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Episodes Episode #3001

Episode 3001 CWSA 10/27/25

Episode #3001 Oct 27, 2025 1:04:08 28,309 views

Trump in Asia, Ukraine versus Russia, underwater spiritual beings in submarines and lots more ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.

Opening General Commentary

That's better. That's better. Now you can hear me. I better back up and do that again. That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done. The cat walked on my mute button. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization…

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SimultaneousSip General Commentary

t Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass or a tankard or a canteen or a jug or a flask. Give a vessel o…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

w tradition. One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better. Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you. All right, how about this? How about here's one of the things that people argue all the time. They argue t…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

to wait and see. So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can I test it?" Find out if it works. Winners find out if it works. Losers say that'll never work. There you go. That's your reframe for the day. Change your life. Hey, I wonder if coffee is…

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

working. I can feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's about twice as thick now. You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that was real. Well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica. Jamaica? No, she went willingly. It's enough of that.…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

nths that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing. Well, maybe we're there because Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around. They're on their own and you could ask them for direct…

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MainContent Media & Fake News

ming someday. Does anybody else have that feeling? There might be more news coming. You don't want to be too far on that train when it happens because it's never all good news. There's always something out there. We'll see. Well, I guess in New York City, Governor Hochul and Zohran Mamdani and I th…

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NewsReaction Economics & Finance

at. Murphy. He was talking to Murphy. Murphy's the new designated liar. You know how I always tell you that Swalwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars? They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys.…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

not open the government. It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it. But then he goes on with this is just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make, letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended?" Let me…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

maybe a sign of the times. So Trump's in Tokyo. He's already met with the prime minister of Japan and his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip. So he's touring Asia right now. I don't know how much to believe because the reporting seems a little light, but there's reason to think that Trump se…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

s it. So the stock market's up. Seems to be happy. Also because it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged. Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen. I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe i…

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NewsReaction Media & Fake News

subtle message to Washington. We're waiting on you." Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday. So Trump is just freezing him. It's like freezing the kicker. He's just making him wait like there was no way…

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MainContent Cognitive Reframing

that that point has stood the test of time. But the other one was that Republicans would be arrested basically jailed if Biden came to office. Hunted is the word I used. And then I saw a post by MTG on X in which she lists, I don't know this is the beginning of the list. This is the second page of t…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ve a listening device. I might be bugged. I'm not sure what's going on. Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term. That's heating up. I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit. You know, 1%. Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of…

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NewsReaction Politics as Persuasion

ase the chance of living. Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't you? To increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution. And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Tru…

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MainContent Two Movie Screen

ld be 9-0. But that's the best argument I have. It's not terrible. I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny. All right. Here's more of this. Is the media changing to be more right leaning? So now that Bari Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where tha…

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NewsReaction AI & Technology

omas Sowell, so famous black economist who is widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a conservative take care of yourself kind of a guy. So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems lik…

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NewsReaction Health & Biohacking

the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's actually no way that he would ever be hired. So that's your world. So if you were to allow this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's an even playing field." But if you in…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

ecause we stopped doing transitioning youth? Is that the darkness? Feels like an upgrade. But as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific credible complaints. You do it because it can collect al…

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MainContent Politics as Persuasion

car and have it do what you want. Remember I always talk to you about products that have never been tested. Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything? Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but th…

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Closing General Commentary

e if Netanyahu had been allowed to just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he…

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That's better. That's better. Now you can hear me. I better back up and do that again. That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done. The cat walked on my mute button.

Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass or a tankard or a canteen or a jug or a flask. Give a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.

All right, our new tradition. One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better. Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you.

All right, how about this? How about here's one of the things that people argue all the time. They argue that a plan will either work or it won't work. That's sort of a common frame. Hey, your plan will work or your plan will never work. A better reframe from that is that friction and incentives always work. We just don't know how well until they're tested. If you put a disincentive somewhere, you can't say it won't work. It'll work a little. You have to wait and see. So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can I test it?" Find out if it works. Winners find out if it works. Losers say that'll never work. There you go. That's your reframe for the day. Change your life.

Hey, I wonder if coffee is good for you. Oh, according to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study that says that coffee consumption is associated with increased brain white matter integrity and cortical thickness. I don't know. I'll have to test that. I've been feeling a little bit of thin in my cortical area, but it says here this coffee can thicken that up. You test it. Yeah, it's working. It's working. I can feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's about twice as thick now. You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that was real.

Well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica. Jamaica? No, she went willingly. It's enough of that.

So Representative Luna, one of my favorite representatives, is suggesting that on some podcast, I think she was on the PBD show, that the so-called UFOs or UAPs, she seems to have an inside track on that and they're what she believes are interdimensional beings according to other people. At the same time, there are reports of some app called a UFO tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that shows that there's an enormous amount of unexplained activity, some kind of vessels that are underwater all over our coast. So my question is, do interdimensional beings use submarines that glow in the dark? Because if I'm going to go to another dimension, I need to know what to travel in. Do we take a spaceship, submarine? What's on the other side there? I did hear somebody say that if you were a creature from some other part of the universe, you might be more comfortable underwater than you would be in our air. So that it would make sense that even if somebody visited Earth that their impression of Earth was whatever's under the sea and that they're not even interested in what's above water because it's just a pain in the ass. It's just something on the way to the ocean. Maybe.

Remember I told you that if robots were real, meaning that we really were going to have robots walking around in 12 months that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing. Well, maybe we're there because Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around. They're on their own and you could ask them for directions and the robot would happily take you to the place that you wanted to go. And so this was the point I was waiting for. Approximately one year before you can get a robot, you would expect that the people making the robots would be fully enjoying the wonders of a robot, at least in the office. And it looks like that's either happening or it's very close to happening. So we might be getting close to robots.

Anyway, Tesla also says, they showed a video of it. It's pretty impressive that in order to train their cars and I think they're robots too, they're doing simulated worlds. So instead of having the devices learn on the real world because there's not enough real world to train them as fast as they want, they have the computer make up a fake world and then they have them train on the fake world. So now do you believe you live in a simulation? Because you know the AI doesn't know it's looking at a simulation. Just think about that. The AI is being trained on these virtual worlds. It doesn't know that they're virtual. Can't tell the difference. Why do you think you can? You couldn't tell the difference. If we were a simulation, the whole point is you wouldn't be able to tell the difference. It would be programmed so that even if you thought you wanted to tell the difference, you couldn't tell the difference. It would just be programmatically prohibited from realizing your reality. That's what I think. Unless you're a player and not an NPC.

Well, Javier Milei in Argentina, I guess they had a big win in their midterm elections, which people would say would be somehow good for Trump because, you know, Trump likes him. But his party won 41% of the votes and they're going to pick up a whole bunch of parliament seats and Javier is really happy. You know, I've been sort of a quiet skeptic of the Argentina miracle. Didn't it always seem a little too good to be true? You know, I mean, I like his vibe. I like his general approach. I like his free market stuff. So I don't have a specific complaint, but it just looked like it was a little too easy, too clean, too promoted. There's something about it that didn't look 100% legitimate. So I've been, you know, you've probably noticed, I have not been a fanboy. I enjoy watching the show, watching what Javier Milei does. It's very interesting, but I'm trying not to be a fanboy because I feel like there might be more news coming someday. Does anybody else have that feeling? There might be more news coming. You don't want to be too far on that train when it happens because it's never all good news. There's always something out there. We'll see.

Well, I guess in New York City, Governor Hochul and Zohran Mamdani and I think Cuomo were there. They had a big rally because their elections coming up Tuesday. Tuesday next week. Yeah, Tuesday next week, I think. And they got up there and they promised free child care and free universal child care, freeze rent, not free, and free buses. I don't know what other free stuff they're giving away, but the people in the stadium were chanting, "Tax the rich, tax the rich, tax the rich." Meanwhile, the rich were packing up their bags to get as far from New York as they can. Oh my god, I'm so glad. Well, I'm sure if they tried to do that chant in California that people would do the chant. But how would you like to have a little extra money and live in a state where they're chanting to tax you? You want to leave when the chanting starts, you know, before they get the pitchforks and the torches because right after chanting, pitchforks and torches. Now, I don't know if that's coming, but it feels like it is.

Wall Street Apes, an account on X that you should follow, Wall Street Apes, they're pointing out that did you know that the SNAP benefits, which are going to end, I guess, right away, that's the one that feeds the people who don't have enough money to feed themselves. Did you know that there are 43 million Americans on that? Well, residents of America, 43 million people are being fed by the other people. Did you have any idea it was that big? I had no idea. That's a lot of people. And apparently 54% of immigrant households have at least one major welfare program. I wonder what it is for the residents. It's probably not that far off from the residents actually.

So here's the question. I think Jake Tapper put it this way to he was talking to some Democrat. Murphy. He was talking to Murphy. Murphy's the new designated liar. You know how I always tell you that Swalwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars? They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys. They'll say anything. So Murphy is one of those. He's joined the designated liars will say anything club. So Jake Tapper on CNN, who is now under new ownership, is he under the Ellison umbrella already? So what people are looking for is to see if the conservative purchases of these big news entities, everything from TikTok I guess is going to go through to CNN to who knows. But we're looking for any subtle changes in coverage that would suggest that the news is either moving toward the middle or even leaning toward the right because of new ownership. But Jake Tapper asked this question which suggests that he's at least finding the middle if not leaning to the right. He said to Murphy, "Funding for food stamps, that would be what I'm talking about, is expected to run out at the end of this week. This is happening because Democrats, now watch how Jake Tapper frames this. He says it's happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government." Now, do you think you would have put it that way if you were not owned by a right-leaning entity or because that's a really powerful framing and it's very powerful for the benefit of Republicans. I don't know that I've seen Jake go this strong on a narrative that's just pure Republican. But let me finish. So he says this is happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government. Now Jake has said that a few times. He said, how is this not the Democrats? They're the ones who aren't voting for it. You can't blame the people who are voting to open the government. And yet they were. He's making the common sense observation that it's the people voting not to open the government who are the ones voting to not open the government. It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it. But then he goes on with this is just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make, letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended?" Let me read that again. This is an absolute kill shot. That there should be nothing left of the Democrat party by now. If anybody saw this question, so is this a trade-off you're willing to make? See, even putting it in the terms of willing to make strengthens it and continue to make strengthens it again. You've done it and you continue to do it. He was letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended. Because I don't know about you, but you know, if you say healthcare, I obviously care a lot because that's important. But if you say hunger, I go to a whole different level of caring, right? Hunger comes before kind of everything except immediate physical safety. So this is really strong. So I'm going to give Jake a standing ovation for that journalism move because that was exactly the right question, exactly the right time, and exactly the right person to ask it. What do you think he did with that question? What do you think Murphy did? Did he say, "Yeah, we're intentionally going to starve 43 million people," which by the way, the Republicans don't want to do. They want to open the government and give them their money, their food. So they're going to starve Republicans so that they can get a political win on healthcare. Now, even if you were to say, "But Scott, you know, we need both of those things. So ranking them doesn't even make sense. Those are two essential things. You have to have them both." So putting them up against each other isn't fair. It's just two things you need. Okay. Doesn't feel like that though. Doesn't feel like that. Feels like you need to eat before you go to the doctor.

Well, that was to me that was really interesting as a maybe a sign of the times.

So Trump's in Tokyo. He's already met with the prime minister of Japan and his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip. So he's touring Asia right now. I don't know how much to believe because the reporting seems a little light, but there's reason to think that Trump set up a number of alternative paths for rare earth minerals through other countries that he's meeting. And he's not done yet. He's still going to South Korea and might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he wants to catch up. I love the way he does that. We'll talk about that in a minute. So the question is, did Trump successfully find alternative paths for all of the rare earths? Do we have a new, more robust alternative path that's not China? And does it cover everything we need or does China still have a hand on us? Well, it seems that around the time that these other deals with other countries were being made, China got flexible. And we don't know if that flexibility is because they realize they're going to lose the entire rare earth market, which they might. They might lose the entire rare earth market for ever having tried to restrict it. Would you ever buy rare earth from somebody who had ever tried to restrict it for political purposes? No. Not if you had a choice of buying it from somebody who never did that. You know, it's the same rare earth materials. So China may have realized how much they shot themselves in the foot with threatening the world with rare earth restrictions. Maybe. See, this is the part I don't know because there might be levels and levels of what's happening behind the scenes, but apparently there's a soybean agreement. Scott Bessent said he was a soybean farmer himself. I asked Grok and he said, "Well, he's not a farmer. But he does own farms." So he's a landlord. He's a landlord who owns some farms that would have been growing soybeans, but China didn't want to buy any until now. Now, I guess they're going to do a big soybean purchase. And they also have agreed allegedly with the sale of TikTok to some American entities that'll be running all the sensitive stuff so you don't have to worry about China stealing your stuff. We think so. That's the question. We don't know how successful Trump has been on this trip. We know that everybody's treating him like a superstar. We know that he's our celebrity in chief. They seem to love him. Do you remember the days when it was reasonable for his critics to say that the other leaders were not respecting him and that that was some of that disrespect was coming on us by extension? When was the last time you heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders don't respect Trump." That's gone. I don't know if that's ever coming back, but apparently they got used to him and they got used to him as a star, a superstar. They didn't just get used to him, they kind of love him. They kind of love him. So I guess we'll have to wait to see how much of a real world deal making happened. But the stock market likes it. So the stock market's up. Seems to be happy. Also because it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged. Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen. I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe it could happen. There are a bunch of smart people who think it can happen. Meaning that we collect the tariffs and we use it as a trade negotiation and it doesn't create inflation. Not many people saw that coming. I didn't. I was open to it, but I can't say I predicted it. But here we are. So maybe in a few more months things will change, but at the moment it's looking good.

