Episode 3003 CWSA 10/29/25

Good morning.

Come on in.

We're going to have a show today.

We will not cover up my cat with my microphone.

This is Roman the cat who's decided that laying on my right hand would be a good way to start the morning.

He's not wrong.

All right, let me see if I can get your comments working before we get busy.

And by busy, I mean having fun.

Yeah, you're done.

You're done, Roman.

What do you want to do this morning?

Lay on my notes.

Would that be fun?

Would you like to lay on top of my notes and slow down the show?

I know you would.

You'd love that.

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Perfect.

Really?

How would like how would you like to start with a reframe?

Of course you would.

That's what we do here from my book.

Reframe your brain.

Available everywhere.

No, not really.

Just available on Amazon.

All right.

Pick a new one.

Um, here's one.

Oh, I did that one yesterday.

So, we're on the next page.

Um, here's one that I used to great effect during my school years.

And uh, I never said it explicitly, but it was the reframed in my head.

So, the normal frame for school is that school is boring, but necessary.

I mean, most people would say, uh, I wouldn't do this for fun, but, you know, it's necessary.

So, the reframe for school is boring, but necessary, is that school is a competitive event.

Game on.

So, when I knew a test was coming up in school, I didn't say, "Oh, this is going to be so boring to study for the test." I said to myself, "Oh, competition.

I I can I can beat the other people in this class, but only if I study.

So, I would treat a uh academic test the same way I'd treat any physical contest.

You know, if I were planning to play soccer or play tennis or something, I would likewise practice and maybe the practice would be boring just like school.

But as long as I thought I was working toward a contest while I was practicing, I was imagining the contest and I was imagining winning the contest if I could.

So that's the reframe.

Treat it the same way you would a physical contest and say if I study and I take on more pain and more practice than my than my fellow students, I will get a better grade than they will.

If I get better grades than they they do, I might get a better job than they got.

And so you just look look at the winning.

That's your reframe.

By the way, if you're wondering where the the this year's Dilbert calendar is, the calendar is complete and we're we're ready to list it, but there are so many counterfeits that that uh front run me.

If you go to Amazon, there'll just be pages.

They may have taken them down by today, but as of yesterday, there were pages of fakes, and most of them had the same trick.

They spelled Dilbert with a space, as in DI space.

And apparently that's all they needed to do to get past Amazon's Amazon's security to list my property for sale by them.

I assume they're all Chinese pirates, but it's a whole page, a whole page of calendars.

They have other people's names on them, but it's Dilbert.

It's a completely useless system.

The only reason I can even sell that thing and I we haven't sold too many yet, but the only reason we can list it on Amazon is that I've been assigned um nicely and this this is to Amazon's credit.

They do assign me a person to take that down.

So, we have a specific person I can call and he's specifically in charge of making sure my calendars work out uh within that little corner of Amazon.

So, we're getting good help and and when we and when we request that they take down the pirates, they do act and they do act fairly quickly.

But the problem is as soon as they take them down, they'll just be replaced.

If they take down 20, they'll be 100 by tomorrow.

I don't even know how this is a viable business anymore.

So, I'll tell you I'll tell you in a few weeks whether it's even anything I could do again, you know, should I be here?

There's always that.

Anyway, I'll keep you updated on that.

Akira the Dawn has uh wants you to know he's released his new music video.

It's called What You Think About the Most.

And the reason I mention it is because I'm the feature voice.

If you haven't seen Akira the Dawn's work, it's really fascinating.

PE people love it.

Uh what he does is he takes people like me who have said things in public that are interesting and then he uses that as the uh the lyrics.

I don't want to call it lyrics because it's me talking and not singing, but he'll sample things that I said from the podcast.

put it to music, you know, give it a a video element and suddenly he's got a he's got a music video and people like him.

So, they're not all about me.

Some other influencer types are in his catalog, but check it out.

Just look for Akira the Dawn, spelled A K I R A.

The Dawn.

You'll find it on X.

I'm sure it's on You.

Tube, too, but look for it on X.

Well, we're expecting a interest rate cut today, maybe a quarter of a point.

Stock market is already responding to that and the fact that Trump seems to be having success in his uh Asian trip.

Maybe there'll be something with China coming up.

We'll talk about that in a minute.

But in the short run, everything seems to be set up for higher stocks and the Fed probably will give us a quarter point and maybe some extra cuts later.

We're all looking optimistic about this.

But how much of that stock market rise is spread across all of the stocks and how much of it is an AI bubble?

Well, Nvidia is tapping on the door of being worth $5 trillion.

Just one company, Nvidia.

Five trillion.

Now, does that sound like a bubble to you?

I don't know what else that could be.

If that's not a bubble, I've never seen a bubble in my life.

I've seen a lot of bubbles.

There's no way in the world that's worth5 trillion dollars.

Because it's not like they have no competition or that they'll never have competition or that we'll never find out that maybe there was a some other way to do this cheaper.

What would happen if somebody came up with a way to do this cheaper?

Well, let's go to Elon Musk who says this.

Um, he came up with an idea on one of his earnings calls.

Nick Cruz Betain is talking about this.

Apparently, since every Tesla car is also a little computer and they're allworked, that it wouldn't take a ton of work, says Elon Musk, to turn the the collective cars that are on the road into an AI inference engine such that if you wanted to use AI and you were in your car, you could talk to your car and the car would use all of the computing in the entire network just the a a data center would.

So you wouldn't need a data center.

You would just need the cars that are already on the road and suddenly you have AI and then of course they're you hear all the people who are making their own local AI models.

You know they use deepseek or something else and uh they're building you know home office AIs that don't even have any connection to the rest of the world.

So, are none of these things none of these things are a threat to Nvidia?

I mean, I'm no expert in this domain, but you think they'd have some competitive threats, even if it's not those.

Anyway, $5 trillion.

Good luck with that.

Um, here's my experience.

So, yesterday, was it yesterday I tried?

I I thought, you know, I'm going to look into this again.

And I looked into it about two years ago and AI couldn't do it.

But I thought by now it can do it.

And it what I'm talking about is not hallucinating.

And I thought, okay, I have to create one of these special databases called a rag or a vector vector database the AI can use without errors.

Allegedly, I didn't believe it necessarily could, but I wanted to build one.

And so I went to Grock and I said, "How do I do this?" and it recommended a few apps.

One of them is called Pine Cone.

So I said to Grock, "If I use this Pine Cone app, uh, is this going to allow me to build a database that will be reliable and not hallucinate with AI?" and I said yes that the Pine Cone app would allow me to easily create one of these files because I was teasing Grock and saying Grock, if you would know how to use one of these files, couldn't you tell me how to build one and couldn't you build it yourself and just say fill this file or fill this database and I'll be able to read this every time?

Why do I have to build it?

Like why am I even involved?

We we've got a $5 trillion AI company, but a human is the only person who can figure out how to format the database.

AI can't do that for five trillion dollars.

So, so then I said to myself, aha, I'm going to beat the system.

So, I'm gonna have uh Grock walk me through what I need to do technically.

So, that basically Grock will do it, but I'll just be the one typing on the keyboard.

So, then I open Pine Cone and it has its own set of instructions how to do it, but they didn't work.

What if I told you instructions on how to do anything technical in 2025?

No matter where the instructions came from, whether they came from the company that does the product or AI or your smart technical friend or the people on X who gave you advice, which one of them accurately will tell you how to solve any technical problem?

The answer is none of them.

every one of them will have a confident answer of what menu choice you should use that doesn't exist.

So that's the first thing.

So the pine cone instructions, I couldn't get them to work.

So then I take Grock and I point it at the screen and I say, "Why isn't this working?" And Grock says, "Oh, those those instructions are wrong." So, so instead of pip just give you one example.

One of the commands you're supposed to do in this terminal window is pip pip.

And then Grock says that doesn't work on a Mac.

Like what?

I I'm looking at the the company's own page of what command to use.

PIP.

And then Grock says, "No, it has to be pip 3 if it's a Macintosh." Who's right?

Well, PIP 3 didn't work either, right?

And if I were to ask somebody to help me with it, they would say, "Do this command instead of those two commands." And it wouldn't work.

In 2025, no one can tell you what to do that works.

It just doesn't work.

So, so what I found so far is that anytime I want to do anything, now obviously I'd be in the smallest of small business category, but anytime I've thought I want to do something with AI, any kind of project, any kind of business initiative, do you know how every time it ends, it ends the same way every time somebody says you're going to have to hire somebody to do that for you.

That's right.

Every single use of AI that I've concocted, and there are a lot of them.

You know, if you can imagine all the ways that the Dilbert creator and a podcaster can use AI, it's a lot.

The things I imagine I could do with it would be amazing.

Like, I would have a I would have an AI um cohort here that I would just like, you know, talk to.

Um I would make my comics with AI.

I'd have a I'd have a clone that would answer your questions about me and about my books.

I mean, all kinds of AI amazing things I would do.

And every single one requires me to hire more humans.

And you know what would happen if I hired more humans to do that work?

I wouldn't need AI.

The AI is to replace the humans.

But you can't do anything without a human.

And I'm pretty sure that even with a human, you can't make a database that works.

So that's my complaint about AI.

Anyway, uh Elon says that Tesla autonomous driving might spread faster than any technology ever.

And I think he's right.

And the argument for that is that the they've been working for years to have the cars ready to just flip a switch.

So when he flips the switch to autonomous driving and I believe that they've already satisfied every safety test that you could do.

So it's already safer than human drivers.

When they flip the switch, it'll be just this enormous footprint of autonomous cars that went from non-existing to existing with just one software flip.

He's right.

That will be the fastest spread of any technology ever.

So that'll be fun.

Apparently UPS trying to adjust to this new world is using gig drivers for deliveries.

Gig meaning that they're not the regular UPS drivers.

But if if UPS has, let's say, you know, one small package that has to go to one place in your neighborhood, it might not be worth sending the UPS truck there.

But they might have somebody who had signed up to be a occasional delivery person and they get a message that says, "Hey, take this package over here." And apparently there's a lot of that happening.

Esther fun is writing about this in Wall Street Journal.

So if I were a package delivery company, I'd be really worried about the Tesla autonomous cars and the Whimos and everything that works within a human.

Well, most of the news is about Elon Musk if it's technology news.

So, Groipedia is launching or launched.

Uh, they may have had to pull it back just to do some tweaks, but I think it's launched now.

Mario on X's writing about this.

What do you get from Graipedia versus Wikipedia, which is a good question.

First of all, Wikipedia will be done by humans who are who are going to be arguing about what's true and what's not.

Uh, Groipedia is an AI creation.

So, in a sense, it's trained trained on humans, but it would know everything that Wikipedia knows plus some people would say 10 times as much.

Uh, but also it's shooting specifically for less bias that the the human Wikipedia would have, which leans left, we all say.

But what's different?

Uh, what's different is the human editors can't ruin it.

Uh, what's different is it's real-time updates.

If you're on Wikipedia and something happens, you have to kind of hope somebody noticed and took the time to change it and then the other editors didn't delay it too long.

And but um Graedia will just look at the news and it'll know what's happening right now.

U let's see what else we can do.

Uh so have newer citations, no humans, and uh Elon calls it a necessary step toward understanding the universe.

That's a big claim, but probably valid.

I think I'd agree with that.

And uh yeah, so this this might be the Wikipedia that you wanted but didn't get.

Um and as uh Mario says, the real test is whether Graedia can prove that AI generated content is more reliable and less biased than the humans on Wikipedia.

Do you think it'll be able to do that?

So, you know, I have an advantage over non-public figures because I can look at what both Wikipedia and Graedia say about me and I'm sort of the expert on me.

So, I I could have a sort of a perfect opinion about how accurate it is about complicated people like me.

Would you agree I'm complicated?

I'm kind of complicated, right?

Because if you even tried to describe me, have you ever tried to do that?

How many of you tried have ever tried to describe me to a friend or a family member and you found you couldn't do it right?

I want to see your comments.

See, the problem is I have too many jobs.

If you say I'm the Dilbert cartoonist, you're leaving out 75% of who I am.

If you say I'm a podcaster, same problem.

If you say I'm an author of, you know, books that help people, same problem.

If you say I'm a a persuasion expert, same problem.

Because none of the things I do look like they fit together, right?

It it looks like I'm a miscellaneous.

So if you're if you're trying to describe a miscellaneous person as opposed to just say someone who's always been an author or someone who's only been a cartoonist, I'm kind of hard to describe.

Uh which I like, you know, it's not a problem, but uh so I I can test Wikipedia and Graipedia to see if they can handle a a complicated person.

And the answer is Graipedia is way better.

way better, but still it it could use some tweaks that maybe I maybe I can find a way to tweak it even though it's it's AI based.

Probably there's a way I can influence it.

I'm guessing, but I don't know this for sure that if I simply did an expost where I said, uh, I'm just doing this expost to show you what I think should be revised in my Graipedia page.

I think, but I don't know that Groipedia would read that almost immediately because it's always looking for what's new and that it would uh add that to its consideration uh even if it just showed it.

That's my opinion, not their opinion.

So, would that work?

I would love if that worked.

I I think I might try it if I have the time.

There's a humanoid robot for sale.

Wall Street Journal is talking about this.

It's called the the 1x Neo and uh so it's AIdriven robot.

But here's the creepy part.

It is not fully autonomous.

So for a number of uses, but not all of them, the company representative wearing, you know, the virtual reality glasses would be actually operating the robot in your house.

Now, since I know exactly what you're thinking and feeling right now, let me call it out.

You're saying, "Oh my god, that would be like having a stranger spying on you in your own house, and you would never know when they were looking and when they weren't looking.

That is the worst robot idea I've ever heard in my entire life.

