Episode 2716 CWSA 01/10/25

it's time for another great show let me make sure I got my comments working here so I can see what you're up to yep it's working move that over there then over there perfect just perfect oh I need some notes hold on good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization it's called coffee with Scott Adams and I'm fairly confident you've never had a better time but if you'd like to take your experience up to levels that nobody can understand with their tiny shiny human brains all you need for that is a cou Mar glass of tanker CH Cen J FL of V of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid I like coffee and join me now for the unparallel pleasure of the dopamine here the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip go ah delightful I feel connected to you all through the invisible umbilical cord of the coffee cup well give me an update in the comments if something happens while I'm talking because I think Trump is supposedly let's see he's going to be talking to judge Maran today um so there will be sentencing is he's he's doing it over Zoom right he's not going in person I don't know I'm not sure yet but I think he's not going in person and judge michan has already indicated he's going to do some kind of uh uncondition discharge meaning that he'll be guilty of a felony but won't go to jail uh and no matter yeah and no matter what the sentence is they plan to appeal so Trump will be officially a felon maybe but then it's on appeal so my question to you dear legal experts is if your case is approved for appeal are you still a felon because it's not guaranteed you're a felon if your appeal is going through right so I feel like you'd say it's you're you're conditionally possibly a felon just like before so if the legal process has not come to an end I would say h seems to me that the legal process is still cooking along why why would you say he's a felon I don't understand what you're saying so the process is still going forward it could with him being a felon or not a felon so why are you saying he's a felon he should be innocent until the appeals process is over now they don't say that but I do right it'd be one thing if you said I'm going to appeal but given that we could be reasonably confident the appeal will be accepted at least to be processed how is that guilty how does that make him a felon in what world in what world would I consider him a felon if he's in a legal process and it's likely and here here's what makes it interesting I think the experts say the case was so flawed that it's far more likely it will be be overturned than upheld isn't that true so if so can you be a called a felon if the process is still going and all the smart people think it will end with you not being a felon how do you call that a felon it's like they don't understand the process we'll see meanwhile uh New York Court is removing the corrupt judge we call him corrupt uh this is a Laura loomer's reporting and remove the corrupt judge Arthur angorian from the Trump's other case the Civil fraud case and um Laura Lum reminds you that she exclusively broke the story about Judge Eng goran's bias and how his wife was posting memes uh about Trump and apparently that worked so Laura Luber gets the big win she's got a blue check back I don't know what this current situation is with her freedom of speech but she got a big win and she's got a blue check and she's getting the credit today good job Laura lummer um jet we we'll of course talk about the fire like I I need a little little bit of pallet cleansing you know if you live in California even if you're not in the center of the burn area you're thinking about it all day long and you're probably doing something about it too so we're we're pretty exhausted in the state and it's just the beginning of the process so forgive me if I'm a little obsessed by it but when it hits you locally it's hard not to be um so Trump says on day oneish when after he's worn in he's going to share information about the drones and he does say that the government knows it sounds like maybe he doesn't know or maybe he's it's been whispered that the government knows it's their stuff it's one of those but I would expect it to be something like the government was doing a little testing or something probably something like that or maybe just surveilling things here's what I don't expect I do not expect that on day two or whatever Trump will say all right here's the secret of the drones uh we've been allowing Chinese drones to surveil our sensitive sites do you think he's going to announce that even if it's true even if it's true do you think he would tell you I hope not I I I think he would take care of it and keep it as a military secret if there was a way to do that but I think he's getting a little bit ahead of himself that he would necessarily tell us no matter what the answer is so we'll see I think he means it I just don't know he'll be able to deliver uh Victor Davis Hansen summed up the LA problem as a total systems breakdown now a system breakdown do you think the LA was operating as a systems being more important than goals entity or do you think that they seem to have goals without systems that supported them so they had goals for diversity they had goals for the environment um right they had goals for saving the smelt they had goals for protecting the water in the oceans lots of goals but uh as uh you know I've been teaching you for a long time systems are what you need because you know goals can't be supported without a system so it's a system that's the important part and uh as Victor Davis Hansen points out that the water storage system was bad the forest management was bad handling the insurance industry was bad and he mentions the Dei hierarchy of the leadership and he called it a Dei Green New Deal hydrogen bomb like a perfect a perfect system collapse because every part the system kind of collapsed um now do you think it's fair in this case now I've been I've been railing against the people who say as soon as there's a problem you know you look at the people in charge and if you see there certain demographic the people on the right say oh Dei dii and I try to caution you that's not proof of Dei being a problem all you can know for sure is that that you know Dei was a big influence over hiring you can't know that that's the problem however if you do a little research into the people involved might give you some insight it might for example Karen bass did you know that when she was in the 70s she used to travel to Cuba with to work with something called the veneros Brigade which was a group that organized annual trips to Cuba for young leftist Americans for many years do you know why Cuba would host leftists to come do some awesome things in Cuba which is just building stuff I guess why would they do that it's to brainwash them against the United States but gently you know just brainwash them that maybe the Socialist way is better and then they'll come back to the United States and destroy it or convert it so she was actually part of a brainwashing operation and let me be very clear a brainwashing operation by Cuba you bring young people in and you you give them this one experience that's very artificial from you know the general Cuban experience and everything's great and look we'll just show you the things we want and did you know the United States is evil she is unquestionably a brainwash victim that's not even in debate if she went there multiple times and was part of a group that was by design a bunch of brainwash victims how did she un-brainwash herself I don't believe there's a process for that if she was brainwashed it's still in her you can't you can't undo that so do you think that if people were well aware of that that she would have been In.

