Episode 3001 CWSA 10/27/25
Trump in Asia, Ukraine versus Russia, underwater spiritual beings in submarines and lots more ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you would like to enjoy this same content plus bonus content from Scott Adams, including micro-lessons on lots of useful topics to build your talent stack, please see scottadams.locals.com for full access to that secret treasure.
That's better. That's better. Now you can hear me. I better back up and do that again. That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done. The cat walked on my mute button. Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization…
View segment →t Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass or a tankard or a canteen or a jug or a flask. Give a vessel o…
View segment →w tradition. One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better. Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you. All right, how about this? How about here's one of the things that people argue all the time. They argue t…
View segment →to wait and see. So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can I test it?" Find out if it works. Winners find out if it works. Losers say that'll never work. There you go. That's your reframe for the day. Change your life. Hey, I wonder if coffee is…
View segment →working. I can feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's about twice as thick now. You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that was real. Well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica. Jamaica? No, she went willingly. It's enough of that.…
View segment →nths that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing. Well, maybe we're there because Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around. They're on their own and you could ask them for direct…
View segment →ming someday. Does anybody else have that feeling? There might be more news coming. You don't want to be too far on that train when it happens because it's never all good news. There's always something out there. We'll see. Well, I guess in New York City, Governor Hochul and Zohran Mamdani and I th…
View segment →at. Murphy. He was talking to Murphy. Murphy's the new designated liar. You know how I always tell you that Swalwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars? They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys.…
View segment →not open the government. It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it. But then he goes on with this is just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make, letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended?" Let me…
View segment →maybe a sign of the times. So Trump's in Tokyo. He's already met with the prime minister of Japan and his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip. So he's touring Asia right now. I don't know how much to believe because the reporting seems a little light, but there's reason to think that Trump se…
View segment →s it. So the stock market's up. Seems to be happy. Also because it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged. Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen. I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe i…
View segment →subtle message to Washington. We're waiting on you." Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday. So Trump is just freezing him. It's like freezing the kicker. He's just making him wait like there was no way…
View segment →that that point has stood the test of time. But the other one was that Republicans would be arrested basically jailed if Biden came to office. Hunted is the word I used. And then I saw a post by MTG on X in which she lists, I don't know this is the beginning of the list. This is the second page of t…
View segment →ve a listening device. I might be bugged. I'm not sure what's going on. Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term. That's heating up. I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit. You know, 1%. Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of…
View segment →ase the chance of living. Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't you? To increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution. And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Tru…
View segment →ld be 9-0. But that's the best argument I have. It's not terrible. I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny. All right. Here's more of this. Is the media changing to be more right leaning? So now that Bari Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where tha…
View segment →omas Sowell, so famous black economist who is widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a conservative take care of yourself kind of a guy. So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems lik…
View segment →the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's actually no way that he would ever be hired. So that's your world. So if you were to allow this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's an even playing field." But if you in…
View segment →ecause we stopped doing transitioning youth? Is that the darkness? Feels like an upgrade. But as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific credible complaints. You do it because it can collect al…
View segment →car and have it do what you want. Remember I always talk to you about products that have never been tested. Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything? Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but th…
View segment →e if Netanyahu had been allowed to just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he…
View segment →That's better. That's better. Now you can hear me. I better back up and do that again. That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done. The cat walked on my mute button.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization. It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time. But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains, all you need for that is a coffee mug or a glass or a tankard or a canteen or a jug or a flask. Give a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip. And it happens now. Go.
All right, our new tradition. One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better. Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you.
All right, how about this? How about here's one of the things that people argue all the time. They argue that a plan will either work or it won't work. That's sort of a common frame. Hey, your plan will work or your plan will never work. A better reframe from that is that friction and incentives always work. We just don't know how well until they're tested. If you put a disincentive somewhere, you can't say it won't work. It'll work a little. You have to wait and see. So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can I test it?" Find out if it works. Winners find out if it works. Losers say that'll never work. There you go. That's your reframe for the day. Change your life.
Hey, I wonder if coffee is good for you. Oh, according to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study that says that coffee consumption is associated with increased brain white matter integrity and cortical thickness. I don't know. I'll have to test that. I've been feeling a little bit of thin in my cortical area, but it says here this coffee can thicken that up. You test it. Yeah, it's working. It's working. I can feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's about twice as thick now. You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that was real.
Well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica. Jamaica? No, she went willingly. It's enough of that.
So Representative Luna, one of my favorite representatives, is suggesting that on some podcast, I think she was on the PBD show, that the so-called UFOs or UAPs, she seems to have an inside track on that and they're what she believes are interdimensional beings according to other people. At the same time, there are reports of some app called a UFO tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that shows that there's an enormous amount of unexplained activity, some kind of vessels that are underwater all over our coast. So my question is, do interdimensional beings use submarines that glow in the dark? Because if I'm going to go to another dimension, I need to know what to travel in. Do we take a spaceship, submarine? What's on the other side there? I did hear somebody say that if you were a creature from some other part of the universe, you might be more comfortable underwater than you would be in our air. So that it would make sense that even if somebody visited Earth that their impression of Earth was whatever's under the sea and that they're not even interested in what's above water because it's just a pain in the ass. It's just something on the way to the ocean. Maybe.
Remember I told you that if robots were real, meaning that we really were going to have robots walking around in 12 months that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing. Well, maybe we're there because Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around. They're on their own and you could ask them for directions and the robot would happily take you to the place that you wanted to go. And so this was the point I was waiting for. Approximately one year before you can get a robot, you would expect that the people making the robots would be fully enjoying the wonders of a robot, at least in the office. And it looks like that's either happening or it's very close to happening. So we might be getting close to robots.
Anyway, Tesla also says, they showed a video of it. It's pretty impressive that in order to train their cars and I think they're robots too, they're doing simulated worlds. So instead of having the devices learn on the real world because there's not enough real world to train them as fast as they want, they have the computer make up a fake world and then they have them train on the fake world. So now do you believe you live in a simulation? Because you know the AI doesn't know it's looking at a simulation. Just think about that. The AI is being trained on these virtual worlds. It doesn't know that they're virtual. Can't tell the difference. Why do you think you can? You couldn't tell the difference. If we were a simulation, the whole point is you wouldn't be able to tell the difference. It would be programmed so that even if you thought you wanted to tell the difference, you couldn't tell the difference. It would just be programmatically prohibited from realizing your reality. That's what I think. Unless you're a player and not an NPC.
Well, Javier Milei in Argentina, I guess they had a big win in their midterm elections, which people would say would be somehow good for Trump because, you know, Trump likes him. But his party won 41% of the votes and they're going to pick up a whole bunch of parliament seats and Javier is really happy. You know, I've been sort of a quiet skeptic of the Argentina miracle. Didn't it always seem a little too good to be true? You know, I mean, I like his vibe. I like his general approach. I like his free market stuff. So I don't have a specific complaint, but it just looked like it was a little too easy, too clean, too promoted. There's something about it that didn't look 100% legitimate. So I've been, you know, you've probably noticed, I have not been a fanboy. I enjoy watching the show, watching what Javier Milei does. It's very interesting, but I'm trying not to be a fanboy because I feel like there might be more news coming someday. Does anybody else have that feeling? There might be more news coming. You don't want to be too far on that train when it happens because it's never all good news. There's always something out there. We'll see.
Well, I guess in New York City, Governor Hochul and Zohran Mamdani and I think Cuomo were there. They had a big rally because their elections coming up Tuesday. Tuesday next week. Yeah, Tuesday next week, I think. And they got up there and they promised free child care and free universal child care, freeze rent, not free, and free buses. I don't know what other free stuff they're giving away, but the people in the stadium were chanting, "Tax the rich, tax the rich, tax the rich." Meanwhile, the rich were packing up their bags to get as far from New York as they can. Oh my god, I'm so glad. Well, I'm sure if they tried to do that chant in California that people would do the chant. But how would you like to have a little extra money and live in a state where they're chanting to tax you? You want to leave when the chanting starts, you know, before they get the pitchforks and the torches because right after chanting, pitchforks and torches. Now, I don't know if that's coming, but it feels like it is.
Wall Street Apes, an account on X that you should follow, Wall Street Apes, they're pointing out that did you know that the SNAP benefits, which are going to end, I guess, right away, that's the one that feeds the people who don't have enough money to feed themselves. Did you know that there are 43 million Americans on that? Well, residents of America, 43 million people are being fed by the other people. Did you have any idea it was that big? I had no idea. That's a lot of people. And apparently 54% of immigrant households have at least one major welfare program. I wonder what it is for the residents. It's probably not that far off from the residents actually.
So here's the question. I think Jake Tapper put it this way to he was talking to some Democrat. Murphy. He was talking to Murphy. Murphy's the new designated liar. You know how I always tell you that Swalwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars? They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys. They'll say anything. So Murphy is one of those. He's joined the designated liars will say anything club. So Jake Tapper on CNN, who is now under new ownership, is he under the Ellison umbrella already? So what people are looking for is to see if the conservative purchases of these big news entities, everything from TikTok I guess is going to go through to CNN to who knows. But we're looking for any subtle changes in coverage that would suggest that the news is either moving toward the middle or even leaning toward the right because of new ownership. But Jake Tapper asked this question which suggests that he's at least finding the middle if not leaning to the right. He said to Murphy, "Funding for food stamps, that would be what I'm talking about, is expected to run out at the end of this week. This is happening because Democrats, now watch how Jake Tapper frames this. He says it's happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government." Now, do you think you would have put it that way if you were not owned by a right-leaning entity or because that's a really powerful framing and it's very powerful for the benefit of Republicans. I don't know that I've seen Jake go this strong on a narrative that's just pure Republican. But let me finish. So he says this is happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government. Now Jake has said that a few times. He said, how is this not the Democrats? They're the ones who aren't voting for it. You can't blame the people who are voting to open the government. And yet they were. He's making the common sense observation that it's the people voting not to open the government who are the ones voting to not open the government. It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it. But then he goes on with this is just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make, letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended?" Let me read that again. This is an absolute kill shot. That there should be nothing left of the Democrat party by now. If anybody saw this question, so is this a trade-off you're willing to make? See, even putting it in the terms of willing to make strengthens it and continue to make strengthens it again. You've done it and you continue to do it. He was letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended. Because I don't know about you, but you know, if you say healthcare, I obviously care a lot because that's important. But if you say hunger, I go to a whole different level of caring, right? Hunger comes before kind of everything except immediate physical safety. So this is really strong. So I'm going to give Jake a standing ovation for that journalism move because that was exactly the right question, exactly the right time, and exactly the right person to ask it. What do you think he did with that question? What do you think Murphy did? Did he say, "Yeah, we're intentionally going to starve 43 million people," which by the way, the Republicans don't want to do. They want to open the government and give them their money, their food. So they're going to starve Republicans so that they can get a political win on healthcare. Now, even if you were to say, "But Scott, you know, we need both of those things. So ranking them doesn't even make sense. Those are two essential things. You have to have them both." So putting them up against each other isn't fair. It's just two things you need. Okay. Doesn't feel like that though. Doesn't feel like that. Feels like you need to eat before you go to the doctor.
Well, that was to me that was really interesting as a maybe a sign of the times.
So Trump's in Tokyo. He's already met with the prime minister of Japan and his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip. So he's touring Asia right now. I don't know how much to believe because the reporting seems a little light, but there's reason to think that Trump set up a number of alternative paths for rare earth minerals through other countries that he's meeting. And he's not done yet. He's still going to South Korea and might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he wants to catch up. I love the way he does that. We'll talk about that in a minute. So the question is, did Trump successfully find alternative paths for all of the rare earths? Do we have a new, more robust alternative path that's not China? And does it cover everything we need or does China still have a hand on us? Well, it seems that around the time that these other deals with other countries were being made, China got flexible. And we don't know if that flexibility is because they realize they're going to lose the entire rare earth market, which they might. They might lose the entire rare earth market for ever having tried to restrict it. Would you ever buy rare earth from somebody who had ever tried to restrict it for political purposes? No. Not if you had a choice of buying it from somebody who never did that. You know, it's the same rare earth materials. So China may have realized how much they shot themselves in the foot with threatening the world with rare earth restrictions. Maybe. See, this is the part I don't know because there might be levels and levels of what's happening behind the scenes, but apparently there's a soybean agreement. Scott Bessent said he was a soybean farmer himself. I asked Grok and he said, "Well, he's not a farmer. But he does own farms." So he's a landlord. He's a landlord who owns some farms that would have been growing soybeans, but China didn't want to buy any until now. Now, I guess they're going to do a big soybean purchase. And they also have agreed allegedly with the sale of TikTok to some American entities that'll be running all the sensitive stuff so you don't have to worry about China stealing your stuff. We think so. That's the question. We don't know how successful Trump has been on this trip. We know that everybody's treating him like a superstar. We know that he's our celebrity in chief. They seem to love him. Do you remember the days when it was reasonable for his critics to say that the other leaders were not respecting him and that that was some of that disrespect was coming on us by extension? When was the last time you heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders don't respect Trump." That's gone. I don't know if that's ever coming back, but apparently they got used to him and they got used to him as a star, a superstar. They didn't just get used to him, they kind of love him. They kind of love him. So I guess we'll have to wait to see how much of a real world deal making happened. But the stock market likes it. So the stock market's up. Seems to be happy. Also because it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged. Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen. I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe it could happen. There are a bunch of smart people who think it can happen. Meaning that we collect the tariffs and we use it as a trade negotiation and it doesn't create inflation. Not many people saw that coming. I didn't. I was open to it, but I can't say I predicted it. But here we are. So maybe in a few more months things will change, but at the moment it's looking good.
So the people who are rumored to be buying TikTok would be Oracle, Larry Ellison. So that would be a pal of Trump's. Fox Corporation. Can you believe that? So that would be the owners of Fox would also own part of TikTok. That makes perfect sense, doesn't it? As an investment for Murdoch, it makes perfect sense. Andreessen Horowitz will be part of that and Silver Lake Management. So I like anything that Marc Andreessen is associated with because he's a voice of reason. He's not really political in any sense that you normally think of it. He is a common sense guy and real rich and real smart. So the more you give me the common sense guys who are real rich and real smart. Yeah. I want you on the board of directors of TikTok. That works for me.