Get out of here, Scott.

Stop it.

We don't want to live in small homes.

No tiny homes.

Get out of here with your 15-minute homes." Of course, we're not talking about any of that, but that's usually what I hear.

Um, but now let me give you a reframe.

You ready?

I would buy that robot tomorrow.

And I would allow a complete stranger into my house when I didn't know if they were watching.

Do you know why?

Cuz I'm a senior and I I need at the point at the moment I need something like full-time care.

at least, you know, somebody in the neighborhood who could call the 911 if I need it.

I don't need much, you know, not hands-on.

I don't need any hands-on care yet.

But, uh, if you didn't have a family member or a friend who could look after you when you're in your declining years, you would totally take the robot.

You would totally take it.

And if somebody said, "Oh, it's not always a robot.

Sometimes there's a human in it." Do you know what I'd say?

Better.

That's better.

And then somebody say, "But they'll be spying on you." In which I'll say, "Have I mentioned I'm a senior?

What the hell do you think I'm doing in my house?

Do you think I'm running, you know, burning man in my house?

If you spied on me, you'd see me sitting in a chair, zoned out on painkillers, waiting for the my next dose, or you'd see me just staring at my phone while it plays reals.

What the hell do I think I'm hiding?

I'm not hiding anything.

If they saw me doing bongs, do do you think they'd call the police?

It's legal.

I don't do anything illegal.

So, yes, there's a there's a niche in which a totally steal your privacy robot could insert a total stranger from another country into my house and I'd be okay with it because it'd be better than the alternatives.

Now, in my case, I have human alternatives, so I don't need the robot, but you know what I mean.

Not everybody has that option.

Hurricane Melissa has hit Cuba.

I guess it was a category 3 storm by the time it hit Cuba.

And uh it was a five category 5 storm when it hit Jamaica.

So, it did Jamaica some badness.

You know, I've been thinking a lot about Cuba lately because of the Venezuela thing and uh the odds that if Venezuela's oil revenue no longer props up Cuba that Cuba would become immediately a really big problem uh for Cuba, but then would that become a problem for us?

Would Cuba not be just letting everybody get in a boat and come to America because they can't feed them?

So, I think this Cuba thing, we're going to have to keep an eye on that.

I don't know if don't know if the Trump administration has a a workable plan for what is likely to happen if if Venezuela goes balls up.

Um, according to Roger Pilky Jr.

on X, is is that the son of Roger Pilky Senior?

Well, obviously yes.

But who is the uh somewhat well-known climate change critic?

Did they or is that the actual critic?

I don't know who Junior is, but I think he's probably from the, you know, climate change sort of skeptic family, but I'm not positive about that, so don't don't quote me.

Um, Barti is telling us that the uh there's a new study about uh uh extinctions and uh unexpectedly they say the researchers found that in the last 200 years there was no evidence of increasing extinction from climate change.

Didn't you think there was all kinds of evidence?

At least I've been claimed.

You You might not have believed it, but weren't there claims that climate change was already killing entire species.

Apparently, there's no evidence of that whatsoever.

There there have been studies that show that they did that it was, but the newest one says no.

No.

If you analyze it correctly, there were way more extinctions in the old days.

And it's very rare to have an extinction.

And when you do have an extinction, they have a specific reason for it, such as it's an island and then some, let's say, invasive species came to the island and ate all the other species.

So that's not climate change.

That's just it sucks to live on an island if the alligators come to your island.

Then the other one was I guess in some some uh water water environments where they also can't get away.

So it's more about whether the the things that are already there, the species that are living there have a way to run away if things get bad.

If they can't run away because they're locked in a lake or they're locked in an island, sooner or later something's going to come for them and they can't get away.

Well, I was thinking about talking about this topic, but the news served it up perfectly in time.

I've been watching with um great interest CNN's pivot from being a left-leaning piece of garbage to what the new owners hope will be something like a middle of the road CNN was always intended to be.

I think a middle of the road really just tell you the facts.

Do you think they're succeeding?

I believe they are and I'm actually kind of impressed.

Now, do they still lean a little bit left?

Yeah.

Yeah.

But, uh, Abby Phillip, who who I've criticized before, she was, uh, she was a proponent of the fine people hoax before she had her current assignment as CNN.

So, I started off with a negative opinion of her and as her show uh as her show got a lot of traction and a lot of clips, I maintained my negative opinion cuz I didn't think she was I just didn't think she was up to the job, honestly.

Uh uh however, as I've been watching, cuz you know, Scott Jennings causes everybody to go watch.

He's an amazing hireer for them.

Um my observation is that she's just getting better and better at her job and she's a young person so you you'd expect that.

So I would say at this point she has achieved uh admirably.

I will compliment her on this.

I believe that she's built her talent sack pretty much right up to where CNN would want it to be for hosting that show.

And I've seen her I've seen her on a number of times uh interrupt a lefty who was making a claim that just wasn't true.

So we have seen her fact check people who were on the left if they were just going into garbage territory which I appreciate.

But she was on the uh she was just on the uh Charlemagne's show, Charlemagne the God.

And I I'll give it to you in her voice.

She says, "It's fair to say that CNN, we're not Fox News, but we're also not MSNBC." Okay, that's that's good framing.

We're probably center left.

Correct.

That's what I observe.

And I think it has a lot to do with our audience.

Correct.

Correct.

If if you say we're serving our audience and they're center left, I'm okay with that.

I mean, Fox News is serving their audience, they're Republicans.

I'm okay with that.

MSNBC is serving their audience, which are uh people with mental problems.

I'm not okay with that, but at least it keeps them busy.

Uh and uh and then Abby says, and I believe this is true, too, by the way.

I saw this in Jason Cohen post on X.

Give him credit.

Uh, Abby says that CNN is left center, has more Republican voices and more diversity of views than either MSNBC or Fox News.

Damn it, you're right.

That is that's true.

That CNN at the moment, now this has not been true forever, but at the moment, I'm pretty sure she's right that CNN has more diversity on than the other two networks.

Now, to be fair, do you know why Fox News doesn't have more lefty people on it?

It's not because they don't want them.

It's because if they invited them, they wouldn't come.

So, apparently CNN still has the ability to invite Republicans.

And where do Republicans go when they're invited?

Wherever they're invited.

So, if they're invited on CNN, they go on CNN.

If they're invited on MSNBC, they go on MSNBC.

If they're invited on the Charlemagne's Breakfast Club, they go on Charlemagne show.

It just doesn't work the other way.

So, I think the one thing that Abby might have added for context is that it's not always an option for Fox News because they're so reviled that uh people think just associating with them would be some kind of mistake.

Fed Federman or a few people might be exceptions, you know, but mostly mostly uh I'm sure that Fox would like to have, you know, more lively debates with leftists because they think they would win those and it would be good TV.

MSNBC is telling us that today marks the first day of air traffic controllers not getting a full paycheck.

So, would you feel comfortable flying on the first day that the air controllers didn't get paid?

I'm going to say I wouldn't.

I would not.

Uh I don't think anybody I know is in the air at the moment.

And I hope they don't because I don't know.

I wouldn't be comfortable with the air controllers not being paid if I'm in the air in this giant tube flying through the air.

No thank you.

But I hope we get that worked out.

It's weird that that air traffic that air traffic control job has been such a problem for so many decades ever since Reagan, right?

So, it's always been these guys can barely barely stay sane and the the the jets are barely staying in the air cuz it's just so hard and and it's been decades and we never have enough of them.

And there's always some problem about getting them paid.

Why is this the one place we can't solve?

And by the way, this should be the place that AI takes over completely.

In 10 years, if we have human air air traffic controllers and we have human pilots who are in charge of taking off and landing as opposed to just being sort of emergency people on the side, if any of this is run by humans in 10 years, oh my god, we're stupid.

Every plane should be AI.

Uh, and you know, it should be flying on its own.

It should be landing on its own, should be taking off on its own, and it definitely should have air traffic control be automated.

There's no way that this should be human driven.

It's just crazy that we're putting up with that level of risk.

But 10 years will be solved.

I I love this story, switching stories of Rand Paul trying to get what he would call justice for what he thinks are Fouch's crimes or at least mismanagement of the pandemic.

So, so Rand Paul was just on Benny Johnson's podcast.

By the way, Benny Johnson's doing a great job.

Have you noticed his his rise uh in terms of, you know, being an influential podcast on the right?

I I love watching the people on the right put together talent stacks and then make it work like right in front of you.

He's one of those.

So when I look at everything from Tucker starting his own whole deal there studio, you know, Megan Kelly dominating podcasting in my opinion, PBD runs a class operation, Benny Johnson suddenly has this, you know, this property that I assume he's going to monetize to the to the hilt and deserves every bit of it.

But when you look at them there, you can see them working the talent stack.

So part of the talent stack is networking and apparently all the good ones are great at it.

They network so they have people to invite etc.

The other is just managing a business because the podcast you know will eventually have engineers and producers and stuff.

So you got to be able to manage.

But the other part is managing your physicality which I always note that Benny's in really good shape and that helps.

I mean, if you have to look at something for an hour, I mean, I, you know, when I was healthier, I made sure that at least my arms were well worked out.

Not at the moment, but if you had to look at me, I would make sure that you were looking at my arms that at least been to the gym.

You know, Benny does that.

Uh, and the same with, you know, Megan Kelly.

Uh, same with the Candace Owens show.

well produced talent on every level that you could have talent from from looks to able to speak on camera to be able to put together the the content just amazing amazing when I watch the uh the leftleaning podcasts they're doing the best they can but they all seem a little bit artificial like they started with good-looking young people but I don't know that those people say anything that every other lefty wouldn't say.

So I don't know that they're really adding much.

Whereas if you look at the Joe Rogan's of the world and you know there just so many podcasters I could be mentioning so if I leave somebody out doesn't mean anything.

Um but the conservative ones all did it by bootstrapping like they just said you know here's how I started holding this phone up when it had Periscope on it.

the old app.

This is literally what you're what you're watching right now.

Me holding a phone up to my face.

That's how I started podcasting and I just put it on the app and oh, somebody's watching me.

I guess I should say something.

And then little by little because it was interesting and fun, I I developed this, you know, kind of bootstrapped it as well.

So anyway, that was just an aside.

I was talking about Rand Paul and uh Fouchy.

What what fascinates me about this is that if you assume that Rand Paul's claims are true and that Fouchi was directly responsible for allowing a virus to be experimented with in a unsafe environment and he he funded it that he was in charge of the business of managing the weaponized virus research as Rand Paul would say that he was the at least responsible if not the direct cause of 18 million deaths.

from the virus.

And we're not talking about the shots yet, but wouldn't that be the biggest story in the world?

How how many individuals like one person who's alive today and not in jail are being even accused of killing 18 million people?

18 million.

Come on.

Now, remember I told you that a story is not a story until the New York Times or the, you know, one of the big papers says it's a story.

This is one of those where if the New York Times decided this was the biggest story, it's all we'd be talking about, but they haven't.

They have not decided that.

Instead, they've decided that Ren Paul's a, you know, a rogue disagreeer guy and he makes some news.

But moving on, how in the world is that not the biggest story in the world?

I don't even know what side to be on.

I mean, I I don't know what's true and what's not true, but as a story, why isn't that the biggest one in the world?

It's because your opinions are assigned to you.

There is a reason.

Your opinions of what is important do not come from your own brain.

They are literally assigned from the outside.

That's That's just the cleanest example you'll ever see.

All right.

Uh Trump's in Asia.

So today, I guess he was in South Korea.

He believes he has a trade deal.

We don't know any details of that.

And we think the South Korean government has to approve it.

I think the boss approved whatever they're they talked about.

But uh like like the US when the Congress has to approve things.

Um, South Korea has some approval process they still need to do, but I guess we're optimistic that that'll get approved.

So, we might have a South Korea deal.

Don't know for sure.

And Trump is allegedly going to meet with China's she somewhere where he's in South Korea and area.

So, I guess they're going to have some kind of a talk.

And Trump is actually so optimistic about China.

That's probably partly why the stock market's up.

Um he he thinks that there's going to be a deal to reduce US tariffs on imports from China in exchange for here's the part I don't believe.

Um China trying harder to to block the fentinel precursors.

As you know, China produces the precursors that go to Mexico and then the cartels turn that into fentinel and then they kill tens of thousands of Americans every year.

Trump's been working on this for what, eight years uh and gotten no results whatsoever because part of the problem is that China uh says, "Oh, we're working very hard on these precursors and we've banned them." And then 5 minutes later, we find out that they're new precursors.

They're slightly different than the others, but you can also use them to make fentinel.

And then China will say, "Oh, those are not illegal yet.

we would have to make those specific ones illegal.

So we would say, why don't you do that?

So then they do that, but nothing happens fast.

And then they say, all right, we've clamped down on all of these precursors.

And then we say, but why are they still coming in at exactly the same rate?

Oh, well, those are slightly different again.

Yet again, those bad guys have come up with a slightly different thing that's not technically illegal.

We'll try to catch up with that.

Now, if you've lived in the real world for more than five minutes, this will sound to you like they're not really trying, not really trying to stop those precursors.

They're trying to make us think that they're doing something so that they can get something, which is, you know, us easing off on trade.

Uh but I don't believe they'll do anything.

If if China has gone this far with doing absolutely nothing but claiming they're working on it and and showing you some evidence that they're working on it, but not really stopping it.

Are are we going to do our part?

Are we going to give them the the tariff relief that they want when there's no real chance they're going to give us what we want?

or does Trump have a new approach that somehow I don't know what that would be.

Uh we would have some more let's say transparency or uh or we'd have some let's say more trust that China was actually trying to cut this down.