So the people who are rumored to be buying TikTok would be Oracle, Larry Ellison. So that would be a pal of Trump's. Fox Corporation. Can you believe that? So that would be the owners of Fox would also own part of TikTok. That makes perfect sense, doesn't it? As an investment for Murdoch, it makes perfect sense. Andreessen Horowitz will be part of that and Silver Lake Management. So I like anything that Marc Andreessen is associated with because he's a voice of reason. He's not really political in any sense that you normally think of it. He is a common sense guy and real rich and real smart. So the more you give me the common sense guys who are real rich and real smart. Yeah. I want you on the board of directors of TikTok. That works for me.

Well, here's a funny little drama. So Carney, the head of Canada, as you know, there was one minister, Ford I guess it was, who ran that Reagan ad where Reagan allegedly was against tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump because Trump likes Reagan. Republicans like Reagan. And Trump's reaction was to give them 10% more tariffs and stop talking to them on trade deals. So here's the news from Reuters. At that ASEAN summit that Trump's at, and I guess Carney's at too, Reuters says, "From the sidelines of the ASEAN summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney sent a not so subtle message to Washington. We're waiting on you." Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday. So Trump is just freezing him. It's like freezing the kicker. He's just making him wait like there was no way he could send him a text message or anything. He's just going to wait. So Carney's like, I don't know what's happening. Anyway, so Canada's posture, says Reuters, is polite patience. Polite patience. So you've got the rudest leader in the world, Trump, against the politest country in the world, our good buddies in Canada. So anyway, this is just funny. I don't think it makes any difference in the real world, does it? It's just like they've got this little high school interpersonal drama thing going on that'll take care of itself.

Well, here's a little update on, you remember I told you the story that Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as examples of crazy hallucinating conservatives as they called us. Because I'll just talk about my own prediction. My own prediction was that Republicans would be hunted if Biden got in office and also that they would be in danger of death. Now, the danger of death is obvious because if you put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, which is what we did, we put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football. Can you tell me that wasn't dangerous? Trump says there would have been no war in Ukraine with Putin. He might be right. Was it more dangerous to have a president who sort of encouraged and armed one side? Don't know, but it looked dangerous to me. Was it dangerous that we had a president who, if he had been elected for a second term, wouldn't really be able to function that well? Yeah, that looks pretty dangerous to me. Would it be dangerous that your foes around the world see you as incompetent? Would that make it more likely or less likely that China would have made a play for Taiwan? Probably more likely. Now, they didn't. But remember, I was talking about likelihoods. I wasn't predicting. I was talking about the odds. And the point was that the odds for our survival would go down if Biden was elected. Now, those are some pretty clean examples. Compare that to Trump who's stopped eight and nine wars or something. He's working on the ninth. Is that dangerous? Feels the opposite of dangerous. How about the guy who emphasizes making our military more lethal? Does that make us safer? Yes. Yes, it does. So I believe that that point has stood the test of time. But the other one was that Republicans would be arrested basically jailed if Biden came to office. Hunted is the word I used. And then I saw a post by MTG on X in which she lists, I don't know this is the beginning of the list. This is the second page of the list. These are the public figures that got arrested or indicted. Just the public figures. So it'd be like Trump's lawyers, Trump's people who worked in that domain. That's not even counting the January 6 citizens who were hunted down as well. Doesn't count people like me who were cancelled. We got kind of hunted, right? So does my point stand that Republicans were hunted or not? Were they? Was this going to happen on its own? These people just in a normal situation, no matter who had been elected, they were all going to get arrested. I don't think so. No, I think they were hunted.

So here's what I think is probably going to happen. I don't think Bill Maher follows me or even kind of knows anything about me because when he introduced me on his show as the topic, not as a person, but as the topic, he described me as a conservative cartoonist. How many of you think that I'm a conservative? So you're the ones who know me best, right? You've been with me almost 10 years. How many would call me a conservative? Well, I've told you for sure that I prefer conservatives. I prefer their company. You all know that. Look at the comments. There's nobody who actually knows my work who would call me a conservative. You know, I like my marijuana too much. I don't get involved in the abortion question at all. I think women need to work that out. Let us know how it goes. I'm not a religious person, but I like religion. I'm a big fan of Christianity, but I'm a fan. I'm not a believer. How conservative am I? When I describe myself, my current best description of myself is that I'm a Trump supporting common sense guy. And that when he does things that look like common sense to me, I don't care if it's left or right or middle. I just like it. So you're more of a libertarian. I don't call myself a libertarian because there are too many differences there. But have we demonstrated for sure that I don't have to agree with all of your opinions for you to embrace that I add some value to your day? I wish I knew what was talking. Something just talks to me in a digital voice every now and then. It's not my phone. It's none of my devices. There's some extra device around here. I must have a listening device. I might be bugged. I'm not sure what's going on.

Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term. That's heating up. I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit. You know, 1%. Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of Trump staying for a third term is not being dismissed by Trump too hard. So they asked him on the plane about the third term and Trump says, I haven't really thought about it. Does anybody believe he hasn't really thought about it? Okay. We have some very good people as you know, but I have the best poll numbers I've ever had. And he says something about he would love to do it. So the reporter says, "You're not ruling it out." And he doesn't answer as directly as he could. He goes, "I think if they ever formed a group, it would be unstoppable." Now, I don't know what the group is, but he talks about JD Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it. I don't know if there's more to the group than those two, but he thinks that they would be amazing. But what would be the argument? Apparently Bannon has some argument that he hasn't tried out for why a third term in this particular case could be sold. Now, you know my reasoning. My reasoning is that as long as people like Carville are saying that Republicans should be put in orange jumpsuits, paraded through town, and spit on after Trump is out of office. And he actually said that. As long as that's waiting for us and they're saying so directly and it's coming from somebody who has some gravitas in the party, then I think that the safest thing for Republicans is to never have a Democrat president. Whatever that takes, whatever it takes. And if it takes keeping Trump to keep them from putting me in jail and spitting on me, I'll take the third term. And as I've been saying consistently, there's nothing else that would make me be in favor of violating the Constitution so grossly. But I would definitely violate the Constitution to increase the chance of living. Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't you? To increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution. And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Trump. I don't think that's going to happen, but I feel like it's the right tradeoff.

So what would be the argument for keeping him? I'm going to give you my best argument which I don't think is good, but it'll be an argument for keeping Trump for a third term. You ready? Do you think I could pull this off? Do you think I could give you a persuasive argument why he should get a third term? Well, I don't know if this is unique or if other people have said this, so it might not be original. Here's my argument. They stole his first and second term with a hoax. The government stole it. The government denied him a full regular term by making him fight to stay out of jail the entire first term and then using the lies that they created in the first term to prevent him from being elected in the second term. Now, I don't know if there was also any chicanery with the votes itself. I don't have any proof of that. But what we do know is that they had a well organized from the top Obama plan to deny him a normal presidential term. And I would argue if you look at what he's accomplished in his current term where he's now having to do all this impeachment hoax stuff, you can see the difference between what it would look like if he had been unfettered, where he is now, versus the way they treated him and essentially denied him a real presidential term. Now, you could say, "Well, they denied him his second term." Or you could say they denied him his first term. You could say they denied him his first term. He was president, but with such an anchor on him that they put on him, it was like he couldn't really serve his term. So is that a good enough argument to overcome the very clear wording in the Constitution that you only get two? No. No. The only way that would fly is if the Supreme Court just went totally rogue. Could the Supreme Court go rogue and vote just by conservative majority that yeah, that is true. They did steal his first term. We're going to give it back to him. I don't think so. I think that's too far. I can't see Roberts going for that at all. And not really the other ones either. I can't see Kavanaugh. I can't see any of them voting for it, frankly. I think it would be 9-0. But that's the best argument I have. It's not terrible. I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny.

All right. Here's more of this. Is the media changing to be more right leaning? So now that Bari Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where that is. But somebody pointed out that Margaret Brennan in her interview with Hakeem Jeffries seemed a little more right leaning than what they expected. She was pointing out that Hakeem Jeffries and all the Democrats have been saying forever that Trump is a monster for claiming that the 2020 election was rigged and that if you claim elections are rigged, you can't be a politician in this country because you're just starting stuff. But Jeffries himself is saying that the gerrymandering that Trump and others want to do is rigging the election. Somehow he's ignoring the fact that all of the 100% of the Democrat states have already gerrymandered and that California is going to do some more and maybe Massachusetts too. So his argument is stupid. But Brennan actually challenged him on the fact that he said rigging the election is the worst thing you could say while he says that rigging the election is what's happening. But he's arguing that he's not talking about the election that happened, but rather he's warning that the gerrymandering would be like rigging an election. Is that a good enough nuance? No. It was good to see him challenged on that. I'm not sure we would have seen that challenge before. So that does look to me like the news CBS is moving a little bit to the right. We'll see.

Gavin Newsom was on some podcast in which he said that the anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Period. Full stop. What have I taught you about people who say period full stop? It means they know it's not true. Do you know why people put period full stop at the end of a sentence? Because they didn't have a reason. If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot that in there. So here, let me give you an example of when you don't need it. If you don't reopen the government, people will not get food and they'll be hungry. Did I need to say full stop period? No. No. Because as soon as you heard people won't get fed, argument is made. I'm done with my argument. But if you say something like this, anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Period. Full stop. You're really saying I don't want to debate any nuance of this thing because I don't even believe it myself. I have to say, you know, being completely immersed in the conservative worldview as I often am, I don't really see anybody talk about DEI as being anti-Black. I've literally never heard that. I've never suspected it. I've never thought it was like between the lines. It's entirely stop being anti-white. It's not the same. If you want the world to stop discriminating against, in my case, white men, how is that anti-Black? It's just not. So notice my argument. My argument has a reason that the actual people I know I've observed for 10 years don't have any anti-Black rationalizations even in private like private conversations. Nobody talks like that. Literally nobody talks like that. All they say is I got discriminated against and I don't want to be discriminated against. So I'm not in favor of being discriminated against. I don't want my kids to be discriminated against. It has nothing to do with what black Americans do or do not get out of life. It just has to do with your own discrimination that you don't like it. So Gavin, but I will give him credit that he did reframe that in a way that politically might be powerful. But what I like about any of the conversations about black America and who's getting what and reparations, all that. Have you noticed there's always a Thomas Sowell quote that fits the story? And somebody always puts it in the comments to every one of these X reports. So here are the Thomas Sowell quotes that somebody stuck in the story about Gavin Newsom saying anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Thomas Sowell, so famous black economist who is widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a conservative take care of yourself kind of a guy. So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems like discrimination. Boy was that on target. That's exactly on target. That getting rid of DEI is not crippling black people. It's simply taking away an obvious advantage that they had been enjoying. So if you take away somebody's obvious advantage, they're going to think you're discriminating against them. Thomas. Then there was a second one on the same comment thread. Also Thomas. He says it is usually futile to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority and their ignorance. Exactly. So when somebody like Newsom says that the anti-woke is really anti-Black, don't you think he was, I think he was talking to a black podcaster if I recall. Fact check on that. But don't you think he was sort of leaning into his sense of moral superiority? That's what that was, right? He was leaning into his moral superiority. Thomas Sowell nails it.

Speaking of that, Fox News, Preston Mitchum is writing that the University of Washington, they had a job posting that required some DEI stuff and one of their white professors did a video totally outing them about what you have to say to get hired. So if you're whoever you are, you don't even have to be white, but you have to say a statement about DEI. It used to be that you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?" Yeah, I like DEI. Okay. All right, you can be hired. But now you have to go deeper. You have, according to the professor, this white professor, he says, you have to say that you have deep knowledge of the DEI stuff in order to get a high rating on all this. He says, the funny thing is, I'm convinced I would not be hired if I applied today. So he's currently one of the highest rated teachers. He won the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's actually no way that he would ever be hired. So that's your world. So if you were to allow this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's an even playing field." But if you insist that it has to be a DEI loving candidate, it's kind of like a special treatment that if I had special treatment, I wouldn't want to take it away. But Thomas Sowell rings in my mind.

All right. President Biden came out and called these the dark days. I've heard some others say that recently. The Democrats that they keep saying that the dark days are here and the bad stuff's happening. And I keep saying where's the dark stuff? Where's the bad stuff? And then they would add things like, well, Democrats are preventing 43 million people from eating today. And I think, okay, that is dark. But that wasn't Republicans. Republicans are open to feed them today. Just vote on it. We'll feed them today. And then you go down the list of what is the other dark stuff? Was it the solving of all those wars and the fact that Gaza is under control and the fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know, we're working as hard as we possibly can to deescalate that before super winter kicks in? Where's the dark part? Is it the fact that the tariffs worked, that inflation's under control, that eggs and gas prices are down, but beef's a little high, but we're working on it. Where is all the darkness? Is it because we stopped doing transitioning youth? Is that the darkness? Feels like an upgrade. But as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific credible complaints. You do it because it can collect all of your fears. The Democrats are not about policy. They're about fear and about personal attack. If they can make you afraid, then they can get elected. So when they say stuff like dark, but they don't give you any details of what exactly is the dark part, what are we missing? The reason they can't give you details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh, well, that looks like temporary." Or, "Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it before." Right? So they can't give you reasons because if they gave you reasons it would look weak and pathetic and not common sense but they can say it's dark. The dark days have come.

Eric Swalwell, I didn't even think this was real but I think it's real. When I first saw it I thought that can't be real. So Swalwell has said now on social media that the only Democrat candidate who would be the only valid presidential candidate for the Democrats would be somebody willing to say in advance that they would bulldoze the ballroom if they won. That's a real thing that happened. Swalwell actually, and by the way, if I'm wrong about it, please correct me immediately so I don't go too far. It doesn't look like something that's real, does it? It doesn't look like it's real because it's too on the nose. It's too on the nose for what the dumbest Democrat would say. But is it real? I believe it's being treated as real, right? And can you even imagine bulldozing a $350 million building that even the Democrats have been saying they've needed for decades? Is that the dumbest thing you've ever seen? And to imagine that maybe the Democrats have enough of a base that would agree with this that he would think that saying it would somehow boost his political situation. That's incredible.

Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two movies on one screen. Depending on which propaganda site you look at, it's a completely different war. So there's somebody named Yasmina on X. Don't know anything about Yasmina. I do not believe that anybody on X is credible when it comes to the war. But I'll just give you a sense of the two sides what they're saying. Yasmina is on the side that Russia's economy is close to collapse and that's one movie and the other movie is that Ukraine is going to lose all of its energy resources before winter and freeze to death and that Russia has never been as serious as they are now about turning off the power in Ukraine and now that Ukraine is attacking them deep within Russia and taking out some of their energy resources that Russia will have no gating factor to keep them from taking out all of Ukraine's energy. It looks like what they want to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to force the people who lived in the dark part to move to the part that still has energy, which would essentially clear out a big swath that they can just reenter it. It would make it easier to conquer if they moved all the people who didn't have electricity. So that looks like the movie. Both of them trying to crush the other's economy and they have much better weapons this winter than they had last winter. So the odds of them being able to do it in both cases are now closer to I don't know closer to 100%. Maybe not 100%. But I don't think they could have done it before. I think they could do it now. And I guess Ukraine sent 193 drones at Russia just last night. So most of them get shot down these days, but 193 drones a night going after your energy resources. How many nights do you need before you get them all? So and I guess one of their biggest refineries got shut down in Russia, but again, you don't even know if that's real. So all the fog of war stuff is completely impossible to sort through. But the US is working on reducing Russia's access to oil. And again, it's two movies on one screen. One movie says that the US is making a big difference and that the sanctions that we put on third party countries like India and China are actually making them change their behavior. So in the short run, India and China aren't really changing their importing of Russian oil. In the long run, it looks like they might want to avoid the problems that the sanctions will cause them. So it looks like they might be looking for alternatives and that the only thing that would keep them from getting off of Russian oil, which would bring them problems in their own country from the United States, might be just having another source and that might not be impossible. So if things ramp up in other places, but we'll see. And then apparently there's not a glut of oil, but there's extra oil being pumped in the Middle East. That's probably at least partly from Trump's influence because if the price of oil stays around $60 a barrel, then our domestic industry survives, but Russia would have way less money to press the war. They would also probably survive, but they wouldn't have the extra for the war that they would want. So anyway, fog of war.

I saw an older post from February by AI pioneer founder kind of guy, Andrej Karpathy, and he had something interesting to say about intelligence versus what we call agency. Agency in this case is defined as a personality trait that refers to your capacity to take initiative, make decisions and exert control over your actions in your environment. That would be your agency. And what Karpathy points out is that we already have a lot of intelligence. So our AIs are doing good on intelligence. They can often or usually beat a human being on what they know. So that's a kind of intelligence, but what they don't have is agency. And that until you start building agency into the robots and the AI, you don't have what you need. So I don't know how you could give them agency without them being too dangerous. So we'll see where that goes.

General Motors says they're getting closer to what they call an eyes off vehicle. They want to make a vehicle where you don't have to watch. Sort of like the Tesla model, self-driving, but it doesn't look like they're that close. I think they've got one really expensive car that they think they'll be able to do it with, the Cadillac. And then they want to build Gemini AI into their cars, so you could just talk to the car and have it do what you want. Remember I always talk to you about products that have never been tested. Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything? Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but there were other people in the room? Does it work? Never. If you are obviously doing a voice command to your car or your phone, all of your guests and everyone around you will pretend they can't see that you're doing that and they will talk normally and then they'll turn on the music and you'll be like, seriously, you don't see that I'm giving a voice command to my phone right now. You can't tell that I'm doing that and you're just talking right over it. It never works. You'd have to have a long trip by yourself with the radio off. And who does that? You'd have to turn off the radio every time you talk to your car. Anyway, I think GM's way behind.

Here's an article from Science, Dr. Katie Spalding. Do you guys know how the 2,000 calories a day recommendation for humans came about? Do you ever wonder about that? Like who came up with 2,000 calories is sort of the baseline? And there's a long story to it, but basically it's just made up. It's just a number that a bunch of people sat in the committee and said, "How about 2,000?" Well, you know, big people who were getting ready for a competition, they might need more. Yeah, but 2,000 is a round number. So basically, the reason it's 2,000 instead of 2,350, which they think might have been a more accurate number, is that it's easier to remember 2,000. So they can manipulate people easier if they said 2,000 instead of 2,350. And of course, everybody should be getting their own amount based on how big they are. Roman. What's about a Roman? That was quite a whale. Wow. All right, he'll take care of himself.

All right. So yeah, everything about nutrition is made up and fake and all the science around it is sketchy and ridiculous. So there's that.

Israel says that they're not in favor of Turkey taking a security role in Gaza. Why is that big news? Well, it's big news if Turkey had been willing to do it. That would have been pretty big news. I don't know if they're willing, but Israel says they're the ones who get to decide which other Arab countries do security and nobody else gets to decide. And I agree. Obviously, Israel would have to be okay with whoever goes in there, but that does eliminate what I thought was the most likely contender for this security. What would be next? Would they say yes to Saudi Arabia? Would they say yes to Jordan? Who would they say yes to who had a dependable military? Because the dependable military is a big part, right? Can't be everybody.

Well, here's my prediction. I believe that as I said before that Netanyahu loses if what happens after the end of the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has a role in it and in the end there's no one-state solution because all of that was possible if Netanyahu had been allowed to just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he would just be called a war criminal and whatever is the worst criticisms you can come up with, genocidal maniac in the short run. But if you waited a hundred years, it would be a big statue to him and he would be the greatest Israeli who ever lived because he created the greater Israel. So he was you. Now, of course, I can't read his mind, but it's obvious that he didn't want a two-state solution, and it's obvious that if he'd had his way for a few more years, probably could have gotten just about anything he wanted. But Trump stood in. And Trump took the credit for ending the war. He took the credit, but he also ended the killing, most of it. You know, still a little bit going on, but he ended most of it. So I don't disagree with Trump putting a big old Trump boot on that whole situation because that's America first. It's not America first to have a one-state solution. It's probably America first to have something that's neither one nor two which is where we are now. So here's my prediction. Netanyahu will stall as long as he can and Trump leaves office, if he leaves office after this term, assuming he does, that Gaza will look pretty much the way it looks now and that there will be no hurry to clean it up or make it more habitable because Netanyahu might want to just wait for Trump to be out of office and then see if he's got a little more flexibility if that happens. That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu. I would pretend I was on board and I would be tapping Trump along and not doing any cleanup. And that's why I would say that it's not done. It's like, well, that cleanup, if only you would give us a billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd start right away. And we'd be like, why are we paying? And then there would be an argument over the funding. And then Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean it up as fast as possible. We just don't have the funds. So if one of you wants to give us a billion dollars, we'll be all over that. We'll get that cleaned up right away. So there's probably a hundred ways that you can stall and make it look legitimate. Well, we still got a pocket of resistance there. Well, we still got to do some toxic cleanup. Well, we still got to get a security situation that we could be happy with. Yeah. Do not expect Gaza to turn into a gleaming city full of Gazans returning.

All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's what I got for you today. Boy, is my timing good. Excellent timing. I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals people who are my beloved local subscribers. The rest of you, thanks for joining. Hope I added a little bit of something to your day. All right, locals coming at you privately in 30.

That's better.

That's better.

Now you can hear me.

I better back up and do that again.

That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done.

The cat walked on my mute button.

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All right, our new tradition.

One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better.

Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you.

All right, how about this?

Um, how about uh here's one of the things that that that people argue all the time.

They argue that a plan will either work or it won't work.

That's sort of a a common frame.

Hey, your plan will work or your plan will never work.

A better reframe from that is that uh friction and incentives always work.

We just don't know how well until they're tested.

If you put a disincentive somewhere, you can't say it won't work.

It'll it'll work a little.

You have to wait and see.

So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it?

Can I test it?" Find out if it works.

Winners, find out if it works.

Losers say that'll never work.

There you go.

That's your reframe for the day.

Change your life.

Hey, I wonder if coffee is good for you.

Oh, according to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study that says that coffee consumption is associated with increased brain white matter integrity and cortical thickness.

I don't know.

I'll have to test that.

I've been feeling a little bit of thin in my cortical area, but it says here this coffee can thicken that up.

You test it.

Yeah, it's working.

It's working.

I can feel my cortical thickness.

Yeah, it's about twice as thick now.

You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that that was real.

Uh, well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica.

Jamaica?

No, she went willingly.

It's enough that.

So, Representative uh Luna, one of my favorite representatives, is suggesting that uh on some she was was she on PBD show?

She was on a podcast uh that the uh so-called UFOs or UAPs, she seems to have an inside track on that and they're what she believes are interdimensional beings according to other people.

At the same time, there are reports of some app called a UFO tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that shows that there's an enormous amount of unexplained activity, some kind of vessels that are underwater all over our coast.

So, my question is, do interdimensional beings use submarines that glow in the dark?

Because if I'm going to go to another dimension, I need to know what to travel in.

Do we take a spaceship, submarine?

What's on the other side there?

I did hear somebody say that if you were a creature from some, you know, some other part of the, I don't know, universe, you might be more comfortable underwater than you would be in our air.

So that it would make sense that even if somebody visited Earth that their that their impression of Earth was whatever's under the sea and that they're not even interested in what's above water because it's just a pain in the ass.

It's just something on the way to the ocean.

Maybe.

Remember I told you that if robots were real, meaning that we really were going to have robots walking around in 12 months that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing.

Well, maybe we're there cuz Elon says, Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's uh engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around.

They're on their own and you could ask them for directions and the robot would happily take you to the place that you wanted to go.

And so, this was the point I was waiting for.

approximately one year before you can get a robot, you would expect that the people making the robots would be, you know, fully enjoying the the wonders of a robot, at least in the office.

And it looks like that's either happening or it's very close to happening.

So, we might might be getting close to robots.

Anyway, um Tesla also says, they showed a video of it.

It's pretty impressive that in order to train their cars and I think they're robots too, they're doing simulated worlds.

So instead of having the the devices learn on the real world because there's not enough real world to train them as fast as they want, they have the computer make up a fake world and then they have a train on the fake world.

So now do you believe you live in a simulation?

Because you know the AI doesn't know it's looking at a simulation.

Just think about that.

The AI is being trained on these virtual worlds.

It doesn't know that they're virtual.

Can't tell the difference.

Why do you think you can?

You couldn't tell the difference.

If you were in a if we were a simulation, the whole point is you wouldn't be able to tell the difference.

It would be programmed so that even if you thought you wanted to tell the difference, you couldn't tell the difference.

It would just be program you would be programmatically prohibited from realizing your your reality.

That's what I think.

Unless you're a player and not an NPC.

Well, Javier Mule in Argentina, I guess they had a big win in their uh midterm elections, which people would say would be somehow good for Trump cuz, you know, Trump likes him.

Uh but his party won 41% of the votes and they're going to pick up a whole bunch of parliament seats and Javier is really happy.

You know, I've been sort of a quiet skeptic of the Argentina miracle.

Didn't it always seem a little too good to be true?

You know, I mean, I like I like his vibe.

I like his general approach, you know?

I like his free market stuff.

So, I don't have a specific complaint, but it just looked like it was a little too easy, too clean, too promoted.

There there's something about it that didn't look 100% legitimate.

So, I was So, I've been, you know, you've probably noticed, uh, I have not been a fanboy.

I I enjoy watching the show, you know, watching what Jav Mule does.

It's very interesting, but I'm trying not to be a fanboy because I feel like there might be more news coming someday.

Does anybody else have that feeling?

There might be more news coming.

You you don't want to be too far on that on that train when it happens because it's never all good news.

There's always something out there.

We'll see.

Well, I guess in New York City, uh, Governor Huckle and Zoran Mundani and I think K were there.

They had a big rally cuz their their uh elections coming up Tuesday.

Tuesday next week.

Yeah, Tuesday next week, I think.

And uh they got up there and they promised free child care and free universal Yeah, universal child care, free rent or freeze rent, not free.

Uh and free buses.

I don't know what other free stuff they're giving away, but the people in the stadium were chanting, "Tax the rich, tax the rich, tax the rich." Meanwhile, the rich were packing up their bags to get as far from New York as they can.

Oh my god, I'm so glad.

Well, I'm sure if they tried to do that chant in California that people would do the chant.

But how would you like to have a little extra money and live in a state where they're chanting to tax you?

You you want to leave when the chanting starts, you know, before they get the the pitchforks and the the torches because right after chanting pitchfork and torches.

Now, I don't know if that's coming, but it feels like it is.

Well, Wall Street Apes, an account on Axley, you should follow, Wall Street Apes.

Um, they're pointing out that uh did you know that the SNAP benefits, which are going to end, I guess, right away.

Uh, that's the one that feed feeds the people who can't uh don't have enough money to feed themselves.

Did you know that there are 43 million people on that Americans?

Well, residents of America, 43 million people are being fed by the other people.

Did you have any idea it was that big?

I had no idea.

That's a lot of people.

And apparently 54% of immigrant households have at least one major welfare program.

H uh I wonder what it is for the residents.

It's probably not that far off from the residence actually.

So, so here's the question.

Uh I think Jake Tapper put it this way to uh he was talking to some Democrat.

Oh, Murphy.

He was talking to Murphy.

Murphy's the new uh designated liar.

You know how I always tell you that Swallwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars?

They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys, you know, they'll say anything.

So, uh, Murphy is one of those.

He's joined the, you know, designated liars will say anything club.