Charge of the city the mayor no this one does look like a Dei hire problem doesn't it it it looks like nobody in the right mind would have hired her for her background and qualifications but maybe it was a you know Dei related want to have a diversity mayor so I would say you can't say that Dei broke anything but you could say that that one mayor probably only has your job because people either didn't understand or voted dumb you maybe it's the Public's it could be the Public's fault the public just picked the wrong person but at least uh she's got a uh a strong Deputy Mayor so you can't say it's not like one person right that often the the next level down are doing the real decision- making and stuff so next level down you get the Los Angeles Deputy Mayor so at least he's strong oh wait he's under investigation for allegedly calling in a bomb threat to City Hall the FBI raided his home recently and uh he's placed on leave okay he's he's a black man but that is a coincidence and not you can't say that that's Dei related that's just one person one person Who's acting badly now but at least at least in the fire department you know you don't have so much of a Dei problem right um well I mean the the head of the fire department is is a lesbian but you know nobody's saying that lesbians can't do Fire Department jobs and you know she's got tons of experiences relevant so if you're if you're going to say oh she's only there because she's a lesbian that would ignore all of her many many years of very relevant experience and as luck would have it uh the the person just below her I think would be the assistant chief well another lesbian two lesbians at the top but I think that you could call that a coincidence um yeah they're plenty of lesbians it's not like a the biggest coincidence in the world that two of them would be the number one and number two let's look at the third in line let's see I don't know if it's third in line but the the equity Chief well lesbian the lesbian so you got three lesbians in uh executive positions but I I warn you that you know if you're thinking there's a problem with lesbians because of these three no that doesn't follow it doesn't follow that there's some other lesbian who isn't the best person to be the chief of police or the chief of the fire department so this is sticky stuff if if you're just assuming that somebody is a Dei higher and therefore they're bad that's not fair it's also the situation we find ourselves in because Dei is pushed so hard that we assume is creating problems we just it's unfair to point to any specific individual and I point out that g kin Nome is the least diverse Governor you could ever imagine and he's being criticized as much or more than any of the other people I just mentioned so what do we have we got uh we got some uh black leaders who seem to be terrible we've got some lesbian leaders who I don't really know if they're being terrible if they they don't have water which is somebody else's job so I'm not going to say the fire department's doing a terrible job does anybody even say that I'm not even sure that the fire department has been criticized have they I I don't think I've seen any criticism of the fire department so I would I would say the lesbians are clear but you have to ask yourself what a big coincidence they got a lot of lesbian representative there and then you look at Nome who is not diverse at all and he's a total disaster you can't blame Dei on you know for that right so let me say again I don't see the the fingerprint that Dei caused this it's just that you know the Dei will cause this whether it cause this one that's hard to say but will it cause another one of course yeah will it cause the complete destruction of another city guaranteed it's built into the system remember Victor Davis Hansen says it's a system collapse Dei guarantees system collapse because it guarantees that instead of Merit and experience you can look for you know demographics and identity so that little change just by itself is certainly enough to destroy an entire city if you let just let it run forward but we should not uh we should not allow ourselves to assume that any individual is a de Dei hire you'd really have to do some deeper dive and we don't often have that level of information from the outside Tom Ellsworth was on the PB podcast and he was saying that the reason State Farm pulled out um from the state and is no longer offering fire insurance is that uh they pulled out because the County of LA in the city of La had suspended brush removal in Palisades really really it is the connection to the incompetence of the city is it that clean I thought this was going to be a little Messier where you where you couldn't really tell who was responsible for what but seriously they they canceled the brush removal and that caused the insurance companies to pull out and they didn't immediately remove the brush and say oh hold on we will remove the brush just give us a month nothing like that the the level of incompetence system-wise or individuals I don't know it's astounding now of course remember here's something to remember today we're still in the fog of War we're still getting all kinds of news that isn't real so I you know I think it's I think it's real but don't know so far the fire has destroyed 29,000 Acres would you like a estimate of how big that is that's two Manhattan Islands Manhattan is 14,000 square um uh 14,000 Acres this fire has already and still burning already destroyed two Manhattans so if if you're not getting the scale of this imagine all of Manhattan gone and then another one all of it gone and it's still going so if you if you hadn't quite understood the scale of it that's it we're talking about $57 billion in economic damage if you want to put that in perspective uh the the entire tax revenue of California in a recent year was 25 billion do you think you can lay that 157 Bill 57 billion on top of I mean obviously the government's going to be constrained in what it can do to help people a lot of them are uninsured uh Biden did say that the federal government was going to help for 180 days in the recovery but that's only the cleanup in the salaries of the recovery people you know and the crews that are working at um and I think removal of the you know the burn debris now those are very important so we're we're very happy to have that help but it's not going to help anybody buy a house or build a house Mel Gibson tragically was on the he well was doing The Joe Rogan podcast while he was filming it uh his own $14.5 million Malibu mansion burned down now I know you're not feeling sorry for him because he is not worth his I don't know hundreds of millions or something but uh it's your house it's your house you know no no way you're going to feel good about that so I feel terrible one of the things that Mel Gibson said when he was on the Joe Rogen is that he had three friends who were cured of cancer with ivin and fendol and then the internet is saying whoa you know there are other claims and other claims and other claims and now they're pretty convinced that ior mchan and Fen bendol are cures for at least some kinds of cancers here's what you need to know remember when I tell you that uh an anonymous source if you have one anonymous source how much credibility would that be the answer is zero in politics so that's a different domain in politics one anonymous source is usually just a madeup lie what if you have multiple sources what if you had three and they basically said something that sounded the same three Anonymous sources now is that credible no no it it's completely non-credible Anonymous sources always non incedible suppose you knew the name of the source but you hadn't any contact with them so you couldn't ask any questions you couldn't do a deep dive but you knew the name and somebody else had tell you told you the claim you didn't even hear from the person is that credible no no that's zero credibility is there a reason that we do clinical trials instead of watching what three people said as reported by another person no no there's reason we do the clinical trials because that has no evidentiary value none so I'm going to cause some trouble today so I said I don't think it's true I'm going to be attacked all day long by people who say Scott you fool don't you know that big doctor or you know big Pharma is just trying to sell their curers and they don't want you to know that ior mechon and Fen bendol is literally curing the claims are that people was stage four or cancer are cured you know not just help them completely cleared and so I asked this let's talk to one of them just one sh me one live human being who says something like I had an incurable cancer and I'm now completely clear here's my you know here's my test results um I'm sitting next to my doctor my doctor can confirm that I'm completely clear of a cancer that was incurable now what happens if you talk to them and they say well it wasn't an incurable cancer and the the other complimentary things we were doing have cured it before but this person was stage four and they added these other drugs and then they got cured so we're saying it's the other drugs they added to which I say but they were on all the treatments that we know are cures so here's what I need I need an incurable cancer one that doesn't have any treatment as far as anybody knows and and even if they combined it with these drugs which is the claim that the maybe the drugs aren't working exactly alone but there's there are also claims that they would work alone and show me the doctor show me the patient and show me that it was incurable except for this intervention then I'm going to get serious I'm still going to say I need a clinical Tri but at least you went from you know Anonymous people being talked about by other people to well these look like real people and their doctor says and I'm looking at their chart maybe yes so I'd say we're U I'll see New York judge Maran discharges Trump without imprisonment fine or probation in the stormy Daniel's case wishes him well in his second term everything's different all all right uh that was a little uh a little uh side conversation there all right uh apparently there was a fake alert that went out to everybody's phone in LA county saying that uh they needed to um get ready to evacuate this turned out to be just a mistake the alert told people to gather loved ones pets and supplies and get out of town and uh it happened when people were the most frightened and thought it could be coming for them and it was fake meaning it was an accident so remember that Richard Davis Hansen analysis that it was a total system breakdown well here it is again they didn't even have a system to make sure that fake emergency alerts didn't go out in the middle of an emergency that's the level of competence it would take to get there is pretty extraordinary but the incompetence is probably the system like I I don't think it's necessarily that one person push the wrong button it could be but why is that the system why why is one person allowed to push that button you know it seems like at least a few people should be standing around when the button gets pushed to make sure that that's the intention I don't know get a better system Elon Musk donated a bunch of starlinks in LA and uh this is cool apparently T-Mobile customers were having trouble um because probably the towers got burned or something um but now musk very quickly tied T-Mobile into starlink and you can text so if you're on T-Mobile and you suddenly can text you can't make a phone call but you can text that's because of Elon Musk without Elon Musk everybody with T-Mobile would be completely cut off during an emergency I mean looks like they have been for some time but this is gigantic like the the level that Elon Musk can contribute to a Ukraine war or or an emergency now twice I guess several times I think it's extraordinary so just congratulations on that uh meanwhile the California National Guard is moving in we've seen out ofate police moving in so the fires have turned into an organized crime and unorganized crime problem the lutters are are organized there are lots of them and it gets worse now this is fog of War stuff but it's what's being reported could be could be overblown could be under blown I don't know that uh some of the bad guys and and they seem to be from a migrant Community um and again that's speculative um they seem to be setting fires to increase the number of places that they have to loot cuz if they can get to to evacuate while they're there they can get the good stuff before any houses burned down now that's just about the most evil crime you can imagine sending somebody's house on fire so you can rob it the the level of evil in that is hard to imagine there was however one poor individual a criminal who had a little blowtorch and he was trying to allegedly set something on fire presumably for that purpose we don't know what he was thinking but he you looked like he was doing it probably as part of that gang burning down homes and he got spotted by some of the locals the locals sent their men out I saw the video of it and you know you might be surprised that none of the women came to help which is good I I didn't want them to but if you want to have like a little glimmer just a little glimmer of hope you watch the video of the maybe half a dozen men who confront this guy who still got the torch one of the men is armed but he doesn't he doesn't point it at him he just has it ready in case he needs it warns him to stand down the other men surround the situation and they take him out now I mean they they took him to the ground and handcuffed him and waited waited for the police and watching watching those men not have any backdown in them there was no backdown that they were going to take him out one way or another they were going to shoot him they were going to kill him if they had to preferably they would capture him and head him to police so we could know more about whatever he's up to and that's what they did but I'm pretty sure if their only CH Choice had been to you know do worse they would have taken the only choice because I don't think that guy was going to walk out of that neighborhood and things are getting really dicey so when there is something that looks to resident like a complete breakdown of the social order by the way I'll probably get demonetized on You.

