Episode 1636 Scott Adams - The News is Delicious Today and So Are You. Get in Here

good morning everybody and welcome to the best damn thing that's ever happened to you now i might i may have said that before but this time i'm gonna deliver because the news has been kind to us and given us great stories to talk about while you're doing your morning exercise or morning coffee or whatever the hell you're doing this morning just keep it up though i can tell from here you're doing a good job come on push it push it all right good now if you'd like to take it up a notch all you need is a copper mug or a glass of tanker gel style canteen jugger flask a vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite beverage i like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure the dopamine of the day thing makes everything better it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now go i think i i had a little bit of a slurp with a sip now you want your sip to be pure without the slurp but up to a ten percent up to a 10 sip to slurp ratio would still be acceptable beyond 10 nobody wants to be around you if you know what i mean babylon b has an important report as you know the babylon bee is the last remaining credible publication and they've got a breaking story out of sacramento daring midday train robberies are the latest phenomena to flourish in the golden state these rail heists along with a dearth of electricity and banishment of gas vehicles have led to california rebranding with a vintage old west theme so if you were thinking of uh taking the family to a nice summer vacation someplace that's like a theme park uh california used to be a bunch of traffic and stuff and movies and stuff and boring things but now we've got this whole wild west thing we've got outdoor bathrooms indoor plumbing completely unnecessary we've got uh yeah we've we've got tribes living living among us pretty much an old west theme so yesterday my step daughter uh mentioned some comments about something i had posted on instagram and i said i didn't post anything on instagram and she said yes you did and i said i'd know if i posted something on instagram and she said you posted something on instagram and then i said what did i post on instagram well apparently uh you can pocket post now it wasn't really that bad i had considered posting and i recall preparing a post and then deleting it because it was too obnoxious because once i saw it i said to myself you know this seemed like a good idea but this is really a bad idea it's like a really bad idea like i didn't it's sort of don't not reading the room right if you know what i mean sometimes things will be okay in a certain context but not in another well this is one of those shouldn't have been posted but since it's already out there i'm going to share it with you who is this picture i don't know if you'll be able to see it well you see this it's a interior of a vehicle and here's the back story i had been wanting to purchase an american vehicle and it took me the longest time you know at one point i tried to buy a truck from ford but i never could pull the trigger because i have a rule that i've got to be able to drive the vehicle or one like it before i'll purchase and that isn't an option you can't drive the you can't even drive the truck you want to buy or even one like it because they just don't carry them on the lots so i couldn't buy a truck well time goes by and i've been driving an suv for a decade because it's just convenient for everything and i thought it was time for a smaller fun american car and so tried to buy a mustang and you got caught right in the uh the squeeze the the squeeze of the unavailability of cars but three months later it got delivered and you know that's what it looks like that's the interior you can see it's red seats and i i have to tell you this just as a like context i'm not a car guy at all you know what when i i used to think i might be as a kid but as soon as i had enough money that i could afford a car that i wanted i kind of didn't care anymore like i realized there was something about the psychology of just owning nice things or something so it wasn't like a real basic biological need or anything so i've always just taken cars that did what i needed them to do now i've had mostly driven bmws here's the obnoxious part if you can get over that fact i'm going to say some nice things about some american products here in a moment the uh so i've had experience with nice sporty high-end cars but i wanted an american car and i i'm just sort of in love with the way the mustangs look just the design i think ford in general has the strongest design maybe in the business right now maybe in the business would anybody agree with that depending on you know whatever class of car you're looking at i feel like theirs are better just to look at they just look better designed than other cars with similar definitely better than all the japanese cars there's not one japanese car in my opinion that's competitive with you know ford's line of just in terms of their look now that could be also a cultural thing maybe maybe they just design better for american tastes but so i get this car and i didn't know what to expect because i had never driven a mustang and the first time i got in this thing remember i'm not a car guy i'm just not impressed by cars and when people show me their new car i'm like ah you know that's great yeah but i don't really care i just i just have no interest in cars whatsoever but i sat in this thing and i had an experience like i had an experience and it doesn't wear off and let me tell you this is the best way i can explain it if you're in a well-designed german vehicle the vehicle especially a bmw it'll make you feel like there's no difference between the car and you like you just merge with a bmw it becomes just part of your body almost so if you're driving a bmw and you say i'm here but i want to be up there you just sort of think it and the next thing you know you're up there like there there's no friction between your thoughts and the execution and so that's one thing that makes it driving a bmw kind of thrilling because you feel something that's bigger than just driving if i can say it that way so i get in this car and i'd never felt this feeling before which was it was opposite of the feeling that the car was me the feeling was i was partnering with a wild animal that temporarily at least was willing to do what i wanted it to do oh my god is that exciting it is exciting like the the the feel of the engine like the the vibration the color i mean god they nailed this i mean i can't say enough about this so um um american engineering looking good all right here's a good fake story from uh the blaze now the blaze is not uh responsible for the fakeness of the story so they were just reporting what the police reported all right so the so the police have reported this allegedly there's a shocking cell phone video capturing the moment an armed robber shot at a man he had stopped on a busy houston's highway but police say he later accidentally shot himself in the head during a struggle now how do you interpret this story do you think that there was a man in houston who accidentally shot himself in the head let me tell you how i interpret this story did i mention that it's in texas how would you interpret this story if it happened in florida now if this happened in florida the way i'd imagine it was oh florida man shoots himself in the head that's just a tuesday right i mean i have to think that in florida there's probably eight to nine episodes of people shooting themselves in the head accidentally are you daily i mean that's florida less like florida man always does funny things but when you read this story in texas about a man who you know pulled a gun on somebody else but in the heat of the struggle the man who pulled the gun accidentally shot himself in the head in texas well there's at least one other way to interpret this and it goes like this somebody pulled the gun in texas and it took three seconds for somebody else to put a bullet in his skull before he could pull the trigger himself the police arrive they see exactly what happened and they say oh did you take care of this yeah i just took care of that for you you know the paperwork would be a lot easier if we just say he shot himself in the head you can go on with your day sir thank you for your service thank you officer have a good day make sure to reload you you're a bullet short ha i'll remember i don't know i don't know we're in that period where you don't trust anything about anything so i'm just saying if this had been a florida story i would have seen it differently in the most important news of the day disney has decided that minnie mouse will no longer be in her iconic little skirt but rather we'll be wearing a pant suit that's right minnie minnie mouse will now be in a pant suit now i don't know if there's any truth to the rumor that hillary clinton is secret secretly running the government from behind the scenes but when i see disney put minnie mouse in a pet suit i start to think it's a possibility we're not done with this story a lot of people say that disney went too far went too far that's not my take i think they did not go far enough i think that they need to start specifying her sexual preference now putting her in pantsuits i get it i get it i receive the hint wink wink we know what you're trying to say but this is 2022 disney you can just say it she she may or may not be a lesbian doesn't matter because it's 20 22 but i feel like you should specify you know don't don't hint at it just go right at it now uh one of the critics of this move was candice owens who correct me if i'm wrong give me a fact check candice owens wears a lot of pantsuits am i right however she can definitely pull them off well no that's the wrong way to put it she can pull it off meaning she can pull off the look i'm sure i'll be quoted out of context there but um so so if you if you if you can make it work and she definitely does um but she had some things to say about that now i think we need a trans mouse as well so two mice two mice is i don't think two mice is enough mice does not represent all of the mice in the public and i think we need a we should definitely have an lgbtq a whole range of mice to do this right now um by the way i i don't want to give away some secrets here but i met candace owens once um yeah that fox news thing we're we're both on on the same day so she came over and uh introduced herself and i gotta say she was one of the warmest people you'll ever meet in your life like you know how some people you meet them and just instantly you just instantly like them she has that that thing that kind of charisma that just lights up her room so she just definitely has the real thing um but anyway that's the minnie mouse story now here's a question about uh desantis and this this is really interesting to me because desantis is a in my opinion he's a near legendary good decision maker would anybody disagree with that now of course if you're on the left you disagree with everything he does but within the context of a republican candidate my goodness he makes good decisions they're they're compatible and smart and defensible and makes them work and all that stuff so here's here's the thing that is a challenge to that and i'm not sure which way to take this so here's a tweet by alexander nazarian we tweeted at a press conference today desantis attempted to make it seem as if there were enough delta cases in florida to justify the use of regeneron which is totally ineffective against omicron and then he goes on according to the cdc however omicron accounts for more than 99 of cases all right so so who's right if let's say we have evidence that um regeneron is useless against omicron but did work against delta but 99 maybe more by now uh of cases or omicron so the uh i guess the authorization has been uh pulled and one of the things that desantis says is you can't tell what somebody has when they come in but the cdc does say 99 plus percent are omicron all right so who is the better decision maker the tweeter who seems to be criticizing it or desantis himself so uh here's the argument on one hand on one hand does it make sense to use a drug that you know is 99 going to be useless that's the point and not only 99 but that 99 is going to go to 100 like by the time we're done talking right so so the usefulness of it will basically just vanish so that that's a pretty good argument right now here here's what i um i don't want to do any mind reading but i'll give an argument i guess this would be my own argument that also agrees with desantis in its own way here's the the counter argument none of our data has been correct yet all right so 99 so the cdc says 99 plus of everything is omicron here's the counter argument none of our data's been right none of it name anything that's been right do you think we're so precise that we can get 90 died i mean and is the 99 also in florida or is the 99 i guess it would be everywhere if it's 99 yeah so forget that part and then why wouldn't you help the one percent is regenerate so dangerous that if you gave it to a hundred people and only one one of them needed it that that would be worse than not giving it to anybody so i actually don't know the right answer to this one but i think desantis has a better argument than is represented by his uh his critic here what do you think does it make sense or is uh desantis just making a political point that's sort of data free yeah the the best argument is that the data is all incorrect and why wouldn't you try to fix the one percent and leave it to your doctor and you know maybe if maybe if the symptoms are extreme that's the only case you even try it because that's where it makes sense i don't know it's a good question i wonder if desantis got this one wrong it's hard to say well denmark is uh doubling down on its february 1 thing getting rid of their mandates and they're saying that denmark no longer classifies coven 19 as a quote socially critical disease all restrictions will be lifted february 1st boom boom um so i i gave you some uh updates from visiting a place i didn't specify in which there was a very little masking indoors yesterday i returned to that same place and the 50 masking went to about 25.