I don't know if this is any deal at all.

So I'll be optimistic and say uh if Trump thinks he can make this work that would be great.

Um, but I'm not going to hold my breath on fentinel.

All right.

Um, remember yesterday I was telling you that Japan and the Japanese culture is not just good at gift giving, but they're sort of the champions.

Like they can give a gift that will just be so special and so well thought out and, you know, so emotionally perfect.

The Japanese are just good at it.

the giftgiving.

So they they gave Trump the the putter that literally belonged to his his friend, you know, Abbe who when he was the prime minister.

Now that is a really good gift because they were golfing partners and you know it's a real thing and it was something that was probably very personally important to the prime minister is putter because he golfed.

If you're a golfer you you sort of have a relationship with your putter.

So that was that's an example of the best you could do in the giftgiving compared to South Korea.

And I'm not going to mock South Korea.

I'm just making a contrast.

What they gave him as a gift was the the Grand Order of Banga, the country's highest decoration.

Now, I'm sure that that is a great honor.

And if South Korea ever offered me the Grand Order of Magangwa, I would be very appreciative and I would uh I would respect that totally.

However, if it comes right after AB's putter, it barely looks like they're trying.

It looks like they took something off the shelf.

Uh what do we got?

I We can't figure out any good gifts.

And he just got this banger of a gift from Japan.

We can't top that.

What do we got?

Well, we've got this thing we sort of make up.

We call it the Grand Order of the Maguanga.

Why don't we give him one of those and we'll put it on a plaque so he doesn't have to put it around his neck.

And that's what they did.

Anyway, I don't mean to make fun of South Korea.

They're an awesome ally, but uh you got to catch up to Japan's gift giving.

Uh, as you know, there will be some things that I say about the Middle East that will make you think, "Wait a minute, is this a repeat?" No, it's because the Middle East is a repeat.

The most predictable thing about the Middle East was that Hamas would be accused of breaking the ceasefire.

What else is predictable?

Israel would be accused of killing people they shouldn't be killing.

you know that's going to happen.

So sure enough um Hamas says they were not behind it but there was some Hamas people who did some attacking Sha some IDF people.

Netanyahu decided to respond aggressively which is his right and he uh he responded militarily.

Now, I guess I guess Israel is saying that, you know, they they did their hit back and now they're good to go and the ceasefire is back on.

But even as I'm scrolling through the news, you have to check the exact time on every story because you can't tell if Okay, is this the end of the last broken ceasefire?

Are they ceasefired again?

No, wait.

No, there's another break in the ceasefire.

But wait, it looks like they're back on the ceasefire.

So, it'll it'll just be broken ceasefire after broken ceasefire forever.

But, as I've said before, as long as the total amount of violence stays low because most of the armed people and most of the arms have been drained out of the area, it's still manageable.

It's still manageable, but I don't think the ceasefire breaking is going to stop anytime soon.

Might get a good result.

We'll see.

Um, and uh, let's talk about Trump's third term.

So, apparently the news today is that Trump has admitted that it's not an option.

He said, quote, "It's pretty clear I'm not allowed to run.

It's too bad." Now, so he's just noting that the Constitution says there's there's no way he could have a third term.

Now, we had all greatly enjoyed watching him troll the left and act like act like maybe he'd do it.

And I don't think that Bannon is done.

And I think Bannon, who knows?

I can't read his mind.

He's he's a smart guy.

He's complicated.

So, I I won't I won't try to presume I can know what he's thinking, but I would assume that Bannon's gonna keep going with the third term stuff because, as I noted before, as long as the Democrats think there's some chance he might be here longer, they won't try to outweight him.

I saw Greg Gutfeld mentioning that theory yesterday on the show.

Now, he credited me with saying that, but I got that from somebody on X.

That wasn't my original.

I boosted it, but it wasn't my original thought.

It's a good thought that if you don't look like you're going to be there a while, people will try to ignore you like a lame duck.

So, that might have been what was behind this whole thing.

We don't know.

Um, but maybe what's behind it is Bannon just wants more Trump.

Could be just that.

But let's see now that so now that Trump has taken away one of their primary talking points on the left.

Will they say he's lying?

He really does want to be a king.

You have to look at what he's doing, not what he's saying.

Is that next?

That seems like the most obvious thing the Democrats would do.

Oh, he said it directly that he can't do it, but don't listen to what he says.

Watch what he does.

and he's doing authoritarian things.

Well, let's talk about his authoritarian things.

So, as you know, Trump's trying to reduce crime in the the high crime cities by flowing the National Guard in there.

So, here's an update on Memphis.

So, Memphis, apparently the well, allegedly that the crime rate has been falling for a while, but it's still one of the highest in the countries.

So, I don't know if it's been f really filing or not, falling or not, but it's it's one of the high crime areas.

And what I didn't know, so Wall Street Journal is filling me in today, that uh the mayor uh who I believe is a Democrat has actually been fighting crime aggressively.

So, he would be one of the, you know, reasonable people um who knew a priority and and went after it.

So, nobody is I don't think anybody's criticizing the mayor for his approach to crime in Memphis.

Now, that's kind of good, right?

That that there's at least one mayor who thinks, "Yeah, crime's actually really important.

We better do something about this." But that allowed him because he's he's not a crazy lefty anti-Trump no matter what he says kind of guy.

He's more common sensey.

that allowed him to work with Trump and his team.

So that now there I guess there are 150 National Guard in Memphis, but they don't have rifles.

They're not carrying rifles anyway.

And uh they're not traveling in armored vehicles.

So they're just a presence.

And apparently that's working.

Apparently just as a presence they say that it seems to be reducing crime.

Now, I don't know how that works exactly.

I mean, 150 people, that's not much.

How do you control a city's crime with 150 people at any given time?

Half of them are going to be napping, right?

There there won't be that many who are actually visibly on the street and and they're unarmed.

If they don't have rifles, it doesn't say if they don't have sidearms, but I'm guessing they don't, right?

So, so how does a few dozen unarmed people in uniform change the crime profile of an entire city?

How does that work?

But it looks like it is working, which is weird, but I don't know how it could work.

Anyway, so that's a good example of uh maybe maybe this story deserves some context that we're not getting cuz I've been skeptical from the start that you could make any permanent change by a temporary surge.

It doesn't feel like a temporary surge would ever create permanent reduced crime.

But maybe the threat of having Trump come in and do it because it shows that you can't do it.

Maybe that's the secret sauce.

Maybe the reason that a that a mayor would try harder to reduce crime is that they just can't let Trump come in and claim credit for it going down.

So maybe it has some utility in the long run, but that's the only way I could imagine it would have long run utilities if it changed if it change the behavior of the people who are going to be there after the National Guard leave.

And I don't know that that's demonstrated, but we'll see.

We'll be we'll be optimistic.

Well, News Nation has a pretty big scoop here.

Apparently, there were people reporting the Palisades fire was smoldering before the fire actually took off.

So, you'd probably know there was a fire before the fire.

Uh the fire before the Palisades fire that was in that same area uh was efficiently put out by the fire department.

And the fire department knows that even when you put out the fire, sometimes it will linger below the surface and continue burning and smoldering.

and you better watch it for a few days because it might might come back.

Now, that's a well-known firefighting thing.

Um, there is reports that the the fire department did not stay long enough uh to catch the fact that it was smoldering and eventually took off again.

Now, I'm no firefighter, so I won't imagine that they stayed the right amount or too long or not long enough, but here's the new scoop.

News Nation, there's actually video of hikers who saw the smoldering days before the actual fire and reported it with video.

They showed video of it smoldering and it still didn't get a fire department sitting on it to watch it.

Now, maybe there'll be some new reporting that makes that not look as bad as it is, but is this possible?

Is this possible that hikers I think might have been more than one, but there's at least one cuz I've seen the video where they actually took a video of the the ground smoldering, which everyone knows what that means.

It's literally a fire and everybody knew it was this dry area.

And uh what made it take off was the the weather, I guess.

You know, the high winds probably gave it that little extra spark.

Wow.

Somebody's going to have to answer for this.

Um I was not expecting that there would be video of it actually smoldering days before it took off.

If you lost your house and you knew that the authorities knew that that fire was still burning, I don't know how I'd get over that.

I don't know how I can get over that.

Anyway, the White House has fired all members of the Commission of Fine Arts.

Oh, well, what are we going to do without them man?

Every day I wake up and I'm like, "Thank God there are problems in this world, but at least we still have the Commission of Fine Arts." What were they doing?

Well, among other things, it looks like they were uh their let's say volunteer job was to review construction projects at the White House.

So, it must be more than that.

But, but part of what they were doing is reviewing.

Now, they didn't have power.

I don't think they were just sort of a review policy.

Uh, but Trump got rid of all of them and uh now he's going to replace them with people who like what he likes, which I don't mind at all.

You don't want too many architects or or cooks in the kitchen.

You you sort of need one person.

And I'm perfectly fine with Trump building his, you know, even if it's gaudy, perfectly fine, you know, because government buildings, uh, they're supposed to look a little gaudy, should have a little extra gold, couple extra columns, you know.

So, if it's a government or it's, you know, even if it were Trump's own house, uh, it's a different standard.

So yeah, if they if they I'm perfectly fine with Trump's point of view of what the White House should look like.

Well, here's weird.

Can you believe that Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary, and Elizabeth Warren, who's on the other side of politics, can you believe that there's anything they agree on?

Well, it turns out there is.

They're both in favor of banks raising the insured limit for deposits to 250,000.

I think it's 150 now.

Is that right?

250 makes sense to me, especially as people, you know, in inflation blah blah blah.

So, yeah, I guess only banks would oppose this, but Democrats and Republicans would be on on board.

Raise that limit.

Well, I guess the US has taken out four more of these alleged narco boats that they say are coming out of Venezuela.

So, that would bring the number to 14 narco terrorists who were killed in the strikes with one survivor.

Oh, I think that was just this strike.

14 on just this strike.

But that would be also 14 boats that they've taken out, right?

So 14 shows up twice in this story.

14 being the number they killed this time, but also the total number of boats they've taken out is a little unclear, but the part that's real is if four or more vessels have been taken out.

How many do you think we'll have to take out before they stop doing it?

I feel like because it's a narco terrorist thing that they just send their their lowest level people to prove themselves or die.

All right.

If you make it back, you'll get a promotion.

What are my odds of making it back?

Very low.

Very low.

But if you make it back, big promotion.

So, I think they're just sending their dumbest guys to get blown up at this point.

We'll see how that works.

According to uh Gabrielle Hayes, who's writing for Fox News, UC Berkeley, my Elma Mater or matter uh where I got my MBA, um they've got a class focused on how quote racial superiority shapes immigration law.

Now, I don't need to tell you the description of the classes that fall under racial superiority shapes immigration law, but uh you can imagine exactly what they're teaching.

Exactly what you're teaching.

Now, I remember when I got my degree from Berkeley, do you know how proud I was?

It's the hardest thing I've ever done because I did it while I was working full-time.

doing a full-time MBA degree at the same time you're working full-time and it lasts two years.

Three years.

Three years.

Getting through three years of absolutely no recreation cuz you just wouldn't have time.

Uh it was one of the hardest things I've ever done.

And I was so proud to have my MBA from the UC Berkeley Haw School of Business.

Now I'm just embarrassed.

Not really.

I mean, I don't I don't get real embarrassed by anything, but I wouldn't brag about it.

Like, I wouldn't I wouldn't want people to know that I have a degree from this this piece of place.

It's just a racist institution that is racist against people like me.

you, Berkeley.

>> >> If if you be a little less racist against me, maybe I'd say some good things about you, but you can take your degree and shove it up your collective because it doesn't have any value to me.

Anyway, it was useful though.

The training was useful.

Um, here here's a All right, let me get in trouble here.

I'll get in trouble.

You ready?

I haven't gotten in trouble yet today, so we'll do it right now.

I uh oh I have to say this so carefully because this is going to be clipped.

Uh I was watching Tucker Carlson interview um what's his name?

Why am I forgetting Fuentes?

Nick Fuentes.

So Tucker Carlson had Nick Fuentes on.

Now, I've been trying to figure out which things Nick Fuentes has said that are so over the top that I would have to say, "Oh, okay.

I I'm not on board with that." And so, I've been sort of fascinated by watching his journey.

Uh, and what I didn't realize and what he told Tucker, this is really interesting, is that when things when he got really cancelled is because he sort of flipped to a view about culture in um relevant to immigration.

And his argument was, which other other conservatives have as well, his argument was that if you're not watching the the cultural change that immigration has, you might lose your country.

Now, that of course uh what the Democrats do is if you say you have a problem with the rate of cultural assimilation, which I think would roughly describe Nick Fuentes.

Now, he wouldn't say it's only about the rate.

He would say it's the type.

But let me let me give you this uh let me give you this mental experiment and you tell me if this is racist or just common sense.

Suppose Saudi Arabia opened itself up to some some level of immigration.

I don't know if they do, but let's just use this for our our magical thinking.

So, let's say Saudi Arabia wanted to accept some immigrants that I I don't think is the situation right now.

And there were two immigrants.

One was a European atheist, European atheist wanting to immigrate to Saudi Arabia.

The other one is already Islamic but from some other Islamic country and also wants to or maybe even from Europe but wants to uh immigrate to Saudi Arabia.

Which one would be better for Saudi Arabia that they that they allow the guy with a completely different culture, the European atheist, or they let in somebody who's already on the same culture?

So there's no assimilation.

You don't have to wait.

they're they're pretty much already there.

Wouldn't common sense tell you that one of those is easier to digest than the other?