Tube again I got demonetized yesterday I got demonetized for I don't know what but my best guess is suggesting that you know there there's a danger that's approaching with h with this kind of behavior so I don't know exactly what it is I'm probably demonetized again just for this conversation um Nome says uh there'll be 8,000 of these National Guards um I saw Joel Pollock who lives in that area whose house seems to have survived we don't know if it's um habitable but um you noce that there are more pro- Second Amendment people in the Pacific Palisades than the bad guys might expect so if the bad guys are expecting a bunch of you know anti-gun people that they can easily handle uh they should be warned that there's some serious personal protection in that area so people have the assets to protect themselves so I don't know where it's heading but it does look like a complete breakdown of of order um let's see uh so you know that there's still a lot of talk about whether climate change is a small cause or the cause or no cause or you know is that just being political and I wanted to give you a frame for understanding the climate change issue and one that you haven't seen before and it can explain a little bit why the the two sides can't really talk you know the the yes I believe climate change is an immediate crisis versus the people Elon Musk would be on the other side which is climate change could be real in terms of the climate might be changing but it's going to be slower than you know the the alarmist Bel um so why can't they have a productive conversation and like figure out what's really true and I'll give you my take on that sort of the the hypnotist take so if you can see my whiteboard let me adjust it a little bit so I just made this up I call it the climate awareness chart so the highest level of awareness is at the top but we'll get there we're going to start at the bottom and see here we go at the bottom level of awareness and this is where I used to be as a Young Man uh I would hear that 98 99% of scientists were on the same side and I'd say well I'm done there there's nothing else I need to know right I love science science is the best way to find the truth it's imperfect it's imperfect but you know it's it's the best we have so you tell me 99% of scientists have been looking into it deeply and they're all on the same side I'm convinced and I was I was convinced now I would say that level of awareness is roughly equivalent to the people who say uh how can they predict the climate when they can't even predict the weather and I don't believe in climate change because it's cold outside right so one is believing it one is not believing climate change but this is these are both the lowest level of understanding and I've been at this level I've been there if you go up a little higher let's say you decide huh I'm seeing two sides of this I'm just going to look into it so you look you do a deep dive maybe you see Alor documentary uh maybe you read the most official statements from the biggest scientists and when you're done with that you're going to say okay okay I can see whether 99% of scientists are saying it because I've done my own research and yeah I mean it's it's like guaranteed climate change the crisis because you did your own research and then there are also people who do a deep dive on the skeptic side so maybe they never believe the 99% of scientists or didn't want to believe it so they did their deep dive on the other side so they only looked at the skeptic's arguments both of them would be completely duded by this process it doesn't matter which one you're looking at if you're looking at either the yes it's a crisis or no it's not they both have the documentary effect which is if you look at one argument and you see a lot on that one argument you will be convinced be Beyond any doubt you will be 100% convinced and that has nothing to do with whether the thing you're looking for looking at is true or not completely unrelated to the underlying truth is a guarantee that if you see one argument and it's really welld developed and you spend hours on it you'll believe it every time and you can see that it's the same no matter whether you believe the Skeptics or you believe the the claims still completely believable still absolutely no evidentiary value no evidentiary value because documentaries are always convincing even when they're not true so the only thing you would know when you're done with this process is that you're convinced that's nothing you're going to be convinced even if you saw the other side you'd be convinced and that's nothing too these are both nothings let's go up a level let's say you get to the point where you did a deep dive on both sides which I find relatively rare I'm not sure I've seen anybody who's done it i' I've tried to do it so I spent a lot of time I've looked at the claims I've looked at the debunk to the claims and then I've looked at the debunk to the debunk of the claims if you haven't done all three you haven't done anything you've done nothing because if you look at the claim you can say well that looks pretty true and then you look at the debunk to the claim you're like whoa I didn't see that oh I didn't know about how they measure that whoa yeah the debunk looks totally convin vincing if you're done you're not done because you got to Circle back and see what happens to the people who made the original claim when they were faced with the debunk and then they come back and say but the debunk is debunked and here's why and you read that you go yeah that's a pretty good argument so the problem is that if you do a deep dive on both sides you're going to find they're both convincing and both not convincing and you won't know at the highest level are people who understand that all data that matters is fake and that all projection models are fake and that it has nothing to do with climate change these are Universal truths if I were talking about let's say the data for um jobs in America you think that's real no how about the history do you think our history books are based on what's real or what was allowed to be written it's not real do you think do you think uh do you think there's anything that's important and scale like big and it matters that's real no because our systems don't allow that who whoever's in charge of the data is going to have so much power that somebody's going to you distort them with a bribe or you know so when you get to the point where it really really matters it's 100% fake or it's 100% sure that you won't tell the difference because you know the fakes The Fakes will be so good that you think they're real and the reason I know the prediction models are fake is that everybody who's worked in this field including me now I didn't work in climate but I did projection models for a living Financial ones they all know that the projection model is based on the assumptions you put into it it's not the data so if you're way down here at the lowest level you think that the projection models are raisable because 99% of the scientists said yeah these are real but you'll never learn that they can make those models anything they want just by changing the assumptions without even changing the data and then they can say well this data is bad so we're going to put in a you know a little adjustment to it what's that it's not science it's just adjusting it so it comes into the same range that people expect it to come into so in our current world 99% of the people being on one side has no evidentiary value how many of you would agree with that statement 99% of scientists agree doesn't have any evidentiary value now that's not true if you're talking about something simple like you know does gravity apply everywhere on earth right 100% of scientists would say yes they'd be right so I'm not talking about like one variable things I'm talking about this big complicated hard to understand things where there are people on both sides and the variables are changing and every day we have a new variable that should have been in models but wasn't it's like oh we just found out the the ocean you know can absorb way more than we thought well was that in the model uh we just found a new technology that can allow us to produce things without the pollution what was was that in the model did you know they were going to invent something um so the models are 100% unreliable and if you believe that because the scientist told you the reliable they are you don't understand how money works if you understand how money works you'll be with me up here that the all the models are fake and the data is either unreliable or fake and that has to be true because the design of our economic system our economic system and you could add the you know the fake news and the interest the interest groups Etc they kind of guarantee that people will say it's true while it isn't true it's guaranteed that our system would be there now here's a good test for you if you're talking to somebody and you're having some debates down here in the documentary effect level where you've you've both seen some stuff but you saw different stuff and you were conf convinced ask the person who thinks that there's that the climate models are real to list three reasons that the terrestrial thermometers might be imperfect and if they can do it then you'd have a reasonable good idea that maybe they've at least seen both sides if they don't know what you're talking about and they insult you and call you a creedon and change the topic it means they've never looked into it so here's what if if you can make a good argument that the climate change stuff is real here here's what you should know you should know what the heat island effect is that's because the thermometer stations were once away from the cities but the cities grew and the heat from the city is not really what the planet heat is it would artificially Chang the ther thermometers would you know that did you know that the little enclosure measures for the thermometers are in buildings that are painted usually painted white and that when the paint Fades as it does it can change the temperature of the thermometer having nothing to do with the planet and everything to do with just the paint faded did you know that did you know that if a thermometer breaks or is missing sometimes they'll just plug in a number of what they think it would have been did you know that all right so if you can't list at least three reasons that you should doubt the terrestrial thermometers oh here's another one how much of the world are they measuring and when you talk about the ocean which would be a different measurement technique how much of the ocean is being measured and isn't it true that the ocean can store heat in different places that are unpredictable and in amounts that we don't exactly know so that if the temperature somewhere went up maybe it went down somewhere but that down is in the ocean and nobody's looking at it if you can't answer the questions at least at that level that you know that these are issues even if you don't know what the answer to the issue is you haven't looked into it and if you believe that 99% of scientists being on one side has any any credibility I can't have a conversation with you so here's my problem I keep running into people online who are operating at the lowest level of awareness and and they're pretty sure I'm the biggest freaking idiot they've ever seen in their life it's like God God 99% of scientist are you an are you a trite 99 Scott do you understand that 99 is almost 100 do you understand and I'm up here saying do you really think the news is real you think the news is real I can't have a conversation with you if you think news is real real I can't have conversation with you if you think the people getting paid to say it's real or saying it's real and that means it's real I don't I have a conversation with you I can't so I end up like sort of giving up because before you could have a conversation on climate change you'd have to start with how the entire system works what the economics are how people lie how every other system like this is clearly and demonstrably rigged and once I understood that everything of this uh everything of this type is rigged everything there there's nothing where you can't exactly tell and there are billions of dollars involved that isn't rigged they're all rigged if somebody could make a lot of money from it and it's big and complicated and you'll never know exactly what the truth is that's all rigged and there's probably never going to be an exception to that if you don't understand that I can't have a conversation with you about climate change because you're so lost and and again I say I spent most of my early life at the bottom level of awareness because I hadn't looked into it and I thought 99% of scientist they must be right how many of uh how many physicists do you believe told us that uh string theory was the future of physics I don't know the answer to that but I'll bet most I'll bet most said yeah String Theory you know it's not all worked out yet but pretty sure this is going to give us something like you know what what civilization looks like or reality looks like did it no it didn't I would I would say that all the physicists probably just pared the same thing String Theory string theory and a lot of them were getting money so they really were in favor of string theory because they could get funded that way so no you should not believe anything that most of the scientists believe is true but it's hard to know if it's hard to know ah scam in other news the Supreme Court uh did a ruling on Title Nine and they're not going to say that trans women are women in sports so the court has made the distinction between your sex versus your gender identity you can call yourself anything you want that's not an issue it's just that the state doesn't have to recognize it so they don't have to recognize it as your sex they may choose to recognize that you have a gender preference but they don't have to say yes you're a woman because you say so so a lot of people are happy about that I'm sure people are unhappy about it but more people I think are happy um Federman Senator fedman is going to maralago I think he the first well it it's kind of unusual now Federman I know you're getting tired of me saying Federman is kind of awesome but he keeps doing smart things and when I talk about Federman it's not because I love his Democrat preferences it's because I like to evaluate the persuasion techniques separate from whether I like what they're persuading so Federman just keeps he's hitting you know line drives after line drive I don't know if he's hitting home runs but he's hitting line drive after line drive in in the persuasion communication realm very impressive and here's what I love about this so Joe Mansion is retiring and Joe Mansion I always I always respected because he did such a smart thing of being somebody who would be willing sometimes to vote on the other side from his team and when things are so close that that one vote makes all the difference Joe Mansion was the only one smart enough to say wait a minute all I have to do is are you serious I can run the whole country if I'm just willing to consider voting either way like you pay me to do so if I just do what you pay me to do which is look at the topic and then decide which way I think it goes independent of where the politics are you will allow me to run the whole country and all I have to do is do the thing that you paid me to do as opposed to all my co-workers who are doing the opposite of what you're paying me to do huh am I missing something but seriously I have to ask again all I have to do to be in charge of the whole country is simply do what you're paying me to do evaluate things on their Merit independent of politics that's it and that is it and apparently he's the only one who's smart enough to figure it out who's not named Joe Mansion so I mean you could say Kirsten CA was sort of in that same game but she's she's out of it too now right so at the moment the Senate is now swinging on you know one vote but it could that could happen really quickly you know couple years from now straight up tie Federman is in charge of the country virtually right because he control Congress anyway uh Trump was saying that an outing that all the he he's getting everybody to come he's got the heads of the social media companies the big are all coming to visit him Federman coming to visit him and he had some kind of quote like you know maybe we're all changing and he and he says that the people are who are coming to visit him from all walks are quite productive and positive meaning that they're there to get something done and they're not there to fight and and it's not you know it's not about Trump's personality they just think can you do these things because we need to do these things so that's all looking positive little gold and Agy um meanwhile CNN has this I'm going to say a racist panelist there's a black woman Jasmine Crockett who's on their panel a lot and she pointed out the other day she was a little debate with Scott Jennings who's their Conservative Republican kind of voice on the panel and Jasmine Crockett claimed that uh the most educated demographic in the country is black women and um the conversation didn't go much further after that so that that claim just sort of stay there do you think it's true that the most educated demographic is black women it's almost true it's actually almost true it's not true if you look at the entire population of black women compared to the entire population of other demographic groups so that that felt like that was the claim and that's definitely not true is it my imagination or can you hear a leaf blower right outside my window you can hear that right anyway um that tells me what time it is I think um