Well, here's a funny little drama. So Carney, the head of Canada, as you know, there was one minister, Ford I guess it was, who ran that Reagan ad where Reagan allegedly was against tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump because Trump likes Reagan. Republicans like Reagan. And Trump's reaction was to give them 10% more tariffs and stop talking to them on trade deals. So here's the news from Reuters. At that ASEAN summit that Trump's at, and I guess Carney's at too, Reuters says, "From the sidelines of the ASEAN summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney sent a not so subtle message to Washington. We're waiting on you." Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday. So Trump is just freezing him. It's like freezing the kicker. He's just making him wait like there was no way he could send him a text message or anything. He's just going to wait. So Carney's like, I don't know what's happening. Anyway, so Canada's posture, says Reuters, is polite patience. Polite patience. So you've got the rudest leader in the world, Trump, against the politest country in the world, our good buddies in Canada. So anyway, this is just funny. I don't think it makes any difference in the real world, does it? It's just like they've got this little high school interpersonal drama thing going on that'll take care of itself.
Well, here's a little update on, you remember I told you the story that Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as examples of crazy hallucinating conservatives as they called us. Because I'll just talk about my own prediction. My own prediction was that Republicans would be hunted if Biden got in office and also that they would be in danger of death. Now, the danger of death is obvious because if you put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, which is what we did, we put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football. Can you tell me that wasn't dangerous? Trump says there would have been no war in Ukraine with Putin. He might be right. Was it more dangerous to have a president who sort of encouraged and armed one side? Don't know, but it looked dangerous to me. Was it dangerous that we had a president who, if he had been elected for a second term, wouldn't really be able to function that well? Yeah, that looks pretty dangerous to me. Would it be dangerous that your foes around the world see you as incompetent? Would that make it more likely or less likely that China would have made a play for Taiwan? Probably more likely. Now, they didn't. But remember, I was talking about likelihoods. I wasn't predicting. I was talking about the odds. And the point was that the odds for our survival would go down if Biden was elected. Now, those are some pretty clean examples. Compare that to Trump who's stopped eight and nine wars or something. He's working on the ninth. Is that dangerous? Feels the opposite of dangerous. How about the guy who emphasizes making our military more lethal? Does that make us safer? Yes. Yes, it does. So I believe that that point has stood the test of time. But the other one was that Republicans would be arrested basically jailed if Biden came to office. Hunted is the word I used. And then I saw a post by MTG on X in which she lists, I don't know this is the beginning of the list. This is the second page of the list. These are the public figures that got arrested or indicted. Just the public figures. So it'd be like Trump's lawyers, Trump's people who worked in that domain. That's not even counting the January 6 citizens who were hunted down as well. Doesn't count people like me who were cancelled. We got kind of hunted, right? So does my point stand that Republicans were hunted or not? Were they? Was this going to happen on its own? These people just in a normal situation, no matter who had been elected, they were all going to get arrested. I don't think so. No, I think they were hunted.
So here's what I think is probably going to happen. I don't think Bill Maher follows me or even kind of knows anything about me because when he introduced me on his show as the topic, not as a person, but as the topic, he described me as a conservative cartoonist. How many of you think that I'm a conservative? So you're the ones who know me best, right? You've been with me almost 10 years. How many would call me a conservative? Well, I've told you for sure that I prefer conservatives. I prefer their company. You all know that. Look at the comments. There's nobody who actually knows my work who would call me a conservative. You know, I like my marijuana too much. I don't get involved in the abortion question at all. I think women need to work that out. Let us know how it goes. I'm not a religious person, but I like religion. I'm a big fan of Christianity, but I'm a fan. I'm not a believer. How conservative am I? When I describe myself, my current best description of myself is that I'm a Trump supporting common sense guy. And that when he does things that look like common sense to me, I don't care if it's left or right or middle. I just like it. So you're more of a libertarian. I don't call myself a libertarian because there are too many differences there. But have we demonstrated for sure that I don't have to agree with all of your opinions for you to embrace that I add some value to your day? I wish I knew what was talking. Something just talks to me in a digital voice every now and then. It's not my phone. It's none of my devices. There's some extra device around here. I must have a listening device. I might be bugged. I'm not sure what's going on.
Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term. That's heating up. I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit. You know, 1%. Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of Trump staying for a third term is not being dismissed by Trump too hard. So they asked him on the plane about the third term and Trump says, I haven't really thought about it. Does anybody believe he hasn't really thought about it? Okay. We have some very good people as you know, but I have the best poll numbers I've ever had. And he says something about he would love to do it. So the reporter says, "You're not ruling it out." And he doesn't answer as directly as he could. He goes, "I think if they ever formed a group, it would be unstoppable." Now, I don't know what the group is, but he talks about JD Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it. I don't know if there's more to the group than those two, but he thinks that they would be amazing. But what would be the argument? Apparently Bannon has some argument that he hasn't tried out for why a third term in this particular case could be sold. Now, you know my reasoning. My reasoning is that as long as people like Carville are saying that Republicans should be put in orange jumpsuits, paraded through town, and spit on after Trump is out of office. And he actually said that. As long as that's waiting for us and they're saying so directly and it's coming from somebody who has some gravitas in the party, then I think that the safest thing for Republicans is to never have a Democrat president. Whatever that takes, whatever it takes. And if it takes keeping Trump to keep them from putting me in jail and spitting on me, I'll take the third term. And as I've been saying consistently, there's nothing else that would make me be in favor of violating the Constitution so grossly. But I would definitely violate the Constitution to increase the chance of living. Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't you? To increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution. And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Trump. I don't think that's going to happen, but I feel like it's the right tradeoff.
So what would be the argument for keeping him? I'm going to give you my best argument which I don't think is good, but it'll be an argument for keeping Trump for a third term. You ready? Do you think I could pull this off? Do you think I could give you a persuasive argument why he should get a third term? Well, I don't know if this is unique or if other people have said this, so it might not be original. Here's my argument. They stole his first and second term with a hoax. The government stole it. The government denied him a full regular term by making him fight to stay out of jail the entire first term and then using the lies that they created in the first term to prevent him from being elected in the second term. Now, I don't know if there was also any chicanery with the votes itself. I don't have any proof of that. But what we do know is that they had a well organized from the top Obama plan to deny him a normal presidential term. And I would argue if you look at what he's accomplished in his current term where he's now having to do all this impeachment hoax stuff, you can see the difference between what it would look like if he had been unfettered, where he is now, versus the way they treated him and essentially denied him a real presidential term. Now, you could say, "Well, they denied him his second term." Or you could say they denied him his first term. You could say they denied him his first term. He was president, but with such an anchor on him that they put on him, it was like he couldn't really serve his term. So is that a good enough argument to overcome the very clear wording in the Constitution that you only get two? No. No. The only way that would fly is if the Supreme Court just went totally rogue. Could the Supreme Court go rogue and vote just by conservative majority that yeah, that is true. They did steal his first term. We're going to give it back to him. I don't think so. I think that's too far. I can't see Roberts going for that at all. And not really the other ones either. I can't see Kavanaugh. I can't see any of them voting for it, frankly. I think it would be 9-0. But that's the best argument I have. It's not terrible. I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny.
All right. Here's more of this. Is the media changing to be more right leaning? So now that Bari Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where that is. But somebody pointed out that Margaret Brennan in her interview with Hakeem Jeffries seemed a little more right leaning than what they expected. She was pointing out that Hakeem Jeffries and all the Democrats have been saying forever that Trump is a monster for claiming that the 2020 election was rigged and that if you claim elections are rigged, you can't be a politician in this country because you're just starting stuff. But Jeffries himself is saying that the gerrymandering that Trump and others want to do is rigging the election. Somehow he's ignoring the fact that all of the 100% of the Democrat states have already gerrymandered and that California is going to do some more and maybe Massachusetts too. So his argument is stupid. But Brennan actually challenged him on the fact that he said rigging the election is the worst thing you could say while he says that rigging the election is what's happening. But he's arguing that he's not talking about the election that happened, but rather he's warning that the gerrymandering would be like rigging an election. Is that a good enough nuance? No. It was good to see him challenged on that. I'm not sure we would have seen that challenge before. So that does look to me like the news CBS is moving a little bit to the right. We'll see.
Gavin Newsom was on some podcast in which he said that the anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Period. Full stop. What have I taught you about people who say period full stop? It means they know it's not true. Do you know why people put period full stop at the end of a sentence? Because they didn't have a reason. If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot that in there. So here, let me give you an example of when you don't need it. If you don't reopen the government, people will not get food and they'll be hungry. Did I need to say full stop period? No. No. Because as soon as you heard people won't get fed, argument is made. I'm done with my argument. But if you say something like this, anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Period. Full stop. You're really saying I don't want to debate any nuance of this thing because I don't even believe it myself. I have to say, you know, being completely immersed in the conservative worldview as I often am, I don't really see anybody talk about DEI as being anti-Black. I've literally never heard that. I've never suspected it. I've never thought it was like between the lines. It's entirely stop being anti-white. It's not the same. If you want the world to stop discriminating against, in my case, white men, how is that anti-Black? It's just not. So notice my argument. My argument has a reason that the actual people I know I've observed for 10 years don't have any anti-Black rationalizations even in private like private conversations. Nobody talks like that. Literally nobody talks like that. All they say is I got discriminated against and I don't want to be discriminated against. So I'm not in favor of being discriminated against. I don't want my kids to be discriminated against. It has nothing to do with what black Americans do or do not get out of life. It just has to do with your own discrimination that you don't like it. So Gavin, but I will give him credit that he did reframe that in a way that politically might be powerful. But what I like about any of the conversations about black America and who's getting what and reparations, all that. Have you noticed there's always a Thomas Sowell quote that fits the story? And somebody always puts it in the comments to every one of these X reports. So here are the Thomas Sowell quotes that somebody stuck in the story about Gavin Newsom saying anti-woke stuff is just anti-Black. Thomas Sowell, so famous black economist who is widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a conservative take care of yourself kind of a guy. So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems like discrimination. Boy was that on target. That's exactly on target. That getting rid of DEI is not crippling black people. It's simply taking away an obvious advantage that they had been enjoying. So if you take away somebody's obvious advantage, they're going to think you're discriminating against them. Thomas. Then there was a second one on the same comment thread. Also Thomas. He says it is usually futile to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority and their ignorance. Exactly. So when somebody like Newsom says that the anti-woke is really anti-Black, don't you think he was, I think he was talking to a black podcaster if I recall. Fact check on that. But don't you think he was sort of leaning into his sense of moral superiority? That's what that was, right? He was leaning into his moral superiority. Thomas Sowell nails it.
Speaking of that, Fox News, Preston Mitchum is writing that the University of Washington, they had a job posting that required some DEI stuff and one of their white professors did a video totally outing them about what you have to say to get hired. So if you're whoever you are, you don't even have to be white, but you have to say a statement about DEI. It used to be that you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?" Yeah, I like DEI. Okay. All right, you can be hired. But now you have to go deeper. You have, according to the professor, this white professor, he says, you have to say that you have deep knowledge of the DEI stuff in order to get a high rating on all this. He says, the funny thing is, I'm convinced I would not be hired if I applied today. So he's currently one of the highest rated teachers. He won the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's actually no way that he would ever be hired. So that's your world. So if you were to allow this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's an even playing field." But if you insist that it has to be a DEI loving candidate, it's kind of like a special treatment that if I had special treatment, I wouldn't want to take it away. But Thomas Sowell rings in my mind.
All right. President Biden came out and called these the dark days. I've heard some others say that recently. The Democrats that they keep saying that the dark days are here and the bad stuff's happening. And I keep saying where's the dark stuff? Where's the bad stuff? And then they would add things like, well, Democrats are preventing 43 million people from eating today. And I think, okay, that is dark. But that wasn't Republicans. Republicans are open to feed them today. Just vote on it. We'll feed them today. And then you go down the list of what is the other dark stuff? Was it the solving of all those wars and the fact that Gaza is under control and the fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know, we're working as hard as we possibly can to deescalate that before super winter kicks in? Where's the dark part? Is it the fact that the tariffs worked, that inflation's under control, that eggs and gas prices are down, but beef's a little high, but we're working on it. Where is all the darkness? Is it because we stopped doing transitioning youth? Is that the darkness? Feels like an upgrade. But as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific credible complaints. You do it because it can collect all of your fears. The Democrats are not about policy. They're about fear and about personal attack. If they can make you afraid, then they can get elected. So when they say stuff like dark, but they don't give you any details of what exactly is the dark part, what are we missing? The reason they can't give you details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh, well, that looks like temporary." Or, "Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it before." Right? So they can't give you reasons because if they gave you reasons it would look weak and pathetic and not common sense but they can say it's dark. The dark days have come.
Eric Swalwell, I didn't even think this was real but I think it's real. When I first saw it I thought that can't be real. So Swalwell has said now on social media that the only Democrat candidate who would be the only valid presidential candidate for the Democrats would be somebody willing to say in advance that they would bulldoze the ballroom if they won. That's a real thing that happened. Swalwell actually, and by the way, if I'm wrong about it, please correct me immediately so I don't go too far. It doesn't look like something that's real, does it? It doesn't look like it's real because it's too on the nose. It's too on the nose for what the dumbest Democrat would say. But is it real? I believe it's being treated as real, right? And can you even imagine bulldozing a $350 million building that even the Democrats have been saying they've needed for decades? Is that the dumbest thing you've ever seen? And to imagine that maybe the Democrats have enough of a base that would agree with this that he would think that saying it would somehow boost his political situation. That's incredible.
Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two movies on one screen. Depending on which propaganda site you look at, it's a completely different war. So there's somebody named Yasmina on X. Don't know anything about Yasmina. I do not believe that anybody on X is credible when it comes to the war. But I'll just give you a sense of the two sides what they're saying. Yasmina is on the side that Russia's economy is close to collapse and that's one movie and the other movie is that Ukraine is going to lose all of its energy resources before winter and freeze to death and that Russia has never been as serious as they are now about turning off the power in Ukraine and now that Ukraine is attacking them deep within Russia and taking out some of their energy resources that Russia will have no gating factor to keep them from taking out all of Ukraine's energy. It looks like what they want to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to force the people who lived in the dark part to move to the part that still has energy, which would essentially clear out a big swath that they can just reenter it. It would make it easier to conquer if they moved all the people who didn't have electricity. So that looks like the movie. Both of them trying to crush the other's economy and they have much better weapons this winter than they had last winter. So the odds of them being able to do it in both cases are now closer to I don't know closer to 100%. Maybe not 100%. But I don't think they could have done it before. I think they could do it now. And I guess Ukraine sent 193 drones at Russia just last night. So most of them get shot down these days, but 193 drones a night going after your energy resources. How many nights do you need before you get them all? So and I guess one of their biggest refineries got shut down in Russia, but again, you don't even know if that's real. So all the fog of war stuff is completely impossible to sort through. But the US is working on reducing Russia's access to oil. And again, it's two movies on one screen. One movie says that the US is making a big difference and that the sanctions that we put on third party countries like India and China are actually making them change their behavior. So in the short run, India and China aren't really changing their importing of Russian oil. In the long run, it looks like they might want to avoid the problems that the sanctions will cause them. So it looks like they might be looking for alternatives and that the only thing that would keep them from getting off of Russian oil, which would bring them problems in their own country from the United States, might be just having another source and that might not be impossible. So if things ramp up in other places, but we'll see. And then apparently there's not a glut of oil, but there's extra oil being pumped in the Middle East. That's probably at least partly from Trump's influence because if the price of oil stays around $60 a barrel, then our domestic industry survives, but Russia would have way less money to press the war. They would also probably survive, but they wouldn't have the extra for the war that they would want. So anyway, fog of war.
I saw an older post from February by AI pioneer founder kind of guy, Andrej Karpathy, and he had something interesting to say about intelligence versus what we call agency. Agency in this case is defined as a personality trait that refers to your capacity to take initiative, make decisions and exert control over your actions in your environment. That would be your agency. And what Karpathy points out is that we already have a lot of intelligence. So our AIs are doing good on intelligence. They can often or usually beat a human being on what they know. So that's a kind of intelligence, but what they don't have is agency. And that until you start building agency into the robots and the AI, you don't have what you need. So I don't know how you could give them agency without them being too dangerous. So we'll see where that goes.
General Motors says they're getting closer to what they call an eyes off vehicle. They want to make a vehicle where you don't have to watch. Sort of like the Tesla model, self-driving, but it doesn't look like they're that close. I think they've got one really expensive car that they think they'll be able to do it with, the Cadillac. And then they want to build Gemini AI into their cars, so you could just talk to the car and have it do what you want. Remember I always talk to you about products that have never been tested. Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything? Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but there were other people in the room? Does it work? Never. If you are obviously doing a voice command to your car or your phone, all of your guests and everyone around you will pretend they can't see that you're doing that and they will talk normally and then they'll turn on the music and you'll be like, seriously, you don't see that I'm giving a voice command to my phone right now. You can't tell that I'm doing that and you're just talking right over it. It never works. You'd have to have a long trip by yourself with the radio off. And who does that? You'd have to turn off the radio every time you talk to your car. Anyway, I think GM's way behind.
Here's an article from Science, Dr. Katie Spalding. Do you guys know how the 2,000 calories a day recommendation for humans came about? Do you ever wonder about that? Like who came up with 2,000 calories is sort of the baseline? And there's a long story to it, but basically it's just made up. It's just a number that a bunch of people sat in the committee and said, "How about 2,000?" Well, you know, big people who were getting ready for a competition, they might need more. Yeah, but 2,000 is a round number. So basically, the reason it's 2,000 instead of 2,350, which they think might have been a more accurate number, is that it's easier to remember 2,000. So they can manipulate people easier if they said 2,000 instead of 2,350. And of course, everybody should be getting their own amount based on how big they are. Roman. What's about a Roman? That was quite a whale. Wow. All right, he'll take care of himself.
All right. So yeah, everything about nutrition is made up and fake and all the science around it is sketchy and ridiculous. So there's that.
Israel says that they're not in favor of Turkey taking a security role in Gaza. Why is that big news? Well, it's big news if Turkey had been willing to do it. That would have been pretty big news. I don't know if they're willing, but Israel says they're the ones who get to decide which other Arab countries do security and nobody else gets to decide. And I agree. Obviously, Israel would have to be okay with whoever goes in there, but that does eliminate what I thought was the most likely contender for this security. What would be next? Would they say yes to Saudi Arabia? Would they say yes to Jordan? Who would they say yes to who had a dependable military? Because the dependable military is a big part, right? Can't be everybody.
Well, here's my prediction. I believe that as I said before that Netanyahu loses if what happens after the end of the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has a role in it and in the end there's no one-state solution because all of that was possible if Netanyahu had been allowed to just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he would just be called a war criminal and whatever is the worst criticisms you can come up with, genocidal maniac in the short run. But if you waited a hundred years, it would be a big statue to him and he would be the greatest Israeli who ever lived because he created the greater Israel. So he was you. Now, of course, I can't read his mind, but it's obvious that he didn't want a two-state solution, and it's obvious that if he'd had his way for a few more years, probably could have gotten just about anything he wanted. But Trump stood in. And Trump took the credit for ending the war. He took the credit, but he also ended the killing, most of it. You know, still a little bit going on, but he ended most of it. So I don't disagree with Trump putting a big old Trump boot on that whole situation because that's America first. It's not America first to have a one-state solution. It's probably America first to have something that's neither one nor two which is where we are now. So here's my prediction. Netanyahu will stall as long as he can and Trump leaves office, if he leaves office after this term, assuming he does, that Gaza will look pretty much the way it looks now and that there will be no hurry to clean it up or make it more habitable because Netanyahu might want to just wait for Trump to be out of office and then see if he's got a little more flexibility if that happens. That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu. I would pretend I was on board and I would be tapping Trump along and not doing any cleanup. And that's why I would say that it's not done. It's like, well, that cleanup, if only you would give us a billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd start right away. And we'd be like, why are we paying? And then there would be an argument over the funding. And then Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean it up as fast as possible. We just don't have the funds. So if one of you wants to give us a billion dollars, we'll be all over that. We'll get that cleaned up right away. So there's probably a hundred ways that you can stall and make it look legitimate. Well, we still got a pocket of resistance there. Well, we still got to do some toxic cleanup. Well, we still got to get a security situation that we could be happy with. Yeah. Do not expect Gaza to turn into a gleaming city full of Gazans returning.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's what I got for you today. Boy, is my timing good. Excellent timing. I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals people who are my beloved local subscribers. The rest of you, thanks for joining. Hope I added a little bit of something to your day. All right, locals coming at you privately in 30.
That's better.
That's better.
Now you can hear me.
I better back up and do that again.
That's what happens when the cat walks on your keyboard after you think you have all your settings done.
The cat walked on my mute button.
Good morning everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and you've never had a better time.
But if you'd like to take a chance on elevating your experience up to levels that nobody can even understand with their tiny shiny human brains.
All you need for that is a cuper mug or a glass of tanker gels in a canteen and jugger flask.
Give a vessel of any kind.
Fill it with your favorite liquid.
I like coffee.
And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
The dopamine of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
It's called the simultaneous sip.
And it happens now.
Go.
All right, our new tradition.
One reframe will be read from my book, Reframe Your Brain, the book that changes everybody's life for the better.
Sometimes just with one sentence that I have not yet read to you.
All right, how about this?
Um, how about uh here's one of the things that that that people argue all the time.
They argue that a plan will either work or it won't work.
That's sort of a a common frame.
Hey, your plan will work or your plan will never work.
A better reframe from that is that uh friction and incentives always work.
We just don't know how well until they're tested.
If you put a disincentive somewhere, you can't say it won't work.
It'll it'll work a little.
You have to wait and see.
So instead of saying something doesn't work or it does work, you just say, "Can I test it?
Can I test it?" Find out if it works.
Winners, find out if it works.
Losers say that'll never work.
There you go.
That's your reframe for the day.
Change your life.
Hey, I wonder if coffee is good for you.
Oh, according to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study that says that coffee consumption is associated with increased brain white matter integrity and cortical thickness.
I don't know.
I'll have to test that.
I've been feeling a little bit of thin in my cortical area, but it says here this coffee can thicken that up.
You test it.
Yeah, it's working.
It's working.
I can feel my cortical thickness.
Yeah, it's about twice as thick now.
You know, sometimes you read this medical news and you don't know if it's real, but that that was real.
Uh, well, there's a category 5 hurricane that's heading for Jamaica.
Jamaica?
No, she went willingly.
It's enough that.
So, Representative uh Luna, one of my favorite representatives, is suggesting that uh on some she was was she on PBD show?
She was on a podcast uh that the uh so-called UFOs or UAPs, she seems to have an inside track on that and they're what she believes are interdimensional beings according to other people.
At the same time, there are reports of some app called a UFO tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that shows that there's an enormous amount of unexplained activity, some kind of vessels that are underwater all over our coast.
So, my question is, do interdimensional beings use submarines that glow in the dark?
Because if I'm going to go to another dimension, I need to know what to travel in.
Do we take a spaceship, submarine?
What's on the other side there?
I did hear somebody say that if you were a creature from some, you know, some other part of the, I don't know, universe, you might be more comfortable underwater than you would be in our air.
So that it would make sense that even if somebody visited Earth that their that their impression of Earth was whatever's under the sea and that they're not even interested in what's above water because it's just a pain in the ass.
It's just something on the way to the ocean.
Maybe.
Remember I told you that if robots were real, meaning that we really were going to have robots walking around in 12 months that they would already be doing the things that the market would be seeing.
Well, maybe we're there cuz Elon says, Elon Musk says that if you were to visit Tesla's uh engineering headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots are in fact just walking around.
They're on their own and you could ask them for directions and the robot would happily take you to the place that you wanted to go.
And so, this was the point I was waiting for.
approximately one year before you can get a robot, you would expect that the people making the robots would be, you know, fully enjoying the the wonders of a robot, at least in the office.
And it looks like that's either happening or it's very close to happening.
So, we might might be getting close to robots.
Anyway, um Tesla also says, they showed a video of it.
It's pretty impressive that in order to train their cars and I think they're robots too, they're doing simulated worlds.
So instead of having the the devices learn on the real world because there's not enough real world to train them as fast as they want, they have the computer make up a fake world and then they have a train on the fake world.
So now do you believe you live in a simulation?
Because you know the AI doesn't know it's looking at a simulation.
Just think about that.
The AI is being trained on these virtual worlds.
It doesn't know that they're virtual.
Can't tell the difference.
Why do you think you can?
You couldn't tell the difference.
If you were in a if we were a simulation, the whole point is you wouldn't be able to tell the difference.
It would be programmed so that even if you thought you wanted to tell the difference, you couldn't tell the difference.
It would just be program you would be programmatically prohibited from realizing your your reality.
That's what I think.
Unless you're a player and not an NPC.
Well, Javier Mule in Argentina, I guess they had a big win in their uh midterm elections, which people would say would be somehow good for Trump cuz, you know, Trump likes him.
Uh but his party won 41% of the votes and they're going to pick up a whole bunch of parliament seats and Javier is really happy.
You know, I've been sort of a quiet skeptic of the Argentina miracle.
Didn't it always seem a little too good to be true?
You know, I mean, I like I like his vibe.
I like his general approach, you know?
I like his free market stuff.
So, I don't have a specific complaint, but it just looked like it was a little too easy, too clean, too promoted.
There there's something about it that didn't look 100% legitimate.
So, I was So, I've been, you know, you've probably noticed, uh, I have not been a fanboy.
I I enjoy watching the show, you know, watching what Jav Mule does.
It's very interesting, but I'm trying not to be a fanboy because I feel like there might be more news coming someday.
Does anybody else have that feeling?
There might be more news coming.
You you don't want to be too far on that on that train when it happens because it's never all good news.
There's always something out there.
We'll see.
Well, I guess in New York City, uh, Governor Huckle and Zoran Mundani and I think K were there.
They had a big rally cuz their their uh elections coming up Tuesday.
Tuesday next week.
Yeah, Tuesday next week, I think.
And uh they got up there and they promised free child care and free universal Yeah, universal child care, free rent or freeze rent, not free.
Uh and free buses.
I don't know what other free stuff they're giving away, but the people in the stadium were chanting, "Tax the rich, tax the rich, tax the rich." Meanwhile, the rich were packing up their bags to get as far from New York as they can.
Oh my god, I'm so glad.
Well, I'm sure if they tried to do that chant in California that people would do the chant.
But how would you like to have a little extra money and live in a state where they're chanting to tax you?
You you want to leave when the chanting starts, you know, before they get the the pitchforks and the the torches because right after chanting pitchfork and torches.
Now, I don't know if that's coming, but it feels like it is.
Well, Wall Street Apes, an account on Axley, you should follow, Wall Street Apes.
Um, they're pointing out that uh did you know that the SNAP benefits, which are going to end, I guess, right away.
Uh, that's the one that feed feeds the people who can't uh don't have enough money to feed themselves.
Did you know that there are 43 million people on that Americans?
Well, residents of America, 43 million people are being fed by the other people.
Did you have any idea it was that big?
I had no idea.
That's a lot of people.
And apparently 54% of immigrant households have at least one major welfare program.
H uh I wonder what it is for the residents.
It's probably not that far off from the residence actually.
So, so here's the question.
Uh I think Jake Tapper put it this way to uh he was talking to some Democrat.
Oh, Murphy.
He was talking to Murphy.
Murphy's the new uh designated liar.
You know how I always tell you that Swallwell and Schiff and Raskin are designated liars?
They send them out when the lie is just so gross that regular normal Democrats don't want to say it out loud, but they'll send those guys, you know, they'll say anything.
So, uh, Murphy is one of those.
He's joined the, you know, designated liars will say anything club.
So, Jake Tapper on CNN, who is now under, is he under the Ellison umbrella already?
So what people are looking for is to see if the conservative purchases of these big news entities.
Everything from Tik Tok I guess is going to go through to CNN to who knows.
But we're looking for any subtle changes in coverage that would suggest that the news is either moving toward the middle or even leaning toward the right because of new ownership.
But Jake Tapper asked this question which suggests that he's at least finding the middle if not leaning to the right.
Yeah.
He said to Murphy, "Funding for food stamps, that would be the uh the what I'm talking about is expected to run out at the end of this week.