So, Jake Tapper on CNN, who is now under, is he under the Ellison umbrella already?

So what people are looking for is to see if the conservative purchases of these big news entities.

Everything from Tik Tok I guess is going to go through to CNN to who knows.

But we're looking for any subtle changes in coverage that would suggest that the news is either moving toward the middle or even leaning toward the right because of new ownership.

But Jake Tapper asked this question which suggests that he's at least finding the middle if not leaning to the right.

Yeah.

He said to Murphy, "Funding for food stamps, that would be the uh the what I'm talking about is expected to run out at the end of this week.

This is happening because Democrats, now watch how Jake Tapper frames this.

He says it's happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government." Now, do you think you would have put it that way if you were not owned by a right-leaning entity or because that's that's a that's a really powerful framing and it's very powerful for the benefit of Republicans.

I don't know that I've seen Jake go this this strong on a narrative that's just pure Republican.

But let me let me finish.

So he says this is happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government.

Now Jake has said that a few times a number of times he he said you how is this not the Democrats?

They're the ones who aren't voting for it.

You can't vote you can't blame the people who are voting to open the government.

And yet they were.

He's making the common sense observation that it's the people voting not to open the government who are the ones voting to not open the government.

It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it.

But then he goes on with the the this is just a kill shot.

So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make um letting some Americans go hungry until these Obama subsidies get extended?" Let me read that again.

This is an absolute kill shot.

that there should be nothing left of the Democrat party by now.

If if anybody saw this question, so is this a trade-off you're willing to make?

See, even even the putting it in the terms of willing to make strengthens it and continue to make strengthens it again.

You've done it and you continue to do it.

He was letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended.

Because I don't know about you, but you know, if you say healthcare, I obviously care a lot because that's important.

But if you say hunger, I go to a whole different level of caring, right?

Hunger comes before kind of everything except, you know, immediate physical safety.

So, this is really strong.

So, I'm going to give uh Jake a uh sitting standing ovation for that journalism move because that was exactly the right question, exactly the right time, and exactly the right person to ask it.

What do you think he did with that question?

What do you think Murphy did?

Did he say, "Yeah, we're we're intentionally going to starve 43 million people," which by the way, the Republicans don't want to do.

They want to open the government and and give them their money, their food.

So, they're going to starve Republicans so that they can get a political win on healthcare.

Now, even if you were to say, "But Scott, you know, we need both of those things.

So, ranking them doesn't even make sense.

Those are two essential things.

You have to have them both." So, so putting them up against each other isn't fair.

It's just two things you need.

Okay.

Doesn't feel like that though.

Doesn't feel like that.

Feels like you need to eat before you go to the doctor.

Well, um, so that that was to me that was really interesting as a maybe a sign of the times.

So Trump's arrive, I guess Trump's in Tokyo.

He's already met with the prime minister of uh of uh Japan and uh his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip.

So he's he's touring Asia right now.

Um, I don't know how much to believe cuz the reporting seems a little a little light, but there's a there's reason to think that Trump set up a number of alternative paths for rare earth minerals through other countries that he's meeting.

And he's not done yet.

He's still going to South Korea and might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he wants to catch up.

I love the way he does that.

We'll talk about that in a minute.

So, the question is, um, did Trump successfully find alternative paths for all of the rarers?

Uh, do we have a new, more robust alternative path that's not China?

And does it cover everything we need or does China still have a a hand on us?

Well, it seems that around the time that these other deals with other countries were being made, China got flexible.

And we don't know if that flexibility is because they realize they're going to lose the entire rare earth um market, which they might.

They might lose the entire rare earth market for ever having um tried to restrict it.

W would you ever buy rare earth from somebody who had ever tried to restrict it for political purposes?

No.

Not if you had a choice of buying it from somebody who never did that.

You know, it's the same rare earth materials.

So, China may have realized how much they shot themselves in the foot with threatening the world with rare earth restrictions.

Maybe.

See, this is the part I don't know because there might there might be levels and levels of, you know, what's happening behind the scenes, but apparently there's a soybean agreement.

Scott Bent said he was a soybean farmer himself.

I asked Grock and he said, "Well, he's not a farmer.

Uh, but he does own farms." So, he's a landlord.

He's a landlord who owns some farms that would have been growing soybeans, but China didn't want to buy any until now.

Now, I guess they're going to do a big soybean purchase.

And they also have agreed allegedly with uh the sale of Tik Tok to some American entities that'll be running all the sensitive stuff so you don't have to worry about China stealing your stuff.

We think so.

That's the question.

We don't know how successful Trump has been on this trip.

We know that everybody's treating him like a superstar.

We know that he's, you know, he's our celebrity and chief.

They seem to love him.

Do do you remember the days when it was reasonable for his critics to say that the the other leaders were not respecting him and that that was, you know, some of that disrespect was coming on us by extension?

When was the last time you heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders don't respect Trump." that's gone.

I don't know if that's ever coming back, but apparently they got used to him and they they got used to him as a a star, a superstar.

They didn't just get used to him, they kind of love him.

They kind of love him.

So, I guess we'll have to wait to see how much of a, you know, a real real world deal making happen.

But the stock market likes it.

So, the stock market's up.

Seems to be happy.

Also because the um it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged.

Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen.

Uh I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe it could happen.

There are a bunch of smart people who think it can happen.

meaning that we collect the tariffs and uh we use it as a you know trade negotiation and it doesn't create inflation.

Not many people saw that coming.

I didn't.

I was open to it, but I can't say I predicted it.

But here we are.

So maybe in a few more months things will change, but at the moment it's looking good.

So the people who are rumored to be buying Tik Tok would be Oracle, Larry Ellison.

So that would be a pal of Trump's Fox Corporation.

Can you believe that?

So that would be the owners of Fox would also own part of Tik Tok.

That makes perfect sense, doesn't it?

As an investment for Murdoch, it makes perfect sense.

Um Andre Horowitz will be part of that.

and Silver Lake Management.

So, uh I like anything that Mark Andre's associated with because he's a voice of reason.

He he's not really a not really he's not at all.

He's not political in any sense that you normally think of it.

He is a common sense guy and real rich and real smart.

So, the more you give me the common sense guys who are real rich and real smart.

Yeah.

I I want you on the board of directors of Oracle.

I'm sorry of uh Tik Tok.

That works for me.

Well, here's a funny little drama.

Um so Carney, the head of Canada, um as you know, the there was one minister Ford, I guess it was, who ran that uh Reagan ad where Reagan allegedly was against tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump because Trump likes Reagan.

Republicans like Reagan.

And uh Trump's reaction was to give them 10% more tariffs and stop talking to them on trade deals.

So here's the news from Reuters.

Uh at that uh AEN summit that Trump's at, and I guess Carney's at too, that Reuters says, "From the sidelines of the AEN summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney sent a not so subtle message to Washington.

We're waiting on you." Uh Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday.

So So Trump is just freezing him.

It's like freezing the kicker.

He's just making him wait like there was no way he could send him a text message or anything.

He's just going to wait.

So Carney's like, I don't know what's happening.

Uh anyway, so Canada's posture, says Reuters, is polite patience.

Polite patience.

So you've got the the rudest leader in the world, Trump, against the politest country in the world, our good buddies in Canada.

So anyway, this is just funny.

I I don't think it makes any difference in the real world, does it?

It it's just like they've got this little high school interpersonal drama thing going on that'll take care of itself.

Well, here's a little update on you remember uh I told you the story that Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as examples of crazy hallucinating uh conservatives as they called us.

Uh because uh I'll just talk about my own prediction.

My own prediction was that Republicans would be hunted if uh if Biden got in office and also that they would be in danger of death.

Now, the danger of death is obvious because if you put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, which is what we did, we put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football.

Can you tell me that wasn't dangerous?

Trump says there would have been no war in Ukraine with uh with Putin.

He might be right.

Was it more dangerous to have a president who sort of encouraged and armed one side?

Don't know, but it looked dangerous to me.

Was it dangerous that we had a president who, if he had been elected for a second term, wouldn't really be able to function that well?

Yeah, that looks pretty dangerous to me.

Would it be dangerous that your foes around the world see you as incompetent?

Would that make it more likely or less likely that China would have made a play for Taiwan?

Probably more likely.

Now, they didn't.

But remember, I was talking about likelihoods.

I wasn't I wasn't predicting.

I was talking about the odds.

And and the point was that the odds for our survival would go down if Biden was elected.

Now, those are some those are some pretty clean examples.

Compare that to Trump who's stopped eight and nine wars or something.

He's working on the ninth.

Is that dangerous?

Feels the opposite of dangerous.

How about the guy who emphasizes making the our military more lethal?

Does that make us safer?

Yes.

Yes, it does.

So, I believe that that that point has stood that it stood the test of time.

But the other one was that uh that Republicans would be um arrested basically jailed if uh if Biden came to office.

Hunted is the word I used.

And then I saw a post by Ma Joy on X in which there she lists I don't know this is the beginning of the list.

This the second page of the list.

These are the the public figures that got arrested or indicted.

the just the public figures.

So it'd be like Trump's lawyers, Trump's whatever people worked in that domain.

That's not even counting the January 6 citizens who were hunted down as well.

Doesn't count people like me who were cancelled.

We got kind of hunted, right?

So does my point stand that Republicans were hunted or not?

Were they Were they Was this going to happen on his own?

These these people just in a normal situation, no matter no matter who had been elected, they were all going to get arrested.

I don't think so.

No, I think they were haunted.

So, here's what I think is probably going to happen.

Um, I don't think Bill Maher follows me or even kind of knows anything about me because when he introduced me on his show as the topic, not as a person, but as the topic, he described me as a conservative cartoonist.

How many of you think that I'm a conservative in the So, so you're the ones who know me best, right?

You've been with me almost 10 years.

How many would call me a conservative?

Well, I've told you for sure that I prefer conservatives.

I prefer their company.

You all know that.

And I Right.

Yeah.

Look at Look at the comments.

There's nobody who actually knows my work who would call me a conservative.

You know, I I I like my marijuana too much.

Um I don't get involved in the abortion question at all.

I think women need to work that out.

Let us know how it goes.

Right.

I I'm not a religious person, but I like religion.

I'm a big fan of Christianity, but I'm a fan.

I'm not a believer.

Right?

How conservative am I?

When I describe myself, my current best description of myself is that I'm a Trumpup supporting common sense guy.

and that when he does things that look like common sense to me, I don't care if it's left or right or middle.

I just like it.

So, you're more of a libertarian.

I don't I don't call myself a libertarian because there are too many differences there.

Yeah.

But but have have we demonstrated for sure that I don't have to agree with all of your opinions for you to embrace that I add some value to your God.

I wish I knew what was talking.

Something something just talks to me in a digital voice every now and then.

It's not my phone.

It's none of my devices.

There's some extra device around here.

I must have a listening.

I might be bugged.

I'm not sure what's going on.

Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term.

That's that's heating up.

I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit.

You know, 1%.

Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of Trump staying for a third term is not being dismissed by Trump too hard.

So they asked him on the plane uh about the third term and Trump says uh I haven't really thought about it.

Does anybody believe he hasn't really thought about it?

Okay.

Uh we have some very good people as you know, but I have the best poll numbers I've ever had.

Uh and he says something about he would love to do it.

So the reporter says, "You're not ruling it out." And he he doesn't answer as directly as he could.

He goes, "I I think I think if they ever formed a group, it would be unstoppable.

Now, I don't know what the group is, but he talks about JD Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it.

I don't know if there's more to the group than those two, but he thinks that they would be amazing.

Um, but what would be the argument?

Apparently, Bannon has some argument that he hasn't tried it out for why a third term in this particular case could be sold.

Now, you know my reasoning, my reasoning is that uh as long as people like uh Carville are saying that uh Republicans should be put in orange jumpsuits, paraded through town, and spit on after Trump is out of office.

And he actually said that that as long as that's waiting for us and they're saying so directly and it's coming from somebody who has, you know, some graitas in the party, then I think that the safest thing for Republicans is to never have a Democrat president.

Whatever that takes, whatever it takes.

Um, and if it takes keeping Trump to keep them from putting me in jail and spitting on me, I'll take the third term.

And as I've been saying consistently, there's nothing else that would make me be in favor of violating the Constitution so grossly.

But I would definitely violate the Constitution to increase the chance of living.

Wouldn't you?

I mean, really, wouldn't you?

to increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on.

Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution.

And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Trump.

I don't think that's going to happen, but I feel like it's the right it's the right tradeoff.

Um, so what would be the argument for keeping him?

I'm going to give it I'm going to give you my best argument which I don't think is good, but it'll be an argument for keeping Trump for a third term.

You ready?

Do you think Do you think I could pull this off?

Do you think I could give you a persuasive argument why he should get a third term?

Well, I don't know if this is unique or if other people have said this, so it might not be might not be original.

Here's my argument.

They stole his first and second term with a hoax.

The government stole it.

The government denied him a full regular term by making him fight to stay in a jail the entire first term and then using the using the lies that they created in the first term to prevent him from being elected in the second term.

Now, I don't know if there was also any chicannery with the votes itself.

I don't have any proof of that.

But what we do know is that they had a uh a wellorganized from the top from the top Obama plan to deny him a normal presidential term.

And I would argue if you look at what he's accomplished in his current term where he's now having to do all this, you know, impeachment hoax stuff, you can see the difference between what it would look like if he had been unfettered, what where he is now, versus the way they treated him and essentially denied him a real presidential term.

Now, you could say, "Well, they denied him his second term." Or you could say they denied him his first term.

You could say they denied him his first term.

He was president, but with such an anchor on him that they put on him, it was like he couldn't really serve his term.

So, is that a good enough argument to overcome the uh very clear wording in the Constitution that you only get two?

No.

No.

The The only way that would fly is if the Supreme Court uh just went totally rogue.