here's what I believe is true but I'll take a fact check on it um I've told you before that black women are killing it in terms of careers and success so I'm going to agree with Jasmine Crockett sort of directionally but she got the fact wrong I think directionally I believe it's true that more black women are getting uh college degrees than white men and more than black men too is that true uh which would be impressive now it also presumably be there there would be a Dei element to that meaning some people are getting recruited and some people are getting you know maybe tuition paid and stuff like that so that's a factor I don't know how much of that is but you know you don't want to you don't want to throw out the baby with the bath water so on one hand I think it's a completely racist and inaccurate claim that uh black women are the most educated group in the country I think it's just plain false but I think what she was getting at is true which is that black women as a class at the moment you know the young ones who are getting an a colle and getting their first jobs and stuff they are killing it they are killing it so I like to give like full congratulations to any group that works hard and gets what they want so congratulations I say the same thing about the lgbtq lgbtq group um I think they've really killed it in terms of improving their overall situation I I'm so impressed about how they've changed their situation in a future decades very impressive and black women same thing they they are in fact killing it but they haven't overtaken the other groups yet because there's a lot to overtake a lot of work to do but it's certainly racist to imagine that uh her group is the most educated um so if it's just a factual factual thing I don't think it you know I don't think a white person could have said that what if Scott Jennings said you know the white people are the most educated in the country ouch I don't know if that's true by the way but he wouldn't be able to say it but she could say it and nobody challenged it even though it wasn't true so to me that's more racist than not even though I support the general idea that black women are doing great lately all right uh Elon says it's going to take years to rebuild La um when they try to get permits it's going to be a problem and I put out the following statements about rebuilding that you should know that uh I'm asking for a fact check so I don't know which ones of these are true but this is my this is my starting point the starting point is that it can take years to get anything proved in normal times in normal times it would take years to get things approved in California I know that from personal experience so what would it take when everybody like 100,000 people are trying to apply for things at the same time or whatever the number is how are they going to handle that they don't have enough resources so if it used to take more than a year in normal times how long is it going to take in abnormal times where everybody's trying to do it and all the resources are constrained and nobody knows what they're talking about and the the environmentalists are saying no you can't do that and you can't even rebuild the environmentalists will say you can't even rebuild you're too close to the ocean or there's a fish we didn't know about before but now we do or there's a bird or something so I think it could take 5 to 10 years to rebuild a house 5 to 10 years now what happens to uh what what do you think it would cost to rebuild those homes so if you had a home that was worth $5 million what do you think it would cost to rebuild it and let's say it was let's say it was uh insured for $5 million or it wasn't insured at all $5 million home what would it cost to rebuild it the answer is about 10 million if if you're building a let's say a community like a big developer is doing a whole Community then they can bring the the cost of each unit down because they're they're working in bulk and they're they're Mass designed and there aren't that many different designs and stuff so they can build the house for uh cheaper than they sell it that's how they make money but if you're building one house and you've you know you want the rooms that you want and it's on the hill and it's you know first you have to do a big cleanup and all that stuff it's going to cost closer to $10 million to build a $5 million house what happens to your property tax if you spend 10 million to build a $5 million house well I think that they would either um I I've heard that there's a rule that if you're building back on the same footprint so it's the same size as the one that was destroyed then you get to keep the old tax bases the the old lower tax bases but if you wanted to make your house while you're doing it you're like well you know this would be a good time to add that spare room as soon as you do that your property tax will quadruple you won't be able to afford to live there so they've created a situation where all these people get at least the good news if they could afford it the good news was hey those changes you wanted to make your house you can make them now because the house is gone so you know design it the way you want but it will have to be the same footprint or their taxes will double or quadruple that's going to be a big problem I think um then what happens when the fire risk returns because everything's going to regrow and then the insurance companies either haven't come back or or they leave because you know nothing's going to burn while it's all Rubble but as soon as you build and replant and all the you know the trees are behind you do you think you could ever get insurance would you rebuild if you didn't think you could ever get insurance I wouldn't why would you rebuild if you thought you could never get insurance if if you had kids and you say to yourself This is the best place in the world to raise kids the kids are going to be out of the house in 5 to 10 years you know depending on the age if the kids are going to be out of the house in 5 to 10 um years they're going to be living in a burned out Rubble most of that time that's the place you go because the lifestyle is amazing the one thing I learned about it I didn't know anything about the place the one thing I learned about it is apparently the lifestyle there wasn't just good did you know that it wasn't just good it was sort of like heaven that when I hear people talk about it it's like oh my God it was just the best people the best place the downtown the businesses everything was close it was on the beach it was just the be it was the temperature so you didn't have the extreme hot because you're on the beach like I don't know if any of those reasons are going to apply because it's going to take so long to clean up so I don't know what that does um what happens when you go to get a builder and 50,000 people are ahead of you for the few Builders how in the world are you going to get a qualified Builder maybe they come from Mana state if you get a builder from ANA state they're not going to know how to build in California and and they would be crazy to come to California to start because the rules are too hard if you were a builder and somebody said hey come to California you're going to say is that the only place I could be a builder no you could you could stay where you are and you know build things more easily but if I come to California it's just going to be a hot mess every single thing I do and I won't even make a dollar because I can't even start and when I do start they're going to stop me because there's going to be some fish there next thing I know I can't possibly make money and then I have to learn this whole state weird stuff the approvals are different than any other place I don't know where they're going to get the builders so that has to add some years to the rebuilding um and then you've got unchecked crime let me give you the worst case scenario it could be that the people who live there have enough you know male energy to stop this from happening we'll see but what happens when you know things settle down most of the properties will be abandoned right because most are burned to the ground and they're going to be working on approvals and you know even the clean up is going to take a long time what happens then let me tell you I think the homeless are going to move in they're going to put up a tent on what used to be your home they won't care so much about all the debris they'll like the view and the temperature and when you go to kick them out they'll say well sorry I'm a squatter I got squatter rights and you're going to say you can have squatter rights on a tent on my own property and then they say this is California you can't move me what happens then and what happens when it's not one but the entire Hillside is full of people who heard that they'll never be kicked out and they could be living on the best property in the world as long as they don't mind living among the debris which couldn't be any worse than what they were doing on the streets the thing I'd worry most about is the homeless coming in putting on tents because California doesn't remove homeless people in tents I mean rarely um and then where are people going to live and also people might worry that it becomes you know a crime you know horrible crime place that they don't want to live in the first place I I hope not and where do people live while the rebuilding is happening how in the world are all of those you know 100,000 plus going to be able to live close enough to La that they have some kind of continuity in their life you know maybe even close enough to the school almost no almost nobody will be close enough to the school they were at and I think some of them burned so you're going to end up in a different School in a different place and now your kids go to that other school and they get used to it and they got friends in the new school and 5 to 10 years are going by and they're 17 now do they want to move back I don't know I I feel like the fact that you can't stay local while it's being built and there's there's nothing local that you used the like it's all burned up you're going to move further than it would be comfortable to be the owner of something being rebuilt because you really need to visit the site a lot you know if you've ever built a home you kind of need to go there a lot I think people are going to assume they'll rebuild but when they get settled somewhere else that won't be that close maybe the new life looks better than trying to go back so I think it's highly unpredictable if you want the positive news on that it would be that the it is like the best place on Earth you it's just one of the best places so if it's land land land if that's the real estate rule then it will be rebuilt and maybe we'll be surprised that California bends some rules makes it easier to do um here's one thing they could do they could say you could put an Adu on your property right away if it meets you know these minimum minimum requirements so these are the the uh Adu stands for uh additional dwelling unit is it additional dwelling unit so that'd be like a little uh it' be the size of a mobile home but they're more like a regular home and you could plop it on the property if you have a backyard and if you wanted to you could live there but even that's going to take a long time so there might be some fast approval of adus just so people want be close can have some continuity and live near their friends but I don't know how many people would take that option meanwhile the pope is now the latest victim of what I call the Trump effect well other people call it that too um the pope is railing on a January 9th speech he's railing against fake news The Continuous creation and spread of fake news he said distorts facts but also perceptions so the pope is going full magga full magga and uh he's against fake news well all I got to say is thank God all the religions agree with each other because I'd hate for one of them to be spreading any fake news but the pope assures us he's got it under control meanwhile um in interesting engineering there's an article by Aman chapati apparently the there's a US firm in the nuclear business that wants to build a one ground a one mile underground tunnel or hole I'm not sure if it's a tunnel or hole to uh Power data centers so the reason they want to put the nuke in the hole one mile down is if there's a problem it's easier to contain but if there's a problem it contains itself because it can't explode because it would be you know held up by the entire Earth would be the you know the surround for it so I don't know if that really works but these aren't the biggest reactors they would be uh I think micro reactors smaller reactors and uh they would stick them in the ground and then that would make a big difference uh some of the benefits are let's see uh robust containment just because of the Earth around it and continuous pressure so that way you don't have massive concrete structures oh so it's much cheaper so you don't have to build the whole structure if you can make a good mild deep hole um and it minimizes the environmental impact and you know I've told you a number of times that holes are the future of energy and maybe of other things and I've said if we can improve our technology for cheaply building holes and tunnels we're going to be able to have everything from geothermal to you know better mining to now nuclear um of course you could use it what's the other thing uh geothermal is where you're looking for the the hot water under the Earth to to create power uh but what's the one where you're just using the temperature difference underground to either moderate the hotness or the coldness of your house above ground what's that called but that's another reason to have you know good hole building tech technology holes are the future um there's a hobbyist who built a an AI assisted rifle robot using chat GPT and there's a there's a video that went viral on Tik Tok I guess and it shows the inventor with a robot now it's a tabletop robot wouldn't be too hard to attach it to a a robot dog or something I guess but it's just a a rifle that can you know Point anywhere in a moment and he just talks to it he says there's a threat you know on the left and it just goes so um he the one he's using doesn't use real real rounds is shooting something fake but how far away are we from telling your robot rifle dog to go attack the German front line all right rifle dog uh there's a bunch of ger bunch of I'm sorry bunch of Russian uh soldiers two miles away in a in a trench I want you to go there and in the order uh if you see anybody who looks like an officer shoot them first you or something like that and then that set it to attack but AI or robot rifle dogs they're coming um the C CES show is highlighting all the Big Technical breakthroughs and so we're seeing news at least two companies that built human robots that look like real women uh but one of them will will build a real woman with the face of your choice so I guess you just give them a photograph of who you want it to look like and they'll put an artificial skin face on it that looks like the person you want now at the moment these robots are not impressive because they just look like mannequins who happen to be able to talk so there it's not like you're going to want to take that robot home if you know what I mean the it's more of a suggestion of what's to come it's not there yet but I have a prediction about what one year from now looks like because the robots will develop quickly here's a conversation between a married couple one year from now human wife says to her husband I want a divorce human husband says okay can you pose for a photo first mic drop all right ladies and gentlemen that's all I have to say it's 807 well where I am and uh did I miss anything any big stories that are happening yeah let me get a good picture of you before you go I'm going to upgrade all right all right ladies and gentlemen um uh I have I have some stories I think I'm going to say for later but uh I got some good ones The Carter Funeral yeah I didn't talk about the Jimmy Carter Funeral so um here's the fascinating thing about the Jimmy Carter Funeral so of course the ex-presidents are all invited so you had the clintons uh you had only um Barack Obama Michelle did not come we're not sure why um and then uh you had the harrises so K and her husband and then I forgetting who else was there um but I was looking at all the people sitting up front and it turned to be it was Trump and all the people he's destroyed it was Trump and all the people he's destroyed sitting together chatting oh Biden Biden was the other one so so Biden he destroyed uh the Clinton destroyed you know via destroying Hillary um Barack Obama destroyed Michelle Obama couldn't even come so and then the funny part is um he ends up sitting right next to Barack Obama who just warned the world that Trump was heler and that he he he called the neo-nazis fine people and you see Obama and Trump chatting and joking with each other nothing's real nothing's real oh Pence right Mike Pence was there and Mike Pence was destroyed by Trump as well uh was there a bush there I don't know mean the bush uh the bush Dynasty got destroyed you know not George Bush but so yeah it was quite amazing it was it was Trump and all the people he destroyed it it was kind of amazing all right uh you know I think Trump has a superpower in forgetting what people said about him not forgetting he never forgets but willingness to just work with you if it makes sense I just love that uh yeah trumpo in the room all right all right uh I'm going to talk for a moment privately with the uh locals subscribers the rest of you I will see you tomorrow for more fun in games see you tomorrow e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e e

