making sense and that happened that's called the simulation now you could argue that the simulation is not real but the argument is it's a trillion to one likely that it is and if we're a simulation then the past is actually created on demand now I could be right about that right I could be right about that or I could be wrong about that and I don't know but what I will tell you is that 100% of the push back to my opinion was based on stuff I didn't say so again this this major thing I probably lost I bet I lost 30% of the dilber fans over this something I was right about at least in terms of knowing that some some rethinking of reality would cause us to rethink Evolution that was one hell of a good prediction I mean that was a crazy good prediction like Beyond if it's right and I think it is um then does anybody remember this will be a good test how many of you remember the sock puppet um see Scandal about me the accusation was that I I sock puppeted which is a very specific act do you anybody remember that which never happened it never happened now did I go online with a uh fake identity and have what I thought was a hilarious conversation with somebody who wanted to argue about the intelligence of Scott Adams yes I did why did I do it I was just debunking some hoaxes that were told about me one of the hoaxes was that I was a holocaust denier do you see the pattern yet I'm not a holocaust Den but the public had decided I was you see the pattern right 100% of all of my scandals never happened none of them not a single one so when I look at and let me give you some others I'm also called a uh climate denier like I did I science that's not happening that's not real um and then what about my cancellation my cancellation happened almost entirely for political reasons because there's not a single Republican who's canceled me and and 100% of the people who have heard me explain the situation in detail because you know the drama never gets you the detail 100% have not disagreed with my Point nobody there are people who didn't understand the point and there are people who said it made me mad which I acknowledge and there are people who said you shouldn't have said it that's their opinion but what they think I did and said didn't happen I was complaining Against Racism and I was accused of being a racist no I'm complaining about racists I'm anti-racist the entire rant was Against Racism and I got accused of being racist now so here's the context so you look at Dan khaw and you see this about his investing do you think that's real you just you just heard my resume all of the all of the claims against me are fake we add a context to the point that they're reversed so I don't know the truth about the Dan crena investment stuff but if but with what I know if I had to place a bet especially knowing that people have been watching his Investments really closely because this is you know it's sort of an evergreen thing that they say about him you don't have one example you can't give us one example of a company that he had special knowledge about and that's the reason he made money because if you've got even one example you better lead with that how about he made this investment with Insider information on this company and here's the name of the company and that caused him to have a 40% gain you tell me that and you have my attention then I'm going to say oh still legal completely legal but I'd say you maybe we should look at change in that law so just put it in context most stories like this one you know the the investment one they'll they don't play out they're they're fake so again I'm not defending Dan CAW for any other opinions they might be excellent they might not be but that's not my topic today thank you for watching ladies and gentlemen uh you continue to be the thing that keeps me alive because I love connecting with all of you in real time all right I'm going to say hi to the locals people and everybody else uh have a terrific day as best you can unless you're in Southern California and then we'll see what we can do for you and locals I'm coming at you privately in 30 second e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e

well there you are you're here I'm

here

um all

right we're going to find our comments

and get them going so I can see what the

local people are saying to

me and then we will blow your mind with

the best show ever

[Music]