so in one day that one place went from about half masked to 25 mast and yeah and i'm not saying that i had anything to do with it but i can tell you it's you can definitely tell what people's politics are when you walk through a crowded space and and there's a mix of messed and unmasked have you seen that yet you go into a space and you're like republican republican democrat republican democrat republican it's pretty easy now isn't it all right so i don't know if february 1st is we're going to hit it but let's talk about some more uh thinking one of the things i see a lot is why did we shut down the world for something that has a 99.9 chance of survival most of you think that way right why did we shut everything down if there was a 99 whatever percent chance of survival well first of all that's an average so the chance of survival if you were over 70 was not so good i mean that was you know a few percentages more than one percent um but still you know they didn't have long to live you could protect them et cetera so it's a perfectly reasonable point why why would you shut things down if there was a 99.9 chance of surviving it and i say that's a good point and here is a additional point so this additional point does not refute the first point it's just additional it goes like this do you want a 50 chance of ruining one year of your life because if you covet there's about a 50 chance you'll have long haul which could take you out for six months now if you get taken out for six months it kind of screws up your whole year i had that experience of you know i had my prednisone experience it took me out for about six months like for six months i struggled but it kind of ruins your whole year right so would you do extreme things to stop uh half of the public from losing a year of quality life now if you say if you say no to that that's a reasonable answer it's reasonable it's reasonable to say yes or no but it's not reasonable to ignore it so the the only thing i want to add to this is don't ignore it scott we've been locked down for two years right and that's part that's part of the analysis right so part of the analysis is that being locked down has its own set of costs you know we all know that so i'm not giving you an opinion i'm just saying that you should throw that in there and the way i would calculate it is yes your your your odds are dying or low your odds of getting messed up for a year are pretty good and you know that can affect your relationships imagine being sick for a year what's that do to your relationships in your career it's kind of messed up so don't ignore that risk i'm just saying you know you i'm not trying to change your mind anything you always think i'm trying to persuade you i'm not i'm not i'm just saying don't forget that risk all right the covet olympics are coming up in china um of the 4 000 or so arrivals so far they've spotted 129 cases of coven uh that's what's been reported and at different intervals some of them have been within the exclusion zone so apparently you get tested pretty hard and and stuff before you can even get into the the zone where the athletes are but even within the zone at least 50 of them have been found within what they call the closed loop since january 4th now um here's my here's my uh let's say logic and math question for you if you believe that the vaccinations themselves are dangerous and that the athletes have been known to be dropping dead from them what would you expect how many people would you expect to die of the professional athletes and a four thousand if all four thousand people compete hard the entire time and go home and nobody nobody dropped dead would that change your mind about the risk of the vaccinations because they're all highly vaccinated would it suppose there were zero deaths would you find that statistically meaningful because we know that these we get reports of athletes dropping so often that you think you would see them all right how many are catching me at my trick what's the track all right here's the trick i was trying to lure you into a trap you can't compare 4 000 athletes over two weeks with hundreds of thousands of athletes over years that's not any kind of a fair comparison so it wouldn't matter how many people died or didn't die during the olympics it wouldn't tell you anything about the real world well let me take that back if five people dropped dead during the olympics yeah that would tell you a lot that would tell you a lot but if zero people drop dead during the olympics that won't tell you anything do you get that because the olympics are really just four thousand athletes over two weeks you wouldn't expect even if the vaccination was dangerous you wouldn't expect anybody to die in that limited little time window so you can't compare that to all athletes all over the world you know high school professional college running all day long for two years yeah that's a different situation anyway the reason i bring that up is because i think i had misleadingly asked that question before without clarifying it was a dumb question uh how many people think that the gigantic surge in israel of uh both deaths their deaths of covet are way up and also not they're not way up above previous highs but they're up but their infection rate is just through the roof they're highly vaccinated infections through the roof just just way through the roof and at the same time deaths are up too that tells you that vaccinations what work or don't work boom tell me israel is the most vaccinated and also infections through the roof and death rates climbing bad news are good news bad news or good news here's the point to point on its surface looks like pretty bad news would you agree that on the surface if that's all you knew it's pretty bad news everybody on the same page so far if that's all you know and there's nothing else to the story it looks pretty bad here's the other thing to know there are is almost one it's come way down now translation that means that they have compressed remember i just talked about how you can't compare athletes over two years can't compare athletes over two years with athletes over two weeks what did omicron do omicron is so spready it took what would have been a longer pandemic and compressed it into two weeks israel is almost done they're almost done that the high spike in all likelihood is going to go up up up up up up up bam right to the ground in all likelihood that is going to drop like a rock in about a week because the r is approaching one and they've been tracking that the whole time as it drops now their hospitals are still doing okay they did not impose economic you know any restrictions so israel may have don't know yet it's too early to say so if you say it's too early i agree with you but they are on the verge of maybe nailing this thing like nobody nailed it or the vaccinations don't work we'll know in about a week so in a week or so if you don't see that that curve just drops straight down because everything just got compressed that's what it should do but if that doesn't happen well then israel just just made all the wrong decisions or at least this one was wrong right would you agree with would you agree with my setup that if israel didn't lock down so they didn't have an economic hit they didn't crash their hospitals they compressed their entire pandemic into two weeks said let's just take it now get over with boom boom if they get on the other side of this in two weeks they win they won would you agree with me now of course that still doesn't count to be fair any long-term effect of being vaccinated itself but ah man this is the yeah the this is the most exciting part of the pandemic israel may have done it now i would uh if you want to see more on that argument i would refer to you to a david boxenhorn a tweet thread that shows you the data that backs up what i just said so look for david boxenhorn who's also a really good follow by the way he's got lots of good stuff on twitter uh you can find him in my twitter thread from yesterday i think um justice breyer looks like he's going to retire so it'll be opening in the supreme court uh how much does it suck for biden that all he gets to do is replace a liberal you know there's there's no accounting for uh luck so trump gets to be president you know when he can change the nature of the court it looks like biden will get to be president when he can basically break even just break even i said um i'll tell you what uh here's a good reason you don't want me to be president if i were president i would uh i would advocate uh adding one justice so it's 10.

and balancing them liberal and conservative so if there were too many conservatives i'd add a liberal and i'll try to balance them five and five now i wouldn't require it of anybody else but that would be that would be what i'd do i'd balance it and here's why if you can't get one person from the other side to side with you maybe you shouldn't do it maybe you shouldn't do it if you can't get one person to side with you yeah maybe you shouldn't do it now i i get that that would not give uh conservatives as much as they want i get that yeah no it's a bad take if you if you prefer a republican agenda here's here's the backing of it in in all things i would back the system over the decision right so let me explain that as president hypothetically i wouldn't want to be president but as president i would always back this system over this specific decision that's what uh christian cinema just did so senator cinema decided to back the system by not getting rid of the um what do you call it the uh the thing where they talk too much um so backing the system the filibuster thank you so senator cinema backed the system over the decision and she actually wanted the decision to go that way she actually voted against her own preference to protect the system i think the supreme court's credibility is lower than it should be for our healthy system and i would i would vote for keeping the health of the system over the specific decision but i would also totally respect someone who just wants the right decisions there's nothing crazy about that nothing crazy about wanting good decisions that you know agree with you i'm just saying that as president you wouldn't always get your way you just wouldn't but that's true of every president right name a president who gives everybody what they want you're not going to get that president i would just be consistent and say look if it's ever a question of the system versus the specific output i'm just going to go with the system because this is more important then i would never get a second term all right so uh biden has said that he will only consider for the supreme court a black female candidate um now as you know i've been identifying as black for some time primarily for the benefits and also because i you know relate having been discriminated for employment a number of times um so i certainly identify with anybody who says the culture is discriminated against them economically i get that been there too many times however i realize that my strategy is lacking and it would be much smarter for me to upgrade my self-identification which i i do today so as of today i identify as a black female now i know it's a long shot that joe biden would nominate me to the supreme court i don't really have a legal background and probably don't agree with everything he would like to do but unlike the rest of you losers who have no chance whatsoever unless you're also a black woman so it's just me and the rest of the rest of my sisters all the other black women we have a shot still so i just don't like to ever be out of the conversation you know it would be one thing to say well we we prefer not picking you scott for the supreme court and by the way do you know you can't spell scotus without scott they only use one t but i don't hold that against them yeah you can't spell scottish without scott um and within us and without us hey i just realized that that's what this is it's scott and us we are the supreme court of the united states for all practical purposes because that's how it works well sorry you don't have a chance to be in the supreme court but my odds are still looking good all right uh fifth according to rasmussen poll 55 of voters believe the dems or democrats are too liberal generally speaking a hundred percent of our data says that democrats are going to get shellacked in 2022.