it's time for another great show let me

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there

perfect just

perfect oh I need some notes hold on

good morning everybody and welcome to

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the coffee cup

well give me an update in the comments

if something happens while I'm talking

because I think Trump is

supposedly let's see he's going to be

talking to judge Maran

today um so there will be

sentencing is he's he's doing it over

Zoom right he's not going in person I

don't know I'm not sure yet but I think

he's not going in person and judge

michan has already indicated he's going

to do some kind of uh uncondition

discharge meaning that he'll be guilty

of a felony but won't go to

jail uh and no matter yeah and no matter

what the sentence is they plan to

appeal so Trump will be officially a

felon maybe but then it's on appeal so

my question to you dear legal experts is

if your case is approved for appeal

are you still a felon because it's not

guaranteed you're a felon if your appeal

is going through right so I feel like

you'd say it's you're you're

conditionally possibly a felon just like

before so if the legal process has not

come to an end I would say h seems to me

that the legal process is still cooking

along why why would you say he's a felon

I don't understand what you're saying so

the process is still going forward it

could with him being a felon or not a

felon so why are you saying he's a felon

he should be innocent until the appeals

process is over now they don't say that

but I

do right it'd be one thing if you said

I'm going to appeal but given that we

could be reasonably confident the appeal

will be accepted at least to be

processed how is that guilty how does

that make him a felon in what world in

what world would I consider him a felon

if he's in a legal process and it's

likely and here here's what makes it

interesting I think the experts say the

case was so flawed that it's far more

likely it will be be overturned than

upheld isn't that true so if so can you

be a called a felon if the process is

still going and all the smart people

think it will end with you not being a

felon how do you call that a felon it's

like they don't understand the process

we'll see meanwhile uh New York Court is

removing the corrupt judge we call him

corrupt uh this is

a Laura loomer's reporting and remove

the corrupt judge Arthur angorian from

the Trump's other case the Civil fraud

case

and um Laura Lum reminds you that she

exclusively broke the story about Judge

Eng goran's bias and how his wife was

posting

memes uh about Trump and apparently that

worked so Laura Luber gets the big win

she's got a blue check back I don't know

what this current situation is with her

freedom of speech but she got a big win

and she's got a blue check and she's

getting the credit today good job Laura

lummer um jet we we'll of course talk

about the fire like I I need a little

little bit of pallet cleansing you know

if you live in California even if you're

not in the center of the burn area

you're thinking about it all day long

and you're probably doing something

about it too so we're we're pretty

exhausted in the state and it's just the

beginning of the process so forgive me

if I'm a little obsessed by it but when

it hits you locally it's hard not to

be

um so Trump says on day

oneish when after he's worn in he's

going to share information about the

drones and he does say that the

government knows it sounds like maybe he

doesn't know or maybe he's it's been

whispered that the government knows it's

their stuff it's one of those but I

would expect it to be something like the

government was doing a little testing or

something probably something like that

or maybe just surveilling things here's

what I don't expect I do not expect that

on day two or whatever Trump will say

all right here's the secret of the

drones uh we've been allowing Chinese

drones to surveil our sensitive sites do

you think he's going to announce that

even if it's true even if it's true do

you think he would tell you I hope

not I I I think he would take care of it

and keep it as a military secret if

there was a way to do that but I think

he's getting a little bit ahead of

himself that he would necessarily tell

us no matter what the answer

is so we'll see I think he means it I

just don't know he'll be able to

deliver uh Victor Davis Hansen summed up

the

LA problem as a total systems

breakdown now a system

breakdown do you think the LA was

operating as a systems being more

important than goals

entity or do you think that they seem to

have goals without systems that

supported them so they had goals for

diversity they had goals for the

environment um right they had goals for

saving the smelt they had goals for

protecting the water in the oceans lots

of

goals but uh as uh you know I've been

teaching you for a long time systems are

what you need because you know goals

can't be supported without a system so

it's a system that's the important part

and uh as Victor Davis Hansen points out

that the water storage system was bad

the forest management was bad handling

the insurance industry was bad and he

mentions the Dei hierarchy of the

leadership and he called it a Dei Green

New Deal hydrogen

bomb like a perfect a perfect system

collapse because every part the system

kind of

collapsed um now do you think it's fair

in this case now I've been I've been

railing against the people who say as

soon as there's a problem you know you

look at the people in charge and if you

see there certain

demographic the people on the right say

oh Dei dii and I try to caution you

that's not proof of Dei being a

problem all you can know for sure is

that that you know Dei was a big

influence over hiring you can't know

that that's the

problem however if you do a little

research into the people involved might

give you some insight it might for

example Karen bass did you know that

when she was in the 70s she used to

travel to Cuba with to work with

something called the veneros Brigade

which was a group that organized annual

trips to Cuba for young leftist

Americans for many years do you know why

Cuba would host leftists to come do some

awesome things in Cuba which is just

building stuff I guess why would they do

that it's to brainwash them against the

United States but gently you know just

brainwash them that maybe the Socialist

way is better and then they'll come back

to the United States and destroy it or

convert it so she was actually part of a

brainwashing operation and let me be

very clear a brainwashing operation by

Cuba you bring young people in and you

you give them this one experience that's

very artificial from you know the

general Cuban experience and

everything's great and look we'll just

show you the things we want and did you

know the United States is

evil she is

unquestionably a brainwash victim that's

not even in debate if she went there

multiple times and was part of a group

that was by

design a bunch of brainwash victims how

did she un-brainwash

herself I don't believe there's a

process for that if she was brainwashed

it's still in her you can't you can't

undo

that so do you think that if people were

well aware of that that she would have

been InCharge of the city the mayor no

this one does look like a Dei hire

problem doesn't it it it looks like

nobody in the right mind would have

hired her for her background and

qualifications but maybe it was a you

know Dei

related want to have a diversity

mayor so I would say you can't say that

Dei broke anything but you could say

that that one mayor probably only has

your job because people either didn't

understand or voted dumb you maybe it's

the Public's it could be the Public's

fault the public just picked the wrong

person but at least uh she's got a uh a

strong Deputy Mayor so you can't say

it's not like one person right that

often the the next level down are doing

the real decision- making and stuff so

next level down you get the Los Angeles

Deputy Mayor so at least he's strong oh

wait he's under investigation for

allegedly calling in a bomb threat to

City Hall the FBI raided his home

recently and uh he's placed on leave

okay he's he's a black man but that is a

coincidence and not you can't say that

that's Dei related that's just one

person one person Who's acting

badly

now but at least at least in the fire

department you know you don't have so

much of a Dei problem right um well I

mean the the head of the fire department

is is a lesbian but you know nobody's

saying that lesbians can't do Fire

Department jobs and you know she's got

tons of experiences relevant so if

you're if you're going to say oh she's

only there because she's a lesbian that

would ignore all of her many many years

of very relevant

experience and as luck would have it uh

the the person just below her I think

would be the assistant chief well

another lesbian two lesbians at the top

but I think that you could call that a

coincidence um yeah they're plenty of

lesbians it's not like a the biggest

coincidence in the world that two of

them would be the number one and number

two let's look at the third in line

let's see I don't know if it's third in

line but the the equity Chief well

lesbian the lesbian so you got three

lesbians in uh executive positions but I

I warn you that you know if you're

thinking there's a problem with lesbians

because of these three no that doesn't

follow it doesn't follow that there's

some other lesbian who isn't the best

person to be the chief of police or the

chief of the fire department so this is

sticky stuff if if you're just assuming

that somebody is a Dei higher and

therefore they're bad that's not fair

it's also the situation we find

ourselves in because Dei is pushed so

hard that we assume is creating problems

we just it's unfair to point to any

specific individual and I point out that

g kin Nome is the least diverse Governor

you could ever imagine and he's being

criticized as much or more than any of

the other people I just

mentioned so what do we have we got uh

we got some uh black leaders who seem to

be terrible we've got some lesbian

leaders who I don't really know if

they're being terrible if they they

don't have water which is somebody

else's job so I'm not going to say the

fire department's doing a terrible job

does anybody even say that

I'm not even sure that the fire

department has been criticized have

they I I don't think I've seen any

criticism of the fire department so I

would I would say the lesbians are clear

but you have to ask yourself what a big

coincidence they got a lot of lesbian

representative there and then you look

at Nome who is not diverse at all and

he's a total disaster you can't blame

Dei on you know for that right so let me

say again I don't see the

the fingerprint that Dei caused this

it's just that you know the Dei will

cause this whether it cause this one

that's hard to say but will it cause

another one of course yeah will it cause

the complete destruction of another city

guaranteed it's built into the system

remember Victor Davis Hansen says it's a

system collapse Dei guarantees system

collapse because it guarantees that

instead of Merit

and experience you can look for you know

demographics and identity so that little

change just by itself is certainly

enough to destroy an entire city if you

let just let it run

forward but we should not uh we should

not allow ourselves to assume that any

individual is a de Dei hire you'd really

have to do some deeper dive and we don't

often have that level of information

from the

outside Tom Ellsworth was on the PB

podcast and he was saying that the

reason State Farm pulled out um from the

state and is no longer offering fire

insurance is that uh they pulled out

because the County of LA in the city of

La had suspended brush removal in

Palisades really

really it is the connection to the

incompetence of the city is it that

clean I thought this was going to be a

little Messier where you where you

couldn't really tell who was responsible

for what but seriously they they

canceled the brush removal and that

caused the insurance companies to pull

out and they didn't immediately remove

the brush and say oh hold on we will

remove the brush just give us a month

nothing like that the the level of

incompetence system-wise or individuals

I don't

know it's astounding now of course

remember here's something to remember

today we're still in the fog of War

we're still getting all kinds of news

that isn't real

so I you know I think it's I think it's

real but don't know so far the fire has

destroyed 29,000 Acres would you like a

estimate of how big that is that's two

Manhattan

Islands Manhattan is 14,000 square um uh

14,000

Acres this fire has already and still

burning already destroyed two

Manhattans so if if you're not getting

the scale of this imagine all of

Manhattan gone and then another one all

of it gone and it's still going

so if you if you hadn't quite understood

the scale of it that's it we're talking

about $57 billion in economic damage if

you want to put that in perspective uh

the the entire tax revenue of California

in a recent year was 25 billion do you

think you can lay that 157 Bill 57

billion on top of I mean obviously the

government's going to be constrained in

what it can do to help people a lot of

them are uninsured

uh Biden did say that the federal

government was going to help for 180

days in the recovery but that's only the

cleanup in the salaries of the recovery

people you know and the crews that are

working at um and I think removal of the

you know the burn debris now those are

very important so we're we're very happy

to have that help but it's not going to

help anybody buy a house or build a

house Mel Gibson tragically was on the

he well was doing The Joe Rogan podcast

while he was filming it uh his own $14.5

million Malibu mansion burned

down now I know you're not feeling sorry

for him because he is not worth his I

don't know hundreds of millions or

something but uh it's your house it's

your

house you know no no way you're going to

feel good about that so I feel terrible

one of the things that Mel Gibson said

when he was on the Joe Rogen is that he

had three friends who were cured of

cancer with ivin and fendol and then the

internet is saying whoa you know there

are other claims and other claims and

other claims and now they're pretty

convinced that ior mchan and Fen bendol

are cures for at least some kinds of