Could they could the Supreme Court go rogue and vote just by conservative majority that Yeah, that is true.

They did steal his first term.

We're going to give it back to him.

I don't think so.

I think that's too far.

I can't see Roberts going for that at all.

And not really the other ones either.

I can't see Kavanagh.

I can't see any of them any of them voting for it, frankly.

I think it would be 09.

But that's the best argument I have.

It's not terrible.

I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny.

All right.

All right.

Uh, here's more of this.

Uh, is the media changing to be more right leaning?

So, now that Barry Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where that is.

Uh, but somebody pointed out that uh Margaret Brennan uh in in her interview with Hakee Jeff seemed a little more rightle leaning than what they expected.

ask you off my notes.

I've got a cat of my notes.

So, uh, she was pointing out that, uh, Hakeim Jeff and all the Democrats have been saying forever that, uh, Trump is a monster for claiming that the 2020 election was rigged and that if you claim elections are rigged, you you can't be a politician in this country because you're just starting stuff.

So, uh, but Jeff himself is saying that the, uh, the gerrymandering that Trump and others want to do is rigging the election.

Somehow he's ignoring the fact that all of the 100% of the Democrat states have already gerrymandered and that California is going to do some more and maybe maybe Massachusetts, too.

So, his argument is stupid.

Uh but uh Brennan actually challenged him on the fact that uh he said rigging the election is the worst thing you could say while he says that rigging the election is what's happening.

But he's arguing that he's not talking about the election that happened, but rather he's warning that the gerrymandering would be like rigging an election.

Is that a good enough nuance?

No.

Um it was good to see uh good to see him challenged on that.

I'm not sure we would have seen that challenge before.

So, that does look to me like the news CBS is moving a little bit to the right.

We'll see.

Gavin Newsome was on some podcast in which he said that the anti-woke stuff is just antilack.

Period.

Full stop.

What if I taught you about people who say period full stop?

It means they know it's not true.

Do you know why people put period full stop at the end of a sentence?

Because they didn't have a reason.

If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot that in there.

So here, let me give you an example of when you don't need it.

Um, if you don't reopen the government, people will not give food and they'll be hungry.

Did I need to say full stop period?

No.

No.

Because as soon as you heard people won't get fed, argument is made.

I'm done with my argument.

If but if you say something like this, anti-woke stuff is just antilack.

Period.

Full stop.

You're really saying I don't want to debate any nuance of this thing cuz I don't even believe it myself.

Um, I I have to say, you know, being completely immersed in the conservative worldview as I often am, I don't really see anybody talk about DEI as being antilack.

I've literally never heard that.

I've never I've never suspected it.

I've never thought it was like between the lines.

It's entirely Stop being anti-white.

It's not the same.

If you want if you want the world to stop discriminating against, in my case, white men, how is that antilack?

It's just not.

So, so notice my uh my argument.

My argument has a reason that the actual people I know I've observed for 10 years don't have any antilack rationalizations even even in private like private conversations.

Nobody talks like that.

Literally nobody talks like that.

All they say is I got discriminated against and I don't want to be discriminated against.

So I'm not in favor of being discriminated against.

I don't want my kids to be discriminated against.

It has nothing to do with what black Americans do or do not get out of life.

It just has to do with your own discrimination that you don't like it.

So Gavin, but I will I will give him uh credit that he uh he did reframe that in a way that politically might be powerful.

But what I like what I like about uh any of the conversations about black America and who's getting what and reparations, all that.

Have you noticed there's always a Thomas Soul quote that fits the story?

And somebody always puts it in the comments to every one of these X reports.

So here are the Thomas Soul quotes that somebody stuck in the story about Gavin Newsome saying anti-woke stuff is just antilack.

Thomas Sell so famous black economist who is widely widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a he's more of a conservative uh take care of yourself kind of a guy.

So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems like discrimination.

Boy was that on target.

That's exactly on target.

That getting rid of DEI is not it's not crippling black people.

It's simply taking away an obvious advantage that they had been enjoying.

So if you take away somebody's obvious advantage, they're going to think you're discriminating against them.

Thomas.

Then there was a second one on the the same comment thread.

Uh also Thomas.

He says it is usually feudal to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority and their ignorance.

Exactly.

So, so when somebody like uh Newsome says that uh the the anti-woke is really anti-lack, don't you think he's I think he was talking to a black podcaster if I recall.

I'm not sure.

Fact check on that.

But don't you think he was sort of leaning into his sense of moral superiority?

That's what that was, right?

He he was leaning into his moral superiority.

Thomas Soul nails it.

Speaking of that, Fox News Preston Misella is writing that the University of Washington, they had a job posting that required some DEI stuff and one of their white professors did a video totally outing them about what you have to say to get hired.

So, if you're whoever you are, you don't even have to be white, but you have you have to say a statement about DEI.

It used to be that you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?" Yeah, I like DEI.

Okay.

All right, you can be hired.

But now you have to go deeper.

You have, according to the professor, this white professor, he says, you have to say that you have deep knowledge of the DEIS in order to get a high rating on all this.

He says, the funny thing is, I'm convinced uh I would not be hired if I applied today.

So, he's currently one of the highest rated uh teachers.

He won the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's there's actually no way that he would ever be hired.

So that's your world.

So if you were to allow this um this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's a that's an even playing field." But I if you insist that it has to be a DEI loving uh candidate, it's kind of like a special treatment that if I had special treatment, I wouldn't want to take it away.

But Thomas soul rings in my mind.

All right.

President Biden came out and called these the dark days.

I've heard some others say that recently.

the Democrats that they keep saying that the the dark days are here and the bad stuff's happening.

And I keep saying where where's the dark stuff?

Where's the bad stuff?

And then they would add things like, well, Democrats are preventing 43 million people from eating today.

And I think, okay, that's that is dark.

But that wasn't Republicans.

Republicans are open to feed them today.

just vote on it.

We'll feed them today.

Um, and then you go down the list of what what is the other dark stuff?

Was it the solving of all those wars and the fact that Gaza is under control and the fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know, we're working as hard as we possibly can to deescalate that before super winter kicks in?

Where's the dark part?

Is it the fact that the tariffs worked, that inflation's under control, that eggs and gas prices are down, but beast's a little high, but we're working on it.

Where is all the darkness?

Is it because we stopped doing uh transitioning youth?

Is that the darkness?

Feels like an upgrade.

But, uh, as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific um, credible complaints.

You do it because it can collect all of your fears.

The Democrats are not about policy.

They're about fear and about uh, personal attack.

If they can make you afraid, then they can get elected.

So, when they say stuff like dark, but they don't give you any details of what exactly is the dark part, what are we missing?

Uh, the reason they can't give you details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh, well, that looks like temporary." Or or, "Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it before." Right?

So they can't give you reasons because if they gave you reasons it would look weak and pathetic and you know not common sense but uh they can say it's dark.

The dark days have come.

Uh Eric Swallwell I didn't even I didn't think this was real but I think it's real.

When I first saw it I thought that can't be real.

So, Swallwell has said uh now on social media that the only Democrat candidate who would be uh let's say um the only valid presidential candidate for the Democrats would be somebody willing to say in advance that they would bulldoze the ballroom if they won.

That's a real thing that happened.

Swallwell actually, and by the way, if I'm wrong about, please correct me immediately so I don't go too far.

It doesn't look like something that's real, does it?

It doesn't look like it's real because it's too on the nose.

It's too on the nose for what what like the dumbest Democrat would say.

But is it real?

I I believe it's being treated as real, right?

And can you even imagine bulldozing a $350 million building that even the Democrats have been saying they've needed for decades?

Is that the dumbest thing you've ever seen?

and and to imagine that maybe the Democrats have enough of a base that would agree with this that he would think that saying it would somehow boost his political um situation.

That's incredible.

Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two movies on one screen.

Uh depending on which propaganda site you look at, it's a completely different war.

So there's somebody named Yasmina on X.

Don't know anything about Yasmina.

Do not I do not believe that anybody on X is credible when it comes to the war.

But I'll just give you a sense of the two sides what they're saying.

Um Yasm means on the side that uh Russia's economy is close to collapse and uh that's one movie and the the other movie is that Ukraine is going to lose all of its energy resources before winter and freeze to death and that Russia has never been serious as they are now about turning off the power in Ukraine and now that Ukraine is attacking them deep within Russia and taking out some of their energy resources that Russia will have no no gating factor to keep them from taking out all of Ukraine's um energy.

It looks like what they want to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to force the people who lived in the dark part to move to the part that still has energy, which is would essentially clear out a big swath that they can just reenter it.

make it would make it easier to conquer if they moved down to all the people who didn't have electricity.

So that looks like the the movie.

Both of them trying to crush the other's economy and they have much better weapons this winter than they had last winter.

So the odds of them being able to do it in both cases are now closer to I don't know closer to 100%.

Maybe not 100%.

But I don't think they could have done it before.

I think they could do it now.

And I guess uh Ukraine sent 193 drones at at Russia just last night.

So most of them get shot down these days, but 193 drones a night going after your energy resources.

How many nights do you need before you get them all?

So, and I guess one of their biggest refineries got shut down in Russia, but again, you don't even know if that's real.

So, all all the fog of war stuff is completely impossible to sort through.

So, um but the US is working on reducing uh Russia's access to oil.

And again, it's two movies on one screen.

One movie says that the US is making a big difference and that the uh the sanctions that we put on uh third party countries like India and China are actually making them change their behavior.

So in the short run, India and China aren't really changing their importing of Russian oil.

In the long run, it looks like they might want to avoid the problems that the sanctions will cause them.

So, it looks like they might be looking for alternatives and that the only thing that would keep them from getting off of Russian oil, which would bring them problems in their own country from the United States, uh might be just having another source and that might not be impossible.

So, if things ramp up in other places, but we'll see.

And then uh apparently there's a not a glut of oil, but there's a extra oil being pumped in the Middle East.

That's probably at least partly from Trump's influence because if the price of oil stays around $60 a barrel, then our, you know, our domestic industry survives, but Russia would have way less money to press the war.

They would also probably survive, but they wouldn't have the extra for the war that they would want.

So anyway, fog of war.

I saw an old uh an older post from February by AI pioneer founder kind of guy, Andre Carpathy, and he had something interesting to say about intelligence versus what we call agency.

>> >> Agency in this case is u defined as a personality trait that refers to your capacity to take initiative, make decisions and exert control over your actions in your environment.

That would be your agency.

And uh what Karpathy points out is that we already have a lot of intelligence.

So our our AIs are doing good on intelligence.

they can they can often or usually beat a human being on what they know.

So that's a kind of intelligence, but what they don't have is agency.

And that until you start building agency into the robots and the AI, um you don't have what you need.

So I don't know how you could give them agency without them being too dangerous.

So we'll see see where that goes.

General Motors says they're getting closer to what they call an eyes off vehicle.

They they want to make a vehicle where you don't have to watch.

Sort of like the Tesla model, self-driving, but it doesn't look like they're that close.

I think they've got one really expensive car that they think they'll be able to do it with, the Cadillac.

Um, and then they want to build Gemini AI into their cars, so you could just talk to the car and have it do what you want.

Remember I always I always talk to you about products that have never been tested.

Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything?

Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but there were other people in the room?

Does it work?

Never.

it.

If you are obviously doing a voice command to your car or your phone, all of your guests and everyone around you will pretend they can't see that you're doing that and they will talk normally and then they'll turn on the music and you'll be like, seriously, you don't see that I'm giving a voice command to my phone right now.

You you can't tell that I'm doing that and you're just talking right over it.

It never works.

you you'd have to have a a long trip by yourself with the with the radio off.

And who does that?

You'd have to turn off the radio every time you talk to your car.

Anyway, I think GM's way behind.

Um, here's an article from Science, Dr.

Katie Spalding.

Do you guys know how the 2,000 calories a day recommendation for humans came about?

Do you ever wonder about that?

Like who came up with 2,000 calories is sort of the baseline?

And there's a long story to it, but basically it's just it's just made up.

It's just a number that a bunch of people sat in the committee and said, "How about 2,00?" Well, you know, big people who um were getting ready for a competition, they might need more.

Yeah, but 2,000 is a round number.

So basically, the reason it's 2,00 instead of 2350, which they think might have been a more accurate number, is that it's easier to remember 2,000.

So they can manipulate people easier if they said 2,000 instead of 2350.

And of course, everybody should be getting it, you know, their own their own amount based on how big they are.

Roman.

What's about a Roman?

That was quite a whale.

Wow.

All right, you'll take care of himself.

All right.

So, yeah, everything about nutrition is made up and fake and all the science around it is sketchy and ridiculous.

So, there's that.

Um, Israel says that they're not in favor of Turkey taking a security role in Gaza.

Why is that big news?

Well, it's big news if Turkey had been willing to do it.

That would have been pretty big news.

Um, I don't know if they're willing, but uh, Israel says they're the ones who get to decide which other Arab countries do security and nobody else gets to decide.

And I agree.

Obviously, Israel would have to be okay with whoever goes in there, but that does eliminate what I thought was the most likely contender for this security.

What would be next?

Would they say yes to Saudi Arabia?

Would they say yes to Jordan?

Who would they say yes to who had a dependable military?

Because the dependable military is a big part, right?

can't be everybody.

Well, here's my prediction.

I believe that as I said before that Netanyahu loses if what happens after the end of the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has a role in it and uh in the end um there's there's no one-state solution cuz all of that was possible if Netanyahu had been allowed to you just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from Now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he would just be called a war criminal and whatever is the worst criticisms you can come up with, genocidal maniac in the short run.

But if you waited a hundred years, it would be a big statue to him and he would be the greatest Israeli who ever lived because he created the greater Israel.

So he was you.

Now, of course, I can't read his mind, but it's obvious that he didn't want a two-save solution, and it's obvious that if he'd had his way for a few more years, probably could have gotten just about anything he wanted.