This is happening because Democrats, now watch how Jake Tapper frames this.
He says it's happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government." Now, do you think you would have put it that way if you were not owned by a right-leaning entity or because that's that's a that's a really powerful framing and it's very powerful for the benefit of Republicans.
I don't know that I've seen Jake go this this strong on a narrative that's just pure Republican.
But let me let me finish.
So he says this is happening because Democrats have not agreed to vote to fund the government.
Now Jake has said that a few times a number of times he he said you how is this not the Democrats?
They're the ones who aren't voting for it.
You can't vote you can't blame the people who are voting to open the government.
And yet they were.
He's making the common sense observation that it's the people voting not to open the government who are the ones voting to not open the government.
It's not a hard point, but before I don't think you would have seen it.
But then he goes on with the the this is just a kill shot.
So then Jake says, "So is this a tradeoff you're willing to make um letting some Americans go hungry until these Obama subsidies get extended?" Let me read that again.
This is an absolute kill shot.
that there should be nothing left of the Democrat party by now.
If if anybody saw this question, so is this a trade-off you're willing to make?
See, even even the putting it in the terms of willing to make strengthens it and continue to make strengthens it again.
You've done it and you continue to do it.
He was letting some Americans go hungry until these Obamacare subsidies get extended.
Because I don't know about you, but you know, if you say healthcare, I obviously care a lot because that's important.
But if you say hunger, I go to a whole different level of caring, right?
Hunger comes before kind of everything except, you know, immediate physical safety.
So, this is really strong.
So, I'm going to give uh Jake a uh sitting standing ovation for that journalism move because that was exactly the right question, exactly the right time, and exactly the right person to ask it.
What do you think he did with that question?
What do you think Murphy did?
Did he say, "Yeah, we're we're intentionally going to starve 43 million people," which by the way, the Republicans don't want to do.
They want to open the government and and give them their money, their food.
So, they're going to starve Republicans so that they can get a political win on healthcare.
Now, even if you were to say, "But Scott, you know, we need both of those things.
So, ranking them doesn't even make sense.
Those are two essential things.
You have to have them both." So, so putting them up against each other isn't fair.
It's just two things you need.
Okay.
Doesn't feel like that though.
Doesn't feel like that.
Feels like you need to eat before you go to the doctor.
Well, um, so that that was to me that was really interesting as a maybe a sign of the times.
So Trump's arrive, I guess Trump's in Tokyo.
He's already met with the prime minister of uh of uh Japan and uh his alleged victories so far in his Asia trip.
So he's he's touring Asia right now.
Um, I don't know how much to believe cuz the reporting seems a little a little light, but there's a there's reason to think that Trump set up a number of alternative paths for rare earth minerals through other countries that he's meeting.
And he's not done yet.
He's still going to South Korea and might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he wants to catch up.
I love the way he does that.
We'll talk about that in a minute.
So, the question is, um, did Trump successfully find alternative paths for all of the rarers?
Uh, do we have a new, more robust alternative path that's not China?
And does it cover everything we need or does China still have a a hand on us?
Well, it seems that around the time that these other deals with other countries were being made, China got flexible.
And we don't know if that flexibility is because they realize they're going to lose the entire rare earth um market, which they might.
They might lose the entire rare earth market for ever having um tried to restrict it.
W would you ever buy rare earth from somebody who had ever tried to restrict it for political purposes?
No.
Not if you had a choice of buying it from somebody who never did that.
You know, it's the same rare earth materials.
So, China may have realized how much they shot themselves in the foot with threatening the world with rare earth restrictions.
Maybe.
See, this is the part I don't know because there might there might be levels and levels of, you know, what's happening behind the scenes, but apparently there's a soybean agreement.
Scott Bent said he was a soybean farmer himself.
I asked Grock and he said, "Well, he's not a farmer.
Uh, but he does own farms." So, he's a landlord.
He's a landlord who owns some farms that would have been growing soybeans, but China didn't want to buy any until now.
Now, I guess they're going to do a big soybean purchase.
And they also have agreed allegedly with uh the sale of Tik Tok to some American entities that'll be running all the sensitive stuff so you don't have to worry about China stealing your stuff.
We think so.
That's the question.
We don't know how successful Trump has been on this trip.
We know that everybody's treating him like a superstar.
We know that he's, you know, he's our celebrity and chief.
They seem to love him.
Do do you remember the days when it was reasonable for his critics to say that the the other leaders were not respecting him and that that was, you know, some of that disrespect was coming on us by extension?
When was the last time you heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders don't respect Trump." that's gone.
I don't know if that's ever coming back, but apparently they got used to him and they they got used to him as a a star, a superstar.
They didn't just get used to him, they kind of love him.
They kind of love him.
So, I guess we'll have to wait to see how much of a, you know, a real real world deal making happen.
But the stock market likes it.
So, the stock market's up.
Seems to be happy.
Also because the um it's now several months into tariffs and we've collected pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and inflation barely budged.
Now there weren't many people who thought that could happen.
Uh I was sitting on the sidelines watching saying maybe it could happen.
There are a bunch of smart people who think it can happen.
meaning that we collect the tariffs and uh we use it as a you know trade negotiation and it doesn't create inflation.
Not many people saw that coming.
I didn't.
I was open to it, but I can't say I predicted it.
But here we are.
So maybe in a few more months things will change, but at the moment it's looking good.
So the people who are rumored to be buying Tik Tok would be Oracle, Larry Ellison.
So that would be a pal of Trump's Fox Corporation.
Can you believe that?
So that would be the owners of Fox would also own part of Tik Tok.
That makes perfect sense, doesn't it?
As an investment for Murdoch, it makes perfect sense.
Um Andre Horowitz will be part of that.
and Silver Lake Management.
So, uh I like anything that Mark Andre's associated with because he's a voice of reason.
He he's not really a not really he's not at all.
He's not political in any sense that you normally think of it.
He is a common sense guy and real rich and real smart.
So, the more you give me the common sense guys who are real rich and real smart.
Yeah.
I I want you on the board of directors of Oracle.
I'm sorry of uh Tik Tok.
That works for me.
Well, here's a funny little drama.
Um so Carney, the head of Canada, um as you know, the there was one minister Ford, I guess it was, who ran that uh Reagan ad where Reagan allegedly was against tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump because Trump likes Reagan.
Republicans like Reagan.
And uh Trump's reaction was to give them 10% more tariffs and stop talking to them on trade deals.
So here's the news from Reuters.
Uh at that uh AEN summit that Trump's at, and I guess Carney's at too, that Reuters says, "From the sidelines of the AEN summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney sent a not so subtle message to Washington.
We're waiting on you." Uh Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready to sit down with the United States, but admits there's been no contact with Trump since Thursday.
So So Trump is just freezing him.
It's like freezing the kicker.
He's just making him wait like there was no way he could send him a text message or anything.
He's just going to wait.
So Carney's like, I don't know what's happening.
Uh anyway, so Canada's posture, says Reuters, is polite patience.
Polite patience.
So you've got the the rudest leader in the world, Trump, against the politest country in the world, our good buddies in Canada.
So anyway, this is just funny.
I I don't think it makes any difference in the real world, does it?
It it's just like they've got this little high school interpersonal drama thing going on that'll take care of itself.
Well, here's a little update on you remember uh I told you the story that Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as examples of crazy hallucinating uh conservatives as they called us.
Uh because uh I'll just talk about my own prediction.
My own prediction was that Republicans would be hunted if uh if Biden got in office and also that they would be in danger of death.
Now, the danger of death is obvious because if you put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football, which is what we did, we put a vegetable in charge of the nuclear football.
Can you tell me that wasn't dangerous?
Trump says there would have been no war in Ukraine with uh with Putin.
He might be right.
Was it more dangerous to have a president who sort of encouraged and armed one side?
Don't know, but it looked dangerous to me.
Was it dangerous that we had a president who, if he had been elected for a second term, wouldn't really be able to function that well?
Yeah, that looks pretty dangerous to me.
Would it be dangerous that your foes around the world see you as incompetent?
Would that make it more likely or less likely that China would have made a play for Taiwan?
Probably more likely.
Now, they didn't.
But remember, I was talking about likelihoods.
I wasn't I wasn't predicting.
I was talking about the odds.
And and the point was that the odds for our survival would go down if Biden was elected.
Now, those are some those are some pretty clean examples.
Compare that to Trump who's stopped eight and nine wars or something.
He's working on the ninth.
Is that dangerous?
Feels the opposite of dangerous.
How about the guy who emphasizes making the our military more lethal?
Does that make us safer?
Yes.
Yes, it does.
So, I believe that that that point has stood that it stood the test of time.
But the other one was that uh that Republicans would be um arrested basically jailed if uh if Biden came to office.
Hunted is the word I used.
And then I saw a post by Ma Joy on X in which there she lists I don't know this is the beginning of the list.
This the second page of the list.
These are the the public figures that got arrested or indicted.
the just the public figures.
So it'd be like Trump's lawyers, Trump's whatever people worked in that domain.
That's not even counting the January 6 citizens who were hunted down as well.
Doesn't count people like me who were cancelled.
We got kind of hunted, right?
So does my point stand that Republicans were hunted or not?
Were they Were they Was this going to happen on his own?
These these people just in a normal situation, no matter no matter who had been elected, they were all going to get arrested.
I don't think so.
No, I think they were haunted.
So, here's what I think is probably going to happen.
Um, I don't think Bill Maher follows me or even kind of knows anything about me because when he introduced me on his show as the topic, not as a person, but as the topic, he described me as a conservative cartoonist.
How many of you think that I'm a conservative in the So, so you're the ones who know me best, right?
You've been with me almost 10 years.
How many would call me a conservative?
Well, I've told you for sure that I prefer conservatives.
I prefer their company.
You all know that.
And I Right.
Yeah.
Look at Look at the comments.
There's nobody who actually knows my work who would call me a conservative.
You know, I I I like my marijuana too much.
Um I don't get involved in the abortion question at all.
I think women need to work that out.
Let us know how it goes.
Right.
I I'm not a religious person, but I like religion.
I'm a big fan of Christianity, but I'm a fan.
I'm not a believer.
Right?
How conservative am I?
When I describe myself, my current best description of myself is that I'm a Trumpup supporting common sense guy.
and that when he does things that look like common sense to me, I don't care if it's left or right or middle.
I just like it.
So, you're more of a libertarian.
I don't I don't call myself a libertarian because there are too many differences there.
Yeah.
But but have have we demonstrated for sure that I don't have to agree with all of your opinions for you to embrace that I add some value to your God.
I wish I knew what was talking.
Something something just talks to me in a digital voice every now and then.
It's not my phone.
It's none of my devices.
There's some extra device around here.
I must have a listening.
I might be bugged.
I'm not sure what's going on.
Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the third term.
That's that's heating up.
I think I might be part of the reason that's heating up because I added to that noise a little bit.
You know, 1%.
Bannon's the one driving it, but the idea of Trump staying for a third term is not being dismissed by Trump too hard.
So they asked him on the plane uh about the third term and Trump says uh I haven't really thought about it.
Does anybody believe he hasn't really thought about it?
Okay.
Uh we have some very good people as you know, but I have the best poll numbers I've ever had.
Uh and he says something about he would love to do it.
So the reporter says, "You're not ruling it out." And he he doesn't answer as directly as he could.
He goes, "I I think I think if they ever formed a group, it would be unstoppable.
Now, I don't know what the group is, but he talks about JD Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it.
I don't know if there's more to the group than those two, but he thinks that they would be amazing.
Um, but what would be the argument?
Apparently, Bannon has some argument that he hasn't tried it out for why a third term in this particular case could be sold.
Now, you know my reasoning, my reasoning is that uh as long as people like uh Carville are saying that uh Republicans should be put in orange jumpsuits, paraded through town, and spit on after Trump is out of office.
And he actually said that that as long as that's waiting for us and they're saying so directly and it's coming from somebody who has, you know, some graitas in the party, then I think that the safest thing for Republicans is to never have a Democrat president.
Whatever that takes, whatever it takes.
Um, and if it takes keeping Trump to keep them from putting me in jail and spitting on me, I'll take the third term.
And as I've been saying consistently, there's nothing else that would make me be in favor of violating the Constitution so grossly.
But I would definitely violate the Constitution to increase the chance of living.
Wouldn't you?
I mean, really, wouldn't you?
to increase your own chance of living and not being paraded through town and spit on.
Yeah, if those are my choices, I'll take the violation to the Constitution.
And you know, and you'll have to live with another four years of Trump.
I don't think that's going to happen, but I feel like it's the right it's the right tradeoff.
Um, so what would be the argument for keeping him?
I'm going to give it I'm going to give you my best argument which I don't think is good, but it'll be an argument for keeping Trump for a third term.
You ready?
Do you think Do you think I could pull this off?
Do you think I could give you a persuasive argument why he should get a third term?
Well, I don't know if this is unique or if other people have said this, so it might not be might not be original.
Here's my argument.
They stole his first and second term with a hoax.
The government stole it.
The government denied him a full regular term by making him fight to stay in a jail the entire first term and then using the using the lies that they created in the first term to prevent him from being elected in the second term.
Now, I don't know if there was also any chicannery with the votes itself.
I don't have any proof of that.
But what we do know is that they had a uh a wellorganized from the top from the top Obama plan to deny him a normal presidential term.
And I would argue if you look at what he's accomplished in his current term where he's now having to do all this, you know, impeachment hoax stuff, you can see the difference between what it would look like if he had been unfettered, what where he is now, versus the way they treated him and essentially denied him a real presidential term.
Now, you could say, "Well, they denied him his second term." Or you could say they denied him his first term.
You could say they denied him his first term.
He was president, but with such an anchor on him that they put on him, it was like he couldn't really serve his term.
So, is that a good enough argument to overcome the uh very clear wording in the Constitution that you only get two?
No.
No.
The The only way that would fly is if the Supreme Court uh just went totally rogue.
Could they could the Supreme Court go rogue and vote just by conservative majority that Yeah, that is true.
They did steal his first term.
We're going to give it back to him.
I don't think so.
I think that's too far.
I can't see Roberts going for that at all.
And not really the other ones either.
I can't see Kavanagh.
I can't see any of them any of them voting for it, frankly.