And if you were watching it from the outside and you saw that Saudi Arabia prefers people who are already Islamic and they discriminate against people who are not and you know that it's an Islamic country that's, you know, protector of Mecca and all that, would you have a problem with that?

Would you would you say that oh Saudi Arabia is being really racist?

But suppose that they did let in both, but they let in a lot more that were the easy to assimilate.

So they let in almost every Islamic person who didn't have a criminal record.

But if you were a, let's say, a European Christian or atheist, you could also get in but at a lower rate of flow because they know that would be harder to digest.

Would they be racists or would that just be common sense?

So the problem is that uh most of these conversations are about power.

They're not really about what's right or wrong.

It's about who gets power.

Democrats get power whenever they say that Republicans are doing bad racist things.

So it doesn't even matter what the topic is.

If you can blame the Republicans for doing bad racist things and you can make that stick, then you can get elected because you're the opposite of the bad racist stuff.

So it's always about power.

And I think what happened was that Nick was more coming at again I can't read his mind.

I'm not uh this is not me trying to support his point of views.

All right.

I know it'll get clipped and I'll get I'll get clipped.

Um he it's only up to him to to defend his point of view.

Let's let's lay that down as clearly as possible.

It's only up to him.

I do not support his or anybody else's point of view.

It's up to him.

He's on his own like everybody else just like me.

But as soon as he made the switch to it's a cultural assimulation problem with immigration, that opened him up to the aha.

So you're saying that people should not be treated the same based on their culture, which he would say.

I'm I feel safe in saying that.

Uh but is it just common sense or is he being a racist?

It's so easy to conflate that with racism because race is involved and race is part of the decision.

So if race is involved and it's part of the decision, isn't it racial?

Well, the argument against that would be no.

Because if a uh somebody who is not Islamic but maybe had an Arab background was let's say a Christian or atheist would would anybody have a problem assimilating that person in the United States?

I wouldn't I wouldn't I would say if you're if you already let's say for example you already spoke English and you were a Christian you just had some Lebanese or other background.

Would that be a problem?

Not to me.

That would be easy to assimilate.

So you could you can strip out the racial part pretty easily if there was any way to maintain that culture is a little bit a little bit independent of race.

So that that's my so my bottom line is as soon as you say it's not about race, it's about culture, the Democrats will see that they can get more power by saying it is about race.

It really is.

You're lying.

Uh, so telling the truth and common sense get overwhelmed by the narrative attacks.

And I think that's just what happened to Fuentes.

I think that he was young and did not realize that he was walking into the biggest trap in the world.

He has since realized, I'm pretty sure he's figured it out now, but he's not backing off from the, you know, the common sense culture part of it, that clearly some people assimilate better than others.

Clearly, it's good for your country if you sort out and make a differentiation between what's easy to assimilate and what's not easy to assimilate.

Nobody really disagrees with that.

Not really.

I mean, not privately.

There's a new poll on Trump's deportation plans.

Uh, and uh, let's see who was writing about this.

Uh, New York Post, Ryan King and Josh Christensen.

I guess about half of all Americans are okay with shipping people back to their country of origin even if they didn't have a crime beyond uh, entering the country.

So depending on what poll you look at, Trump's immigration stuff is either barely over 50% but a majority or way over 50%.

Speaking of Ukraine, we weren't, but let's The claim from Euro News is that Ukraine has made enough long long range strikes into Russia's oil refining capacity that they've taken out 20% of it.

Now, you might remember not too long ago I speculated that if Ukraine could figure out how to degrade Russia's um energy situation by 20% that that might be a tipping point of some kind.

Now, the reason I call 20% a tipping point while knowing nothing about Russia and knowing nothing about their energy or the refinery or the war.

So let let me confess no knowledge, no special knowledge of all these things that an expert should know.

There is something magic about 20%.

So this is where I'm coming from.

If you took a restaurant and said, "I'm going to reduce your business by 20%." They'd almost certainly be out of business because 20% is way more than the margin, you know, that restaurants are making.

Most small businesses, if you took 20% away from them, they'd be out of business.

If you took any politician who's succeeding and you took away 20% of their supporters, never get elected again.

So 20% in so many different ways and domains becomes becomes a tipping point.

10% is dangerous, too, but not always a tipping point.

Sometimes you could survive a 10% hit, whatever the domain is.

20% almost nobody could ever survive.

So you can't believe anything that comes out of the the war zone.

So I don't believe they've necessarily cut 20% of the Russia's refining capacity.

But if they have or if they're going to get there soon because they're they're doing a lot of attacks.

So something's happening.

There might be a tipping point and we might be at it, but we don't know what's tipping.

One thing that might be tipping is uh Russia's entire economy.

Maybe the other thing that could be tipping would be really bad news, which is Russia deciding to increase the lethality of their own attacks uh to to reduce the effectiveness of the Ukrainians.

So either you'll see something like a collapse in the Russian economy which might be let's say foreshadowed by Putin getting flexible in negotiating if he suddenly gets flexible in a way we didn't expect.

It might be because he sees you know the doom is coming and he needs to negotiate his way out.

But the other thing which might be unfortunately more likely is that Russia might pull out the good stuff, you know, the really good weapons and just take out the entire energy infrastructure of Ukraine.

That might happen and then then we don't know what happens after that.

Trump's appealing the uh the verdicts that made him a felon in New York.

So that was the one where that was the Manhattan hush money convictions.

So I guess he's filing a an appeal on that.

Um I don't think he's going to win on that.

Um the argument is that the judge there three arguments I guess the the judge Oh number one argument is he was president at the time of the hush bunny cover up so he shouldn't have been charged.

that doesn't seem strong.

Uh that because the judge involved made small dollar donations to Democrat causes and his daughter um was working for prominent members of the party that that would be too much bias.

But I don't think you can overturn things because a judge has a political opinion because that would just be all judges.

So I don't think that's going to fly.

Um, and then they're trying to move this move the case to the federal court where maybe the Supreme Court could get involved and give Trump a good some kind of good verdict, but I don't know what that would be based on.

So, I think it's probably worth a shot because he, you know, I don't know who pays his lawyers, but it's probably worth trying, but doesn't look like it's got a strong case.

Open AI, according to the Epic Times, Open AI uh will face copyright infringement claims.

So, they can't get away with it just saying, "Oh, we just trained on everything and we didn't we didn't steal your IP." So, apparently, they must face allegations of copyright infringement.

And there doesn't seem to be any doubt, at least among experts, that they took advantage of other people's IP to train their AI.

So now what?

Does OpenAI get sued by every author in the world?

What do I do?

Should I be part of some class action lawsuit where even if I win, I get I get 25 cents because that would be my share.

There's nothing you do about it, right?

Um, but what I would like, which I think is a pipe dream, is if there were some way to know if your IP had more, let's say, more influence on the AI.

Now, because of the nature of what I do, I'm always talking about what works and what doesn't work.

And I write books about what works and what doesn't work.

I'm probably one of the more since it since since I'm talking about myself, I have to pick the words carefully because it sounds too douchebaggery if I don't.

But since my entire let's say last I don't know maybe most of my career has been aimed at uh influencing lots of people on lots of different topics.

Everything from, you know, what is good management in the Dilbert comic to how to fill almost everything still big which should be about success and one of the most influential books on success ever written a book on persuasion which has had a tremendous impact according to people who privately tell me what they've used that for um and I could go on the re the reframes that you saw at the beginning etc.

So what's different about what I do is I'm intentionally trying to influence as much of the world and their brains as possible.

You know, I do it publicly and transparently and for the public good.

Now, to the extent that I've succeeded, meaning the books have sold well and I've got a podcast that you're listening to and all that, would it not be fair to say that an AI that was trained on just everything in the world would have picked up a little bit more from me both directly, but also through the influences I've had on other people and because they would pick up the other people's influence as well.

So, there's a ripple effect.

So, should I get paid?

Does that mean that my copyrights had been sort of taken from me and AI turned it into their advice?

If you asked AI for advice, would it ever give you advice that was different from what I give at this point?

I don't know.

Do you think you're do you think AI would be in favor of passion uh as the driver of success when people like me say no don't follow your passion just do what makes sense and then make some money and then you can follow your passion when you're rich right so I don't know there's any answer to this but we'll see you know if if uh if one AI company is worth $5 trillion I think uh open AI might be worth what is open AI worth?

How many billions is that?

And they don't have they don't have one billion for me.

Really?

I only want one billion.

I'm not asking a lot.

I saw a article from in the Daily Neuron from George Saman talking about what causes societal collapses throughout history.

I'm actually really interested in that because I I end up watching a lot of You.

Tube videos about old civilizations that went extinct.

And much like the animal conversation we had about animal extinctions, every time I see somebody dig up a buried city, you know, from antiquity, I say to myself, uh, what happened to all the people?

Where's all the people?

Where did they go?

What killed them?

Why' they leave?

And uh some of the obvious reasons would be you know war and disease and natural disasters and stuff but uh there's a new model that speculates that the real thing that kills every society because if you notice 100% of the old societies are gone.

Yeah.

Have you ever asked yourself what happened to all the old ones?

They're all gone.

So what's going to happen to our society?

will be the first one in the history of the whole world that didn't go away after a while.

And what was it that would cause it to go away?

Well, at the moment, technology and our connected world makes us way less susceptible to one of those things I mentioned, except you know, even war doesn't.

You look at Gaza, even war won't keep that from being repopulated eventually, right?

So the other the other speculation is that what causes societies to collapse is complexity which naturally gets added as any society is successful.

So when you're first successful, you know, just a scrappy little tribe of something, but as you become more and more powerful and rich, everything gets complicated.

You're like, you know what, we could use a court.

You know what would be good is if we had a a committee to decide what to do with our water resources.

So as soon as you've got wealth, you get all these complexities and committees and people want a piece of the wealth.

And the the idea is that the complexity never stops until it destroys your civilization.

You can't operate.

Where are we on that cycle?

This would almost completely describe exactly what we witnessed whe when Doge started digging into the NOS's.

Didn't you know that was the end of civilization when you saw how all our money is being unwatched and funneled into massively complicated structures that can't be observed.

That is the end of your civilization.

Now, maybe if we're lucky, we caught it in time thanks to the good work of Elon Musk and Trump, you know, Trump creating that possibility.

It's possible that Trump can back up some of that some of that complexity and keep us alive longer than our competitors.

Maybe.

We'll see.

But complexity is your enemy.

Well, I guess the SNAP the people who receive the SNAP um money, which is the thing that allows food stamps, basically it's the thing that allows you to eat while the government pays for your food.

Now, apparently there are 40 million people who are getting this assistance.

Uh there are reports that some largestish number of the people getting the assistance are criminals who are somehow illegally getting it and then reselling it for a discount or something.

So, a lot of it might be fraudulent, but it's a lot of people.

And then now the New York Post is reporting, and I've seen this as well, that on Tik.

Tok, probably other places, the people who don't know where they're going to get their next meal from as their SNAP benefits are cut are saying out loud and on social media, "We're going to steal the food.

We're just going to go into the store.

We're just going to take the food and we're just going to walk out and eat it." Now, in our current world, would they be arrested?

Nope.

They wouldn't be arrested.

Depending where they were, they could just walk in the store, steal some food, eat it, come back tomorrow for breakfast, eat some more, and I don't think it would ever be stopped.

Now, do you think that a big grocery store could start arresting starving people who the government had just cut off from food?

Not really.

Not really.

They just they just couldn't do it.

So, I do wonder if the food banks and whatever else would replace the SNAP benefits in the short run.

There'll probably be some food banks that cover the cover the gap.

But what happens if they really can't get food?

Like actually legitimately can't legally get food, 40 million people.

Aren't they going to just clean out the grocery stores?

What else would happen?

So, I'm hoping that this all, you know, gets solved peacefully and the the budget gets reconstituted and we figure out where all the fraud fraud is coming from.

But there is some possibility that we're going to have some food riots.

I don't think so.

I'm not going not going to predict it, but boy, we're getting close.

Anyway, watch out for that.

That's all I got for you today, ladies and gentlemen.

I'm going to talk to if my buttons all work.

I'm gonna talk to the locals people, my beloved local subscribers for a little bit of extra.

And the rest of you, hope you're having a great day.

All right, let's see if my buttons work.

Work buttons should be going to local supporters only.

Good morning.

Come on in.

We're going to have a show today.

We will not cover up my cat with my

microphone.

This is Roman the cat who's decided that

laying on my right hand would be a good

way to start the morning.

He's not wrong.

All right, let me see if I can get your

comments working before we get busy.

And by busy, I mean having fun.

Yeah, you're done.

You're done, Roman.

What do you want to do this morning? Lay

on my notes. Would that be fun? Would

you like to lay on top of my notes and

slow down the show?

I know you would. You'd love that.

Good morning everybody and welcome to

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Sublime.

Perfect. Really?

How would like how would you like to

start with a reframe?

Of course you would. That's what we do

here from my book. Reframe your brain.

Available everywhere. No, not really.

Just available on Amazon.

All right.

Pick a new one.

Um,

here's one. Oh, I did that one

yesterday. So, we're on the next page.

Um, here's one that I used to great

effect during my school years. And uh, I

never said it explicitly, but it was the

reframed in my head. So, the normal

frame for school is that school is

boring, but necessary. I mean, most

people would say, uh, I wouldn't do this

for fun, but, you know, it's necessary.

So, the reframe for school is boring,

but necessary, is that school is a

competitive event. Game on.

So, when I knew a test was coming up in

school, I didn't say, "Oh, this is going

to be so boring to study for the test."

I said to myself, "Oh, competition.

I I can I can beat the other people in

this class, but only if I study.

So, I would treat a uh academic test the

same way I'd treat any physical contest.