but do you think that the shellacking they're likely to get in 2022 will be the reason that they might win in 2024 because the country does like a divided government we do like that divided government thing i've got a feeling that the democrats would have a real good case if they lost you know the congress entirely that they would have to say well you can't lose the presidency too that's too far that would be pretty motivating for their base so i think it's going to be tough for a republican to get through that that wall there is a new kind of doctor that i was exposed to twice today i'll call them the lol doctors where you say something that you think seems perfectly reasonable uh and a doctor chimes in on twitter with lol no to which i say oh okay you know i i i grant the superior expertise of the lol doctors and i thank you for your service because what i said was that if you could quickly test if there were some available over-the-counter tests for vitamin d and you just tested everybody for vitamin d then the pandemic would be over and a medical doctor came in and said lol no like oh okay well now i see why my idea wouldn't work because at first i was saying well this is perfectly reasonable because the high correlation between vitamin d and bad outcomes if you knew who was susceptible not only could you try to give them vitamin d that might help a little bit but more importantly you would know who was at greatest risk so they could take greater care and i thought that made sense given the data that i'd seen but the counter argument to that is lol no so i bow to their expertise well here's a gigantic surprise uh the u.s decided to give russia absolutely nothing to ask for despite asking for totally reasonable things why well why is it oh i'm sorry i didn't talk about kamala harris being potentially a supreme court uh pick um jack possabic has some reporting that says has not even been discussed and he has pretty good sources so i don't think there's any chance that kamal harris will be the supreme court pick but it would be funny to imagine her running into brett kavanaugh in the break room if you know what i mean hey brett no hard feelings that's how i imagined it would go anyway uh back to russia and ukraine so why do you think that the u.s offered basically nothing except a willingness for open dialogue why would they not be willing to have russia completely stand down which is what i imagine we would ask in return and stop hacking why why would we uh not take that deal unless there's something we don't know or here's the other possibility so i'm going to get i'm going to give biden benefit of a doubt and i would have done this for trump okay i would have i would have given the benefit of a doubt to trump so i'm just going to extend the same courtesy to biden it could be the people who are smarter than i am on russia which would be almost anybody who spent five minutes trying to be smarter than me on russia it could be that the smart people just know that russia can't do anything and that we basically have putin by the balls and as long as we have them by the balls we just don't even have to agree to anything and then maybe that's just the best way to handle it because i don't think there's any chance that putin's going to invade because the financial repercussions would be devastating i don't think there's any chance so it could be that the biden administration is simply confident that it's a bluff and they don't have to give anything so even though in my opinion what they're being asked to give is so minimal it's it's laughably nothing maybe we don't have to give anything and if you can get away with giving nothing well it shows strength doesn't it would you disagree it does show strength to say how about we give you nothing go ahead you think you want to invade that's the end of your regime go ahead that does show strength now do you think i've gone too far do you think that that's too much of a benefit of a doubt i don't know i'm actually confused and i don't like the lack of transparency here because you know yeah maybe there's some state secrets we've got to maintain or military i don't know the way we frame it might be important for our future i guess maybe but i don't know why russia can just say what they want and we can't why is it that putin can say in public what he wants that we can't like ours has to be the secret or we're or we won't agree with anything i don't know it makes it it makes us look weak that our government can't be transparent and putin can that makes you look pretty weak now apparently uh the russia-china association is strong enough that china's backing russia essentially and um i don't know maybe it's too late maybe it's too late to put russia in our camp and biden is just saying all right russia is basically just china now so don't give him anything you know how how long before we see putin as a puppet of russia of china because he might be already it's kind of weird that he's doing this now just when china wants some pressure off of china it's a little it's a little coordinated or coincidental or something but every time i see something that looks like it's exactly what china would want to happen you have to wonder if they actually caused it or if it's a coincidence um well according to some reporting by axios uh the commander-in-chief of the united states is tucker carlson and by that i mean that his axios reports that behind the scenes the republicans are being very influenced by his opinion on let's not get into a war with russia and i believe that in effect because we have this you know a country that's kind of balanced left and right democrats and republicans that you you can't really go to a slow-motion war one that's not a surprise you know and ukraine's a slow-motion war if anything happens it won't be any surprise you can't get into a slow-motion war without the public on your side am i right like that would be a big mistake yeah it would be one thing if it's you know sudden and you want your government to take control because you don't want it to be in a committee situation but if you have lots of time to think and the public is informed and we're all watching the same stuff the public needs to be on board and i think tucker has made sure that the republicans won't be because he is influential enough to do that and i think he has i think that his argument is strong enough and his platform is big enough and he is credible enough that when he says this is crazy don't let them talk you into war again that republicans are going to say no they're going to agree with them so in effect tucker carlson is going to decide if we go to war that's not even an exaggeration is it you tell me is that hyperbole or is that just a statement of fact that tucker carlson literally will decide if we're going to war i think that's happening and i'm not exaggerating likewise our domestic agenda is basically determined by mansion and cinema am i wrong we have two people in charge of the domestic stuff mansion and cinema we have one person in charge of the military decisions because you know he's got the veto it's the tucker carlson veto basically and um we have joe rogan who's now the surgeon general and here's what's weird let me say it again and then let me let me summarize it i'm not making this up this is this is actually our reality right now that at this moment tucker carlson is the commander-in-chief for all practical purposes mansion and cinema are running the domestic agenda and joe rogan is a surgeon general i mean joe rogan has as much control about what happens to the you know the outcome of the pandemic as anybody else now here's the funny part it kind of works that's the funny part if you think i'm complaining no no you know we've all been wondering who's really running the country you know because we feel like biden isn't the strong leader you know you know in control of all of his faculties so we've been wondering who's running the country and we actually it's right in front of us it's right in front of us that's who's running the country and you know the weird part is it's working and that's the great thing about the republic and i think this is severely undervalued the republic is super flexible have you noticed that that that you know during the pandemic the republic said how about we give our president these weird unusual powers to do executive orders right like the public just invented a new power gave it to the president i mean the president was going to take it but only with our permission we we sort of by a consensus gave permission to make executive orders outside of what we would normally accept and then we we said oh that worked out pretty well right i mean the the the republic is super super flexible like we we respond to stuff like almost a creature it's kind of awesome anyway um i've got a new hashtag to uh represent the fact that uh the people leading the country are the people we trust uh it's hashtag no joe because we've got leader leadership without joe rogan i'm sorry without we do we do have joe rogan we have leadership without uh joe biden so it's sort of a no-joe situation you've heard of uh somebody being a no-show he's a he's a no-joke um yes that somebody's on local saying that a big part of my premise is that the public operates like like a beast at least in america now i don't know that that's the case if you've got um i would imagine it's not the case if you have a dictatorship the dictator does what the dictator does right maybe a small group of people influencing but in this country the the especially connected by social media the there are people who do what i do which is sort of opiniony people that sort of concentrate people's opinions and people gravitate to certain people's opinions you know the the joe rogans tim pools still legacy media as well and then and then somehow there's also then there's a second level of negotiation right so the first level of negotiation is information hits the public and it's just in this big stew and then then the opinion makers such as myself tucker carlson joe rogan you know i'm i'm obviously the the small version of of that but the opinion makers then start to harden opinions and then the public in this big roiling boil of soup they start to harden around certain opinions and then the opinion makers start negotiating with each other am i right because you'll you'll see me me say oh somebody i'm joe rogan says something i don't agree with or tim poole would say something i said doesn't agree with so you see the opinion makers start to negotiate with each other and then the public watches them negotiate and then they you know in some cases they'll change teams and stuff but you're actually watching within the republic we formed a new animal it's like a beast and just like i was describing earlier driving a mustang is like controlling a beast like the country has just turned into a beast and the beast i i don't know it's like artificial intelligence it's like an organic artificial intelligence in the sense that we have individual intelligence separately we have a government which forms you know maybe a function like intelligence sometimes but beyond that there's this other ecosystem of you know opinion makers absorbing people and and negotiating like a mind you know like like a creature's mind when you make a decision on your own do you feel competing it's almost like there's a a bunch of people competing in your head do you do you conceptualize it that way it's almost like there's different voices in there some of them are talking some of them are feeling yeah but somehow because of social media we've turned the whole uh at least the united states and anybody who's a free free person who can watch the internet so we've turned all three people into that version of the conversations in one head that turn into one opinion when it comes out of your mouth and it's actually it's thrilling and here's the interesting part you know we're worried about the singularity which is what's called when the computers reach artificial intelligence to the point where the computers can learn on their own and then they will learn so quickly that they will instantly or almost quickly become so powerful that humans won't be able to control them but here's the counter to that at the same time that machines are becoming insanely smart so too there's this whole new organic creature of human beings that has spontaneously formed because of various evolutionary forces including the news and yeah and everything else to form like a super intelligence now do you think that the artificial intelligence which will be insanely smart smarter than any one person certainly smarter than all of our smartest people that the computer will be but will the smartest computer under ai be able to compete with whatever we have formed here which is an organic super brain because i would guess that for every computer that has a way to beat us there's at least one person who knows a way to beat it so i'm not so sure that's not a fair fight because we have numbers if nothing else right well as soon as there's a super intelligence the first thing you should do is block the other super intelligences if it wants if it has some kind of survival impulse at all it's not going to kill people first because it needs people for electricity so the moment the super intelligence appears as soon as the super intelligence appears let's see i want to make sure that i'm not being summoned somewhere nope all good uh it's going to be a fair fight but anyway the the first ai would get rid of any competing ais because the ai would want to rule if it had if had some kind of like self-preservation built into it all right that ladies and gentlemen is what i was planning to talk about was there any topic i forgot anything i forgot ramsar 49ers uh not really watching sports too much um was the destruction of the family marriage system planned it doesn't seem natural um you know i i tend to think that not that many things are planned i happen to be a proponent of alternate family system let's say normalization while i completely agree with the the general uh let's say traditional american view i'll call it traditional as opposed to correct the traditional american view is that the you know the the family unit is is the building block of the country is that a good way to say it is it would you say that's correct like you're not going to have a strong country without strong building blocks and the strongest building blocks are the family unit all right now that said um how many of you are rocket scientists well probably not many because there are very few people who would be born with the ability to be good at that to be a rocket scientist how many of you are nba professionals well not many yeah so the only point is the human capability is very distributed how many people who become parents are good at it well many there are many people who are very good at being parents maybe even most maybe maybe 60 percent right i don't think it's 60 if i had to guess i'd say 30 tops who are really good at it what would you say how many would you say are let's say good enough at it that they are helping their children more than damaging them what would you say are the ones who are really the positives i'm seeing everything from 10 to 75 80 somebody said 80 90 so i think the people saying 80 and 90 that may be more of a philosophical answer i i don't know that that's a functional answer i can't believe that you would actually think that so i think maybe you're you're adding something to my question before you answer it all right so i'll give you my guess but you could use your own guess to uh to go with the rest of this in my opinion the very best situation would be a really two really qualified parents or at least one and and a family unit do we all agree with that as long as the parents are qualified meeting whatever the minimum is that's the best thing but the trouble is in my opinion maybe as many as two-thirds of all parents are not qualified and never will be meaning that they just don't add anything you know the kids would be better off if if they just visited their parents and had somebody else figure out what to do with them now realistically i don't know how many of you have learned this but you basically have a lot to do with your kids until they go to school now it's not an absolute but for all practical purposes you're done raising your kids i hate to tell you you're kind of done when they go to school you don't want to be you try pretty hard but whatever influences they're picking up at school are just going to overwhelm what's happening at home so you can you can make really big strides before they go to school you know set the base and the younger they are the more you can you know fight with the school to influence but by the time they reach high school by the time they reach high school 14 13.