But, uh, Trump stood in.

And Trump took the credit for ending the war.

He took the credit, but he also ended the killing, most of it.

You know, still a little bit going on, but he ended most of it.

So, I don't disagree with Trump putting a big old Trump boot on that whole situation because that's America first.

It It's not America first to have a one-state solution.

It's probably America first to have something that's neither first neither one nor two which is where we are now.

So here's my prediction.

Netanyahu will stall as long as he can and uh Trump leaves office, if he leaves office after this term, uh assuming he does, that Gaza will look pretty much the way it looks now and that there will be no hurry to clean it up or make it to make it more habitable because Netanyahu might want to just wait for Trump to be out of office and then see if he's got a little more flexibility if that happens.

That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu.

I would pretend I was on board and I would be tapping Trump along and not doing any cleanup.

Uh, and that's why I would say that it's not done.

It's like, well, that cleanup, if if only if only you would give us a billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd start right away.

And we'd be like, why are we paying?

And then there would be an argument over the funding.

And then Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean it up as fast as possible.

We just don't have the funds.

So if one of you wants to give us a billion dollars, we'll be all over that.

We'll get that cleaned up right away.

So there's probably a hundred ways that you can stall and make it look legitimate.

Well, we still got a pocket of resistance there.

Well, we still got to do some toxic cleanup.

Well, we still got to get a security security situation that we could be happy with.

Yeah.

Do not expect Gaza to turn into a gleaming city full of Gazins returning.

All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's what I got for you today.

Boy, is my timing good.

Excellent timing.

Uh, I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals people who are my beloved my beloved local subscribers.

The rest of you, thanks for joining.

Hope I added a little bit of something to your day.

All right, locals coming at you privately in 30 Thanks.

That's better.

That's better. Now you can hear me.

I better back up and do that again.

That's what happens when the cat walks

on your keyboard after you think you

have all your settings done.

The cat walked on my mute button.

Good morning everybody and welcome to

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All right, our new tradition. One

reframe will be read from my book,

Reframe Your Brain, the book that

changes everybody's life for the better.

Sometimes just with one sentence

that I have not yet read to you.

All right, how about this?

Um,

how about uh

here's one of the things that that that

people argue all the time. They argue

that a plan will either work or it won't

work. That's sort of a a common frame.

Hey, your plan will work or your plan

will never work.

A better reframe from that

is that uh friction and incentives

always work. We just don't know how well

until they're tested. If you put a

disincentive somewhere, you can't say it

won't work. It'll it'll work a little.

You have to wait and see. So instead of

saying something doesn't work or it does

work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can

I test it?" Find out if it works.

Winners,

find out if it works. Losers say that'll

never work.

There you go. That's your reframe for

the day. Change your life. Hey, I wonder

if coffee is good for you. Oh, according

to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study

that says that coffee consumption is

associated with increased brain white

matter integrity and cortical thickness.

I don't know. I'll have to test that.

I've been feeling a little bit of thin

in my cortical area, but it says here

this coffee can thicken that up. You

test it.

Yeah, it's working. It's working. I can

feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's

about twice as thick now.

You know, sometimes you read this

medical news and you don't know if it's

real, but that that was real. Uh, well,

there's a category 5 hurricane

that's heading for Jamaica.

Jamaica? No, she went willingly.

It's enough that.

So, Representative uh Luna, one of my

favorite representatives,

is suggesting that uh on some she was

was she on PBD show? She was on a

podcast uh that the uh so-called UFOs or

UAPs,

she seems to have an inside track on

that and they're what she believes are

interdimensional beings according to

other people. At the same time, there

are reports of some app called a UFO

tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that

shows that there's an enormous amount of

unexplained

activity, some kind of vessels that are

underwater all over our coast.

So, my question is, do interdimensional

beings

use submarines that glow in the dark?

Because if I'm going to go to another

dimension, I need to know what to travel

in. Do we take a spaceship, submarine?

What's on the other side there? I did

hear somebody say that if you were a

creature from some, you know, some other

part of the, I don't know, universe, you

might be more comfortable underwater

than you would be in our air. So that it

would make sense that even if somebody

visited Earth that their that their

impression of Earth was whatever's under

the sea [laughter]

and that they're not even interested in

what's above water because it's just a

pain in the ass. It's just something on

the way to the ocean. Maybe.

Remember I told you that if robots were

real, meaning that we really were going

to have robots walking around in 12

months that they would already be doing

the things that the market would be

seeing. Well, maybe we're there cuz Elon

says, Elon Musk says that if you were to

visit Tesla's uh engineering

headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots

are in fact just walking around. They're

on their own and you could ask them for

directions and the robot would happily

take you to the place that you wanted to

go. And so, this was the point I was

waiting for. approximately one year

before you can get a robot, you would

expect that the people making the robots

would be, you know, fully enjoying the

the wonders of a robot, at least in the

office. And it looks like that's either

happening or it's very close to

happening. So, we might might be getting

close to robots.

Anyway, um Tesla also says, they showed

a video of it. It's pretty impressive

that in order to train their cars and I

think they're robots too, they're doing

simulated worlds. So instead of having

the the devices learn on the real world

because there's not enough real world to

train them as fast as they want, they

have the computer make up a fake world

and then they have a train on the fake

world. So now do you believe you live in

a simulation?

Because you know the AI

doesn't know it's looking at a

simulation.

Just think about that. The AI is being

trained on these virtual worlds. It

doesn't know that they're virtual.

Can't tell the difference. Why do you

think you can?

You couldn't tell the difference. If you

were in a if we were a simulation,

the whole point is you wouldn't be able

to tell the difference. It would be

programmed so that even if you thought

you wanted to tell the difference, you

couldn't tell the difference. It would

just be program you would be

programmatically

prohibited

from realizing your your reality. That's

what I think. Unless you're a player and

not an NPC. Well, Javier Mule in

Argentina, I guess they had a big win in

their uh midterm elections, which people

would say would be somehow good for

Trump cuz, you know, Trump likes him. Uh

but his party won 41% of the votes and

they're going to pick up a whole bunch

of parliament seats and Javier is really

happy.

You know, I've been sort of a quiet

skeptic of the Argentina

miracle. Didn't it always seem a little

too good to be true?

You know, I mean, I like I like his

vibe. I like his general approach, you

know? I like his free market

stuff. So, I don't have a specific

complaint,

but it just looked like it was a little

too easy, too clean,

too

promoted.

There there's something about it that

didn't look 100%

legitimate.

So, I was So, I've been, you know,

you've probably noticed, uh, I have not

been a fanboy.

I I enjoy watching the show, you know,

watching what Jav Mule does. It's very

interesting, but I'm trying not to be a

fanboy because I feel like there might

be more news coming someday. [laughter]

Does anybody else have that feeling?

There might be more news coming. You you

don't want to be too far on that on that

train when it happens because it's never

all good news. There's always something

out there. We'll see. Well, I guess in

New York City, uh, Governor Huckle and

Zoran Mundani and I think K were there.

They had a big rally cuz their their uh

elections coming up Tuesday.

Tuesday next week. Yeah, Tuesday next

week, I think. And uh they got up there

and they promised free child care and

free universal Yeah, universal child

care, free rent or freeze rent, not

free. Uh and free buses.

I don't know what other free stuff

they're giving away, but the people in

the stadium were chanting, "Tax the

rich, tax the rich, tax the rich."

Meanwhile, the rich were packing up

their bags to get as far from New York

as they can. Oh my god,

I'm so glad. Well, I'm sure if they

tried to do that chant in California

that people would do the chant. But how

would you like to have a little extra

money and live in a state where they're

chanting to tax you?

You you want to leave when the chanting

starts, you know, before they get the

the pitchforks and the the torches

because right after chanting pitchfork

and torches.

Now, I don't know if that's coming, but

it feels like it is.

Well, Wall Street Apes, an account on

Axley, you should follow, Wall Street

Apes. Um,

they're pointing out that uh did you

know that the SNAP benefits, which are

going to end, I guess, right away. Uh,

that's the one that feed feeds the

people who can't uh don't have enough

money to feed themselves. Did you know

that there are 43 million people on that

Americans?

Well, residents of America,

43 million people are being fed by the

other people. Did you have any idea it

was that big? I had no idea.

That's a lot of people. And apparently

54% of immigrant households have at

least one major welfare program.

H

uh I wonder what it is for the

residents. It's probably not that far

off from the residence actually. So,

so here's the question. Uh I think Jake

Tapper put it this way to uh he was

talking to some Democrat.

Oh, Murphy. He was talking to Murphy.

Murphy's the new uh designated liar. You

know how I always tell you that

Swallwell and Schiff and Raskin are

designated liars? They send them out

when the lie is just so gross that

regular normal Democrats don't want to

say it out loud, but they'll send those

guys, you know, they'll say anything.

So, uh, Murphy is one of those. He's

joined the, you know, designated liars

will say anything club. So, Jake Tapper

on CNN,

who is now under, is he under the

Ellison umbrella already? So what people

are looking for is to see if the

conservative purchases of these big news

entities. Everything from Tik Tok I

guess is going to go through to CNN to

who knows. But we're looking for any

subtle changes in coverage that would

suggest that the news is either moving

toward the middle or even leaning toward

the right because of new ownership. But

Jake Tapper asked this question which

suggests that he's at least finding the

middle if not leaning to the right.

Yeah. He said to Murphy, "Funding for

food stamps, that would be the uh the

what I'm talking about is expected to

run out at the end of this week. This is

happening because Democrats, now watch

how Jake Tapper frames this. He says

it's happening because Democrats have

not agreed to vote to fund the

government." Now, do you think you would

have put it that way if you were not

owned by

a right-leaning entity

or because that's that's a that's a

really powerful framing and it's very

powerful for the benefit of Republicans.

I don't know that I've seen Jake go this

this strong

on a narrative that's just pure

Republican. But let me let me finish. So

he says this is happening because

Democrats have not agreed to vote to

fund the government. Now Jake has said

that a few times a number of times he he

said you how is this not the Democrats?

They're the ones who aren't voting for

it. You can't vote you can't blame the

people who are voting to open the

government. [laughter] And yet they

were. He's making the common sense

observation that it's the people voting

not to open the government who are the

ones voting to not open the government.

It's not a hard point, but before I

don't think you would have seen it. But

then he goes on with the the this is

just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So

is this a tradeoff you're willing to

make

um

letting some Americans go hungry until

these Obama subsidies get extended?"

Let me read that again. This is an

absolute kill shot.

that there should be nothing left of the

Democrat party by now. If if anybody saw

this question,

so is this a trade-off you're willing to

make? See, even even the putting it in

the terms of willing to make strengthens

it and continue to make strengthens

[clears throat] it again. You've done it

and you continue to do it. He was

letting some Americans go hungry

until these Obamacare subsidies get

extended.

Because I don't know about you, but you

know, if you say healthcare,

I obviously care a lot because that's

important. But if you say hunger,

I go to a whole different level of

caring, right? Hunger comes before

kind of everything except, you know,

immediate physical safety. So, this is

really strong. So, I'm going to give uh

Jake a uh sitting standing ovation for

that journalism

move because that was exactly the right

question, exactly the right time, and

exactly the right person to ask it. What

do you think he did with that question?

What do you think Murphy did? Did he

say, "Yeah, we're we're intentionally

going to starve 43 million people,"

which by the way, the Republicans don't

want to do. They want to open the

government and and give them their

money, their food. So, they're going to

starve Republicans so that they can get

a political win on healthcare.

Now, even if you were to say, "But

Scott, you know, we need both of those

things. So, ranking them doesn't even

make sense. Those are two essential

things. You have to have them both." So,

so putting them up against each other

isn't fair. It's just two things you

need. Okay. Doesn't feel like that

though. Doesn't feel like that. Feels

like you need to eat before you go to

the doctor.

Well, um, so that that was to me that

was really interesting as a maybe a sign

of the times.

So Trump's arrive, I guess Trump's in

Tokyo. He's already met with the prime

minister of uh of uh Japan

and uh his alleged victories so far in

his Asia trip. So he's he's touring Asia

right now. Um, I don't know how much to

believe

cuz the reporting seems a little a

little light, but there's a there's

reason to think that Trump set up a

number of alternative paths for rare

earth minerals through other countries

that he's meeting. And he's not done

yet. He's still going to South Korea and

might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he

wants to catch up. I love the way he

does that.

We'll talk about that in a minute. So,

the question is, um, did Trump

successfully find alternative paths for

all of the rarers?

Uh, do we have a new, more robust

alternative path that's not China? And

does it cover everything we need or does

China still have a a hand on us? Well,

it seems that around the time that these

other deals with other countries were

being made, China got flexible. And we

don't know if that flexibility is

because they realize they're going to

lose the entire rare earth um market,

which they might. They might lose the

entire rare earth market for ever having

um tried to restrict it. W would you

ever buy rare earth from somebody who

had ever tried to restrict it for

political purposes? No. Not if you had a

choice of buying it from somebody who

never did that. You know, it's the same

rare earth materials.

So, China may have realized how much

they shot themselves in the foot with

threatening the world with rare earth

restrictions. Maybe. See, this is the

part I don't know because there might

there might be levels and levels of, you

know, what's happening behind the

scenes, but apparently there's a soybean

agreement.

Scott Bent said he was a soybean farmer

himself. I asked Grock and he said,

"Well, he's not a farmer. Uh, but he

does own farms." So, he's a landlord.

He's a landlord who owns some farms that

would have been growing soybeans, but

China didn't want to buy any until now.

Now, I guess they're going to do a big

soybean purchase. And they also have

agreed allegedly with uh the sale of Tik

Tok to some American entities that'll be

running all the sensitive stuff so you

don't have to worry about China stealing

your stuff. We think

so. That's the question. We don't know

how successful Trump has been on this

trip. We know that everybody's treating

him like a superstar. We know that he's,

you know, he's our celebrity and chief.