You know, if I were planning to play

soccer or play tennis or something, I

would likewise practice and maybe the

practice would be boring just like

school. But as long as I thought I was

working toward a contest

while I was practicing, I was imagining

the contest and I was imagining winning

the contest if I could. So

that's the reframe.

Treat it the same way you would a

physical contest and say if I study and

I take on more pain and more practice

than my than my fellow students, I will

get a better grade than they will. If I

get better grades than they they do, I

might get a better job than they got.

And so you just look look at the

winning. That's your reframe. By the

way, if you're wondering where the the

this year's Dilbert calendar is, the

calendar is complete and we're we're

ready to list it, but there are so many

counterfeits that that uh front run me.

If you go to Amazon, there'll just be

pages. They may have taken them down by

today, but as of yesterday, there were

pages of fakes, and most of them had the

same trick. They spelled Dilbert with a

space, as in DI space.

And apparently that's all they needed to

do to get past Amazon's

Amazon's security to list my property

for sale by them. I assume they're all

Chinese pirates, but it's a whole page,

a whole page of calendars.

They have other people's names on them,

but it's Dilbert. It's a completely

useless system. The only reason I can

even sell that thing and I we haven't

sold too many yet, but the only reason

we can list it on Amazon is that I've

been assigned um nicely and this this is

to Amazon's credit. They do assign me a

person to take that down. So, we have a

specific person I can call and he's

specifically in charge of making sure my

calendars work out uh within that little

corner of Amazon. So, we're getting good

help and and when we and when we request

that they take down the pirates, they do

act and they do act fairly quickly.

But the problem is as soon as they take

them down, they'll just be replaced. If

they take down 20, they'll be 100 by

tomorrow.

I don't even know how this is a viable

business anymore. So, I'll tell you I'll

tell you in a few weeks whether it's

even anything I could do again, you

know, should I be here? There's always

that. Anyway, I'll keep you updated on

that. Akira the Dawn has uh wants you to

know he's released his new music video.

It's called What You Think About the

Most. And the reason I mention it is

because I'm the feature voice. If you

haven't seen Akira the Dawn's work, it's

really fascinating. PE people love it.

Uh what he does is he takes people like

me who have said things in public that

are interesting and then he uses that as

the

uh the lyrics. I don't want to call it

lyrics because it's me talking and not

singing, but he'll sample things that I

said from the podcast. put it to music,

you know, give it a a video element and

suddenly he's got a he's got a music

video and people like him. So, they're

not all about me. Some other influencer

types are in his catalog, but check it

out. Just look for Akira the Dawn,

spelled A K I R A. The Dawn. You'll find

it on X.

I'm sure it's on YouTube, too, but look

for it on X. Well, we're expecting a

interest rate cut today, maybe a quarter

of a point. Stock market is already

responding to that and the fact that

Trump seems to be having success in his

uh Asian trip. Maybe there'll be

something with China coming up. We'll

talk about that in a minute. But in the

short run, everything seems to be set up

for higher stocks and the Fed probably

will give us a quarter point and maybe

some extra cuts later. We're all looking

optimistic about this. But

how much of that stock market rise is

spread across all of the stocks and how

much of it is an AI bubble? Well, Nvidia

is tapping on the door of being worth $5

trillion.

[laughter]

Just one company, Nvidia. Five trillion.

Now, does that sound like a bubble to

you?

I don't know what else that could be. If

that's not a bubble, I've never seen a

bubble in my life. I've seen a lot of

bubbles. There's no way in the world

that's worth5 trillion dollars.

Because it's not like they have no

competition or that they'll never have

competition or that we'll never find out

that maybe there was a some other way to

do this cheaper.

[clears throat]

What would happen if somebody came up

with a way to do this cheaper?

Well, let's go to Elon Musk who says

this. Um, he came up with an idea on one

of his earnings calls. Nick Cruz Betain

is talking about this. Apparently, since

every Tesla car is also a little

computer and they're allworked,

that it wouldn't take a ton of work,

says Elon Musk, to turn the the

collective cars that are on the road

into an AI inference engine

such that if you wanted to use AI and

you were in your car, you could talk to

your car and the car would use all of

the computing in the entire network just

the a a data center would. So you

wouldn't need a data center.

You would just need the cars that are

already on the road and suddenly you

have AI and then of course they're you

hear all the people who are making their

own local AI models. You know they use

deepseek or something else and uh

they're building you know home office

AIs that don't even have any connection

to the rest of the world.

So, are none of these things none of

these things are a threat to Nvidia?

I mean, I'm no expert in this domain,

but you think they'd have some

competitive threats, even if it's not

those.

Anyway, $5 trillion. Good luck with

that.

Um,

here's my experience. So, yesterday, was

it yesterday I tried? I I thought, you

know, I'm going to look into this again.

And I looked into it about two years ago

and AI couldn't do it. But I thought by

now it can do it. And it what I'm

talking about is not hallucinating.

And I thought, okay, I have to create

one of these special databases called a

rag or a vector vector database the AI

can use without errors. Allegedly, I

didn't believe it necessarily could, but

I wanted to build one. And so I went to

Grock and I said, "How do I do this?"

and it recommended a few apps. One of

them is called Pine Cone.

So I said to Grock, "If I use this Pine

Cone app, uh, is this going to allow me

to build a database that will be

reliable and not hallucinate with AI?"

and I said yes that the Pine Cone app

would allow me to easily create one of

these files because I was teasing Grock

and saying Grock, if you would know how

to use one of these files, couldn't you

tell me how to build one and couldn't

you build it yourself and just say fill

this file or fill this database and I'll

be able to read this every time?

Why do I have to build it? Like why am I

even involved?

We we've got a $5 trillion AI company,

but a human is the only person who can

figure out how to format the database.

AI can't do that for five

trillion dollars.

So, so then I said to myself, aha, I'm

going to beat the system. So, I'm gonna

have uh Grock walk me through what I

need to do technically. So, that

basically Grock will do it, but I'll

just be the one typing on the keyboard.

So, then I open Pine Cone and it has its

own set of instructions how to do it,

but they didn't work. What if I told you

instructions on how to do anything

technical in 2025?

No matter where the instructions came

from, whether they came from the company

that does the product or AI or your

smart technical friend or the people on

X who gave you advice, which one of them

accurately will tell you how to solve

any technical problem? The answer is

none of them. every one of them will

have a confident answer of what menu

choice you should use that doesn't

exist.

So that's the first thing. So the pine

cone instructions, I couldn't get them

to work. So then I take Grock and I

point it at the screen and I say, "Why

isn't this working?" And Grock says,

"Oh, those those instructions are

wrong."

So, so instead of pip just give you one

example. One of the commands you're

supposed to do in this terminal window

is pip pip. And then Grock says that

doesn't work on a Mac. Like what? I I'm

looking at the the company's own page of

what command to use. PIP. And then Grock

says, "No, it has to be pip 3 if it's a

Macintosh."

Who's right? Well, PIP 3 didn't work

either, right? And if I were to ask

somebody to help me with it, they would

say, "Do this command instead of those

two commands." And it wouldn't work. In

2025, no one can tell you what to do

that works. It just doesn't work. So,

so what I found so far is that anytime I

want to do anything, now obviously I'd

be in the smallest of small business

category, but anytime I've thought I

want to do something with AI, any kind

of project,

any kind of business initiative, do you

know how every time it ends, it ends the

same way every time

somebody says you're going to have to

hire somebody to do that for you.

That's right. Every single use of AI

that I've concocted, and there are a lot

of them. You know, if you can imagine

all the ways that the Dilbert creator

and a podcaster can use AI, it's a lot.

The [clears throat] things I imagine I

could do with it would be amazing. Like,

I would have a I would have an AI um

cohort here that I would just like, you

know, talk to. Um I would make my comics

with AI. I'd have a I'd have a clone

that would answer your questions about

me and about my books. I mean, all kinds

of AI amazing things I would do. And

every single one requires me to hire

more humans.

And you know what would happen if I

hired more humans to do that work? I

wouldn't need AI.

The AI is to replace the humans.

But you can't do anything without a

human. And I'm pretty sure that even

with a human,

you can't make a database that works. So

that's my complaint about AI. Anyway, uh

Elon says that Tesla autonomous driving

might spread faster than any technology

ever. And I think he's right. And the

argument for that is that the they've

been working for years to have the cars

ready to just flip a switch.

So when he flips the switch to

autonomous driving and I believe that

they've already satisfied every safety

test that you could do. So it's already

safer than human drivers. When they flip

the switch, it'll be just this enormous

footprint of autonomous cars that went

from non-existing to existing with just

one software flip. He's right. That will

be the fastest spread of any technology

ever.

So that'll be fun.

Apparently UPS trying to adjust to this

new world is using gig drivers for

deliveries. Gig meaning that they're not

the regular UPS drivers. But if if UPS

has, let's say, you know, one small

package that has to go to one place in

your neighborhood, it might not be worth

sending the UPS truck there. But they

might have somebody who had signed up to

be a occasional delivery person and they

get a message that says, "Hey, take this

package over here." And apparently

there's a lot of that happening. Esther

fun is writing about this in Wall Street

Journal.

So if I were a package delivery company,

I'd be really worried

about the Tesla autonomous cars and the

Whimos and everything that works within

a human.

Well, most of the news is about Elon

Musk if it's technology news. So,

Groipedia is launching or launched. Uh,

they may have had to pull it back just

to do some tweaks, but I think it's

launched now. Mario on X's writing about

this. What do you get from Graipedia

versus Wikipedia, which is a good

question. First of all, Wikipedia will

be done by humans who are who are going

to be arguing about what's true and

what's not. Uh, Groipedia is an AI

creation. So, in a sense, it's trained

trained on humans, but it would know

everything that Wikipedia knows plus

some people would say 10 times as much.

Uh, but also it's shooting specifically

for less bias that the the human

Wikipedia would have, which leans left,

we all say.

[clears throat] But what's different?

Uh, what's different is the human

editors can't ruin it. Uh, what's

different is it's real-time updates. If

you're on Wikipedia and something

happens, you have to kind of hope

somebody noticed and took the time to

change it and then the other editors

didn't delay it too long. And but um

Graedia will just look at the news and

it'll know what's happening right now. U

let's see what else we can do.

Uh so have newer citations, no humans,

and uh Elon calls it a necessary step

toward understanding the universe.

That's a big claim, but probably valid.

I think I'd agree with that.

And uh

yeah, so this this might be the

Wikipedia that you wanted but didn't

get.

Um

and as uh Mario says, the real test is

whether Graedia can prove that AI

generated content is more reliable and

less biased than the humans on

Wikipedia. Do you think it'll be able to

do that?

So, you know, I have an advantage over

non-public figures because I can look at

what both Wikipedia and Graedia say

about me and I'm sort of the expert on

me. So, I I could have a sort of a

perfect opinion about how accurate it is

about complicated people like me. Would

you agree I'm complicated?

[laughter]

I'm kind of complicated, right? Because

if you even tried to describe me, have

you ever tried to do that? How many of

you tried have ever tried to describe me

to a friend or a family member and you

found you couldn't do it

right?

I want to see your comments.

See, the problem is I have too many

jobs.

If you say I'm the Dilbert cartoonist,

you're leaving out 75% of who I am. If

you say I'm a podcaster, same problem.

If you say I'm an author of, you know,

books that help people, same problem. If

you say I'm a a persuasion expert,

same problem. Because none of the things

I do look like they fit together, right?

It it looks like I'm a miscellaneous. So

if you're if you're trying to describe a

miscellaneous person as opposed to just

say someone who's always been an author

or someone who's only been a cartoonist,

I'm kind of hard to describe.

Uh which I like, you know, it's not a

problem, but uh so I I can test

Wikipedia and Graipedia to see if they

can handle a a complicated person. And

the answer is Graipedia is way better.

way better, but still it it could use

some tweaks that maybe I maybe I can

find a way to tweak it even though it's

it's AI based. Probably there's a way I

can influence it. I'm guessing, but I

don't know this for sure that if I

simply did an expost where I said, uh,

I'm just doing this expost to show you

what I think should be revised in my

Graipedia page. I think, but I don't

know that Groipedia would read that

almost immediately because it's always

looking for what's new and that it would

uh add that to its consideration

uh even if it just showed it. That's my

opinion, not their opinion. So, would

that work? I would love if that worked.

I I think I might try it if I have the

time.

There's a humanoid robot for sale. Wall

Street Journal is talking about this.

It's called the the 1x Neo

and uh so it's AIdriven robot. But

here's the creepy part. It is not fully

autonomous. So for a number of uses, but

not all of them, the company

representative wearing, you know, the

virtual reality glasses would be

actually operating the robot in your

house.

Now, since I know exactly what you're

thinking and feeling right now, let me

call it out. You're saying, "Oh my god,

that would be like having a stranger

spying on you in your own house, and you

would never know when they were looking

and when they weren't looking. That is

the worst robot idea I've ever heard in

my entire life. Get out of here, Scott.

Stop it. We don't want to live in small

homes. No tiny homes. Get out of here

with your 15-minute homes." Of course,

we're not talking about any of that, but

that's usually what I hear. Um, but now

let me give you a reframe. You ready? I

would buy that robot tomorrow.

And I would allow a complete stranger

into my house when I didn't know if they

were watching. Do you know why?

Cuz I'm a senior and I I need at the

point at the moment I need something

like full-time care. at least, you know,

somebody in the neighborhood who could

call the 911 if I need it. I don't need

much, you know, not hands-on. I don't

need any hands-on care yet. But, uh, if

you didn't have a family member or a

friend who could look after you when

you're in your declining years, you

would totally take the robot. You would

totally take it. And if somebody said,

"Oh, it's not always a robot. Sometimes

there's a human in it." Do you know what

I'd say? Better. That's better. And then

somebody say, "But they'll be spying on

you." In which I'll say, "Have I

mentioned I'm a senior? What the hell do

you think I'm doing in my house? Do you

think I'm running, you know, burning man

in my house?