cancers here's what you need to know

remember when I tell you that uh an

anonymous source if you have one

anonymous source how much credibility

would that be the answer is zero in

politics so that's a different domain in

politics one anonymous source is usually

just a madeup lie what if you have

multiple sources what if you had three

and they basically said something that

sounded the same three Anonymous sources

now is that credible no no it it's

completely

non-credible Anonymous sources always

non incedible suppose you knew the name

of the source but you hadn't any contact

with them so you couldn't ask any

questions you couldn't do a deep dive

but you knew the name and somebody else

had tell you told you the claim you

didn't even hear from the person is that

credible no no that's zero

credibility is there a reason that we do

clinical trials instead of watching what

three people said as reported by another

person no no there's reason we do the

clinical trials because that has no

evidentiary value none so I'm going to

cause some trouble today so I said I

don't think it's true I'm going to be

attacked all day long by people who say

Scott you fool don't you know that big

doctor or you know big Pharma is just

trying to sell their curers and they

don't want you to know that ior mechon

and Fen bendol is literally curing the

claims are that people was stage four or

cancer are cured you know not just help

them completely

cleared and so I asked this let's talk

to one of them just one sh me one live

human being who says something like I

had an incurable

cancer and I'm now completely clear

here's my you know here's my test

results um I'm sitting next to my doctor

my doctor can confirm that I'm

completely clear of a cancer that was

incurable now what happens if you talk

to them and they say well it wasn't an

incurable cancer and the the other

complimentary things we were doing have

cured it

before but this person was stage four

and they added these other drugs and

then they got cured so we're saying it's

the other drugs they added to which I

say but they were on all the treatments

that we know are cures so here's what I

need

I need an

incurable cancer one that doesn't have

any treatment as far as anybody knows

and and even if they combined it with

these drugs which is the claim that the

maybe the drugs aren't working exactly

alone but there's there are also claims

that they would work alone and show me

the doctor show me the patient and show

me that it was incurable except for this

intervention then I'm going to get

serious I'm still going to say I need a

clinical Tri

but at least you went from you know

Anonymous people being talked about by

other people to well these look like

real people and their doctor says and

I'm looking at their

chart maybe yes so I'd say we're U I'll

see New York judge Maran discharges

Trump without imprisonment fine or

probation in the stormy Daniel's case

wishes him well in his second

term everything's different all all

right uh that was a little

uh a little uh side conversation there

all right uh apparently there was a fake

alert that went out to everybody's phone

in LA county saying that uh they needed

to um get ready to evacuate this turned

out to be just a mistake the alert told

people to gather loved ones pets and

supplies and get out of town and uh it

happened when people were the most

frightened and thought it could be

coming for them and it was fake meaning

it was an

accident so remember that Richard Davis

Hansen analysis that it was a total

system breakdown well here it is again

they didn't even have a system to make

sure that fake emergency alerts didn't

go out in the middle of an

emergency that's the level of competence

it would take to get there is pretty

extraordinary but the incompetence is

probably the system like I I don't think

it's necessarily that one person push

the wrong button it could be but why is

that the system why why is one person

allowed to push that button you know it

seems like at least a few people should

be standing around when the button gets

pushed to make sure that that's the

intention I don't know get a better

system Elon Musk donated a bunch of

starlinks in LA and uh this is cool

apparently T-Mobile customers were

having trouble um because probably the

towers got burned or something um but

now musk very quickly tied T-Mobile into

starlink and you can

text so if you're on T-Mobile and you

suddenly can text you can't make a phone

call but you can text that's because of

Elon

Musk without Elon Musk everybody with

T-Mobile would be completely cut off

during an emergency I mean looks like

they have been for some time

but this is gigantic like the the level

that Elon Musk can contribute to a

Ukraine war or or an emergency now twice

I guess several times I think it's

extraordinary so just congratulations on

that uh meanwhile the California

National Guard is moving in we've seen

out ofate police moving in so the fires

have turned into an organized crime and

unorganized crime problem the lutters

are are organized there are lots of them

and it gets worse now this is fog of War

stuff but it's what's being reported

could be could be overblown could be

under blown I don't know that uh some of

the bad guys and and they seem to be

from a migrant

Community um and again that's

speculative

um they seem to be setting fires to

increase the number of places that they

have to

loot cuz if they can get to to

evacuate while they're there they can

get the good stuff before any houses

burned down now that's just about the

most evil crime you can imagine sending

somebody's house on fire so you can rob

it the the level of evil in that is hard

to imagine there was however one poor

individual a criminal who had a little

blowtorch and he was trying to allegedly

set something on fire presumably for

that purpose we don't know what he was

thinking but he you looked like he was

doing it probably as part of that gang

burning down homes and he got spotted by

some of the

locals the locals sent their men out I

saw the video of it and you know you

might be surprised that none of the

women came to

help which is good I I didn't want them

to but if you want to have like a little

glimmer just a little glimmer of

hope you watch the video of the

maybe half a dozen men who confront this

guy who still got the torch one of the

men is armed but he doesn't he doesn't

point it at him he just has it ready in

case he needs it warns him to stand down

the other men surround the situation and

they take him out now I mean they they

took him to the ground and handcuffed

him and waited waited for the police and

watching watching those

men not have any backdown in them there

was no backdown that they were going to

take him out one way or another they

were going to shoot him they were going

to kill him if they had to preferably

they would capture him and head him to

police so we could know more about

whatever he's up to and that's what they

did but I'm pretty sure if their only CH

Choice had been to you know do worse

they would have taken the only choice

because I don't think that guy was going

to walk out of that

neighborhood and things are getting

really dicey so when there is something

that looks to resident like a complete

breakdown of the social order by the way

I'll probably get demonetized on YouTube

again I got demonetized yesterday I got

demonetized for I don't know what but my

best guess is suggesting that you know

there there's a danger that's

approaching with h with this kind of

behavior so I don't know exactly what it

is I'm probably demonetized again just

for this

conversation um Nome says uh there'll be

8,000 of these National Guards

um I saw Joel Pollock who lives in that

area whose house seems to have survived

we don't know if it's um habitable but

um you noce that there are more pro-

Second Amendment people in the Pacific

Palisades than the bad guys might expect

so if the bad guys are expecting a bunch

of you know anti-gun people that they

can easily

handle uh they should be warned that

there's some serious personal protection

in that area so people have the assets

to protect themselves so I don't know

where it's heading but it does look like

a complete breakdown of of

order

um let's

see uh so you know that there's still a

lot of talk about whether climate change

is a small cause or the cause or no

cause or you know is that just being

political and I wanted to give you a

frame for understanding the climate

change issue and one that you haven't

seen before and it can explain a little

bit why the the two sides can't really

talk you know the the yes I believe

climate change is an immediate crisis

versus the people Elon Musk would be on

the other side which is climate change

could be real in terms of the climate

might be changing but it's going to be

slower than you know the the alarmist

Bel um so why can't they have a

productive conversation and like figure

out what's really true and I'll give you

my take on

that sort of the the hypnotist

take so if you can see my

whiteboard let me adjust it a little

bit so I just made this up I call it the

climate awareness chart so the highest

level of awareness is at the top but

we'll get there we're going to start at

the

bottom and

see here we go at the bottom level of

awareness and this is where I used to be

as a Young Man uh I would hear that 98

99% of scientists were on the same side

and I'd say well I'm done there there's

nothing else I need to know right I love

science science is the best way to find

the truth it's imperfect it's imperfect

but you know it's it's the best we have

so you tell me 99% of scientists have

been looking into it deeply and they're

all on the same side I'm convinced and I

was I was convinced now I would say that

level of awareness is roughly equivalent

to the people who say uh how can they

predict the climate when they can't even

predict the weather and I don't believe

in climate change because it's cold

outside

right so one is believing it one is not

believing climate change but this is

these are both the lowest level of

understanding and I've been at this

level I've been there if you go up a

little higher let's say you decide huh

I'm seeing two sides of this I'm just

going to look into it so you look you do

a deep dive maybe you see Alor

documentary uh maybe you read the most

official statements from the biggest

scientists and when you're done with

that you're going to say okay okay I can

see whether 99% of scientists are saying

it because I've done my own research and

yeah I mean it's it's like guaranteed

climate change the crisis because you

did your own research and then there are

also people who do a deep dive on the

skeptic side so maybe they never believe

the 99% of scientists or didn't want to

believe it so they did their deep dive

on the other side so they only looked at

the skeptic's arguments both of them

would be completely duded by this

process it doesn't matter which one

you're looking at if you're looking at

either the yes it's a crisis or no it's

not they both have the documentary

effect which is if you look at one

argument and you see a lot on that one

argument you will be convinced be Beyond

any doubt you will be 100% convinced and

that has nothing to do with whether the

thing you're looking for looking at is

true or not completely unrelated to the

underlying truth is a guarantee that if

you see one argument and it's really

welld developed and you spend hours on

it you'll believe it every time and you

can see that it's the same no matter

whether you believe the Skeptics or you

believe the the claims still completely

believable still absolutely no

evidentiary value no evidentiary value

because documentaries are always

convincing

even when they're not true so the only

thing you would know when you're done

with this process is that you're

convinced that's

nothing you're going to be convinced

even if you saw the other side you'd be

convinced and that's nothing too these

are both

nothings let's go up a level let's say

you get to the point where you did a

deep dive on both

sides which I find relatively rare I'm

not sure I've seen anybody who's done it

i' I've tried to do it so I spent a lot

of time I've looked at the claims I've

looked at the debunk to the claims and

then I've looked at the debunk to the

debunk of the claims if you haven't done

all three you haven't done anything

you've done nothing because if you look

at the claim you can say well that looks

pretty true and then you look at the

debunk to the claim you're like whoa I

didn't see that oh I didn't know about

how they measure that whoa yeah the

debunk looks totally convin vincing if

you're done you're not done because you

got to Circle back and see what happens

to the people who made the original

claim when they were faced with the

debunk and then they come back and say

but the debunk is debunked and here's

why and you read that you go yeah that's

a pretty good

argument so the problem is that if you

do a deep dive on both sides you're

going to find they're both convincing

and both not convincing

and you won't

know at the highest

level are people who understand that all

data that matters is fake and that all

projection models are fake and that it

has nothing to do with climate change

these are Universal truths if I were

talking about let's say the data for um

jobs in America you think that's real no

how about the history do you think our

history books are based on what's real

or what was allowed to be written it's

not

real do you think do you think uh do you

think there's anything that's important

and scale like big and it matters that's

real no because our systems don't allow

that who whoever's in charge of the data

is going to have so much power that

somebody's going to you distort them

with a bribe or you know so when you get

to the point where it really really

matters it's 100% fake or it's 100% sure

that you won't tell the difference

because you know the fakes The Fakes

will be so good that you think they're

real and the reason I know the

prediction models are fake is that

everybody who's worked in this field

including me now I didn't work in

climate but I did projection models for

a living Financial ones they all know

that the projection model is based on

the assumptions you put into it it's not

the data so if you're way down here at

the lowest level you think that the

projection models are raisable because

99% of the scientists said yeah these