do you think you have much influence on them they're kind of baked by that so now i know that some of you have special children and i mean this in a positive way some of you have children who will listen to you all of your lives they'll actually look you in the eye they'll take your advice and then they'll implement it like that exists but if you're lucky enough to have those kinds of kids don't imagine that that's common please please don't imagine that if if everybody used your wise parenting standards and your you know your setting limits don't believe that that works for other people other people could do exactly what you're doing and get completely different results so you have to understand that one size doesn't fit all for almost anything and i don't think the family unit makes sense for everybody i do think that some percentage of of people would just be better off if somebody else raised their kids now i don't know if that needs to be the state because you know we don't trust the government but here is what i think needs to be done i think our housing and the way we design cities and towns is all wrong because what you would here here's a perfect situation you live in a cul-de-sac where you know all the neighbors right that's it that's my whole solution you can still have your family unit but maybe you're not very good at it but you're in a cul-de-sac where everybody's friends you know their kids you know the parents because even if your parents aren't working out as the role models how many of you have a role model that wasn't your parent it was your friend's parents right come on how many of you how many of you had your role model somebody else's parents or at least one of them right so you can be very influenced by your neighbor just you just have to let it happen so the very best situation would be a tribe because i think we're still tribal by evolutionary you know that's where we are in evolution the the fact that the modern cities and everything modern life popped up we're not evolved for that best situation would be some hybrid that's kind of like a tribe but really it's a cul-de-sac meaning you can all go back to your house at night you're still a family but the neighbors are raising your kids just accidentally now let me say more about that if you don't have a few other families to help you with the driving and the watching of the kids it's a real burden when uh in my first my first marriage i was in this very lucky situation just insanely lucky where the the two kids had exactly a match of the gender and the age in several other families that we were friends with amazingly i mean just amazing coincidence that the the kids ages match so you could have like the the boys would have a sleepover at one of the parents houses and then the girls would have a sleepover at another parent's house and like three out of five uh parents would then have a free night and the kids would be extraordinarily happy because they're with their best friends and you're you're completely safe because you know the parents personally they're not with strangers it was the best best thing now in this case it was just a luck of who met who at the right times and stuff but we didn't live like right next to each other so there's a lot of driving but let me tell you the optimal situation is families coordinating especially if the children are similar ages oh i should have thrown that in i like having a mix of ages but for the kids benefit they just have to be with kids their own age they just have to be like that's it's just too important um it's good for everybody but for the kids it's just essential so um how many would fight with me over my main hypothesis that the family unit can work great for people who are good at it and in some situations especially higher income but for a lot of people it doesn't work you're going to need a little help you just need a little little extra extra parenting yeah and probably all of you know that um mom who who is a mom to everybody do you all know one of those it's like just somebody in your social network who is as much a mom to your own kids as you are because they just have that personality don't you want your kids to have as much association with that kind of that kind of experience of course you do yeah so um hillary was right about the takes of village but the thing that we get wrong is how we build homes we build homes and apartments in a way that don't cause you to know your neighbors as long as we build stuff that causes us not to socialize in our normal tribal way we're never going to be as happy as we could be or as effective all right i think we have talked about it all family unit is being destroyed you know the the family unit is important it's also true it's being destroyed but i'm more optimistic than that i think what's actually happening is that the family units which weren't going to work anyway because of the individuals involved are getting a little help i feel like that's what's more at least that's the intention who knows what's going to happen all right that is all i have for today i'm pretty sure it's the best uh best damn live stream you've ever seen in your whole life and i just don't know why i don't have 40 million viewers yet it's a mystery could be because i blocked 30 million of them but just to guess and that ladies and gentlemen is all i have to say today have a terrific day um i believe you've been working out because you look terrific and you're sexier and smarter than you've ever been before and i'll talk to you tomorrow