good morning everybody and welcome to

the highlight of human

civilization probably the best day

you're going to ever have but if you'd

like to take this experience up to

levels that nobody can even understand

when they're tiny shiny human brains all

you need for that is a CER marug or

glass a tanker chel or Stein a canteen

Jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill

it with your favorite liquid I like

coffee join me now for the unparallel

pleasure of the dope of meend of the day

thing makes everything better it's

called the simultaneous Sip and it

happens now

go

Sensational best SIP of the day well of

course I'm going to be talking about the

LA fires but I I'll wait just a minute

for people to stream in before that I

would like to note

do any of you remember I can't remember

how long ago it was so we're going to

test you longterm memory it was a long

time ago but there were these two Terror

attacks One in New Orleans and one in

Vegas any of that sound familiar it was

so long

ago

right uh Trump is doing it again he's

doing that thing where time is

completely disted it so when the Vegas

terrorism thing was the headline story I

said to myself o this is going to be in

the news for a while so I'm going to do

a a Dilbert comic in which uh Dilbert's

uh boss's

secretary uh suggests that he takes a a

vacation in Vegas because he didn't know

where to go on his vacation so she she

suggests she suggests that he buy a

cyber truck and

drive it to Vegas and stay at the Trump

Hotel and well anyway you'd have to see

the comic it's pretty darn funny but

it's it's running today only for the

subscribers you you'd have to be

subscribing on X or locals to see it but

you know I was prepping it to uh publish

it this morning and I thought oh my God

that feels so long

ago so long ago so Trump time just

Distortion happening again all right

just one more thing then we'll talk

about the fires I tried to use chat GPT

last night to to digest a big legal

document that I was asked to review and

I thought to myself oh perfect

application for AI I'm going to upload

the document and then I will query it uh

to say okay is this handled you know

what about this what's to say about this

and it would summarize it for me and I'd

save bunch of

time I was so happy to be in the age of

AI so I took my PDF file and I uploaded

it and it said no we can't handle the

PDF file and I said in

2025 the advanced

intelligence the most important

technology in the

world can't read a PDF

file but it said you know jpeg it could

read so I thought all right all right

well so I just change it to a JPEG file

and I upload it and it fails and it says

uh it can only take when when it goes to

jpeg it turns the document into each of

its individual Pages as one file a piece

but I thought well no problem I'll just

drag all of the pages in it'll figure

out the page numbers good to go and then

I I try to drag all the pages in and it

says can only handle four pages and I

think okay no problem no problem I'll

just do four at a

time because they're only you know 20

some pages it's not going to take all

day so I drag four over good so I drag

another four over and then it clarifies

that it's a total of four it's not four

at a time it's a total of four so I

spent something like 45 minutes of my

day finding out that AI can't do the

simplest freaking thing so

so I don't know they say they say it's

going to replace everything and do

everything but I don't know all right

let's talk about the LA

fires um it's all horrible um you know

if if you're new to my live stream I

live in Northern California and you

might say to yourself well Northern

California that's so far away from

Southern California that you're probably

not much impacted well I'm not impacted

directly by the fire that's not a risk

where I am but if you live in California

you end up having a lot of friends in

other parts of

California so I'm very impacted and uh I

had to cancel the man cave last night

because there was just too many people

who needed help and too many people I

had to check on and you it was both both

family and friends and uh it was uh it

was a big weight so just not being in

the direct fire is better than being in

the fire but let me tell you the other

the other residents of California we're

taking it in the we're taking it in the

gut this is this is like being punched

all day

long and uh five people dead apparently

which you know is a gigantic tragedy I

suppose I suppose you know you could say

something like could have been worse but

five people as five people one of them

reportedly had stayed behind with his

hose and was trying to save his house

and I always wondered how smart or dumb

that strategy was because there are a

number of people who apparently did in

fact save their houses because somebody

stayed you know neighbor or they stayed

with a hose but one of them

died so if you're going to stay with a

hose just know I don't know what the

odds are of you dying in this sort of

massive fire situation but it might be

like 20% you know I mean it's crazy

high but people do what they have to do

if it's if it's your entire life and

you're not insured which was the case in

many cases I guess you do what you got

to

do anyway

um so speaking of do what you want to do

I heard uh Greg geld on the five

yesterday um requesting that people

consider opening up their homes to other

people th this one's not like a lot of

uh different disasters the sheer number

of people who are displaced in in a

fairly populated area is kind of crazy

and they're not going to go back soon so

a lot of people are opening houses uh

donating money trying to help in every

possible way they can so it's pretty

much it's an all hands on deck situation

here so if if you don't see

me putting in as much

work could you please understand that

this isn't the week that my mind's on

work right we're we're trying to keep

people alive and and help as we can

um so apparently there's I think there's

still zero

containment but the Santa an winds that

made us so bad should be dying down by

the end of today so I'm hoping

that we're going to see something like

some containment now I hate to say it

but probably the only thing that will

bring this fire under control is burning

everything that's burnable until there's

just no fuel left it's just the ocean so

I don't know what they're what they're

going to do but

um Elon Musk has uh announced he's going

to donate free startling terminals to

the affected area in LA

uh I think that's maybe today or

tomorrow he's going to do that um X

always makes me feel like the world is

so

small so you know the the richest most

interesting guy in the world right now

uh is of course in every topic and he's

in this topic in a productive way and

then you see in the comments when he

says he's going to donate them you see

his brother Kimble saying you know

thanks brother so he must be in LA and

he must be a fected so even Kimble

Kimble musk is in the

mix a lot of celebrities we'll talk

about some of those all right the the

biggest macro story is the fog of

War so uh I'm guilty of probably I don't

know the specifics but I think I

probably reposted some fake news

yesterday because there was so much

speculation and not quite accurate so I

want to talk about the things we think

we now and put them in context if you

haven't done this yet I recommend it

highly if you're not watching one of the

fake news networks like CNN talking

about the context of how we got to this

situation in California you're not

really hearing the other side and this

is one of those things where there's a

fog of War but on top of it two

completely different versions of what

happened is have already emerged no

surprise no surprise

but you really need to hear the the

alternative explanations of what

happened it's it's going to it's going

to blow your mind that any of it could

be a little bit explained now when I say

a little bit explained my macro theory

is that there's massive

incompetence there needs to be some kind

of some kind of uh addressing that I

don't know what that looks like so

there's massive incompetent

um but some of the accusations clearly

don't fly and I'll tell you which ones

they are because I feel like we want to

be mad but it's such wasted energy to be

mad at the wrong things there's plenty

of things to really be mad at now I will

remind

you uh well we'll get to that so here

here are some of the things that people

accused the

LA you know government and management of

doing uh so first of all the reports

were that

the fire hydrants either didn't have

water or had no water

pressure now there's two versions that

if the problem is they didn't have water

because there was no stored water there

there is some some evidence that there

was a water reservoir that was not

filled but I'd Le I'd like to know more

about whether it was possible to fill it

because maybe there was no water to put

in it and I don't know whose fault that

would be so these all of these things

that look like they're simple they've

all got some bigger story behind them

which doesn't make any good or right

it's just that you should know the

context it's it's never as simple as you

know the posts on

X so there it's possible uh well there

definitely was a low water pressure in

some places and there definitely were

high fire hydrogen not producing water

some were so we do have reports of some

working hydrants some not possibly or

even maybe probably the reason the water

pressure was insufficient is that there

were so many hydrons being used at the

same time attempted and the entire Place

had been destroyed so there were a lot

of open Fountain like um water being

wasted just in homes so the it if the

area was served by the same water

source be at the High hant or inside the

house if the house has broken pipes and

the water is spewing everywhere and

everybody's trying to use water at the

same time to put out the fire is not

going to be enough water pressure or

maybe even water so water and water

pressure were both a

problem um it's not entirely clear that

either of those were some direct mistake

that you could put on some particular