are real but you'll never learn that

they can make those models anything they

want just by changing the assumptions

without even changing the data and then

they can say well this data is bad so

we're going to put in a you know a

little adjustment to it what's that it's

not science it's just adjusting it so it

comes into the same range that people

expect it to come into so in our current

world 99% of the people being on one

side has no evidentiary

value how many of you would agree with

that statement 99% of scientists agree

doesn't have any evidentiary value now

that's not true if you're talking about

something simple like you know does

gravity apply everywhere on earth right

100% of scientists would say yes they'd

be right so I'm not talking about like

one variable things I'm talking about

this big complicated hard to understand

things where there are people on both

sides and the variables are changing and

every day we have a new variable that

should have been in models but wasn't

it's like oh we just found out the the

ocean you know can absorb way more than

we thought well was that in the model uh

we just found a new technology

that can allow us to produce things

without the

pollution what was was that in the model

did you know they were going to invent

something um so the models are 100%

unreliable and if you believe that

because the scientist told you the

reliable they are you don't understand

how money works if you understand how

money works you'll be with me up here

that the all the models are fake and the

data is either unreliable or fake and

that has to be true because the design

of our economic system our economic

system and you could add the you know

the fake news and the interest the

interest groups Etc they kind of

guarantee that people will say it's true

while it isn't

true it's guaranteed that our system

would be there now here's a good test

for you if you're talking to somebody

and you're having some debates down here

in the documentary effect level where

you've you've both seen some stuff but

you saw different stuff and you were

conf convinced ask the person who thinks

that there's that the climate models are

real to list three

reasons that the terrestrial

thermometers might be

imperfect and if they can do it then

you'd have a reasonable good idea that

maybe they've at least seen both sides

if they don't know what you're talking

about and they insult you and call you a

creedon and change the topic it means

they've never looked into it

so here's what if if you can make a good

argument that the climate change stuff

is

real here here's what you should know

you should know what the heat island

effect is that's because the thermometer

stations were once away from the cities

but the cities grew and the heat from

the city is not really what the planet

heat is it would artificially Chang the

ther thermometers would you know that

did you know that the little enclosure

measures for the

thermometers are in buildings that are

painted usually painted white and that

when the paint Fades as it does it can

change the temperature of the

thermometer having nothing to do with

the planet and everything to do with

just the paint faded did you know that

did you know that if a thermometer

breaks or is missing sometimes they'll

just plug in a number of what they think

it would have been did you know that all

right so if you can't list at least

three reasons that you should doubt the

terrestrial thermometers oh here's

another one how much of the world are

they measuring and when you talk about

the ocean which would be a different

measurement technique how much of the

ocean is being measured and isn't it

true that the ocean can store heat in

different places that are unpredictable

and in amounts that we don't exactly

know so that if the temperature

somewhere went up maybe it went down

somewhere but that down is in the ocean

and nobody's looking at it if you can't

answer the questions at least at that

level that you know that these are

issues even if you don't know what the

answer to the issue is you haven't

looked into it and if you believe that

99% of scientists being on one side has

any any credibility I can't have a

conversation with you so here's my

problem I keep running into people

online who are operating at the lowest

level of awareness and and they're

pretty sure I'm the biggest freaking

idiot they've ever seen in their life

it's like God God 99% of scientist are

you an are you a trite 99 Scott do you

understand that 99 is almost 100 do you

understand and I'm up here saying do you

really think the news is real you think

the news is

real I can't have a conversation with

you if you think news is real real I

can't have conversation with you if you

think the people getting paid to say

it's real or saying it's real and that

means it's real I don't I have a

conversation with you I can't so I end

up like sort of giving up because before

you could have a conversation on climate

change you'd have to start with how the

entire system works what the economics

are how people lie how every other

system like this is clearly and

demonstrably rigged and once I

understood that everything of this uh

everything of this type is rigged

everything there there's nothing where

you can't exactly tell and there are

billions of dollars involved that isn't

rigged they're all rigged if somebody

could make a lot of money from it and

it's big and complicated and you'll

never know exactly what the truth is

that's all rigged and there's probably

never going to be an exception to that

if you don't understand

that I can't have a conversation with

you about climate change because you're

so

lost and and again I say I spent most of

my early life at the bottom level of

awareness because I hadn't looked into

it and I thought 99% of

scientist they must be

right how many of uh how many physicists

do you

believe told us that uh string theory

was the future of

physics I don't know the answer to that

but I'll bet most I'll bet most said

yeah String Theory you know it's not all

worked out yet but pretty sure this is

going to give us something like you know

what what civilization looks like or

reality looks like did it no it didn't I

would I would say that all the

physicists probably just pared the same

thing String Theory string theory and a

lot of them were getting

money so they really were in favor of

string theory because they could get

funded that way so no you should not

believe anything that most of the

scientists believe is true but it's hard

to know if it's hard to know ah

scam in other news the Supreme Court uh

did a ruling on Title Nine and they're

not going to say that trans women are

women in sports so the court has made

the distinction between your sex versus

your gender identity you can call

yourself anything you want that's not an

issue it's just that the state doesn't

have to recognize it so they don't have

to recognize it as your

sex they may choose to recognize that

you have a gender preference but they

don't have to say yes you're a woman

because you say so so a lot of people

are happy about that I'm sure people are

unhappy about it but more people I think

are

happy um Federman Senator fedman is

going to maralago I think he the first

well it it's kind of unusual now

Federman I know you're getting tired of

me saying Federman is kind of awesome

but he keeps doing smart things and when

I talk about Federman it's not because I

love his Democrat preferences it's

because I like to evaluate the

persuasion techniques separate from

whether I like what they're persuading

so Federman just keeps he's hitting you

know line drives after line drive I

don't know if he's hitting home runs but

he's hitting line drive after line drive

in in the persuasion communication realm

very impressive and here's what I love

about this so Joe Mansion is retiring

and Joe Mansion I always I always

respected because he did such a smart

thing of being somebody who would be

willing sometimes to vote on the other

side from his team and when things are

so close that that one vote makes all

the difference Joe Mansion was the only

one smart enough to say wait a minute

all I have to do is are you serious I

can run the whole country if I'm just

willing to consider voting either way

like you pay me to do so if I just do

what you pay me to do which is look at

the topic and then decide which way I

think it goes independent of where the

politics are you will allow me to run

the whole country and all I have to do

is do the thing that you paid me to do

as opposed to all my co-workers who are

doing the opposite of what you're paying

me to

do

huh am I missing

something but seriously I have to ask

again all I have to do to be in charge

of the whole country is simply do what

you're paying me to do evaluate things

on their Merit independent of politics

that's

it and that is

it and apparently he's the only one

who's smart enough to figure it out

who's not named Joe

Mansion so I mean you could say Kirsten

CA was sort of in that same game but

she's she's out of it too now right so

at the moment the Senate is now swinging

on you know one vote but it

could that could happen really quickly

you know couple years from now straight

up tie Federman is in charge of the

country virtually right because he

control

Congress anyway uh Trump was saying that

an outing that all the he he's getting

everybody to come he's got the heads of

the social media companies the big are

all coming to visit him Federman coming

to visit him and he had some kind of

quote like you know maybe we're all

changing and he and he says that the

people are who are coming to visit him

from all walks are quite productive and

positive meaning that they're there to

get something done and they're not there

to fight and and it's not you know it's

not about Trump's

personality they just think can you do

these things because we need to do these

things

so that's all looking positive little

gold and

Agy um meanwhile CNN has this I'm going

to say a racist panelist there's a black

woman Jasmine Crockett who's on their

panel a lot and she pointed out the

other day she was a little debate with

Scott Jennings who's their Conservative

Republican kind of voice on the panel

and Jasmine Crockett claimed that uh the

most educated demographic in the country

is black

women and um the conversation didn't go

much further after that so that that

claim just sort of stay there do you

think it's true that the most educated

demographic is black

women it's almost true it's actually

almost true it's not true if you look at

the entire population of black women

compared to the entire population of

other demographic groups so that that

felt like that was the claim and that's

definitely not

true is it my imagination or can you

hear a leaf blower right outside my

window you can hear that

right anyway um that tells me what time

it is I think um here's what I believe

is true but I'll take a fact check on it

um I've told you before that black women

are killing it in terms of careers and

success so I'm going to agree with

Jasmine

Crockett sort of directionally but she

got the fact wrong I think directionally

I believe it's true that more black

women are getting uh college degrees

than white men and more than black men

too is that

true uh which would be impressive now it

also presumably be there there would be

a Dei element to that meaning some

people are getting recruited and some

people are getting you know maybe

tuition paid and stuff like that so

that's a factor I don't know how much of

that is but you know you don't want to

you don't want to throw out the baby

with the bath water so on one hand I

think it's a completely racist and

inaccurate claim that uh black women are

the most educated group in the country I

think it's just plain false but I think

what she was getting at is true which is

that black women as a class at the

moment you know the young ones who are

getting an a colle and getting their

first jobs and stuff they are killing it

they are killing it so I like to give

like full congratulations to any group

that works hard and gets what they want

so

congratulations I say the same thing

about the

lgbtq

lgbtq group um I think they've really

killed it in terms of improving their

overall situation I I'm so impressed

about how they've changed their

situation in a future decades very

impressive and black women same thing

they they are in fact killing it but

they haven't overtaken the other groups

yet because there's a lot to overtake a

lot of work to do but it's certainly

racist to imagine that uh her group is

the most educated um so if it's just a

factual factual thing I don't think it

you know I don't think a white person

could have said

that what if Scott Jennings said you

know the white people are the most

educated in the country

ouch I don't know if that's true by the

way but he wouldn't be able to say it

but she could say it and nobody

challenged it even though it wasn't true

so to me

that's more racist than not even though

I support the general idea that black

women are doing great

lately all right uh Elon says it's going

to take years to rebuild La um when they

try to get permits it's going to be a

problem and I put out the following

statements about rebuilding that you

should know that uh I'm asking for a

fact check so I don't know which ones of

these are true but this is my this is my

starting point the starting point is

that it can take years to get anything

proved in normal times in normal times

it would take years to get things

approved in California I know that from

personal

experience so what would it take when

everybody like 100,000 people are trying

to apply for things at the same time or

whatever the number is how are they

going to handle that they don't have

enough resources so if it used to take

more than a year in normal times how

long is it going to take in abnormal

times where everybody's trying to do it

and all the resources are constrained

and nobody knows what they're talking

about and the the environmentalists are

saying no you can't do that and you

can't even rebuild the environmentalists

will say you can't even rebuild you're

too close to the ocean

or there's a fish we didn't know about

before but now we do or there's a bird

or something so I think it could

take 5 to 10 years to rebuild a house 5

to 10

years now what

happens to uh what what do you think it

would cost to rebuild those

homes so if you had a home that was