If you spied on me, you'd see me sitting

in a chair, zoned out on painkillers,

waiting for the my next dose, [laughter]

or you'd see me just staring at my phone

while it plays reals. What the hell do I

think I'm hiding? I'm not hiding

anything. If they saw me doing bongs, do

do you think they'd call the police?

It's legal. I don't do anything illegal.

So, yes, there's a there's a niche in

which a totally steal your privacy robot

could insert a total stranger from

another country into my house and I'd be

okay with it because it'd be better than

the alternatives. Now, in my case, I

have human alternatives, so I don't need

the robot, but you know what I mean. Not

everybody has that option. Hurricane

Melissa has hit Cuba. I guess it was a

category 3 storm by the time it hit

Cuba. And uh it was a five

category 5 storm when it hit Jamaica.

So, it did Jamaica some badness.

You know, I've been thinking a lot about

Cuba lately because of the Venezuela

thing and uh the odds that if

Venezuela's oil revenue no longer props

up Cuba that Cuba would become

immediately a really big problem

uh for Cuba, but then would that become

a problem for us? Would Cuba not be just

letting everybody get in a boat and come

to America because they can't feed them?

So, I think this Cuba thing, we're going

to have to keep an eye on that. I don't

know if don't know if the Trump

administration has a a workable plan for

what is likely to happen if if Venezuela

goes balls up.

Um, according to Roger Pilky Jr. on X,

is is that the son of Roger Pilky

Senior? Well, obviously yes. But who is

the uh somewhat well-known climate

change critic?

Did they or is that the actual critic? I

don't know who Junior is, but I think

he's probably from the, you know,

climate change

sort of skeptic family, but I'm not

positive about that, so don't don't

quote me. Um, Barti is telling us that

the uh there's a new study about uh uh

extinctions

and uh unexpectedly they say the

researchers found that in the last 200

years there was no evidence of

increasing extinction from climate

change.

Didn't you think there was all kinds of

evidence? At least I've been claimed.

You You might not have believed it, but

weren't there claims that climate change

was already killing entire species.

Apparently, there's no evidence of that

whatsoever.

There there have been studies that show

that they did that it was, but the

newest one says no. No. If you analyze

it correctly, there were way more

extinctions in the old days. And it's

very rare to have an extinction. And

when you do have an extinction, they

have a specific reason for it, such as

it's an island and then some, let's say,

invasive species came to the island and

ate all the other species.

So that's not climate change. That's

just it sucks to live on an island if

the alligators come to your island.

Then the other one was I guess in some

some uh water

water environments where they also can't

get away. So it's more about whether the

the things that are already there, the

species that are living there have a way

to run away if things get bad. If they

can't run away because they're locked in

a lake or they're locked in an island,

sooner or later something's going to

come for them and they can't get away.

[snorts] Well, I was thinking about

talking about this topic, but the news

served it up perfectly in time. I've

been watching with um great interest

CNN's pivot from being a left-leaning

piece of garbage to what the new owners

hope will be something like a middle of

the road CNN was always intended to be.

I think a middle of the road really just

tell you the facts. Do you think they're

succeeding?

I believe they are and I'm actually kind

of impressed. Now, do they still lean a

little bit left? Yeah. Yeah. But, uh,

Abby Phillip, who who I've criticized

before, she was, uh, she was a proponent

of the fine people hoax before she had

her current assignment as CNN. So, I

started off with a negative opinion of

her and as her show uh as her show got a

lot of traction and a lot of clips, I

maintained my negative opinion

[laughter]

cuz I didn't think she was I just didn't

think she was up to the job, honestly.

Uh uh however, as I've been watching,

cuz you know, Scott Jennings causes

everybody to go watch. He's an amazing

hireer for them. Um my observation is

that she's just getting better and

better at her job and she's a young

person so you you'd expect that. So I

would say at this point she has achieved

uh admirably. I will compliment her on

this. I believe that she's built her

talent sack

pretty much right up to where CNN would

want it to be for hosting that show. And

I've seen her I've seen her on a number

of times uh interrupt a lefty who was

making a claim that just wasn't true. So

we have seen her fact check people who

were on the left if they were just going

into garbage territory which I

appreciate. But she was on the uh she

was just on the uh Charlemagne's show,

Charlemagne the God.

And I I'll give it to you in her voice.

She says, "It's fair to say that CNN,

we're not Fox News, but we're also not

MSNBC."

Okay, that's that's good framing. We're

probably center left. Correct. That's

what I observe. And I think it has a lot

to do with our audience. Correct.

Correct. If if you say we're serving our

audience and they're center left, I'm

okay with that. I mean, Fox News is

serving their audience, they're

Republicans. I'm okay with that.

MSNBC is serving their audience, which

are uh people with mental problems. I'm

not okay with that, but at least it

keeps them busy. [laughter]

Uh and uh and then Abby says, and I

believe this is true, too, by the way. I

saw this in Jason Cohen post on X. Give

him credit. Uh, Abby says that CNN is

left center, has more Republican voices

and more diversity of views than either

MSNBC or Fox News. Damn it, you're

right. That is that's true. That CNN at

the moment, now this has not been true

forever, but at the moment, I'm pretty

sure she's right that CNN has more

diversity on than the other two

networks. Now, to be fair, do you know

why Fox News doesn't have more lefty

people on it? It's not because they

[clears throat] don't want them.

[laughter]

It's because if they invited them, they

wouldn't come.

So, apparently CNN still has the ability

to invite Republicans. And where do

Republicans go when they're invited?

Wherever they're invited. So, if they're

invited on CNN, they go on CNN. If

they're invited on MSNBC, they go on

MSNBC. If they're invited on the

Charlemagne's Breakfast Club, they go on

Charlemagne show. It just doesn't work

the other way. So, I think the one thing

that Abby might have added for context

is that it's not always an option for

Fox News because they're so reviled that

uh people think just associating with

them would be some kind of mistake. Fed

Federman or a few people might be

exceptions, you know, but mostly mostly

uh I'm sure that Fox would like to have,

you know, more lively debates with

leftists because they think they would

win those and it would be good TV.

MSNBC

is telling us that today marks the first

day of air traffic controllers not

getting a full paycheck.

So, would you feel comfortable flying on

the first day that the air controllers

didn't get paid?

I'm going to say I wouldn't. [laughter]

I would not. Uh I don't think anybody I

know is in the air at the moment. And I

hope they don't because

I don't know. I wouldn't be comfortable

with the air controllers not being paid

if I'm in the air in this giant tube

flying through the air. No thank you.

But I hope we get that worked out. It's

weird that that air traffic that air

traffic control job has been such a

problem for so many decades

ever since Reagan, right? So, it's

always been these guys can barely barely

stay sane and the the the jets are

barely staying in the air cuz it's just

so hard and and it's been decades and we

never have enough of them. And there's

always some problem about getting them

paid. Why is this the one place we can't

solve?

And by the way, this should be the place

that AI takes over completely. In 10

years, if we have human air air traffic

controllers and we have human pilots who

are in charge of taking off and landing

as opposed to just being sort of

emergency people on the side, if any of

this is run by humans in 10 years, oh my

god, we're stupid. Every plane should be

AI.

Uh, and you know, it should be flying on

its own. It should be landing on its

own, should be taking off on its own,

and it definitely should have air

traffic control be automated. There's no

way that this should be human driven.

It's just crazy that we're putting up

with that level of risk. But 10 years

will be solved.

I I love this story, switching stories

of Rand Paul trying to get what he would

call justice for what he thinks are

Fouch's crimes or at least mismanagement

of the pandemic. So, so Rand Paul was

just on Benny Johnson's podcast. By the

way, Benny Johnson's doing a great job.

Have you noticed his his rise

uh in terms of, you know, being an

influential podcast on the right? I I

love watching the people on the right

put together talent stacks and then make

it work like right in front of you. He's

one of those. So when I look at

everything from Tucker starting his own

whole deal there studio, you know, Megan

Kelly dominating podcasting in my

opinion, PBD runs a class operation,

Benny Johnson suddenly has this, you

know, this property that I assume he's

going to monetize to the to the hilt and

deserves every bit of it. But when you

look at them there, you can see them

working the talent stack. So part of the

talent stack is networking

and apparently all the good ones are

great at it. They network so they have

people to invite etc. The other is just

managing a business because the podcast

you know will eventually have engineers

and producers and stuff. So you got to

be able to manage. But the other part is

managing your physicality

which I always note that Benny's in

really good shape and that helps. I

mean, if you have to look at something

for an hour, I mean, I, you know, when I

was healthier, [laughter]

I made sure that at least my arms were

well worked out. Not at the moment, but

if you had to look at me, I would make

sure that you were looking at my arms

that at least been to the gym. You know,

Benny does that. Uh, and the same with,

you know, Megan Kelly. Uh, same with the

Candace Owens show. well produced

talent on every level that you could

have talent from from looks to able to

speak on camera to be able to put

together the the content just amazing

amazing when I watch the uh the

leftleaning podcasts

they're doing the best they can but they

all seem a little bit artificial

like they started with good-looking

young people but I don't know that those

people say anything that every other

lefty wouldn't say. So I don't know that

they're really adding much. Whereas if

you look at the Joe Rogan's of the world

and you know there just so many

podcasters I could be mentioning so if I

leave somebody out doesn't mean

anything. Um but the conservative ones

all did it by bootstrapping

like they just said you know here's how

I started

holding this phone up when it had

Periscope on it. the old app. This is

literally what you're what you're

watching right now. Me holding a phone

up to my face. That's how I started

podcasting and I just put it on the app

and oh, somebody's watching me. I guess

I should say something. And then little

by little because it was interesting and

fun, I I developed this, you know, kind

of bootstrapped it as well. So anyway,

that was just an aside. [laughter]

I was talking about Rand Paul and uh

Fouchy. What what fascinates me about

this is that if you assume that Rand

Paul's claims are true and that Fouchi

was directly responsible for allowing a

virus to be experimented with in a

unsafe environment and he he funded it

that he was in charge of the business of

managing the weaponized virus research

as Rand Paul would say that he was the

at least responsible

if not the direct cause of 18 million

deaths.

from the virus. And we're not talking

about the shots yet, but wouldn't that

be the biggest story

in the world?

How how many individuals like one person

who's alive today and not in jail are

being even accused of killing 18 million

people? 18 million. Come on. Now,

remember I told you that a story is not

a story until the New York Times or the,

you know, one of the big papers says

it's a story. This is one of those where

if the New York Times decided this was

the biggest story, it's all we'd be

talking about, but they haven't. They

have not decided that. Instead, they've

decided that Ren Paul's a, you know, a

rogue disagreeer guy and he makes some

news. But moving on, how in the world is

that not the biggest story in the world?

I don't even know what side to be on. I

mean, I I don't know what's true and

what's not true, but as a story,

why isn't that the biggest one in the

world? It's because your opinions are

assigned to you. There is a reason. Your

opinions of what is important do not

come from your own brain. They are

literally assigned from the outside.

That's That's just the cleanest example

you'll ever see.

All right. Uh Trump's in Asia. So today,

I guess he was in South Korea. He

believes he has a trade deal. We don't

know any details of that. And we think

the South Korean government has to

approve it. I think the boss approved

whatever they're they talked about. But

uh like like the US when the Congress

has to approve things. Um, South Korea

has some approval process they still

need to do, but I guess we're optimistic

that that'll get approved. So, we might

have a South Korea deal. Don't know for

sure. And Trump is allegedly going to

meet with China's she

somewhere where he's in South Korea and

area. So, I guess they're going to have

some kind of a talk. And Trump is

actually so optimistic about China.

That's probably partly why the stock

market's up. Um he he thinks that

there's going to be a deal to reduce US

tariffs on imports from China in

exchange for

here's the part I don't believe.

Um China trying harder to to block the

fentinel precursors.

As you know, China produces the

precursors that go to Mexico

and then the cartels turn that into

fentinel and then they kill tens of

thousands of Americans every year.

Trump's been working on this for what,

eight years uh and gotten no results

whatsoever

because part of the problem is that

China uh says, "Oh, we're working very

hard on these precursors and we've

banned them." And then 5 minutes later,

we find out that they're new precursors.

They're slightly different than the

others, but you can also use them to

make fentinel. And then China will say,

"Oh, those are not illegal yet.

we would have to make those specific

ones illegal.

So we would say, why don't you do that?

So then they do that, but nothing

happens fast. And then they say, all

right, we've clamped down on all of

these precursors.

And then we say, but why are they still

coming in at exactly the same rate? Oh,

well, those are slightly different

again. Yet again, those bad guys have

come up with a slightly different thing

that's not technically illegal. We'll

try to catch up with that. Now,

if you've lived in the real world for

more than five minutes, this will sound

to you like they're not really trying,

not really trying to stop those

precursors. They're trying to make us

think that they're doing something so

that they can get something, which is,

you know, us easing off on trade. Uh but

I don't believe they'll do anything. If

if China has gone this far with doing

absolutely nothing but claiming they're

working on it and and showing you some

evidence that they're working on it, but

not really stopping it.

Are are we going to do our part? Are we

going to give them the the tariff relief

that they want when there's no real

chance they're going to give us what we

want? or

does Trump have a new approach that

somehow I don't know what that would be.

Uh we would have some more let's say

transparency or uh or we'd have some

let's say more trust that China was

actually trying to cut this down.

I don't know if this is any deal at all.