I think it would be 09.
But that's the best argument I have.
It's not terrible.
I just don't think it would pass any kind of scrutiny.
All right.
All right.
Uh, here's more of this.
Uh, is the media changing to be more right leaning?
So, now that Barry Weiss is going to be taking over CBS News or already has, I'm not sure where that is.
Uh, but somebody pointed out that uh Margaret Brennan uh in in her interview with Hakee Jeff seemed a little more rightle leaning than what they expected.
ask you off my notes.
I've got a cat of my notes.
So, uh, she was pointing out that, uh, Hakeim Jeff and all the Democrats have been saying forever that, uh, Trump is a monster for claiming that the 2020 election was rigged and that if you claim elections are rigged, you you can't be a politician in this country because you're just starting stuff.
So, uh, but Jeff himself is saying that the, uh, the gerrymandering that Trump and others want to do is rigging the election.
Somehow he's ignoring the fact that all of the 100% of the Democrat states have already gerrymandered and that California is going to do some more and maybe maybe Massachusetts, too.
So, his argument is stupid.
Uh but uh Brennan actually challenged him on the fact that uh he said rigging the election is the worst thing you could say while he says that rigging the election is what's happening.
But he's arguing that he's not talking about the election that happened, but rather he's warning that the gerrymandering would be like rigging an election.
Is that a good enough nuance?
No.
Um it was good to see uh good to see him challenged on that.
I'm not sure we would have seen that challenge before.
So, that does look to me like the news CBS is moving a little bit to the right.
We'll see.
Gavin Newsome was on some podcast in which he said that the anti-woke stuff is just antilack.
Period.
Full stop.
What if I taught you about people who say period full stop?
It means they know it's not true.
Do you know why people put period full stop at the end of a sentence?
Because they didn't have a reason.
If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot that in there.
So here, let me give you an example of when you don't need it.
Um, if you don't reopen the government, people will not give food and they'll be hungry.
Did I need to say full stop period?
No.
No.
Because as soon as you heard people won't get fed, argument is made.
I'm done with my argument.
If but if you say something like this, anti-woke stuff is just antilack.
Period.
Full stop.
You're really saying I don't want to debate any nuance of this thing cuz I don't even believe it myself.
Um, I I have to say, you know, being completely immersed in the conservative worldview as I often am, I don't really see anybody talk about DEI as being antilack.
I've literally never heard that.
I've never I've never suspected it.
I've never thought it was like between the lines.
It's entirely Stop being anti-white.
It's not the same.
If you want if you want the world to stop discriminating against, in my case, white men, how is that antilack?
It's just not.
So, so notice my uh my argument.
My argument has a reason that the actual people I know I've observed for 10 years don't have any antilack rationalizations even even in private like private conversations.
Nobody talks like that.
Literally nobody talks like that.
All they say is I got discriminated against and I don't want to be discriminated against.
So I'm not in favor of being discriminated against.
I don't want my kids to be discriminated against.
It has nothing to do with what black Americans do or do not get out of life.
It just has to do with your own discrimination that you don't like it.
So Gavin, but I will I will give him uh credit that he uh he did reframe that in a way that politically might be powerful.
But what I like what I like about uh any of the conversations about black America and who's getting what and reparations, all that.
Have you noticed there's always a Thomas Soul quote that fits the story?
And somebody always puts it in the comments to every one of these X reports.
So here are the Thomas Soul quotes that somebody stuck in the story about Gavin Newsome saying anti-woke stuff is just antilack.
Thomas Sell so famous black economist who is widely widely beloved on the right probably more than the left because he's more of a he's more of a conservative uh take care of yourself kind of a guy.
So one of his quotes somebody stuck in there is that when people get used to preferential treatment equal treatment seems like discrimination.
Boy was that on target.
That's exactly on target.
That getting rid of DEI is not it's not crippling black people.
It's simply taking away an obvious advantage that they had been enjoying.
So if you take away somebody's obvious advantage, they're going to think you're discriminating against them.
Thomas.
Then there was a second one on the the same comment thread.
Uh also Thomas.
He says it is usually feudal to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority and their ignorance.
Exactly.
So, so when somebody like uh Newsome says that uh the the anti-woke is really anti-lack, don't you think he's I think he was talking to a black podcaster if I recall.
I'm not sure.
Fact check on that.
But don't you think he was sort of leaning into his sense of moral superiority?
That's what that was, right?
He he was leaning into his moral superiority.
Thomas Soul nails it.
Speaking of that, Fox News Preston Misella is writing that the University of Washington, they had a job posting that required some DEI stuff and one of their white professors did a video totally outing them about what you have to say to get hired.
So, if you're whoever you are, you don't even have to be white, but you have you have to say a statement about DEI.
It used to be that you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?" Yeah, I like DEI.
Okay.
All right, you can be hired.
But now you have to go deeper.
You have, according to the professor, this white professor, he says, you have to say that you have deep knowledge of the DEIS in order to get a high rating on all this.
He says, the funny thing is, I'm convinced uh I would not be hired if I applied today.
So, he's currently one of the highest rated uh teachers.
He won the distinguished teaching award at his university and he believes there's there's actually no way that he would ever be hired.
So that's your world.
So if you were to allow this um this distinguished teaching award guy to be hired at that university, you would say, "Oh, that's a that's an even playing field." But I if you insist that it has to be a DEI loving uh candidate, it's kind of like a special treatment that if I had special treatment, I wouldn't want to take it away.
But Thomas soul rings in my mind.
All right.
President Biden came out and called these the dark days.
I've heard some others say that recently.
the Democrats that they keep saying that the the dark days are here and the bad stuff's happening.
And I keep saying where where's the dark stuff?
Where's the bad stuff?
And then they would add things like, well, Democrats are preventing 43 million people from eating today.
And I think, okay, that's that is dark.
But that wasn't Republicans.
Republicans are open to feed them today.
just vote on it.
We'll feed them today.
Um, and then you go down the list of what what is the other dark stuff?
Was it the solving of all those wars and the fact that Gaza is under control and the fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know, we're working as hard as we possibly can to deescalate that before super winter kicks in?
Where's the dark part?
Is it the fact that the tariffs worked, that inflation's under control, that eggs and gas prices are down, but beast's a little high, but we're working on it.
Where is all the darkness?
Is it because we stopped doing uh transitioning youth?
Is that the darkness?
Feels like an upgrade.
But, uh, as I've told you before, back in 2016 when the Democrats started calling everything that Trump did dark, you say that because you don't have specific um, credible complaints.
You do it because it can collect all of your fears.
The Democrats are not about policy.
They're about fear and about uh, personal attack.
If they can make you afraid, then they can get elected.
So, when they say stuff like dark, but they don't give you any details of what exactly is the dark part, what are we missing?
Uh, the reason they can't give you details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh, well, that looks like temporary." Or or, "Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it before." Right?
So they can't give you reasons because if they gave you reasons it would look weak and pathetic and you know not common sense but uh they can say it's dark.
The dark days have come.
Uh Eric Swallwell I didn't even I didn't think this was real but I think it's real.
When I first saw it I thought that can't be real.
So, Swallwell has said uh now on social media that the only Democrat candidate who would be uh let's say um the only valid presidential candidate for the Democrats would be somebody willing to say in advance that they would bulldoze the ballroom if they won.
That's a real thing that happened.
Swallwell actually, and by the way, if I'm wrong about, please correct me immediately so I don't go too far.
It doesn't look like something that's real, does it?
It doesn't look like it's real because it's too on the nose.
It's too on the nose for what what like the dumbest Democrat would say.
But is it real?
I I believe it's being treated as real, right?
And can you even imagine bulldozing a $350 million building that even the Democrats have been saying they've needed for decades?
Is that the dumbest thing you've ever seen?
and and to imagine that maybe the Democrats have enough of a base that would agree with this that he would think that saying it would somehow boost his political um situation.
That's incredible.
Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two movies on one screen.
Uh depending on which propaganda site you look at, it's a completely different war.
So there's somebody named Yasmina on X.
Don't know anything about Yasmina.
Do not I do not believe that anybody on X is credible when it comes to the war.
But I'll just give you a sense of the two sides what they're saying.
Um Yasm means on the side that uh Russia's economy is close to collapse and uh that's one movie and the the other movie is that Ukraine is going to lose all of its energy resources before winter and freeze to death and that Russia has never been serious as they are now about turning off the power in Ukraine and now that Ukraine is attacking them deep within Russia and taking out some of their energy resources that Russia will have no no gating factor to keep them from taking out all of Ukraine's um energy.
It looks like what they want to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to force the people who lived in the dark part to move to the part that still has energy, which is would essentially clear out a big swath that they can just reenter it.
make it would make it easier to conquer if they moved down to all the people who didn't have electricity.
So that looks like the the movie.
Both of them trying to crush the other's economy and they have much better weapons this winter than they had last winter.
So the odds of them being able to do it in both cases are now closer to I don't know closer to 100%.
Maybe not 100%.
But I don't think they could have done it before.
I think they could do it now.
And I guess uh Ukraine sent 193 drones at at Russia just last night.
So most of them get shot down these days, but 193 drones a night going after your energy resources.
How many nights do you need before you get them all?
So, and I guess one of their biggest refineries got shut down in Russia, but again, you don't even know if that's real.
So, all all the fog of war stuff is completely impossible to sort through.
So, um but the US is working on reducing uh Russia's access to oil.
And again, it's two movies on one screen.
One movie says that the US is making a big difference and that the uh the sanctions that we put on uh third party countries like India and China are actually making them change their behavior.
So in the short run, India and China aren't really changing their importing of Russian oil.
In the long run, it looks like they might want to avoid the problems that the sanctions will cause them.
So, it looks like they might be looking for alternatives and that the only thing that would keep them from getting off of Russian oil, which would bring them problems in their own country from the United States, uh might be just having another source and that might not be impossible.
So, if things ramp up in other places, but we'll see.
And then uh apparently there's a not a glut of oil, but there's a extra oil being pumped in the Middle East.
That's probably at least partly from Trump's influence because if the price of oil stays around $60 a barrel, then our, you know, our domestic industry survives, but Russia would have way less money to press the war.
They would also probably survive, but they wouldn't have the extra for the war that they would want.
So anyway, fog of war.
I saw an old uh an older post from February by AI pioneer founder kind of guy, Andre Carpathy, and he had something interesting to say about intelligence versus what we call agency.
>> >> Agency in this case is u defined as a personality trait that refers to your capacity to take initiative, make decisions and exert control over your actions in your environment.
That would be your agency.
And uh what Karpathy points out is that we already have a lot of intelligence.
So our our AIs are doing good on intelligence.
they can they can often or usually beat a human being on what they know.
So that's a kind of intelligence, but what they don't have is agency.
And that until you start building agency into the robots and the AI, um you don't have what you need.
So I don't know how you could give them agency without them being too dangerous.
So we'll see see where that goes.
General Motors says they're getting closer to what they call an eyes off vehicle.
They they want to make a vehicle where you don't have to watch.
Sort of like the Tesla model, self-driving, but it doesn't look like they're that close.
I think they've got one really expensive car that they think they'll be able to do it with, the Cadillac.
Um, and then they want to build Gemini AI into their cars, so you could just talk to the car and have it do what you want.
Remember I always I always talk to you about products that have never been tested.
Have you ever been in a car with even one other person and tried to use a voice command for anything?
Have you ever been in a room where you wanted to use a voice command on your phone, but there were other people in the room?
Does it work?
Never.
it.
If you are obviously doing a voice command to your car or your phone, all of your guests and everyone around you will pretend they can't see that you're doing that and they will talk normally and then they'll turn on the music and you'll be like, seriously, you don't see that I'm giving a voice command to my phone right now.
You you can't tell that I'm doing that and you're just talking right over it.
It never works.
you you'd have to have a a long trip by yourself with the with the radio off.
And who does that?
You'd have to turn off the radio every time you talk to your car.
Anyway, I think GM's way behind.
Um, here's an article from Science, Dr.
Katie Spalding.
Do you guys know how the 2,000 calories a day recommendation for humans came about?
Do you ever wonder about that?
Like who came up with 2,000 calories is sort of the baseline?
And there's a long story to it, but basically it's just it's just made up.
It's just a number that a bunch of people sat in the committee and said, "How about 2,00?" Well, you know, big people who um were getting ready for a competition, they might need more.
Yeah, but 2,000 is a round number.
So basically, the reason it's 2,00 instead of 2350, which they think might have been a more accurate number, is that it's easier to remember 2,000.
So they can manipulate people easier if they said 2,000 instead of 2350.
And of course, everybody should be getting it, you know, their own their own amount based on how big they are.
Roman.
What's about a Roman?
That was quite a whale.
Wow.
All right, you'll take care of himself.
All right.
So, yeah, everything about nutrition is made up and fake and all the science around it is sketchy and ridiculous.
So, there's that.
Um, Israel says that they're not in favor of Turkey taking a security role in Gaza.
Why is that big news?
Well, it's big news if Turkey had been willing to do it.
That would have been pretty big news.
Um, I don't know if they're willing, but uh, Israel says they're the ones who get to decide which other Arab countries do security and nobody else gets to decide.
And I agree.
Obviously, Israel would have to be okay with whoever goes in there, but that does eliminate what I thought was the most likely contender for this security.
What would be next?
Would they say yes to Saudi Arabia?
Would they say yes to Jordan?
Who would they say yes to who had a dependable military?
Because the dependable military is a big part, right?
can't be everybody.
Well, here's my prediction.
I believe that as I said before that Netanyahu loses if what happens after the end of the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has a role in it and uh in the end um there's there's no one-state solution cuz all of that was possible if Netanyahu had been allowed to you just take it to the ultimate conclusion which would have taken a few years but 100 years from Now, as I say, if Netanyahu had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza into Israel and it just was one big country, if he had pulled that off in the short run, of course, he would just be called a war criminal and whatever is the worst criticisms you can come up with, genocidal maniac in the short run.
But if you waited a hundred years, it would be a big statue to him and he would be the greatest Israeli who ever lived because he created the greater Israel.
So he was you.
Now, of course, I can't read his mind, but it's obvious that he didn't want a two-save solution, and it's obvious that if he'd had his way for a few more years, probably could have gotten just about anything he wanted.
But, uh, Trump stood in.