worth $5

million what do you think it would cost

to rebuild it and let's say it was let's

say it was uh insured for $5

million or it wasn't insured at all $5

million home what would it cost to

rebuild it the answer is about 10

million if if you're building a let's

say a community like a big developer is

doing a whole Community then they can

bring the the cost of each unit down

because they're they're working in bulk

and they're they're Mass designed and

there aren't that many different designs

and stuff so they can build the house

for uh cheaper than they sell it that's

how they make

money but if you're building one house

and you've you know you want the rooms

that you want and it's on the hill and

it's you know first you have to do a big

cleanup and all that

stuff it's going to cost closer to $10

million to build a $5 million

house what happens to your property tax

if you spend 10 million to build a $5

million house well I think that they

would either um I I've heard that

there's a rule that if you're building

back on the same footprint so it's the

same size as the one that was destroyed

then you get to keep the old tax bases

the the old lower tax bases but if you

wanted to make your house while you're

doing it you're like well you know this

would be a good time to add that spare

room as soon as you do that your

property tax will quadruple you won't be

able to afford to live there so they've

created a situation where all these

people get at least the good news if

they could afford it the good news was

hey those changes you wanted to make

your house you can make them now because

the house is gone so you know design it

the way you want but it will have to be

the same footprint or their taxes will

double or

quadruple that's going to be a big

problem I

think um then what happens when the fire

risk returns because everything's going

to regrow and then the insurance

companies either haven't come back or or

they leave because you know nothing's

going to burn while it's all Rubble but

as soon as you build and replant and all

the you know the trees are behind you do

you think you could ever get insurance

would you rebuild if you didn't think

you could ever get insurance I

wouldn't why would you rebuild if you

thought you could never get insurance if

if you had kids and you say to yourself

This is the best place in the world to

raise

kids the kids are going to be out of the

house in 5 to 10 years you know

depending on the age if the kids are

going to be out of the house in 5 to 10

um years they're going to be living in a

burned out

Rubble most of that

time that's the place you go because the

lifestyle is amazing the one thing I

learned about it I didn't know anything

about the place the one thing I learned

about it is apparently the lifestyle

there wasn't just

good did you know that it wasn't just

good it was sort of like heaven that

when I hear people talk about it it's

like oh my God it was just the best

people the best place the downtown the

businesses everything was close it was

on the beach it was just the be it was

the temperature so you didn't have the

extreme hot because you're on the beach

like I don't know if any of those

reasons are going to apply

because it's going to take so long to

clean up so I don't know what that

does um what happens when you go to get

a builder and 50,000 people are ahead of

you for the few

Builders how in the world are you going

to get a qualified Builder maybe they

come from Mana state if you get a

builder from ANA state they're not going

to know how to build in California and

and they would be crazy to come to

California to start because the rules

are too hard if you were a builder and

somebody said hey come to California

you're going to say is that the only

place I could be a builder no you could

you could stay where you are and you

know build things more easily but if I

come to California it's just going to be

a hot mess every single thing I do and I

won't even make a dollar because I can't

even start and when I do start they're

going to stop me because there's going

to be some fish there next thing I know

I can't possibly make money and then I

have to learn this whole state weird

stuff the approvals are different than

any other place I don't know where

they're going to get the builders

so that has to add some years to the

rebuilding um and then you've got

unchecked crime let me give you the

worst case scenario it could be that the

people who live there have enough you

know male energy to stop this from

happening we'll see but what happens

when you know things settle down most of

the properties will be abandoned right

because most are burned to the ground

and they're going to be working on

approvals and you know even the clean up

is going to take a long time what

happens then let me tell you I think the

homeless are going to move in they're

going to put up a tent on what used to

be your home they won't care so much

about all the debris they'll like the

view and the temperature and when you go

to kick them out they'll say well sorry

I'm a squatter I got squatter rights and

you're going to say you can have

squatter rights on a tent on my own

property and then they say this is

California you can't move

me what happens then and what happens

when it's not one but the entire

Hillside is full of people who heard

that they'll never be kicked out and

they could be living on the best

property in the world as long as they

don't mind living among the debris which

couldn't be any worse than what they

were doing on the

streets the thing I'd worry most

about is the homeless coming in putting

on tents because California doesn't

remove homeless people in tents I mean

rarely um

and then where are people going to live

and also people might worry that it

becomes you know a crime you know

horrible crime place that they don't

want to live in the first place I I hope

not and where do people live while the

rebuilding is happening how in the world

are all of those you know 100,000 plus

going to be able to live close enough to

La that they have some kind of

continuity in their life you know maybe

even close enough to the school almost

no

almost nobody will be close enough to

the school they were at and I think some

of them burned so you're going to end up

in a different School in a different

place and now your kids go to that other

school and they get used to it and they

got friends in the new school and 5 to

10 years are going by and they're 17 now

do they want to move

back I don't know I I feel like the fact

that you can't stay local while it's

being built and there's there's nothing

local that you used the like it's all

burned up you're going to move further

than it would be comfortable to be the

owner of something being rebuilt because

you really need to visit the site a lot

you know if you've ever built a home you

kind of need to go there a

lot I think people are going to assume

they'll

rebuild but when they get settled

somewhere else that won't be that

close maybe the new life looks better

than trying to go

back so I think it's highly

unpredictable if you want the positive

news on that it would be that the it is

like the best place on

Earth you it's just one of the best

places so if it's land land land if

that's the real estate rule then it will

be rebuilt and maybe we'll be surprised

that California bends some rules makes

it easier to do um here's one thing they

could do they could say you could put an

Adu on your property right away if it

meets you know these minimum minimum

requirements so these are the the uh Adu

stands for

uh additional dwelling unit is it

additional dwelling unit so that'd be

like a little uh it' be the size of a

mobile home but they're more like a

regular home and you could plop it on

the property if you have a backyard and

if you wanted

to you could live there but even that's

going to take a long time so there might

be some fast approval of adus just so

people want be close can have some

continuity and live near their friends

but I don't know how many people would

take that option meanwhile the pope is

now the latest victim of what I call the

Trump effect well other people call it

that too um the pope is railing on a

January 9th speech he's railing against

fake

news The Continuous creation and spread

of fake news he said distorts facts but

also

perceptions so the pope is going full

magga

full

magga and uh he's against fake

news well all I got to say is thank God

all the religions agree with each other

because I'd hate for one of them to be

spreading any fake news but the pope

assures us he's got it under

control meanwhile um in interesting

engineering there's an article by Aman

chapati apparently the there's a US firm

in the nuclear business that wants to

build a one ground a one mile

underground tunnel or hole I'm not sure

if it's a tunnel or hole to uh Power

data centers so the reason they want to

put the nuke in the hole one mile down

is if there's a problem it's easier to

contain but if there's a problem it

contains itself because it can't

explode because it would be you know

held up by the entire Earth would be the

you know the surround for it so I don't

know if that really works but these

aren't the biggest reactors they would

be uh I think micro reactors smaller

reactors and uh they would stick them in

the ground and then that would make a

big difference uh some of the benefits

are let's see uh robust containment just

because of the Earth around it and

continuous pressure so that way you

don't have massive concrete structures

oh so it's much cheaper so you don't

have to build the whole structure if you

can make a good mild deep

hole

um and it minimizes the environmental

impact and you know I've told you a

number of times that holes are the

future of energy and maybe of other

things and I've said if we can improve

our technology for cheaply building

holes and tunnels we're going to be able

to have everything from geothermal to

you know better mining to now nuclear um

of course you could use it what's the

other thing uh geothermal is where

you're looking for the the hot water

under the Earth to to create power uh

but what's the one where you're just

using the temperature difference

underground to either moderate the

hotness or the coldness of your house

above ground what's that called but

that's another reason to have you know

good hole building tech technology holes

are the future

um there's a hobbyist who built a an AI

assisted rifle robot using chat GPT and

there's a there's a video that went

viral on Tik Tok I guess and it shows

the inventor with a robot now it's a

tabletop robot wouldn't be too hard to

attach it to a a robot dog or something

I guess but it's just a a rifle that can

you know Point anywhere in a moment and

he just talks to it he says there's a

threat you know on the left and it just

goes so um he the one he's using doesn't

use real real rounds is shooting

something fake

but how far away are we from telling

your robot rifle dog to go attack the

German front line all right rifle dog uh

there's a bunch of ger bunch of I'm

sorry bunch of Russian uh soldiers two

miles away in a in a trench I want you

to go there and in the order uh if you

see anybody who looks like an officer

shoot them first you or something like

that and then that set it to attack but

AI or robot rifle dogs they're

coming um the C CES show is highlighting

all the Big Technical breakthroughs and

so we're seeing news at least two

companies that built human robots that

look like real

women uh but one of them will will build

a real woman with the face of your

choice so I guess you just give them a

photograph of who you want it to look

like and they'll put an artificial skin

face on it that looks like the person

you want now at the moment these robots

are not impressive because they just

look like mannequins who happen to be

able to talk so there it's not like

you're going to want to take that robot

home if you know what I mean the it's

more of a suggestion of what's to come

it's not there yet but I have a

prediction about what one year from now

looks like because the robots will

develop quickly here's a conversation

between a married couple one year from

now human wife says to her husband I

want a

divorce human husband says okay can you

pose for a photo

first mic

drop all right ladies and gentlemen

that's all I have to

say it's

807 well where I am and uh did I miss

anything any big stories that are

happening yeah let me get a good picture

of you before you

go I'm going to

upgrade all

right all right ladies and gentlemen

um uh I have

I have some stories I think I'm going to

say for later but uh I got some good

ones The Carter Funeral yeah I didn't

talk about the Jimmy Carter Funeral so

um here's the fascinating thing about

the Jimmy Carter Funeral so of course

the ex-presidents are all invited so you

had the clintons uh you had only um

Barack Obama Michelle did not come we're

not sure why

um and then uh you had the

harrises so K and her husband and

then I forgetting who else was there um

but I was looking at all the people

sitting up front and it turned to be it

was Trump and all the people he's

destroyed it was Trump and all the

people he's destroyed sitting together

chatting oh Biden Biden was the other

one so so Biden he destroyed uh the

Clinton destroyed you know via

destroying Hillary um Barack Obama

destroyed Michelle Obama couldn't even

come so and then the funny part is um he

ends up sitting right next to Barack

Obama who just warned the world that

Trump was

heler and that he he he called the

neo-nazis fine people and you see Obama

and Trump chatting and joking with each

other

nothing's

real nothing's real oh Pence right Mike

Pence was there and Mike Pence was

destroyed by Trump as well uh was there

a bush there I don't know mean the bush

uh the bush Dynasty got destroyed you

know not George Bush but

so yeah it was quite amazing it was it

was Trump and all the people he

destroyed it it was kind of amazing

all right

uh you know I think Trump has a

superpower in forgetting what people

said about him not forgetting he never

forgets but willingness to just work

with you if it makes sense I just love

that

uh yeah trumpo in the

room all right all right uh I'm going to

talk for a moment privately with the uh

locals subscribers the rest of you I

will see you tomorrow for more fun in

games see you

tomorrow

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