person they're all complicated there's a

question of forest management you know U

Trump has been on it for years literally

years he's been saying that California

is not managing its Forest like places

like Austria where they don't have this

kind of fire and managing the forest

means partly removing the underbrush you

know the really really flammable stuff

because the trees can do a much better

job of

surviving if if if it's just going tree

to tree it's not going to go

as fast as if there's this underbrush

that's just ready to go CU trees are the

living trees are a little bit wet so

they'll they'll slow things down but the

dead underbrush you know it's just it's

going to be traveling like crazy so the

forest management thing is a real thing

it's really important it's really not

done well but I don't know if that had a

causation in this

case because most of what I saw burning

were residential homes

uh and and there's at least one report

that I don't think is confirmed that

somebody said the fire started in

somebody's backyard and then spread up a

hill if it started in somebody's

backyard and spread up a hill which is

not confirmed not confirmed it's just

something I saw a fireman on the scene

who was working it said um if it was set

by somebody we heard reports that uh

which are fake these are fake reports

somebody and oh that's that's one of the

fake ones that I think I reposted so

that's bad on me that's just a mistake I

should not have been trusting that kind

of information that early in the story

all right so that's just on my that's

just an unforced error so on my part

believing that story that some homeless

person said it which did not

happen um that's on me that that's just

an error I should have said sub reports

it but we don't know that would have

been the right answer so we still don't

know but I can tell you that I don't see

a direct link from forest management to

this particular fire I do see a gigantic

risk if our fires are if our forests are

not well managed and that appears to be

the

case um so we don't know about the water

reservoir thing uh there are a whole

bunch of questions about

uh you whether Water Resources have been

managed correctly for years it doesn't

look like it it it looks like there are

enough allegations of things that could

have solved the problem I guess years

ago there was some big plan to you know

capture the water runoff and make it

available for fires but that didn't get

passed somebody say some people will say

it's because of the Democrats um other

people will say well you know we tried

to get this bipartisan Bill to have more

water but the Republicans said no for

some reason so I don't know but I would

say the one thing that I'm confident

about is I'm confident that California

has completely mismanaged its water

resources would that have made a

difference in this specific

case maybe not there's a video of uh Joe

Rogan in 2024 in the summer which is you

know just six months ago in which he was

saying he talk to a fireman

so 6 months before this fire in La a

fireman

said uh we've been lucky so far if we

get the wind at the same time as a fire

all of La is going to burn this is from

a professional firemen who said there's

no way around it you're not going to be

able to stop it if if the fire starts at

the same time as the high wind which is

exactly what happened there is no

defense so if you say to me if only we

had more water we could defend it I say

to you maybe a

little but it probably would have still

taken out most of the area you maybe you

could save some houses but it would have

taken out most of the area so the bigger

problem was it was a known problem that

was not directly

addressed so is it a problem that

forests are not managed it's a big one

maybe not

directly factor in this fire is the

Water Management a problem yes poorly

done

was it

directly uh a problem in this fire yes

if your house burned down because the

fire Hy the fire hydrant didn't work

you're probably going to

say why didn't you count on a fire

that's this big or something like that

but um maybe it couldn't have been

stopped you maybe the firemen and 2024

was exactly right and there just wasn't

anything you could do

um the

mayor Karen bass is it she happened to

be in Ghana for

some some uh government thing that she

thought was interesting and uh uh I'm

not sure that anything is different

because the um the mayor was in a

different country you know may mayor's

travel and even though there's no reason

they should have been doing some

International work I mean she could have

been on vacation

I there are lots of reasons of people

around town I I doubt that her absence

had any impact on the emergency

response but in emergencies you want

your leaders to act capable and you know

have empathy and be on hand and you know

tell you everything they know you know

give you some hope that they could get

this under control so I don't think she

did a good job on

anything but probably didn't have any

make any difference to any house that

burned or didn't

burn

then I've got to spend a a moment on

this that there's a lot of accusations

that this is caused by

Dei

and

um I'm going to make some suggestions

about this so I'm going to talk I'll

talk about Dei after I give the list of

other things that people are saying I I

don't think you can pin it on one person

and say that's a d I higher or even more

than one person but more on that

moment

um so let's see uh there's something

about the Smelt fish smelt is it a Smelt

fish or is just a smelt apparently Trump

calls it an extinct

fish I don't think it's extinct which is

the whole point of trying to preserve it

if it were extinct we wouldn't be

worrying about it but it's funny that he

calls it extinct an extinct

fish um but apparently there was

some there was some movement to provide

more water for uh LA but it didn't work

because it would have been bad for these

rare smelt the Delta

smelt well let me tell you what else

smelt about this

situation everything so I don't know I I

think that smelt fish is going to be one

of those those two movies on one on one

uh screen I think CNN's going to tell

you oh that was a bipartisan thing or

Republicans should have said yes or

there there's going to be another story

to that I don't think it's as clean

as uh we traded smelt for human for

human

beings although in some ways it looks

exactly like that but probably there's a

little extra context on that

one and then the part that is definitely

true is that the insurance policy caps

that California tried to put on

insurance fire insurance policies um

caused a shortage of fire insurance

policies because the the fire insurance

people said um no thanks if we can't

make money we don't want to be in your

state so they pull down so what makes

this particular situation go from tragic

to

how do I say this without being

cancelled all right I'm I'm going to

speak as indirectly as I can and you can

piece it

together if an ordinary tragedy happens

you you get into tragedy mode you're

like trying to help people you're

feeling sad you're feeling impacted

you're basically just feeling terrible

but trying to do what you can if it's

just a

tragedy if it's a tragedy which would

have been had

by your insurance kicking in and at

least paying for what you

lost that would be half as big but it

wouldn't be just a change of you being

half as

mad it's the difference between and

here's where I have to be

careful it's the difference between

people feeling bad and people feeling

homicidal was that indirect enough we're

looking at the government of C

California and I can tell you from

personal

experience my my emotions I'm trying to

keep under control and if you're seeing

a lot of Californians talking in ways

that you think are unusually calm given

the situation like James Woods you saw

him acting completely calm that the

house he loved and just rebuilt and

remodeled was lost and he had no

insurance now he has better resources

maybe than other people but he broke

down on an interview so don't

mistake how strong people are acting

with how they're feeling on the inside

this

feels like we got

raped that's what it feels like it

doesn't feel like a tragedy happened it

feels like we got

raped all of us even if you if even even

if you're not directly affected

do you know what this is going to do to

the possibility of getting Insurance

anywhere in the state this just made the

entire state unlivable they're going to

have to tax the beesus of us to pay for

whatever this costed the the level of

economic destruction I don't even think

you can calculate it it it's bigger than

anything that's ever happened in the

country and so I feel a sense of

Rage that makes me in Revenge homicidal

head instead of recovery from an event

head I want to be I want to be just in

the helpful recovery mode but man when

they give you they give you the double

tap you know one in the chest one in the

head one in the chest was the bad fire

management the one in the head was you

don't have insurance because we changed

the rules in an obvious way in a way

that obviously would make insurance go

away and not be available you do that I

don't think the res uh uh let me say it

in the way

that um I Heard It stated I'm not going

to attribute this but without

attribution I heard yesterday a

Californian who was directly affected

say of one of the leading politicians

who's getting a lot of blame again I

won't be specific and the and the advice

was I wouldn't show yourself in

public now that advice I think was well

intended as a security thing you need to

know that people feel

homicidal they don't feel just hurt this

is not like other things the the level

of incompetence apparently is so extreme

that it doesn't feel like an

accident if feels intentional it wasn't

intentional but it feels like it it

feels like people just raped us because

I didn't give a

so if you think we're going to get

over this I doubt it I doubt it I don't

think we're going to get over this and

you didn't have to be in the fire zone

to not get over it I'm not getting over

this the this is the wakeup call it's