They seem to love him. Do do you

remember the days when it was reasonable

for his critics to say that the the

other leaders were not respecting him

and that that was, you know, some of

that disrespect was coming on us by

extension? When was the last time you

heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders

don't respect Trump."

that's gone.

I don't know if that's ever coming back,

but apparently they got used to him and

they they got used to him as a a star, a

superstar. They didn't just get used to

him, they kind of love him. [laughter]

They kind of love him. So, I guess we'll

have to wait to see how much of a, you

know, a real real world deal making

happen. But the stock market likes it.

So, the stock market's up. Seems to be

happy. Also because the um it's now

several months into tariffs and we've

collected

pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and

inflation barely budged.

Now there weren't many people who

thought that could happen. Uh I was

sitting on the sidelines watching saying

maybe it could happen. [clears throat]

There are a bunch of smart people who

think it can happen. meaning that we

collect the tariffs and uh we use it as

a you know trade negotiation

and it doesn't create inflation.

Not many people saw that coming. I

didn't. I was open to it, but I can't

say I predicted it.

But here we are. So maybe in a few more

months things will change, but at the

moment it's looking good. So the people

who are rumored to be buying Tik Tok

would be Oracle, Larry Ellison. So that

would be a pal of Trump's Fox

Corporation.

Can you believe that? So that would be

the

owners of Fox would also own part of Tik

Tok.

That makes perfect sense, doesn't it? As

an investment for Murdoch, it makes

perfect sense. Um Andre Horowitz will be

part of that. and Silver Lake

Management. So, uh I like anything that

Mark Andre's associated with because

he's a voice of reason. He he's not

really a

not really he's not at all. He's not

political in any sense that you normally

think of it. He is a common sense guy

and real rich and real smart. So, the

more you give me the common sense guys

who are real rich and real smart. Yeah.

I I want you on the board of directors

of Oracle. I'm sorry of uh Tik Tok.

That works for me.

Well, here's a funny little drama. Um so

Carney, the head of Canada, um as you

know, the there was one minister Ford, I

guess it was, who ran that uh Reagan ad

where Reagan allegedly was against

tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump

because Trump likes Reagan. Republicans

like Reagan. And uh Trump's reaction was

to give them 10% more tariffs and stop

talking to them on trade deals.

So here's the news from Reuters. Uh at

that uh AEN summit that Trump's at, and

I guess Carney's at too, that Reuters

says, "From the sidelines of the AEN

summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney

sent a not so subtle message to

Washington. We're waiting on you." Uh

Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready

to sit down with the United States, but

admits there's been no contact with

Trump since Thursday.

[laughter and gasps] So So Trump is just

freezing him. It's like freezing the

kicker. He's just making him wait

like there was no way he could send him

a text message or anything. He's just

going to wait. So Carney's like, I don't

know what's happening. Uh

anyway, so Canada's posture, says

Reuters, is polite patience.

Polite patience. So you've got the the

rudest leader in the world, Trump,

against the politest country in the

world, our good buddies in Canada. So

anyway, this is just funny. I I don't

think it makes any difference in the

real world, does it? It it's just like

they've got this little high school

interpersonal drama thing going on

that'll take care of itself.

Well, here's a little update on you

remember uh I told you the story that

Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as

examples of crazy hallucinating uh

conservatives as they called us. Uh

because uh I'll just talk about my own

prediction. My own prediction was that

Republicans would be hunted if uh if

Biden got in office and also that they

would be in danger of death. Now, the

danger of death is obvious because if

you put a vegetable in charge of the

nuclear football, which is what we did,

we put a vegetable in charge of the

nuclear football. Can you tell me that

wasn't dangerous?

Trump says there would have been no war

in Ukraine with uh with Putin.

He might be right. Was it more dangerous

to have a president who sort of

encouraged and armed one side? Don't

know, but it looked dangerous to me. Was

it dangerous that we had a president

who, if he had been elected for a second

term, wouldn't really be able to

function that well? Yeah, that looks

pretty dangerous to me. Would it be

dangerous that your foes around the

world see you as incompetent? Would that

make it more likely or less likely that

China would have made a play for Taiwan?

Probably more likely. Now, they didn't.

But remember, I was talking about

likelihoods. I wasn't I wasn't

predicting. I was talking about the

odds. And and the point was that the

odds for our survival would go down if

Biden was elected. Now, those are some

those are some pretty clean examples.

Compare that to Trump who's stopped

eight and nine wars or something. He's

working on the ninth. Is that dangerous?

Feels the opposite of dangerous. How

about the guy who emphasizes making the

our military more lethal? Does that make

us safer? Yes. Yes, it does. So, I

believe that that that point has stood

that it stood the test of time. But the

other one was that uh that Republicans

would be um arrested basically jailed if

uh if Biden came to office. Hunted is

the word I used. And then I saw a post

by Ma Joy on X in which there she lists

I don't know this is the beginning of

the list.

This the second page of the list. These

are the the public figures

that got arrested or indicted. the just

the public figures. So it'd be like

Trump's lawyers, Trump's whatever people

worked in that domain. That's not even

counting the January 6 citizens who were

hunted down as well.

Doesn't count people like me who were

cancelled.

We got kind of hunted,

right? So does my point stand that

Republicans were hunted or not?

Were they Were they Was this going to

happen on his own?

These these people just in a normal

situation, no matter no matter who had

been elected, they were all going to get

arrested.

I don't think so. No, I think they were

haunted.

So,

here's what I think is probably going to

happen. Um, I don't think Bill Maher

follows me or even kind of knows

anything about me because when he

introduced me on his show as the topic,

not as a person, but as the topic, he

described me as a conservative

cartoonist.

How many of you think that I'm a

conservative

in the So, so you're the ones who know

me best, right? You've been with me

almost 10 years. How many would call me

a conservative?

Well, I've told you for sure that I

prefer conservatives.

I prefer their company.

You all know that. And I Right. Yeah.

Look at Look at the comments. There's

nobody who actually knows my work who

would call me a conservative.

You know, I I I like my marijuana too

much. Um I don't get involved in the

abortion question at all. I think women

need to work that out. Let us know how

it goes.

Right. I I'm not a religious person, but

I like religion. I'm a big fan of

Christianity,

but I'm a fan. I'm not a believer.

Right? How conservative am I? When I

describe myself,

my current best description of myself is

that I'm a Trumpup supporting common

sense guy. and that when he does things

that look like common sense to me, I

don't care if it's left or right or

middle. I just like it. So, you're more

of a libertarian. I don't I don't call

myself a libertarian because there are

too many differences there. Yeah. But

but have have we demonstrated for sure

that I don't have to agree with all of

your opinions for you to embrace that I

add some value to your

God. I wish I knew what was talking.

Something something just talks to me in

a digital voice every now and then. It's

not my phone. It's none of my devices.

There's some extra device around here. I

must have a listening. I might be

bugged. I'm not sure what's going on.

Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the

third term. That's that's heating up. I

think I might be part of the reason

that's heating up because I added to

that noise a little bit. You know, 1%.

Bannon's the one driving it, but the

idea of Trump staying for a third term

is not being dismissed by Trump too

hard. So they asked him on the plane uh

about the third term and Trump says uh I

haven't really thought about it.

[laughter]

Does anybody believe he hasn't really

thought about it? Okay. Uh we have some

very good people as you know, but I have

the best poll numbers I've ever had. Uh

and he says something about he would

love to do it. So the reporter says,

"You're not ruling it out." And he he

doesn't answer as directly as he could.

He goes, "I I think

I think if they ever formed a group, it

would be unstoppable. Now, I don't know

what the group is, but he talks about JD

Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it.

I don't know if there's more to the

group than those two, but he thinks that

they would be amazing. Um, but what

would be the argument? Apparently,

Bannon has some argument that he hasn't

tried it out for why a third term in

this particular case could be sold.

Now, you know my reasoning, my reasoning

is that uh as long as people like uh

Carville are saying that uh Republicans

should be put in orange jumpsuits,

paraded through town, and spit on after

Trump is out of office. And he actually

said that that as long as that's waiting

for us and they're saying so directly

and it's coming from somebody who has,

you know, some graitas in the party,

then I think that the safest thing for

Republicans is to never have a Democrat

president.

Whatever that takes, whatever it takes.

Um, and if it takes keeping Trump to

keep them from putting me in jail and

spitting on me, I'll take the third

term. And as I've been saying

consistently, there's nothing else that

would make me be in favor of violating

the Constitution so grossly. But I would

definitely violate the Constitution

to increase the chance of living.

Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't

you? to increase your own chance of

living and not being paraded through

town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my

choices, I'll take the violation to the

Constitution. And you know, and you'll

have to live with another four years of

Trump.

I don't think that's going to happen,

but I feel like it's the right it's the

right tradeoff. Um, so what would be the

argument for keeping him? I'm going to

give it I'm going to give you my best

argument which I don't think is good,

but it'll be an argument for keeping

Trump for a third term. You ready? Do

you think Do you think I could pull this

off? Do you think I could give you a

persuasive argument why he should get a

third term?

Well, I don't know if this is unique or

if other people have said this, so it

might not be might not be original.

Here's my argument.

They stole his first and second term

with a hoax.

The government stole it.

The government denied him a full

regular term by making him fight to stay

in a jail the entire first term and then

using the using the lies that they

created in the first term to prevent him

from being elected in the second term.

Now, I don't know if there was also any

chicannery with the votes itself. I

don't have any proof of that. But what

we do know is that they had a uh a

wellorganized from the top from the top

Obama plan to deny him a normal

presidential term. And I would argue if

you look at what he's accomplished in

his current term where he's now having

to do all this, you know, impeachment

hoax stuff, you can see the difference

between what it would look like if he

had been unfettered,

what where he is now, versus the way

they treated him and essentially denied

him a real presidential term. Now, you

could say, "Well, they denied him his

second term."

Or you could say they denied him his

first term.

You could say they denied him his first

term. He was president, but with such an

anchor on him that they put on him, it

was like he couldn't really serve his

term.

So, is that a good enough argument to

overcome the uh very clear wording in

the Constitution that you only get two?

No. No. The The only way that would fly

is if the Supreme Court

uh just went totally rogue.

Could they could the Supreme Court go

rogue and vote just by conservative

majority that Yeah, that is true. They

did steal his first term. We're going to

give it back to him.

I don't think so. I think that's too

far. I can't see Roberts going for that

at all. And not really the other ones

either. I can't see Kavanagh. I can't

see any of them any of them voting for

it, frankly. I think it would be 09.

But that's the best argument I have.

It's not terrible. I just don't think it

would pass any kind of scrutiny.

All right.

[sighs and gasps]

All right. Uh, here's more of this. Uh,

is the media changing to be more right

leaning? So, now that Barry Weiss is

going to be taking over CBS News or

already has, I'm not sure where that is.

Uh, but somebody pointed out that uh

Margaret Brennan

uh in in her interview with Hakee Jeff

seemed a little more rightle leaning

than what they expected.

ask you off my notes.

I've got a cat of my notes. So, uh, she

was pointing out that, uh, Hakeim Jeff

and all the Democrats have been saying

forever that, uh, Trump is a monster for

claiming that the 2020 election was

rigged and that if you claim elections

are rigged, you you can't be a

politician in this country because

you're just starting stuff.

So, uh, but Jeff himself is saying that

the, uh, the gerrymandering that Trump

and others want to do is rigging the

election. Somehow he's ignoring the fact

that all of the 100% of the Democrat

states have already gerrymandered and

that California is going to do some more

and maybe maybe Massachusetts, too. So,

his argument is stupid.

Uh but uh Brennan actually challenged

him on the fact that uh he said rigging

the election is the worst thing you

could say while he says that rigging the

election is what's happening.

But he's arguing that he's not talking

about the election that happened, but

rather he's warning that the

gerrymandering would be like rigging an

election. Is that a good enough nuance?

No. Um it was good to see uh good to see

him challenged on that. I'm not sure we

would have seen that challenge before.

So, that does look to me like the news

CBS is moving a little bit to the right.

We'll see. Gavin Newsome was on some

podcast in which he said that the

anti-woke stuff is just antilack.

Period. Full stop. What if I taught you

about people who say period full stop?

It means they know it's not true.

[laughter]

Do you know why people put period full

stop at the end of a sentence? Because

they didn't have a reason.

If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot

that in there. So here, let me give you

an example of when you don't need it.

Um, if you don't reopen the government,

people will not give food and they'll be

hungry.

Did I need to say full stop period? No.

No. Because as soon as you heard people

won't get fed,

argument is made. I'm done with my

argument. If but if you say something

like this, anti-woke stuff is just

antilack. Period. Full stop. You're

really saying I don't want to debate any

nuance of this thing [laughter]

cuz I [clears throat] don't even believe

it myself.

Um,

I I have to say, you know, being

completely immersed in the conservative

worldview as I often am, I don't really

see anybody talk about DEI as being

antilack.

I've literally never heard that. I've

never I've never suspected it.

[laughter] I've never thought it was

like between the lines. It's entirely

Stop being anti-white.

It's not the same. If you want if you

want the world to stop discriminating

against, in my case, white men,

how is that antilack?

It's just not.

So, so notice my uh my argument. My

argument has a reason that the actual

people I know I've observed for 10 years

don't have any antilack

rationalizations even even in private

like private conversations. Nobody talks

like that. Literally nobody talks like

that. All they say is I got

discriminated against and I don't want

to be discriminated against. So I'm not

in favor of being discriminated against.

I don't want my kids to be discriminated

against.

It has nothing to do with what black

Americans do or do not get out of life.

It just has to do with your own

discrimination that you don't like it.