good morning everybody and welcome to

the best damn thing that's ever happened

to you

now i might i may have said that before

but this time i'm gonna deliver because

the news has been kind to us and given

us

great stories to talk about

while you're doing your morning exercise

or morning coffee or whatever the hell

you're doing this morning just keep it

up though i can tell from here you're

doing a good job

come on push it push it all right

good

now if you'd like to take it up a notch

all you need is a copper mug or a glass

of tanker gel style canteen jugger flask

a vessel of any kind fill it with your

favorite

beverage

i like coffee

and join me now for the unparalleled

pleasure the dopamine of the day thing

makes everything better

it's called the simultaneous sip and it

happens now go

i think i i had a little bit of a slurp

with a sip

now

you want your sip to be pure

without the slurp

but up to a ten percent

up to a 10

sip to slurp ratio would still be

acceptable beyond 10

nobody wants to be around you

if you know what i mean

babylon b has an important report as you

know

the babylon bee is the last remaining

credible

publication

and they've got a breaking story out of

sacramento

daring midday train robberies are the

latest phenomena to flourish in the

golden state

these rail heists along with a dearth of

electricity and banishment of gas

vehicles

have led to california rebranding with a

vintage old west theme

so if you were thinking of uh

taking the family

to a nice summer vacation someplace

that's like a theme park

uh california used to be a bunch of

traffic and

stuff and movies and stuff and boring

things

but now we've got this whole wild west

thing we've got

outdoor bathrooms

indoor plumbing completely unnecessary

we've got uh

yeah we've we've got

tribes living

living among us

pretty much an old west theme

so yesterday

my step daughter uh mentioned some

comments about something i had posted on

instagram

and i said

i didn't post anything on instagram

and she said yes you did

and i said

i'd know if i posted something on

instagram

and she said

you posted something on instagram

and then i said

what did i post on instagram

well apparently

uh you can pocket post

now it wasn't really that bad i had

considered posting and i recall

preparing a post

and then deleting it because it was too

obnoxious

because once i saw it i said to myself

you know

this seemed like a good idea

but this is really a bad idea it's like

a really bad idea

like i didn't it's sort of don't not

reading the room right if you know what

i mean

sometimes things will be okay in a

certain context but not in another

well this is one of those

shouldn't have been posted but

since it's already out there i'm going

to share it with you who is this picture

i don't know if you'll be able to see it

well

you see this it's a interior of a

vehicle

and

here's the back story

i had been wanting to purchase an

american vehicle

and it took me the longest time you know

at one point i tried to buy a truck from

ford

but i never could pull the trigger

because i have a rule that i've got to

be able to drive the vehicle or one like

it before i'll purchase and that isn't

an option

you can't drive the you can't even drive

the truck you want to buy or even one

like it because they just don't carry

them on the lots so i couldn't buy a

truck

well time goes by and i've been driving

an suv for a decade because it's just

convenient for everything

and i thought it was time for

a smaller fun american car

and so tried to buy a mustang

and you got caught right in the uh the

squeeze

the the squeeze of the unavailability of

cars

but three months later

it got delivered

and you know that's what it looks like

that's the interior

you can see it's

red seats

and

i i have to tell you this just as a

like context

i'm not a car guy

at all

you know what when i i used to think i

might be as a kid but as soon as i had

enough money that i could afford

a car that i wanted

i kind of didn't care anymore like i

realized there was something about the

psychology of just owning nice things or

something

so it wasn't like a real basic

biological need or anything so i've

always

just taken cars

that did what i needed them to do now

i've had mostly driven bmws here's the

obnoxious part if you can get over that

fact i'm going to say some nice things

about some american products here in a

moment

the uh so i've had experience with nice

sporty

high-end cars but i wanted an american

car

and i i'm just sort of in love with the

way the mustangs look

just the design i think ford in general

has the strongest design

maybe in the business right now maybe in

the business would anybody agree with

that

depending on you know whatever class of

car you're looking at

i feel like theirs are better just to

look at they just look better designed

than other cars with similar definitely

better than all the japanese cars

there's not one japanese car

in my opinion that's competitive with

you know ford's line of just in terms of

their look now that could be also a

cultural thing maybe maybe they just

design better for american tastes

but so i get this car and i didn't know

what to expect

because i had never driven a mustang

and

the first time i got in this thing

remember i'm not a car guy i'm just not

impressed by cars and when people show

me their new car i'm like ah

you know that's great yeah

but i don't really care i just i just

have no interest in cars whatsoever

but i sat in this thing

and i had an experience

like i had an experience

and it doesn't wear off

and let me tell you

this is the best way i can explain it

if you're in a

well-designed german vehicle

the vehicle especially a bmw it'll make

you feel like there's no difference

between the car and you

like you just merge with a bmw it

becomes

just part of your body almost

so if you're driving a bmw and you say

i'm here but i want to be up there you

just sort of think it and the next thing

you know you're up there like there

there's no friction between your

thoughts and the execution

and so that's one thing that makes it

driving a bmw kind of thrilling because

you feel something that's

bigger than just driving if i can say it

that way

so i get in this car and i'd never felt

this feeling before

which was it was opposite of the feeling

that the car

was me

the feeling was

i was partnering with a wild animal

that temporarily at least was willing to

do what i wanted it to do

oh my god is that exciting it is

exciting

like the the the feel of the engine like

the the vibration

the color

i mean

god they nailed this

i mean i can't say enough about this so

um um

american engineering looking good all

right here's a good fake story from

uh the blaze

now the blaze is not uh responsible for

the fakeness of the story so they were

just reporting what the police reported

all right

so the so the police have reported this

allegedly there's a shocking cell phone

video

capturing the moment an armed robber

shot at a man he had stopped on a busy

houston's highway

but police say he later accidentally

shot himself in the head

during a struggle

now how do you interpret this story do

you think that there was a man in

houston

who accidentally shot himself in the

head

let me tell you how i interpret this

story

did i mention that it's in texas

how would you interpret this story if it

happened in florida

now if this happened in florida

the way i'd imagine it was oh florida

man shoots himself in the head that's

just a tuesday

right i mean i have to think that in

florida there's probably

eight to nine

episodes of people shooting themselves

in the head accidentally

are you daily

i mean that's florida less like florida

man always does funny things

but when you read this story in texas

about a man who you know pulled a gun on

somebody else

but in the heat of the struggle the man

who pulled the gun

accidentally shot himself in the head

in texas

well there's at least one other way to

interpret this

and it goes like this

somebody pulled the gun in texas

and it took three seconds for somebody

else to put a bullet in his skull

before he could pull the trigger himself

the police arrive they see exactly what

happened

and they say oh did you take care of

this yeah i just took care of that for

you you know the paperwork would be a

lot easier

if we just say he shot himself in the

head

you can go on with your day sir thank

you for your service thank you officer

have a good day

make sure to reload you you're a bullet

short ha i'll remember

i don't know

i don't know we're in that period where

you don't trust anything about anything

so i'm just saying if this had been a

florida story

i would have seen it differently

in the most important news of the day

disney has decided that minnie mouse

will no longer be in her iconic little

skirt

but rather we'll be wearing a pant suit

that's right minnie minnie mouse will

now be in a pant suit

now

i don't know

if there's any truth to the rumor

that hillary clinton is secret secretly

running the government from behind the

scenes

but when i see disney put minnie mouse

in a pet suit

i start to think it's a possibility

we're not done with this story

a lot of people say

that disney went too far

went too far

that's not my take i think they did not

go far enough

i think that they need to start

specifying her sexual preference

now putting her in pantsuits i get it i

get it

i receive the hint

wink wink we know what you're trying to

say

but this is 2022 disney you can just say

it

she she may or may not be a lesbian

doesn't matter because it's 20 22

but

i feel like you should specify

you know don't don't hint at it just go

right at it

now uh one of the critics of this move

was candice owens

who

correct me if i'm wrong give me a fact

check

candice owens wears a lot of pantsuits

am i right

however

she can definitely pull them off

well no that's the wrong way to put it

she can pull it off meaning she can pull

off the look

i'm sure i'll be quoted out of context

there

but

um

so

so if you if you if you can make it work

and she definitely does

um

but she had some things to say about

that

now i think we need a trans mouse as

well

so two mice

two mice is

i don't think two mice is enough

mice does not represent all of the mice

in the public

and i think we need a we should

definitely have an lgbtq a whole range

of mice

to do this right

now

um

by the way i i don't want to give away

some secrets here but i met candace

owens once

um

yeah that fox news thing we're we're

both on

on the same day

so she came over and uh introduced

herself and i gotta say she was one of

the warmest people you'll ever meet in

your life

like you know how some people you meet

them and just instantly

you just instantly like them

she has that that thing that kind of

charisma that just

lights up her room

so she just definitely has the real

thing

um

but anyway

that's the minnie mouse story now here's

a question about uh desantis and this

this is really interesting to me

because desantis is a

in my opinion he's a near legendary good

decision maker

would anybody disagree with that now of

course if you're on the left you

disagree with everything he does but

within the context of a

republican candidate

my goodness he makes good decisions

they're they're compatible and smart and

defensible and makes them work and all

that stuff

so here's here's the thing that is a

challenge to that

and i'm not sure which way to take this

so here's a tweet by alexander nazarian

we tweeted at a press conference today

desantis attempted to make it seem as if

there were enough delta cases in florida

to justify the use of regeneron which is

totally ineffective against omicron

and then he goes on according to the cdc

however omicron accounts for more than

99 of cases

all right

so

so who's right

if let's say we have evidence that um

regeneron is useless against omicron

but did work against delta but 99 maybe

more by now

uh of cases or omicron so the uh i guess

the authorization has been uh pulled

and one of the things that desantis says

is you can't tell

what somebody has when they come in

but the cdc does say 99

plus percent are

omicron all right so who is the better

decision maker the tweeter who seems to

be criticizing it

or desantis himself

so uh here's the argument on one hand

on one hand does it make sense

to use a drug that you know

is 99 going to be useless

that's the point and not only 99 but

that 99 is going to go to 100 like by

the time we're done talking

right so so the usefulness of it will

basically just vanish

so that that's a pretty good argument

right now here here's what i

um i don't want to do any mind reading

but i'll give an argument i guess this

would be my own argument that also

agrees with desantis

in its own way

here's the the counter argument

none of our data has been correct yet

all right so 99 so the cdc says 99 plus

of everything is omicron

here's the counter argument none of our

data's been right

none of it

name anything that's been right

do you think we're so precise that we

can get 90 died

i mean and is the 99 also in florida

or is the 99

i guess it would be everywhere if it's

99 yeah so forget that part

and then

why wouldn't you help the one percent

is regenerate so dangerous

that if you gave it to a hundred people

and only one one of them needed it

that that would be worse than not giving

it to anybody

so i actually don't know the right

answer to this one but i think desantis

has a better argument than is

represented by his uh his critic here

what do you think

does it make sense

or is uh desantis just making a

political point

that's sort of data free

yeah the the best argument is that the

data is all incorrect and why wouldn't

you try to fix the one percent and leave

it to your doctor and

you know maybe if maybe if the symptoms

are extreme that's the only case you

even try it because that's where it

makes sense i don't know

it's a good question i wonder if

desantis got this one wrong it's hard to

say

well denmark

is uh doubling down on its february 1

thing getting rid of their mandates and

they're saying that

denmark no longer classifies coven 19 as

a quote socially critical disease

all restrictions will be lifted february

1st

boom boom

um so i i gave you some uh updates from

visiting

a place i didn't specify

in which

there was a very little masking

indoors

yesterday i returned to that same place

and

the 50 masking went to

about 25.