the tap on the shoulder it says you know

all that complaining you did complaining

is

nothing complaining is

nothing at this point pretty serious

action and I hope it's not the homicidal

kind is required and I do believe that

you know people of character are going

to act really differently and some of

them will be sacrificing their personal

fortunes some will be sacrificing their

reputations but the risk reward equation

just changed completely once you realize

you can't live in this state the way it

is then you're going to take a bigger

risk to change it you know if you're

just like ah I don't like it but next

year is going to be a lot like this

year you know you're just going to get

on with your life but now it's an

existential risk just to be managed by

incompetence it's an existential risk of

incompetence now I will remind you as I

was reminded just moments ago before the

show started that it was a while ago

that I warned that

Dei would cause massive institutional

and corporate and government

incompetence and it would be really

really obvious and it could destroy

everything we

love now when people mentioned that on

TV such as the amazing Scott Jennings he

got into that conversation on CNN it

went completely off the rail and it was

a I'm going to call it a rare a rare

communication Mistake by Scott Jennings

um you know when I talk about him

usually it's like oh my God he just he

just explained things so well uh among

this panel of Democrats and you know he

won that day and you know I'll be

forwarding around so in general he he's

the best we

have if you're looking at like who who's

the best Communicator who's not Trump

himself it might be Scott jenx he's

really really impressive but on the Dei

stuff total fail now I think it's easy

to correct and I would expect he will

here's the

correction um and I I posted this I hope

he sees it but accusing people specific

people if what you're doing is is

accusing specific people of being Dei

hires we don't have that kind of

information you know we could tell that

they're in a certain demographic group

but you can't tell that the that's the

problem you can't look at a specific

case and say oh if if Karen bass had

been a white guy everything would be

fine now that

might it might be that she's a Dei hire

and then that's the whole story and the

police chief is Dei hire and and you've

got everything you need it might be but

we don't have that kind of information

so when Scott Jennings brought up the

Dei element He had a couple of black

female panelists who just ate him up and

what they did is they do the thing where

where they say why are you saying that

black women can't do a good job nobody

says that that has nothing that has

absolutely nothing to do with the Dei

conversation the Dei conversation is not

about the capability of one any

particular group it's not a capability

it's a system incentive design

problem that you could replace you could

replace anybody in this equation and you

get the same bad outcome so nobody's

saying that there's something special

about black

women not being able to do stuff I I'm

not aware of anybody who has that

opinion it's more about the system and

let me explain that a little bit

better so the first point is that as

soon as you apply it to any

individual you're on thin ice you don't

have the proof of that unless you worked

with that person every day you probably

don't know if they're doing a good or

bad job you know sometimes there are

other variables that makes stuff

impossible but here's what you can say

you can say number one that leaders

focus on what is easiest to measure that

probably is the number one most

important thing you need to know about

management that managers man to things

that can be tracked why do they do that

because when they get their bonuses and

their Awards and their

raises it's going to be based on what

can be measured what is easier to

measure than diversity

Improvement it's easy uh what are you

I'm a woman got

it what are you I identify as black got

it right easy to count easy to keep

track easy to see how it changed from

what it was to where it is if you give

any manager that situation where it's

easy to know what you know if you did it

right or at least if you hit the goal I

won't say right but you hit the goal

they're going to manage that and they're

going to let other things

lapse because they it won't affect their

pay for example suppose several years

ago the people in charge had decided to

to do a big water management

Improvement how long would it take to

get that approved to get it built to see

if it worked and then even when you

built it you wouldn't know if it worked

you would only know that there weren't

any fires lately you wouldn't know that

it worked so if you got this big

ambiguous but way more important thing

to do the water management is way more

important than other things but it takes

a long time you can't tell what any one

person did to make it happen it's really

hard to get you know to to be held

responsible for that so if you're a

manager you go for what can be measured

easily you focus on it that's where your

pay depends then on top of that the

second thing you need to know is that

every major company is trying to improve

their diversity at the same time and I

would argue even the companies that may

have uh renounced their Dei efforts the

individual managers are still going to

be hiring with a Dei goal you don't need

you don't need a Dei

program because those same managers are

still going to be bragging if they get

more diversity you you could you could

get away with give up the entire

incentive system but if one of the

people says well I you know I

Diversified my department and the other

manager that they're competing against

for the top job says oh I uh I do some

long-term things that are really smart

but how' it turn out well we won't know

because lots of people involved could

take years if it doesn't work it might

not be my fault it could be the

legislation

right

so anyway so if you have every company

trying to do it at the same time even if

it's not part of a organized program

you're going to run out of your target

demographics and here's the important

thing to know you could switch out the

target demographics and replace it with

any other group and it's the same that's

why it's not a racist observation for

example let's say your Dei program was

you had to hire more Irish people or

Irish

Americans and that's

it how's that going to work out you're

going to maximize Irish American now

there are a lot of Irish Americans but

if everybody suddenly said oh God I got

to get get myself an Irish Irish guy you

would run out of Highly qualified Irish

Americans on day

two on day one all the all the Smart

Ones with a good resume have already

been hired we got a we got an Irish guy

yes it's going to look good on my

resume so if you're when Scott Jennings

on CNN allows his panelists to argue you

know that black black women can do any

job nobody's disagreeing with that that

the right qualified person of any

demographic can do pretty much any

job and the and the thing that you have

to understand is you can replace that

Target demographic with

anybody you you could take black women

out of the conversation entirely put

Irish men Irish men same same problem if

you're managing to the number of Irish

men on your staff you're in trouble

you're going to you're going to have

massive incompetence if you fast forward

20 years and here we are we are in a

position of massive massive incompetence

is it the cause of any specific

demographic

group can't tell the only thing you can

know for

sure is that this was a guaranteed

outcome that the design of the incentive

system and the natural limitation of any

demographic group group to have you know

unlimited people in it is all you needed

to know on paper it couldn't have worked

and that's why it's so important to

reverse it and reverse our thinking

about

it

so Scott Jennings I hope you make that

correction the first thing you should

say is it's not about any individual

it's about a system design if you have

incentives that make people do the wrong

thing they'll do the wrong thing and

that's where we

are now some of the worst takes on this

Bernie Sanders weighs in while people

are running for their lives and posts

this 80,000 people told to evacuate I

think it's twice that now since he

posted it 80,000 people told to evacuate

he said blazes 0% contained and so far

I'm thinking oh this is Bernie being

helpful he's he's telling us how bad it

is and then he's going to hit us with

what we should do about it he says eight

months since the area has been has seen

rain

okay that did make it worse the scale

the damage and loss is

unimaginable thank you for you know

recognizing how bad this is and then he

said climate change is real not a

hoax Donald Trump must treat this like

the existential crisis it is meaning

climate

change well you could

imagine how I felt when I read that have

I mentioned that we Californians don't

feel like we went through a tragedy we

feel like we got raped by

you by politicians you know so Burnie

burning you know

indirectly and the fact that California

was focusing on your little Pet Project

the climate change which I believe is

mostly freaking fake because it only

applies to people who think the news

news is real and science is not corrupt

if you think the news is real and

science is not completely corrupted by

money you might believe that this

climate change has been proven by all

the smart people to be a danger now it

might be a danger I often say I don't

know I I don't know how much people are

contributing to it um I I see both sides

I don't think any of them are believable

from my point of view because I can't

tell but I can tell you for sure that if

you think the models are predicting the

future you have not looked into it very

much if you think we can measure the

temperature of the earth over decades

you haven't looked into it and I find

that I can't even have a conversation

with somebody who thinks all of that

climate uh the alarm part is true you

can't even talk to them because they've