And Trump took the credit for ending the war.
He took the credit, but he also ended the killing, most of it.
You know, still a little bit going on, but he ended most of it.
So, I don't disagree with Trump putting a big old Trump boot on that whole situation because that's America first.
It It's not America first to have a one-state solution.
It's probably America first to have something that's neither first neither one nor two which is where we are now.
So here's my prediction.
Netanyahu will stall as long as he can and uh Trump leaves office, if he leaves office after this term, uh assuming he does, that Gaza will look pretty much the way it looks now and that there will be no hurry to clean it up or make it to make it more habitable because Netanyahu might want to just wait for Trump to be out of office and then see if he's got a little more flexibility if that happens.
That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu.
I would pretend I was on board and I would be tapping Trump along and not doing any cleanup.
Uh, and that's why I would say that it's not done.
It's like, well, that cleanup, if if only if only you would give us a billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd start right away.
And we'd be like, why are we paying?
And then there would be an argument over the funding.
And then Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean it up as fast as possible.
We just don't have the funds.
So if one of you wants to give us a billion dollars, we'll be all over that.
We'll get that cleaned up right away.
So there's probably a hundred ways that you can stall and make it look legitimate.
Well, we still got a pocket of resistance there.
Well, we still got to do some toxic cleanup.
Well, we still got to get a security security situation that we could be happy with.
Yeah.
Do not expect Gaza to turn into a gleaming city full of Gazins returning.
All right, ladies and gentlemen, that's what I got for you today.
Boy, is my timing good.
Excellent timing.
Uh, I'm going to say a few words privately to the locals people who are my beloved my beloved local subscribers.
The rest of you, thanks for joining.
Hope I added a little bit of something to your day.
All right, locals coming at you privately in 30 Thanks.
That's better.
That's better. Now you can hear me.
I better back up and do that again.
That's what happens when the cat walks
on your keyboard after you think you
have all your settings done.
The cat walked on my mute button.
Good morning everybody and welcome to
the highlight of human civilization.
It's called Coffee with Scott Adams and
you've never had a better time. But if
you'd like to take a chance on elevating
your experience up to levels that nobody
can even understand with their tiny
shiny human brains. All you need for
that is a cuper mug or a glass of tanker
gels in a canteen and jugger flask. Give
a vessel of any kind. Fill it with your
favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join
me now for the unparalleled pleasure.
The dopamine of the day, the thing that
makes everything better. It's called the
simultaneous sip. And it happens now.
Go.
All right, our new tradition. One
reframe will be read from my book,
Reframe Your Brain, the book that
changes everybody's life for the better.
Sometimes just with one sentence
that I have not yet read to you.
All right, how about this?
Um,
how about uh
here's one of the things that that that
people argue all the time. They argue
that a plan will either work or it won't
work. That's sort of a a common frame.
Hey, your plan will work or your plan
will never work.
A better reframe from that
is that uh friction and incentives
always work. We just don't know how well
until they're tested. If you put a
disincentive somewhere, you can't say it
won't work. It'll it'll work a little.
You have to wait and see. So instead of
saying something doesn't work or it does
work, you just say, "Can I test it? Can
I test it?" Find out if it works.
Winners,
find out if it works. Losers say that'll
never work.
There you go. That's your reframe for
the day. Change your life. Hey, I wonder
if coffee is good for you. Oh, according
to Nicholas Fabiano, MD, there's a study
that says that coffee consumption is
associated with increased brain white
matter integrity and cortical thickness.
I don't know. I'll have to test that.
I've been feeling a little bit of thin
in my cortical area, but it says here
this coffee can thicken that up. You
test it.
Yeah, it's working. It's working. I can
feel my cortical thickness. Yeah, it's
about twice as thick now.
You know, sometimes you read this
medical news and you don't know if it's
real, but that that was real. Uh, well,
there's a category 5 hurricane
that's heading for Jamaica.
Jamaica? No, she went willingly.
It's enough that.
So, Representative uh Luna, one of my
favorite representatives,
is suggesting that uh on some she was
was she on PBD show? She was on a
podcast uh that the uh so-called UFOs or
UAPs,
she seems to have an inside track on
that and they're what she believes are
interdimensional beings according to
other people. At the same time, there
are reports of some app called a UFO
tracker, some kind of UFO tracker that
shows that there's an enormous amount of
unexplained
activity, some kind of vessels that are
underwater all over our coast.
So, my question is, do interdimensional
beings
use submarines that glow in the dark?
Because if I'm going to go to another
dimension, I need to know what to travel
in. Do we take a spaceship, submarine?
What's on the other side there? I did
hear somebody say that if you were a
creature from some, you know, some other
part of the, I don't know, universe, you
might be more comfortable underwater
than you would be in our air. So that it
would make sense that even if somebody
visited Earth that their that their
impression of Earth was whatever's under
the sea [laughter]
and that they're not even interested in
what's above water because it's just a
pain in the ass. It's just something on
the way to the ocean. Maybe.
Remember I told you that if robots were
real, meaning that we really were going
to have robots walking around in 12
months that they would already be doing
the things that the market would be
seeing. Well, maybe we're there cuz Elon
says, Elon Musk says that if you were to
visit Tesla's uh engineering
headquarters in Palo Alto, the robots
are in fact just walking around. They're
on their own and you could ask them for
directions and the robot would happily
take you to the place that you wanted to
go. And so, this was the point I was
waiting for. approximately one year
before you can get a robot, you would
expect that the people making the robots
would be, you know, fully enjoying the
the wonders of a robot, at least in the
office. And it looks like that's either
happening or it's very close to
happening. So, we might might be getting
close to robots.
Anyway, um Tesla also says, they showed
a video of it. It's pretty impressive
that in order to train their cars and I
think they're robots too, they're doing
simulated worlds. So instead of having
the the devices learn on the real world
because there's not enough real world to
train them as fast as they want, they
have the computer make up a fake world
and then they have a train on the fake
world. So now do you believe you live in
a simulation?
Because you know the AI
doesn't know it's looking at a
simulation.
Just think about that. The AI is being
trained on these virtual worlds. It
doesn't know that they're virtual.
Can't tell the difference. Why do you
think you can?
You couldn't tell the difference. If you
were in a if we were a simulation,
the whole point is you wouldn't be able
to tell the difference. It would be
programmed so that even if you thought
you wanted to tell the difference, you
couldn't tell the difference. It would
just be program you would be
programmatically
prohibited
from realizing your your reality. That's
what I think. Unless you're a player and
not an NPC. Well, Javier Mule in
Argentina, I guess they had a big win in
their uh midterm elections, which people
would say would be somehow good for
Trump cuz, you know, Trump likes him. Uh
but his party won 41% of the votes and
they're going to pick up a whole bunch
of parliament seats and Javier is really
happy.
You know, I've been sort of a quiet
skeptic of the Argentina
miracle. Didn't it always seem a little
too good to be true?
You know, I mean, I like I like his
vibe. I like his general approach, you
know? I like his free market
stuff. So, I don't have a specific
complaint,
but it just looked like it was a little
too easy, too clean,
too
promoted.
There there's something about it that
didn't look 100%
legitimate.
So, I was So, I've been, you know,
you've probably noticed, uh, I have not
been a fanboy.
I I enjoy watching the show, you know,
watching what Jav Mule does. It's very
interesting, but I'm trying not to be a
fanboy because I feel like there might
be more news coming someday. [laughter]
Does anybody else have that feeling?
There might be more news coming. You you
don't want to be too far on that on that
train when it happens because it's never
all good news. There's always something
out there. We'll see. Well, I guess in
New York City, uh, Governor Huckle and
Zoran Mundani and I think K were there.
They had a big rally cuz their their uh
elections coming up Tuesday.
Tuesday next week. Yeah, Tuesday next
week, I think. And uh they got up there
and they promised free child care and
free universal Yeah, universal child
care, free rent or freeze rent, not
free. Uh and free buses.
I don't know what other free stuff
they're giving away, but the people in
the stadium were chanting, "Tax the
rich, tax the rich, tax the rich."
Meanwhile, the rich were packing up
their bags to get as far from New York
as they can. Oh my god,
I'm so glad. Well, I'm sure if they
tried to do that chant in California
that people would do the chant. But how
would you like to have a little extra
money and live in a state where they're
chanting to tax you?
You you want to leave when the chanting
starts, you know, before they get the
the pitchforks and the the torches
because right after chanting pitchfork
and torches.
Now, I don't know if that's coming, but
it feels like it is.
Well, Wall Street Apes, an account on
Axley, you should follow, Wall Street
Apes. Um,
they're pointing out that uh did you
know that the SNAP benefits, which are
going to end, I guess, right away. Uh,
that's the one that feed feeds the
people who can't uh don't have enough
money to feed themselves. Did you know
that there are 43 million people on that
Americans?
Well, residents of America,
43 million people are being fed by the
other people. Did you have any idea it
was that big? I had no idea.
That's a lot of people. And apparently
54% of immigrant households have at
least one major welfare program.
H
uh I wonder what it is for the
residents. It's probably not that far
off from the residence actually. So,
so here's the question. Uh I think Jake
Tapper put it this way to uh he was
talking to some Democrat.
Oh, Murphy. He was talking to Murphy.
Murphy's the new uh designated liar. You
know how I always tell you that
Swallwell and Schiff and Raskin are
designated liars? They send them out
when the lie is just so gross that
regular normal Democrats don't want to
say it out loud, but they'll send those
guys, you know, they'll say anything.
So, uh, Murphy is one of those. He's
joined the, you know, designated liars
will say anything club. So, Jake Tapper
on CNN,
who is now under, is he under the
Ellison umbrella already? So what people
are looking for is to see if the
conservative purchases of these big news
entities. Everything from Tik Tok I
guess is going to go through to CNN to
who knows. But we're looking for any
subtle changes in coverage that would
suggest that the news is either moving
toward the middle or even leaning toward
the right because of new ownership. But
Jake Tapper asked this question which
suggests that he's at least finding the
middle if not leaning to the right.
Yeah. He said to Murphy, "Funding for
food stamps, that would be the uh the
what I'm talking about is expected to
run out at the end of this week. This is
happening because Democrats, now watch
how Jake Tapper frames this. He says
it's happening because Democrats have
not agreed to vote to fund the
government." Now, do you think you would
have put it that way if you were not
owned by
a right-leaning entity
or because that's that's a that's a
really powerful framing and it's very
powerful for the benefit of Republicans.
I don't know that I've seen Jake go this
this strong
on a narrative that's just pure
Republican. But let me let me finish. So
he says this is happening because
Democrats have not agreed to vote to
fund the government. Now Jake has said
that a few times a number of times he he
said you how is this not the Democrats?
They're the ones who aren't voting for
it. You can't vote you can't blame the
people who are voting to open the
government. [laughter] And yet they
were. He's making the common sense
observation that it's the people voting
not to open the government who are the
ones voting to not open the government.
It's not a hard point, but before I
don't think you would have seen it. But
then he goes on with the the this is
just a kill shot. So then Jake says, "So
is this a tradeoff you're willing to
make
um
letting some Americans go hungry until
these Obama subsidies get extended?"
Let me read that again. This is an
absolute kill shot.
that there should be nothing left of the
Democrat party by now. If if anybody saw
this question,
so is this a trade-off you're willing to
make? See, even even the putting it in
the terms of willing to make strengthens
it and continue to make strengthens
[clears throat] it again. You've done it
and you continue to do it. He was
letting some Americans go hungry
until these Obamacare subsidies get
extended.
Because I don't know about you, but you
know, if you say healthcare,
I obviously care a lot because that's
important. But if you say hunger,
I go to a whole different level of
caring, right? Hunger comes before
kind of everything except, you know,
immediate physical safety. So, this is
really strong. So, I'm going to give uh
Jake a uh sitting standing ovation for
that journalism
move because that was exactly the right
question, exactly the right time, and
exactly the right person to ask it. What
do you think he did with that question?
What do you think Murphy did? Did he
say, "Yeah, we're we're intentionally
going to starve 43 million people,"
which by the way, the Republicans don't
want to do. They want to open the
government and and give them their
money, their food. So, they're going to
starve Republicans so that they can get
a political win on healthcare.
Now, even if you were to say, "But
Scott, you know, we need both of those
things. So, ranking them doesn't even
make sense. Those are two essential
things. You have to have them both." So,
so putting them up against each other
isn't fair. It's just two things you
need. Okay. Doesn't feel like that
though. Doesn't feel like that. Feels
like you need to eat before you go to
the doctor.
Well, um, so that that was to me that
was really interesting as a maybe a sign
of the times.
So Trump's arrive, I guess Trump's in
Tokyo. He's already met with the prime
minister of uh of uh Japan
and uh his alleged victories so far in
his Asia trip. So he's he's touring Asia
right now. Um, I don't know how much to
believe
cuz the reporting seems a little a
little light, but there's a there's
reason to think that Trump set up a
number of alternative paths for rare
earth minerals through other countries
that he's meeting. And he's not done
yet. He's still going to South Korea and
might even meet with Kim Jong-un if he
wants to catch up. I love the way he
does that.
We'll talk about that in a minute. So,
the question is, um, did Trump
successfully find alternative paths for
all of the rarers?
Uh, do we have a new, more robust
alternative path that's not China? And
does it cover everything we need or does
China still have a a hand on us? Well,
it seems that around the time that these
other deals with other countries were
being made, China got flexible. And we
don't know if that flexibility is
because they realize they're going to
lose the entire rare earth um market,
which they might. They might lose the
entire rare earth market for ever having
um tried to restrict it. W would you
ever buy rare earth from somebody who
had ever tried to restrict it for
political purposes? No. Not if you had a
choice of buying it from somebody who
never did that. You know, it's the same
rare earth materials.
So, China may have realized how much
they shot themselves in the foot with
threatening the world with rare earth
restrictions. Maybe. See, this is the
part I don't know because there might
there might be levels and levels of, you
know, what's happening behind the
scenes, but apparently there's a soybean
agreement.
Scott Bent said he was a soybean farmer
himself. I asked Grock and he said,
"Well, he's not a farmer. Uh, but he
does own farms." So, he's a landlord.
He's a landlord who owns some farms that
would have been growing soybeans, but
China didn't want to buy any until now.