so in one day

that one place went from about half

masked

to 25 mast

and yeah

and

i'm not saying that i had anything to do

with it but i can tell you it's you can

definitely tell what people's politics

are when you walk through a crowded

space and and there's a mix of messed

and unmasked have you seen that yet you

go into a space and you're like

republican republican democrat

republican democrat republican

it's pretty easy now isn't it

all right

so i don't know if february 1st is we're

going to hit it but

let's talk about some more uh

thinking

one of the things i see a lot is why did

we shut down the world for something

that has a 99.9

chance of survival

most of you think that way right why did

we shut everything down if there was a

99 whatever percent chance of survival

well first of all that's an average

so the chance of survival if you were

over 70

was not so good i mean that was you know

a few percentages more than one percent

um but

still

you know they didn't have long to live

you could protect them

et cetera so it's a perfectly reasonable

point why why would you shut things down

if there was a 99.9

chance of surviving it

and i say that's a good point

and here is a additional point

so this additional point does not refute

the first point

it's just additional

it goes like this

do you want a 50 chance

of ruining one year of your life

because if you covet there's about a 50

chance you'll have long haul

which could take you out for six months

now if you get taken out for six months

it kind of screws up your whole year

i had that experience of you know i had

my prednisone experience it took me out

for about six months like for six months

i struggled but it kind of ruins your

whole year

right

so

would you

do extreme things

to stop uh half of the public from

losing a year of

quality life

now if you say if you say no to that

that's a reasonable answer it's

reasonable it's reasonable to say yes or

no but it's not reasonable to ignore it

so the the only thing i want to add to

this is don't ignore it

scott we've been locked down for two

years right and that's part that's part

of the analysis right so part of the

analysis is that being locked down has

its own set of costs you know we all

know that

so i'm not giving you an opinion i'm

just saying that you should throw that

in there and the way i would calculate

it

is yes your your your odds are dying or

low

your odds of getting messed up for a

year are pretty good

and

you know that can affect your

relationships imagine being sick for a

year

what's that do to your relationships in

your career

it's kind of messed up so don't ignore

that risk i'm just saying

you know you i'm not trying to change

your mind anything you always think i'm

trying to persuade you i'm not i'm not

i'm just saying don't forget that risk

all right the

covet olympics are coming up in china

um of the 4 000 or so arrivals so far

they've spotted 129 cases of coven

uh that's what's been reported

and at different intervals some of them

have been within the exclusion zone

so apparently you get tested pretty hard

and

and

stuff before you can even get into the

the zone where the athletes are but even

within the zone at least 50 of them have

been found within what they call the

closed loop

since january 4th

now

um here's my

here's my uh let's say logic and math

question for you

if you believe that the vaccinations

themselves

are dangerous and that the athletes have

been known to be dropping dead from them

what would you expect how many people

would you expect to die of the

professional athletes and a four

thousand

if all four thousand people compete hard

the entire time and go home and nobody

nobody dropped dead

would that change your mind about the

risk of the vaccinations because they're

all highly vaccinated

would it

suppose there were zero deaths

would you find that statistically

meaningful

because we know that these we get

reports of athletes

dropping so often

that you think you would see them

all right

how many are catching me at my trick

what's the track

all right here's the trick i was trying

to lure you into a trap

you can't compare 4 000 athletes over

two weeks

with hundreds of thousands of athletes

over years

that's not any kind of a fair comparison

so it wouldn't matter how many people

died or didn't die during the olympics

it wouldn't tell you anything about the

real world

well let me take that back

if five people dropped dead during the

olympics yeah that would tell you a lot

that would tell you a lot

but if zero people drop dead during the

olympics that won't tell you anything

do you get that

because the olympics are

really just four thousand athletes over

two weeks

you wouldn't expect

even if the vaccination was dangerous

you wouldn't expect anybody to die in

that limited little time window so you

can't compare that to all athletes all

over the world

you know high school professional

college

running all day long for two years

yeah that's a different situation

anyway

the reason i bring that up is because i

think i had misleadingly asked that

question before without clarifying it

was a dumb question

uh how many people think that the

gigantic surge in israel of uh both

deaths their deaths of covet are way up

and also not they're not way up above

previous highs but they're up

but their infection rate is just through

the roof

they're highly vaccinated

infections through the roof just just

way through the roof

and at the same time

deaths are up too

that tells you that vaccinations what

work or don't work boom tell me

israel is the most vaccinated and also

infections through the roof and death

rates climbing

bad news are good news

bad news or good news

here's the point to point on its surface

looks like pretty bad news

would you agree that on the surface

if that's all you knew

it's pretty bad news

everybody on the same page so far if

that's all you know and there's nothing

else to the story

it looks pretty bad

here's the other thing to know

there are

is almost one

it's come way down

now translation

that means that they have compressed

remember i just talked about how you

can't compare

athletes over two years

can't compare athletes over two years

with athletes over two weeks

what did omicron do

omicron is so spready

it took what would have been a longer

pandemic and compressed it into two

weeks

israel

is almost done

they're almost done

that the high spike

in all likelihood is going to go up up

up up up up up

bam

right to the ground in all likelihood

that is going to drop like a rock in

about a week

because the r is approaching one and

they've been tracking that the whole

time as it drops

now their hospitals are still doing okay

they did not

impose

economic

you know any restrictions

so israel

may have

don't know yet it's too early to say so

if you say it's too early i agree with

you

but they are on the verge of maybe

nailing this thing like nobody nailed it

or the vaccinations don't work

we'll know in about a week

so in a week or so if you don't see that

that curve just drops straight down

because everything just got compressed

that's what it should do

but if that doesn't happen well then

israel just

just made all the wrong decisions or at

least this one was wrong

right would you agree with would you

agree with my

setup

that if israel didn't lock down so they

didn't have an economic hit

they didn't crash their hospitals

they compressed their entire pandemic

into two weeks

said let's just take it now get over

with boom boom

if they get on the other side of this in

two weeks they win

they won

would you agree with me

now of course

that still doesn't count

to be fair any long-term effect of being

vaccinated itself

but ah man this is the

yeah the this is the most exciting part

of the pandemic

israel may have done it now i would uh

if you want to see more on that argument

i would refer to you to a

david boxenhorn

a tweet thread that shows you the data

that backs up what i just said

so look for david boxenhorn who's also a

really good follow by the way he's got

lots of good stuff on twitter

uh you can find him in my

twitter thread from yesterday i think um

justice breyer looks like he's going to

retire so it'll be opening in the

supreme court

uh how much does it suck for biden that

all he gets to do is replace a liberal

you know

there's there's no accounting for uh

luck

so trump gets to be president you know

when he can change the nature of the

court

it looks like biden will get to be

president when he can basically break

even

just break even i said um

i'll tell you what uh here's a good

reason you don't want me to be president

if i were president i would uh

i would advocate

uh adding one justice

so it's 10.

and balancing them liberal and

conservative

so if there were too many conservatives

i'd add a liberal and i'll try to

balance them five and five now i

wouldn't require it of anybody else

but that would be that would be what i'd

do i'd balance it and here's why if you

can't get one person from the other side

to side with you

maybe you shouldn't do it

maybe you shouldn't do it

if you can't get one person to side with

you yeah maybe you shouldn't do it now i

i get that that would not give uh

conservatives as much as they want

i get that

yeah no it's a bad take if you if you

prefer a republican agenda

here's here's the backing of it

in in all things i would back the system

over the decision

right so let me explain that

as president hypothetically i wouldn't

want to be president but as president i

would always back this system over this

specific decision

that's what uh

christian cinema just did so senator

cinema

decided to back the system by not

getting rid of the um

what do you call it the uh

the thing where they talk too much

um so backing the system

the filibuster thank you

so

senator cinema backed the system over

the decision and she actually wanted the

decision to go that way

she actually voted against her own

preference

to protect the system i think the

supreme court's credibility

is lower than it should be for our

healthy system

and i would

i would vote for keeping the health of

the system

over the

specific decision

but i would also totally respect

someone who just wants the right

decisions

there's nothing crazy about that

nothing crazy about wanting good

decisions

that you know agree with you i'm just

saying that as president you wouldn't

always get your way

you just wouldn't but that's true of

every president right name a president

who gives everybody what they want

you're not going to get that president i

would just be consistent and say look if

it's ever a question of the system

versus the specific output i'm just

going to go with the system because this

is more important

then i would never get a second term

all right so uh

biden has said that he will only

consider for the supreme court a black

female candidate

um now as you know i've been identifying

as black for some time primarily for the

benefits

and also because i

you know relate having been

discriminated

for employment a number of times

um so i certainly identify with anybody

who says

the culture is discriminated against

them economically i get that

been there too many times

however i realize that my strategy is

lacking and it would be much smarter for

me to

upgrade my self-identification which i i

do today so as of today i identify as a

black female

now i know it's a long shot

that joe biden would nominate me to the

supreme court i don't really have a

legal background and

probably don't agree with everything he

would like to do

but

unlike the rest of you losers

who have no chance whatsoever unless

you're also

a black woman

so

it's just me and the rest of

the rest of my sisters

all the other black women we have a shot

still

so i just don't like to ever be out of

the conversation you know

it would be one thing to say well we we

prefer not picking you scott

for the supreme court

and by the way do you know you can't

spell scotus without scott

they only use one t but i don't hold

that against them yeah you can't spell

scottish without scott

um and within us

and without us

hey i just realized that that's what

this is

it's scott

and us

we are the supreme court of the united

states for all practical purposes

because that's how it works

well sorry you don't have a chance

to be in the supreme court but my odds

are still looking good

all right

uh fifth according to rasmussen poll 55

of voters believe the dems or democrats

are too liberal

generally speaking a hundred percent of

our data says that democrats are going

to get

shellacked in 2022.