So I'll be optimistic and say uh if

Trump thinks he can make this work that

would be great. Um, but [clears throat]

I'm not going to hold my breath on

fentinel.

All right. Um, remember yesterday I was

telling you that Japan and the Japanese

culture is not just good at gift giving,

but they're sort of the champions. Like

they can give a gift

that will just be so special and so well

thought out and, you know, so

emotionally perfect. The Japanese are

just good at it. the giftgiving. So they

they gave Trump the the putter that

literally belonged to his his friend,

you know, Abbe who when he was the prime

minister. Now that is a really good gift

because they were golfing partners and

you know it's a real thing and it was

something that was probably very

personally important to the prime

minister is putter because he golfed. If

you're a golfer you you sort of have a

relationship with your putter.

So that was that's an example of the

best you could do in the giftgiving

compared to South Korea. And I'm not

going to mock South Korea. I'm just

making a contrast. What they gave him as

a gift was the the Grand Order of Banga,

the country's highest decoration.

Now, I'm sure that that is a great

honor. And if South Korea ever offered

me the Grand Order of Magangwa,

I would be very appreciative and I would

uh I would respect that totally.

However, if it comes right after AB's

putter,

[laughter] it barely looks like they're

trying. It looks like they took

something off the shelf. Uh what do we

got? I We can't figure out any good

gifts. And he just got this banger of a

gift from Japan. We can't top that. What

do we got? Well, we've got this thing we

sort of make up. We call it the Grand

Order of the Maguanga.

Why don't we give him one of those and

we'll put it on a plaque so he doesn't

have to put it around his neck.

And that's what they did. [snorts]

Anyway, I don't mean to make fun of

South Korea. They're an awesome ally,

but uh you got to catch up to Japan's

gift giving.

Uh, as you know,

there will be some things that I say

about the Middle East that will make you

think, "Wait a minute, is this a

repeat?" No, it's because the Middle

East is a repeat. The most predictable

thing about the Middle East

was that Hamas would be accused of

breaking the ceasefire.

What else is predictable?

Israel would be accused of killing

people they shouldn't be killing.

you know that's going to happen. So sure

enough um Hamas says they were not

behind it but there was some Hamas

people who did some attacking Sha some

IDF people. Netanyahu decided to respond

aggressively which is his right and he

uh he responded militarily. Now, I guess

I guess Israel is saying that, you know,

they they did their hit back and now

they're good to go and the ceasefire is

back on. But even as I'm scrolling

through the news, you have to check the

exact time on every story because you

can't tell if Okay, is this the end of

the last broken ceasefire?

Are they ceasefired again? No, wait. No,

there's another break in the ceasefire.

But wait, it looks like they're back on

the ceasefire. So, it'll it'll just be

broken ceasefire after broken ceasefire

forever. But, as I've said before, as

long as the total amount of violence

stays low because most of the armed

people and most of the arms have been

drained out of the area, it's still

manageable. It's still manageable, but I

don't think the ceasefire breaking is

going to stop anytime soon.

Might get a good result. We'll see.

Um,

and uh, let's talk about Trump's third

term.

So, apparently the news today is that

Trump has admitted that it's not an

option. He said, quote, "It's pretty

clear I'm not allowed to run. It's too

bad."

Now, so he's just noting that the

Constitution says there's there's no way

he could have a third term. Now, we had

all greatly enjoyed watching him troll

the left and act like act like maybe

he'd do it. And I don't think that

Bannon is done. And I think Bannon, who

knows? I can't read his mind. He's he's

a smart guy. He's complicated. So, I I

won't I won't try to presume I can know

what he's thinking, but I would assume

that Bannon's gonna keep going with the

third term stuff because, as I noted

before, as long as the Democrats think

there's some chance he might be here

longer, they won't try to outweight him.

I saw Greg Gutfeld mentioning that

theory yesterday on the show. Now, he

credited me with saying that, but I got

that from somebody on X. That wasn't my

original. I boosted it, but it wasn't my

original thought. It's a good thought

that if you don't look like you're going

to be there a while, people will try to

ignore you like a lame duck. So, that

might have been what was behind this

whole thing. We don't know. Um, but

maybe what's behind it is

Bannon just wants more Trump. [laughter]

Could be just that.

But let's see now that so now that Trump

has taken away one of their primary

talking points on the left. Will they

say he's lying? He really does want to

be a king. You have to look at what he's

doing, not what he's saying. Is that

next? That seems like the most obvious

thing the Democrats would do. Oh, he

said it directly that he can't do it,

but don't listen to what he says. Watch

what he does. and he's doing

authoritarian things.

Well, let's talk about his authoritarian

things. So, as you know, Trump's trying

to reduce crime in the the high crime

cities by flowing the National Guard in

there. So, here's an update on Memphis.

So, Memphis, apparently the well,

allegedly that the crime rate has been

falling for a while, but it's still one

of the highest in the countries. So, I

don't know if it's been f really filing

or not, falling or not, but it's it's

one of the high crime areas. And what I

didn't know, so Wall Street Journal is

filling me in today, that uh the mayor

uh who I believe is a Democrat has

actually been fighting crime

aggressively. So, he would be one of

the, you know, reasonable people um who

knew a priority and and went after it.

So, nobody is I don't think anybody's

criticizing the mayor for his approach

to crime in Memphis. Now, that's kind of

good, right? That that there's at least

one mayor who thinks, "Yeah, crime's

actually really important. [laughter]

We better do something about this." But

that allowed him because [clears throat]

he's he's not a crazy lefty

anti-Trump no matter what he says kind

of guy. He's more common sensey. that

allowed him to work with Trump and his

team. So that now there I guess there

are 150 National Guard in Memphis, but

they don't have rifles. They're not

carrying rifles anyway. And uh they're

not traveling in armored vehicles.

So they're just a presence. And

apparently that's working. Apparently

just as a presence they say that it

seems to be reducing crime. Now, I don't

know how that works exactly. I mean, 150

people,

that's not much.

How do you control a city's crime with

150 people at any given time? Half of

them are going to be napping,

right? There there won't be that many

who are actually visibly on the street

and and they're unarmed. If they don't

have rifles, it doesn't say if they

don't have sidearms, but I'm guessing

they don't, right? So, so how does a few

dozen unarmed people in uniform change

the crime

profile of an entire city?

How does that work? But it looks like it

is working, which is weird, but I don't

know how it could work. Anyway, so

that's a good example of uh maybe maybe

this story

deserves some context that we're not

getting cuz I've been skeptical from the

start that you could make any permanent

change by a temporary surge. It doesn't

feel like a temporary surge would ever

create permanent reduced crime. But

maybe the threat of having Trump come in

and do it because it shows that you

can't do it. Maybe that's the secret

sauce. Maybe the reason that a that a

mayor would try harder to reduce crime

is that they just can't let Trump come

in and claim credit for it going down.

So maybe it has some utility in the long

run, but that's the only way I could

imagine it would have long run utilities

if it changed if it change the behavior

of the people who are going to be there

after the National Guard leave. And I

don't know that that's demonstrated, but

we'll see. We'll be we'll be optimistic.

Well, News Nation has a pretty big scoop

here. Apparently, there were people

reporting the Palisades fire was

smoldering before the fire actually took

off. So, you'd probably know there was a

fire before the fire. Uh the fire before

the Palisades fire that was in that same

area uh was efficiently put out by the

fire department. And the fire department

knows that even when you put out the

fire, sometimes it will linger below the

surface and continue burning and

smoldering. and you better watch it for

a few days because it might might come

back. Now, that's a well-known

firefighting thing. Um, there is reports

that the the fire department did not

stay long enough uh to catch the fact

that it was smoldering and eventually

took off again. Now, I'm no firefighter,

so I won't imagine that they stayed the

right amount or too long or not long

enough, but here's the new scoop. News

Nation, there's actually video of hikers

who saw the smoldering days before the

actual fire and reported it with

video.

They showed video

of it smoldering

and it still didn't get a fire

department sitting on it to watch it.

Now, maybe there'll be some new

reporting that makes that not look as

bad as it is, but is this possible?

Is this possible that hikers I think

might have been more than one, but

there's at least one cuz I've seen the

video where they actually took a video

of the the ground smoldering,

which everyone knows what that means.

It's literally a fire and everybody knew

it was this dry area. And uh what made

it take off was the the weather, I

guess. You know, the high winds probably

gave it that little extra spark.

Wow. Somebody's going to have to answer

for this. Um I was not expecting that

there would be video of it actually

smoldering days before it took off. If

you lost your house and you knew that

the authorities knew that that fire was

still burning,

I don't know how I'd get over that. I

don't know how I can get over that.

Anyway, the White House has fired all

members of the Commission of Fine Arts.

Oh,

well, what are we going to do without

them

man? Every day I wake up and I'm like,

"Thank God there are problems in this

world, but at least we still have the

Commission of Fine Arts." What were they

doing? Well, among other things, it

looks like they were uh their let's say

volunteer job was to review construction

projects at the White House. So, it must

be more than that. But, but part of what

they were doing is reviewing. Now, they

didn't have power. I don't think they

were just sort of a review policy. Uh,

but Trump got rid of all of them and uh

now he's going to replace them with

people who like what he likes,

[laughter]

which I don't mind at all. You don't

want too many architects or or cooks in

the kitchen. You you sort of need one

person. And I'm perfectly fine with

Trump building his, you know, even if

it's gaudy, perfectly fine, you know,

because government buildings, uh,

they're supposed to look a little gaudy,

should have a little extra gold, couple

extra columns, you know. So, if it's a

government or it's, you know, even if it

were Trump's own house, uh, it's a

different standard. So yeah, if they if

they I'm perfectly fine with Trump's

point of view of what the White House

should look like.

Well, here's weird. Can you believe that

Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary, and

Elizabeth Warren, who's on the other

side of politics, can you believe that

there's anything they agree on? Well, it

turns out there is. They're both in

favor of banks raising the insured limit

for deposits to 250,000. I think it's

150 now. Is that right? 250 makes sense

to me, especially as people, you know,

in inflation blah blah blah. So, yeah, I

guess only banks would oppose this, but

Democrats and Republicans would be on on

board. Raise that limit.

Well, I guess the US has taken out four

more of these alleged narco boats that

they say are coming out of Venezuela.

So, that would bring the number to 14

narco terrorists who were killed in the

strikes with one survivor. Oh, I think

that was just this strike. 14 on just

this strike. But that would be

also 14 boats that they've taken out,

right? So 14 shows up twice in this

story.

14 being the number they killed this

time, but also the total number of boats

they've taken out is a little unclear,

but the part that's real is if four or

more vessels have been taken out.

How many do you think we'll have to take

out before they stop doing it? I feel

like because it's a narco terrorist

thing that they just send their their

lowest level people to prove themselves

or die. All right. If you make it back,

you'll get a promotion.

What are my odds of making it back? Very

low. [laughter]

Very low. But if you make it back, big

promotion.

So, I think they're just sending their

dumbest guys to get blown up at this

point. We'll see how that works.

According to uh Gabrielle Hayes, who's

writing for Fox News, UC Berkeley, my

Elma Mater or matter uh where I got my

MBA,

um they've got a class focused on how

quote racial superiority shapes

immigration law.

Now, I don't need to tell you the

description of the classes that fall

under racial superiority shapes

immigration law, but uh you can imagine

exactly what they're teaching.

Exactly what you're teaching. Now, I

remember when I got my degree from

Berkeley, do you know how proud I was?

It's the hardest thing I've ever done

because I did it while I was working

full-time.

doing a full-time MBA degree at the same

time you're working full-time and it

lasts two years. Three years. Three

years. Getting through three years of

absolutely no recreation cuz you just

wouldn't have time. Uh it was one of the

hardest things I've ever done. And I was

so proud to have my MBA from the UC

Berkeley Haw School of Business. Now I'm

just embarrassed. Not really. I mean, I

don't I don't get real embarrassed by

anything, but I wouldn't brag about it.

Like, I wouldn't I wouldn't want people

to know [laughter]

that I have a degree from this this

piece of place. It's just a racist

institution that is racist against

people like me. you, Berkeley.

>> [laughter]

>> If if you be a little less racist

against me, maybe I'd say some good

things about you, but you can take your

degree and shove it up your collective

because it doesn't have any

value to me.

Anyway, it was useful though. The

training was useful.

Um,

here here's a All right, let me get in

trouble here. I'll get in trouble. You

ready?

I haven't gotten in trouble yet today,

so we'll do it right now.

I uh

oh I have to say this so carefully

because this is going to be clipped.

Uh I was watching Tucker Carlson

interview

um

what's his name?

Why am I forgetting Fuentes? Nick

Fuentes. So Tucker Carlson had Nick

Fuentes on. Now, I've been trying to

figure out

which things Nick Fuentes has said that

are so over the top that I would have to

say, "Oh, okay. I I'm not on board with

that." And so, I've been sort of

fascinated by watching his journey.

Uh, and what I didn't realize and what

he told Tucker, this is really

interesting, is that when things when he

got really cancelled is because he sort

of flipped to a view about culture

in um relevant to immigration.

And his argument was,

which other other conservatives have as

well, his argument was that if you're

not watching the the cultural change

that immigration has, you might lose

your country.

Now, that of course uh what the

Democrats do is if you say you have a

problem with the rate of cultural

assimilation,

which I think would roughly describe

Nick Fuentes. Now, he wouldn't say it's

only about the rate. He would say it's

the type.

But let me let me give you this uh let

me give you this

mental experiment

and you tell me if this is racist or

just common sense.