been so hypnotized they think the news

is real the news is not real about

anything important

the news could have a correct fact now

and

then but the narrative is never real

narratives are always motivated they're

not they're not real if you believe the

news is even trying to be real you can't

be reached you you have to first

understand that they're not trying to

tell you the truth it's just not it's

not their business

model and if you think that anybody

under any circumstances can take all

these weird hidden variables and

gigantic variables and hard to measure

variables and put them into a

complicated model and tell you the

temperature in 10

years how do I begin to tell you how

impossible that is that's not something

that the smart people figured out that

is a pure hoax the models part now what

I'm not calling the hoax is I don't know

if it's getting warmer I don't know if

people are involved I just know that

nobody else knows I know for sure that

nobody else

knows so but my problem with Bernie is

not that he believes in climate change

and I'm pretty sure that he's wrong uh

at least in terms of the alarm part of

it my part is you need to be able to

read the room a little bit better you

don't talk to rape victims about wearing

a condom you know what I mean you don't

talk to rape victims about wearing a

condom you know maybe maybe you should

had a cond with you no you were just

making it worse so my first reaction was

I was just going to go nuclear and I had

every fbom and like like I was ready to

go and my fingers hit the keyboard and I

said I'm not going to make it

worse because that was just a pure

emotional

reaction um so instead I reposted this I

said Senator Sanders as a California I

respectfully ask for you to delete this

post no California thinks climate change

dried up the fire hydrants and canel

fire

insurance now whether my take is you

know factually correct that that the

fire hydrant were a problem that somehow

was undermanaged or that the canceled

well the canceled fire Insurance um

that's certainly uh a fact

but um and then I told to read The Room

2 million people agreed with me which is

very unusual for a post on X to get 2

million views that means people really

agreed not every person but it means a

lot of people agreed with my take that

he was not reading the room and I would

like to add a few things if the problem

with the LA fire were caused by climate

change the whole world would be on fire

by now right I'm pretty sure that the

climate change is not limited to La we

would see basically everything on fire

if climate changes cause fire if

droughts caused fire everything that's

having a slightly under normal year

which is what La is la is in what I

think they call it a moderate drought

meaning it's barely a drought and it's

not outside of the historical Norm

whatsoever not at

all

um so

anyway um who else was bad then Joe

Biden with his defective brain and

oppressor talked about the fire but

nobody remembers that all they remember

is he had the bad judgment to say quote

the good news is that I became a

Grandpa

wow wow between Sanders and Biden not

being able to read the room do they

understand that California's a blue

state or

was

um let's see according to the New York

Post I think Molly Hemingway flagged

this that uh uh Governor Newsome is

launching his Trump resistance plan this

week so so Nome wants to tell you how

much he's resisting Trump which looks

like the problem not the solution this

week doesn't it cuz now we have we have

on video Trump saying all the right

things about fire prevention in

California you've blocked the

water you you block you're not doing

Forest

management turns out those were the

right answers those were the right

answers of course he's against Dei again

we don't know that that caused this

problem but it's the right you know

overarching theme so Trump was as right

about this situation and on time because

he said it way before it happened he was

right and he was on

time and it looks like California

completely screwed the pooch on in every

Dimension at least it looks that way we

don't know that that's true but let me

talk about the future of California

politics because everything has a

political element to it

um and here's how Trump posted it he

said uh on his one of his posts some

truth I I think he said the governor new

scum as he calls him chose to save the

extinct fish instead of sending water to

Southern California to fight apocalyptic

wildfires now this is another example of

how good Trump is in

messaging to take this big complicated

situation and just turn it into new scum

chosen extinct fish over saving the

lives of

Californians it's an oversimplification

and I don't even know if the fish part

is really a valid I don't even know if

that's a valid claim because if you turn

on CNN they're going to say well but you

know it's Republican's fault too and

blah blah blah I don't know what they

say but but there's more context to it

however as a political messaging thing

the the Brilliance of the summary is

what Trump does better than anybody

nobody does that well he he's the best

ever as summarized

nobody summarizes better than he

does um Adam Cora who apparently is one

of the more famous people being

displaced he looked like he was in a

hotel room and he did a video and he he

was explaining something that you might

not fully understand outside of

California do you know how hard it is to

build something in California all of

these people who think well I'll get my

insurance check or maybe I had some

extra money and I'm going to rebuild so

they're going to go to the sity and say

Here's my plan oh my God they're just

entering hell um I won't go into the

details but let me let me just tell you

this getting a California entity any any

City really to approve a building of

anything is pretty much a nightmare the

the house I'm in right now I you know

had built but I think it

took 18 months just to get

approval something something like that

now these are people who just think well

it should be easy because I'm just going

to build back the house I had you know

with slight

variety it's not going to be easy you

you're going to spend a year not getting

the permit and then good luck finding a

contractor because everybody in your

whole city is trying to hire the

contractor who knows how to build stuff

you're not going to have a contractor

you're not going to be able to get

insurance you're not going to be able to

pay for it with the insurance you don't

have you're not going to be able to get

a

permit I don't

believe the the country and maybe even

Californians have absorbed how bad this

is you're seeing something closer to the

beginning of the problem than the end as

bad as it was and we don't I don't think

we can fully appreciate the economic

disruption to the state who's going to

pay for the recovery I don't think the

federal government is going to pay for

it all is this raise my California taxes

again from the highest taxes to the

highest taxes on

Turbo how are we going to survive it how

are we going to fix the things that need

to get fixed we're we're already paying

the highest taxes and it feels like the

lowest level of service in

return so now if you think we're just

going to rebuild you don't know

California that might be just empty

land for the rest of my life like I I

don't know that it's I just don't see a

path where that quickly gets

fixed I don't know

um here's what I think I think this has

been such a black eye for the management

of the state that for the first time

recently I can say it's possible to have

a republican Governor now it would take

a special character it would take a

Reagan type character who was a rep

rep and I don't know anybody in the

state who would fit that you know

reaganesque

um thing um and would also have

experience managing something because

you you don't want somebody who's never

managed anything because the state is

you know as much management as politics

so it's not exactly like other jobs you

need to manage so we need a you know

disantis type of Governor so if somebody

like D santis became available to run

for

governor it's the best time now other

people are going to say Scott Scott

Scott I think you don't realize that the

the The Blue Team um has California all

wrapped up and no no nobody but a

Democrat could win and it's not just

because of the voters it's because the

Democrat machine controls too much and

they can rig any vote to go the way they

want because they just control too much

now that might be true

however I think that uh the opening is

now if it's ever going to happen uh I

saw some people suggest this that maybe

a smart independent like Nicole Shanahan

would be a possibility now I like

everything about Nicole Shanahan but I

don't know that she has exactly the

right background for managing because

whoever takes his job has to like dig

into you know the whole water thing the

forest thing yeah it's it's really a

management thing

so as a high quality and as much as I

would trust Nicole shanan I like

everything about her basically um I

don't know if she has the exact

background that that fits this

slot um but maybe somebody will

emerge and then as people have noted the

legislature would probably still stay

blue and so even the governor couldn't

get anything

done

um so I saw some related to this I saw

Bill Mah video and he was talking to

Stephen A Smith and Mar said this that

really caught my attention he said quote

I've been out with every type of

celebrity you know meaning just having

fun and he says they don't say the

things they say to me to other

celebrities there it

is now you probably said to yourself

Scott you can't get a republican

Governor because the state is Phil Phil

so many Democrat voters you're you're

never going to get over the hump I don't

think they're

Democrats I think they're literally

pretending to be Democrats I think that

the I think that every one of these

people who may have been seeming like

political enemies are now seeing that

the thing we need to you know get

together on is common sense stuff I

don't believe there's Democrat who