So Gavin, but I will I will give him uh

credit that he uh he did reframe that in

a way that politically might be

powerful. But what I like what I like

about uh any of the conversations about

black America and who's getting what and

reparations, all that. Have you noticed

there's always a Thomas Soul quote that

fits the story? And somebody always puts

it in the comments to every one of these

X reports. So here are the Thomas Soul

quotes that somebody stuck in the story

about Gavin Newsome

saying anti-woke stuff is just antilack.

Thomas Sell so famous black economist

who is widely widely beloved on the

right

probably more than the left because he's

more of a he's more of a conservative uh

take care of yourself kind of a guy. So

one of his quotes somebody stuck in

there is that when people get used to

preferential treatment equal treatment

seems like discrimination.

Boy was that on target. That's exactly

on target. That getting rid of DEI is

not it's not crippling black people.

It's simply taking away an obvious

advantage that they had been enjoying.

So if you take away somebody's obvious

advantage, they're going to think you're

discriminating against them. Thomas.

Then there was a second one on the the

same comment thread. Uh also Thomas. He

says it is usually feudal to try to talk

facts and analysis to people who are

enjoying a sense of moral superiority

and their ignorance.

Exactly. So, so when somebody like uh

Newsome

says that uh the the anti-woke is really

anti-lack,

don't you think he's

I think he was talking to a black

podcaster if I recall. I'm not sure.

Fact check on that. But don't you think

he was sort of leaning into his sense of

moral superiority?

That's what that was, right? He he was

leaning into his moral superiority.

Thomas Soul nails it.

Speaking of that, Fox News Preston

Misella is writing that the University

of Washington, they had a job posting

that required some DEI stuff and one of

their white professors did a video

totally outing them about what you have

to say to get hired. So, if you're

whoever you are, you don't even have to

be white, but you have you have to say a

statement about DEI. It used to be that

you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?"

Yeah, I like DEI. Okay. All right, you

can be hired. But now you have to go

deeper.

You have, according to the professor,

this white professor, he says, you have

to say that you have deep knowledge of

the DEIS in order to get a high rating

on all this.

He says, the funny thing is, I'm

convinced uh I would not be hired if I

applied today. So, he's currently one of

the highest rated uh teachers. He won

the distinguished teaching award at his

university and he believes there's

there's actually no way that he would

ever be hired.

So that's your world. So if you were to

allow this um

this distinguished teaching award guy to

be hired at that university, you would

say, "Oh, that's a that's an even

playing field."

But

I if you insist that it has to be a DEI

loving uh candidate,

it's kind of like a special treatment

that if I had special treatment, I

wouldn't want to take it away. But

Thomas soul rings in my mind.

All right. President Biden came out and

called these the dark days. I've heard

some others say that recently. the

Democrats that they keep saying that the

the dark days are here and the bad

stuff's happening. And I keep saying

where where's the dark stuff? Where's

the bad stuff? And then they would add

things like, well, Democrats are

preventing 43 million people from eating

today.

And I think, okay, that's that is dark.

But that wasn't Republicans. Republicans

are open to feed them today.

just vote on it. We'll feed them today.

Um, and then you go down the list of

what what is the other dark stuff? Was

it the solving of all those wars and the

fact that Gaza is under control and the

fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know,

we're working as hard as we possibly can

to deescalate that before super winter

kicks in? Where's the dark part? Is it

the fact that the tariffs worked, that

inflation's under control, that eggs and

gas prices are down, but beast's a

little high, but we're working on it.

Where is all the darkness?

[laughter]

Is it because we stopped doing uh

transitioning youth? Is that the

darkness?

Feels like an upgrade.

But, uh, as I've told you before, back

in 2016 when the Democrats started

calling everything that Trump did dark,

you say that because you don't have

specific

um, credible complaints.

You do it because it can collect all of

your fears.

The Democrats are not about policy.

They're about fear and about uh,

personal attack. If they can make you

afraid, then they can get elected.

So, when they say stuff like dark, but

they don't give you any details of what

exactly is the dark part, what are we

missing?

Uh, the reason they can't give you

details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh,

well, that looks like temporary." Or or,

"Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's

working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it

before." Right? So they can't give you

reasons because if they gave you reasons

it would look weak and pathetic and you

know not common sense

but uh they can say it's dark. The dark

days have come. Uh Eric Swallwell

[laughter] I didn't even I didn't think

this was real but I think it's real.

When I first saw it I thought that can't

be real. So, Swallwell has said uh now

on social media that the only Democrat

candidate who would be uh let's say um

the only valid presidential candidate

for the Democrats would be somebody

willing to say in advance that they

would bulldoze the ballroom if they won.

That's a real thing that happened.

Swallwell actually, and by the way, if

I'm wrong about, please correct me

immediately so I don't go too far. It

doesn't look like something that's real,

does it? It doesn't look like it's real

because it's too on the nose. It's too

on the nose for what what like the

dumbest Democrat would say.

But is it real?

I I believe it's being treated as real,

right?

And can you even imagine bulldozing a

$350 million

building that even the Democrats have

been saying they've needed for decades?

[clears throat] Is that the dumbest

thing you've ever seen?

and and to imagine that maybe the

Democrats have enough of a base that

would agree with this

that he would think that saying it would

somehow boost his political

um situation.

That's incredible.

Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two

movies on one screen. Uh depending on

which propaganda site you look at, it's

a completely different war.

[clears throat]

So there's somebody named Yasmina on X.

Don't know anything about Yasmina. Do

not I do not believe

that anybody on X is credible when it

comes to the war. But I'll just give you

a sense of the two sides what they're

saying. Um

Yasm means on the side that uh Russia's

economy is close to collapse

and uh that's one movie and the the

other movie is that Ukraine is going to

lose all of its energy resources before

winter and freeze to death and that

Russia has never been serious as they

are now about turning off the power in

Ukraine and now that Ukraine is

attacking them deep within Russia and

taking out some of their energy

resources that Russia will have no no

gating factor to keep them from taking

out all of Ukraine's

um energy. It looks like what they want

to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to

force the people who lived in the dark

part to move to the part that still has

energy, which is would essentially clear

out a big swath that they can just

reenter it. make it would make it easier

to conquer if they moved down to all the

people who didn't have electricity.

So that looks like the the movie. Both

of them trying to crush the other's

economy and they have much better

weapons this winter than they had last

winter. So the odds of them being able

to do it in both cases are now closer to

I don't know closer to 100%. Maybe not

100%.

But I don't think they could have done

it before. I think they could do it now.

And I guess uh Ukraine sent 193 drones

at at Russia just last night. So most of

them get shot down these days, but 193

drones a night going after your energy

resources. How many nights do you need

before you get them all? So, and I guess

one of their biggest refineries got shut

down in Russia, but again, you don't

even know if that's real. So, all all

the fog of war stuff is completely

impossible to sort through. So, um

but the US is working on reducing uh

Russia's access to oil. And again, it's

two movies on one screen. One movie says

that the US is making a big difference

and that the uh the sanctions that we

put on uh third party countries like

India and China are actually making them

change their behavior.

So in the short run, India and China

aren't really changing their importing

of Russian oil. In the long run, it

looks like they might want to avoid the

problems that the sanctions will cause

them. So, it looks like they might be

looking for alternatives and that the

only thing that would keep them from

getting off of Russian oil, which would

bring them problems in their own country

from the United States, uh might be just

having another source

and that might not be impossible.

So, if things ramp up in other places,

but we'll see. And then uh apparently

there's a not a glut of oil, but there's

a extra oil being pumped in the Middle

East. That's probably at least partly

from Trump's influence because if the

price of oil stays around $60 a barrel,

then our, you know, our domestic

industry survives, but Russia would have

way less money to press the war. They

would also probably survive, but they

wouldn't have the extra for the war that

they would want.

So anyway,

fog of war.

I saw an old uh an older post from

February by AI pioneer founder kind of

guy, Andre Carpathy, and he had

something interesting to say about

intelligence

versus what we call agency.

>> [clears throat]

>> Agency in this case is u defined as a

personality trait that refers to your

capacity to take initiative, make

decisions and exert control over your

actions in your environment. That would

be your agency. And uh what Karpathy

points out is that we already have a lot

of intelligence.

So our our AIs are doing good on

intelligence. they can they can often or

usually beat a human being on what they

know. So that's a kind of intelligence,

but what they don't have is agency.

And that until you start building agency

into the robots and the AI, um you don't

have what you need. So I don't know how

you could give them agency without them

being too dangerous.

So we'll see see where that goes.

General Motors says they're getting

closer to what they call an eyes off

vehicle. They they want to make a

vehicle where you don't have to watch.

Sort of like the Tesla model,

self-driving, but it doesn't look like

they're that close. I think they've got

one really expensive car that they think

they'll be able to do it with, the

Cadillac.

Um,

and then they want to build Gemini AI

into their cars, so you could just talk

to the car and have it do what you want.

Remember I always I always talk to you

about products that have never been

tested.

Have you ever been in a car with even

one other person and tried to use a

voice command for anything? Have you

ever been in a room where you wanted to

use a voice command on your phone, but

there were other people in the room?

Does it work? Never.

it. If you are obviously doing a voice

command to your car or your phone, all

of your guests and everyone around you

will pretend they can't see that you're

doing that and they will talk normally

and then they'll turn on the music and

you'll be like,

seriously, you don't see that I'm giving

a voice command to my phone right now.

You you can't tell that I'm doing that

and you're just talking right over it.

It never works.

you you'd have to have a a long trip by

yourself with the with the radio off.

And who does that? You'd have to turn

off the radio every time you talk to

your car.

Anyway, I think GM's way behind.

Um,

here's an article from Science, Dr.

Katie Spalding. Do you guys know how the

2,000 calories a day recommendation for

humans came about? Do you ever wonder

about that? Like who came up with 2,000

calories is sort of the baseline? And

there's a long story to it, but

basically it's just it's just made up.

It's just a number that a bunch of

people sat in the committee and said,

"How about 2,00?" Well, you know, big

people who um were getting ready for a

competition, they might need more. Yeah,

but 2,000 is a round number. So

basically, the reason it's 2,00 instead

of 2350, which they think might have

been a more accurate number, is that

it's easier to remember 2,000. So they

can manipulate people easier if they

said 2,000 instead of 2350. And of

course, everybody should be getting it,

you know, their own their own amount

based on how big they are.

Roman.

What's about a Roman?

That was quite a whale.

Wow.

All right, you'll take care of himself.

All right. So, yeah, everything about

nutrition is made up and fake and all

the science around it is sketchy and

ridiculous.

So, there's that.

Um, Israel says that they're not in

favor of Turkey taking a security role

in Gaza. Why is that big news? Well,

it's big news if Turkey had been willing

to do it. That would have been pretty

big news. Um, I don't know if they're

willing, but uh, Israel says they're the

ones who get to decide which other Arab

countries do security and nobody else

gets to decide. And I agree. Obviously,

Israel would have to be okay with

whoever goes in there, but that does

eliminate

what I thought was the most likely

contender for this security. What would

be next? Would they say yes to Saudi

Arabia? Would they say yes to Jordan?

Who would they say yes to who had a

dependable military? Because the

dependable military is a big part,

right? can't be everybody.

Well, here's my prediction. I believe

that as I said before that Netanyahu

loses if what happens after the end of

the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has

a role in it and uh in the end um

there's there's no one-state solution

cuz all of that was possible if

Netanyahu had been allowed to you just

take it to the ultimate conclusion which

would have taken a few years but 100

years from Now, as I say, if Netanyahu

had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza

into Israel and it just was one big

country, if he had pulled that off in

the short run, of course, he would just

be called a war criminal and whatever is

the worst criticisms you can come up

with, genocidal maniac in the short run.

But if you waited a hundred years, it

would be a big statue to him and he

would be the greatest Israeli who ever

lived because he created the greater

Israel.

So he was you. Now, of course, I can't

read his mind, but it's obvious

that he didn't want a two-save solution,

and it's obvious that if he'd had his

way for a few more years, probably could

have gotten just about anything he

wanted.

But, uh, Trump stood in. And Trump took

the credit for ending the war. He took

the credit, but he also ended the

killing, most of it. You know, still a

little bit going on, but he ended most

of it. So, I don't disagree with Trump

putting a big old Trump boot on that

whole situation because that's America

first. It It's not America first to have

a one-state solution. It's probably

America first to have something that's

neither first neither one nor two which

is where we are now.

So here's my prediction. Netanyahu will

stall as long as he can and uh Trump

leaves office, if he leaves office after

this term, uh assuming he does, that

Gaza will look pretty much the way it

looks now and that there will be no

hurry to clean it up or make it to make

it more habitable because Netanyahu

might want to just wait for Trump to be

out of office and then see if he's got a

little more flexibility if that happens.

That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu.

I would pretend I was on board and I

would be tapping Trump along and not

doing any cleanup.

Uh, and that's why I would say that it's

not done. It's like, well, that cleanup,

if if only if only you would give us a

billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd

start right away. And we'd be like, why

are we paying? And then there would be

an argument over the funding. And then

Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean

it up as fast as possible. We just don't

have the funds. So if one of you wants

to give us a billion dollars, we'll be

all over that. We'll get that cleaned up

right away. So there's probably a

hundred ways that you can stall and make

it look legitimate. Well, we still got a

pocket of resistance there. Well, we

still got to do some toxic cleanup.

Well, we still got to get a security

security situation that we could be

happy with. Yeah. Do not expect Gaza to

turn into a gleaming city

full of Gazins returning. All right,

ladies and gentlemen,

that's what I got for you today. Boy, is

my timing good. Excellent timing. Uh,

I'm going to say a few words privately

to the locals people who are my beloved

my beloved local subscribers. The rest

of you, thanks for joining.

Hope I added a little bit of something

to your day.

All right, locals coming at you

privately in 30 Thanks.