Now, I guess they're going to do a big
soybean purchase. And they also have
agreed allegedly with uh the sale of Tik
Tok to some American entities that'll be
running all the sensitive stuff so you
don't have to worry about China stealing
your stuff. We think
so. That's the question. We don't know
how successful Trump has been on this
trip. We know that everybody's treating
him like a superstar. We know that he's,
you know, he's our celebrity and chief.
They seem to love him. Do do you
remember the days when it was reasonable
for his critics to say that the the
other leaders were not respecting him
and that that was, you know, some of
that disrespect was coming on us by
extension? When was the last time you
heard, "Oh, those other foreign leaders
don't respect Trump."
that's gone.
I don't know if that's ever coming back,
but apparently they got used to him and
they they got used to him as a a star, a
superstar. They didn't just get used to
him, they kind of love him. [laughter]
They kind of love him. So, I guess we'll
have to wait to see how much of a, you
know, a real real world deal making
happen. But the stock market likes it.
So, the stock market's up. Seems to be
happy. Also because the um it's now
several months into tariffs and we've
collected
pretty enormous amounts of tariffs and
inflation barely budged.
Now there weren't many people who
thought that could happen. Uh I was
sitting on the sidelines watching saying
maybe it could happen. [clears throat]
There are a bunch of smart people who
think it can happen. meaning that we
collect the tariffs and uh we use it as
a you know trade negotiation
and it doesn't create inflation.
Not many people saw that coming. I
didn't. I was open to it, but I can't
say I predicted it.
But here we are. So maybe in a few more
months things will change, but at the
moment it's looking good. So the people
who are rumored to be buying Tik Tok
would be Oracle, Larry Ellison. So that
would be a pal of Trump's Fox
Corporation.
Can you believe that? So that would be
the
owners of Fox would also own part of Tik
Tok.
That makes perfect sense, doesn't it? As
an investment for Murdoch, it makes
perfect sense. Um Andre Horowitz will be
part of that. and Silver Lake
Management. So, uh I like anything that
Mark Andre's associated with because
he's a voice of reason. He he's not
really a
not really he's not at all. He's not
political in any sense that you normally
think of it. He is a common sense guy
and real rich and real smart. So, the
more you give me the common sense guys
who are real rich and real smart. Yeah.
I I want you on the board of directors
of Oracle. I'm sorry of uh Tik Tok.
That works for me.
Well, here's a funny little drama. Um so
Carney, the head of Canada, um as you
know, the there was one minister Ford, I
guess it was, who ran that uh Reagan ad
where Reagan allegedly was against
tariffs and it was to embarrass Trump
because Trump likes Reagan. Republicans
like Reagan. And uh Trump's reaction was
to give them 10% more tariffs and stop
talking to them on trade deals.
So here's the news from Reuters. Uh at
that uh AEN summit that Trump's at, and
I guess Carney's at too, that Reuters
says, "From the sidelines of the AEN
summit, Canada's Prime Minister Carney
sent a not so subtle message to
Washington. We're waiting on you." Uh
Carney said that Ottawa is quote ready
to sit down with the United States, but
admits there's been no contact with
Trump since Thursday.
[laughter and gasps] So So Trump is just
freezing him. It's like freezing the
kicker. He's just making him wait
like there was no way he could send him
a text message or anything. He's just
going to wait. So Carney's like, I don't
know what's happening. Uh
anyway, so Canada's posture, says
Reuters, is polite patience.
Polite patience. So you've got the the
rudest leader in the world, Trump,
against the politest country in the
world, our good buddies in Canada. So
anyway, this is just funny. I I don't
think it makes any difference in the
real world, does it? It it's just like
they've got this little high school
interpersonal drama thing going on
that'll take care of itself.
Well, here's a little update on you
remember uh I told you the story that
Bill Maher used me and Mike Cernovich as
examples of crazy hallucinating uh
conservatives as they called us. Uh
because uh I'll just talk about my own
prediction. My own prediction was that
Republicans would be hunted if uh if
Biden got in office and also that they
would be in danger of death. Now, the
danger of death is obvious because if
you put a vegetable in charge of the
nuclear football, which is what we did,
we put a vegetable in charge of the
nuclear football. Can you tell me that
wasn't dangerous?
Trump says there would have been no war
in Ukraine with uh with Putin.
He might be right. Was it more dangerous
to have a president who sort of
encouraged and armed one side? Don't
know, but it looked dangerous to me. Was
it dangerous that we had a president
who, if he had been elected for a second
term, wouldn't really be able to
function that well? Yeah, that looks
pretty dangerous to me. Would it be
dangerous that your foes around the
world see you as incompetent? Would that
make it more likely or less likely that
China would have made a play for Taiwan?
Probably more likely. Now, they didn't.
But remember, I was talking about
likelihoods. I wasn't I wasn't
predicting. I was talking about the
odds. And and the point was that the
odds for our survival would go down if
Biden was elected. Now, those are some
those are some pretty clean examples.
Compare that to Trump who's stopped
eight and nine wars or something. He's
working on the ninth. Is that dangerous?
Feels the opposite of dangerous. How
about the guy who emphasizes making the
our military more lethal? Does that make
us safer? Yes. Yes, it does. So, I
believe that that that point has stood
that it stood the test of time. But the
other one was that uh that Republicans
would be um arrested basically jailed if
uh if Biden came to office. Hunted is
the word I used. And then I saw a post
by Ma Joy on X in which there she lists
I don't know this is the beginning of
the list.
This the second page of the list. These
are the the public figures
that got arrested or indicted. the just
the public figures. So it'd be like
Trump's lawyers, Trump's whatever people
worked in that domain. That's not even
counting the January 6 citizens who were
hunted down as well.
Doesn't count people like me who were
cancelled.
We got kind of hunted,
right? So does my point stand that
Republicans were hunted or not?
Were they Were they Was this going to
happen on his own?
These these people just in a normal
situation, no matter no matter who had
been elected, they were all going to get
arrested.
I don't think so. No, I think they were
haunted.
So,
here's what I think is probably going to
happen. Um, I don't think Bill Maher
follows me or even kind of knows
anything about me because when he
introduced me on his show as the topic,
not as a person, but as the topic, he
described me as a conservative
cartoonist.
How many of you think that I'm a
conservative
in the So, so you're the ones who know
me best, right? You've been with me
almost 10 years. How many would call me
a conservative?
Well, I've told you for sure that I
prefer conservatives.
I prefer their company.
You all know that. And I Right. Yeah.
Look at Look at the comments. There's
nobody who actually knows my work who
would call me a conservative.
You know, I I I like my marijuana too
much. Um I don't get involved in the
abortion question at all. I think women
need to work that out. Let us know how
it goes.
Right. I I'm not a religious person, but
I like religion. I'm a big fan of
Christianity,
but I'm a fan. I'm not a believer.
Right? How conservative am I? When I
describe myself,
my current best description of myself is
that I'm a Trumpup supporting common
sense guy. and that when he does things
that look like common sense to me, I
don't care if it's left or right or
middle. I just like it. So, you're more
of a libertarian. I don't I don't call
myself a libertarian because there are
too many differences there. Yeah. But
but have have we demonstrated for sure
that I don't have to agree with all of
your opinions for you to embrace that I
add some value to your
God. I wish I knew what was talking.
Something something just talks to me in
a digital voice every now and then. It's
not my phone. It's none of my devices.
There's some extra device around here. I
must have a listening. I might be
bugged. I'm not sure what's going on.
Anyway, let's talk about Trump in the
third term. That's that's heating up. I
think I might be part of the reason
that's heating up because I added to
that noise a little bit. You know, 1%.
Bannon's the one driving it, but the
idea of Trump staying for a third term
is not being dismissed by Trump too
hard. So they asked him on the plane uh
about the third term and Trump says uh I
haven't really thought about it.
[laughter]
Does anybody believe he hasn't really
thought about it? Okay. Uh we have some
very good people as you know, but I have
the best poll numbers I've ever had. Uh
and he says something about he would
love to do it. So the reporter says,
"You're not ruling it out." And he he
doesn't answer as directly as he could.
He goes, "I I think
I think if they ever formed a group, it
would be unstoppable. Now, I don't know
what the group is, but he talks about JD
Vance and Marco Rubio being part of it.
I don't know if there's more to the
group than those two, but he thinks that
they would be amazing. Um, but what
would be the argument? Apparently,
Bannon has some argument that he hasn't
tried it out for why a third term in
this particular case could be sold.
Now, you know my reasoning, my reasoning
is that uh as long as people like uh
Carville are saying that uh Republicans
should be put in orange jumpsuits,
paraded through town, and spit on after
Trump is out of office. And he actually
said that that as long as that's waiting
for us and they're saying so directly
and it's coming from somebody who has,
you know, some graitas in the party,
then I think that the safest thing for
Republicans is to never have a Democrat
president.
Whatever that takes, whatever it takes.
Um, and if it takes keeping Trump to
keep them from putting me in jail and
spitting on me, I'll take the third
term. And as I've been saying
consistently, there's nothing else that
would make me be in favor of violating
the Constitution so grossly. But I would
definitely violate the Constitution
to increase the chance of living.
Wouldn't you? I mean, really, wouldn't
you? to increase your own chance of
living and not being paraded through
town and spit on. Yeah, if those are my
choices, I'll take the violation to the
Constitution. And you know, and you'll
have to live with another four years of
Trump.
I don't think that's going to happen,
but I feel like it's the right it's the
right tradeoff. Um, so what would be the
argument for keeping him? I'm going to
give it I'm going to give you my best
argument which I don't think is good,
but it'll be an argument for keeping
Trump for a third term. You ready? Do
you think Do you think I could pull this
off? Do you think I could give you a
persuasive argument why he should get a
third term?
Well, I don't know if this is unique or
if other people have said this, so it
might not be might not be original.
Here's my argument.
They stole his first and second term
with a hoax.
The government stole it.
The government denied him a full
regular term by making him fight to stay
in a jail the entire first term and then
using the using the lies that they
created in the first term to prevent him
from being elected in the second term.
Now, I don't know if there was also any
chicannery with the votes itself. I
don't have any proof of that. But what
we do know is that they had a uh a
wellorganized from the top from the top
Obama plan to deny him a normal
presidential term. And I would argue if
you look at what he's accomplished in
his current term where he's now having
to do all this, you know, impeachment
hoax stuff, you can see the difference
between what it would look like if he
had been unfettered,
what where he is now, versus the way
they treated him and essentially denied
him a real presidential term. Now, you
could say, "Well, they denied him his
second term."
Or you could say they denied him his
first term.
You could say they denied him his first
term. He was president, but with such an
anchor on him that they put on him, it
was like he couldn't really serve his
term.
So, is that a good enough argument to
overcome the uh very clear wording in
the Constitution that you only get two?
No. No. The The only way that would fly
is if the Supreme Court
uh just went totally rogue.
Could they could the Supreme Court go
rogue and vote just by conservative
majority that Yeah, that is true. They
did steal his first term. We're going to
give it back to him.
I don't think so. I think that's too
far. I can't see Roberts going for that
at all. And not really the other ones
either. I can't see Kavanagh. I can't
see any of them any of them voting for
it, frankly. I think it would be 09.
But that's the best argument I have.
It's not terrible. I just don't think it
would pass any kind of scrutiny.
All right.
[sighs and gasps]
All right. Uh, here's more of this. Uh,
is the media changing to be more right
leaning? So, now that Barry Weiss is
going to be taking over CBS News or
already has, I'm not sure where that is.
Uh, but somebody pointed out that uh
Margaret Brennan
uh in in her interview with Hakee Jeff
seemed a little more rightle leaning
than what they expected.
ask you off my notes.
I've got a cat of my notes. So, uh, she
was pointing out that, uh, Hakeim Jeff
and all the Democrats have been saying
forever that, uh, Trump is a monster for
claiming that the 2020 election was
rigged and that if you claim elections
are rigged, you you can't be a
politician in this country because
you're just starting stuff.
So, uh, but Jeff himself is saying that
the, uh, the gerrymandering that Trump
and others want to do is rigging the
election. Somehow he's ignoring the fact
that all of the 100% of the Democrat
states have already gerrymandered and
that California is going to do some more
and maybe maybe Massachusetts, too. So,
his argument is stupid.
Uh but uh Brennan actually challenged
him on the fact that uh he said rigging
the election is the worst thing you
could say while he says that rigging the
election is what's happening.
But he's arguing that he's not talking
about the election that happened, but
rather he's warning that the
gerrymandering would be like rigging an
election. Is that a good enough nuance?
No. Um it was good to see uh good to see
him challenged on that. I'm not sure we
would have seen that challenge before.
So, that does look to me like the news
CBS is moving a little bit to the right.
We'll see. Gavin Newsome was on some
podcast in which he said that the
anti-woke stuff is just antilack.
Period. Full stop. What if I taught you
about people who say period full stop?
It means they know it's not true.
[laughter]
Do you know why people put period full
stop at the end of a sentence? Because
they didn't have a reason.
If you had a reason, you'd sort of slot
that in there. So here, let me give you
an example of when you don't need it.
Um, if you don't reopen the government,
people will not give food and they'll be
hungry.
Did I need to say full stop period? No.
No. Because as soon as you heard people
won't get fed,
argument is made. I'm done with my
argument. If but if you say something
like this, anti-woke stuff is just
antilack. Period. Full stop. You're
really saying I don't want to debate any
nuance of this thing [laughter]
cuz I [clears throat] don't even believe
it myself.
Um,
I I have to say, you know, being
completely immersed in the conservative
worldview as I often am, I don't really
see anybody talk about DEI as being
antilack.
I've literally never heard that. I've
never I've never suspected it.
[laughter] I've never thought it was
like between the lines. It's entirely
Stop being anti-white.
It's not the same. If you want if you
want the world to stop discriminating
against, in my case, white men,
how is that antilack?
It's just not.
So, so notice my uh my argument. My
argument has a reason that the actual
people I know I've observed for 10 years
don't have any antilack
rationalizations even even in private
like private conversations. Nobody talks
like that. Literally nobody talks like
that. All they say is I got
discriminated against and I don't want
to be discriminated against. So I'm not
in favor of being discriminated against.
I don't want my kids to be discriminated
against.
It has nothing to do with what black
Americans do or do not get out of life.