Suppose Saudi Arabia opened itself up to

some some level of immigration. I don't

know if they do, but let's just use this

for our our magical thinking. So, let's

say Saudi Arabia wanted to accept some

immigrants that I I don't think is the

situation right now. And there were two

immigrants. One was a European atheist,

European atheist wanting to immigrate to

Saudi Arabia. The other one is already

Islamic

but from some other Islamic country and

also wants to or maybe even from Europe

but wants to uh immigrate to Saudi

Arabia. Which one would be better for

Saudi Arabia

that they that they allow the guy with a

completely different culture, the

European atheist, or they let in

somebody who's already on the same

culture? So there's no assimilation. You

don't have to wait. they're they're

pretty much already there. Wouldn't

common sense tell you that one of those

is easier to digest than the other? And

if you were watching it from the outside

and you saw that Saudi Arabia prefers

people who are already Islamic and they

discriminate against people who are not

and you know that it's an Islamic

country that's, you know, protector of

Mecca and all that, would you have a

problem with that? Would you would you

say that oh Saudi Arabia is being really

racist? But suppose

that they did let in both, but they let

in a lot more that were the easy to

assimilate. So they let in almost every

Islamic person who didn't have a

criminal record. But if you were a,

let's say, a European Christian or

atheist, you could also get in but at a

lower rate of flow because they know

that would be harder to digest.

Would they be racists

or would that just be common sense?

So the problem is that uh most of these

conversations are about power. They're

not really about what's right or wrong.

It's about who gets power. Democrats get

power whenever they say that Republicans

are doing bad racist things. So it

doesn't even matter what the topic is.

If you can blame the Republicans for

doing bad racist things and you can make

that stick, then you can get elected

because you're the opposite of the bad

racist stuff. So it's always about

power.

And I think what happened was that Nick

was more coming at again I can't read

his mind. I'm not uh this is not me

trying to support his point of views.

All right. I know it'll get clipped and

I'll get I'll get clipped. Um he it's

only up to him to to defend his point of

view. Let's let's lay that down as

clearly as possible.

It's only up to him. I do not support

his or anybody else's point of view.

It's up to him. He's on his own like

everybody else just like me.

But as soon as he made the switch to

it's a cultural assimulation problem

with immigration, that opened him up to

the aha. So you're saying that people

should not be treated the same based on

their culture, which he would say. I'm I

feel safe in saying that. Uh but is it

just common sense

or is he being a racist? It's so easy to

conflate that with racism because race

is involved and race is part of the

decision. So if race is involved and

it's part of the decision,

isn't it racial? Well, the argument

against that would be no.

Because if a uh somebody who is not

Islamic but maybe had an Arab background

was let's say a Christian or atheist

would would anybody have a problem

assimilating that person in the United

States?

I wouldn't I wouldn't I would say if

you're if you already let's say for

example you already spoke English and

you were a Christian you just had some

Lebanese or other background. Would that

be a problem? Not to me. That would be

easy to assimilate.

So you could you can strip out the

racial part pretty easily if there was

any way to maintain that culture is a

little bit a little bit independent

of race.

So that that's my so my bottom line is

as soon as you say it's not about race,

it's about culture, the Democrats will

see that they can get more power by

saying it is about race. It really is.

You're lying. Uh, so telling the truth

and common sense get overwhelmed by the

narrative

attacks. And I think that's just what

happened to Fuentes.

I think that he was young and did not

realize

that he was walking into the biggest

trap in the world. He has since

realized, [laughter]

I'm pretty sure he's figured it out now,

but he's not backing off from the, you

know, the common sense culture part of

it, that clearly some people assimilate

better than others. Clearly, it's good

for your country if you sort out and

make a differentiation between what's

easy to assimilate and what's not easy

to assimilate.

Nobody really disagrees with that. Not

really. I mean, not privately.

There's a new poll on Trump's

deportation plans.

Uh, and uh, let's see who was writing

about this.

Uh, New York Post, Ryan King and Josh

Christensen. I guess about half of all

Americans are okay with shipping people

back to their country of origin even if

they didn't have a crime beyond uh,

entering the country.

So depending on what poll you look at,

Trump's immigration stuff is either

barely over 50% but a majority or way

over 50%.

Speaking of Ukraine, we weren't, but

let's

The claim from Euro News is that Ukraine

has made enough long long range strikes

into Russia's oil refining capacity

that they've taken out 20% of it. Now,

you might remember not too long ago I

speculated that if Ukraine could figure

out how to degrade Russia's um energy

situation by 20%

that that might be a tipping point of

some kind. Now, the reason I call 20% a

tipping point while knowing nothing

about Russia and knowing nothing about

their energy or the refinery or the war.

So let let me confess no knowledge, no

special knowledge of all these things

that an expert should know. There is

something magic about 20%.

So this is where I'm coming from. If you

took a restaurant and said, "I'm going

to reduce your business by 20%." They'd

almost certainly be out of business

because 20% is way more than the margin,

you know, that restaurants are making.

Most small businesses, if you took 20%

away from them, they'd be out of

business. If you took any politician

who's succeeding and you took away 20%

of their supporters, never get elected

again. So 20%

in so many different ways and domains

becomes becomes a tipping point. 10% is

dangerous, too, but not always a tipping

point. Sometimes you could survive a 10%

hit, whatever the domain is. 20% almost

nobody could ever survive.

So you can't believe anything that comes

out of the the war zone. So I don't

believe they've necessarily cut 20% of

the Russia's refining capacity. But if

they have

or if they're going to get there soon

because they're they're doing a lot of

attacks. So something's happening.

There might be a tipping point and we

might be at it, but we don't know what's

tipping. One thing that might be tipping

is uh

Russia's entire economy.

Maybe the other thing that could be

tipping would be really bad news, which

is Russia deciding to increase the

lethality of their own attacks uh to to

reduce the effectiveness of the

Ukrainians. So either you'll see

something like a collapse in the Russian

economy which might be let's say

foreshadowed by Putin getting flexible

in negotiating if he suddenly gets

flexible in a way we didn't expect. It

might be because he sees you know the

doom is coming and he needs to negotiate

his way out. But the other thing which

might be unfortunately more likely is

that Russia might pull out the good

stuff, you know, the really good weapons

and just take out the entire energy

infrastructure of Ukraine. That might

happen

and then then we don't know what happens

after that.

Trump's appealing the uh the verdicts

that made him a felon in New York. So

that was the one where that was the

Manhattan hush money convictions.

So I guess he's filing a an appeal on

that. Um I don't think he's going to win

on that.

Um the argument is that the judge there

three arguments I guess the the judge

Oh number one argument is he was

president at the time of the hush bunny

cover up so he shouldn't have been

charged. that doesn't seem strong. Uh

that because the judge involved made

small dollar donations to Democrat

causes and his daughter um was working

for prominent members of the party that

that would be too much bias. But I don't

think you can overturn things because a

judge has a political opinion because

that would just be all judges. So I

don't think that's going to fly. Um, and

then they're trying to move this move

the case to the federal court

where maybe the Supreme Court could get

involved and give Trump a good some kind

of good verdict, but I don't know what

that would be based on. So, I think it's

probably worth a shot because he, you

know, I don't know who pays his lawyers,

but it's probably worth trying, but

doesn't look like it's got a strong

case.

Open AI, according to the Epic Times,

Open AI uh will face copyright

infringement claims. So, they can't get

away with it just saying, "Oh, we just

trained on everything and we didn't we

didn't steal your IP." So, apparently,

they must face allegations of copyright

infringement. And there doesn't seem to

be any doubt,

at least among experts, that they took

advantage of other people's IP to train

their AI. So now what? [laughter]

Does OpenAI get sued by every author in

the world? What do I do? Should I be

part of some class action lawsuit where

even if I win, I get I get 25 cents

because that would be my share.

There's nothing you do about it, right?

Um,

but what I would like, which I think is

a pipe dream, is if there were some way

to know if your IP had more, let's say,

more influence on the AI.

Now, because of the nature of what I do,

I'm always talking about what works and

what doesn't work. And I write books

about what works and what doesn't work.

I'm probably one of the more

since it since since I'm talking about

myself, I have to pick the words

carefully because it sounds too

douchebaggery if I don't. But since my

entire let's say last I don't know maybe

most of my career has been aimed at uh

influencing lots of people on lots of

different topics.

Everything from, you know, what is good

management in the Dilbert comic to how

to fill almost everything still big

which should be about success and one of

the most influential books on success

ever written a book on persuasion which

has had a tremendous impact according to

people who privately tell me what

they've used that for um and I could go

on the re the reframes that you saw at

the beginning etc. So what's different

about what I do is I'm intentionally

trying to influence as much of the world

and their brains as possible. You know,

I do it publicly and transparently and

for the public good. Now, to the extent

that I've succeeded, meaning the books

have sold well and I've got a podcast

that you're listening to and all that,

would it not be fair to say

that an AI that was trained on just

everything in the world would have

picked up a little bit more from me both

directly, but also through the

influences I've had on other people and

because they would pick up the other

people's influence as well. So, there's

a ripple effect.

So, should I get paid?

Does that mean that my copyrights had

been sort of taken from me and AI turned

it into their advice? If you asked AI

for advice, would it ever give you

advice that was different from what I

give

at this point?

I don't know. Do you think you're do you

think AI would be in favor of passion

uh as the driver of success when people

like me say no don't follow your passion

just do what makes sense and then make

some money and then you can follow your

passion when you're rich

right so I don't know there's any answer

to this

but

we'll see you know if if uh if one AI

company is worth $5 trillion

I think uh open AI might be worth

what is open AI worth? How many billions

is that? And they don't have they don't

have one billion for me. Really? I only

want one billion. I'm not asking a lot.

I saw a article from in the Daily Neuron

from George Saman talking about what

causes societal collapses throughout

history. I'm actually really interested

in that because I I end up watching a

lot of YouTube videos about old

civilizations that went extinct. And

much like the animal conversation we had

about animal extinctions, every time I

see somebody dig up a buried city, you

know, from antiquity, I say to myself,

uh,

what happened to all the people?

[laughter] Where's all the people? Where

did they go? What killed them? Why' they

leave? And uh some of the obvious

reasons would be you know war and

disease and natural disasters and stuff

but uh there's a new model

that speculates that the real thing that

kills every society because if you

notice 100% of the old societies are

gone. Yeah. Have you ever asked yourself

what happened to all the old ones?

They're all gone. [laughter]

So what's going to happen to our

society? will be the first one in the

history of the whole world that didn't

go away after a while. And what was it

that would cause it to go away? Well, at

the moment,

technology and our connected world makes

us way less susceptible to one of those

things I mentioned,

except you know, even war doesn't. You

look at Gaza, even war

won't keep that from being repopulated

eventually, right? So the other the

other speculation is that what causes

societies to collapse is complexity

which naturally gets added as any

society is successful.

So when you're first successful, you

know, just a scrappy little tribe of

something, but as you become more and

more powerful and rich, everything gets

complicated. You're like, you know what,

we could use a court. You know what

would be good is if we had a a committee

to decide what to do with our water

resources. So as soon as you've got

wealth, you get all these complexities

and committees and people want a piece

of the wealth. And the the idea is that

the complexity never stops

until it destroys your civilization. You

can't operate.

Where are we on that cycle?

This would almost completely describe

exactly what we witnessed whe when Doge

started digging into the NOS's.

Didn't you know that was the end of

civilization when you saw how all our

money is being unwatched and funneled

into massively complicated structures

that can't be observed. That is the end

of your civilization.

Now, maybe if we're lucky, we caught it

in time thanks to the good work of Elon

Musk and Trump, you know, Trump creating

that possibility. It's possible

that Trump can back up some of that some

of that complexity and keep us alive

longer than our competitors.

Maybe. We'll see. But complexity is your

enemy.

Well, I guess the SNAP the people who

receive the SNAP um money, which is the

thing that allows food stamps, basically

it's the thing that allows you to eat

while the government pays for your food.

Now, apparently there are 40 million

people who are getting this assistance.

Uh there are reports that some

largestish number of the people getting

the assistance are criminals who are

somehow illegally getting it and then

reselling it for a discount or

something. So, a lot of it might be

fraudulent, but it's a lot of people.

And then now the New York Post is

reporting, and I've seen this as well,

that on TikTok, probably other places,

the people who don't know where they're

going to get their next meal from as

their SNAP benefits are cut are saying

out loud and on social media, "We're

going to steal the food.

We're just going to go into the store.

We're just going to take the food and

we're just going to walk out and eat

it." Now, in our current world, would

they be arrested?

Nope. [laughter] They wouldn't be

arrested.

Depending where they were, they could

just walk in the store, steal some food,

eat it, come back tomorrow for

breakfast, eat some more, and I don't

think it would ever be stopped. Now, do

you think that a big grocery store could

start arresting starving people who the

government had just cut off from food?

Not really. Not really. They just they

just couldn't do it. So, I do wonder if

the food banks and whatever else would

replace the SNAP benefits in the short

run. There'll probably be some food

banks that cover the cover the gap. But

what happens if they really can't get

food? Like actually legitimately

can't legally get food, 40 million

people. Aren't they going to just clean

out the grocery stores?

What else would happen? So,

I'm hoping that this all, you know, gets

solved peacefully and the the budget

gets reconstituted and we figure out

where all the fraud fraud is coming

from. But there is some possibility

that we're going to have some food

riots. I don't think so. I'm not going

not going to predict it, but boy, we're

getting close.

Anyway, watch out for that. That's all I

got for you today, ladies and gentlemen.

I'm going to talk to if my buttons all

work. I'm gonna talk to the locals

people, my beloved local subscribers

for a little bit of extra. And the rest

of you, hope you're having a great day.

All right, let's see if my buttons work.

Work buttons should be going to local

supporters only.