wanted less Forest management well

there's some crazy ones who you know

want to preserve everything natural but

not

really I don't think there's any

Democrats who say I'm sure glad we

didn't have enough

water right I don't think there are any

Democrats who said uh sure is a good

thing there were not enough escape routs

from a place that is an obvious fire

risk these are all so clearly and

cleanly Common Sense issues that I don't

think anybody's going to give a

about the smelt

going

forward try try to try stopping us from

fixing the state because of a

smelt yeah

because I don't think that works anymore

so of course I'm speaking for my own

little bubble because you know I'm very

influenced by how I personally feel

about this which is some intense

feelings uh in many

directions I'm pretty sure that this is

the wakeup call that tells everybody in

the South you know the the Republicans

don't hate you you get that right we

really I'm going to say we because I

caucus with the Republicans even though

I'm uh I'm a Democrat by um

registration um I

think I think maybe it will be a little

better understood that Trump was on

California's side and whatever the

Democrats running things were

doing may have been for their own

benefit or may have been just pure

incompetence we don't know what it was

but we know that Trump had exactly the

right solution in exactly the right time

early and we know that the Democrats

failed just in performance the exact

reasons hard to know but they certainly

failed

um Hunter Biden's rental burned up and I

I think the M the thing that bothered me

the most about that was that it was a

rental like it's it's bad enough if

you're the landlord for Hunter

Biden CU remember uh we heard the story

that he had rented someplace and didn't

pay in the past a different place but he

had been renting a place and didn't pay

the rent and then he used the Secret

Service to keep the landlord from

getting to him to ask for the rent that

is like the most effed up thing you're

going to hear he didn't pay the

rent and he used his secret service

protection to make sure that nobody

would come bug him to get the

rent that actually happened was it Shan

Maguire I think was the landlord there

uh so he's I don't think he's in that

house anymore but uh I just feel sorry

doubly sorry for the whoever owned it

because they lost their house that was

rental but also they had Hunter Biden as

as a resident I mean I don't know if you

could even cleaned it after that Christy

tan and John Legend and their kids are

in a hotel Henry winklers said some

angry drunk looking things he's he's

affected

um I have mixed feelings talking about

the celebrities

involved on one hand I don't think this

is a story about celebrities and so it's

just gross and icky that they're even

part of the story like why do we care

about them more does it matter more to

you that Henry Winkler is safe than

Henry Winkler's not famous

neighbor I mean there so there's

something creepy about it but at the

same time the politics of it is that

these are the some of them are some of

them are conservative but number of

other ones are outspoken Democrats and I

would love to know how Chrissy Teegan

and John Legend feel about their

team after losing their house to their

team do does that change how you

feel what else could I mean is see if

you're going to change somebody's mind

having a debate with them H maybe

usually not having really good

points yeah might work but probably not

really being good at persuasion it might

help but probably not people are pretty

set in their ways you burn down

somebody's

house you have their

attention everybody who lost the house

is now open to a better argument a lot

of Minds open up

so I think I think uh California is in

play anyway in related but other news

because we can't spend all our time

talking about this it's just it's just

too hard um Trump is as other people

have noted flooding the zone so he's

completely controlling the news uh even

the fire which you would think you know

is not directly a trump topic he's still

the top of the news because he said the

right things and did the right things

and it stands in contrast to what

happened so not only that but apparently

he's uh there's a report from Steph

Knight I think she's a

axios um saying that uh there's some

knowledge that Trump plans to flood the

Zone with a 100 executive

orders uh like his first day or first

week or something

now so we've got Trump talking about you

know Greenland Panama Canada he's

talking about the fire um he might have

a hundred executive orders every day

three new

things this is the only way to defeat

the fake

news and you know he's always done this

thing where he he keeps the Overton

window so to speak keeps the action

going and it keeps the attention on

him but I think I just realized the

other hidden benefit of

this you know as we've often said

Republicans can be right and they can be

wrong they can have wrong

facts um and often do they might believe

in some conspiracy theories that don't

prove out but that's normal sort of

normal human

beings on the Democrat side there's an

organized hoax creation you know machine

for the Democrats they'll create a hoax

about the other side and then they'll

use their news their media and their

Talking Heads to say the same things

over and over

again right how many times have you seen

that well he's a he's a convicted felon

you know that's just the talking point

and if they say convicted felon a

million times it's going to stick in

your head because repetition is the

number one tool of

persuasion and even more importantly

it's the number one tool of

brainwashing brainwashing requires you

to hear the same exact message over and

over and over and over again until your

brain just uncritically says well it

must be true I keep hearing it which

doesn't make sense but your brain will

process it that way so what Trump has

done is he's removed from the fake news

the ability to repeat any of their

messages often enough for them to stick

because they start going on with he

wants to send the military into

Greenland and then they repeat that L we

got them we got them because nobody's

going to be in favor of you know sending

the military in although some are so

they repeat that and then the next thing

you know he's talking about Panama and

then they're like all right what are we

saying about Panama uh Panama uh wait

he's talking about Canada now what what

do we say about Canada wait what did he

say about the smelt

wait new scum he's calling him new scum

100 executive

orders they can't repeat often enough he

took away from them their number one

persuasion trick

repetition now is this

intentional do you think that he

intentionally said if I just take away

all of their oxygen they'll never be

able to repeat anything enough to

stick the answer is

yes yes this is absolutely intentional

now that doesn't mean it's only Trump

who knows this he's working with Steven

Miller and you know a bunch of brilliant

people right the brilliant people can

see this clear as they so yes it's not

an accident they going to have a 100

executive orders and he's talking about

things that make your hair just catch on

fire like you can't and also everything

that Trump says is too interesting to

ignore it doesn't matter what he says

it's always too interesting to ignore

he's what Greenland

what so yes is intentional yes is

brilliant in a way that we don't even

deserve like we don't even deserve that

level of capability and and when he

shows you the competence level that he

brings just a message

the competence level that he brought to

his

campaign the competence level in which

he's taking things that people said are

ridiculous things to do such as you know

using the old Twitter or now posting

things that are like geopolitical you

know hugely important things he makes

that work when you watch somebody who is

just an extreme example of competence

with his team right he doesn't do

everything alone but

I think people are going to notice

competence is hard to ignore if you just

keep at it and he

is well in other news if there's any

good news at all the employment for this

coming year looks like a little better

than people expected that hasn't

happened yet but the thinking is that um

in surveys big companies are showing

much more optimism and more um more uh

let's say prediction that they'll do

serious hiring apparently the reason

there was less hiring than there might

have been is that big companies said oh

we better wait to see if AI is going to

take all the jobs and now they've waited

and like my example where I started the

show where I said I tried to get AI to

do any simple thing just look at a

document and summarize it and just

because it was multiple Pages it just

couldn't do it so I think that probably

the companies have now wised up that

what they thought was going to be this

instant replacement of employees with

machines it might still happen but not

in

2025 so in 2025 they're like uh we're

going to need human bodies because we

can tell them to look at the whole

contract not just four pages and

quit so it could be that at least in the

short run a little little bump and

Improvement in

employment um I just this is just an as

side because I'm amused by it

but do you remember Aaron

rupar uh he's the reason that I came up

with the phrase a rupar for a

description of a video that's been

edited to change his meaning because he

did a number of those and it looked like

he knew he was doing it you couldn't

tell because you can't read his mind but

it looked like I feel like he knows he

took that out of context and uh then I

saw he he made some claim uh I think it

was yesterday it doesn't matter what the

claim was but the Community note to it

uh just noted that he's a well-known

liar so the actual Community note wasn't

just that he was saying something that

wasn't true it's said he was a well he

was a well-known famous liar who does it

for

clicks now I'm paraphrasing but it said

basically that uh now as soon as I

refreshed it the community note changed

to something less less attacking of his

character but for