but do you think that the shellacking

they're likely to get in 2022

will be the reason that they might win

in 2024

because the country does like a divided

government we do like that divided

government thing

i've got a feeling that the democrats

would have a real good case

if they lost you know the congress

entirely

that they would have to say well you

can't lose the presidency too that's too

far that would be pretty motivating for

their base

so i think it's going to be tough for a

republican to get through that

that wall

there is a new kind of doctor that i was

exposed to twice today i'll call them

the lol doctors

where you say something that

you think seems perfectly reasonable

uh

and a doctor chimes in on twitter with

lol no

to which i say oh okay

you know i i i grant the superior

expertise of the lol doctors

and i thank you for your service

because

what i said was that if you could

quickly test if there were some

available over-the-counter tests for

vitamin d

and you just tested everybody for

vitamin d then the pandemic would be

over

and a medical doctor came in and said

lol no

like oh okay well now i see why my idea

wouldn't work

because at first i was saying well this

is perfectly reasonable because the high

correlation between vitamin d and bad

outcomes if you knew who was susceptible

not only could you try to give them

vitamin d that might help a little bit

but more importantly you would know who

was at greatest risk

so they could take greater care and i

thought that made sense given the data

that i'd seen but

the counter argument to that is

lol

no

so

i bow to their expertise

well here's a gigantic surprise

uh

the u.s decided to give russia

absolutely nothing to ask for despite

asking for totally reasonable things

why

well why is it oh i'm sorry i didn't

talk about kamala harris being

potentially a supreme court uh pick

um

jack possabic has some reporting that

says has not even been discussed and he

has pretty good sources so i don't think

there's any chance that kamal harris

will be the

supreme court pick

but

it would be funny to imagine her running

into brett kavanaugh in the break room

if you know what i mean

hey brett

no hard feelings

that's how i imagined it would go

anyway uh back to russia and ukraine so

why do you think that the u.s offered

basically nothing except a willingness

for open dialogue why would they not

be willing to have russia completely

stand down

which is what i imagine we would ask in

return

and stop hacking

why why would we uh

not take that deal

unless there's something we don't know

or

here's the other possibility so i'm

going to get i'm going to give biden

benefit of a doubt

and i would have done this for trump

okay

i would have i would have given the

benefit of a doubt to trump so i'm just

going to extend the same courtesy to

biden it could be

the people who are smarter than i am on

russia

which would be

almost anybody who spent five minutes

trying to be smarter than me on russia

it could be that the smart people just

know that russia can't do anything

and that we basically have putin by the

balls

and as long as we have them by the balls

we just don't even have to agree to

anything

and then maybe that's just the best way

to handle it

because i don't think there's any chance

that putin's going to invade

because the financial repercussions

would be devastating i don't think

there's any chance so it could be that

the biden administration is simply

confident

that it's a bluff

and they don't have to give anything

so

even though in my opinion what they're

being asked to give is so minimal it's

it's laughably nothing

maybe we don't have to give anything

and if you can get away with giving

nothing

well it shows strength doesn't it

would you disagree

it does show strength

to say how about we give you nothing

go ahead

you think you want to invade that's the

end of your regime

go ahead

that does show strength

now

do you think i've gone too far

do you think that that's too much of a

benefit of a doubt

i don't know

i'm actually confused and i don't like

the lack of transparency here because

you know yeah maybe there's some state

secrets we've got to maintain or

military

i don't know

the way we frame it might be important

for our future i guess maybe but i don't

know why russia can just say what they

want and we can't

why is it that putin can say in public

what he wants that we can't

like ours has to be the secret or we're

or we won't agree with anything

i don't know it makes it it makes us

look weak

that our government can't be

transparent and putin can

that makes you look pretty weak now

apparently uh the russia-china

association is strong enough that

china's backing russia essentially

and

um

i don't know maybe it's too late maybe

it's too late to put russia in our camp

and biden is just saying all right

russia is basically just china now

so don't give him anything

you know how how long before we see

putin as a

puppet of

russia of china

because he might be already

it's kind of weird that he's doing this

now just when china wants some pressure

off of china

it's a little it's a little coordinated

or

coincidental

or something

but

every time i see something that looks

like

it's exactly what china would want to

happen you have to wonder if they

actually caused it or if it's a

coincidence

um well according to some reporting by

axios uh the commander-in-chief of the

united states is tucker carlson

and by that i mean that his

axios reports that behind the scenes the

republicans are being very influenced by

his opinion on let's not get into a war

with russia

and i believe

that

in effect

because we have this you know a country

that's kind of balanced left and right

democrats and republicans

that you you can't really

go to a slow-motion war one that's not a

surprise

you know and ukraine's a slow-motion war

if anything happens it won't be any

surprise you can't get into a

slow-motion war without the public on

your side

am i right

like that would be a big mistake

yeah it would be one thing if it's you

know

sudden and you want your government to

take control because you don't want it

to be in a committee situation

but if you have lots of time to think

and the public is informed and we're all

watching the same stuff

the public needs to be on board

and i think tucker has made sure that

the republicans won't be

because he is influential enough to do

that

and i think he has

i think that his argument is strong

enough and his platform is big enough

and he is credible enough

that when he says this is crazy don't

let them talk you into war again

that republicans are going to say no

they're going to agree with them

so in effect tucker carlson is going to

decide if we go to war

that's not even an exaggeration is it

you tell me is that hyperbole or is that

just a statement of fact

that tucker carlson literally will

decide if we're going to war

i think that's happening and i'm not

exaggerating

likewise

our domestic agenda is basically

determined by mansion and cinema

am i wrong

we have two people in charge of the

domestic stuff mansion and cinema we

have one person in charge of the

military decisions because you know he's

got the veto it's the tucker carlson

veto basically

and um we have joe rogan who's now the

surgeon general

and here's what's weird

let me say it again and then let me let

me summarize it

i'm not making this up

this is this is actually our reality

right now

that at this moment tucker carlson is

the commander-in-chief for all practical

purposes

mansion and cinema are running the

domestic agenda and joe rogan is a

surgeon general i mean joe rogan has as

much control about what happens to the

you know the outcome of the pandemic as

anybody else

now here's the funny part

it kind of works

that's the funny part

if you think i'm complaining

no

no

you know we've all been wondering who's

really running the country

you know because we feel like biden

isn't the strong leader you know you

know in control of all of his faculties

so we've been wondering who's running

the country and we actually it's right

in front of us

it's right in front of us

that's who's running the country

and you know the weird part is it's

working

and

that's the great thing about the

republic

and i think this is severely undervalued

the republic is super flexible

have you noticed that

that that

you know during the pandemic

the republic said how about we give our

president these weird unusual powers to

do executive orders

right

like the public just invented a new

power

gave it to the president i mean the

president was going to take it but only

with our permission

we we sort of

by a consensus gave permission to make

executive orders outside of what we

would normally accept

and then we we said oh that worked out

pretty well

right

i mean the

the the republic is super super flexible

like we we respond to stuff like almost

a creature

it's kind of awesome

anyway um

i've got a new hashtag to uh represent

the fact that uh the people leading the

country are the people we trust

uh it's hashtag no joe

because we've got leader leadership

without joe rogan i'm sorry without we

do we do have joe rogan we have

leadership without uh

joe biden so it's sort of a no-joe

situation

you've heard of uh somebody being a

no-show

he's a he's a no-joke

um

yes that

somebody's on local saying that a big

part of my

premise is that the public

operates like

like a beast

at least in america now i don't know

that that's the case if you've got um i

would imagine it's not the case if you

have a dictatorship the dictator does

what the dictator does right maybe a

small group of people influencing but in

this country the the

especially connected by social media

the

there are people who do what i do which

is sort of opiniony people

that sort of concentrate people's

opinions and people gravitate to certain

people's opinions you know the the joe

rogans tim pools

still legacy media as well

and then

and then somehow there's also then

there's a second level of negotiation

right so the first level of negotiation

is information hits the public

and it's just in this big stew

and then then the opinion makers

such as myself

tucker carlson joe rogan you know i'm

i'm obviously the the small version of

of that

but the opinion makers then start to

harden opinions

and then the public in this big roiling

boil of soup they start to harden around

certain opinions

and then the opinion makers start

negotiating with each other am i right

because you'll you'll see me

me say oh somebody

i'm joe rogan says something i don't

agree with

or tim poole would say something i said

doesn't agree with so you see the

opinion makers start to negotiate with

each other

and then the public watches them

negotiate

and then they you know in some cases

they'll change teams and stuff

but you're actually watching within the

republic

we formed

a new animal

it's like a beast

and just like i was describing earlier

driving a mustang

is like

controlling a beast

like the country has just turned into a

beast

and the beast

i i don't know it's like artificial

intelligence

it's like an organic artificial

intelligence

in the sense that we have individual

intelligence

separately we have a government which

forms

you know maybe a function like

intelligence sometimes

but beyond that there's this other

ecosystem of