It just has to do with your own
discrimination that you don't like it.
So Gavin, but I will I will give him uh
credit that he uh he did reframe that in
a way that politically might be
powerful. But what I like what I like
about uh any of the conversations about
black America and who's getting what and
reparations, all that. Have you noticed
there's always a Thomas Soul quote that
fits the story? And somebody always puts
it in the comments to every one of these
X reports. So here are the Thomas Soul
quotes that somebody stuck in the story
about Gavin Newsome
saying anti-woke stuff is just antilack.
Thomas Sell so famous black economist
who is widely widely beloved on the
right
probably more than the left because he's
more of a he's more of a conservative uh
take care of yourself kind of a guy. So
one of his quotes somebody stuck in
there is that when people get used to
preferential treatment equal treatment
seems like discrimination.
Boy was that on target. That's exactly
on target. That getting rid of DEI is
not it's not crippling black people.
It's simply taking away an obvious
advantage that they had been enjoying.
So if you take away somebody's obvious
advantage, they're going to think you're
discriminating against them. Thomas.
Then there was a second one on the the
same comment thread. Uh also Thomas. He
says it is usually feudal to try to talk
facts and analysis to people who are
enjoying a sense of moral superiority
and their ignorance.
Exactly. So, so when somebody like uh
Newsome
says that uh the the anti-woke is really
anti-lack,
don't you think he's
I think he was talking to a black
podcaster if I recall. I'm not sure.
Fact check on that. But don't you think
he was sort of leaning into his sense of
moral superiority?
That's what that was, right? He he was
leaning into his moral superiority.
Thomas Soul nails it.
Speaking of that, Fox News Preston
Misella is writing that the University
of Washington, they had a job posting
that required some DEI stuff and one of
their white professors did a video
totally outing them about what you have
to say to get hired. So, if you're
whoever you are, you don't even have to
be white, but you have you have to say a
statement about DEI. It used to be that
you just had to say, "Do you like DEI?"
Yeah, I like DEI. Okay. All right, you
can be hired. But now you have to go
deeper.
You have, according to the professor,
this white professor, he says, you have
to say that you have deep knowledge of
the DEIS in order to get a high rating
on all this.
He says, the funny thing is, I'm
convinced uh I would not be hired if I
applied today. So, he's currently one of
the highest rated uh teachers. He won
the distinguished teaching award at his
university and he believes there's
there's actually no way that he would
ever be hired.
So that's your world. So if you were to
allow this um
this distinguished teaching award guy to
be hired at that university, you would
say, "Oh, that's a that's an even
playing field."
But
I if you insist that it has to be a DEI
loving uh candidate,
it's kind of like a special treatment
that if I had special treatment, I
wouldn't want to take it away. But
Thomas soul rings in my mind.
All right. President Biden came out and
called these the dark days. I've heard
some others say that recently. the
Democrats that they keep saying that the
the dark days are here and the bad
stuff's happening. And I keep saying
where where's the dark stuff? Where's
the bad stuff? And then they would add
things like, well, Democrats are
preventing 43 million people from eating
today.
And I think, okay, that's that is dark.
But that wasn't Republicans. Republicans
are open to feed them today.
just vote on it. We'll feed them today.
Um, and then you go down the list of
what what is the other dark stuff? Was
it the solving of all those wars and the
fact that Gaza is under control and the
fact that Ukraine and Russia, you know,
we're working as hard as we possibly can
to deescalate that before super winter
kicks in? Where's the dark part? Is it
the fact that the tariffs worked, that
inflation's under control, that eggs and
gas prices are down, but beast's a
little high, but we're working on it.
Where is all the darkness?
[laughter]
Is it because we stopped doing uh
transitioning youth? Is that the
darkness?
Feels like an upgrade.
But, uh, as I've told you before, back
in 2016 when the Democrats started
calling everything that Trump did dark,
you say that because you don't have
specific
um, credible complaints.
You do it because it can collect all of
your fears.
The Democrats are not about policy.
They're about fear and about uh,
personal attack. If they can make you
afraid, then they can get elected.
So, when they say stuff like dark, but
they don't give you any details of what
exactly is the dark part, what are we
missing?
Uh, the reason they can't give you
details is if they did, you'd say, "Oh,
well, that looks like temporary." Or or,
"Well, yeah, that's true, but Trump's
working on that." Or, "Nobody solved it
before." Right? So they can't give you
reasons because if they gave you reasons
it would look weak and pathetic and you
know not common sense
but uh they can say it's dark. The dark
days have come. Uh Eric Swallwell
[laughter] I didn't even I didn't think
this was real but I think it's real.
When I first saw it I thought that can't
be real. So, Swallwell has said uh now
on social media that the only Democrat
candidate who would be uh let's say um
the only valid presidential candidate
for the Democrats would be somebody
willing to say in advance that they
would bulldoze the ballroom if they won.
That's a real thing that happened.
Swallwell actually, and by the way, if
I'm wrong about, please correct me
immediately so I don't go too far. It
doesn't look like something that's real,
does it? It doesn't look like it's real
because it's too on the nose. It's too
on the nose for what what like the
dumbest Democrat would say.
But is it real?
I I believe it's being treated as real,
right?
And can you even imagine bulldozing a
$350 million
building that even the Democrats have
been saying they've needed for decades?
[clears throat] Is that the dumbest
thing you've ever seen?
and and to imagine that maybe the
Democrats have enough of a base that
would agree with this
that he would think that saying it would
somehow boost his political
um situation.
That's incredible.
Well, Russia Ukraine has turned into two
movies on one screen. Uh depending on
which propaganda site you look at, it's
a completely different war.
[clears throat]
So there's somebody named Yasmina on X.
Don't know anything about Yasmina. Do
not I do not believe
that anybody on X is credible when it
comes to the war. But I'll just give you
a sense of the two sides what they're
saying. Um
Yasm means on the side that uh Russia's
economy is close to collapse
and uh that's one movie and the the
other movie is that Ukraine is going to
lose all of its energy resources before
winter and freeze to death and that
Russia has never been serious as they
are now about turning off the power in
Ukraine and now that Ukraine is
attacking them deep within Russia and
taking out some of their energy
resources that Russia will have no no
gating factor to keep them from taking
out all of Ukraine's
um energy. It looks like what they want
to do is make half of Ukraine go dark to
force the people who lived in the dark
part to move to the part that still has
energy, which is would essentially clear
out a big swath that they can just
reenter it. make it would make it easier
to conquer if they moved down to all the
people who didn't have electricity.
So that looks like the the movie. Both
of them trying to crush the other's
economy and they have much better
weapons this winter than they had last
winter. So the odds of them being able
to do it in both cases are now closer to
I don't know closer to 100%. Maybe not
100%.
But I don't think they could have done
it before. I think they could do it now.
And I guess uh Ukraine sent 193 drones
at at Russia just last night. So most of
them get shot down these days, but 193
drones a night going after your energy
resources. How many nights do you need
before you get them all? So, and I guess
one of their biggest refineries got shut
down in Russia, but again, you don't
even know if that's real. So, all all
the fog of war stuff is completely
impossible to sort through. So, um
but the US is working on reducing uh
Russia's access to oil. And again, it's
two movies on one screen. One movie says
that the US is making a big difference
and that the uh the sanctions that we
put on uh third party countries like
India and China are actually making them
change their behavior.
So in the short run, India and China
aren't really changing their importing
of Russian oil. In the long run, it
looks like they might want to avoid the
problems that the sanctions will cause
them. So, it looks like they might be
looking for alternatives and that the
only thing that would keep them from
getting off of Russian oil, which would
bring them problems in their own country
from the United States, uh might be just
having another source
and that might not be impossible.
So, if things ramp up in other places,
but we'll see. And then uh apparently
there's a not a glut of oil, but there's
a extra oil being pumped in the Middle
East. That's probably at least partly
from Trump's influence because if the
price of oil stays around $60 a barrel,
then our, you know, our domestic
industry survives, but Russia would have
way less money to press the war. They
would also probably survive, but they
wouldn't have the extra for the war that
they would want.
So anyway,
fog of war.
I saw an old uh an older post from
February by AI pioneer founder kind of
guy, Andre Carpathy, and he had
something interesting to say about
intelligence
versus what we call agency.
>> [clears throat]
>> Agency in this case is u defined as a
personality trait that refers to your
capacity to take initiative, make
decisions and exert control over your
actions in your environment. That would
be your agency. And uh what Karpathy
points out is that we already have a lot
of intelligence.
So our our AIs are doing good on
intelligence. they can they can often or
usually beat a human being on what they
know. So that's a kind of intelligence,
but what they don't have is agency.
And that until you start building agency
into the robots and the AI, um you don't
have what you need. So I don't know how
you could give them agency without them
being too dangerous.
So we'll see see where that goes.
General Motors says they're getting
closer to what they call an eyes off
vehicle. They they want to make a
vehicle where you don't have to watch.
Sort of like the Tesla model,
self-driving, but it doesn't look like
they're that close. I think they've got
one really expensive car that they think
they'll be able to do it with, the
Cadillac.
Um,
and then they want to build Gemini AI
into their cars, so you could just talk
to the car and have it do what you want.
Remember I always I always talk to you
about products that have never been
tested.
Have you ever been in a car with even
one other person and tried to use a
voice command for anything? Have you
ever been in a room where you wanted to
use a voice command on your phone, but
there were other people in the room?
Does it work? Never.
it. If you are obviously doing a voice
command to your car or your phone, all
of your guests and everyone around you
will pretend they can't see that you're
doing that and they will talk normally
and then they'll turn on the music and
you'll be like,
seriously, you don't see that I'm giving
a voice command to my phone right now.
You you can't tell that I'm doing that
and you're just talking right over it.
It never works.
you you'd have to have a a long trip by
yourself with the with the radio off.
And who does that? You'd have to turn
off the radio every time you talk to
your car.
Anyway, I think GM's way behind.
Um,
here's an article from Science, Dr.
Katie Spalding. Do you guys know how the
2,000 calories a day recommendation for
humans came about? Do you ever wonder
about that? Like who came up with 2,000
calories is sort of the baseline? And
there's a long story to it, but
basically it's just it's just made up.
It's just a number that a bunch of
people sat in the committee and said,
"How about 2,00?" Well, you know, big
people who um were getting ready for a
competition, they might need more. Yeah,
but 2,000 is a round number. So
basically, the reason it's 2,00 instead
of 2350, which they think might have
been a more accurate number, is that
it's easier to remember 2,000. So they
can manipulate people easier if they
said 2,000 instead of 2350. And of
course, everybody should be getting it,
you know, their own their own amount
based on how big they are.
Roman.
What's about a Roman?
That was quite a whale.
Wow.
All right, you'll take care of himself.
All right. So, yeah, everything about
nutrition is made up and fake and all
the science around it is sketchy and
ridiculous.
So, there's that.
Um, Israel says that they're not in
favor of Turkey taking a security role
in Gaza. Why is that big news? Well,
it's big news if Turkey had been willing
to do it. That would have been pretty
big news. Um, I don't know if they're
willing, but uh, Israel says they're the
ones who get to decide which other Arab
countries do security and nobody else
gets to decide. And I agree. Obviously,
Israel would have to be okay with
whoever goes in there, but that does
eliminate
what I thought was the most likely
contender for this security. What would
be next? Would they say yes to Saudi
Arabia? Would they say yes to Jordan?
Who would they say yes to who had a
dependable military? Because the
dependable military is a big part,
right? can't be everybody.
Well, here's my prediction. I believe
that as I said before that Netanyahu
loses if what happens after the end of
the war is Gaza gets rebuilt, Hamas has
a role in it and uh in the end um
there's there's no one-state solution
cuz all of that was possible if
Netanyahu had been allowed to you just
take it to the ultimate conclusion which
would have taken a few years but 100
years from Now, as I say, if Netanyahu
had turned the entire West Bank and Gaza
into Israel and it just was one big
country, if he had pulled that off in
the short run, of course, he would just
be called a war criminal and whatever is
the worst criticisms you can come up
with, genocidal maniac in the short run.
But if you waited a hundred years, it
would be a big statue to him and he
would be the greatest Israeli who ever
lived because he created the greater
Israel.
So he was you. Now, of course, I can't
read his mind, but it's obvious
that he didn't want a two-save solution,
and it's obvious that if he'd had his
way for a few more years, probably could
have gotten just about anything he
wanted.
But, uh, Trump stood in. And Trump took
the credit for ending the war. He took
the credit, but he also ended the
killing, most of it. You know, still a
little bit going on, but he ended most
of it. So, I don't disagree with Trump
putting a big old Trump boot on that
whole situation because that's America
first. It It's not America first to have
a one-state solution. It's probably
America first to have something that's
neither first neither one nor two which
is where we are now.
So here's my prediction. Netanyahu will
stall as long as he can and uh Trump
leaves office, if he leaves office after
this term, uh assuming he does, that
Gaza will look pretty much the way it
looks now and that there will be no
hurry to clean it up or make it to make
it more habitable because Netanyahu
might want to just wait for Trump to be
out of office and then see if he's got a
little more flexibility if that happens.
That's what I'd do if I were Netanyahu.
I would pretend I was on board and I
would be tapping Trump along and not
doing any cleanup.
Uh, and that's why I would say that it's
not done. It's like, well, that cleanup,
if if only if only you would give us a
billion dollars for the cleanup, we'd
start right away. And we'd be like, why
are we paying? And then there would be
an argument over the funding. And then
Netanyahu can say, no, we want to clean
it up as fast as possible. We just don't
have the funds. So if one of you wants
to give us a billion dollars, we'll be
all over that. We'll get that cleaned up
right away. So there's probably a
hundred ways that you can stall and make
it look legitimate. Well, we still got a
pocket of resistance there. Well, we
still got to do some toxic cleanup.
Well, we still got to get a security
security situation that we could be
happy with. Yeah. Do not expect Gaza to
turn into a gleaming city
full of Gazins returning. All right,
ladies and gentlemen,
that's what I got for you today. Boy, is
my timing good. Excellent timing. Uh,
I'm going to say a few words privately
to the locals people who are my beloved
my beloved local subscribers. The rest
of you, thanks for joining.
Hope I added a little bit of something
to your day.
All right, locals coming at you
privately in 30 Thanks.