moment the community notes has settled

on yeah he's just a famous liar so you

shouldn't pay attention to

him if if I contributed even

1% by making people understand that a

rupar is literally a you know a fake

post or edit if I contributed even 1% to

that I'm

proud all

right

um I love I love the fake news talking

about the uh the use of force to

overtake Greenland so I guess the

Pentagon was asked if there was any kind

of plan to invade Greenland but what's

funny is that the whoever was talking

some kind of Pentagon spokesperson uh

said that they didn't know of any

plan it was short of a

no so instead of saying no there's no

plan to use the military uh or or even a

plan to what would look like if he used

the military instead the spokesperson

said I'm not aware of

one would the spokesperson be aware of

the secret attack

plans I feel like you wouldn't tell the

spokesperson because if you told them

they could accidentally tip somebody off

so the spokesperson never knows the

secret attack plans do they because if

they do that feels like a mistake to me

but anyway well the only thing I want to

add to this is that why would the

Pentagon need a

plan the entire country is 56,000 people

mostly in one

place uh and they seem to be fairly pro-

Maga pro-american and if it were up to

them and not Denmark who owns them if it

were just up to the people in

Greenland it's kind of looking like they

might be okay with this idea but I think

it's funny that anybody would ask the

Pentagon if they have a if they have a

conquest plan for Greenland when all

they really needed was Don Jr and

Charlie Kirk to fly over there and take

some selfies now to be fair Don Jr and

Charlie Kirk taking selfies with the

locals is not enough to conquer a

country it's not enough they might have

to go back two or three more times and

take more selfies that should be enough

I think three to four trips of Don J and

Charlie Kirk taking

selfies the whole island surrenders then

we just have to you know work on a deal

with Denmark so no no military needed

just Don and

Charlie all right uh Senator Rick Scott

has introduced a uh some legislation to

stop the changing of the clocks twice a

year I keep wanting to have an opinion

on that but I don't and I'm going to

admit why because I don't know what

change they're talking

about it's too hard for me to figure out

the

whole hour hour backwards hour forwards

but if they standardize it which one are

they standardizing on because I never

know which one is which one's the base

case I don't know and and I also don't

know if I'd like it since I've never

experienced it you know the the

different amount of light at a different

time of day I've never experienced it so

how would I even have an opinion on that

maybe I'd like it a little bit more in

the morning but dislike it at more at

night but what's the net know so if it's

expensive and I know it cuts down on a

productivity when the time

changes I I don't see a reason to change

the time so I'm in favor of changing it

but I don't have any idea what that

looks like like in my actual life so but

just in terms of economics it makes

sense um Britain is threatened to cut

ties security ties with the US unless uh

Trump stops working with Elon Musk

according to the National pulse William

Upton to which I

say Great Britain is threatening to cut

ties with

us

okay the uh can you remind me uh

what are all the military advantages

we're getting from protecting

them what trade you know what products

are you getting from England from their

manufacturing

base how much do we need

England or the UK or Great Britain how

much do we need them I don't know sounds

like a pretty bad threat bad threat to

me and I don't think there's any chance

they're going to cut

ties Biden is considering according to

the post millennial Hayden Cunningham is

writing that Biden's thinking about

preemptive pardons for Liz Cheney and

Anthony

fouchi so Liz Chene for the corrupt um

Insurrection so-called Insurrection

committee

um do you have a problem with

that yeah this one's an interesting one

because I think I don't know if any

charges would ever be brought up because

there's a lot of bad behavior that I

don't know if it's criminal it's just

really really bad and unethical Behavior

so if they get a preemptive pardon we

don't have to watch the trial and talk

about it but also it would label them

forever as

felons because who gets a preemptive

pardon I would like to ask the following

question in the history of

Pardons how many times as a completely

innocent person got a preemptive

pardon is there even one time that's

ever happened where somebody who was

legitimately innocent got a preemptive

pardon can you think of any time that's

ever happened no you give a preemptive

pardon to somebody you know is damn

guilty so now they to be fair they might

be more worried about some illegitimate

lawfare being used against them and if

that's the only thing they're thinking

well

you know if they if they if you think

there was no real

crime maybe but the way we're going to

read it is that they've just they just

they just declared themselves guilty if

they accept a preemptive pardon for

something they didn't

do I'm not going to believe they didn't

do it I'm just going to believe oh you

know you're dirty you lucky you lucky

guy and lucky

woman um

all right the Mexican

president what's her name Claudia Shin

bomb I will never get tired of saying

this the Mexican president Claudia Shin

Bal I'm going to say it another time

because it's funny so the Mexican

president Claudia Shin balb the Jewish

woman I just love that that she you know

uh I have to give Mexico credit

because you think of Mexico as you know

they're going to be kind of a

patriarchy you presume if it's if most

of the residents are Mexican they're

going to vote for you know somebody

who's as Mexican as possible uh but they

elected they elected Claudia shine bomb

and I give them credit for that if she

does a good

job good work um anyway so she's

responding to Trump saying that he wants

the gulf to be called the Gulf of

America instead of the Gulf of Mexico go

and she's shooting back and she says the

US the US should be called America

Mexicana uh let's see how long it takes

me to forget her

framing one two

three wait what did she say what did she

call

it do you see how special Trump

is Trump says extinct fish once and I'll

remember it for the rest of my

life the Mexican president as capable as

she probably is I imagine she's very

good in

general to get where she got but she

tries to match him he's like ah how

about I got it I'm G to Zing you how

about we call it America

Mexicana why isn't everybody clapping

clap please

the the difference in Persuasion and

communication skill is just so

striking like you don't realize how good

Trump is at the what I'll call the

little stuff you know just the ordinary

communication you don't realize how good

he is until you see somebody else try it

and then and they just do a total face

plant I had to read it again America

Mexicana no that's not a good try

well Russia's introducing these uh land

robot tank things it looks like a little

miniature tank and it could have wheels

or tracks but it's got loaded with all

kinds of weapons and they're going to

make a bunch of them they say and send

them at

Ukraine um here's my question can Russia

manufacture now I know they have

manufacturing and I know they make

weapons and this is a weapon but

if they if their uh outcome of the war

depends on making a lot of these robots

that they've never made before how good

are they going to be now it could be

that you know even if Russia is not a

massively good uh Manufacturing Company

it could be that they put their best

people in the military stuff which would

make sense and uh maybe this is maybe

it's good work and maybe they're they

can crank them out like crazy but the

thing I'd be looking for

is whether they can

manufacture well enough to put working

models in the field that make a

difference now the other thing is that

even the ground robots like these the

ones on wheels or running dogs or

whatever they will soon be programmed to

swarm just like the drones in the air so

if you if you organize the drones so

that they operate as one and they swarm

there's almost no defense but likewise

if you were in you know if you were on

the front line and you're a human being

and you get swarmed by these robots

you're going to be in a lot of trouble

the robots on the ground

because it probably takes a little bit

of planning and work and strange

execution to even take out one of them

if six of them are bearing down on

you you you got to run and it will run

faster than you so it's going to get

real interesting thing in Ukraine I I

would look to see if they can

manufacture well and

quickly well I'm going to do something

that you don't like uh I'm going to

defend uh U

khaw so Dan

kensaw uh is often reported for having

very high relative to other people uh

really good gains on his stock picks so

there's another story today mentioning

that he's a top five investor among

Congress you're like H top five did he

do that because of Insider information

and the implication is that it's because

he has Insider information so that he

and other members who trade are just

beaten people because they're inside

information and it was poting out that

he had a high percentage

gain so if you look at his gain I think

it was over 40% for the year or

something that that would put him in the

top five now now what do I teach you

about spotting fake news if you know the

percentage of gain he made but they

don't tell you the dollar amount is it

real news or fake news the answer is

it's fake news if they told you both the

percentage and the dollar amount it

might be real if they told you only the

dollar amount without the percentage

that would be fake and if they told you

the percentage without the dollar amount

which is what they did that's fake so

the first thing you need to know is that

you got abused when you read the story

you got abused somebody's trying to pull

one over on you turns out his portfolio