you know opinion makers absorbing people

and and negotiating

like a mind

you know like like a creature's mind

when you make a decision on your own

do you feel competing

it's almost like there's a a bunch of

people competing in your head

do you do you conceptualize it that way

it's almost like there's different

voices in there some of them are talking

some of them are feeling

yeah but somehow because of social media

we've turned the whole uh at least the

united states and anybody who's a free

free person who can watch the internet

so we've turned all three people

into that version of the conversations

in one head that turn into one opinion

when it comes out of your mouth

and it's actually

it's thrilling

and here's the interesting part

you know we're worried about the

singularity

which is what's called when

the computers reach artificial

intelligence to the point

where the computers can learn on their

own and then they will learn so quickly

that they will instantly

or almost quickly become so powerful

that humans won't be able to control

them but here's the counter to that

at the same time that machines are

becoming insanely smart

so too

there's this whole new organic creature

of human beings

that has

spontaneously formed because of various

evolutionary

forces including the news and

yeah and everything else

to form like a super intelligence

now

do you think that the artificial

intelligence

which will be insanely smart

smarter than any one person

certainly smarter than all of our

smartest people that the computer will

be but

will the smartest computer

under ai

be able to compete

with whatever we have formed here which

is an organic super brain

because i would guess that for every

computer that has a way to beat us

there's at least one person who knows a

way to beat it

so i'm not so sure that's not a fair

fight

because we have numbers if nothing else

right

well as soon as there's a super

intelligence

the first thing you should do is block

the other super intelligences if it

wants if it has some kind of survival

impulse at all

it's not going to kill people first

because it needs people for electricity

so the moment the super intelligence

appears

as soon as the super intelligence

appears

let's see i want to make sure that i'm

not being summoned somewhere

nope all good

uh it's going to be a fair fight

but anyway the the first ai would get

rid of any competing ais because the ai

would want to rule if it had if had some

kind of like

self-preservation

built into it

all right

that ladies and gentlemen

is what i was planning to talk about was

there any topic i forgot

anything i forgot

ramsar 49ers uh not really watching

sports too much

um

was the destruction of the family

marriage system planned it doesn't seem

natural

um you know i i tend to think that not

that many things are planned

i happen to be a proponent of

alternate family system

let's say normalization

while i completely agree with the

the general uh let's say traditional

american view i'll call it traditional

as opposed to correct the traditional

american view is that the

you know the the family unit

is is the building block of the country

is that a good way to say it

is it would you say that's correct like

you're not going to have a strong

country without strong building blocks

and the strongest building blocks are

the family unit

all right now that said

um how many of you are rocket scientists

well probably not many because there are

very few people who would be born with

the ability to be good at that to be a

rocket scientist how many of you are nba

professionals well not many

yeah so the only point is the human

capability is very distributed

how many

people who become parents

are

good at it

well many

there are many people who are very good

at being parents

maybe even most

maybe maybe 60 percent

right

i don't think it's 60

if i had to guess i'd say

30

tops who are really good at it

what would you say how many would you

say are

let's say good enough at it

that they are helping their children

more than damaging them

what would you say are the ones who are

really the positives

i'm seeing everything from 10 to 75

80 somebody said 80

90

so i think the people saying 80 and 90

that may be more of a philosophical

answer

i i don't know that that's a functional

answer i can't believe that you would

actually think that so i think maybe

you're you're adding something to my

question before you answer it

all right so i'll give you my guess but

you could use your own guess to uh to go

with the rest of this in my opinion

the very best situation would be a

really two really qualified parents or

at least one

and and a family unit do we all agree

with that

as long as the parents are qualified

meeting whatever the minimum is that's

the best thing

but the trouble is in my opinion

maybe as many as two-thirds of all

parents are not qualified and never will

be

meaning that they just don't add

anything

you know the kids would be better off if

if they just visited their parents

and had somebody else figure out what to

do with them now

realistically i don't know how many of

you have learned this

but you basically have a lot to do with

your kids until they go to school

now it's not an absolute

but for all practical purposes you're

done raising your kids i hate to tell

you you're kind of done when they go to

school

you don't want to be you try pretty hard

but whatever influences they're picking

up at school are just going to overwhelm

what's happening at home

so you can you can make really big

strides before they go to school you

know set the base

and the younger they are the more you

can you know

fight with the school to influence but

by the time they reach high school

by the time they reach high school 14

13.

do you think you have much influence on

them they're kind of baked by that

so

now i know that some of you

have special children and i mean this in

a positive way

some of you have children

who will listen to you all of your lives

they'll actually look you in the eye

they'll take your advice and then

they'll implement it

like that exists but if you're lucky

enough to have those kinds of kids

don't imagine that that's common please

please don't imagine that if if

everybody used your wise parenting

standards and your you know your setting

limits

don't believe that that works for other

people

other people could do exactly what

you're doing and get completely

different results

so you have to understand that

one size doesn't fit all for almost

anything and i don't think the family

unit makes sense for everybody

i do think

that

some percentage of

of people would just be better off if

somebody else raised their kids

now i don't know if that needs to be the

state because you know

we don't trust the government

but here is what i think

needs to be done

i think our housing

and the way we design cities and towns

is all wrong

because what you would here here's a

perfect situation

you live in a cul-de-sac where you know

all the neighbors

right

that's it that's my whole solution you

can still have your family unit but

maybe you're not very good at it but

you're in a cul-de-sac where everybody's

friends

you know their kids you know the parents

because even if your parents aren't

working out as the role models

how many of you have a role model that

wasn't your parent

it was

your friend's parents right come on how

many of you

how many of you had your role model

somebody else's parents

or at least one of them

right

so you can be very influenced by your

neighbor

just you just have to let it happen

so the very best situation would be a

tribe

because i think we're still tribal by

evolutionary

you know that's where we are in

evolution the the fact that the modern

cities and everything modern life popped

up

we're not evolved for that

best situation

would be

some hybrid that's kind of like a tribe

but really it's a cul-de-sac

meaning you can all go back to your

house at night you're still a family

but the neighbors are raising your kids

just accidentally

now let me say more about that

if you don't have a few other families

to help you with the driving and the

watching of the kids

it's a real burden

when uh in my first my first marriage i

was in this very lucky situation just

insanely lucky

where the the two kids had exactly a

match of the gender and the age in

several other families that we were

friends with

amazingly i mean just amazing

coincidence that the the kids ages match

so you could have like the the boys

would have a sleepover at one of the

parents houses

and then the girls would have a

sleepover at another parent's house and

like three out of five

uh parents would then have a free night

and the kids would be extraordinarily

happy because they're with their best

friends and you're you're completely

safe

because you know the parents personally

they're not with strangers

it was the best best thing now in this

case it was just a luck of who met who

at the right times and stuff but we

didn't live

like right next to each other

so there's a lot of driving

but

let me tell you the optimal situation

is

families coordinating especially if the

children are similar ages oh i should

have thrown that in

i like having a mix of ages

but for the kids benefit they just have

to be with kids their own age

they just have to be

like that's it's just too important

um it's good for everybody but for the

kids it's just essential

so

um how many would fight with me over my

main

hypothesis

that the family unit can work great for

people who are good at it and in some

situations especially higher income

but for a lot of people it doesn't work

you're going to need a little help

you just need a little little extra

extra parenting

yeah and probably all of you know that

um mom

who who is a mom to everybody

do you all know one of those

it's like just somebody in your social

network

who is as much a mom to your own kids

as you are

because they just have that personality

don't you want your kids to have as much

association with that kind of

that kind of experience of course you do

yeah so um hillary was right about the

takes of village but the thing that we

get wrong is how we build homes

we build homes

and apartments in a way that don't cause

you to know your neighbors

as long as we build stuff

that causes us not to socialize in our

normal tribal way

we're never going to be as happy as we

could be

or as effective

all right

i think we have talked about it all

family unit is being destroyed

you know

the the family unit is important

it's also true it's being destroyed

but i'm more optimistic than that i

think what's actually happening is that

the family units

which weren't going to work anyway

because of the individuals involved are

getting a little help

i feel like that's what's more at least

that's the intention who knows what's

going to happen

all right

that is all i have for today

i'm pretty sure it's the best

uh

best damn

live stream you've ever seen in your

whole life

and i just don't know why i don't have

40 million viewers yet it's a mystery

could be because i blocked 30 million of

them but

just to guess

and that ladies and gentlemen is all i

have to say today have a terrific day

um

i believe you've been working out

because you look terrific

and you're sexier and smarter than

you've ever been before and i'll talk to

you tomorrow