is not very big he's not a rich guy and

he said directly that one of the few

ways that he can get ahead and still

afford to be in Congress because it

doesn't pay that much relative to the

cost of being there that uh he

absolutely needs to you know augment his

income and he does it by trading now how

did you how did you rule out the

possibilities at it he told you he needs

it he told you he focuses on it that's

different than most of the people in

Congress most of the people in Congress

don't need it a lot of them are rich I

don't know what percentage but a lot of

them are rich and some of them are not

concentrating on it you know they're

concentrating on other things he's

concentrating on it if you knew his

educational background it's really good

do you know how much like formal

education he's had Plus the

military I don't think people understand

how academically trained he is so you

got somebody who's got higher academic

training than most of Congress unlike

Congress he's really paying attention

which means he's learning how to do it

right and there's very little dollar

amount so if some so if he had one good

pick he he would had that gain how do

you know that the reason he's he's up is

some kind of secret ins

information what if and this is not in

the story this should be in the story

what if he bought stock in

Nvidia do you know who bought stock in

Nvidia I

did and and a lot of my followers did

because I mentioned it you know as sort

of once ever you know kind of a unique

situation so most of my most of my

followers probably had the same return

he did cuz if the only thing you did was

buy the one most obvious stock

Nvidia you would you would beat all the

other members of Congress is that what

happened if he had just bought

Tesla he would have beat most of the

members of Congress if he had just

invested in you know one of the uh

Atomic stocks that I mentioned that I'm

not going to mention today he would have

beat everybody it only took one just one

one good stock in his whole port

portfolio is up 40% so if you see a

story that says he did better than the

other people in Congress and therefore

the implication is that he broke some

law or did something not he wouldn't

break a law because it's legal for them

to use to be inside of Traitor that if

you believe that it was like some secret

unethical thing he did to get those

gains there's no evidence of that in the

story there's no evidence of it in the

story now if there is evidence of any

bad behavior or you know it wouldn't be

illegal so I guess it wouldn't even be

necessarily unethical but you wouldn't

like it you're G you're going to have to

give me a lot more than he did a good

job because if you're complaint about

the guy is he's good at

investing that just pisses me off that

just pisses me off because that's

punishing somebody for

competence and that might be the only

anything that's happening now again let

me be very clear I don't know if there's

any you know valid insider trading that

that helped his returns I don't know but

what I do know is you don't know you

don't know so if you're going to go from

he's a good investor to he did something

sketchy that you hate that's a leap I

can't support and it pisses me off when

somebody does a good job and there's no

evidence that he did it

unethically that we we crit criticize

him for

competence and for making it affordable

to do the job of the

people now before you give me a hard

time because I know you want to you're

going to say but but Scott what about

those other unrelated things that we

don't like about his

policies fine I'm not arguing

that if you don't think he's doing the

job you

want I'm not even in that conversation I

I don't know enough frankly about him

but um my my and I'll also tell you just

for full disclosure that uh I have had

conversations with him because I did his

podcast a while ago so I've interacted

with him at least on you know a zoom

kind of a way and he's a really nice

guy I don't know if you know that but

he's a really nice guy and so I'm

influenced by that and then I see him

being attacked for something that if

there's any basis to this nobody's

nobody's revealing it so let's let's

uh let's calm down on that you're

certainly makes sense to go after him

for the other stuff but let let me sum

that up with a little bit of a

context um sometimes you wonder what's

it like to be a public figure such as

Dan kensaw and such as me what's it like

to be a public

figure well like like Dan crenchaw one

thing I have in common with him is that

I've had several scandals in my career

some of them you haven't heard of or you

forgot about because they're so long one

of the things that all of my scandals

have in common is that none of them have

actually

happened none of them happened for

example uh let's say uh I'm being

criticized for being an H1B

supporter so that's that's late

that didn't happen not once no I have

said we need to bring in you know only

the best people who make sense but the

H1B process apparently doesn't do that

so I've never said it does that I've

never said I was in favor of it and it's

the biggest thing I'm being criticized

for let's see I'm also being criticized

for recommending that people get

vaccinated during the pandemic which

never happened and I

forcefully always said the opposite very

frequently probably said it over and

over again I'm not your doctor I'm not

telling you to get it I'm not telling

you not to get it it's a personal

decision opposite literally the opposite

of what I'm blamed for do you remember

um some of you might remember the thing

that first derailed my career this was

years ago where I had an argument where

I predicted that Evolution the theory of

evolution would would be debunked in my

lifetime and that it would de be

debunked not

necessarily in in a let's say in classic

ways but it would be debunked because we

would understand the nature of reality

so differently that Evolution would stop

making sense and that happened that's

called the simulation now you could

argue that the simulation is not real

but the argument is it's a trillion to

one likely that it is and if we're a

simulation then the past is actually

created on

demand now I could be right about that

right I could be right about that or I

could be wrong about that and I don't

know but what I will tell you is that

100% of the push back to my

opinion was based on stuff I didn't say

so again this this major thing I

probably lost I bet I lost 30% of the

dilber fans

over this something I was right about at

least in terms of knowing that some some

rethinking of reality would cause us to

rethink Evolution that was one hell of a

good prediction I mean that was a crazy

good prediction like

Beyond if it's right and I think it

is um then does anybody remember this

will be a good test how many of you

remember the sock

puppet um see Scandal about me the

accusation was that I I sock puppeted

which is a very specific act do you

anybody remember that which never

happened it never happened now did I go

online with a uh fake identity and have

what I thought was a hilarious

conversation with somebody who wanted to

argue about the intelligence of Scott

Adams yes I

did why did I do it

I was just debunking some hoaxes that

were told about me one of the hoaxes was

that I was a holocaust denier do you see

the pattern yet I'm not a holocaust

Den but the public had decided I was you

see the pattern right 100% of all of my

scandals never happened none of them not

a single one so when I look at and let

me give you some others I'm also called

a uh climate denier like I did I science

that's not

happening that's not real um and then

what about my

cancellation my cancellation happened

almost entirely for political reasons

because there's not a single Republican

who's canceled me and and 100% of the

people who have heard me explain the

situation in detail because you know the

drama never gets you the detail 100%

have not disagreed with my Point nobody

there are people who didn't understand

the point and there are people who said

it made me mad which I acknowledge and

there are people who said you shouldn't

have said it that's their opinion but

what they think I did and said didn't

happen I was complaining Against

Racism and I was accused of being a

racist no I'm complaining about

racists I'm anti-racist the entire rant

was Against

Racism and I got accused of being racist

now so here's the context so you look at

Dan khaw and you see this about

his investing do you think that's real

you just you just heard my resume all of

the all of the claims against me are

fake we add a context to the point that

they're

reversed so I don't know the truth about

the Dan crena investment stuff but if

but with what I know if I had to place a

bet especially knowing that people have

been watching his Investments really

closely because this is you know it's

sort of an evergreen thing that they say

about him you don't have one example you

can't give us one example of a company

that he had special knowledge about and

that's the reason he made money because

if you've got even one example you

better lead with that how about he made

this investment with Insider information

on this company and here's the name of

the company and that caused him to have

a 40% gain you tell me that and you have

my attention then I'm going to say oh

still legal completely legal but I'd say

you maybe we should look at change in

that

law so just put it in context most

stories like this one you know the the

investment one they'll they don't play

out they're they're fake

so again I'm not defending Dan CAW for

any other opinions they might be

excellent they might not be

but that's not my topic today thank you

for watching ladies and gentlemen uh you

continue to be the thing that keeps me

alive because I love connecting with all

of you in real time all right I'm going

to say hi to the locals people and

everybody else uh have a terrific day as

best you can unless you're in Southern

California and then we'll see what we

can do for you and locals I'm coming at

you privately in 30

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